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cc816be6-d1f4-452b-af02-3586437126d8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | marine cloud brightening
Various geoengineering schemes have been proposed to mitigate global warming. Some prominent schemes I don't like are accelerated weathering and stratospheric aerosol injection. I think marine cloud brightening is a better proposal than those.
accelerated weathering
To potentially absorb 1 t... |
80736817-f6f6-45bf-9c2e-4bfb441a5f4f | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Artificial Sandwiching: When can we test scalable alignment protocols without humans?
*Epistemic status: Not a fleshed-out proposal. Brainstorming/eliciting ideas.*
*Thanks to Ben Mann, Pablo Moreno, and Jared Kaplan for feedback on early drafts.*
Overview
--------
* I’m convinced [sandwiching](https://www.alignme... |
3e9d3d0f-b7e1-4771-b505-425a9de6a08a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : LW-cologne Meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : LW-cologne Meetup
WHEN: 13 June 2015 05:00:00PM (+0200)
WHERE: Mareinwe 43, 50858 Köln
Hi everyone,
time for our monthly meetup again. I decided not to change the date, since there seemed to be mixed preferences for June (Martin 2nd weekend, Mimi 1st w... |
e2e4aa3e-660c-4501-afdb-704641080ce1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Weekly LW Meetups: Fort Collins and Melbourne
There are upcoming irregularly scheduled Less Wrong meetups in:
* Fort Collins, Colorado Meetup: 04 January 2012 07:00PM
* First Philadelphia Meetup of 2012: 08 January 2012 02:00PM
* [TENTATIVE] Portland Meetup?: 14 January 2012 12:00PM
* San Diego experimental meetu... |
ad4b0430-c155-47d0-9f8d-d2a4ca63d09e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Towards optimal play as Villager in a mixed game
On Twitter, Freyja wrote:
> Things capitalism is trash at:
> Valuing preferences of anything other than adults who earn money (i.e. future people, non-humans)
> Pricing non-standardisable goods (i.e. information)
> Playing nicely with non-quantifiable values + objectiv... |
e01c6f5d-685a-40e2-a5c8-eeb363f5752d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Synthesising divergent preferences: an example in population ethics
This post is an example of how one could go about sythesising contradictory human preferences and meta-preferences, using a somewhat simplified version of the method of this post.
The aim is to illustrate how I imagine the process going. I'll take th... |
51278208-be94-4c63-a172-4d015de8b8f0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What are good rationality exercises?
I want to know what are good rationality exercises.
I was just on a call with Liron and PhilH, hanging out after the weekly LessWrong weekend event, and we discussed exercises that could happen on LessWrong.
Here is the list we generated:
* Thinking Physics
* Fermi Estimates
... |
9410b713-c412-4528-b95d-c588f1a895be | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What should rationalists think about the recent claims that air force pilots observed UFOs?
NY times has a new material about possible observations of UFOs by air force pilots. Should rationalists use their arsenal of new ideas about how the world works – simulation, superintelligent AIs etc – to explain these things,... |
8462d739-aaac-4fe0-bec9-7148d7bffcb0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Possible personal implications of the Israeli Hunger-Probation study
I'll let Psychohistorian provide the set-up, in case the reference is unfamiliar. Anyway, my wife's expecting, and that means many, many tests, ultrasounds, etc. that she ends up going through. She had an ultrasound done yesterday that was a follow-u... |
a9bd09e2-80aa-49a0-a970-a1ffaea00624 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube | Youtube Transcripts | Towards AI You Can Rely On (Aleksander Madry, Foundations of Safe Learning Workshop)
we to be nice to the environment we
haven't printed physical programs but
you can see the list of speakers in the
schedule that workshop safe learning a I
we have a really fantastic lineup of
speakers today we're very fortunate to
be ... |
4c160b92-0c88-4854-8d8e-9d703e8667e7 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Worse Than Random
**Previously in series**: [Lawful Uncertainty](/lw/vo/lawful_uncertainty/)
You may have noticed a certain trend in recent posts: I've been arguing that randomness hath no power, that there is no beauty in entropy, nor yet strength from noise.
If one were to formalize the argument, it would prob... |
eb1f9b73-bf2b-4bd0-8b50-e7680c2d9b9b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Welcome to ACX/Less Wrong Budapest
Hello, we are your sort of nerds in Budapest! Come and join us.
Usually we have a discussion meetup once a month, where there is some set of articles that we read and then talk about more deeply. If there are enough people we specifically will break up into smaller groups.
Honestl... |
1f0a85e9-2de8-4eee-b227-6674d6412f4a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Prospects for Alignment Automation:
Interpretability Case Study
For human-level AI (HLAI) we will need robust control or alignment methods. Assuming short timelines to HLAI, the tractability of automating safety research becomes central. In this post, I will make the case that safety-relevant progress on automated int... |
6e5fd131-aafc-47a0-a3a3-21c39430a23a | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Recursively Summarizing Books with Human Feedback
###
1 Introduction
To train an ML model on a new task, we need a training signal that tells the model which behaviors are better and which are worse. For some tasks, like playing a video game, this training signal can be calculated automatically.
However, for many ... |
364f411e-2527-430c-b607-910abd1328b1 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Forecasting AI Progress: A Research Agenda
Forecasting AI Progress: A Research Agenda
Ross Gruetzemacher*, Florian Dorner
†
, Niko Bernaola-Alvarez
‡
,
Charlie Giattino
§
, David Manheim
**
*Auburn University,
†
Freie Universität Berlin,
‡
Universidad Politécnica de
Madrid,
§
U... |
dd9bbb85-de82-4dc3-b36c-fef4d271dafb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Moscow: Applied Rationality
Discussion article for the meetup : Moscow: Applied Rationality
WHEN: 19 January 2013 04:00:00PM (+0400)
WHERE: Russia, Moscow, ulitsa L'va Tolstogo 16
Our venue is changed:
We will meet in the Yandex Money office, this is the second door at the address I mentioned. Please use ... |
73ba20a0-de97-4535-b97b-07b6ece827f6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AtP*: An efficient and scalable method for localizing LLM behaviour to components
Authors: János Kramár, Tom Lieberum, Rohin Shah, Neel Nanda
A new paper from the Google DeepMind mechanistic interpretability team, from core contributors János Kramár and Tom Lieberum
Tweet thread summary, paper
Abstract:
> Activati... |
88ddf3c5-7113-4b2c-b3b5-35794dbae335 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Beyond fire alarms: freeing the groupstruck
*Katja Grace, 9 September 2021*
*[Content warning: death in fires, death in machine apocalypse]*
‘No fire alarms for AGI’
------------------------
Eliezer Yudkowsky wrote that ‘[there’s no fire alarm for Artificial General Intelligence](https://intelligence.org/2017/10... |
841f476c-8f2e-428a-a6c2-e4fea03e4986 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | September 2020 gwern.net newsletter
None |
e9a87f3d-e4d6-4fc1-98fc-c3ee4469c399 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The principle of no non-Apologies
Original on my website
TL;DR: Principle of no non-Apologies: “Distinguish between saying I’m sorry and apologizing. Don’t give non-Apologies.” Do not Apologize when you don’t agree that you fucked up. When you fucked up, own the fuck-up and, if it’s systematic, commit to reducing fut... |
752e6154-4184-4239-844f-f12bff9b4d74 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Integrating the Lindy Effect
Suppose the following:
1. Your intelligence is directly proportional to how many useful things you know.
2. Your intelligence increases when your learn things and decreases as the world changes and the things you know go out-of-date.
How quickly the things you know become irrelevant is ... |
9ccf106f-22ff-4c09-9a71-7bfe175c9079 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Pomodoro for Programmers
Unless you’ve been living under a productivity rock, you probably have heard of the Pomodoro Technique, where you use a timer to do 25 minutes of focused work, and then take a five minute break.
I used to use this technique a lot, up until I started doing computer programming.
You see, with ... |
6f2a404b-9b6e-4c9f-bc1d-3685107fe8ec | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Open thread, 11-17 March 2014
If it's worth saying, but not worth its own post (even in Discussion), then it goes here. |
0b53080d-1d35-4281-ac93-978320b293cd | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Comparative Advantage is Not About Trade
Braudel is probably the most impressive historian I have read. His quantitative estimates of premodern populations and crop yields are exactly the sort of foundation you’d think any understanding of history would be based upon. Yet reading his magnum opus, it became steadily cl... |
d9549122-2733-4579-97ae-beb8ec5e9a14 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What is Interpretability?
In this post we lay out some ideas around framing interpretability research which we have found quite useful. Our framing is goal-oriented, which we believe is important for making sure interpretability research is meaningful. We also go over a variety of dimensions which we think are useful ... |
048b5fa8-94bf-471b-9352-5e51593f918e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Transformative trustbuilding via advancements in decentralized lie detection
Although the emergence of functional lie detection would be an obvious total paradigm shift for the entire court system, the author didn’t seem to realize that this is also an obvious total paradigm shift for much bigger things, e.g. hiring, ... |
01c77165-7bb4-45a1-84dc-c36c30c6cc19 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Is AI like disk drives?
One finding of an extensive theoretical and empirical economics literature on technology races is that firms that trail the current leader might tend to innovate more ([Reinganum 1983](https://www.jstor.org/stable/1816571); [Lerner 1997](https://www.jstor.org/stable/2555803)). My question is ab... |
04ccae03-ee82-46c6-b91e-000adecd92a4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [RESEARCH] Marijuana may prevent Alzheimer's disease
In a post last August called Alzheimer's vs. Cryonics, I left the following comment:
> 23andMe recently showed that people of my genotype are more than twice as likely to develop Alzheimer's as others in my ethnic group. I have a 15% chance of getting Alzheimer's b... |
1d95e99c-ebdb-4d2c-9983-5b88a402fa00 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Fort Collins, Colorado Meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : Fort Collins, Colorado Meetup
WHEN: 22 February 2012 07:00:00PM (-0700)
WHERE: 144 North College Avenue, Fort Collins, CO 80524
We have a guest from London/Budapest visiting this week. Come discuss intelligence augmentation tools.
Discussi... |
5ea6a616-11da-4ef5-8eda-4406f66605b6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Link] Less Wrong and Agency in the Huffington Post
I'm guessing this is the first time that links to Less Wrong appeared in a Huffington Post article, and three links at that! Please correct me if I'm wrong on this one. I'm also guessing this is the first time that the concept of agency in the rationalist sense was d... |
7d40c3ff-49b6-4179-80bc-56ac53469ce5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Counting Objections to Housing
Over the past six months there's been a huge amount of discussion in the Davis Square Facebook group about a proposal to build a 25-story building in Davis Square: retail on the ground floor, 500 units of housing above, 100 of the units affordable. I wrote about this a few weeks ago, wei... |
eaa26037-f1d2-437b-85b1-4e60be380731 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What Is Childhood Supposed To Be?
I don’t have children.
I’d like to, one day, and I think a lot about what their childhoods might be like, especially as compared to mine.
I look at reports of teen mental health, at college admission rates and tuition levels. I talk to friends of mine who are teachers and involved w... |
307ce276-1b02-4991-a846-9b88ef67f798 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | July 5: Anders Sandberg on Information Hazards (SSC Online Meetup)
Dr Anders Sandberg, Senior Research Fellow at the Future of Humanity Institute, will speak on "Information Hazards: How do we think about (and handle) risky information."
We will also allow plenty of time for online mingling and discussion.
Click he... |
6c9e1995-de89-49b6-a8c1-576406c6e14d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Open Challenges in Representation Engineering
This post summarizes the taxonomy, challenges, and opportunities from a survey paper on Representation Engineering that we’ve written with Sahar Abdelnabi, David Krueger, and Mario Fritz.
If you’re familiar with RepE feel free to skip to the “Challenges” and “Opportunitie... |
446f387e-0038-4c59-93ac-673ae5e17324 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How do you concisely communicate & navigate the politics / culture at your job working at a large corporation or institution?
Previously I've worked at small companies and state government or educational institutions. Now I work at a ~30,000 person private corporation and need to better adapt to that cultural situatio... |
57a5b12d-25bd-4989-bf79-e4fc4b1ba05f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Convergent Path to the Stars
Crossposted on the EA Forum.
This document is a shallow review of selection pressures and filters influencing the characteristics of the Shapers of Space-Faring Civilizations (SFCs). SFC Shapers are the agents within Intelligent Civilizations influencing the most the SFCs they will cr... |
7803705b-4b9c-41b2-ae2f-d61a70135797 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | AutoML-Zero: Evolving Machine Learning Algorithms From Scratch
1 Introduction
---------------
In recent years, neural networks have reached remarkable performance on key tasks and seen a fast increase in their popularity [e.g. He et al., [2015](#bib.bib32); Silver et al., [2016](#bib.bib80); Wu et al., [2016](#bib.... |
0bf7d673-cbfc-4cc4-9c82-6c3c7255bffe | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | AI & Policy 1/3: On knowing the effect of today’s policies on Transformative AI risks, and the case for institutional improvements.
**Introduction**
================
**The question: What policies will impact AI risks?**
-----------------------------------------------------
This post is looking to answer the challeng... |
666f8685-13e5-48fd-b341-78b5c5d012a6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Berkeley: Board games
Discussion article for the meetup : Berkeley: Board games
WHEN: 30 January 2013 07:30:00PM (-0800)
WHERE: Berkeley, CA
Hello all! This week's meetup will be a board games night. Come meet people and play a board game from Zendo's library, or bring a game that you want to play. I will ... |
d995863d-df3d-48f9-bc03-5cc796b9ab6e | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Simpler explanations of AGI risk
We're getting a shot at presenting our concerns about AI X-risk to the general public. It would be useful to have a brief presentation that plays well with less-technical people, or technical people who don't want to listen to a half hour of explanation just at that moment. The other g... |
8358f5fa-db6f-4327-89dc-dbe6c6d1e2e5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | British and American Connotations
As an American who works with some people who speak British English, the language differences are usually not a problem. Most words mean the same thing, and those that don't are usually concrete enough not to cause confusion (ex: lift, flat, chips). The tricky ones, though, are the on... |
55b2518c-48f6-4e67-9e73-4cbfef5d289e | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/agisf | AGI Safety Fund | Machine Learning for Humans, Part 2.1: Supervised Learning
The two tasks of supervised learning: regression and classification. Linear regression, loss functions, and gradient descent.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
[) has shown broad successes in deep learning, serving as the backbone of large models for tasks such as modeling natural language (Brown ... |
bb49cb2e-93c1-47d5-bd9e-78617b9d9880 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Should we postpone AGI until we reach safety?
Should we postpone AGI, until its risks have fallen below a certain level, thereby applying the precautionary principle? And if so, would setting up policy be a promising way to achieve this?
As I argued here in the comments, I think calling for precautionary principle-po... |
7cfab2e3-4f51-40d7-b6c7-309ad329515a | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Counterfactual Reprogramming Decision Theory
Surprisingly, Ben Goertzel's ([2010](http://goertzel.org/CounterfactualReprogrammingDecisionTheory.pdf)) Counterfactual Reprogramming Decision Theory (CRDT) has not been discussed even once on Less Wrong, so I present this discussion post as an opportunity to do so.
Here ... |
daf29dad-359c-4799-b778-cb0bc556c23a | awestover/filtering-for-misalignment | Redwood Research: Alek's Filtering Results | id: post2005
This is an ELK proposal that received a prize in the category " Train a reporter that is useful to an auxiliary AI ". It was coauthored with Vikrant Varma and Ramana Kumar and advised by Rohin Shah. Training strategy and why it might work We use an architecture with a knowledge bottleneck to train the mod... |
9ce7b0da-c061-4451-81cb-5f47295153bb | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | The Compleat Cybornaut
A [cluster](https://www.lesswrong.com/tag/simulator-theory) of conceptual frameworks and research programmes have coalesced around a 2022 post by [janus](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/vJFdjigzmcXMhNTsx/simulators), which introduced language models as ‘simulators’ (of other types of AIs such as... |
e7102c85-3045-4318-b192-c3b8d4d154fa | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Proof-of-Concept Debugger for a Small LLM
We want to show that it is possible to build an LLM “debugger” using SAE features and have developed a prototype that automates circuit visualizations for arbitrary prompts. With a few improvements to existing techniques (notably, “cluster resampling”, which is a form of activ... |
6b66758d-cc0e-4bfe-af93-a2d4ec7a4b75 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Thinking Fast and Slow with Deep Learning and Tree Search
1 Introduction
---------------
According to dual-process theory[[1](#bib.bib1), [2](#bib.bib2)], human reasoning consists of two different kinds of thinking. System 1, is a fast, unconscious and automatic mode of thought, also known as intuition or heuristic... |
b128d7f9-9fd2-4cd8-833d-1f27a79d964b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | On Emergent Misalignment
One hell of a paper dropped this week.
It turns out that if you fine-tune models, especially GPT-4o and Qwen2.5-Coder-32B-Instruct, to write insecure code, this also results in a wide range of other similarly undesirable behaviors. They more or less grow a mustache and become their evil twin.... |
1e00433b-b548-4563-a66b-eb4e280d729d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How Can Average People Contribute to AI Safety?
Introduction
By now you've probably read about how AI and AGI could have a transformative effect on the future and how AGI could even be an existential risk. But if you're worried about AI risk and not an AI researcher or policymaker, can you really do anything about it ... |
5ad1926f-591e-4a8f-82fc-b2fd647acc21 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] Tolerate Tolerance
Today's post, Tolerate Tolerance was originally published on 21 March 2009. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> One of the likely characteristics of someone who sets out to be a "rationalist" is a lower-than-usual tolerance for flawed thinking. This makes it very important to toler... |
d76d84d8-cc92-4a0a-8a18-a64e57843a2f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How likely is our view of the cosmos?
In terms of what we see in the night sky, are we a statistical anomaly compared to the average star system? That is, what percentage of stars with potentially habitable planets exist close enough to other stars to see a significant number of them in the night sky, have a mostly un... |
9e543769-67cd-4c96-b182-af35be2fdbda | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Link] Space Stasis: What the strange persistence of rockets can teach us about innovation
http://www.slate.com/id/2283469/pagenum/all/
It's a long article, but the most relevant stuff is at the end, about how we're pretty much locked into the existing rocket technologies:
> That is not, however, the most important ... |
ba8601c9-8bff-4e5d-8453-abd77dbb4a84 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Organizing the FOOM debate
Why was the FOOM debate not conducted using any debate tools? Perhaps that would enable agreement theorems to actually work and the debate to be resolved. Would someone want to go through the debate and try to organize it? |
cb5d788c-b521-4278-83ec-2cc8d40625c6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What rationality material should I teach in my game theory course
I will soon be teaching a 50 person game theory class at Smith College and I want to include material on how to be rational. What do you think I should teach/assign? The course has a one semester calculus requirement. Here is material I'm considering:
... |
012e1ab4-8247-4a63-8e12-53450f4f2b10 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [LINK] Report on the Fourth Conference on Artificial General Intelligence
http://hplusmagazine.com/2011/09/01/report-on-the-fourth-conference-on-artificial-general-intelligence/
> By: Ben Goertzel
> Published: September 1, 2011
> The Fourth Conference on Artificial General Intelligence (AGI-11) was held on Google’s ... |
7d357263-6591-45c4-b395-fd9a98d4d9e7 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | DeepLine: AutoML Tool for Pipelines Generation using Deep Reinforcement Learning and Hierarchical Actions Filtering
Introduction
------------
The explosion of digital data has made the use of machine learning (ML) more ubiquitous than ever before. Machine learning is now applied to almost any aspect of organization... |
4f0c2d84-fd75-47b5-8fd5-c832eb36cd60 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Scaling and evaluating sparse autoencoders
[Blog] [Paper] [Visualizer]
Abstract:
> Sparse autoencoders provide a promising unsupervised approach for extracting interpretable features from a language model by reconstructing activations from a sparse bottleneck layer. Since language models learn many concepts, autoen... |
520d3c40-266f-481e-b542-723669159395 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Art of the Overbet
Previously: The Kelly Criterion
Last time I said, never go full Kelly.
In practice, I strongly agree with this. Either one should go far over full Kelly because the core Kelly assumptions have broken down and you want to throw the rules out the window, or you are trying to responsibly grow a b... |
4f48c536-3388-4c55-8645-c3ca825be15c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | I had a chat with GPT-4 on the future of AI and AI safety
Today I gave OpenAI some money to get access to GPT-4. After testing a few examples of reasoning that failed badly in GPT-3, I decided to have a chat with it about the potential and risks of future AI. This is what followed, un-edited with the exception of remo... |
e018fa4a-8653-4ac4-98a9-aab2909f351c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Preparing for ambition
When I was in college, I decided that I wanted to spend my life starting startups. It seemed like the perfect "career path". If things really work out for you, the reward is billions of dollars. Awesome. But here's the really cool part: even if you "fail", like that Seinfeld episode, things will... |
b7cd9410-c016-488b-8333-e291f1d63f1b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Chatbots as a Publication Format
Overview: Recent developments in AI will change the world in all sorts of ways. It is likely to revolutionize academic research. This is one proposal regarding how AI might be used to improve the way that we communicate arguments (such as in philosophy). I stand by behind the thought t... |
0b5feb52-6c53-4881-9989-e27362b12635 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What if our Galaxy isn't full of AI because we're in a Neutral Zone between them?
No one can build Von Neuman probes, because for that you likely have AI... and AI built is neutralized as soon as it reaches a certain point. No competition.
And they compete because, energy is at a premium in a entropic universe. |
a7bee9e5-8181-4d3f-9d00-5021918d71ce | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Cryonics?
Should I sign up for cryonics ASAP?
Background: 23 y/o male in NYC. No known pre-existing health conditions. Mild → moderate interest in cryonics; in a world without ncov, etc. would probably have a 30-60% chance of signing up. |
6b47e393-2b14-4946-a709-6682d30b12f1 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Isomorphism: Intro (Math 0)
If two things are essentially the same from a certain perspective, and they only differ in unimportant details, then they are **isomorphic**.
##Comparing Amounts##
Consider the Count von Count. He cares only about counting things. He doesn't care what they are, just how many there are. He ... |
33921ad5-42fd-4d6f-b938-a2835f2af4a3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [LINK] Subculture roles (by Brad Hicks)
By what looks like popular demand on the Society for Creative Anachronism thread, I'm linking a three-part account of three roles that supposedly exist within every lasting subculture or "volunteer-dominated" organization. The author has no proper authority at all but has person... |
9130d993-1dad-4183-aa7f-51005df22d19 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Intuitions and utilitarianism
Bryan Caplan:
> When backed into a corner, most hard-line utilitarians concede that the standard counter-examples seem extremely persuasive. They know they’re supposed to think that pushing one fat man in front of a trolley to save five skinny kids ismorally obligatory. But the opposit... |
6e2571f4-e850-4d5c-b29d-b076177a39d8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Lateral Thinking (AI safety HPMOR fanfic)
(Source material)
"Now leave your books and loose items at your desks – they will be safe, the screens will watch over them for you – and come down onto this platform. It's time to play a game called Who's the Most Promising Student in the Classroom."
-----------------------... |
f8a9d5ad-96c0-46d6-822f-1b48e1b71a42 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | You've Been Exposed to COVID-19: What Do You Wish You Knew?
A thing I've been really frustrated by with a lot of coronavirus advice posts is lack of specificity. What does "quarantine for 14 days" mean? Do I need to poop in a bucket? Can I use my private yard? Let deliveries be placed on my doorstep? If I'm recovered ... |
bdb98c08-6393-4ea3-9da8-7683681a9e48 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How-to Transformer Mechanistic Interpretability—in 50 lines of code or less!
Produced as part of the SERI ML Alignment Theory Scholars Program - Winter 2022 Cohort.
What if I told you that in just one weekend you can get up to speed doing practical Mechanistic Interpretability research on Transformers? Surprised? The... |
7c6187ce-820b-43b7-bc3f-75c1caff81bf | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Solstice and Megameetup Preparations for 2013
I'm officially spinning the Solstice and related ritual stuff into something distinct from Less Wrong (there are good reasons to leave LW focusing on straight-up rationality, and I think it should cater more towards "serious business intellectuals" than trying to appeal to... |
10caa963-3e6b-4898-a5c2-12c5a25e9aba | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Notes on Phronesis
This post examines the virtue of phronesis (“prudence”). It is meant mostly as an exploration of what other people have learned about this virtue, rather than as me expressing my own opinions about it, though I’ve been selective about what I found interesting or credible, according to my own inclina... |
2119acb7-15cb-4eea-81b4-57d0e8a7b65a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : San Jose Meetup: Park Day (VI)
Discussion article for the meetup : San Jose Meetup: Park Day (VI)
WHEN: 31 July 2016 03:00:00PM (-0700)
WHERE: 438 Coleman Ave, San Jose, CA 95110
You're invited to bring whatever you'd like to see at Park Day - balls, frisbees, food, etc. (Also, consider taking measures aga... |
b78f5cfb-9286-4133-bb83-57f25b21aacf | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Announcing aisafety.training
*Crossposted to* [*EA Forum*](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/zWscvNhd3xeGJabEn/announcing-aisafety-training)
To help people find what to apply to, [aisafety.training](https://aisafety.training) acts as **a well-maintained living document of AI safety programs, conferences, ... |
1bdd626b-27df-48f0-bad8-30ae7be4ca16 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Dagger of Detect Evil
A philosopher walked into a magic shop.
"Ugh," said Phil. The philosopher leaned his spear against the hatstand and slumped onto a fluffy cushioned chair.
"Can I get you something to drink? How about Essence of Essence?" said Wiz, the shop owner. She handed Phil a bottle of perfectly invisible ... |
b977bca5-4495-42b8-8480-1bfa9555d20f | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Multi-agent safety
*Note: this post is most explicitly about safety in multi-agent training regimes. However, many of the arguments I make are also more broadly applicable - for example, when training a single agent in a complex environment, challenges arising from the environment could play an analogous role to chall... |
b16e85f1-b069-4256-af1f-5c260f1f0e39 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Prioritise Tasks by Rating not Sorting
I often get paralysed by indecision when I have a bunch of tasks to do - it’s hard to figure out where to start! My standard solution is sorting the tasks into priority order - usually implicitly with a comparison-based sorting method where I go through the list one-by-one and pu... |
e70d911e-34cd-4858-b8c5-e6e9104e6a9c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Rationality Quotes 17
"We take almost all of the decisive steps in our lives as a result of slight inner adjustments of which we are barely conscious."
-- Austerlitz
"In both poker and life, you can't read people any better than they can read themselves. You can, if you’re good, very accurately determine if t... |
aa74cbdd-76c2-471c-bc26-8c0304ff7625 | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "“I just solved the trolley problem.... See, the trolley problem forces you to choose between two versions of letting other people die, but the actual solution is very simple. You sacrifice yourself.”
- The Good Place High school: Naive morality When I was a teenager, I had a very simple, naive view of morality. I thou... |
05367317-0f13-464a-88ea-aa3e9c9a277f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Outreach opportunity
Ars Technica are holding a competition for people to make a science video up to 3 minutes long "to explain a scientific concept in terms that a high school science class would not only understand, but actually be interested in watching". Prizes in three categories: biology, physics, and mathematic... |
efe1d189-b64c-4047-a9c0-1bdc22813f56 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A way to make solving alignment 10.000 times easier. The shorter case for a massive open source simbox project.
When you have the code that might be an AGI and probably misaligned, how do you test it in a way that is safe? The world has not yet converged on a way to do this. This post attempts to provide an outline of... |
a83c355e-afc9-441b-8318-2d9d7333c04e | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | The Metaethics and Normative Ethics of AGI Value Alignment: Many Questions, Some Implications
Short Summary
=============
[This](https://drive.google.com/file/d/1fDP0roq_I2sDJY4sq02Y4rnYgcFKwbjj/view) (<--) is a commented research agenda on the metaethics and normative ethics of AGI (artificial general intelligence) ... |
b2b2186e-be6f-4157-946b-d9aa87c8916f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Post-COVID Integration Rituals
I'm writing this because I am realizing we're at the cusp of the end of a very long "retreat."
At MAPLE (Monastic Academy), we go on retreat once a month, and so we exit retreat once a month.
This can be quite a shock to the system, so we deliberately set aside a day for integration ... |
23bd9e53-a767-4c09-ad7f-ca2628aed885 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Brain-like AGI project "aintelope"
Steven Byrnes called for a [brain-like AGI research agenda](https://www.lesswrong.com/s/HzcM2dkCq7fwXBej8/p/tj8AC3vhTnBywdZoA), and three guys from the Hamburg EA community listened.
We are excited about Steven's five-star program [15.2.1.2 "Reverse-engineer human social instincts,"... |
4e317e12-f0d3-4112-b70e-9666ba1e3498 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A Layman’s Guide to Recreational Mathematics Videos
This is a crosspost from my personal website.
I have watched a lot of maths videos on the internet. The medium of YouTube is quite well suited to maths; maths books are frequently either boring or are really about maths history/psychology/sociology. People sometime... |
3c1dcd94-ba57-4d43-a565-0a28bc23bb6e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Reflections on Duo Standard
Previously: Speculations on Duo Standard, Reflections on the Mythic Invitational
Companion Piece: Reflections on the Mythic Invitational
Frank Karsten (Channel-Fireball): The Mythic Invitational Wasn’t Perfect And It Was Still a Smashing Success
There are two big questions to ask about D... |
1ed81ecc-5815-4f9d-8f66-a6c7b6dc0605 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What is Rationalist Berkey's Community Culture
|
e0437831-47c3-460a-af9b-6eedc0d9026f | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Direct Preference Optimization in One Minute
The [Direct Preference Optimization (DPO) paper](https://arxiv.org/pdf/2305.18290.pdf) promises a more simple and efficient alternative to PPO that is able to void the reward modeling phase, and thus optimize directly for the preferences expressed in the preference data. Th... |
ab9771eb-e4be-418c-b689-c6a3102a66d4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Question about Sociopathy/Psychopathy/ASPD
I have consistently, over the course of my life, heard people describe sociopathy and related mental illnesses as being caused by a lack of empathy. This, intuitively, seems wrong, since that seems like a massively important brain function, that really ought to have a major a... |
9eef79d7-ea2b-4a66-8b62-dbc1e6c0bb25 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Costs and benefits of amniocentesis for normal pregnancies
Disclaimer: No medical training.
Amniocentesis is a sample of the amniotic fluid to test fetal DNA at 15-20 weeks of pregnancy. It involves inserting a long needle into the amniotic sack, which is potentially risky. But it could catch serious defects.
Arguab... |
6e4c3f10-138c-41a4-a25a-a42348c10214 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | LLM AGI will have memory, and memory changes alignment
Summary:
When stateless LLMs are given memories they will accumulate new beliefs and behaviors, and that may allow their effective alignment to evolve. (Here "memory" is learning during deployment that is persistent beyond a single session.)[1]
LLM agents will ha... |
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