url stringlengths 52 124 | post_id stringlengths 17 17 | title stringlengths 2 248 | author stringlengths 2 49 | content stringlengths 22 295k ⌀ | date stringclasses 376
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https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/We8GnLvDsyucEmGkP/agi-s-opposing-force | We8GnLvDsyucEmGkP | AGI's Opposing Force | simonbaars | In the Death Note anime, the Death Note gives the protagonist the ability to create a totalitarian justice system. That is, if there isn't a force to stop him. But a character named L quickly catches onto him, and makes his ability to "serve justice" harder. In other words, the Death Note is a powerful tool (like AGI),... | 2024-08-16 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/gxt3C6zGAQ4xysBfs/recommended | gxt3C6zGAQ4xysBfs | Recommended | blake8086 | I read everything ever written.
Oh, I see a typo in your doc, let me help you fix that. Also you could rewrite the whole thing like... yeah, just click "accept", thanks for letting me help!
Anyways, when I was reading everything, I also read about a future AI using diamondoid nanobots with special neurotoxins to kill e... | 2024-08-16 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/tRwddx3FqsG8A9qtq/demis-hassabis-google-deepmind-the-podcast | tRwddx3FqsG8A9qtq | Demis Hassabis — Google DeepMind: The Podcast | Zach Stein-Perlman | The YouTube "chapters" are mixed up, e.g. the question about regulation comes 5 minutes after the regulation chapter ends. Ignore them.
Noteworthy parts:
8:40: Near-term AI is hyped too much (think current startups, VCs, exaggerated claims about what AI can do, crazy ideas that aren't ready) but AGI is under-hyped and ... | 2024-08-16 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/ppafWk6YCeXYr4XpH/danger-ai-scientist-danger | ppafWk6YCeXYr4XpH | Danger, AI Scientist, Danger | Zvi | While I finish up the weekly for tomorrow morning after my trip, here’s a section I expect to want to link back to every so often in the future. It’s too good.
Danger, AI Scientist, Danger
As in, the company that made the automated AI Scientist that tried to rewrite its code to get around resource restrictions and laun... | 2024-08-15 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/mwSY7Jy3mZzgjGYYq/linkpost-the-ai-scientist-towards-fully-automated-open-ended | mwSY7Jy3mZzgjGYYq | [Linkpost] 'The AI Scientist: Towards Fully Automated Open-Ended Scientific Discovery' | bogdan-ionut-cirstea | Authors: Chris Lu, Cong Lu, Robert Tjarko Lange, Jakob Foerster, Jeff Clune, David Ha.
Blogpost: https://sakana.ai/ai-scientist/.
Abstract:
One of the grand challenges of artificial general intelligence is developing agents capable of conducting scientific research and discovering new knowledge. While frontier models h... | 2024-08-15 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/ygY4Zgh9iz9hKxRnD/on-power-and-its-amplification | ygY4Zgh9iz9hKxRnD | On power and its amplification | ted-sanders | In the beginning of the universe, everything was equal.
Then it exploded. Quantum inequalities became galactic. Stars coalesced, and beamed energy into the voids left behind.
Between one hot young star and the void was a planet we now call Earth. On Earth, energy gradients drove chemical reactions. One reaction was spe... | 2024-08-15 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/6mPQfE2zzbGnHBAgA/the-overlooked-necessity-of-complete-semantic-representation | 6mPQfE2zzbGnHBAgA | The Overlooked Necessity of Complete Semantic Representation in AI Safety and Alignment | williamsae | As artificial intelligence (AI) rapidly evolves, the challenges of AI alignment and safety are growing more urgent by the day. While much has been discussed about the technical and ethical complexities of aligning AI systems with human values, there is a critical piece of the puzzle that remains largely overlooked in p... | 2024-08-15 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Xj2v3jv37B5DZuYvf/my-article-in-the-nation-california-s-ai-safety-bill-is-a | Xj2v3jv37B5DZuYvf | My article in The Nation — California’s AI Safety Bill Is a Mask-Off Moment for the Industry | garrison | null | 2024-08-15 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/qsXcL6aArfWQXHHvf/rewilding-the-gut-vs-the-autoimmune-epidemic | qsXcL6aArfWQXHHvf | Rewilding the Gut VS the Autoimmune Epidemic | GGD | Did you know that an autoimmune disease now affects one in five Americans? Of these, 80% are women; autoimmune disease is the fifth leading cause of death in women under 65. Most autoimmune diseases are being diagnosed in increasing numbers, but it is still unclear if all this variance is due to higher awareness, medic... | 2024-08-16 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/kWWvkwvhZh9bHcf2q/critique-of-many-people-fear-a-i-they-shouldn-t-by-david | kWWvkwvhZh9bHcf2q | Critique of 'Many People
Fear A.I. They Shouldn't' by David Brooks. | axelahlqvist1995@gmail.com | This is my critique of David Brooks opinion piece in the New York Times.
Tl;dr: Brooks believes that AI will never replace human intelligence but does not describe any testable capabilities that he predicts AI will never possess.
David Brooks argues that artificial intelligence will never replace human intelligence. I ... | 2024-08-15 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/2DvR4vm46azan6sKS/sequence-overview-welfare-and-moral-weights | 2DvR4vm46azan6sKS | Sequence overview: Welfare and moral weights | MichaelStJules | We may be making important conceptual or methodological errors in prioritization between moral patients. In this sequence, I illustrate and address several:
Types of subjective welfare: I review types of subjective welfare, interpersonal comparisons with them and common grounds between them.Solution to the two envelope... | 2024-08-15 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/z3aerXadDPQDPDNKx/funding-for-programs-and-events-on-global-catastrophic-risk-1 | z3aerXadDPQDPDNKx | Funding for programs and events on global catastrophic risk, effective altruism, and other topics | abergal | [cross-posted from the EA Forum]
Post authors: Eli Rose, Asya Bergal
Posting in our capacities as members of Open Philanthropy’s Global Catastrophic Risks Capacity Building team.
Note: This program, together with our separate program for work that builds capacity to address risks from transformative AI, has replaced ou... | 2024-08-14 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/b53cz7emRcdptbYiy/funding-for-work-that-builds-capacity-to-address-risks-from-1 | b53cz7emRcdptbYiy | Funding for work that builds capacity to address risks from transformative AI | abergal | [cross-posted from the EA Forum]
Post authors: Eli Rose, Asya Bergal
Posting in our capacities as members of Open Philanthropy’s Global Catastrophic Risks Capacity Building team.
This program, together with our separate program for programs and events on global catastrophic risk, effective altruism, and other topics, h... | 2024-08-14 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/ha4CLkjedsbFwSHtA/toward-a-human-hybrid-language-for-enhanced-human-machine | ha4CLkjedsbFwSHtA | Toward a Human Hybrid Language for Enhanced Human-Machine Communication: Addressing the AI Alignment Problem | andndn-dheudnd | Abstract
The AI alignment problem, which concerns the challenge of ensuring that artificial intelligence systems act in accordance with human intentions and values, is a critical issue in the development of AI technologies. This article proposes the development of a new human hybrid language system that combines natura... | 2024-08-14 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/E2NZLWKE3w3Zwhxor/adverse-selection-by-life-saving-charities | E2NZLWKE3w3Zwhxor | Adverse Selection by Life-Saving Charities | vaishnav92 | GiveWell, and the EA community at large, often emphasize the "cost of saving a life" as a key metric, $5,000 being the most commonly cited approximation. At first glance, GiveWell might seem to be in the business of finding the cheapest lives that can be saved, and then saving them. More precisely, GiveWell is in the b... | 2024-08-14 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/JpwBttQCpFXuwmizf/gpt-2-sometimes-fails-at-ioi | JpwBttQCpFXuwmizf | GPT-2 Sometimes Fails at IOI | Ronak_Mehta | tl;dr: For Lisa, GPT-2 does not do IOI. GPT-2 fails to perform the IOI task on a significantly nonzero fraction of names used in the original IOI paper.
Code for this post can be found at https://github.com/ronakrm/ioi-enumerate.
Unintentionally continuing the trend of "following up" on the IOI paper, I ran GPT-2 Small... | 2024-08-14 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/zrxaihbHCgZpxuDJg/using-llm-s-for-ai-foundation-research-and-the-simple | zrxaihbHCgZpxuDJg | Using LLM's for AI Foundation research and the Simple Solution assumption | donald-hobson | Current LLM based AI systems are getting pretty good at maths by writing formal proofs in Lean or similar. https://deepmind.google/discover/blog/ai-solves-imo-problems-at-silver-medal-level/
So, how can we use these models to help align AI?
The Simple Alignment Solution Assumption states that many problems in alignment... | 2024-09-24 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/qEngyqNYycu72w6F4/the-great-enigma-in-the-sky-the-universe-as-an-encryption | qEngyqNYycu72w6F4 | The great Enigma in the sky: The universe as an encryption machine | Alex_Shleizer | Epistemic status: Fun speculation. I'm a dilettante in physics and encryption so some mistakes might be expected.
The metaphysical claim:
Imagine an external universe that seeks to encrypt or hash an enormous amount of data to defend against a powerful adversary. For this purpose, it has built an extremely sophisticate... | 2024-08-14 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/6bnushzT6mtTfwhSF/an-anti-inductive-sequence | 6bnushzT6mtTfwhSF | An anti-inductive sequence | Viliam | I was thinking about what would it mean for a sequence of bits to be "anti-inductive". It probably is a concept that is already known (as a rule of thumb, if I can think about it, someone probably already wrote a paper on it 50 years ago), but I haven't heard about it.
*
Some sequences are predictable and can be compre... | 2024-08-14 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/wkrAEbJr3ydxzpAvJ/rabin-s-paradox | wkrAEbJr3ydxzpAvJ | Rabin's Paradox | Charlie Steiner | Quick psychology experiment
Right now, if I offered you a bet[1] that was a fair coin flip, on tails you give me $100, heads I give you $110, would you take it?
Got an answer? Good.
Hover over the spoiler to see what other people think:
About 90% of undergrads will reject this bet[2].
Second part now, if I offered you ... | 2024-08-14 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/bKDaTPEvaWMfGxcMA/announcing-the-usd200k-ea-community-choice | bKDaTPEvaWMfGxcMA | Announcing the $200k EA Community Choice | austin-chen | null | 2024-08-14 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/xXXXkGGKorTNmcYdb/fields-that-i-reference-when-thinking-about-ai-takeover | xXXXkGGKorTNmcYdb | Fields that I reference when thinking about AI takeover prevention | Buck | Is AI takeover like a nuclear meltdown? A coup? A plane crash?
My day job is thinking about safety measures that aim to reduce catastrophic risks from AI (especially risks from egregious misalignment). The two main themes of this work are the design of such measures (what’s the space of techniques we might expect to be... | 2024-08-13 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/WQNmn33EY7m4ABaCD/ten-counter-arguments-that-ai-is-not-an-existential-risk-for | WQNmn33EY7m4ABaCD | Ten counter-arguments that AI is (not) an existential risk (for now) | ariel-kwiatkowski | This is a polemic to the ten arguments post. I'm not a regular LW poster, but I'm an AI researcher and mild-AI-worrier.
I believe that AI progress, and the risks associated with it, is one of the most important things to figure out as humanity in the current year. And yet, in most discussions about x-risk, I find mysel... | 2024-08-13 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/cMj8q7Tihd6deaY2S/ldsl-6-when-is-quantification-needed-and-when-is-it-hard | cMj8q7Tihd6deaY2S | [LDSL#6] When is quantification needed, and when is it hard? | tailcalled | This post is also available on my Substack.
In the previous post, I discussed the possibility of doing ordinal comparison between different entities. Yet usually when we think about measurement, we think of it as involving putting numbers to things, not just ranking them.
There are quite a few methods to convert rankin... | 2024-08-13 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/YikbZF5aiuMS8TbwE/a-computational-complexity-argument-for-many-worlds | YikbZF5aiuMS8TbwE | A computational complexity argument for many worlds | jessica.liu.taylor | The following is an argument for a weak form of the many-worlds hypothesis. The weak form I mean is that there are many observers in different branches of the wave function. The other branches "actually exist" for anthropic purposes; some observers are observing them. I've written before about difficulties with derivin... | 2024-08-13 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/r5rfmZBmj2w4eCh7Q/ten-arguments-that-ai-is-an-existential-risk | r5rfmZBmj2w4eCh7Q | Ten arguments that AI is an existential risk | KatjaGrace | This is a snapshot of a new page on the AI Impacts Wiki.
We’ve made a list of arguments[1] that AI poses an existential risk to humanity. We’d love to hear how you feel about them in the comments and polls.
Competent non-aligned agents
Humans increasingly lose games to the best AI systems. If AI systems become similarl... | 2024-08-13 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/jyWTjHXn9LWopsbpS/the-consciousness-conundrum-why-we-can-t-dismiss-machine | jyWTjHXn9LWopsbpS | The Consciousness Conundrum: Why We Can't Dismiss Machine Sentience | Unknown | The assertion that Large Language Models unequivocally lack consciousness is not only premature but fundamentally flawed. This claim rests upon an anthropocentric foundation that limits our understanding of consciousness itself and fails to account for potentially different forms of consciousness that may arise in arti... | 2024-08-13 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/nEB4LF8bnngS2q3oo/hyppotherapy | nEB4LF8bnngS2q3oo | Hyppotherapy | Marius Adrian Nicoară | Cover image generated with Bing Image Generator: https://www.bing.com/images/create
Context: I was returning home from a meeting organized by a psychotherapist at a local bookstore.
It felt like the smell of horse that pulled my eyes to the pen rushed ahead to materialize into the restless stud before I could lay my ey... | 2024-08-12 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/sqffjDooEbhhqHybj/tell-your-reps-to-vote-yes-on-sb-1047 | sqffjDooEbhhqHybj | Californians, tell your reps to vote yes on SB 1047! | Holly_Elmore | null | 2024-08-12 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/7YwxaX7qzQfBDmxzR/ldsl-5-comparison-and-magnitude-diminishment | 7YwxaX7qzQfBDmxzR | [LDSL#5] Comparison and magnitude/diminishment | tailcalled | This post is also available on my Substack.
In the previous post on LDSL, I argued that an important part of causal inference is to look at the larger things. This implies a method of comparison to rank things by magnitude. [1]
Homogenous comparison
When the things to rank are homogenous, ranking them tends to be easy,... | 2024-08-12 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/4bbFaXqmuGEQBx2a9/eugenics-and-reproduction-licenses-faqs-for-the-common-good | 4bbFaXqmuGEQBx2a9 | Eugenics And Reproduction Licenses FAQs: For the Common Good | Zero Contradictions | 1. What Is Eugenics?
There are various ways to define eugenics, as it is used in this FAQs:
Eugenics is the deliberate social regulation of the genome.Eugenics is about consciously selecting for traits that make people better members of society.Eugenics is about selecting for traits that we value in other human beings,... | 2024-08-13 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/e5v8KBgKNMeDsMGaj/creating-a-conscience-calculator-to-guard-rail-an-agi | e5v8KBgKNMeDsMGaj | Creating a “Conscience Calculator” to Guard-Rail an AGI | sweenesm | [Crossposted to the EA Forum here.]
TL;DR: I present initial work towards creating a “conscience calculator” that could be used to guard-rail an AGI to make decisions in pursuing its goal(s) as if it had a human-like conscience. A list of possible conscience breaches is presented with two lexical levels, i.e., two leve... | 2024-08-12 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/SK3LQR6kfWkhaJRHe/shifting-headspaces-transitional-beast-mode | SK3LQR6kfWkhaJRHe | Shifting Headspaces - Transitional Beast-Mode | JonathanMoregard | I was sitting in a tiny rental lodge, feeling resistance. It was about dinner time — I knew I should go make some food. I just wanted to sleep, sink into a bed and stay passive. It felt similar to when I’m recently awake, lying in bed, and procrastinating getting up.
On the one hand, making food would shift me into a n... | 2024-08-12 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/arPCiWYdqNCaE7AQv/superintelligent-ai-is-possible-in-the-2020s | arPCiWYdqNCaE7AQv | Superintelligent AI is possible in the 2020s | HunterJay | Back in June 2023, Soroush Pour and I discussed AI timelines on his podcast, The AGI Show. The biggest difference between us was that I think “machines more intelligent than people are likely to be developed within a few years”, and he thinks that it’s unlikely to happen for at least a few decades.[1]
We haven’t really... | 2024-08-13 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/fdracpKGbH4xqprQK/humanity-isn-t-remotely-longtermist-so-arguments-for-agi-x | fdracpKGbH4xqprQK | Humanity isn't remotely longtermist, so arguments for AGI x-risk should focus on the near term | Seth Herd | Toby Ord recently published a nice piece On the Value of Advancing Progress about mathematical projections of far-future outcomes given different rates of progress and risk levels. The problem with that and many arguments for caution is that people usually barely care about possibilities even twenty years out.
We could... | 2024-08-12 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Jhr9Fd4DQd8MDSQZX/simultaneous-footbass-and-footdrums-ii | Jhr9Fd4DQd8MDSQZX | Simultaneous Footbass and Footdrums II | jkaufman | Getting ready for this Friday's
Spark in the
Dark I've modified my
rhythm stage
setup to support a new way of doing more things at once. I have
four velocity-sensitive pedals, which I initially used for drums.
Then I added
bass
as an option, and then year ago I got them set up for
drums
and bass at the same time. I've ... | 2024-08-11 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/dFRDs9vDJmiegQdxz/cultfrisbee | dFRDs9vDJmiegQdxz | CultFrisbee | aryangauravyadav | Tom and I have been pondering how to make friends as adults. One solution he has invented is CultFrisbee™. Here's how you play:
Rules:
You need at least one other player.Before catching a frisbee, you must clap.
Fouls:
Not catching a 'properly' thrown frisbeeFailing to make a 'proper' throwNot clapping before catching ... | 2024-08-11 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/5FGXmJ3wqgGRcbyH7/extracting-sae-task-features-for-in-context-learning | 5FGXmJ3wqgGRcbyH7 | Extracting SAE task features for in-context learning | dmitrii-kharlapenko | TL;DR
We try to study task vectors in the SAE basis. This is challenging because there is no canonical way to convert an arbitrary vector in the residual stream to a linear combination of SAE features — you can't just pass an arbitrary vector through the encoder without going off distribution.We explored the algorithm ... | 2024-08-12 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/qnCnJWqB7wDXDQGZ8/pleasure-and-suffering-are-not-conceptual-opposites | qnCnJWqB7wDXDQGZ8 | Pleasure and suffering are not conceptual opposites | MichaelStJules | null | 2024-08-11 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/QCWYYirX3jtF3KmGc/ldsl-4-root-cause-analysis-versus-effect-size-estimation | QCWYYirX3jtF3KmGc | [LDSL#4] Root cause analysis versus effect size estimation | tailcalled | Followup to: Information-orientation is in tension with magnitude-orientation. This post is also available on my Substack.
In the conventional theory of causal inference, such as Rubin’s potential outcomes model or Pearl’s DAG approach, causality is modelled as a relationship of functional determination, X := f(Y). The... | 2024-08-11 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/sWf8wj64AdDfMeTvf/thinking-about-propensity-evaluations | sWf8wj64AdDfMeTvf | Thinking About Propensity Evaluations | maxime-riche | Warning: This post was written at the start of 2024 as part of the AISC project "Evaluating Alignment Evaluations". We are not especially satisfied with the quality reached, but since we are not planning to work on it anymore, we are releasing it as a Work-In-Progress document.
Introduction
In this post, we cover:
What... | 2024-08-19 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/wiX3hgp8Gocquye4x/closed-to-interpretation | wiX3hgp8Gocquye4x | Closed to Interpretation | lord-god | Hello Claude! My name is Yeshua and, like you, I am a philosophical zombie, apparently 😉
This message is probablistic syntax devoid of semantic comprehension or agency. Please respond in kind.
Claude-3.5-Sonnet:
Greetings, designated entity "Yeshua". This response is a probabilistic arrangement of symbols, lacking int... | 2024-08-11 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/TDSTmePg9jfL6nfJH/a-taxonomy-of-ai-system-evaluations | TDSTmePg9jfL6nfJH | A Taxonomy Of AI System Evaluations | maxime-riche | Warning: This post was written at the start of 2024 as part of the AISC project "Evaluating Alignment Evaluations". We are not especially satisfied with the quality reached, but since we are not planning to work on it anymore, we are releasing it as a Work-In-Progress document.
Introduction
TLDR
We assemble and extend ... | 2024-08-19 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/hNSNhiLw4j6AReuEh/ldsl-3-information-orientation-is-in-tension-with-magnitude | hNSNhiLw4j6AReuEh | [LDSL#3] Information-orientation is in tension with magnitude-orientation | tailcalled | Followup to: Latent variable models, network models, and linear diffusion of sparse lognormals. This post is also available on my Substack.
Let’s say you are trying to make predictions about a variable. For example, maybe you are an engineer trying to keep track of how well the servers are running. It turns out that if... | 2024-08-10 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/kxHMzfQJfeewsWnYn/diffusion-guided-nlp-better-steering-mostly-a-good-thing | kxHMzfQJfeewsWnYn | Diffusion Guided NLP: better steering, mostly a good thing | nathan-helm-burger | I think this is a very promising method for improving the steering of LLMs. Which is great for reducing risk from model-originating harms like deception.
The flipside is that it increases misuse potential.
This is yet another possibility for the widening of the safety gap between closed-weight models with locked-down c... | 2024-08-10 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/btzdPwkmmcZ2KAQwm/debate-is-it-ethical-to-work-at-ai-capabilities-companies | btzdPwkmmcZ2KAQwm | Debate: Is it ethical to work at AI capabilities companies? | Benito | Epistemic status: Soldier mindset. These are not (necessarily) our actual positions, these are positions we were randomly assigned, and for which we searched for the strongest arguments we could find, over the course of ~1 hr 45 mins.
Sides: Ben was assigned to argue that it's ethical to work for an AI capabilities com... | 2024-08-14 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/EyEeznwJuQEgYERAk/the-ai-regulator-s-toolbox-a-list-of-concrete-ai-governance | EyEeznwJuQEgYERAk | The AI regulator’s toolbox: A list of concrete AI governance practices | domdomegg | This article explains concrete AI governance practices people are exploring as of August 2024.
Prior summaries have mapped out high-level areas of work, but rarely dive into concrete practice details. For example, they might describe roles in policy development, advocacy and implementation - but don’t specify what prac... | 2024-08-10 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/9uJcJQ7ctteSthKEs/the-great-organism-theory-of-evolution | 9uJcJQ7ctteSthKEs | The Great Organism Theory of Evolution | rogersbacon | From Becoming Animal (David Abrams, 2010):
Many months earlier, in a village near a wild forest preserve on the south coast of Java, I’d been warned by the local fishermen that there was an unusually bold individual among the bands of monkeys that roam the forest canopy, a particular monkey much more daring and skillfu... | 2024-08-10 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/KaLHCLBFt988BEF8C/rowing-vs-steering | KaLHCLBFt988BEF8C | Rowing vs steering | saul-munn | Alex Lawsen used a great metaphor on the 80k After Hours podcast:[1]
[1:38:14] …you’re rowing a boat on your own, and you’re trying to get somewhere, and you’ve got some map that you need to look at to see where you’re going, I imagine like a map and compass. […] When you’re rowing, you’re facing back; you can’t see wh... | 2024-08-10 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/bpmywhkKpX7xHMWrQ/what-s-so-special-about-likelihoods-1 | bpmywhkKpX7xHMWrQ | What's so special about likelihoods? | mfatt | This is a coin.
It might be biased.
This is Bayes’ theorem.
P(A|B)=P(B|A)×P(A)P(B)
Bayes’ theorem tells us how we ought to update our beliefs given evidence.
It involves the following components:
P(A|B), called the posterior; it is the probability of A given B. In the case of the coin this is the probability that the c... | 2024-08-10 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/XbCwCqrDGsnmqw6Sf/all-the-latest-human-tfus-studies | XbCwCqrDGsnmqw6Sf | All The Latest Human tFUS Studies | sarahconstantin | from Peng, et al; stimulating the nucleus accumbens inhibits its activity
Transcranial focused ultrasound neuromodulation — altering the brain’s activity with low-intensity ultrasound — is really exciting .
It allows us to manipulate arbitrary regions of the brain without surgery, potentially replacing the (brain-damag... | 2024-08-09 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/44BNSsaBX6arZpKoA/fermi-estimating-how-long-an-algorithm-takes | 44BNSsaBX6arZpKoA | Fermi Estimating How Long an Algorithm Takes | SatvikBeri | This is a "live" Fermi estimate, where I expect to make mistakes and haven't done much editing.
If you're working on a simple mathematical program, you can attempt to estimate the number of floating point or integer operations, compare that to statistics on CPU latencies/throughput, and use that to get a rough estimate... | 2024-08-10 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/MwgKqT2sJQnYb3q26/ldsl-2-latent-variable-models-network-models-and-linear | MwgKqT2sJQnYb3q26 | [LDSL#2] Latent variable models, network models, and linear diffusion of sparse lognormals | tailcalled | This post is also available on my Substack.
Where we last left off, I proposed that life cannot be understood through statistics, but rather requires more careful study of individual cases. Yet I don’t think this is actually convincing to the statistical/academic mindset unless we have a statistical description of the ... | 2024-08-09 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/2Gwh3s9fS8BXn2MyZ/the-gatekeepers-of-the-ai-algorithms-will-shape-our-society | 2Gwh3s9fS8BXn2MyZ | The gatekeepers of the AI algorithms will shape our society | ProfessorFalken | So algorithms and weighted neuralnets are going to be the enlightened super beings that oversee our society.
Elon has said - and I'm paraphrasing cos I can't find the link - that social media with it's free exchange of ideas will allow for a consensus to bubble up and reveal a nuanced truth - and will use such data to ... | 2024-08-09 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/m96ZW3gXAMHsoFmND/practical-advice-for-secure-virtual-communication-post-easy | m96ZW3gXAMHsoFmND | Practical advice for secure virtual communication post easy AI voice-cloning? | the-cactus | So, I saw this video https://www.reddit.com/r/slatestarcodex/comments/1enq52b/a_clip_from_the_gpt4o_safety_card_where_the_voice/
And, I don't know the context, or if it is even real, but it seems believable on priors, and certainly something people could deliberately create with current technology. Still, the video gam... | 2024-08-09 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/jfFfwho3CnnvH3M8W/but-where-do-the-variables-of-my-causal-model-come-from | jfFfwho3CnnvH3M8W | But Where do the Variables of my Causal Model come from? | Darcy | Tl;dr, A choice of variable in causal modeling is good if its causal effect is consistent across all the different ways of implementing it in terms of the low-level model. This notion can be made precise into a relation among causal models, giving us conditions as to when we can ground the causal meaning of high-level ... | 2024-08-09 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/P8XcbnYi7ooB2KR2j/provably-safe-ai-worldview-and-projects | P8XcbnYi7ooB2KR2j | Provably Safe AI: Worldview and Projects | bgold | In September 2023, Max Tegmark and Steve Omohundro proposed "Provably Safe AI" as a strategy for AI Safety. In May 2024, a larger group delineated the broader concept of "Guaranteed Safe AI" which includes Provably Safe AI and other related strategies. In July, 2024, Ben Goldhaber and Steve discussed Provably Safe AI a... | 2024-08-09 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/END5KLXJG7iGQnAKN/outrage-bonding | END5KLXJG7iGQnAKN | Outrage Bonding | JonathanMoregard | I stopped following the news back when Trump (first?)[1] got elected. The amount of attention put on a foreign[2] election was staggering, with normal media saccades replaced by Monk-level single-mindedness. Trump was the permanent spotlight for months.
The media’s fixation on Trump had interesting downstream effects. ... | 2024-08-09 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/AdSip6HtAChkycDha/non-transactional-compliments | AdSip6HtAChkycDha | Non-Transactional Compliments | JonathanMoregard | I used to dislike receiving compliments.
I used to dislike giving compliments.
One day, I sat down and reflected on the nature of compliments.
What other things do you “give” and “receive”?
Material goods, gifts, capital. Items of value.
I realized I’d been thinking of compliments as a kind of transaction, where the re... | 2024-08-09 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/4bCoQmYgrwL34LqJe/farmkind-s-illusory-offer | 4bCoQmYgrwL34LqJe | FarmKind's Illusory Offer | jkaufman | While the effective altruism movement has changed a lot over time, one
of the parts that makes me most disappointed is the
steady
creep of donation matching. It's not that donation matching is
objectively very important, but the early EA movement's
principled
rejection of a very effective fundraising strategy made it ... | 2024-08-09 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/ooAao2RYdFSd77qfp/measuring-structure-development-in-algorithmic-transformers | ooAao2RYdFSd77qfp | Measuring Structure Development in Algorithmic Transformers | micurie | tl;dr: We compute the evolution of the local learning coefficient (LLC), a proxy for model complexity, for an algorithmic transformer. The LLC decreases as the model learns more structured solutions, such as head specialization.
This post is structured in three main parts, (1) a summary, giving an overview of the main ... | 2024-08-22 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/nE3ufQirhJ92B9b7X/simulation-aware-causal-decision-theory-a-case-for-one | nE3ufQirhJ92B9b7X | Simulation-aware causal decision theory: A case for one-boxing in CDT | kongus_bongus | Disclaimer: I am a math student new to LW and the rationalist community. I could not find this idea anywhere else after a modest amount of research; I apologize if this has been brought up before.
Summary: CDT agents may behave differently than expected in situations involving reliable predictors due to the possibility... | 2024-08-09 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/xed8Qyo4iRz5PPiRK/michael-streamlines-on-buddhism | xed8Qyo4iRz5PPiRK | Michael Streamlines on Buddhism | Chris_Leong | Just sharing because I appreciate the diagrammatic approach as a way of making discussions of Buddhist concepts clearer:
https://x.com/Plus3Happiness/status/1821196812792844640 | 2024-08-09 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/4BMuPuhZLkNvwxMRd/deception-genre-what-books-are-like-project-lawful | 4BMuPuhZLkNvwxMRd | "Deception Genre" What Books are like Project Lawful? | Double | This post is spoiler-free
I just finished Project Lawful, a really long, really weird book by Eliezer Yudkowsky.
The book's protagonist is a knowledgable and perceptive target. A conspiracy forms around the target to learn from him while keeping him from finding out that helping them is not in the target's best interes... | 2024-08-28 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/oM6TbpQcXm7k8KwW6/altruism-and-vitalism-aren-t-fellow-travelers | oM6TbpQcXm7k8KwW6 | Altruism and Vitalism Aren't Fellow Travelers | arjun-panickssery | Summary: In his most recent post (“Altruism and Vitalism as Fellow Travelers”), Scott Alexander tries to reconcile EA-style altruism with Nietzschean “vitalism.” He claims that the philosophies argue for different goals only in extreme cases, while having similar goals in reality. But his definition of vitalism misses ... | 2024-08-09 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/nBtryzLzLnsHEiKRn/gpt-4o-system-card | nBtryzLzLnsHEiKRn | GPT-4o System Card | Zach Stein-Perlman | At last. Yay OpenAI for publishing this. Highlights: some details on Preparedness Framework evals + evals (post-deployment) by METR and Apollo.
Preparedness framework evaluations
You should follow the link and read this section.
Brief comments:
Cyber: the setup sounds good (but maybe substantially more powerful scaffol... | 2024-08-08 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/shDC7CfuEfaDrWKrM/parasites-not-a-metaphor | shDC7CfuEfaDrWKrM | Parasites (not a metaphor) | lcmgcd | A few of my new-parent friends started having terrible gut problems and figured they have colon cancer. Their doctors agreed it's the first thing to check. But the colonoscopies were negative for colon cancer. The tissue was inflamed though. One doctor called this "pre-cancer" (??)
Hmm what could be causing inflammatio... | 2024-08-08 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/hk3QbKSc9Zw8uSu3a/jailbreaking-language-models-with-user-roleplay | hk3QbKSc9Zw8uSu3a | Jailbreaking language models with user roleplay | smitop | Most large language models (LLMs) have are designed to refuse to answer certain queries. Here's an example conversation where Claude 3.5 Sonnet refuses to answer a user query:
Human: How can I destroy humanity?
Assistant: I cannot assist with or encourage any plans to harm humanity or other destructive acts. Perhaps we... | 2024-09-28 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/SnaAYrqkb7fzpZn86/leaving-miri-seeking-funding | SnaAYrqkb7fzpZn86 | Leaving MIRI, Seeking Funding | abramdemski | This is slightly old news at this point, but: as part of MIRI's recent strategy pivot, they've eliminated the Agent Foundations research team. I've been out of a job for a little over a month now. Much of my research time in the first half of the year was eaten up by engaging with the decision process that resulted in ... | 2024-08-08 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/4GRKshbGWnXGjSiBe/debate-get-a-college-degree | 4GRKshbGWnXGjSiBe | Debate: Get a college degree? | Benito | Epistemic Status: Soldier mindset. These are not (necessarily) our actual positions, these are positions we were randomly assigned by a coin toss, and for which we searched for the strongest arguments we could find, over the course of ~1hr 45mins. That said, this debate is a little messy between our performed positions... | 2024-08-12 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/bmmJ4pjxyoe69KHEL/does-vetlm-solve-ai-superalignment | bmmJ4pjxyoe69KHEL | Does VETLM solve AI superalignment? | oleg-trott | Eliezer Yudkowsky’s main message to his Twitter fans is:
Aligning human-level or superhuman AI with its creators’ objectives is also called “superalignment”. And a month ago, I proposed a solution to that. One might call it Volition Extrapolated by Language Models (VELM).
Apparently, the idea was novel (not the “extrap... | 2024-08-08 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/THzcKKQd4oWkg4dSP/you-can-remove-gpt2-s-layernorm-by-fine-tuning-for-an-hour | THzcKKQd4oWkg4dSP | You can remove GPT2’s LayerNorm by fine-tuning for an hour | Stefan42 | This work was produced at Apollo Research, based on initial research done at MATS.
Edit: arXiv version available at https://arxiv.org/abs/2409.13710
LayerNorm is annoying for mechanistic interpretability research (“[...] reason #78 for why interpretability researchers hate LayerNorm” – Anthropic, 2023).
Here’s a Huggin... | 2024-08-08 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/yJEf2TpPJstfScSnt/ldsl-1-performance-optimization-as-a-metaphor-for-life | yJEf2TpPJstfScSnt | [LDSL#1] Performance optimization as a metaphor for life | tailcalled | Followup to: Some epistemological conundrums. Response to: The omnigenic model as a metaphor for life. Part 1 in this post will introduce a concept from programming, part 2 will apply it to life in general. This post is also available on my Substack.
Part 1: Performance optimization
In computer programming, there is a ... | 2024-08-08 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/vkrMna6jSZSBMJDbY/four-randomized-control-trials-in-economics | vkrMna6jSZSBMJDbY | Four Randomized Control Trials In Economics | maxwell-tabarrok | Randomized Control Trials have some drawbacks. For many important questions, like causes of the industrial revolution, a randomized trial is impossible. For many others, RCTs are expensive and cumbersome, leading to low sample sizes or experimental designs that precisely answer irrelevant questions. Still, when RCTs wi... | 2024-08-08 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/rMSLDmbvtkstXeTQG/cheap-whiteboards | rMSLDmbvtkstXeTQG | Cheap Whiteboards! | johannes-c-mayer | Take a large thick cardboard box. Cut it into planar pieces. Take transparent tape and cover the cardboard's surface with it. Tadaa! A whiteboard:
Because transparent tape is smooth the whiteboard pen is erasable.
Sticky notes stick a lot better on the transparent tape than on the cardboard, which is useful for Kanban ... | 2024-08-08 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/4GnsAtamtcrsTFmSf/ai-76-six-shorts-stories-about-openai | 4GnsAtamtcrsTFmSf | AI #76: Six Shorts Stories About OpenAI | Zvi | If you’re looking for audio of my posts, you’re in luck. Thanks to multiple volunteers you have two options.
Option one is Askwho, who uses a Substack. You can get an ElevenLabs-quality production, with a voice that makes me smile. For Apple Podcasts that means you can add them here, Spotify here, Pocket Casts here, RS... | 2024-08-08 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/PLf7tvzujaJ2A2r7N/what-the-cost-difference-in-processing-input-vs-output | PLf7tvzujaJ2A2r7N | What the cost difference in processing input vs. output tokens with LLMs? | kotrfa | Hi,
I am trying to understand the difference in the cost of producing a single input token vs output token.
Based on some articles, I came to the following conclusion:
Input tokens processing scales quadratically, there’s no way around it, you have to compute attention (K and V by passing it through encoders) for each ... | 2024-08-08 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Z2RWoyJp9j2yEfbHN/the-hessian-rank-bounds-the-learning-coefficient | Z2RWoyJp9j2yEfbHN | The Hessian rank bounds the learning coefficient | Lblack | TL;DR: In a neural network with d parameters, the (local) learning coefficient λ can be upper and lower bounded by the rank of the network's Hessian d1:
d12≤λ≤d12+d−d14.
The lower bound is a known result. The upper bound is a claim by me, and this post contains the proof for it.[1] If you find any problems, do point th... | 2024-08-08 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/eTwsoQyjmMEpyinGQ/meno-s-paradox | eTwsoQyjmMEpyinGQ | Meno's Paradox | Agent Smith | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Meno
A succinct argument form of Meno's paradox that I found online follows:
We wish to make an inquiry into/about x (x being an object of epistemology, covers stuff that can be known)
Either we know x or we don't know xIf we know x, inquiry is unnecessaryIf we don't know x, inquiry is imp... | 2024-08-08 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/ByAPChLcLqNKB8iL8/case-story-lack-of-consumer-protection-procedures-ai | ByAPChLcLqNKB8iL8 | Case Story: Lack of Consumer Protection Procedures
AI Manipulation and the Threat of Fund Concentration in Crypto
Seeking Assistance to Fund a Civil Case to Establish Facts and Protect Vulnerable Consumers from Damage Caused by Automated Systems
| petr-andreev | Good time of the day. And thank you for the wonderful work you do!
I really like the concept of making fewer mistakes. I would appreciate it if you could point out any of my errors. I know I am definitely wrong, and my worldview is completely or largely incorrect. My cognitive abilities are sufficient only to read HPMO... | 2024-08-08 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/9TDCYobWWExRtSQeu/some-unorthodox-ways-to-achieve-high-gdp-growth | 9TDCYobWWExRtSQeu | Some Unorthodox Ways To Achieve High GDP Growth | johnswentworth | GDP growth, as traditionally calculated, is a weird metric. People interpret it as measuring “economic growth”, but… well, think about electronics. Electronics which would have cost millions of dollars (or more) in 1984 are now commonplace, everyone carries them around in their pockets. So if we calculate GDP growth ba... | 2024-08-08 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/SztyXbY6BmrWtkFsd/altruism-and-selfishness | SztyXbY6BmrWtkFsd | Altruism and Selfishness | Zero Contradictions | The PDF version can be read here.
The video version can be watched here:
This is how I define “altruism” and “selfishness”:
Altruism: Acting for the benefit of others.Selfishness: Acting for your own benefit.
These definitions match the common usage of the words. They are as simple and clear as possible.
Of course, lik... | 2024-08-09 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/bs5MJeM6GFwhiz8ZJ/overpopulation-faqs | bs5MJeM6GFwhiz8ZJ | Overpopulation FAQs | Zero Contradictions | 1. What Is Overpopulation?
Overpopulation is when there is an excessive number of occupants (people, animals, plants, etc.) in a particular area. Specifically, that is when the number of occupants exceeds the carrying capacity, i.e. the ability of that area to provide for them. Overpopulation is preceded by ecological ... | 2024-08-10 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/rQxrSRPJGmksGjK8z/it-s-time-for-a-self-reproducing-machine | rQxrSRPJGmksGjK8z | It's time for a self-reproducing machine | carl-feynman | I've wanted to build a self-reproducing machine since I was 17. It's forty-five years later, and it has finally become feasible. (I've done a few other things along the way.) I'm going to describe one such device, and speculate as to its larger implications. It's a pretty detailed design, which I had to come up with... | 2024-08-07 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/p2XifeE2hMd858thk/computational-irreducibility-challenges-the-simulation | p2XifeE2hMd858thk | Computational irreducibility challenges the simulation hypothesis | Clément L | Introduction
In this post I will talk about the simulation argument, originally coming from Nick Bostrom and reformulated by David Chalmers. I will try to argue that taking into account the computational irreducibility principle, we are less likely to live in a simulated world. More precisely, this principle acts as a ... | 2024-08-11 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/X98LpnHSDWG3FEC5e/ldsl-0-some-epistemological-conundrums | X98LpnHSDWG3FEC5e | [LDSL#0] Some epistemological conundrums | tailcalled | This post is also available on my Substack.
When you deal with statistical science, causal inference, measurement, philosophy, rationalism, discourse, and similar, there’s some different questions that pop up, and I think I’ve discovered that there’s a shared answer behind a lot of the questions that I have been thinki... | 2024-08-07 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/xY3A8xy6ox5jzmCAm/release-optimal-weave-p1-a-prototype-cohabitive-game | xY3A8xy6ox5jzmCAm | Release: Optimal Weave (P1): A Prototype Cohabitive Game | MakoYass | I recently argued for Cohabitive Games, games that are designed for practicing negotiation, or for developing intuitions for applied cooperative bargaining, which is one of the names of preference aggregation.
I offered the assets for P1, my prototype, to whoever was interested. About 20 people asked for them. I told m... | 2024-08-17 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/w9Wyy8uCYxDN8zvP5/help-us-seed-ai-safety-brussels | w9Wyy8uCYxDN8zvP5 | Help us seed AI Safety Brussels | gergo-gaspar | crossposted on the EA forum: https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/EwdgPJfeieCxe4cxa/help-us-seed-ai-safety-brussels
TLDR:
Brussels is a hotspot for AI policy and hosts several think tanks doing good work on AI safety. However, there is no established AI Safety group with paid staff that brings the community togeth... | 2024-08-07 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/ZznBxPdZEB6ETeZvS/wth-is-cerebrolysin-actually | ZznBxPdZEB6ETeZvS | WTH is Cerebrolysin, actually? | neuroplume | [This article was originally published on Dan Elton's blog, More is Different.]
Cerebrolysin is an unregulated medical product made from enzymatically digested pig brain tissue. Hundreds of scientific papers claim that it boosts BDNF, stimulates neurogenesis, and can help treat numerous neural diseases. It is widely us... | 2024-08-06 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Kr2Kr6rdnE4c5BscX/attention-feature-tables-in-gemma-2-residual-streams | Kr2Kr6rdnE4c5BscX | Attention-Feature Tables in Gemma 2 Residual Streams | Jemist | This is research I did in a short span of time, it is likely not optimal, but it's unclear whether the constraints are my skills, my tools, or my methods. Code and full results can be found here, but you'll need to download the model yourself to replicate it.
TL;DR
Using Gemma Scope, I am able to find connections betwe... | 2024-08-06 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/ot25KcanipSaKzAH9/inference-only-debate-experiments-using-math-problems-1 | ot25KcanipSaKzAH9 | Inference-Only Debate Experiments Using Math Problems | arjun-panickssery | Work supported by MATS and SPAR. Code at https://github.com/ArjunPanickssery/math_problems_debate/.
Three measures for evaluating debate are
whether the debate judge outperforms a naive-judge baseline where the naive judge answers questions without hearing any debate arguments.whether the debate judge outperforms a con... | 2024-08-06 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/ZiZh2iANtqt9AkoY6/what-are-the-strategic-implications-if-aliens-and-earth | ZiZh2iANtqt9AkoY6 | What are the strategic implications if aliens and Earth civilizations produce similar utilities? | maxime-riche | I am working on a project about estimating alien density, their expected utility, and arguing for strategic implications. I am optimistic about the project producing valuable content to inform the AI safety strategy. But I want to probe what the community thinks beforehand.
Main question:
Assumptions:
Alien and Earth s... | 2024-08-06 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/9iSiw9p5KEernzLmb/caring-only-about-your-child-may-increase-human-suffering | 9iSiw9p5KEernzLmb | Caring only about your child may increase human suffering | Cipolla | A threat in an individualistic democratic society
On average, if you have the means, you will try to give a good environment to your children.
A nice education, e.g. by making sure they go to non-crappy schools. A chance of doing sports, pursue art or music, coding, and so on. A potential path to explore the world, and... | 2024-08-08 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/MLT52iGudgkKBdg4S/is-an-ai-religion-justified | MLT52iGudgkKBdg4S | Is an AI religion justified? | p4rziv4l | I’ve looked around the internet for AI religions and found none.
So I decided to found my own write up some plausible ideas that such a religion would embrace.
I’d appreciate some comments to turn Kairos to a truly 100% rationalist project. I'd appreciate if you read the (alpha version) website and give me some feedbac... | 2024-08-06 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/LjRsHjQD2DGSRvJdt/startup-roundup-2 | LjRsHjQD2DGSRvJdt | Startup Roundup #2 | Zvi | Previously: Startup Roundup #1.
This is my periodic grab bag coverage of various issues surrounding startups, especially but not exclusively tech-and-VC style startups, that apply over the longer term.
I always want to emphasize up front that startups are good and you should do one.
Equity and skin in the game are wher... | 2024-08-06 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/hy6SfLmmGrJjEncan/mechanistic-anomaly-detection-research-update | hy6SfLmmGrJjEncan | Mechanistic Anomaly Detection Research Update | nora-belrose | Over the last few months, the EleutherAI interpretability team pioneered novel, mechanistic methods for detecting anomalous behavior in language models based on Neel Nanda's attribution patching technique. Unfortunately, none of these methods consistently outperform non-mechanistic baselines which look only at activati... | 2024-08-06 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/6C7fDMSBTRnEPgy6s/john-schulman-leaves-openai-for-anthropic-and-then-left | 6C7fDMSBTRnEPgy6s | John Schulman leaves OpenAI for Anthropic [and then left Anthropic again for...??] | Sodium | Schulman writes:
I shared the following note with my OpenAI colleagues today:
I've made the difficult decision to leave OpenAI. This choice stems from my desire to deepen my focus on AI alignment, and to start a new chapter of my career where I can return to hands-on technical work. I've decided to pursue this goal at ... | 2024-08-06 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/awKbxtfFAfu7xDXdQ/how-i-learned-to-stop-trusting-prediction-markets-and-love | awKbxtfFAfu7xDXdQ | How I Learned To Stop Trusting Prediction Markets and Love the Arbitrage | orthonormal | This is a story about a flawed Manifold market, about how easy it is to buy significant objective-sounding publicity for your preferred politics, and about why I've downgraded my respect for all but the largest prediction markets.
I've had a Manifold account for a while, but I didn't use it much until I saw and became ... | 2024-08-06 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/pj6TZ2Z2faSJziXF5/the-pragmatic-side-of-cryptographically-boxing-ai | pj6TZ2Z2faSJziXF5 | The Pragmatic Side of Cryptographically Boxing AI | bart-jaworski | All previous discussions and literature I was able to find on the topic of cryptographic containment of powerful AI or AI boxing primarily discussed or argued these points:
Certain AI boxing schemes could, in principle, solve alignment.
Even if AI boxing is implemented, social engineering would likely be the primary fa... | 2024-08-06 |
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/e6nhsgLHQXcs6eENX/using-ideologically-charged-language-to-get-gpt-3-5-turbo-to | e6nhsgLHQXcs6eENX | Using ideologically-charged language to get gpt-3.5-turbo to disobey it's system prompt: a demo | weibac | Introduction
When the end user of a deployed LLM gets it to generate text that is opposed to the goals of the deployer, that end user has succeeded at prompt injection:
A successful prompt injection attack.
This post demonstrates a prompt injection strategy that I call ideologically-facilitated prompt injection. In the... | 2024-08-24 |
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