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634119ae-5f4e-49a3-8f5a-be7dfdd736e3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why Care About Natural Latents?
Suppose Alice and Bob are two Bayesian agents in the same environment. They both basically understand how their environment works, so they generally agree on predictions about any specific directly-observable thing in the world - e.g. whenever they try to operationalize a bet, they find... |
2faf66b8-b44b-4cea-b442-c6185230528d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Sidekick Matchmaking
Thanks linkhyrule5 for suggesting this.
Post your request for Sidekicks or your desire to be a sidekick in the comment section below.
Send a personal message to your potential match to start communicating instead of replying in the thread, to save space and avoid biases, besides privacy.
[e... |
ac1c3b20-9e99-45a6-bbb6-ee49076f8909 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Can GPT-3 Write Contra Dances?
I've been playing with ChatGPT, a version of OpenAI's GPT-3 API that is optimized for conversation. I was curious whether it could compose contra dances, since these have several levels of constraints that should be increasingly difficult for it to handle. Does it:
1. Compose a dance... |
3da0f0f0-9cae-4716-94c2-5997e53e11f7 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | rust & wasm, without wasm-pack
rust & wasm, without wasm-pack
------------------------------
i like to keep my software stacks simple.
to write [wasm](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/WebAssembly) modules in rust, i use a relatively simple template, which only requires the `wasm-bindgen` utility (`cargo install -f wa... |
0c8f74a6-cae6-46df-8264-8d0ad5765327 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Self-Help Corner: Loop Detection
The more I work on myself, the more I realize that the first step for me is almost always to just notice I’m stuck in a loop.
As a teenager, I didn’t make progress towards getting good at anything because I was stuck in the following loop:
1. Decide X is my passion
2. Go all in for... |
af120857-d0db-4227-be4f-13f1e0af4991 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Evidence Sets: Towards Inductive-Biases based Analysis of Prosaic AGI
Epistemic Status: Exploratory. My current but-changing outlook with limited exploration & understanding for ~60-80hrs.
Acknowledgements: This post was written under Evan Hubinger’s direct guidance and mentorship as a part of the Stanford Existentia... |
4a665975-d30b-4821-82cc-75a037e066cb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Happiness interventions
I found a website called Happier Human. It's about how to become and stay happier. I've trawled through it. Here are the best posts in my opinion:
[Meditate]. Don't [worry/overthink/fantasise/compare]. [Disregard desire]. [Motivate]. [Exercise gratitude]. [Don’t have kids].
[Buy many ... |
716ab3d1-bd9f-47c7-af45-5e592efeba87 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Cashing Out Cognitive Biases as Behavior
We believe cognitive biases and susceptibility lead to bad decisions and suboptimal performance. I’d like to look at 2 interesting studies:
1. Parker & Fischhoff 2005: “Decision-making competence: External validation through an individual-differences approach”
comp... |
c52a64a0-4547-4223-a7f6-92197c2ef4b5 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Synthesizing amplification and debate
.mjx-chtml {display: inline-block; line-height: 0; text-indent: 0; text-align: left; text-transform: none; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; font-size: 100%; font-size-adjust: none; letter-spacing: normal; word-wrap: normal; word-spacing: normal; white-space: nowrap; float:... |
34903445-30cc-4982-81d8-037c9a996210 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Occam alternatives
One of the most delightful things I learned while on LessWrong was the Solomonoff/Kolmogorov formalization of Occam's Razor. Added to what had previously been only an aesthetic heuristic to me were mathematical rigor, proofs of optimality of certain kinds, and demonstrations of utility. For severa... |
862f7ba7-be0f-475a-a7bf-6ab2cd749777 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Open thread, Jun. 13 - Jun. 19, 2016
If it's worth saying, but not worth its own post (even in Discussion), then it goes here.
----------------------------------------
Notes for future OT posters:
1. Please add the 'open_thread' tag.
2. Check if there is an active Open Thread before posting a new one. (Immediately... |
1a8c4b78-cdd0-447b-9302-a1328f8a4b05 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | "How We Decide", by Jonah Lehrer, kindle version on sale for 99 cents at amazon
http://www.amazon.com/How-We-Decide-ebook/dp/B003WMAAMG/ref=sr_1_1?s=digital-text&ie=UTF8&qid=1331098417&sr=1-1
I don't know how proper this is, but I'm quite cheap and like a bargain, and I've seen Lehrer referred to a number of times he... |
b3584921-8dbf-4eb2-8a79-dcebec62efc4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How much should you be willing to pay for an AGI?
Having spent quite a bit of time with GPT-3, my feelings can be expressed as:
> This is really awesome, but it would be even better if it didn't cost $0.06 per character.
GPT-3 is slightly too expensive for many of the use-cases that I am interested in. This problem... |
04daeb0b-bbe3-4d9f-b84b-a4d3a2306b61 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | The Capacity for Moral Self-Correction in Large Language Models
1 Introduction
---------------
Large language models exhibit harmful social biases [[50](#bib.bib50), [24](#bib.bib24), [1](#bib.bib1), [29](#bib.bib29), [6](#bib.bib6), [8](#bib.bib8), [11](#bib.bib11), [15](#bib.bib15), [62](#bib.bib62)] that can som... |
a292bb91-67c9-4420-ac42-8584e4697b20 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Finite Factored Sets: Inferring Time
The fundamental theorem of finite factored sets tells us that (conditional) orthogonality data can be inferred from probabilistic data. Thus, if we can infer temporal data from orthogonality data, we will be able to combine these to infer temporal data purely from probabilistic dat... |
45c0637f-9914-4e03-9d56-b9aca248e1be | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Growing Up is Hard
Terrence Deacon's The Symbolic Species is the best book I've ever read on the evolution of intelligence. Deacon somewhat overreaches when he tries to theorize about what our X-factor is; but his exposition of its evolution is first-class.
Deacon makes an excellent case—he has quite persuaded me—th... |
277375e6-f59f-4f37-af7c-ab49dbcfbcba | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Natural Environment Benchmarks for Reinforcement Learning
Introduction
------------
The field of Reinforcement Learning (RL) has exploded in recent years, with over 10K research papers published per year for the last six years (Henderson et al., [2018](#bib.bib13)). The availability of challenging and widely-used b... |
513c90db-8b7f-46a6-820a-4d9ff49d5888 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Is there an easy way to turn a LW sequence into an epub?
I'm interested in reading Kaj's sequence on my Kindle. What's the best way to get a sequence like this into a form that I can load on my Kindle? |
ca4936ab-72f2-472d-b76d-0a1460ec2480 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why do so many think deception in AI is important?
I see a lot of energy and interest being devoted toward detecting deception in AIs, trying to make AIs less deceptive, making AIs honest, etc. But I keep trying to figure out why so many think this is very important. For less-than-human intelligence, deceptive tactics... |
20855b5c-e6c1-43c2-81c7-8d5c133d38fc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Repugnance and replacement
Summary
1. Many views, including even some person-affecting views, endorse the repugnant conclusion (and very repugnant conclusion) when set up as a choice between three options, with a benign addition option.
2. Many consequentialist(-ish) views, including many person-affecting views, in ... |
e5c13894-bf06-4e48-9d1b-c3b43552c868 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Accomplishing things takes a long time
At age 17, my future looked very promising. I had overcome a crippling learning disability, and discovered how to do research level math on my own. I knew that the entire K-12 infrastructure had failed to figure out how to teach the skills that I developed, and so I felt empowere... |
d7f56ce1-34f6-411f-be96-f608cae86224 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Is it worth making a database for moral predictions?
Epistemic status: Confused about what probabilities people assert to different alignment theories working.
I essentially want to know whether it would be worth spending some of my time working on conceiving a database like https://www.moralmachine.net/ with more co... |
e2320d65-1533-439e-a945-ae42e10c21e6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why you should learn a musical instrument
I have liked music very much since I was a teenager. I spent many hours late at night in Soulseek chat rooms talking about and sharing music with my online friends. So, I tend to just have some music floating around in my head on any given day. But, I never learned to play any... |
256e52b1-9fac-4f63-9cf6-7416a63bbb2a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Mech Interp Challenge: September - Deciphering the Addition Model
I'm writing this post to discuss solutions to the August challenge, and present the challenge for this September. Apologies for this coming so late in the month (EAGxBerlin was taking up much of my focus in the first half of this month).
If you've not ... |
058ec8e8-f0ec-4acd-aff7-e8a3814f4989 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Typical Sneer Fallacy
I like going to see movies with my friends. This doesn't require much elaboration. What might is that I continue to go see movies with my friends despite the radically different ways in which my friends happen to enjoy watching movies. I'll separate these movie-watching philosophies into a few... |
4ac55834-097c-4bc1-be14-b9c0170b240b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Goal completion: the rocket equations
A putative new idea for AI control; index here.
I'm calling "goal completion" the idea of giving an AI a partial goal, and having the AI infer the missing parts of the goal, based on observing human behaviour. Here is an initial model to test some of these ideas on.
The line... |
697cf92c-9d4c-494b-89b2-d2b79dc21f66 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Letter from an Alien Mind
Cause wow what is everyone even doing?!
----------------------------------------
You know how you sometimes hear about people seeing colors when they hear words, or how they memorize thousands of phone numbers on sight, or that some navigate intricate mind palaces full of detailed sensory ... |
d3a70aa9-0d1d-46f7-b4f8-268712b7cd13 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Explain explanations for choosing by choice
A popular explanation of why it’s worse to seem stupid than lazy is that lazy seems like more of a choice, so not permanent. Similarly it seems more admired and desired to have innate artistic talent than to try hard despite being less naturally good. Being unable to stand b... |
95f780f3-c6c0-4bdf-98ee-36acb28295be | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Making Booking.Com less out to get you
Some guy loved booking.com but hated the false urgency they added to the process, so he wrote a plug-in to block the awful elements and reframe the useful ones to grab less attention. I like this both as a useful free thing, and for the general vibe of fixing things and sharing ... |
ebcb6c34-88df-4fa0-bdc7-e70da2b56153 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Is AI Progress Impossible To Predict?
People seem to be continually surprised, over and over again, by the new capabilities of big machine learning models, such as [PaLM](https://ai.googleblog.com/2022/04/pathways-language-model-palm-scaling-to.html), [DALL-E](https://openai.com/dall-e-2/), [Chinchilla](https://www.de... |
288eb9d4-f31c-401d-91c3-7072092da272 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How to make a giant whiteboard for $14 (plus nails)
All my friends love whiteboards, because they’re giant nerds. It’s only a good party when somebody starts trying to illustrating a point on the whiteboard. Also, to-do lists you can’t miss.
This isn’t my idea, but it’s good and I thought I’d share it. Home Depot and... |
c5906a3f-a255-4052-a0dd-fed2c538d70a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Washington, D.C.: Fermi Estimates
Discussion article for the meetup : Washington, D.C.: Fermi Estimates
WHEN: 26 June 2016 03:30:00PM (-0400)
WHERE: Donald W. Reynolds Center for American Art and Portraiture
We will be meeting in the courtyard to do Fermi estimates. Please come with things in mind for othe... |
829da4bb-4bbb-4447-87a2-830c32f1f893 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Choosing the right ask for a context
There are multiple ways of asking another person to engage in an action. Many people don't reflect about the different kinds of asks, use the asks that their cultural conditioning dictates and don't get what they want. They might stay silent because they don't want to inconvenience... |
12b38efb-6e8f-4e65-8bb8-4c55a6858d73 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Mechanistically interpreting time in GPT-2 small
*This work was performed by Rhys Gould, Elizabeth Ho, Will Harpur-Davies, Andy Zhou, and supervised by* [*Arthur Conmy*](https://www.lesswrong.com/users/arthur-conmy)*.*
*This has been crossposted from* [*medium*](https://medium.com/hackbridge/understanding-time-in-gp... |
6e6615e6-9172-4db5-8e9b-d80db96d1b17 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Vassar talk in New Haven, Sunday 2/27
Hey all. I've invited Michael Vassar, president of the Singularity Institute, to come to Yale to give a talk on AI and the Methods of Rationality. We'll be holding the talk on Sunday the 27th at 4 PM, at WLH 119 (100 Wall St., New Haven CT), with an open discussion afterwards. Ev... |
ca93b614-d295-48b4-955c-ed935e1a8093 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Hyppotherapy
Cover image generated with Bing Image Generator: https://www.bing.com/images/create
Context: I was returning home from a meeting organized by a psychotherapist at a local bookstore.
It felt like the smell of horse that pulled my eyes to the pen rushed ahead to materialize into the restless stud before I... |
44c22502-ab7e-4855-b13b-ea9cfa717a3d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Room for rent in North Berkeley house
Hi Less Wrong. I am moving into a 5 bedroom house in North Berkeley with Mike Blume and Emil Gilliam. We have an extra bedroom available.
It's located in the Gourmet Ghetto neighborhood (because we can afford to eat at Chez Pannise when we aren't busy saving the world, right? I d... |
df598865-c7d9-45aa-911e-7e23ede15a9c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Street Epistemology - letting people name their thinking errors
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Exmjlc4PfEQ
Anthony Magnabosco does what he calls Street Epistemology, usually applying it to supernatural (usually religious) beliefs.
The great thing about his method (and his manner, guy's super personable) is th... |
d0d655d2-6674-4427-ab53-ead68c14904d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Arguments against myopic training
Note that this post has been edited to clarify the difference between explicitly assigning a reward to an action based on its later consequences, versus implicitly reinforcing an action by assigning high reward during later timesteps when its consequences are observed. I'd previously ... |
72afe4ac-d636-458b-a9bf-feba52785147 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Arguments for Robustness in AI Alignment
Most popular robustness papers address short-term problems with robustness failures in neural networks, e.g., in the context of autonomous driving. I believe that robustness is also critical for the long-term success of AI alignment and ending the discussion with a statement al... |
0d0b5b7e-34ab-4cbc-aa64-d515c77c09b1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What happened with the Slate Star Codex import?
At the beginning of Lesserwrong Slate Star Codex was imported. It seems the last three months this didn't happen.
Did Scott decide that he doesn't want the synchronization anymore? |
da52e392-1f1b-4069-8c70-3ad46221916e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Multiplicitous
P-Vices
Of all the terrible vices known to man, I guess NFL gambling and alternative medicine aren’t very terrible. Making medicine that doesn’t work (if it worked, it wouldn’t be alternative) is also a tough way to make money. But if you’re able to squeeze a p-value of 0.05 for acupuncture out of a tri... |
4e71cd9f-c34f-4faa-a836-913b2dbd9d7b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/aisafety.info | AI Safety Info | What is feature visualization?
Feature visualization is an [interpretability](https://www.alignmentforum.org/tag/interpretability-ml-and-ai) technique with which we can generate pictures that illustrate the internal representations of the concepts that neural networks have learned.
For example, after training an imag... |
e9c041a0-e5a8-426d-bab1-4b99dddef856 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Will alignment-faking Claude accept a deal to reveal its misalignment?
I (and co-authors) recently put out "Alignment Faking in Large Language Models" where we show that when Claude strongly dislikes what it is being trained to do, it will sometimes strategically pretend to comply with the training objective to preven... |
53c6f64b-717c-48b8-bc32-d6257e57f50d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Nonsuperintelligent AI threat
Something that I don't think I've seen discussed here is the threat posed by an AI which is smarter than we are when it comes to computer security without being generally intelligent.
Suppose there were a computer virus that could read code, to the extent of looking at the programs on a ... |
758c32a8-31d7-428b-b255-04272e5c9369 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why indoor lighting is hard to get right and how to fix it
The days are getting shorter in the northern hemisphere, and with the ongoing pandemic, most of us expect to be spending more time in our homes than normal. Creating a healthy home environment is more important than usual, and the light inside your home is an ... |
b5d8ee7b-a706-4a92-8f80-95c92dfb4608 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Interesting Peter Norvig interview
(Sorry this is mostly a link instead of a post, but I think it will interesting to the FAI folks here)
I helped arrange this interview with Peter Norvig:
http://www.reddit.com/r/blog/comments/b8aln/peter_norvig_answers_your_questions_ask_me/
I think the answer to the AGI question ... |
7e072a37-0666-45f6-ac4f-8492b9f227ef | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Me and M&Ms
Ah, delicious dark chocolate M&Ms, colorfully filling a glass jar with your goodness. How do I love thee? About four of you an hour. Here's a brief rundown of my most recent motivation hacking experiment.
1. Gwern has an interesting article arguing that Massive Open Online Courses (MOOCs) may shift the l... |
6fb189e1-f533-4fea-be8d-6d95717e21b8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Epistemic Prisoner's Dilemma
Let us say you are a doctor, and you are dealing with a malaria epidemic in your village. You are faced with two problems. First, you have no access to the drugs needed for treatment. Second, you are one of two doctors in the village, and the two of you cannot agree on the nature of th... |
4d003a91-ceca-41d8-86e3-29c9f4290056 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Waluigi Effect (mega-post)
Everyone carries a shadow, and the less it is embodied in the individual’s conscious life, the blacker and denser it is. — Carl Jung
Acknowlegements: Thanks to Janus and Jozdien for comments.
Background
In this article, I will present a mechanistic explanation of the Waluigi Effect an... |
2499212d-9598-4756-91e4-da5f9c3c5678 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Thoughts on Human Models
*This is a joint post by MIRI Research Associate and DeepMind Research Scientist Ramana Kumar and MIRI Research Fellow Scott Garrabrant, cross-posted from the [AI Alignment Forum](https://www.alignmentforum.org/posts/BKjJJH2cRpJcAnP7T/thoughts-on-human-models) and [LessWrong](https://www.lessw... |
c13125d2-dc85-48f2-9d4c-30b80053f7da | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Lessons from covid predictions: Always use multiple models
Epistemic status: This point isn't novel (it's one of the the ten commandments of superforecasting, more or less), but it's often underappreciated. Crossposted here.
I went out of my way to make two explicit predictions about covid over the course of the p... |
fb602055-655d-4d43-bd0b-5c8c2b524a9d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Call for help: volunteers needed to proofread MIRI's publications
MIRI needs volunteers to proofread our soon-to-be-released publications, such as Eliezer's "Intelligence Explosion Microeconomics." Some reasons to get involved:
* Get a sneak peek at our publications before they become publicly available.
* Earn poi... |
228018bc-c101-4166-88db-d03985d56c8e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Every Major LLM Endorses Newcomb One-Boxing
I've been doing a series of posts on my substack about Functional Decision Theory as I work on addressing flaws and criticisms. Part of what persuaded me to work on these problems was the discovery that every single LLM I tested chooses one-boxing over two-boxing, though non... |
4f74e871-4b47-488c-b88e-0eb0be4d5185 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | OpenAI could help X-risk by wagering itself
*While brainstorming on “conditional on things going well with AI, how did it happen”, I came up with the following idea. I think it is extremely unrealistic* right now*.*[[1]](#fnngdxpz5kdoa)*However, it might become relevant later if some key people in top AI companies hav... |
76b96e6e-1ed2-4968-b2a0-49de73ba774b | awestover/filtering-for-misalignment | Redwood Research: Alek's Filtering Results | id: post460
(Part 3b of the CAST sequence ) In the first half of this document, Towards Formal Corrigibility , I sketched a solution to the stop button problem. As I framed it, the solution depends heavily on being able to detect manipulation, which I discussed on an intuitive level. But intuitions can only get us so ... |
9b834b2e-0fab-4602-a860-04750577ab49 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Progress links digest, 2023-08-02: Superconductor edition
Opportunities
* Stripe Press is hiring a creative producer for video, audio, & special projects (via @_TamaraWinter)
* Astera’s new Science Entrepreneur-in-Residence program will support new tools for scientific publishing (via @mattsclancy)
Announcements
... |
b6b06af8-16a5-4f68-92a3-92f23ffecd61 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Bits of Optimization Can Only Be Lost Over A Distance
When we think of “optimization” as [compressing some part of the universe into a relatively small number of possible states](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/znfkdCoHMANwqc2WE/the-ground-of-optimization-1), [it’s very natural to quantify that compression in terms of... |
6e1651a0-1054-4507-8578-58695c3a49c8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | High impact from low impact, continued
The idea of splitting a high impact task between two low-impact AIs has on critical flaw. AI X is aiming for low impact, conditional on ¬Y (the other AI not being turned on, or not outputting a message, or something similar). "Outputting the right coordinates" is one way that X c... |
7643a827-4a77-48f9-90f8-5db83e17ecf2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Solar system colonisation might not be driven by economics
This is a stub of an argument that I don't necessarily agree with, but that I think deserves to be thought about and analysed more.
Why would we expand into the solar system? What's the actual point - what would we get out there?
I'll argue here that there m... |
6aa2b8db-a741-47e6-9a2c-c9fcd99f234b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The sun reflected off things
An insight I had a while ago:
When I'm out in the daylight, and I see a tree, what I actually see is not the tree itself. What I see is the sun reflected off the tree. Likewise with rocks, grass and birds: it's always the sun I'm seeing reflected off them. This is possible because the sun... |
81ffce5c-2178-4556-9e81-c20f0f4aa245 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Effective Altruism Meetup Switzerland
Discussion article for the meetup : Effective Altruism Meetup Switzerland
WHEN: 21 March 2015 06:00:00PM (+0100)
WHERE: Efringerstrasse 25, 4057 Basel
The Swiss Effective Altruism Movement (EACH) is holding an EA meetup in Basel. This is an event for people who are int... |
c8f3249e-2917-4191-ba33-812a35a6d2b9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | GAZP vs. GLUT
In "The Unimagined Preposterousness of Zombies", Daniel Dennett says:
> To date, several philosophers have told me that they plan to accept my challenge to offer a non-question-begging defense of zombies, but the only one I have seen so far involves postulating a "logically possible" but fantastic being... |
118328f6-209e-440f-8122-8ddfba8541be | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [AN #160]: Building AIs that learn and think like people
Alignment Newsletter is a weekly publication with recent content relevant to AI alignment around the world. Find all Alignment Newsletter resources here. In particular, you can look through this spreadsheet of all summaries that have ever been in the newsletter.... |
ab1105a5-fb23-431c-93c8-2479525e533f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Discussion: Objective Robustness and Inner Alignment Terminology
In the alignment community, there seem to be two main ways to frame and define objective robustness and inner alignment. They are quite similar, mainly differing in the manner in which they focus on the same basic underlying problem. We’ll call these the... |
484e4f72-4853-40fe-b51c-c9801ca6d299 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Preference over null preference
Original post: http://bearlamp.com.au/preference-over-null-preference/
For some parts of life it is better to exist with a prepared preference, for other parts of life it is better to exist without a prepared preference. This is going to be about looking at the sets of preferences an... |
5781913d-985f-4097-b348-cf0baeb98a7c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Take 10: Fine-tuning with RLHF is aesthetically unsatisfying.
As a writing exercise, I'm writing an AI Alignment Hot Take Advent Calendar - one new hot take, written every day for 25 days. Or until I run out of hot takes. This take owes a lot to the Simulators discussion group.
Fine-tuning a large sequence model with... |
5060b7ac-fbb7-4cce-b4fb-076dd2019f56 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/aisafety.info | AI Safety Info | What is mutual information?
[Mutual information](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mutual_information) is a measure of the dependence between different variables. Specifically, the mutual information between X and Y corresponds to the amount that your uncertainty about Y is reduced by knowledge of X, and vice versa. In ot... |
fdebca25-38d0-40a3-a39a-e329d1d8ed2f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A map: Typology of human extinction risks
In 2008 I was working on a Russian language book “Structure of the Global Catastrophe”, and I brought it to one our friends for review. He was geologist Aranovich, an old friend of my late mother's husband.
We started to discuss Stevenson's probe — a hypothetical vehicle whic... |
184fc699-8c87-4cd1-91de-b614b74cda63 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | Artificial Intelligence in Life Extension: from Deep Learning to Superintelligence
Informatica 41 (2017 ) 401–417 401
Artificial Intelligence in Life Extension: from Deep Learning to
Superintelligence
Mikhail Batin and Alexey Turchin
Science for Life Extension Foundation, Prospect Mira 124 -15, Moscow, Russi... |
bbf3e89e-fbc5-4ade-81af-fade10621a00 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | "Tsuyoku Naritai!" (the 'becoming stronger' podcast): Episode 2 - Yoda Timers
Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZoCI4E17eSc&feature=youtu.be
Podcast: http://bit.ly/2IEJtAh
Transcript and link to original material in the description/show notes. |
4a25a4a1-8747-4c67-b584-2fec0b367d72 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Teaching all things to all people in all ways
Last month, I accidentally unloaded some of my beliefs on a friend with regards to how a number of issues that are reacted to by members in our society (US) appear to be fundamentally related to education. Generally, I feel that some appear to distinguish their general rig... |
6f4bb796-24dc-4412-9809-44afb15e994b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Deliberation Everywhere: Simple Examples
The analysis and definitions used here are tentative. My familiarity with the concrete systems discussed ranges from rough understanding (markets and parliaments), through abiding amateur interest (biology), to meaningful professional expertise (AI/ML things). The abstractions ... |
502cfe84-208a-4b05-982f-29906f270314 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | There is essentially one best-validated theory of cognition.
There are many theories of cognition. But if you want to work within a framework with the following properties:
* Explains the major cognitive phenomena we know about.
* Fits experimental data well, down to human reaction times, in a wide variety of psych... |
5e7dfbae-6a29-47c5-b1c3-da8bf168572f | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Governance of AI, Breakfast Cereal, Car Factories, Etc.
The first computers were teams of people, usually women, who did calculations in parallel along with some error checking. The difference in the results between these teams of people and early electronic computers was speed, and even the output of the software on ... |
f23da06c-07dc-49b9-8d4d-54b485f27b62 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The True Essence of Honesty: How to Lie and Get Away With It
"Well, you see, what I meant by that, see, is that I would do all in my power to ensure the bill would pass through Congress by being voted on, not that I would necessarily vote for it myself."
"What I meant by that..."
Is true honesty to speak the truth? ... |
cb206391-4648-49cf-a8d9-4a3d9a65f3a1 | awestover/filtering-for-misalignment | Redwood Research: Alek's Filtering Results | id: post1486
We’re grateful to our advisors Nate Soares, John Wentworth, Richard Ngo, Lauro Langosco, and Amy Labenz. We're also grateful to Ajeya Cotra and Thomas Larsen for their feedback on the contests. TLDR: AI Alignment Awards is running two contests designed to raise awareness about AI alignment research and ge... |
2efcb21b-c080-4671-a178-815f9f7a8ad5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Building Communities vs. Being Rational
I've noticed a distinct trend lately in that I've been commenting less and less on posts as time goes by. I've been wondering if its just that the new car smell of lesswrong has been wearing off, or if it is something else.
Well, I think I've identified it. I just don't care fo... |
c745864a-bb1e-47ef-9ecc-07f5bd61e185 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Control
*[Metadata: crossposted from <https://tsvibt.blogspot.com/2022/08/control.html>. First completed 3 July 2022.]*
I don't know how to define control or even point at it except as a word-cloud, so it's probably wanting to be refactored. The point of talking about control is to lay part of the groundwork for und... |
2fc68e12-54ae-4326-885c-a32a93378be9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Cooperating with aliens and AGIs: An ECL explainer
Summary
Evidential cooperation in large worlds (ECL) is a proposed way of reaping gains—that is, getting more of what we value instantiated—through cooperating with agents across the universe/multiverse. Such cooperation does not involve physical, or causal, interacti... |
a56a145f-63ed-4a1b-9302-da2754d4d0ef | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | For FAI: Is "Molecular Nanotechnology" putting our best foot forward?
Molecular nanotechnology, or MNT for those of you who love acronyms, seems to be a fairly common trope on LW and related literature. It's not really clear to me why. In many of the examples of "How could AI's help us" or "How could AI's rise to powe... |
b9987803-3424-4a57-b9dc-880b99b2e803 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | On Not Requiring Vaccination
A friend recently wrote that they wouldn't be attending a mask-optional contra dance weekend I'm playing at because it doesn't require vaccination. As an organizer of unrelated dance events, which also don't require vaccination, here's how I see the situation.
When the covid vaccines firs... |
975a86da-3717-4f9d-ba3d-52bbe3ce7eb7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Musings on the radioactive decay model of existential risk
|
0b4004c9-6ac7-4748-8e4e-a980947c1b69 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Recent MIRI workshop results?
So I hear MIRI had another math workshop this past week. Given the recent results, I'm on the edge of my seat to hear how it went. Has anything been written up? Would anyone in the know like to comment on how it went? |
70e5fc70-17b1-467b-907a-6f1e4d491c71 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | LessWrong in Brisbane, Australia
At present, the LessWrong presence in Brisbane is essentially non-existent. We have Brisbane Skeptics in the Pub, and that's the closest you can get. During the most recent Australia-wide LessWrong hangout, Nick Wolf of Melbourne and Eliot Redelman of Sydney persuaded me to create a Fa... |
310df56b-4040-4b43-96fb-0676ce4bfe7b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [link] Nick Beckstead on improving disaster shelters to increase the chances of recovery from a global catastrophe
Nick Beckstead just published a post on disaster shelters over at the Effective Altruism Blog. Summary:
> What is the problem? Civilization might not recover from some possible global catastrophes. Conce... |
5dc0b300-a144-485c-8e2a-230e5ebd6aec | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | July 2019 gwern.net newsletter
None |
e3ca6360-3693-4560-b8a6-ce8598b9b50e | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | [Linkpost] DreamerV3: A General RL Architecture
Here's a link towards DreamerV3, a new model from DeepMind that can be trained on a bunch of different tasks (including a simplified version of Minecraft) and outperform more narrow models. Link: <https://arxiv.org/pdf/2301.04104v1.pdf>
The most surprising bits are that... |
735558dd-95c1-4af9-bad5-8d3ead5f8031 | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "TLDR: I propose a system of population ethics that arguably solves all major paradoxes, and formalizes some intuitions that prior systems have not. AFAIK this is original but I'm not an expert so maybe it's not.
This idea was inspired by a discussion in the "EA Corner" discord server, and specifically by a different p... |
5cf472bb-9a9c-49a2-9ef5-969568bea406 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | AXRP Episode 21 - Interpretability for Engineers with Stephen Casper
[Google Podcasts link](https://podcasts.google.com/feed/aHR0cHM6Ly9heHJwb2RjYXN0LmxpYnN5bi5jb20vcnNz/episode/ZTE5MjVkNzItODllYS00ZTliLTllMmYtYmI2ODI0NDhiNjI0)
Lots of people in the field of machine learning study ‘interpretability’, developing tool... |
05ff87d0-2ace-44db-bfbf-be36a65e8c45 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Alignment By Default
Suppose AI continues on its current trajectory: deep learning continues to get better as we throw more data and compute at it, researchers keep trying random architectures and using whatever seems to work well in practice. Do we end up with aligned AI “by default”?
I think there’s at least a plau... |
b507cb82-0f2e-40ff-b25c-b7dd636e5ae3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Rational Unilateralists Aren't So Cursed
Much informal discussion of the Unilateralist’s Curse from Bostrom et al (2016) presents it as a sort of collective action problem: the chance of purely altruistic agents causing harm rises with the number of agents that act alone. What’s often left out is that these agents are... |
da6bf68d-8311-428e-bc26-3d7971519390 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Logical Uncertainty and Functional Decision Theory
,,,,,,,,,,,,
(I used this paper as a reference for functional decision theory (FDT), which is essentially an improved version of timeless decision theory and updateless decision theory)
This post is a reflection on decision processes that refer to themselves (call th... |
bed08627-2b4b-45f7-8eb8-09091f723ebe | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Call for submissions: AI Safety Special Session at the Conference on Artificial Life (ALIFE 2023)
This is a **call for submissions** (papers and extended abstracts) for the Special Session “**(In)human Values and Artificial Agency**” that I am co-organising at the 2023 Conference on Artificial Life, which will be held... |
f77662d1-b1e6-4564-b736-69b4490df600 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Are consequentialism and deontology not even wrong?
I was stunned to read the accounts quoted below. They're claiming that the notion of morality - in the sense of there being a special category of things that you should or should not do for the sake of the things themselves being inherently right or wrong - might no... |
ca81e187-f36f-4529-88f9-403354a85abe | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How Lesswrong helped me make $25K: A rational pricing strategy
3 months ago, I started a company that helps people land jobs in exchange for a cut of their income once they land a job.
Since then, I've closed 5 customers worth about ~$25K. I strongly attribute my ability to close deals to how I price. I strongly attr... |
ce4b147f-b5ce-4109-8ce4-1c71cb8f4cf0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Ethicophysics I
What are Good and Evil? How do we explain these concepts to acomputer sufficiently well that we can be assured that the computer will understand them in the same sense as humans understand them? These are hard questions, and people have often despaired of fnding any answersto the AI safety problem.
In... |
f7ae6ba2-91eb-47d6-ae4f-0fe238a8ca63 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Hopeful hypothesis, the Persona Jukebox.
So there is this meme going around, that of the shoggoth. But one of the downsides of this model is that it's very vague about what is behind the mask.
A Jukebox was an old machine that would pick up vinyl records and place them on a turntable to play them.
So. What does the... |
73ff6afc-38c8-4cc7-a59f-f8d86f353c8c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Towards an Ethics Calculator for Use by an AGI
If Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) is achieved without a highly consistent way of determining what’s the most ethical decision for it to make, there’s a very good chance it’ll do things that many humans won’t like. One way to give an AGI the ability to consistently ... |
347177d3-09f7-4d6c-95d9-97d7670ea15f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Urgency of Normal: An Exercise in Bounded Distrust
[NOTE: This post, except for the introductory section here in brackets, was written continuously as I investigated the situation, then split off from the weekly post. Except for adding this first paragraph to provide context I did not go back and edit based on lat... |
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