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1
2018-01-07
2017-06-13
["http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/pdf/10.1080/1350485021012458", "https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DJYKVpiW4AIUtNG.jpg:large", "https://www.eia.gov/tools/faqs/faq.php?id=32&t=6", "http://www.mauldineconomics.com/frontlinethoughts/the-world-turned-upside-down", "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/498-before-1-january-2018-w...
binary
[["2017-06-13", 0.0], ["2017-06-13", 0.15], ["2017-06-14", 0.08], ["2017-06-14", 0.0], ["2017-06-14", 0.005], ["2017-06-14", 0.05], ["2017-06-15", 0.05], ["2017-06-15", 0.175], ["2017-06-15", 0.375], ["2017-06-15", 0.15], ["2017-06-15", 0.1], ["2017-06-16", 0.08], ["2017-06-16", 0.11], ["2017-06-16", 0.155], ["2017-06-...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/498
The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) is a measure of the implied volatility of S&P 500 index options. Outcome will be determined based on the reported intraday values calculated and published by the Chicago Board Options Exchange (<a href="http://www.cboe.com/delayedquote/advanced-charts?ticker=VIX" target="_blank">CBOE</a>...
Economics & Business
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2017-12-31
Before 1 January 2018, will the Chicago Board Options Exchange's CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) exceed 30?
gjopen
0
2017-12-04
2017-06-13
["https://asia.nikkei.com/Spotlight/China-s-party-congress-2017/China-s-anti-graft-czar-Wang-Qishan-to-bow-out-party-sources-say", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/602234", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/597677", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/594905", "https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Epocht...
binary
[["2017-06-13", 0.65], ["2017-06-13", 0.75], ["2017-06-14", 0.7], ["2017-06-14", 0.67], ["2017-06-15", 0.71], ["2017-06-15", 0.75], ["2017-06-15", 0.75], ["2017-06-15", 0.625], ["2017-06-15", 0.8], ["2017-06-16", 0.8], ["2017-06-16", 0.85], ["2017-06-16", 0.92], ["2017-06-17", 0.92], ["2017-06-18", 0.885], ["2017-06-18...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/500
China's National Congress will meet in autumn 2017 to select leaders for the new term. Wang Qishan has served on the Politburo Standing Committee since 2012 (<a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2017/03/02/world/asia/xi-jinping-china-retirement-rules.html" target="_blank">NY Times 3/2/2017</a> , <a href="https://www.wsj.co...
Politics & Governance
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2017-11-30
Before 1 December 2017, will it be announced that Wang Qishan has been elected to another term on the Politburo Standing Committee of the Communist Party of China?
gjopen
0
2018-02-15
2017-06-13
["https://twitter.com/ThabisoSithole/status/963059085284466690", "https://www.cnn.com/2018/02/13/africa/jacob-zuma-south-africa-recall-intl/index.html", "https://apnews.com/955b8e9fbe01472aa27ceb9c953cc745/South-African-ruling-party-leaders-to-meet-amid-Zuma-limbo", "https://www.watson.ch/!964164319?utm_source=whatsapp...
binary
[["2017-06-13", 0.37], ["2017-06-13", 0.2], ["2017-06-14", 0.1], ["2017-06-15", 0.165], ["2017-06-15", 0.25], ["2017-06-15", 0.15], ["2017-06-15", 0.15], ["2017-06-16", 0.125], ["2017-06-16", 0.165], ["2017-06-16", 0.12], ["2017-06-17", 0.09], ["2017-06-17", 0.08], ["2017-06-17", 0.095], ["2017-06-18", 0.09], ["2017-06...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/501
A controversial cabinet reshuffling brings new protests for the South African President to step down (<a href="http://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-39526313" target="_blank">BBC</a>, <a href="http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2017/04/south-africa-anc-president-jacob-zuma-170406020948329.html" target="_blank">Al Jazeera</a>...
Politics & Governance
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2018-02-14
Will Jacob Zuma cease to be president of South Africa before 1 July 2018?
gjopen
1
2018-01-28
2017-06-16
["https://www.cnbc.com/2017/08/30/how-apples-market-cap-could-reach-1-trillion.html", "https://www.investing.com/central-banks/fed-rate-monitor", "https://www.nytimes.com/2017/08/19/technology/farhads-and-mikes-week-in-tech-apples-big-media-bet-and-more-uber-drama.html?emc=edit_th_20170820&amp;nl=todaysheadlines&amp;nl...
binary
[["2017-06-16", 0.75], ["2017-06-16", 0.17], ["2017-06-16", 0.15], ["2017-06-16", 0.085], ["2017-06-16", 0.03], ["2017-06-16", 0.03], ["2017-06-16", 0.03], ["2017-06-17", 0.19], ["2017-06-17", 0.135], ["2017-06-17", 0.1], ["2017-06-17", 0.095], ["2017-06-17", 0.1], ["2017-06-17", 0.1], ["2017-06-17", 0.09], ["2017-06-1...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/502
Outcome will be determined by the end-of-day "Market Cap" figure reported by Bloomberg (<a href = "https://www.bloomberg.com/quote/AAPL:US"target="_blank">Bloomberg</a>) <sub>Confused? Check our <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#question" target="_blank">FAQ</a> or <a href="mailto:clarifications@goodjudgment.com?s...
Economics & Business
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2018-01-01
Will Apple's end-of-day market capitalization exceed $1 trillion before 1 January 2018?
gjopen
0
2019-12-09
2017-06-30
["https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/242745"]
binary
[["2017-06-30", 0.0], ["2017-06-30", 0.35], ["2017-07-01", 0.675], ["2017-07-01", 0.5], ["2017-07-01", 0.05], ["2017-07-01", 0.1], ["2017-07-01", 0.1], ["2017-07-01", 0.01], ["2017-07-02", 0.01], ["2017-07-02", 0.355], ["2017-07-02", 0.355], ["2017-07-03", 0.355], ["2017-07-03", 0.03], ["2017-07-03", 0.08], ["2017-07-0...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/521
The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series...
Security & Defense
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2017-10-01
Between 1 July 2017 and 30 June 2018, will an armed group from Yemen engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Yemen?
gjopen
0
2019-12-09
2017-06-30
["http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2017/09/iraq-army-intervene-kurds-referendum-escalates-170917042312324.html", "http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2017/09/twin-suicide-attacks-leave-dozens-dead-southern-iraq-170914132448913.html", "https://www.iraqbodycount.org/database/", "http://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-41270791"...
binary
[["2017-06-30", 0.05], ["2017-06-30", 0.45], ["2017-07-01", 0.725], ["2017-07-01", 0.725], ["2017-07-01", 0.275], ["2017-07-01", 0.1], ["2017-07-01", 0.1], ["2017-07-01", 0.1], ["2017-07-02", 0.45], ["2017-07-02", 0.375], ["2017-07-02", 0.525], ["2017-07-02", 0.525], ["2017-07-03", 0.375], ["2017-07-03", 0.275], ["2017...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/523
The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series...
Security & Defense
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2017-10-01
Between 1 July 2017 and 30 June 2018, will an armed group from Iraq engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Iraq?
gjopen
0
2019-12-09
2017-06-30
["http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2017/09/south-sudan-election-risks-prolonging-civil-war-170909073239271.html", "http://foreignpolicy.com/2017/08/31/no-country-for-civilians-south-sudan/"]
binary
[["2017-06-30", 0.05], ["2017-06-30", 0.25], ["2017-07-01", 0.625], ["2017-07-01", 0.5], ["2017-07-01", 0.05], ["2017-07-01", 0.1], ["2017-07-01", 0.1], ["2017-07-02", 0.1], ["2017-07-02", 0.4], ["2017-07-02", 0.65], ["2017-07-02", 0.65], ["2017-07-03", 0.325], ["2017-07-03", 0.1], ["2017-07-03", 0.1], ["2017-07-03", 0...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/524
The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series...
Security & Defense
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2017-10-01
Between 1 July 2017 and 30 June 2018, will an armed group from South Sudan engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in South Sudan?
gjopen
0
2019-12-09
2017-06-30
["https://www.earlywarningproject.org/2017/03/29/state-of-the-world-mass-killing-in-2016", "https://www.state.gov/j/ct/rls/crt/2015/257526.htm", "https://www.hrw.org/news/2017/01/24/deadly-milestone-philippines-abusive-drug-war", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-philippines-drugs-idUSKCN1B80D5", "https://www.theguard...
binary
[["2017-06-30", 0.03], ["2017-06-30", 0.25], ["2017-07-01", 0.125], ["2017-07-01", 0.0], ["2017-07-01", 0.005], ["2017-07-01", 0.01], ["2017-07-01", 0.02], ["2017-07-01", 0.02], ["2017-07-02", 0.02], ["2017-07-02", 0.235], ["2017-07-02", 0.675], ["2017-07-02", 0.675], ["2017-07-03", 0.24], ["2017-07-03", 0.065], ["2017...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/518
The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series...
Security & Defense
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2017-10-01
Between 1 July 2017 and 30 June 2018, will an armed group from the Philippines engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in the Philippines?
gjopen
1
2019-12-09
2017-06-30
["http://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-iraq-kurds-turkey/turkish-tanks-trained-on-northern-iraq-in-show-of-force-ahead-of-vote-idUSKCN1BU19S?il=0"]
binary
[["2017-06-30", 0.01], ["2017-07-01", 0.0], ["2017-07-01", 0.0], ["2017-07-01", 0.005], ["2017-07-01", 0.055], ["2017-07-01", 0.055], ["2017-07-01", 0.005], ["2017-07-02", 0.01], ["2017-07-02", 0.05], ["2017-07-02", 0.05], ["2017-07-03", 0.01], ["2017-07-03", 0.03], ["2017-07-03", 0.03], ["2017-07-04", 0.02], ["2017-07...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/520
The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series...
Security & Defense
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2017-10-01
Between 1 July 2017 and 30 June 2018, will an armed group from Turkey engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Turkey?
gjopen
0
2019-12-09
2017-06-30
["https://warisboring.com/whats-the-democratic-republic-of-the-congo-doing-with-these-ukrainian-tanks/", "http://medafricatimes.com/13360-drc-violence-exodus-from-kasai-region-continue.html"]
binary
[["2017-06-30", 0.16], ["2017-06-30", 0.25], ["2017-07-01", 0.125], ["2017-07-01", 0.05], ["2017-07-01", 0.055], ["2017-07-01", 0.1], ["2017-07-01", 0.04], ["2017-07-01", 0.1], ["2017-07-02", 0.1], ["2017-07-02", 0.5], ["2017-07-02", 0.5], ["2017-07-03", 0.5], ["2017-07-03", 0.125], ["2017-07-03", 0.125], ["2017-07-03"...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/511
The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series...
Security & Defense
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2017-10-01
Between 1 July 2017 and 30 June 2018, will an armed group from the Democratic Republic of the Congo engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in the Democratic Republic of the Congo?
gjopen
0
2019-12-09
2017-06-30
["http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2017/08/taliban-suicide-bomber-kills-civilians-helmand-170823072606297.html", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-afghanistan-casualties-idUSKBN1A20RL", "http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2017/08/gunmen-attack-shia-imam-zaman-mosque-kabul-170825095421445.html"]
binary
[["2017-06-30", 0.03], ["2017-06-30", 0.45], ["2017-07-01", 0.225], ["2017-07-01", 0.01], ["2017-07-01", 0.015], ["2017-07-01", 0.02], ["2017-07-01", 0.03], ["2017-07-01", 0.03], ["2017-07-01", 0.02], ["2017-07-02", 0.025], ["2017-07-02", 0.285], ["2017-07-02", 0.625], ["2017-07-02", 0.625], ["2017-07-03", 0.55], ["201...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/507
The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series...
Security & Defense
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2017-10-01
Between 1 July 2017 and 30 June 2018, will an armed group from Afghanistan engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Afghanistan?
gjopen
0
2019-12-09
2017-06-30
["https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/oct/02/ethiopia-many-dead-anti-government-protest-religious-festival"]
binary
[["2017-06-30", 0.0], ["2017-06-30", 0.5], ["2017-07-01", 0.25], ["2017-07-01", 0.0], ["2017-07-01", 0.005], ["2017-07-01", 0.01], ["2017-07-01", 0.01], ["2017-07-01", 0.0], ["2017-07-02", 0.0], ["2017-07-03", 0.0], ["2017-07-03", 0.0], ["2017-07-04", 0.0], ["2017-07-04", 0.0], ["2017-07-04", 0.0], ["2017-07-05", 0.0],...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/512
The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series...
Security & Defense
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2017-10-01
Between 1 July 2017 and 30 June 2018, will an armed group from Ethiopia engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Ethiopia?
gjopen
0
2019-12-09
2017-06-30
["http://allafrica.com/stories/201709100041.html", "http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2017/07/rising-violence-forces-40000-flee-car-east-170710175551526.html", "https://www.earlywarningproject.org/risk_assessments", "http://www.unocha.org/sites/unocha/files/statement-and-speech/ERC_USG%20Stephen%20O%27Brien%20Statement%20t...
binary
[["2017-06-30", 0.03], ["2017-06-30", 0.25], ["2017-07-01", 0.125], ["2017-07-01", 0.0], ["2017-07-01", 0.005], ["2017-07-01", 0.01], ["2017-07-01", 0.01], ["2017-07-01", 0.01], ["2017-07-02", 0.01], ["2017-07-02", 0.105], ["2017-07-02", 0.105], ["2017-07-03", 0.105], ["2017-07-03", 0.03], ["2017-07-03", 0.03], ["2017-...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/510
The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series...
Security & Defense
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2017-10-01
Between 1 July 2017 and 30 June 2018, will an armed group from the Central African Republic engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in the Central African Republic?
gjopen
0
2019-12-09
2017-06-30
["https://www.acleddata.com/data/"]
binary
[["2017-06-30", 0.05], ["2017-07-01", 0.0], ["2017-07-01", 0.0], ["2017-07-01", 0.005], ["2017-07-01", 0.055], ["2017-07-01", 0.06], ["2017-07-01", 0.01], ["2017-07-02", 0.02], ["2017-07-02", 0.15], ["2017-07-02", 0.15], ["2017-07-03", 0.02], ["2017-07-03", 0.015], ["2017-07-03", 0.015], ["2017-07-04", 0.015], ["2017-0...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/519
The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series...
Security & Defense
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2017-10-01
Between 1 July 2017 and 30 June 2018, will an armed group from Sudan engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Sudan?
gjopen
0
2019-12-09
2017-06-30
["https://www.ushmm.org/confront-genocide/cases/zimbabwe", "https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-09-07/violence-flares-in-zimbabwe-as-mugabe-readies-re-election-bid"]
binary
[["2017-06-30", 0.0], ["2017-07-01", 0.0], ["2017-07-01", 0.0], ["2017-07-01", 0.005], ["2017-07-01", 0.055], ["2017-07-01", 0.05], ["2017-07-01", 0.0], ["2017-07-02", 0.0], ["2017-07-02", 0.05], ["2017-07-02", 0.075], ["2017-07-02", 0.125], ["2017-07-02", 0.125], ["2017-07-03", 0.05], ["2017-07-03", 0.025], ["2017-07-...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/522
The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series...
Security & Defense
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2017-10-01
Between 1 July 2017 and 30 June 2018, will an armed group from Zimbabwe engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Zimbabwe?
gjopen
0
2019-12-09
2017-06-30
["https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-09-24/why-nigeria-is-facing-secessionist-fervor-again-quicktake-q-a"]
binary
[["2017-06-30", 0.02], ["2017-06-30", 0.15], ["2017-07-01", 0.575], ["2017-07-01", 0.575], ["2017-07-01", 0.125], ["2017-07-01", 0.1], ["2017-07-01", 0.1], ["2017-07-01", 0.1], ["2017-07-02", 0.15], ["2017-07-02", 0.175], ["2017-07-02", 0.175], ["2017-07-03", 0.175], ["2017-07-03", 0.125], ["2017-07-03", 0.125], ["2017...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/516
The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series...
Security & Defense
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2017-10-01
Between 1 July 2017 and 30 June 2018, will an armed group from Nigeria engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Nigeria?
gjopen
0
2019-12-09
2017-06-30
["http://www.haaretz.com/world-news/asia-and-australia/1.809975?utm_source=dlvr.it&amp;utm_medium=twitter", "http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2017/09/myanmar-laying-landmines-bangladesh-border-reports-170906014211124.html", "http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2017/09/violence-lead-exodus-300000-rohingya-170907024358023.html", ...
binary
[["2017-06-30", 0.01], ["2017-06-30", 0.15], ["2017-07-01", 0.075], ["2017-07-01", 0.0], ["2017-07-01", 0.005], ["2017-07-01", 0.01], ["2017-07-01", 0.01], ["2017-07-01", 0.01], ["2017-07-02", 0.01], ["2017-07-02", 0.03], ["2017-07-02", 0.03], ["2017-07-03", 0.03], ["2017-07-03", 0.03], ["2017-07-03", 0.03], ["2017-07-...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/515
The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series...
Security & Defense
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2017-10-01
Between 1 July 2017 and 30 June 2018, will an armed group from Myanmar engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Myanmar?
gjopen
1
2019-12-09
2017-06-30
[]
binary
[["2017-06-30", 0.0], ["2017-07-01", 0.0], ["2017-07-01", 0.0], ["2017-07-01", 0.005], ["2017-07-01", 0.055], ["2017-07-01", 0.05], ["2017-07-01", 0.0], ["2017-07-02", 0.0], ["2017-07-02", 0.05], ["2017-07-02", 0.05], ["2017-07-03", 0.05], ["2017-07-03", 0.05], ["2017-07-03", 0.05], ["2017-07-04", 0.05], ["2017-07-04",...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/514
The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series...
Security & Defense
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2017-10-01
Between 1 July 2017 and 30 June 2018, will an armed group from Mali engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Mali?
gjopen
0
2019-12-09
2017-06-30
["https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-08-29/rebel-group-vows-to-step-up-attacks-against-burundi-s-government", "https://www.usnews.com/news/world/articles/2017-07-04/burundi-authorities-purging-army-on-ethnic-lines-rights-group"]
binary
[["2017-06-30", 0.01], ["2017-06-30", 0.25], ["2017-07-01", 0.125], ["2017-07-01", 0.0], ["2017-07-01", 0.005], ["2017-07-01", 0.01], ["2017-07-01", 0.01], ["2017-07-01", 0.0], ["2017-07-02", 0.0], ["2017-07-02", 0.05], ["2017-07-02", 0.05], ["2017-07-03", 0.05], ["2017-07-03", 0.015], ["2017-07-03", 0.015], ["2017-07-...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/509
The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series...
Security & Defense
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2017-10-01
Between 1 July 2017 and 30 June 2018, will an armed group from Burundi engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Burundi?
gjopen
0
2019-12-09
2017-06-30
["https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/asia_pacific/more-rohingya-pour-into-bangladesh-camps-at-full-capacity/2017/09/03/23101eee-9078-11e7-9c53-6a169beb0953_story.html?utm_term=.5411f4cee1fe"]
binary
[["2017-06-30", 0.01], ["2017-06-30", 0.15], ["2017-07-01", 0.075], ["2017-07-01", 0.0], ["2017-07-01", 0.005], ["2017-07-01", 0.01], ["2017-07-01", 0.01], ["2017-07-01", 0.0], ["2017-07-02", 0.0], ["2017-07-02", 0.0], ["2017-07-02", 0.025], ["2017-07-02", 0.025], ["2017-07-03", 0.0], ["2017-07-03", 0.0], ["2017-07-03"...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/508
The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series...
Security & Defense
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2017-10-01
Between 1 July 2017 and 30 June 2018, will an armed group from Bangladesh engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Bangladesh?
gjopen
0
2019-12-09
2017-06-30
["http://www.satp.org/satporgtp/countries/pakistan/database/casualties.htm"]
binary
[["2017-06-30", 0.01], ["2017-06-30", 0.05], ["2017-07-01", 0.025], ["2017-07-01", 0.0], ["2017-07-01", 0.005], ["2017-07-01", 0.0], ["2017-07-01", 0.01], ["2017-07-01", 0.0], ["2017-07-02", 0.01], ["2017-07-02", 0.01], ["2017-07-03", 0.03], ["2017-07-03", 0.03], ["2017-07-03", 0.03], ["2017-07-03", 0.01], ["2017-07-04...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/517
The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series...
Security & Defense
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2017-10-01
Between 1 July 2017 and 30 June 2018, will an armed group from Pakistan engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Pakistan?
gjopen
0
2018-01-08
2017-07-11
["https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jamaica_coalition_(politics", "http://www.rrstar.com/news/20170918/rauner-to-illinois-lawmakers-help-me-make-more-cuts", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Grand_coalition#Germany", "http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/local/politics/ct-bruce-rauner-amazon-st-louis-met-0919-20170918-story.htm...
binary
[["2017-07-11", 0.8], ["2017-07-11", 0.495], ["2017-07-11", 0.375], ["2017-07-11", 0.75], ["2017-07-12", 0.725], ["2017-07-12", 0.595], ["2017-07-12", 0.6], ["2017-07-12", 0.6], ["2017-07-12", 0.595], ["2017-07-13", 0.56], ["2017-07-13", 0.52], ["2017-07-13", 0.385], ["2017-07-13", 0.255], ["2017-07-14", 0.25], ["2017-...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/525
The question will close yes if Moody’s cuts its credit rating to Ba1, Fitch cuts its rating to BB+, or S&P cuts its rating to BB+ on any Illinois state general obligation bonds. Despite passing a budget, the state of Illinois remains at risk of having its credit downgraded to junk status (<a href = "http://www.marketw...
Economics & Business
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2018-01-01
Before 1 January 2018, will Fitch, Moody's, or S&P cut the State of Illinois’ credit rating to junk status?
gjopen
0
2017-12-27
2017-07-14
["https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-12-20/trump-is-said-to-plan-tax-signing-jan-3-due-to-technical-issue", "https://www.vanityfair.com/news/photos/2016/02/donald-trumps-short-fingers-a-historical-analysis#16", "https://www.wsj.com/articles/republican-leaders-push-spending-patch-to-avoid-shutdown-1512341550",...
binary
[["2017-07-14", 0.675], ["2017-07-14", 0.67], ["2017-07-15", 0.725], ["2017-07-16", 0.475], ["2017-07-16", 0.53], ["2017-07-16", 0.58], ["2017-07-17", 0.64], ["2017-07-17", 0.625], ["2017-07-18", 0.55], ["2017-07-18", 0.42], ["2017-07-18", 0.2], ["2017-07-18", 0.05], ["2017-07-18", 0.04], ["2017-07-19", 0.04], ["2017-0...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/530
The individual mandate is a part of the Affordable Care Act (ACA, or Obamacare) that requires most Americans to have health insurance or pay a penalty. In May 2017, the House passed a bill to “repeal and replace” the ACA with a provision that would end the individual mandate. The issue has moved to the Senate (<a href ...
Politics & Governance
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2017-12-22
Before 31 December 2017, will President Trump sign legislation removing the ACA's individual mandate to purchase health insurance?
gjopen
1
2018-02-12
2017-07-21
["https://www.docketbird.com/court-cases/Waymo-LLC-v-Uber-Technologies-Inc-et-al/cand-3:2017-cv-00939", "https://www.bloomberglaw.com/product/blaw/document/X1Q6NUBE2K82?bc=W1siQmxvb21iZXJnIExhdyIsIi9wcm9kdWN0L2JsYXcvc2VhcmNoL2h1Yi9ncm91cC81YzljODZjNjExNGRkN2JkODQxOTg", "https://www.natlawreview.com/article/federal-judg...
binary
[["2017-07-21", 0.75], ["2017-07-22", 0.7], ["2017-07-22", 1.0], ["2017-07-22", 0.94], ["2017-07-22", 0.59], ["2017-07-22", 0.875], ["2017-07-23", 0.85], ["2017-07-23", 0.875], ["2017-07-23", 0.85], ["2017-07-23", 0.88], ["2017-07-23", 0.865], ["2017-07-24", 0.8], ["2017-07-24", 0.75], ["2017-07-24", 0.775], ["2017-07-...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/537
In February, Waymo, a subsidiary of Alphabet (Google's parent company), filed suit against Uber Technologies and some of its subsidiaries for stealing information related to autonomous vehicle development (<a href = "https://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2017/02/waymo-vs-otto-aka-google-vs-uber/517683/"target=...
Economics & Business
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2018-02-09
Before 1 July 2018, will Uber, or any of its subsidiaries, agree to a settlement or be found liable for trade secrets violations in the case brought by Waymo in the Northern District of California?
gjopen
1
2018-07-24
2017-07-21
["https://www.livescience.com/49594-electric-fuel-cell-vehicles-explainer.html", "https://assets.kpmg.com/content/dam/kpmg/xx/pdf/2017/01/global-automotive-executive-survey-2017.pdf", "http://www.visualcapitalist.com/14-companies-control-entire-auto-industry/", "https://www.theguardian.com/business/2017/oct/07/how-gree...
binary
[["2017-07-22", 0.2], ["2017-07-22", 0.58], ["2017-07-22", 0.68], ["2017-07-22", 0.8], ["2017-07-23", 0.52], ["2017-07-23", 0.635], ["2017-07-23", 0.77], ["2017-07-23", 0.835], ["2017-07-24", 0.835], ["2017-07-24", 0.7], ["2017-07-24", 0.675], ["2017-07-25", 0.6], ["2017-07-25", 0.45], ["2017-07-25", 0.35], ["2017-07-2...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/539
For the purposes of this question, "major automakers" are any of the car brands or whole car companies identified in this <a href = "http://www.visualcapitalist.com/14-companies-control-entire-auto-industry/"target="_blank">infographic</a>. Volvo recently announced that starting in 2019 all new models it produces will ...
Economics & Business
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2018-07-20
Between 21 July 2017 and 20 July 2018, will any major automaker announce a date after which they will sell only electric or hybrid vehicles?
gjopen
0
2018-07-02
2017-07-25
["http://www.atimes.com/article/china-establish-court-obor-disputes/", "http://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-43198444", "https://www.redanalysis.org/2017/01/30/chinese-new-silk-road-east-africa/", "http://www.xinhuanet.com/english/2018-02/22/c_136992152.htm", "https://edition.cnn.com/2018/02/12/africa/somalia-al-shabaa...
binary
[["2017-07-25", 0.17], ["2017-07-26", 0.25], ["2017-07-26", 0.045], ["2017-07-27", 0.03], ["2017-07-28", 0.02], ["2017-07-28", 0.02], ["2017-07-29", 0.05], ["2017-07-29", 0.05], ["2017-07-30", 0.05], ["2017-07-30", 0.145], ["2017-07-30", 0.15], ["2017-07-31", 0.165], ["2017-08-01", 0.15], ["2017-08-01", 0.15], ["2017-0...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/541
Al-Shabaab has conducted attacks in Somalia and Kenya (<a href = "http://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-15336689"target="_blank">BBC</a>, <a href = "http://abcnews.go.com/International/us-military-carries-offensive-airstrike-somalia-trumps-authorities/story?id=47966876"target="_blank">ABC News</a>, <a href = "https://ww...
Security & Defense
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2018-07-01
Will al-Shabaab attack a US diplomatic facility in Africa before 1 July 2018?
gjopen
0
2017-10-04
2017-07-25
["http://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-politics-un-rights-idUSKCN1BA0ZN?utm_source=Sailthru&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_campaign=US%20Reuters%20News%20Now%202017-08-30&amp;utm_term=US%20Reuters%20News%20Now", "http://www.bbc.com/news/world-latin-america-41091745", "https://in.reuters.com/article/us-usa-venezuel...
binary
[["2017-07-25", 0.04], ["2017-07-25", 0.075], ["2017-07-25", 0.12], ["2017-07-26", 0.225], ["2017-07-26", 0.215], ["2017-07-26", 0.1], ["2017-07-26", 0.06], ["2017-07-27", 0.055], ["2017-07-27", 0.03], ["2017-07-27", 0.04], ["2017-07-27", 0.045], ["2017-07-28", 0.045], ["2017-07-28", 0.05], ["2017-07-28", 0.05], ["2017...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/540
Protests in Venezuela have become increasingly violent, with fatalities suffered by supporters of both sides, bystanders and members of the security forces (<a href = "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-politics-idUSKBN19A33U"target="_blank">Reuters</a>, <a href = "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-p...
Politics & Governance
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2017-10-01
Before 1 October 2017, will one day of protests in Venezuela result in more than 25 fatalities?
gjopen
0
2017-09-26
2017-08-07
["http://www.connectionivoirienne.net/116029/cote-divoire-un-mort-et-trois-blesses-dans-une-manifestation-des-agents-du-complexe-sucrier-de-ferkessedougou", "http://www.connectionivoirienne.net/115888/des-policiers-deployes-autour-dun-commissariat-au-sud-dabidjan-apres-une-manifestation", "http://www.connectionivoirien...
binary
[["2017-08-09", 0.15], ["2017-08-09", 0.08], ["2017-08-09", 0.045], ["2017-08-09", 0.505], ["2017-08-09", 0.575], ["2017-08-09", 0.5], ["2017-08-09", 0.15], ["2017-08-09", 0.25], ["2017-08-09", 0.225], ["2017-08-09", 0.225], ["2017-08-09", 0.1], ["2017-08-09", 0.15], ["2017-08-09", 0.125], ["2017-08-09", 0.125], ["2017...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/546
<b>This question closed as "a) Yes", with and end date of 31 August 2017.</b> The Armed Conflict Location and Event Dataset (ACLED) summarizes press reports on conflict and protest events in Africa and parts of Asia. Outcome will be determined by "The Realtime August 2017 All Africa File" found on the Realtime Data...
Security & Defense
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2017-08-31
Will ACLED record a riot/protest event in the Cote d’Ivoire (Ivory Coast) for August 2017?
gjopen
1
2017-10-31
2017-08-07
["http://www.fews.net/east-africa/yemen/key-message-update/september-2017-1", "https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/africa/un-chief-says-donors-kept-famine-at-bay--but-aid-needed/2017/10/12/cfc6d678-af9a-11e7-9b93-b97043e57a22_story.html?utm_term=.100fcc7fabf5", "https://www.hrw.org/news/2017/09/27/yemen-coalitions-blo...
binary
[["2017-08-09", 0.2], ["2017-08-09", 0.205], ["2017-08-09", 0.16], ["2017-08-09", 0.7], ["2017-08-09", 0.885], ["2017-08-09", 0.55], ["2017-08-09", 0.65], ["2017-08-09", 0.425], ["2017-08-09", 0.51], ["2017-08-09", 0.51], ["2017-08-09", 0.455], ["2017-08-09", 0.4], ["2017-08-09", 0.25], ["2017-08-09", 0.25], ["2017-08-...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/545
The <a href = "http://www.fews.net/about-us"target="_blank">Famine Early Warning Systems Network </a> provides early warning and analysis on acute food insecurity around the world. This question will resolve as "yes" if FEWS NET publishes one or more Food Security Alert(s) between 9 August 2017 and 25 October 2017 that...
Politics & Governance
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2017-10-25
Will FEWS NET publish a Food Security Alert with "famine" and "Yemen" in its headline between 9 August 2017 and 25 October 2017?
gjopen
0
2017-10-10
2017-08-07
["http://www.middleeasteye.net/news/israeli-mp-prays-flashpoint-jerusalem-holy-site-1638187306", "https://www.slideshare.net/milouness/leading-above-mediocre-thinking", "http://edition.cnn.com/2017/07/24/middleeast/israeli-embassy-jordan/index.html", "http://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/israeli-prime-minister...
binary
[["2017-08-09", 0.28], ["2017-08-09", 0.65], ["2017-08-09", 0.4], ["2017-08-09", 0.2], ["2017-08-09", 0.5], ["2017-08-09", 0.25], ["2017-08-09", 0.2], ["2017-08-09", 0.4], ["2017-08-09", 0.16], ["2017-08-09", 0.11], ["2017-08-09", 0.12], ["2017-08-09", 0.15], ["2017-08-09", 0.125], ["2017-08-09", 0.125], ["2017-08-09",...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/548
The question will resolve as "yes" if the <a href = "http://eventdata.parusanalytics.com/data.dir/atrocities.html"target="_blank">PITF Worldwide Atrocities Dataset</a> records any event with a start date (Start Month, Start Day, Start Year) between 9 August 2017 and 31 August 2017, inclusive, for which 'Event Location:...
Security & Defense
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2017-09-01
Will the Political Instability Task Force (PITF) Worldwide Atrocities Dataset record an event perpetrated by a non-state actor in Israel that starts between 9 August 2017 and 31 August 2017, inclusive?
gjopen
0
2018-07-02
2017-08-15
["http://www.atimes.com/article/duterte-reaches-unlimited-unending-power/", "http://opinion.inquirer.net/106651/ending-martial-law#ixzz4r0045DG0", "https://psa.gov.ph/content/mindanao-comprised-about-24-percent-philippines-total-population", "https://www.state.gov/documents/organization/272485.pdf", "http://www.philsta...
binary
[["2017-08-15", 0.23], ["2017-08-16", 0.75], ["2017-08-16", 0.55], ["2017-08-16", 0.35], ["2017-08-16", 0.275], ["2017-08-17", 0.11], ["2017-08-17", 0.11], ["2017-08-17", 0.11], ["2017-08-17", 0.1], ["2017-08-18", 0.145], ["2017-08-19", 0.145], ["2017-08-19", 0.15], ["2017-08-20", 0.15], ["2017-08-21", 0.125], ["2017-0...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/561
Philippine President Rodrigo Duterte recently proclaimed martial law in Mindanao and nearby islands (<a href = "https://www.ft.com/content/67736a20-3fd6-11e7-82b6-896b95f30f58"target="_blank">Financial Times</a>, <a href = "http://thediplomat.com/2017/05/duterte-places-philippine-island-of-mindanao-under-martial-law-wh...
Security & Defense
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2018-07-01
Before 1 July 2018, will Philippine President Rodrigo Duterte proclaim martial law nationwide?
gjopen
0
2018-01-02
2017-08-22
["http://news.trust.org/item/20170822185245-7hu1f/", "http://humanitariannews.org/20171207/somalia-security-council-press-statement-somalia-security-conference-inaugural-somalia-part", "https://www.criticalthreats.org/analysis/map-update-2-al-shabaabs-humanitarian-response", "https://theintercept.com/2017/11/16/u-n-sec...
binary
[["2017-08-22", 0.91], ["2017-08-22", 0.1], ["2017-08-22", 0.39], ["2017-08-22", 0.365], ["2017-08-22", 0.45], ["2017-08-22", 0.11], ["2017-08-22", 0.3], ["2017-08-23", 0.475], ["2017-08-23", 0.475], ["2017-08-23", 0.475], ["2017-08-23", 0.3], ["2017-08-23", 0.25], ["2017-08-23", 0.2], ["2017-08-23", 0.2], ["2017-08-23...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/564
In February 2017, the UN declared that parts of South Sudan were experiencing a famine (<a href = "http://www.voanews.com/a/un-government-declare-famine-in-parts-of-south-sudan/3731713.html"target="_blank">Voa News</a>), and other countries in Africa, including Somalia, are facing the possibility of famine in the near ...
Politics & Governance
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2018-01-01
Will the UN declare a famine in any part of Somalia in 2017?
gjopen
0
2018-01-02
2017-08-22
["http://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/turkish-army-engages-in-northern-iraq-for-first-time-in-nine-years-121032", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/614170", "http://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/55-pkk-militants-killed-over-last-two-days-across-turkey-121828", "http://www.yenisafak.com/en/news/more-than-100-pkk-terror...
binary
[["2017-08-22", 0.91], ["2017-08-22", 0.9], ["2017-08-22", 0.95], ["2017-08-22", 0.97], ["2017-08-22", 0.97], ["2017-08-22", 0.945], ["2017-08-22", 0.94], ["2017-08-23", 0.9], ["2017-08-23", 0.9], ["2017-08-23", 0.9], ["2017-08-23", 0.9], ["2017-08-23", 0.775], ["2017-08-23", 0.65], ["2017-08-23", 0.65], ["2017-08-23",...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/563
The last ceasefire between Turkey and the Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK) broke down in 2015, and thousands have been killed since (<a href = "http://www.cfr.org/global/global-conflict-tracker/p32137#!/conflict/kurdish-conflict, http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-20971100"target="_blank">Council on Foreign Relations</...
Security & Defense
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2017-12-01
Will casualties from the Turkey-PKK conflict exceed 125 in any month from August through November 2017, according to the International Crisis Group?
gjopen
0
2017-10-18
2017-08-23
["http://www.elclarin.cl/web/noticias/medios-y-periodismo/43-medios/23492-honduras-asesinado-por-sicarios-periodista-critico.html", "https://www.ifex.org/honduras/2017/09/19/carlos-william-flores-killed/", "https://knightcenter.utexas.edu/blog/00-18807-honduran-journalist-critical-irregularities-his-town-killed-hitmen"...
binary
[["2017-08-23", 0.12], ["2017-08-23", 0.35], ["2017-08-23", 0.225], ["2017-08-24", 0.075], ["2017-08-24", 0.06], ["2017-08-24", 0.02], ["2017-08-24", 0.01], ["2017-08-24", 0.02], ["2017-08-24", 0.03], ["2017-08-24", 0.03], ["2017-08-24", 0.065], ["2017-08-24", 0.04], ["2017-08-24", 0.04], ["2017-08-24", 0.025], ["2017-...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/567
The question will resolve as "yes" if the <a href = "http://eventdata.parusanalytics.com/data.dir/atrocities.html"target="_blank">PITF Worldwide Atrocities Dataset</a> records any event with a start date (Start Day, Start Month, Start Year) in the period of interest, inclusive, for which 'Event Location: Country' is th...
Security & Defense
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2017-10-01
Will the Political Instability Task Force (PITF) Worldwide Atrocities Dataset record an event perpetrated by a non-state actor in Honduras (HND) that starts between 1 September 2017 and 30 September 2017?
gjopen
0
2017-09-15
2017-08-23
["https://twitter.com/senegal221news", "http://senego.com/greve-de-la-faim-des-jeunes-khalifistes-modou-diagne-fada-considere-que-leur-objectif-est-atteint_556936.html", "https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/sg.html", "http://allafrica.com/stories/201709080698.html", "https://sn.usembassy.go...
binary
[["2017-08-23", 0.27], ["2017-08-23", 0.65], ["2017-08-23", 0.375], ["2017-08-24", 0.2], ["2017-08-24", 0.65], ["2017-08-24", 0.32], ["2017-08-24", 1.0], ["2017-08-24", 0.895], ["2017-08-24", 0.88], ["2017-08-24", 0.88], ["2017-08-24", 0.88], ["2017-08-24", 0.97], ["2017-08-24", 0.97], ["2017-08-24", 0.67], ["2017-08-2...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/568
This question closed as "a) yes" with an end date of 9 September 2017. The Armed Conflict Location and Event Dataset (ACLED) summarizes press reports on conflict and protest events in Africa and parts of Asia. Outcome will be determined by the "Realtime [Month of Interest] All Africa File" found on the Realtime Data...
Security & Defense
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2017-09-09
Will ACLED record any riot/protest events in Senegal during September 2017?
gjopen
1
2017-09-11
2017-08-25
["https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/anonymous-nfl-exec-on-colin-kaepernick-i-dont-think-he-can-play/", "http://profootballtalk.nbcsports.com/2017/09/01/colin-kaepernicks-old-position-coach-says-unemployment-is-football-related/", "https://www.theguardian.com/sport/2016/nov/11/sports-team-owners-make-huge-political-don...
binary
[["2017-08-25", 0.0], ["2017-08-25", 0.35], ["2017-08-25", 0.225], ["2017-08-25", 0.05], ["2017-08-25", 0.2], ["2017-08-25", 0.4], ["2017-08-25", 0.7], ["2017-08-25", 0.55], ["2017-08-25", 0.845], ["2017-08-25", 0.73], ["2017-08-25", 0.76], ["2017-08-26", 0.76], ["2017-08-26", 0.555], ["2017-08-26", 0.555], ["2017-08-2...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/569
<b>Colin Kaepernick was not signed by an NFL team. This question closed as "b) no" with and end date of 7 September 2017.</b> With the NFL season less than two weeks from kick-off, Colin Kaerpernick, the former starting quarterback for the 49ers, has yet to find a team (<a href = "https://www.cbsnews.com/news/colin...
Sports
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2017-09-07
Before 7 September 2017, will Colin Kaepernick be signed by an NFL team?
gjopen
0
2018-06-21
2017-09-01
["https://www.nytimes.com/2018/01/04/opinion/gerrymandering-supreme-court.html", "http://www.cnn.com/2018/01/09/politics/north-carolina-gerrymandering-case/index.html", "http://www.phillyvoice.com/the-supreme-court-and-gerrymandering-what-it-means-for-pennsylvania/", "https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/05pdf/05-204....
binary
[["2017-09-01", 0.75], ["2017-09-02", 0.85], ["2017-09-02", 0.55], ["2017-09-03", 0.625], ["2017-09-03", 0.6], ["2017-09-04", 0.625], ["2017-09-05", 0.82], ["2017-09-05", 0.69], ["2017-09-06", 0.475], ["2017-09-07", 0.475], ["2017-09-09", 0.43], ["2017-09-13", 0.42], ["2017-09-14", 0.375], ["2017-09-16", 0.325], ["2017...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/572
In November 2016, the District Court for the Western District of Wisconsin ruled 2-1 that the state legislature's redistricting plan was unconstitutional (<a href = "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-wisconsin-redistricting-idUSKBN13H0SV"target="_blank">Reuters</a>, <a href= "http://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/fed...
Politics & Governance
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2018-06-20
In Gill v. Whitford, will the Supreme Court rule that any part of Wisconsin's redistricting plan is an unconstitutional partisan gerrymander?
gjopen
0
2017-11-09
2017-09-06
["http://www.fews.net/west-africa/nigeria/alert/december-13-2016", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/591891", "http://www.fews.net/east-africa/south-sudan", "http://www.fews.net/critical-situation-nigeria", "http://www.fews.net/west-africa/nigeria", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/587263", "http://www...
binary
[["2017-09-06", 0.75], ["2017-09-06", 0.83], ["2017-09-06", 0.665], ["2017-09-06", 0.575], ["2017-09-06", 0.375], ["2017-09-06", 0.335], ["2017-09-06", 0.1], ["2017-09-06", 0.57], ["2017-09-07", 0.58], ["2017-09-07", 0.62], ["2017-09-07", 0.62], ["2017-09-07", 0.59], ["2017-09-07", 0.57], ["2017-09-07", 0.2], ["2017-09...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/588
<a href="http://www.fews.net/about-us" target="_blank">The Famine Early Warning Systems Network</a> provides early warning and analysis on acute food insecurity around the world. Question will resolve as "yes" if FEWS NET publishes one or more Food Security Alert(s) in the time period of interest that includes the word...
Security & Defense
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2017-10-24
Will FEWS NET publish a Food Security Alert with "famine" and "South Sudan" or "Nigeria" in its headline between 6 September 2017 and 25 October 2017?
gjopen
0
2017-09-15
2017-09-06
["http://www.latimes.com/nation/la-fg-us-northkorea-2017-story.html", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/567765", "https://usun.state.gov/remarks/7969", "https://www.nytimes.com/2017/09/05/world/asia/north-korea-nuclear-weapons-china.html", "http://www.un.org/en/sc/documents/resolutions/2017.shtml", "http://www....
binary
[["2017-09-06", 0.79], ["2017-09-06", 0.83], ["2017-09-06", 0.79], ["2017-09-06", 0.425], ["2017-09-06", 0.05], ["2017-09-06", 0.48], ["2017-09-06", 0.85], ["2017-09-06", 0.85], ["2017-09-07", 0.79], ["2017-09-07", 0.74], ["2017-09-07", 0.74], ["2017-09-07", 0.75], ["2017-09-07", 0.76], ["2017-09-07", 0.8], ["2017-09-0...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/585
The <a href="https://www.un.org/en/sc/documents/resolutions/2017.shtml" target="_blank">UN Security Council adopted</a> a DPRK resolution. This question closed as "a) yes" with and end date of 11 September 2017. This question will resolve as "yes" if the United Nations Security Council (UNSC) adopts a resolution dur...
Politics & Governance
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2017-09-11
Will the UN Security Council adopt a resolution concerning the Democratic People's Republic of Korea between 7 September 2017 and 4 October 2017?
gjopen
1
2017-11-29
2017-09-06
["https://www.wto.org/english/news_e/events_e/events_e.htm", "https://www.wto.org/english/tratop_e/dispu_e/dsu_e.htm#4", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/571629", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dispute_settlement_in_the_World_Trade_Organization", "https://www.reuters.com/article/us-gulf-qatar-wto/qatar-escalat...
binary
[["2017-09-06", 0.15], ["2017-09-06", 0.25], ["2017-09-06", 0.175], ["2017-09-06", 0.1], ["2017-09-06", 0.085], ["2017-09-06", 0.06], ["2017-09-07", 0.05], ["2017-09-07", 0.05], ["2017-09-07", 0.075], ["2017-09-07", 0.185], ["2017-09-07", 0.185], ["2017-09-07", 0.15], ["2017-09-07", 0.27], ["2017-09-07", 0.08], ["2017-...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/583
On 31 July 2017, Qatar filed WTO <a href="https://www.wto.org/english/news_e/news17_e/ds526_7_8rfc_04aug17_e.htm" target="_blank">complaints against the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, and Saudi Arabia</a> (<a href="https://www.reuters.com/article/us-gulf-qatar-wto-exclusive-idUSKBN1AG1WJ" target="_blank">Reuters</a>). ...
Politics & Governance
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2017-11-14
Before 15 November 2017, will the WTO establish a dispute settlement panel for any of Qatar's complaints against Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, or Bahrain?
gjopen
0
2018-07-02
2017-09-12
["http://iranprimer.usip.org/resource/iran-and-iaea", "http://iranprimer.usip.org/blog/2017/sep/11/report-iran%E2%80%99s-military-sites-and-nuclear-deal", "https://www.theguardian.com/world/2017/sep/29/iran-foreign-minister-zarif-europe-trump-nuclear", "http://www.foxnews.com/world/2017/10/01/russia-giving-cover-to-ira...
binary
[["2017-09-12", 0.6], ["2017-09-12", 0.19], ["2017-09-12", 0.01], ["2017-09-12", 0.02], ["2017-09-13", 0.015], ["2017-09-13", 0.01], ["2017-09-13", 0.015], ["2017-09-14", 0.02], ["2017-09-14", 0.085], ["2017-09-14", 0.1], ["2017-09-14", 0.035], ["2017-09-15", 0.0], ["2017-09-15", 0.02], ["2017-09-15", 0.02], ["2017-09-...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/597
The Iranian nuclear deal established a Joint Commission to adjudicate disputes between the IAEA and Iran over access to undeclared nuclear facilities (<a href="http://www.iranwatch.org/our-publications/nuclear-iran-weekly/how-will-inspections-work-iran-under-nuclear-deal" target="_blank">Iran Watch</a>). <sub>Confus...
Politics & Governance
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2018-06-30
Will any disputes over IAEA access to Iranian sites be referred to the Joint Commission before 1 July 2018?
gjopen
0
2017-11-07
2017-09-13
["http://allafrica.com/stories/201709210890.html", "http://www.africanews.com/2017/10/05/protests-after-assassination-of-mozambique-mayor-on-day-of-peace/", "http://www.dw.com/pt-002/populares-incendeiam-casa-de-comandante-da-pol%C3%ADcia-no-norte-de-mo%C3%A7ambique/a-40781795", "https://tradingeconomics.com/mozambique...
binary
[["2017-09-13", 0.35], ["2017-09-13", 0.45], ["2017-09-13", 0.225], ["2017-09-13", 0.275], ["2017-09-13", 0.275], ["2017-09-13", 0.36], ["2017-09-13", 0.05], ["2017-09-13", 0.05], ["2017-09-13", 0.205], ["2017-09-13", 0.36], ["2017-09-14", 0.45], ["2017-09-14", 0.67], ["2017-09-14", 0.66], ["2017-09-14", 0.71], ["2017-...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/599
The Armed Conflict Location and Event Dataset (ACLED) summarizes press reports on conflict and protest events in Africa and parts of Asia. Outcome will be determined by the "Realtime [Month of Interest] All Africa File" found on the Realtime Data page (<a href="http://www.acleddata.com/data/realtime-data/" target="_bla...
Security & Defense
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2017-10-01
Will ACLED record any riot/protest events in Mozambique in October 2017?
gjopen
1
2018-01-04
2017-09-13
["https://sputniknews.com/africa/201707261055901392-china-wants-to-resolve-djibouti-border-conflict/", "https://www.usip.org/publications/2016/07/chinas-troop-contributions-un-peacekeeping", "https://messengerafrica.com/2017/06/22/factbox-understanding-the-eritrea-djibouti-border-dispute/", "https://www.gjopen.com/comm...
binary
[["2017-09-13", 0.35], ["2017-09-13", 0.15], ["2017-09-13", 0.575], ["2017-09-13", 0.66], ["2017-09-13", 0.505], ["2017-09-13", 0.155], ["2017-09-13", 0.07], ["2017-09-13", 0.025], ["2017-09-13", 0.015], ["2017-09-14", 0.01], ["2017-09-14", 0.02], ["2017-09-14", 0.01], ["2017-09-14", 0.01], ["2017-09-14", 0.01], ["2017...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/602
As aggression escalates in the Djibouti-Eritrea conflict over the Dumeria Mountain and Island, China has offered to assist in mediation or peacekeeping if requested (<a href="http://venturesafrica.com/heres-how-the-international-community-reacts-to-the-eritrea-djibouti-border-dispute/" target="_blank">Ventures Africa</...
Security & Defense
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2017-12-29
Before 29 December 2017, will it be announced that Chinese troops are deploying to the disputed border region between Eritrea and Djibouti?
gjopen
0
2018-03-14
2017-09-19
["https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/619415", "https://www.reuters.com/article/us-cyber-hbo-indictment/u-s-prosecutors-charge-iranian-in-game-of-thrones-hack-idUSKBN1DL1YT", "http://l7.alamy.com/zooms/5f4451044af641f8985745d1fe7ce75d/teenage-girls-talking-on-telephone-in-bedroom-bxfff9.jpg", "https://www.iranhuma...
binary
[["2017-09-19", 1.0], ["2017-09-19", 1.0], ["2017-09-19", 0.625], ["2017-09-19", 0.125], ["2017-09-19", 0.0], ["2017-09-19", 0.0], ["2017-09-19", 0.0], ["2017-09-20", 0.0], ["2017-09-20", 0.0], ["2017-09-20", 0.0], ["2017-09-20", 0.0], ["2017-09-20", 0.0], ["2017-09-20", 0.0], ["2017-09-20", 0.0], ["2017-09-20", 0.075]...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/609
At least part of the attack must occur during the question's open period. The question will be suspended on 30 November 2017 and resolved on 31 January 2018 to allow for delayed reporting. The following levels of cyber attack will all count: Low-Level Cyber Attacks create temporary and/or localized disruption of se...
Security & Defense
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2017-11-30
Will Iran execute and/or sponsor a low or higher level cyber attack against networks owned by a US entity between 19 September 2017 and 30 November 2017?
gjopen
0
2018-03-16
2017-09-19
["https://www.iafrikan.com/2017/11/06/iox-cable-ltd-to-provide-first-subsea-route-between-u-s-and-india-via-brazil-and-south-africa/", "http://www.straitstimes.com/world/europe/nato-to-boost-use-of-cyber-weaponry-to-combat-russia", "https://securingtomorrow.mcafee.com/mcafee-labs/android-malware-appears-linked-to-lazar...
binary
[["2017-09-19", 0.99], ["2017-09-19", 0.275], ["2017-09-19", 0.05], ["2017-09-20", 0.9], ["2017-09-20", 0.725], ["2017-09-20", 0.33], ["2017-09-21", 0.01], ["2017-09-21", 0.675], ["2017-09-21", 0.75], ["2017-09-21", 0.8], ["2017-09-21", 0.775], ["2017-09-21", 0.6], ["2017-09-21", 0.675], ["2017-09-21", 0.675], ["2017-0...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/608
At least part of the attack must occur during the question's open period. The question will be suspended on 30 November 2017 and resolved on 31 January 2018 to allow for delayed reporting. The following levels of cyber attack will all count: Low-Level Cyber Attacks create temporary and/or localized disruption of s...
Security & Defense
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2017-11-30
Will North Korea execute and/or sponsor a low or higher level cyber attack against networks owned by a US entity between 19 September 2017 and 30 November 2017?
gjopen
0
2018-03-16
2017-09-19
["https://www.nbcnews.com/storyline/hacking-of-america/russian-president-vladimir-putin-signs-bill-targeting-u-s-foreign-n823901", "https://www.voanews.com/a/nato-sees-growing-russia-china-challenge/4141311.html", "https://www.newyorker.com/news/our-columnists/russian-journalist-explains-how-the-kremlin-instructed-him-...
binary
[["2017-09-19", 1.0], ["2017-09-19", 1.0], ["2017-09-19", 0.5], ["2017-09-19", 0.25], ["2017-09-19", 0.25], ["2017-09-19", 0.0], ["2017-09-20", 0.0], ["2017-09-20", 0.05], ["2017-09-20", 0.025], ["2017-09-20", 0.1], ["2017-09-20", 0.3], ["2017-09-20", 0.45], ["2017-09-20", 0.15], ["2017-09-20", 0.15], ["2017-09-20", 0....
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/610
At least part of the attack must occur during the question's open period. The question will be suspended on 30 November 2017 and resolved on 31 January 2018 to allow for delayed reporting. The following levels of cyber attack will all count: Low-Level Cyber Attacks create temporary and/or localized disruption of se...
Security & Defense
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2017-11-30
Will Russia execute and/or sponsor a low or higher level cyber attack against networks owned by a US entity between 19 September 2017 and 30 November 2017?
gjopen
0
2017-11-07
2017-09-20
["https://www.gjopen.com/questions/614-will-acled-record-any-civilian-fatalities-in-angola-in-october-2017#", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/573815", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/585442"]
binary
[["2017-09-20", 0.6], ["2017-09-20", 0.34], ["2017-09-20", 0.5], ["2017-09-20", 0.605], ["2017-09-20", 0.775], ["2017-09-20", 0.55], ["2017-09-20", 1.0], ["2017-09-20", 1.0], ["2017-09-20", 0.66], ["2017-09-20", 0.46], ["2017-09-21", 0.41], ["2017-09-21", 0.41], ["2017-09-21", 0.335], ["2017-09-21", 0.25], ["2017-09-21...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/614
The Armed Conflict Location and Event Dataset (ACLED) summarizes press reports on conflict and protest events in Africa and parts of Asia. Outcome will be determined by the "Realtime [Month of Interest] All Africa File" found on the Realtime Data page (<a href = "http://www.acleddata.com/data/realtime-data/"target="_bl...
Security & Defense
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2017-11-01
Will ACLED record any civilian fatalities in Angola in October 2017?
gjopen
0
2017-11-07
2017-09-20
["https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/584821", "http://www.thezimbabwemail.com/business/government-moves-ban-street-vending/", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/582607", "http://allafrica.com/stories/201709110121.html", "http://allafrica.com/stories/201709180253.html", "https://www.newsday.co.zw/2017/10/sk...
binary
[["2017-09-20", 0.55], ["2017-09-20", 0.3], ["2017-09-20", 0.425], ["2017-09-20", 0.35], ["2017-09-20", 0.575], ["2017-09-20", 0.2], ["2017-09-20", 0.2], ["2017-09-20", 0.15], ["2017-09-20", 0.05], ["2017-09-20", 0.05], ["2017-09-20", 0.0], ["2017-09-21", 0.0], ["2017-09-21", 0.02], ["2017-09-21", 0.035], ["2017-09-21"...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/615
The Armed Conflict Location and Event Dataset (ACLED) summarizes press reports on conflict and protest events in Africa and parts of Asia. Outcome will be determined by the "Realtime [Month of Interest] All Africa File" found on the Realtime Data page (<a href = "http://www.acleddata.com/data/realtime-data/"target="_bl...
Security & Defense
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2017-11-01
Will ACLED record any civilian fatalities in Zimbabwe in October 2017?
gjopen
0
2019-12-09
2017-09-29
["https://reliefweb.int/report/burundi/burundi-populations-risk-serious-concern-15-september-2017"]
binary
[["2017-09-29", 0.62], ["2017-09-29", 1.0], ["2017-09-29", 0.85], ["2017-09-29", 0.355], ["2017-09-29", 0.005], ["2017-09-30", 0.005], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-02", 0.11], ["2017-10-02", 0.235], ["2017-10-02", 0.22], ["2017-10-02", 0.22], ["2017-10-02...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/631
The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series...
Security & Defense
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2018-01-01
Between 1 October 2017 and 30 September 2018, will an armed group from Burundi engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Burundi?
gjopen
0
2019-12-09
2017-09-29
["http://www.france24.com/en/20171012-presidential-election-dr-congo-delayed-least-until-2019", "https://www.nytimes.com/2017/06/20/world/africa/democratic-republic-of-congo-bana-mura.html", "http://ewn.co.za/2017/10/16/26-bodies-of-ambushed-travellers-found-in-eastern-congo-chief", "https://www.globalsecurity.org/mili...
binary
[["2017-09-29", 0.01], ["2017-09-29", 1.0], ["2017-09-29", 0.505], ["2017-09-29", 0.08], ["2017-09-29", 0.075], ["2017-09-30", 0.15], ["2017-09-30", 0.02], ["2017-09-30", 0.02], ["2017-10-01", 0.085], ["2017-10-01", 0.01], ["2017-10-01", 0.01], ["2017-10-01", 0.075], ["2017-10-02", 0.15], ["2017-10-02", 0.3], ["2017-10...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/629
The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series...
Security & Defense
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2018-01-01
Between 1 October 2017 and 30 September 2018, will an armed group from the Democratic Republic of the Congo engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in the Democratic Republic of the Congo?
gjopen
0
2019-12-09
2017-09-29
[]
binary
[["2017-09-29", 1.0], ["2017-09-29", 0.01], ["2017-09-29", 0.505], ["2017-09-29", 0.505], ["2017-09-29", 0.08], ["2017-09-29", 0.02], ["2017-10-01", 0.05], ["2017-10-01", 0.05], ["2017-10-01", 0.035], ["2017-10-01", 0.035], ["2017-10-01", 0.035], ["2017-10-02", 0.05], ["2017-10-02", 0.15], ["2017-10-02", 0.35], ["2017-...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/625
The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series...
Security & Defense
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2018-01-01
Between 1 October 2017 and 30 September 2018, will an armed group from Nigeria engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Nigeria?
gjopen
0
2019-12-09
2017-09-29
["http://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-42071488#"]
binary
[["2017-09-29", 0.01], ["2017-09-29", 0.25], ["2017-09-29", 0.125], ["2017-09-30", 0.0], ["2017-09-30", 0.0], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-02", 0.0], ["2017-10-02", 0.0], ["2017-10-02", 0.04], ["2017-10-02", 0.08], ["2017-10-02", 0.08], ["2017-10-02", 0.0...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/619
The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series...
Security & Defense
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2018-01-01
Between 1 October 2017 and 30 September 2018, will an armed group from Zimbabwe engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Zimbabwe?
gjopen
0
2019-12-09
2017-09-29
[]
binary
[["2017-09-29", 1.0], ["2017-09-29", 0.6], ["2017-09-29", 0.3], ["2017-09-29", 0.0], ["2017-09-30", 0.1], ["2017-09-30", 0.1], ["2017-10-01", 0.05], ["2017-10-01", 0.05], ["2017-10-01", 0.025], ["2017-10-01", 0.075], ["2017-10-01", 0.05], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-02", 0.0], ["2017-10-02", 0.0], ["2017-10-02", 0.0...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/632
The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series...
Security & Defense
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2018-01-01
Between 1 October 2017 and 30 September 2018, will an armed group from Bangladesh engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Bangladesh?
gjopen
0
2019-12-09
2017-09-29
["https://www.sofx.com/2017/11/06/executed-741-civilians-mosul-battle-un-bbc-news/", "http://www.amnesty.org/en/latest/news/2017/10/iraq-fresh-evidence-that-tens-of-thousands-forced-to-flee-tuz-khurmatu-amid-indiscriminate-attacks-lootings-and-arson/", "https://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-iraq-kurds-khana...
binary
[["2017-09-29", 1.0], ["2017-09-29", 0.2], ["2017-09-29", 0.4], ["2017-09-30", 0.625], ["2017-10-01", 0.325], ["2017-10-01", 0.45], ["2017-10-01", 0.25], ["2017-10-01", 0.05], ["2017-10-02", 0.15], ["2017-10-02", 0.25], ["2017-10-02", 0.625], ["2017-10-02", 0.625], ["2017-10-03", 0.65], ["2017-10-03", 0.45], ["2017-10-...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/618
The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series...
Security & Defense
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2018-01-01
Between 1 October 2017 and 30 September 2018, will an armed group from Iraq engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Iraq?
gjopen
0
2019-12-09
2017-09-29
["http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-41708357", "https://www.longwarjournal.org/archives/2017/10/taliban-overruns-2-districts-in-southern-afghanistan.php", "https://unama.unmissions.org/sites/default/files/unama_protection_of_civilians_in_armed_conflict_quarterly_report_1_january_to_30_september_2017_-_english.pdf"]
binary
[["2017-09-29", 1.0], ["2017-09-29", 1.0], ["2017-09-29", 1.0], ["2017-09-29", 0.51], ["2017-09-29", 0.02], ["2017-09-30", 0.02], ["2017-09-30", 0.09], ["2017-09-30", 0.09], ["2017-10-01", 0.295], ["2017-10-01", 0.07], ["2017-10-01", 0.035], ["2017-10-01", 0.035], ["2017-10-01", 0.05], ["2017-10-01", 0.02], ["2017-10-0...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/633
The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series...
Security & Defense
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2018-01-01
Between 1 October 2017 and 30 September 2018, will an armed group from Afghanistan engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Afghanistan?
gjopen
0
2019-12-09
2017-09-29
["https://www.crisisgroup.org/europe-central-asia/western-europemediterranean/turkey/turkey-s-pkk-conflict-death-toll", "https://www.crisisgroup.org/europe-central-asia/western-europemediterranean/turkey/turkeys-pkk-conflict-kills-almost-3000-two-years", "https://www.nytimes.com/2017/10/14/world/europe/turkey-new-york-...
binary
[["2017-09-29", 0.03], ["2017-09-29", 1.0], ["2017-09-29", 0.51], ["2017-09-29", 0.085], ["2017-09-29", 0.09], ["2017-09-29", 0.015], ["2017-09-30", 0.0], ["2017-09-30", 0.0], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-02", 0.0...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/621
The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series...
Security & Defense
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2018-01-01
Between 1 October 2017 and 30 September 2018, will an armed group from Turkey engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Turkey?
gjopen
0
2019-12-09
2017-09-29
[]
binary
[["2017-09-29", 0.01], ["2017-09-29", 0.15], ["2017-09-29", 0.075], ["2017-09-30", 0.005], ["2017-09-30", 0.005], ["2017-09-30", 0.0], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-02", 0.0], ["2017-10-02", 0.025], ["2017-10-02", 0.175], ["2017-10-02"...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/624
The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series...
Security & Defense
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2018-01-01
Between 1 October 2017 and 30 September 2018, will an armed group from Pakistan engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Pakistan?
gjopen
0
2019-12-09
2017-09-29
["https://www.nytimes.com/2017/10/02/world/asia/philippines-rodrigo-duterte-drugs.html?rref=collection%2Fsectioncollection%2Fasia&amp;action=click&amp;contentCollection=asia&amp;region=strea", "https://www.reuters.com/article/us-philippines-drugs/philippines-war-on-drugs-and-crime-intensifies-at-least-60-killed-in-thre...
binary
[["2017-09-29", 1.0], ["2017-09-29", 0.01], ["2017-09-29", 0.505], ["2017-09-29", 0.51], ["2017-09-29", 0.435], ["2017-10-01", 0.85], ["2017-10-01", 0.85], ["2017-10-01", 0.43], ["2017-10-01", 0.005], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-02", 0.01], ["2017-10-02", 0.105], ["2017-10-02", 0.525], ["2017-10...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/623
The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series...
Security & Defense
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2018-01-01
Between 1 October 2017 and 30 September 2018, will an armed group from the Philippines engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in the Philippines?
gjopen
0
2019-12-09
2017-09-29
["https://orientalreview.org/2017/12/29/2018-outlook-africa/", "http://www.miamiherald.com/news/nation-world/article180277526.html", "https://www.reuters.com/article/us-ethiopia-violence/at-least-five-killed-as-police-fire-at-protest-in-ethiopia-idUSKBN1CV1P1", "https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/africa/they-started-...
binary
[["2017-09-29", 1.0], ["2017-09-29", 0.0], ["2017-09-29", 0.125], ["2017-09-29", 0.125], ["2017-09-30", 0.0], ["2017-09-30", 0.0], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-01", 0.025], ["2017-10-02", 0.05], ["2017-10-02", 0.03], ["2017-10-02", 0.05], ["2017-10-02", 0.05], ["2017-10-02", ...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/628
The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series...
Security & Defense
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2018-01-01
Between 1 October 2017 and 30 September 2018, will an armed group from Ethiopia engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Ethiopia?
gjopen
0
2019-12-09
2017-09-29
[]
binary
[["2017-09-29", 0.01], ["2017-09-29", 0.02], ["2017-09-30", 0.035], ["2017-09-30", 0.11], ["2017-09-30", 0.11], ["2017-10-01", 0.01], ["2017-10-01", 0.01], ["2017-10-01", 0.385], ["2017-10-01", 0.02], ["2017-10-02", 0.05], ["2017-10-02", 0.4], ["2017-10-02", 0.075], ["2017-10-02", 0.44], ["2017-10-02", 0.44], ["2017-10...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/617
The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series...
Security & Defense
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2018-01-01
Between 1 October 2017 and 30 September 2018, will an armed group from South Sudan engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in South Sudan?
gjopen
1
2019-12-09
2017-09-29
["https://www.ushmm.org/confront-genocide/genocide-prevention-blog/central-african-republic-again-at-risk-for-mass-atrocities", "http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2017/10/chief-draws-attention-car-crisis-171019073644591.html", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/591715", "http://www.globalr2p.org/publications/569", "...
binary
[["2017-09-29", 0.02], ["2017-09-29", 0.25], ["2017-09-30", 0.375], ["2017-09-30", 0.25], ["2017-10-01", 0.075], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-01", 0.15], ["2017-10-02", 0.3], ["2017-10-02", 0.25], ["2017-10-02", 0.36], ["2017-10-02", 0.16], ["2017-10-03", 0.15], ["2017-10-03", 0.05], ["2017-10-03", 0.04], ["2017-10-0...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/630
The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series...
Security & Defense
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2018-01-01
Between 1 October 2017 and 30 September 2018, will an armed group from the Central African Republic engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in the Central African Republic?
gjopen
0
2019-12-09
2017-09-29
["http://www.foxnews.com/world/2017/10/04/three-green-berets-killed-two-wounded-in-niger-ambush.html"]
binary
[["2017-09-29", 0.65], ["2017-09-29", 0.55], ["2017-09-29", 0.775], ["2017-09-29", 0.5], ["2017-09-30", 0.49], ["2017-09-30", 0.03], ["2017-09-30", 0.03], ["2017-10-01", 0.03], ["2017-10-01", 0.04], ["2017-10-01", 0.025], ["2017-10-01", 0.025], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-02", 0.0], ["2017-10-02", 0.0], ["2017-10-02...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/627
The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series...
Security & Defense
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2018-01-01
Between 1 October 2017 and 30 September 2018, will an armed group from Mali engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Mali?
gjopen
0
2019-12-09
2017-09-29
[]
binary
[["2017-09-29", 1.0], ["2017-09-29", 0.02], ["2017-09-29", 0.185], ["2017-10-01", 0.3], ["2017-10-01", 0.125], ["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-02", 0.0], ["2017-10-02", 0.05], ["2017-10-02", 0.44], ["2017-10-02", 0.44], ["2017-10-03", 0.125], ["2017-10-03", 0.1], ["2017-10-03", 0.02], ["2017-10-03", 0.02], ["2017-10-03"...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/622
The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series...
Security & Defense
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2018-01-01
Between 1 October 2017 and 30 September 2018, will an armed group from Sudan engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Sudan?
gjopen
0
2019-12-09
2017-09-29
[]
binary
[["2017-09-29", 1.0], ["2017-09-29", 0.01], ["2017-09-29", 0.28], ["2017-09-29", 0.285], ["2017-09-30", 0.04], ["2017-09-30", 0.04], ["2017-10-01", 0.06], ["2017-10-01", 0.02], ["2017-10-01", 0.02], ["2017-10-01", 0.135], ["2017-10-02", 0.015], ["2017-10-02", 0.335], ["2017-10-02", 0.45], ["2017-10-02", 0.58], ["2017-1...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/620
The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series...
Security & Defense
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2017-12-31
Between 1 October 2017 and 30 September 2018, will an armed group from Yemen engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Yemen?
gjopen
0
2019-12-09
2017-09-29
["https://navalny.feldman.photo/events/63/", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/569565", "https://www.reuters.com/article/us-myanmar-journalists/u-n-chief-says-arrest-of-reuters-journalists-shows-erosion-of-press-freedom-in-myanmar-idUSKBN1E8183", "https://www.theguardian.com/world/video/2017/oct/17/drone-footag...
binary
[["2017-09-29", 1.0], ["2017-09-29", 1.0], ["2017-09-29", 0.875], ["2017-09-29", 0.8], ["2017-09-30", 0.435], ["2017-09-30", 0.51], ["2017-09-30", 0.975], ["2017-10-01", 1.0], ["2017-10-01", 0.95], ["2017-10-01", 0.95], ["2017-10-01", 0.97], ["2017-10-01", 0.595], ["2017-10-01", 0.895], ["2017-10-02", 0.9], ["2017-10-0...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/626
The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series...
Security & Defense
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2018-01-01
Between 1 October 2017 and 30 September 2018, will an armed group from Myanmar engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Myanmar?
gjopen
0
2017-11-07
2017-10-06
["http://af.reuters.com/article/tunisiaNews/idAFL8N1MQ16A?feedType=RSS&amp;feedName=tunisiaNews", "http://af.reuters.com/article/commoditiesNews/idAFL8N1MQ16A?feedType=RSS&amp;feedName=tunisiaNews"]
binary
[["2017-10-11", 0.75], ["2017-10-11", 0.8], ["2017-10-11", 0.425], ["2017-10-11", 0.42], ["2017-10-11", 0.145], ["2017-10-11", 0.14], ["2017-10-12", 0.1], ["2017-10-12", 0.1], ["2017-10-12", 0.065], ["2017-10-12", 0.1], ["2017-10-12", 0.05], ["2017-10-12", 0.1], ["2017-10-12", 0.15], ["2017-10-12", 0.15], ["2017-10-12"...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/641
The Armed Conflict Location and Event Dataset (ACLED) summarizes press reports on conflict and protest events in Africa and parts of Asia. Outcome will be determined by the "Realtime [Month of Interest] All Africa File" found on the Realtime Data page (<a href = "http://www.acleddata.com/data/realtime-data/"target="_bl...
Security & Defense
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2017-11-01
Will ACLED record any civilian fatalities in Tunisia between 15 October 2017 and 31 October 2017?
gjopen
0
2017-11-07
2017-10-06
["http://awoko.org/2017/10/24/sierra-leone-news-disabled-people-protest-at-state-house/", "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/546-will-acled-record-any-riot-protest-events-in-cote-d-ivoire-in-august-2017", "http://www.thesierraleonetelegraph.com/sierra-leone-political-parties-registration-commission-calls-for-democracy-t...
binary
[["2017-10-11", 0.1], ["2017-10-11", 0.15], ["2017-10-11", 0.2], ["2017-10-12", 0.225], ["2017-10-12", 0.1], ["2017-10-12", 0.2], ["2017-10-12", 0.0], ["2017-10-12", 0.15], ["2017-10-12", 0.325], ["2017-10-12", 0.325], ["2017-10-12", 0.325], ["2017-10-12", 0.35], ["2017-10-12", 0.35], ["2017-10-12", 0.275], ["2017-10-1...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/640
The Armed Conflict Location and Event Dataset (ACLED) summarizes press reports on conflict and protest events in Africa and parts of Asia. Outcome will be determined by the "Realtime [Month of Interest] All Africa File" found on the Realtime Data page (<a href = "http://www.acleddata.com/data/realtime-data/"target="_bl...
Security & Defense
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2017-10-24
Will ACLED record any riot/protest events in Sierra Leone between 15 October 2017 and 31 October 2017? 
gjopen
1
2018-01-04
2017-10-09
["https://www.theguardian.com/world/2017/sep/06/nato-russia-belarus-zapad", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/North_Atlantic_Treaty#Article_5", "https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/europe/latvias-cellphones-stopped-working-russias-war-games-may-be-to-blame/2017/10/05/449162d4-a9d3-11e7-9a98-07140d2eed02_story.html", "htt...
binary
[["2017-10-11", 0.15], ["2017-10-11", 0.105], ["2017-10-11", 0.0], ["2017-10-11", 0.0], ["2017-10-11", 0.0], ["2017-10-11", 0.0], ["2017-10-11", 0.0], ["2017-10-11", 0.0], ["2017-10-11", 0.015], ["2017-10-12", 0.015], ["2017-10-12", 0.03], ["2017-10-12", 0.025], ["2017-10-12", 0.03], ["2017-10-12", 0.035], ["2017-10-12...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/645
If the relevant governments are overthrown during an invasion, an announcement by a third party government accusing Russia of invasion will count. Examples of past accusations of Russian military intervention include Georgia's claim that Russia invaded its territory in August of 2008 (<a href = "http://www.belfastteleg...
Security & Defense
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2017-12-27
Before 27 December 2017, will Poland, Estonia, Latvia, or Lithuania accuse Russia of intervening militarily in its territory without permission?
gjopen
0
2017-12-28
2017-10-09
["http://www3.asiainsurancereview.com/News/View-NewsLetter-Article?id=40999&amp;Type=MiddleEast", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/595758", "https://www.economist.com/news/finance-and-economics/21724416-borrower-refuses-pay-challenging-sharia-compliance-its-bond-infant", "http://www.imf.org/en/Countries/DZA", ...
binary
[["2017-10-11", 0.75], ["2017-10-11", 0.01], ["2017-10-11", 0.28], ["2017-10-11", 0.45], ["2017-10-11", 0.175], ["2017-10-11", 0.03], ["2017-10-11", 0.03], ["2017-10-11", 0.015], ["2017-10-11", 0.315], ["2017-10-12", 0.3], ["2017-10-12", 0.05], ["2017-10-12", 0.05], ["2017-10-12", 0.025], ["2017-10-12", 0.03], ["2017-1...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/646
As North African states struggle with declining revenues, a number are considering issuing sharia compliant non-interest bonds to attract more investors (<a href = "https://www.reuters.com/article/algeria-politics-idUSL8N1JH47A"target="_blank">Reuters</a>, <a href = "http://www.gulf-times.com/story/553167/A-new-world-o...
Economics & Business
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2017-12-27
Before 27 December 2017, will Algeria, Morocco, or Tunisia issue sharia-compliant government bonds?
gjopen
0
2017-12-28
2017-10-09
["https://www.reuters.com/article/us-brazil-corruption-temer/brazil-congressional-report-recommends-shelving-temer-charges-idUSKBN1CF2W4", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/595754", "https://www.goodreads.com/quotes/543727-plans-are-of-little-importance-but-planning-is-essential", "https://www.usnews.com/news/w...
binary
[["2017-10-11", 0.8], ["2017-10-11", 0.6], ["2017-10-11", 0.625], ["2017-10-12", 0.375], ["2017-10-12", 0.075], ["2017-10-12", 0.05], ["2017-10-12", 0.05], ["2017-10-12", 0.05], ["2017-10-12", 0.035], ["2017-10-12", 0.035], ["2017-10-12", 0.02], ["2017-10-12", 0.0], ["2017-10-12", 0.0], ["2017-10-12", 0.0], ["2017-10-1...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/644
According to the constitution of Brazil, a two-thirds vote is required for the Chamber of Deputies to authorize a trial by the Supreme Court or the Senate. For more information see <a href = "http://www.servat.unibe.ch/icl/br00000_.html"target="_blank">Title IV, Chapter II, Section III, Article 86 of Brazil's Constitu...
Politics & Governance
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2017-12-27
Before 27 December 2017, will Brazil's Chamber of Deputies vote to send Brazil's President Michel Temer to a Supreme Court or Senate trial?
gjopen
0
2017-11-22
2017-10-16
["https://www.wprost.pl/kraj/10086696/w-szczecinie-usuwaja-pomnik-wdziecznosci-armii-radzieckiej.html", "http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-36656226", "http://www.hopenothate.org.uk/2017/10/30/richard-spencer-bound-europe/", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/615950", "https://bip.malopolska.pl/umkalwariazebrzy...
binary
[["2017-10-18", 0.8], ["2017-10-18", 0.75], ["2017-10-18", 0.65], ["2017-10-18", 0.775], ["2017-10-19", 0.6], ["2017-10-19", 0.89], ["2017-10-19", 0.6], ["2017-10-19", 0.66], ["2017-10-19", 0.66], ["2017-10-19", 0.66], ["2017-10-19", 0.685], ["2017-10-19", 0.65], ["2017-10-19", 0.5], ["2017-10-19", 0.5], ["2017-10-19",...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/649
Poland's president has approved amendments to a law that bans the promotion of communism, including World War II era memorials dedicated to Soviet troops (<a href = "https://www.rferl.org/a/28778037.html"target="_blank">Radio Free Europe</a>, <a href = "http://www.thestar.com.my/news/world/2017/07/20/russia-preparing-r...
Politics & Governance
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2017-11-16
Between 18 October and 28 December 2017, will any World War II Soviet monuments be taken down in Poland?
gjopen
1
2018-01-02
2017-10-17
["https://www.news24.com/Africa/News/polisario-condemns-morocco-king-speech-on-western-sahara-20171108", "https://www.news24.com/Africa/News/new-un-envoy-in-morocco-to-restart-talks-on-disputed-western-sahara-20171017", "https://twitter.com/SamirBennis/status/921477268534329345", "https://www.spsrasd.info/news/en/artic...
binary
[["2017-10-17", 0.0], ["2017-10-17", 0.025], ["2017-10-17", 0.17], ["2017-10-17", 0.1], ["2017-10-18", 0.02], ["2017-10-18", 0.01], ["2017-10-18", 0.02], ["2017-10-18", 0.005], ["2017-10-18", 0.0], ["2017-10-19", 0.0], ["2017-10-19", 0.0], ["2017-10-19", 0.0], ["2017-10-19", 0.0], ["2017-10-19", 0.01], ["2017-10-20", 0...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/655
Renewed tensions between Morocco and the Polisario Front in the Western Sahara (<a href = "https://www.economist.com/news/middle-east-and-africa/21717383-back-spotlight-fate-western-sahara-no-closer"target="_blank">The Economist</a>, <a href = "https://www.nytimes.com/2017/01/16/opinion/north-africas-next-war.html"targ...
Politics & Governance
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2018-01-01
Before 1 January 2018, will the Moroccan government and the Polisario Front participate in official negotiations over Western Sahara?
gjopen
0
2018-07-10
2017-10-20
["https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2018/feb/20/trump-orders-bump-stock-ban-but-indicates-no-stronger-action-on-gun-control?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other", "http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/wireStory/trump-ban-bump-stocks-atf-53276472", "https://goo.gl/NU7ibS", "https://www.theonion.com/new-school-shooter-drill-includes-pract...
binary
[["2017-10-20", 0.435], ["2017-10-20", 0.65], ["2017-10-20", 0.52], ["2017-10-20", 0.45], ["2017-10-20", 0.625], ["2017-10-21", 0.6], ["2017-10-21", 0.61], ["2017-10-21", 0.65], ["2017-10-21", 0.245], ["2017-10-22", 0.19], ["2017-10-22", 0.195], ["2017-10-22", 0.19], ["2017-10-22", 0.14], ["2017-10-23", 0.21], ["2017-1...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/662
In the wake of the <a href = "http://www.abc15.com/news/national/police-confirm-reports-of-active-shooter-in-las-vegas"target="_blank">mass shooting</a> in Las Vegas on 1 October, the role played by so-called <a href = "https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2017/10/04/us/bump-stock-las-vegas-gun.html"target="_blank">'bum...
Politics & Governance
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2018-07-01
Before 1 July 2018, will the US federal government ban the manufacture, importation, possession, or sale of 'bump stocks'?
gjopen
0
2018-01-04
2017-10-23
["https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2016/apr/27/how-uber-conquered-london", "https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-10-24/after-london-ban-uber-s-latest-regulatory-nightmare-is-brazil", "http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-41940018", "http://www.businessinsider.sg/uber-heads-to-court-in-fight-for-london-survi...
binary
[["2017-10-25", 0.16], ["2017-10-25", 0.0], ["2017-10-25", 0.025], ["2017-10-25", 0.08], ["2017-10-25", 0.08], ["2017-10-25", 0.05], ["2017-10-25", 0.05], ["2017-10-25", 0.04], ["2017-10-25", 0.025], ["2017-10-25", 0.025], ["2017-10-26", 0.025], ["2017-10-26", 0.03], ["2017-10-26", 0.03], ["2017-10-26", 0.025], ["2017-...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/665
In September 2017, Transport for London (TfL; London's transport authority) <a href = "https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2017/sep/22/uber-licence-transport-for-london-tfl"target="_blank">rejected</a> Uber's application for a new license. Talks between Uber and TfL are ongoing (<a href = "https://www.standard.co.uk...
Economics & Business
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2018-01-01
Before 1 January 2018, will Transport for London (TfL) issue a license for Uber?
gjopen
0
2018-01-04
2017-10-23
[]
binary
[["2017-10-25", 0.05], ["2017-10-25", 0.125], ["2017-10-25", 0.33], ["2017-10-25", 0.415], ["2017-10-26", 0.4], ["2017-10-26", 0.7], ["2017-10-26", 0.125], ["2017-10-26", 0.05], ["2017-10-26", 0.125], ["2017-10-26", 0.2], ["2017-10-26", 0.25], ["2017-10-26", 0.215], ["2017-10-26", 0.275], ["2017-10-26", 0.18], ["2017-1...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/666
North Korea's submarine-launched ballistic missile (SLBM) program is continuing to advance (<a href = "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-northkorea-missiles-idUSKCN10Y2B0"target="_blank">Reuters</a>, <a href = "http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/08/01/north-koreas-submarine-missile-tests-critical-advance-highly/"targ...
Security & Defense
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2018-01-01
Between 25 October and 31 December 2017, will North Korea launch an SLBM?
gjopen
0
2018-01-04
2017-10-23
["https://www.nytimes.com/2017/01/06/world/asia/japan-south-korea-ambassador-comfort-woman-statue.html", "http://www.straitstimes.com/asia/east-asia/japan-to-refuse-renegotiation-on-comfort-women-deal-with-south-korea", "https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2017/06/30/national/politics-diplomacy/busan-assembly-passes-ordi...
binary
[["2017-10-25", 0.1], ["2017-10-25", 0.05], ["2017-10-25", 0.1], ["2017-10-25", 0.095], ["2017-10-26", 0.02], ["2017-10-26", 0.04], ["2017-10-26", 0.0], ["2017-10-26", 0.0], ["2017-10-26", 0.025], ["2017-10-26", 0.025], ["2017-10-26", 0.0], ["2017-10-26", 0.0], ["2017-10-26", 0.0], ["2017-10-26", 0.0], ["2017-10-26", 0...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/667
The "comfort women" statue in front of the Japanese Consulate in Busan, erected in December 2016, was opposed by Japan as a violation of the 2015 agreement settling the issue (<a href = "http://www.cnn.com/2017/02/05/asia/south-korea-comfort-women-statue/"target="_blank">CNN</a>, <a href = "https://www.nytimes.com/2017...
Politics & Governance
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2018-01-01
Will the "comfort women" statue be removed from outside the Japanese Consulate in Busan before 1 January 2018?
gjopen
0
2017-11-20
2017-10-24
["https://tradingeconomics.com/qatar/exports", "https://tradingeconomics.com/qatar/rating", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bond_credit_rating", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oil_reserves", "http://english.alarabiya.net/en/business/economy/2017/11/07/Qatar-c-bank-s-foreign-reserves-liquidity-drop-in-September.html", "h...
binary
[["2017-10-24", 0.01], ["2017-10-24", 0.01], ["2017-10-24", 0.33], ["2017-10-24", 0.33], ["2017-10-24", 0.01], ["2017-10-25", 0.015], ["2017-10-25", 0.02], ["2017-10-25", 0.02], ["2017-10-25", 0.01], ["2017-10-25", 0.01], ["2017-10-25", 0.005], ["2017-10-25", 0.01], ["2017-10-26", 0.01], ["2017-10-26", 0.01], ["2017-10...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/671
Recent macroeconomic developments have raised concerns regarding the debt profile of several GCC countries (<a href = "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-bahrain-ratings-fitch-idUSKCN0ZE1SG"target="_blank">Reuters</a>, <a href = "http://www.reuters.com/article/brief-moodys-downgrades-oman-to-baa-idUSFWN1KJ18G"target="_b...
Economics & Business
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2017-11-10
Between 24 October 2017 and 1 February 2018, will Bahrain, Oman, Qatar, or Saudi Arabia have their long-term issuer rating downgraded by S&P, Moody's, or Fitch?
gjopen
1
2018-04-27
2017-10-24
["https://www.cnn.com/2018/02/08/asia/north-korea-moon-jae-in-visit-possible/index.html", "https://www.reuters.com/article/us-olympics-2018-northkorea-southkorea/south-koreas-moon-hosts-talks-with-north-korean-leaders-sister-idUSKBN1FU05F", "https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/948194400114487296", "http://www.ne...
binary
[["2017-10-24", 0.0], ["2017-10-24", 0.0], ["2017-10-24", 0.005], ["2017-10-25", 0.01], ["2017-10-25", 0.02], ["2017-10-25", 0.0], ["2017-10-25", 0.0], ["2017-10-26", 0.0], ["2017-10-26", 0.0], ["2017-10-26", 0.0], ["2017-10-26", 0.0], ["2017-10-26", 0.0], ["2017-10-26", 0.0], ["2017-10-27", 0.0], ["2017-10-27", 0.0], ...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/669
South Korean President Moon Jae-in has said that he would be willing to meet with North Korean leader Kim Jong-un (<a href = "https://www.theguardian.com/world/2017/may/10/south-korea-new-president-moon-jae-in-meet-north-kim-jong-un"target="_blank">The Guardian</a>, <a href = "https://www.nytimes.com/2017/05/10/world/a...
Politics & Governance
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2018-04-26
Will Kim Jong-un and Moon Jae-in meet before 1 November 2018?
gjopen
1
2018-06-05
2017-11-03
["https://twitter.com/AHoweBlogger/status/938084955242065920", "http://www.latimes.com/local/lanow/la-me-bakersfield-baker-20180207-story.html", "https://www.cnn.com/2018/02/08/us/wedding-cake-ruling-trnd/index.html", "https://www.quora.com/How-do-you-feel-about-the-Supreme-Court-case-involving-the-Masterpiece-Cake-Sho...
binary
[["2017-11-03", 0.4], ["2017-11-03", 0.125], ["2017-11-03", 0.51], ["2017-11-03", 0.605], ["2017-11-03", 0.135], ["2017-11-03", 0.35], ["2017-11-03", 0.235], ["2017-11-03", 0.325], ["2017-11-03", 0.3], ["2017-11-03", 0.275], ["2017-11-03", 0.2], ["2017-11-03", 0.2], ["2017-11-03", 0.225], ["2017-11-03", 0.25], ["2017-1...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/681
In 2015, the <a href = "https://www.courts.state.co.us/Courts/Court_of_Appeals/Opinion/2015/14CA1351-PD.pdf"target="_blank">Colorado Court of Appeals</a><a href = "http://www.scotusblog.com/case-files/cases/masterpiece-cakeshop-ltd-v-colorado-civil-rights-commn/"target="_blank"> ruled</a> that Jack Phillips, owner of M...
Politics & Governance
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2018-06-04
In Masterpiece Cakeshop, Ltd. v. Colorado Civil Rights Commission, will the Supreme Court rule that the application of a Colorado anti-discrimination law to compel Jack Phillips to make a cake for a same-sex wedding violates any of his First Amendment rights?
gjopen
1
2018-06-25
2017-11-03
["https://www.thecipherbrief.com/article/exclusive/north-america/fisa-can-fixed-without-risking-american-lives", "https://www.aclu.org/legal-document/united-states-v-carpenter-reply-brief-petitioner", "http://www.scotusblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/16-402-cert-petition.pdf", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/commen...
binary
[["2017-11-03", 0.15], ["2017-11-03", 0.35], ["2017-11-03", 0.25], ["2017-11-03", 0.25], ["2017-11-03", 0.14], ["2017-11-03", 0.15], ["2017-11-03", 0.215], ["2017-11-03", 0.25], ["2017-11-03", 0.29], ["2017-11-03", 0.625], ["2017-11-04", 0.6], ["2017-11-04", 0.635], ["2017-11-04", 0.65], ["2017-11-04", 0.65], ["2017-11...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/678
In 2016, U.S. Court of Appeals for the 6th Circuit <a href = "http://caselaw.findlaw.com/us-6th-circuit/1731662.html"target="_blank">ruled</a> that prosecutors legally used historical cellular phone location records obtained without a warrant to convict two men, Timothy Carpenter and Timothy Sanders, of armed robbery. ...
Politics & Governance
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2018-06-22
In Carpenter v. United States, will the Supreme Court rule that investigators' warrantless use of Timothy Carpenter's cellphone records was unconstitutional?
gjopen
1
2018-06-12
2017-11-03
["https://www.gjopen.com/questions/680-in-husted-v-a-philip-randolph-institute-will-the-supreme-court-rule-that-ohio-s-supplemental-process-for-voter-registration-list-maintenance-is-legal/www.jstor.org/stable/1685855", "https://www.justice.gov/sites/default/files/briefs/2017/08/07/16-980_husted_v_randolph_institute_ac...
binary
[["2017-11-03", 0.65], ["2017-11-03", 0.85], ["2017-11-03", 0.735], ["2017-11-03", 0.56], ["2017-11-03", 0.525], ["2017-11-03", 0.55], ["2017-11-03", 0.5], ["2017-11-03", 0.5], ["2017-11-03", 0.525], ["2017-11-03", 0.45], ["2017-11-03", 0.525], ["2017-11-03", 0.55], ["2017-11-03", 0.55], ["2017-11-03", 0.575], ["2017-1...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/680
In 2016, the U.S. Court of Appeals for the 6th Circuit <a href = "http://www.scotusblog.com/case-files/cases/husted-v-philip-randolph-institute"target="_blank">ruled</a> that the state of Ohio's <a href = "https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2017/05/supreme-court-ohio-voting/528573"target="_blank">supplemental...
Politics & Governance
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2018-06-11
In Husted v. A. Philip Randolph Institute, will the Supreme Court rule that Ohio's supplemental process for voter registration list-maintenance is legal?
gjopen
1
2018-04-27
2017-11-03
["https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alien_Tort_Statute&quot", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/622983", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/617220", "http://www.scotusblog.com/2017/07/introduction-alien-tort-statute-corporate-liability-plain-english/", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/621332", "http://...
binary
[["2017-11-03", 0.25], ["2017-11-03", 0.05], ["2017-11-03", 0.115], ["2017-11-03", 0.125], ["2017-11-03", 0.285], ["2017-11-03", 0.5], ["2017-11-03", 0.5], ["2017-11-03", 0.525], ["2017-11-03", 0.525], ["2017-11-03", 0.6], ["2017-11-03", 0.65], ["2017-11-03", 0.65], ["2017-11-03", 0.565], ["2017-11-03", 0.465], ["2017-...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/679
In 2015, U.S. Court of Appeals for the 2nd Circuit <a href = "http://www.scotusblog.com/case-files/cases/jesner-v-arab-bank-plc"target="_blank">ruled</a> that the US <a href = "http://cja.org/what-we-do/litigation/legal-strategy/the-alien-tort-statute/"target="_blank">Alien Tort Statute (ATS)</a> did not permit lawsuit...
Politics & Governance
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2018-04-24
In Jesner v. Arab Bank, PLC, will the Supreme Court rule that aliens can sue a corporation under the Alien Tort Statute?
gjopen
0
2018-01-11
2017-11-07
["https://dailynewsegypt.com/2017/12/13/first-phase-russian-industrial-zone-implementation-starting-next-month/", "https://www.egypttoday.com/Article/3/36333/More-than-30B-Russian-deals-expected-during-Putin%E2%80%99s-visit", "https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/agreement", "http://abcnews.go.com/International/w...
binary
[["2017-11-07", 0.0], ["2017-11-07", 0.24], ["2017-11-07", 0.05], ["2017-11-07", 0.12], ["2017-11-07", 0.06], ["2017-11-07", 0.025], ["2017-11-07", 0.15], ["2017-11-08", 0.25], ["2017-11-08", 0.25], ["2017-11-08", 0.65], ["2017-11-08", 0.525], ["2017-11-08", 0.55], ["2017-11-08", 0.475], ["2017-11-08", 0.55], ["2017-11...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/683
Egypt and Russia are in discussions to establish a Russian industrial zone at Port Said on the Suez Canal (<a href = "http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2017-07/12/c_136436144.htm"target="_blank">Xinhua Net</a>, <a href = "https://af.reuters.com/article/africaTech/idAFL4N1ME2UT"target="_blank">Reuters</a>, <a href = "ht...
Politics & Governance
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2018-01-01
Before 1 January 2018, will Russia and Egypt sign an agreement to establish a Russian industrial zone on the Suez Canal?
gjopen
0
2018-10-03
2017-11-07
["http://www.dw.com/en/can-north-koreas-elites-oust-kim-jong-un/a-39091374", "http://www.businessinsider.com/north-korean-defector-thae-yong-ho-kim-jong-un-overthrown-10-years-2017-8", "http://summitlake.com/wp_1commentary/?p=534", "http://foreignpolicy.com/2013/08/20/mapped-the-7-governments-the-u-s-has-overthrown/", ...
binary
[["2017-11-07", 0.01], ["2017-11-07", 0.18], ["2017-11-08", 0.04], ["2017-11-08", 0.05], ["2017-11-08", 0.05], ["2017-11-08", 0.0], ["2017-11-09", 0.01], ["2017-11-09", 0.015], ["2017-11-09", 0.01], ["2017-11-10", 0.01], ["2017-11-10", 0.01], ["2017-11-10", 0.01], ["2017-11-10", 0.03], ["2017-11-11", 0.035], ["2017-11-...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/682
Observers of North Korean politics have speculated about various ways in which Kim's tenure might end abruptly, including military coup (<a href = "http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2016/02/11/north-korea-s-generals-could-turn-against-kim-jong-un.html"target="_blank">The Daily Beast</a>), assassination (<a href = "...
Politics & Governance
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2018-10-01
Before 1 October 2018, will Kim Jong-un cease to be supreme leader of North Korea?
gjopen
0
2017-11-29
2017-11-08
["https://www.chathamhouse.org/expert/comment/calls-biafran-independence-return-south-east-nigeria", "https://www.premiumtimesng.com/regional/ssouth-east/249751-biafra-dismiss-suit-make-produce-nnamdi-kanu-buratai-tells-court.html"]
binary
[["2017-11-08", 0.15], ["2017-11-08", 0.15], ["2017-11-08", 0.275], ["2017-11-08", 0.225], ["2017-11-08", 0.1], ["2017-11-08", 0.05], ["2017-11-08", 0.0], ["2017-11-08", 0.05], ["2017-11-08", 0.05], ["2017-11-08", 0.06], ["2017-11-08", 0.05], ["2017-11-09", 0.05], ["2017-11-09", 0.05], ["2017-11-09", 0.05], ["2017-11-0...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/686
Nnamdi Kanu is the leader of the IPOB separatist movement in Nigeria, but <a href = "http://www.dw.com/en/nigeria-pro-biafra-leader-nnamdi-kanu-missing-as-trial-resumes/a-40999227"target="_blank">has not been seen</a> in public since soldiers allegedly invaded his home in mid-September. <a href ="http://www.dw.com/en/n...
Politics & Governance
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2017-11-21
Before 21 November 2017, will Nnamdi Kanu, leader of Indigenous People of Biafra (IPOB), be found?
gjopen
0
2018-01-04
2017-11-08
["http://www.cia.com/", "https://www.geo.tv/latest/171252-us-vice-president-pence-unwelcome-in-palestine-fatah-official", "http://www.cnn.com/2014/08/06/world/meast/mideast-hamas-support/index.html", "https://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2017/10/palestine-reconciliation-abbas-visit-gaza-hamas-fatah.html", "http:/...
binary
[["2017-11-08", 0.6], ["2017-11-08", 0.2], ["2017-11-08", 0.225], ["2017-11-08", 0.25], ["2017-11-08", 0.2], ["2017-11-08", 0.15], ["2017-11-08", 0.1], ["2017-11-08", 0.125], ["2017-11-08", 0.09], ["2017-11-08", 0.44], ["2017-11-08", 0.08], ["2017-11-08", 0.5], ["2017-11-08", 0.29], ["2017-11-09", 0.215], ["2017-11-09"...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/685
On 12 October 2017, Hamas and Fatah signed a unity agreement which outlined terms for Hamas to transfer control of Gaza to the Palestinian Authority (<a href = "http://www.cnn.com/2017/10/12/middleeast/hamas-fatah-agreement/index.html"target="_blank">CNN</a>, <a href = "https://www.nytimes.com/2017/10/12/world/middleea...
Politics & Governance
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2018-01-01
Will Mahmoud Abbas visit Gaza before 1 January 2018?
gjopen
0
2017-12-14
2017-11-09
["https://medium.com/incerto/the-most-intolerant-wins-the-dictatorship-of-the-small-minority-3f1f83ce4e15#.cq32okfgf", "https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/elections/pollsters-pundits-say-alabama-senate-race-impossible-predict-n828236?cid=sm_npd_nn_tw_np", "http://pressthink.org/2011/08/why-political-coverage-is-broken/",...
binary
[["2017-11-10", 0.75], ["2017-11-10", 1.0], ["2017-11-10", 0.85], ["2017-11-10", 0.85], ["2017-11-10", 0.68], ["2017-11-10", 0.85], ["2017-11-10", 0.875], ["2017-11-10", 0.875], ["2017-11-10", 0.85], ["2017-11-10", 0.635], ["2017-11-10", 0.5], ["2017-11-11", 0.445], ["2017-11-11", 0.47], ["2017-11-11", 0.49], ["2017-11...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/689
The special election for Alabama's U.S. Senate seat vacated by now-Attorney General Jeff Sessions is scheduled for 12 December 2017 (<a href = "http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/new-alabama-poll-shows-warning-signs-for-republicans-elsewhere/article/2636366"target=_blank">The Washington Examiner</a>, <a href = "https://...
Politics & Governance
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2017-12-13
Will a Republican win the special election for Alabama's U.S. Senate seat?
gjopen
0
2018-04-04
2017-11-17
["http://www.governor.ny.gov/news/governor-cuomo-announces-first-successful-autonomous-vehicle-demonstrations-new-york-state", "https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-01-31/waymo-robot-cars-need-little-human-help-as-gm-s-make-big-leap", "https://www.theverge.com/2017/10/17/16488330/gm-cruise-nyc-self-driving-car-...
binary
[["2017-11-17", 0.75], ["2017-11-18", 0.8], ["2017-11-18", 0.95], ["2017-11-18", 0.55], ["2017-11-18", 0.525], ["2017-11-18", 0.7], ["2017-11-18", 0.74], ["2017-11-19", 0.8], ["2017-11-19", 0.83], ["2017-11-19", 0.855], ["2017-11-19", 0.85], ["2017-11-20", 0.855], ["2017-11-20", 0.82], ["2017-11-20", 0.4], ["2017-11-21...
https://www.gjopen.com/questions/696
Cruise Automation, the self-driving unit of General Motors, <a href = "https://www.theverge.com/2017/10/17/16488330/gm-cruise-nyc-self-driving-car-test-cuomo"target="_blank">recently announced</a> its intention to test autonomous Chevy Bolts in New York City <a href = "https://dmv.ny.gov/dmv/apply-autonomous-vehicle-te...
Science & Tech
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2018-04-01
Before 1 April 2018, will General Motors test an autonomous vehicle in New York City?
gjopen
0
2018-04-04
2017-11-17
["https://www.mercurynews.com/2018/01/22/tesla-on-autopilot-slams-into-parked-fire-truck-on-freeway/", "https://waymo.com/apply/", "https://techcrunch.com/2018/01/29/waymo-orders-thousands-of-pacificas-for-2018-self-driving-fleet-rollout/", "https://www.nytimes.com/2017/10/04/technology/driverless-cars-testing.html", "...
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https://www.gjopen.com/questions/694
Alphabet's self-driving car company, Waymo, recently announced the testing of its driverless vehicles in Arizona and the planned launch of a driverless transportation service (<a href = "https://medium.com/waymo/with-waymo-in-the-drivers-seat-fully-self-driving-vehicles-can-transform-the-way-we-get-around-75e9622e829a"...
Science & Tech
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2018-03-13
Before 1 July 2018, will Waymo launch a driverless transportation service open to the public?
gjopen
1
2018-07-02
2017-11-21
["http://www.aljazeera.com/indepth/opinion/ashraf-ghani-philosopher-king-ethnonationalist-180201144845423.html", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/631465", "https://globalvoices.org/2018/02/05/in-afghanistan-governors-dont-just-step-down-because-you-ask-them-to/", "https://www.nytimes.com/2018/01/15/world/asia/...
binary
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https://www.gjopen.com/questions/704
The stability of Afghanistan's government remains tenuous (<a href = "http://www.latimes.com/world/asia/la-fg-afghanistan-protest-20170703-story.html"target="_blank">LA Times</a>, <a href = "http://www.cfr.org/global/global-conflict-tracker/p32137#!/conflict/taliban-in-afghanistan"target="_blank">Council on Foreign Rel...
Politics & Governance
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2018-07-01
Before 1 July 2018, will Ashraf Ghani cease to be president of Afghanistan?
gjopen
0
2018-10-03
2017-11-21
["http://jewishjournal.com/rosnersdomain/230810/is-bibi-in-trouble/", "https://www.timesofisrael.com/5-times-israeli-politicians-said-theres-nothing-to-it-and-ended-up-in-jail/", "https://www.ft.com/content/42ccd414-1879-11e8-9376-4a6390addb44", "http://www.jpost.com/Opinion/Presumed-innocent-542675", "https://www.haar...
binary
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https://www.gjopen.com/questions/698
Prime Minister Netanyahu faces an array of challenges, including ongoing investigations (<a href = "https://www.nytimes.com/2017/08/06/world/middleeast/benjamin-netanyahu-israel-corruption-case.html"target="_blank">NY Times</a>, <a href = "https://www.nytimes.com/2017/10/31/world/middleeast/israel-rivlin-netanyahu-demo...
Politics & Governance
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2018-10-01
Before 1 October 2018, will Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu resign, lose a vote of confidence, or call new elections?
gjopen
0
2017-12-27
2017-11-28
["https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Catalan_regional_election,_2017", "http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/catalonia-pro-independence-movement-what-its-like-carles-puigdemont-catalonians-vote-spain-a8099906.html", "https://elpais.com/elpais/2017/12/15/inenglish/1513333454_661556.html", "https://ig.ft.com/catalon...
binary
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https://www.gjopen.com/questions/773
Examples of current and past pro-independence parties include the Catalan European Democratic Party (PDECat), the Republican Left of Catalonia (ERC), the Popular Unity Candidacy (CUP), Catalonia Yes (CatSi), and Democrats of Catalonia (DC). Regional elections are scheduled for 21 December 2017 (<a href = "https://www...
Politics & Governance
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2017-12-21
Will Catalan pro-independence parties hold a majority of seats after the upcoming regional elections?
gjopen
1
2018-01-04
2017-11-28
["https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/markets/commodities/views/crude-oil-outlook-positive-but-prices-seen-capped-at-62/articleshow/61930524.cms", "https://af.reuters.com/article/africaTech/idAFL8N1MD1UY", "https://kaplanherald.com/2017/12/27/us-oil-settles-at-53-08-a-barrel-up-84-cents-after-libyas-largest-oilfield-s...
binary
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https://www.gjopen.com/questions/769
Libya's Sharara oil field, the country's largest, has been beset by production shutdowns (<a href = "http://english.alarabiya.net/en/business/energy/2017/09/06/Production-restarting-at-Libya-s-Sharara-oilfield-after-blockade-lifted.html"target="_blank">Al Arabiya</a>, <a href = "https://www.reuters.com/article/us-libya...
Environment & Energy
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2017-12-29
Between 29 November 2017 and 29 December 2017, will Libya's Sharara oil field experience a production shutdown?
gjopen
0
2018-01-02
2017-11-28
["https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/worldviews/wp/2017/12/20/whats-behind-the-feud-between-saudi-arabia-and-iran-power/?utm_term=.c83da14d6e07"]
binary
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https://www.gjopen.com/questions/757
Tensions between Saudi Arabia and Iran over control of the Middle East have intensified. Some wonder if they will engage in military aggression against each other (<a href = "http://www.newsweek.com/saudi-arabia-iran-conflict-ballistic-missile-yemen-war-702913"target="_blank">NewsWeek</a>, <a href = "https://www.cnbc.c...
Security & Defense
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2017-12-31
Will a lethal confrontation involving national military forces of Saudi Arabia and Iran result in at least one fatality for either side in December 2017?
gjopen
0
2018-01-02
2017-11-28
["http://www.politicalbetting.com/", "https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2017/dec/01/project-fear-brexit-cold-reality-vote-again-second-referendum", "http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/britons-majority-in-favour-of-public-vote-on-final-brexit-deal-uk-politics-a8089161.html", "https://www.facebook.com/...
binary
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https://www.gjopen.com/questions/756
Some CEO's and Government officials have begun to call for a second referendum on Brexit (<a href = "http://www.spiegel.de/international/europe/anti-brexit-momentum-gaining-in-britain-a-1179590.html"target="_blank">Spiegel</a>, <a href = "https://www.ft.com/content/2b7c4192-d04d-11e7-9dbb-291a884dd8c6"target="_blank">F...
Politics & Governance
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2017-12-31
Will Great Britain announce a second referendum on Brexit by 31 December 2017?
gjopen
0
2018-01-04
2017-11-28
[]
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https://www.gjopen.com/questions/770
China has proposed investing in web giants Tencent Holdings Ltd, Weibo Corp, and Youku Tudou, a platform owned by Alibaba Group Holding (<a href = "https://www.wsj.com/articles/beijing-pushes-for-a-direct-hand-in-chinas-big-tech-firms-1507758314"target="_blank">Wall Street Journal</a>, <a href = "https://www.wsj.com/ar...
Economics & Business
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2018-01-01
Before 1 January 2018, will a Chinese government entity or state owned enterprise take a stake in Youku Tudou, Tencent, or Weibo?
gjopen
0
2018-01-04
2017-11-28
["http://journals.plos.org/plospathogens/article?id=10.1371/journal.ppat.1002877", "http://www.who.int/csr/don/15-november-2017-marburg-uganda-kenya/en/", "http://www.who.int/csr/don/15-november-2017-marburg-uganda-kenya/en/ng", "http://www.who.int/mediacentre/news/releases/2017/uganda-marburg-virus-disease/en/", "http...
binary
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https://www.gjopen.com/questions/762
There have been confirmed cases of Marburg, a deadly virus similar to Ebola, for the first time since 2014 (<a href = "http://www.who.int/csr/don/15-november-2017-marburg-uganda-kenya/en/"target="_blank">World Health Organization</a>, <a href = "http://time.com/5013603/what-is-marburg-virus/"target="-blank">Time Magazi...
Healthcare & Biology
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2018-01-01
Will the WHO confirm more than 10 cases of Marburg in 2017?
gjopen
0
2018-01-02
2017-11-28
["http://www.un.org/en/sc/inc/pages/pdf/pow/powmonthly.pdf", "https://www.un.org/en/sc/documents/resolutions/2017.shtml", "https://www.un.org/en/sc/inc/pages/pdf/pow/powmonthly.pdf", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/630203", "https://www.un.org/en/sc/inc/pages/pdf/pow/forecast.pdf", "http://www.securitycouncilr...
binary
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https://www.gjopen.com/questions/765
This question will resolve as "yes" if the United Nations Security Council (UNSC) adopts a resolution during the period of interest in which the country/region of interest appears in the short description in the <a href = "http://www.un.org/en/sc/documents/resolutions/2017.shtml"target="-blank">Security Council Resolut...
Politics & Governance
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2017-12-23
Will the UN Security Council adopt a resolution concerning Somalia between 29 November 2017 and 22 December 2017 ?
gjopen
0
2018-01-02
2017-11-28
["https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Syrian_Civil_War#/media/File:Syrian_Civil_War_map.svg", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/629627", "http://english.alarabiya.net/en/News/middle-east/2017/12/24/Moscow-to-Syrian-Opposition-We-do-not-support-Bashar-al-Assad-s-departure-.html", "http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2017/11/...
binary
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https://www.gjopen.com/questions/755
Leaders of Russia, Turkey, and Iran are sponsoring a conference aimed at achieving a peaceful settlement of the Syrian civil war (<a href = "https://www.nytimes.com/2017/11/22/world/europe/russia-turkey-iran-syria-war-peace-talks.html"target="_blank">NY Times</a>, <a href = "http://english.alarabiya.net/en/views/news/m...
Politics & Governance
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2017-12-31
Will a framework for an end to the Syrian conflict be agreed upon by 31 December 2017?
gjopen
0
2018-01-04
2017-11-28
["https://www.reuters.com/article/us-southkorea-trade-solar/south-korea-may-consider-filing-wto-complaint-over-u-s-solar-tariffs-idUSKBN1D2115", "https://www.ndtv.com/world-news/us-takes-india-back-to-world-trade-organization-in-solar-power-dispute-1790191?pfrom=home-lateststories"]
binary
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https://www.gjopen.com/questions/764
South Korea has threatened to file a WTO complaint if the US imposes additional tariffs or import restrictions on solar panels (<a href = "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-southkorea-trade-solar/south-korea-may-consider-filing-wto-complaint-over-u-s-solar-tariffs-idUSKBN1D2115"target="_blank">Reuters</a>, <a href = "h...
Economics & Business
Not applicable/available for this question.
true
2018-01-01
Before 1 January 2018, will South Korea file a World Trade Organization dispute against the United States related to solar panels?
gjopen
0