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6acfa5eb-7f63-4340-8268-612f4240b4bc | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | The tyranny of the god scenario
*By Michael Wulfsohn, 6 April 2018*
I was convinced. An intelligence explosion would result in the sudden arrival of a superintelligent machine. Its abilities would far exceed those of humans in ways we can’t imagine or counter. It would likely arrive within a few decades, and would w... |
ff596440-c061-4b61-8bfb-097287e9c2fa | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Narrative Direction and Rebellion
[Cross-posted from Grand, Unified, Crazy.]
This is the fourth post in what has been a kind of accidental sequence on life narratives from before I started posting things on LessWrong. Previously: Narrative Dissonance, Where the Narrative Stops, and Narrative Distress and Reinvention.... |
338fb803-3245-425a-9820-2ee812732d1d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Reachability Debates (Are Often Invisible)
Alexi and Beth are not Blues or Greens, but are talking about a conflict in a foreign nation between the Blues and the Greens. The Blues are the majority in both numbers and power, and have created a number of laws which restrict the cultural and religious traditions of Green... |
7050e91c-f809-49c0-8ef6-44e927051bed | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Houston Meetup - 2/12
Discussion article for the meetup : Houston Meetup - 2/12
WHEN: 12 February 2012 02:00:00PM (-0600)
WHERE: 2010 Commerce St, Houston, TX 77002, USA
We will be going over E.T. Jayne's "The Logic of Science" this Sunday at 2PM.The goal, established at the last meeting, will be to go ove... |
393b59c7-987f-4ae0-a3db-71996158b1ad | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Yudkowsky and Christiano discuss “Takeoff Speeds”
This is a transcription of Eliezer Yudkowsky responding to Paul Christiano’s [Takeoff Speeds](https://sideways-view.com/2018/02/24/takeoff-speeds/) live on Sep. 14, followed by a conversation between Eliezer and Paul. This discussion took place after Eliezer’s [convers... |
4b704f7c-8c4d-4cf6-a90b-43ca1aebbac3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How the abstraction shield works
All kinds of psychological distance make things seem less important, presumably because they usually are. So it’s better for bad things to seem distant and good things to seem close.
Do we only modify importance in response to distance, or do we change our perception of distance in or... |
e2f2e40d-e134-40e2-86db-660c2dbcc1d3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Reviewing the Review
We just spent almost two months reviewing the best posts of 2018. It was a lot of development work, and many LW users put in a lot of work to review and vote on things.
We’ve begun work on the actual printed book, which’ll be distributed at various conferences and events as well as shipped to th... |
59fcde31-c90a-4605-a1b6-7f65f57a1ed7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Fundamentals of Formalisation Level 3: Set Theoretic Relations and Enumerability
Followup to Fundamentals of Formalisation level 2: Basic Set Theory.
The big ideas:
* Ordered Pairs
* Relations
* Functions
* Enumerability
* Diagonalization
To move to the next level you need to be able to:
* Define functions... |
e45b5418-d3f9-4e12-9e68-fc8d4ede73b3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Johannes Kepler, Sun Worshipper
This is crosspostd from a late-night whimsical Facebook post, maybe should be a shortform post.
> Individual scientists embrace a new paradigm for all sorts of reasons and usually for several at once. Some of these reasons—for example, the sun worship that helped make Kepler a Copernic... |
aa325b4f-1297-4966-92b1-f9da6befc87e | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | PIBBSS Summer Symposium 2023
Tl;dr
=====
We are pleased to invite you to the **PIBBSS Summer Symposium** where the fellows from the ‘23 fellowship program present their work.
The symposium is taking place online, over several days in the week of **September 18th**.
* [Check out the **full program**,](https://www... |
f4870ed1-0241-40b8-8377-6b3f09fb6622 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | No, EDT Did Not Get It Right All Along: Why the Coin Flip Creation Problem Is Irrelevant
Back in 2017, Johannes_Treutlein published a post critiquing logical decision theories: Did EDT get it right all along? Introducing yet another medical Newcomb problem. In it, Treutlein presents the Coin Flip Creation problem (and... |
7bf5ce8e-99d4-4ca6-a1ab-8d8fabc651ac | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Remote AI alignment writing group seeking new members
If you're interested, then email me (<given name of President Nixon>.moehn@posteo.de) or PM me on LessWrong.
We meet weekly for 15 min ⨉ number of members. At the moment the meetings consist of explaining aspects of our research to each other. This helps us get be... |
ebff6fcc-02ac-4468-abce-3576d0c872a8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Rationality Quotes April - June 2017
Another quarter, another rationality quotes thread. The rules are:
* Provide sufficient information (URL, title, date, page number, etc.) to enable a reader to find the place where you read the quote, or its original source if available. Do not quote with only a name.
* Post all... |
865b88dd-7761-49fc-8265-5c5fb6480878 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Lists of cognitive biases, common misconceptions, and fallacies
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_cognitive_biases
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_common_misconceptions
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_fallacies
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_memory_biases
I know the trend here is against simple ... |
2be40a66-6054-4895-80ad-8736db692b4f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Does blind review slow down science?
Previously, Robin Hanson pointed out that even if implementing anonymous peer review has an effect on the acceptance rate of different papers, this doesn't necessarily tell us the previous practice was biased. Yesterday, I ran across an interesting passage suggesting one way that a... |
fd0287d9-7df1-4f56-bf72-80ecd13dcad2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | You are allowed to edit Wikipedia
I frequently hear complains from people about individual Wikipedia pages but most of the people who complain only complain outside of Wikipedia. Wikipedia is inherently democratic. If you read a Wikipedia article and think it's very problematic, take five minutes and write about why i... |
515cf0e5-4963-4e23-8073-ec4f42651cea | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Is status really that simple?
I am reading The other kind of status and it seems to me that status is seen as a single number, either objective, or in the eyes of other people in the group, or your own, either ordinal or cardinal, but at the end of the day you can say your status is 67 points or 12th in rank. And I th... |
9fc90186-64ac-48c6-b37d-808055d184a1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | I Started a Sports and Gambling Substack
The substack is here.
The latest post is here and contains predictions for tomorrow’s baseball games. I also posted predictions for yesterday’s games here, and here you can find my offensive team ratings. Pitcher ratings will be posted soon.
I wanted to try out the substack s... |
7b1b367a-a5e2-44aa-8322-7520d7c34177 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What's the problem with Oracular AIs?
I have a superintelligent AI in a box, and I tell it by means of text to explain to me how to create a perfect battery. Its goal is not to maximize the number of perfect batteries or make me understand a perfect battery, its goal is to produce a string that will explain to anyone ... |
c647449e-73a8-4c78-9d13-a1fcf54f0d2d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | D&D.Sci Tax Day: Adventurers and Assessments Evaluation & Ruleset
This is a follow-up to last week's D&D.Sci scenario: if you intend to play that, and haven't done so yet, you should do so now before spoiling yourself.
There is a web interactive here you can use to test your answer, and generation code available here... |
8a618f33-5512-4cc5-bf8b-a1c02e22ceea | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | Reputations for Resolve and Higher-Order Beliefs in Crisis Bargaining
Article
Reputations for Resolve
and Higher-Order
Beliefs in Crisis
Bargaining
Allan Dafoe1,2, Remco Zwetsloot1,2, and Matthew Cebul3
Abstract
Reputations for resolve are said to be one of the few things worth fighting for, yet
they remain inadequate... |
6dd5f93b-b16a-4323-b87c-2a36739fc362 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Techniques to fix incorrect memorization?
One of the things I've been using Anki to memorize is friends' birthdays, but I realized after a few weeks that I had entered one of them wrong, in a way that was confusingly similar to another:
* Friend A: June 5
* Friend B: July 5 (should actually be 6)
Now when I study ... |
a22a1460-5d30-4e65-aec7-e07ec8c44117 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | SIA > SSA, part 3: An aside on betting in anthropics
(Cross-posted from Hands and Cities. Previously in sequence: Part 1: Learning from the fact that you exist; Part 2: Telekinesis, reference classes, and other scandals.)
This post is the third in a four-part sequence, explaining why I think that one prominent approa... |
a1618af4-dbda-41e1-8b8c-61e491c25bcd | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Saskatoon: Iterative Improvement and Concrete Planning.
Discussion article for the meetup : Saskatoon: Iterative Improvement and Concrete Planning.
WHEN: 21 September 2013 01:00:00PM (-0600)
WHERE: 2318 8th St E, Saskatoon, SK
Hello again everyone!
Another Saskatoon meetup at the same place and time as th... |
5ab24e03-6ab4-4a17-b1a6-24e1ad8a4ad9 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | AI as a Civilizational Risk Part 6/6: What can be done
**Fix or destroy social media**
One of the critical positive developments is the potential of Elon Musk to buy Twitter. The acquisition happened as the essay was being finalized. Positive effects that can happen are cracking down on bots and re-vamping moderatio... |
77c00839-f2e1-47f2-9c1d-933cdede6363 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Looking Back On Ads
> It is difficult to get a man to understand something, when his salary depends on his not understanding it.
Talking about ads online I would often get a response that as someone working in ads I was bound to support my employment. I'm now a year out from working in ads and very unlikely to return... |
9a121032-c445-4993-be03-10bbe4524d72 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Utrecht: a critique of effective altruism
Discussion article for the meetup : Utrecht: a critique of effective altruism
WHEN: 04 January 2015 02:00:00PM (+0100)
WHERE: La Place, Utrecht, Rijnkade 5
For details, see meetup.com: http://www.meetup.com/LWEANL/events/218834877/ , which is supposed to be up-to-d... |
244cb09c-cc3b-4985-add3-cd82b7ee297f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | An Approach to Land Value Taxation
1. Introduction
Land value taxes (LVT’s) are an attractive approach to public finance. The basic idea is that owners of land should be taxed on the value of the unamended land (i.e. the value of the empty lot) since this value is driven primarily by the economic activity nearby and n... |
8ad5b5d8-0196-4b34-9b79-b7df47e7ab48 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Towards Resolving Unidentifiability in Inverse Reinforcement Learning
1 Introduction
---------------
Inverse reinforcement learning (IRL), first introduced by Ng and Russell (), is concerned with the problem of inferring the (unknown) reward function of an agent behaving optimally in a Markov decision process. The ... |
bc11bae1-7aeb-49d1-9bc3-e8a68d6db62f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Motivation control
(This is the second in a series of four posts about how we might solve the alignment problem. See the first post for an introduction to this project and a summary of the posts that have been released thus far.)
Summary
In my last post, I laid out the ontology I’m going to use for thinking about ap... |
320bfbee-071d-4939-bf16-d22414654c27 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Oversight of Unsafe Systems via Dynamic Safety Envelopes
Idea
I had an idea for short-term, non-superhuman AI safety that I recently wrote up and ̶w̶i̶l̶l̶ ̶b̶e̶ ̶p̶o̶s̶t̶i̶n̶g̶ have now posted on Arxiv. This post serves to introduce the idea, and request feedback from a more safety-oriented group than those that I w... |
040883eb-68a1-44fc-8885-d0d336ef2274 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What are the Red Flags for Neural Network Suffering? - Seeds of Science call for reviewers
Seeds of Science is a new journal (funded through Scott Alexander's ACX grants program) that publishes speculative or non-traditional articles on scientific topics. Peer review is conducted through community-based voting and com... |
18c5a35f-be29-4c51-bd4a-f179304e7734 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Why Huntington-Hill?
The US House of Representatives uses the Huntington-Hill method to figure out how many representatives each state should have. First you give each state one representative, because even the smallest state is guaranteed one, and then you assign the remaining spots, one at a time, to whichever state... |
b3907b16-d2dc-4cd5-bf37-40928a3907e1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The curse of giftedness:
“Sometimes,” says Dr. Freeman, sitting in her airy office in central London, with toys on the floor and copies of her 17 books on the shelf, “those with extremely high IQ don't bother to use it.” (article) Your thoughts on that issue? |
1ecf3816-a98b-4afc-9fd1-f2dbb30ac540 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Clarifying inner alignment terminology
I have seen [a lot of](https://www.alignmentforum.org/posts/HYERofGZE6j9Tuigi/inner-alignment-failures-which-are-actually-outer-alignment) [confusion recently](https://www.alignmentforum.org/posts/Xg2YycEfCnLYrCcjy/defining-capability-and-alignment-in-gradient-descent) surroundin... |
dbfc6b69-ad8d-44fe-8ebc-f6756ba4eba2 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Is it possible to prevent the torture of ems?
When I was reading [The Seven Biggest Dick Moves in the History of Gaming](http://www.cracked.com/blog/the-7-biggest-dick-moves-in-history-online-gaming/?utm_source=facebook&utm_medium=fanpage&utm_campaign=new+article&wa_ibsrc=fanpage), I was struck by the number of people... |
9ac1ac87-db3c-43d6-bef1-c7ba93eb32e0 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | What a reduction of "could" could look like
By requests from Blueberry and jimrandomh, here's an expanded repost of [my comment](/lw/2ki/two_straw_men_fighting/2eg6?c=1) which was itself a repost of my email sent to decision-theory-workshop.
*(Wait, I gotta take a breath now.)*
A note on credit: I can only claim p... |
3c31bcfc-06f7-4e32-b838-ecbf13362a5a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Contra EY: Can AGI destroy us without trial & error?
> NB: I've never published on LW before and apologize if my writing skills are not in line with LW's usual style. This post is an edited copy of the same article in my blog.
EY published an article last week titled “AGI Ruin: A List of Lethalities”, which explains... |
50ed78ac-606b-44dc-af49-d631d8789488 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Stopping dangerous AI: Ideal lab behavior
*Disclaimer: this post doesn't have the answers. Moreover, it's an unfinished draft. Hopefully a future version will be valuable, but that will only occur if I revise/rewrite it. For now you're better off reading sources linked from*[*Ideas for AI labs: Reading list*](https://... |
5206a027-6d45-4757-9cb7-026d871acb68 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Experience with Cue Covid Testing
Several months ago my work started offering at-home covid-19 rapid molecular testing via Cue. Now that it's possible to buy these kits as an individual I wanted to write some about our experience and who it might be a good fit for.
These tests offer sensitivity comparable to PCR in a... |
3c975a3a-7ef7-410c-a189-f4f68c0e9108 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | human psycholinguists: a critical appraisal
(The title of this post is a joking homage to one of Gary Marcus’ papers.)
I’ve discussed GPT-2 and BERT and other instances of the Transformer architecture a lot on this blog. As you can probably tell, I find them very interesting and exciting. But not everyone has the r... |
6b143052-1b86-4858-bc5d-37794bb5b82b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | My experience of the recent CFAR workshop
Originally posted at my blog.
---
I just got home from a four-day rationality workshop in England that was organized by the Center For Applied Rationality (CFAR). It covered a lot of content, but if I had to choose a single theme that united most of it, it was listening to y... |
cc277d6e-27a5-4dbf-9f6f-077af2d4f0ec | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Best utility normalisation method to date?
For some time, me and others have been looking at ways of normalising utility functions, so that we can answer questions like:
* Suppose that you are uncertain between maximising U1 and U2, what do you do?
...without having to worry about normalising U1 or U2 (since utilit... |
509641d1-17fa-46c9-a2c6-0f7a27fabdfa | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Do What the Mammals Do
In an interview, Erica Komisar discusses parenting extensively. I appreciate anyone who thinks deeply about parenting, so I mostly value Erica's contributions. However, I believe she is mistaken on many points.
One claim she makes follows a broader pattern that I find troubling. To paraphrase:
... |
20beb63d-f1d3-4272-b82a-42e21a97e8c5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The harnessing of complexity
Richard Feynman once said:
> If, in some cataclysm, all of scientific knowledge were to be destroyed, and only one sentence passed on to the next generations of creatures, what statement would contain the most information in the fewest words? I believe it is the atomic hypothesis (or the ... |
7a337be7-9221-44f0-993e-6972d1413e95 | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "Being able to treat the pattern of someone's brain as software to be run on a computer, perhaps in parallel or at a large speedup, would have a huge impact, both socially and economically. Robin Hanson thinks it is the most likely route to artificial intelligence. Anders Sandberg and Nick Bostrom of the Future Of Huma... |
8338cfb6-e05d-4fee-9a77-587016c154af | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Clarifying some key hypotheses in AI alignment
We've created a diagram mapping out important **and** controversial hypotheses for AI alignment. We hope that this will help researchers identify and more productively discuss their disagreements.
[Diagram](https://drive.google.com/open?id=1wI21XP-lRa6mi5h0dq_USooz0Lpys... |
c7104f72-8b3f-4be0-8202-1dc62cb4284e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Initial thoughts on assisted formatting of discussion posts
Reading this discussion post is making me imagine specifying a discussion-formatting tool. In the fan community of the game Skyrates, we had a tool for taking chat logs from the in-game chat and formatting them for pretty display on web or forum. A similar to... |
cacfc616-44cc-4e28-9d3f-e969624e43fa | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | NeurIPS ML Safety Workshop 2022
We're excited to announce the NeurIPS [ML Safety workshop](https://neurips2022.mlsafety.org/)! To our knowledge it is the first workshop at a top ML conference to emphasize and explicitly discuss x-risks.
X-Risk Analysis Prizes
----------------------
$100K in paper prizes will be awar... |
b95f62fa-8f19-4b81-9252-b9999c0e52f2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | ELK prize results
From January - February the Alignment Research Center offered prizes for proposed algorithms for eliciting latent knowledge. In total we received 197 proposals and are awarding 32 prizes of $5k-20k. We are also giving 24 proposals honorable mentions of $1k, for a total of $274,000.
Several submissio... |
7cd8783c-e785-4366-82a0-bcd5cf4efc63 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Corrigibility as outside view
You run a country. One day, you think "I could help so many more people if I set all the rules... and I could make this happen". As far as you can tell, this is the real reason you want to set the rules – you want to help people, and you think you'd do a good job.
But historically… in ... |
908ce0f4-6713-4036-b005-180f9bbcb701 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Voluntary Salary Reduction
Until recently I thought Julia and I were digging a bit into savings to donate more. With the tighter funding climate for effective altruism we thought it was worth spending down a bit, especially considering that our expenses should decrease significantly in 1.5y when our youngest starts ki... |
c59ae6d5-547e-4213-bf0e-4fb8fb5d846d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Three questions about source code uncertainty
In decision theory, we often talk about programs that know their own source code. I'm very confused about how that theory applies to people, or even to computer programs that don't happen to know their own source code. I've managed to distill my confusion into three short ... |
d07b6179-1717-4364-bd5c-3c44e46b2a06 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What is wrong with mathematics education?
This guy says that the problem is that high-school math education is structured to prepare people to learn calculus in their freshman year of college. But only a small minority of students ever takes calculus, and an even smaller minority ever uses it. And not many people ev... |
fa73767e-e941-4be1-a905-7d9648859788 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Objections to Coherent Extrapolated Volition
>
> In poetic terms, our coherent extrapolated volition is our wish if we knew more, thought faster, were more the people we wished we were, had grown up farther together; where the extrapolation converges rather than diverges, where our wishes cohere rather than interfere... |
fa04dc89-a323-4850-b6bd-c6d86fbb2818 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Discussion: Counterintuitive ways of teaching knowledge
If Miss Frizzle could do it, why couldn't we? Do we really have to be rational all the time in order to teach rationality?breaking the rules of reality within the realm of a work of fiction and making the protagonists (or the audience if it's a videogame) figure ... |
976e77cf-9ccd-4522-8f5a-bdf468a031bc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AISN #35: Lobbying on AI Regulation Plus, New Models from OpenAI and Google, and Legal Regimes for Training on Copyrighted Data
Welcome to the AI Safety Newsletter by the Center for AI Safety. We discuss developments in AI and AI safety. No technical background required.
Subscribe here to receive future versions.
Li... |
9a0084b7-ab1e-488f-8e47-ce9505301d79 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The stereotype of male classical music lovers being gay
I have recently spent a lot of time on classical music forums, especially opera. There are more gay men than you would expect by chance. We have discussed it a few times, and it seems, classical music is considered a gay interest in the USA. Opera is the most pro... |
0c3680d6-e252-4108-a504-2838f00e575b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Eight Definitions of Observability
This is the eleventh post in the Cartesian frames sequence. Here, we compare eight equivalent definitions of observables, which emphasize different philosophical interpretations.
Throughout this post, we let C=(A,E,⋅) be a Cartesian frame over a nonempty set W, we let V={S1,…,Sn} be... |
3b6bfd88-61fe-41cb-88d7-01a1c2e444cf | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | (Double-)Inverse Embedded Agency Problem
MIRI [has said a lot](https://intelligence.org/embedded-agency/) about the issue of embedded agency over the last year. However, I am yet to see them trying to make progress in what I see as the most promising areas.
How does one attack a problem that is new, complicated and ... |
e8b934ec-0c6d-4ffa-bfd1-688d9df0c19f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [call-to-arms] Computer-based Math Education
TL;DR= There doesn't exist a course/curriculum/general textbook based on Conrad Wolfram's "Computer-Based Math Education" idea. Let's create an open-content one! .... if we can
By computer-based math, I don't mean "math as usual, now taught through a computer!" (a la Khan ... |
5f271af7-cef3-40ea-8c3f-f9a3fc7902e2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Anatomy of Multiversal Utility Functions: Tegmark Level IV
Outline: Constructing utility functions that can be evaluated on any possible universe is known to be a confusing problem, since it is not obvious what sort of mathematical object should be the domain and what properties should the function obey. In a sequence... |
84a5b716-1e79-4923-92e4-317047c24119 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Attributing to interactions with GCPD and GWPD
*This post provides background, motivation, and a nontechnical summary of the purely mathematical* [*https://arxiv.org/abs/2310.06686*](https://arxiv.org/abs/2310.06686)*.*
*Coauthors (alphabetical): Chris MacLeod, Jenny Nitishinskaya, Buck Shlegeris. Work done mostly wh... |
1b05cae6-0aa7-4621-9fea-126dd5891960 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Modest Superintelligences
I'm skeptical about trying to build FAI, but not about trying to influence the Singularity in a positive direction. Some people may be skeptical even of the latter because they don't think the possibility of an intelligence explosion is a very likely one. I suggest that even if intelligence e... |
cecd9119-29fe-483c-ae30-81f0956d72c3 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Are There Other Ideas as Generally Applicable as Natural Selection
I've noticed that the principles of Evolution / Natural Selection apply to a lot of things besides the context they were initially developed for (Biology).
Examples are things like ideas / culture (memetics), technological progress, and machine learn... |
469b3ad8-c33c-45fb-9c36-f2577753c375 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Sword of Good: I need some help to translate it
I am currently translating Eliezer's "The Sword of Good" in French, and hit a rather thorny problem:
How do I translate the words Equilibrium and Balance, given that both words are present in this fiction?
Those two words are rather synonymous, and I can find but o... |
9364d2c5-dddc-4e5c-b489-0ca6e3e8c16e | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | 12 career-related questions that may (or may not) be helpful for people interested in alignment research
*Epistemic status: Some people tell me that these kinds of questions are helpful sometimes*.
At EAGxBerkeley, people interested in alignment research often asked me for career advice. I am not a technical alignme... |
99d96d5a-327f-4008-b9e6-cc853634473b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Should correlation coefficients be expressed as angles?
Edit 11/28: Edited note at bottom to note that the random variables should have finite variance, and that this is essentially just L². Also some formatting changes.
This is something that has been bugging me for a while.
The correlation coefficient between two ... |
5bcb76f1-6099-4ebf-b6da-d3b9d86021cc | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Karma-Change Notifications
Starting this weekend, LessWrong will be displaying karma notifications in the top-right corner, telling you about when you've been upvoted or downvoted. You can click the star icon to see which of your posts and comments have been voted on, and how much their score has changed.
This works ... |
0ed3336d-d8f2-4a86-a93c-887c0ea0fd85 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | AISN #25: White House Executive Order on AI, UK AI Safety Summit, and Progress on Voluntary Evaluations of AI Risks
Welcome to the AI Safety Newsletter by the [Center for AI Safety](https://www.safe.ai/). We discuss developments in AI and AI safety. No technical background required.
Subscribe [here](https://newslette... |
be783073-5d11-41fd-9085-7b94107a2631 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How feeling more secure feels different than I expected
This year, I’ve been feeling more emotionally secure, thanks to various kinds of internal and external work (the stuff at https://attachmentrepair.com/ being one notable example).
The effect of this doesn’t always feel like I expected it to feel.
I once thought... |
0b0d4f68-4c4d-44af-8e52-4886eb347a49 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Working in Congress (Part #1): Background and some EA cause area analysis
**About this post**
-------------------
Working in Congress could be a highly impactful career choice for EAs who are US citizens and permanent residents, as *80,000 Hours* has written about in their [Congressional staffer career guide](https:... |
8194f5db-5a1c-4621-adac-2ea02f9442cb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Rationality Reading Group: Part Y: Challenging the Difficult
This is part of a semi-monthly reading group on Eliezer Yudkowsky's ebook, Rationality: From AI to Zombies. For more information about the group, see the announcement post.
----------------------------------------
Welcome to the Rationality reading group. ... |
b5537acb-2178-49b3-99d1-ebce7ecb091a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Squeezing foundations research assistance out of formal logic narrow AI.
Suppose you have a ML model trained to output formal proofs. Maybe you start with ZFC and then add extra tokens for a range of common concepts. (along with definitions. ). So a human mathematician needs to type in the definition of a gradient in ... |
26d484a8-6fe0-4bb9-92a4-a282af950a21 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Training a Helpful and Harmless Assistant with Reinforcement Learning from Human Feedback
1 Introduction
---------------
We would like to develop techniques to train AI agents that are helpful, honest, and harmless Askell et al. ([2021](#bib.bib19 "A general language assistant as a laboratory for alignment")). In t... |
e70bdfdf-7975-409e-887a-5bf6484dbd98 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Link: The Uncertain Future - "The Future According to You"
> Visualizing "The Future According to You"
>
> The Uncertain Future is a future technology and world-modeling project by the Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence. Its goal is to allow those interested in future technology to form their own rigor... |
254bde4c-7f25-498f-80b1-9d4c586b535d | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "Related: 23 Cognitive Mistakes that make People Play Bad Poker
Followed by: Situational Awareness And You
If epistemic rationality is the art of updating one's beliefs based on new evidence to better correspond with reality, the zeroth skillset of epistemic rationality-- the one that enables all other skills to functi... |
99f23516-4698-4640-8f19-38a6a20bd349 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | I Tripped and Became GPT! (And How This Updated My Timelines)
Disclaimer: The effects of psilocybin in magic mushrooms are not particularly well researched and while I had good experiences with it, I cannot specifically recommend it due to possible risks. Please do your own research.
Epistemic Status: This post is mo... |
0cef841b-598e-4eda-8ebf-3d0401734e16 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : London Meetup - Achieving Better Goals
Discussion article for the meetup : London Meetup - Achieving Better Goals
WHEN: 04 August 2013 02:00:00PM (+0100)
WHERE: Shakespeare's Head, London, WC2B 6BG
LessWrong London are having another awesome meetup and we would love for you to come!
The plan is to meet at... |
740a51a6-173e-4aec-aa53-8c0124b601be | awestover/filtering-for-misalignment | Redwood Research: Alek's Filtering Results | id: post147
A new paper by Yoshua Bengio and the Safe Artificial Intelligence For Humanity (SAIFH) team argues that the current push towards building generalist AI agents presents catastrophic risks, creating a need for more caution and an alternative approach. We propose such an approach in the form of Scientist AI ,... |
b1f04381-1020-4d52-b81c-81b6bf866e06 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Musings on Exploration
[epistemic status: Polemical, representative of my opinions and not those of any others, plausibly flawed in some places, generally endorsed.]
Looking at the two main settings of decision theory so far, Proof-based decision theory and Logical Inductor decision theory, they both have exploration... |
e65ab293-2c7f-4748-8755-5c3d15623ce7 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | AI safety starter pack
There are a ton of good resources for AI safety out there. However, conversations with people trying to get into the field revealed that these materials are often unknown. Therefore, I want to provide a very basic overview of how to start. My claim is that a person who invests ~2-3 hours a week ... |
942628f9-ea4d-4c5c-854a-59e634648058 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | MIRI’s 2017 Fundraiser
**Update 2017-12-27:** We’ve blown past our 3rd and final target, and reached the matching cap of $300,000 for the [$2 million Matching Challenge](https://intelligence.org/2017/12/14/end-of-the-year-matching/)! Thanks so much to everyone who supported us!
All donations made before 23:59 PST on... |
57114b64-929c-4ea2-91cf-7cc470785a9a | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Spooky action at a distance in the loss landscape
> *Produced as part of the* [*SERI ML Alignment Theory Scholars Program*](https://serimats.org/) *Winter 2022 Cohort*.
>
>
Not all global minima of the (training) loss landscape are created equal.
Even if they achieve equal performance on the training set, differen... |
41c0b4b6-ccb8-4b69-9851-21e1a8ee996b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Open thread, Sep. 14 - Sep. 20, 2015
If it's worth saying, but not worth its own post (even in Discussion), then it goes here.
----------------------------------------
Notes for future OT posters:
1. Please add the 'open_thread' tag.
2. Check if there is an active Open Thread before posting a new one. (Immediately... |
a324d913-16de-4d23-bc72-e40f18500608 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | AIRCS Workshop: How I failed to be recruited at MIRI.
This blog post is cross-posted from my personal blog. It will touch on two related topics:
1. Why and how I applied to MIRI and failed to secure an internship.
2. My experience at the AI Risk for Computer Scientists workshop (AIRCS).
If you're only interested i... |
1ee25087-a618-4a6e-8db0-876991a3093f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Apollo Research 1-year update
This is a linkpost for: www.apolloresearch.ai/blog/the-first-year-of-apollo-research
About Apollo Research
Apollo Research is an evaluation organization focusing on risks from deceptively aligned AI systems. We conduct technical research on AI model evaluations and interpretability and ... |
5592c035-bcf4-4b15-9cc8-9b875ea0b602 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Should rationalists (be seen to) win?
There is an saying that Rationalists should win. This stems from the belief that rationality should be useful and that winning is what everyone should strive to do.
I'm going to point out three different problems with this idea.
The first is that it is easily goodhearted, comp... |
f31f9c30-2030-4679-96ea-9d43d7806f56 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | collecting successes and deltas
It might be useful if we fellow LW'ers collect actual big scale success stories of ourself in real world applications. Since we are supposed to win some real life experiences of actual winning would be great.
|
19d94284-77a0-4e52-b6c4-787eb3510a22 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Aligning with Heterogeneous Preferences for Kidney Exchange.
1 Introduction
---------------
As AI algorithms become increasingly powerful and more widely deployed, it is vital that they act in a way that aligns with human values. Unfortunately, in most real-world domains, people do not unanimously agree on a single... |
1280790b-cae3-4ddc-83ac-ed74f4f99763 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The Manufactured Crisis: How Society Is Willingly Tying Its Own Noose
You know me mostly from my analysis on politics, geopolitics, finance and economy. But predictions, or more broadly speaking, forecasting does not end there. We live in a world where economic, political and cultural issues weave together creating a ... |
7a53463c-6ddb-4970-8161-579f6be50674 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Research interests I don't currently have time to develop alone
EDIT: added the "rights of parents" and "simulation hypothesis" research interests.
I've started a lot of research projects and have a lot of research interests that I don't currently have time to develop on my own. So I'm putting the research interests ... |
edb3eb5c-ea8a-46ba-846e-16661a07c7ec | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Introducing others to LessWrong-ism... through comics!
Having read through the Sequences, Methods of Rationality, related blogs and books and so on, and having changed my mind a few times on at least a few ideas that I'd been fairly sure about... I feel that I finally have enough of a grasp of the basics of LessWrong-... |
f1a250f7-c35a-4159-abb6-5f08214f0723 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Anatomy, diseases and aging damage
In this post I will talk about how I diagnosed a medical issue of a displaced muscle tendon in myself and solved it. I analyse how our medical ontology is currently ill-equipped to categorize the problem. I discuss the implications for thinking about human aging and why we need to th... |
88b57ec6-da65-4a4f-8687-d2cb1d1514be | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Alignment Newsletter #35
Find all Alignment Newsletter resources [here](http://rohinshah.com/alignment-newsletter/). In particular, you can [sign up](http://eepurl.com/dqMSZj), or look through this [spreadsheet](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1PwWbWZ6FPqAgZWOoOcXM8N_tUCuxpEyMbN1NYYC02aM/edit?usp=sharing) of al... |
a0ef5859-fe50-4881-b0d0-446e83718fb2 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Getting a new medical diagnostic to market
Hey hey,
A friend and I are developing a test for antibacterial resistant infections using fluorescent dyeing that is 10 times faster than existing tests. We want to know what the process is for getting clinical laboratories to adopt our product as a standard test. This info... |
da5189b8-37da-4185-bb23-ab92c24c7d20 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Posts I repent of
* "Taking Ideas Seriously": Stylistically contemptible, skimpy on any useful details, contributes to norm of pressuring people into double binds that ultimately do more harm than good. I would prefer it if no one linked to or promoted "Taking Ideas Seriously"; superior alternatives include Anna S... |
70d6a760-1dbe-4f83-a362-45bf11345884 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Using Negative Hallucinations to Manage Sexual Desire
[Edit 2023-10-05]: Thanks to jimmy's comments I realized that I was abusing this technique. I agree with jimmy that integrating your sexuality instead of suppressing it is better, based on my partial attempts and successes so far. This seems painfully obvious in hi... |
2513af3d-a97d-40a4-9c6b-02b258b88922 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Equilibrium and prior selection problems in multipolar deployment
To [avoid catastrophic conflict in multipolar AI scenarios](https://www.alignmentforum.org/posts/DbuCdEbkh4wL5cjJ5/preface-to-eaf-s-research-agenda-on-cooperation-conflict-and), we would like to design AI systems such that AI-enabled actors will tend to... |
ca801ebe-ce81-4d17-9d1e-1becfb8e4a2d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Epistemology and the Psychology of Human Judgment
Strategic Reliabilism is an epistemological framework that, unlike other contemporary academic theories, is grounded in psychology and seeks to give genuine advice on how to form beliefs. The framework was first laid out by Michael Bishop and J.D. Trout in their book E... |
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