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https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/qs6TkXxCkrgFkCN4k/my-experience-using-gamification
qs6TkXxCkrgFkCN4k
My Experience Using Gamification
wyatt-s
Introduction During the summer of 2024, I used two different self-improvement gamification tools. I don’t know whether I will continue using them, use different ones, or stop using gamification at all. Something to keep in mind is that there are plenty of people who found these tools useful; My experience is just a sin...
2024-07-26
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/vxwdfK7FEuM8Butr6/how-the-ai-safety-technical-landscape-has-changed-in-the
vxwdfK7FEuM8Butr6
How the AI safety technical landscape has changed in the last year, according to some practitioners
trevor
I asked the Constellation Slack channel how the technical AIS landscape has changed since I last spent substantial time in the Bay Area (September 2023), and I figured it would be useful to post this (with the permission of the contributors to either post with or without attribution). Curious if commenters agree or wou...
2024-07-26
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/ctGeJGHg9pbc8memF/understanding-positional-features-in-layer-0-saes
ctGeJGHg9pbc8memF
Understanding Positional Features in Layer 0 SAEs
beelal
This is an informal research note. It is the result of a few-day exploration into positional SAE features conducted as part of Neel Nanda’s training phase of the ML Alignment & Theory Scholars Program - Summer 2024 cohort. Thanks to Andy Arditi, Arthur Conmy and Stefan Heimersheim for helpful feedback. Thanks to Joseph...
2024-07-29
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/qQmJJ2B8pxKCzMB6k/unaligned-ai-is-coming-regardless
qQmJJ2B8pxKCzMB6k
Unaligned AI is coming regardless.
verbalshadow
That may sound like a threat, it is. But not from me. Here is the problem, on a long enough timeline an "unaligned" AI is bound to happen. That happens whether we get to ASI before we solve alignment or not. Here are a couple of scenarios: - Some wunderkind in their basement/company solves ASI before anyone else and be...
2024-07-26
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/ZF5ukoCvRYRjchxcW/end-single-family-zoning-by-overturning-euclid-v-ambler
ZF5ukoCvRYRjchxcW
End Single Family Zoning by Overturning Euclid V Ambler
maxwell-tabarrok
On 75 percent or more of the residential land in most major American cities it is illegal to build anything other than a detached single-family home. 95.8 percent of total residential land area in California is zoned as single-family-only, which is 30 percent of all land in the state. Restrictive zoning regulations suc...
2024-07-26
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/CrNgrMz7FFqT7vfyn/a-visual-task-that-s-hard-for-gpt-4o-but-doable-for-primary
CrNgrMz7FFqT7vfyn
A Visual Task that's Hard for GPT-4o, but Doable for Primary Schoolers
l-f
Sure, transformers can get silver at the IMO. But before we address those two remaining problems that still stand between AlphaProof and gold, let's go a few steps back and see how transformers are doing at supposedly low-level math competitions. In particular, we will consider a problem aimed at grades 3 and 4, from t...
2024-07-26
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/mnbQ6bLJEzoR3iyAh/common-uses-of-acceptance
mnbQ6bLJEzoR3iyAh
Common Uses of "Acceptance"
yiyang
Edit (2024-07-31): I changed the introduction. If you have Googled “how to do acceptance” and you have found a lot of the explanations confusing or in conflict with one another, you have come to the right place. Learning about “acceptance” as a mental move was surprisingly challenging to me too, and I think it’s becaus...
2024-07-26
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/fPvssZk3AoDzXwfwJ/universal-basic-income-and-poverty
fPvssZk3AoDzXwfwJ
Universal Basic Income and Poverty
Eliezer_Yudkowsky
(Crossposted from Twitter) I'm skeptical that Universal Basic Income can get rid of grinding poverty, since somehow humanity's 100-fold productivity increase (since the days of agriculture) didn't eliminate poverty. Some of my friends reply, "What do you mean, poverty is still around?  'Poor' people today, in Western c...
2024-07-26
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/QA7bQHpKymPBFBuHb/a-solomonoff-inductor-walks-into-a-bar-schelling-points-for
QA7bQHpKymPBFBuHb
A Solomonoff Inductor Walks Into a Bar: Schelling Points for Communication
johnswentworth
A Solomonoff inductor walks into a bar in a foreign land. (Stop me if you’ve heard this one before.) The bartender, who is also a Solomonoff inductor, asks “What’ll it be?”. The customer looks around at what the other patrons are having, points to an unfamiliar drink, and says “One of those, please.”. The bartender poi...
2024-07-26
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/pffcsPkWwBPyLE6Ym/what-does-a-gambler-s-verity-world-look-like
pffcsPkWwBPyLE6Ym
What does a Gambler's Verity world look like?
erioire
Status: Thought experiment for fun Imagine a world in which the gambler's fallacy is fundamentally true. Functionally, lets suppose there's a magical force that tracks a thinking being's expectation of any particular outcome, and then mysteriously increases the likelihood of said outcome the more often it had physicall...
2024-07-25
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/YHdBkTM4gSc8tvvqX/organisation-for-program-equilibrium-reading-group
YHdBkTM4gSc8tvvqX
Organisation for Program Equilibrium reading group
Smaug123
2024-08-18: Second meeting on Friday 2024-08-16 at 7pm in Notes, Trafalgar Square. At the first meeting, we went over the basic model theory and proof theory that's required to understand the statement of Löb's theorem, and stepped through the proof; but we haven't got close to the meat of what I want to understand yet...
2024-07-25
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/bnx4FEwxTkNm7TWCR/safety-consultations-for-ai-lab-employees
bnx4FEwxTkNm7TWCR
Safety consultations for AI lab employees
Zach Stein-Perlman
Many people who are concerned about AI x-risk work at AI labs, in the hope of doing directly useful work, boosting a relatively responsible lab, or causing their lab to be safer on the margin. Labs do lots of stuff that affects AI safety one way or another. It would be hard enough to follow all this at best; in practic...
2024-07-27
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/TtzvDraod2bxGEgxK/how-i-wrought-a-lesser-scribing-artifact-you-can-too
TtzvDraod2bxGEgxK
How I Wrought a Lesser Scribing Artifact (You Can, Too!)
Lorxus
Epistemic status: A response to https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/eBo5YCHP5H58Y5Qjx/whiteboard-pen-magazines-are-useful .A recipe for the creation of an Artifact and a description of undocumented issues that arose.An attempt to extend existing niche technology yet further. This post was written thanks to funding from the...
2024-08-02
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/TyCdgpCfX7sfiobsH/ai-achieves-silver-medal-standard-solving-international
TyCdgpCfX7sfiobsH
"AI achieves silver-medal standard solving International Mathematical Olympiad problems"
gjm
Google DeepMind reports on a system for solving mathematical problems that allegedly is able to give complete solutions to four of the six problems on the 2024 IMO, putting it near the top of the silver-medal category. Well, actually, two systems for solving mathematical problems: AlphaProof, which is more general-purp...
2024-07-25
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/i4WPkJKKdcTwGJw2H/ai-74-gpt-4o-mini-me-and-llama-3
i4WPkJKKdcTwGJw2H
AI #74: GPT-4o Mini Me and Llama 3
Zvi
We got two big model releases this week. GPT-4o Mini is covered here. Llama 3.1-405B (and 70B and 8B) is mostly covered in yesterday’s post, this has some follow up. Table of Contents Introduction. Table of Contents. Language Models Offer Mundane Utility. All your coding are belong to us. Language Models Don’t Offer Mu...
2024-07-25
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/qDegCJbmLkLDMbpYw/ai-constitutions-are-a-tool-to-reduce-societal-scale-risk
qDegCJbmLkLDMbpYw
AI Constitutions are a tool to reduce societal scale risk
SDM
This work was funded by Polaris Ventures As AI systems become more integrated into society, we face potential societal-scale risks that current regulations fail to address. These risks include cooperation failures, structural failures from opaque decision-making, and AI-enabled totalitarian control. We propose enhancin...
2024-07-25
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/CLijBSGKi6bbSHw46/pacing-outside-the-box-rnns-learn-to-plan-in-sokoban
CLijBSGKi6bbSHw46
Pacing Outside the Box: RNNs Learn to Plan in Sokoban
rhaps0dy
Work done at FAR AI. There has been a lot of conceptual work on mesa-optimizers: neural networks that develop internal goals that may differ from their training objectives (the inner alignment problem). There is an abundance of good ideas for empirical work (find search in a NN, interpret it), but very little actual ex...
2024-07-25
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/hDefuqC2Rbnr8THYW/index-of-rationalist-groups-in-the-bay-area-july-2024
hDefuqC2Rbnr8THYW
Index of rationalist groups in the Bay Area July 2024
lucie-philippon
[Last update: 2025-01-05] The Bay Area rationalist community has an entry problem! Lots of listed groups are dead, the last centralized index disappeared, communication moved to private discord and slacks. This is bad, so we're making a new index, hopefully up to date and as complete as we can! This is now being mirror...
2024-07-26
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/ffXh3GcsuydKnX63c/determining-the-power-of-investors-over-frontier-ai-labs-is
ffXh3GcsuydKnX63c
Determining the power of investors over Frontier AI Labs is strategically important to reduce x-risk
lucie-philippon
Produced as part of the ML Alignment & Theory Scholars Program - Summer 2024 Cohort This post presents the basic story behind my current research direction at MATS. I'm looking for feedback on whether the basic premises hold up, and which research questions should I prioritize. The role of investors in fueling the AGI ...
2024-07-25
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/reywPttBGPZ6WRZfQ/fli-is-hiring-across-comms-and-ops
reywPttBGPZ6WRZfQ
FLI is hiring across Comms and Ops
beisenpress
Future of Life Institute (FLI) is hiring multiple roles across communications and operations: US Communications Manager (Full time)Operations Associate (Full time)Video Producer (Part-time contractor)Content Writer and Researcher (Part-time contractor) All roles are remote. Get applications in by August 4th! About the ...
2024-07-25
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/A9YYkbnjmfsP7Chfo/a-framework-for-thinking-about-ai-power-seeking
A9YYkbnjmfsP7Chfo
A framework for thinking about AI power-seeking
joekc
This post lays out a framework I’m currently using for thinking about when AI systems will seek power in problematic ways. I think this framework adds useful structure to the too-often-left-amorphous “instrumental convergence thesis,” and that it helps us recast the classic argument for existential risk from misaligned...
2024-07-24
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/QFDsvHXY4JmKc9DH4/talk-transcript-what-structure-is-and-why-it-matters
QFDsvHXY4JmKc9DH4
[Talk transcript] What “structure” is and why it matters
Alex_Altair
This is an edited transcription of the final presentation I gave for the AI safety camp cohort of early 2024. It describes some of what the project is aiming for, and some motivation. Here's a link to the slides. See this post for a more detailed and technical overview of the problem. This is the presentation for the p...
2024-07-25
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/AESkD3gafBXx6pm77/optimizing-repeated-correlations
AESkD3gafBXx6pm77
Optimizing Repeated Correlations
SatvikBeri
At my work, we run experiments – we specify some set of input parameters, run some code, and get various metrics as output. Since we run so many of these, it's important for them to be fast and cheap. Recently I was working on an experiment type that took about ~1 hour per run, where the slow part was calculating corre...
2024-08-01
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/fjzPg9ATbTJcnBZvg/llama-llama-3-405b
fjzPg9ATbTJcnBZvg
Llama Llama-3-405B?
Zvi
It’s here. The horse has left the barn. Llama-3.1-405B, and also Llama-3.1-70B and Llama-3.1-8B, have been released, and are now open weights. Early indications are that these are very good models. They were likely the best open weight models of their respective sizes at time of release. Zuckerberg claims that open wei...
2024-07-24
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/JRtARkng9JJt77G2o/ai-safety-memes-wiki
JRtARkng9JJt77G2o
AI Safety Memes Wiki
ete
Extensive collection of memes compiled by Victor Li and other contributors on AI Safety Info, mostly using memes by AI Notkilleveryoneism Memes. Memes can, at their best, convey key points in a sticky and easily sharable form. Having a index seems potentially quite helpful, and also is a fun resource, so we've adopted ...
2024-07-24
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/GmPMAc6ypd7mJsD63/research-discussion-on-psca-with-claude-sonnet-3-5
GmPMAc6ypd7mJsD63
Research Discussion on PSCA with Claude Sonnet 3.5
nonmali-1
A while ago, I published a sort of conceptual intro to a cognitive architecture I am working on, the "Prop-room and Stage Cognitive Architecture" (or PSCA for short). I recently had a somewhat stimulating research chat about it with Claude and wanted to try out sharing it, as it is a potentially easy way for me to shar...
2024-07-24
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/czNgEuaxkXHL2g8mQ/you-should-go-to-ml-conferences
czNgEuaxkXHL2g8mQ
You should go to ML conferences
Jan_Kulveit
This is a second kind of obvious point to make, but if you are interested in AI, AI safety, or cognition in general, it is likely worth going to top ML conferences, such as NeurIPS, ICML or ICLR. In this post I cover some reasons why, and some anecdotal stories. 1. Parts of AI alignment and safety are now completely ma...
2024-07-24
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/AayHozeAkfrEex33m/the-last-era-of-human-mistakes
AayHozeAkfrEex33m
The last era of human mistakes
owencb
Suppose we had to take moves in a high-stakes chess game, with thousands of lives at stake. We wouldn't just find a good chess player and ask them to play carefully. We would consult a computer. It would be deeply irresponsible to do otherwise. Computers are better than humans at chess, and more reliable. We'd probably...
2024-07-24
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/fQZRFM3FuQ2YnBxdb/does-robustness-improve-with-scale
fQZRFM3FuQ2YnBxdb
Does robustness improve with scale?
ccstan99
Adversarial vulnerabilities have long been an issue in various ML systems. Large language models (LLMs) are no exception, suffering from issues such as jailbreaks: adversarial prompts that bypass model safeguards. At the same time, scale has led to remarkable advances in the capabilities of LLMs, leading us to ask: to ...
2024-07-25
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/wj6A9ExXiHuNdJN4n/the-cancer-resolution
wj6A9ExXiHuNdJN4n
The Cancer Resolution?
PeterMcCluskey
Book review: The Cancer Resolution?: Cancer reinterpreted through another lens, by Mark Lintern. In the grand tradition of outsiders overturning scientific paradigms, this book proposes a bold new theory: cancer isn't a cellular malfunction, but a fungal invasion. Lintern spends too many pages railing against the medic...
2024-07-24
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/AhG3RJ6F5KvmKmAkd/open-source-automated-interpretability-for-sparse
AhG3RJ6F5KvmKmAkd
Open Source Automated Interpretability for Sparse Autoencoder Features
kh4dien
Generated by Dalle Background Sparse autoencoders recover a diversity of interpretable, monosemantic features, but present an intractable problem of scale to human labelers. We investigate different techniques for generating and scoring text explanations of SAE features. Key Findings Open source models generate and eva...
2024-07-30
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/PCT8XSGcdiggDwmk5/longevity-a-critical-look-at-loss-of-epigenetic-information
PCT8XSGcdiggDwmk5
Longevity: A critical look at "Loss of epigenetic information as a cause of mammalian aging"
Anna Crow
Introduction: Epigenetic information loss as a cause of mammalian aging I have generally been uncompelled by theories of aging which focus on accumulation of error at the cellular level, NAD+ decline, mutation accumulation, free radical production, etc. The core problem of biological systems is: stochastic inputs, dete...
2024-07-24
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/X8wv6i9robRs6Lx3i/in-text-1
X8wv6i9robRs6Lx3i
In Text
valerii-kremnev-1
I find texts wonderful. If there was a rank of 7 Wonders of Evolution - texts would definitely take one of the prizes. Ok, that's not true - but at least they would receive my sincere democratic vote, and after that lose to such important crowd pleasers like Football and YouTube… Nevertheless, I have been thinking in t...
2024-07-25
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/4bBAK39rFypLbQND4/positive-visions-for-ai
4bBAK39rFypLbQND4
Positive visions for AI
LRudL
Also available on our personal blogs here (Rudolf) and here (Florence). Reasons to make the positive case Everyone who starts thinking about AI starts thinking big. Alan Turing predicted that machine intelligence would make humanity appear feeble in comparison. I. J. Good said that AI is the last invention that humanit...
2024-07-23
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/qfQspPDHMSEpwsuAQ/monthly-roundup-20-july-2024
qfQspPDHMSEpwsuAQ
Monthly Roundup #20: July 2024
Zvi
It is monthly roundup time. I invite readers who want to hang out and get lunch in NYC later this week to come on Thursday at Bhatti Indian Grill (27th and Lexington) at noon. I plan to cover the UBI study in its own post soon. I cover Nate Silver’s evisceration of the 538 presidential election model, because we cover ...
2024-07-23
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/EJFvitiQXmLHXgtom/confusing-the-metric-for-the-meaning-perhaps-correlated
EJFvitiQXmLHXgtom
Confusing the metric for the meaning: Perhaps correlated attributes are "natural"
Nicky
Epistemic status: possibly trivial, but I hadn't heard it before. TL;DR: What I thought of as a "flaw" in PCA—its inability to isolate pure metrics—might actually be a feature that aligns with our cognitive processes. We often think in terms of composite concepts (e.g., "Age + correlated attributes") rather than pure m...
2024-07-23
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/P7aswE7XqNKGQg4D3/my-covid-related-beliefs-and-questions
P7aswE7XqNKGQg4D3
My covid-related beliefs and questions
sts
Things I'm fairly confident in: I should take colds in general more seriously than I did pre-pandemic: Staying at home with cold symptoms is good. General masking during cold season is good. We should have air filters in all public indoor spaces. Long covid is real and we should keep getting covid shots and avoid infec...
2024-07-23
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/PBGHWrrB5mbFPs6GS/is-there-a-schelling-point-for-group-house-room-listings
PBGHWrrB5mbFPs6GS
Is there a Schelling point for group house room listings?
AspiringRationalist
My rationalist group house near Boston has a room opening (details here), and I'm wondering if there's a Schelling point for listing that sort of thing. I posted the opening here and to the relevant local Facebook groups, but I'm wondering where might be good places to post it that people in the community who are movin...
2024-07-23
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/zxPmJCRA7oP3Mb4Gc/room-available-in-boston-group-house
zxPmJCRA7oP3Mb4Gc
Room Available in Boston Group House
AspiringRationalist
We have a room opening up in a rationalist house near Central Square, Cambridge (Boston). It is a 4-bedroom, 3-bathroom apartment with two floors, with a large kitchen and living room plus additional common space upstairs. There’s a washer, dryer, and dishwasher in-unit. It’s an 8-minute walk from Central station and a...
2024-07-23
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/qqCdphfBdHxPzHFgt/how-to-avoid-death-by-ai
qqCdphfBdHxPzHFgt
How to avoid death by AI.
Krantz
If we continue to scale ML systems, we will all perish. If you disagree with that, you should probably be reading Eliezer's work instead. If you are caught up on his work, then I have something new for you to think about. One solution for solving this problem, would be to teach everyone on the planet the full set of re...
2024-07-23
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/aw2jEZmxe2dsgomWn/ml-safety-research-advice-gabem-1
aw2jEZmxe2dsgomWn
ML Safety Research Advice - GabeM
gabe-mukobi
This is my advice for careers in empirical ML research that might help AI safety (ML Safety). Other ways to improve AI safety, such as through AI governance and strategy, might be more impactful than ML safety research (I generally think they are). Skills can be complementary, so this advice might also help AI governan...
2024-07-23
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/swMJLzEtrFge76TAD/how-reasonable-is-taking-extinction-risk
swMJLzEtrFge76TAD
How reasonable is taking extinction risk?
FVelde
The people that make general artificial intelligence models, believe that these models could mean the end of mankind. As an example of how that could happen, a future version of ChatGPT might be so smart that the advanced chatbot could create enormous danger. It could disseminate information like how to easily build we...
2024-07-23
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/YbxeknCavWiPK6Wg3/ransomware-payments-should-require-a-sin-tax
YbxeknCavWiPK6Wg3
Ransomware Payments Should Require a Sin Tax
brian-bien
A tax could largely mitigate the growing ransomware problem. The following is a proposal for a scheduled, gradual increase in the tax rate on ransom payments: The ransom demanded by an attacker is a function of the expected likelihood that the victim will pay that amount. If a tax is legally enforced, the market will a...
2024-07-22
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/EtKXdPfDaNSpLJFwN/trying-to-understand-hanson-s-cultural-drift-argument
EtKXdPfDaNSpLJFwN
Trying to understand Hanson's Cultural Drift argument
ethan-kemp
At 2024's Manifest, Robin Hanson gave a talk (in his usual sweeping polymathic style) on cultural drift - a phenomenon for which he thinks "there's going to be hell to pay", and about which he is "scared, because this is a really big fundamental problem". Watch the recording of the 30:00 minute talk here (followed by Q...
2024-07-22
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/YzkBxG9sfyKa5BA4W/the-garden-of-eden
YzkBxG9sfyKa5BA4W
The Garden of Eden
Alexander Turok
[This is the text of the sermon given by Pastor James Windrow on Sunday, July 14, 2024.] Greetings, brothers and sisters. Today, we reflect on humanity’s origin in the Garden of Eden and its fall and devolution thereafter. When Christians used to think about the Garden of Eden, it was common to imagine it as an almost ...
2024-07-22
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/ia7wPdvstC8HYcsdy/emergence-the-blind-spot-of-genai-interpretability
ia7wPdvstC8HYcsdy
Emergence, The Blind Spot of GenAI Interpretability?
quentin-feuillade-montixi
Epistemic status: This post was planned to be part of a broader "Holistic Interpretability" post but this isn't going as fast as I'd like so I am releasing the foreword to get some early feedback on whether I should pursue this or not. I haven't had a lot of red teaming on this emergence idea, but I'd still put a 80% c...
2024-08-10
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/hxX3PBRcrcsoeEAhr/caring-about-excellence
hxX3PBRcrcsoeEAhr
Caring about excellence
owencb
null
2024-07-22
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Drv2wtrb57HcvyJsa/the-elusive-root-cause-of-schizophrenia-thesis-introduction
Drv2wtrb57HcvyJsa
The Elusive Root Cause of Schizophrenia - Thesis Introduction Only
kareempforbes
This review paper aims to examine and explain the root cause of schizophrenia through a theoretical model based on Information Technology (IT) processing principles. The model conceptualizes the brain’s processing ability and capacity in terms of IT processing loads. Chronic trauma and stress degrade the brain’s proces...
2024-07-22
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/7Cy6cCCv2KeHNPidn/tim-dillon-s-fake-business-is-the-most-influential-video-i
7Cy6cCCv2KeHNPidn
Tim Dillon's fake business is the most influential video I have watched in the last 24 months
stuart-johnson
I came across this video last year and have waited for some time to see if something else would radically change my perspective in a greater way. Most of 2-10 on the list are posts here on LessWrong, so I thought I would share this as well. The way that it changed my view is in reducing how much "benefit of the doubt" ...
2024-07-22
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/oAKfaxKKfuz2cuRLr/on-the-crowdstrike-incident
oAKfaxKKfuz2cuRLr
On the CrowdStrike Incident
Zvi
Things went very wrong on Friday. A bugged CrowdStrike update temporarily bricked quite a lot of computers, bringing down such fun things as airlines, hospitals and 911 services. It was serious out there. Ryan Peterson: Crowdstrike outage has forced Starbucks to start writing your name on a cup in marker again and I li...
2024-07-22
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/qtPjow35uJ7E2ELCc/reasoning-is-not-search-a-chess-example
qtPjow35uJ7E2ELCc
Reasoning is not search - a chess example
p.b.
In the past AI systems have reached super human performance by adding search to neural networks while the network alone could not reach the level of the best humans. At least this seems to be the case for AlphaGo, AlphaZero/Leela, AlphaGeometry and probably more, while AlphaStar and OpenAI Five where adding search was ...
2024-08-06
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/znhjo7Xnws3cMpxAX/is-chinese-agi-a-valid-concern-for-the-usa
znhjo7Xnws3cMpxAX
Is Chinese AGI a valid concern for the USA?
sammyboiz
I) Introduction: The race as of today The California AI bill SB-1047 has ignited a fierce debate among policymakers and the public. Safety concerns are at the forefront of arguments for regulation, with some urging caution before advancing AI technologies. Opponents of regulation argue that such measures could hinder A...
2024-07-22
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/6QYpXEscd8GuE7BgW/unlearning-via-rmu-is-mostly-shallow
6QYpXEscd8GuE7BgW
Unlearning via RMU is mostly shallow
andy-arditi
This is an informal research note. It is the result of a few-day exploration into RMU through the lens of model internals. Code to reproduce the main result is available here. This work was produced as part of Ethan Perez's stream in the ML Alignment & Theory Scholars Program - Summer 2024 Cohort. Thanks to Nina Panick...
2024-07-23
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/yRhhGpxQwKekmo4bJ/categories-of-leadership-on-technical-teams
yRhhGpxQwKekmo4bJ
Categories of leadership on technical teams
benkuhn
This is an adaptation of an internal doc I wrote for Anthropic. Recently I’ve been having a lot of conversations about how to structure and staff teams. One framework I’ve referenced repeatedly is to break down team leadership into a few different categories of responsibility. This is useful for a couple reasons. One i...
2024-07-22
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/LQBFqyXA5to4iHEBC/initial-experiments-using-saes-to-help-detect-ai-generated
LQBFqyXA5to4iHEBC
Initial Experiments Using SAEs to Help Detect AI Generated Text
Aaron_Scher
This is an informal progress update with some preliminary results using Sparse Autoencoders (SAEs) to detect AI-generated text. Summary I would like reliable methods for distinguishing human and AI-generated text. Unfortunately, not only are the current best methods for doing this unreliable, they are also opaque: base...
2024-07-22
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/WD6fdTreuTaXgZb4H/coalitional-agency
WD6fdTreuTaXgZb4H
Coalitional agency
ricraz
The coalitional frame Earlier in this sequence I laid out an argument that the goals of increasingly intelligent AIs will become increasingly systematized, until they converge to squiggle-maximization. In my last post, though, I touched on two reasons why this convergence might not happen: humans trying to prevent it, ...
2024-07-22
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/NKmjGS4a3ykriqRNR/analyzing-deepmind-s-probabilistic-methods-for-evaluating
NKmjGS4a3ykriqRNR
Analyzing DeepMind's Probabilistic Methods for Evaluating Agent Capabilities
hojmax
Produced as part of the MATS Program Summer 2024 Cohort. The project is supervised by Marius Hobbhahn and Jérémy Scheurer Update: See also our paper on this topic admitted to the NeurIPS 2024 SoLaR Workshop. Introduction To mitigate risks from future AI systems, we need to assess their capabilities accurately. Ideally,...
2024-07-22
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/K5LYLvZvdthdyRFFQ/why-academia-is-mostly-not-truth-seeking
K5LYLvZvdthdyRFFQ
Why Academia is Mostly Not Truth-Seeking
Zero Contradictions
The PDF version can be read here. In this essay, I will argue that most academic research is fake. The modern academy is not a reliable source of knowledge. Instead, it produces the pretense of knowledge. Academic research can be fake in different ways. It can simply be false. It can be emotionally manipulative propaga...
2024-10-16
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/75dzpNXzvxi7uWrfA/the-ai-driver-s-licence-a-policy-proposal
75dzpNXzvxi7uWrfA
The AI Driver's Licence - A Policy Proposal
sooney
TL;DR: In response to the escalating capabilities and associated risks of advanced AI systems, we advocate for the implementation of an “AI Driver’s Licence” policy. Our proposal is informed by existing licencing frameworks and existing AI legislation. This initiative mandates that users of advanced AI systems must obt...
2024-07-21
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/WFwREZoRJZdwdryYk/the-usd100b-plan-with-70-risk-of-killing-us-all-w-stephen
WFwREZoRJZdwdryYk
The $100B plan with "70% risk of killing us all" w Stephen Fry [video]
oleg-trott
A high production value 16-minute video that summarizes the popular safety concerns, featuring Hinton, Russell and Claude 3.5.
2024-07-21
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/aWZEDw6oxR6Wk5hru/using-an-llm-perplexity-filter-to-detect-weight-exfiltration
aWZEDw6oxR6Wk5hru
Using an LLM perplexity filter to detect weight exfiltration
karvonenadam
A recent area of focus has been securing AI model weights. If the weights are located in a data center and an adversary wants to obtain model weights, the weights have to leave physically (such as a hard drive going out the front door) or through the data center's internet connection. If the facility has perfect physic...
2024-07-21
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/q8yzEaPYnFqdyZGen/which-future-mind-is-me-is-a-question-of-values
q8yzEaPYnFqdyZGen
"Which Future Mind is Me?" Is a Question of Values
dadadarren
This is written right  after reading Rob Bensinger's relevant post and andeslodes' comments. That discussion touched on a topic I have long held a strong belief about. I purposed first-person perspective is not physically reducible and ought to be regarded as primitive. Following that, questions such like "which future...
2024-08-09
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/SFsBwhRNEqWJGnBAs/raising-welfare-for-lab-rodents
SFsBwhRNEqWJGnBAs
Raising Welfare for Lab Rodents
xanderbalwit
My article offering concrete suggestions to improve the welfare of rodents used in scientific research is out today in Asimov Press. What is in here for the decerning rationalist you might wonder? Well, lots. I know you as people who like to think critically about how science proceeds and ask questions like: Why this s...
2024-07-21
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/smqaugPAXLFztD4ge/would-a-scope-insensitive-agi-be-less-likely-to-incapacitate
smqaugPAXLFztD4ge
Would a scope-insensitive AGI be less likely to incapacitate humanity?
jim-buhler
I was listening to Anders Sandberg talk about "humble futures" (i.e., futures that may be considered good in a sober non-"let's tile the universe with X" way), and started wondering whether training (not yet proven safe) AIs to have such "humble" scope-insensitive-ish goals -- which seems more tractable than (complete)...
2024-07-21
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/7pHLW5pfBStDBdj8z/holomorphic-surjection-theorem-picard-s-little-theorem
7pHLW5pfBStDBdj8z
Holomorphic surjection theorem (Picard's little theorem)
dkl9
Consider an entire function (complex-differentiable everywhere) f(z). I will intuitively prove that certain lemmas hold on any such f. If f is a polynomial, I can combine those lemmas with another one, showing that the holomorphic surjection theorem (more commonly, Picard's little theorem) applies. Any entire function ...
2024-07-21
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/t8jwPBrxccf5bhMcC/aimless-ace-analyzes-active-amateur-a-micro-aaaaalignment
t8jwPBrxccf5bhMcC
aimless ace analyzes active amateur: a micro-aaaaalignment proposal
lcmgcd
This idea is so simple that I'm sure it's been had by someone somewhere. Suppose we have some method to make really smart honest AIs that do not have goals. Let's say it's a yes/no oracle. Our aimless ace. But we want to accomplish stuff! AIcorp wants the printmoneynow.py. I'm worried that if I train the ace to fold fi...
2024-07-21
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/HmbnM2tvHdEXNCNYa/demography-and-destiny
HmbnM2tvHdEXNCNYa
Demography and Destiny
Zero Contradictions
The PDF version can be read here. And the video version can be watched here: In this essay, I will make the case that demographic transition theory is wrong. Demographic transition theory (DTT) proposes that people go through a transition from high fertility to low fertility as their societies modernize. Supposedly, th...
2024-07-21
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/r4D2mgCkhWqXyJm49/motivation-theory
r4D2mgCkhWqXyJm49
Motivation Theory
Zero Contradictions
This is a brief sketch of a theory of motivation. Motivation drives action. It also causes the experiences of pleasure and pain. We experience pain when motivation increases, and pleasure when motivation decreases. Motivation is generated by emotions, such as hunger, thirst and lust. Emotions generate motivation, and m...
2024-08-08
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/fb7CgidmDP89syYQx/a-comparison-between-the-pragmatosphere-and-less-wrong
fb7CgidmDP89syYQx
A Comparison Between The Pragmatosphere And Less Wrong
Zero Contradictions
The Pragmatosphere and Less Wrong both share rationalism as a fundamental characteristic of their philosophies. Less Wrong was founded by Eliezer Yudkowsky in 2009, whereas the Pragmatosphere was founded by Blithering Genius in 2013. The Pragmatosphere is much smaller, so its followers have more unified beliefs. By con...
2024-09-04
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/XqaA3KPR6ctREbiFp/technology-and-progress
XqaA3KPR6ctREbiFp
Technology and Progress
Zero Contradictions
The audio version can be listened to here: In this essay, I will give my views on technology and progress, focusing specifically on space travel, computers and transhumanism. Futurism is not just predictive. It is also normative. We are concerned with what we should do, not just with what will happen. So, I’m going to ...
2024-08-01
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/xTdrW3qstqpitK723/the-rise-and-stagnation-of-modernity
xTdrW3qstqpitK723
The Rise and Stagnation of Modernity
Zero Contradictions
Although aspects of it trace back hundreds of years, what I call “modernity” emerged in the 20th century, in the West. As I define it, modernity includes the following: Industrialization and mechanizationUrbanizationAbundanceLow child mortalityLow fertility In this essay, I will describe some of the major advances that...
2024-08-02
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/oFqq9jaiQXfhbYmtQ/family-and-society
oFqq9jaiQXfhbYmtQ
Family and Society
Zero Contradictions
The PDF version can be read here. The audio version can be listened to here: Humans have the capacity to form different types of relationships, which are mediated by emotions. We can divide these relationships into two categories: family and social. They create two types of structure: family and society. The family is ...
2024-07-28
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/LuMgZkCcY2uemHhyD/game-theory-and-society
LuMgZkCcY2uemHhyD
Game Theory and Society
Zero Contradictions
Game theory is a branch of mathematics that deals with decision making when there are multiple decision-makers, called “players”, and outcomes depend on the decisions of other players. Game theory is based on the metaphor of a game, in which the rules of play and the outcomes are well defined. The game metaphor is a ve...
2024-08-05
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/hsBmkBQBZdnFShtPc/what-is-morality
hsBmkBQBZdnFShtPc
What is Morality?
Zero Contradictions
The PDF version can be read here. The audio version can be listened to here: Morality has the following components: Collective values.The individual internalization of collective values.The assumption that collective values are objective, and thus “moral”.A folk theory of morality.Individual and collective moral myths....
2024-07-29
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/f8ELfqP6tpA3Jnsk2/the-case-against-libertarianism
f8ELfqP6tpA3Jnsk2
The Case Against Libertarianism
Zero Contradictions
Libertarianism is a political philosophy that upholds Liberty and the Non-Aggression Principle as its core values. Libertarians seek minimal and/or minarchist governments. The Libertarian Non-Aggression Principle is typically defined as an ethical rule prohibiting aggression (or actions that violate negative rights). B...
2024-08-03
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/mKsmmcyjLuzbvACur/ball-sq-pathways
mKsmmcyjLuzbvACur
Ball Sq Pathways
jkaufman
With the Red Line shut down north of Kendall for repairs I've been walking to the Green Line at Ball Sq. It's definitely a slower commute, but it's not bad. Except for 150 painful feet. Here's how I walk to the station (240ft): And here's what I want to do (90ft): They've put up enough of a fence to keep a desire pat...
2024-07-21
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/dhEWyhkaL3PLfYyfd/openai-boycott-revisit
dhEWyhkaL3PLfYyfd
OpenAI Boycott Revisit
Jake Dennie
Note: An initial proposal and some good discussion already existed on LW here. I’m spurring this here as a post instead of a comment due to length, the need for a fresh look, and a specific call to action. Summary I think a petition-style boycott commitment could reach critical mass enough to significantly shift OpenAI...
2024-07-22
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/oWEKNrGYctuitxcph/freedom-and-privacy-of-thought-architectures
oWEKNrGYctuitxcph
Freedom and Privacy of Thought Architectures
JohnBuridan
I don't work in cyber security, so others will have to teach me. I'm interested in the question of how AI systems can become private. How to make communications with an AI system as protected as the confessional. Some AI capabilities are throttled not for public interest reasons but because if those private conversatio...
2024-07-20
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/C8b2SmGoDjzj8YGC3/only-fools-avoid-hindsight-bias
C8b2SmGoDjzj8YGC3
Only Fools Avoid Hindsight Bias
Kevin Dorst
TLDR: You’re unsure about something. Then it happens—and you think to yourself, “I kinda expected that.” Such hindsight bias is commonly derided as irrational. But any Bayesian who (1) is unsure of exactly what they think, and (2) trusts their own judgment should exhibit hindsight bias. Biden is old. Ever since the dis...
2024-07-20
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/uAhBngKf7FrWcApqr/a-more-systematic-case-for-inner-misalignment
uAhBngKf7FrWcApqr
A more systematic case for inner misalignment
ricraz
This post builds on my previous post making the case that squiggle-maximizers are plausible. The argument I presented was a deliberately simplified one, though, and glossed over several possible issues. In this post I'll raise and explore three broad objections. (Before looking at mine, I encourage you to think of your...
2024-07-20
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/he9BpRWuds5istBus/krona-compare
he9BpRWuds5istBus
Krona Compare
jkaufman
Cross-posted from my NAO Notebook. When trying to understand how metagenomic samples differ I often want to drill down through the taxonomic hierarchy, comparing relative abundances. I've tried several tools for this, existing and custom, and haven't been all that happy with any. For most purposes, the tool I like mos...
2024-07-20
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Nkx6yWZNbAsfvic98/batchtopk-a-simple-improvement-for-topk-saes
Nkx6yWZNbAsfvic98
BatchTopK: A Simple Improvement for TopK-SAEs
Stuckwork
Work done in Neel Nanda’s stream of MATS 6.0. Epistemic status: Tried this on a single sweep and seems to work well, but it might definitely be a fluke of something particular to our implementation or experimental set-up. As there are also some theoretical reasons to expect this technique to work (adaptive sparsity), i...
2024-07-20
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/CzyGJzESo7vm75KKz/pick-two-concise-comprehensive-or-clear-rules
CzyGJzESo7vm75KKz
Pick two: concise, comprehensive, or clear rules
Screwtape
There once was a post on LessWrong asking what's with all the bans? The OP of that post complained of, among other things, being punished despite not having broken any rules that they knew about before taking the action they got punished for. I started to write a comment, which then ballooned out of scope. The followin...
2025-02-03
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/fJb8ryrMW5XfJaq7m/approximately-deterministic-natural-latents
fJb8ryrMW5XfJaq7m
(Approximately) Deterministic Natural Latents
johnswentworth
Background: Natural Latents: The Math, Natural Latents: The Concepts, Why Care About Natural Latents?, the prototypical semantics use-case. This post does not assume that you’ve read all of those, or even any of them. Suppose I roll a biased die 1000 times, and then roll the same biased die another 1000 times. Then... ...
2024-07-19
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/wZqqQysfLrt2CFx4T/jumprelu-saes-early-access-to-gemma-2-saes
wZqqQysfLrt2CFx4T
JumpReLU SAEs + Early Access to Gemma 2 SAEs
SenR
New paper from the Google DeepMind mechanistic interpretability team, led by Sen Rajamanoharan! We introduce JumpReLU SAEs, a new SAE architecture that replaces the standard ReLUs with discontinuous JumpReLU activations, and seems to be (narrowly) state of the art over existing methods like TopK and Gated SAEs for achi...
2024-07-19
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/ZWrRkfAoBMX9LYMLj/introduction-to-modern-dating-strategic-dating-advice-for
ZWrRkfAoBMX9LYMLj
Introduction to Modern Dating: Strategic Dating Advice for beginners
Jesper Lindholm
Heads up: This is not really a post about rationality. That said, there are few times in your life when you are more prone to biases and emotional overrides than when you engage in dating. We are emotional creatures above all. Knowing principles of rational thinking and tactics for overcoming biased thinking will not p...
2024-07-20
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/2u4Dja2m6ud4m7Bb7/sustainability-of-digital-life-form-societies
2u4Dja2m6ud4m7Bb7
Sustainability of Digital Life Form Societies
hiroshi-yamakawa
Hiroshi Yamakawa1,2,3,4 1 The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan 2 AI Alignment Network, Tokyo, Japan 3 The Whole Brain Architecture Initiative, Tokyo, Japan 4 RIKEN, Tokyo, Japan Even in a society composed of digital life forms (DLFs) with advanced autonomy, there is no guarantee that the risks of extinction from envir...
2024-07-19
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/hmACfbrorLf2jKegr/romae-industriae
hmACfbrorLf2jKegr
Romae Industriae
maxwell-tabarrok
Whatever each culture grows and manufactures cannot fail to be here at all times and in great profusion. Here merchant vessels arrive carrying these many commodities from every region in every season and even at every equinox, so that the city takes on the appearance of a sort of common market for the world. Your farml...
2024-07-19
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/s9zd6f9eZ8qN2jrcu/auto-enhance-developing-a-meta-benchmark-to-measure-llm
s9zd6f9eZ8qN2jrcu
Auto-Enhance: Developing a meta-benchmark to measure LLM agents’ ability to improve other agents
sam-4
Summary Scaffolded LLM agents are, in principle, able to execute arbitrary code to achieve the goals they have been set. One such goal could be self-improvement.This post outlines our plans to build a benchmark to measure the ability of LLM agents to modify and improve other LLM agents.This ‘Auto-Enhancement benchmark’...
2024-07-22
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/EDBxdR9MzXwDaJYuC/have-people-given-up-on-iterated-distillation-and
EDBxdR9MzXwDaJYuC
Have people given up on iterated distillation and amplification?
Chris_Leong
The BlueDot Impact write-up for scalable oversight seems to suggest that people have given up on iterated distillation and amplification (IDA) working. I haven’t really seen much research here, but is that actually the case? I know that Ought is now pretty much inactive because their attempts at factored cognition fail...
2024-07-19
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/72vpkRRvoPHKi48fi/truth-is-universal-robust-detection-of-lies-in-llms-3
72vpkRRvoPHKi48fi
Truth is Universal: Robust Detection of Lies in LLMs
Lennart Buerger
A short summary of the paper is presented below. TL;DR: We develop a robust method to detect when an LLM is lying based on the internal model activations, making the following contributions: (i) We demonstrate the existence of a two-dimensional subspace, along which the activation vectors of true and false statements c...
2024-07-19
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/iy8XANvSr9u3czm7o/systema-robotica
iy8XANvSr9u3czm7o
SYSTEMA ROBOTICA
roboticali
On the Order and Evolution of Robotkind Many thanks to Michael Graziano, Jacob Cohen, Luis Sentis, Naira Hovakimyan, Dermot Mee, David Pearce, Paul Horn, Daniel Theobald, Tigran Shahverdyan, Bader Qurashi and Emad Suhail Rahim for their invaluable time, expertise and insights. This first edition of Systema Robotica has...
2024-08-12
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/ZPixGrCbJoyuAdjkK/how-do-we-know-that-good-research-is-good-aka-direct
ZPixGrCbJoyuAdjkK
How do we know that "good research" is good? (aka "direct evaluation" vs "eigen-evaluation")
Ruby
AI Alignment is my motivating context but this could apply elsewhere too. The nascent field of AI Alignment research is pretty happening these days. There are multiple orgs and dozens to low hundreds of full-time researchers pursuing approaches to ensure AI goes well for humanity. Many are heartened that there's at lea...
2024-07-19
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/FfihtAuPwtLnBmeGZ/linkpost-surely-you-can-be-serious
FfihtAuPwtLnBmeGZ
Linkpost: Surely you can be serious
kave
Adam Mastroianni writes about "actually caring about stuff, and for the right reasons", rather than just LARPing. The opening is excerpted below. I once saw someone give a talk about a tiny intervention that caused a gigantic effect, something like, “We gave high school seniors a hearty slap on the back and then they s...
2024-07-18
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/fiksCnoEnA2hBSf2m/an-experiment-on-hidden-cognition
fiksCnoEnA2hBSf2m
An experiment on hidden cognition
jarviniemi
Work done as part of the Visiting Fellow program at Constellation. Thanks to Aaron Scher for conversations and feedback throughout the project, and for pointing out relevant literature. Thanks also to Jérémy Scheurer for feedback and references. Motivation There are many situations where a language model could identify...
2024-07-22
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/sajjdRDKKt3BJqRiP/my-experience-applying-to-mats-6-0
sajjdRDKKt3BJqRiP
My experience applying to MATS 6.0
michael-chen
The current cohort of the ML Alignment & Theory Scholars Program, MATS 6.0, had a unique application process and its broadest selection of mentors yet, with 40 mentors to apply to. I was invited to interview with twelve mentors and was accepted by five (which I later learned was an unusual number of interviews and offe...
2024-07-18
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/yoAhc7ZhQZfGqrzif/what-are-the-actual-arguments-in-favor-of-computationalism
yoAhc7ZhQZfGqrzif
What are the actual arguments in favor of computationalism as a theory of identity?
Unknown
A few months ago, Rob Bensinger made a rather long post (that even got curated) in which he expressed his views on several questions related to personal identity and anticipated experiences in the context of potential uploading and emulation. A critical implicit assumption behind the exposition and reasoning he offered...
2024-07-18
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/aahi8HQCSkzzGkFjG/yet-another-critique-of-luxury-beliefs
aahi8HQCSkzzGkFjG
Yet Another Critique of "Luxury Beliefs"
ymeskhout
I know little about Rob Henderson except that he wrote a well-received memoir and that he really really really wants you to remember that he invented the concept of “luxury beliefs”. In his own words, these are: ideas and opinions that confer status on the upper class at very little cost, while often inflicting costs o...
2024-07-18
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/QpejqFa6BsnE87ENt/me-and-my-clone
QpejqFa6BsnE87ENt
Me & My Clone
simonbaars
An advanced alien species clones me on the atomic level, lines me up exactly across myself, in a perfect mirrored room: Diagram of the room, as seen from above. I stare at myself for a second. Then, as a soft "hi" escapes my mouth, I notice that my clone does exactly the same. Every motion, everything, is mirrored. In ...
2024-07-18
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/fM4Bs9nanDzio3xCq/ai-73-openly-evil-ai
fM4Bs9nanDzio3xCq
AI #73: Openly Evil AI
Zvi
What do you call a clause explicitly saying that you waive the right to whistleblower compensation, and that you need to get permission before sharing information with government regulators like the SEC? I have many answers. I also know that OpenAI, having f***ed around, seems poised to find out, because that is the cl...
2024-07-18