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1e4dc27f-3916-4c4a-88fc-172d8a7794db | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Notes on the Safety in Artificial Intelligence conference
These are my notes and observations after attending the Safety in Artificial Intelligence (SafArtInt) conference, which was co-hosted by the White House Office of Science and Technology Policy and Carnegie Mellon University on June 27 and 28. This isn't an orga... |
2a4ca702-0cd2-45bf-81a9-f3d782c74c61 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Dating Minefield vs. Dating Playground
Crossposted from Optimized Dating.
Imagine you want to improve your performance at some task, hobby or a job. You get offered a choice of two courses:
Course A is really vague and undefined, with no clear program. You don't get graded on your performance, but it's broadcaste... |
5c690534-c956-4493-a08f-1ff7f1decd6d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Moscow Meetup: CBT is back
Discussion article for the meetup : Moscow Meetup: CBT is back
WHEN: 07 December 2014 02:00:00PM (+0300)
WHERE: Russia, Moscow, ulitsa L'va Tolstogo 16
This meetup will be in semi-closed format! If you hadn't come to our meetups before, please wait for the next open meetup: it's ... |
fc34d773-4814-4133-82bd-22d94c9bc5dc | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | No Metrics Are Perfect: Adversarial Reward Learning for Visual Storytelling
1 Introduction
---------------
Figure 1: An example of visual storytelling and visual captioning. Both captions and stories are shown here: each image is captioned with one sen... |
1ce9f245-709b-4dde-94e3-75ab2607ea1d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Off-Topic Discussion Thread: April 2009
Dale McGowan writes:
> And it needs to go well beyond one greeter. EVERY MEMBER of EVERY GROUP should make it a point to chat up new folks—and each other, for that matter. And not just about the latest debunky book. Ask where he’s from, what she does for a living, whether he fo... |
8c8d3fd1-31c3-47d4-a8a1-63fec22b0e20 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Contrarian LW views and their economic implications
LW readers have unusual views on many subjects. Efficient Market Hypothesis notwithstanding, many of these are probably alien to most people in finance. So it's plausible they might have implications that are not yet fully integrated into current asset prices. And if... |
91ac9e40-5f28-4d59-a573-d83383ece3e9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Anyone at Otakon?
Perhaps this is a bit late, as the convention is already underway and those who are here may not be checking Less Wrong, but it may be worth a shot. Would be cool to get a LW meetup going on here if anyone's around. |
33326b6c-a459-4cdf-ae35-c6a8a8f40e82 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The shallow reality of 'deep learning theory'
> Produced under the mentorship of Evan Hubinger as part of the SERI ML Alignment Theory Scholars Program - Winter 2022 Cohort
Most results under the umbrella of "deep learning theory" are not actually deep, about learning, or even theories.
This is because classical lea... |
ad78b945-cccb-4e4c-8256-aa7dcfc9fc1e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Stabilize-Reflect-Execute
You've recently joined a major organization in a senior management role. How can you organize your plans?
One simple way to think about them is with what can be called the "Stabilize-Reflect-Execute" cycle.
Stabilize
You first check if there are any urgent issues and address them immediate... |
a6ad4516-9059-448c-8db7-911e3c7a6825 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Can cryoprotectant toxicity be crowd-sourced?
From the article The red blood cell as a model for cryoprotectant toxicity by Aschwin de Wolf
> One simple model that allows for “high throughput” investigations of cryoprotectant toxicity are red blood cells (erythrocytes). Although the toxic effects of various cryoprote... |
c14adc43-535b-4a04-8e64-baafac23ed45 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Logical Line-Of-Sight Makes Games Sequential or Loopy
In the last post, we talked about strategic time and the strategic time loops studied in open-source game theory. In that context, agents have logical line-of-sight to each other and the situation they're both facing, which creates a two-way information flow at the... |
90e6ce9e-b2f3-47c4-95ee-c2b92f16dc13 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Control the Density of Novelty in Your Writing
I think the key element that determines how easy a piece of writing is to read is its density of novelty.
Novelty can be thought of as the writing equivilant of information. Anything the reader already knows doesn't have to be fully processed, it can just be recalled. Kn... |
e81ab922-c9c6-4e82-a6bc-85ef9134e885 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | Mo Gawdat - Scary Smart - A former Google exec_s perspective on AI risk-by Towards Data Science-video_id u2cK0_jUX_g-date 20220126
# Mo Gawdat on Scary Smart A former Google exec’s perspective on AI risk by Jeremie Harris on the Towards Data Science Podcast
## Mo Gawdat on AGI, its potential and its safety risks
If... |
f25be00a-0210-4cac-a5fc-b8f690ed5adf | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Call for submissions: “(In)human Values and Artificial Agency”, ALIFE 2023
key points:
* Cash prize of $500 for the best presentation.
* Deadline 3 March, 2023.
* Organized by Simon McGregor (University of Sussex), Rory Greig (DeepMind), Chris Buckley (University of Sussex)
> ALIFE 2023 (the 2023 conference on Arti... |
f77f9f4b-2f0d-4589-8da1-07c44081f613 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Wedding Ceremony
Family and friends of the groom and bride, we are gathered here today to join this young couple in the union of permanent cooperation in the iterated prisoner’s dilemma.
They are happy to share this moment with all their guests, and are grateful that you provide the social pressure that allows th... |
24899783-9464-4ce7-b797-5693b4ed4775 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Quantifying General Intelligence
Introduction
This piece seeks to explore an interesting way of defining intelligent systems such that we can theoretically quantify their general intelligence. From this, further tools and ideas for comparing these entities could be developed. The definitions are not meant to be philos... |
e9960cca-cebe-49de-81bd-ea07feffdd0e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Modifying LLM Beliefs with Synthetic Document Finetuning
In this post, we study whether we can modify an LLM’s beliefs and investigate whether doing so could decrease risk from advanced AI systems.
We describe a pipeline for modifying LLM beliefs via synthetic document finetuning and introduce a suite of evaluations ... |
02c06511-ff2c-49b1-b817-29aa0296236b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | 2019 Review Rewrite: Seeking Power is Often Robustly Instrumental in MDPs
For the 2019 LessWrong review, I've completely rewritten my post [*Seeking Power is Often Robustly Instrumental in MDPs*](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/6DuJxY8X45Sco4bS2/seeking-power-is-often-provably-instrumentally-convergent-in). The post e... |
792055c4-054b-4426-bcd3-109789dbbf26 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | To-do waves
Crossposted from my Substack blog.
Main idea
Most of our tasks work like a wave. We need to do them at a certain interval. I need to pee and pay taxes every sometime.
To-do waves have different lengths. There are small waves like I need to pee, eat, and drink. There are daily waves like clean teeth, dre... |
a242ffc7-234c-4bd1-a9d6-ccfb8d3f6c91 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How to Become a World Historical Figure (Péladan's Dream)
I. Introduction
Erik Hoel writes the following in reference to Roger’s Bacon’s Predictions for 2050: Black Swan Edition post (apologies if you’ve read this before, feel free to skip to the next section).
“Finally, there’s Secretum Secretorum, which eschews t... |
4bdf7a35-dfb5-4ac8-8a7d-8670c8cd7f00 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | MIRI’s July 2014 newsletter
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[Machine Intelligence Research Institute](http://intelligence.org)
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54cdda3d-183d-444b-83b9-dd62afa1ae36 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The difficulty in predicting AI, in three lines
An over-simplification, but an evocative one:
* The social sciences are contentious, their predictions questionable.
* And yet social sciences use the scientific method; AI predictions generally don't.
* Hence predictions involving human-level AI should be treated as... |
9ff55cc9-ed4f-4576-b3e6-6b0bc240bd30 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | January 2013 Media Thread
This is the monthly thread for posting media of various types that you've found that you enjoy. I find that exposure to LW ideas makes me less likely to enjoy some entertainment media that is otherwise quite popular, and finding media recommended by LWers is a good way to mitigate this. Post ... |
dc4aaaf3-b7fb-4b04-ae81-531ac967402b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : LW Copenhagen - September: This Wavefunction Has Uncollapsed
Discussion article for the meetup : LW Copenhagen - September: This Wavefunction Has Uncollapsed
WHEN: 13 September 2014 03:00:00PM (+0200)
WHERE: Studenterhuset, Købmagergade 52, 1150 København, Denmark
Less Wrong Copenhagen is back!
Join us fo... |
88b70732-b881-45e0-b5bd-7af150c897eb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Are coincidences clues about missed disasters? It depends on your answer to the Sleeping Beauty Problem.
In April, Gwern posted this comment in response to slowed AI progress:
> "It feels like AI is currently bottlenecked on multiple consecutive supplychain disruptions, from cryptocurrency to Intel's fab failures to ... |
41fab33a-a76b-4e7f-8e37-2e3560470637 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why is fiber good for you?
Fiber is defined as the parts of plants that we can eat but not digest. We're always told to eat more of it. Why should we eat things we can't digest?
There are many papers to point to. Fiber consumption is strongly associated with less cancer, less heart disease, and less death (recent met... |
df91e497-7c88-40f7-b63f-ee5f8771b704 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Tempe, AZ (ASU)
Discussion article for the meetup : Tempe, AZ (ASU)
WHEN: 07 March 2014 06:30:00PM (-0700)
WHERE: 300 E Orange Mall, Tempe, AZ
We are meeting at the entrance to Hayden Library at ASU. Tentative discussion topics include: wrap up How To Measure Anything; planning / meta; belated New Year's r... |
75c2d2df-46fa-4f79-b697-5c01ad3f5560 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Preface to the sequence on economic growth
On Lesswrong, when we talk about artificial intelligence, we tend to focus on the technical aspects, such as potential designs, specific developments, and future capabilities. From an engineering perspective, this focus makes sense. But most people here aren't interested in a... |
51be4686-e835-458c-89d2-78d0b6891ded | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | In Logical Time, All Games are Iterated Games
Logical Time
The main purpose of this post is to introduce the concept of logical time. The idea was mentioned in Scott's post, Bayesian Probability is for things that are Space-like Separated from You. It was first coined in a conference call with, Daniel Demski, Alex Men... |
5a63cf2a-91b5-4cc7-9095-3ba0c95ac63f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Washington DC Biased Boardgames meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : Washington DC Biased Boardgames meetup
WHEN: 05 August 2012 03:00:00PM (-0400)
WHERE: Arlington, VA
The next meetup will be Sunday, August 12th, at 3pm, at a private residence. PM me or email the list for details.
The topic will be... |
6002048d-98fb-44da-91eb-f34294e8486c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Bi-Weekly Rational Feed
===Highly Recommended Articles:
Just Saying What You Mean Is Impossible by Zvi Moshowitz - "Humans are automatically doing lightning fast implicit probabilistic analysis on social information in the background of every moment of their lives." This implies there is no way to divorce the content... |
e415ac69-b80d-44b2-8542-fe92697f9b38 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | When Hindsight Isn't 20/20: Incentive Design With Imperfect Credit Allocation
A crew of pirates all keep their gold in one very secure chest, with labelled sections for each pirate. Unfortunately, one day a storm hits the ship, tossing everything about. After the storm clears, the gold in the chest is all mixed up. Th... |
90f543f3-cca5-4544-a4bd-4663f3b1d387 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why does expected utility matter?
In the context of decision making under uncertainty we consider the strategy of maximizing the expected monetary revenue and expected utility; we provide an argument to show that under certain hypothesis it is rational to maximize expected monetary revenue, then we show that the argum... |
b7dce57e-caf4-4669-b4f0-737c2ae7e8f9 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Distinguish which advanced-agent properties lead to the foreseeable difficulty
Any general project of producing a large edifice of good thinking should try to break down the ideas into modular pieces, distinguish premises from conclusions, and clearly label which reasoning steps are being used. Applied to [AI alignme... |
3e3e4b53-2f44-4c8f-a36e-5a5069d75bb4 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Please Share Your Perspectives on the Degree of Societal Impact from Transformative AI Outcomes
As an adjunct to my research on high-level machine intelligence (HLMI) risk, [recently posted](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/m8PsJsSfQAYxPusHi/scenario-mapping-advanced-ai-risk-request-for-participation) request... |
8aeaf8f0-f6f2-4e25-b706-d7005e7bf5d4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Let There Be Light
Sequence index: Living Luminously
Previously in sequence: You Are Likely To Be Eaten By A Grue
Next in sequence: The ABC's of Luminosity
You can start from psych studies, personality tests, and feedback from people you know when you're learning about yourself. Then you can throw out the stuff that... |
e5c421c8-5ae5-469e-ae1e-16d3219e7caa | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Choice Writings of Dominic Cummings
“My own heuristics for working in politics are: focus, ‘know yourself’ (don’t fool yourself), think operationally, work extremely hard, ... and ask yourself ‘to be or to do?’” - DC
Dominic Cummings is fascinating for four reasons. One, he is extremely committed to truth-seeking but... |
66f945ac-7302-4403-8386-ec490ed8e0c3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Feature Targeted LLC Estimation Distinguishes SAE Features from Random Directions
Tl;dr: In this post we present the exploratory phase of a project aiming to study neural networks by applying static local learning coefficient (LLC) estimation to specific alterations of them. We introduce a new method named Feature Tar... |
df2d75d0-9ecb-46c1-9672-488a1bc16f23 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Chapter 13: Asking the Wrong Questions
Elen sila J. K. Rowling omentielvo.
EDIT: Don't panic. I solemnly swear that there is a logical, foreshadowed, canon-compliant explanation for everything which happens in this chapter. It's a puzzle, you're supposed to try to solve it, and if not, just read the next chapter.
--... |
28ca2123-5592-4eab-ae3c-e33e7c5f94f3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Feature Selection
You wake up. You don't know where you are. You don't remember anything.
Someone is broadcasting data at your first input stream. You don't know why. It tickles.
You look at your first input stream. It's a sequence of 671,187 eight-bit unsigned integers.
0, 8, 9, 4, 7, 7, 9, 5, 4, 5, 6, 1, 7, 5, 8,... |
29afd95d-343d-42a7-9110-385743395e84 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Suicide note of an LW user
It was User:pdf23ds. Here's the note. Excerpt:
> I wish I could have been cryonically preserved. But suicides aren’t treated well enough for that. We get sectioned. I tried asking the cryonics places about options, but they wouldn’t talk to me. Fuck you, Alcor. Fuck you, CI. I might have li... |
7e4d4837-a6f4-4919-bc85-d45dd22a9356 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why I love stand up comedy
Good stand up comedy is one of my favorite things in the world, and I think that this joke really demonstrates why:
We all act like Louis and his New Yorker friends. When we see a bum on the street, we don't think twice. And if we're with someone new to town who stopped to help them, we'd... |
4a1dd575-c8f2-435a-bcd1-e584d5fadd85 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Aspergers Survey Re-results
Followup to: Aspergers Poll results
Since my little survey about the degree to which the Less Wrong community has a preponderance of people with systematizing personality types, I've been collecting responses only from those people who considered taking the survey after looking at the orig... |
4e344a48-f6e8-4f30-a5c1-343ced2d9bab | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Instrumental Rationality 5: Interlude II
[Instrumental Rationality Sequence 5/7]
[This Interlude once again goes over two additional ideas that are separate from the well-researched stuff: There Is No Akrasia and Recovering from Failure. The first endorses a reductionist, specific view towards tackling akrasia, while... |
05a6e3a0-e83b-4294-b39c-81c88c5c2ffa | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Proof of Rice's theorem
Recall the formal statement of [Rice's theorem](https://arbital.com/p/5mv):
> We will use the notation $[https://arbital.com/p/n](https://arbital.com/p/n)$ for the $n$th [Turing machine](https://arbital.com/p/5pd) under some fixed [numbering system](https://arbital.com/p/description_number).
E... |
7fb6c33e-2633-4cdd-8742-49cbceb9811b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Measure of complexity allowed by the laws of the universe and relative theory?
A big question that determines a lot about what risks from AGI/ASI may look like has to do with the kind of things that our universe's laws allow to exist. There is an intuitive sense in which these laws, involving certain symmetries as wel... |
f384b636-a15a-4be7-9de8-efebed602f3b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Rationality Compendium: Principle 2 - You are implemented on a human brain
Irrationality is ingrained in our humanity. It is fundamental to who we are. This is because being human means that you are implemented on kludgy and limited wetware (a human brain). A consequence of this is that biases ↓ and irrational thinkin... |
f3e30571-0571-46a6-a698-1262f79ecd08 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Resources to see how people think/approach mathematics and problem-solving
I did lots of programming/cybersecurity/other similar flavor things in the past. I'm currently in college and am focusing more on developing my mathematical skillset. I've done linear algebra/multi/group theory, and am currently taking a more a... |
07e7537f-cbf5-4d2d-b395-3ae75d603457 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Guided Consumption Theory: A Virtuous Dance between Altruistic Agents, Economic Discriminators, and Opportunistic Helpers
Reposting from the EA Forum
Previous posts have set forth the concept of Guided Consumption and provided research supporting the viability of businesses with charities in the equity position (“G... |
c228f2a5-2da7-4ef6-a385-23b6e0a50209 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Optimization Regularization through Time Penalty
,
For an overview of the problem of Optimization Regularization, or Mild Optimization, I refer to MIRI's paper Alignment for Advanced Machine Learning Systems, section 2.7
My solution
Start with a bounded utility function, U(T), that is evaluated based on state of the... |
e6a9d02f-a22f-450b-acea-92e375c4d090 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Upcoming heatwave: advice
There's a heatwave coming (or already arrived) in the UK and western Europe. Many of these places are not equipped for dealing with high temperatures and have large at risk populations* - not simply those with preexisting health conditions, but those living in accomodation grossly unsuited fo... |
03536bab-1389-4b95-b8fb-c362a78bc9cf | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | FAI FAQ draft: What is Friendly AI?
I invite your feedback on this snippet from the forthcoming Friendly AI FAQ. This one is an answer to the question "What is Friendly AI?"
_____
A Friendly AI (FAI) is an artificial intelligence that benefits humanity. More specifically, Friendly AI may refer to:
* a very powe... |
882dbf0e-97d8-4545-9f6e-1602bb3f0a23 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | We ran a reading group on The Scout Mindset
Cross-posted from the EA Forum.
What did we do?
As organizers of the EA group at UC Irvine (UCI), we ran a reading group on Julia Galef’s book The Scout Mindset during the final 5 weeks of the academic year (2022-2023). The group had a total of 8 participants with an av... |
3c5bd814-f96f-4a41-8ded-aa2697091e5f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Reverse lotteries with friends
A reverse lottery pays out a little bit each time you pay but sometimes lead to horrific disaster. For instance, going without a seatbelt. You enjoy a momentary convenience every time you drive, but occasionally you die. Relatedly, wearing your seatbelt can be seen as a lottery: you pay ... |
fd1a3829-a575-4f1f-b882-db9072e2b214 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Don't Let Personal Domains Expire
It's common to see advice along these lines:
> Don't build your stuff in someone else's sandbox. Get your own domain and point it to whatever service you choose to use. Your email address should be @yourdomain, where you have full control and no one can lock you out. Don't fall into ... |
c015e5c9-cc06-4bf8-b4e5-ae3b483699ce | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Hanging Out My Speaker's Shingle
I was recently invited to give a talk on heuristics and biases at Jane Street Capital, one of the top proprietary trading firms ("proprietary" = they trade their own money). When I got back home, I realized that (a) I'd successfully managed to work through the trip, and (b) it'd been ... |
84fc54a5-7f16-425b-9675-01af47dad56f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Announcing a google group for technical discussion of FAI
I'm pleased to announce friendly-artificial-intelligence, a google group intended for research-level discussion of problems in FAI and AGI, in particular for discussions that are highly technical and/or math intensive.
Some examples of possible discussion topi... |
fd07121d-26a0-4c52-becd-967e069cc8c1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Imperfect Voting Systems
Stalin once (supposedly) said that “He who casts the votes determines nothing; he who counts the votes determines everything “ But he was being insufficiently cynical. He who chooses the voting system may determine just as much as the other two players.
The Art of Strategy gives some good exa... |
8573227a-8b19-439d-9685-b83b434a8dbe | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [AN #119]: AI safety when agents are shaped by environments, not rewards
Alignment Newsletter is a weekly publication with recent content relevant to AI alignment around the world. Find all Alignment Newsletter resources here. In particular, you can look through this spreadsheet of all summaries that have ever been in... |
0541d02f-fc2f-41a9-973b-bd504950b15c | awestover/filtering-for-misalignment | Redwood Research: Alek's Filtering Results | id: post2964
Can we get impact measurement right ? Does there exist One Equation To Rule Them All? I think there’s a decent chance there isn’t a simple airtight way to implement AUP which lines up with AUP conceptual , mostly because it’s just incredibly difficult in general to perfectly specify the reward function. R... |
5c6118b9-dfbd-461c-9493-a35cf63a263c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Second Circle
Previously: The First Circle
Epistemic Status: One additional level down
The second Circle was at Solarium in New York City. Jacob, of the New York rationalist group, and had been getting into Circling, and decided to lead us in one to show us what it was all about.
He explained the five rules. I ... |
5a27b0de-4ebb-420b-b05e-a75d2d39029a | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | outer alignment: politics & philosophy
outer alignment: politics & philosophy
--------------------------------------
[inner alignment](https://www.lesswrong.com/tag/inner-alignment) is "just" a hard engineering problem; [outer alignment](https://www.lesswrong.com/tag/outer-alignment) is the work of philosophy and po... |
83af9eec-e1c3-4f23-b129-e2313afe5c67 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Alignment proposals and complexity classes
In the original “AI safety via debate” paper, Geoffrey Irving et al. introduced the concept of analyzing different alignment proposals from the perspective of what complexity class they are able to access under optimal play. I think this is a pretty neat way to analyze differ... |
c0c821da-3a9a-40a9-9dbc-7d96db9d2519 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Soft Paternalism in Parenting
Reading the recently featured Beware of Trivial Inconveniences I realized that this is the method that makes Say Yes really work and thus this is Practical Advice Backed By Deep Theories.
The trick of saying "yes" instead of "no" is *not* to say less often "no" at the cost at allowing th... |
1bb4ab28-2847-4da3-9c00-9a39e65b3bb8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Explaining the Rationalist Movement to the Uninitiated
Edited for LessWrong from my Original Post.
On a personal level, I have struggled greatly to adequately explain to other people not already familiar with the community and its values, the core of what Rationality is, and why they should care. The Sequences are ob... |
0f31a289-7660-4a2a-aaab-8758ca959661 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Second Bristol meetup & mailing list for future meetups
Discussion article for the meetup : Second Bristol meetup & mailing list for future meetups
WHEN: 16 June 2013 03:00:00PM (+0100)
WHERE: Hodgkin House, 3 Meridian Place, Bristol BS8 1JG
At our lovely first meetup (four people came, if I count myself),... |
388d48c5-d146-41c0-8160-8c4c0f1138f2 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Poisoning and Backdooring Contrastive Learning
1 Introduction
---------------
*Contrastive learning* Chopra et al. ([2005](#bib.bib41 "Learning a similarity metric discriminatively, with application to face verification")); Hadsell et al. ([2006](#bib.bib42 "Dimensionality reduction by learning an invariant mapping... |
a610f8bc-6aee-4338-9d7d-dae9ea41648b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Deontological Decision Theory and The Solution to Morality
Asking the Question
Until very recently, I was a hedonic utilitarian. That is, I held ‘happiness is good’ as an axiom – blurring the definition a little by pretending that good emotions other than strict happiness still counted because it made people “happy” ... |
f8bfe11f-4592-47df-8020-9fcafe3e3828 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Seattle Sequences group: Mysterious Answers 1
Discussion article for the meetup : Seattle Sequences group: Mysterious Answers 1
WHEN: 16 February 2015 06:30:00PM (-0800)
WHERE: 185 Stevens Way, Seattle, Washington 98195
Location is the Paul G. Allen center (CSE building) on UW campus, room 503. Details on ... |
975f6bb0-1be9-477e-9fe6-ec39a22c4c6a | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Sequential Feature Explanations for Anomaly Detection
1 Introduction
---------------
Anomaly detection is the problem of identifying anomalies in a data set, where anomalies are those points that are generated by a process that is distinct from the process generating “normal" points. Statistical anomaly detectors a... |
f64cb9e5-0415-480f-a088-9ef58aa89732 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Three Levels for Large Language Model Cognition
This is the abridged version of my second dissertation chapter. Read the first here.
Thanks to everyone I've discussed this with, and especially, M.A. Khalidi, Lewis Smith, and Aysja Johnson.
TL;DR: Applying Marr's three levels to LLMs seems useful, but quickly pro... |
da63f294-912a-4955-b798-53ee3d8cfc19 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Announcing Epoch's newly expanded Parameters, Compute and Data Trends in Machine Learning database
The performance of machine learning models is closely related to their amount of training data, compute, and number of parameters. At Epoch, we’re investigating the key inputs that enable today’s AIs to reach new heights... |
921340fe-0b71-4c72-a430-745bade987c9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Can noise have power?
One of the most interesting debates on Less Wrong that seems like it should be definitively resolvable is the one between Eliezer Yudkowsky, Scott Aaronson, and others on The Weighted Majority Algorithm. I'll reprint the debate here in case anyone wants to comment further on it.
In that post, El... |
3a162544-77e7-43dd-998c-de08cb56bad0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Eliezer Yudkowsky Facts
* Eliezer Yudkowsky was once attacked by a Moebius strip. He beat it to death with the other side, non-violently.
* Inside Eliezer Yudkowsky's pineal gland is not an immortal soul, but another brain.
* Eliezer Yudkowsky's favorite food is printouts of Rice's theorem.
* Eliezer Yudkowsky's f... |
a743f3bd-2832-4a24-9867-7f64d0d2dddd | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Markets are Anti-Inductive
I suspect there's a *Pons Asinorum* of probability between the bettor who thinks that you make money on horse races by betting on the horse you think will win, and the bettor who realizes that you can only make money on horse races if you find horses whose odds seem *poorly calibrated* relat... |
0c1be24c-63b4-4e52-8017-4b264529a539 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | More on polio and randomized clinical trials
My post and Twitter thread about the controversy over the 1954 polio vaccine trials generated many replies on Twitter, so here is a followup.
First, I’m very sympathetic to the dilemma that Salk faced. I think it’s a tough problem, and it’s worth thinking about different w... |
67e85e65-703f-4bdc-b50b-8c0c47e02ff2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Safety via selection for obedience
In a previous post, I argued that it’s plausible that “the most interesting and intelligent behaviour [of AGIs] won’t be directly incentivised by their reward functions” - instead, “many of the selection pressures exerted upon them will come from emergent interaction dynamics”. If I’... |
d21c8a39-0578-4421-93a4-fce3bfd6f934 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How my math skills improved dramatically
When I was a freshman in high school, I was a mediocre math student: I earned a D in second semester geometry and had to repeat the course. By the time I was a senior in high school, I was one of the strongest few math students in my class of ~600 students at an academic magnet... |
807e443e-3b77-40d4-a53d-76bd63276c8c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How to work through the ARENA program on your own
I've recently completed the in-person ARENA program, which is a 5-week bootcamp teaching the basics of safety research engineering (with the 5th week being a capstone project). Sometimes, I talk to people who want to work through the program independently and who ask f... |
06b02f7b-eb46-4f70-96d2-d28640a9c399 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How do you establish a comfort zone in your studies?
Learning a new topic takes you outside your intellectual comfort zone. Extrapolating from the spacing effect, the practice of overlearning a chunk of new material is an inefficient way to build memory. I notice, however, that overlearning feels comforting. It seems ... |
f5cf47e7-3ce8-4f1a-adeb-cbd58ee33e5e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why capitalism?
Note: I'm terrible at making up titles, and I think that the one I gave may give the wrong impression. If anyone has a suggestion on what I should change it to, it would be much appreciated.
As I've been reading articles on less wrong, it seems to me that there are hints of an underlying belief which ... |
1a80dde3-90df-46ea-98ed-fdcbfff18a22 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Would it be effective to learn a language to improve cognition?
o1 has shown a strange behavior where it thinks in Mandarin, while processing English prompts, and translates the results back to English for the output. I realized that the same could be possible for humans to utilize, speeding up conscious thought. [1]
... |
f884ff6a-5cac-4eae-8f51-165db3e8ba92 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Causal scrubbing: results on a paren balance checker
* Authors sorted alphabetically.
This is a more detailed look at our work applying causal scrubbing to an algorithmic model. The results are also summarized here.
Introduction
In earlier work (unpublished), we dissected a tiny transformer that classifies whether... |
4389da69-3850-4fe9-b5e9-4bb2e90a4ae1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Case Rates to Sequencing Reads
In thinking about how you might identify future pandemics by sequencing wastewater, you might have a goal of raising an alert before some fraction of people were currently infected. What you're actually able to observe, however, are sequencing reads, several steps removed from infection ... |
14a72491-6109-46eb-9b3d-14a90e978216 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Different perspectives on concept extrapolation
At the recent EAGx Oxford meetup, I ended up talking with a lot of people (18 people, back to back, on Sunday - for some reason, that day is a bit of a blur). Naturally, many of the conversations turned to [value extrapolation/concept extrapolation](https://www.lesswrong... |
386a674e-6d17-4ac1-8789-f3951a1884fd | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Past Tense Features
TLDR
I find past tense features in pythia-70m using a templated dataset. My high-level steps are:
1. Creating a templated dataset that indicates past tense through a past progressive clause
2. Finding subsets of features that recover the original model performance with attribution patching
3. A... |
279d9797-aec8-4eb0-bade-f97f96acc1fb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Pleasure and Pain are Long-Tailed
This post is derived from Logarithmic Scales of Pleasure and Pain by the Qualia Research Institute. Thank you Romeo Stevens for introducing me to the cool work you're doing over there.
----------------------------------------
> People have a certain baseline amount of happiness. Fi... |
80325c94-e567-42a2-a1fc-1292e1f11b9b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Rice's Theorem
Rice's Theorem is a rather surprising and very strong restriction on what we can determine about the [https://arbital.com/p/-3jy](https://arbital.com/p/-3jy) computed by an arbitrary [Turing machine](https://arbital.com/p/5pd).
It tells us that for *every* nontrivial property of computable functions %%n... |
c1292f28-021d-4287-9cd9-b7d067a430f5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Musings on LLM Scale (Jul 2024)
In a recent interview, Dario Amodei claimed that cost of training is (starting with models already available)
> Right now, $100 million. There are models in training today that are more like a $1 billion. I think if we go to $10 or a $100 billion, and I think that will happen in 2025-2... |
8e43ef9c-3e41-4821-b49a-34476c1ce44d | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | A generic framework for privacy preserving deep learning
1 Introduction
---------------
Secure Multiparty Computation (SMPC) is becoming increasingly popular as a way to perform operations in an untrusted environment without disclosing data. In the case of machine learning models, SMPC would protect the model weigh... |
9e3663dd-a4e3-4ccf-aaa8-413c36dfe19f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | New LW Meetup: Saint Petersburg
This summary was posted to LW main on October 11th. The following week's summary is here.
New meetups (or meetups with a hiatus of more than a year) are happening in:
* Saint Petersburg, Russia: 27 October 2013 04:00PM
Other irregularly scheduled Less Wrong meetups are taking place ... |
046247eb-626e-450b-b0d2-442201493efd | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Rationality Quotes - September 2009
A monthly thread for posting any interesting rationality-related quotes you've seen recently on the Internet, or had stored in your quotesfile for ages.
* Please post all quotes separately (so that they can be voted up/down separately) unless they are strongly related/ordered.
* ... |
7f5cc1cc-5d90-4719-b092-432c56bfeb60 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Rationality Quotes June 2016
Another month, another rationality quotes thread. The rules are:
* Provide sufficient information (URL, title, date, page number, etc.) to enable a reader to find the place where you read the quote, or its original source if available. Do not quote with only a name.
* Post all quotes se... |
fc4dc32f-4679-4a5b-9248-f966ba6596e1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Chaos Induces Abstractions
Epistemic status: the first couple sections are intended to be a bog-standard primer on chaos theory. In general, this post mostly sticks close to broadly-accepted ideas; it's intended mainly as background for why one would expect the general ideas of abstraction-as-information-at-a-distance... |
6609471c-557f-4ba4-afdd-116af3e89e31 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Probabilistic Negotiation
Follow up to Deterministic Strategies Can Be Sub-optimal
The Ultimatum Game is a simple experiment. Two people have been allocated $10. One person decides how to divide the profits, and the other decides whether to Accept that allocation or to Deny it, in which case both participants get ... |
61fd0f52-326d-4f98-a0f3-2655eb739bbe | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | NYT: Google will “recalibrate” the risk of releasing AI due to competition with OpenAI
*Cross-posted from the* [*EA Forum*](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/Nm9ahJzKsDGFfF66b/nyt-google-will-recalibrate-the-risk-of-releasing-ai-due-to)
*The New York Times*: Sundar Pichai, CEO of Alphabet and Google, is tryi... |
7225c0f4-ab78-478f-b233-3ffc9cd074f3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What do "attractor dynamics" refer to in the context of social structures?
I've seen the expression being used in some posts to refer to social structures, like in cultish countercultishness from Yudkowsky.
I have a vague intuition of what the idea is about but I would like to see a formal explanation of it, and wh... |
8cb86b09-a1d5-45be-a71c-8da19c5d3a15 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | AISC4: Research Summaries
The fourth AI Safety Camp took place in May 2020 in Toronto. Due to COVID-19, the camp was held virtually. Six teams participated and worked on the following topics:
* [Survey on AI risk scenarios](https://aisafety.camp/feed/#airisk)
* [Options to defend a vulnerable world](https://aisafety... |
011c99ed-ae67-455d-b7da-4298b9168765 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Counterfactual do-what-I-mean
A putative new idea for AI control; index here.
The counterfactual approach could be used to possibly allow natural language goals for AIs.
The basic idea is that when the AI is given a natural language goal like "increase human happiness" or "implement CEV", it is not to figure out wha... |
9ed3e220-8830-47ff-a9e3-a57f8e75bf0c | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Possible directions in AI ideal governance research
1. Background and summary
-------------------------
As part of my broader research project on AI ideal governance (see also [here](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/9EjMoD8BRhXEsfzMh/what-if-ai-development-goes-well-3) and [here](https://docs.google.com/doc... |
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