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2018-01-07 | 2017-06-13 | ["http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/pdf/10.1080/1350485021012458", "https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DJYKVpiW4AIUtNG.jpg:large", "https://www.eia.gov/tools/faqs/faq.php?id=32&t=6", "http://www.mauldineconomics.com/frontlinethoughts/the-world-turned-upside-down", "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/498-before-1-january-2018-w... | binary | [["2017-06-13", 0.0], ["2017-06-13", 0.15], ["2017-06-14", 0.08], ["2017-06-14", 0.0], ["2017-06-14", 0.005], ["2017-06-14", 0.05], ["2017-06-15", 0.05], ["2017-06-15", 0.175], ["2017-06-15", 0.375], ["2017-06-15", 0.15], ["2017-06-15", 0.1], ["2017-06-16", 0.08], ["2017-06-16", 0.11], ["2017-06-16", 0.155], ["2017-06-... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/498 | The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) is a measure of the implied volatility of S&P 500 index options. Outcome will be determined based on the reported intraday values calculated and published by the Chicago Board Options Exchange (<a href="http://www.cboe.com/delayedquote/advanced-charts?ticker=VIX" target="_blank">CBOE</a>... | Economics & Business | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2017-12-31 | Before 1 January 2018, will the Chicago Board Options Exchange's CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) exceed 30? | gjopen | 0 |
2017-12-04 | 2017-06-13 | ["https://asia.nikkei.com/Spotlight/China-s-party-congress-2017/China-s-anti-graft-czar-Wang-Qishan-to-bow-out-party-sources-say", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/602234", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/597677", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/594905", "https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Epocht... | binary | [["2017-06-13", 0.65], ["2017-06-13", 0.75], ["2017-06-14", 0.7], ["2017-06-14", 0.67], ["2017-06-15", 0.71], ["2017-06-15", 0.75], ["2017-06-15", 0.75], ["2017-06-15", 0.625], ["2017-06-15", 0.8], ["2017-06-16", 0.8], ["2017-06-16", 0.85], ["2017-06-16", 0.92], ["2017-06-17", 0.92], ["2017-06-18", 0.885], ["2017-06-18... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/500 | China's National Congress will meet in autumn 2017 to select leaders for the new term. Wang Qishan has served on the Politburo Standing Committee since 2012 (<a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2017/03/02/world/asia/xi-jinping-china-retirement-rules.html" target="_blank">NY Times 3/2/2017</a> , <a href="https://www.wsj.co... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2017-11-30 | Before 1 December 2017, will it be announced that Wang Qishan has been elected to another term on the Politburo Standing Committee of the Communist Party of China? | gjopen | 0 |
2018-02-15 | 2017-06-13 | ["https://twitter.com/ThabisoSithole/status/963059085284466690", "https://www.cnn.com/2018/02/13/africa/jacob-zuma-south-africa-recall-intl/index.html", "https://apnews.com/955b8e9fbe01472aa27ceb9c953cc745/South-African-ruling-party-leaders-to-meet-amid-Zuma-limbo", "https://www.watson.ch/!964164319?utm_source=whatsapp... | binary | [["2017-06-13", 0.37], ["2017-06-13", 0.2], ["2017-06-14", 0.1], ["2017-06-15", 0.165], ["2017-06-15", 0.25], ["2017-06-15", 0.15], ["2017-06-15", 0.15], ["2017-06-16", 0.125], ["2017-06-16", 0.165], ["2017-06-16", 0.12], ["2017-06-17", 0.09], ["2017-06-17", 0.08], ["2017-06-17", 0.095], ["2017-06-18", 0.09], ["2017-06... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/501 | A controversial cabinet reshuffling brings new protests for the South African President to step down (<a href="http://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-39526313" target="_blank">BBC</a>, <a href="http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2017/04/south-africa-anc-president-jacob-zuma-170406020948329.html" target="_blank">Al Jazeera</a>... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2018-02-14 | Will Jacob Zuma cease to be president of South Africa before 1 July 2018? | gjopen | 1 |
2018-01-28 | 2017-06-16 | ["https://www.cnbc.com/2017/08/30/how-apples-market-cap-could-reach-1-trillion.html", "https://www.investing.com/central-banks/fed-rate-monitor", "https://www.nytimes.com/2017/08/19/technology/farhads-and-mikes-week-in-tech-apples-big-media-bet-and-more-uber-drama.html?emc=edit_th_20170820&nl=todaysheadlines&nl... | binary | [["2017-06-16", 0.75], ["2017-06-16", 0.17], ["2017-06-16", 0.15], ["2017-06-16", 0.085], ["2017-06-16", 0.03], ["2017-06-16", 0.03], ["2017-06-16", 0.03], ["2017-06-17", 0.19], ["2017-06-17", 0.135], ["2017-06-17", 0.1], ["2017-06-17", 0.095], ["2017-06-17", 0.1], ["2017-06-17", 0.1], ["2017-06-17", 0.09], ["2017-06-1... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/502 | Outcome will be determined by the end-of-day "Market Cap" figure reported by Bloomberg (<a href = "https://www.bloomberg.com/quote/AAPL:US"target="_blank">Bloomberg</a>)
<sub>Confused? Check our <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#question" target="_blank">FAQ</a> or <a href="mailto:clarifications@goodjudgment.com?s... | Economics & Business | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2018-01-01 | Will Apple's end-of-day market capitalization exceed $1 trillion before 1 January 2018? | gjopen | 0 |
2019-12-09 | 2017-06-30 | ["https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/242745"] | binary | [["2017-06-30", 0.0], ["2017-06-30", 0.35], ["2017-07-01", 0.675], ["2017-07-01", 0.5], ["2017-07-01", 0.05], ["2017-07-01", 0.1], ["2017-07-01", 0.1], ["2017-07-01", 0.01], ["2017-07-02", 0.01], ["2017-07-02", 0.355], ["2017-07-02", 0.355], ["2017-07-03", 0.355], ["2017-07-03", 0.03], ["2017-07-03", 0.08], ["2017-07-0... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/521 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2017-10-01 | Between 1 July 2017 and 30 June 2018, will an armed group from Yemen engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Yemen?
| gjopen | 0 |
2019-12-09 | 2017-06-30 | ["http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2017/09/iraq-army-intervene-kurds-referendum-escalates-170917042312324.html", "http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2017/09/twin-suicide-attacks-leave-dozens-dead-southern-iraq-170914132448913.html", "https://www.iraqbodycount.org/database/", "http://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-41270791"... | binary | [["2017-06-30", 0.05], ["2017-06-30", 0.45], ["2017-07-01", 0.725], ["2017-07-01", 0.725], ["2017-07-01", 0.275], ["2017-07-01", 0.1], ["2017-07-01", 0.1], ["2017-07-01", 0.1], ["2017-07-02", 0.45], ["2017-07-02", 0.375], ["2017-07-02", 0.525], ["2017-07-02", 0.525], ["2017-07-03", 0.375], ["2017-07-03", 0.275], ["2017... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/523 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2017-10-01 | Between 1 July 2017 and 30 June 2018, will an armed group from Iraq engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Iraq?
| gjopen | 0 |
2019-12-09 | 2017-06-30 | ["http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2017/09/south-sudan-election-risks-prolonging-civil-war-170909073239271.html", "http://foreignpolicy.com/2017/08/31/no-country-for-civilians-south-sudan/"] | binary | [["2017-06-30", 0.05], ["2017-06-30", 0.25], ["2017-07-01", 0.625], ["2017-07-01", 0.5], ["2017-07-01", 0.05], ["2017-07-01", 0.1], ["2017-07-01", 0.1], ["2017-07-02", 0.1], ["2017-07-02", 0.4], ["2017-07-02", 0.65], ["2017-07-02", 0.65], ["2017-07-03", 0.325], ["2017-07-03", 0.1], ["2017-07-03", 0.1], ["2017-07-03", 0... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/524 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2017-10-01 | Between 1 July 2017 and 30 June 2018, will an armed group from South Sudan engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in South Sudan?
| gjopen | 0 |
2019-12-09 | 2017-06-30 | ["https://www.earlywarningproject.org/2017/03/29/state-of-the-world-mass-killing-in-2016", "https://www.state.gov/j/ct/rls/crt/2015/257526.htm", "https://www.hrw.org/news/2017/01/24/deadly-milestone-philippines-abusive-drug-war", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-philippines-drugs-idUSKCN1B80D5", "https://www.theguard... | binary | [["2017-06-30", 0.03], ["2017-06-30", 0.25], ["2017-07-01", 0.125], ["2017-07-01", 0.0], ["2017-07-01", 0.005], ["2017-07-01", 0.01], ["2017-07-01", 0.02], ["2017-07-01", 0.02], ["2017-07-02", 0.02], ["2017-07-02", 0.235], ["2017-07-02", 0.675], ["2017-07-02", 0.675], ["2017-07-03", 0.24], ["2017-07-03", 0.065], ["2017... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/518 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2017-10-01 | Between 1 July 2017 and 30 June 2018, will an armed group from the Philippines engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in the Philippines?
| gjopen | 1 |
2019-12-09 | 2017-06-30 | ["http://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-iraq-kurds-turkey/turkish-tanks-trained-on-northern-iraq-in-show-of-force-ahead-of-vote-idUSKCN1BU19S?il=0"] | binary | [["2017-06-30", 0.01], ["2017-07-01", 0.0], ["2017-07-01", 0.0], ["2017-07-01", 0.005], ["2017-07-01", 0.055], ["2017-07-01", 0.055], ["2017-07-01", 0.005], ["2017-07-02", 0.01], ["2017-07-02", 0.05], ["2017-07-02", 0.05], ["2017-07-03", 0.01], ["2017-07-03", 0.03], ["2017-07-03", 0.03], ["2017-07-04", 0.02], ["2017-07... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/520 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2017-10-01 | Between 1 July 2017 and 30 June 2018, will an armed group from Turkey engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Turkey?
| gjopen | 0 |
2019-12-09 | 2017-06-30 | ["https://warisboring.com/whats-the-democratic-republic-of-the-congo-doing-with-these-ukrainian-tanks/", "http://medafricatimes.com/13360-drc-violence-exodus-from-kasai-region-continue.html"] | binary | [["2017-06-30", 0.16], ["2017-06-30", 0.25], ["2017-07-01", 0.125], ["2017-07-01", 0.05], ["2017-07-01", 0.055], ["2017-07-01", 0.1], ["2017-07-01", 0.04], ["2017-07-01", 0.1], ["2017-07-02", 0.1], ["2017-07-02", 0.5], ["2017-07-02", 0.5], ["2017-07-03", 0.5], ["2017-07-03", 0.125], ["2017-07-03", 0.125], ["2017-07-03"... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/511 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2017-10-01 | Between 1 July 2017 and 30 June 2018, will an armed group from the Democratic Republic of the Congo engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in the Democratic Republic of the Congo?
| gjopen | 0 |
2019-12-09 | 2017-06-30 | ["http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2017/08/taliban-suicide-bomber-kills-civilians-helmand-170823072606297.html", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-afghanistan-casualties-idUSKBN1A20RL", "http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2017/08/gunmen-attack-shia-imam-zaman-mosque-kabul-170825095421445.html"] | binary | [["2017-06-30", 0.03], ["2017-06-30", 0.45], ["2017-07-01", 0.225], ["2017-07-01", 0.01], ["2017-07-01", 0.015], ["2017-07-01", 0.02], ["2017-07-01", 0.03], ["2017-07-01", 0.03], ["2017-07-01", 0.02], ["2017-07-02", 0.025], ["2017-07-02", 0.285], ["2017-07-02", 0.625], ["2017-07-02", 0.625], ["2017-07-03", 0.55], ["201... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/507 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2017-10-01 | Between 1 July 2017 and 30 June 2018, will an armed group from Afghanistan engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Afghanistan? | gjopen | 0 |
2019-12-09 | 2017-06-30 | ["https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/oct/02/ethiopia-many-dead-anti-government-protest-religious-festival"] | binary | [["2017-06-30", 0.0], ["2017-06-30", 0.5], ["2017-07-01", 0.25], ["2017-07-01", 0.0], ["2017-07-01", 0.005], ["2017-07-01", 0.01], ["2017-07-01", 0.01], ["2017-07-01", 0.0], ["2017-07-02", 0.0], ["2017-07-03", 0.0], ["2017-07-03", 0.0], ["2017-07-04", 0.0], ["2017-07-04", 0.0], ["2017-07-04", 0.0], ["2017-07-05", 0.0],... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/512 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2017-10-01 | Between 1 July 2017 and 30 June 2018, will an armed group from Ethiopia engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Ethiopia?
| gjopen | 0 |
2019-12-09 | 2017-06-30 | ["http://allafrica.com/stories/201709100041.html", "http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2017/07/rising-violence-forces-40000-flee-car-east-170710175551526.html", "https://www.earlywarningproject.org/risk_assessments", "http://www.unocha.org/sites/unocha/files/statement-and-speech/ERC_USG%20Stephen%20O%27Brien%20Statement%20t... | binary | [["2017-06-30", 0.03], ["2017-06-30", 0.25], ["2017-07-01", 0.125], ["2017-07-01", 0.0], ["2017-07-01", 0.005], ["2017-07-01", 0.01], ["2017-07-01", 0.01], ["2017-07-01", 0.01], ["2017-07-02", 0.01], ["2017-07-02", 0.105], ["2017-07-02", 0.105], ["2017-07-03", 0.105], ["2017-07-03", 0.03], ["2017-07-03", 0.03], ["2017-... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/510 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2017-10-01 | Between 1 July 2017 and 30 June 2018, will an armed group from the Central African Republic engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in the Central African Republic?
| gjopen | 0 |
2019-12-09 | 2017-06-30 | ["https://www.acleddata.com/data/"] | binary | [["2017-06-30", 0.05], ["2017-07-01", 0.0], ["2017-07-01", 0.0], ["2017-07-01", 0.005], ["2017-07-01", 0.055], ["2017-07-01", 0.06], ["2017-07-01", 0.01], ["2017-07-02", 0.02], ["2017-07-02", 0.15], ["2017-07-02", 0.15], ["2017-07-03", 0.02], ["2017-07-03", 0.015], ["2017-07-03", 0.015], ["2017-07-04", 0.015], ["2017-0... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/519 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2017-10-01 | Between 1 July 2017 and 30 June 2018, will an armed group from Sudan engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Sudan?
| gjopen | 0 |
2019-12-09 | 2017-06-30 | ["https://www.ushmm.org/confront-genocide/cases/zimbabwe", "https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-09-07/violence-flares-in-zimbabwe-as-mugabe-readies-re-election-bid"] | binary | [["2017-06-30", 0.0], ["2017-07-01", 0.0], ["2017-07-01", 0.0], ["2017-07-01", 0.005], ["2017-07-01", 0.055], ["2017-07-01", 0.05], ["2017-07-01", 0.0], ["2017-07-02", 0.0], ["2017-07-02", 0.05], ["2017-07-02", 0.075], ["2017-07-02", 0.125], ["2017-07-02", 0.125], ["2017-07-03", 0.05], ["2017-07-03", 0.025], ["2017-07-... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/522 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2017-10-01 | Between 1 July 2017 and 30 June 2018, will an armed group from Zimbabwe engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Zimbabwe?
| gjopen | 0 |
2019-12-09 | 2017-06-30 | ["https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-09-24/why-nigeria-is-facing-secessionist-fervor-again-quicktake-q-a"] | binary | [["2017-06-30", 0.02], ["2017-06-30", 0.15], ["2017-07-01", 0.575], ["2017-07-01", 0.575], ["2017-07-01", 0.125], ["2017-07-01", 0.1], ["2017-07-01", 0.1], ["2017-07-01", 0.1], ["2017-07-02", 0.15], ["2017-07-02", 0.175], ["2017-07-02", 0.175], ["2017-07-03", 0.175], ["2017-07-03", 0.125], ["2017-07-03", 0.125], ["2017... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/516 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2017-10-01 | Between 1 July 2017 and 30 June 2018, will an armed group from Nigeria engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Nigeria?
| gjopen | 0 |
2019-12-09 | 2017-06-30 | ["http://www.haaretz.com/world-news/asia-and-australia/1.809975?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter", "http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2017/09/myanmar-laying-landmines-bangladesh-border-reports-170906014211124.html", "http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2017/09/violence-lead-exodus-300000-rohingya-170907024358023.html", ... | binary | [["2017-06-30", 0.01], ["2017-06-30", 0.15], ["2017-07-01", 0.075], ["2017-07-01", 0.0], ["2017-07-01", 0.005], ["2017-07-01", 0.01], ["2017-07-01", 0.01], ["2017-07-01", 0.01], ["2017-07-02", 0.01], ["2017-07-02", 0.03], ["2017-07-02", 0.03], ["2017-07-03", 0.03], ["2017-07-03", 0.03], ["2017-07-03", 0.03], ["2017-07-... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/515 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2017-10-01 | Between 1 July 2017 and 30 June 2018, will an armed group from Myanmar engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Myanmar?
| gjopen | 1 |
2019-12-09 | 2017-06-30 | [] | binary | [["2017-06-30", 0.0], ["2017-07-01", 0.0], ["2017-07-01", 0.0], ["2017-07-01", 0.005], ["2017-07-01", 0.055], ["2017-07-01", 0.05], ["2017-07-01", 0.0], ["2017-07-02", 0.0], ["2017-07-02", 0.05], ["2017-07-02", 0.05], ["2017-07-03", 0.05], ["2017-07-03", 0.05], ["2017-07-03", 0.05], ["2017-07-04", 0.05], ["2017-07-04",... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/514 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2017-10-01 | Between 1 July 2017 and 30 June 2018, will an armed group from Mali engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Mali?
| gjopen | 0 |
2019-12-09 | 2017-06-30 | ["https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-08-29/rebel-group-vows-to-step-up-attacks-against-burundi-s-government", "https://www.usnews.com/news/world/articles/2017-07-04/burundi-authorities-purging-army-on-ethnic-lines-rights-group"] | binary | [["2017-06-30", 0.01], ["2017-06-30", 0.25], ["2017-07-01", 0.125], ["2017-07-01", 0.0], ["2017-07-01", 0.005], ["2017-07-01", 0.01], ["2017-07-01", 0.01], ["2017-07-01", 0.0], ["2017-07-02", 0.0], ["2017-07-02", 0.05], ["2017-07-02", 0.05], ["2017-07-03", 0.05], ["2017-07-03", 0.015], ["2017-07-03", 0.015], ["2017-07-... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/509 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2017-10-01 | Between 1 July 2017 and 30 June 2018, will an armed group from Burundi engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Burundi?
| gjopen | 0 |
2019-12-09 | 2017-06-30 | ["https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/asia_pacific/more-rohingya-pour-into-bangladesh-camps-at-full-capacity/2017/09/03/23101eee-9078-11e7-9c53-6a169beb0953_story.html?utm_term=.5411f4cee1fe"] | binary | [["2017-06-30", 0.01], ["2017-06-30", 0.15], ["2017-07-01", 0.075], ["2017-07-01", 0.0], ["2017-07-01", 0.005], ["2017-07-01", 0.01], ["2017-07-01", 0.01], ["2017-07-01", 0.0], ["2017-07-02", 0.0], ["2017-07-02", 0.0], ["2017-07-02", 0.025], ["2017-07-02", 0.025], ["2017-07-03", 0.0], ["2017-07-03", 0.0], ["2017-07-03"... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/508 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2017-10-01 | Between 1 July 2017 and 30 June 2018, will an armed group from Bangladesh engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Bangladesh?
| gjopen | 0 |
2019-12-09 | 2017-06-30 | ["http://www.satp.org/satporgtp/countries/pakistan/database/casualties.htm"] | binary | [["2017-06-30", 0.01], ["2017-06-30", 0.05], ["2017-07-01", 0.025], ["2017-07-01", 0.0], ["2017-07-01", 0.005], ["2017-07-01", 0.0], ["2017-07-01", 0.01], ["2017-07-01", 0.0], ["2017-07-02", 0.01], ["2017-07-02", 0.01], ["2017-07-03", 0.03], ["2017-07-03", 0.03], ["2017-07-03", 0.03], ["2017-07-03", 0.01], ["2017-07-04... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/517 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2017-10-01 | Between 1 July 2017 and 30 June 2018, will an armed group from Pakistan engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Pakistan?
| gjopen | 0 |
2018-01-08 | 2017-07-11 | ["https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jamaica_coalition_(politics", "http://www.rrstar.com/news/20170918/rauner-to-illinois-lawmakers-help-me-make-more-cuts", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Grand_coalition#Germany", "http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/local/politics/ct-bruce-rauner-amazon-st-louis-met-0919-20170918-story.htm... | binary | [["2017-07-11", 0.8], ["2017-07-11", 0.495], ["2017-07-11", 0.375], ["2017-07-11", 0.75], ["2017-07-12", 0.725], ["2017-07-12", 0.595], ["2017-07-12", 0.6], ["2017-07-12", 0.6], ["2017-07-12", 0.595], ["2017-07-13", 0.56], ["2017-07-13", 0.52], ["2017-07-13", 0.385], ["2017-07-13", 0.255], ["2017-07-14", 0.25], ["2017-... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/525 | The question will close yes if Moody’s cuts its credit rating to Ba1, Fitch cuts its rating to BB+, or S&P cuts its rating to BB+ on any Illinois state general obligation bonds. Despite passing a budget, the state of Illinois remains at risk of having its credit downgraded to junk status (<a href = "http://www.marketw... | Economics & Business | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2018-01-01 | Before 1 January 2018, will Fitch, Moody's, or S&P cut the State of Illinois’ credit rating to junk status? | gjopen | 0 |
2017-12-27 | 2017-07-14 | ["https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-12-20/trump-is-said-to-plan-tax-signing-jan-3-due-to-technical-issue", "https://www.vanityfair.com/news/photos/2016/02/donald-trumps-short-fingers-a-historical-analysis#16", "https://www.wsj.com/articles/republican-leaders-push-spending-patch-to-avoid-shutdown-1512341550",... | binary | [["2017-07-14", 0.675], ["2017-07-14", 0.67], ["2017-07-15", 0.725], ["2017-07-16", 0.475], ["2017-07-16", 0.53], ["2017-07-16", 0.58], ["2017-07-17", 0.64], ["2017-07-17", 0.625], ["2017-07-18", 0.55], ["2017-07-18", 0.42], ["2017-07-18", 0.2], ["2017-07-18", 0.05], ["2017-07-18", 0.04], ["2017-07-19", 0.04], ["2017-0... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/530 | The individual mandate is a part of the Affordable Care Act (ACA, or Obamacare) that requires most Americans to have health insurance or pay a penalty. In May 2017, the House passed a bill to “repeal and replace” the ACA with a provision that would end the individual mandate. The issue has moved to the Senate (<a href ... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2017-12-22 | Before 31 December 2017, will President Trump sign legislation removing the ACA's individual mandate to purchase health insurance? | gjopen | 1 |
2018-02-12 | 2017-07-21 | ["https://www.docketbird.com/court-cases/Waymo-LLC-v-Uber-Technologies-Inc-et-al/cand-3:2017-cv-00939", "https://www.bloomberglaw.com/product/blaw/document/X1Q6NUBE2K82?bc=W1siQmxvb21iZXJnIExhdyIsIi9wcm9kdWN0L2JsYXcvc2VhcmNoL2h1Yi9ncm91cC81YzljODZjNjExNGRkN2JkODQxOTg", "https://www.natlawreview.com/article/federal-judg... | binary | [["2017-07-21", 0.75], ["2017-07-22", 0.7], ["2017-07-22", 1.0], ["2017-07-22", 0.94], ["2017-07-22", 0.59], ["2017-07-22", 0.875], ["2017-07-23", 0.85], ["2017-07-23", 0.875], ["2017-07-23", 0.85], ["2017-07-23", 0.88], ["2017-07-23", 0.865], ["2017-07-24", 0.8], ["2017-07-24", 0.75], ["2017-07-24", 0.775], ["2017-07-... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/537 | In February, Waymo, a subsidiary of Alphabet (Google's parent company), filed suit against Uber Technologies and some of its subsidiaries for stealing information related to autonomous vehicle development (<a href = "https://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2017/02/waymo-vs-otto-aka-google-vs-uber/517683/"target=... | Economics & Business | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2018-02-09 | Before 1 July 2018, will Uber, or any of its subsidiaries, agree to a settlement or be found liable for trade secrets violations in the case brought by Waymo in the Northern District of California? | gjopen | 1 |
2018-07-24 | 2017-07-21 | ["https://www.livescience.com/49594-electric-fuel-cell-vehicles-explainer.html", "https://assets.kpmg.com/content/dam/kpmg/xx/pdf/2017/01/global-automotive-executive-survey-2017.pdf", "http://www.visualcapitalist.com/14-companies-control-entire-auto-industry/", "https://www.theguardian.com/business/2017/oct/07/how-gree... | binary | [["2017-07-22", 0.2], ["2017-07-22", 0.58], ["2017-07-22", 0.68], ["2017-07-22", 0.8], ["2017-07-23", 0.52], ["2017-07-23", 0.635], ["2017-07-23", 0.77], ["2017-07-23", 0.835], ["2017-07-24", 0.835], ["2017-07-24", 0.7], ["2017-07-24", 0.675], ["2017-07-25", 0.6], ["2017-07-25", 0.45], ["2017-07-25", 0.35], ["2017-07-2... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/539 | For the purposes of this question, "major automakers" are any of the car brands or whole car companies identified in this <a href = "http://www.visualcapitalist.com/14-companies-control-entire-auto-industry/"target="_blank">infographic</a>. Volvo recently announced that starting in 2019 all new models it produces will ... | Economics & Business | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2018-07-20 | Between 21 July 2017 and 20 July 2018, will any major automaker announce a date after which they will sell only electric or hybrid vehicles? | gjopen | 0 |
2018-07-02 | 2017-07-25 | ["http://www.atimes.com/article/china-establish-court-obor-disputes/", "http://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-43198444", "https://www.redanalysis.org/2017/01/30/chinese-new-silk-road-east-africa/", "http://www.xinhuanet.com/english/2018-02/22/c_136992152.htm", "https://edition.cnn.com/2018/02/12/africa/somalia-al-shabaa... | binary | [["2017-07-25", 0.17], ["2017-07-26", 0.25], ["2017-07-26", 0.045], ["2017-07-27", 0.03], ["2017-07-28", 0.02], ["2017-07-28", 0.02], ["2017-07-29", 0.05], ["2017-07-29", 0.05], ["2017-07-30", 0.05], ["2017-07-30", 0.145], ["2017-07-30", 0.15], ["2017-07-31", 0.165], ["2017-08-01", 0.15], ["2017-08-01", 0.15], ["2017-0... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/541 | Al-Shabaab has conducted attacks in Somalia and Kenya (<a href = "http://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-15336689"target="_blank">BBC</a>, <a href = "http://abcnews.go.com/International/us-military-carries-offensive-airstrike-somalia-trumps-authorities/story?id=47966876"target="_blank">ABC News</a>, <a href = "https://ww... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2018-07-01 | Will al-Shabaab attack a US diplomatic facility in Africa before 1 July 2018? | gjopen | 0 |
2017-10-04 | 2017-07-25 | ["http://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-politics-un-rights-idUSKCN1BA0ZN?utm_source=Sailthru&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=US%20Reuters%20News%20Now%202017-08-30&utm_term=US%20Reuters%20News%20Now", "http://www.bbc.com/news/world-latin-america-41091745", "https://in.reuters.com/article/us-usa-venezuel... | binary | [["2017-07-25", 0.04], ["2017-07-25", 0.075], ["2017-07-25", 0.12], ["2017-07-26", 0.225], ["2017-07-26", 0.215], ["2017-07-26", 0.1], ["2017-07-26", 0.06], ["2017-07-27", 0.055], ["2017-07-27", 0.03], ["2017-07-27", 0.04], ["2017-07-27", 0.045], ["2017-07-28", 0.045], ["2017-07-28", 0.05], ["2017-07-28", 0.05], ["2017... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/540 | Protests in Venezuela have become increasingly violent, with fatalities suffered by supporters of both sides, bystanders and members of the security forces (<a href = "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-politics-idUSKBN19A33U"target="_blank">Reuters</a>, <a href = "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-p... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2017-10-01 | Before 1 October 2017, will one day of protests in Venezuela result in more than 25 fatalities?
| gjopen | 0 |
2017-09-26 | 2017-08-07 | ["http://www.connectionivoirienne.net/116029/cote-divoire-un-mort-et-trois-blesses-dans-une-manifestation-des-agents-du-complexe-sucrier-de-ferkessedougou", "http://www.connectionivoirienne.net/115888/des-policiers-deployes-autour-dun-commissariat-au-sud-dabidjan-apres-une-manifestation", "http://www.connectionivoirien... | binary | [["2017-08-09", 0.15], ["2017-08-09", 0.08], ["2017-08-09", 0.045], ["2017-08-09", 0.505], ["2017-08-09", 0.575], ["2017-08-09", 0.5], ["2017-08-09", 0.15], ["2017-08-09", 0.25], ["2017-08-09", 0.225], ["2017-08-09", 0.225], ["2017-08-09", 0.1], ["2017-08-09", 0.15], ["2017-08-09", 0.125], ["2017-08-09", 0.125], ["2017... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/546 | <b>This question closed as "a) Yes", with and end date of 31 August 2017.</b>
The Armed Conflict Location and Event Dataset (ACLED) summarizes press reports on conflict and protest events in Africa and parts of Asia. Outcome will be determined by "The Realtime August 2017 All Africa File" found on the Realtime Data... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2017-08-31 | Will ACLED record a riot/protest event in the Cote d’Ivoire (Ivory Coast) for August 2017? | gjopen | 1 |
2017-10-31 | 2017-08-07 | ["http://www.fews.net/east-africa/yemen/key-message-update/september-2017-1", "https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/africa/un-chief-says-donors-kept-famine-at-bay--but-aid-needed/2017/10/12/cfc6d678-af9a-11e7-9b93-b97043e57a22_story.html?utm_term=.100fcc7fabf5", "https://www.hrw.org/news/2017/09/27/yemen-coalitions-blo... | binary | [["2017-08-09", 0.2], ["2017-08-09", 0.205], ["2017-08-09", 0.16], ["2017-08-09", 0.7], ["2017-08-09", 0.885], ["2017-08-09", 0.55], ["2017-08-09", 0.65], ["2017-08-09", 0.425], ["2017-08-09", 0.51], ["2017-08-09", 0.51], ["2017-08-09", 0.455], ["2017-08-09", 0.4], ["2017-08-09", 0.25], ["2017-08-09", 0.25], ["2017-08-... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/545 | The <a href = "http://www.fews.net/about-us"target="_blank">Famine Early Warning Systems Network </a> provides early warning and analysis on acute food insecurity around the world. This question will resolve as "yes" if FEWS NET publishes one or more Food Security Alert(s) between 9 August 2017 and 25 October 2017 that... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2017-10-25 | Will FEWS NET publish a Food Security Alert with "famine" and "Yemen" in its headline between 9 August 2017 and 25 October 2017? | gjopen | 0 |
2017-10-10 | 2017-08-07 | ["http://www.middleeasteye.net/news/israeli-mp-prays-flashpoint-jerusalem-holy-site-1638187306", "https://www.slideshare.net/milouness/leading-above-mediocre-thinking", "http://edition.cnn.com/2017/07/24/middleeast/israeli-embassy-jordan/index.html", "http://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/israeli-prime-minister... | binary | [["2017-08-09", 0.28], ["2017-08-09", 0.65], ["2017-08-09", 0.4], ["2017-08-09", 0.2], ["2017-08-09", 0.5], ["2017-08-09", 0.25], ["2017-08-09", 0.2], ["2017-08-09", 0.4], ["2017-08-09", 0.16], ["2017-08-09", 0.11], ["2017-08-09", 0.12], ["2017-08-09", 0.15], ["2017-08-09", 0.125], ["2017-08-09", 0.125], ["2017-08-09",... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/548 | The question will resolve as "yes" if the <a href = "http://eventdata.parusanalytics.com/data.dir/atrocities.html"target="_blank">PITF Worldwide Atrocities Dataset</a> records any event with a start date (Start Month, Start Day, Start Year) between 9 August 2017 and 31 August 2017, inclusive, for which 'Event Location:... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2017-09-01 | Will the Political Instability Task Force (PITF) Worldwide Atrocities Dataset record an event perpetrated by a non-state actor in Israel that starts between 9 August 2017 and 31 August 2017, inclusive? | gjopen | 0 |
2018-07-02 | 2017-08-15 | ["http://www.atimes.com/article/duterte-reaches-unlimited-unending-power/", "http://opinion.inquirer.net/106651/ending-martial-law#ixzz4r0045DG0", "https://psa.gov.ph/content/mindanao-comprised-about-24-percent-philippines-total-population", "https://www.state.gov/documents/organization/272485.pdf", "http://www.philsta... | binary | [["2017-08-15", 0.23], ["2017-08-16", 0.75], ["2017-08-16", 0.55], ["2017-08-16", 0.35], ["2017-08-16", 0.275], ["2017-08-17", 0.11], ["2017-08-17", 0.11], ["2017-08-17", 0.11], ["2017-08-17", 0.1], ["2017-08-18", 0.145], ["2017-08-19", 0.145], ["2017-08-19", 0.15], ["2017-08-20", 0.15], ["2017-08-21", 0.125], ["2017-0... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/561 | Philippine President Rodrigo Duterte recently proclaimed martial law in Mindanao and nearby islands (<a href = "https://www.ft.com/content/67736a20-3fd6-11e7-82b6-896b95f30f58"target="_blank">Financial Times</a>, <a href = "http://thediplomat.com/2017/05/duterte-places-philippine-island-of-mindanao-under-martial-law-wh... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2018-07-01 | Before 1 July 2018, will Philippine President Rodrigo Duterte proclaim martial law nationwide? | gjopen | 0 |
2018-01-02 | 2017-08-22 | ["http://news.trust.org/item/20170822185245-7hu1f/", "http://humanitariannews.org/20171207/somalia-security-council-press-statement-somalia-security-conference-inaugural-somalia-part", "https://www.criticalthreats.org/analysis/map-update-2-al-shabaabs-humanitarian-response", "https://theintercept.com/2017/11/16/u-n-sec... | binary | [["2017-08-22", 0.91], ["2017-08-22", 0.1], ["2017-08-22", 0.39], ["2017-08-22", 0.365], ["2017-08-22", 0.45], ["2017-08-22", 0.11], ["2017-08-22", 0.3], ["2017-08-23", 0.475], ["2017-08-23", 0.475], ["2017-08-23", 0.475], ["2017-08-23", 0.3], ["2017-08-23", 0.25], ["2017-08-23", 0.2], ["2017-08-23", 0.2], ["2017-08-23... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/564 | In February 2017, the UN declared that parts of South Sudan were experiencing a famine (<a href = "http://www.voanews.com/a/un-government-declare-famine-in-parts-of-south-sudan/3731713.html"target="_blank">Voa News</a>), and other countries in Africa, including Somalia, are facing the possibility of famine in the near ... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2018-01-01 | Will the UN declare a famine in any part of Somalia in 2017?
| gjopen | 0 |
2018-01-02 | 2017-08-22 | ["http://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/turkish-army-engages-in-northern-iraq-for-first-time-in-nine-years-121032", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/614170", "http://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/55-pkk-militants-killed-over-last-two-days-across-turkey-121828", "http://www.yenisafak.com/en/news/more-than-100-pkk-terror... | binary | [["2017-08-22", 0.91], ["2017-08-22", 0.9], ["2017-08-22", 0.95], ["2017-08-22", 0.97], ["2017-08-22", 0.97], ["2017-08-22", 0.945], ["2017-08-22", 0.94], ["2017-08-23", 0.9], ["2017-08-23", 0.9], ["2017-08-23", 0.9], ["2017-08-23", 0.9], ["2017-08-23", 0.775], ["2017-08-23", 0.65], ["2017-08-23", 0.65], ["2017-08-23",... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/563 | The last ceasefire between Turkey and the Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK) broke down in 2015, and thousands have been killed since (<a href = "http://www.cfr.org/global/global-conflict-tracker/p32137#!/conflict/kurdish-conflict, http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-20971100"target="_blank">Council on Foreign Relations</... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2017-12-01 | Will casualties from the Turkey-PKK conflict exceed 125 in any month from August through November 2017, according to the International Crisis Group?
| gjopen | 0 |
2017-10-18 | 2017-08-23 | ["http://www.elclarin.cl/web/noticias/medios-y-periodismo/43-medios/23492-honduras-asesinado-por-sicarios-periodista-critico.html", "https://www.ifex.org/honduras/2017/09/19/carlos-william-flores-killed/", "https://knightcenter.utexas.edu/blog/00-18807-honduran-journalist-critical-irregularities-his-town-killed-hitmen"... | binary | [["2017-08-23", 0.12], ["2017-08-23", 0.35], ["2017-08-23", 0.225], ["2017-08-24", 0.075], ["2017-08-24", 0.06], ["2017-08-24", 0.02], ["2017-08-24", 0.01], ["2017-08-24", 0.02], ["2017-08-24", 0.03], ["2017-08-24", 0.03], ["2017-08-24", 0.065], ["2017-08-24", 0.04], ["2017-08-24", 0.04], ["2017-08-24", 0.025], ["2017-... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/567 | The question will resolve as "yes" if the <a href = "http://eventdata.parusanalytics.com/data.dir/atrocities.html"target="_blank">PITF Worldwide Atrocities Dataset</a> records any event with a start date (Start Day, Start Month, Start Year) in the period of interest, inclusive, for which 'Event Location: Country' is th... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2017-10-01 | Will the Political Instability Task Force (PITF) Worldwide Atrocities Dataset record an event perpetrated by a non-state actor in Honduras (HND) that starts between 1 September 2017 and 30 September 2017? | gjopen | 0 |
2017-09-15 | 2017-08-23 | ["https://twitter.com/senegal221news", "http://senego.com/greve-de-la-faim-des-jeunes-khalifistes-modou-diagne-fada-considere-que-leur-objectif-est-atteint_556936.html", "https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/sg.html", "http://allafrica.com/stories/201709080698.html", "https://sn.usembassy.go... | binary | [["2017-08-23", 0.27], ["2017-08-23", 0.65], ["2017-08-23", 0.375], ["2017-08-24", 0.2], ["2017-08-24", 0.65], ["2017-08-24", 0.32], ["2017-08-24", 1.0], ["2017-08-24", 0.895], ["2017-08-24", 0.88], ["2017-08-24", 0.88], ["2017-08-24", 0.88], ["2017-08-24", 0.97], ["2017-08-24", 0.97], ["2017-08-24", 0.67], ["2017-08-2... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/568 | This question closed as "a) yes" with an end date of 9 September 2017.
The Armed Conflict Location and Event Dataset (ACLED) summarizes press reports on conflict and protest events in Africa and parts of Asia. Outcome will be determined by the "Realtime [Month of Interest] All Africa File" found on the Realtime Data... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2017-09-09 | Will ACLED record any riot/protest events in Senegal during September 2017?
| gjopen | 1 |
2017-09-11 | 2017-08-25 | ["https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/anonymous-nfl-exec-on-colin-kaepernick-i-dont-think-he-can-play/", "http://profootballtalk.nbcsports.com/2017/09/01/colin-kaepernicks-old-position-coach-says-unemployment-is-football-related/", "https://www.theguardian.com/sport/2016/nov/11/sports-team-owners-make-huge-political-don... | binary | [["2017-08-25", 0.0], ["2017-08-25", 0.35], ["2017-08-25", 0.225], ["2017-08-25", 0.05], ["2017-08-25", 0.2], ["2017-08-25", 0.4], ["2017-08-25", 0.7], ["2017-08-25", 0.55], ["2017-08-25", 0.845], ["2017-08-25", 0.73], ["2017-08-25", 0.76], ["2017-08-26", 0.76], ["2017-08-26", 0.555], ["2017-08-26", 0.555], ["2017-08-2... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/569 | <b>Colin Kaepernick was not signed by an NFL team. This question closed as "b) no" with and end date of 7 September 2017.</b>
With the NFL season less than two weeks from kick-off, Colin Kaerpernick, the former starting quarterback for the 49ers, has yet to find a team (<a href = "https://www.cbsnews.com/news/colin... | Sports | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2017-09-07 | Before 7 September 2017, will Colin Kaepernick be signed by an NFL team?
| gjopen | 0 |
2018-06-21 | 2017-09-01 | ["https://www.nytimes.com/2018/01/04/opinion/gerrymandering-supreme-court.html", "http://www.cnn.com/2018/01/09/politics/north-carolina-gerrymandering-case/index.html", "http://www.phillyvoice.com/the-supreme-court-and-gerrymandering-what-it-means-for-pennsylvania/", "https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/05pdf/05-204.... | binary | [["2017-09-01", 0.75], ["2017-09-02", 0.85], ["2017-09-02", 0.55], ["2017-09-03", 0.625], ["2017-09-03", 0.6], ["2017-09-04", 0.625], ["2017-09-05", 0.82], ["2017-09-05", 0.69], ["2017-09-06", 0.475], ["2017-09-07", 0.475], ["2017-09-09", 0.43], ["2017-09-13", 0.42], ["2017-09-14", 0.375], ["2017-09-16", 0.325], ["2017... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/572 | In November 2016, the District Court for the Western District of Wisconsin ruled 2-1 that the state legislature's redistricting plan was unconstitutional (<a href = "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-wisconsin-redistricting-idUSKBN13H0SV"target="_blank">Reuters</a>, <a href= "http://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/fed... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2018-06-20 | In Gill v. Whitford, will the Supreme Court rule that any part of Wisconsin's redistricting plan is an unconstitutional partisan gerrymander?
| gjopen | 0 |
2017-11-09 | 2017-09-06 | ["http://www.fews.net/west-africa/nigeria/alert/december-13-2016", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/591891", "http://www.fews.net/east-africa/south-sudan", "http://www.fews.net/critical-situation-nigeria", "http://www.fews.net/west-africa/nigeria", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/587263", "http://www... | binary | [["2017-09-06", 0.75], ["2017-09-06", 0.83], ["2017-09-06", 0.665], ["2017-09-06", 0.575], ["2017-09-06", 0.375], ["2017-09-06", 0.335], ["2017-09-06", 0.1], ["2017-09-06", 0.57], ["2017-09-07", 0.58], ["2017-09-07", 0.62], ["2017-09-07", 0.62], ["2017-09-07", 0.59], ["2017-09-07", 0.57], ["2017-09-07", 0.2], ["2017-09... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/588 | <a href="http://www.fews.net/about-us" target="_blank">The Famine Early Warning Systems Network</a> provides early warning and analysis on acute food insecurity around the world. Question will resolve as "yes" if FEWS NET publishes one or more Food Security Alert(s) in the time period of interest that includes the word... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2017-10-24 | Will FEWS NET publish a Food Security Alert with "famine" and "South Sudan" or "Nigeria" in its headline between 6 September 2017 and 25 October 2017? | gjopen | 0 |
2017-09-15 | 2017-09-06 | ["http://www.latimes.com/nation/la-fg-us-northkorea-2017-story.html", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/567765", "https://usun.state.gov/remarks/7969", "https://www.nytimes.com/2017/09/05/world/asia/north-korea-nuclear-weapons-china.html", "http://www.un.org/en/sc/documents/resolutions/2017.shtml", "http://www.... | binary | [["2017-09-06", 0.79], ["2017-09-06", 0.83], ["2017-09-06", 0.79], ["2017-09-06", 0.425], ["2017-09-06", 0.05], ["2017-09-06", 0.48], ["2017-09-06", 0.85], ["2017-09-06", 0.85], ["2017-09-07", 0.79], ["2017-09-07", 0.74], ["2017-09-07", 0.74], ["2017-09-07", 0.75], ["2017-09-07", 0.76], ["2017-09-07", 0.8], ["2017-09-0... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/585 | The <a href="https://www.un.org/en/sc/documents/resolutions/2017.shtml" target="_blank">UN Security Council adopted</a> a DPRK resolution. This question closed as "a) yes" with and end date of 11 September 2017.
This question will resolve as "yes" if the United Nations Security Council (UNSC) adopts a resolution dur... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2017-09-11 | Will the UN Security Council adopt a resolution concerning the Democratic People's Republic of Korea between 7 September 2017 and 4 October 2017? | gjopen | 1 |
2017-11-29 | 2017-09-06 | ["https://www.wto.org/english/news_e/events_e/events_e.htm", "https://www.wto.org/english/tratop_e/dispu_e/dsu_e.htm#4", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/571629", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dispute_settlement_in_the_World_Trade_Organization", "https://www.reuters.com/article/us-gulf-qatar-wto/qatar-escalat... | binary | [["2017-09-06", 0.15], ["2017-09-06", 0.25], ["2017-09-06", 0.175], ["2017-09-06", 0.1], ["2017-09-06", 0.085], ["2017-09-06", 0.06], ["2017-09-07", 0.05], ["2017-09-07", 0.05], ["2017-09-07", 0.075], ["2017-09-07", 0.185], ["2017-09-07", 0.185], ["2017-09-07", 0.15], ["2017-09-07", 0.27], ["2017-09-07", 0.08], ["2017-... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/583 | On 31 July 2017, Qatar filed WTO <a href="https://www.wto.org/english/news_e/news17_e/ds526_7_8rfc_04aug17_e.htm" target="_blank">complaints against the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, and Saudi Arabia</a> (<a href="https://www.reuters.com/article/us-gulf-qatar-wto-exclusive-idUSKBN1AG1WJ" target="_blank">Reuters</a>). ... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2017-11-14 | Before 15 November 2017, will the WTO establish a dispute settlement panel for any of Qatar's complaints against Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, or Bahrain? | gjopen | 0 |
2018-07-02 | 2017-09-12 | ["http://iranprimer.usip.org/resource/iran-and-iaea", "http://iranprimer.usip.org/blog/2017/sep/11/report-iran%E2%80%99s-military-sites-and-nuclear-deal", "https://www.theguardian.com/world/2017/sep/29/iran-foreign-minister-zarif-europe-trump-nuclear", "http://www.foxnews.com/world/2017/10/01/russia-giving-cover-to-ira... | binary | [["2017-09-12", 0.6], ["2017-09-12", 0.19], ["2017-09-12", 0.01], ["2017-09-12", 0.02], ["2017-09-13", 0.015], ["2017-09-13", 0.01], ["2017-09-13", 0.015], ["2017-09-14", 0.02], ["2017-09-14", 0.085], ["2017-09-14", 0.1], ["2017-09-14", 0.035], ["2017-09-15", 0.0], ["2017-09-15", 0.02], ["2017-09-15", 0.02], ["2017-09-... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/597 | The Iranian nuclear deal established a Joint Commission to adjudicate disputes between the IAEA and Iran over access to undeclared nuclear facilities (<a href="http://www.iranwatch.org/our-publications/nuclear-iran-weekly/how-will-inspections-work-iran-under-nuclear-deal" target="_blank">Iran Watch</a>).
<sub>Confus... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2018-06-30 | Will any disputes over IAEA access to Iranian sites be referred to the Joint Commission before 1 July 2018? | gjopen | 0 |
2017-11-07 | 2017-09-13 | ["http://allafrica.com/stories/201709210890.html", "http://www.africanews.com/2017/10/05/protests-after-assassination-of-mozambique-mayor-on-day-of-peace/", "http://www.dw.com/pt-002/populares-incendeiam-casa-de-comandante-da-pol%C3%ADcia-no-norte-de-mo%C3%A7ambique/a-40781795", "https://tradingeconomics.com/mozambique... | binary | [["2017-09-13", 0.35], ["2017-09-13", 0.45], ["2017-09-13", 0.225], ["2017-09-13", 0.275], ["2017-09-13", 0.275], ["2017-09-13", 0.36], ["2017-09-13", 0.05], ["2017-09-13", 0.05], ["2017-09-13", 0.205], ["2017-09-13", 0.36], ["2017-09-14", 0.45], ["2017-09-14", 0.67], ["2017-09-14", 0.66], ["2017-09-14", 0.71], ["2017-... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/599 | The Armed Conflict Location and Event Dataset (ACLED) summarizes press reports on conflict and protest events in Africa and parts of Asia. Outcome will be determined by the "Realtime [Month of Interest] All Africa File" found on the Realtime Data page (<a href="http://www.acleddata.com/data/realtime-data/" target="_bla... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2017-10-01 | Will ACLED record any riot/protest events in Mozambique in October 2017? | gjopen | 1 |
2018-01-04 | 2017-09-13 | ["https://sputniknews.com/africa/201707261055901392-china-wants-to-resolve-djibouti-border-conflict/", "https://www.usip.org/publications/2016/07/chinas-troop-contributions-un-peacekeeping", "https://messengerafrica.com/2017/06/22/factbox-understanding-the-eritrea-djibouti-border-dispute/", "https://www.gjopen.com/comm... | binary | [["2017-09-13", 0.35], ["2017-09-13", 0.15], ["2017-09-13", 0.575], ["2017-09-13", 0.66], ["2017-09-13", 0.505], ["2017-09-13", 0.155], ["2017-09-13", 0.07], ["2017-09-13", 0.025], ["2017-09-13", 0.015], ["2017-09-14", 0.01], ["2017-09-14", 0.02], ["2017-09-14", 0.01], ["2017-09-14", 0.01], ["2017-09-14", 0.01], ["2017... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/602 | As aggression escalates in the Djibouti-Eritrea conflict over the Dumeria Mountain and Island, China has offered to assist in mediation or peacekeeping if requested (<a href="http://venturesafrica.com/heres-how-the-international-community-reacts-to-the-eritrea-djibouti-border-dispute/" target="_blank">Ventures Africa</... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2017-12-29 | Before 29 December 2017, will it be announced that Chinese troops are deploying to the disputed border region between Eritrea and Djibouti? | gjopen | 0 |
2018-03-14 | 2017-09-19 | ["https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/619415", "https://www.reuters.com/article/us-cyber-hbo-indictment/u-s-prosecutors-charge-iranian-in-game-of-thrones-hack-idUSKBN1DL1YT", "http://l7.alamy.com/zooms/5f4451044af641f8985745d1fe7ce75d/teenage-girls-talking-on-telephone-in-bedroom-bxfff9.jpg", "https://www.iranhuma... | binary | [["2017-09-19", 1.0], ["2017-09-19", 1.0], ["2017-09-19", 0.625], ["2017-09-19", 0.125], ["2017-09-19", 0.0], ["2017-09-19", 0.0], ["2017-09-19", 0.0], ["2017-09-20", 0.0], ["2017-09-20", 0.0], ["2017-09-20", 0.0], ["2017-09-20", 0.0], ["2017-09-20", 0.0], ["2017-09-20", 0.0], ["2017-09-20", 0.0], ["2017-09-20", 0.075]... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/609 | At least part of the attack must occur during the question's open period. The question will be suspended on 30 November 2017 and resolved on 31 January 2018 to allow for delayed reporting. The following levels of cyber attack will all count: Low-Level Cyber Attacks create temporary and/or localized disruption of se... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2017-11-30 | Will Iran execute and/or sponsor a low or higher level cyber attack against networks owned by a US entity between 19 September 2017 and 30 November 2017? | gjopen | 0 |
2018-03-16 | 2017-09-19 | ["https://www.iafrikan.com/2017/11/06/iox-cable-ltd-to-provide-first-subsea-route-between-u-s-and-india-via-brazil-and-south-africa/", "http://www.straitstimes.com/world/europe/nato-to-boost-use-of-cyber-weaponry-to-combat-russia", "https://securingtomorrow.mcafee.com/mcafee-labs/android-malware-appears-linked-to-lazar... | binary | [["2017-09-19", 0.99], ["2017-09-19", 0.275], ["2017-09-19", 0.05], ["2017-09-20", 0.9], ["2017-09-20", 0.725], ["2017-09-20", 0.33], ["2017-09-21", 0.01], ["2017-09-21", 0.675], ["2017-09-21", 0.75], ["2017-09-21", 0.8], ["2017-09-21", 0.775], ["2017-09-21", 0.6], ["2017-09-21", 0.675], ["2017-09-21", 0.675], ["2017-0... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/608 | At least part of the attack must occur during the question's open period. The question will be suspended on 30 November 2017 and resolved on 31 January 2018 to allow for delayed reporting. The following levels of cyber attack will all count: Low-Level Cyber Attacks create temporary and/or localized disruption of s... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2017-11-30 | Will North Korea execute and/or sponsor a low or higher level cyber attack against networks owned by a US entity between 19 September 2017 and 30 November 2017? | gjopen | 0 |
2018-03-16 | 2017-09-19 | ["https://www.nbcnews.com/storyline/hacking-of-america/russian-president-vladimir-putin-signs-bill-targeting-u-s-foreign-n823901", "https://www.voanews.com/a/nato-sees-growing-russia-china-challenge/4141311.html", "https://www.newyorker.com/news/our-columnists/russian-journalist-explains-how-the-kremlin-instructed-him-... | binary | [["2017-09-19", 1.0], ["2017-09-19", 1.0], ["2017-09-19", 0.5], ["2017-09-19", 0.25], ["2017-09-19", 0.25], ["2017-09-19", 0.0], ["2017-09-20", 0.0], ["2017-09-20", 0.05], ["2017-09-20", 0.025], ["2017-09-20", 0.1], ["2017-09-20", 0.3], ["2017-09-20", 0.45], ["2017-09-20", 0.15], ["2017-09-20", 0.15], ["2017-09-20", 0.... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/610 | At least part of the attack must occur during the question's open period. The question will be suspended on 30 November 2017 and resolved on 31 January 2018 to allow for delayed reporting. The following levels of cyber attack will all count:Low-Level Cyber Attacks create temporary and/or localized disruption of se... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2017-11-30 | Will Russia execute and/or sponsor a low or higher level cyber attack against networks owned by a US entity between 19 September 2017 and 30 November 2017? | gjopen | 0 |
2017-11-07 | 2017-09-20 | ["https://www.gjopen.com/questions/614-will-acled-record-any-civilian-fatalities-in-angola-in-october-2017#", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/573815", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/585442"] | binary | [["2017-09-20", 0.6], ["2017-09-20", 0.34], ["2017-09-20", 0.5], ["2017-09-20", 0.605], ["2017-09-20", 0.775], ["2017-09-20", 0.55], ["2017-09-20", 1.0], ["2017-09-20", 1.0], ["2017-09-20", 0.66], ["2017-09-20", 0.46], ["2017-09-21", 0.41], ["2017-09-21", 0.41], ["2017-09-21", 0.335], ["2017-09-21", 0.25], ["2017-09-21... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/614 | The Armed Conflict Location and Event Dataset (ACLED) summarizes press reports on conflict and protest events in Africa and parts of Asia. Outcome will be determined by the "Realtime [Month of Interest] All Africa File" found on the Realtime Data page (<a href = "http://www.acleddata.com/data/realtime-data/"target="_bl... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2017-11-01 | Will ACLED record any civilian fatalities in Angola in October 2017? | gjopen | 0 |
2017-11-07 | 2017-09-20 | ["https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/584821", "http://www.thezimbabwemail.com/business/government-moves-ban-street-vending/", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/582607", "http://allafrica.com/stories/201709110121.html", "http://allafrica.com/stories/201709180253.html", "https://www.newsday.co.zw/2017/10/sk... | binary | [["2017-09-20", 0.55], ["2017-09-20", 0.3], ["2017-09-20", 0.425], ["2017-09-20", 0.35], ["2017-09-20", 0.575], ["2017-09-20", 0.2], ["2017-09-20", 0.2], ["2017-09-20", 0.15], ["2017-09-20", 0.05], ["2017-09-20", 0.05], ["2017-09-20", 0.0], ["2017-09-21", 0.0], ["2017-09-21", 0.02], ["2017-09-21", 0.035], ["2017-09-21"... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/615 | The Armed Conflict Location and Event Dataset (ACLED) summarizes press reports on conflict and protest events in Africa and parts of Asia. Outcome will be determined by the "Realtime [Month of Interest] All Africa File" found on the Realtime Data page (<a href = "http://www.acleddata.com/data/realtime-data/"target="_bl... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2017-11-01 | Will ACLED record any civilian fatalities in Zimbabwe in October 2017? | gjopen | 0 |
2019-12-09 | 2017-09-29 | ["https://reliefweb.int/report/burundi/burundi-populations-risk-serious-concern-15-september-2017"] | binary | [["2017-09-29", 0.62], ["2017-09-29", 1.0], ["2017-09-29", 0.85], ["2017-09-29", 0.355], ["2017-09-29", 0.005], ["2017-09-30", 0.005], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-02", 0.11], ["2017-10-02", 0.235], ["2017-10-02", 0.22], ["2017-10-02", 0.22], ["2017-10-02... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/631 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2018-01-01 | Between 1 October 2017 and 30 September 2018, will an armed group from Burundi engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Burundi?
| gjopen | 0 |
2019-12-09 | 2017-09-29 | ["http://www.france24.com/en/20171012-presidential-election-dr-congo-delayed-least-until-2019", "https://www.nytimes.com/2017/06/20/world/africa/democratic-republic-of-congo-bana-mura.html", "http://ewn.co.za/2017/10/16/26-bodies-of-ambushed-travellers-found-in-eastern-congo-chief", "https://www.globalsecurity.org/mili... | binary | [["2017-09-29", 0.01], ["2017-09-29", 1.0], ["2017-09-29", 0.505], ["2017-09-29", 0.08], ["2017-09-29", 0.075], ["2017-09-30", 0.15], ["2017-09-30", 0.02], ["2017-09-30", 0.02], ["2017-10-01", 0.085], ["2017-10-01", 0.01], ["2017-10-01", 0.01], ["2017-10-01", 0.075], ["2017-10-02", 0.15], ["2017-10-02", 0.3], ["2017-10... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/629 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2018-01-01 | Between 1 October 2017 and 30 September 2018, will an armed group from the Democratic Republic of the Congo engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in the Democratic Republic of the Congo?
| gjopen | 0 |
2019-12-09 | 2017-09-29 | [] | binary | [["2017-09-29", 1.0], ["2017-09-29", 0.01], ["2017-09-29", 0.505], ["2017-09-29", 0.505], ["2017-09-29", 0.08], ["2017-09-29", 0.02], ["2017-10-01", 0.05], ["2017-10-01", 0.05], ["2017-10-01", 0.035], ["2017-10-01", 0.035], ["2017-10-01", 0.035], ["2017-10-02", 0.05], ["2017-10-02", 0.15], ["2017-10-02", 0.35], ["2017-... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/625 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2018-01-01 | Between 1 October 2017 and 30 September 2018, will an armed group from Nigeria engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Nigeria?
| gjopen | 0 |
2019-12-09 | 2017-09-29 | ["http://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-42071488#"] | binary | [["2017-09-29", 0.01], ["2017-09-29", 0.25], ["2017-09-29", 0.125], ["2017-09-30", 0.0], ["2017-09-30", 0.0], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-02", 0.0], ["2017-10-02", 0.0], ["2017-10-02", 0.04], ["2017-10-02", 0.08], ["2017-10-02", 0.08], ["2017-10-02", 0.0... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/619 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2018-01-01 | Between 1 October 2017 and 30 September 2018, will an armed group from Zimbabwe engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Zimbabwe?
| gjopen | 0 |
2019-12-09 | 2017-09-29 | [] | binary | [["2017-09-29", 1.0], ["2017-09-29", 0.6], ["2017-09-29", 0.3], ["2017-09-29", 0.0], ["2017-09-30", 0.1], ["2017-09-30", 0.1], ["2017-10-01", 0.05], ["2017-10-01", 0.05], ["2017-10-01", 0.025], ["2017-10-01", 0.075], ["2017-10-01", 0.05], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-02", 0.0], ["2017-10-02", 0.0], ["2017-10-02", 0.0... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/632 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2018-01-01 | Between 1 October 2017 and 30 September 2018, will an armed group from Bangladesh engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Bangladesh?
| gjopen | 0 |
2019-12-09 | 2017-09-29 | ["https://www.sofx.com/2017/11/06/executed-741-civilians-mosul-battle-un-bbc-news/", "http://www.amnesty.org/en/latest/news/2017/10/iraq-fresh-evidence-that-tens-of-thousands-forced-to-flee-tuz-khurmatu-amid-indiscriminate-attacks-lootings-and-arson/", "https://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-iraq-kurds-khana... | binary | [["2017-09-29", 1.0], ["2017-09-29", 0.2], ["2017-09-29", 0.4], ["2017-09-30", 0.625], ["2017-10-01", 0.325], ["2017-10-01", 0.45], ["2017-10-01", 0.25], ["2017-10-01", 0.05], ["2017-10-02", 0.15], ["2017-10-02", 0.25], ["2017-10-02", 0.625], ["2017-10-02", 0.625], ["2017-10-03", 0.65], ["2017-10-03", 0.45], ["2017-10-... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/618 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2018-01-01 | Between 1 October 2017 and 30 September 2018, will an armed group from Iraq engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Iraq?
| gjopen | 0 |
2019-12-09 | 2017-09-29 | ["http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-41708357", "https://www.longwarjournal.org/archives/2017/10/taliban-overruns-2-districts-in-southern-afghanistan.php", "https://unama.unmissions.org/sites/default/files/unama_protection_of_civilians_in_armed_conflict_quarterly_report_1_january_to_30_september_2017_-_english.pdf"] | binary | [["2017-09-29", 1.0], ["2017-09-29", 1.0], ["2017-09-29", 1.0], ["2017-09-29", 0.51], ["2017-09-29", 0.02], ["2017-09-30", 0.02], ["2017-09-30", 0.09], ["2017-09-30", 0.09], ["2017-10-01", 0.295], ["2017-10-01", 0.07], ["2017-10-01", 0.035], ["2017-10-01", 0.035], ["2017-10-01", 0.05], ["2017-10-01", 0.02], ["2017-10-0... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/633 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2018-01-01 | Between 1 October 2017 and 30 September 2018, will an armed group from Afghanistan engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Afghanistan?
| gjopen | 0 |
2019-12-09 | 2017-09-29 | ["https://www.crisisgroup.org/europe-central-asia/western-europemediterranean/turkey/turkey-s-pkk-conflict-death-toll", "https://www.crisisgroup.org/europe-central-asia/western-europemediterranean/turkey/turkeys-pkk-conflict-kills-almost-3000-two-years", "https://www.nytimes.com/2017/10/14/world/europe/turkey-new-york-... | binary | [["2017-09-29", 0.03], ["2017-09-29", 1.0], ["2017-09-29", 0.51], ["2017-09-29", 0.085], ["2017-09-29", 0.09], ["2017-09-29", 0.015], ["2017-09-30", 0.0], ["2017-09-30", 0.0], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-02", 0.0... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/621 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2018-01-01 | Between 1 October 2017 and 30 September 2018, will an armed group from Turkey engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Turkey?
| gjopen | 0 |
2019-12-09 | 2017-09-29 | [] | binary | [["2017-09-29", 0.01], ["2017-09-29", 0.15], ["2017-09-29", 0.075], ["2017-09-30", 0.005], ["2017-09-30", 0.005], ["2017-09-30", 0.0], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-02", 0.0], ["2017-10-02", 0.025], ["2017-10-02", 0.175], ["2017-10-02"... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/624 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2018-01-01 | Between 1 October 2017 and 30 September 2018, will an armed group from Pakistan engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Pakistan?
| gjopen | 0 |
2019-12-09 | 2017-09-29 | ["https://www.nytimes.com/2017/10/02/world/asia/philippines-rodrigo-duterte-drugs.html?rref=collection%2Fsectioncollection%2Fasia&action=click&contentCollection=asia&region=strea", "https://www.reuters.com/article/us-philippines-drugs/philippines-war-on-drugs-and-crime-intensifies-at-least-60-killed-in-thre... | binary | [["2017-09-29", 1.0], ["2017-09-29", 0.01], ["2017-09-29", 0.505], ["2017-09-29", 0.51], ["2017-09-29", 0.435], ["2017-10-01", 0.85], ["2017-10-01", 0.85], ["2017-10-01", 0.43], ["2017-10-01", 0.005], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-02", 0.01], ["2017-10-02", 0.105], ["2017-10-02", 0.525], ["2017-10... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/623 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2018-01-01 | Between 1 October 2017 and 30 September 2018, will an armed group from the Philippines engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in the Philippines?
| gjopen | 0 |
2019-12-09 | 2017-09-29 | ["https://orientalreview.org/2017/12/29/2018-outlook-africa/", "http://www.miamiherald.com/news/nation-world/article180277526.html", "https://www.reuters.com/article/us-ethiopia-violence/at-least-five-killed-as-police-fire-at-protest-in-ethiopia-idUSKBN1CV1P1", "https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/africa/they-started-... | binary | [["2017-09-29", 1.0], ["2017-09-29", 0.0], ["2017-09-29", 0.125], ["2017-09-29", 0.125], ["2017-09-30", 0.0], ["2017-09-30", 0.0], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-01", 0.025], ["2017-10-02", 0.05], ["2017-10-02", 0.03], ["2017-10-02", 0.05], ["2017-10-02", 0.05], ["2017-10-02", ... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/628 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2018-01-01 | Between 1 October 2017 and 30 September 2018, will an armed group from Ethiopia engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Ethiopia?
| gjopen | 0 |
2019-12-09 | 2017-09-29 | [] | binary | [["2017-09-29", 0.01], ["2017-09-29", 0.02], ["2017-09-30", 0.035], ["2017-09-30", 0.11], ["2017-09-30", 0.11], ["2017-10-01", 0.01], ["2017-10-01", 0.01], ["2017-10-01", 0.385], ["2017-10-01", 0.02], ["2017-10-02", 0.05], ["2017-10-02", 0.4], ["2017-10-02", 0.075], ["2017-10-02", 0.44], ["2017-10-02", 0.44], ["2017-10... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/617 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2018-01-01 | Between 1 October 2017 and 30 September 2018, will an armed group from South Sudan engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in South Sudan?
| gjopen | 1 |
2019-12-09 | 2017-09-29 | ["https://www.ushmm.org/confront-genocide/genocide-prevention-blog/central-african-republic-again-at-risk-for-mass-atrocities", "http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2017/10/chief-draws-attention-car-crisis-171019073644591.html", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/591715", "http://www.globalr2p.org/publications/569", "... | binary | [["2017-09-29", 0.02], ["2017-09-29", 0.25], ["2017-09-30", 0.375], ["2017-09-30", 0.25], ["2017-10-01", 0.075], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-01", 0.15], ["2017-10-02", 0.3], ["2017-10-02", 0.25], ["2017-10-02", 0.36], ["2017-10-02", 0.16], ["2017-10-03", 0.15], ["2017-10-03", 0.05], ["2017-10-03", 0.04], ["2017-10-0... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/630 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2018-01-01 | Between 1 October 2017 and 30 September 2018, will an armed group from the Central African Republic engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in the Central African Republic?
| gjopen | 0 |
2019-12-09 | 2017-09-29 | ["http://www.foxnews.com/world/2017/10/04/three-green-berets-killed-two-wounded-in-niger-ambush.html"] | binary | [["2017-09-29", 0.65], ["2017-09-29", 0.55], ["2017-09-29", 0.775], ["2017-09-29", 0.5], ["2017-09-30", 0.49], ["2017-09-30", 0.03], ["2017-09-30", 0.03], ["2017-10-01", 0.03], ["2017-10-01", 0.04], ["2017-10-01", 0.025], ["2017-10-01", 0.025], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-02", 0.0], ["2017-10-02", 0.0], ["2017-10-02... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/627 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2018-01-01 | Between 1 October 2017 and 30 September 2018, will an armed group from Mali engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Mali?
| gjopen | 0 |
2019-12-09 | 2017-09-29 | [] | binary | [["2017-09-29", 1.0], ["2017-09-29", 0.02], ["2017-09-29", 0.185], ["2017-10-01", 0.3], ["2017-10-01", 0.125], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-02", 0.0], ["2017-10-02", 0.05], ["2017-10-02", 0.44], ["2017-10-02", 0.44], ["2017-10-03", 0.125], ["2017-10-03", 0.1], ["2017-10-03", 0.02], ["2017-10-03", 0.02], ["2017-10-03"... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/622 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2018-01-01 | Between 1 October 2017 and 30 September 2018, will an armed group from Sudan engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Sudan?
| gjopen | 0 |
2019-12-09 | 2017-09-29 | [] | binary | [["2017-09-29", 1.0], ["2017-09-29", 0.01], ["2017-09-29", 0.28], ["2017-09-29", 0.285], ["2017-09-30", 0.04], ["2017-09-30", 0.04], ["2017-10-01", 0.06], ["2017-10-01", 0.02], ["2017-10-01", 0.02], ["2017-10-01", 0.135], ["2017-10-02", 0.015], ["2017-10-02", 0.335], ["2017-10-02", 0.45], ["2017-10-02", 0.58], ["2017-1... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/620 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2017-12-31 | Between 1 October 2017 and 30 September 2018, will an armed group from Yemen engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Yemen?
| gjopen | 0 |
2019-12-09 | 2017-09-29 | ["https://navalny.feldman.photo/events/63/", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/569565", "https://www.reuters.com/article/us-myanmar-journalists/u-n-chief-says-arrest-of-reuters-journalists-shows-erosion-of-press-freedom-in-myanmar-idUSKBN1E8183", "https://www.theguardian.com/world/video/2017/oct/17/drone-footag... | binary | [["2017-09-29", 1.0], ["2017-09-29", 1.0], ["2017-09-29", 0.875], ["2017-09-29", 0.8], ["2017-09-30", 0.435], ["2017-09-30", 0.51], ["2017-09-30", 0.975], ["2017-10-01", 1.0], ["2017-10-01", 0.95], ["2017-10-01", 0.95], ["2017-10-01", 0.97], ["2017-10-01", 0.595], ["2017-10-01", 0.895], ["2017-10-02", 0.9], ["2017-10-0... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/626 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2018-01-01 | Between 1 October 2017 and 30 September 2018, will an armed group from Myanmar engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Myanmar?
| gjopen | 0 |
2017-11-07 | 2017-10-06 | ["http://af.reuters.com/article/tunisiaNews/idAFL8N1MQ16A?feedType=RSS&feedName=tunisiaNews", "http://af.reuters.com/article/commoditiesNews/idAFL8N1MQ16A?feedType=RSS&feedName=tunisiaNews"] | binary | [["2017-10-11", 0.75], ["2017-10-11", 0.8], ["2017-10-11", 0.425], ["2017-10-11", 0.42], ["2017-10-11", 0.145], ["2017-10-11", 0.14], ["2017-10-12", 0.1], ["2017-10-12", 0.1], ["2017-10-12", 0.065], ["2017-10-12", 0.1], ["2017-10-12", 0.05], ["2017-10-12", 0.1], ["2017-10-12", 0.15], ["2017-10-12", 0.15], ["2017-10-12"... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/641 | The Armed Conflict Location and Event Dataset (ACLED) summarizes press reports on conflict and protest events in Africa and parts of Asia. Outcome will be determined by the "Realtime [Month of Interest] All Africa File" found on the Realtime Data page (<a href = "http://www.acleddata.com/data/realtime-data/"target="_bl... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2017-11-01 | Will ACLED record any civilian fatalities in Tunisia between 15 October 2017 and 31 October 2017? | gjopen | 0 |
2017-11-07 | 2017-10-06 | ["http://awoko.org/2017/10/24/sierra-leone-news-disabled-people-protest-at-state-house/", "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/546-will-acled-record-any-riot-protest-events-in-cote-d-ivoire-in-august-2017", "http://www.thesierraleonetelegraph.com/sierra-leone-political-parties-registration-commission-calls-for-democracy-t... | binary | [["2017-10-11", 0.1], ["2017-10-11", 0.15], ["2017-10-11", 0.2], ["2017-10-12", 0.225], ["2017-10-12", 0.1], ["2017-10-12", 0.2], ["2017-10-12", 0.0], ["2017-10-12", 0.15], ["2017-10-12", 0.325], ["2017-10-12", 0.325], ["2017-10-12", 0.325], ["2017-10-12", 0.35], ["2017-10-12", 0.35], ["2017-10-12", 0.275], ["2017-10-1... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/640 | The Armed Conflict Location and Event Dataset (ACLED) summarizes press reports on conflict and protest events in Africa and parts of Asia. Outcome will be determined by the "Realtime [Month of Interest] All Africa File" found on the Realtime Data page (<a href = "http://www.acleddata.com/data/realtime-data/"target="_bl... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2017-10-24 | Will ACLED record any riot/protest events in Sierra Leone between 15 October 2017 and 31 October 2017? | gjopen | 1 |
2018-01-04 | 2017-10-09 | ["https://www.theguardian.com/world/2017/sep/06/nato-russia-belarus-zapad", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/North_Atlantic_Treaty#Article_5", "https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/europe/latvias-cellphones-stopped-working-russias-war-games-may-be-to-blame/2017/10/05/449162d4-a9d3-11e7-9a98-07140d2eed02_story.html", "htt... | binary | [["2017-10-11", 0.15], ["2017-10-11", 0.105], ["2017-10-11", 0.0], ["2017-10-11", 0.0], ["2017-10-11", 0.0], ["2017-10-11", 0.0], ["2017-10-11", 0.0], ["2017-10-11", 0.0], ["2017-10-11", 0.015], ["2017-10-12", 0.015], ["2017-10-12", 0.03], ["2017-10-12", 0.025], ["2017-10-12", 0.03], ["2017-10-12", 0.035], ["2017-10-12... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/645 | If the relevant governments are overthrown during an invasion, an announcement by a third party government accusing Russia of invasion will count. Examples of past accusations of Russian military intervention include Georgia's claim that Russia invaded its territory in August of 2008 (<a href = "http://www.belfastteleg... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2017-12-27 | Before 27 December 2017, will Poland, Estonia, Latvia, or Lithuania accuse Russia of intervening militarily in its territory without permission? | gjopen | 0 |
2017-12-28 | 2017-10-09 | ["http://www3.asiainsurancereview.com/News/View-NewsLetter-Article?id=40999&Type=MiddleEast", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/595758", "https://www.economist.com/news/finance-and-economics/21724416-borrower-refuses-pay-challenging-sharia-compliance-its-bond-infant", "http://www.imf.org/en/Countries/DZA", ... | binary | [["2017-10-11", 0.75], ["2017-10-11", 0.01], ["2017-10-11", 0.28], ["2017-10-11", 0.45], ["2017-10-11", 0.175], ["2017-10-11", 0.03], ["2017-10-11", 0.03], ["2017-10-11", 0.015], ["2017-10-11", 0.315], ["2017-10-12", 0.3], ["2017-10-12", 0.05], ["2017-10-12", 0.05], ["2017-10-12", 0.025], ["2017-10-12", 0.03], ["2017-1... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/646 | As North African states struggle with declining revenues, a number are considering issuing sharia compliant non-interest bonds to attract more investors (<a href = "https://www.reuters.com/article/algeria-politics-idUSL8N1JH47A"target="_blank">Reuters</a>, <a href = "http://www.gulf-times.com/story/553167/A-new-world-o... | Economics & Business | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2017-12-27 | Before 27 December 2017, will Algeria, Morocco, or Tunisia issue sharia-compliant government bonds? | gjopen | 0 |
2017-12-28 | 2017-10-09 | ["https://www.reuters.com/article/us-brazil-corruption-temer/brazil-congressional-report-recommends-shelving-temer-charges-idUSKBN1CF2W4", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/595754", "https://www.goodreads.com/quotes/543727-plans-are-of-little-importance-but-planning-is-essential", "https://www.usnews.com/news/w... | binary | [["2017-10-11", 0.8], ["2017-10-11", 0.6], ["2017-10-11", 0.625], ["2017-10-12", 0.375], ["2017-10-12", 0.075], ["2017-10-12", 0.05], ["2017-10-12", 0.05], ["2017-10-12", 0.05], ["2017-10-12", 0.035], ["2017-10-12", 0.035], ["2017-10-12", 0.02], ["2017-10-12", 0.0], ["2017-10-12", 0.0], ["2017-10-12", 0.0], ["2017-10-1... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/644 | According to the constitution of Brazil, a two-thirds vote is required for the Chamber of Deputies to authorize a trial by the Supreme Court or the Senate. For more information see <a href = "http://www.servat.unibe.ch/icl/br00000_.html"target="_blank">Title IV, Chapter II, Section III, Article 86 of Brazil's Constitu... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2017-12-27 | Before 27 December 2017, will Brazil's Chamber of Deputies vote to send Brazil's President Michel Temer to a Supreme Court or Senate trial? | gjopen | 0 |
2017-11-22 | 2017-10-16 | ["https://www.wprost.pl/kraj/10086696/w-szczecinie-usuwaja-pomnik-wdziecznosci-armii-radzieckiej.html", "http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-36656226", "http://www.hopenothate.org.uk/2017/10/30/richard-spencer-bound-europe/", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/615950", "https://bip.malopolska.pl/umkalwariazebrzy... | binary | [["2017-10-18", 0.8], ["2017-10-18", 0.75], ["2017-10-18", 0.65], ["2017-10-18", 0.775], ["2017-10-19", 0.6], ["2017-10-19", 0.89], ["2017-10-19", 0.6], ["2017-10-19", 0.66], ["2017-10-19", 0.66], ["2017-10-19", 0.66], ["2017-10-19", 0.685], ["2017-10-19", 0.65], ["2017-10-19", 0.5], ["2017-10-19", 0.5], ["2017-10-19",... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/649 | Poland's president has approved amendments to a law that bans the promotion of communism, including World War II era memorials dedicated to Soviet troops (<a href = "https://www.rferl.org/a/28778037.html"target="_blank">Radio Free Europe</a>, <a href = "http://www.thestar.com.my/news/world/2017/07/20/russia-preparing-r... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2017-11-16 | Between 18 October and 28 December 2017, will any World War II Soviet monuments be taken down in Poland? | gjopen | 1 |
2018-01-02 | 2017-10-17 | ["https://www.news24.com/Africa/News/polisario-condemns-morocco-king-speech-on-western-sahara-20171108", "https://www.news24.com/Africa/News/new-un-envoy-in-morocco-to-restart-talks-on-disputed-western-sahara-20171017", "https://twitter.com/SamirBennis/status/921477268534329345", "https://www.spsrasd.info/news/en/artic... | binary | [["2017-10-17", 0.0], ["2017-10-17", 0.025], ["2017-10-17", 0.17], ["2017-10-17", 0.1], ["2017-10-18", 0.02], ["2017-10-18", 0.01], ["2017-10-18", 0.02], ["2017-10-18", 0.005], ["2017-10-18", 0.0], ["2017-10-19", 0.0], ["2017-10-19", 0.0], ["2017-10-19", 0.0], ["2017-10-19", 0.0], ["2017-10-19", 0.01], ["2017-10-20", 0... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/655 | Renewed tensions between Morocco and the Polisario Front in the Western Sahara (<a href = "https://www.economist.com/news/middle-east-and-africa/21717383-back-spotlight-fate-western-sahara-no-closer"target="_blank">The Economist</a>, <a href = "https://www.nytimes.com/2017/01/16/opinion/north-africas-next-war.html"targ... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2018-01-01 | Before 1 January 2018, will the Moroccan government and the Polisario Front participate in official negotiations over Western Sahara?
| gjopen | 0 |
2018-07-10 | 2017-10-20 | ["https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2018/feb/20/trump-orders-bump-stock-ban-but-indicates-no-stronger-action-on-gun-control?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other", "http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/wireStory/trump-ban-bump-stocks-atf-53276472", "https://goo.gl/NU7ibS", "https://www.theonion.com/new-school-shooter-drill-includes-pract... | binary | [["2017-10-20", 0.435], ["2017-10-20", 0.65], ["2017-10-20", 0.52], ["2017-10-20", 0.45], ["2017-10-20", 0.625], ["2017-10-21", 0.6], ["2017-10-21", 0.61], ["2017-10-21", 0.65], ["2017-10-21", 0.245], ["2017-10-22", 0.19], ["2017-10-22", 0.195], ["2017-10-22", 0.19], ["2017-10-22", 0.14], ["2017-10-23", 0.21], ["2017-1... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/662 | In the wake of the <a href = "http://www.abc15.com/news/national/police-confirm-reports-of-active-shooter-in-las-vegas"target="_blank">mass shooting</a> in Las Vegas on 1 October, the role played by so-called <a href = "https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2017/10/04/us/bump-stock-las-vegas-gun.html"target="_blank">'bum... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2018-07-01 | Before 1 July 2018, will the US federal government ban the manufacture, importation, possession, or sale of 'bump stocks'? | gjopen | 0 |
2018-01-04 | 2017-10-23 | ["https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2016/apr/27/how-uber-conquered-london", "https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-10-24/after-london-ban-uber-s-latest-regulatory-nightmare-is-brazil", "http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-41940018", "http://www.businessinsider.sg/uber-heads-to-court-in-fight-for-london-survi... | binary | [["2017-10-25", 0.16], ["2017-10-25", 0.0], ["2017-10-25", 0.025], ["2017-10-25", 0.08], ["2017-10-25", 0.08], ["2017-10-25", 0.05], ["2017-10-25", 0.05], ["2017-10-25", 0.04], ["2017-10-25", 0.025], ["2017-10-25", 0.025], ["2017-10-26", 0.025], ["2017-10-26", 0.03], ["2017-10-26", 0.03], ["2017-10-26", 0.025], ["2017-... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/665 | In September 2017, Transport for London (TfL; London's transport authority) <a href = "https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2017/sep/22/uber-licence-transport-for-london-tfl"target="_blank">rejected</a> Uber's application for a new license. Talks between Uber and TfL are ongoing (<a href = "https://www.standard.co.uk... | Economics & Business | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2018-01-01 | Before 1 January 2018, will Transport for London (TfL) issue a license for Uber? | gjopen | 0 |
2018-01-04 | 2017-10-23 | [] | binary | [["2017-10-25", 0.05], ["2017-10-25", 0.125], ["2017-10-25", 0.33], ["2017-10-25", 0.415], ["2017-10-26", 0.4], ["2017-10-26", 0.7], ["2017-10-26", 0.125], ["2017-10-26", 0.05], ["2017-10-26", 0.125], ["2017-10-26", 0.2], ["2017-10-26", 0.25], ["2017-10-26", 0.215], ["2017-10-26", 0.275], ["2017-10-26", 0.18], ["2017-1... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/666 | North Korea's submarine-launched ballistic missile (SLBM) program is continuing to advance (<a href = "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-northkorea-missiles-idUSKCN10Y2B0"target="_blank">Reuters</a>, <a href = "http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/08/01/north-koreas-submarine-missile-tests-critical-advance-highly/"targ... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2018-01-01 | Between 25 October and 31 December 2017, will North Korea launch an SLBM? | gjopen | 0 |
2018-01-04 | 2017-10-23 | ["https://www.nytimes.com/2017/01/06/world/asia/japan-south-korea-ambassador-comfort-woman-statue.html", "http://www.straitstimes.com/asia/east-asia/japan-to-refuse-renegotiation-on-comfort-women-deal-with-south-korea", "https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2017/06/30/national/politics-diplomacy/busan-assembly-passes-ordi... | binary | [["2017-10-25", 0.1], ["2017-10-25", 0.05], ["2017-10-25", 0.1], ["2017-10-25", 0.095], ["2017-10-26", 0.02], ["2017-10-26", 0.04], ["2017-10-26", 0.0], ["2017-10-26", 0.0], ["2017-10-26", 0.025], ["2017-10-26", 0.025], ["2017-10-26", 0.0], ["2017-10-26", 0.0], ["2017-10-26", 0.0], ["2017-10-26", 0.0], ["2017-10-26", 0... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/667 | The "comfort women" statue in front of the Japanese Consulate in Busan, erected in December 2016, was opposed by Japan as a violation of the 2015 agreement settling the issue (<a href = "http://www.cnn.com/2017/02/05/asia/south-korea-comfort-women-statue/"target="_blank">CNN</a>, <a href = "https://www.nytimes.com/2017... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2018-01-01 | Will the "comfort women" statue be removed from outside the Japanese Consulate in Busan before 1 January 2018? | gjopen | 0 |
2017-11-20 | 2017-10-24 | ["https://tradingeconomics.com/qatar/exports", "https://tradingeconomics.com/qatar/rating", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bond_credit_rating", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oil_reserves", "http://english.alarabiya.net/en/business/economy/2017/11/07/Qatar-c-bank-s-foreign-reserves-liquidity-drop-in-September.html", "h... | binary | [["2017-10-24", 0.01], ["2017-10-24", 0.01], ["2017-10-24", 0.33], ["2017-10-24", 0.33], ["2017-10-24", 0.01], ["2017-10-25", 0.015], ["2017-10-25", 0.02], ["2017-10-25", 0.02], ["2017-10-25", 0.01], ["2017-10-25", 0.01], ["2017-10-25", 0.005], ["2017-10-25", 0.01], ["2017-10-26", 0.01], ["2017-10-26", 0.01], ["2017-10... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/671 | Recent macroeconomic developments have raised concerns regarding the debt profile of several GCC countries (<a href = "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-bahrain-ratings-fitch-idUSKCN0ZE1SG"target="_blank">Reuters</a>, <a href = "http://www.reuters.com/article/brief-moodys-downgrades-oman-to-baa-idUSFWN1KJ18G"target="_b... | Economics & Business | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2017-11-10 | Between 24 October 2017 and 1 February 2018, will Bahrain, Oman, Qatar, or Saudi Arabia have their long-term issuer rating downgraded by S&P, Moody's, or Fitch? | gjopen | 1 |
2018-04-27 | 2017-10-24 | ["https://www.cnn.com/2018/02/08/asia/north-korea-moon-jae-in-visit-possible/index.html", "https://www.reuters.com/article/us-olympics-2018-northkorea-southkorea/south-koreas-moon-hosts-talks-with-north-korean-leaders-sister-idUSKBN1FU05F", "https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/948194400114487296", "http://www.ne... | binary | [["2017-10-24", 0.0], ["2017-10-24", 0.0], ["2017-10-24", 0.005], ["2017-10-25", 0.01], ["2017-10-25", 0.02], ["2017-10-25", 0.0], ["2017-10-25", 0.0], ["2017-10-26", 0.0], ["2017-10-26", 0.0], ["2017-10-26", 0.0], ["2017-10-26", 0.0], ["2017-10-26", 0.0], ["2017-10-26", 0.0], ["2017-10-27", 0.0], ["2017-10-27", 0.0], ... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/669 | South Korean President Moon Jae-in has said that he would be willing to meet with North Korean leader Kim Jong-un (<a href = "https://www.theguardian.com/world/2017/may/10/south-korea-new-president-moon-jae-in-meet-north-kim-jong-un"target="_blank">The Guardian</a>, <a href = "https://www.nytimes.com/2017/05/10/world/a... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2018-04-26 | Will Kim Jong-un and Moon Jae-in meet before 1 November 2018? | gjopen | 1 |
2018-06-05 | 2017-11-03 | ["https://twitter.com/AHoweBlogger/status/938084955242065920", "http://www.latimes.com/local/lanow/la-me-bakersfield-baker-20180207-story.html", "https://www.cnn.com/2018/02/08/us/wedding-cake-ruling-trnd/index.html", "https://www.quora.com/How-do-you-feel-about-the-Supreme-Court-case-involving-the-Masterpiece-Cake-Sho... | binary | [["2017-11-03", 0.4], ["2017-11-03", 0.125], ["2017-11-03", 0.51], ["2017-11-03", 0.605], ["2017-11-03", 0.135], ["2017-11-03", 0.35], ["2017-11-03", 0.235], ["2017-11-03", 0.325], ["2017-11-03", 0.3], ["2017-11-03", 0.275], ["2017-11-03", 0.2], ["2017-11-03", 0.2], ["2017-11-03", 0.225], ["2017-11-03", 0.25], ["2017-1... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/681 | In 2015, the <a href = "https://www.courts.state.co.us/Courts/Court_of_Appeals/Opinion/2015/14CA1351-PD.pdf"target="_blank">Colorado Court of Appeals</a><a href = "http://www.scotusblog.com/case-files/cases/masterpiece-cakeshop-ltd-v-colorado-civil-rights-commn/"target="_blank"> ruled</a> that Jack Phillips, owner of M... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2018-06-04 | In Masterpiece Cakeshop, Ltd. v. Colorado Civil Rights Commission, will the Supreme Court rule that the application of a Colorado anti-discrimination law to compel Jack Phillips to make a cake for a same-sex wedding violates any of his First Amendment rights? | gjopen | 1 |
2018-06-25 | 2017-11-03 | ["https://www.thecipherbrief.com/article/exclusive/north-america/fisa-can-fixed-without-risking-american-lives", "https://www.aclu.org/legal-document/united-states-v-carpenter-reply-brief-petitioner", "http://www.scotusblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/16-402-cert-petition.pdf", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/commen... | binary | [["2017-11-03", 0.15], ["2017-11-03", 0.35], ["2017-11-03", 0.25], ["2017-11-03", 0.25], ["2017-11-03", 0.14], ["2017-11-03", 0.15], ["2017-11-03", 0.215], ["2017-11-03", 0.25], ["2017-11-03", 0.29], ["2017-11-03", 0.625], ["2017-11-04", 0.6], ["2017-11-04", 0.635], ["2017-11-04", 0.65], ["2017-11-04", 0.65], ["2017-11... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/678 | In 2016, U.S. Court of Appeals for the 6th Circuit <a href = "http://caselaw.findlaw.com/us-6th-circuit/1731662.html"target="_blank">ruled</a> that prosecutors legally used historical cellular phone location records obtained without a warrant to convict two men, Timothy Carpenter and Timothy Sanders, of armed robbery. ... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2018-06-22 | In Carpenter v. United States, will the Supreme Court rule that investigators' warrantless use of Timothy Carpenter's cellphone records was unconstitutional? | gjopen | 1 |
2018-06-12 | 2017-11-03 | ["https://www.gjopen.com/questions/680-in-husted-v-a-philip-randolph-institute-will-the-supreme-court-rule-that-ohio-s-supplemental-process-for-voter-registration-list-maintenance-is-legal/www.jstor.org/stable/1685855", "https://www.justice.gov/sites/default/files/briefs/2017/08/07/16-980_husted_v_randolph_institute_ac... | binary | [["2017-11-03", 0.65], ["2017-11-03", 0.85], ["2017-11-03", 0.735], ["2017-11-03", 0.56], ["2017-11-03", 0.525], ["2017-11-03", 0.55], ["2017-11-03", 0.5], ["2017-11-03", 0.5], ["2017-11-03", 0.525], ["2017-11-03", 0.45], ["2017-11-03", 0.525], ["2017-11-03", 0.55], ["2017-11-03", 0.55], ["2017-11-03", 0.575], ["2017-1... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/680 | In 2016, the U.S. Court of Appeals for the 6th Circuit <a href = "http://www.scotusblog.com/case-files/cases/husted-v-philip-randolph-institute"target="_blank">ruled</a> that the state of Ohio's <a href = "https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2017/05/supreme-court-ohio-voting/528573"target="_blank">supplemental... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2018-06-11 | In Husted v. A. Philip Randolph Institute, will the Supreme Court rule that Ohio's supplemental process for voter registration list-maintenance is legal? | gjopen | 1 |
2018-04-27 | 2017-11-03 | ["https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alien_Tort_Statute"", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/622983", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/617220", "http://www.scotusblog.com/2017/07/introduction-alien-tort-statute-corporate-liability-plain-english/", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/621332", "http://... | binary | [["2017-11-03", 0.25], ["2017-11-03", 0.05], ["2017-11-03", 0.115], ["2017-11-03", 0.125], ["2017-11-03", 0.285], ["2017-11-03", 0.5], ["2017-11-03", 0.5], ["2017-11-03", 0.525], ["2017-11-03", 0.525], ["2017-11-03", 0.6], ["2017-11-03", 0.65], ["2017-11-03", 0.65], ["2017-11-03", 0.565], ["2017-11-03", 0.465], ["2017-... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/679 | In 2015, U.S. Court of Appeals for the 2nd Circuit <a href = "http://www.scotusblog.com/case-files/cases/jesner-v-arab-bank-plc"target="_blank">ruled</a> that the US <a href = "http://cja.org/what-we-do/litigation/legal-strategy/the-alien-tort-statute/"target="_blank">Alien Tort Statute (ATS)</a> did not permit lawsuit... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2018-04-24 | In Jesner v. Arab Bank, PLC, will the Supreme Court rule that aliens can sue a corporation under the Alien Tort Statute? | gjopen | 0 |
2018-01-11 | 2017-11-07 | ["https://dailynewsegypt.com/2017/12/13/first-phase-russian-industrial-zone-implementation-starting-next-month/", "https://www.egypttoday.com/Article/3/36333/More-than-30B-Russian-deals-expected-during-Putin%E2%80%99s-visit", "https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/agreement", "http://abcnews.go.com/International/w... | binary | [["2017-11-07", 0.0], ["2017-11-07", 0.24], ["2017-11-07", 0.05], ["2017-11-07", 0.12], ["2017-11-07", 0.06], ["2017-11-07", 0.025], ["2017-11-07", 0.15], ["2017-11-08", 0.25], ["2017-11-08", 0.25], ["2017-11-08", 0.65], ["2017-11-08", 0.525], ["2017-11-08", 0.55], ["2017-11-08", 0.475], ["2017-11-08", 0.55], ["2017-11... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/683 | Egypt and Russia are in discussions to establish a Russian industrial zone at Port Said on the Suez Canal (<a href = "http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2017-07/12/c_136436144.htm"target="_blank">Xinhua Net</a>, <a href = "https://af.reuters.com/article/africaTech/idAFL4N1ME2UT"target="_blank">Reuters</a>, <a href = "ht... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2018-01-01 | Before 1 January 2018, will Russia and Egypt sign an agreement to establish a Russian industrial zone on the Suez Canal? | gjopen | 0 |
2018-10-03 | 2017-11-07 | ["http://www.dw.com/en/can-north-koreas-elites-oust-kim-jong-un/a-39091374", "http://www.businessinsider.com/north-korean-defector-thae-yong-ho-kim-jong-un-overthrown-10-years-2017-8", "http://summitlake.com/wp_1commentary/?p=534", "http://foreignpolicy.com/2013/08/20/mapped-the-7-governments-the-u-s-has-overthrown/", ... | binary | [["2017-11-07", 0.01], ["2017-11-07", 0.18], ["2017-11-08", 0.04], ["2017-11-08", 0.05], ["2017-11-08", 0.05], ["2017-11-08", 0.0], ["2017-11-09", 0.01], ["2017-11-09", 0.015], ["2017-11-09", 0.01], ["2017-11-10", 0.01], ["2017-11-10", 0.01], ["2017-11-10", 0.01], ["2017-11-10", 0.03], ["2017-11-11", 0.035], ["2017-11-... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/682 | Observers of North Korean politics have speculated about various ways in which Kim's tenure might end abruptly, including military coup (<a href = "http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2016/02/11/north-korea-s-generals-could-turn-against-kim-jong-un.html"target="_blank">The Daily Beast</a>), assassination (<a href = "... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2018-10-01 | Before 1 October 2018, will Kim Jong-un cease to be supreme leader of North Korea? | gjopen | 0 |
2017-11-29 | 2017-11-08 | ["https://www.chathamhouse.org/expert/comment/calls-biafran-independence-return-south-east-nigeria", "https://www.premiumtimesng.com/regional/ssouth-east/249751-biafra-dismiss-suit-make-produce-nnamdi-kanu-buratai-tells-court.html"] | binary | [["2017-11-08", 0.15], ["2017-11-08", 0.15], ["2017-11-08", 0.275], ["2017-11-08", 0.225], ["2017-11-08", 0.1], ["2017-11-08", 0.05], ["2017-11-08", 0.0], ["2017-11-08", 0.05], ["2017-11-08", 0.05], ["2017-11-08", 0.06], ["2017-11-08", 0.05], ["2017-11-09", 0.05], ["2017-11-09", 0.05], ["2017-11-09", 0.05], ["2017-11-0... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/686 | Nnamdi Kanu is the leader of the IPOB separatist movement in Nigeria, but <a href = "http://www.dw.com/en/nigeria-pro-biafra-leader-nnamdi-kanu-missing-as-trial-resumes/a-40999227"target="_blank">has not been seen</a> in public since soldiers allegedly invaded his home in mid-September. <a href ="http://www.dw.com/en/n... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2017-11-21 | Before 21 November 2017, will Nnamdi Kanu, leader of Indigenous People of Biafra (IPOB), be found? | gjopen | 0 |
2018-01-04 | 2017-11-08 | ["http://www.cia.com/", "https://www.geo.tv/latest/171252-us-vice-president-pence-unwelcome-in-palestine-fatah-official", "http://www.cnn.com/2014/08/06/world/meast/mideast-hamas-support/index.html", "https://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2017/10/palestine-reconciliation-abbas-visit-gaza-hamas-fatah.html", "http:/... | binary | [["2017-11-08", 0.6], ["2017-11-08", 0.2], ["2017-11-08", 0.225], ["2017-11-08", 0.25], ["2017-11-08", 0.2], ["2017-11-08", 0.15], ["2017-11-08", 0.1], ["2017-11-08", 0.125], ["2017-11-08", 0.09], ["2017-11-08", 0.44], ["2017-11-08", 0.08], ["2017-11-08", 0.5], ["2017-11-08", 0.29], ["2017-11-09", 0.215], ["2017-11-09"... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/685 | On 12 October 2017, Hamas and Fatah signed a unity agreement which outlined terms for Hamas to transfer control of Gaza to the Palestinian Authority (<a href = "http://www.cnn.com/2017/10/12/middleeast/hamas-fatah-agreement/index.html"target="_blank">CNN</a>, <a href = "https://www.nytimes.com/2017/10/12/world/middleea... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2018-01-01 | Will Mahmoud Abbas visit Gaza before 1 January 2018? | gjopen | 0 |
2017-12-14 | 2017-11-09 | ["https://medium.com/incerto/the-most-intolerant-wins-the-dictatorship-of-the-small-minority-3f1f83ce4e15#.cq32okfgf", "https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/elections/pollsters-pundits-say-alabama-senate-race-impossible-predict-n828236?cid=sm_npd_nn_tw_np", "http://pressthink.org/2011/08/why-political-coverage-is-broken/",... | binary | [["2017-11-10", 0.75], ["2017-11-10", 1.0], ["2017-11-10", 0.85], ["2017-11-10", 0.85], ["2017-11-10", 0.68], ["2017-11-10", 0.85], ["2017-11-10", 0.875], ["2017-11-10", 0.875], ["2017-11-10", 0.85], ["2017-11-10", 0.635], ["2017-11-10", 0.5], ["2017-11-11", 0.445], ["2017-11-11", 0.47], ["2017-11-11", 0.49], ["2017-11... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/689 | The special election for Alabama's U.S. Senate seat vacated by now-Attorney General Jeff Sessions is scheduled for 12 December 2017 (<a href = "http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/new-alabama-poll-shows-warning-signs-for-republicans-elsewhere/article/2636366"target=_blank">The Washington Examiner</a>, <a href = "https://... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2017-12-13 | Will a Republican win the special election for Alabama's U.S. Senate seat? | gjopen | 0 |
2018-04-04 | 2017-11-17 | ["http://www.governor.ny.gov/news/governor-cuomo-announces-first-successful-autonomous-vehicle-demonstrations-new-york-state", "https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-01-31/waymo-robot-cars-need-little-human-help-as-gm-s-make-big-leap", "https://www.theverge.com/2017/10/17/16488330/gm-cruise-nyc-self-driving-car-... | binary | [["2017-11-17", 0.75], ["2017-11-18", 0.8], ["2017-11-18", 0.95], ["2017-11-18", 0.55], ["2017-11-18", 0.525], ["2017-11-18", 0.7], ["2017-11-18", 0.74], ["2017-11-19", 0.8], ["2017-11-19", 0.83], ["2017-11-19", 0.855], ["2017-11-19", 0.85], ["2017-11-20", 0.855], ["2017-11-20", 0.82], ["2017-11-20", 0.4], ["2017-11-21... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/696 | Cruise Automation, the self-driving unit of General Motors, <a href = "https://www.theverge.com/2017/10/17/16488330/gm-cruise-nyc-self-driving-car-test-cuomo"target="_blank">recently announced</a> its intention to test autonomous Chevy Bolts in New York City <a href = "https://dmv.ny.gov/dmv/apply-autonomous-vehicle-te... | Science & Tech | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2018-04-01 | Before 1 April 2018, will General Motors test an autonomous vehicle in New York City? | gjopen | 0 |
2018-04-04 | 2017-11-17 | ["https://www.mercurynews.com/2018/01/22/tesla-on-autopilot-slams-into-parked-fire-truck-on-freeway/", "https://waymo.com/apply/", "https://techcrunch.com/2018/01/29/waymo-orders-thousands-of-pacificas-for-2018-self-driving-fleet-rollout/", "https://www.nytimes.com/2017/10/04/technology/driverless-cars-testing.html", "... | binary | [["2017-11-17", 0.96], ["2017-11-17", 0.625], ["2017-11-18", 1.0], ["2017-11-18", 1.0], ["2017-11-18", 0.97], ["2017-11-18", 0.95], ["2017-11-18", 0.825], ["2017-11-18", 0.25], ["2017-11-18", 0.2], ["2017-11-18", 0.175], ["2017-11-19", 0.16], ["2017-11-19", 0.25], ["2017-11-19", 0.25], ["2017-11-19", 0.25], ["2017-11-1... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/694 | Alphabet's self-driving car company, Waymo, recently announced the testing of its driverless vehicles in Arizona and the planned launch of a driverless transportation service (<a href = "https://medium.com/waymo/with-waymo-in-the-drivers-seat-fully-self-driving-vehicles-can-transform-the-way-we-get-around-75e9622e829a"... | Science & Tech | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2018-03-13 | Before 1 July 2018, will Waymo launch a driverless transportation service open to the public? | gjopen | 1 |
2018-07-02 | 2017-11-21 | ["http://www.aljazeera.com/indepth/opinion/ashraf-ghani-philosopher-king-ethnonationalist-180201144845423.html", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/631465", "https://globalvoices.org/2018/02/05/in-afghanistan-governors-dont-just-step-down-because-you-ask-them-to/", "https://www.nytimes.com/2018/01/15/world/asia/... | binary | [["2017-11-21", 0.0], ["2017-11-22", 0.125], ["2017-11-22", 0.2], ["2017-11-22", 0.2], ["2017-11-22", 0.18], ["2017-11-22", 0.025], ["2017-11-23", 0.05], ["2017-11-23", 0.13], ["2017-11-23", 0.005], ["2017-11-24", 0.0], ["2017-11-24", 0.0], ["2017-11-24", 0.005], ["2017-11-25", 0.0], ["2017-11-25", 0.005], ["2017-11-26... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/704 | The stability of Afghanistan's government remains tenuous (<a href = "http://www.latimes.com/world/asia/la-fg-afghanistan-protest-20170703-story.html"target="_blank">LA Times</a>, <a href = "http://www.cfr.org/global/global-conflict-tracker/p32137#!/conflict/taliban-in-afghanistan"target="_blank">Council on Foreign Rel... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2018-07-01 | Before 1 July 2018, will Ashraf Ghani cease to be president of Afghanistan? | gjopen | 0 |
2018-10-03 | 2017-11-21 | ["http://jewishjournal.com/rosnersdomain/230810/is-bibi-in-trouble/", "https://www.timesofisrael.com/5-times-israeli-politicians-said-theres-nothing-to-it-and-ended-up-in-jail/", "https://www.ft.com/content/42ccd414-1879-11e8-9376-4a6390addb44", "http://www.jpost.com/Opinion/Presumed-innocent-542675", "https://www.haar... | binary | [["2017-11-21", 0.075], ["2017-11-21", 0.125], ["2017-11-22", 0.14], ["2017-11-22", 0.155], ["2017-11-22", 0.15], ["2017-11-22", 0.15], ["2017-11-23", 0.15], ["2017-11-23", 0.2], ["2017-11-24", 0.15], ["2017-11-25", 0.125], ["2017-11-26", 0.15], ["2017-11-26", 0.15], ["2017-11-26", 0.125], ["2017-11-27", 0.2], ["2017-1... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/698 | Prime Minister Netanyahu faces an array of challenges, including ongoing investigations (<a href = "https://www.nytimes.com/2017/08/06/world/middleeast/benjamin-netanyahu-israel-corruption-case.html"target="_blank">NY Times</a>, <a href = "https://www.nytimes.com/2017/10/31/world/middleeast/israel-rivlin-netanyahu-demo... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2018-10-01 | Before 1 October 2018, will Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu resign, lose a vote of confidence, or call new elections? | gjopen | 0 |
2017-12-27 | 2017-11-28 | ["https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Catalan_regional_election,_2017", "http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/catalonia-pro-independence-movement-what-its-like-carles-puigdemont-catalonians-vote-spain-a8099906.html", "https://elpais.com/elpais/2017/12/15/inenglish/1513333454_661556.html", "https://ig.ft.com/catalon... | binary | [["2017-11-29", 0.15], ["2017-11-29", 0.08], ["2017-11-29", 0.13], ["2017-11-29", 0.14], ["2017-11-29", 0.45], ["2017-11-29", 0.1], ["2017-11-30", 0.6], ["2017-11-30", 0.435], ["2017-11-30", 0.435], ["2017-11-30", 0.26], ["2017-11-30", 0.26], ["2017-11-30", 0.27], ["2017-11-30", 0.25], ["2017-11-30", 0.3], ["2017-11-30... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/773 | Examples of current and past pro-independence parties include the Catalan European Democratic Party (PDECat), the Republican Left of Catalonia (ERC), the Popular Unity Candidacy (CUP), Catalonia Yes (CatSi), and Democrats of Catalonia (DC). Regional elections are scheduled for 21 December 2017 (<a href = "https://www... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2017-12-21 | Will Catalan pro-independence parties hold a majority of seats after the upcoming regional elections? | gjopen | 1 |
2018-01-04 | 2017-11-28 | ["https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/markets/commodities/views/crude-oil-outlook-positive-but-prices-seen-capped-at-62/articleshow/61930524.cms", "https://af.reuters.com/article/africaTech/idAFL8N1MD1UY", "https://kaplanherald.com/2017/12/27/us-oil-settles-at-53-08-a-barrel-up-84-cents-after-libyas-largest-oilfield-s... | binary | [["2017-11-29", 0.54], ["2017-11-29", 0.35], ["2017-11-29", 0.3], ["2017-11-29", 0.25], ["2017-11-29", 0.575], ["2017-11-30", 0.25], ["2017-11-30", 0.25], ["2017-11-30", 0.22], ["2017-11-30", 0.11], ["2017-11-30", 0.1], ["2017-11-30", 0.21], ["2017-12-01", 0.225], ["2017-12-01", 0.225], ["2017-12-01", 0.215], ["2017-12... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/769 | Libya's Sharara oil field, the country's largest, has been beset by production shutdowns (<a href = "http://english.alarabiya.net/en/business/energy/2017/09/06/Production-restarting-at-Libya-s-Sharara-oilfield-after-blockade-lifted.html"target="_blank">Al Arabiya</a>, <a href = "https://www.reuters.com/article/us-libya... | Environment & Energy | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2017-12-29 | Between 29 November 2017 and 29 December 2017, will Libya's Sharara oil field experience a production shutdown? | gjopen | 0 |
2018-01-02 | 2017-11-28 | ["https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/worldviews/wp/2017/12/20/whats-behind-the-feud-between-saudi-arabia-and-iran-power/?utm_term=.c83da14d6e07"] | binary | [["2017-11-29", 0.0], ["2017-11-29", 0.0], ["2017-11-29", 0.0], ["2017-11-29", 0.025], ["2017-11-29", 0.03], ["2017-11-29", 0.01], ["2017-11-29", 0.01], ["2017-11-30", 0.01], ["2017-11-30", 0.005], ["2017-11-30", 0.005], ["2017-11-30", 0.01], ["2017-11-30", 0.0], ["2017-11-30", 0.0], ["2017-11-30", 0.0], ["2017-11-30",... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/757 | Tensions between Saudi Arabia and Iran over control of the Middle East have intensified. Some wonder if they will engage in military aggression against each other (<a href = "http://www.newsweek.com/saudi-arabia-iran-conflict-ballistic-missile-yemen-war-702913"target="_blank">NewsWeek</a>, <a href = "https://www.cnbc.c... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2017-12-31 | Will a lethal confrontation involving national military forces of Saudi Arabia and Iran result in at least one fatality for either side in December 2017? | gjopen | 0 |
2018-01-02 | 2017-11-28 | ["http://www.politicalbetting.com/", "https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2017/dec/01/project-fear-brexit-cold-reality-vote-again-second-referendum", "http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/britons-majority-in-favour-of-public-vote-on-final-brexit-deal-uk-politics-a8089161.html", "https://www.facebook.com/... | binary | [["2017-11-29", 0.25], ["2017-11-29", 0.01], ["2017-11-29", 0.005], ["2017-11-29", 0.0], ["2017-11-29", 0.0], ["2017-11-29", 0.0], ["2017-11-29", 0.0], ["2017-11-29", 0.0], ["2017-11-29", 0.0], ["2017-11-29", 0.0], ["2017-11-29", 0.0], ["2017-11-29", 0.0], ["2017-11-29", 0.0], ["2017-11-29", 0.0], ["2017-11-29", 0.0], ... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/756 | Some CEO's and Government officials have begun to call for a second referendum on Brexit (<a href = "http://www.spiegel.de/international/europe/anti-brexit-momentum-gaining-in-britain-a-1179590.html"target="_blank">Spiegel</a>, <a href = "https://www.ft.com/content/2b7c4192-d04d-11e7-9dbb-291a884dd8c6"target="_blank">F... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2017-12-31 | Will Great Britain announce a second referendum on Brexit by 31 December 2017? | gjopen | 0 |
2018-01-04 | 2017-11-28 | [] | binary | [["2017-11-29", 0.65], ["2017-11-29", 0.4], ["2017-11-29", 0.275], ["2017-11-29", 0.15], ["2017-11-29", 0.175], ["2017-11-30", 0.15], ["2017-11-30", 0.2], ["2017-11-30", 0.175], ["2017-11-30", 0.1], ["2017-11-30", 0.035], ["2017-11-30", 0.02], ["2017-11-30", 0.03], ["2017-11-30", 0.02], ["2017-11-30", 0.02], ["2017-12-... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/770 | China has proposed investing in web giants Tencent Holdings Ltd, Weibo Corp, and Youku Tudou, a platform owned by Alibaba Group Holding (<a href = "https://www.wsj.com/articles/beijing-pushes-for-a-direct-hand-in-chinas-big-tech-firms-1507758314"target="_blank">Wall Street Journal</a>, <a href = "https://www.wsj.com/ar... | Economics & Business | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2018-01-01 | Before 1 January 2018, will a Chinese government entity or state owned enterprise take a stake in Youku Tudou, Tencent, or Weibo? | gjopen | 0 |
2018-01-04 | 2017-11-28 | ["http://journals.plos.org/plospathogens/article?id=10.1371/journal.ppat.1002877", "http://www.who.int/csr/don/15-november-2017-marburg-uganda-kenya/en/", "http://www.who.int/csr/don/15-november-2017-marburg-uganda-kenya/en/ng", "http://www.who.int/mediacentre/news/releases/2017/uganda-marburg-virus-disease/en/", "http... | binary | [["2017-11-29", 0.5], ["2017-11-29", 0.0], ["2017-11-29", 0.225], ["2017-11-29", 0.505], ["2017-11-29", 0.38], ["2017-11-29", 0.56], ["2017-11-29", 0.2], ["2017-11-30", 0.15], ["2017-11-30", 0.05], ["2017-11-30", 0.005], ["2017-11-30", 0.01], ["2017-11-30", 0.1], ["2017-11-30", 0.08], ["2017-11-30", 0.1], ["2017-11-30"... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/762 | There have been confirmed cases of Marburg, a deadly virus similar to Ebola, for the first time since 2014 (<a href = "http://www.who.int/csr/don/15-november-2017-marburg-uganda-kenya/en/"target="_blank">World Health Organization</a>, <a href = "http://time.com/5013603/what-is-marburg-virus/"target="-blank">Time Magazi... | Healthcare & Biology | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2018-01-01 | Will the WHO confirm more than 10 cases of Marburg in 2017? | gjopen | 0 |
2018-01-02 | 2017-11-28 | ["http://www.un.org/en/sc/inc/pages/pdf/pow/powmonthly.pdf", "https://www.un.org/en/sc/documents/resolutions/2017.shtml", "https://www.un.org/en/sc/inc/pages/pdf/pow/powmonthly.pdf", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/630203", "https://www.un.org/en/sc/inc/pages/pdf/pow/forecast.pdf", "http://www.securitycouncilr... | binary | [["2017-11-29", 0.55], ["2017-11-29", 0.05], ["2017-11-29", 0.105], ["2017-11-29", 0.155], ["2017-11-29", 0.15], ["2017-11-29", 0.15], ["2017-11-30", 0.15], ["2017-11-30", 0.4], ["2017-11-30", 0.405], ["2017-11-30", 0.155], ["2017-11-30", 0.155], ["2017-11-30", 0.16], ["2017-11-30", 0.15], ["2017-11-30", 0.15], ["2017-... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/765 | This question will resolve as "yes" if the United Nations Security Council (UNSC) adopts a resolution during the period of interest in which the country/region of interest appears in the short description in the <a href = "http://www.un.org/en/sc/documents/resolutions/2017.shtml"target="-blank">Security Council Resolut... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2017-12-23 | Will the UN Security Council adopt a resolution concerning Somalia between 29 November 2017 and 22 December 2017 ? | gjopen | 0 |
2018-01-02 | 2017-11-28 | ["https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Syrian_Civil_War#/media/File:Syrian_Civil_War_map.svg", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/629627", "http://english.alarabiya.net/en/News/middle-east/2017/12/24/Moscow-to-Syrian-Opposition-We-do-not-support-Bashar-al-Assad-s-departure-.html", "http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2017/11/... | binary | [["2017-11-29", 0.05], ["2017-11-29", 0.0], ["2017-11-29", 0.0], ["2017-11-29", 0.0], ["2017-11-29", 0.0], ["2017-11-29", 0.0], ["2017-11-29", 0.0], ["2017-11-29", 0.0], ["2017-11-29", 0.0], ["2017-11-29", 0.025], ["2017-11-30", 0.05], ["2017-11-30", 0.05], ["2017-11-30", 0.05], ["2017-11-30", 0.05], ["2017-11-30", 0.0... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/755 | Leaders of Russia, Turkey, and Iran are sponsoring a conference aimed at achieving a peaceful settlement of the Syrian civil war (<a href = "https://www.nytimes.com/2017/11/22/world/europe/russia-turkey-iran-syria-war-peace-talks.html"target="_blank">NY Times</a>, <a href = "http://english.alarabiya.net/en/views/news/m... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2017-12-31 | Will a framework for an end to the Syrian conflict be agreed upon by 31 December 2017? | gjopen | 0 |
2018-01-04 | 2017-11-28 | ["https://www.reuters.com/article/us-southkorea-trade-solar/south-korea-may-consider-filing-wto-complaint-over-u-s-solar-tariffs-idUSKBN1D2115", "https://www.ndtv.com/world-news/us-takes-india-back-to-world-trade-organization-in-solar-power-dispute-1790191?pfrom=home-lateststories"] | binary | [["2017-11-29", 0.01], ["2017-11-29", 0.0], ["2017-11-29", 0.025], ["2017-11-29", 0.03], ["2017-11-29", 0.02], ["2017-11-29", 0.03], ["2017-11-30", 0.03], ["2017-11-30", 0.03], ["2017-11-30", 0.015], ["2017-11-30", 0.0], ["2017-11-30", 0.0], ["2017-11-30", 0.0], ["2017-11-30", 0.005], ["2017-11-30", 0.0], ["2017-11-30"... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/764 | South Korea has threatened to file a WTO complaint if the US imposes additional tariffs or import restrictions on solar panels (<a href = "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-southkorea-trade-solar/south-korea-may-consider-filing-wto-complaint-over-u-s-solar-tariffs-idUSKBN1D2115"target="_blank">Reuters</a>, <a href = "h... | Economics & Business | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2018-01-01 | Before 1 January 2018, will South Korea file a World Trade Organization dispute against the United States related to solar panels? | gjopen | 0 |
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