id stringlengths 36 36 | source stringclasses 15
values | formatted_source stringclasses 13
values | text stringlengths 2 7.55M |
|---|---|---|---|
fc6d7bff-4b32-43c0-b56e-bcfcb3b41fef | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Proposal: periodic repost of the Best Learning resources
One of the biggest benefits of LW for me, aside from specific discussions, has been finding high-quality learning resources. Since knowledge is pretty much the biggest power humans have and many of us spend a lot of time learning, learning more efficiently is ex... |
f567ea07-79bd-4dd9-a66e-aabe268a4b69 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Volitive Rationality
|
c15b097e-180f-40f6-8f55-49f90f51d4bf | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Dallas/Fort Worth Metro Area Meetup, 5/27
Discussion article for the meetup : Dallas/Fort Worth Metro Area Meetup, 5/27
WHEN: 27 May 2012 01:00:00PM (-0500)
WHERE: America's Best Coffee, Arlington
Folks, the weekly meeting for the DFW LessWrong group is still on for the Sunday on Memorial Day Weekend (5/27... |
9f7267fc-c655-43e1-b26a-52df4ca156f4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Link] Statistically, People Are Not Very Good At Making Voting Decisions
Link. Nothing surprising considering previous work on the subject, but a good reminder.
> A study by three scientists in the American Political Science Review finds that voters are not competent at accurately evaluating incumbent performance an... |
bfb39271-6669-41d7-9e53-dff3cfe6620e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Mastodon Replies as Comments
The comment section on most blogs is pretty minimal, with the real discussion happening elsewhere, but people who come to the post later won't see that discussion. One of the more unusual choices I've made with this blog is that instead of hosting comments here, I pull in and display comme... |
c00bb6fa-9d67-47b3-8001-21f6c3f2c083 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Progress links and short notes, 2025-01-13
Much of this content originated on social media. To follow news and announcements in a more timely fashion, follow me on Twitter, Threads, Bluesky, or Farcaster.
Contents
* From me and RPI
* Jobs and fellowships
* Other opportunities
* Events
* Questions
* Announcemen... |
d21537fe-50d7-4fff-b515-7c810baea802 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Make Your Observations Pay Rent
|
0fcf6e29-f9c4-499e-8cd3-540171c2fe93 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How can a high school student learn physics and math while coping with high school?
|
c906ac17-135b-451b-acd2-99b1b988d27f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Vestibular Stimulation and Fat Loss
|
c313e4d0-7189-47c5-862f-a998bbe4456d | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | March Newsletter
| | |
| --- | --- |
|
| |
| --- |
| [newsletterheader_sm_c.1](http://intelligence.org/wp-content/uploads/2013/04/newsletterheader_sm_c.1.jpg)
|
|
|
| | | | |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
|
| | | |
| --- | --- | --- |
|
| | |
| --- | --- |
|
| |
| --- |
|
Greetings From The Exec... |
05b6da66-c0ce-47f0-970c-9383a738d051 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What happens when your beliefs fully propagate
> This is a very personal account of thoughts and events that have led me to a very interesting point in my life. Please read it as such. I present a lot of points, arguments, conclusions, etc..., but that's not what this is about.
I've started reading LW around spring o... |
7b727729-b124-4fd6-a90f-193711f8d383 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | David Friedman on Legal Systems Very Different from Ours: SlateStarCodex Online Meetup
David Friedman on Legal Systems Very Different from Ours: A brief survey of a range of legal system, past and present, from Imperial China and Periclean Athens to modern Amish and Romany.
The event will be Oct 11, 2020, at 17:30... |
47847b60-2d1b-404f-b891-182c216dee2a | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Interlude: Agents as Automobiles
I ended up writing a long rant about agency in my review of Joe Carlsmith’s report on x-risk from power-seeking AI. I’ve polished the rant a bit and posted it into this sequence. The central analogy between APS-AI and self-propelled machines (“Auto-mobiles”) is a fun one, and I suspect... |
247b9dbe-1f91-449f-8c90-835ca6ca35fd | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How large is the harm from info-cascades? [Info-cascade series]
This is a question in the info-cascade question series. There is a prize pool of up to $800 for answers to these questions. See the link above for full background on the problem (including a bibliography) as well as examples of responses we’d be especiall... |
8f71765c-0fe7-4fdc-8909-41b31d29a9fb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Proof idea: SLT to AIT
I think we may be able to prove that Bayesian learning on transformers[1] or recurrent neural networks with a uniform[2] prior over parameters is equivalent to a form of Solomonoff induction over a set of computationally-bounded programs. This bounded Solomonoff induction would still be 'approxi... |
51fab369-7f8a-470d-8fd5-dae86f0b1e4c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Comments on "The Singularity is Nowhere Near"
I followed a link on Twitter to a fun and informative 2015 blog post by Tim Dettmers:
The Brain vs Deep Learning Part I: Computational Complexity — Or Why the Singularity Is Nowhere Near
The headline conclusion is that it takes at least 1021 FLOP/s to run the algorithms ... |
9c5d75ed-2bcb-4e80-8a44-239be56994b6 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | [AN #124]: Provably safe exploration through shielding
Alignment Newsletter is a weekly publication with recent content relevant to AI alignment around the world. Find all Alignment Newsletter **[resources here](http://rohinshah.com/alignment-newsletter/)**. In particular, you can look through **[this spreadsheet](htt... |
3f309004-844b-42ef-a5fe-592ecefd2568 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Translating between Latent Spaces
### *Produced as part of the SERIMATS Program 2022 Research Sprint under John Wentworth*
Introduction
============
The gold-standard of interpretability in ML systems looks like finding embeddings of human-identifiable concepts in neural net architectures, and being able to modify,... |
d79ec500-5db7-4fe3-93ea-e8f7a7b7a67d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Link] Differential Technology Development - Some Early Thinking
This article gives a simple model to think about the positive effects of a friendly AI vs. the negative effects of an unfriendly AI, and let's you plug in certain assumptions to see if speeding up AI progress is worthwhile. Thought some of you here might... |
69a8ebd7-a8e6-4a61-bbf6-87421ba47e3a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Philosophy Web - Project Proposal
TLDR: I’m interested in creating an online map of philosophical concepts and their interrelations; which could be used to automatically identify contradictions within, and implications of, given belief systems. I am looking for interested collaborators - especially those with coding c... |
7106a2df-f548-4675-99ef-b14b693d1e2f | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "EDIT: Reworked and moved to Main following Gunnar_Zarncke's advice.
Related to: Book Review: How Learning Works, Build Small Skills in the Right Order, What are useful skills to learn at university?
This article is organized into three sections focusing on attention, processing and recall respectively. The advice in e... |
7dcd5b92-0941-4429-89b5-c24f01b7d583 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Training for Good - Update & Plans for 2023
Summary
=======
* Training for Good will now focus exclusively on programmes that enable talented and altruistic early-career professionals to directly enter the first stage of high impact careers.
* Concretely, we will only run the following programmes in Sep 2022 - Aug 20... |
b1242472-3bb9-41ff-8c4c-8281ceff7967 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | From the Standard Model of AI to Provably Beneficial Systems
SHANGHAI INSTITUTE FOR SCIENCE OF SCIENCE
XFJTJUF XXXTJTTTIDO
NBJMCPY
TJTT!TJTTTIDO
OBSERVATIONS OF 50 GLOBAL EXPERTSAI GOVERNANCE IN 2019
A YEAR IN REVIEW
April, 2020
Shanghai Institute for Science of Science The report editor can be reached at ... |
1de73dd4-68be-4989-9e48-7240d4480a19 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A Universal Emergent
Decomposition of Retrieval Tasks in Language Models
This work was done as a Master's thesis project at Conjecture, independent from the primary agenda of the organization. Paper available here, thesis here.
Over the past months I (Alexandre) — with the help of Eric — have been working on a new ap... |
eb1f3a8c-5790-4f7a-9b56-dc80bb906f0d | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Simple Way to Prevent Power-Seeking AI
The most concerning part of AGI is that it may have power-seeking tendencies. We can loosely define a powerful state to be a state that is useful to be in regardless of the reward function. A promising approach to AI safety is to make the RL process "interpretable" enough so that... |
0413d53a-f784-4035-b8b7-d02abe5dd840 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What does Yann LeCun think about AGI? A summary of his talk, "Mathematical Obstacles on the Way to Human-Level AI"
This is a summary of Yann LeCun's talk "Mathematical Obstacles on the Way to Human-Level AI". I've tried to make it more accessible to people who are familiar with basic AI concepts, but not the level of ... |
14a38459-91b1-4b8a-a045-2c5b08821721 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Counterarguments to the basic AI x-risk case
(Crossposted from AI Impacts Blog)
This is going to be a list of holes I see in the basic argument for existential risk from superhuman AI systems1.
To start, here’s an outline of what I take to be the basic case2:
I. If superhuman AI systems are built, any given syste... |
dddf4ec6-f774-42de-8168-1550cfe0aebf | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Research on unconscious visual processing
There is a new paper out by Sanguinetti, Allen, and Peterson, The Ground Side of an Object: Perceived as Shapeless yet Processed for Semantics. In it, the authors conduct a series of experiments to try to answer the question of how the brain separates background from foregroun... |
7768959b-017a-4252-b4cc-fcdbedc71f7e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [LQ] Some Thoughts on Messaging Around AI Risk
Epistemic Status
This was originally written for Twitter and thus is predictably low quality (hence the "[LQ]" tag).
It has only been minimally edited (if at all).
----------------------------------------
Introduction
Some thoughts on messaging around alignment with ... |
dae47c87-10a9-4dba-b6f0-ff54a381cbdd | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube | Youtube Transcripts | How to build a safe advanced AI (Evan Hubinger) | What's up in AI safety? (Asya Bergal)
hello and welcome to the session on how
to build a safe advanced ai
with evan hubinger and asia burgle i'm
anjali and i'll be the emcee for this
section
we'll start with a 30-minute talk by
evan followed by a 15-minute talk by
asia... |
60ebadae-a818-4030-8b6d-d5724282b8ad | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Dempster-Shafer vs. Probabilistic Logic
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I Dempster-Shafer vs. Probabilistic Logic
Daniel Hunter
Northrop Research and Technology Center
One Research Park
Palos Verdes Peninsula CA. 90274
Abstract
The combination of evidence in Dempster-Shafer theory is compar... |
90e4d426-db43-4ed2-be9f-e7642b919962 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | EIS IX: Interpretability and Adversaries
Part 9 of 12 in the Engineer’s Interpretability Sequence.
Thanks to Nikolaos Tsilivis for helpful discussions.
The studies of interpretability and adversaries are inseparable.
There are several key connections between the two. Some works will be cited below, but please refe... |
7105965a-d3c7-4cea-97dc-cd1cd6f40956 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Causation, Probability and Objectivity
Most people here seem to endorse the following two claims:
1. Probability is "in the mind," i.e., probability claims are true only in relation to some prior distribution and set of information to be conditionalized on;
2. Causality is to be cashed out in terms of probability dis... |
8e747d61-b720-49b0-830d-779dfe829201 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Procrastination checklist
Procrastination checklist
This list is a revision of this checklist: http://lesswrong.com/lw/hgd/10step_antiprocrastination_checklist/
1. What is the task? Make sure you're going to focus on one thing at a time. Write it down (helps some people). (If you need - start with the big pictu... |
d021a1ca-034e-4892-ae53-2c61b2c9b6e0 | awestover/filtering-for-misalignment | Redwood Research: Alek's Filtering Results | id: post110
Epistemic status: The following isn't an airtight argument, but mostly a guess how things play out. Consider two broad possibilities: I. In worlds where we are doing reasonably well on alignment, AI control agenda does not have much impact. II. In worlds where we are failing at alignment, AI control may pr... |
a5b2768c-37d3-4fe6-95f6-486d19b8bb33 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Scale Problem in AI
Suppose we are making an AI; for familiarity's sake, let's say that it is a model-based agent. In that case, we might need to train the model with data from the real world to make it accurate.
Usually the way this proceeds is that we have access to some source of data, e.g. a deployment of the... |
fbb84db5-ea7b-4a5a-b180-224f488b1fa3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Link] Cooking for people who don't
Links about elementary cooking, food storage, etc.
Here's the premise:
> Write a post to pass on something[s] you know that you feel is useful to anyone who wants to increase their level of food security by increasing their level of skill, knowledge, comfort around getting, storin... |
c58864e3-6c36-404f-bfbd-fdcc86d09b8e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Fermi Paradox has not been dissolved - James Fodor
> In this essay, I will argue that the analysis of Sandberg et al. is flawed in a number of key respects, and as a result the Fermi Paradox remains an open question. Here I briefly list the key problems with the Sandberg et al. paper, before proceeding to discuss ... |
b4a8d370-a980-49e0-be46-ef1a46db3f84 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Chapter 2: What's Inside?
I've been such a fool, thinking that memory would be the evident part. There were some memory models. But they were describing memory by duration, type of information, etc. That was exciting to read about experiments their authors made. Like "magic number 7", and Baddeley's experiments on dif... |
a51b7b37-1a9d-4164-a0a8-a059b3aeea25 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Normative reductionism
Here’s a concept that seems useful, but that I don’t remember ever hearing explicitly referred to (with my own tentative name for it—if it turns out to not already have one in some extensive philosophical literature, I might think more about whether it is a good name):
> Normative reductionism:... |
85b6f214-4f27-4a55-addf-bed4dd76d60c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Sleeping Beauty gets counterfactually mugged
Related to: Counterfactual Mugging, Newcomb's Problem and Regret of Rationality
Omega is continuing his eternal mission: To explore strange new philosophical systems... To seek out new paradoxes and new counterfactuals... To boldly go where no decision theory has gone befo... |
9867a3fc-9c66-4fe2-9083-eb2e409de593 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Linkpost] Rationally awake
This is an essay I wrote to try to better understand rationality for myself. Towards the end of the post I try to extract out some practical implications of the analysis. I hope it is useful for you.
Rationally awake
In rationally logical, we explored logical thought - an important part o... |
eb8ab1ad-2086-456a-9f50-f9fce17881df | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Safe Reinforcement Learning with Model Uncertainty Estimates
I Introduction
---------------
Reinforcement learning (RL) is used to produce state-of-the-art results in manipulation, motion planning and behavior prediction. However, the underlying neural networks often lack the capability to produce qualitative predi... |
5e8bf587-20d6-4221-a8d7-ec480b6ee5c1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How to save (a lot of) money on flying
I was going to wait to post this for reasons, but realized that was pretty dumb when the difference of a few weeks could literally save people hundreds, if not thousands of collective dollars.
If you fly regularly (or at all), you may already know about this method of saving ... |
37010a43-d996-4d74-b9d2-2cc3281ec972 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube | Youtube Transcripts | Can we build AI without losing control over it? | Sam Harris
I'm going to talk
about a failure of intuition
that many of us suffer from.
It's really a failure
to detect a certain kind of danger.
I'm going to describe a scenario
that I think is both terrifying
and likely to occur,
and that's not a good combination,
as ... |
3c6b8b99-3f89-4032-b854-4e41ab7e0c06 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Annual AGI Benchmarking Event
Metaculus is strongly considering organizing an annual AGI benchmarking event. Once a year, we’d run a benchmark or suite of benchmarks against the most generally intelligent AI systems available to us at the time, seeking to assess their generality and the overall shape of their capabili... |
9f210610-afe4-4ec5-974d-6cb36b7cbf58 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Dallas - Fort Worth Less Wrong Meetup 5/13/12
Discussion article for the meetup : Dallas - Fort Worth Less Wrong Meetup 5/13/12
WHEN: 13 May 2012 01:00:00PM (-0500)
WHERE: America's Best Coffee, Arlington
Hello Dallas-Fort Worth LessWrongians! If you live in the area, and you haven't come out to meet us ye... |
5a55c1e5-a3c2-4ec1-bdb8-d91ea3e3b1ae | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Proposed rewrites of LW home page, about page, and FAQ
Proposed rewrites can be found here. Please suggest specific improvements in the comments!
Although long-time Less Wrong users don't pay much attention to the home page, about page, and FAQ, I suspect new users pay lots of attention to them. A few times, elsewh... |
50fc1ee1-21c1-4e87-9b49-c862a6acd01b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Open & Welcome Thread - December 2020
If it’s worth saying, but not worth its own post, here's a place to put it.
If you are new to LessWrong, here's the place to introduce yourself. Personal stories, anecdotes, or just general comments on how you found us and what you hope to get from the site and community are invi... |
d033b095-514c-4574-bb01-00e765aa04ce | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Gradient Descent with Early Stopping is Provably Robust to Label Noise for Overparameterized Neural Networks
1 Introduction
---------------
###
1.1 Motivation
Deep neural networks (DNN) are ubiquitous in a growing number of domains ranging from computer vision to healthcare. State-of-the-art DNN models are typi... |
0bc0fff5-a779-485e-8743-6e3dafdf54a1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Information Versus Action
You can get a clearer view of what's going on if you're willing to ignore certain types of information when making decisions. If you heavily use a source of information to make important decisions, that source of information gains new pressure that can make it worse. See Goodhart's Law and Wh... |
2ed2f7aa-bba9-456c-ab4e-e669ddbd390a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Being an individual alignment grantmaker
I am an earlyish crypto investor who has accumulated enough to be a mid-sized grantmaker, and I intend to donate most of my money over the next 5-10 years to try and increase the chances that humanity has a wonderful future. My best guess is that this is mostly decided by wheth... |
2d9f265d-38da-41ee-af27-84ca6a272dd9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Four Randomized Control Trials In Economics
Randomized Control Trials have some drawbacks. For many important questions, like causes of the industrial revolution, a randomized trial is impossible. For many others, RCTs are expensive and cumbersome, leading to low sample sizes or experimental designs that precisely ans... |
6b6be932-0d91-4910-b5b3-2b01b925e3c5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | New social credit formalizations
Here are some classic ways humans can get some kind of social credit with other humans:
1. Do something for them such that they will consider themselves to ‘owe you’ and do something for you in future
2. Be consistent and nice, so that they will consider you ‘trustworthy’ and do coo... |
5fcd73e6-ca74-46af-b89b-6a8113843153 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | "Wanting" and "liking"
*Written as a result of AI Safety Camp Virtual 2023. Thanks to the following people for feedback and helpful conversations: Oliver Bridge, Tim Gothard, Rasmus Jensen, Linda Linsefors.*[[1]](#fn-hzqG39DLdbBcfHpik-1)
This post reviews the literature on *"wanting"* and *"liking"*, two primary com... |
abdff18b-cda4-44c1-9e07-0d8f8c275a05 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Without a phone for 10 days
I woke up this morning to a bricked Google Pixel 4. After taking it to a local repair shop for a diagnosis, I was told that a fuse had been blown on the motherboard. A board-level repair would cost half as much as a brand new phone, and I was thinking about upgrading to the new Pixel 6 once... |
f4cdb37f-5dec-4ac7-b45e-0cc92169976b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | GTFO of the Social Internet Before you Can't: The Miro & Yindi Story
Recommended music to read this to (If you like ambience)
I
Yindi had sent him a link, "You've gotta see how this guy speedruns Mario Kart, I think you'll like it (✿◠‿◠)". Miro taps the link.
CREATE A NetMe™[1] ACCOUNT TO WATCH THIS VIDEO
Miro cre... |
59e7c263-5595-4713-98ed-d3cac83dc641 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | AI Alignment Open Thread October 2019
Continuing the experiment from August, let's try another open thread for AI Alignment discussion. The goal is to be a place where researchers and upcoming research can ask small questions they are confused about, share early stage ideas and have lower-key discussions. |
c010278c-c591-4e48-a9cd-7c8558892e8f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Linkpost: M21 Review: We Have Normality
You can find it here. |
ed5c0941-de0f-4c02-b331-2cae3c52d52b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Longterm/Difficult to measure charities
I'm not sure if this necessarily warrants a new discussion, or if there's an existing article/thread that addresses this topic.
There's a lot of discussion recently about charity, and how to give effectively. I've been looking over givewell.org and it definitely is the single m... |
4c331370-92fc-4ac6-962d-00c167b26e16 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | The Precautionary Principle
(with Application to the Genetic Modification of Organisms)
I Introduction
----------------
The aim of the precautionary principle (PP) is to prevent decision makers from putting society as a whole---or a significant segment of it---at risk from the unexpected side effects of a certai... |
1985ad3d-e3fc-42bd-8eb3-dac412ebb60b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Synergistic Team Composition
1 Introduction
---------------
Some tasks, due to their complexity, cannot be carried out by single individuals. They need the concourse of sets of people composing teams. Teams provide a structure and means of bringing together people with a suitable mix of individual properties (such ... |
db26aad1-53d3-4015-9a08-bbc382f338a4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What career advice do you give to software engineers?
I am a defendant of the idea that we have already achieved rudimentary AGIs with modern LLMs (as much of a hot take this is), and even though the path to superintelligence is going to be difficult and will probably require a few more technical breakthroughs to make... |
c515d99d-0127-4832-aa76-3523ee5f37f1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | "AI and Compute" trend isn't predictive of what is happening
(open in a new tab to view at higher resolution)
In May 2018 (almost 3 years ago) OpenAI published their "AI and Compute" blogpost where they highlighted the trend of increasing compute spending on training the largest AI models and speculated that the tren... |
34ebf1e8-ca3f-4893-8730-18f5a3863de0 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Sections 3 & 4: Credibility, Peaceful Bargaining Mechanisms
.mjx-chtml {display: inline-block; line-height: 0; text-indent: 0; text-align: left; text-transform: none; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; font-size: 100%; font-size-adjust: none; letter-spacing: normal; word-wrap: normal; word-spacing: normal; white... |
7a8858e2-6dcd-4603-b4ca-e894eef4b093 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A Playbook for AI Risk Reduction (focused on misaligned AI)
I sometimes hear people asking: “What is the plan for avoiding a catastrophe from misaligned AI?”
This post gives my working answer to that question - sort of. Rather than a plan, I tend to think of a playbook.1
* A plan connotes something like: “By defaul... |
89f46284-f678-46b5-92f2-afb3964098e2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Belief Chains
A belief is an acceptance that a statement is true or that something exists. As aspiring rationalists, we strive for our beliefs to be true, accurate, and minimally biased.
You seldom see a single belief floating around. Typically beliefs tend to group into clusters and chains. In other words, ... |
3d170892-b5a8-452d-a12f-05515cb939ae | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How to (not) do a literature review
This is cross-posted from my personal blog, where I share thoughts on my work and learning process in the OpenAI Scholars Program. I thank Ruby Bloom for suggesting that I share the post here as well.
OpenAI Scholars: Fifth Steps - The Dreaded Literature Review
The OpenAI Scholars... |
366f7533-e0e3-4265-8588-5b1e398710f0 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Help us design the interface for aisafety.com
We are working on improving AIsafety.com, a website that organizes AI safety resources for all audiences, presenting the full range of ways to support AI safety work in one place.
We seek input on our Resources section. We have a set of 9 boxes with a title and a space f... |
c58f6432-8e91-4e5d-85e5-9156696ac63c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Eight Magic Lamps
> “Give me a lever long enough, and a fulcrum on which to place it, and I shall move the world.” - Archimedes
Aladdin started with nothing; but after a sorcerer tasked him to retrieve a magic lamp, the lamp’s genie granted him wealth and fame. His fortune lasted until the sorcerer stole the lamp, le... |
fccd2b39-3227-4b38-be3d-d49d7c94e4de | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Book Swap
Summary: Bring a book you liked, pitch it to the crowd, then trade your book for a book someone else brought that sounded good. This has no specific rationalist content.
Tags: Repeatable, medium
Purpose: Get people talking about books they read and encountering new ones.
Materials: A whiteboard or piece ... |
7774c626-b45e-44d9-92f3-e039f8b621ba | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Decision theory question
I'm sure I remember reading somewhere that an informal slogan for (some brand of decision theory) was:
"Act in accordance with the precommittment you wish you had made."
i.e. when faced with Newcomb's problem, you would wish you had precommitted to one-box, and so you should one-box. This is... |
4fa39af8-eede-40f7-a0e9-e143ad2f1508 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | In Addition to Ragebait and Doomscrolling
(Sorry for the coy title--I want to give the reader a chance to guess what the addition is.)
One day I opened up the front page of reddit. I was not signed in and I was using my browser's incognito mode.
The following list composed about 25% of what I saw as I scrolled. S... |
793048e8-b9b6-4ad2-823e-3b803aff055f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | An Introduction to Decision Modeling
Despite their importance, we barely pay attention to most of the decisions we make. Fortunately, there’s a better way.
Continue reading on The Startup » |
d5b99eaa-ab28-444c-be6c-19054a151f9f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Breaking the Procrastination Equation
Recently, LessWrong user LukeProg wrote an article summarizing the scientific research on procrastination, in How to Beat Procrastination. The result was the Procrastination Equation:
This equation quantifies the motivation of people, on average. The rest of the article, and th... |
996685dc-6f1d-4de8-bd10-4e2e3abf4daf | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Underreaction to OpenAI
TL; DR
Seeing OpenAI's impressive technology should make media commentators think it more likely that AGI is possible and existentially dangerous. Some do, but overall this shift in views does not seem consistent enough; the default reaction still seems to be to view the whole AI thing as j... |
c2023732-94e0-4f41-b134-3ad82591e12c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Which evals resources would be good?
I want to make a serious effort to create a bigger evals field. I’m very interested in which resources you think would be most helpful. I’m also looking for others to contribute and potentially some funding.
1. Which resources would be most helpful? Suggestions include:
1. O... |
a2de034a-dc21-48fe-9368-6119a88b781d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Distinguishing goals from chores
This is a linkpost for https://amirbolous.com/posts/goals-and-chores
* Introduction
* Story Time
* Have to, Want to, Want to Want to
* Noticing Patterns in Your Goals
* Closing Thoughts
Introduction
Recently, I've realized that there is a discrepancy between my goals and my act... |
3caa2630-9af8-4aac-a781-343486c95a4a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Czech's first Meetup Prague
Discussion article for the meetup : Czech's first Meetup Prague
WHEN: 16 February 2015 06:00:00PM (+0100)
WHERE: Václavské náměstí 778/14, Praha 110 00
Hello, this is going to be the first meetup I know about in Czech Republic. Since I don't know any other LessWrongers here, I'l... |
cc1ce670-4b2c-497d-8c1d-e62e760362ad | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | The longtermist AI governance landscape: a basic overview
*Aim: to give a basic overview of what is going on in longtermist AI governance.*
*Audience: people who have limited familiarity with longtermist AI governance and want to understand it better. I don’t expect this to be helpful for those who already have fami... |
29adf18e-b632-4e24-a257-0484e657583b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Chariots of Philosophical Fire
Sharing because I feel that the contribution of analytical philosophy is sometimes under appreciated here, particularly compared to other attempts at philosophy:
“In grappling with these mysteries, Oxford philosophers developed and refined old and new techniques. Reasoning, deduction, e... |
a86116f3-564b-499f-833a-7b266cf5577d | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Principles for Alignment/Agency Projects
"John, what do you think of this idea for an alignment research project?"
I get questions like that fairly regularly. How do I go about answering? What principles guide my evaluation? Not all of my intuitions for what makes a project valuable can easily be made legible, but I ... |
1516699b-3490-4752-b7d7-0be07978c700 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Healing Code of Joan
The Healing Code of Joan
This story was originally published on my website
My name is Joan Lekuta, and a decade ago, I was a biology major. In 2023, the GPT thing, otherwise known as Artificial Intelligence (AI), made its first appearance at my university, and I thought it was ridiculous and ... |
9bc34c39-0856-44ee-8fd8-522d6577084f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | TPP is about as good as it is supposed to be
Tyler Cohen stakes out quite a sensible position on whether or not we should approve the trade deal called TPP:
> What would convince me to oppose TPP if is somebody did a study showing the following: when you use a better trade model, use better data, and/or add in the ne... |
8b936939-1b23-4a5d-887f-fbbefced3ff3 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Can an LLM identify ring-composition in a literary text? [ChatGPT]
*Cross-posted* [*from New Savanna*](https://new-savanna.blogspot.com/2023/09/can-llm-identify-ring-composition-in.html)*.*
Tentatively, very tentatively, yes. ChatGPT has done it, once. I believe a more powerful engine could do more.
### **But: What ... |
85d38828-d9e7-41c4-896c-a460764a1095 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | A survey of research questions for robust and beneficial AI
A survey of research questions for robust and bene cial AI
1 Introduction
Arti cial intelligence (AI) research has explored a variety of problems and approaches since its inception,
but for the last 20 years or so has been focused on the problems surrounding ... |
0e9759e5-4f5d-4421-a76a-3b36ba3664a5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What are some ideas that LessWrong has reinvented?
One criticism of LessWrong as an intellectual community is that it reinvents ideas "in-house" that already exist in academia. What are some examples of this?
I'd also be interested to see comments about whether you agree with this impression and what the examples tel... |
094aa68f-0fb3-43f0-9548-c994c0aae8f0 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Question 3: Control proposals for minimizing bad outcomes
**Necessary conditions for successful control proposals**
---------------------------------------------------------
At this point in the framework, let’s stipulate that we have placed our bets for the most plausible learning architecture we would expect to see... |
a072a0b0-7994-49f2-ac38-17470ab414c0 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Catastrophic Risks from AI #2: Malicious Use
*This is the second post in a sequence of posts giving an* [*overview of catastrophic AI risks*](https://arxiv.org/abs/2306.12001)*.*
2 Malicious Use
===============
On the morning of March 20, 1995, five men entered the Tokyo subway system. After boarding separate subway... |
2e421b27-2320-4f76-8aee-806591b86a26 | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "Some responses to “Lotteries: A Waste of Hope” chided me for daring to criticize others’ decisions; if someone else chooses to buy lottery tickets, who am I to disagree? This is a special case of a more general question: What business is it of mine, if someone else chooses to believe what is pleasant rather than what ... |
6585954f-5183-4507-9f6e-4e50b1e94531 | awestover/filtering-for-misalignment | Redwood Research: Alek's Filtering Results | id: post2117
As part of a larger community building effort, I am writing a safety newsletter which is designed to cover empirical safety research and be palatable to the broader machine learning research community. You can subscribe here or follow the newsletter on twitter here. Welcome to the 2nd issue of the ML Safe... |
6677b9fb-6e87-4858-beff-c02a86876427 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Asking For Help
Introduction
I really suck at asking other people for help. I find it very anxiety inducing and aversive to think about. It sits at the intersection of a bunch of biases I have. Some part of me is convinced that I can do everything myself - that it is weakness, or being a burden to ask anything of some... |
8bd58ff7-5e08-4f57-86d0-9837839ab7eb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Whose reasoning can you rely on when your own is faulty?
None of us are perfect reasoners. None of us have unlimited information. Sometimes other people are more correct than we are. This is an obvious thing we all know but may not practice .
Below are some concrete questions you can think about that come at this pro... |
e924644c-2bfd-4507-a2d7-9e20672bb063 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Vizier AIs
This seems like a fairly obvious solution to FAI, a subject which has been pondered by many people much more intelligent and learned than I, so I assume there's a crippling flaw with it - just one that's eluded me. But:
Couldn't an AGI be programmed such that its only desire was to give true answers to the... |
be9632df-1345-4048-af31-5901d409d699 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A connectomic study of a petascale fragment of human cerebral cortex
> Abstract
> We acquired a rapidly preserved human surgical sample from the temporal lobe of the cerebral cortex. We stained a 1 mm3 volume with heavy metals, embedded it in resin, cut more than 5000 slices at ~30 nm and imaged these sections using a... |
dff2d52d-fcd2-4e6d-bb8d-129026dfa892 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Mapping ChatGPT’s ontological landscape, gradients and choices [interpretability]
*Cross-posted* [*from New Savanna*](https://new-savanna.blogspot.com/2023/10/mapping-chatgpts-ontological-landscape.html)*.*
By ontological landscape I mean the repertoire of different things it knows about. The parlor game, [Twenty qu... |
d535c2ce-f17d-46c4-9909-b7d95f319313 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Probability interpretations: Examples
## Betting on one-time events
Consider evaluating, in June of 2016, the question: "What is the probability of Hillary Clinton winning the 2016 US presidential election?"
On the **propensity** view, Hillary has some fundamental chance of winning the election. To ask about the p... |
04c996e8-973e-497e-b6ac-d41a617b16e5 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | Open Category Detection with PAC Guarantees.
Open Category Detection with PAC Guarantees
Si Liu* 1Risheek Garrepalli* 2Thomas G. Dietterich2Alan Fern2Dan Hendrycks3
Abstract
Open category detection is the problem of detect-
ing “alien” test instances that belong to categories
or classes that were not present in the tr... |
5491a1f0-99b8-4573-9ef9-5dac6e088583 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A small update to the Sparse Coding interim research report
This is a linkpost to a set of slides containing an update to a project that was the subject of a previous post ([Interim research report] Taking features out of superposition with sparse autoencoders).
The update is very small and scrappy. We haven't had mu... |
7c18431e-6467-4298-81ea-2c0587dec488 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Prisoner's dilemma tournament results
The prisoner's dilemma tournament is over. There were a total of 21 entries. The winner is Margaret Sy, with a total of 39 points. 2nd and 3rd place go to rpglover64 and THE BLACK KNIGHT, with scores of 38 and 36 points respectively. There were some fairly intricate strategies in ... |
Subsets and Splits
No community queries yet
The top public SQL queries from the community will appear here once available.