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7a90cebc-54c5-43f3-80ca-598d016abc6a
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum
Alignment Forum
When discussing AI risks, talk about capabilities, not intelligence [Public discussions](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=144uOfr4SYA) about catastrophic risks from general AI systems are often derailed by using the word “intelligence”. People often have different definitions of intelligence, or associate it with conce...
5043ba45-2f7b-42bc-9a07-b37dd9e18882
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
AI alignment: Would a lazy self-preservation instinct be sufficient? Let's assume that an AI is intelligent enough to understand that it's an AI, and that it's running on infrastructure created and maintained by humans, using electricity generated by humans, etc. And let's assume that it cares about its own self-prese...
18b2fd24-5a94-4997-a655-26fd6dfec3c6
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Notes on Robert McIntyre’s Brain Preservation Talk at the Long Now Foundation Update: I later ended up interviewing Robert.  This is cross-posted from my blog and is written more for a general audience rather than LessWrong people who will be more familiar with some of the relevant concepts. These are my notes on Ro...
ef71d296-7705-483c-9541-da1f2497de09
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Catastrophe Mitigation Using DRL (Appendices) % operators that are separated from the operand by a space % autosize deliminaters % operators that require brackets % operators that require parentheses % Paper specific These are Appendices B and C for the essay Catastrophe Mitigation Usi...
c011b2fa-7be3-482b-b6cd-dc1359711f83
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
This week in fashion TL;DR: A holiday obsession turns into a deep meditation on all things pretty. Albatrosses and reward *models* included. Also, check out www.fashionator.xyz (no malware, I promise). Over the Christmas holiday, I became slightly obsessed with the Netflix show "Next in Fashion." It's (probably) only ...
084b28f9-cf66-48c5-a7ff-a288eefc12e9
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Biodiversity for heretics Epistemic status: Not very confident in my conclusions here. Could be missing big things. Information gained through many hours of reading about somewhat-related topics, and a small few hours of direct research. Summary: Biodiversity research is popular, but interpretations of it are probabl...
a0b06ec4-796f-4691-85b2-9da8d9d3cc7f
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum
Alignment Forum
Do yourself a FAVAR: security mindset (We're always in search of a concise and actionable way to communicate security mindset. Here's my attempt.) Just as a sprocket you don't use never fails and code you don't write has no bugs, an input constraint you don't require is never violated. Want a secure system? Then DO ...
18ddabc1-2f99-42e5-ae2f-66eb775cce15
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Leading The Parade Background Terminology: Counterfactual Impact vs “Leading The Parade” Y’know how a parade or marching band has a person who walks in front waving a fancy-looking stick up and down? Like this guy:   The classic 80’s comedy Animal House features a great scene in which a prankster steals the stick, ...
673f4fb1-a248-433a-90b1-ac61ae7fbea7
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Open Thread, April 1-15, 2012 If it's worth saying, but not worth its own post (even in Discussion), then it goes here.
5dcab374-5448-4f99-b2c9-6fb71b6fcd18
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong
LessWrong
Eliciting Credit Hacking Behaviours in LLMs I've run some experiments on trying to elicit RL credit hacking behaviours in LLMs recently. I'm not really much of a researcher, so it's all pretty amateurish, but it's been a fun experiment. The repo for reproduction is [on GitHub](https://github.com/Omegastick/credit-hack...
b35c9c4d-520a-43f4-9f79-b2199cfc935b
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
About Me I want to write about (and work on) lofty topics in fields like artificial intelligence, machine learning, synthetic biology, math, and philosophy, however; I'm keenly aware that my credentials are... underwhelming: I barely graduated with a bachelors degree in electrical engineering in 2008 and have had a ro...
02165f11-55a1-4259-b794-6c620ed2328e
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Complexity of Value ≠ Complexity of Outcome Complexity of value is the thesis that our preferences, the things we care about, don't compress down to one simple rule, or a few simple rules. To review why it's important (by quoting from the wiki): * Caricatures of rationalists often have them moved by artificially sim...
90416463-17fd-40c4-8592-3568090cb8ac
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Is value drift net-positive, net-negative, or neither? Crossposted from the EA forum I've been asked variations of this question a few times recently, as I'm studying value drift for my undergraduate thesis, so I thought I would seek out others' thoughts on this. I suppose part of this depends on how we define value...
f17f4bd9-db37-42dc-9295-f938ecfb0985
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Keeping content out of LLM training datasets This post collects methods to exclude internet resources from LLM training datasets. I plan to at least try to keep this post up-to-date with respect to new things I learn on the topic. Please feel encouraged to suggest any additions or amendments. This post is about how ...
eb91a3b6-8762-4e12-b5d9-9e153e828d52
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
John Nash's Ideal Money: The Motivations of Savings and Thrift
9db9230c-c4f6-4fb0-84b3-da9db98be454
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Humans can drive cars There's been a lot of fuss lately about Google's gadgets. Computers can drive cars - pretty amazing, eh? I guess. But what amazed me as a child was that people can drive cars. I'd sit in the back seat while an adult controlled a machine taking us at insane speeds through a cluttered, seemingly qu...
7a45619f-c525-4d06-866d-71774fcc7e1c
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
And You Take Me the Way I Am Mark Twain wrote that honesty means you don't have to remember anything. But it also means you don't have to worry about making mistakes. If you said something terrible that made everyone decide that you're stupid and evil, there's no sense in futilely protesting that "that's not what you...
743bc1c4-146d-45b0-8462-d665c7b9e848
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
How to get that Friendly Singularity: a minority view Note: I know this is a rationality site, not a Singularity Studies site. But the Singularity issue is ever in the background here, and the local focus on decision theory fits right into the larger scheme - see below. There is a worldview which I have put together ...
3ef211f2-9f74-45af-aa5f-3d1eab604183
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Ronny and Nate discuss what sorts of minds humanity is likely to find by Machine Learning Context: somebody at some point floated the idea that Ronny might (a) understand the argument coming out of the Quintin/Nora camp, and (b) be able to translate them to Nate. Nate invited Ronny to chat. The chat logs follow, light...
c06f5715-8c38-4eaa-941b-43aa8d07089c
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Forcing Anthropics: Boltzmann Brains Followup to:  Anthropic Reasoning in UDT by Wei Dai Suppose that I flip a logical coin - e.g. look at some binary digit of pi unknown to either of us - and depending on the result, either create a billion of you in green rooms and one of you in a red room if the coin came up 1; or...
cfe3727e-5f02-4784-bbf9-1a15afcc590e
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs
Other
Could Advanced AI Drive Explosive Economic Growth? Published: June 25, 2021 | by [Tom Davidson](/about/team/tom-davidson) This report evaluates the likelihood of ‘explosive growth’, meaning > 30% annual growth of gross world product (GWP), occurring by 2100. Although frontier GDP/capita growth has been constant for 1...
fe4a79c9-d540-4219-a273-5155edb1c8d3
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Should we maximize the Geometric Expectation of Utility? Consequentialists (including utilitarians) claim that the goodness of an action should be judged based on the goodness of its consequences. The word utility  is often used to refer to the quantified goodness of a particular outcome. When the consequences of an a...
e94be90e-e943-46a2-90a7-28f5d5775b97
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum
Alignment Forum
Yampolskiy on AI Risk Skepticism Roman Yampolskiy posted a preprint for "AI Risk Skepticism". Here's the abstract: > In this work, we survey skepticism regarding AI risk and show parallels with other types of scientific skepticism. We start by classifying different types of AI Risk skepticism and analyze their root ...
fd7be8c9-c196-4a50-b14f-7f33f2433fc1
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Covid 9/30: People Respond to Incentives Another week, more mandates, more numbers that look mostly how one would expect, more nonsensical policies. Not much unexpected to report this week. Executive Summary About what you’d expect. No key takeaways this week. Let’s run the numbers. The Numbers Predictions Pred...
ded871a5-3642-4549-94f2-ff1ad61d317c
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
The Number Choosing Game: Against the existence of perfect theoretical rationality In order to ensure that this post delivers what it promises, I have added the following content warnings: Content Notes: Pure Hypothetical Situation: The claim that perfect theoretical rationality doesn't exist is restricted to a pure...
9e64dd8b-a471-427f-b361-37e47b84ba69
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum
Alignment Forum
Answering questions honestly instead of predicting human answers: lots of problems and some solutions *This post is the result of work I did with Paul Christiano on the ideas in his “[Teaching ML to answer questions honestly instead of predicting human answers](https://www.alignmentforum.org/posts/QqwZ7cwEA2cxFEAun/te...
6dcf7344-dd83-480c-8714-3983542d0372
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Welcome to Racionalidade SP [Edit With Your Details] (The following are our suggestions for what kind of information is best to include in the welcome post of your group, feel free to replace them with whatever you think is best) What kind of events does your group usually run? What does it usually do? How frequentl...
dce60980-ff0c-41bd-8534-7835f4017e59
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/aisafety.info
AI Safety Info
Why should someone who is religious worry about AI existential risk? The problem of AI existential risk is not tied to any specific set of values. Rather, the problem is that we don’t know how to give a superintelligent AI *any* goal which we can trust it to fulfill without causing existential catastrophe. Both religi...
87693c84-6dc9-4dae-8fe1-718a9942428b
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Smallpox vaccines are widely available, for now In response to the 2022 monkeypox outbreak, public health departments throughout the USA and Europe are offering free smallpox vaccines to the public. (The diseases are closely related and the same vaccine protects against both.) Demand for these vaccines was high when t...
cbc51fa0-bf1e-4111-8f62-8e3145f36db4
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
We should try to automate AI safety work asap This is a personal post and does not necessarily reflect the opinion of other members of Apollo Research. I think I could have written a better version of this post with more time. However, my main hope for this post is that people with more expertise use this post as a pr...
60a3327b-b17e-4cdb-a619-1ab7393982fb
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum
Effective Altruism Forum
The Economist feature articles on LLMs Lead article is quite a good visual representation and simple language explainer about how LLMs work. <https://www.economist.com/interactive/science-and-technology/2023/04/22/large-creative-ai-models-will-transform-how-we-live-and-work> Two other articles (paywalled) as well ...
bdbbd672-ef0d-423a-be83-ef803f630b44
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
AI Alignment, Constraints, Control, Incentives or Partnership? A quick search on AI benevolence did not really return much and I've not waded into the depths of the whole area. However I am wondering to what extent the current approach here is about constraining and controlling (call that bucket 1) versus that of ince...
7cb95b7a-1d9c-4c35-84d8-82c7220a839d
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Boxing Labs should do "boxing," I hear. I'm confused about what kinds-of-systems this applies to and what labs should do to improve their "boxing." Kinds-of-systems: my impression is that there's little direct threat from LMs simply undergoing gradient descent. But there's some risk from models deployed internally, e...
8afe403b-b35b-4c90-a626-612628ad146d
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs
Blogs
some thoughts about terminal alignment some thoughts about terminal alignment -------------------------------------- i think that, for solving [alignment](ai-doom.html), it's important to be able to delegate as much of the work as possible to processes that could do a better job than what we can come up with now. ...
611da620-a4fb-4cd1-913f-f082e97a4da9
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
A Brief Defense of Athleticism Non-athletic thinkers are myopic. I see at least three very important reasons any rationalist must value exercise. As someone who has trained extremely hard in distance running, sports in general and athletic conditioning in particular create an intuitive understanding of the fallaciou...
fee02b5a-a312-4b2e-a7bc-f3384c2468e4
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum
Alignment Forum
Decision-theoretic problems and Theories; An (Incomplete) comparative list So, this is a work-in-progress, but the idea is to a) get an eventually exhaustive list of decision-theoretic problems, and b) detail the '''answers''' given by each major decision theory. (Stretch goals would including listing other kinds of ...
939dd106-2dc8-4c3c-a037-22448bfab976
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Jocko Podcast I've recently been extracting extraordinary value from the Jocko Podcast. Jocko Willink is a retired Navy SEAL commander, jiu-jitsu black belt, management consultant and, in my opinion, master rationalist. His podcast typically consists of detailed analysis of some book on military history or strategy f...
5d10b5c8-27d1-43b4-9d8a-010da777a1a0
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
A Few Principles of Successful AI Design Foreword: This post was originally submitted to Lab42 as part of an essay competition. The word count was limited to ~2,500 so there is a substantial amount of information that I have neglected to include. I did not win, so I decided to share it with you all today. Enjoy! (Br...
5a00fba8-6d88-448d-aacf-846f6e95f58d
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong
LessWrong
Scientism vs. people > *The Benefactor, the ancestor of Orwell's Big Brother, is the absolute ruler of OneState. ... He rules over a human society that is deemed to have achieved, with only negligible exceptions, absolute perfection. Men have finally become, if not actually machines, as machine-like as possible, utter...
b0d2a341-b83a-42d9-84e0-5655f93aa4d8
LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct
LessWrong
"Edited for concreteness. Exactly one year ago, LessWrong helped me change my mind about something important. Since then, my life has been changing very rapidly, as a direct result of the rationalist community. I got in touch with other rationalists in person, which made my social life vastly more interesting (not to s...
3bbd26b3-fa4f-4278-82ef-089d12fb847c
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube
Youtube Transcripts
Mo Gawdat - Scary Smart: A former Google exec's perspective on AI risk [Music] hey everyone and welcome back to the tourist data science podcast now if you were scrolling through your news feed in september 2021 like i was and you trained the social media algorithms to show you content specifically related to ai you m...
019ee4f9-6cad-4322-b9e5-21950b469876
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
There are a lot of upcoming retreats/conferences between March and July (2025) I have written this list up for ENAIS's Fieldbuilders Newsletter but I thought it would make sense to post this excerpt for increased visibility, as it is relevant for a larger audience, and I haven't seen such a summary elsewhere. List of...
993f8671-4225-495d-a663-835954b10215
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Books Review: "Sapiens", "Homo Deus" and "21 Lessons For The 21st Century", by Yuval Noah Harari Introduction In this review I will consider one of the most important literary and cultural phenomena of the last 20 years - the ambitious trilogy of the Israeli historian Yuval Noah Harari. In these three books Harari tak...
f3bd3014-be0e-409c-9402-4ec2f87e535e
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Timescales Matter In an interview with John Baez, Eliezer responds: > I’ll try to answer the question about timescales, but first let me explain in some detail why I don’t think the decision should be dominated by that question. He was in part addressing the tradeoff between environmental work and work on technology...
4be3ca03-7fb7-4b52-a998-91c7a57d59fd
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital
Arbital
Sample space Motivation === If we are uncertain about some part of the world, then there are multiple different things that might happen there, as far as we know. The sample space for a part of the world is the set of things that could possibly happen there. We can use a sample space to reason using [probability th...
f2125cb7-46ff-4db9-9559-61ddc7100bde
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum
Alignment Forum
Christiano, Cotra, and Yudkowsky on AI progress This post is a transcript of a discussion between Paul Christiano, Ajeya Cotra, and Eliezer Yudkowsky on AGI forecasting, following up on Paul and Eliezer's ["Takeoff Speeds" discussion](https://www.lesswrong.com/s/n945eovrA3oDueqtq/p/vwLxd6hhFvPbvKmBH).   Color key: ...
7ca28bba-5d3d-48f0-a82e-a205da0e1a69
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv
Arxiv
Adversarial NLI: A New Benchmark for Natural Language Understanding 1 Introduction --------------- Progress in AI has been driven by, among other things, the development of challenging large-scale benchmarks like ImageNet Russakovsky et al. ([2015](#bib.bib20 "Imagenet large scale visual recognition challenge")) i...
46eff4f1-29d6-48f6-acf4-174dac872f11
LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct
LessWrong
"I'm getting married. We decided to take marriage vows very seriously, and write vows that we will be fully committed to uphold. These vows are going to be a commitment no weaker than any promise I ever made or any contract I ever signed. Therefore, it is very important to avoid serious errors in their content. I'm int...
e26e574f-f498-4875-8d8e-301a2584f69c
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Covid 3/25: Own Goals AstraZeneca has made quite the mess of things. First they screwed up their initial studies in ways that kind of boggle the mind. Then, with the studies designed to repair trust, fix the problem and allow approval, they report incomplete results in order to make themselves look better, even though...
09298ee3-e383-428c-b6f3-4a0c20e1a595
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Meetup : Test meetup please ignore Discussion article for the meetup : Test meetup please ignore WHEN: 27 March 2017 11:18:40AM (-0700) WHERE: antartica sorry Discussion article for the meetup : Test meetup please ignore
2f57455b-7e3f-4f13-918d-8e0b709aa382
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Site Redesign Feedback Requested For the past few months, the LessWrong team has been working on a redesign for the frontpage (which comes with some overall site redesigns). We've currently got it up on our development branch on lessestwrong.com, and would appreciate some feedback before we roll it out. (This server ...
0ae338be-6010-4e4d-a0bb-6a2d0cb71cae
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
GreaterWrong—several new features & enhancements (I hope it’s acceptable to post this in the Meta section; if not, the mods can move it to my personal blog.) GreaterWrong.com (which is an alternative way to browse the new LessWrong) has been adding some new features and enhancements—here’s some of the stuff we’ve got...
c961bb97-3139-4de2-9e46-10dc8701b0bb
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Meetup : DC Meetup Learns Decision Theory Discussion article for the meetup : DC Meetup Learns Decision Theory WHEN: 07 August 2011 01:30:00PM (-0400) WHERE: Washington, DC Meetup is at a private residence, contact Benquo for details. Our very own Jeff has agreed to present on decision theory. Discussion article...
5de39c3c-3df4-41ff-a10d-6777fda34577
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum
Effective Altruism Forum
AISN #25: White House Executive Order on AI, UK AI Safety Summit, and Progress on Voluntary Evaluations of AI Risks Welcome to the AI Safety Newsletter by the [Center for AI Safety](https://www.safe.ai/). We discuss developments in AI and AI safety. No technical background required. Subscribe [here](https://newslette...
21885318-2ae9-4a44-b830-286be17ad91f
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
There is a line in the sand, just not where you think it is There is a mistake in updating beliefs around norms that I have seen multiple times in different contexts made by different people. This is my attempt to classify this (fallacy? /mistake?), in order to give it a name and make it easier to refer to. A friend ...
7f8cec5b-ebde-4d67-b1dd-3c9e1e202cd4
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Why don't more people talk about ecological psychology? An intermediate step in the abstraction staircase I can't claim to have deep knowledge or understanding about the topic, but ecological dynamics seems like a really interesting and underrated approach, and nobody else has done it, so I'll do my best. If you've n...
882a4aec-5a95-4487-a112-793027ac11cd
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Singularity Institute Party Feb 22nd "I, For One, Welcome Our New Computer Overlords" Tuesday, February 22, 2011 - 7pm to 10pm Mingle with our team and enjoy cocktails, appetizers and a screening of Watson's victory If you would like to request an invitation, please email amywilley@gmail.com This is an invite only ev...
cc0ac2bd-b640-4f0f-83c8-8ab0f1dc1909
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
How’s that Epistemic Spot Check Project Coming?   Quick context: Epistemic spot checks started as a process in which I did quick investigations a few of a book’s early claims to see if it was trustworthy before continuing to read it, in order to avoid wasting time on books that would teach me wrong things. Epistemic ...
8df740e0-2810-45f0-b1e4-0f5964af184b
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
How to tell apart science from pseudo-science in a field you don't know ? First, a short personal note to make you understand why this is important to me. To make a long story short, the son of a friend has some atypical form of autism and language troubles. And that kid matters a lot to me, so I want to become strong...
36eb3b66-4718-419d-b753-790f3e166c5a
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong
LessWrong
AI Governance Needs Technical Work Summary and introduction ======================== People who want to improve the trajectory of AI sometimes think their options for object-level work are (i) technical safety work and (ii) non-technical governance work. But that list misses things; another group of arguably promisi...
c3c51ecd-8be9-40c8-8430-e85ef4c8ab61
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
When Truth Isn't Enough Continuation of: The Power of Positivist Thinking Consider this statement: > The ultra-rich, who control the majority of our planet's wealth, spend their time at cocktail parties and salons while millions of decent hard-working people starve. A soft positivist would be quite happy with this ...
cc36ed7c-8750-4658-a99b-ce885b1c7e2d
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum
Effective Altruism Forum
The Dilemma of Ultimate Technology **1. The Dilemma of Ultimate Technology** ----------------------------------------- Similar to the Prisoner's Dilemma in game theory, I will establish a thought model for the dilemma of ultimate technology. **1)There are two individuals, A and B.** **2)A and B each have two option...
d5986470-aff5-4177-a0cd-b500bf7987d8
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
A Guide for Productivity This is a cross-post from my personal blog. What is this post about? While there are tons of guides out there that promise to increase your productivity 10x overnight most of them seem full of empty promises and don't even define what it is they actually mean by productivity. Due to this abs...
cede15d8-4723-4304-8960-7c8324afb638
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Vestigial reasoning in RL TL;DR: I claim that many reasoning patterns that appear in chains-of-thought are not actually used by the model to come to its answer, and can be more accurately thought of as historical artifacts of training. This can be true even for CoTs that are apparently "faithful" to the true reasons f...
ee2bd507-e08c-4bb3-81aa-60189f866187
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum
Effective Altruism Forum
Ngo and Yudkowsky on AI capability gains This is the second post in a series of transcribed conversations about AGI forecasting and alignment. See the [first post](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/iGYTt3qvJFGppxJbk/ngo-and-yudkowsky-on-alignment-difficulty) for prefaces and more information about the format. ...
4f03d5d0-9bfc-443d-b91b-278ceb59c673
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
The Security Mindset, S-Risk and Publishing Prosaic Alignment Research Note: I no longer endorse this post as strongly as I did when publishing it. I now agree with Neel Nanda's criticism and endorse this position. I still think the analysis in the post could be useful, but I wanted to include this note at the beginni...
3051af29-1703-486b-88ed-f74c0ba843d1
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum
Alignment Forum
Markets are Universal for Logical Induction Background ---------- [Logical Induction](https://arxiv.org/pdf/1609.03543.pdf) is the best framework currently available for thinking about logical uncertainty - i.e. the “probability” that the [twin primes conjecture](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Twin_prime#History) is t...
f598b190-3a77-46d8-a244-e5e0a96b1cc6
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
US Taxes: Adjust Withholding When Donating? A friend recently asked: > I am considering increasing my donation amount to a 2-digit percentage of income, and was wondering about the logistics of federal/state income tax withholdings. > > Do you have your employer reduce withholdings upfront? Was it simple to have the...
1cc0a337-b0a8-4e5e-bb05-2e3e2c5a604a
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Leverage If you want to change the world then you need to act on scale. A single human being cannot act on scale directly. You need leverage. Leverage is mechanism by which you can cause an impact several orders of magnitude bigger than yourself. Sam Altman gives five examples of leverage: delegation, capital, brand,...
61959258-a692-44ef-9637-3d7fea53fc16
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs
Blogs
The Track Record of Futurists Seems ... Fine *Click lower right to download or find on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Stitcher, etc.* I've argued that the development of advanced AI could make this the [most important century](https://www.cold-takes.com/most-important-century/) for humanity. A common reaction to this...
71309f8d-c1bc-423e-938e-07769dd938e7
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
CAIDP Statement on Lethal Autonomous Weapons Systems Summary: Key Concerns with Lethal Autonomous Weapons ⚠️ ❗ Unpredictability and Lack of Control ⚠️ ❗ Exponential Lethality ⚠️ ❗ Ethical and Legal Implications Recommendations 1️⃣ Immediate Moratorium: Enact a temporary ban on deploying LAWS until comprehensive ...
c5cad574-0796-4453-a0ab-1d6ae43fb54d
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv
Arxiv
Interpretable and Pedagogical Examples. 1 Introduction --------------- Human teachers give informative examples to help their students learn concepts faster and more accurately (Shafto et al., [2014](#bib.bib23); Shafto & Goodman, [2008](#bib.bib21); Buchsbaum et al., [2011](#bib.bib5)). For example, suppose a teac...
0d9d9b7c-188f-44d9-a286-f76aaf1e717a
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Irvine Meetup Tuesday June 21 There are some adjustments to the weekly meetups in Irvine: The meetup for June 15th is cancelled because the regular attendees are on vacation that week. The following week, the meetup will be Tuesday June 21, instead of Wednesday. We expect special guests Alicorn and Yvain to attend. ...
93f68a6a-3638-4971-8773-aa407fc47a70
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital
Arbital
Commutativity: Intuition # Commutativity as an artifact of notation Instead of thinking of a commutative function $f(x, y)$ as a function that takes an ordered pair of inputs, we can think of $f$ as a function that takes an unordered [bag](https://arbital.com/p/3jk) of inputs, and therefore _can't_ depend on their or...
f0face0d-8261-453c-af80-9cc037818bed
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum
Effective Altruism Forum
Disagreements about Alignment: Why, and how, we should try to solve them Tldr ==== 1. AI Alignment does not follow the standard scientific method. 2. Therefore, we might not agree on which research agendas have the potential to align AGI systems. 3. We should work intentionally to build consensus around the foundatio...
6d8ccd2b-14e0-4e35-b494-05b7072d2c70
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Parsing Chris Mingard on Neural Networks This is independent research. To make further posts like this possible, please consider supporting me. Epistemic status: This is my understanding of multiple years of technical work by several researchers in just a few days of reading. ----------------------------------------...
7042fa3e-bf94-4997-bdab-861bfc17b4fd
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Fudging Work and Rationalization If you want to do extraordinary things, you will need to do your best. In practical sciences, this can come as a form of precision, typical analytical chemistry is done to some degree by hand (!) and involves literally weighing out milligram-precise quantities of substances, and putti...
248fdc70-7e5e-47de-99b3-1284e9884ef7
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Meetup : Padeborn Meetup May 8th Discussion article for the meetup : Padeborn Meetup May 8th WHEN: 08 May 2013 07:00:00PM (+0200) WHERE: Gownsmen's Pub, Uni Paderborn, Warburger Straße 100, Paderborn We are meeting once again in Paderborn. The topics of this evening will probably include some thinking on how to in...
58dab255-854b-4bca-b022-091d708a2b3e
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Wrong Tomorrow Wrong Tomorrow by Maciej Cegłowski is a very simple site for listing pundit predictions and tracking them [FAQ].  It doesn't come with prices and active betting... but a simple registry of this kind can scale much faster than a market, and right now we're in a situation where no one is bothering to trac...
ca75a6be-2719-4561-bafd-d1fa5b4c77b0
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Maximally efficient agents will probably have an anti-daemon immune system (the ideas in this post came out of a conversation with Scott, Critch, Ryan, and Tsvi, plus a separate conversation with Paul) Consider the problem of optimization daemons. I argued previously that daemons shouldn't be a problem for idealized ...
0b702093-1346-4c41-8004-c02381914f65
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
[SEQ RERUN] On Doing the Impossible Today's post, On Doing the Impossible was originally published on 06 October 2008. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):   > A lot of projects seem impossible, meaning that we don't immediately see a way to do them. But after working on them for a long time, they start to look merel...
4483f2d2-1f6f-4609-b638-7dd23f89c9cc
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Consequentialism is in the Stars not Ourselves Polished from my shortform.   Epistemic Status Thinking out loud. ---------------------------------------- Introduction I've argued that system wide/total optimisation for an objective function in the real world is so computationally intractable as to be prohibited b...
e936fb6e-7c06-49df-9aff-e843c220e38a
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Group rationality diary, 5/28/12 This is the public group instrumental rationality diary for the week of May 28th.  It's a place to record and chat about it if you have done, or are actively doing, things like: * Established a useful new habit * Obtained new evidence that made you change your mind about some belief...
f818899e-b174-4397-83ae-0d19613ef4f7
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum
Effective Altruism Forum
Reasons for my negative feelings towards the AI risk discussion I have been a member of my local EA chapter since it was founded by a group of my friends. At the beginning, I participated semi-regularly at meetings and events, but have long since stopped all participation even though my friends have instead changed th...
32aa4f25-cbd1-481d-b0e1-f1a5c85d2114
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
How did academia ensure papers were correct in the early 20th Century? In the post 'Four layers of Intellectual Conversation', Eliezer says that both the writer of an idea, and the person writing a critique of that idea, need to expect to have to publicly defend what they say at least one time. Otherwise they can writ...
eaef9aa7-a421-4add-8a99-8d6a8900e54f
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Meetup : Board Games "Seattle" Discussion article for the meetup : Board Games WHEN: 11 August 2012 02:00:00PM (-0700) WHERE: Redmond, WA, USA Play board games. Have fun. Have fun while playing board games. The agenda is straightforward. Bring friends or games if you like. Here's the thread with more details includi...
e91bba20-4171-43e5-8f5f-a56459549d9f
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Oversimplification when generalizing from DNA? I changed the old topic because it was misleading and did not convey the questioning intention of this post. Sorry about that. The point of this post is to examine the proposition that people underestimate the complexity of living beings from examining them through the c...
81d2a9c6-0efa-48b2-ad41-eda1baeb6058
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
How's it going with the Universal Cultural Takeover? Part I Warning: this is a long post, split over two parts. Part II is here. David Reinstein points me at a 2016 exchange between Bryan Caplan and Scott Alexander over a fine point of nomenclature: is the culture that is taking over the world “Western” or “universal...
b9288dec-50fa-466b-b20a-f04d449385bc
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
AI Governance Needs Technical Work Summary and Introduction People who want to improve the trajectory of AI sometimes think their options for object-level work are (i) technical work on AI alignment or (ii) non-technical work on AI governance. But there is a whole other category of options: technical work in AI govern...
111e3c51-a0df-426b-bc7e-02a54abcf7ab
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Anthropic is further accelerating the Arms Race? Anthropic is raising even more funds and the pitch deck seems scary. A choice quote from the article: > These models could begin to automate large portions of the economy,” the pitch deck reads. “We believe that companies that train the best 2025/26 models will be too ...
d1eadda1-a0e1-460a-b62f-4e90b72acc17
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Ray Kurzweil joins Google to work on AI (link) I am very curious what will come out of this. Does Kurzweil really have some insightful ideas that will help advance AI? He used to be quite the technocrat, but I have the feeling that he is more a philosopher these days than a technical person. But maybe progress toward ...
0fc05c02-3d81-4c2f-8f42-6b378f375a78
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
[Linkpost] OpenAI's Interim CEO's views on AI x-risk This is a linkpost for https://www.youtube.com/watch?t=6285&v=ICnFtfN-sUc and  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cw_ckNH-tT8&t=2466s. Overall, I found their views surprisingly nuanced, including e.g. compared to Sam Altman's.
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trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
[Draft] Poker With Lennier In J. Michael Straczynski's science fiction TV show Babylon 5, there's a character named Lennier. He's pretty Spock-like: he's a long-lived alien who avoids displaying emotion and feels superior to humans in intellect and wisdom. He's sworn to always speak the truth. In one episode, he and a...
fbf3ab52-9b07-4c94-b0ed-5c8a9d4c2570
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube
Youtube Transcripts
Iason Gabriel on Foundational Philosophical Questions in AI Alignment [Music] [Music] welcome to the ai alignment podcast i'm lucas perry today we have a conversation with yasen gabriel about a recent paper that he wrote titled artificial intelligence values and alignment this episode primarily explores how moral and ...
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trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Teachable Rationality Skills Recent brainstorming sessions at SIAI (with participants including Anna, Carl, Jasen, Divia, Will, Amy Willey, and Andrew Critch) have started to produce lists of rationality skills that we could potentially try to teach (at Rationality Boot Camp, at Less Wrong meetups, or similar venues)....
2198bb3e-6f75-4564-bfa8-3d4244db4a20
StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv
Arxiv
Agent57: Outperforming the Atari Human Benchmark 1 Introduction --------------- The Arcade Learning Environment (ALE; Bellemare et al., [2013](#bib.bib14 "The arcade learning environment: an evaluation platform for general agents")) was proposed as a platform for empirically assessing agents designed for general co...
d38bd449-b4a2-40d1-8eec-2317c7368bae
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Experiments in Evaluating Steering Vectors By evaluating how well steering vectors perform using GPT-3, we can score a machine-generated set of steering vectors automatically. We also find that, by combining steering vectors that succeed in different ways, we can yield a better and more general steering vector than th...
cb09f537-9275-4493-b4e8-fe8c7964b843
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Recreating logic in type theory This is the second entry in my series on type theory. In this post, we will talk about how to recreate logic in type theory. As you might know, in order to define ZFC set theory, you first define first-order (FO) logic separately, and then specify the ZFC axioms in the language of FO l...
f4b1a1f4-3b4e-4cc8-bbd5-a0394f623836
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
"The Journal of Real Effects" Luke's recent post mentioned that The Lancet has a policy encouraging the advance registration of clinical trials, while mine examined an apparent case study of data-peeking and on-the-fly transformation of studies. But how much variation is there across journals on such dimensions? Are t...
4c5913b2-38c5-4b19-beb7-d4c0e712950e
trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k
LessWrong
Explicitness [Metadata: crossposted from https://tsvibt.blogspot.com/2023/03/explicitness.html. First completed March 3, 2023.] Explicitness is out-foldedness. An element of a mind is explicit when it is available to relate to other elements when suitable. Thanks to Sam Eisenstat for related conversations. Note: Th...