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2019-12-09 | 2018-06-27 | [] | binary | [["2018-06-27", 0.06], ["2018-06-27", 0.1], ["2018-06-27", 0.06], ["2018-06-27", 0.035], ["2018-06-27", 0.025], ["2018-06-27", 0.01], ["2018-06-27", 0.05], ["2018-06-27", 0.99], ["2018-06-28", 0.495], ["2018-06-28", 0.5], ["2018-06-28", 0.03], ["2018-06-28", 0.03], ["2018-06-29", 0.03], ["2018-06-29", 0.05], ["2018-06-... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/972 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">The EWP</a>). This question is part of a series of quarterly ... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2018-10-01 | Between 1 July 2018 and 30 June 2019, will an armed group from Zimbabwe engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Zimbabwe? | gjopen | 0 |
2019-12-09 | 2018-06-27 | [] | binary | [["2018-06-27", 0.4], ["2018-06-27", 0.6], ["2018-06-27", 0.635], ["2018-06-27", 0.485], ["2018-06-27", 0.385], ["2018-06-27", 0.09], ["2018-06-27", 0.1], ["2018-06-27", 0.08], ["2018-06-27", 0.19], ["2018-06-27", 0.315], ["2018-06-28", 0.165], ["2018-06-28", 0.315], ["2018-06-28", 0.275], ["2018-06-28", 0.3], ["2018-0... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/984 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">The EWP</a>). This question is part of a series of quarterly ... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2018-10-01 | Between 1 July 2018 and 30 June 2019, will an armed group from Sudan engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Sudan? | gjopen | 0 |
2019-12-09 | 2018-06-27 | [] | binary | [["2018-06-27", 0.1], ["2018-06-27", 0.45], ["2018-06-27", 0.65], ["2018-06-27", 0.49], ["2018-06-27", 0.075], ["2018-06-27", 0.13], ["2018-06-27", 0.15], ["2018-06-28", 0.085], ["2018-06-28", 0.1], ["2018-06-28", 0.105], ["2018-06-28", 0.04], ["2018-06-28", 0.01], ["2018-06-29", 0.0], ["2018-06-29", 0.0], ["2018-06-29... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/980 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">The EWP</a>). This question is part of a series of quarterly ... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2018-10-01 | Between 1 July 2018 and 30 June 2019, will an armed group from Mali engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Mali? | gjopen | 0 |
2018-10-08 | 2018-07-11 | [] | binary | [["2018-07-11", 1.0], ["2018-07-11", 0.995], ["2018-07-11", 0.85], ["2018-07-11", 0.825], ["2018-07-11", 0.975], ["2018-07-11", 0.95], ["2018-07-11", 0.995], ["2018-07-12", 1.0], ["2018-07-12", 0.99], ["2018-07-12", 0.995], ["2018-07-12", 0.95], ["2018-07-12", 0.95], ["2018-07-12", 0.91], ["2018-07-12", 0.97], ["2018-0... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/986 | On 27 June, Justice Anthony Kennedy announced that he would retire from the Supreme Court effective 31 July (<a href = "http://thehill.com/regulation/court-battles/393357-kennedy-announces-retirement-from-supreme-court"target="_blank">The Hill</a>, <a href = "http://www.scotusblog.com/2018/06/anthony-kennedy-swing-just... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2018-10-06 | Will a new Supreme Court Justice be confirmed by the Senate before 6 November 2018? | gjopen | 1 |
2019-07-01 | 2018-08-15 | [] | binary | [["2018-08-15", 0.5], ["2018-08-15", 0.05], ["2018-08-15", 0.065], ["2018-08-15", 0.04], ["2018-08-15", 0.025], ["2018-08-15", 0.0], ["2018-08-15", 0.05], ["2018-08-16", 0.1], ["2018-08-16", 0.08], ["2018-08-16", 0.08], ["2018-08-16", 0.01], ["2018-08-16", 0.0], ["2018-08-16", 0.0], ["2018-08-16", 0.0], ["2018-08-16", ... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/994 | Protests in response to government pension reforms have expanded to focus on Ortega, including calls for him to step down (<a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/democracy-post/wp/2018/04/27/the-unlikely-origins-of-nicaraguas-epic-wave-of-protest/" target="_blank">The Washington Post</a>, <a href="https://www.reu... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2019-06-30 | Before 1 July 2019, will Daniel Ortega cease to be president of Nicaragua? | gjopen | 0 |
2019-01-02 | 2018-09-14 | [] | binary | [["2018-09-14", 0.1], ["2018-09-14", 0.2], ["2018-09-14", 0.6], ["2018-09-14", 0.6], ["2018-09-14", 0.1], ["2018-09-14", 0.2], ["2018-09-14", 0.65], ["2018-09-14", 0.525], ["2018-09-14", 0.65], ["2018-09-14", 0.525], ["2018-09-15", 0.575], ["2018-09-15", 0.75], ["2018-09-15", 0.65], ["2018-09-15", 0.7], ["2018-09-15", ... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1001 | On 5 September 2018, the New York Times published an op-ed from an anonymous writer cited as a senior official in the Trump administration (<a href = "https://www.nytimes.com/2018/09/05/opinion/trump-white-house-anonymous-resistance.html"target="_blank">NY Times</a>). Validation and/or acknowledgment by the suspected a... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2019-01-01 | Before 2019, will the President, Vice President, White House Press Secretary, White House Chief of Staff, or Attorney General name a suspected author of the New York Times "Resistance" op-ed? | gjopen | 0 |
2018-12-03 | 2018-09-21 | [] | binary | [["2018-09-21", 0.85], ["2018-09-21", 0.75], ["2018-09-21", 0.8], ["2018-09-22", 0.865], ["2018-09-22", 0.89], ["2018-09-22", 0.9], ["2018-09-22", 0.91], ["2018-09-22", 0.905], ["2018-09-23", 0.93], ["2018-09-23", 0.955], ["2018-09-23", 0.93], ["2018-09-23", 0.955], ["2018-09-24", 0.95], ["2018-09-24", 0.95], ["2018-09... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1007 | <p>In 2012, the FWS published a <a href="https://www.fws.gov/policy/library/2012/2012-13488.pdf" target="_blank">final rule</a> designating 1,544 acres of private land in Louisiana as "critical habitat" for the endangered dusky gopher frog (<a href="http://www.scotusblog.com/case-files/cases/weyerhaeuser-company-v-unit... | Environment & Energy | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2018-11-27 | In Weyerhaeuser Company v. US Fish and Wildlife Service (FWS), will the Supreme Court rule that the FWS erroneously applied the Endangered Species Act (ESA) to any private land in St. Tammany Parish, Louisiana? | gjopen | 0 |
2019-06-20 | 2018-09-21 | [] | binary | [["2018-09-21", 0.65], ["2018-09-22", 0.15], ["2018-09-22", 0.325], ["2018-09-22", 0.32], ["2018-09-22", 0.495], ["2018-09-23", 0.325], ["2018-09-23", 0.125], ["2018-09-23", 0.15], ["2018-09-23", 0.15], ["2018-09-24", 0.29], ["2018-09-24", 0.29], ["2018-09-24", 0.27], ["2018-09-24", 0.27], ["2018-09-24", 0.36], ["2018-... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1006 | In 2016, Herman Gundy was convicted of violating SORNA for failing to register as a sex offender in New York (<a href="http://www.scotusblog.com/2018/03/justices-grant-review-two-new-cases/" target="_blank">SCOTUSBlog</a>). His underlying conviction requiring registration was in 2005, before the enactment of SORNA (<a ... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2019-06-20 | In Gundy v. United States, will the Supreme Court rule that Congress' delegation of authority to the attorney general in the federal Sex Offender Registration and Notification Act (SORNA) violates the nondelegation doctrine? | gjopen | 0 |
2019-02-28 | 2018-09-21 | [] | binary | [["2018-09-21", 0.25], ["2018-09-21", 0.35], ["2018-09-22", 0.225], ["2018-09-22", 0.475], ["2018-09-22", 0.47], ["2018-09-22", 0.795], ["2018-09-22", 0.8], ["2018-09-23", 0.8], ["2018-09-23", 0.8], ["2018-09-24", 0.6], ["2018-09-24", 0.6], ["2018-09-24", 0.325], ["2018-09-24", 0.25], ["2018-09-24", 0.2], ["2018-09-24"... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1005 | In 1985, Vernon Madison was first convicted of capital murder in state court (<a href="https://www.newsweek.com/death-row-inmate-who-murdered-police-office-could-be-spared-execution-he-cant-821881" target="_blank">Newsweek</a>). A series of strokes has since left him without any memory of the crime, and his counsel is ... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2019-02-27 | In Madison v. Alabama, will the Supreme Court rule that the State of Alabama may not execute Vernon Madison? | gjopen | 1 |
2019-03-19 | 2018-09-21 | [] | binary | [["2018-09-21", 0.15], ["2018-09-22", 0.1], ["2018-09-22", 0.05], ["2018-09-22", 0.045], ["2018-09-22", 0.095], ["2018-09-23", 0.09], ["2018-09-23", 0.06], ["2018-09-23", 0.01], ["2018-09-23", 0.015], ["2018-09-23", 0.035], ["2018-09-24", 0.035], ["2018-09-24", 0.05], ["2018-09-24", 0.05], ["2018-09-24", 0.05], ["2018-... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1004 | In 2014, the widows of US naval servicemen who died of cancer allegedly caused by exposure to asbestos lost a civil suit against Air and Liquid Systems Corp. (<a href="https://www.courthousenews.com/asbestos-liability-case-picked-up-by-supreme-court/" target="_blank">Court House News</a>). The Third Circuit reversed th... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2019-03-19 | In Air and Liquid Systems Corp. v. Devries, will the Supreme Court rule that Air and Liquid Systems Corp. can be held liable for negligence in exposing service members to asbestos? | gjopen | 1 |
2020-01-05 | 2018-09-28 | [] | binary | [["2018-09-29", 0.1], ["2018-09-29", 0.05], ["2018-09-29", 0.05], ["2018-09-29", 0.025], ["2018-09-29", 0.05], ["2018-09-29", 0.06], ["2018-09-30", 0.07], ["2018-10-01", 0.07], ["2018-10-01", 0.075], ["2018-10-01", 0.06], ["2018-10-01", 0.07], ["2018-10-01", 0.07], ["2018-10-03", 0.07], ["2018-10-04", 0.065], ["2018-10... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1010 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href="https://www.earlywarningproject.org" target="_blank"">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a s... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2019-01-01 | Between 1 October 2018 and 30 September 2019, will an armed group from Afghanistan engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Afghanistan? | gjopen | 0 |
2020-01-05 | 2018-09-28 | [] | binary | [["2018-09-29", 0.0], ["2018-09-29", 0.05], ["2018-09-29", 0.1], ["2018-09-30", 0.075], ["2018-10-01", 0.075], ["2018-10-01", 0.05], ["2018-10-01", 0.05], ["2018-10-03", 0.05], ["2018-10-03", 0.05], ["2018-10-04", 0.05], ["2018-10-04", 0.045], ["2018-10-05", 0.04], ["2018-10-06", 0.03], ["2018-10-06", 0.035], ["2018-10... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1023 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href="https://www.earlywarningproject.org" target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series ... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2019-01-01 | Between 1 October 2018 and 30 September 2019, will an armed group from South Sudan engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in South Sudan? | gjopen | 0 |
2020-01-05 | 2018-09-28 | [] | binary | [["2018-09-29", 0.04], ["2018-09-29", 0.03], ["2018-09-29", 0.04], ["2018-09-29", 0.045], ["2018-09-30", 0.04], ["2018-09-30", 0.03], ["2018-10-01", 0.025], ["2018-10-01", 0.02], ["2018-10-01", 0.02], ["2018-10-03", 0.02], ["2018-10-03", 0.015], ["2018-10-05", 0.01], ["2018-10-06", 0.01], ["2018-10-06", 0.015], ["2018-... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1014 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href="https://www.earlywarningproject.org" target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series ... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2019-01-01 | Between 1 October 2018 and 30 September 2019, will an armed group from Pakistan engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Pakistan? | gjopen | 0 |
2020-01-05 | 2018-09-28 | [] | binary | [["2018-09-29", 0.0], ["2018-09-29", 0.015], ["2018-09-29", 0.03], ["2018-09-29", 0.09], ["2018-09-30", 0.05], ["2018-10-01", 0.05], ["2018-10-01", 0.04], ["2018-10-03", 0.04], ["2018-10-03", 0.03], ["2018-10-04", 0.03], ["2018-10-05", 0.03], ["2018-10-06", 0.03], ["2018-10-06", 0.02], ["2018-10-07", 0.02], ["2018-10-0... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1011 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href="https://www.earlywarningproject.org" target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series ... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2019-01-01 | Between 1 October 2018 and 30 September 2019, will an armed group from the Central African Republic engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in the Central African Republic? | gjopen | 0 |
2020-01-05 | 2018-09-28 | [] | binary | [["2018-09-29", 0.1], ["2018-09-29", 0.05], ["2018-09-29", 0.0], ["2018-09-29", 0.0], ["2018-09-29", 0.04], ["2018-09-30", 0.05], ["2018-10-01", 0.05], ["2018-10-01", 0.03], ["2018-10-03", 0.03], ["2018-10-04", 0.01], ["2018-10-05", 0.005], ["2018-10-06", 0.005], ["2018-10-06", 0.01], ["2018-10-07", 0.005], ["2018-10-0... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1020 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href="https://www.earlywarningproject.org" target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series ... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2019-01-01 | Between 1 October 2018 and 30 September 2019, will an armed group from Zimbabwe engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Zimbabwe? | gjopen | 0 |
2020-01-05 | 2018-09-28 | [] | binary | [["2018-09-29", 0.1], ["2018-09-29", 0.05], ["2018-09-29", 0.0], ["2018-09-29", 0.045], ["2018-09-30", 0.05], ["2018-10-01", 0.05], ["2018-10-01", 0.05], ["2018-10-01", 0.045], ["2018-10-03", 0.045], ["2018-10-04", 0.04], ["2018-10-06", 0.03], ["2018-10-06", 0.03], ["2018-10-07", 0.03], ["2018-10-09", 0.03], ["2018-10-... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1019 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href="https://www.earlywarningproject.org" target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series ... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2019-01-01 | Between 1 October 2018 and 30 September 2019, will an armed group from Bangladesh engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Bangladesh? | gjopen | 0 |
2020-01-05 | 2018-09-28 | [] | binary | [["2018-09-29", 0.0], ["2018-09-29", 0.05], ["2018-09-29", 0.02], ["2018-09-29", 0.01], ["2018-09-30", 0.02], ["2018-09-30", 0.02], ["2018-10-01", 0.02], ["2018-10-01", 0.02], ["2018-10-01", 0.02], ["2018-10-03", 0.02], ["2018-10-04", 0.015], ["2018-10-04", 0.01], ["2018-10-05", 0.01], ["2018-10-06", 0.01], ["2018-10-0... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1012 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href="https://www.earlywarningproject.org" target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series ... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2019-01-01 | Between 1 October 2018 and 30 September 2019, will an armed group from Burundi engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Burundi? | gjopen | 0 |
2020-01-05 | 2018-09-28 | [] | binary | [["2018-09-29", 0.06], ["2018-09-29", 0.13], ["2018-09-29", 0.08], ["2018-09-30", 0.07], ["2018-09-30", 0.06], ["2018-10-01", 0.05], ["2018-10-01", 0.06], ["2018-10-01", 0.06], ["2018-10-03", 0.065], ["2018-10-04", 0.06], ["2018-10-05", 0.055], ["2018-10-05", 0.055], ["2018-10-06", 0.055], ["2018-10-06", 0.065], ["2018... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1024 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href="https://www.earlywarningproject.org" target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series ... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2019-01-01 | Between 1 October 2018 and 30 September 2019, will an armed group from Myanmar engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Myanmar? | gjopen | 0 |
2020-01-05 | 2018-09-28 | [] | binary | [["2018-09-29", 0.06], ["2018-09-29", 0.08], ["2018-09-29", 0.07], ["2018-09-30", 0.065], ["2018-09-30", 0.07], ["2018-10-01", 0.08], ["2018-10-01", 0.09], ["2018-10-01", 0.08], ["2018-10-03", 0.08], ["2018-10-04", 0.08], ["2018-10-05", 0.08], ["2018-10-05", 0.08], ["2018-10-06", 0.08], ["2018-10-06", 0.075], ["2018-10... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1015 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href="https://www.earlywarningproject.org" target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series ... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2019-01-01 | Between 1 October 2018 and 30 September 2019, will an armed group from the Democratic Republic of Congo engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in the Democratic Republic of Congo? | gjopen | 0 |
2020-01-05 | 2018-09-28 | [] | binary | [["2018-09-29", 0.0], ["2018-09-29", 0.05], ["2018-09-29", 0.07], ["2018-09-30", 0.065], ["2018-09-30", 0.06], ["2018-10-01", 0.065], ["2018-10-01", 0.06], ["2018-10-01", 0.035], ["2018-10-01", 0.035], ["2018-10-03", 0.035], ["2018-10-03", 0.01], ["2018-10-04", 0.01], ["2018-10-05", 0.01], ["2018-10-06", 0.01], ["2018-... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1013 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href="https://www.earlywarningproject.org" target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series ... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2019-01-01 | Between 1 October 2018 and 30 September 2019, will an armed group from Mali engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Mali? | gjopen | 0 |
2020-01-05 | 2018-09-28 | [] | binary | [["2018-09-29", 0.02], ["2018-09-29", 0.06], ["2018-09-29", 0.03], ["2018-09-29", 0.04], ["2018-09-29", 0.05], ["2018-09-30", 0.04], ["2018-10-01", 0.04], ["2018-10-01", 0.03], ["2018-10-01", 0.03], ["2018-10-03", 0.03], ["2018-10-04", 0.035], ["2018-10-04", 0.03], ["2018-10-05", 0.03], ["2018-10-06", 0.03], ["2018-10-... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1009 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href="https://www.earlywarningproject.org" target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series ... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2019-01-01 | Between 1 October 2018 and 30 September 2019, will an armed group from Sudan engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Sudan? | gjopen | 0 |
2020-01-05 | 2018-09-28 | [] | binary | [["2018-09-29", 0.0], ["2018-09-29", 0.0], ["2018-09-29", 0.0], ["2018-09-29", 0.0], ["2018-09-29", 0.0], ["2018-09-29", 0.005], ["2018-09-30", 0.0], ["2018-09-30", 0.0], ["2018-09-30", 0.0], ["2018-09-30", 0.0], ["2018-10-01", 0.0], ["2018-10-01", 0.005], ["2018-10-01", 0.005], ["2018-10-02", 0.01], ["2018-10-03", 0.0... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1017 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href="https://www.earlywarningproject.org" target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series ... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2019-01-01 | Between 1 October 2018 and 30 September 2019, will an armed group from Turkey engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Turkey? | gjopen | 0 |
2020-01-05 | 2018-09-28 | [] | binary | [["2018-09-29", 0.1], ["2018-09-29", 0.05], ["2018-09-29", 0.1], ["2018-09-29", 0.1], ["2018-09-30", 0.1], ["2018-09-30", 0.075], ["2018-10-01", 0.075], ["2018-10-01", 0.05], ["2018-10-01", 0.06], ["2018-10-03", 0.06], ["2018-10-04", 0.05], ["2018-10-06", 0.06], ["2018-10-06", 0.04], ["2018-10-07", 0.015], ["2018-10-09... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1018 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href="https://www.earlywarningproject.org" target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series ... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2019-01-01 | Between 1 October 2018 and 30 September 2019, will an armed group from Nigeria engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Nigeria? | gjopen | 0 |
2020-01-05 | 2018-09-28 | [] | binary | [["2018-09-29", 0.08], ["2018-09-29", 0.14], ["2018-09-29", 0.1], ["2018-09-30", 0.09], ["2018-10-01", 0.09], ["2018-10-01", 0.08], ["2018-10-01", 0.09], ["2018-10-03", 0.09], ["2018-10-03", 0.08], ["2018-10-04", 0.08], ["2018-10-06", 0.08], ["2018-10-06", 0.08], ["2018-10-07", 0.07], ["2018-10-09", 0.07], ["2018-10-12... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1022 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href="https://www.earlywarningproject.org" target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series ... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2019-01-01 | Between 1 October 2018 and 30 September 2019, will an armed group from Iraq engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Iraq? | gjopen | 0 |
2020-01-05 | 2018-09-28 | [] | binary | [["2018-09-29", 0.06], ["2018-09-29", 0.08], ["2018-09-29", 0.06], ["2018-09-29", 0.08], ["2018-09-29", 0.08], ["2018-09-29", 0.09], ["2018-09-29", 0.08], ["2018-09-30", 0.07], ["2018-09-30", 0.06], ["2018-10-01", 0.05], ["2018-10-01", 0.065], ["2018-10-01", 0.065], ["2018-10-01", 0.065], ["2018-10-02", 0.09], ["2018-1... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1008 | <p>The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href="https://www.earlywarningproject.org" target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a seri... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2019-01-01 | Between 1 October 2018 and 30 September 2019, will an armed group from Yemen engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Yemen? | gjopen | 0 |
2020-01-05 | 2018-09-28 | [] | binary | [["2018-09-29", 0.1], ["2018-09-29", 0.05], ["2018-09-29", 0.05], ["2018-09-29", 0.025], ["2018-09-29", 0.025], ["2018-09-29", 0.05], ["2018-09-30", 0.025], ["2018-09-30", 0.05], ["2018-10-01", 0.05], ["2018-10-01", 0.025], ["2018-10-01", 0.05], ["2018-10-03", 0.05], ["2018-10-04", 0.025], ["2018-10-06", 0.035], ["2018... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1021 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href="https://www.earlywarningproject.org" target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series ... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2019-01-01 | Between 1 October 2018 and 30 September 2019, will an armed group from the Philippines engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in the Philippines? | gjopen | 1 |
2020-01-05 | 2018-09-28 | [] | binary | [["2018-09-29", 0.0], ["2018-09-29", 0.0], ["2018-09-29", 0.0], ["2018-09-29", 0.005], ["2018-09-30", 0.01], ["2018-09-30", 0.015], ["2018-10-01", 0.015], ["2018-10-01", 0.02], ["2018-10-01", 0.02], ["2018-10-03", 0.02], ["2018-10-04", 0.015], ["2018-10-05", 0.015], ["2018-10-06", 0.015], ["2018-10-06", 0.01], ["2018-1... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1016 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href="https://www.earlywarningproject.org" target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series ... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2019-01-01 | Between 1 October 2018 and 30 September 2019, will an armed group from Ethiopia engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Ethiopia? | gjopen | 0 |
2019-02-05 | 2018-10-12 | [] | binary | [["2018-10-12", 0.0], ["2018-10-12", 0.0], ["2018-10-12", 0.0], ["2018-10-12", 0.075], ["2018-10-12", 0.1], ["2018-10-13", 0.025], ["2018-10-13", 0.0], ["2018-10-13", 0.0], ["2018-10-13", 0.01], ["2018-10-13", 0.01], ["2018-10-13", 0.01], ["2018-10-14", 0.005], ["2018-10-14", 0.01], ["2018-10-14", 0.005], ["2018-10-14"... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1028 | Kanye West has called for a meeting between President Trump and NFL quarterback Colin Kaepernick (<a href = "https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/kanye-west-donald-trump-colin-kaepernick-meet-talk/story?id=58232794"target="_blank">ABC</a>). Kaepernick initiated the protest movement of not standing during the national anthem... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2019-02-03 | Will President Trump and Colin Kaepernick meet face-to-face before Super Bowl LIII? | gjopen | 0 |
2019-06-18 | 2018-10-12 | [] | binary | [["2018-10-12", 0.85], ["2018-10-12", 0.0], ["2018-10-12", 0.0], ["2018-10-12", 0.425], ["2018-10-13", 0.7], ["2018-10-13", 0.55], ["2018-10-13", 0.05], ["2018-10-13", 0.05], ["2018-10-14", 0.035], ["2018-10-14", 0.035], ["2018-10-14", 0.275], ["2018-10-14", 0.5], ["2018-10-14", 0.5], ["2018-10-14", 0.67], ["2018-10-15... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1026 | Terance Gamble was convicted of being a felon in possession of a firearm by both the State of Alabama and the federal government (<a href="http://www.scotusblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/04/17-646-PWC.pdf" target="_blank">SCOTUSBlog</a>). He appealed his federal conviction, arguing that being prosecuted for the ... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2019-06-17 | In Gamble v. United States, will the Supreme Court overrule the "separate sovereign" exception to the Double Jeopardy Clause? | gjopen | 0 |
2019-03-02 | 2018-10-26 | [] | binary | [["2018-10-26", 0.01], ["2018-10-26", 0.0], ["2018-10-26", 0.0], ["2018-10-26", 0.0], ["2018-10-26", 0.0], ["2018-10-26", 0.0], ["2018-10-27", 0.0], ["2018-10-27", 0.0], ["2018-10-27", 0.0], ["2018-10-27", 0.01], ["2018-10-27", 0.03], ["2018-10-27", 0.045], ["2018-10-27", 0.05], ["2018-10-27", 0.05], ["2018-10-27", 0.0... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1033 | Jamal Khashoggi's death has triggered an international outcry (<a href="https://www.reuters.com/article/us-saudi-politics-dissident/saudi-arabia-admits-khashoggi-died-in-consulate-fires-two-senior-officials-idUSKCN1MT1MH" target="_blank">Reuters</a>, <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2018/10/22/world/middleeast/khashogg... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2019-03-01 | Before 1 March 2019, will the U.S. impose Global Magnitsky Sanctions on any member of Saudi Arabia's Council of Ministers for the death of journalist Jamal Khashoggi? | gjopen | 0 |
2019-01-02 | 2018-11-01 | [] | binary | [["2018-11-02", 0.1], ["2018-11-02", 0.38], ["2018-11-02", 0.13], ["2018-11-02", 0.14], ["2018-11-02", 0.125], ["2018-11-02", 0.15], ["2018-11-02", 0.12], ["2018-11-02", 0.1], ["2018-11-02", 0.12], ["2018-11-02", 0.075], ["2018-11-02", 0.075], ["2018-11-02", 0.01], ["2018-11-02", 0.005], ["2018-11-02", 0.05], ["2018-11... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1035 | <br>
</br>
For the past several years, the spread between yields on 2-year Treasuries and 10-year Treasuries has been closing (<a href = "https://www.investopedia.com/terms/y/yieldcurve.asp"target="_blank">Investopedia</a>). When interest rates on longer term debt drop below rates on shorter term debt, the yield cu... | Economics & Business | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2019-01-01 | Will the yield curve for 2-year and 10-year U.S. Treasuries invert before 2019? | gjopen | 0 |
2019-02-21 | 2018-11-09 | [] | binary | [["2018-11-09", 0.5], ["2018-11-09", 0.0], ["2018-11-09", 0.45], ["2018-11-10", 0.6], ["2018-11-10", 0.75], ["2018-11-10", 0.625], ["2018-11-11", 0.45], ["2018-11-11", 0.55], ["2018-11-11", 0.4], ["2018-11-11", 0.6], ["2018-11-11", 0.6], ["2018-11-12", 0.55], ["2018-11-12", 0.575], ["2018-11-12", 0.4], ["2018-11-13", 0... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1038 | <p>In 2015, Tyson Timbs pleaded guilty to felony charges in an Indiana court, after which the State sought to make Timbs forfeit his vehicle (<a href="https://www.indystar.com/story/news/2018/10/29/tyson-timbs-institute-justice-civil-asset-forfeiture-us-supreme-court-eighth-amendment/1646693002/" target="_blank">The In... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2019-02-20 | In Timbs v. Indiana, will the Supreme Court rule that the Excessive Fines Clause of the Eighth Amendment applies to states? | gjopen | 1 |
2020-01-03 | 2018-11-16 | [] | binary | [["2018-11-16", 1.0], ["2018-11-16", 0.625], ["2018-11-17", 0.78], ["2018-11-17", 0.68], ["2018-11-17", 0.58], ["2018-11-17", 0.64], ["2018-11-18", 0.7], ["2018-11-18", 0.7], ["2018-11-18", 0.74], ["2018-11-18", 0.78], ["2018-11-18", 0.765], ["2018-11-18", 0.765], ["2018-11-18", 0.725], ["2018-11-19", 0.7], ["2018-11-1... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1039 | A motor vehicle manufacturer may petition the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration for an exemption for self-driving vehicles without human controls (<a href="http://energyfuse.org/autonomous-vehicle-exemptions-explained/" target="_blank">The Fuse</a>, <a href="https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/49/30113... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2020-01-01 | Before 1 January 2020, will the U.S. President sign legislation increasing the number of exemptions for autonomous vehicles allowed per manufacturer by the Federal Motor Vehicle Safety Standards? | gjopen | 0 |
2019-10-01 | 2018-11-30 | [] | binary | [["2018-12-01", 0.075], ["2018-12-02", 0.175], ["2018-12-03", 0.09], ["2018-12-04", 0.075], ["2018-12-05", 0.1], ["2018-12-07", 0.125], ["2018-12-08", 0.24], ["2018-12-10", 0.25], ["2018-12-11", 0.28], ["2018-12-13", 0.29], ["2018-12-13", 0.35], ["2018-12-13", 0.3], ["2018-12-13", 0.25], ["2018-12-13", 0.27], ["2018-12... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1049 | There has been a push among some Democrats to impeach President Trump (<a href="https://worldin2019.economist.com/Americaspartisanpolitics" target="_blank">The Economist</a>, <a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/av/world-us-canada-46131046/democrats-and-trump-what-does-it-take-to-impeach-a-president" target="_blank">BBC</... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2019-10-01 | Before 1 October 2019, will the U.S. House of Representatives pass an article of impeachment against President Trump? | gjopen | 0 |
2018-12-17 | 2018-11-30 | [] | binary | [["2018-11-30", 0.0], ["2018-11-30", 0.0], ["2018-11-30", 0.0], ["2018-11-30", 0.0], ["2018-11-30", 0.015], ["2018-11-30", 0.01], ["2018-11-30", 0.03], ["2018-11-30", 0.02], ["2018-11-30", 0.01], ["2018-11-30", 0.01], ["2018-12-01", 0.01], ["2018-12-01", 0.01], ["2018-12-01", 0.01], ["2018-12-01", 0.01], ["2018-12-01",... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1051 | Whether the House of Commons will approve the Withdrawal Agreement of the United Kingdom from the European Union is object of a great deal of uncertainty and speculation (<a href = "https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-32810887"target="_blank">BBC</a>, <a href = "https://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/nov/28/eu-emergen... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2018-12-14 | Before 15 December 2018, will the House of Commons approve the Withdrawal Agreement of the United Kingdom from the European Union? | gjopen | 0 |
2020-01-01 | 2018-12-07 | [] | binary | [["2018-12-07", 0.25], ["2018-12-07", 0.005], ["2018-12-07", 0.575], ["2018-12-07", 0.15], ["2018-12-07", 0.04], ["2018-12-08", 0.12], ["2018-12-08", 0.3], ["2018-12-08", 0.05], ["2018-12-08", 0.075], ["2018-12-08", 0.1], ["2018-12-08", 0.075], ["2018-12-09", 0.125], ["2018-12-09", 0.125], ["2018-12-09", 0.15], ["2018-... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1054 | Past examples of North Korean nuclear tests include those listed here: <a href="http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-17823706" target="_blank">BBC</a>, <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2016/01/07/world/asia/north-korea-hydrogen-bomb-q-a.html" target="_blank">NY Times</a>.
<sub>Confused? Check our <a href="https://www.g... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2020-01-01 | Will North Korea conduct a nuclear test before 1 January 2020? | gjopen | 0 |
2019-06-26 | 2018-12-07 | [] | binary | [["2018-12-07", 1.0], ["2018-12-07", 0.0], ["2018-12-07", 0.165], ["2018-12-07", 0.465], ["2018-12-08", 0.675], ["2018-12-08", 0.6], ["2018-12-08", 0.15], ["2018-12-09", 0.15], ["2018-12-10", 0.11], ["2018-12-10", 0.13], ["2018-12-10", 0.125], ["2018-12-10", 0.095], ["2018-12-10", 0.12], ["2018-12-11", 0.12], ["2018-12... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1057 | In February 2018, the Court of Appeals for the Sixth Circuit affirmed a district court's ruling that Tennessee's minimum residency requirements for retail or wholesale liquor license applicants violated the dormant Commerce Clause of the Constitution by discriminating against out-of-state individuals and entities (<a ... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2019-06-26 | In Tennessee Wine & Spirits Retailers Association v. Blair, will the Supreme Court rule that Tennessee's residency requirements for issuing liquor licenses are unconstitutional? | gjopen | 1 |
2019-08-01 | 2018-12-07 | [] | binary | [["2018-12-07", 0.02], ["2018-12-08", 0.05], ["2018-12-08", 0.25], ["2018-12-09", 0.185], ["2018-12-09", 0.1], ["2018-12-10", 0.3], ["2018-12-11", 0.14], ["2018-12-12", 0.125], ["2018-12-13", 0.095], ["2018-12-13", 0.09], ["2018-12-13", 0.11], ["2018-12-14", 0.15], ["2018-12-14", 0.15], ["2018-12-15", 0.11], ["2018-12-... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1056 | Mark Zuckerberg, as Facebook's sole Chairman and CEO, has been under pressure as the company's business practices face greater scrutiny (<a href="https://www.reuters.com/article/us-facebook-shareholders/at-facebook-public-funds-join-push-to-remove-zuckerberg-as-chairman-idUSKCN1MR2GY" target="_blank">Reuters</a>, <a hr... | Economics & Business | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2019-08-01 | Before 1 August 2019, will Facebook announce that Mark Zuckerberg will cease to be the company's sole Chairman or CEO? | gjopen | 0 |
2020-01-01 | 2018-12-07 | [] | binary | [["2018-12-07", 0.25], ["2018-12-07", 0.125], ["2018-12-07", 0.55], ["2018-12-07", 0.15], ["2018-12-07", 0.16], ["2018-12-08", 0.185], ["2018-12-08", 0.2], ["2018-12-08", 0.25], ["2018-12-08", 0.25], ["2018-12-08", 0.2], ["2018-12-08", 0.19], ["2018-12-09", 0.1], ["2018-12-09", 0.1], ["2018-12-09", 0.11], ["2018-12-10"... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1053 | After multiple ICBM launches in 2017, North Korea's missile program has been comparatively quiet throughout 2018 (<a href="https://www.cnn.com/2018/03/06/asia/north-korea-missile-tests-2017-intl/index.html" target="_blank">CNN</a>).
<sub>Confused? Check our <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#question" target="_blan... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2020-01-01 | Will North Korea launch an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) before 1 January 2020? | gjopen | 0 |
2020-01-03 | 2018-12-07 | [] | binary | [["2018-12-07", 0.02], ["2018-12-08", 0.075], ["2018-12-08", 0.2], ["2018-12-09", 0.2], ["2018-12-10", 0.1], ["2018-12-11", 0.05], ["2018-12-12", 0.05], ["2018-12-13", 0.05], ["2018-12-13", 0.05], ["2018-12-14", 0.22], ["2018-12-14", 0.15], ["2018-12-16", 0.11], ["2018-12-17", 0.155], ["2018-12-18", 0.115], ["2018-12-1... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1055 | A lethal confrontation is one that results in one fatality for the military forces, militia, or law enforcement of either side. China has used the People's Liberation Army, Navy, and Air Force, militia, and law enforcement to further its claims in both the South and East China Seas, and some once posed as fishermen (<a... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2020-01-01 | Will there be a lethal confrontation in the South or East China Sea between the military forces, militia, or law enforcement personnel of China and another country before 1 January 2020? | gjopen | 0 |
2019-01-30 | 2018-12-21 | [] | binary | [["2018-12-21", 0.02], ["2018-12-21", 0.1], ["2018-12-21", 0.125], ["2018-12-21", 0.175], ["2018-12-21", 0.11], ["2018-12-21", 0.08], ["2018-12-21", 0.08], ["2018-12-21", 0.05], ["2018-12-22", 0.09], ["2018-12-22", 0.125], ["2018-12-22", 0.1], ["2018-12-22", 0.08], ["2018-12-22", 0.09], ["2018-12-22", 0.085], ["2018-12... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1069 | <p>PG&E is reportedly considering filing for bankruptcy protection after a series of wildfires in California (<a href="https://sacramento.cbslocal.com/2018/06/15/lawmakers-pge-talks-bankruptcy/" target="_blank">CBS</a>, <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-11-15/pg-e-faces-deepening-fire-crisis-wit... | Economics & Business | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2019-01-29 | Will California's Pacific Gas and Electric Company file for bankruptcy before 1 November 2019? | gjopen | 1 |
2019-10-01 | 2018-12-21 | [] | binary | [["2018-12-22", 0.51], ["2018-12-22", 0.1], ["2018-12-22", 0.15], ["2018-12-23", 0.495], ["2018-12-23", 0.55], ["2018-12-24", 0.6], ["2018-12-25", 0.66], ["2018-12-26", 0.725], ["2018-12-26", 0.775], ["2018-12-27", 0.8], ["2018-12-28", 0.7], ["2018-12-28", 0.675], ["2018-12-29", 0.675], ["2018-12-30", 0.65], ["2018-12-... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1066 | China's National People's Congress Standing Committee has initiated the legislative process to codify property taxes into law, with large implications for China's $44 trillion real estate market (<a href="https://worldin2019.economist.com/Chinaseconomy" target="_blank">The Economist</a>, <a href="https://npcobserver.co... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2019-10-01 | Will China's National People's Congress or its Standing Committee pass a property tax law before 1 October 2019? | gjopen | 0 |
2019-05-31 | 2018-12-21 | [] | binary | [["2018-12-22", 0.98], ["2018-12-22", 0.775], ["2018-12-22", 0.75], ["2018-12-23", 0.8], ["2018-12-23", 0.775], ["2018-12-26", 0.75], ["2018-12-27", 0.7], ["2018-12-28", 0.7], ["2018-12-28", 0.73], ["2018-12-29", 0.705], ["2018-12-30", 0.71], ["2018-12-30", 0.73], ["2018-12-31", 0.71], ["2019-01-01", 0.71], ["2019-01-0... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1067 | Narendra Modi, the leader of the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), has served as prime minister of India since 2014 (<a href="https://worldin2019.economist.com/Indiasmegavote" target="_blank">The Economist</a>, <a href="http://archive.ipu.org/parline-e/reports/2145_E.htm" target="_blank">Inter-Parliamentary Union</a>). Gen... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2019-05-25 | Will Narendra Modi be appointed to a second consecutive term as prime minister of India after the 2019 general elections? | gjopen | 1 |
2020-03-18 | 2018-12-28 | [] | binary | [["2018-12-28", 0.0], ["2018-12-28", 0.01], ["2018-12-29", 0.08], ["2018-12-29", 0.01], ["2018-12-29", 0.02], ["2018-12-30", 0.035], ["2018-12-30", 0.02], ["2018-12-31", 0.015], ["2018-12-31", 0.015], ["2018-12-31", 0.01], ["2018-12-31", 0.005], ["2019-01-02", 0.0], ["2019-01-02", 0.0], ["2019-01-02", 0.0], ["2019-01-0... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1083 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2019-03-31 | Between 1 January 2019 and 31 December 2019, will an armed group from the Philippines engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in the Philippines? | gjopen | 1 |
2020-03-18 | 2018-12-28 | [] | binary | [["2018-12-28", 0.02], ["2018-12-28", 0.035], ["2018-12-29", 0.03], ["2018-12-29", 0.02], ["2018-12-29", 0.02], ["2018-12-31", 0.02], ["2018-12-31", 0.02], ["2019-01-01", 0.02], ["2019-01-02", 0.02], ["2019-01-02", 0.02], ["2019-01-02", 0.015], ["2019-01-03", 0.02], ["2019-01-03", 0.015], ["2019-01-04", 0.015], ["2019-... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1074 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2019-03-31 | Between 1 January 2019 and 31 December 2019, will an armed group from Burundi engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Burundi? | gjopen | 0 |
2020-03-18 | 2018-12-28 | [] | binary | [["2018-12-28", 0.06], ["2018-12-28", 0.155], ["2018-12-29", 0.25], ["2018-12-29", 0.31], ["2018-12-29", 0.61], ["2018-12-30", 0.46], ["2018-12-31", 0.465], ["2018-12-31", 0.465], ["2018-12-31", 0.08], ["2019-01-01", 0.08], ["2019-01-01", 0.08], ["2019-01-02", 0.07], ["2019-01-02", 0.07], ["2019-01-02", 0.06], ["2019-0... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1072 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2019-03-31 | Between 1 January 2019 and 31 December 2019, will an armed group from Afghanistan engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Afghanistan? | gjopen | 0 |
2020-03-18 | 2018-12-28 | [] | binary | [["2018-12-28", 0.1], ["2018-12-28", 0.05], ["2018-12-28", 0.1], ["2018-12-29", 0.09], ["2018-12-29", 0.08], ["2018-12-30", 0.065], ["2018-12-31", 0.05], ["2018-12-31", 0.04], ["2018-12-31", 0.045], ["2019-01-01", 0.045], ["2019-01-02", 0.04], ["2019-01-02", 0.04], ["2019-01-02", 0.045], ["2019-01-03", 0.04], ["2019-01... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1070 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2019-03-31 | Between 1 January 2019 and 31 December 2019, will an armed group from Yemen engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Yemen? | gjopen | 0 |
2020-03-18 | 2018-12-28 | [] | binary | [["2018-12-28", 0.0], ["2018-12-28", 0.0], ["2018-12-29", 0.0], ["2018-12-29", 0.0], ["2018-12-30", 0.005], ["2018-12-31", 0.005], ["2018-12-31", 0.0], ["2019-01-02", 0.0], ["2019-01-03", 0.0], ["2019-01-03", 0.0], ["2019-01-04", 0.0], ["2019-01-04", 0.0], ["2019-01-04", 0.0], ["2019-01-06", 0.0], ["2019-01-06", 0.0], ... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1078 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2019-03-31 | Between 1 January 2019 and 31 December 2019, will an armed group from Ethiopia engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Ethiopia? | gjopen | 0 |
2020-03-18 | 2018-12-28 | [] | binary | [["2018-12-28", 0.25], ["2018-12-28", 0.175], ["2018-12-28", 0.18], ["2018-12-28", 0.185], ["2018-12-29", 0.185], ["2018-12-29", 0.12], ["2018-12-29", 0.15], ["2018-12-31", 0.06], ["2018-12-31", 0.03], ["2019-01-02", 0.0], ["2019-01-03", 0.03], ["2019-01-03", 0.0], ["2019-01-04", 0.0], ["2019-01-04", 0.0], ["2019-01-04... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1084 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2019-03-31 | Between 1 January 2019 and 31 December 2019, will an armed group from Iraq engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Iraq? | gjopen | 0 |
2020-03-18 | 2018-12-28 | [] | binary | [["2018-12-28", 0.2], ["2018-12-28", 0.105], ["2018-12-28", 0.225], ["2018-12-29", 0.225], ["2018-12-29", 0.2], ["2018-12-29", 0.18], ["2018-12-31", 0.18], ["2018-12-31", 0.165], ["2018-12-31", 0.15], ["2019-01-01", 0.15], ["2019-01-02", 0.15], ["2019-01-02", 0.14], ["2019-01-03", 0.13], ["2019-01-03", 0.08], ["2019-01... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1077 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2019-03-31 | Between 1 January 2019 and 31 December 2019, will an armed group from the Democratic Republic of the Congo engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in the Democratic Republic of the Congo? | gjopen | 0 |
2020-03-18 | 2018-12-28 | [] | binary | [["2018-12-28", 0.08], ["2018-12-28", 0.215], ["2018-12-28", 0.115], ["2018-12-29", 0.08], ["2018-12-31", 0.08], ["2018-12-31", 0.08], ["2019-01-01", 0.08], ["2019-01-02", 0.08], ["2019-01-02", 0.08], ["2019-01-03", 0.065], ["2019-01-03", 0.05], ["2019-01-04", 0.05], ["2019-01-04", 0.045], ["2019-01-04", 0.045], ["2019... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1073 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2019-03-31 | Between 1 January 2019 and 31 December 2019, will an armed group from the Central African Republic engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in the Central African Republic? | gjopen | 0 |
2020-03-18 | 2018-12-28 | [] | binary | [["2018-12-28", 0.05], ["2018-12-28", 0.075], ["2018-12-29", 0.075], ["2018-12-29", 0.05], ["2018-12-31", 0.05], ["2018-12-31", 0.05], ["2019-01-01", 0.04], ["2019-01-02", 0.02], ["2019-01-02", 0.015], ["2019-01-02", 0.0], ["2019-01-03", 0.0], ["2019-01-03", 0.0], ["2019-01-04", 0.0], ["2019-01-04", 0.0], ["2019-01-04"... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1076 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2019-03-31 | Between 1 January 2019 and 31 December 2019, will an armed group from Pakistan engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Pakistan? | gjopen | 0 |
2020-03-18 | 2018-12-28 | [] | binary | [["2018-12-28", 0.01], ["2018-12-28", 0.01], ["2018-12-29", 0.005], ["2018-12-29", 0.01], ["2018-12-31", 0.01], ["2018-12-31", 0.005], ["2018-12-31", 0.005], ["2019-01-02", 0.0], ["2019-01-02", 0.0], ["2019-01-02", 0.0], ["2019-01-03", 0.0], ["2019-01-03", 0.0], ["2019-01-04", 0.0], ["2019-01-04", 0.0], ["2019-01-04", ... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1082 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2019-03-31 | Between 1 January 2019 and 31 December 2019, will an armed group from Zimbabwe engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Zimbabwe? | gjopen | 0 |
2020-03-18 | 2018-12-28 | [] | binary | [["2018-12-28", 0.02], ["2018-12-28", 0.135], ["2018-12-29", 0.135], ["2018-12-29", 0.07], ["2018-12-29", 0.07], ["2018-12-31", 0.07], ["2018-12-31", 0.045], ["2018-12-31", 0.02], ["2019-01-01", 0.02], ["2019-01-02", 0.02], ["2019-01-02", 0.035], ["2019-01-03", 0.03], ["2019-01-03", 0.025], ["2019-01-04", 0.025], ["201... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1071 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2019-03-31 | Between 1 January 2019 and 31 December 2019, will an armed group from Sudan engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Sudan? | gjopen | 0 |
2020-03-18 | 2018-12-28 | [] | binary | [["2018-12-28", 0.01], ["2018-12-28", 0.01], ["2018-12-29", 0.01], ["2018-12-29", 0.01], ["2018-12-29", 0.015], ["2018-12-29", 0.02], ["2018-12-31", 0.02], ["2018-12-31", 0.015], ["2019-01-02", 0.01], ["2019-01-02", 0.01], ["2019-01-02", 0.005], ["2019-01-03", 0.01], ["2019-01-03", 0.01], ["2019-01-03", 0.005], ["2019-... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1081 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2019-03-31 | Between 1 January 2019 and 31 December 2019, will an armed group from Bangladesh engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Bangladesh? | gjopen | 0 |
2020-03-18 | 2018-12-28 | [] | binary | [["2018-12-28", 0.28], ["2018-12-28", 0.265], ["2018-12-29", 0.265], ["2018-12-29", 0.27], ["2018-12-31", 0.27], ["2018-12-31", 0.26], ["2018-12-31", 0.155], ["2019-01-02", 0.26], ["2019-01-02", 0.25], ["2019-01-02", 0.15], ["2019-01-03", 0.05], ["2019-01-03", 0.04], ["2019-01-04", 0.04], ["2019-01-04", 0.05], ["2019-0... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1080 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2019-03-31 | Between 1 January 2019 and 31 December 2019, will an armed group from Nigeria engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Nigeria? | gjopen | 0 |
2020-03-18 | 2018-12-28 | [] | binary | [["2018-12-28", 0.27], ["2018-12-28", 0.21], ["2018-12-28", 0.215], ["2018-12-29", 0.205], ["2018-12-29", 0.21], ["2018-12-31", 0.185], ["2018-12-31", 0.17], ["2019-01-02", 0.085], ["2019-01-03", 0.03], ["2019-01-03", 0.015], ["2019-01-04", 0.015], ["2019-01-04", 0.03], ["2019-01-04", 0.055], ["2019-01-06", 0.05], ["20... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1086 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2019-03-31 | Between 1 January 2019 and 31 December 2019, will an armed group from Myanmar engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Myanmar? | gjopen | 0 |
2020-03-18 | 2018-12-28 | [] | binary | [["2018-12-28", 0.01], ["2018-12-28", 0.08], ["2018-12-29", 0.08], ["2018-12-29", 0.1], ["2018-12-29", 0.1], ["2018-12-31", 0.1], ["2018-12-31", 0.055], ["2019-01-01", 0.055], ["2019-01-02", 0.01], ["2019-01-02", 0.01], ["2019-01-02", 0.005], ["2019-01-03", 0.01], ["2019-01-03", 0.005], ["2019-01-04", 0.005], ["2019-01... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1075 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2019-03-31 | Between 1 January 2019 and 31 December 2019, will an armed group from Mali engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Mali? | gjopen | 0 |
2020-03-18 | 2018-12-28 | [] | binary | [["2018-12-28", 0.02], ["2018-12-28", 0.06], ["2018-12-29", 0.06], ["2018-12-30", 0.05], ["2018-12-30", 0.035], ["2018-12-30", 0.03], ["2018-12-31", 0.025], ["2018-12-31", 0.025], ["2018-12-31", 0.02], ["2018-12-31", 0.02], ["2019-01-01", 0.02], ["2019-01-02", 0.01], ["2019-01-02", 0.01], ["2019-01-02", 0.0], ["2019-01... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1079 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2019-03-31 | Between 1 January 2019 and 31 December 2019, will an armed group from Turkey engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in Turkey? | gjopen | 0 |
2020-03-18 | 2018-12-28 | [] | binary | [["2018-12-28", 0.08], ["2018-12-28", 0.09], ["2018-12-29", 0.09], ["2018-12-29", 0.08], ["2018-12-29", 0.1], ["2018-12-29", 0.09], ["2018-12-31", 0.09], ["2018-12-31", 0.075], ["2019-01-02", 0.06], ["2019-01-03", 0.055], ["2019-01-03", 0.05], ["2019-01-04", 0.02], ["2019-01-04", 0.035], ["2019-01-04", 0.02], ["2019-01... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1085 | The EWP is asking forecasters to help provide early risk assessments to policy makers, NGOs, and other international actors about the systematic killing of civilians resulting in mass fatalities (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question is part of a series... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2019-03-31 | Between 1 January 2019 and 31 December 2019, will an armed group from South Sudan engage in a campaign that systematically kills 1,000 or more civilians in South Sudan? | gjopen | 0 |
2020-01-02 | 2019-01-04 | [] | binary | [["2019-01-05", 0.2], ["2019-01-05", 0.13], ["2019-01-06", 0.135], ["2019-01-06", 0.15], ["2019-01-06", 0.3], ["2019-01-06", 0.475], ["2019-01-06", 0.275], ["2019-01-06", 0.35], ["2019-01-06", 0.3], ["2019-01-06", 0.3], ["2019-01-06", 0.35], ["2019-01-06", 0.3], ["2019-01-06", 0.35], ["2019-01-06", 0.275], ["2019-01-06... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1087 | Ruth Bader Ginsburg was appointed to the Supreme Court in 1993, and has expressed her intent to remain on the Court through at least 2020 (<a href="https://www.cnn.com/2018/01/08/politics/ruth-bader-ginsburg-2020/index.html" target="_blank">CNN</a>).
<sub>Confused? Check our <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#quest... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2020-01-01 | Will Ruth Bader Ginsburg cease to be an Associate Justice of the U.S. Supreme Court before 1 January 2020? | gjopen | 0 |
2019-12-20 | 2019-01-04 | [] | binary | [["2019-01-05", 0.45], ["2019-01-05", 0.01], ["2019-01-06", 0.0], ["2019-01-06", 0.065], ["2019-01-06", 0.12], ["2019-01-06", 0.15], ["2019-01-06", 0.21], ["2019-01-06", 0.24], ["2019-01-06", 0.275], ["2019-01-06", 0.3], ["2019-01-06", 0.3], ["2019-01-06", 0.425], ["2019-01-06", 0.4], ["2019-01-06", 0.4], ["2019-01-06"... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1094 | The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis releases three estimates for each quarter: advance, second, and third, and the release dates for 2019 can be found here: <a href="https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule" target="_blank">The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis</a>. This question will be resolved based on the third estimates ... | Economics & Business | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2019-12-20 | Will the United States experience two consecutive quarters of a negative real GDP growth rate in 2019? | gjopen | 0 |
2020-01-01 | 2019-01-04 | [] | binary | [["2019-01-05", 0.0], ["2019-01-05", 0.06], ["2019-01-05", 0.02], ["2019-01-06", 0.01], ["2019-01-06", 0.04], ["2019-01-06", 0.05], ["2019-01-06", 0.05], ["2019-01-06", 0.05], ["2019-01-06", 0.1], ["2019-01-06", 0.1], ["2019-01-06", 0.075], ["2019-01-06", 0.085], ["2019-01-06", 0.05], ["2019-01-06", 0.05], ["2019-01-06... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1089 | Syrian President Bashar al-Assad still holds power despite a civil war that has lasted years and caused much destruction (<a href="https://www.cnn.com/2013/08/27/world/meast/syria-civil-war-fast-facts/index.html" target="_blank">CNN</a>, <a href="http://www.bbc.com/news/10338256" target="_blank">BBC</a>).
<sub>Conf... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2020-01-01 | Will Bashar al-Assad cease to be president of Syria before 1 January 2020? | gjopen | 0 |
2020-01-02 | 2019-01-04 | [] | binary | [["2019-01-05", 0.01], ["2019-01-05", 0.015], ["2019-01-06", 0.02], ["2019-01-06", 0.015], ["2019-01-06", 0.05], ["2019-01-06", 0.13], ["2019-01-06", 0.1], ["2019-01-06", 0.05], ["2019-01-06", 0.05], ["2019-01-06", 0.1], ["2019-01-06", 0.1], ["2019-01-06", 0.15], ["2019-01-06", 0.15], ["2019-01-06", 0.15], ["2019-01-06... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1093 | The EU continues to face a number of challenges, including populism and debt crises in a number of member states (<a href="https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2018/01/11/donald-tusk-warnspoland-could-hold-brexit-style-eu-referendum/" target="_blank">The Telegraph</a>, <a href="http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/brexit/2018/01/30/svex... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2020-01-01 | Before 1 January 2020, will any EU member state besides the UK set a date for a referendum on leaving the EU or the eurozone? | gjopen | 0 |
2019-06-24 | 2019-01-04 | [] | binary | [["2019-01-04", 1.0], ["2019-01-05", 0.9], ["2019-01-05", 0.97], ["2019-01-05", 0.92], ["2019-01-06", 0.795], ["2019-01-06", 0.79], ["2019-01-06", 0.68], ["2019-01-06", 0.735], ["2019-01-06", 0.575], ["2019-01-06", 0.75], ["2019-01-06", 0.75], ["2019-01-06", 0.75], ["2019-01-06", 0.725], ["2019-01-06", 0.75], ["2019-01... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1088 | Robert Mueller was appointed to serve as Special Counsel to investigate Russian interference with the 2016 presidential election and related matters by Acting Attorney General Rod Rosenstein in May 2017 (<a href="https://www.justice.gov/opa/press-release/file/967231/download" target="_blank">U.S Department of Justice</... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2019-05-29 | Will Robert Mueller cease to be Special Counsel before 1 January 2020? | gjopen | 1 |
2019-06-18 | 2019-01-11 | [] | binary | [["2019-01-11", 0.5], ["2019-01-11", 0.01], ["2019-01-11", 0.28], ["2019-01-11", 0.285], ["2019-01-12", 0.01], ["2019-01-12", 0.125], ["2019-01-12", 0.14], ["2019-01-12", 0.29], ["2019-01-13", 0.55], ["2019-01-13", 0.65], ["2019-01-13", 0.65], ["2019-01-13", 0.7], ["2019-01-13", 0.7], ["2019-01-14", 0.7], ["2019-01-14"... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1097 | A suit over First Amendment rights violations was dismissed by the district court, concluding that First Amendment protections do not apply to Manhattan Neighborhood Network because it is not a public forum and its employees are not state actors (<a href="https://www.reuters.com/article/us-otc-halleck-firstamendment/a-... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2019-06-17 | In Manhattan Community Access Corp. v. Halleck, will the Supreme Court rule that the Manhattan Neighborhood Network is a public forum for First Amendment purposes? | gjopen | 0 |
2019-10-25 | 2019-01-18 | [] | binary | [["2019-01-18", 0.13], ["2019-01-18", 0.1], ["2019-01-18", 0.4], ["2019-01-19", 0.3], ["2019-01-19", 0.455], ["2019-01-19", 0.53], ["2019-01-19", 0.505], ["2019-01-19", 0.38], ["2019-01-20", 0.38], ["2019-01-20", 0.46], ["2019-01-20", 0.325], ["2019-01-20", 0.17], ["2019-01-20", 0.2], ["2019-01-21", 0.145], ["2019-01-2... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1098 | <p>Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held on 21 October 2019 (<a href="https://www.ctvnews.ca/politics/no-early-election-pm-vows-next-federal-vote-to-be-held-in-october-2019-1.4219081" target="_blank">CTV News</a>, <a href=" https://www.macleans.ca/news/canada/harper-to-resign-as-prime-minister-next-week-just... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2019-10-22 | Will Justin Trudeau cease to be prime minister of Canada after the next federal election? | gjopen | 0 |
2020-01-02 | 2019-01-18 | [] | binary | [["2019-01-18", 0.02], ["2019-01-18", 0.02], ["2019-01-18", 0.02], ["2019-01-18", 0.135], ["2019-01-19", 0.35], ["2019-01-19", 0.7], ["2019-01-19", 0.53], ["2019-01-20", 0.53], ["2019-01-20", 0.355], ["2019-01-20", 0.355], ["2019-01-20", 0.325], ["2019-01-20", 0.3], ["2019-01-21", 0.25], ["2019-01-21", 0.3], ["2019-01-... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1099 | Tesla CEO Elon Musk has expressed interest in adding a feature to navigate city streets, including traffic lights (<a href="https://arstechnica.com/cars/2018/12/elon-musk-promises-autopilot-update-to-allow-for-no-driver-input-at-all/" target="_blank">Ars Technica</a>, <a href="http://www.thedrive.com/news/25398/elon-mu... | Science & Tech | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2020-01-01 | Before 1 January 2020, will Tesla release an Autopilot feature designed to navigate traffic lights? | gjopen | 0 |
2020-01-03 | 2019-01-18 | [] | binary | [["2019-01-18", 0.2], ["2019-01-18", 0.265], ["2019-01-18", 0.3], ["2019-01-18", 0.315], ["2019-01-18", 0.3], ["2019-01-18", 0.3], ["2019-01-18", 0.2], ["2019-01-18", 0.195], ["2019-01-19", 0.2], ["2019-01-19", 0.195], ["2019-01-19", 0.195], ["2019-01-19", 0.19], ["2019-01-20", 0.195], ["2019-01-20", 0.165], ["2019-01-... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1101 | The Qualified Plug-In Electric Drive Motor Vehicle Credit applies to the first 200,000 units sold by a manufacturer (<a href="https://www.irs.gov/businesses/plug-in-electric-vehicle-credit-irc-30-and-irc-30d" target="_blank">The IRS</a>, <a href="https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/26/30D" target="_blank">Cornell L... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2020-01-01 | Will legislation eliminating the unit limit per manufacturer for the U.S. federal electric vehicle tax credit become law before 1 January 2020? | gjopen | 0 |
2020-01-01 | 2019-01-18 | [] | binary | [["2019-01-18", 0.6], ["2019-01-18", 0.65], ["2019-01-18", 0.685], ["2019-01-18", 0.825], ["2019-01-18", 0.9], ["2019-01-19", 0.825], ["2019-01-19", 0.76], ["2019-01-19", 0.77], ["2019-01-20", 0.82], ["2019-01-20", 0.82], ["2019-01-20", 0.85], ["2019-01-20", 0.85], ["2019-01-20", 0.85], ["2019-01-20", 0.85], ["2019-01-... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1100 | In December 2018, President Trump announced that Office of Management and Budget Director Mick Mulvaney would replace, in an acting capacity, outgoing Chief of Staff John Kelly (<a href="https://www.cnn.com/2018/12/14/politics/donald-trump-mick-mulvaney-chief-of-staff/index.html" target="_blank">CNN</a>). For the purpo... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2020-01-01 | Will Mick Mulvaney cease to be White House Chief of Staff before 1 January 2020? | gjopen | 0 |
2020-04-03 | 2019-11-15 | [] | binary | [["2019-11-15", 0.425], ["2019-11-15", 0.425], ["2019-11-15", 0.385], ["2019-11-16", 0.51], ["2019-11-16", 0.51], ["2019-11-16", 0.435], ["2019-11-16", 0.435], ["2019-11-16", 0.52], ["2019-11-17", 0.645], ["2019-11-17", 0.675], ["2019-11-17", 0.52], ["2019-11-17", 0.585], ["2019-11-17", 0.625], ["2019-11-17", 0.535], [... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1401 | <p>Outcome will be determined by the official civilian unemployment rate (U3) as reported monthly by the U.S. Department of Labor's Bureau of Labor Statistics (<a href="https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm" target="_blank">BLS (Release)</a>, <a href="https://data.bls.gov/timeseries/LNS14000000" target="_blan... | Economics & Business | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2020-04-02 | Will the monthly U.S. civilian unemployment rate (U3) reach or exceed 4.0% for any month before 1 November 2020? | gjopen | 1 |
2019-12-26 | 2019-11-22 | [] | binary | [["2019-11-22", 0.15], ["2019-11-23", 0.2], ["2019-11-24", 0.575], ["2019-11-25", 0.48], ["2019-11-25", 0.195], ["2019-11-25", 0.215], ["2019-11-25", 0.38], ["2019-11-25", 0.3], ["2019-11-25", 0.25], ["2019-11-25", 0.345], ["2019-11-25", 0.25], ["2019-11-25", 0.25], ["2019-11-25", 0.2], ["2019-11-25", 0.05], ["2019-11-... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1406 | <p>In 2014, a special status for local self-government was granted to the Donbas region of Eastern Ukraine, encompassing the Donetsk and Luhansk regions (<a href="https://worldin.economist.com/article/17330/edition2020world-2020-through-putins-eyes" target="_blank">Economist</a>, <a href="https://www.kyivpost.com/artic... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2019-12-18 | Before 1 February 2020, will Ukraine adopt a new law giving or extending Donbas special status for local self-government? | gjopen | 1 |
2020-04-27 | 2019-11-29 | [] | binary | [["2019-11-29", 0.55], ["2019-11-29", 0.65], ["2019-11-29", 0.825], ["2019-11-29", 0.98], ["2019-11-29", 0.815], ["2019-11-30", 0.605], ["2019-11-30", 0.61], ["2019-12-01", 0.66], ["2019-12-01", 0.61], ["2019-12-01", 0.38], ["2019-12-01", 0.55], ["2019-12-01", 0.55], ["2019-12-02", 0.4], ["2019-12-02", 0.55], ["2019-12... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1409 |
<p>Various plaintiffs sued NYC in federal court over the limits it placed on transporting licensed firearms in the city, where NYC prevailed (<a href="http://www.nyc.gov/html/law/downloads/pdf/gun_group_2015.pdf" target="_blank">NYC.gov</a>, <a href="https://www.leagle.com/decision/infdco20150206e09" target=... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2020-04-27 | In New York State Rifle & Pistol Association Inc. v. City of New York, NY (NYC), will the Supreme Court rule that NYC’s previous ban on transporting a licensed, locked, and unloaded handgun to a home or shooting range outside city limits is unconstitutional? | gjopen | 0 |
2021-07-01 | 2019-12-04 | ["https://www.gjopen.com/comments/1168479"] | binary | [["2019-12-04", 0.04], ["2019-12-04", 0.11], ["2019-12-04", 0.18], ["2019-12-04", 0.18], ["2019-12-04", 0.265], ["2019-12-04", 0.28], ["2019-12-05", 0.23], ["2019-12-05", 0.23], ["2019-12-05", 0.23], ["2019-12-05", 0.18], ["2019-12-06", 0.18], ["2019-12-06", 0.215], ["2019-12-06", 0.215], ["2019-12-06", 0.205], ["2019-... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1412 |
<p>Amid large-scale economic protests, calls for the reform of Chile’s pension system have grown (<a href="https://www.reuters.com/article/us-chile-protests-pensions/chiles-fiery-anger-fueled-by-fears-of-poverty-in-old-age-idUSKBN1XB3U8" target="_blank">Reuters</a>, <a href="https://www.ipe.com/reports/spec... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-07-01 | Before 1 July 2021, will the Chilean government pass legislation nationalizing private pension fund assets? | gjopen | 0 |
2021-07-01 | 2019-12-04 | ["https://www.gjopen.com/comments/1166858"] | binary | [["2019-12-04", 0.95], ["2019-12-04", 0.525], ["2019-12-04", 0.35], ["2019-12-04", 0.45], ["2019-12-04", 0.445], ["2019-12-04", 0.45], ["2019-12-04", 0.405], ["2019-12-05", 0.36], ["2019-12-05", 0.355], ["2019-12-05", 0.355], ["2019-12-05", 0.355], ["2019-12-05", 0.35], ["2019-12-06", 0.35], ["2019-12-06", 0.35], ["201... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1411 |
<p>Amid large-scale economic protests, calls for reform of Chile’s pension system have grown (<a href="https://www.ft.com/content/4f8107f8-0fd4-11ea-a7e6-62bf4f9e548a" target="_blank">Financial Times</a>, <a href="https://apnews.com/31ab8e9f5b9a467abdda53616edc72c2" target="_blank">AP</a>, <a href="https://... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-07-01 | Before 1 July 2021, will the Chilean government pass legislation that caps administrative fees and/or operating profits of the country's pension fund managers? | gjopen | 0 |
2020-02-19 | 2019-12-06 | [] | binary | [["2019-12-06", 0.55], ["2019-12-06", 0.7], ["2019-12-06", 0.7], ["2019-12-06", 0.55], ["2019-12-06", 0.475], ["2019-12-07", 0.45], ["2019-12-07", 0.425], ["2019-12-07", 0.42], ["2019-12-07", 0.41], ["2019-12-07", 0.4], ["2019-12-07", 0.35], ["2019-12-07", 0.275], ["2019-12-08", 0.26], ["2019-12-08", 0.25], ["2019-12-0... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1416 | <p>China has increased import tariffs on U.S. yellow soybeans (also known as yellow soya beans) to 33% as of the launch of this question (<a href="https://www.fas.usda.gov/data/china-china-announces-increases-additional-tariffs-us-agricultural-products" target="_blank">USDA</a>, <a href="https://www.scmp.com/economy/ch... | Economics & Business | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2020-02-15 | Before 1 May 2020, will China reduce or remove any tariffs imposed on U.S. yellow soybeans? | gjopen | 1 |
2020-06-02 | 2019-12-06 | [] | binary | [["2019-12-06", 0.525], ["2019-12-06", 0.465], ["2019-12-07", 0.3], ["2019-12-07", 0.3], ["2019-12-07", 0.175], ["2019-12-07", 0.05], ["2019-12-08", 0.05], ["2019-12-08", 0.05], ["2019-12-08", 0.02], ["2019-12-08", 0.01], ["2019-12-08", 0.015], ["2019-12-08", 0.005], ["2019-12-08", 0.015], ["2019-12-08", 0.03], ["2019-... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1415 |
<p>There have been nine NPT RevCons in the treaty's existence (<a href="https://worldin.economist.com/article/17371/edition2020nuclear-non-proliferation-fears-unhappy-50th-birthday" target="_blank">Economist</a>). The widely used metric of a successful conference is for all parties to reach consensus on a RevCon ... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2020-06-01 | Will the 2020 Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty Review Conference (NPT RevCon) produce a consensus statement? | gjopen | 0 |
2020-07-02 | 2019-12-11 | [] | binary | [["2019-12-11", 0.65], ["2019-12-11", 0.35], ["2019-12-11", 0.3], ["2019-12-12", 0.35], ["2019-12-12", 0.3], ["2019-12-12", 0.25], ["2019-12-12", 0.175], ["2019-12-12", 0.175], ["2019-12-12", 0.1], ["2019-12-13", 0.05], ["2019-12-13", 0.05], ["2019-12-13", 0.1], ["2019-12-13", 0.095], ["2019-12-13", 0.14], ["2019-12-14... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1418 |
<p>Amid large-scale economic protests, calls for the reform of Chile’s pension system have grown (<a href="https://www.reuters.com/article/us-chile-protests-pensions/chiles-fiery-anger-fueled-by-fears-of-poverty-in-old-age-idUSKBN1XB3U8" target="_blank">Reuters</a>, <a href="https://www.ipe.com/reports/speci... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2020-07-01 | Before 1 July 2020, will the Chilean government pass legislation nationalizing private pension fund assets? | gjopen | 0 |
2020-07-02 | 2019-12-11 | [] | binary | [["2019-12-11", 0.45], ["2019-12-11", 0.335], ["2019-12-12", 0.45], ["2019-12-12", 0.335], ["2019-12-12", 0.22], ["2019-12-12", 0.22], ["2019-12-12", 0.22], ["2019-12-12", 0.235], ["2019-12-13", 0.235], ["2019-12-13", 0.185], ["2019-12-13", 0.15], ["2019-12-13", 0.15], ["2019-12-13", 0.185], ["2019-12-14", 0.185], ["20... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1417 |
<p>Amid large-scale economic protests, calls for reform of Chile’s pension system have grown (<a href="https://www.ft.com/content/4f8107f8-0fd4-11ea-a7e6-62bf4f9e548a" target="_blank" style="background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">Financial Times</a>, <a href="https://apnews.com/31ab8e9f5b9a467abdda5361... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2020-07-01 | Before 1 July 2020, will the Chilean government pass legislation that caps administrative fees and/or operating profits of the country's pension fund managers? | gjopen | 0 |
2020-03-02 | 2019-12-12 | [] | binary | [["2019-12-20", 0.01], ["2019-12-21", 0.05], ["2019-12-21", 0.055], ["2019-12-22", 0.06], ["2019-12-22", 0.095], ["2019-12-23", 0.145], ["2019-12-23", 0.155], ["2019-12-24", 0.075], ["2019-12-25", 0.075], ["2019-12-26", 0.1], ["2019-12-27", 0.1], ["2019-12-27", 0.135], ["2019-12-28", 0.115], ["2019-12-28", 0.11], ["201... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1422 | <p>The U.S. and Taliban were seemingly close to a peace agreement in September 2019, but talks abruptly ended after a Taliban attack (<a href="https://worldin.economist.com/article/17351/edition2020worst-afghanistan-could-be-yet-come" target="_blank">Economist</a>). Talks restarted in December 2019 (<a href="https://ww... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2020-02-29 | Before 13 July 2020, will the United States and Afghan Taliban sign a peace agreement? | gjopen | 1 |
2020-06-01 | 2019-12-12 | [] | binary | [["2019-12-13", 0.1], ["2019-12-14", 0.095], ["2019-12-14", 0.095], ["2019-12-14", 0.075], ["2019-12-15", 0.03], ["2019-12-15", 0.045], ["2019-12-16", 0.03], ["2019-12-16", 0.045], ["2019-12-17", 0.05], ["2019-12-17", 0.04], ["2019-12-18", 0.045], ["2019-12-19", 0.035], ["2019-12-21", 0.025], ["2019-12-22", 0.045], ["2... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1423 |
<p>Nicolas Maduro remains in power despite increasing international pressure and domestic instability (<a href="https://worldin.economist.com/article/17344/edition2020way-change-venezuela" target="_blank">Economist</a>, <a href="https://www.americasquarterly.org/content/where-will-maduro-end-ranking" target="_bla... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2020-06-01 | Will Nicolas Maduro cease to be president of Venezuela before 1 June 2020? | gjopen | 0 |
2020-03-10 | 2019-12-12 | [] | binary | [["2019-12-20", 0.45], ["2019-12-20", 0.7], ["2019-12-21", 0.95], ["2019-12-21", 0.95], ["2019-12-21", 0.95], ["2019-12-21", 0.95], ["2019-12-22", 0.88], ["2019-12-22", 0.865], ["2019-12-22", 0.85], ["2019-12-26", 0.865], ["2019-12-26", 0.85], ["2019-12-27", 0.85], ["2019-12-28", 0.85], ["2019-12-28", 0.85], ["2019-12-... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1424 | <p>Amid political turmoil in the South American country, Fitch Ratings downgraded Bolivia's long-term credit rating from BB- to B+ (<a href="https://www.reuters.com/article/bolivia-ratings-fitch/fitch-downgrades-bolivia-amid-political-instability-idUSL3N2815HF" target="_blank">Reuters</a>, <a href="https://www.fitchrat... | Economics & Business | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2020-03-10 | Between 13 December 2019 and 1 May 2020, will either Moody's or S&P downgrade Bolivia's credit rating? | gjopen | 1 |
2021-01-01 | 2020-01-03 | ["https://www.businessinsider.com/elliott-abrams-iranian-missiles-in-venezuela-will-be-dealt-with-2020-12", "https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-12-05/biggest-iranian-flotilla-yet-en-route-to-venezuela-with-fuel", "https://www.wsj.com/articles/iran-pushed-online-effort-to-incite-violence-against-officials-defe... | binary | [["2020-01-03", 0.5], ["2020-01-03", 0.35], ["2020-01-04", 0.74], ["2020-01-04", 0.35], ["2020-01-04", 0.7], ["2020-01-04", 0.825], ["2020-01-05", 0.75], ["2020-01-05", 0.755], ["2020-01-05", 0.68], ["2020-01-05", 0.69], ["2020-01-05", 0.66], ["2020-01-06", 0.65], ["2020-01-06", 0.65], ["2020-01-06", 0.65], ["2020-01-0... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1477 |
<p>Regional tensions in the Middle East are running high since attacks against commercial vessels in the Gulf of Oman, the downing of a U.S. drone, and missile attacks on Saudi oil fields in 2019 (<a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-48245204" target="_blank">BBC</a>, <a href="https://www.nbcnews.c... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-01-01 | Before 1 January 2021, will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces of Iran and the United States either in Iran or at sea? | gjopen | 0 |
2020-08-16 | 2020-01-16 | [] | binary | [["2020-01-17", 0.175], ["2020-01-17", 0.25], ["2020-01-18", 0.25], ["2020-01-18", 0.25], ["2020-01-18", 0.16], ["2020-01-18", 0.13], ["2020-01-19", 0.125], ["2020-01-19", 0.09], ["2020-01-19", 0.09], ["2020-01-19", 0.09], ["2020-01-19", 0.125], ["2020-01-19", 0.15], ["2020-01-19", 0.15], ["2020-01-19", 0.15], ["2020-0... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1489 |
<p>Félix Tshisekedi was inaugurated in January 2020 amid claims of election rigging and a secret power-sharing deal with outgoing President Kabila (<a href="https://worldin.economist.com/article/17368/edition2020instability-top-congo" target="_blank">Economist</a>, <a href="https://www.theafricareport.com/21469/d... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2020-08-15 | Will Félix Tshisekedi cease to be president of the Democratic Republic of the Congo before 15 August 2020? | gjopen | 0 |
2020-06-27 | 2020-01-17 | [] | binary | [["2020-01-17", 0.0], ["2020-01-18", 0.01], ["2020-01-18", 0.05], ["2020-01-19", 0.025], ["2020-01-19", 0.035], ["2020-01-19", 0.05], ["2020-01-19", 0.1], ["2020-01-19", 0.225], ["2020-01-19", 0.4], ["2020-01-19", 0.5], ["2020-01-19", 0.415], ["2020-01-19", 0.315], ["2020-01-19", 0.3], ["2020-01-19", 0.275], ["2020-01-... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1493 |
<p>The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis releases three estimates for each quarter: advance, second, and third, and the release dates for 2020 can be found here: https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule. This question will be resolved based on the third estimates for Q1, Q2, and Q3, typically released 3 months after the ... | Economics & Business | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2020-04-02 | Will the United States experience at least one quarter of negative real GDP growth in 2020? | gjopen | 1 |
2021-01-01 | 2020-01-17 | ["https://www.reuters.com/article/us-britain-scotland/scotlands-sturgeon-hints-at-legal-move-if-independence-vote-blocked-idUSKBN28A0QD", "https://www.reuters.com/article/uk-britain-scotland-referendum-idUKKBN27X0MA"] | binary | [["2020-01-17", 0.2], ["2020-01-18", 0.275], ["2020-01-18", 0.2], ["2020-01-18", 0.035], ["2020-01-18", 0.05], ["2020-01-19", 0.06], ["2020-01-19", 0.05], ["2020-01-19", 0.1], ["2020-01-19", 0.15], ["2020-01-19", 0.2], ["2020-01-19", 0.25], ["2020-01-19", 0.2], ["2020-01-19", 0.25], ["2020-01-19", 0.35], ["2020-01-19",... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1494 |
<p>A change in Scotland's relationship with the United Kingdom is being discussed as a possible consequence of the Brexit process (<a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-scotland-scotland-politics-51106796" target="_blank">BBC</a>, <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2020/jan/14/boris-johnson-refuses-to-g... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-01-01 | Before 1 January 2021, will a date be set for a referendum on Scotland's status within the United Kingdom? | gjopen | 0 |
2020-11-10 | 2020-01-17 | [] | binary | [["2020-01-18", 0.98], ["2020-01-18", 0.84], ["2020-01-19", 0.85], ["2020-01-19", 0.81], ["2020-01-19", 0.77], ["2020-01-19", 0.75], ["2020-01-19", 0.75], ["2020-01-19", 0.775], ["2020-01-19", 0.8], ["2020-01-19", 0.8], ["2020-01-19", 0.75], ["2020-01-19", 0.75], ["2020-01-19", 0.75], ["2020-01-19", 0.75], ["2020-01-19... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1495 |
<p>For more information on the the popular vote and the electoral college see: (<a href="http://www.archives.gov/federal-register/electoral-college/about.html" target="_blank">Archives.gov</a>, <a href="https://ballotpedia.org/Splits_between_the_Electoral_College_and_popular_vote,">Ballotpedia</a>, <a href=... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2020-11-03 | Will the winner of the popular vote in the 2020 United States presidential election also win the electoral college? | gjopen | 1 |
2021-01-01 | 2020-01-17 | ["https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/dec/09/north-korea-says-south-may-pay-dearly-for-doubting-its-claim-to-be-covid-free"] | binary | [["2020-01-18", 0.15], ["2020-01-18", 0.15], ["2020-01-18", 0.135], ["2020-01-19", 0.15], ["2020-01-19", 0.225], ["2020-01-19", 0.4], ["2020-01-19", 0.4], ["2020-01-19", 0.4], ["2020-01-19", 0.2], ["2020-01-19", 0.1], ["2020-01-19", 0.1], ["2020-01-19", 0.05], ["2020-01-19", 0.125], ["2020-01-19", 0.1], ["2020-01-19", ... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1492 |
<p>Negotiations between the United States and North Korea during 2019 were inconclusive, and there are efforts to restart them in 2020 (<a href="https://edition.cnn.com/2020/01/11/asia/north-korea-trump-letter-intl-hnk/index.html" target="_blank">CNN</a>, <a href="https://www.axios.com/trump-kim-jong-un-nort... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-01-01 | Will President Trump and North Korea's Kim Jong Un meet before 1 January 2021? | gjopen | 0 |
2021-01-01 | 2020-01-17 | ["https://eurasiantimes.com/saudi-gives-green-signal-to-israel-can-putin-xi-defend-iran-against-an-impending-us-israel-attack/"] | binary | [["2020-01-17", 0.4], ["2020-01-18", 0.04], ["2020-01-18", 0.05], ["2020-01-18", 0.09], ["2020-01-19", 0.14], ["2020-01-19", 0.25], ["2020-01-19", 0.4], ["2020-01-19", 0.25], ["2020-01-19", 0.4], ["2020-01-19", 0.4], ["2020-01-19", 0.45], ["2020-01-19", 0.4], ["2020-01-19", 0.365], ["2020-01-19", 0.29], ["2020-01-19", ... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1491 |
<p>A lethal confrontation between the national military forces of Iran and Saudi Arabia is becoming an issue of increasing concern (<a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-42008809" target="_blank">BBC</a>, <a href="https://edition.cnn.com/2019/09/20/middleeast/saudi-arabia-iran-robertson-analysis-int... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-01-01 | Before 1 January 2021, will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military or law enforcement forces of Iran and Saudi Arabia either in Iran or at sea? | gjopen | 0 |
2021-01-01 | 2020-01-17 | ["https://www.businessinsider.com/elliott-abrams-iranian-missiles-in-venezuela-will-be-dealt-with-2020-12", "https://www.france24.com/en/americas/20201204-venezuela-s-guaido-risks-political-irrelevance-as-maduro-eyes-poll-victory", "https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2020/12/06/juan-guaido-prepares-lose-seat-venezuela-fr... | binary | [["2020-01-18", 0.55], ["2020-01-18", 0.8], ["2020-01-18", 0.625], ["2020-01-19", 0.5], ["2020-01-19", 0.415], ["2020-01-19", 0.475], ["2020-01-19", 0.5], ["2020-01-19", 0.5], ["2020-01-19", 0.5], ["2020-01-19", 0.55], ["2020-01-19", 0.55], ["2020-01-19", 0.6], ["2020-01-19", 0.6], ["2020-01-19", 0.55], ["2020-01-19", ... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1497 |
<p>Guaidó and his allies continue to face pressure from the Maduro government, including a threat by Venezuelan prosecutors to arrest Guaidó for "high treason" (<a href="https://news.yahoo.com/venezuela-prosecutors-charge-guaido-high-treason-185544663.html" target="_blank">Yahoo</a>, <a href="https://www.dw.com/e... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-01-01 | Will Venezuelan opposition leader Juan Guaidó be detained or arrested by Venezuelan authorities before 1 January 2021? | gjopen | 0 |
2021-01-01 | 2020-01-17 | ["https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1801-when-will-lebanon-s-parliament-give-a-vote-of-confidence-to-a-new-government", "https://www.nrc.nl/nieuws/2020/12/02/coalitiepartner-valt-premier-netanyahu-af-en-stemt-voor-ontbinding-parlement-a4022330", "https://www.timesofisrael.com/gantz-says-hes-done-believing-netanyahu-insi... | binary | [["2020-01-18", 0.72], ["2020-01-18", 0.57], ["2020-01-19", 0.505], ["2020-01-19", 0.535], ["2020-01-19", 0.58], ["2020-01-19", 0.6], ["2020-01-19", 0.575], ["2020-01-19", 0.6], ["2020-01-19", 0.55], ["2020-01-19", 0.6], ["2020-01-19", 0.5], ["2020-01-19", 0.5], ["2020-01-19", 0.465], ["2020-01-19", 0.525], ["2020-01-1... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1498 |
<p>Prime Minister Netanyahu faces an array of challenges, including criminal corruption charges and the third Knesset election within a year scheduled for 2 March 2020 (<a href="https://www.timesofisrael.com/attorney-general-rules-netanyahu-can-remain-pm-in-transition-government/" target="_blank">Times of Israel<... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-01-01 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be the prime minister of Israel before 1 January 2021? | gjopen | 0 |
2021-01-01 | 2020-01-21 | ["http://www.iberchina.org/files/2017/china_2021_chatham.pdf", "https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/hongkong-mask-ban-ruling/2020/12/20/f2722af0-4340-11eb-a277-49a6d1f9dff1_story.html", "https://www.scmp.com/news/hong-kong/law-and-crime/article/3113637/hong-kong-protests-construction-worker-gets-40-months", "https://w... | binary | [["2020-01-24", 0.45], ["2020-01-25", 0.325], ["2020-01-25", 0.3], ["2020-01-25", 0.2], ["2020-01-25", 0.2], ["2020-01-25", 0.145], ["2020-01-26", 0.145], ["2020-01-26", 0.15], ["2020-01-26", 0.15], ["2020-01-26", 0.15], ["2020-01-26", 0.15], ["2020-01-26", 0.15], ["2020-01-26", 0.16], ["2020-01-27", 0.135], ["2020-01-... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1499 |
<p>Protests in Hong Kong that began in June 2019 have evolved into broader anti-government protests (<a href="https://www.reuters.com/subjects/hong-kong-protests" target="_blank">Reuters</a>). Reports indicate that China's central government could mobilize PLA and/or PAP troops in Hong Kong (<a href="https://www.... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-01-01 | Before 1 January 2021, will the People's Liberation Army (PLA) and/or People’s Armed Police (PAP) be mobilized in Hong Kong? | gjopen | 0 |
2020-07-14 | 2020-01-24 | [] | binary | [["2020-01-24", 0.675], ["2020-01-24", 0.475], ["2020-01-25", 0.475], ["2020-01-25", 0.475], ["2020-01-25", 0.4], ["2020-01-25", 0.375], ["2020-01-26", 0.375], ["2020-01-26", 0.5], ["2020-01-26", 0.675], ["2020-01-26", 0.685], ["2020-01-26", 0.71], ["2020-01-26", 0.71], ["2020-01-27", 0.575], ["2020-01-27", 0.46], ["20... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1500 |
<p>A slowing economy in India is affecting many sectors, including car sales (<a href="https://worldin.economist.com/article/17496/edition2020crunch-year-ahead-indian-business" target="_blank">Economist</a>, <a href="https://www.indiatoday.in/business/story/india-s-slowing-economy-led-to-record-drop-in-car-sales-... | Economics & Business | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2020-07-01 | Will domestic sales of passenger vehicles in India be higher in April-June 2020 compared with April-June 2019? | gjopen | 0 |
2021-01-24 | 2020-01-24 | ["https://reut.rs/36in863", "https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/jan/13/italy-facing-fresh-elections-after-ex-pm-withdraws-party-from-coalition", "https://bit.ly/2Kn1MMS", "https://www.cnbc.com/2020/12/24/italys-accidental-prime-minister-giuseppe-conte-has-lasted-in-the-role-a-lot-longer-than-many-exp.html", "https:... | binary | [["2020-01-24", 0.825], ["2020-01-24", 0.96], ["2020-01-24", 0.95], ["2020-01-25", 0.95], ["2020-01-25", 0.95], ["2020-01-25", 0.935], ["2020-01-25", 0.825], ["2020-01-26", 0.75], ["2020-01-26", 0.83], ["2020-01-26", 0.765], ["2020-01-26", 0.75], ["2020-01-27", 0.75], ["2020-01-27", 0.7], ["2020-01-27", 0.55], ["2020-0... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1502 |
<p>Italian Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte entered 2020 after a politically tumultuous year (<a href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/2019/dec/30/italian-pm-calls-for-unity-as-three-senators-move-to-far-right" target="_blank">Guardian</a>, <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2019/08/29/world/europe/italy-conte-gover... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-01-24 | Will there be a new prime minister of Italy before 24 January 2021? | gjopen | 0 |
2021-01-04 | 2020-01-31 | ["https://www.europarl.europa.eu/doceo/document/RULES-9-2019-07-02-RULE-211_EN.html", "https://www.europarl.europa.eu/doceo/document/RULES-9-2019-07-02-RULE-057_EN.html", "https://www.europarl.europa.eu/doceo/document/RULES-9-2019-07-02_EN.pdf", "https://trade.ec.europa.eu/doclib/docs/2012/june/tradoc_149616.pdf", "htt... | binary | [["2020-02-01", 0.5], ["2020-02-01", 0.61], ["2020-02-02", 0.45], ["2020-02-02", 0.315], ["2020-02-02", 0.28], ["2020-02-02", 0.33], ["2020-02-03", 0.3], ["2020-02-03", 0.275], ["2020-02-04", 0.26], ["2020-02-04", 0.25], ["2020-02-05", 0.25], ["2020-02-06", 0.425], ["2020-02-07", 0.5], ["2020-02-07", 0.6], ["2020-02-08... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1511 |
<p>The United Kingdom exited the European Union on 31 January 2020. The Withdrawal Agreement transition period ends on 31 December 2020, though there is provision for a possible extension (<a href="https://data.consilium.europa.eu/doc/document/XT-21054-2019-INIT/en/pdf" target="_blank">Europa</a>). If... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2021-01-01 | Before 1 January 2021, will the Council of the European Union request the consent of the European Parliament to conclude a European Union-United Kingdom trade agreement? | gjopen | 0 |
2020-07-06 | 2020-01-31 | [] | binary | [["2020-01-31", 1.0], ["2020-01-31", 0.505], ["2020-01-31", 0.2], ["2020-01-31", 0.2], ["2020-01-31", 0.3], ["2020-01-31", 0.23], ["2020-01-31", 0.3], ["2020-01-31", 0.465], ["2020-02-01", 0.5], ["2020-02-01", 0.4], ["2020-02-01", 0.23], ["2020-02-01", 0.3], ["2020-02-01", 0.3], ["2020-02-01", 0.23], ["2020-02-02", 0.1... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1507 |
<p>Washington state law requires Electoral College voters to cast their ballots for the presidential candidates from their party who won the popular vote in the state, but in 2016 four electors cast their votes for others and were fined (<a href="https://www.seattletimes.com/seattle-news/politics/four-washington-... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2020-07-06 | In Chiafalo v. Washington, will the Supreme Court rule that the state of Washington's fining of presidential electors for failing to vote for the nominee of their party is unconstitutional? | gjopen | 0 |
2020-07-01 | 2020-02-06 | [] | binary | [["2020-02-07", 0.955], ["2020-02-07", 0.95], ["2020-02-08", 0.525], ["2020-02-08", 0.22], ["2020-02-08", 0.15], ["2020-02-08", 0.085], ["2020-02-08", 0.08], ["2020-02-08", 0.08], ["2020-02-08", 0.08], ["2020-02-09", 0.07], ["2020-02-09", 0.055], ["2020-02-09", 0.055], ["2020-02-10", 0.065], ["2020-02-10", 0.05], ["202... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1514 |
<p>In the midst of ongoing turmoil in Libya, Turkey has begun deploying armed forces to the country (<a href="https://www.economist.com/middle-east-and-africa/2020/01/11/turkey-is-set-to-send-troops-to-libya" target="_blank">Economist</a>, <a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-51003034" target="_blank">B... | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2020-07-01 | Between 7 February 2020 and 30 June 2020, will a lethal confrontation in Libya result in eight or more fatalities for Turkish armed forces? | gjopen | 0 |
2020-03-16 | 2020-02-07 | [] | binary | [["2020-02-07", 0.325], ["2020-02-07", 0.5], ["2020-02-07", 0.55], ["2020-02-07", 0.45], ["2020-02-07", 0.45], ["2020-02-07", 0.445], ["2020-02-08", 0.42], ["2020-02-08", 0.39], ["2020-02-08", 0.19], ["2020-02-08", 0.075], ["2020-02-08", 0.15], ["2020-02-08", 0.1], ["2020-02-08", 0.195], ["2020-02-08", 0.25], ["2020-02... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1517 | <p>Fourteen states, one U.S. territory, and "Democrats Abroad" are scheduled to hold their Democratic primaries & caucuses on 3 March 2020, known as "Super Tuesday" (<a href="https://www.270towin.com/2020-election-calendar/" target="_blank">270 To Win</a>). The outcome will be determined based on who wins the major... | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2020-03-03 | Will Bernie Sanders win a majority of Democratic pledged delegates on Super Tuesday? | gjopen | 0 |
2020-09-28 | 2020-02-07 | [] | binary | [["2020-02-07", 0.425], ["2020-02-08", 0.425], ["2020-02-08", 0.3], ["2020-02-08", 0.295], ["2020-02-08", 0.32], ["2020-02-09", 0.25], ["2020-02-09", 0.25], ["2020-02-09", 0.235], ["2020-02-10", 0.225], ["2020-02-10", 0.225], ["2020-02-10", 0.235], ["2020-02-10", 0.205], ["2020-02-10", 0.175], ["2020-02-10", 0.26], ["2... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1516 |
<p>As of the start of the 2019-2020, eleven NBA franchises have never won a championship: Brooklyn Nets, Charlotte Hornets, Denver Nuggets, Indiana Pacers, Los Angeles Clippers, Memphis Grizzlies, Minnesota Timberwolves, New Orleans Pelicans, Orlando Magic, Phoenix Suns, and the Utah Jazz (<a hr... | Sports | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2020-09-27 | Will the team winning the 2020 National Basketball Association championship be a first-time champion? | gjopen | 0 |
2020-05-07 | 2020-02-14 | [] | binary | [["2020-02-14", 0.795], ["2020-02-14", 0.855], ["2020-02-14", 0.85], ["2020-02-14", 0.89], ["2020-02-14", 0.89], ["2020-02-14", 0.92], ["2020-02-14", 0.92], ["2020-02-14", 0.92], ["2020-02-14", 0.85], ["2020-02-14", 0.66], ["2020-02-14", 0.455], ["2020-02-14", 0.3], ["2020-02-14", 0.3], ["2020-02-14", 0.45], ["2020-02-... | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/1529 |
<p>On 30 January 2020, the World Health Organization (WHO) Director-General declared a PHEIC regarding COVID-19 (<a href="https://www.statnews.com/2020/01/30/who-declares-coronavirus-outbreak-a-global-health-emergency/" target="_blank">Statnews</a>, <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/global/2020/jan/30/coronavi... | Healthcare & Biology | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2020-05-07 | Will a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) declaration pertaining to the Wuhan coronavirus (COVID-19) be in effect as of 6 May 2020? | gjopen | 1 |
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