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d5e96077-9960-4a40-947e-8ef7c3a8b31c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : LessWrong Australia - Online Hangout
Discussion article for the meetup : LessWrong Australia - Online Hangout
WHEN: 13 July 2014 06:30:00PM (+1000)
WHERE: Australia
From the people who brought you a Lesswrong Australia mega-meetup. We now bring you an Australia-wide mega-online hangout. First hangout will ... |
a131c122-535e-4171-bd5c-abeac87fd07c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A Primer on the Symmetry Theory of Valence
Crossposted from opentheory.net
STV is Qualia Research Institute‘s candidate for a universal theory of valence, first proposed in Principia Qualia (2016). The following is a brief discussion of why existing theories are unsatisfying, what STV says, and key milestones so far.... |
cab50511-299e-4b5e-b9b4-8fd5713018ae | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | June Outreach Thread
Please share about any outreach that you have done to convey rationality and effective altruism-themed ideas broadly, whether recent or not, which you have not yet shared on previous Outreach threads. The goal of having this thread is to organize information about outreach and provide community su... |
8ce9d738-409c-4fdd-803a-dd73a3487d5e | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | July 2021 Newsletter
#### MIRI updates
* MIRI researcher Evan Hubinger discusses learned optimization, interpretability, and homogeneity in takeoff speeds [on the Inside View podcast](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/NFfZsWrzALPdw54NL).
* Scott Garrabrant releases part three of "[Finite Factored Sets](https://www.... |
02f3190a-8513-414b-a74e-cbe2c61c18c0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Humanity becomes more untilitarian with time
I would think there'd be evolutionary pressure to focus more and more on having descendants. What's actually happened so far is that people do more for signalling and fun and limit the number of their children. Is this just a blip, and the Mormons (perhaps with a simplified... |
c497b9ed-be23-4830-b3f0-a8a466b22a57 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Chicago: Discuss Thinking, Fast and Slow
Discussion article for the meetup : Chicago: Discuss Thinking, Fast and Slow
WHEN: 03 August 2013 03:00:00PM (-0500)
WHERE: Corner Bakery, 360 N. Michigan Ave., Chicago, IL
We'll be discussing the beginning of Kahneman's Thinking, Fast and Slow as part of a series o... |
b9b7b562-7945-477d-b7c8-4cb5dce8a20f | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | 2011 Summer Matching Challenge Success!
Thanks to the effort of our donors, the 2011 Summer Singularity Challenge has been met! All $125,000 contributed will be matched dollar for dollar by our matching backers, raising a total of $250,000 to fund the Machine Intelligence Research Institute’€™s operations. We reached ... |
e36e0aa0-65f0-4bda-94af-93a61aaba3ec | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [LINK] stats.stackexchange.com question about Shalizi's Bayesian Backward Arrow of Time paper
Link to the Question
I haven't gotten an answer on this yet and I set up a bounty; I figured I'd link it here too in case any stats/physics people care to take a crack at it. |
bdeb4e27-057c-4343-81b3-92e60ce5ff51 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | [Book] Interpretable Machine Learning: A Guide for Making Black Box Models Explainable
This is a book by [Christoph Molnar](https://christophm.github.io/) about interpretability. It covers a lot of traditional, non AI safety interpretability. Some recommendations for chapters to read are in an excerpt from our summary... |
8e283747-97ee-411f-9067-663504f2aae7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : London Games Meetup 09/03 [VENUE CHANGE: PENDEREL'S OAK!], + Social 16/02
Discussion article for the meetup : London Games Meetup 09/03, + Socials 02/03 and 16/02
WHEN: 09 March 2014 02:00:00PM (+0000)
WHERE: 283-288 High Holborn, City of London, WC1V 7HP
LessWrong London's next non-social gathering is goi... |
d7815ffe-6b0c-4465-a3bf-0c34dfca1017 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Gaining knowledge at a price
1. In our lives we often pay a price for knowledge (a different price for each circumstance)
(Either it be something negative happening to us or missing a percieved valuable opportunity)
Sometimes we don't recoup the cost of that knowledge during our lifetime, other times we gain it back m... |
3fff849f-1f4b-4cca-a179-740fcc7f2250 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Datasets that change the odds you exist
1.
It’s October 1962. The Cuban missile crisis just happened, thankfully without apocalyptic nuclear war. But still:
* Apocalyptic nuclear war easily could have happened.
* Crises as serious as the Cuban missile crisis clearly aren’t that rare, since one just happened.
You e... |
cbe5ad17-7ba8-42eb-b037-43e9d3cd20ee | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | An audio version of the alignment problem from a deep learning perspective by Richard Ngo Et Al
Hello everyone!
Anyone interested in an audio version of [this amazing research?]( https://arxiv.org/pdf/2209.00626.pdf), I created [an audio/voiceover](https://www.whitehatstoic.com/p/the-alignment-problem-from-a-deep#det... |
3aa63539-bff4-44e5-9baf-76cac209e7c1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Cryonics News] Australian cryonics startup: Stasis Systems Australia update
Potentially of interest to my fellow antipodean LessWrongers. Stasis Systems Australia is a company seeking to start a cryonics facility in Australia. Their website is pretty sparse, but they just sent out a mailing list update on how they ar... |
bfd7bb8b-2029-44e8-b0dc-d04743da101d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Digital Dinner Signup
For house dinner we need a way of coordinating who is going to cook what days and marking who will/won't be at dinner. For the past ~7y we've used a piece of paper on the fridge with a row for each day. This is not a bad system, and it's generally worked well, but it has a few downsides:
* So... |
ef629cde-5a37-4f16-96ff-ca0e5a0968b1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Extended analogy between humans, corporations, and AIs.
There are three main ways to try to understand and reason about powerful future AGI agents:
1. Using formal models designed to predict the behavior of powerful general agents, such as expected utility maximization and variants thereof (explored in game theory a... |
de112c10-3bb7-4907-9f56-d946589ceab5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Philosophical considerations of cessation of brain activity
I'm unfamiliar with the philosophies of personal identity. Which theories would postulate that a total interruption of consciousness/neural activity (e.g., a coma), but where the brain itself is completely undamaged, would be "death", in the sense of the pers... |
8e4af29c-cdf1-4a5b-ba46-4d2e0a47cd0c | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Generalizing POWER to multi-agent games
### Acknowledgements:
This article is a writeup of a research project conducted through the [SERI](https://cisac.fsi.stanford.edu/stanford-existential-risks-initiative/content/stanford-existential-risks-initiative) program under the mentorship of [Alex Turner](https://www.lessw... |
05edb93c-70c3-4b28-a59f-381935bbfabd | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Human trials for the Marburg vaccine: funding opportunity?
According to the Independent, scientists at Oxford have developed a potential vaccine for Marburg. However, they have been unable to run human trials due to lack of funding.
Are any institutional or high net worth funders in the EA community looking at this o... |
6a4cace0-d557-4e4a-bffd-efd3a11602d3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : London rationalish meetup - 2016-03-20
Discussion article for the meetup : London rationalish meetup - 2016-03-20
WHEN: 20 March 2016 02:00:00PM (+0000)
WHERE: Shakespeare's Head, 64-68 Kingsway, London WC2B 6AH
I'm late posting the event this week, but that's because I was distracted, not because it isn't... |
765224fd-11c4-4254-b431-39db56bfdca9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Against Street Epistemology
According to https://streetepistemology.com/publications/street_epistemology_the_basics , street epistemology is a "conversational technique" which is intended to be "a more productive and positive alternative to debates and arguments." Street epistemologists assume a role similar to Socrat... |
b6e08cb8-4d0a-4581-becb-257bc49e447d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why empiricists should believe in AI risk
Empiricists are people who believe empirical information (from experiments and observational studies) is far more useful and has far more weight than speculating about possibilities using pure reasoning.
Why should they believe in AI risk?
I present the Empiricist's Paradox:... |
754ac7e2-a3e3-4558-8479-8a15c0196952 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Migraine hallucinations, phenomenology, and cognition
I have several times in my life experienced migraine hallucinations. I call them that because they look exactly like what other people report under that name.
I'll come back to those.
If I look at someone, and hold up my hand so as to block my view of their head,... |
371693a4-5436-4d16-835c-f6907b3f5c15 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | My thoughts on nanotechnology strategy research as an EA cause area
This is a cross-post from the Effective Altruism Forum.
Two-sentence summary: Advanced nanotechnology might arrive in the next couple of decades (my wild guess: there’s a 1-2% chance in the absence of transformative AI) and could have very positive o... |
4e268cef-dd7c-4812-8fd9-d2b06a5230e1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Idea selection
THE PROBLEMATIC IDEA
In our culture today there is a strong trend of disengagement with the views of people who are accused publicly of being “problematic.” This trend refers mostly to how disagreement manifests on social media, and it has been dubbed cancel culture.
A quote, video, or photograph is g... |
533e7342-4add-4160-9759-3d4430701d12 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Marx and the Machine
“The means of labour passes through different metamorphoses whose culmination is the machine, or rather, an automatic system of machinery… set in motion by an automaton, a moving power that moves itself; this automaton consisting of numerous mechanical and intellectual organs… It is the machine wh... |
b91bf3ad-84a7-40d9-bfd5-09693ea67bbd | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Interpreting Neural Networks through the Polytope Lens
Sid Black\*, Lee Sharkey\*, Leo Grinsztajn, Eric Winsor, Dan Braun, Jacob Merizian, Kip Parker, Carlos Ramón Guevara, Beren Millidge, Gabriel Alfour, Connor Leahy
\*equal contribution
Research from[Conjecture](https://conjecture.dev/).
*This post benefite... |
bf57761b-98fb-4bd2-9a52-0cb792d3b122 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Structure of the Guild of the Rose
This is a link post for The Structure of the Guild, part one of a series of ongoing retrospectives on the progress of the Guild of the Rose, an organization for rationalist education and community. |
d738798c-718f-4494-8ced-4063ba062819 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What data generated that thought?
In Techniques of the Selling Writer, Dwight W. Swain gives advice on receiving advice:
> George Abercroft is an action writer. "Start with a fight!" is his motto. And for him, it works.
>
> But Fred Friggenheimer's witch-cult yarn, as he conceives it, puts heavy emphasis on atmosphe... |
6e81dccf-31c0-49e5-82ce-5a627298add5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Should rationalists put much thought into tipping and/or voting?
It seems to me that tipping involves rather little money, and voting involves rather little time. For the latter, I'm assuming that you follow politics enough anyway that you have at least one candidate you prefer.
I'm willing to bet that there are peop... |
3578e3ab-f990-4c7e-8012-7a71bd9d7567 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | R&D is a Huge Externality, So Why Do Markets Do So Much of it?
Discovering new technologies is the only way to get long-term economic growth. Rote expansions of existing technologies and machines inevitably hit a ceiling: replacing and repairing the existing infrastructure and capital becomes so expensive that there i... |
4d9b6776-3351-45df-9a4c-38b8da12fbf9 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | A mostly critical review of infra-Bayesianism
Introduction
============
I wrote this post towards the end of my three and a half months long [SERI MATS](https://www.serimats.org/) fellowship. I didn't get even close to the point where I could say that I understand infra-Bayesianism on a really detailed level (accordi... |
74e43b51-4a31-4c87-9723-12ac7f9957fc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Zombie existential angst? (Not p-zombies, just the regular kind. Metaphorically.)
(Or possibly the worst kind of zombie. But still, metaphorically.)
Since I was a kid, as far back as I can remember having thought about the issue at all, the basic arguments against existential angst have seemed obvious to me.
I used ... |
06d9f5eb-c383-457e-9381-4a574f997a40 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | [Linkpost] Human-narrated audio version of "Is Power-Seeking AI an Existential Risk?"
There's now a human-narrated audio version of my report on existential risk from power-seeking AI (text version [here](https://arxiv.org/pdf/2206.13353.pdf)). You can find the audio [here](https://joecarlsmithaudio.buzzsprout.com/203... |
d14b9c84-b57f-4ff5-8f29-a0330455a485 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Desperately looking for the right person to discuss an alignment related idea with. (and some general thoughts for others with similar problems)
I have no idea how to start this post. I don't even have the resources (mostly health-like ones lacking) to figure out the meta-strategy to reach out for help, and this is li... |
06745a60-f96b-4305-9496-f45470291fb0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Working memory and driving
I've been trying to learn how to drive and unfortunately I suck at it. Some combination of a stressful teacher and hyperfocusing have made it very difficult to learn. My biggest problem is with the multitasking aspect. Remembering to put on the turn signal while stopping and and checking my ... |
2b85234b-b51e-42fa-b66f-4319f277d7fe | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Industrialization/Computerization Analogies
I have two motivations in this post:
* thanks to GPT-4, lots of folks looking at automation via AI seriously for the first time and are unfamiliar with much of the thinking and writing about transformative AI from the past 20-30 years
* I think the standard analogy of AI ... |
d2031a5c-8900-46a5-83b1-aa8898590ce7 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | [AN #171]: Disagreements between alignment "optimists" and "pessimists"
Listen to this newsletter on **[The Alignment Newsletter Podcast](http://alignment-newsletter.libsyn.com/)**.
Alignment Newsletter is a weekly publication with recent content relevant to AI alignment around the world. Find all Alignment Newslett... |
55587b7e-07d0-4eea-92e9-78a73a3cc69a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Depression's evolutionary roots
Since there are intelligent people here who follow the topic of evolutionary psychology, I'd like to hear opinions about some research from 2009. Particularly if this idea seems reasonable or not, but possibly other opinions that people might have about it.
The idea is a variation on ... |
754c972c-647e-4522-b0be-f49786db391a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Anyone in the Madison area who'd attend a talk on Acausal Trade on Sunday?
Hi, I'm deciding if we have enough people to have Joshua Fox give a talk on Acausal Trade on Sunday evening. Anyone in the Madison area who'd be interested? |
c5955486-b4f1-41b7-889d-a4ed81e11d3b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Online Meetup: Forecasting workshop
LessWrong Israel presents Edo Arad with a Forecasting workshop on Tuesday May 5, 2020
Forecasting is the art of assigning probabilities to future events. It turns out that there are many types of future predictions which we can make some sort of educated predictions on, and there ... |
2f141ac4-72c5-4fbc-8bfd-f837dbd0e5d3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Book Review: Design Principles of Biological Circuits
I remember seeing a talk by a synthetic biologist, almost a decade ago. The biologist used a genetic algorithm to evolve an electronic circuit, something like this:
(source)
He then printed out the evolved circuit, brought it to his colleague in the electrical ... |
eff8e9d4-90e2-49b8-915d-593b7edd8a44 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Outbuilding Thoughts
Behind our house there's a small building:
The previous owners had used it for storage, but it's in bad shape. There was a hole in the roof when we bought it, which has slowly been getting larger:
There are cracks in the wall, which look like they might be from settling:
Though at least i... |
e6a16bc2-4783-44b2-80a7-9e64ab6c71ba | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A Year of Putting a Numonit
Happy birthday to Putanumonit!
Come celebrate with me next Friday (10/28) at Zach Weinersmith’s BAH Fest West. If you move fast you can grab one of the few remaining $10 tickets. I’m giving a talk on the dumbest idea ever to solve the global food crisis. For a taste, here’s my performance ... |
60e79c96-fd6f-4f1d-951f-3af247693e14 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How to Fix Science
Like The Cognitive Science of Rationality, this is a post for beginners. Send the link to your friends!
Science is broken. We know why, and we know how to fix it. What we lack is the will to change things.
In 2005, several analyses suggested that most published results in medicine are false. ... |
2bb790f6-4543-4964-9381-bf61ccfcdb57 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Mirror Trap
A quick post on a probably-real inadequate equilibrium mostly inspired by trying to think through what happened to Chance the Rapper.
Potentially ironic artifact if it accrues karma.
1. The sculptor's garden
A sculptor worked in solitude for years, carving strange figures in his remote garden. Most... |
e1ad43f0-5e31-43df-90da-2c544fdfaee2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Categorical Organization in Memory: ChatGPT Organizes the 665 Topic Tags from My New Savanna Blog
Cross posted from New Savanna.
I've just posted a new working paper. Title above, links, abstract, TOC, and two opening sections below:
Academia.edu: https://www.academia.edu/111354740/Categorical_Organization_in_Memory... |
c25f63d2-4cf6-4bed-ae52-1838a0ea7f30 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Signaling Virtuous Victimhood as Indicators of Dark Triad Personalities
A recent paper at the University of British Columbia describes five studies which, taken together, provide evidence that tendency to engage in victimhood signalling is correlated across individuals with Dark Triad personality traits (Machiavellian... |
975d98a8-4e73-4be0-a2fb-c61067ced08e | awestover/filtering-for-misalignment | Redwood Research: Alek's Filtering Results | id: post2079
( This post was written as part of my work at the Alignment Research Center . ) In this post I’ll describe some possible approaches to eliciting latent knowledge (ELK) not discussed in our report . These are basically restatements of proposals by Davidad, Rohin, Ramana, and John Maxwell. For each approach... |
c0a2387f-7353-41e0-823c-e74cad8e59b2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Linkpost] DreamerV3: A General RL Architecture
Here's a link towards DreamerV3, a new model from DeepMind that can be trained on a bunch of different tasks (including a simplified version of Minecraft) and outperform more narrow models. Link: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2301.04104v1.pdf
The most surprising bits are that:
... |
190030e8-4212-4eb3-923a-466a9b4fb562 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Gun Control: How would we know?
I don't know how to keep this topic away from http://lesswrong.com/lw/gw/politics_is_the_mindkiller/ , so I'm just going to exhort everyone to try to keep this about rationality and not about politics as usual. I myself have strong opinions here, which I'm deliberately squelching.
So ... |
6e24f407-1a91-46d8-b262-53d4ec6db7f9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Littlewood's Law and the Global Media
|
45eaf362-d865-4ee4-a826-5978018358db | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Logical inductors in multistable situations.
I was reading about logical induction at
https://intelligence.org/files/LogicalInduction.pdf
and understand how it resolves paradoxical self reference, but I'm not sure what the inductor will do in situations where multiple stable solutions exist.
Let .mjx-chtml {displa... |
33037258-00e5-4b54-aeca-cdd02c9072ae | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | All AGI Safety questions welcome (especially basic ones) [April 2023]
**tl;dr: Ask questions about AGI Safety as comments on this post, including ones you might otherwise worry seem dumb!**
Asking beginner-level questions can be intimidating, but everyone starts out not knowing anything. If we want more people in the... |
13c670cb-107d-401b-8eed-f96a04ecc624 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Superhuman Meta Process
None |
33848bc1-5c1c-4d1d-8373-b70a9c3efdce | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Aliveness in Training
Related: The Martial Art of Rationality
One principle in the martial arts is that arts that are practiced with aliveness tend to be more effective.
"Aliveness" in this case refers to a set of training principles focused on simulating conditions in an actual fight as closely as possible in train... |
bc7f15eb-8dc3-4f90-84c9-62c343ba0d2c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Tell LessWrong about your charitable donations
When I was a graduate student at the University of Notre Dame, I received a monthly living stipend of roughly $1,600. I decided to commit to giving ~10% of it to charity, and I had read in Peter Singer's book The Life You Can Save that one of the most efficient charities ... |
d6abd39c-4094-4350-a7c7-68dd2dbff920 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Pyramid Adversarial Training Improves ViT Performance
1 Introduction
---------------
One fascinating aspect of human intelligence is the ability to generalize from limited experiences to new environments [lake2017building]. While deep learning has made remarkable progress in emulating or “surpassing” humans on clas... |
2eb46d3c-dab3-4322-b266-7cdb9dc207d5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Dumbing Down Human Values
I want to preface everything here by acknowledging my own ignorance. I have relatively little formal training in any of the subjects this post will touch upon and that this chain of reasoning is very much a work in progress.
I think the question of how to encode human values into non-hum... |
8fabd6e5-4b6d-419e-b071-96436f12bf0f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Workshop Report: Why current benchmarks approaches are not sufficient for safety?
I’m sharing the report from the workshop held during the AI, Data, Robotics Forum in Eindhoven, a European event bringing together policymakers, industry representatives, and academics to discuss the challenges and opportunities in AI, d... |
f524aad9-1f1e-479d-9f18-93bc8ea5f571 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | AI Deception: A Survey of Examples, Risks, and Potential Solutions
.mjx-chtml {display: inline-block; line-height: 0; text-indent: 0; text-align: left; text-transform: none; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; font-size: 100%; font-size-adjust: none; letter-spacing: normal; word-wrap: normal; word-spacing: normal... |
8a38428a-39d3-4fb5-b69f-81c274f6050b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AI #120: While o3 Turned Pro
This week we got o3-Pro. As is my custom, I’m going to wait a bit so we can gather more information, especially this time since it runs so slowly. In some ways it’s a cross between o3 and Deep Research, perhaps, but we shall see. Coverage to follow.
Also released this week was Gemini 2.5 ... |
539d12a0-6a66-4f83-a91d-e0fa58fc0daf | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What are some smaller-but-concrete challenges related to AI safety that are impacting people today?
Making a list of smaller but non-abstract challenges related to large topics like AI safety, that someone could work on to get practical on the ground experience.
Some examples:
* Help media companies better communic... |
3121bbff-8afb-4ca5-94fa-2c0f54157279 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Internet: Burning Questions
(cross-posted from my personal blog)
I'm about to start a learning project and I'm paying extra close attention, "What feels most interesting?" rather than merely, "What am I supposed to know?" When I stopped to think about it, there's plenty of very specific (and vague) things that I'... |
7165e9f9-3e83-4827-abbf-191362ae1777 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A Christmas topic: I have thoughts regarding Chanukah and need logic help from Atheists
Essentially, I want to make sure my logic is sound, from the point of view of smart rational people who do not believe in the existence of supernatural miracles.
The Chanukah story: 175-134 BCE. Hellenic Assyrians (Antiochus IV) ... |
bfe0894e-02e2-4e91-b71a-762ebb980ec1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Animal welfare EA and personal dietary options
When I imagine an animal welfare EA group, I imagine views breaking down something like:
* 50%: If factory farmed animals are moral patients, it's more likely that they have net-negative lives (i.e., it would better for them not to exist, than to live such terrible live... |
61afd771-cfca-425c-a7f7-934953bb85f8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] The "Outside the Box" Box
Today's post, The "Outside the Box" Box was originally published on 12 October 2007. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> When asked to think creatively there's always a cached thought that you can fall into. To be truly creative you must avoid the cached thought. Think somet... |
59dc06bc-4458-4300-bcd3-d66ed6ecc0f1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Proper value learning through indifference
A putative new idea for AI control; index here.
Many designs for creating AGIs (such as Open-Cog) rely on the AGI deducing moral values as it develops. This is a form of value loading (or value learning), in which the AGI updates its values through various methods, generally... |
027a1ce1-a46f-426e-b157-270741218d9d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Motivational Meeting Place
This is an idea that appealed to me, so I decided to give it a shot. Read on if you’re interested.
What’s the idea?
Provide a place where people can ‚meet‘ and talk about their work, without feeling like aliens and having to explain themselves all the time.
Why LessWrong?
Where I live, the... |
5a54475c-0fd6-415f-bb25-aff3f5952c3a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Pay charities for results?
Two problems with charity:
1) You usually don't know what your donation achieves. At best, you might know what your money is spent on. You don't know how effective this is at producing the outcomes you care about. Even Givewell, who seem to me to have done more careful work on cost-ef... |
9ea420a3-84e3-440b-9031-b1ea26ef989f | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Annual AGI Benchmarking Event
[Metaculus](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/12339/annual-agi-benchmarking-event/) is strongly considering organizing an annual AGI benchmarking event. Once a year, we’d run a benchmark or suite of benchmarks against the most generally intelligent AI systems available to us at the time... |
12d33c87-4529-4aac-bb65-e9f3633e4546 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Internal Model Principle: A Straightforward Explanation
This post was written during the Dovetail research fellowship. Thanks to Alex, Dalcy, and Jose for reading and commenting on the draft.
The Internal Model Principle (IMP) is often stated as "a feedback regulator must incorporate a dynamic model of its envir... |
65ffb56a-26ae-4561-b82b-43bb95848f39 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | recommending Hands and Cities
*(2022-10-12 edit: handsandcities.com seems to be down, so i've replaced the links to posts with links to the same posts on lesswrong)*
recommending Hands and Cities
-----------------------------
early this year, i found out about a blog called [*Hands and Cities*](https://handsandcit... |
c3bdc725-c0fe-407d-b9fb-1a276b60ba2b | awestover/filtering-for-misalignment | Redwood Research: Alek's Filtering Results | id: post1393
Edited to add (2024-03): This early draft is largely outdated by my ARIA programme thesis, Safeguarded AI . I, davidad, am no longer using "OAA" as a proper noun, although I still consider Safeguarded AI to be an open agency architecture. Note: This is an early draft outlining an alignment paradigm that I... |
380173b1-56b0-4643-baeb-2ddc4733083f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Heckler's Veto Is Also Subject to the Unilateralist's Curse
I occasionally see the "unilateralist's curse" invoked as a rationale for censorship in contexts where I am very suspicious that the actual reason is protecting some interest group's power. But if I'm alone in such suspicions, then maybe that means I'm ju... |
90796a94-9bab-45b0-b430-1213b12c0dfa | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Outer Alignment is the Necessary Compliment to AI 2027's Best Case Scenario
To the extent we believe more advanced training and control techniques will lead to alignment of agents capable enough to strategically make successor agents -- and be able to solve inner alignment as a convergent instrumental goal -- we must ... |
baba3c91-ec78-480a-a0ba-c8b8f6437409 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Timeline of Future of Humanity Institute
None |
3e67c579-8db2-4f65-96cc-e0fe7eb3bb95 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Want to win the AGI race? Solve alignment.
*Society really cares about safety. Practically speaking, the binding constraint on deploying your AGI could well be your ability to align your AGI. Solving (scalable) alignment might be worth lots of $$$ and key to beating China.*
Look, I really don't want Xi Jinping Though... |
e0d50c48-d1f2-4bdd-9a38-d98a001a6519 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Link] How Signaling Ossifies Behavior
Here is a new post at EconLog in which Bryan Caplan discusses how signalling contributes to the status quo bias.
> The lesson: In the real world, signaling naturally tends to ossify behavior - to lock in whatever the status quo happens to be. If you're an optimist, you can prot... |
641fd7c3-a928-458c-8bc8-2121345ee726 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Technological unemployment as another test for rationalist winning
Ultimately, rationalism should help people win. Scott Alexander claims that the surge of the price of Bitcoin was a test of that:
> ...suppose God had decided, out of some sympathy for our project, to make winning as easy as possible for rationalists.... |
fb61f861-fd44-49ec-bc33-82fe5b87f399 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | We might need to rethink the Hard Reset , aka the AI Pause.
We might need to rethink the Hard Reset , aka the AI Pause.
Last month Viktoria joined me for a talk at Cohere for AI, It was a perfect timing as she told us about AGI Safety. A few days ago, Viktoria, with Elon among others she asked all AI labs to paus... |
33749a3d-dd15-471e-9b9f-bb30f28efe89 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | COVID China Personal Advice (No mRNA vax, possible hospital overload, bug-chasing edition)
So, uh, things in China are getting a bit interesting.
There's a general consensus that the public COVID numbers no longer reflect reality. Baidu started hiding their case tracking display. Their last updates had weird inconsis... |
efb98727-68c7-4aa3-b7aa-259478075cfc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Fake Utility Functions
Every now and then, you run across someone who has discovered the One Great Moral Principle, of which all other values are a mere derivative consequence.
I run across more of these people than you do. Only in my case, it's people who know the amazingly simple utility function that is all you n... |
cbd313f0-e229-4f63-a653-404fabb9e819 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Where else are you posting?
As a result of XiXiDu's massive Resources and References post, I just found out about Katja Grace's very pleasant Meteuphoric blog.
I'm curious about what else LessWrongians are posting at other sites, and if there's interest, I'll make this into a top-level post.
I also post at Input Jun... |
016979b1-2c6c-458c-b13c-5fabd7f72743 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Debunk the myth -Testing the generalized reasoning ability of LLM
Conclusion
Current LLM Reasoning Ability: As of March 2025, the actual reasoning capabilities of publicly available LLMs are approximately 50 times lower than what is suggested by benchmarks like AIME.
Today, various false marketing about LLM's reasoni... |
fc7d6c50-7190-4eea-b025-c9fae3d37c12 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Francois Chollet inadvertently limits his claim on ARC-AGI
Specifically, this tweet makes the assumption that open-source AI is basically as good at search, especially automated search for algorithms as the big labs, and if that assumption is violated, the prize won't be claimed even if big companies have much better ... |
725c97c4-c33a-4f1d-b14b-56e1f6c0656a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AI Safety Europe Retreat 2023 Retrospective
This is a short impression of the AI Safety Europe Retreat (AISER) 2023 in Berlin.
Tl;dr: 67 people working on AI safety technical research, AI governance, and AI safety field building came together for three days to learn, connect, and make progress on AI safety.
Forma... |
206cc696-16be-49ae-8525-a0cd41c426f8 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Notes on Antelligence
*(This post uses a more generalized definition of "simulator" than the one used in Simulators. Simulators, as defined here, are functions optimized towards some arbitrary range of inputs, and without requirements on how the function was created. If you need to distinguish between the two definiti... |
d9b8ece1-126f-44bb-988b-863d79821194 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Finally just created comprehensive resource collections/guides for autodidactism/several scientific subjects
Autodidactism
Individual academic subjects: http://www.quora.com/Alex-K-Chen/Useful-Science-Learning-Resource-Collections
Data Science already covered by Alex Kamil: http://www.quora.com/Educational-Resources... |
81988925-3ac3-4022-888e-e36436f8b348 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Israel: Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality Pi Day Wrap Party
Discussion article for the meetup : Israel: Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality Pi Day Wrap Party
WHEN: 14 March 2015 08:30:00PM (+0200)
WHERE: Herzliya, Israel
Yonatan Calé is hosting the Harry Potter and the Methods of Rational... |
1331a7f7-225c-4129-81ed-20bac5808729 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | High energy ethics and general moral relativity
Utilitarianism sometimes supports weird things: killing lone backpackers for their organs, sacrificing all world's happiness to one utility monster, creating zillions of humans living on near-subsistence level to maximize total utility, or killing all but a bunch of them... |
339bf317-182a-4764-89cd-b9c8cf8ec775 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Life's Story Continues
**Followup to**: [The First World Takeover](/lw/w0/the_first_world_takeover/)
As [last we looked at the planet](/lw/w0/the_first_world_takeover/), Life's long search in organism-space had only just gotten started.
When I try to structure my understanding of the unfolding process of
Life, it... |
434f5064-7ff2-48a1-9ed1-b0fc5954cb1e | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | let's stick with the term "moral patient"
let's stick with the term "moral patient"
-----------------------------------------
"moral patient" means ["entities that are eligible for moral consideration"](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moral_agency#Distinction_between_moral_agency_and_moral_patienthood). as [a recent p... |
2c95a578-a4b4-4625-a7d3-aa7205610df8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Aliveness
None |
d1948b18-eef7-4aa2-987d-1c2361c1d456 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Political Skills which Increase Income
Summary: This article is intended for those who are "earning to give" (i.e. maximize income so that it can be donated to charity). It is basically an annotated bibliography of a few recent meta-analyses of predictors of income.
Key Results
* The degree to which management “s... |
9506961e-3ac8-45f6-8c23-ec97b783b87b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | A brief review of the reasons multi-objective RL could be important in AI Safety Research
*By Ben Smith,* [*Roland Pihlakas*](https://www.lesswrong.com/users/roland-pihlakas)*, and* [*Robert Klassert*](https://www.lesswrong.com/users/klaro)
*Thanks to Linda Linsefors, Alex Turner, Richard Ngo, Peter Vamplew, JJ Hepbu... |
f27c832e-6b75-4700-936e-25fe811a9203 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How common is it for one entity to have a 3+ year technological lead on its nearest competitor?
I'm writing a follow-up to my blog post on soft takeoff and DSA, and I am looking for good examples of tech companies or academic research projects that are ~3+ years ahead of their nearest competitors in the technology(ies... |
af993e51-a69b-4e20-b2c8-7bc900bd2dbf | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Logical Counterfactuals & the Cooperation Game
Update: Originally I set the utility for AB or BA to -10, -10; but I've now realised that unnecessarily complicates the problem.
----------------------------------------
Logical counterfactuals (as in Functional Decision Theory) are more about your state of knowledge th... |
d200e843-3b11-4d76-95c2-d6af69c0fb36 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Washington, D.C.: Meta Meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : Washington, D.C.: Meta Meetup
WHEN: 29 January 2017 03:30:00PM (-0500)
WHERE: Donald W. Reynolds Center for American Art and Portraiture
We will be meeting in the courtyard to talk about the Less Wrong DC group - what people like and what pe... |
b74da30e-1e43-44d7-a4c4-ff7f66a9e690 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/aisafety.info | AI Safety Info | If we solve alignment, are we sure of a good future?
If by “solve alignment” you mean build a sufficiently performance-competitive superintelligence which has the goal of [coherent extrapolated volition](https://www.lesswrong.com/tag/coherent-extrapolated-volition) or something else which captures human values, then y... |
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