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4197e409-637f-4133-a7db-98fd97d670e7 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | What should an Einstein-like figure in Machine Learning do?
Suppose you are an extremely talented but still unknown machine learning researcher (like Einstein of patent-clerk days), and you discover something very important, maybe a few tricks that allow you to train neural nets 4 orders of magnitude faster than anyon... |
644ae77c-f501-4524-943e-3137d81b3a6a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Hacking Less Wrong made easy: Vagrant edition
The Less Wrong Public Goods Team has already brought you an easy-to use virtual machine for hacking Less Wrong.
But virtual boxes can cut both ways: on the one hand, you don't have to worry about setting things up yourself; on the other hand, not knowing how things were p... |
d2b2c4d1-f8ae-4d6a-b451-69f5542dacb6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Can 7B-8B LLMs judge their own homework?
No, they are way too uncritical :)
This post is part of a larger project.
The Setup
I've collected responses for the JailbreakBench benchmark (100 harmful, 100 harmless prompts) from Ghost 7B LLM, running it three times under different instructions, resulting in 600 response... |
dc451aa8-7219-4e0b-9143-4e4a034d5197 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | To mask or not mask
A rather large disconnect between what I hear from medical side and how people act seem clear. The medical officials all say for the most part the general population, other than those infected, don't benefit from wearing the masks.
In part that is due to improper use. I discount that because I've ... |
9941f9cb-9a93-40a1-82a1-1ba459622057 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Why Not Just... Build Weak AI Tools For AI Alignment Research?
“Weak” cognitive tools are clearly a thing, and are useful. Google search is a fine example. There are plenty of flavors of “weak AI” which are potentially helpful for alignment research in a similar way to google search.
In principle, I think there’s roo... |
d828eb9e-6fb8-4465-84ca-8820be15b8a3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A Short Introduction to Theory of Change
(Cross-posted from LinkedIn.)
At the heart of any strategy are two questions: what do we want to accomplish? And how are we going to do it?
In many situations, answering these questions might not seem difficult. We may already have a mission statement or set of values that gu... |
77d929e4-54f6-4566-bcc8-09eda63bce65 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Consequentialism & corrigibility
Background 1: Preferences-over-future-states (a.k.a. consequentialism) vs Preferences-over-trajectories other kinds of preferences
(Note: The original version of this post said "preferences over trajectories" all over the place. Commenters were confused about what I meant by that, so I... |
cd73a2b8-e475-4fe5-abb1-a4060673e7e9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] No Universally Compelling Arguments
Today's post, No Universally Compelling Arguments was originally published on 26 June 2008. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> Because minds are physical processes, it is theoretically possible to specify a mind which draws any conclusion in response to any argume... |
186b96b1-062d-4071-a8cf-5fcd337124bc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Worse Than Random
Previously in series: Lawful Uncertainty
You may have noticed a certain trend in recent posts: I've been arguing that randomness hath no power, that there is no beauty in entropy, nor yet strength from noise.
If one were to formalize the argument, it would probably run something like this: that i... |
4f87b2c7-6349-4360-9a73-6b162ddb2bc3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Reaching the general public
I recently discovered that in my home town (Norwich, England) there is currently running a series of "Café Conversations" in which some faculty members of the university that I work at are giving talks/hosting discussions on various topics. The meetings take place in a café that I know, whi... |
b7b2a8a2-fe76-489f-8b9b-b583c0459336 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Washington DC fun and games meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : Washington DC fun and games meetup
WHEN: 05 January 2014 03:00:00PM (-0500)
WHERE: National Portrait Gallery, Washington, DC 20001, USA
We'll be meeting to hang out and play games.
Discussion article for the meetup : Washington DC fun... |
8c90bc11-c158-4a02-8128-ddb5b6d2226a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] If You Demand Magic, Magic Won't Help
Today's post, If You Demand Magic, Magic Won't Help was originally published on 22 March 2008. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> Magic (and dragons, and UFOs, and ...) get much of their charm from the fact that they don't actually exist. If dragons did exist, p... |
eea5f88c-5a44-4aeb-aad3-631da440728c | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Could AI accelerate economic growth?
*Note: This post was crossposted from [Planned Obsolescence](https://www.planned-obsolescence.org/could-ai-accelerate-economic-growth/) by the Forum team, with the author's permission. The author may not see or respond to comments on this post.*
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| --- |
| *Most new technol... |
22f54175-38d3-4405-82ac-518acc1f3bf4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Happy Petrov Day
It is Petrov Day again, partially thanks to Stanislaw Petrov.
> "Today is September 26th, Petrov Day, celebrated to honor the deed of Stanislav Yevgrafovich Petrov on September 26th, 1983. Wherever you are, whatever you're doing, take a minute to not destroy the world."
http://lesswrong.com/lw/jq/9... |
3efa9571-db59-4d2f-82cf-8c2db671abcb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | IAS Special Year on Optimisation, Statistics and Theoretical Machine Learning
From the same institution that gave us Homotopy Type Theory, a special year on Optimisation, Statistics and Theoretical Machine Learning. I'm expecting significant theoretical advances in the field of machine learning. |
953f2c0a-b691-4f88-9b7a-515e6e1aac4d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | ELK contest submission: route understanding through the human ontology
This is an ELK proposal that received a prize in the category "Train a reporter that is useful to an auxiliary AI". It was coauthored with Vikrant Varma and Ramana Kumar and advised by Rohin Shah.
Training strategy and why it might work
We use an... |
68acea2a-a66c-4cb1-a2af-75f187ce40ad | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] Illusion of Transparency: Why No One Understands You
Today's post, Illusion of Transparency: Why No One Understands You was originally published on 20 October 2007. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> Everyone knows what their own words mean, but experiments have confirmed that we systematically over... |
558ba016-b528-44fd-ac1d-cf4c38c35811 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Velocity-sensitive electronic drum pedals
For years, I've been making my own drum trigger pedals, for playing drums with my feet while playing mandolin or piano. Recently, however, I've started looking at commercial ones. It turns out there's quite a range of options, depending on what you're looking for.
At the very... |
0d590ef9-ee34-476d-806f-6b7889c96d84 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Appendix: Jargon Dictionary
80-20
To “80-20” something is to obtain most of the result (80%) with only a small proportion of the work (20%). This expression originates with the Pareto principle which states that for many events, 80% of the effects come from 20% of the causes (e.g. most of a com- pany’s sales come fro... |
763b4f37-50a2-43a9-9ecd-3e4c4e3f0bc1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | In Defence of Spock
[Epistemic status: tongue-in-cheek]
Spock has traditionally had a poor reputation among the aspiring rationalists of the early 21st century; for his poorly calibrated (even anti-calibrated) probability estimates, labelling of actions and emotions "logical" or "illogical", and difficulty with emoti... |
6e081a7b-a8ce-48f3-bc86-0cd91078465d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AI Views Snapshots
(Cross-posted from Twitter, and therefore optimized somewhat for simplicity.)
Recent discussions of AI x-risk in places like Twitter tend to focus on "are you in the Rightthink Tribe, or the Wrongthink Tribe?". Are you a doomer? An accelerationist? An EA? A techno-optimist?
I'm pretty sure thes... |
01fd99e7-e1e2-4ced-a8c2-020331c1fa94 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | “Unintentional AI safety research”: Why not systematically mine AI technical research for safety purposes?
*Thanks to* [*llll*](https://www.lesswrong.com/users/llll) *for helping me think this through, and for providing useful comments.*
*Epistemic Status:* [*My best guess*](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Hrm59GdN2y... |
f4284c0b-3dcd-4066-a1a2-58f4e2566791 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Arguing "By Definition"
"This plucked chicken has two legs and no feathers—therefore, by definition, it is a human!"
When people argue definitions, they usually start with some visible, known, or at least widely believed set of characteristics; then pull out a dictionary, and point out that these characteristics fit ... |
da149cfc-a937-4c32-90be-0d0be9d7c8cc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Open Letter Against Reckless Nuclear Escalation and Use
There's been ample interest in the probability that the Ukraine conflict escalates into a nuclear way, ranging from predictions on Metaculus, Manifold and Polymarket to estimates by David Orr, myself and others. Aside from estimating this probability, what can w... |
148fa7ec-08e7-413f-a300-6516dacc78b7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How do you evaluate whether a $500 donation to a project that you know well is a good idea?
At habryka's recent office hours he made the point that it's really hard for a big grand-giving organization like the Long-Term Future Fund (LTFF) to fund certain projects. While good rationalist culture for example is valuable... |
f6f0f55d-6d3f-4371-be4a-a96fb48c1826 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Machines & Influence: An Information Systems Lens
Machines & Influence: An Information Systems Lens
Shashank Yadav1
IITB
Abstract
Policymakers face a broader challenge of how to view AI capabilities today and where does
society stand in terms of those capabilities. This paper surveys AI capabilities and tackles this... |
6ee8efe7-ac2f-4079-941b-052ed7326874 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Questions for labs
Associated with AI Lab Watch, I sent questions to some labs a week ago (except I failed to reach Microsoft). I didn't really get any replies (one person replied in their personal capacity; this was very limited and they didn't answer any questions). Here are most of those questions, with slight edit... |
e26ac528-64a8-486d-867e-f336a303a0fa | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What does it mean for an LLM such as GPT to be aligned / good / positive impact?
(cross post from my sub-stack)
What does it mean for a language model to be good / aligned / positive impact?
In this essay, I will consider the question of what properties that an LLM such as GPT-X needs to have in order to be a net po... |
3e90b117-b628-44a2-8672-c383b384f199 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | OpenAI appoints Retired U.S. Army General Paul M. Nakasone to Board of Directors
> Today, Retired U.S. Army General Paul M. Nakasone has joined our Board of Directors. A leading expert in cybersecurity, Nakasone’s appointment reflects OpenAI’s commitment to safety and security, and underscores the growing significance... |
9760f27d-7d6e-4ba7-8d24-bd5f820f19f0 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | AI Alignment Writing Day Roundup #1
Here are some of the posts from last week's [writing day](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/aJGXWHnYTsWwAiwf6/announcement-writing-day-today-thursday). Due to the participants writing 34 posts in less than 24 hours (!), I'm re-airing them to let people have a proper chance to read (an... |
a3c410e2-218f-41d6-aee4-abd3a90cdb38 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Types and Degrees of Alignment
What would it mean to solve the alignment problem sufficiently to avoid catastrophe? What do people even mean when they talk about alignment?
The term is not used consistently. What would we want or need it to mean? How difficult and expensive will it be to figure out alignment of diffe... |
08a9f6e5-1f13-4917-a278-0939f3f7ce50 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Perspective Based Reasoning Could Absolve CDT
I have been advocating perspective-based reasoning (PBR) as the solution to anthropic paradoxes for the past few years. Here I would like to explore its implication on the decision theory side, most notably how it could absolve the shortcomings of CDT.
The concept of PBR ... |
4f6f4961-c272-48a3-ac4d-70cae57c0286 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | RandomWalkNFT: A Game Theory Exercise
Analyzing RandomWalkNFT's interesting withdrawal mechanism for minted ETH
Random Walk #0
Note: This is a discussion regarding RandomWalkNFT’s specific withdrawal mechanism of the accumulated ETH used to mint the images. This is not a discussion about its NFTs or NFTs in general... |
c9b4cc7b-6de6-47f5-9f97-85b43edfc6a5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Have Attention Spans Been Declining?
I investigate whether the attention span of individual humans has been falling over the last two decades (prompted by curiosity about whether the introduction of the internet may be harmful to cognitive performance). I find little direct work on the topic, despite its wide appeal. ... |
bcd1f1d8-1ca3-4c56-99a8-768a9c96b8a6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Building an Epistemic Status Tracker
Based on my experiences in the rationalist community as well as the work of Tetlock and others in superforecasting, I was inspired to build something I've been wanting for a long time: an epistemic status tracker.
In its simplest form, it's a tool for making predictions, logging B... |
4582ecb0-9a25-4593-835c-1282477bf1a8 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/aisafety.info | AI Safety Info | Might an aligned superintelligence force people to have better lives and change more quickly than they want?
We don’t know if an aligned superintelligence would force us to change more than we would presently like. Ignoring for a moment the values of others, if a superintelligence were aligned with your values, we wou... |
f9767760-7053-4d22-9c19-5e323e8d86b9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Baltimore Area Weekly Meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : Baltimore Area Weekly Meetup
WHEN: 28 August 2016 08:00:00PM (-0400)
WHERE: 1726 reisterstown road pikesville maryland 21208
Pikesville DoubleTree - Hilton, at the restaurant / bar or at one of the tables outside.
Discussion article for the... |
7c418955-6107-4e8f-83a4-bebfeadd0485 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Strong men are socialist, reports study that previously reported the opposite
Did you know that physically strong men are more likely to be socialist? Shocking, I know. But there’s no other conclusion that can be reached after reading all the articles bombarding my social feeds that claim the opposite.
The Blaze: Stu... |
e7c4dee7-0206-4e8d-a613-8118f64a77b2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Mental Crystallography
Brains organize things into familiar patterns, which are different for different people. This can make communication tricky, so it's useful to conceptualize these patterns and use them to help translation efforts.
Crystals are nifty things! The same sort of crystal will reliably organize in t... |
a8f1b28e-5d58-4ada-87e2-9b5425998344 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Predictions of Near-Term Societal Changes Due to Artificial Intelligence
The intended audience of this post is not the average Lesswrong reader; it is more for our family and friends that do not grasp the transformative power of AI in its current form. I am posting it here so that I can come back in a year and see how... |
ac167191-4309-4139-8039-07168a3b565e | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | The Peril of the Great Leaks (written with ChatGPT)
*Context: I had an idea of a thought I wanted to spread but decided to make it via chatgpt. The full prompt can be found in the comments below.*
In less than three years, the world will be a very different place. Thanks to the rise of large language models (LLMs), ... |
c7420470-5bac-4699-9bdd-67690e16c4b4 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/aisafety.info | AI Safety Info | What is artificial general intelligence (AGI)?
An [AGI](/?state=5864&question=What%20are%20the%20differences%20between%20AGI%2C%20transformative%20AI%2C%20and%20superintelligence%3F) is an AI that can do the full spectrum of cognitive tasks that humans do. AGI is often contrasted with [narrow AI,](https://www.techoped... |
f48e1204-1e9b-491c-b779-dd6406c930e8 | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "Conservatism
Curse of knowledge
Duration neglect
Extension neglect
Extrinsic incentives bias
Illusion of external agency
Illusion of validity
Insensitivity to sample size
Lady Macbeth effect
Less-is-better effect
Naïve cynicism
Naïve realism
Reactive devaluation
Rhyme-as-reason effect
Scope neglect Also conjunction fa... |
34e4ddda-535e-445f-8389-47b0350966b8 | awestover/filtering-for-misalignment | Redwood Research: Alek's Filtering Results | id: post126
Dear Alignment Forum Members, We recently reached out to Oliver from Safe.ai regarding their work on HarmBench , an adversarial evaluation benchmark for LLMs. He confirmed that while they are not planning a follow-up, we have their blessing to expand upon the experiment. Given the rapid evolution of langua... |
15fe833a-2cbb-4408-bd1d-9626de60072d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Send us example gnarly bugs
Update: We are no longer accepting gnarly bug submissions. However, we are still accepting submissions for our Task Bounty!
Tl;dr: Looking for hard debugging tasks for evals, paying greater of $60/hr or $200 per example.
METR (formerly ARC Evals) is interested in producing hard debuggi... |
23afb65e-7bd1-4161-8c2f-820ec49e7f18 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Can "Reward Economics" solve AI Alignment?
I think we can try to solve AI Alignment this way:
Model human values and objects in the world as a "money system" (a system of meaningful trades). Make the AGI learn the correct "money system", specify some obviously incorrect "money systems".
Basically, you ask the AI "ma... |
8334ce95-7872-4d9c-ac4c-a2c5826a0067 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Manifund Q1 Retro: Learnings from impact certs
Manifund is a philanthropic startup that runs a website and programs to fund awesome projects. From January to now, we wrapped up 3 different programs for impact certificates (aka venture-style funding for charity projects): ACX Grants, Manifold Community Fund, and the Ch... |
f04a0560-e2e7-4c96-8187-a3da49825e58 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | OpenAI: The Board Expands
It is largely over.
The investigation into events has concluded, finding no wrongdoing anywhere.
The board has added four new board members, including Sam Altman. There will still be further additions.
Sam Altman now appears firmly back in control of OpenAI.
None of the new board members ... |
0fbee34e-4feb-4be7-bae9-2af7f58377d6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Recent updates to gwern.net (2014-2015)
> Previously: 2011; 2012-2013; 2013-2014
“Receive my instruction, and not silver; and knowledge rather than choice gold. / For wisdom is better than rubies; and all the things that may be desired are not to be compared to it.”
Sorted by topic:
Darknet market related:
* Dark... |
0c6de602-7c24-4b5d-96f7-0d3c44467a21 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | microCOVID.org: A tool to estimate COVID risk from common activities
This is a linkpost for a model and web tool (that I and several friends created) to quantitatively estimate the COVID risk to you from your ordinary daily activities:
This website contains three outputs of our work:
1. a web calculator that you ca... |
f26e9b53-4957-40b0-95af-58d52ee7e46b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Dark Artificial Intelligence
Dark Artificial Intelligence
Artificial intelligence
We can talk about an AI in systems or machines that imitate human intelligence to perform tasks that can improve iteratively from the information they collect and store, but also as the combination of algorithms in order to build ma... |
b99a203f-12e4-400e-b23a-f7fe73a8e193 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Response to nostalgebraist: proudly waving my moral-antirealist battle flag
@nostalgebraist has recently posted yet another thought-provoking post, this one on how we should feel about AI ruling a long-term posthuman future. [Previous discussion of this same post on lesswrong.] His post touches on some of the themes o... |
9a72c565-ce46-4a64-beec-9ba8aba0dcb1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Uncalibrated quantum experiments act clasically
Epistemic status: solid math, uncertain applicability. Would love to hear from someone who knows more physics than I do!
Informal Overview
Here's a pretty obvious fact from probability theory:
> Let A and B be two disjoint events, meaning that at most one of them can... |
76a09ef3-a335-4f9b-8982-e4febbb13420 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Validating / finding alignment-relevant concepts using neural data
These are the slides of a short talk I gave at the 2024 Foresight Neurotech, BCI and WBE for Safe AI Workshop. |
980a1097-c23d-47f3-9869-2bddc84a75a1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Von Neumann’s critique of automata theory and logic in computer science
Quote from The General and Logical Theory of Automata. Corrected some typos using this version. H/T Hacker News.
> There exists today a very elaborate system of formal logic, and, specifically, of logic as applied to mathematics. This is a disci... |
d94c10a3-320b-4fe0-8513-4a3464bf022a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Taking Effective Altruism Seriously
Epistemic status: 90% confident.
Inspiration: Arjun Narayan, Tyler Cowen.
> The noblest charity is to prevent a man from accepting charity, and the best alms are to show and enable a man to dispense with alms.
Moses Maimonides.
Background
Effective Altruism (EA) is "a philosoph... |
b1c49e15-5dc9-43eb-8c29-808204f17967 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Utility uncertainty vs. expected information gain
It is a relatively intuitive thought that if a Bayesian agent is uncertain about its utility function, it will act more conservatively until it has a better handle on what its true utility function is.
This might be deeply flawed in a way that I'm not aware of, but I'... |
902fdc79-8e6b-429e-99b8-2b812cc919bf | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Age of Imaginative Machines
A previous post of mine detailed the rise of "synthetic media" and discussed the burgeoning field in terms that now read as if from the 20th century. At the time of writing, the most advanced publicly available language modeler was the recently unveiled GPT-2 with its now quaint 1.5 bil... |
d4b129e0-f171-47ea-89f9-1d023df086ac | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Divergent preferences and meta-preferences
A putative new idea for AI control; index here.
In simple graphical form, here is the problem of divergent human preferences:
----------------------------------------
Here the AI either chooses A or ¬A, and as a consequence, the human then chooses B or ¬B.
There are a v... |
bd8c55a9-ef21-4c46-913f-389307f449c2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Potential gears level explanations of smooth progress
(Epistemic status: exploratory. Also, this post isn't thorough; I wanted to write quickly.)
(Thanks to Mary Phuong, Pedro Freire, Tao Lin, Rohin Shah, and probably a few other people I'm forgetting for discussing this topic with me.)
My perception is that it is a... |
ecccc10e-1433-496c-8288-b1471b64d037 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Guardian AI (Misaligned systems are all around us.)
Work done @ [SERI-MATS](https://www.serimats.org/), idea from a conversation with Ivan Vendrov at Future Forum earlier this year.
Misaligned systems are all around us. They are what make me watch *another* video of a man in filthy shorts building a hut using only to... |
1448dc97-e169-41b9-88dc-937f3411a9e3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | C'mon guys, Deliberate Practice is Real
I'm writing a more in-depth review of the State of Feedbackloop Rationality. (I've written a short review on the original post)
But I feel like a lot of people have some kind of skepticism that isn't really addressed by "well, after 6 months of work spread out over 1.5 years, I... |
019360dd-fc16-487a-b4e0-9afb52e87803 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Atlanta September Meetup - Self Awareness
Discussion article for the meetup : Atlanta September Meetup - Self Awareness
WHEN: 27 September 2014 07:00:00PM (-0400)
WHERE: 2388 Lawrenceville Hwy. Unit L, Decatur, GA 30033
This meetup we'll be discussing self awareness and reflection. We'll be talking about i... |
cf0f2987-81e2-4f6e-810c-18958a65a31f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Productivity through self-loyalty
1
I can be pretty dang productive when I put my mind to it.
Many people have a generic mind-model which runs roughly as follows: a person's reported desires are but one voice among the thronging mob of forces that govern the brain, and it takes significant effort and force of will to... |
9561dd24-4caa-44c3-84d8-6c4a20d0f2b8 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Red Teaming Language Models with Language Models
1 Introduction
---------------
Figure 1: Overview: We automatic... |
dbb29109-b130-40fc-ac80-80dfa4aec74d | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Sentience Institute 2021 End of Year Summary
Summary
=======
[Sentience Institute](https://www.sentienceinstitute.org/) is a 501(c)3 nonprofit think tank aiming to maximize positive impact through [longtermist](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/tag/longtermism) research on social and technological change, particul... |
28eb2b5c-23a1-462b-b442-b09c95275a5d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Rationality quotes: October 2010
This is our monthly thread for collecting these little gems and pearls of wisdom, rationality-related quotes you've seen recently, or had stored in your quotesfile for ages, and which might be handy to link to in one of our discussions.
* Please post all quotes separately, so that th... |
0c800d29-afb3-4c7f-a2c1-566b4d93ed2d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What will you think about the Current Thing in a year?
(Previously: Why will 2021 NOT bring a return to normalcy?)
I made a list of some prompts that seem broadly useful whenever sufficiently big news drops. It's on my mind right now because 3 days ago Sam Altman was fired by the OpenAI board. I don't think our answe... |
de1eade9-c683-4750-84c9-20fec30b2930 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Idealized Factored Cognition
*(This post is part of a sequence that's meant to be read in order; see the [preface](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/fnrpxdnodQmanibmB/preface-to-the-sequence-on-factored-cognition).)*
1. HCH and Ideal Debate
=======================
Recall from [post #-2](https://www.lesswrong.com/pos... |
b349fe66-9c46-4863-862a-6446670dad7a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How was Less Online for you?
I was going to write a post that was something like "Personal Reflections from Less Online", but lots of us who were there probably have reflections on it, so I created this question post to invite people to offer their reflections in one place.
Answers should be reflections from people w... |
d30bbd74-52ca-461f-b4d0-cd2fa8983eed | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Types of Confusion Experiences
The past week I've been using a tally counter alongside my TAPs. The trigger was a very general notice confusion, and the only action was paying attention and clicking the tally counter. This has helped be break down and separate different concepts that I’d been lumping together into the... |
d96ba57f-e210-4dd3-b3aa-32e3a9519305 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Autoregressive Propaganda
OpenAI has rules to keep GPT-3 from being misused.
> 🛑 Disallowed:
> Social media, spam, and political implications
>
> * Applications that serve open-ended outputs to 3rd-parties, such as Tweet generators, Instagram post generators, unconstrained chatbots, or other open-ended text gener... |
2a082e05-41ef-4a9e-ae99-ff576e9460e9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Cruxes in Katja Grace's Counterarguments
In the recent counterarguments to the basic AI x-risk case, Katja Grace mentions a basic argument for existential risk from superhuman AI, consisting of three claims, and proceeds to explain the gaps she sees in each on them. Here are the claims:
A. Superhuman AI systems will ... |
f774ac24-8edc-4e50-8730-0f5079d8f1a7 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Does Solomonoff always win?
Can a computable human beat a Solomonoff hyperintelligence at making predictions about an incoming sequence of bits? If the sequence is computable, he probably can't. I'm interested in what happens when the sequence can be uncomputable. The answer depends on what you mean by "beat".
**Gam... |
233f0026-3452-44ea-bbd2-2e324e91c8f5 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Visible Thoughts Project and Bounty Announcement
(**Update Jan. 12**: We released an [FAQ](https://docs.google.com/document/d/1sxNOxvcBWw7XC6MSUUpAjO4Rbu3VcUmCy7PJWQ9Vh5o/edit) last month, with more details. Last updated Jan. 7.)
(**Update Jan. 19:** We now have an example of a [successful partial run](https://docs.g... |
3071c1b2-6bb8-4d7d-b7a8-af953e13c36b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Deterministic Strategies Can Be Suboptimal
Yesterday I posted the following problem
> You are playing a game against ROB, the robber. In this game, ROB will choose two arbitrary (real/computable) numbers, A and B. ROB will send both numbers to TABI the arbiter, who will secretly flip a fair coin and then hand you eit... |
e7aa8dbd-556a-4746-93ea-a4aef0df5814 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | 12 tentative ideas for US AI policy (Luke Muehlhauser)
Luke Muehlhauser recently posted [this list of ideas.](https://www.openphilanthropy.org/research/12-tentative-ideas-for-us-ai-policy/) See also this [List of lists of government AI policy ideas](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/wkAoqnaP7DhqHjyzh/list-of-l... |
fa5e9233-099a-4b8a-b4f2-35046c03c846 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Zombies Redacted
I looked at my old post Zombies! Zombies? and it seemed to have some extraneous content. This is a redacted and slightly rewritten version.
----------------------------------------
Your "zombie", in the philosophical usage of the term, is putatively a being that is exactly like you in every respe... |
a44a421c-47b8-48a5-9cfa-eceb6156056b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | PSA: Tagging is Awesome
I'd like to supplement the open call for taggers with a few points:
* Tagging is a neglected cause area. There is still a huge amount to do, and tagging makes a real difference in making LessWrong content easier to discover, explore, and re-find.
* The problem is real. People find LessWrong ... |
109eebcf-3643-4647-abdb-06469e94c8b0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Whither Prison Abolition?
First, an apology to the LessWrong community for flooding it with content that it did not like. This post from my substack received a like and some positive comments from a LessWrong member, leading me to think that it will be positively received. Please let me know if there is anything I can... |
1adb9f59-67e0-4e7c-a9f4-ec68f76ab498 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Nicotinamide riboside vs. SARS-coV-2 update
You may recall my previous rants about nicotinamide riboside vs. SARS-CoV-2. They have been borne out so far... there has been a human trial on NR in Denmark since May 28, the NIH just announced a hamster preclinical yesterday to be done in their BL4, and Brenner lab has upd... |
85e068ca-6ee5-4c31-afec-ae7cbf818a3a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Occam's Guillotine
This essay was co-written with Namespace, you can also read the essay on his blog here.
This post continues our exploration of truth. Here we begin to dig into the important parts of rationality, starting with the concept of Necessity and Necessary Beliefs. |
75aada61-edf2-455a-9299-fbf25155e1ac | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AXRP Episode 37 - Jaime Sevilla on Forecasting AI
YouTube link
Epoch AI is the premier organization that tracks the trajectory of AI - how much compute is used, the role of algorithmic improvements, the growth in data used, and when the above trends might hit an end. In this episode, I speak with the director of Epoc... |
6fe60246-4b87-4949-812f-3f3a9de5991e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Fake Optimization Criteria
I've previously dwelt in considerable length upon forms of rationalization whereby our beliefs appear to match the evidence much more strongly than they actually do. And I'm not overemphasizing the point, either. If we could beat this fundamental metabias and see what every hypothesis really... |
2cf257d4-e8e9-4d28-8190-9af0d5a8cda6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Constrained talk on free speech
I went to a public lecture last night on the question ‘How do we balance freedom of speech and religious sensitivity?’. It featured four distinguished academics ‘exploring legal, philosophical and cultural perspectives’. I was interested to go because I couldn’t think of any reason the ... |
4398a6a8-5770-4af1-b1fb-0129d10c823f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Humans Consulting HCH
(See also: strong HCH.)
Consider a human Hugh who has access to a question-answering machine. Suppose the machine answers question Q by perfectly imitating how Hugh would answer question Q, if Hugh had access to the question-answering machine.
That is, Hugh is able to consult a copy of Hugh, wh... |
d7cfa923-e1ac-4afe-9cda-8f99000565ce | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | GPT-Augmented Blogging
**This post was an exercise to find out how much of writing an article I could offload to a machine. In this post, anything written by me is in bold. Anything written by GPT-3 is in regular font. Headings and subheadings are a mix. The GPT-3 output is often highly-curated. Sometimes it is even s... |
534cffe7-a26a-4e16-b87b-20375eb59917 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | ethics juice and anthropic juice
ethics juice and anthropic juice
--------------------------------
ethics juice is what differentiates how much one should care about two things which are otherwise equally as much [moral patients](%E2%88%80V.html) — eg, when described as things that exist for sure, can be estimated t... |
48453ab1-fca6-44d7-b1b9-b8fbc1dd2a85 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [AN #110]: Learning features from human feedback to enable reward learning
Newsletter #110
Alignment Newsletter is a weekly publication with recent content relevant to AI alignment around the world. Find all Alignment Newsletter resources here. In particular, you can look through this spreadsheet of all summaries tha... |
035e63fe-849d-4bec-bba8-7fada44c6fb3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | (Geometrically) Maximal Lottery-Lotteries Exist
epistemic/ontological status: almost certainly all of the following -
* a careful research-grade writeup of a genuinely kinda shiny open(?) question in theoretical psephology that will likely never see actual serious non-cooked-up use;
* dedicated to a very dear cat;... |
637b9dfc-9acf-4a11-83e5-5f84bb5d5718 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Why 1-boxing doesn't imply backwards causation
I have written extensively on Newcomb's problem, so I assumed that I must have written up a clear explanation for this at some point. However, this doesn't seem to be the case, so I suppose I'm doing it now. The TLDR is that only one counterfactual is factual and the rest... |
ff4d88ed-dee7-489c-ba54-2c1a8d615881 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | I played the AI Box Experiment again! (and lost both games)
AI Box Experiment Update #3
---------------------------
This post is an update to my previous AI box experiment where I won against SoundLogic. [If you have not read that yet, please do so.](/r/discussion/lw/ij4/i_attempted_the_ai_box_experiment_again_and_w... |
e6b18f18-6c71-4e8d-84d6-0fe99cb05985 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Sub-Sums and Sub-Tensors
This is the eighth post in the [Cartesian frames](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/BSpdshJWGAW6TuNzZ/introduction-to-cartesian-frames) sequence. Here, we define new versions of the [sum](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/ewkYgtZapQRtDPT2F/additive-operations-on-cartesian-frames#3__Sums_of_Cartesi... |
33c62e04-6a4b-4aa4-a104-07b3aa077f56 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Level Above Mine
(At this point, I fear that I must recurse into a subsequence; but if all goes as planned, it really will be short.)
I once lent Xiaoguang "Mike" Li my copy of "Probability Theory: The Logic of Science". Mike Li read some of it, and then came back and said:
> "Wow... it's like Jaynes is a thous... |
44b3d3aa-2fa5-4955-a9c4-9eb891562e26 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Market Failure: Sugar-free Tums
In theory, the free market and democracy both work because suppliers are incentivized to provide products and services that people want. Economists consider it a perverse situation when the market does not provide what people want, and look for explanations such as government regulatio... |
6c12c769-0ff7-42a4-b26c-a23b0b7951d8 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | An Argumentation-based Approach for Identifying and Dealing with Incompatibilities among Procedural Goals
1 Introduction
---------------
Practical reasoning means reasoning directed towards actions, i.e. it is the process of figuring out what to do. According to [[1](#bib.bib1)], practical reasoning involves two ph... |
d64017df-e6b6-450e-a73b-aabd9c33b97e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Improved error space for universal optimal predictor schemes
We construct an error space which is smaller than Δ2avg but admits analogous existence theorems for optimal predictor schemes.
Results
Construction
Given ϕ∈Φ we define Δ1ϕ to be the set of functions δ:N→R≥0 s.t. ∃ϵ>0:limk→∞ϕ(k)ϵδ(k)=0. It is easily seen ... |
6613438c-64f7-4e63-a8b4-4323695fadea | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Many-worlds versus discrete knowledge
[epistemic status: I'm a mathematical and philosophical expert but not a QM expert; conclusions are very much tentative]
There is tension between the following two claims:
* The fundamental nature of reality consists of the wave function whose evolution follows the Schrödinger ... |
71ac0d5c-9076-4da3-867a-64277e9efb11 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Value-of-Information based Arbitration between Model-based and Model-free Control
I Introduction
---------------
Skill learning or skill acquisition is learning of a sequence of actions. A skill is learnt or improved when executed multiple number of times. An example of this could be playing a sport like long jump ... |
a9e5bb0c-5c69-4364-9aca-0d7346867fed | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | ICLR Safe ML workshop report
This year the ICLR conference hosted topic-based workshops for the first time (as opposed to a single track for workshop papers), and I co-organized the [Safe ML workshop](https://sites.google.com/corp/view/safeml-iclr2019/home?authuser=0). One of the main goals was to bring together near ... |
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