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d3b5f389-840f-47c7-83c3-4f2d79c9319d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What should my college major be if I want to do AI alignment research?
And what college degree level? (associate, bachelor's, master's, or doctorate)
It is also possible that I could just not go to college at all.
For context, I'm already very interested in pure math and have been self-learning other subjects such as ... |
6a6c0769-bdee-4b45-8155-2b917e9927b3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Ace Attorney: pioneer Rationalism-didactic game?
This article aims to prove that Ace Attorney is possibly the first rationalist game in the lesswrongian sense, or at least a remarkable proto-example, and that it subliminally works to raise the sanity waterline in the general population, and might provide a template on... |
93fe7fb2-b4aa-497a-9a9e-e5778c041ce9 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Three scenarios of pseudo-alignment
*This is my second distillation of* [*Risks from Learned of Optimization in Advanced Machine Learning Systems*](https://arxiv.org/abs/1906.01820) *focusing on deceptive alignment.*
As the old saying goes, alignment may go wrong in many different ways, but right only in one (and... |
ba543df1-bb5d-40d6-9e11-b99659416c77 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Training Machine Learning Models by Regularizing their Explanations
###
1 Contributions
The major contributions of this thesis are as follows:
* It presents a framework for encoding domain knowledge about a
classification problem as local penalties on the gradient of the model’s decision surface,
which can be ... |
0d39520c-1154-4949-856f-65163ff326da | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Muehlhauser-Wang Dialogue
Part of the Muehlhauser interview series on AGI.
Luke Muehlhauser is Executive Director of the Singularity Institute, a non-profit research institute studying AGI safety.
Pei Wang is an AGI researcher at Temple University, and Chief Executive Editor of Journal of Artificial General Intel... |
77f17c5c-a0c1-4808-a98c-18f3dd615295 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : RTLW Thursday Meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : RTLW Thursday Meetup
WHEN: 28 February 2013 07:00:00PM (-0500)
WHERE: Francesca's Dessert Caffe, 706 9th Street, Durham NC
This week is Meetup Activity Potpourri, including:
* Calibration exercises
* Games: The Resistance and Zendo have been ment... |
749d4331-effa-4ed6-a812-d8b64300b487 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Fixing science via a basic income
I ran across Ed Hagen’s article “Academic success is either a crapshoot or a scam”, which pointed out that all the methodological discussion about science’s replication crisis is kinda missing the point: yes, all of the methodological stuff like p-hacking is something that would be va... |
0838b154-a52e-447d-a1cc-c9d2e4825509 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Are superhuman savants real?
Savant syndrom indentifies people with general intellectual impairment who, in one specific field, reach ordinary or even exceptional performance.
In The Psychological Unity of Humankind, Eliezer argues that
> So you can't have the X-Men. You can't have "mutants" running around with hig... |
ac3a37c9-3c46-49df-8a70-5620a7b6ade0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [AN #152]: How we’ve overestimated few-shot learning capabilities
Alignment Newsletter is a weekly publication with recent content relevant to AI alignment around the world. Find all Alignment Newsletter resources here. In particular, you can look through this spreadsheet of all summaries that have ever been in the ne... |
dbc7a68c-4454-481a-ab82-8d3cc5986f57 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Learning-Theoretic AI Alignment Research Agenda
In this essay I will try to explain the overall structure and motivation of my AI alignment research agenda. The discussion is informal and no new theorems are proved here. The main features of my research agenda, as I explain them here, are
* Viewing AI alignment ... |
79ff2de1-b8b5-4b9b-8268-bfe9a2724447 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Automated theorem proving
Automated theorem proving *sounds like* a natural extension of many useful trends and a solution to many current problems. To me, it seems obvious that there will be a need for the formalization of the mathematics (up to and beyond the boundary of mathematics with real-world applications) as... |
5487973c-dcba-4b9e-8e9f-c7f2d1c1d63e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Fort Collins, Colorado Meetup Thursday 7pm
Discussion article for the meetup : Fort Collins, Colorado Meetup Thursday 7pm
WHEN: 30 August 2012 07:00:00PM (-0600)
WHERE: 1129 W. Elizabeth St. Fort Collins 80521
Back to school, back to our regular Thursday in Fort Collins meetup.
Discussion article for the... |
0ecd26d5-ec51-458c-88db-1d312e6343d4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Epoch AI released a GATE Scenario Explorer
I think it's more easier to discuss AI progress in terms of economy growth rather than just focusing on the scale of the largest training runs and compute used.
From their X announcement:
> We developed GATE: a model that shows how AI scaling and automation will impact g... |
0caa89c8-c318-4642-a7b6-3addc6865422 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Berlin Meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : Berlin Meetup
WHEN: 23 February 2013 07:30:47PM (+0100)
WHERE: Ming Dynastie, Brückenstraße 6, 10179 Berlin
This is where we come together in person to chat!
We will experiment with emulating a small meetup by having two tables, hopefully leading to more p... |
62441dcd-429f-4dfc-9d92-f368c90faab7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Rationality advice from Terry Tao
Via a link on IRC, I stumbled upon the blog of the mathematician Terry Tao. I noticed that several of his posts contain useful rationality advice, part of it overlapping with content that has been covered here. Most of the posts remind us of things that are kind of obvious, but I don'... |
dde5f039-74e3-4b34-adb8-9b34160542c0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Follow me on TikTok
For more than five years, I've posted an average of more than 1× per week on Less Wrong. I've learned a lot from you nerds. I've made friends and found my community. Thank you for pointing out all the different ways I've been wrong. Less Wrong has changed my life for the better. But it's time to sa... |
37590794-7481-4a6a-b14c-c79e10b789df | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Center for Modern Rationality currently hiring: Executive assistants, Teachers, Research assistants, Consultants.
Hi there,
We are still looking for:
A second executive assistant -- preferably someone who lives in the SF bay area or is willing to relocate here, but remote work will also be considered. Apply here.
... |
631aeff9-9345-4cd0-b665-41b0818bac4e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Get It Done Now
Epistemic Status: Reference
A while ago, I read the book Getting Things Done. Like most productivity books and systems, it includes detailed advice that approximately no one will follow. Unlike most productivity books and systems, it has two highly valuable key concepts. The second alone justified the... |
34b389b2-e9a7-4b05-a354-2d79a35c01eb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Event] Weekly Alignment Research Coffee Time (05/24)
Just like every Monday now, researchers in AI Alignment are invited for a coffee time, to talk about their research and what they're into.
Here is the link.
And here is the everytimezone time.
Note that the link to the walled garden now only works for AF membe... |
528d2f6b-89b1-419a-a6d1-a50365382e3c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Moral Golems
> Stop thinking of the project of ethics as "figure out which simple theory is True".
>
> Start instead thinking of ethics as a project of trying to piece together psychological models of this insanely complicated and messy thing, "human morality".
>
> Binding exceptionless commitments matter to underst... |
964237c1-dcb4-484c-ab4c-a0b719044dd6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | October The First Is Too Late
Clarity didn't work, trying mysterianism |
95a01425-8de3-4a50-acd2-d4eefbe38448 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Don’t expect your life partner to be better than your exes in more than one way: a mathematical model
In this post, I analyze a multidimensional version of the dating problem (more commonly called the secretary problem). If you are familiar with this problem you can search for “For this post, I want to make a slight c... |
74b447cf-b91d-45c9-ae84-edc7d866d7da | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | Extracting and Using Preference Information from the State of the World
Extracting and Using Preference Information from the State
of the World
Rohin Shah
Electrical Engineering and Computer Sciences
University of California at Berkeley
Technical Report No. UCB/EECS-2020-210
http://www2.eecs.berkeley.edu/Pubs/TechRp... |
241a5f8d-3be0-4b87-8721-b89117158af3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Tool/Agent distinction in the light of the AI box experiment
This article poses questions on the distinction between Tool AGI and Agent AGI, which was described very concisely by Holden Karnofsky in his recent Thoughts on the Singularity Institute post:
> In short, Google Maps is not an agent, taking actions in order... |
5e1469e4-b1f8-4089-90cf-5c97f0d02254 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Evidence on good forecasting practices from the Good Judgment Project: an accompanying blog post
*By Daniel Kokotajlo,* *2 July 2019*
[](http://aiimpacts.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/02/image2.png)
Figure 0: The “four main determinants of forecasting ac... |
49d015ee-8a4e-459f-b2cc-eb67e49ecdd6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | 2013 Survey Results
Thanks to everyone who took the 2013 Less Wrong Census/Survey. Extra thanks to Ozy, who helped me out with the data processing and statistics work, and to everyone who suggested questions.
This year's results are below. Some of them may make more sense in the context of the original survey questio... |
491437df-879d-4969-9355-fb80ede0a918 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Helsinki Meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : Helsinki Meetup
WHEN: 13 April 2014 03:00:00PM (+0200)
WHERE: Vilhonkatu 4, 00100 Helsinki
We’re having a social meetup in Kaisla. To find us there, look for someone wearing a pink elephant hat.
Discussion article for the meetup : Helsinki Meetup |
67f10060-847d-43b1-a1bf-8d689e8e8f3a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Keeping Time in Epoch Seconds
Unix-like computers keep time in seconds since the Unix Epoch—the 0 second, which is set to midnight, January 1st, 1970, Zulu/UTC. We call a particular second since the Unix Epoch a timestamp.
Keeping time this way is pretty handy, but looking at a long string of numbers is hard to parse... |
47303ebc-84aa-4f56-9030-8228690124e2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Policy Entropy, Learning, and Alignment (Or Maybe Your LLM Needs Therapy)
Epistemic Status: Exploratory. I'm new to AI alignment research but have background in math and read psychotherapy texts extensively while spending two years as a ghost-writer. Seeking feedback to refine these connections.
Tl;dr: I suggest ther... |
0d091a94-e6ff-41d4-85e7-c7085092d847 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Solving the AI Race Finalists
Good AI offered a prize for writing about AI races. The results are in and here are the winners:
TOP SCORING SOLUTIONS ($3,000 EACH)
* Kesavan Athimoolam, Solving the Artificial Intelligence Race: Mitigating the problems associated with the AI Race
* Alexey Turchin and & David Denkenb... |
78c5d99d-5deb-41b6-9221-82be51050122 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A silly question
Is there a way to privately contact LW? Like an email or something similar?
I feel a bit dumb asking this but I gave a look around and found nothing, and am in need of such a tool.
Thanks |
9403b6d6-9932-412a-96b0-bc157aa9d8c6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | GPT-2: 6-Month Follow-Up
Linkpost for GPT-2 6 Month Follow-Up.
Some highlights:
* 700+ M parameter model is being released
* Several other groups have reproduced similar models
* In detecting synthesized text, "current ML-based methods only achieve low to mid–90s accuracy" |
4241b726-494c-4b09-ab06-cbf3edde5cd4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Superintelligent Agents Pose Catastrophic Risks:
Can Scientist AI Offer a Safer Path?
A new paper by Yoshua Bengio and the Safe Artificial Intelligence For Humanity (SAIFH) team argues that the current push towards building generalist AI agents presents catastrophic risks, creating a need for more caution and an alter... |
7d376817-1bd0-4ee8-a734-a7c6afd55731 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Agents which are EU-maximizing as a group are not EU-maximizing individually
Introduction
Why Subagents? and Why Not Subagents? explore whether a group of expected utility maximizers is itself a utility maximizer. Here I want to discuss the converse: if a group wants to maximize some utility function as a whole, what ... |
72e56166-9fb5-4862-bb2e-fa920a13de08 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Notes on Respect-for-Others
This post examines the virtue of respect-for-others. It explores what other people have learned about this virtue more than my own opinions about it, though I’ve been selective about what I found interesting or credible, according to my own inclinations. I wrote this not as an expert, but a... |
255c3c70-daa2-4be7-a157-4207287487ed | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Linkpost: Choice Explains Positivity and Confirmation Bias
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41562-020-0919-5
Abstract:
> The valence of new information influences learning rates in humans: good news tends to receive more weight than bad news. We investigated this learning bias in four experiments, by systematically ... |
22256d06-c980-4b90-9ac9-ece02bfa77ef | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Rationality Reading Group: Part N: A Human's Guide to Words
This is part of a semi-monthly reading group on Eliezer Yudkowsky's ebook, Rationality: From AI to Zombies. For more information about the group, see the announcement post.
----------------------------------------
Welcome to the Rationality reading group. T... |
e9cf8b60-98f2-4ae5-9092-2df34ecbf9fa | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Washington, D.C.: Economics Discussion
Discussion article for the meetup : Washington, D.C.: Economics Discussion
WHEN: 17 January 2016 03:00:00PM (-0500)
WHERE: Reynolds Center
x-posted from list. Gathering in courtyard from 3:00pm, hard start 3:30pm - until closing (7:00 pm).
Richard will be leading a d... |
fa1b4bcb-d102-491b-a1aa-008b628e74c5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong |
Draft: The optimization toolbox
This post is a draft, a work in progress. Much of it will not make sense, and will not be optimized for the reader's experience. It does not necessarily reflect my current best understanding of optimization. Like the introduction draft, I'm opening it up because I've been working on th... |
e4fac7f7-5088-4eb7-8d62-ba4af41a02ee | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Vancouver "Monthly" Super Meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : Vancouver "Monthly" Super Meetup
WHEN: 22 September 2013 03:00:00PM (-0700)
WHERE: 3598 Main Street, Vancouver, BC
It's that time! The Vancouver meetup would like to invite you all to our "monthly" super public social hangout meetup. We'l... |
7a842133-3085-4708-ae59-cf37c9fb9b63 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why didn't we get the four-hour workday?
John Maynard Keynes famously predicted in 1930 that by now we would only be working fifteen hours a week. What is less well-known is that his was nowhere near the only such prediction, nor the first—a wide range of commentators, including Charles Steinmetz and Buckminster Fulle... |
f4b1d065-1837-4fa2-bd15-54faf9d2dc18 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | MATS mentor selection
Introduction
MATS currently has more people interested in being mentors than we are able to support—for example, for the Winter 2024-25 Program, we received applications from 87 prospective mentors who cumulatively asked for 223 scholars[1] (for a cohort where we expected to only accept 80 schola... |
dd7fabd8-ed7f-479f-bf7a-5090a551f595 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How Not to be Stupid: Know What You Want, What You Really Really Want
Previously: Starting Up
So, you want to be rational, huh? You want to be Less Wrong than you were before, hrmmm? First you must pass through the posting titles of a thousand groans. Muhahahahaha!
Let's start with the idea of preference rankings. ... |
77cf0acd-2baa-4621-b974-865a32c40fd4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Compressing Reality to Math
This is part of a sequence on decision analysis and follows 5 Axioms of Decision-Making, which explains how to turn a well-formed problem into a solution. Here we discuss turning reality into a well-formed problem. There are three basic actions I'd like to introduce, and then work through s... |
099a68c3-55b9-47ea-8aff-91a3c57c46e9 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | AGI Safety Literature Review
|
9e4a6963-d1c7-4e5d-97d4-9241b566d900 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Link: Rob Bensinger on Less Wrong and vegetarianism
I'm currently unconvinced either way on this matter. However, enough arguments have been raised that I think this is worth the time of every reader to think a good deal about.
http://nothingismere.com/2014/11/12/inhuman-altruism-inferential-gap-or-motivational-gap... |
e3dbc75d-19dd-4eba-9870-b92b14c0fae5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why Uncontrollable AI Looks More Likely Than Ever
This is a crosspost from Time Magazine, which also appeared in full at a number of other unpaid news websites.
BY OTTO BARTEN AND ROMAN YAMPOLSKIY
Barten is director of the Existential Risk Observatory, an Amsterdam-based nonprofit.
Yampolskiy is a computer scientis... |
13a355f7-c156-422c-822a-d7462eb20e9e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What are some good ways to heighten my emotions?
I've noticed when I don't get enough sleep, the emotions I feel the next day are higher variance - I'm a sadder sad person and a happier happy person.
I want more of this, since I prefer feeling emotions to not feeling emotions and generally enjoy higher variance in l... |
7a36ec80-9466-486f-907d-18efe064085a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Urbana-Campaign: Discussion (Folk Wisdom)
Discussion article for the meetup : Urbana-Campaign: Discussion (Folk Wisdom)
WHEN: 30 March 2014 02:00:00PM (-0500)
WHERE: 300 S Goodwin Ave Apt 102, Urbana.
WHAT: Starting topic: folk wisdom. How to extract actual wisdom from it? Related reading: http://slatestarc... |
fe0cebfe-7909-4ec3-a1d8-686bd1fec6f3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Builder/Breaker for Deconfusion
This is something of a grab-bag of thoughts I've had about the Builder/Breaker game.
The ELK document had a really nice explanation of its research methodology in terms of an imaginary dialogue between a "Builder" who makes positive proposals, and a "Breaker" who tries to break them. T... |
cee37297-7846-494e-9a93-07b381bc17cf | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Counterfactual Induction (Algorithm Sketch, Fixpoint proof)
So, to begin with, here's how the algorithm works.
The upstream algorithm iterates through all proofs, and records the lengths of all proofs of the form "a finite collection of sentences implies ⊥". Also the proof length accounting is set up such that if A,ϕ... |
f5326243-e127-4b12-b059-dc71a7007fd9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How credible is the theory that COVID19 escaped from a Wuhan Lab?
It sounds like a conspiracy theory. Apparently, it's big on the Chinese Internet.
https://www.econjobrumors.com/topic/chinese-internet-thinks-patient-zero-was-a-grad-student-at-the-wuhan-lab
which links
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bpQFCcSI0pU
Th... |
1bbefd26-3317-4561-a77b-f151f33d978d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Recent AI control posts
Over at medium, I’m continuing to write about AI control; here’s a roundup from the last month.
Strategy
* Prosaic AI control argues that AI control research should first consider the case where AI involves no “unknown unknowns.”
* Handling destructive technology tries to explain the upsid... |
b5500120-7666-41c3-b048-277c1d333f78 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Preliminary Thoughts on Flirting Theory
[Epistemic status: I'm mostly trying to outline a class of strategy that you could use to do something rather similar to what people term "flirting", rather than say that everything that's ever called "flirting" fits this model. I'm lowering my standards so that this gets posted... |
c9f2ad6b-7a16-46ed-8351-8b01f5d3db63 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Writing That Provokes Comments
Epistemic Effort: Thought about it for a year. Solicited feedback. Checked my last few posts' comment count to make sure I wasn't *obviously* wrong.
A thing that happens to me, and perhaps to you:
Someone writes a beautiful essay that I agree with, that sheds new light on something imp... |
1a2138da-aab0-4bba-97f8-006c43c34c76 | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "Like "IRC chat" or "TCP/IP protocol", the phrase "reproductive organ" is redundant. All organs are reproductive organs. Where do a bird's wings come from? An Evolution-of-Birds Fairy who thinks that flying is really neat? The bird's wings are there because they contributed to the bird's ancestors' reproduction. Likewi... |
73d43365-120c-4879-a138-ac2f26661af3 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Pivotal outcomes and pivotal processes
***tl;dr:** If you think humanity is on a dangerous path, and needs to "pivot" toward a different future in order to achieve safety, consider how such a pivot could be achieved by multiple acts across multiple persons and institutions, rather than a single act. Engaging more act... |
e45379eb-895c-4d9a-8a4b-95cd504233d7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Arithmetic Models: Better Than You Think
LessWrong user dynomight explains how arithmetic is an underrated world-modeling technology and uses dimensional algebra as the motivating case. I agree dimensional algebra is fantastic, but there’s an even better motivating example for arithmetic in world-modeling: linear mode... |
ee8b5016-6c9f-4095-aabe-2ee4ba207353 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/aisafety.info | AI Safety Info | I would like to focus on AI alignment, but it might be best to prioritize improving my life situation first. What should I do?
Trying to do hard things without stable foundations is asking for trouble, so if some areas of your life aren’t going so well, it’s probably best to direct what energy you have into getting th... |
7b7c6206-b686-411a-91d8-83f2aaec9d22 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Learning Representations by Humans, for Humans
1 Introduction
---------------
Across many important domains, machine learning algorithms have become
unparalleled in their predictive capabilities.
The accuracy and consistency of these algorithms has made them highly appealing as tools for supporting human decision-m... |
6ba9727d-e225-4785-a314-8fc6ca93a5fb | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | What does it mean to become an expert in AI Hardware?
Brief note about this post: I am a graduate student working near the area of quantum computing hardware. Recently, I have been trying to figure out what to do with my career, and came across [this 80,000 Hours post](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/6x2MjPX... |
a3a9b131-0e9a-484b-a352-da56338e0751 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Neural networks biased towards geometrically simple functions?
Neural networks (NNs) do not output all functions with equal probability, but seem to be biased towards functions of certain types; heuristically, towards 'simple' functions. In VPCL18, MSVP+19, MVPSL20 evidence is given that functions output by NNs are i... |
59700f83-ff3f-4885-b193-82465bf7daed | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Unique Games Conjecture and FAI: A Troubling Obstacle
I am not a computer scientist and do not know much about complexity theory. However, it's a field that interests me, so I occasionally browse some articles on the subject. I was brought to https://www.simonsfoundation.org/mathematics-and-physical-science/approx... |
bb987d7f-3ea0-47a4-87ff-fda039ef3a53 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Friendly-AI is an abomination
The reasoning of most of the people on this site and at MIRI is that to prevent an AI taking over the world and killing us all; we must first create an AI that will take over the world but act according to the wishes of humanity; a benevolent god, for want of a better term. I think this l... |
597e0241-9d41-42e0-a85d-8c1a298deae0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Fort Collins, Colorado Meetup Wedneday 7pm
Discussion article for the meetup : Fort Collins, Colorado Meetup Wedneday 7pm
WHEN: 21 March 2012 07:00:00PM (-0600)
WHERE: 144 North College Avenue, Fort Collins, CO 80524
Another Wednesday, another opportunity for hanging out with the cool kids.
Broodwar prole... |
68b87e08-1739-49c2-b3e8-50439e4d8bcd | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Steering subsystems: capabilities, agency, and alignment
Human brains have steering subsystems. LLMs and most RL agents do not. [Steering systems](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/LsqvMKnFRBQh4L3Rs/steering-systems), as defined by Max H, are goal-directed AI systems, or optimizers. Here I focus on steering subsystems: ... |
7cd9ec55-83d1-49ce-979b-23f7daf6c4b7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How to use bright light to improve your life.
You may have heard that you 'shouldn't use screens late in the evening' and maybe even that 'it's good for you to get exposure to sunshine as soon as possible after waking'. For the majority of people, these are generally beneficial heuristics. They are also the extent of... |
64f1001c-b604-486e-b039-fa99104f0263 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why not use active SETI to prevent AI Doom?
Let's assume that Eliezer is right: soon we'll have an AGI that is very likely to kill us all. (personally, I think Eliezer is right).
There are several ways to reduce the risk, in particular: speeding up alignment research and slowing down capabilities research, by various... |
17a68c24-2595-4cfd-ba3c-0878c8fa41e2 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | How special are human brains among animal brains?
Humans are capable of feats of cognition that appear qualitatively more sophisticated than those of any other animals. Is this appearance of a qualitative difference indicative of human brains being essentially more complex than the brains of any other animal? Or is t... |
ffa1fdfc-9da4-4e04-a6fa-4642aee13baa | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Differential Assessment of Black-Box AI Agents..
1 Introduction
---------------
With increasingly greater autonomy in AI systems in recent
years, a major problem still persists and has largely been
overlooked: how do we accurately predict the behavior of a
black-box AI agent that is evolving and adapting to changes... |
5eebc750-d3b9-4a2b-911e-bf07e38e4583 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Is AI Progress Impossible To Predict?
People seem to be continually surprised, over and over again, by the new capabilities of big machine learning models, such as PaLM, DALL-E, Chinchilla, SayCan, Socratic Models, Flamingo, and Gato (all in the last two months!). Luckily, there is a famous paper on how AI progress is... |
992ab0dc-0ca4-4d1b-bfab-0a9116e408dd | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Some AI Governance Research Ideas
Junior researchers are often wondering what they should work on. To potentially help, we asked people at the Centre for the Governance of AI for research ideas related to longtermist AI governance. The compiled ideas are developed to varying degrees, including not just questions, but ... |
cd61d4f5-1a4b-47e3-abdf-8d1d9036755a | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Announcing Cavendish Labs
We’re excited to announce [Cavendish Labs](https://cavendishlabs.org/), a new research institute in Vermont focused on AI safety and pandemic prevention! We’re founding a community of researchers who will live together and work on the world’s most pressing problems.
**Uh, why Vermont?**
It’... |
fc9147d5-d329-4cee-82c7-2894f8ac98c3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Ambitious vs. narrow value learning
(Re)Posted as part of the AI Alignment Forum sequence on Value Learning.
> Rohin's note: The definition of narrow value learning in the previous post focused on the fact that the resulting behavior is limited to some domain. The definition in this post focuses on learning instrumen... |
f405870d-179f-43ab-920c-16f632b3f36f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Low hanging productivity - improving your workspace
Original post: http://bearlamp.com.au/low-hanging-productivity/
Tl;dr - Simple changes to workspaces like a big screen can make a big difference.
----------------------------------------
This week I spent a few days away from my usual desk. I have been house sit... |
dee29e68-9816-4bfa-a29b-6f166995bef4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Quotes from Leopold Aschenbrenner’s Situational Awareness Paper
This post is different.
Usually I offer commentary and analysis. I share what others think, then respond.
This is the second time I am importantly not doing that. The work speaks for itself. It offers a different perspective, a window and a worldview. I... |
8d90a8b5-820e-4bea-bc1e-2ea16f6e04e0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Reality of Emergence
Reply to The Futility of Emergence
In The Futility of Emergence, Eliezer takes an overly critical position on emergence as a theory. In this (short) article, I hope to challenge that view.
Emergence is not an empty phrase. The statements "consciousness is an emergent phenomenon" and "consci... |
14202eb4-86e1-4639-addb-edcc02246fa3 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Bad news for uploading
Recently, the Blue Brain Project published a paper arguing that human neurons don't form synapses at locations determined by learning, but just wherever they bump into each other. See video and article [here](http://actu.epfl.ch/news/blue-brain-project-accurately-predicts-connections/).
For t... |
f9fae794-d652-4f51-b261-9aa6006db964 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Darwin Game - Rounds 10 to 20
MeasureBot maintains its lead.
Rounds 10-20
Everything so far
Today's Obituary
Bot Team Summary Round Silly Random Invert Bot 2-3 NPCs Returns 2 or 4 on the first round. Returns 5 - <opponents_last_move> on subsequent rounds. 10 Silly 3 Bot NPCs Always returns 3. 10 Cooperate... |
a562dac5-0a0c-47bd-bc0e-b5e63e38ae5a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Munich June Meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : Munich June Meetup
WHEN: 20 June 2015 03:00:51PM (+0200)
WHERE: Café Puck, Türkenstraße 33, Munich
Please see the announcement on Meetup.com for details, discussion and exact location: http://www.meetup.com/LessWrongMunich/events/223011559/
Discussio... |
c5422c3f-6012-4281-98f6-a5a3c6037d5e | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | When is AI safety research harmful?
*This post is going to assume some knowledge of AI safety as a field. The short explanation is that some people think that artificial general intelligence (AGI) has the potential to cause human extinction, or close to it, because of the difficulty of correctly specifying human goals... |
1e0092bc-5b91-4389-a736-06456478d42a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] Harder Choices Matter Less
Today's post, Harder Choices Matter Less was originally published on 29 August 2008. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> If a choice is hard, that means the alternatives are around equally balanced, right?
Discuss the post here (rather than in the comments to the original... |
95d290d4-8d87-4860-8d5c-09f185227178 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Effect of Numpy
In the bucket brigade singing project I talked about yesterday, the server is Python. We wrote it in a very straightforward "it won't be fast but at least it's correct" style. In simple stress testing, I found that it could handle about 10 clients, which is definitely not enough.
My first thought was ... |
e0421a6b-ba8a-4221-b921-95c555145ffb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Intentional Bucket Errors
I want to illustrate a research technique that I use sometimes. (My actual motivation for writing this is to make it so that I don't feel as much like I need to defend myself when I use this technique.) I am calling it intentional bucket errors after a CFAR concept called bucket errors. Bucke... |
1d0232e1-6f95-4478-9b3d-89776e179ee2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | From Considerations to Probabilities
The previous post started forecasting the UK hospital peak (based on information through Dec. 21, 2021). We generated several considerations and ultimately focused on the Omicron doubling time, the peak number of cases, the current number of Omicron cases, and the seasonality. In a... |
86de7222-9ba9-48a4-a292-7aaa853e11d8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Boston Meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : Boston Meetup
WHEN: 06 September 2015 03:30:00PM (-0400)
WHERE: 98 Elm St, Apt 1, Somerville, MA (Porter Square)
—Phase 1: Arrival, greetings, unstructured conversation. This starts at 3:30; before then, Citadel residents will be busy. Looking forward to se... |
7b9cc93d-5b22-4dbd-9b5a-e87a51fc5abb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Logical uncertainty and Mathematical uncertainty
,,,,,
There is a significant difference between uncertainty about mathematical truths in cases where there isn't a known procedure for checking whether a mathematical claim is true or false, versus when there is but you do not have the computational resources to carry i... |
d3adb3c9-c105-464b-bebb-03e5dfd2d792 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | (Reinventing wheels) Maybe our world has become more people-shaped.
Let's stow our QM caps and pretend Democritus was right: Atoms turn out to be the fundamental, indivisible units of physical reality after all. Let's further pretend that some flavor of hard determininism is in play: There is nothing apart from the mo... |
7fef9ad8-76bd-43c9-a595-c0f96e1038e3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A Conflict Between Longtermism and Veganism, Pick One.
[This is a cross-post from my blog, which you can find here]
The EA space is certainly a unique intersection of people from many walks of life, each with their own priorities and goals. However, an interesting contradiction arose in a recent conversation I had ov... |
ceb24a12-6c38-42b4-a276-abadc518532c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Mini advent calendar of Xrisks: Pandemics
The FHI's mini advent calendar: counting down through the big five existential risks. The fourth one is an ancient risk, still with us today: pandemics and plagues.
Pandemics
Current understanding: high
Most worrying aspect: the past evidence points to a risky future
The... |
78cdd068-bf22-468b-9ee1-a3bab6c55138 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | making decisions as our approximately simulated selves
making decisions as our approximately simulated selves
------------------------------------------------------
an agent should want to realize their values, and in particular should want their approximated selves — as guessed about by a smart oracle — to also mak... |
aff11397-3bf6-4a2e-b64b-749386981ca5 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Secure Evaluation of Knowledge Graph Merging Gain
1. Introduction
----------------
inline]1 page
For many people and businesses most or at least a big part of their value lies in their knowledge.
Often this knowledge is represented in knowledge graphs.
This is true for a broad range of companies ranging from so... |
ac99877b-06bc-4e43-bc31-49d741af186a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Chapter 9: Why can it Select?
Our final problem. Let's take a look at our task:
1. We know that memories are coupled subnetworks in the Knowledge Graph.
2. We know that what we can recall them using our Working memory.
3. We understood the regulation mechanism that motivates us to do it. We also realized it's bind... |
e88f0eab-2f17-4b7d-98f7-12cb82e32c2d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Solitaire Principle: Game Theory for One
> Do I contradict myself?
> Very well then I contradict myself;
> (I am large, I contain multitudes.)
This post is an exercise in taking Whitman seriously. If the self is properly understood as a loose coalition of many agents with possibly distinct values, beliefs, and ... |
6779184b-0c8a-4b81-9967-f72c90fd4c75 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How can I find trustworthy dietary advice?
I currently think that the official dietary advice is sometimes untrustworthy, and I don't know when it's trustworthy and when it isn't, so I'm in a state of epistemic learned helplessness. Some reasons why I think this:
--I get the impression that much of the official advic... |
4fa46f12-e073-464c-9763-3bcd181afaa9 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | What DALL-E 2 can and cannot do
I got access to DALL-E 2 earlier this week, and have spent the last few days (probably adding up to dozens of hours) playing with it, with the goal of mapping out its performance in various areas – and, of course, ending up with some epic art.
Below, I've compiled a list of observatio... |
1592e460-f21b-4958-943a-cc783c21ce5a | awestover/filtering-for-misalignment | Redwood Research: Alek's Filtering Results | id: post1768
Comments: The following is a list (very lightly edited with help from Rob Bensinger) I wrote in July 2017, at Nick Beckstead’s request, as part of a conversation we were having at the time. From my current vantage point, it strikes me as narrow and obviously generated by one person, listing the first thin... |
f0252f6e-5fa7-44dd-b908-0738fdef4932 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Betting Thread
At Ought, we’ve started making bets on our continuous predictions. We’ve found it a fun way to hold ourselves accountable and to combat overconfidence.
Here’s a thread for people to share continuous beliefs they’re willing to bet on, and make bets on other people’s beliefs. You can use Elicit to automa... |
1ec43b4c-b1e3-4b1d-9bcc-24c5df2f32f0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Researching and Reasoning About Bardiya
It's both profitable and gratifying to use one's reasoning skills to attempting to figure out answers to complex and murky questions. Even failing the ability to say definitively what happened, we can still make and update our own statistical distributions of what could have pos... |
b19c593c-aa67-489f-80ce-55546d282834 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | The Alignment Community Is Culturally Broken
*Disclaimer: These are entirely my thoughts. I'm posting this before it's fully polished because it never will be.*
Epistemic status: Moderately confident. Deliberately provocative title.
Apparently, the Bay Area rationalist community has a burnout problem. I have no ide... |
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