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207780f8-6a80-450c-b93c-83b03e22dbb0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Motivating Abstraction-First Decision Theory
Let’s start with a prototypical embedded decision theory problem: we run two instances of the same “agent” from the same source code and in the same environment, and the outcome depends on the choices of both agents; both agents have full knowledge of the setup.
Roughly sp... |
bfa2e2af-dcd1-45bf-9390-e251b66f7850 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Guided Cost Learning: Deep Inverse Optimal Control via Policy Optimization
1 Introduction
---------------
Reinforcement learning can be used to acquire complex behaviors from high-level specifications.
However, defining a cost function that can be optimized effectively and encodes the correct task can be challengin... |
d4f6b0e7-36f8-4874-96c5-779d27f8765d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Background material for reading Judgment Under Uncertainty?
After seeing it constantly referenced in the Sequences and elsewhere, I've picked up Kahneman and Tversky's book/collection of papers Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases. I was wondering if anyone here who's read it or knows the subject would re... |
5f06fa72-a1b8-4356-917b-e207f7117c08 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Writing feedback requested: activists should pursue a positive Singularity
I managed to turn an essay assignment into an opportunity to write about the Singularity, and I thought I'd turn to LW for feedback on the paper. The paper is about Thomas Pogge, a German philosopher who works on institutional efforts to end po... |
141bae9f-047a-48e1-aaa8-606c5fbe8d17 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Unattributed Good
Cross-posted from 10-year Horizon.
If a good deed is done and no one is around to see it, does it make a sound?
In 1939, Nicholas Winton found himself on a volunteer mission in pre-war Prague. Recognizing the darkening position of the Jews, he helped organize train transports that saved 669 chil... |
9021664b-fbf5-4fb6-a042-4047ce5a2eae | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | In which I fantasize about drugs
We operate like this: the "overseer process" tells the brain, using blunt instruments like chemicals, that we need to find something to eat, somewhere to sleep or someone to mate with. Then the brain follows orders. Unfortunately the orders we receive from the "overseer" are often wron... |
4a4bef51-3610-4b3d-83a5-d37d3c484966 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Voluntary safety commitments provide an escape from over-regulation in AI development
Abstract
--------
With the introduction of Artificial Intelligence (AI) and related technologies in our daily lives, fear and anxiety about their misuse as well as the hidden biases in their creation have led to a demand for regul... |
713a9a50-044f-48f2-93e2-7227c5b4f7c6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Formalization is a rationality technique
We are interested in developing practical techniques of rationality. One practical technique, used widely and successfully in science and technology is formalization, transforming a less-formal argument into a more-formal one. Despite its successes, formalization isn't trivial ... |
2924e50c-de7f-4a73-b5ab-6987ba4287e1 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What's wrong with being dumb?
I like to make fun of my dog sometimes for being dumb. Affectionately. I'll say things like "That's not for you dumb dumbs!" when he tries to eat food that will clearly end up giving him a stomach ache and making him nauseous.
A few years ago I did this in front of my girlfriend's mom. S... |
577058c5-acd4-43ae-82aa-73c2bc0f9243 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [link] Cybathlon (an Olympics for bionic athletes)
News: http://www.theverge.com/2014/3/26/5551180/switzerland-to-host-the-first-cybathlon-an-olympics-for-bionic
I have been dreaming about the day the Paralympics would become more popular than the Olympics because of advance technologies that would help handicapped h... |
3b140157-7afb-434c-8d33-0e2a1d234a67 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Washington, D.C.: Intro to Confirmation Bias or "Encore" Singing Game Meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : Washington, D.C.: Intro to Confirmation Bias or "Encore" Singing Game Meetup
WHEN: 10 August 2014 03:00:00PM (-0400)
WHERE: National Portrait Gallery
Assuming that the forecast of inclement weat... |
f33e7894-5513-41bd-94b4-ddceda8d2de3 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/alignmentforum | Alignment Forum | Conditions under which misaligned subagents can (not) arise in classifiers
**Core claim**: *Misaligned subagents are very unlikely to arise in a classification algorithm unless that algorithm is directly or indirectly (e.g. in a subtask) modeling interactions through time at a significant level of complexity.*
**Defi... |
533dd69b-699d-4063-86e4-66292ac32f17 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Debt, Submission, and a Technical Definition of Drama
Two public answers to private question in which I employ a technical definition of drama.
Origin Debt
Contractual debts can only exist within some sort of civil law wherein commitments can be publicly and unambiguously evaluated.
In the absence of civil law insti... |
ff566aec-55f0-44fd-9bf7-d9f48e9f09ae | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Stages of Survival
This post outlines a fake framework for thinking about how we might navigate the future. I found it useful to my thinking, hopefully you will find it useful as well.
Whether or not we build AGI, one of five things must result.
1. Dune solution: The new world permanently lacks AGIs.
2. Human cont... |
beb24b6d-c848-4376-abbf-8c6c210ec1c6 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Covid 5/20: The Great Unmasking
The CDC has lifted its mask mandate for vaccinated people. In one fell swoop, it is suddenly fine for anyone fully vaccinated to go maskless anywhere, without social distancing, at any time, so long as regulations and rules permit it. This retains the madness of ignoring partial vaccina... |
635ac76f-06c7-4bf9-8efa-235c9df222cd | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Conservation of Expected Evidence and Random Sampling in Anthropics
This is the second post in my series on Anthropics. The previous one is Anthropical Motte and Bailey in two versions of Sleeping Beauty. The next one is Antropical probabilities are fully explained by difference in possible outcomes.
Introduction
Si... |
5a5f829f-8939-442c-88cb-7b8f12f0718d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Idea for LessWrong: Video Tutoring
Update 7/9/17: I propose that Learners individually reach out to Teachers, and set up meetings. It seems like the most practical way of getting started, but I am not sure and am definitely open to other ideas. Other notes:
* There seems to be agreement that the best way to do this ... |
abf0b74d-f4cc-404a-9179-b804d929c005 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Seeking paid help for SPARC logistics
This August CFAR is running the Summer Program on Applied Rationality & Cognition, an academic high school summer program, and we are looking for a part-time, temporary logistics manager for the program. If you are interested in the role and live near Berkeley, CA, please fill ... |
9efc0b0e-ea54-4843-996f-f75c29d7b57d | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Variably compressibly studies are fun
I like studying calculus, physics, and English etymology.
Calculus includes problems like ∫dxarctanx. arctan is an elementary function, so you may be expected to have its integral memorised. I'd have to find it otherwise. By parts: ∫dxarctanx=xarctanx−∫dx(xarctan′x). I remember a... |
24ced15e-b12a-4bb2-828b-7404139ab7e8 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Questions about YIMBY
If you want to change the world, start by giving people free books. Or at least, this is the approach of the Adam Smith Institute, a free-market think tank in the UK. At an event of theirs, they gave me a copy of John Myers’ little book (or long paper) YIMBY: How to end the housing crisis, boost ... |
d68e9a59-3ad3-4c7a-befd-485f01a1aa3f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [SEQ RERUN] Religion's Claim to be Non-Disprovable
Today's post, Religion's Claim to be Non-Disprovable, was originally published on 04 August 2007. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):
> Religions used to claim authority in all domains, including biology, cosmology, and history. Only recently have religions attempted... |
eec18434-d70a-429e-994a-4401ecd10e2e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | -
|
f7bebe6f-696f-461f-b0d8-0113f63b849e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Li and Vitanyi's bad scholarship
In An Introduction to Kolmogorov Complexity and Its Applications 4th edition Li and Vitanyi claim that Solomonoff Induction solves the problem of induction. In Section 5.1.4 they write:
> The philosopher D. Hume (1711–1776) argued that true induction is impossible because we can reac... |
805cc354-2b6e-411a-a735-c03f44b8b29b | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Codomain vs image
A function $f : X \to Y$ with [domain](https://arbital.com/p/3js) $X$ and [codomain](https://arbital.com/p/3lg) $Y$ cannot necessarily produce all values in $Y$. For example, consider the function that takes a [real number](https://arbital.com/p/real_number) and squares it. We could say that this fun... |
1d20e7c2-ecb7-4a6e-8ef0-7ded99e374f4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Should we write more about social life?
Social life is a thorny subject. Writings on that topic can be noxious, for a variety of reasons. Yet we live in a social world, and instrumental rationality ought to make us better at navigating it. Furthermore, if status competition is a war of all against all, and "all warfar... |
fd3d10cd-5aa6-4e8a-b127-fdd1f657b00f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Rationality Reading Group (62-66)
Discussion article for the meetup : Rationality Reading Group (62-66)
WHEN: 13 July 2015 06:30:00PM (-0700)
WHERE: Paul G. Allen Center (185 Stevens Way, Seattle, WA) Room 503
Reading group for Yudkowsky's "Rationality: AI to Zombies", which is basically an organized and u... |
bb532c43-0d84-4ef5-97c9-abb1b17aab32 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Variations of the Garrabrant-inductor
|
265d35f9-aefb-44d5-8248-4ceb12a9dc26 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What should I study to understand real-world economics? (I.e., To gain financial literacy)
I have taken a basic economics course and read some academic economic stuff here and there, but these have been viscerally “theoretical” in nature. I want to understand real-world concepts like value chains, stocks, venture capi... |
f4c3c371-04b9-4163-a814-f3d401e9cee7 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Adversarial vs Collaborative Contexts
You can often make pretty clear predictions about what sort of effect something would have in the world as it exists today, but when you start to take into account how the world might change in response it gets very difficult. One tool here is thinking about whether you mostly exp... |
1495d516-5595-4646-a816-4ff18e19eb10 | awestover/filtering-for-misalignment | Redwood Research: Alek's Filtering Results | id: post278
In this post, I’ll make a technical point that comes up when thinking about risks from scheming AIs from a control perspective . In brief: Consider a deployment of an AI in a setting where it’s going to be given a sequence of tasks, and you’re worried about a safety failure that can happen suddenly. Every ... |
56677402-4c5f-4149-9225-b460baddce57 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Formalising decision theory is hard
In this post, I clarify how far we are from a complete solution to decision theory, and the way in which high-level philosophy relates to the mathematical formalism. I’ve personally been confused about this in the past, and I think it could be useful to people who casually follows t... |
8ad3cfb2-a879-4588-8684-21f452469dd4 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Social Capital - Does it Matter?
Within the Walls
There's plenty of funny business. My dad was enthusiastically arguing that we should invest in this little known bank offering a high return. Your money doubles every month! Who told you that, I asked? The dentist. He now lives in a big house in Dedinje and has a h... |
2fcd00d6-34cc-4885-9139-ce6870085d3f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Math appendix for: "Why you must maximize expected utility"
This is a mathematical appendix to my post "Why you must maximize expected utility", giving precise statements and proofs of some results about von Neumann-Morgenstern utility theory without the Axiom of Continuity. I wish I had the time to make this post mor... |
0f544928-37f0-40b6-b3f3-67e0c9865344 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Indifferent vs false-friendly AIs
A putative new idea for AI control; index here.
For anyone but an extreme total utilitarian, there is a great difference between AIs that would eliminate everyone as a side effect of focusing on their own goals (indifferent AIs) and AIs that would effectively eliminate everyone throu... |
95b72d79-26e0-4131-bc4c-1de786dedb91 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Will issues are quite nearly skill issues
This post contains content that might be regarded as spoilers for the free will problem
I cannot jump off a cliff. I do not know any cliffs near me, but that's not the reason I care about, so we'll counterfactually skip over that. The more interesting reason I can't jump off ... |
eb1bf3fa-8f5b-4753-bb45-afe9b0aaf325 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Aubrey de Grey has responded to his IAMA - Now with Transcript!
Watch the video response here: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-tsI_28O3Ws
This was posted here on lesswrong a while ago, but they recently uploaded a new version of the video and I took the liberty of typing up a transcript.
The video is fairly long, ab... |
d895ef5a-e2b2-4957-aa8d-9c07bd52cb12 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Back to Basics: Truth is Unitary
It was a dark and stormy night.
The prospect held the front of his cloak tight to his chest. He stumbled, fell over into the mud, and picked himself back up. Shivering, he slammed his body against the front doors of the Temple and collapsed under its awning.
He picked himself up and ... |
0499ddcd-6918-4ee2-81d3-19d10d04a240 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/special_docs | Other | The Superintelligent Will: Motivation and Instrumental Rationality in Advanced Artificial Agents
1 THE SUPERINTELLIGENT WILL: MOTIVA TION AND
INSTRUMENT AL RATIONALITY IN ADVANCED
ARTIFICIAL AGENTS
(2012) Nick Bostrom
Future of Humanit y Institute
Facult y of Philosophy & Oxford Martin School
Oxford University
... |
623fe9dc-1e34-4057-b65f-3b33ff3b81d7 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | How important are accurate AI timelines for the optimal spending schedule on AI risk interventions?
Summary
-------
I present an extension to my [*optimal timing of spending on AGI safety*](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/Ne8ZS6iJJp7EpzztP/the-optimal-timing-of-spending-on-agi-safety-work-why-we#Explaining_... |
8431de72-fbff-4054-8d00-dc56bfb16bec | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | [Summary] "Introduction to Electrodynamics" by David Griffiths - Part 1
Epistemic Status: The mathematical formulation of electromagnetism is the most solidly established theory in all of science. If this book is wrong then science is broken to the core, space is flat, Colombus' landing in the New World was faked, bir... |
13ff56f3-42a3-4e21-a099-1564ebb1b057 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | November-December 2024 Progress in Guaranteed Safe AI
Sorry for the radio silence last month. It was slow and I didn’t come across things I wanted to write about, to be expected with holidays coming up.
There are no benefits of paying, except you get a cut of my hard earned shapley points, and apparently some disappo... |
5d758a73-9726-4526-be2d-f8085c1878a9 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | Concrete AI tasks bleg
*By Katja Grace, 30 March 2016*
We’re making a [survey](http://aiimpacts.org/ai-timeline-surveys/). I hope to write soon about our general methods and plans, so anyone kind enough to criticize them has the chance. Before that though, we have a different request: we want a list of concrete task... |
22bf59df-500b-4a7d-a4f0-7c93f1c18180 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Readability is mostly a waste of characters
Based on this research, I have created a free web app for compressing GPT prompts at gptrim.com. gptrim is also a Python library. Contributions are welcome.
Readability and information
The other day I was trying to feed a large text to ChatGPT, and I grew frustrated with t... |
9a0c0853-618c-4a6d-9e22-3437d72efb2f | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Distilled - AGI Safety from First Principles
This is meant to be supplemental to Richard Ngo’s AGI Safety from First Principles sequence. It can serve as an overview/guide to the sequence, and an outline for navigating his core claims. It's also a submission for the AIMS Distillation contest.
Preamble: (you can sk... |
a03cf2a3-b9a6-4e9f-86be-bc45a3bbe00a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Writing Style and the Typical Mind Fallacy
For a long time, Eliezer has been telling me I should write more like he does. I've mostly resisted, preferring instead to write like this:
1. Explain the lesson of the post immediately, and outline the ideas clearly with lots of headings, subheadings, lists, etc.
2. State... |
7c19b92f-ba4a-440d-b6c5-2ef43b647820 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Covariance in your sample vs covariance in the general population
A popular-media take on a subtle problem in sampling. I found the graph quite illustrative.
http://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2012/05/when-correlation-is-not-causation-but-something-much-more-screwy/256918/ |
18faa15f-12ce-4618-ab65-197bcb7924db | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube | Youtube Transcripts | Embodied manifestos of human-AI partnerships (Maria Luce Lupetti) - 1st AiTech Symposium
okay so in this project I'm
collaborating with an eccentric avi and
every dubbing and we are working on this
concept of embodied manifests of human
AI partnership which consists on the
development of a method for exploring
narrati... |
22c08377-c6d5-4174-af97-0866d1bf0cba | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Under what circumstances have governments cancelled AI-type systems?
> "This study identifies 61 occasions across Australia, Canada, Europe, New Zealand and the United States when ADS [automated decision systems] projects were cancelled or paused."
The study gives a run-down of what sorts of systems were cancelled (o... |
fd5bd53d-d1b5-48d0-b6ea-17153034cc37 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Hands-On Experience Is Not Magic
Here are some views, oftentimes held in a cluster:
* You can't make strong predictions about what superintelligent AGIs will be like. We've never seen anything like this before. We can't know that they'll FOOM, that they'll have alien values, that they'll kill everyone. You can specu... |
59c4d0f7-49d5-411b-942b-ac6dc91ba28c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Rationalist Diplomacy, Game 2, Game Over
Note: The title refers to the upcoming turn.
OK, here's the promised second game of diplomacy. The game name is 'Rationalist Diplomacy Game 2.'
Kevin was Prime Minister of Great Britain
AlexMennen is President of France
tenshiko is Kaiser of Germany
Alexandros was King of Ita... |
aff0f9b3-0ba3-4c35-b5e1-d31d27a68f50 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Addendum: More Efficient FFNs via Attention
*[Epistemic status: I have* [*running code*](https://github.com/RobertHuben/ffn_via_attention/blob/main/ffn_via_attention_single_layer.py) *that implements it.]*
**Overview:** [I previously showed how an FFN layer in a transformer can be implemented via 3 attention layers.]... |
e2b9a153-63a3-4939-8af9-688d21a3566c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | What if Ethics is Provably Self-Contradictory?
I've been thinking lately about the Repugnant Conclusion. For those who are not already aware, it's a problem in Population Ethics where one is seemingly forced to say that a world entirely populated with happy, well-off people is less preferable (all else being equal) th... |
4848abd8-8ac0-4bf5-85a1-2e0a429c71d5 | LDJnr/LessWrong-Amplify-Instruct | LessWrong | "Once, when I was holding forth upon the Way, I remarked upon how most organized belief systems exist to flee from doubt. A listener replied to me that the Jesuits must be immune from this criticism, because they practice organized doubt: their novices, he said, are told to doubt Christianity; doubt the existence of Go... |
83baa6f4-8a44-4887-a686-945426094a15 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | EU AI Act now has a section on general purpose AI systems
The EU AI Act is currently undergoing the [ordinary legislative procedure](https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/council-eu/decision-making/ordinary-legislative-procedure/), in which the European Parliament and Council can propose changes to the act.
A brief ... |
69bf2131-6ee5-4132-8aff-992615e57d2f | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/blogs | Blogs | March 2016 Newsletter
| |
| --- |
|
**Research updates**
* A new paper: “[Defining Human Values for Value Learners](https://intelligence.org/2016/02/29/new-paper-defining-human-values-for-value-learners/)“
* New at IAFF: [Analysis of Algorithms and Partial Algorithms](https://agentfoundations.org/item?id=622); [Nat... |
b2c087a2-043d-40ae-8a17-d5a377741e71 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Careless talk on US-China AI competition? (and criticism of CAIS coverage)
>
> China has made several efforts to preserve their chip access, including smuggling, buying chips that are just under the legal limit of performance, and investing in their domestic chip industry.[[1]](#fn-mF6rrn65fs3bdg6jf-1)
>
>
>
Sou... |
428057f2-ae8b-460c-b81c-b4cf92e26c63 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arbital | Arbital | Instrumental goals are almost-equally as tractable as terminal goals
One counterargument to the Orthogonality Thesis asserts that agents with terminal preferences for goals like e.g. resource acquisition will always be much better at those goals than agents which merely try to acquire resources on the way to doing som... |
9e3eb505-7beb-40c8-9e2d-6a74148bdbeb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Born probabilities vs. the universal prior
Just to sharpen a point that Manfred already made:
Imagine a world with a single observer flipping a quantum coin many times. After the observer has seen a million coinflips and they look fair (incompressible), what should he believe about the next thousand? Modern physics s... |
d1a3199a-bc2c-4a60-9f03-f45991eecaf0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Survival and Flourishing Fund grant applications open until October 4th ($1MM-$2MM planned for dispersal)
The Survival and Flourishing Fund is a new fund that (as I understand it) is taking over a significant chunk of the Berkeley Existential Risk Initiative's (BERI) grantmaking, and is just opening a new grant round ... |
4503cb7c-28bc-4585-ae79-ada581b18465 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | AI Could Defeat All Of Us Combined
*Cross-posted from* [*Cold Takes*](https://www.cold-takes.com/ai-could-defeat-all-of-us-combined/)*.*
I've been working on a new series of posts about the [most important century](https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/s/isENJuPdB3fhjWYHd).
* The original series focused on why a... |
3a0ca8e8-c7be-4384-a06b-476abaaaadeb | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | When considering incentives, consider the incentives of all parties
Once upon a time the countries of Alpago and Byzantine had a war. Alpago was mostly undamaged during this war. Byzantine was severely damaged by this war, although they have caught up in some metrics such as education, their economy is still somewhat ... |
8f253291-3a69-49da-bbf6-4af15e4a59a0 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | New DeepMind report on institutions for global AI governance
This is a linkpost for a new white paper from DeepMind, titled 'Exploring institutions for global AI governance', on "models and functions of international institutions that could help manage opportunities and mitigate risks of advanced AI". I've copied the ... |
24173e2c-2ec2-4f36-b498-043df0294592 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | An Anchoring Experiment: Results
This post summarises the results of the experiment which tested how anchoring works on the LW audience. Here is the original post which describes the experiment in more detail. The experiment was supposed to decide between two ways of how anchoring may work. The first hypothesis is tha... |
ea416531-fd02-4ef3-8330-208daa2989f9 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Less Wrong NH Meetup
Discussion article for the meetup : Less Wrong NH Meetup
WHEN: 03 November 2016 07:00:00PM (-0400)
WHERE: 269 Pearl St, Manchester NH 03104
The Less Wrong NH meetup is Thursday, 11/3, in Manchester, NH at 7 pm at a private residence. Light refreshments will be provided.
Have you read ... |
a17d04fc-25b1-4e19-98a5-dec7a19f7353 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | An Experiment on the Connection between the DLs' Family DL<ForAllPiZero> and the Real World
INTRODUCTION
------------
In the last years, Semantic Web has increasingly expanded its area
of influence. Being an innovative instrument for the retrieval of
not expressly stored information and a way of organizing concepts... |
4a4130ed-9ce5-4b3f-89d0-71e4af0ba039 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | No Evolutions for Corporations or Nanodevices
> "The laws of physics and the rules of math don't cease to apply. That leads me to believe that evolution doesn't stop. That further leads me to believe that nature —bloody in tooth and claw, as some have termed it —will simply be taken to the next level...
> "[Getting r... |
fb6331f8-aa26-44e6-8720-1476cc8771ac | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | Improving Generalization in Meta Reinforcement Learning using Learned Objectives
1 Introduction
---------------
The process of evolution has equipped humans with incredibly general learning algorithms.
They enable us to solve a wide range of problems, even in the absence of a large number of related prior experienc... |
ada9b037-77d8-418b-8f91-81d11ac84d99 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Fine-insured bounties as AI deterrent
Epistemic status: Hare-brained scheme
Suppose the state of Arkansas decided to levy a fine of $1000 on anyone attempting to push the state of AI forward. Further, Arkansas decreed that this $1000 fine would be paid directly out of the coffers of those found guilty, and directly t... |
9aacf41c-d5d4-4c09-9682-dec7c5f4dc72 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Improving Human Rationality Through Cognitive Change (intro)
This is the introduction to a paper I started writing long ago, but have since given up on. The paper was going to be an overview of methods for improving human rationality through cognitive change. Since it contains lots of handy references on rationality, ... |
b9465626-228b-429f-ad6e-ed2efafad95b | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How I Ended Up Non-Ambitious
I have a confession to make. My life hasn’t changed all that much since I started reading Less Wrong. Hindsight bias makes it hard to tell, I guess, but I feel like pretty much the same person, or at least the person I would have evolved towards anyway, whether or not I spent those years r... |
2a1298f6-c048-4015-94b8-e81fc979ef2e | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Annotated reply to Bengio's "AI Scientists: Safe and Useful AI?"
The AI safety proposal was published by Yoshua Bengio on May 7, 2023.
Below I quote the salient sections of the proposal and comment on them in turn.
Main thesis: safe AI scientists
> […] I would like to share my thoughts regarding the hotly debated q... |
0cae0ac3-84d2-40b4-a1bb-679652b62e67 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Things you should never do
Things you should never do
A great article on a common fallacy among programmer-types |
15714600-dbaf-4c40-b8f7-11a3b9471dae | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/youtube | Youtube Transcripts | Intro to AI Safety, Remastered
hi this video is a recording of a talk
that i gave a while back i already
published a version of it on my second
channel but
did you even know i had a second channel
most people don't i thought more people
should see it so i remastered it i
cleaned it up improved the graphics and
yeah th... |
4ecd2087-2481-472b-95f7-133e3f14c896 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Neuroevolution, Social Intelligence, and Logic
Do Transformers Reason about Electric Sheep?
Do not underestimate evolution
Evolution for 3.5–4.5 billion years has developed unconditioned reflexes and instincts in terrestrial carbon life sufficient for survival and distribution. Cumulatively, these and other types of ... |
9a6177d2-f871-4870-8bc2-b153468a3b8c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Ohio Monthly
Discussion article for the meetup : Ohio Monthly
WHEN: 17 March 2012 03:00:00PM (-0500)
WHERE: 123 Gano Road, Wilmington, OH 45177
Time for the third Ohio monthly meetup! As always, it will be the third Sunday (March 18), from 4p-8p. This month, we MAY have a different location, for Rolf to pr... |
0756f169-42be-4468-93a5-a2d40bca9263 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Superintelligence 26: Science and technology strategy
*This is part of a weekly reading group on [Nick Bostrom](http://www.nickbostrom.com/)'s book, [Superintelligence](http://www.amazon.com/Superintelligence-Dangers-Strategies-Nick-Bostrom/dp/0199678111). For more information about the group, and an index of posts so... |
03d5fe43-c825-4572-8799-7c1e0a6975df | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Is ethical investment effective?
I've been doing some thinking about charity vs investment as alternative ways of doing good (leaving open for now what that means). One question I'm wondering about is, in what circumstances does your choice of what to invest in have any welfare consequences at all (beyond differenc... |
22edca09-b5cd-41ac-9c51-f627c317b712 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Play Regrantor: Move up to $250,000 to Your Top High-Impact Projects!
Summary. We have collected expressions of interest for a total donation budget of about $200,000 from donors who are interested in using our platform. How many of them will end up donating and how much they’ll donate depends on you and how many grea... |
3d32243d-8e50-471b-8521-2f64d5318099 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Modeling sleep patterns
My sleep is unpredictable. Not in a technical sense, but a colloquial one. To be literal, I have no idea how to predict my sleep. I just as often sleep through the day as I do through the night. My sleep itself, as far as a sleep study can tell, is normal. I can vaguely say, 60% confidence, if ... |
45227c2a-ad29-4ed8-8f19-6d37ac1556a0 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | Semi-conductor / AI stocks discussion.
I've been writing about investing and the EMH [1] on lesswrong/rat-discord/ea-facebook/etc. I made the first 'buy solana' post on the EA investing group when it was under 2 dollars in late 2020 (it peaked at 260 in 2021). Despite crypto crashing and FTX stealing user deposits I g... |
3ad361a1-483e-4365-b3f3-34a999c93d8e | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | What AI Safety Researchers Have Written About the Nature of Human Values
Overview
--------
It is clear to most AI safety researchers that the idea of “human values” is underdefined, and this concept should be additionally formalized before it can be used in (mostly mathematical) models of AI alignment. In other words... |
7b3d8122-fa5b-4df8-9394-1635f8b5ece5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Is "VNM-agent" one of several options, for what minds can grow up into?
Related to: On green; Hierarchical agency; Why The Focus on Expected Utility Maximisers?
Sometimes LLMs act a bit like storybook paperclippers (hereafter: VNM-agents[1]), e.g. scheming to prevent changes to their weights. Why? Is this what almos... |
519884fe-2f37-4793-9236-8f4457f484ea | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Progress links and tweets, 2022-06-08
Best of my Twitter, May 31–June 6 (a few days behind, still ironing out the process… For the latest, follow me on Twitter: @jasoncrawford.)
After last time someone suggested embedding the tweets instead of linking to them, but I don't think I can post embeds here, and for my main... |
a7d65895-ccba-4d38-9558-99f6f52eec92 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Sadly, FTX
It has been quite a past two weeks, with different spheres in deeply divided narratives. In addition to the liberation of Kherson City, the midterm elections that of course took forever to resolve and the ongoing hijinks of Elon Musk taking over Twitter, there was the complete implosion of Sam Bankman-Fried... |
ed4f6c6b-043e-4fcf-9c99-d47c4548c4ba | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Keep Your Beliefs Cruxy
Previously in sequence: Doublecrux is for building products.
To recap – you might want to doublecrux if either:
* You're building a product, metaphorical or literal, and you disagree about how to proceed.
* You want to make your beliefs more accurate, and you think a particular person you d... |
f6889fc3-8ba3-4baf-a04d-3d421d81416c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Whistle-based Synthesis
I'm reasonably happy with my Bass Whistle, where I can whistle and have it come out as a decent sounding bass. I've been using it when playing mandolin in a duo, and it fits well there. When playing piano or with a piano player, however, there's already bass so something that falls in a differe... |
d5c94328-1ce6-4080-b761-77eef2bf70f0 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Thoughts on the In-Context Scheming AI Experiment
These are thoughts in response to the paper "Frontier Models are Capable of In-context Scheming" by Meinke et al. 2024-12-05, published in Apollo Research. Link: https://static1.squarespace.com/static/6593e7097565990e65c886fd/t/6751eb240ed3821a0161b45b/1733421863119/i... |
94b6888a-93b6-45c4-b6ba-572ade549ae7 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/arxiv | Arxiv | A General Safety Framework for Learning-Based Control in Uncertain Robotic Systems.
|
0c9c8ab3-bfd2-4d57-9fe3-fe15606ca192 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meta-Technicalities: Safeguarding Values in Formal Systems
Formal Systems Create Coordination
We live in a mesh of customs, norms, and formal laws nudging our behaviour. Some of these systems are simple and intuitive, such as the customary respect for others’ property and refrain from violence. Others like the patchwo... |
04e07cf1-11ed-451c-84c2-fc1d2f9eaf92 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Meetup : Turku
Discussion article for the meetup : Turku
WHEN: 08 August 2015 03:00:00PM (+0300)
WHERE: Kauppiaskatu 4, 20100 Turku, Finland
Casual meetup in Cosmic Comic Cafe.
Discussion article for the meetup : Turku |
e3c0f660-ce54-44a9-8985-7b2cccac69a5 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | An Introduction to Control Theory
Behavior: The Control of Perception by William Powers applies control theory to psychology to develop a model of human intelligence that seems relevant to two of LW's primary interests: effective living for humans and value-preserving designs for artificial intelligence. It's been dis... |
0b9cdd36-224a-45c8-8595-a04af81a1f8c | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | The New Right appears to be on the rise for better or worse
We don't talk much about politics here because politics is the mind-killer. But even if it weren't the case, we might still want to avoid it as knowledge of day-to-day politics tends to lose its value fast.
On the other hand, I think it's important to have a... |
476f20f6-1a3a-47dc-ae39-800bd5c56144 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | On effective altruism, utilitarianism and localness
Utilitarianism and others
Folk physics evolved as a way of predicting what will happen to objects. It works fine within its domain, but fails beyond that. To give more precise answers, we developed Newtonian physics. But even Newtonian physics has limits. It breaks d... |
0a40ab97-1d55-4549-bebf-f1ca4cf2e957 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | Agenty AGI – How Tempting?
[Epistemic status: mostly writing to clarify my intuitions, with just a
few weak attempts to convince others. It's no substitute for reading
Drexler's writings.]
I've been struggling to write more posts relating to Drexler's vision
for AI (hopefully to be published soon), and in the proces... |
bb5638cf-5d0b-4de3-b174-48d1223ffc8a | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Cherry Pit Storage
When eating cherries, what do you do with the pits? You don't want to swallow them, but spitting them out one by one is inconvenient. The answer: use your upper lip.
Eat the cherry as normal, separating the pit with your teeth and tongue as usual, but once the pit is free use your tongue to tuck it... |
877ceba5-b00c-451d-ac18-a80dc25f3575 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/lesswrong | LessWrong | AXRP announcement: Survey, Store Closing, Patreon
Some announcements:
* There’s a brief [survey](https://bit.ly/axrpsurvey2023) of my audience you can take here - filling it out will help me get a sense of where you all are at career-wise and how the podcast would better serve you. There are only 3 required question... |
a3b018bb-bf17-4ade-8730-395c948cff20 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | How to do theoretical research, a personal perspective
> "Where do new [algorithms] come from? I keep reading about someone who invented [an algorithm] to do something-or-other but there's no mention of how."
>
> A shrug of robed shoulders. "Where do new books come from, Mr. Potter? Those who read many books sometime... |
5f07592d-f94f-449e-9abf-d8fc295daf3f | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | AI X-Risk: Integrating on the Shoulders of Giants
Uncertainty, Structure, and Optimal Integration
===============================================
*The EA community and Future Fund are running a risk in wasting good analysis of propositions when considering long-term predictions that entail complex, compounding uncert... |
b0524f71-2b14-4b17-9123-c9d1879564e6 | StampyAI/alignment-research-dataset/eaforum | Effective Altruism Forum | [Creative Writing Contest] Metal or Mortal
**This story** was first published in [**ANDROMEDA MAGAZINE**](https://andromedaspaceways.com/product/asm-80/) (Sept 2020, Issue #80). It's a modern-day fable that involves a variety of issues relevant to Effective Altruism.
**Metal or Mortal**
===================
###... |
6a199f56-e308-4ea0-baf7-05d24c81cf26 | trentmkelly/LessWrong-43k | LessWrong | Burmese Days #4 Targeted costs
Housekeeping
Now that exams are over I am restarting this series. Once again, each week will focus on a new dynamic with a game theory model. However, I am reducing focus on civilian killings as the conflict moves to rural and jungle regions. I am also adding a subtitle "how to get peopl... |
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