id stringlengths 36 36 | source stringclasses 15
values | formatted_source stringclasses 13
values | text stringlengths 2 7.55M |
|---|---|---|---|
f7af8292-5c5e-4c0d-9cba-083cc65c74f4 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | November 2017 Newsletter
Eliezer Yudkowsky has written a new book on civilizational dysfunction and outperformance: *Inadequate Equilibria: Where and How Civilizations Get Stuck*. The full book will be available in print and electronic formats November 16. To preorder the ebook or sign up for updates, visit [equilibri... |
92b7a4c3-b3f7-49b8-8009-7c6c8b616b6e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Palisade is hiring: Exec Assistant, Content Lead, Ops Lead, and Policy Lead
Palisade is hiring for the following roles:
* Executive Assistant to the Executive Director (Jeffrey Ladish)
* Content Lead
* Operations Lead
* Policy Lead.
Applications are rolling, and you can fill out our short (~10 minutes) applicati... |
6141c8e8-44b1-49b4-b8b7-d95d300437c9 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Cortés, Pizarro, and Afonso as Precedents for Takeover
*Note: Aaron Gertler is cross-posting this on behalf of AI Impacts. The original author is* [*Daniel Kokotajlo*](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/users/kokotajlod)*.*
*Epistemic status: I am not a historian, nor have I investigated these case studies in det... |
8928cf61-6bcd-4fa5-9cbc-0df3b7ba177e | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | What do language models know about fictional characters?
I will speculate a bit about what language models might be doing. Hopefully it will help us come up with better research questions (for those of you who can do research) and things to try (for those of us informally testing the chatbots), to see how these langua... |
343cb036-2dad-43a8-855d-d038e96ee013 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Attempt to explain Bayes without much maths, please review
My current favourite waste of time is the concept of Bayesian postmodernism. Just putting those two words together invokes a world of delightful wrangling, as approximately anyone who understands one won't understand or will have contempt for the other. (Thoug... |
8917d666-bd28-42f9-97f2-b1375a394fcf | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A hundred Shakespeares
In his post on science slowing down, Scott said:
* "Are there a hundred Shakespeare-equivalents around today? This is a harder problem than it seems – Shakespeare has become so venerable with historical hindsight that maybe nobody would acknowledge a Shakespeare-level master today even if they... |
8bab94cb-4b35-4c4d-8593-c54abccf1584 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Linkpost: A Post Mortem on the Gino Case
As a followup to my previous linkpost to the New Yorker article covering the Ariely and Gino scandals, I'm linking this statement by Zoe Ziani, the grad student who first discovered inconsistencies in Gino's papers. Here she gives a blow-by-blow retelling of her experience atte... |
6b3bb597-f89f-4db5-9fa0-5d0090769b17 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Together We Know How to Achieve: An Epistemic Logic of Know-How (Extended Abstract)
1 Introduction
---------------
An agent a comes to a fork in a road. There is a sign that says that one of the two roads leads to prosperity, another to death. The agent must take the fork, but she does not know which road leads whe... |
42f30773-e637-42bd-b34f-d83bcc4fe7df | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What policies have most thoroughly crippled (otherwise-promising) industries or technologies?
(cropped from an image by DALL-E 2)
In order to seriously consider promoting policies aimed at slowing down progress toward transformative AI, I want a better sense of the reference class of such policies.
* What policies d... |
6fd3bf96-e44b-4150-9bc0-591396113df7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Remembering the passing of Kathy Forth.
It is with sadness and regret of the loss of life that I inform you that Kathy Forth has passed away.
She will be remembered at the solstices and forever in our hearts as someone trying to make the world a better place in the ways they believe are most important.
This post is ... |
3225e061-dc01-4ba7-a1fa-c88edf53876a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Education 2.0 — A brand new education system
What this essay does is that it introduces a brand new education system. This education system is way more effective than the current education system we have in place. And unlike the current education system, which has been the same for a long time. This one is constantly ... |
ad648b25-e854-4e14-b4fb-322acf653269 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Liar and the Scold
When I found my faith, I had an almost solipsistic view of other people.
They say that is how we all start off. But I think I am unusual in that I remember the moment that I realized others, too, were themselves. I remember not because I was precocious. Rather, because I was stunted in this asp... |
ac5b8605-2543-43ff-8f00-7fe87e6d2d5b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Irreducible element (ring theory)
summary(Technical): Let $(R, +, \times)$ be a [ring](https://arbital.com/p/3gq) which is an [integral domain](https://arbital.com/p/5md). We say $x \in R$ is *irreducible* if, whenever we write $r = a \times b$, it is the case that (at least) one of $a$ or $b$ is a [unit](https://arbi... |
9bb1d815-6ed0-48e6-a098-cc355b885818 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/aisafety.info | AI Safety Info | Can you stop an advanced AI from upgrading itself?
It depends on what is meant by “advanced”. Many AI systems which are very effective and advanced narrow intelligences would not try to upgrade themselves in an unbounded way, but becoming smarter is a [convergent instrumental goal](/?state=897I&question=What%20is%20in... |
156fba1e-0b40-4f88-bc5e-dfe5de09fda8 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | chinchilla's wild implications
([Colab notebook](https://colab.research.google.com/drive/1qv2-hUR5hPqw3OcfmLEhq6Tg15bf06Mj?usp=sharing) here.)
This post is about language model scaling laws, specifically the laws derived in the DeepMind paper that introduced Chinchilla.[[1]](#fn1trot6ka6e2)
The paper came out a few ... |
0b8c4c63-dc8b-416b-a143-c7c36946b508 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Temptation to Bubble
"Never discuss religion or politics."
I was raised in a large family of fundamentalist Christians. Growing up in my house, where discussing politics and religion were the main course of life, the above proverb was said often -- as an expression of regret, shock, or self-flagellation. Late... |
0d66e6f2-e108-4d5a-bd99-442f29ec7906 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Smuggled frames
Cross-posted from my blog.
Status: I think the described concept would be more useful if I applied it more often — or at least noticed when I do apply it. Right now it's thinking out loud + "I wonder what will happen if I post on LW".
----------------------------------------
Intro
I think that "cri... |
dc393560-59df-4dad-9c4d-759ed525698f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Link] Chalmers on Computation: A first step From Physics to Metaethics?
A Computational Foundation for the Study of Cognition by David Chalmers
Abstract from the paper:
> Computation is central to the foundations of modern cognitive science, but its role is controversial. Questions about computation abound: What is... |
6bcb73c7-a6cf-41ea-b22a-69430b1c6c0c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Judging types of consequentialism by influence and normativity
Epistemic status: Many citations missing.
Itzhak Gilboa has defined an irrational decision as one where the decision-maker feels embarrassed when confronted with an analysis of their decision. Normativity is then advice to be less irrational (or, the prac... |
5f8e0ca3-6390-4b96-8d47-2f0a5b832da6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Polyhacking
This is a post about applied luminosity in action: how I hacked myself to become polyamorous over (admittedly weak) natural monogamous inclinations. It is a case history about me and, given the specific topic, my love life, which means gooey self-disclosure ahoy. As with the last time I did that, skip th... |
9e53a987-0deb-4926-b8be-34f578ad6177 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Who To Root For: 2019 College Football Edition
Epistemic Status: Unquestionably Accurate
Football, like all sports, is better with someone to root for, and someone to root against. It’s us versus them. Ideally, it’s our house, because no one beats us in our house. That gives us a baseline heuristic – root, root root ... |
9bec92da-d9de-4490-9581-02ec090015ff | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | NYT is suing OpenAI&Microsoft for alleged copyright infringement; some quick thoughts
Unpaywalled article, the lawsuit.
(I don't have a law degree, this is not legal advice, my background is going through a US copyright law course many years ago.) I've read most of the lawsuit and skimmed through the rest, some quick... |
7e795d45-5c2f-4ecd-9024-28637039eb64 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Timeline of Carl Shulman publications
All publications I know of:
* Which Consequentialism? Machine Ethics and Moral Divergence (2009) - w/ Henrik Jonsson & Nick Tarleton
* Machine Ethics and Superintelligence (2009) - w/ Henrik Jonsson & Nick Tarleton
* Omohundro's Basic AI Drives and Catastrophic Risks (2010)... |
6d423df5-2a08-4531-b932-7b9679016e5f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AI Capabilities vs. AI Products
It's a great time to start an AI company. You can create a product in days that would have been unbelievable just two years ago. Thanks to AI, there will soon be a one-person billion-dollar company.
It's a terrible time to start an AI company. The singularity is fast approaching, and a... |
902fc666-60e3-4861-a144-726baefbdf01 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Leaky Delegation: You are not a Commodity
None |
6baee1e8-d91e-4924-8492-466adacd169a | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Instrumental pressure
Saying that an agent will see 'instrumental pressure' to bring about an event E is saying that this agent, presumed to be a [consequentialist](https://arbital.com/p/9h) with some goal G, will *ceteris paribus and absent defeaters,* want to [bring about E in order to do G](https://arbital.com/p/10... |
891717f0-45a5-4e80-81d9-5f6ab165141a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Will the Need to Retrain AI Models from Scratch Block a Software Intelligence Explosion?
Tl;dr: no.
This is a rough research note – we’re sharing it for feedback and to spark discussion. We’re less confident in its methods and conclusions.
Once AI fully automates AI R&D, there might be a period of fast and accelerat... |
70049120-935e-4afa-b107-19a8ba894fe5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Newcomb's Problem as an Iterated Prisoner's Dilemma
The intuitively paradoxical aspect of Newcomb's Problem is that it contains a loop. Your decision determines Omega's prediction, which determines the options you decide between. There are many decision theories that solve this problem, usually leading to one-boxing. ... |
31cb296d-91ec-4a71-973e-15e72eda459e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Sydney Meetup - October
Discussion article for the meetup : Sydney Meetup - October
WHEN: 22 October 2014 06:30:00PM (+1100)
WHERE: Sydney City RSL, 565 George St, Sydney, Australia 2000
6:30 PM for early discussion 7PM general dinner-discussion after dinner we'll have our rationality exercise and a more s... |
52fd8a17-c124-4650-a707-df9b82407ac8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | "Taking AI Risk Seriously" (thoughts by Critch)
Note: Serious discussion of end-of-the-world and what to do given limited info. Scrupulosity triggers, etc.
Epistemic Status: The first half of this post is summarizing my own views. I think I phrase each sentence about as strongly as I feel it. (When I include a caveat... |
90de858a-7188-4e22-bb88-e5632037004e | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Economic AI Safety
*Crossposted from my blog,* [*Bounded Regret*](https://bounded-regret.ghost.io/economic-ai-safety/)*.*
There is a growing fear that algorithmic recommender systems, such as Facebook, Youtube, Netflix, and Amazon, are having negative effects on society, for instance by manipulating users into behavi... |
89d1e5be-8474-4fc1-a570-c1d0b6440489 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A Simple Ethics Model
[Cross-posted from my soon-to-be-defunct blog]
Disclaimer #1: I am probably reinventing the wheel. However, reinventing the wheel is good.
Disclaimer #2: This post probably fundamentally misunderstands non-consequentialists.
I’ve been thinking about normative ethics lately. There are three m... |
7bc4f291-859e-4513-a698-b245fe7a90a6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A Practical Guide to Conflict Resolution: Communication
[As described in the introduction, this post is about the different ways we communicate, the impact that can have on conflict, and how to choose the best communication tool for the job.]
If you’re anything like me, you crave specific advice for conflict resoluti... |
6c77be2e-de32-49b7-b31e-9372907dc387 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Are Intelligent Agents More Ethical?
This post is a response to a claim by Scott Sumner in his conversation at LessOnline with Nate Soares, about how ethical we should expect AI's to be.
Sumner sees a pattern of increasing intelligence causing agents to be increasingly ethical, and sounds cautiously optimistic that s... |
34944776-3020-4eca-a872-c14666bb2288 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Externally Oriented, Love, Sensational. Which Rationality will LW be about?
Short Version: Less Wrong has been trying to address rationality in all domains. This may prove too wide a scope. As it has been suggested, effectiveness changes should come soon. Those who just read the sequences need more a focused walkth... |
6573bf3f-1cd6-4446-97d2-392cece29931 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Protecting against sudden capability jumps during training
TL;DR: If an LLM has a sudden capabilities jump and is tested using a diverse test suite (e.g. one where it can execute code or present lots of text to human observers), it might be able to escape mid-training. In order to prevent this, I propose a phased test... |
66e61a08-b2c1-4986-a2d7-8dd3dd3f045c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Online Privacy: Should you Care?
Epistemic status: Initially, this was a practical advice post, because I thought privacy was obviously important. After some discussion, I realised that I cared about privacy as a terminal goal, and that this view wasn't universal. It's therefore hard for me to judge the instrumental u... |
fcc84cf1-c61e-4ab4-b49e-92715f121f07 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Suggestions on tech device/gear purchasing?
I found out I won second place in an idea contest at work and am being granted ~$400 to spend at Best Buy (the web site for any unfamiliar). Originally, I believe the second place prize was going to be an iPad, but it looks like they've decided to just allow me to pick somet... |
0427e71d-973a-4dfc-bfb8-8c49cc8a451f | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Mathematical models of Ethics
Hello, I am currently trying to find all the attempts at mathematical modeling of ethics (utilitarianism, axiologies, etc.) I have found several, do you have any ideas of keywords to type or even articles to suggest here ?
An example of a (simple) model is the notion of utility in the Vo... |
7bd2dda7-4b89-4163-9508-ffac22240de9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Automating Consistency
tldr: Ask models to justify statements. Remove context, ask if statements are true/good. If not, penalise. Apply this again to the justifying statements.
Status: Just a quick thought. Doubt this is a new idea but I don't think I've encountered it. Happy to delete if it's a duplicate.
Mods: If ... |
5664e7d0-c1bc-4085-ba03-633cdf95e6e5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Tags Discussion/Talk Thread
The LessWrong dev team is hard at work creating Talk Pages/Discussion pages for tags. When they're done, every tag page will have a corresponding talk page which lets users discuss changes and improvements related to that tag.
We don't have that yet, so in the meantime, please make comment... |
1d415a68-7bc8-429e-a2d7-9cafe56d7a07 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Some thoughts pointing to slower AI take-off
I've been lurking on LessWrong for quite a while and I've been following the high-level discussions on AI, AGI and take-off speed. I've had this simmer in the back of my mind and I have some ideas on this that I haven't seen expressed elsewhere. That can be because I haven... |
772fc34a-1599-4103-95f8-53f4e990dd5f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Functional Decision Theory vs Causal Decision Theory: Expanding on Newcomb's Problem
I’ve finished reading through Functional Decision Theory: A New Theory of Instrumental Rationality, and in my mind, the main defense of causal-decision-theory (CDT) agents in Newcomb’s Problem is not well-addressed. As they stated in ... |
eec6b0d5-92a7-451e-a761-3aeaae66ebb1 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | AI Policy Levers: A Review of the U.S. Government’s Tools to Shape AI Research, Development, and Deployment | GovAI
A I P o l i c y L e v e r s :
A R e v i e w o f t h e U . S . G o v e r n m e n t ’ s T o o l s t o S h a p e
A I R e s e a r c h , D e v e l o p m e n t , a n d D e p l o y m e n t
S
o p h i e - C h a r... |
b8acf9ca-fed4-4000-85ca-1268a19faafa | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Value Deathism
Ben Goertzel:
> I doubt human value is particularly fragile. Human value has evolved and morphed over time and will continue to do so. It already takes multiple different forms. It will likely evolve in future in coordination with AGI and other technology. I think it's fairly robust.
Robin Hanson:
> ... |
940f4122-ee90-4c17-8f06-5c8f303296ab | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Paper: Teaching GPT3 to express uncertainty in words
**Paper Authors:** Stephanie Lin (FHI, Oxford), [Jacob Hilton](https://www.lesswrong.com/users/jacob_hilton) (OpenAI), Owain Evans
**TLDR:** New paper ([Arxiv](https://arxiv.org/abs/2205.14334), [Twitter](https://twitter.com/OwainEvans_UK/status/1531626940624404483... |
cf9d5611-2e0f-4767-95bc-8d61db3638d5 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Probability distribution (countable sample space)
Definition
===
A probability distribution on a countable [https://arbital.com/p/3t4](https://arbital.com/p/3t4) $\Omega$ is a [https://arbital.com/p/3jy](https://arbital.com/p/3jy) $\mathbb{P}: \Omega \to [https://arbital.com/p/0,1](https://arbital.com/p/0,1)$ such th... |
c0cb7ffc-7ef1-420c-a21b-3cca6b7357e3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Fake Justification
Many Christians who’ve stopped really believing now insist that they revere the Bible as a source of ethical advice. The standard atheist reply is given by Sam Harris: “You and I both know that it would take us five minutes to produce a book that offers a more coherent and compassionate morality tha... |
aae1edca-8c13-4489-bdbf-767bb8e00d96 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | When was the term "AI alignment" coined?
None |
4e106b2d-e393-4246-8395-6096e9d58f8d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Study Group for Progress – 50% off for LessWrongers
Recently I announced the Study Group for Progress: a weekly discussion/Q&A on the history, economics and philosophy of progress, with featured guests including Robert Gordon (Rise & Fall of American Growth), Margaret Jacob, and Richard Nelson.
LessWrong members can ... |
7286801f-6d02-4efe-92ed-2c03b57945a3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | My experience at and around MIRI and CFAR (inspired by Zoe Curzi's writeup of experiences at Leverage)
I appreciate Zoe Curzi's revelations of her experience with Leverage. I know how hard it is to speak up when no or few others do, and when people are trying to keep things under wraps.
I haven't posted much publicl... |
085188aa-b63c-451d-9d7c-0fef265d51e6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Elephant seal 2
|
4883479a-a1c6-42a2-8049-4d9b94cfcaee | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Draft for commenting] Near-Term AI risks predictions
"Predictions of the Near-Term Global Catastrophic Risks of Artificial Intelligence"
Abstract: In this article, we explore risks of the appearance of dangerous AI in the near (0–5 years) and medium term (5–15 years). Polls show that around 10 percent of the prob... |
3adca962-862e-47fc-a3c2-595435986c22 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : The future of rationality in Melbourne
Discussion article for the meetup : The future of rationality in Melbourne
WHEN: 09 April 2017 03:30:00PM (+1000)
WHERE: Henley Club, Melbourne, VIC
"The future of rationality in Melbourne"
Less Wrong Melbourne dojo, 9 April 2017
NOTE NEW VENUE (The Henley Club in c... |
cc0fdf2d-3bef-4c8d-ba89-fd3410a681e4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Anti-correlated causation
Example 1: exercise correlates with weight gain?
Let's assume that, when holding diet constant, exercise causes weight loss in the general population. Basic military training causes soldiers to exercise, but it also may cause weight gain in underweight soldiers. They need to build muscle to c... |
97f15121-1d99-4ea2-be6c-62527d0d1918 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | My motivation and theory of change for working in AI healthtech
This post starts out pretty gloomy but ends up with some points that I feel pretty positive about. Day to day, I'm more focussed on the positive points, but awareness of the negative has been crucial to forming my priorities, so I'm going to start with t... |
fa9c3501-8f51-4218-92c7-52fec34ba788 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Determinants of Controllable AGI
Allen Schmaltz, PhD
We briefly introduce, at a conceptual level, technical work for deriving robust estimators of the predictive uncertainty over large language models (LLMs), and we consider the implications for real-world deployments and AI policy.
The Foundational LLM Lim... |
08540ed2-268e-4372-9c21-4e16f3a5a7a3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What should a friendly AI do, in this situation?
Albert is a relatively new AI, who under the close guidance of his programmers is being permitted to slowly improve his own cognitive capability.
Albert wants to be friendly and, as a sub-goal of that, Albert wants to be transparent about his own cognitive process. H... |
b46c8fb1-5298-4b1f-9162-e60b74e40093 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Debate, Oracles, and Obfuscated Arguments
This post is about recent and ongoing work on the power and limits of debate from the computational complexity point of view. As a starting point our paper Scalable AI Safety via Doubly-Efficient Debate gives new complexity-theoretic formalizations for debate. In this post we ... |
e3f95a58-328a-4402-b5c5-5446687f9f86 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Introduction to Effective Altruism
Effective altruism (EA) means using evidence and reason to take actions that help others as much as possible.
The world has a lot of terrible problems, but we can't work on them all at once. And we don't agree on what the worst problems are.
Despite this, most people want to "make... |
c317b134-e28f-4d21-9fb6-5b96a8fcd353 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How to incentivize LW wiki edits?
How can we incentivize more productive activity on the LW wiki? There are many articles that could be created or expanded.
Are there previous discussions on this?
One suggestion: We could add a "good explanation!" button at the bottom of each article, and every time it is clicked, t... |
9becdf87-44b4-4cad-9ace-682901cac57e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Short story speculating on possible ramifications of AI on the art world
I did not write this, but randomly stumbled upon a link to this story on Twitter (I unfortunately cannot find the original tweet). It's written by an individual who is pessimistic about the impact AI-generated art will have on creatives, and I fo... |
725cef0e-e792-4722-8f40-167ca4f303b4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Being your own censor
Are there any occasions when it's a good idea to avoid exposing yourself to a certain piece of information? As rationalists, we probably do a lot less of this than the average person (because we're curious about reality and we don't mind having our preconceptions destroyed by new knowledge) but ... |
bbfd488a-5f04-4d0d-b5d4-84385bc1cc0d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Exploring unfaithful/deceptive CoT in reasoning models
Produced as the application project for Neel Nanda's MATS 8.0 Stream
Summary
What problem am I investigating?
Reasoning models define the current state of the art for AI performance, but their safety properties are understudied. While some argue that Chain-of-... |
b0ed8c01-3899-4e8c-9190-73d9d2ae4920 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Transparency and AGI safety
Introduction
============
**Transparency** is the problem of going inside the black box of an AI system and understanding exactly how it works, by tracking and understanding the processes in its internal state.
In this post, I’ll argue that making AI systems more transparent could be ver... |
77d1975d-d29e-42f3-814a-bb3fbad25c77 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Loose thoughts on AGI risk
*My thoughts here are speculative in nature, and should not be taken as strongly-held beliefs. As part of an experiment in memetic minimization, only the tldr version of this post exists. There are no supporting links. Let me know what you think in the comments.*
**Summary**: the ultimate t... |
1326b055-8745-4f0d-ae9b-0494f1e74fd4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Open Thread, October 7 - October 12, 2013
If it's worth saying, but not worth its own post (even in Discussion), then it goes here. |
4a2e6c06-c499-4f2c-8f07-d92ef3dc4290 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Beneath Psychology] Chronic pain challenge part 2: the solution
In the last post, I introduced an example where I was talking to someone suffering from chronic pain. Today we will dive into the rest of the transcript. Interspersed are annotations describing my thought process as the interaction unfolded. I cover what... |
1cf8aa66-1fd7-446b-9b61-771a43efd373 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | You can't believe in Bayes
Well, you *can*. It's just oxymoronic, or at least ironic. Because *belief* is contrary to the Bayesian paradigm.
You use Bayesian methods to choose an action. You have a set of observations, and assign probabilities to possible outcomes, and choose an action.
*Belief* in an outcome N... |
0892146c-fed6-4dc9-960e-d2ec640f561f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Tip: Reading LW on the Kindle
I just discovered an easy way of reading Less Wrong (and other web content) on the Kindle, and I thought others might also find this useful. I am sharing this as a discussion post rather than as a comment in an open thread in order to reach a larger audience, because this answers a need I... |
e8a78dfe-fb4e-45f6-bd47-c695af268094 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube | Youtube Transcripts | Can Deep Learning Models Be Trusted? (Luca Daniel, Foundations of Safe Learning Workshop)
[Music]
[Applause]
[Music]
thank you for the kind introduction so
first and most importantly I would like
to acknowledge the very crucial
contributions of my senior grad student
Sui
Lilly Lilly could not be here she's
traveling i... |
1e857430-764c-4ddd-88e1-f7d5f342ab37 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Dumb dichotomies in ethics, part 2: instrumental vs. intrinsic values
Warning
Reader discretion advised. The text below contains dry philosophy that may induce boredom if not interested in formal ethics. Continue at your own risk.
Added: Since you're reading this on LessWrong, it's probably safe for you to continue.... |
cb997f62-44a7-48cd-81f6-eb25d6662b18 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Best Ways to Try to Get Funding for Alignment Research?
Hey Everyone! I recently left my FAANG job to split my time between doing Alignment Research (70%) and investigating start-up ideas (30%).
If I decide to fully commit to Alignment Research, what is the best way to go about applying for and/or getting funding? (... |
a4606f43-9cdb-48b1-91d9-1f45131dcdf1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Philosophy and Machine Learning Panel on Ethics
Just got back from NIPS 2011 (Neural Information Processing Systems, one of about 4 major machine learning conferences). One of the workshops there was on Philosophy and Machine Learning. An interesting statistic was that, when asked what topics we should discuss at the ... |
8047a6d4-bb71-42e4-8fe3-cdbd98af2b56 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Sleeping Beauty should remain pure
Image via Wikipedia
Consider the Sleeping Beauty Problem. Sleeping Beauty is put to sleep on Sunday night. A coin is tossed. If it lands heads, she is awoken once on Monday, then sleeps until the end of the experiment. If it lands tails, she is woken once on Monday, drugged to remov... |
4142257b-2ba2-4c6d-b258-832d3b6ffb41 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | An Investigation into the Passage of Time
> Time past and time future
> Allow but a little consciousness.
> To be conscious is not to be in time
> But only in time can the moment in the rose-garden,
> The moment in the arbour where the rain beat,
> The moment in the draughty church at smokefall
> Be remembered; involv... |
ee349bc7-42e4-4d40-93e7-c4d1e0637c5b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Proposing the Post-Singularity Symbiotic Researches
> The great concern that had long smoldered in the depths of people's hearts—that humanity would be displaced by beings surpassing us in intelligence, which would eventually come into existence. This is now beginning to take on sufficient reality. At this juncture, w... |
2e6e2a3e-d0aa-4062-8dc7-90eae7662fb1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Power & Tragedy of Names
“To change this rock into a jewel, you must change its name”
- Ursula K. Le Guin, A Wizard of Earthsea
TLDR: names (and labels more generally) have an outsized influence on the public perception of the movements they are applied to. This encourages individuals to overuse and misuse persua... |
56d2d3ab-5d9a-4163-acfd-2d16ea53ac65 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Heuristic: Replace "No Evidence" with "No Reason"
The phrase "no evidence to suggest" has been used as an excuse to avoid inaction in the face of what is in fact ample evidence.
Health authorities continued bumbling response to coronavirus has really served to highlight this, starting right at the beginning:
https://... |
b94d8ce0-f14b-472d-abfc-66f3581d8070 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Generalizing Foundations of Decision Theory
This post is more about articulating motivations than about presenting anything new, but I think readers may learn something about the foundations of classical (evidential) decision theory as they stand.
The Project
Most people interested in decision theory know about the ... |
2219683f-67f4-4527-b118-871dbc818708 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Where should I ask this particular kind of question?
I am pondering a hypothetical scenario that I think is fascinating but quite unrealistic and involves knowledge across a wide variety of fields, of which IMO physics gets the better part.
I'm considering some sites that I know. Reddit has a sub called r/AskScienceD... |
f9a151d5-e4e8-4b78-beb4-c9f09d0fdb7c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Unifying Bargaining Notions (2/2)
Alright, time for the payoff, unifying everything discussed in the previous post. This post is a lot more mathematically dense, you might want to digest it in more than one sitting.
Imaginary Prices, Tradeoffs, and Utilitarianism
Harsanyi's Utilitarianism Theorem can be summariz... |
71fef06d-0644-4fc6-9771-bcdab3fa1527 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | [Linkpost] "Blueprint for an AI Bill of Rights" - Office of Science and Technology Policy, USA (2022)
The PDF can be found here: [https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/Blueprint-for-an-AI-Bill-of-Rights.pdf](https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/Blueprint-for-an-AI-Bill-of-Rights.pdf#... |
fe3f30d8-78aa-43de-8d45-da7c8409a804 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : At the University of Chicago
Discussion article for the meetup : Chicago Meetup at the University of Chicago
WHEN: 25 February 2012 01:00:00PM (-0600)
WHERE: 1135 E. 57th Street Chicago, IL 60637
It's been a while since the last meetup, so we're having another one!
It'll be at the University of Chicago, in... |
0503818d-e3c9-4304-9124-47b6b6228e0a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Rationalist Purity Test
A quick, fun, and somewhat random test with 100 questions that you can all see on a single page, thus easy to judge if you like it. I got 50, but now clue if that's average or not.
Seen on Twitter. |
a1e543ce-3865-4c07-ba6f-c26669cd9195 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube | Youtube Transcripts | 249, MIRI Announces New "Death With Dignity" Strategy
hello and welcome to session 249
in the ai safety.com reading group
tonight we'll be discussing the
restaurant post miri announces new death
with dignity strategy by elias
yatkowski eliza yutkowski is the founder
and senior researcher at the machine
intel... |
83d18643-7027-4cce-a81b-20604b49b94c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A Simple Motto
Rationality is believing true things and making good choices.
This phrasing isn't quite as precise as it could be, but it communicates the gist of both epistemic and instrumental rationality in very simple language. I use this wording when communicating what rationality is to non-rationalists, and it s... |
38d965d9-465d-47ca-9e07-ce454ee8d2cf | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "I strongly suspect that there is a possible art of rationality (attaining the map that reflects the territory, choosing so as to direct reality into regions high in your preference ordering) which goes beyond the skills that are standard, and beyond what any single practitioner singly knows. I have a sense that more i... |
452f351c-94e2-4441-9e1d-a90c195673c6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Forecasting One-Shot Games
Cliff notes:
* You can practice forecasting on videogames you've never played before, to develop the muscles for "decision-relevant forecasting."
* Turn based videogames work best. I recommend "Luck Be a Landlord", "Battle for Polytopia", or "Into the Breach."
* Each turn, make as many F... |
6c8c5d8f-5659-465d-bb52-8506d5d83047 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | 2012 Robin Hanson comment on “Intelligence Explosion: Evidence and Import”
The 2013 anthology Singularity Hypotheses: A Scientific and Philosophical Assessment (edited by Eden, Moor, Soraker, and Steinhart) included short responses to some articles. The response that most stuck with me was Robin Hanson's reply to Luke... |
700d1009-389f-4c1b-8f34-8774c24e4d95 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Imagine AGI killed us all in three years. What would have been our biggest mistakes?
Imagine GPT-8 arrives in 2026, creates a fast takeoff and AGI kills us all.
Now imagine the AI Safety work we did in the meantime (technical and non-technical) progressed in a linear fashion (i.e. in resources committed), but it obv... |
220c6096-3e0d-4723-ab69-4520d2055ed6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Being Half-Rational About Pascal's Wager is Even Worse
For so long as I can remember, I have rejected Pascal's Wager in all its forms on sheerly practical grounds: anyone who tries to plan out their life by chasing a 1 in 10,000 chance of a huge payoff is almost certainly doomed in practice. This kind of clever reaso... |
d0b0c8a2-2d49-40f3-a63e-7421be316633 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | To understand, study edge cases
This seems obvious, but is often forgotten. When a system functions efficiently, its individual parts are hard to notice. If you want to understand how a system functions, what it is made of, how each part works, but you cannot easily disassemble it and have a look, you have to get out ... |
0cba1ef4-ad0a-4f26-abff-b252dbb83f2a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Sci-Fi books micro-reviews
I've recently been reading a lot of science fiction. Most won't be original to fans of the genre, but some people might be looking for suggestions, so in lieu of full blown reviews here's super brief ratings on all of them. I might keep this updated over time, if so new books will go to the ... |
e0baa65a-3d7d-49d1-a9e6-05aa1c35a7a4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Qualia Soup, a rationalist and a skilled You Tube jockey
Please have a look at this Youtube user account. I immediately thought of this site upon watching a couple of his clips. I am told we have tried here to publish some stuff in audiovisual fomat, but it didn't quite work out. Maybe we should contact this guy, per... |
7da739a1-1259-494f-8134-0299c905cb9b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | "Deep Learning" Is Function Approximation
A Surprising Development in the Study of Multi-layer Parameterized Graphical Function Approximators
As a programmer and epistemology enthusiast, I've been studying some statistical modeling techniques lately! It's been boodles of fun, and might even prove useful in a future da... |
869c42e3-e248-49ba-97f0-27edef86195c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Into AI Safety Episodes 1 & 2
I have now released Episode 1 and Episode 2 of the Into AI Safety Podcast! Currently it is available on the Into AI Safety website, and Spotify (show link).
I would consider Episode 1 to be well aligned with my current vision for the podcast, so if you want to get a better idea of the di... |
e1049f6b-93a4-4fca-bab3-8e1e8938fbe3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Two special CFAR classes in Sept: Installing Habits and Rationality for Programmers
The next four-day CFAR workshops are in October (Bay Area) and November (NYC), but there are two upcoming one-day classes that may be of interest to LessWrongers.
Making Habits that Stick - Sept 15, 3hrs, $90
Learn how to make new... |
4644348a-7797-4352-a85d-36bb50ba1b87 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Will Superhuman AI be created?
*Published 6 Aug 2022*
*This page may represent little of what is known on the topic. It is incomplete, under active work and may be updated soon.*
Superhuman AI appears to be very likely to be created at some point.
Details
-------
Let ‘superhuman’ AI be a set of AI systems that... |
c51096b0-de9c-4c9c-9a96-4f746ab160f2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | FC final: Can Factored Cognition schemes scale?
(Apologies for the long delay.)
Scaling of Regular Thought
The punchline of the previous post was that there is only one mode of thinking: your brain can solve various tasks in a single step (from the perspective of awareness), and we've called those tasks your cogniti... |
Subsets and Splits
No community queries yet
The top public SQL queries from the community will appear here once available.