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17de37f0-8d9d-4320-9f27-81242f262704 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Using GPT-4 to Understand Code
Introduction
I've been using GPT-4 to interpret papers and code, and it's been extremely helpful. Today I'm reading Toy Models of Superposition by Anthropic and following along in the Colab notebook. Below is a conversation with ChatGPT (with GPT-4 as the backend) where I pasted in the ... |
defeb767-4979-451d-89de-cf3578310c19 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Formal Inner Alignment, Prospectus
Most of the work on inner alignment so far has been informal or semi-formal (with the notable exception of a little work on minimal circuits). I feel this has resulted in some misconceptions about the problem. I want to write up a large document clearly defining the formal problem an... |
b6b97d21-cdf1-49ce-9ff4-597276411eab | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] That Alien Message
Today's post, That Alien Message was originally published on 22 May 2008. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> Einstein used evidence more efficiently than other physicists, but he was still extremely inefficient in an absolute sense. If a huge team of cryptographers and physicists ... |
e3c51722-f8bb-4a93-97d5-ef7e5b3069f3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [HPMOR][Possible Spoilers] Gedankenexperiment: Time Turner Meta-Informational Relativity
Some people have been asking the question about the 6-hour limit on time turners in Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality. Apparently, if a character, let's say it's Amelia Bones, goes back in time N hours and relays a piec... |
afec6f77-a7b8-4981-811a-545ebbe23e39 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What are the weirdest things a human may want for their own sake?
I'm especially interested in examples of more or less psychologically healthy and otherwise (neuro)typical people having very weird[1] desires/values that we would characterize as intrinsic in the sense of being wanted for their own sake, even if we cou... |
39a03607-9e14-462d-8a1a-3cc1b0380603 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/aisafety.info | AI Safety Info | What training programs and courses are available for AGI safety?
See **[AI Safety Training](https://aisafety.training/)** for an up-to-date list of programs and conferences, with application dates.
- [AGI safety fundamentals](https://www.eacambridge.org/agi-safety-fundamentals) ([technical](https://www.eacambridge.or... |
dd6064c8-8b8a-4808-ae38-01e6bad04cf8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | MIRI Research Guide
We've recently published a guide to MIRI's research on MIRI's website. It overviews some of the major open problems in FAI research, and provides reading lists for those who want to get familiar with MIRI's technical agenda.
This guide updates and replaces the MIRI course list that started me on t... |
a442223c-8e16-4d6f-a2b4-674dc4fcf61a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Correcting errors and karma
An easy way to win cheep karma on LW:
1. Publicly make a mistake.
2. Wait for people to call you on it.
3. Publicly retract your errors and promise to improve.
Post 1) gets you negative karma, post 3) gets you positive karma. Anecdotally the net result is generally very positive.
Thi... |
ee66dcbc-473c-4330-afcc-9bdc278b1090 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | BenevolentAI - an effectively impactful company?
I am considering a job as a Senior Product Manager with BenevolentAI - <https://www.benevolent.com/>
BenevolentAI work on drug discovery and development. They use AI and machine learning to identify targets and therapeutic interventions efficiently.
On the face of ... |
8beefcf4-3537-4a48-b54e-e1e6ceb89917 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How to navigate through contradictory (health/fitness) advice?
I will start with a brief story, but the question can be generalized.
Last year, I decided to do something for my body. I joined and regularly went to K. Training (abbreviated name), a large gym chain in german-speaking countries. The claimed philosophy i... |
29646a80-269a-406a-977a-a81481c9b691 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | How might we align transformative AI if it’s developed very soon?
>
> This post is part of my [AI strategy nearcasting series](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/ktEzS3pkfeqPNh6r5/ai-strategy-nearcasting): trying to answer key strategic questions about transformative AI, under the assumption that key events wi... |
bed874eb-4bd5-4b02-986d-d7f6b33abf20 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : East Coast Super Fun Rationalists Sleepover Party Extravaganza
Discussion article for the meetup : East Coast Super Fun Rationalists Sleepover Party Extravaganza
WHEN: 09 July 2011 - 10 July 2011
WHERE: New York City
The Cambridge and DC groups happened to be simultaneously considering a trip to visit the w... |
7d37a314-4217-4ae5-bdad-c8ec92cc820c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why aren't we pooling our knowledge-resources yet?
Why aren't we systematically pooling many excellent and relevant academic articles yet?
I'm well aware of the current thread on the best textbooks for any subject, but why only share "the best" "textbooks"? I understand the desire for vetted quality, but I think we'r... |
cf8f02d4-0847-44a1-b4e7-a35a337ee117 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | AI is centralizing by default; let's not make it worse
**TL;DR:**
AIs will probably be much easier to control than humans due to (1) AIs having far more levers through which to exert control, (2) AIs having far fewer rights to resist control, and (3) research to better control AIs being far easier than research to co... |
66b958be-a76b-45ed-956d-1ab2e394a272 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Optimizing for Agency?
It's commonly accepted that pretty much every optimization target results in death. If you optimize for paperclips, humans die. If you optimize for curing cancer, humans die.
What about optimizing for agency?
The way I visualize this is after a superintelligence takeover, and the superintellig... |
b9a61edc-37b4-49cd-9c5f-5944c1f94239 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | More or Fewer Fights over Principles and Values?
I wrote:
> I wish that people would generally get into more conflicts over the values and principles that they hold
Vaniver wrote:
> I think we are unusually fractious and don't value peace treaties and fences as much as we should
I wrote:
> Fight me :)
Start of ... |
08f68056-0590-4e0f-aab3-baf496417e27 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How often do you check this forum?
I'm interested from hearing from everyone who reads this.
Who is checking LW's Discussion area and how often?
1. When you check, how much voting or commenting do you do compared to reading?
2. Do bother clicking through to links?
3. Do you check using a desktop or a smart phone? ... |
9d32fa2f-4deb-4458-9464-9970959d99b6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Air Conditioner Test Results & Discussion
Background is in the preregistration post. This post will assume you’ve read that one.
First, the headline result: my main prediction was wrong. Paul’s predictions were also wrong. By the preregistered metric, the second hose improves performance by much less than either of u... |
1590ade0-a80d-415b-aeef-278c33722aa4 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube | Youtube Transcripts | GPT 4: Full Breakdown (14 Details You May Have Missed)
the moment I got the alert on my phone
that gpt4 had been released I knew I had
to immediately log on and read the full
gpt4 technical report and that's what I
did of course I read the promotional
material 2 but the really interesting
things about gpt4 are contain... |
29bd2379-1d75-43f1-a261-ee317b07b930 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Announcing research
Crossposted from my personal blog. I've been learning about how to do research, and I'm finally ready to share some of that in public. I'm also going back to finish D&D.Sci. |
280cbbe8-b99a-4c8e-87d3-5f900cc15c56 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | SotW: Be Specific
(The Exercise Prize series of posts is the Center for Applied Rationality asking for help inventing exercises that can teach cognitive skills. The difficulty is coming up with exercises interesting enough, with a high enough hedonic return, that people actually do them and remember them; this often ... |
a09a771d-c34a-4429-81da-0a28a51594bf | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A Stranger Priority? Topics at the Outer Reaches of Effective Altruism (my dissertation)
(Cross-posted from my website.)
After many years of focusing on other stuff, I recently completed my doctorate in philosophy from the University of Oxford. My dissertation ("A Stranger Priority? Topics at the Outer Reaches of Eff... |
542719a9-db4f-4170-9cd7-d8eb7152b914 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Evolution as Backstop for Reinforcement Learning
> One defense of free markets notes the inability of non-market mechanisms to solve planning & optimization problems. This has difficulty with Coase's paradox of the firm, and I note that the difficulty is increased by the fact that with improvements in computers, algor... |
1f510456-cc2a-46fa-b145-03b37e7d7fa1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Black Box Investigation Research Hackathon
TLDR; Join the Black Box Investigation Research Hackathon to participate with others in a weekend of alignment research on language models using a cognitive psychology-style approach.
Purpose
In the Black Box Investigation Research Hackathon, the goal is to explore where bl... |
432f580e-148d-478c-b50d-55390a869cc2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Chapter 81: Taboo Tradeoffs, Pt 3
In rising half-circles of dark stone, a great sea of upraised hands.
The Lords and Ladies of the Wizengamot, in plum-colored robes marked with a silver 'W', stared down in stern rebuke at a young girl trembling in chains. If they had, in any particular ethical system, damned themselv... |
0ab80fb7-d039-418b-8854-0dd1eb5e043a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Debating Whether AI is Conscious Is A Distraction from Real Problems
Hi LW, this article has put some doubt in my mind as to whether researching AI alignment is worthwhile, or a frivolity that detracts from more pressing issues such as mitigation of harmful biases.
> [Discussing AI consciousness] is a distraction, wh... |
067343c6-e02e-4058-bcf1-af13d3a6fb9e | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | A possible preference algorithm
I have [previously discussed](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/CSEdLLEkap2pubjof/research-agenda-v0-9-synthesising-a-human-s-preferences-into) the [constructive](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Y2LhX3925RodndwpC/resolving-human-values-completely-and-adequately) [process](https://www.less... |
921f192d-3a2e-4707-bfde-6931d75e9127 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Use of GPT-3 for identifying Phishing and other email based attacks?
Yet a new report about malicious email attacks using the USAID systems.
I would think that language processing AI/ML tools like I understand GPT-3 is (which could be a complete mischaracterization) seem like a good area of application. But I've nev... |
c1f9c306-f90b-4cda-a28f-fe55e492e745 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Irrational Resistance to Business Success
Below I quote from Process of On Going Improvement forum, letter 6. Eli Goldratt shares a letter he received. I added a few notes to help people follow acronyms.
My question is: Does anyone know of any applications of Less Wrong philosophy to a situation like this? How can LW... |
8c696503-fa5a-435b-8ba2-4320a82fa11b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Open thread, Jul. 17 - Jul. 23, 2017
IF IT'S WORTH SAYING, BUT NOT WORTH ITS OWN POST, THEN IT GOES HERE.
----------------------------------------
Notes for future OT posters:
1. Please add the 'open_thread' tag.
2. Check if there is an active Open Thread before posting a new one. (Immediately before; refresh the ... |
9a62eedf-b177-45dd-89d3-c2ea42ac9a2e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Near-death experiences
On March 20th, 1995, five men boarded different trains in the Tokyo subway system during rush hour. They were each holding sealed plastic bags wrapped in newspaper and carrying umbrellas with sharpened tips. Placing the bags on the floor, they poked holes in them with the umbrellas. The men prom... |
604b91d8-d20d-451f-98a0-000a83f9b0cb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Nuanced and Extreme Countersignaling
Nuanced Countersignaling
Scott Alexander described countersignaling as following a barber-pole pattern. Or, as he says in Friendship is Countersignaling:
> ... you can mistake someone at level n for level n-1, but never for level n-2 – so pretending to be level n-2 and getting aw... |
25e0f0ef-decc-45ce-9f26-c276d3fc04e5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AISC9 has ended and there will be an AISC10
The 9th AI Safety Camp (AISC9) just ended, and as usual, it was a success!
Follow this link to find project summaries, links to their outputs, recordings to the end of camp presentations and contact info to all our teams in case you want to engage more.
AISC9 both had the... |
047fe2f7-a2a0-4fd1-a0ac-522840cb21fb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Personal experimentation: not shared?
Cross posted from Overcoming Bias. Comments there.
***
I’ve been talking about how personal experimentation could be worth it for people like me, without relevant info being depleted long ago.
My next potential explanation is that people do experiment, but results aren’t aggreg... |
70b4a9bc-4184-499c-b276-3139923d677b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Resolving human inconsistency in a simple model
A putative new idea for AI control; index here.
This post will present a simple model of an inconsistent human, and ponder how to resolve their inconsistency.
Let H be our agent, in a turn-based world. Let Rl and Rs be two simple reward functions at each turn. The rewa... |
0037325e-4e2d-4135-901f-a50fb54b775e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | TED Talks: Daniel Kahneman
People who have had a painful experience remember it as less painful if the pain tapers off, rather than cutting off sharply at the height of intensity, even if they experience more pain overall. I'd heard of this finding before (from Dan Ariely), but Kahneman uses the finding to throw the i... |
6b6b9a9e-62d0-4eb3-8820-06a0a03fe237 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Tiddlywiki for organizing notes and research
Happy new school year to my fellow students! With my first year of grad school under my belt, and my sword and shield out for Round 2, I wanted to share a tool that’s helped me on my journey.
Two years ago, my go-to system for organizing my research and writing “citations ... |
7e757bf5-e00a-4aca-9eb4-b25c0340540b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Why unriggable *almost* implies uninfluenceable
When talking about learning processes, I've [said](https://arxiv.org/pdf/2004.13654.pdf) [things](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/LpjjWDBXr88gzcYK2/learning-and-manipulating-learning) like "every uninfluenceable learning process is unriggable" and "every unriggable learn... |
6e72e805-9275-4969-a509-837de31c63fa | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | How to get more academics enthusiastic about doing AI Safety research?
During the last 2.5 or 3 years, I have been trying to learn and get experience on AI Safety so that when I finish my PhD in Physics I might be able to contribute to the AI Safety community efforts. During these years I have noticed that:
* There ... |
36827a0d-c61f-48c7-9740-d0cf906832f9 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Algorithmic Fairness from a Non-ideal Perspective
1 Introduction
---------------
Machine Learning (ML) models play increasingly prominent roles
in the allocation of social benefits and burdens
in numerous sensitive domains, including hiring, social services, and criminal justice
(Berk2018; Crawford2014; Barocas2016... |
9749521d-1a5d-4226-8724-19aa93215544 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Small Berkeley Meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : Small Berkeley Meetup
WHEN: 09 May 2012 07:00:00PM (-0700)
WHERE: 2128 Oxford St, Berkeley, CA
We'll be meeting at the Starbucks on Oxford St and then probably going somewhere to get food. This will be a small meetup.
Discussion article for the me... |
728676c8-cb6a-4a07-85f2-d8fe24908069 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Domain (of a function)
The domain $\operatorname{dom}(f)$ of a [function](https://arbital.com/p/3jy) $f : X \to Y$ is $X$, the set of valid inputs for that function. For example, the domain of $+$ is the set of all pairs of numbers, and the domain of the division operation is the set of all pairs $(x, y)$ of numbers w... |
c04b4483-6139-4e49-9b61-2d23805a99d0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Learning through exercises
One of the best aspects of mathematics is that it is possible for a student to reconstruct much of it on their own, given the relevant axioms, definitions, and some hints. Indeed, this style of education is usually encouraged for training mathematicians. Relatedly, it is also possible for ... |
f8dd965c-0453-4fe6-8277-ad657b8f6d2e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Lampshading
Sequence index: Living Luminously
Previously in sequence: City of Lights
You can use luminosity to help you effectively change yourself into someone you'd more like to be. Accomplish this by fixing your self-tests so they get good results.
You may find your understanding of this post significantly impro... |
25aa1f3d-c567-4e93-b5cd-7ab434a8a7ac | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Multi-belled Brass
Yesterday afternoon I got excited about a new design for a brass instrument. Conical bore instruments have the problem that you can't combine valves (or slides) with having the tubing consistently expand over the length of the instrument. The valves force you to have a cylindrical bore segment in th... |
6e224c2e-207e-43b7-a36e-8de1db4649e6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Goal completion: noise, errors, bias, prejudice, preference and complexity
A putative new idea for AI control; index here.
This is a preliminary look at how an AI might assess and deal with various types of errors and uncertainties, when estimating true human preferences. I'll be using the circular rocket model to il... |
356c61b3-bfbb-4071-a7e4-890f925b8820 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Credit Suisse collapse obfuscated Parreaux, Thiébaud & Partners scandal
Is it just coincidence that scandals are swept under the carpet when a bigger scandal dominates the news cycle? The linked article has direct links to the official sources for this story.
15 March 2023, the value of shares in Credit Suisse plun... |
a0659187-24c2-4fd9-a75d-3f9708500d8d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Optimizing crop planting with mixed integer linear programming in Stardew Valley
Abstract
TL;DR: plant your crops like this and you will make the most money possible
Motivation
If you haven’t yet tried, consider escaping 2020’s cyberpunk hellscape into the 2D world of Stardew Valley, an open-world farming RPG wher... |
71a1e491-26f4-4484-afe1-88e93131005c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A Short Celebratory / Appreciation Post
Three thoughts.
1. The new LessWrong 2.0, at least for me personally, has been really marvelous. I've greatly enjoyed some of the discussions on mindfulness, pragmatic achieving type-stuff, definitions and clarifications and naming of broad concepts, and explorations of technol... |
336ad8a5-8254-4786-859a-4722481449b0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Interview with Paul Christiano: How We Prevent the AI’s from Killing us
0:00 Intro
9:20 Percentage Likelihood of Death by AI
11:24 Timing
19:15 Chimps to Human Jump
21:55 Thoughts on ChatGPT
27:51 LLMs & AGI
32:49 Time to React?
38:29 AI Takeover
41:51 AI Agency
49:35 Loopholes
51:14 Training AIs to Be Honest
58:... |
978e1e90-a65b-4884-a21f-7b8b395bbe23 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Reflections on my 5-month AI alignment upskilling grant
Five months ago, I received a grant from the[Long Term Future Fund](https://funds.effectivealtruism.org/funds/far-future) to upskill in AI alignment. As of a few days ago, I was invited to Berkeley for two months of full-time alignment research under [Owain Evans... |
795027c9-7127-47f9-abe3-ffc42663e565 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Voting is not rational (usually.)
Today is the midterm elections in the United States, and I am not voting.
For the vast majority of elections, voting is irrational, because the individual's vote is proportionately very small. This means it cannot have an effect on the outcome.
There are, however, conditions which c... |
5d67774a-f196-4a4e-b141-8b1ac617eaa3 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | Predicting Human Deliberative Judgments with Machine Learning
FHI Oxford Technical Report #2018-2
Predicting Human Deliberative Judgments
with Machine Learning
Owain Evans, Andreas Stuhlmüllery, Chris Cundy, Ryan Careyy, Zachary
Kenton, Thomas McGrath, Andrew Schreibery
July 13, 2018
Abstract
Machine Learning (ML)... |
1cf802d4-9de1-4332-88d5-abcd764fb1a5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How habits work and how you may control them
Some highlights from The Power of Habit: Why We Do What We Do in Life And Business by Charles Duhigg, a book which seems like an invaluable resource for pretty much everyone who wants to improve their lives. The below summarizes the first three chapters of the book, as well... |
e590faeb-2354-43b9-9441-9450b472d6d1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Could/would an FAI recreate people who are information-theoretically dead by modern standards?
If someone gets cremated or buried long enough for eir brain to fully decompose into dirt, it becomes extremely difficult to revive em. Nothing short of a vastly superhuman intelligence would have a chance of doing it. I sus... |
b15349a9-f7bd-45b8-9333-6a31c7e7f7a5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] Guardians of the Gene Pool
Today's post, Guardians of the Gene Pool was originally published on 16 December 2007. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> It is a common misconception that the Nazis wanted their eugenics program to create a new breed of supermen. In fact, they wanted to breed back to the ... |
59ae78d5-9bfb-4e12-8e77-489827b72d49 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | 8 possible high-level goals for work on nuclear risk
Summary
=======
For people aiming to do the most good they can, **what are the possible high-level goals for working on risks posed by nuclear weapons?** Answers to this question could inform how much to invest in the nuclear risk space, what cruxes[[1]](#fnbiv9hsb... |
79cacf06-8ca7-4f2b-bb15-e8259c295fa7 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Reliability amplification
In a recent post I talked about [capability amplification](https://medium.com/ai-control/policy-amplification-6a70cbee4f34#.wmeq2iqwv), a putative procedure that turns a large number of fast weak agents into a slower, stronger agent.
If we do this in a naive way, it will decrease reliability... |
615dd2bd-4d63-4242-a2c4-b612f375c864 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Calibrate words, not just probabilities
In Phil Tetlock's book Superforecasters, much emphasis is put on making sure that a forecaster's predictions are well calibrated- if a forecaster gives a 70% chance to 100 different events, we should expect that 70 of those events will have happened, and 30 didn't happen. If onl... |
cf016665-bb0e-448f-999e-ad0e3f1eda97 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A Map of the Lesswrong-O-Sphere of Interest
It's clear to me that we on lesswrong operate on a pile of different interest areas. In my head I am doing a sorting method that divides topics. There's not just topics I (personally) like and topics I don't like but also many sub-topics within those. Here's a list of the do... |
31d3798d-6c42-4f1b-a7eb-d9fe946e6a93 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Where Recursive Justification Hits Bottom
Why do I believe that the Sun will rise tomorrow?
Because I've seen the Sun rise on thousands of previous days.
Ah... but why do I believe the future will be like the past?
Even if I go past the mere surface observation of the Sun rising, to the apparently universal and exc... |
79e233ca-f5ba-4ffe-a070-41c032bfb6c0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A Rationality Lab Notebook/Workbook/Vade Mecum
I'm interested in keeping a notebook to check my ideas / knowledge on subjects. For example, if I wanted to find out whether there were anything in the notion of ESP that was worth merit, I could create a section titled "ESP", where I'd keep copies of research papers, cri... |
ff6c8156-51c2-4ad5-aa83-ce3cd4bb08ad | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Rationality and Relationships
Recently I asked for feedback on two versions of a new post, 'Rationality Lessons from Romance'. 'Version 2' was my original draft. 'Version 1' was a more recent draft edited in response to comments from a collaborator. We wanted to test whether my collaborator's comments genuinely improv... |
f8d57487-f6a1-45f3-8105-9be46a4c32b4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Did OpenAI let GPT out of the box?
At WebGPT: Improving the Factual Accuracy
of Language Models through Web Browsing, OpenAI describes their model:
> We’ve fine-tuned GPT-3 to more accurately answer open-ended questions using a text-based web browser. Our prototype copies how humans research answers to questions onli... |
ad4113bc-c3c0-412b-ba85-ab16eed75993 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | LessWrong.com URL transfer complete, data import will run for the next few hours
As you can easily see when you visit LessWrong.com, the site transfer is complete, and we are now on the new URL. The data import will run for the next few hours, and by tomorrow morning everything should be complete.
Let us know if you ... |
7a7037e2-7e57-414e-b9c2-1533d9c44807 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [LINK] Different heuristics at different decision speeds
The "intuitive" (fast) interaction heuristic is predisposed towards selflessness, while the "calculated" (slow) decision making process favors greedier behavior: review of game studies.
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/22996558
Sidenote: Strange to have a ... |
9f88329a-1c0a-484a-a1ea-86088e6d4919 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Point-E: A system for generating 3D point clouds from complex prompts
PointE: A System for Generating 3D Point Clouds from Complex Prompts
Alex Nichol* 1Heewoo Jun* 1Prafulla Dhariwal1Pamela Mishkin1Mark Chen1
Abstract
While recent work on text-conditional 3D ob-
ject generation has shown promising results, the
state... |
cb9d52b2-b864-41c5-8ff7-2fdaab9d0ee5 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | [AN #158]: Should we be optimistic about generalization?
Alignment Newsletter is a weekly publication with recent content relevant to AI alignment around the world. Find all Alignment Newsletter **[resources here](http://rohinshah.com/alignment-newsletter/)**. In particular, you can look through **[this spreadsheet](h... |
9a70f542-e34e-4138-9161-f8c2ecc3be35 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The fraught voyage of aligned novelty
[Metadata: crossposted from https://tsvibt.blogspot.com/2023/03/the-fraught-voyage-of-aligned-novelty.html. First completed March 11, 2023.]
A voyage of novelty is fraught. If a mind takes a voyage of novelty, an observer is hard pressed to understand what the growing mind is thi... |
ab849614-36d1-4e3e-b88a-34931b00f5c4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [gooey request-for-help] I don't know what to do.
deleted |
2c70fa15-128e-45d3-9398-e12bc4dc7b53 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Mesa-Optimizers and Over-optimization Failure (Optimizing and Goodhart Effects, Clarifying Thoughts - Part 4)
In the previous posts, I first outlined [Selection versus Control for Optimization](https://www.alignmentforum.org/posts/2neeoZ7idRbZf4eNC/re-introducing-selection-vs-control-for-optimization), then talked abo... |
32477444-8a39-42c4-8cfd-f5e3a994f28d | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Tools want to become agents
In the spirit of "[satisficers want to become maximisers](/lw/854/satisficers_want_to_become_maximisers/)" here is a somewhat weaker argument (growing out of a discussion with Daniel Dewey) that "[tool](/lw/cbs/thoughts_on_the_singularity_institute_si/) [AIs](/lw/cze/reply_to_holden_on_tool... |
656829f0-1707-4921-87e1-eea04349337e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : San Francisco Meetup: Keep your identity small
Discussion article for the meetup : San Francisco Meetup: Keep your identity small
WHEN: 29 June 2015 06:15:00PM (-0700)
WHERE: 1061 Market St #4, San Francisco, CA 94103
We'll be discussing Paul Ghram's essay Keep Your Identity Small.
Reading these beforehan... |
a0556204-0bc8-47cf-8f33-0a2d327563b2 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Safe Scrambling?
Status: half-formed thought on a potential piece of an alignment strategy that I've not heard discussed but probably exists somewhere, might just be missing a concept name.
Idea
----
Any alignment scheme that plans to allow potentially unsafe systems to be trained but then tests their safety before ... |
7ce288e2-75cf-40b6-bf21-b1ce261ecc1d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Weekly LW Meetups
This summary was posted to LW Main on June 10th. The following week's summary is here.
Irregularly scheduled Less Wrong meetups are taking place in:
* Baltimore weekly meetup: 12 June 2016 08:00PM
* European Community Weekend: 02 September 2016 03:35PM
The remaining meetups take place in cities ... |
f7712912-adc6-4525-b0d8-a5822093e6bb | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube | Youtube Transcripts | The Open Philanthropy Project's work on AI risk | Helen Toner | EA Global: London 2017
morning everybody
is that working yeah okay um
nice to see some more of you I think 10
a.m. maybe was a bit ambitious for some
so this morning it's my great pleasure
to introduce Helen toner Helen toner is
a senior research analyst ... |
da1e08c5-3338-4ab3-baf7-40ff5652f213 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | "We can Prevent AI Disaster Like We Prevented Nuclear Catastrophe"
Haven't seen this posted and would be curious to hear people's thoughts. This suggests pausing all frontier AI development except for one organization.
"World leaders are calling for the establishment of an international institution to deal with... |
1116aec2-64c0-4255-8304-9a25df1c8926 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Business Insider: "They Finally Tested The 'Prisoner's Dilemma' On Actual Prisoners — And The Results Were Not What You Would Expect"
Article at http://www.businessinsider.com/prisoners-dilemma-in-real-life-2013-7#ixzz2ZxwzT6nj, seems revelant to a lot of the discussion here.
There've been studies about people who co... |
0e19ea72-4245-479c-a15b-0acab957bd12 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Logical and Indexical Uncertainty
Cross-posted on By Way of Contradiction
Imagine I shot a photon at a half silvered mirror which reflects the photon with "probability" 1/2 and lets the photon pass through with "probability" 1/2.
Now, Imagine I calculated the trillionth decimal digit of pi, and checked whether it wa... |
6df6898c-f8ce-430c-b2e2-8379103387a7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Shanghai Less Wrong Meetup April 30th, 2pm
John Teddy asked me to post the following info for a Less Wrong meetup he is organizing.
Where: Starbucks, Carrefour Mall, the Zhongshan Park Store, near the Zhongshan Park Station, Line 2, 3, or 4, Shanghai, China
B1&B2, No.1018, ChangNing Road, ChangNing District, Shangha... |
84c6c971-12ef-4d54-a1f7-8117382991dd | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | MIRI wants to fund your independently-organized Friendly AI workshop
To support Friendly AI research around the world, our new [**MIRIx program**](http://intelligence.org/mirix/) funds mathematicians, computer scientists, and formal phi... |
4dff7136-6d9a-459b-bb82-61167d08d707 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What The Lord of the Rings Teaches Us About AI Alignment
The Mistake of the Lord of the Rationality
In the online version of Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality, there is an extra chapter where Eliezer Yudkowsky gives glimpses into what other rationalist fanfiction he might have written.[1] The first one shows... |
1b4648c1-92fe-4d78-b39a-4946dc9c68fd | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Institutionalising Ethics in AI through Broader Impact Requirements
Introduction
------------
Growing concerns about the ethical, societal, environmental, and economic impacts of artificial intelligence (AI) have led to a wealth of governance initiatives. In addition to traditional regulatory approaches, complement... |
b4c23a76-9788-4879-81e8-365b90d1a29e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Boston: In Defence of the Cathedral
Discussion article for the meetup : Boston: In Defence of the Cathedral
WHEN: 16 February 2014 02:00:00PM (-0500)
WHERE: Citadel, 98 Elm St Apt 1, Somerville, MA
Anders Huitfeldt (Anders_H) will give a presentation called "In Defence of the Cathedral", inspired by the di... |
0548ebde-c020-4bed-a987-9f4bcd42945e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Seattle Biweekly Meetup: Occam's Razor, Repetition and Time's Up
Discussion article for the meetup : Seattle Biweekly Meetup: Occam's Razor, Repetition and Time's Up
WHEN: 19 September 2011 04:00:00PM (-0700)
WHERE: 414 50th St NE, Seattle, WA
The biweekly meetup is happening at the regular place and time.... |
21efa35d-0874-4d83-a9de-37283e4434c6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Is there any way someone could post about public policy relating to abortion access (or another sensitive subject) on LessWrong without getting super downvoted?
I'm aware there are some sensitive subjects that have been debated to death among rationalists, if not on LessWrong, than elsewhere online, such that it would... |
bd282c81-6b8d-463f-a67c-a54a55de525f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Zwicky's Trifecta of Illusions
Linguist Arnold Zwicky has named three linguistic 'illusions' which seem relevant to cognitive bias. They are:
1. Frequency Illusion - Once you've noticed a phenomenon, it seems to happen a lot.
2. Recency Illusion - The belief that something is a recent phenomenon, when it has actual... |
d2bd1092-9557-423a-96a4-73e1e01f1867 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Treatments for depression that depressed LW readers may not have tried?
I would guess that a disproportionate amount of LessWrong readers are significantly impaired by depression. Successful treatment of depression is greatly beneficial to 1) quality of life and 2) ability to impact the world. What are some ways to ma... |
58439716-e490-4e6e-9004-1926262a90f9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Stress Response, Growth Mindset, and Nonviolent Communication
|
520cba27-8c24-4e33-9d65-519506e35c3d | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Diagnostic reasoning with A-Prolog
1 Introduction
---------------
In this paper we continue the investigation
of applicability of A-Prolog (a loosely defined
collection of logic programming languages under the answer
set (stable model) semantics [[Gelfond and Lifschitz, 1988](#bib.bibx8), [Gelfond and Lifschitz, 19... |
1b8236cb-faa1-4b94-a244-fa521fd43f79 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Training Regime Day 8: Noticing
Introduction
In some parts of the world, people go into the forest to hunt mushrooms. The reasons why they do this are not important, but the way that they do it will serve as a guide for noticing.
The problem is that mushrooms are kind of brown and the forest floor is also kind of bro... |
1efc409c-58c1-4418-8b60-2fcd25268baf | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Seize the Maximal Probability Moment
Try and remember 3 or 4 things that you think would be effective hacks for your life but you have not so far implemented. Really, find three.
Probably that was not so hard.
Now think of at which moment in time did you have a maximal probability of having implemented such h... |
c3e0de09-6519-4477-8a33-f93cc13b8223 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Disentangling Competence and Intelligence
I struggle quite a bit with publishing, so today I am just going to publish a bunch of hopefully relatively refined drafts. Any comments and questions are welcome, I would be grateful to elaborate on any area where I appear unclear. If you like, you can also let me know some t... |
6bf4f546-e75d-4c4e-8c4b-cec6e773c885 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Subdivisions for Useful Distillations?
I am new to the field of AI safety and am testing my fit for being a communicator because, with the current climate, I think it would do a lot of good to bring clarity to the mind of the everyday person.
I started off with writing distillations as was recommended and suggested ... |
32ae4f7c-0f34-4ba8-bf67-4d064b017368 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Embedded vs. External Decision Problems
(I've discussed these ideas in the past, but this idea was lacking a canonical reference post)
Suppose that you are an expected-utility maximising agent. This means that when you make a decision you should calculate the expected-utility for each counterfactual and choose the co... |
27890c8d-76dd-45b2-a2c3-7faf1fbb831c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Weekly LW Meetups: Oakville ON, Atlanta, Berkeley, Melbourne, London
There are upcoming irregularly scheduled Less Wrong meetups in:
* Sheridan College - Oakville, ON: 25 November 2011 08:30PM
* Next Atlanta Less Wrong Meetup: 10 December 2011 06:00PM
The following meetups take place in cities with regularly sched... |
79d40a98-78c1-4e85-b370-4e1648797871 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Paying Russians to not invade Ukraine
I know nothing about war except that horseback archers were OP for a long time. But from my point of view, which is blatantly uneducated when it comes to war, being a Russian soldier seems like a miserable experience. It therefore makes me wonder why 300,000 Russian soldiers are w... |
a12660f3-ab1b-42a6-a60f-a7eeb5fd87cd | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | GPT-4 Predictions
Introduction
============
GPT-4 is OpenAI’s next major language model which is expected to be released at some point in 2023. My goal here is to get some idea of when it will be released and what it will be capable of. I also think it will be interesting in retrospect to see how accurate my predicti... |
063b5c2f-b897-4693-ade9-c98abeac1f38 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Notes on Know-how
This post examines the virtue of know-how. I wrote this not as an expert on the topic, but as someone who wants to learn more about it. I hope it will be helpful to people who want to know more about this virtue and how to nurture it.
What is know-how?
> “A human being should be able to change a di... |
e93728e2-688f-4317-a351-7ead23c37611 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | "Map of AI Futures" - An interactive flowchart
Note: The linked site is a personal project, and all views expressed here are my own.
TL;DR
* I created an interactive flowchart about various scenarios how the future of AI might play out.
* By setting various conditional probabilities you can see charts of what the ... |
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