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8f5e94f1-2d52-45c4-a624-5127b73f7f3e | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube | Youtube Transcripts | Eliezer Yudkowsky - Less Wrong Q&A (4/30)
so the question is please tell us little
about your brain what's your IQ test it
is 143 that would have been back when I
was 12 13 not really shirt exactly I
tend to interpret that as this is about
as high as the IQ test measures rather
than you are three standard deviations
a... |
1511fbe5-2bd4-43f9-a211-3a98cf9c733f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Where is the YIMBY movement for healthcare?
In the progress movement, some cause areas are about technical breakthroughs, such as fusion power or a cure for aging. In other areas, the problems are not technical, but social. Housing, for instance, is technologically a solved problem. We know how to build houses, but ho... |
236d62e9-3d5b-4f9c-a157-95b84cc1bfb9 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | GPTs' ability to keep a secret is weirdly prompt-dependent
TL;DR
-----
GPT-3 and GPT-4 understand the concept of keeping a password and can simulate (or write a story about) characters keeping the password. However, this is highly contingent on the prompt (including the characters' names, or previously asked question... |
8289299a-2699-4145-9903-19be9705dbfd | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A Player of Games
Earlier today I had an idea for a meta-game a group of people could play. It’d be ideal if you lived in an intentional community, or were at university with a games society, or somewhere with regular Less Wrong Meetups.
Each time you would find a new game. Each of you would then study the rules for ... |
084120e0-0dfe-41d5-b2a8-bc2dcbfe6854 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Train first VS prune first in neural networks.
This post aims to answer a simple question about neural nets, at least on a small toy dataset. Does it matter if you train a network, and then prune some nodes, or if you prune the network, and then train the smaller net.
What exactly is pruning.
The simplest way to re... |
a9bcc508-4444-4f65-b33c-e09516888811 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Why is so much discussion happening in private Google Docs?
I've noticed that when I've been invited to view and comment on AI-safety related draft articles (in Google Docs), they tend to quickly attract a lot of extensive discussion, including from people who almost never participate on public forums like LessWrong o... |
f76f93c9-cb0b-497a-a073-6ce58d254bd9 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | What does it mean for an LLM such as GPT to be aligned / good / positive impact?
(cross post from my [sub-stack](https://pashanomics.substack.com/p/what-makes-llms-like-gpt-good-or))
What does it mean for a language model to be good / aligned / positive impact?
In this essay, I will consider the question of what pro... |
2a3e1e36-31f0-4b3f-ac1c-eba8fe42b0da | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | NeurIPSorICML_cvgig-by Vael Gates-date 20220324
# Interview with AI Researchers NeurIPSorICML\_cvgig by Vael Gates
\*\*Interview with cvgig, on 3/24/22\*\*
\*\*0:00:02.5 Vael:\*\* Awesome. Alright. So my first question is, can you tell me about what area of AI you work on in a few sentences?
\*\*0:00:09.8 Interview... |
e5ad4564-5677-48c8-887f-75ac2133bd17 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Optimized Propaganda with Bayesian Networks: Comment on "Articulating Lay Theories Through Graphical Models"
Derek Powell, Kara Weisman, and Ellen M. Markman's "Articulating Lay Theories Through Graphical Models: A Study of Beliefs Surrounding Vaccination Decisions" (a conference paper from CogSci 2018) represents an ... |
6c87bb79-9159-4903-937f-5e008a6f1ef5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AISN #45: Center for AI Safety 2024 Year in Review
As 2024 draws to a close, we want to thank you for your continued support for AI safety and review what we’ve been able to accomplish. In this special-edition newsletter, we highlight some of our most important projects from the year.
The mission of the Center for AI... |
2959eace-67ea-4929-95ce-b39d42b0054c | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | A conceptual precursor to today's language machines [Shannon]
*Cross-posted* [*from New Savanna*](A conceptual precursor to today's language machines [Shannon]).
I'm in the process of reading a fascinating article by Richard Hughes Gibson, [Language Machinery: Who will attend to the machines’ writing?](https://hedgeh... |
0db30074-25e3-4743-aa35-9ffac20712f0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Against Devil's Advocacy
From an article by Michael Ruse:
> Richard Dawkins once called me a "creep." He did so very publicly but meant no personal offense, and I took none: We were, and still are, friends. The cause of his ire—his anguish, even—was that, in the course of a public discussion, I was defending a positi... |
559ed8f2-7da5-4366-9a77-53663916b2ba | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Cybersecurity of Frontier AI Models: A Regulatory Review
This article is part of a series of ~10 posts comprising a 2024 State of the AI Regulatory Landscape Review, conducted by the Governance Recommendations Research Program at Convergence Analysis. Each post will cover a specific domain of AI governance (e.g. incid... |
b9f93feb-9b6f-4ff7-990a-455db04372a4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | It’s not economically inefficient for a UBI to reduce recipient’s employment
A UBI (e.g. paying every adult American $8k/year) would reduce recipient’s need for money and so may reduce their incentive to work. This is frequently offered as an argument against a UBI (or as an argument for alternative policies like the ... |
1389d1c5-5a3c-4e95-99c3-8c1e8922a139 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Link] Social interventions gone wrong
A piece I saw that Benjamin Todd adapted from THINK's module on charity assessment. Some of you may recall the network's recent launch.
> Lots of social interventions end up doing more harm than good. Many more make no difference at all, and are just a waste of resources. At t... |
3d31e770-400a-4cc6-9974-8a7e25be2c28 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Don't Condition on no Catastrophes
I often hear people say things like "By what date do you assign 50% chance to reaching AGI, conditioned on no other form of civilizational collapse happening first?" The purpose of this post is to make this question make you cringe.
I think that most people mentally replace the cond... |
9831043c-5e35-4a84-b997-a0a00fb8b57f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How Common Are Science Failures?
After a brief spurt of debate over the claim that “97% of relevant published papers support anthropogenic climate change”, I think the picture has mostly settled to an agreement that – although we can contest the methodology of that particular study – there are multiple lines of eviden... |
85c5d270-36a8-4f29-8a90-930f467bbd34 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Apocalypse insurance, and the hardline libertarian take on AI risk
Short version: In a saner world, AI labs would have to purchase some sort of "apocalypse insurance", with premiums dependent on their behavior in ways that make reckless behavior monetarily infeasible. I don't expect the Earth to implement such a polic... |
af776450-f0fb-4e5b-a991-3963e6acb873 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Practical Guidelines for Memory Reconsolidation
This post details a set of guidelines for working with the memory reconsolidation tools in the rest of the sequence. Use it to get the most out of your memory reconsolidation procedure.
Start with the More Cognitively Fused Schema
For every belief schema you're working... |
512f7d18-a12e-466e-bf6c-dec1c4566169 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Vancouver Extraordinary Evidence and Bayes
Discussion article for the meetup : Vancouver Extraordinary Evidence and Bayes
WHEN: 16 March 2013 03:00:00PM (-0700)
WHERE: 2150 macdonald st vancouver bc
I recently saw someone claim that "extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence" was a terrible hueri... |
7e652491-fb03-4165-98c2-cc50a5723202 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | On Dwarksh’s Podcast with Leopold Aschenbrenner
Previously: Quotes from Leopold Aschenbrenner’s Situational Awareness Paper
Dwarkesh Patel talked to Leopold Aschenbrenner for about four and a half hours.
The central discussion was the theses of his paper, Situational Awareness, which I offered quotes from earlier, w... |
f6ca7c06-9728-463d-a775-272410ed4145 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Weekly LW Meetups: Melbourne, Austin, Atlanta, Seattle, Philadelphia, Fort Collins
There are upcoming irregularly scheduled Less Wrong meetups in:
* First Philadelphia Meetup of 2012: 08 January 2012 02:00PM
* Fort Collins, Colorado Meetup: 11 January 2012 07:00PM
* [TENTATIVE] Portland Meetup?: 14 January 2012 12... |
b2978cfc-7654-4ca4-ae94-066768a46ca1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How Many Affordable Units?
With last week's post on affordable housing I was wondering: if we did build out all the Somerville lots zoned for four stories (MR4) to be seven stories of affordable housing, how much housing would that be? I count 254 lots zoned MR4 with a total area of 1.8M sqft. Built out at seven stori... |
d577c26b-e5d9-4455-bd91-093e8d81d9fb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Box inversion hypothesis
This text originated from a retreat in late 2018, where researchers from FHI, MIRI and CFAR did an extended double-crux on AI safety paradigms, with Eric Drexler and Scott Garrabrant in the core. In the past two years I tried to improve it in terms of understandability multiple times, but emp... |
c0c49c96-ec33-453e-a6ff-2122bb134ff6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Common knowledge about Leverage Research 1.0
I've spoken to people recently who were unaware of some basic facts about Leverage Research 1.0; facts that are more-or-less "common knowledge" among people who spent time socially adjacent to Leverage, and are not particularly secret or surprising in Leverage-adjacent circ... |
1bab1e17-8216-4a9b-8eaf-2a6c52e5e6a1 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Shulman and Yudkowsky on AI progress
This post is a transcript of a discussion between Carl Shulman and Eliezer Yudkowsky, following up on [a conversation with Paul Christiano and Ajeya Cotra](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/7MCqRnZzvszsxgtJi/christiano-cotra-shulman-and-yudkowsky-on-ai-progress).
Color key:
| ... |
d8708e6e-26d0-4069-a92a-c640b0677762 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Machine Intelligence Research Institute Progress Report, May 2012
Past progress reports: [April 2012](http://intelligence.org/blog/2012/05/08/singularity-institute-progress-report-april-2012/), [March 2012](http://intelligence.org/blog/2012/04/06/singularity-institute-progress-report-march-2012/), [February 2012](http... |
f28540a7-6082-44cf-a667-3d4341daf17f | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Polysemantic Attention Head in a 4-Layer Transformer
*Produced as a part of MATS Program, under* [*@Neel Nanda*](https://www.lesswrong.com/users/neel-nanda-1?mention=user) *and* [*@Lee Sharkey*](https://www.lesswrong.com/users/lee_sharkey?mention=user) *mentorship*
***Epistemic status:** optimized to get the post out... |
71adb84c-46fa-49e4-93fb-6a0d0de4923b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Analyzing FF.net reviews of 'Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality'
> The unprecedented gap in Methods of Rationality updates prompts musing about whether readership is increasing enough & what statistics one would use; I write code to download FF.net reviews, clean it, parse it, load into R, summarize the data ... |
b8e862ec-2e34-48ce-847d-404bfa03c3eb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | I'm from a parallel Earth with much higher coordination: AMA
Related: My April Fools Day Confession; Inadequate Equilibria
On April 1, Eliezer Yudkowsky ran a dath ilan AMA on Facebook:
> I came from a parallel Earth that successfully coordinated around maintaining a higher level of ability to solve coordination pro... |
6770252e-955c-4d78-b2c7-3110c62f3579 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | 100 transhumanists demanded immortality researh in the center of Moscow
More photos here: http://ru-transhuman.livejournal.com/384043.html
This was first legally approved political action of Russian transhumanists. Symbolically it was near Karl Marx monument which is opposite to the Big theater.
Main slogans:
"Stop... |
07c41988-e93c-47e9-b0a1-822a742ae9f0 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Solve Psy-Kosh's non-anthropic problem
The source is [here](/lw/17c/outlawing_anthropics_an_updateless_dilemma/13e1). I'll restate the problem in simpler terms:
You are one of a group of 10 people who care about saving African kids. You will all be put in separate rooms, then I will flip a coin. If the coin comes up... |
2889b7bb-91a6-4db5-9ae9-10d0996ab5c5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Book Reviews
Hello,
I wanted to share some book reviews that I hope would be useful to readers of this site.
If you have any suggestions about relate reading, or suggestions about how to improve my reviews, please leave comments.
Homo Deus by Yuval Noah Harari, 2017
Sapiens: A Brief History of Humankind... |
ae41eebd-94a8-402b-80c9-d08b0f38badc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Modes of Petrov Day
Last updated Sept 16, 2019
> September 26 is Petrov Day.
> In 1983, the story of humanity nearly ended. We’re gathered here to remember that moment, and others like it.
> But to experience the magnitude of those events, we need to visit them in their proper context. Let us begin the story of hum... |
db10c25e-1798-40e3-b6c6-28f838312e56 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | In Praise of Tribes that Pretend to Try: Counter-"Critique of Effective Altruism"
Disclaimer: I endorse the EA movement and direct an EA/Transhumanist organization, www.IERFH.org
We finally have created the first "inside view" critique of EA.
The critique's main worry would please Hofstadter by being self-referentia... |
523e12be-4bb8-4ab2-b4a0-a06383c7a2ad | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Q: What has Rationality Done for You?
So after reading SarahC's latest post I noticed that she's gotten a lot out of rationality.
More importantly, she got different things out of it than I have.
Off the top of my head, I've learned...
* that other people see themselves differently, and should be understood on the... |
6d2fa601-aeb9-4ff2-8e19-5d582941f047 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Facebook is Paying Me to Post
In mid-September Facebook asked me if I wanted to start getting paid for posting things:
This seems to be the performance bonus program. I think they offered it to me because my Facebook profile is in professional mode and I post a lot? It's all very unclear, including what effect s... |
a77bce07-480e-48fe-a61a-7fdd8a778a20 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | When will AI automate all mental work, and how fast?
Rational Animations takes a look at Tom Davidson's Takeoff Speeds model (https://takeoffspeeds.com). The model uses formulas from economics to answer two questions: how long do we have until AI automates 100% of human cognitive labor, and how fast will that transiti... |
eebc5476-9aed-470f-b055-b269174a9aca | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | A Telepathic Exam about AI and Consequentialism
Epistemic status: telepathic exam. That is, not an essay, not an argument, not a set of interesting ideas, claims, novel points of view or musings over the meaning of the universe, nor a lot of other things you may think it is. The primary purpose of this particular tele... |
2c5b6f1e-4941-452a-a6b8-62abb1a7178f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Local Validity as a Key to Sanity and Civilization
(Cross-posted from Facebook.)
0.
Tl;dr: There's a similarity between these three concepts:
* A locally valid proof step in mathematics is one that, in general, produces only true statements from true statements. This is a property of a single step, irrespective of... |
3a95749a-d44c-4282-aa4b-011983c2f28d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] Thou Art Godshatter
Today's post, Thou Art Godshatter was originally published on 13 November 2007. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> Describes the evolutionary psychology behind the complexity of human values - how they got to be complex, and why, given that origin, there is no reason in hindsight... |
c64eeb7e-85c9-4a99-a1ac-00e8e7e707fb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Embedded Agency: Not Just an AI Problem
Requisite Background: Embedded Agency Sequence
Biology
Fast forward a few years, and imagine that we have a complete physical model of an e-coli bacteria. We know every function of every gene, kinetics of every reaction, physics of every membrane and motor. Computational model... |
2aca6aca-15db-4c97-ba26-04cd2d023b82 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What health-related tips do you have for buying meat?
Currently I buy meat at the grocery store (Sprouts), but I'm considering spending more money via something like Crowd Cow on meat that was raised responsibly and stuff. The main reason is because I suspect the health benefits are worth it. I've been thinking that I... |
fe4672ec-e152-4a98-8493-a2cfca5b530c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | No Electricity in Manchuria
TLDR: For a period of time in 2021, there were electric shortages throughout China. Especially in the North Eastern Provinces. China use coal extensively for both heating and power generation. Because of an unfortunate overlapping of policy changes (carbon neutral + market reform) and othe... |
b1bc3799-14aa-4d69-a0e6-94c1d01bb967 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Notes on Compassion
This post examines the virtue of compassion. I hope to synthesize what others have learned, rather than giving my own opinions about it, though I’ve selected what I found interesting or credible according to my own inclinations. I wrote this not as an expert, but as someone who wants to learn. I ho... |
ce88a98e-7bef-464d-9a38-a0f0a1d946d5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Cambridge Less Wrong Meetup Sunday, Sep 19
We're still doing Cambridge/Boston-area Less Wrong meetups on the third Sunday of every month, 4pm at the Clear Conscience Cafe (C3) near the Central Square T station. Several people have indicated they'll be coming for the first time, so we should get a better turnout than i... |
5e5d700e-ffe8-4826-9575-e1c80aa9fcdf | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Tetlock on low AI xrisk
> [The median superforecaster gave a 0.38% risk of extinction due to AI by 2100, while the median AI domain expert gave a 3.9% risk of extinction](https://static1.squarespace.com/static/635693acf15a3e2a14a56a4a/t/64abffe3f024747dd0e38d71/1688993798938/XPT.pdf).
>
>
Tetlock's previous results... |
a73eeff9-6935-419f-bddb-1ae6e945cb6d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Zochi Publishes A* Paper
Zochi Achieves Main Conference Acceptance at ACL 2025
Today, we’re excited to announce a groundbreaking milestone: Zochi, Intology’s Artificial Scientist, has become the first AI system to independently pass peer review at an A* scientific conference¹—the highest bar for scientific work in the... |
d9deb539-d7cd-441f-91ce-790afc96fbbc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Something Unfathomable: Unaligned Humanity and how we're racing against death with death
I fear I may be becoming a mini-Yudkowsky.
I write this in response to multiple exclamatory remarks I've seen in recent weeks, excited over the prospect of all jobs being automated, of ultra-high unemployment, basic income, and ... |
e72e1529-a3db-4949-869d-761e0e179947 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Are AIs like Animals? Perspectives and Strategies from Biology
Disclaimer: The views expressed in this document are my own, and do not necessarily reflect those of my past or present employers.
In a recent interview at the Commonwealth Club of California, Stuart Russell compared training GPT-4 to training a dog with... |
d12f9a42-db29-43ee-9a91-09591d8d5c87 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Has anyone written a reductionist theory of creativity?
That is, explain creativity from more fundamental building blocks |
2331a0d4-8e55-4731-a715-c592bf95ca2b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Agency As a Natural Abstraction
**Epistemic status:** Speculative attempt to synthesize findings from several distinct approaches to AI theory.
**Disclaimer:** The first three sections summarize some of Chris Olah's work on interpretability and John Wentworth's Natural Abstractions Hypothesis, then attempt to draw co... |
cc410109-0ada-4349-9588-13292b3e1e82 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | In regards to visualization
I seem to strongly recall that one of Yudkowsky’s essays mentioned a study in which people were told to complete tasks that required complex thinking about shapes and positions while in an MRI machine, and their visual cortex lit up. I listen to a podcast called Hello Internet and the good ... |
770a9627-d4e3-4ca4-bae9-bc45db7f72d4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Anti-social Punishment
This is a cross post from 250bpm.com.
Introduction
There's a trope among Slovak intellectual elite depicting an average Slovak as living in a village, sitting a local pub, drinking Borovička, criticizing everyone and everything but not willing to lift a finger to improve things. Moreover, it i... |
de27e36f-aac3-4e8a-ad66-46a8ce18edeb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Weekly LW Meetups
This summary was posted to LW Main on September 16th. The following week's summary is here.
Irregularly scheduled Less Wrong meetups are taking place in:
* Baltimore Area / UMBC Weekly Meetup: 18 September 2016 07:00PM
* Munich Meetup in September: 17 September 2016 04:00PM
The remaining meetups... |
edc9a4f0-82d2-4825-8452-578c391af739 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Announcing AASAA - Accelerating AI Safety Adoption in Academia (and elsewhere)
AI safety is a small field. It has only about 50 researchers, and it’s mostly talent-constrained. I believe this number should be drastically higher.
A: the missing step from zero to hero
I have spoken to many intelligent, self-motivate... |
513c3e09-87b3-4855-baab-4f9bb062668e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Should I study hypnosis?
I was just about to do my best to figure out if hypnosis was worth studying and how.
I trust the judgment around here pretty well. Am I wasting my time, or is this something worth pursuing? If so, what for, and do you have any recommended sources? |
dd31680a-c1d8-4cd2-a4c8-c8e70d0ac37a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How to Not Get Offended
Followup to: Don't Get Offended
Draws heavily on: Stoicism, Keep Your Identity Small, Living Luminously
Previously, we discussed why not getting offended might be an effective strategy to adopt in order to increase one's practical epistemic rationality. That's all well and good, but just as k... |
d44d03c8-50e4-40e7-a16e-34216e37d7a7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Avoiding Selection Bias
[This post has been renamed from "Desilencing", pending changing what I call the action.]
edit 2019-06-25: this post is tone-deaf about ways people who experience the more common and dramatically stronger silencing forces of prejudice would see it. The insight here appears to me to be valid as... |
7acbc400-a8dd-443e-a138-63c9148fcfd2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What math is essential to the art of rationality?
I have started to put together a sort of curriculum for learning the subjects that lend themselves to rationality. It includes things like experimental methodology and cognitive psychology (obviously), along with "support disciplines" like computer science and economic... |
bb2f93b6-1f6c-4236-9597-71e0d47401c4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What percent of people work in moral mazes?
Epistemic status: A quick Fact Post on moral mazes. This is me trying to get my hands on some data and think through stuff, not meant as a definitive reference.
I wanted a sense of the proportion of people who work in moral mazes.
The middle manager hell hypothesis says "... |
f2b0ce35-8bac-45e8-b20e-b61376f7a8ad | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Poll: what’s your impression of altruism?
1. Altruism is truly selfless, and it’s good.
2. Altruism is truly selfless, and it’s bad.
3. Altruism is enlightened self-interest, which is good.
4. Altruism is disguised/corrupted/decadent self-interest, which is bad.
To illustrate further, though at the risk of oversi... |
878865a9-d400-4471-81fe-8ede9bd84fef | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | 5 Second Level: Substituting the Question
I picked this up in the new Kahneman book, Thinking, Fast and Slow. He describes a common characteristic of reasoning heuristics: rather than answer a difficult question, they substitute a simpler question with a more readily available answer. This is a common failure mode.
L... |
9e35b72b-b979-4bd9-9cf3-21930f26b4a8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Legalize Blackmail: An Example
This post is an example of the disutility of outlawing blackmail. It is an illustration of the argument made by Robin Hanson here
Background - Sallie Mae is a US company. For background, see here, pp. 807
> On November 9, 2005, former Sallie Mae employee Michael Zahara filed a federal ... |
f01b63b4-5998-4ae9-8b0f-e46cc269324b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Sneaking in Connotations
Yesterday, we saw that in Japan, blood types have taken the place of astrology—if your blood type is AB, for example, you're supposed to be "cool and controlled".
So suppose we decided to invent a new word, "wiggin", and defined this word to mean people with green eyes and black hair—
> ... |
3da3cfa5-8114-48d0-95bd-080ef1df6f92 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Decision theory analysis of whether vaccines should be distributed prior to the completion of stage three trials please
I’m response to MR’s post on whether vaccines should be released early. The pinned comments there mostly differ about how likely an early vaccine is to kill one in 4,000 or 10000 people. It’s a tough... |
369b86c1-aead-4b72-a11c-9d817a4616f1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Press Your Luck
Epistemic Status: Oh, we’re doing this.
Press Your Luck is back! Press Your Luck is back! Wednesday Nights on ABC! Woo-hoo!
The great classic game shows each bring together several unique elements into a synergistic whole with a consistent aesthetic and central theme. Each winning game has its ow... |
84578f8e-d228-4e1a-be9e-e576a6425f58 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The role of tribes in achieving lasting impact and how to create them
Co-authored by Konrad Seifert and Nora Ammann
Cross-posted on the EA Forum
TL;DR
To bring about grand futures, we humans have to figure out how to reconcile our current needs with our lofty ambitions. Tight-knit support communities - what we cal... |
03aabdbc-afea-45e7-a610-3220fdc7ff3d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Chevy Bolt Review
One thing I like about renting cars when I travel is that it's an opportunity to get a sense for a car that's a lot more detailed than what you'd get with a test drive. Traveling to DC for work a few days ago, I took the opportunity to rent a 2023 Chevy Bolt. This is the second time I've rented an el... |
9631a0da-182a-4237-8271-75c0b9d92f9f | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Evil autocomplete: Existential Risk and Next-Token Predictors
***NOTE:** The following essay was first summarized by Yitz, generated via prompting by ChatGPT, then edited by Yitz, and finally rewritten by Bing Chat. I have left all text as Bing generated it (though I did enlarge section headings, and removed some of t... |
304819c2-bd01-4b82-aafa-9cc5e6b3e061 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Link] Raytheon given $10.5 to develop 'serious games' for bias reduction
http://www.networkworld.com/community/blog/raytheon-gets-105m-develop-serious-games
> Under a contract from the government's cutting edge research group, the Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity (IARPA), Raytheon BBN will develop ga... |
ff88541f-9dd0-4c24-8b47-5f583e288c91 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Open thread, August 4 - 10, 2014
If it's worth saying, but not worth its own post (even in Discussion), then it goes here.
Notes for future OT posters:
1. Please add the 'open_thread' tag.
2. Check if there is an active Open Thread before posting a new one.
3. Open Threads should be posted in Discussion, and no... |
249f3be8-c89b-4beb-b726-2340d943d15a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Proposal: all Amazon hyperlinks get Less Wrong's Amazon Associates referral code
My site, which gets slightly less traffic than Less Wrong, makes me $50-$200 per month with Amazon referral links and no advertising at all. I don't profit this way, but I recoup some of my costs.
I think the Less Wrong audience is much ... |
ce192926-7ceb-452f-9e85-5c150637cd44 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Link] How doctors die
I'm reposting this from HN's front page, because it brought up a non-cached thought on cryonics:
> The patient will get cut open, perforated with tubes, hooked up to machines, and assaulted with drugs. All of this occurs in the Intensive Care Unit at a cost of tens of thousands of dollars a day... |
228a80b2-0275-4e6c-b9cd-fde12e8f0c65 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | Smarter than us: The rise of machine intelligence
[]
Smarter Than Us
The Rise of Machine Intelligence
Stuart Armstrong
[Machine Intelligence Research Institute]
Stuart Armstrong is a James Martin Research Fellow at the Future of Humanity Institute at Oxford University. His research focuses on formal decision the... |
7d776044-59e4-4320-b0ae-cfcff0a8ecd4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : SF Meetup: Board Games
Discussion article for the meetup : SF Meetup: Board Games
WHEN: 13 February 2017 06:15:04PM (-0800)
WHERE: 1769 15th St., SF
We’ll be meeting to play board (and other) games!
We have Dominion, Suburbia, and standard playing cards. Please feel free to bring other games you’d like to... |
82531716-2045-4f1e-a4ed-082fa0179dca | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | 2012 Survey Results
Thank you to everyone who took the 2012 Less Wrong Survey (the survey is now closed. Do not try to take it.) Below the cut, this post contains the basic survey results, a few more complicated analyses, and the data available for download so you can explore it further on your own. You may want to co... |
bf16517f-bcd0-437d-ab6b-2e40633d407b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Rational Animations' intro to mechanistic interpretability
In our new video, we talk about research on interpreting InceptionV1, a convolutional neural network. Researchers have been able to understand the function of neurons and channels inside the network and uncover visual processing algorithms by looking at the we... |
aab9911f-e332-480f-91e3-0c540ca5dd94 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Physics of Language models (part 2.1)
This is perhaps the best interpretability work I've seen outside of Chris Olah's team. |
ba8a281e-85f9-4308-ba35-4c9cc082cf26 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Reward hacking and Goodhart’s law by evolutionary algorithms
Nice collection of anecdotes from the Evolutionary Computation and Artificial Life research communities about evolutionary algorithms subverting researchers intentions, exposing unrecognized bugs in their code, producing unexpected adaptations, or exhibiting... |
e4aaa6b3-806d-48bd-8850-b4b213192455 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Huy Price (Cambridge philosopher) writes about existential risk for NYT
> In Copenhagen the summer before last, I shared a taxi with a man who thought his chance of dying in an artificial intelligence-related accident was as high as that of heart disease or cancer. No surprise if he’d been the driver, perhaps (never t... |
8edefb46-08e5-4913-8131-7d0f361768eb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Incentives considered harmful
This essay was written using ChatGPT as an experiment, see the conversation here. Written because this is a major problem I've had in the past, remember to reverse this advice as needed.
Have you ever found yourself feeling unmotivated to accomplish a task, even though it's something you... |
54ffecec-b8d2-4e52-bfc7-2196146d6203 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | On the Contrary, Steelmanning Is Normal; ITT-Passing Is Niche
Rob Bensinger argues that "ITT-passing and civility are good; 'charity' is bad; steelmanning is niche".
The ITT—Ideological Turing Test—is an exercise in which one attempts to present one's interlocutor's views as persuasively as the interlocutor themselve... |
1dfc0e1e-ce0a-428b-827c-ea6d91ed94c0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Open Philanthropy is seeking proposals for outreach projects
[Cross-posted from the EA Forum.]
Open Philanthropy is seeking proposals from applicants interested in growing the community of people motivated to improve the long-term future via the kinds of projects described below.[1]
Apply to start a new project here... |
4d10b3b3-224f-4a91-9be7-0e7293ef49b3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Memory Decoding Journal Club: Motor learning selectively strengthens cortical and striatal synapses of motor engram neurons
Join Us for the Memory Decoding Journal Club!
A collaboration of the Carboncopies Foundation and BPF Aspirational Neuroscience
This time, we’re diving into a groundbreaking paper:
"Motor learn... |
d538ba4d-845f-449e-b2a1-d18254d64e3a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Technology Changes Constraints
A thousand years ago, books were generally written by hand, on parchment made from sheep skin. I don't have a good source on how long it took a person to transcribe a typical book, so for the purpose of this post let's just call it 30 days. I do know that a typical book required the skin... |
239f9e03-8b6a-47ff-b624-4599e232a9c1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Jobs Inside the API
Cross-posted from Putanumonit.com
----------------------------------------
I promised that my last post will go up as I am flying over the Pacific Ocean. Then I tweeted that I was looking forward to experiencing a 90-minute Sunday while flying overnight across the International Date Line. The god... |
44877fd6-7c29-4a62-8fc3-55bf1702577a | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Agent level parallelism
Let's suppose that an [Em](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Age_of_Em) researcher runs 1000 times faster than the equivalent human brain. To the Em researcher who runs faster, it will seem like the experiments take significantly longer to run. So there is more waiting around. I expect that a c... |
ca441c17-c5ac-420f-84c9-72fe7cde9d74 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Double Corrigibility: better Corrigibility
This post is obsolete, replaced by this one.
EDIT: Defining C and the conditions on C is a bit more complicated than presented here, still have some details to formalise.
Corrigibility was an attempt to allow an AI to safely change its values, without seeking to provoke or ... |
5e2c5a1c-a597-4f55-8bd8-b90803eef483 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The great decline in Wikipedia pageviews (condensed version)
To keep this post manageable in length, I have only included a small subset of the illustrative examples and discussion. I have published a longer version of this post, with more examples (but the same intro and concluding section), on my personal site.
La... |
ba9b3cc5-7f17-48f2-87c8-b2690fa6b75b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | More shameless ploys for job advice
I've posted a few things seeking career advice with mixed success. In this case I have a more concrete question and if you feel like commenting, I'd appreciate it. I think it helps me to hear what a community of others thinks from a rational perspective because there are often many ... |
b6a36b43-a0b3-4d7c-912c-411684b20258 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Best project management software for research projects and labs?
I am trying to pick a project management software to recommend for general adoption at [MIT FutureTech](https://futuretech.mit.edu/).
I am biased towards Asana but want to check what other people in the community are using and hear experiences/suggesti... |
b2030358-0502-4130-8e4a-4bda9461b3ab | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Superintelligence Is Not Omniscience
*Jeffrey Heninger and Aysja Johnson, 7 April 2023*
### The Power of Intelligence
It is often implicitly assumed that the power of a superintelligence will be practically unbounded. There seems like there could be “ample headroom” above humans, i.e. that a superintelligence will... |
1dd8ce4c-b47b-4c9a-bb09-4c7f6b330e07 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Meetup 17 - Comfort Zone Expansion (CoZE)
Discussion article for the meetup : Meetup 17 - Comfort Zone Expansion (CoZE)
WHEN: 14 May 2017 03:10:00PM (+0200)
WHERE: meester treublaan 18 amsterdam
Something new for this week!
Much of the time, things that lie outside of our comfort zone are out there for go... |
09c9cf81-470d-403a-acc9-ba085355d039 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Categories of leadership on technical teams
This is an adaptation of an internal doc I wrote for Anthropic.
Recently I’ve been having a lot of conversations about how to structure and staff teams. One framework I’ve referenced repeatedly is to break down team leadership into a few different categories of responsibili... |
b784e253-c800-4d8e-b9b0-847c75d342eb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How feasible/costly would it be to train a very large AI model on distributed clusters of GPUs?
Folding@home is the most powerful supercomputer in the world. It relies on simulations utilizing on a distributed network of GPUs, CPUs, and ARM processors volunteered by people around the world. From some quick Googling, i... |
afeaae5b-dd82-4ad8-a000-6a78379bd1f6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | implications of NN design for education
Even the most basic aspects of the design and training of artificial neural networks seem (to me) to have large implications for the education of humans. Just the fact that complex information can be represented as a point in a shared high-dimensional Euclidean latent space seem... |
ff26ebe4-906d-4d75-98d3-9da941849f58 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup after Humanity+ , London, Saturday 2010-04-24?
Humanity+ UK 2010 is in central London (near Holborn) in a fortnight. Speakers include Anders Sandberg, Aubrey de Grey, and Nick Bostrom. Anyone else from Less Wrong going along? If so, shall we meet for a drink afterwards, perhaps in the Princess Louise around 1... |
ed450267-f506-47c0-b86c-06e6b83e2f13 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AI Will Not Want to Self-Improve
[Note: This post was written by Peter N. Salib. Dan H assisted me in posting to Alignment Forum, but no errors herein should be attributed to him. This is a shortened version of a longer working paper, condensed for better readability in the forum-post format. This version assumes fami... |
81cc67bd-fc9c-4dd5-a24c-729856a1974a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Map and territory visual presentation
Here is a presentation on the map and territory I'm planning on giving to my game theory class.
It's based on Liron's You Are A Brain post.
Any suggestions for improvements? |
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