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015ef58a-717c-45b1-8d81-28cc692ad38e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Mental focus
I just noticed how much effort I put into remembering what I was thinking-- I do a lot of "I had an interesting idea about that which I wanted to include-- what was the idea?".
It can take at least 3 or 4 repetitions before the idea finally gets typed out, partly because I might be typing or formulating ... |
1d8f77b2-2c29-440f-9c48-07add589ebb7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | For Better Commenting, Take an Oath of Reply.
Thus spoke Maedhros and Maglor and Celegorm, Curufin and Caranthir, Amrod and Amras, princes of the Noldor; and many quailed to hear the dread words. For so sworn, good or evil, an oath may not be broken, and it shall pursue oathkeeper and oathbreaker to the world's end. -... |
b32fb4ed-9d5c-4aec-91ce-9637ad5b0357 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Acausal trade: different utilities, different trades
A putative new idea for AI control; index here.
Other posts in the series: Introduction, Double decrease, Pre-existence deals, Full decision algorithms, Breaking acausal trade, Trade in different types of utility functions, Being unusual, and Summary.
In a previou... |
5306ead8-e5d7-46fb-9d42-e3d471865793 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Repeal the Jones Act of 1920
Balsa Policy Institute chose as its first mission to lay groundwork for the potential repeal, or partial repeal, of section 27 of the Jones Act of 1920. I believe that this is an important cause both for its practical and symbolic impacts.
The Jones Act is the ultimate embodiment of our f... |
7a9f743b-8621-4e23-8d03-e29c441f539c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Anyone want to give Holmesian reasoning a try?
In Sherlock Holmes fiction, we see that Holmes is capable of making correct inferences using insufficient information and long, tenuous chains of reasoning. I'm curious what would happen if we tried to apply this in real life. Here's a riddle containing insufficient infor... |
e86c9ff2-7a7a-419d-914f-9c3d86214187 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | A strange twist on the road to AGI
By now, many people will have seen my (possibly infamous) posts written for the Future Fund worldview prize, where I argue that AGI won't happen any time soon.
To prove that life is stranger than fiction, this morning I saw an article which could change everything. Researchers in Me... |
c7f47b0b-811e-45d1-9cb4-72c04803d827 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Skills and Antiskills
One useful little concept that a friend and I have is that of the antiskill. Like a normal skill, an antiskill gives you both the ability and the affordance to do things that you wouldn't otherwise be able to do. The difference between a skill and an antiskill is that a skill gives you the abilit... |
5d9bd965-66fd-4df8-991c-148486ea8ac0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Reducing LLM deception at scale with self-other overlap fine-tuning
This research was conducted at AE Studio and supported by the AI Safety Grants program administered by Foresight Institute with additional support from AE Studio.
Summary
In this post, we summarize the main experimental results from our new paper, "... |
4bf272c8-f453-4bf3-b80d-2227a7ee9141 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Career uncertainty: Medicine vs. AI
Hey everyone,
I'm a 22-year-old from Germany about to graduate with a history degree, and I'm feeling pretty worried and unsure about my next steps. I picked history because it caught my interest in school, but I didn't have much guidance from family, relatives or teachers while m... |
926dfd51-ab0c-4e32-96a6-0f28690f8d6b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How do you estimate how much you're going to like something?
Suppose you've never tried/done/seen/tasted X before. You want to predict how well you would rate/enjoy X. (X could be as small as a restaurant, or as big as a career choice.)
My knee-jerk way to approach this would be "(read about and) imagine doing X, se... |
148732ad-7e07-4f6d-9b2e-5fcf26293fe0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | April 10 2011 Southern California Meetup
There will be a LessWrong meetup for Southern California on Sunday April 10th from 2:00PM to 8:00PM and we will probably linger later. Feel free to come for all or part of the time. The location is being kindly provided by the Harvey Mudd A.I. & Future Technology Club in the P... |
026de1ae-7c4b-4295-ac1e-8cbf517716aa | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : West LA Meetup - Mind-Hacking Planning Session
Discussion article for the meetup : West LA Meetup - Mind-Hacking Planning Session
WHEN: 25 April 2012 07:00:00PM (-0700)
WHERE: 10850 West Pico Blvd, Los Angeles, CA 90064
When: 7:00pm - 9:00pm Wednesday, April 11th.
Where: The Westside Tavern in the upstair... |
44a1feb6-127f-4496-9de4-c14cc73bac58 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | [Closed] Hiring a mathematician to work on the learning-theoretic AI alignment agenda
*Cross-posted from the* [*AI alignment forum*](https://www.alignmentforum.org/posts/it5odhMKY6xYLrFZD/hiring-a-mathematician-to-work-on-the-learning-theoretic-ai)*.*
**UPDATE:** The position is now closed. My thanks to everyone who ... |
5b3988cb-06e9-46a4-93f5-4f76f3d45808 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Mental Mountains
I.
Kaj Sotala has an outstanding review of Unlocking The Emotional Brain; I read the book, and Kaj’s review is better.
He begins:
> UtEB’s premise is that much if not most of our behavior is driven by emotional learning. Intense emotions generate unconscious predictive models of how the world funct... |
cfd3a290-3926-4db9-b504-d2f03f2c18fd | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Finding the multiple ground truths of CoinRun and image classification
Research projects
I'm planning to start two research projects on model splintering/reward generalisation and learning the preferences of irrational agents.
Within those projects, I'm aiming to work on subprojects that are:
1. Posed in terms that... |
223c74a7-28c5-4530-bf27-b3f00465df92 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Ignorant, irrelevant, and inscrutable (rationalism critiques)
|
ad8c73ef-93a8-4c50-b93e-d31b3ba6d3cc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Reverse engineering of the simulation
Let's say you decided a best way to achieve some goal is to create a simulation. You'll almost certainly have to balance:
* The accuracy of the simulation, i.e. how well it describes some "real" conditions you intend to model.
* The cost of preparing and running the simulation,... |
c71a425f-0a72-4278-b27d-421d9c97b305 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | You Are Not So Smart - Book on Bias by david mcraney
http://youarenotsosmart.com/
Hi Everyone,
I was just wondering if anyone's read the above book, and what they thought of it? (I have not)
Not so much in terms of actual content, but in terms of popularizing Rationality and raising the sanity waterline.
How usefu... |
08d3935b-3e94-495a-ba3c-c16660cb372c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Dark Arts 101: Be rigorous, on average
I'm reading George Steiner's 1989 book on literary theory, Real Presences. Steiner is a literary theorist who achieved the trifecta of having appointments at Oxford, Cambridge, and Harvard. His book demonstrates an important Dark Arts method of argument.
So far, Steiner's argume... |
e46fee2c-e35c-4ab2-bf61-b87eeeae70b5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Get full-text of research papers as you browse
|
9010ba2c-3346-48f5-b4d9-3cafc4543b38 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | D&D.Sci 5E: Return of the League of Defenders
This is an entry in the 'Dungeons & Data Science' series, a set of puzzles where players are given a dataset to analyze and an objective to pursue using information from that dataset.
Note: this is a sequel to the original 'League of Defenders of the Storm' scenario, but... |
45522d32-47c5-495f-a02e-5152e9036a44 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Subjectivism and moral authority
(Cross-posted from Hands and Cities. Content warning: descriptions of cruelty)
Lots of people I know think that what you should do depends, ultimately, on your contingent patterns of care and concern (suitably idealized), as opposed to some sort of objective “normative reality.” And I... |
8eb68cbb-2309-441f-bbdd-b419ac94c13f | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Bahamian Adventures: An Epic Tale of Entrepreneurship, AI Strategy Research and Potatoes
[*In previous episodes of my life*](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/YrR6hAL79SdTkNp2f/tis-the-season-of-change-1):
Jaime suspended his PhD. He started working with Open Philanthropy on modelling the development of trans... |
90732b96-45c1-4f4f-9708-b2688b34734d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : London social
Discussion article for the meetup : London social
WHEN: 13 October 2013 02:00:00PM (+0100)
WHERE: Shakespeare's Head, 64-68 Kingsway, London WC2B 6BG
Come and hang out with the lovely people of London Less Wrong. No agenda, just whatever's interesting!
Discussion article for the meetup : Lo... |
7f2b5166-c39b-4744-87c4-8ad075d359dc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Seeking links for the best arguments for economic libertarianism
[see 'Update' below]
I know discussions of actual applied politics are to be avoided. I don't want to start one.
But I thought LessWrong people might be a source for where the best arguments have been made for libertarianism in the economic sense (not ... |
daafbd8a-4787-4b83-8b11-f2efca5bd20a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] Eutopia is Scary
Today's post, Eutopia is Scary was originally published on 12 January 2009. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> If a citizen of the Past were dropped into the Present world, they would be pleasantly surprised along at least some dimensions; they would also be horrified, disgusted, an... |
6d45b712-143e-4cd6-9c03-d02093a66833 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Fort Collins, Colorado Meetup Thursday 7pm *New Place*
Discussion article for the meetup : Fort Collins, Colorado Meetup Thursday 7pm *New Place*
WHEN: 02 August 2012 07:00:00PM (-0600)
WHERE: 1129 W. Elizabeth St. Fort Collins 80521
The move to Thursdays is working well. Back to Momo Lomo near campus for ... |
7d3e6d8f-a8b8-4d1a-b9bd-575bf311b95d | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Comparing Anthropic's Dictionary Learning to Ours
Readers may have noticed many similarities between Anthropic's recent publication [Towards Monosemanticity: Decomposing Language Models With Dictionary Learning](https://transformer-circuits.pub/2023/monosemantic-features/) ([LW post](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/TD... |
47c8fec7-5ecd-4473-ad27-4ad72b7ed1b4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Confusions and updates on STEM AI
Background
In November 2022, I was thinking a lot about the possible paths to getting powerful and dangerous AI models. My intuition was that an AI that can generate new science, i.e., it can write down a series of hypotheses, select one or more of them, design experiments to test the... |
6d840dab-ffb1-4088-bf1b-149dce317687 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Enabling New Applications with Today's Mechanistic Interpretability Toolkit
Working on the more applied side of Mechanistic Interpretability (MI) research, I wanted to share some more evidence on why building on top of MI tools both have valuable applications for model performance on existing tasks and enable new appl... |
a6b96cc0-1d3a-46e6-833a-2ce66d23de74 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Diseasitis
A nurse is screening a student population for a certain illness, Diseasitis (lit. "inflammation of the disease").
- Based on prior epidemiological studies, you expect that around 20% of the students in a screening population like this one will actually have Diseasitis.
You are testing for the presence of ... |
d2b23393-9a6e-4af3-ab37-e5efd45cf1d0 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Intermittent Distillations #4: Semiconductors, Economics, Intelligence, and Technological Progress.
The Semiconductor Supply Chain: Assessing National Competitiveness (Saif M. Khan, Alexander Mann, Dahlia Peterson)
======================================================================================================... |
4cb189ed-c30a-4e62-aa3a-6b374cb0d34c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Of Birds and Bees
The Hierarchy
There is a hierarchy in life from simple cells to complex cells to multi-cellular creatures to creatures that often live in a groups like birds and bees. As we go up the hierarchy the lower levels have less individual say. For example the mitochondria have no individual life or fitness... |
dbd21ca6-5ae3-450d-970d-180ce95ba182 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Wisdom of Living for 200 Years
Scott Sumner writes:
> Old people have a sort of double vision about the past — an ability to see the past from the perspective of today, and also from the perspective of the people who lived through those times. When then was now.
This double vision, according to Scott, brings wis... |
3df04555-6aa5-485e-abcd-12e03c91e2df | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Content warning: death
(Content warning: death)
People often use trigger and content warnings to tell readers about content that might be costly to read, before they are already reading it. I have seen warnings about a large variety of upsetting contents, but I have seen very few about death (I thought it was none, b... |
967ad0bb-e0ce-4509-a721-3560e388d780 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Reward is the optimization target (of capabilities researchers)
In [Reward is not the optimization target](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/pdaGN6pQyQarFHXF4/reward-is-not-the-optimization-target), [@TurnTrout](https://www.alignmentforum.org/users/turntrout?mention=user)writes:
> Therefore, *reward is not the optimiz... |
5ac63ccc-cada-4ac6-b304-78825ec3d35e | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Results from the language model hackathon
We ran a [black box investigation](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/yGaw4NqRha8hgx5ny/the-case-for-becoming-a-black-box-investigator-of-language) [hackathon](https://itch.io/jam/llm-hackathon) ([original post](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/npm6mrJQzungTLsKj/black-bo... |
857bc8c1-b25c-41d0-9733-9cf9cb7da671 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Executive Dysfunction 101
This is an intro post for the Procedural Executive Function sequence, which is now complete, to help give some general background of how to orient to executive dysfunction both philosophically and practically.
First things first; “executive dysfunction” is not a diagnosis. "Executive Functio... |
b9f7096a-25b0-4f80-aef9-e4f88f35c6bc | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Individual Project Fund: Further Details
In my post on [where I plan to donate in 2016](https://jsteinhardt.wordpress.com/2016/12/28/donations-for-2016/), I said that I would set aside $2000 for funding promising projects that I come across in the next year:
> The idea behind the project fund is … [to] give in a lo... |
1c76c154-d0a5-4dc0-8892-417a92f2f453 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | How BoMAI Might fail
This post is me looking at [1905.12186.pdf](https://arxiv.org/pdf/1905.12186.pdf) and giving some ideas on how it might fail.
Firstly, I would like to point out that I think the design in this paper does buy you some amount of marginal safety when dealing with slightly superhuman AI's, and that ... |
62bbf577-1272-4e05-9f05-ad00e606fef4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Of Two Minds
Follow-up to: The Intelligent Social Web
The human mind evolved under pressure to solve two kinds of problems:
* How to physically move
* What to do about other people
I don’t mean that list to be exhaustive. It doesn’t include maintaining homeostasis, for instance. But in practice I think it hits ev... |
36c70ecb-1691-41f8-bd67-e6f57dbc3486 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Using vector fields to visualise preferences and make them consistent
*This post was written for [Convergence Analysis](https://www.convergenceanalysis.org/) by Michael Aird, based on ideas from Justin Shovelain and with ongoing guidance from him. Throughout the post, “I” will refer to Michael, while “we” will refer t... |
406c5f64-72ca-438b-b0af-2edcbd4b35e1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Are we infantile introspectors?
Some plausible premises that have been kicking around in my head for a while, and lately found each other:
* When we don’t have concepts for things, we can hardly think about them. When I learn new concepts, I often notice them applying everywhere where before I didn’t even notice any... |
84bd70d0-6e77-459e-be93-6ddbc7e45594 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | London Rationalish Meetup 2022-09-11
Usually, we start around 3pm, with people showing up from 2pm. This time we’ll be in an office building at 201 Borough High Street, SE1 1JA, which is a two-minute walk from Borough Underground Station. We are going to be let into the building at 3pm, so we will meet at Starbucks,... |
3db33b1c-2ae8-4efe-9e9c-0878e7449fd2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How do humans assign utilities to world states?
It seems like a good portion of the whole "maximizing utility" strategy which might be used by a sovereign relies on actually being able to consolidate human preferences into utilities. I think there are a few stages here, each of which may present obstacles. I'm not sur... |
a91f85cb-f0c3-4766-badb-0deb16e3ecd1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Libs vs Frameworks, Middle-Level Regularities vs Theories
Recently, a friend of mine brought out the essential distinction between libraries and frameworks in software engineering.
A library is a small software program that does one thing, does it cleanly, and lets you apply this thing to whatever you want. It lives ... |
44d56c78-7aa0-4814-815a-25969ed5b413 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | The (local) unit of intelligence is FLOPs
*[Crossposting again on*[*Lesswrong*](https://www.lesswrong.com/) *and*[*Windowsontheory*](https://windowsontheory.org/)*, with the hope I am not overstaying my welcome in LW.]*
Wealth can be measured by *dollars*. This is not a perfect measurement: it’s hard to account fo... |
2b1c8f0b-d9ab-4a5d-851b-ea199a059507 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Video Link] PostHuman: An Introduction to Transhumanism
http://youtu.be/bTMS9y8OVuY
I think this is a nice introduction to Transhumanism, inspired by the style of many well known Youtube educators. Given how much LessWrong likes these ideas, I thought it was worth sharing.
The group also has a Kickstarter here to f... |
b4a1cd72-c587-4539-95b6-351374e8fc73 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Gell-Mann checks
tl;dr: "Gell-Mann amnesia" is a cognitive bias—an observation of human failure. The mechanism behind it can be instrumentalized. Call it "Gell-Mann checks".
Importantly, Gell-Mann checks are only valid insofar as the truth-finding mechanism being judged is good at generalizing.
That is, you can onl... |
209a769d-2134-4a43-b1a0-aba4214267fb | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Microdooms averted by working on AI Safety
Disclaimer: the models presented are extremely naive and simple, and assume that existential risk from AI is higher than 20%. Play around with the models using [this (mostly GPT-4 generated) jupyter notebook.](https://colab.research.google.com/drive/1PcXM_FtItgGKF8J_WCZg1rA5R... |
5a5b8ef9-699a-4a0b-ac74-ef59a56adfa7 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Fractional digits
When $b$ and $x$ are [integers](https://arbital.com/p/48l), $\log_b(x)$ has a few good interpretations. It's roughly the [length of $x$](https://arbital.com/p/416) when written in [base $b$](https://arbital.com/p/number_bases). More precisely, it's the [fair price of an $x$-digit](https://arbital.com... |
d27a8350-c39c-4eee-b7fa-868d7cc9334b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : LW-cologne meetup May
Discussion article for the meetup : LW-cologne meetup May
WHEN: 21 May 2016 05:00:00PM (+0200)
WHERE: Marienweg 43, 50858
Monthly LW-cologne meetup. Please pm me if you wish to attend and are not in our Doodle.
Discussion article for the meetup : LW-cologne meetup May |
0437acbf-ae74-4bba-a3c4-8651c0136217 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | (Possibly Bayesian) Statistics Question
This question exists in the awkward space between "things undergrads google for homework" and "things on the cutting edge," so google isn't being super helpful.
I have a number I want a computer to estimate. Right now I have two regression models and an insider methodology. ... |
f8359eb3-8adb-44f7-bd4c-e7c1ccdf852d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Open Request for Writing Assistance
I have several rough drafts of things I'd like to post to Less Wrong. The one I'm currently working on is about Solomonoff Induction. I seem to be best-motivated by active feedback while writing; this thread is mainly to request feedback while writing in the future. If you'd be i... |
86ed6aa1-1ec4-4945-ad76-e7aca47a31dd | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Transformer trained on it's own content?
Please forgive my lack of knowledge and inexperience on these topics. As I'm interested in the intersection of AI, Jungian studies, and the human condition, I've stumbled on this community. I'm continually impressed with the scope and depth of thought I find here. I dont have m... |
b83dfd18-ee84-46aa-a9b6-4f6e8706143d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Provisionality
[Metadata: crossposted from https://tsvibt.blogspot.com/2023/03/provisionality.html. First completed March 7, 2023.]
A mental element has to be open to revision, and so it has to be treated as though it might be revised.
Thanks to Sam Eisenstat for relevant conversations and for the basic notion of pr... |
7a2e769e-7606-4227-82ed-e4fa35e6f05f | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | The Counterfactual Prisoner's Dilemma
Updateless decision theory asks us to make decisions by imagining what we would have pre-committed to ahead of time. There's only one problem - we didn't commit to it ahead of time. So we do we care about what would have happened if we had?
This isn't a problem for the standard N... |
b229e015-f3e4-4fce-8bea-a697e96861d1 | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "As far as I can tell, most people around these parts consider the principle of charity and its super saiyan form, steelmanning, to be Very Good Rationalist Virtues. I basically agree and I in fact operate under these principles more or less automatically now. HOWEVER, no matter how good the rule is, there are always e... |
3fdc45cf-4e30-4a5c-91bc-d18908c0b5f7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | East Coast Megameet Google Hangout, today at 3PM
Today is the East Coast Less Wrong Megameetup. We'll be trying an experiment - running a Google Hangout in the main discussion room. To participate, you'll need a Google+ account, but if you have any kind of Google account (for youtube, e-mail, or anything) you can easi... |
f75179e9-e40b-49bb-9b33-51700017f698 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Montreal LessWrong Meetup - Emotions: Reading and Understanding
Discussion article for the meetup : Montreal LessWrong Meetup - Emotions: Reading and Understanding
WHEN: 04 February 2013 06:30:00PM (-0500)
WHERE: 655 Avenue du Président Kennedy, Montréal, QC H3A 3H9
Weekly meetup, we'll be discussing emoti... |
bbaab4e2-25e2-4836-8a61-edc74d8b10b8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Best wishes for 2012
To all the writers and readers of this site and all the people behind the site, who make it operational.
Cheers! |
d27b57fa-65c2-4fe8-90ff-20c93c25e756 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube | Youtube Transcripts | GPT 4: 9 Revelations (not covered elsewhere)
the gpt4 technical report is one of the
most interesting documents I have ever
read but I feel like the media is
largely missing the story they are
either not covering it at all or
focusing on that same stuff about the 10
billion dollar Microsoft investment how
gpt4 can wri... |
4359dca6-68a4-4195-bc99-e073a8f80ced | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | A general model of safety-oriented AI development
This may be trivial or obvious for a lot of people, but it doesn't seem like anyone has bothered to write it down (or I haven't looked hard enough). It started out as a generalization of Paul Christiano's [IDA](https://ai-alignment.com/iterated-distillation-and-amplifi... |
635c5266-4e12-4fac-92d6-13c40a763065 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Funk-tunul's Legacy; Or, The Legend of the Extortion War
(A traditional folk tale of the rashunuhlist people, as told by Jessica Taylor, and literarily and mathematically adapted by the present author.)
In the days of auld lang syne on Earth-that-was, there was a population of agents playing the Nash demand game unde... |
d107ea85-3f03-49d4-8160-44a4bb3a86a7 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Rebooting AI Governance: An AI-Driven Approach to AI Governance
This article is part of a series on Decision-Making under Deep Uncertainty (DMDU). Building on an introduction to complexity modeling and DMDU, this article focuses on the application of this methodology to the field of AI governance. If you haven't read ... |
97feec33-d6f4-4fa8-9a7c-7bd963be50b4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The aducanumab approval
> As the world knows, the FDA approved Biogen’s anti-amyloid antibody today, surely the first marketed drug whose Phase III trial was stopped for futility. I think this is one of the worst FDA decisions I have ever seen, because – like the advisory committee that reviewed the application, and l... |
abf693e7-3f57-4f27-8f0e-f13fdee722a6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What if we Align the AI and nobody cares?
In the classic AI Foom scenario, a single unified AI passes the boundary where it is capable of recursive self-improvement. Thereafter it increases in intelligence hyper exponentially until it rapidly gains control of the future.
We now know this is not going to happen. B... |
e53c9287-e838-4574-a2f6-b600b3a0835f | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Dath Ilani Rule of Law
*Minor spoilers for* [*mad investor chaos and the woman of asmodeus (planecrash Book 1).*](https://www.glowfic.com/posts/4582)
*Also, be warned: citation links in this post link to a NSFW subthread in the story.*
Criminal Law and Dath Ilan
==========================
> When Keltham was very y... |
e1f2d784-852e-4f09-985a-5d833f0a53c8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Population ethics and personal identity
Photo: Misocrazy
It seems most people think creating a life is a morally neutral thing to do while destroying one is terrible. This is apparently because prior to being alive and contingent on not being born, you can’t want to be alive, and nobody exists to accrue benefits or c... |
4863e65f-5d6d-4943-8a7b-fe3270e77027 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Towards Measures of Optimisation
We would like a mathematical theory which characterises the intuitive notion of ‘optimisation’.
Before Shannon introduced his mathematical theory of communication, the concept of ‘information’ was vague and informal. Then Shannon devised several standardised measures of it, with usefu... |
f969b87b-a13f-454f-85e4-cc236bf101c2 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Social Cohesion in Autonomous Driving.
I Introduction
---------------
Humans are remarkable drivers. Yes, we get fatigued, we get distracted, we drive when we should not. But we also are amazing at understanding what is going on around us. We understand what traffic cones mean, we know how to handle construction zo... |
17388094-2484-4fa1-9d57-7d5a9462e58d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A systematic error that lead to a bad policy response to COVID-19
Introduction
When it comes to dealing with adopting good COVID-19 policies, our civilization failed. This suggests low ability to respond well to another future crisis that might be an X-risk. While we made multiple classes of errors this post will look... |
61722327-5ef1-4640-ab8b-314ea1d660b2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Dogma of Evidence-based Medicine
In polite society it's currently fashionable to be in favor of Evidence-based Medicine and proclaim that we don't have enough of it. In this article I want to argue that this preference isn't backed up by good reasons. The paradigm of Evidence-based Medicine isn't backed up by evid... |
408dd095-689e-4f05-9c76-e154a20d2611 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Dynamic Awareness.
1 Introduction
---------------
Agents must sometimes take actions in situations that they do not
fully comprehend.
Work in computer science, economics, and philosophy has sought to
capture this formally by considering agents who are *unaware* of
some aspects of the world. (See, e.g., (?; ?; ?; ?;... |
7a70456c-d9df-4986-85b6-25bdf793ed2c | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | AISN #17: Automatically Circumventing LLM Guardrails, the Frontier Model Forum, and Senate Hearing on AI Oversight
Welcome to the AI Safety Newsletter by the [Center for AI Safety](https://www.safe.ai/). We discuss developments in AI and AI safety. No technical background required
Subscribe [here](https://newsletter.... |
1f31e304-6ab1-4c13-abb8-418d5805007a | awestover/filtering-for-misalignment | Redwood Research: Alek's Filtering Results | id: post1435
This is my attempt at Eliezer's challenge. https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/tD9zEiHfkvakpnNam/a-challenge-for-agi-organizations-and-a-challenge-for-1 My overall impression of this plan is that it is surprisingly good. Not that I am particularly surprised such a plan exists, if MIRI had created this plan it... |
a0e3718e-5922-489e-8e18-78e1ca4c1b08 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Nuclear Espionage and AI Governance
ABSTRACT:
Using both primary and secondary sources, I discuss the role of espionage in early nuclear history. Nuclear weapons are analogous to AI in many ways, so this period may hold lessons for AI governance. Nuclear spies successfully transferred information about the plutonium ... |
080f6f84-6cf4-40b3-96e0-81566b056077 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Should we buy Google stock?
It seems Deepmind is winning the AGI race. In the past, they negotiated with Google for having a nonprofit legal structure, but the proposal got totally rejected.
They have an agreement that, if AGI is achieved, its control will rely on Deepmind's Ethics Board, which we know pretty much no... |
1b6d0605-683c-42aa-b078-a4efd24e24ba | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Flower Memorial Meetup
None |
1e544fde-8c51-4fbc-94d3-78ea6a13d5e9 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Technology Ethics in Action: Critical and Interdisciplinary Perspectives
SPECIAL ISSUE ON TECHNOLOGY ETHICS IN ACTION: CRITICAL AND INTERDISCIPLINARY PERSPECTIVES
Editorial i –ii
The Contestation of Tech Ethics: A Sociotechnical Approach to
Technology Ethics in Practice Ben Green 209–225
Framing and Lan... |
3b690310-09f2-4ae8-9540-4832c001d287 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Redirecting one’s own taxes as an effective altruism method
About twenty years ago, I stopped paying U.S. federal income taxes. By law, the government has ten years to collect an unpaid tax bill, whereafter a sort of statute of limitations kicks in and the bill becomes permanently noncollectable. I’ve adopted the prac... |
a59109f0-36e4-4a4e-ba5f-bd9d52a6e57e | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "From the Harvard Business Review, an article entitled: "Can We Reverse The Stanford Prison Experiment?"
By: Greg McKeownPosted: June 12, 2012
Clicky Link of Awesome! Wheee! Push me!
Summary:
Royal Canadian Mounted Police attempt a program where they hand out "Positive Tickets" Their approach was to try to catch youth ... |
c003f3e4-32ae-4f7f-9bd9-ef4f647399fc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Commitments and affordances
[Epistemic status: a thing I’ve been thinking about, and may be more ignorant about than approximately everyone else.]
I don’t seem to be an expert on time management right now. But piecing through the crufty wreckage of my plans and lists and calendars, I do have a certain detailed viewpo... |
b67f695a-a69a-413f-8119-eeeb5978656b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Don't Over-Optimize Things
or Optimizing Optimization
The definition of optimize is:
> to make something as good as possible
It's hard to argue with that. It's no coincidence that a lot of us have something of an optimization mindset.
But sometimes trying to optimize can lead to worse outcomes (because we don't ful... |
d59c4d59-95b0-48c0-9c95-8430ea28ccf2 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | A Different Approach to Community Building: The Spiral Path to Impact
Recently, there's been ongoing debate about the impact of EA community building. We're keen to question the current model and present some supportive case studies (epistemic status: case studies). Our group, being nationally organized, funded, and ... |
c831ae24-1d31-4071-b286-32031813d031 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Fund me please - I Work so Hard that my Feet start Bleeding and I Need to Infiltrate University
Thanks to Taylor Smith for doing some copy-editing this.
In this article, I tell some anecdotes and present some evidence in the form of research artifacts about how easy it is for me to work hard when I have collaborators... |
c9de50ed-ea5e-41f9-bcf7-a645a2ea487b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Less Wrong DC Experimental Society
During our latest meetup, the DC Less Wrong group has decided that we are interested in experimentally testing various lifehacks on ourselves (on an opt-in volunteer basis of course).
We need two things:
* Metrics (to actually tell if there's a difference or not, rather than convi... |
07f6bead-d9ed-4047-a418-e24c3d5e8982 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Unpredictability and the Increasing Difficulty of AI Alignment for Increasingly Intelligent AI
Abstract
The question, how increasing intelligence of AIs influences central problems in AI safety remains neglected. We use the framework of reinforcement learning to discuss what continuous increases in the intelligence of... |
b9195199-bb80-48db-89b5-f51c24116fe0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What research has been done on the altruistic impact of the usual good actions?
What I mean by the "usual good actions" is notable good deeds you do may be a few times every week. Some examples:
* Help a friend end an abusive relationship.
* Go out of your way to help a stranger.
* Do something extra nice and thou... |
ddbc3949-cd52-4e08-902e-bf49e732dab3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Moscow meetup: Hamming circle, Fallacymania, Tower of Chaos
Discussion article for the meetup : Moscow meetup: Hamming circle, Fallacymania, Tower of Chaos
WHEN: 21 February 2016 02:00:00PM (+0300)
WHERE: ул. Большая Дорогомиловская, 5к2
Meta: most our members join meetups via other channels. So lately I'v... |
a135dbeb-df4b-4b72-a216-9b562db15e33 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Discussions on Determining Between Right and Wrong
Discussion article for the meetup : Discussions on Determining Between Right and Wrong
WHEN: 02 September 2015 01:10:39AM (-0700)
WHERE: 11066 Santa Monica Blvd, Los Angeles, CA 90025
How to Find Us: Go into this Del Taco. We will be in the back room if po... |
f92e2d23-8451-4854-a49b-cd669e4c3a0e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Discursive Warfare and Faction Formation
Response to Discursive Games, Discursive Warfare
The discursive distortions you discuss serve two functions:
1 Narratives can only serve as effective group identifiers by containing fixed elements that deviate from what naive reason would think. In other words, something abou... |
a5eed84f-d0cb-4da1-abda-488ea7885185 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Metaphilosophical Mysteries
Creating Friendly AI seems to require us humans to either solve most of the outstanding problems in philosophy, or to solve meta-philosophy (i.e., what is the nature of philosophy, how do we practice it, and how should we program an AI to do it?), and to do that in an amount of time measure... |
9b1247d6-62a3-47fd-99b6-b0a9fbe96cc0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Request for AI risk quotes, especially around speed, large impacts and black boxes
@KatjaGrace, Josh Hart I are finding quotes around different arguments for AI being an existential risk
Full list here: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1yB1QIHtA-EMPzqJ_57RvvftvXHTI5ZLAy921Y_8sn3U/edit
Currently we are struggl... |
ea4e50b2-eb49-4f75-baf7-ffc3f3319c4e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Thatcher's Axiom
In one of her most controversial quotes (there were many!) British Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher made the following statement: “There is no such thing as a society”.
This statement obviously caused enormous discomfort in British politics and even within the Conservative Party. How could the leade... |
88d1ad2e-8377-48e8-9890-26f4d3d32be7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | 2021 Darwin Game - River
The River contains lots of every foragable food. The River is like the Human Garbage Dump except:
1. It has 5x as many resources.
2. Both air-breathing and water-breathing species can survive in the River.
3. Organisms may not start in the River. They must wander in.
Name Carrion Leaves... |
bd11ae6b-f5ec-48c6-a1a1-1ecebee5cb76 | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "Among the many genetic variations and mutations you carry in your genome, there are a very few alleles you probably know—including those determining your blood type: the presence or absence of the A, B, and + antigens. If you receive a blood transfusion containing an antigen you don't have, it will trigger an allergic... |
6d4948f3-ee9f-4939-bdf2-cda7b6f61ef6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What would Femtotechnology, attotechnology, yoctotechnology and planck level technology be theoretically capable of ?
In paul davies book "super force" there's the following except
" Quantum physics associates a scale of energy (equivalently mass) with a scale of length. Measure-for-measure the diameter of a nucleus ... |
8279ce5c-b264-46cf-9161-370b7de03963 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A Memetic Mediator Manifesto
This link discusses strategies to try to mediate disagreements between different warring tribes with fundamentally different world views. Creator unknown. |
85529407-d511-4c69-9f03-1c37634b646f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why Q*, if real, might be a game changer
Some thoughts based on a conversation at a meetup. Disclaimer: I am less than a dilettante in this area.
TL;DR: if this rumored Q* thing represents a shift from "most probable" to "most accurate" token completion, it might be a hint of an unexpected and momentous change from a... |
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