text
stringlengths
1
675k
@mymundanemind it remains anecdotal. if we see a come up heads 10 times in a row, we're predisposed to think that there is a high probability that the next toss will be heads. you know very well that correlation is not the same as causation. what else do we know about these women?
: a quirky vision of a fun science fiction trope https://t.co/etp9b1pvrp https://t.co/svalcbprea #sff (from the archive)
almost: you flip a and the two events are "heads" and "tails". each happens with probability 1/2, which is < 1/2 + ε, but the probability that *neither* happens is zero. (don't let the coin land on its edge.) (5/n)
bitcoin is a “" for everyone. #bitcoin #cryptocurrency
@adamsimecka its not about tech, its about the incentive structure. all other replicas are self-serving (premines / founder rewards) and even if an anonymous and is created , it can’t compete with the momentum and network effect ..
no one cares about competition. people are upset about out right lying about throughput and decentralization, lies of omission with coin founders and vulture capital buying half the supply before selling a single . this is the problem. not your strawman.
@nheilman @greatbigdot @esyudkowsky you’re saying incorrect bc you know that over a large enough n, a flips heads/tails 50/50. at 8 flips you likely won’t get 50/50, but must update after every flip. you’ll notice the probability stabilizing at 50/50. you don’t get to iterate this often with everything
@sss_music @daniel_houck @waitbutwhy another similar problem: say you're 80% confident that the coin in your hand is a . then you flip the coin 10 times, and all 10 flips come up heads. shouldn't you be less confident that the coin is fair now?
@greatbigdot @esyudkowsky if i believe a is 75% likely to be heads, i have an incorrect perception of its likelihood. so i will have to disagree that the concept of likelihood is inherently tied to what one thinks of is.
@blamblamtheman @esyudkowsky my argument is that, if it’s the analogue of a and you know for sure it as 80%, then the answer is still 50%. maybe unfair could be lower, but fair isn’t 80%.
@aprilsda @esyudkowsky right, but a is still 50%. so there existed more relevant initial information that effects the updates than the prior probabilities alone.
@hausfath just wait until he dicovers mathematicians struggle to predict the result of a single flip, yet have the audacity to predict the number of standard deviations from the mean of a billion coin flips.
@alkalimeter @abecedarius @esyudkowsky un means less confidence in your 50% estimate. means you know that you can’t predict better than 50% on result no matter what. one is positive knowledge and one lack of knowledge.
@esyudkowsky this is actually a case where jaynes' meta-probability approach makes a difference. both a known and known un give an initial chance of 50% heads or tails, but they update very differently given new evidence.
maths teacher - if you toss a 10 times, what is the probability you win at least once? other kids - *starts doing permutation combination* kohli - 0
@dreamerupsc for infinite tosses the result will hold true for a .....u can't do infinite tosses. i mean i can't for sure.
. @imvkohli proves that the probability of a isn’t 1/2. @angry_rantman
dear probability and statistics courses i studied for my entire life, do not ever tell me again that probability of winning a toss is 0.5. ik virat kohli and a 1.3 billion others who would suggest otherwise. #icct20worldcup #indvsafg
are they using a or what? #toss
@imvkohli lost the toss again, is it really a ? #indvsafg perfect t20 game for india loading soon !
@bleachernation it is 50:50 as to whether the team with the better regular season record wins a post-season series, and you'll get 5+ tails in 7 flips of a 22% of the time. so, no biggee!
@juanman60030743 @cateclub and if you want to exchange to another coin like eth or bnb, connect to pancake swap and add the address from the website and your chair coin should appear on pancake ready to sell/exchange.
i think we should remove “strength of schedule” from tiebreakers. it’s not really a thing in the nfl and it’s kind of redundant considering everything else is already about records. i’d rather have a toss than trying to decide who had a tougher schedule. https://t.co/73gpiu1of9
fair+coin
@mdb_defi @wz_binance good luck everyone 🍀🍀🍀@kukanovavera @pirates_of_xpr
👉 token $defiwz / $usdt bsc - pancakeswap 🟢 price is up 73.7% in the last hour 🟢 price: $43.78 - 24h txns: 780 - 24h volume: $120k - liquidity: $170k #bsc #pancakeswap #defiwz #defiwztoken
token has just been added to coinlaunch for more information visit: https://t.co/o0nix5grfx
ids that people independently establish, own, and manage from any government or organization. 🕵️‍♂️ did have universally recognized identifiers...continue reading: https://t.co/n1nskb6q45 🔗learn more: https://t.co/kgqlabzeke syncscale ➡️https://t.co/3p9hhqsv40 # https://t.co/lrhawaaonk
bitcoin🪙 brings the concept of decentralization, and the governance mechanism of the decentralized community is changing the world🌐...continue reading: 🔗learn more: https://t.co/kgqlabzeke syncscale ➡️https://t.co/3p9hhqsv40 # #staking https://t.co/9sdpfvfpxg
many businesses and merchants already accept cryptocurrency as a means of exchange🥳. governments are attempting to discover methods to control...continue reading: https://t.co/rnaj5gnjde 🔗learn more: https://t.co/kgqlabzeke syncscale ➡️https://t.co/3p9hhqsv40 # https://t.co/ex6hbof462
𝐋𝐢𝐪𝐮𝐢𝐝𝐢𝐭𝐲 𝐦𝐢𝐧𝐢𝐧𝐠 is a process in which crypto holders👤lend assets to a decentralized exchange in return for rewards💝...continue reading: https://t.co/dyceiglatr 🔗learn more: https://t.co/netjpfncat ssid meta ➡️https://t.co/dh4wxigtb6 #ssidmeta # https://t.co/eviikbuz6b
have mentioned this token many times since the first post on our page and here we explain what an ssid token is🤭...continue reading: https://t.co/9wzlvfl40z 🔗learn more: https://t.co/netjpfncat ssid meta ➡️https://t.co/dh4wxigtb6 #ssidmeta #ssid #defi #blockchain # https://t.co/9gcewqim8h
continue with last article, although the idea of a digital autonomous organization (dao) seems liberating and forward-thinking...continue reading: https://t.co/yealh3msba 🔗learn more: https://t.co/netjpfncat ssidmeta ➡️https://t.co/dh4wxigtb6 #ssidmeta #ssid #defi # https://t.co/wqkgdp7hff
⌛since nfts become popular in 2021, people are increasingly fascinated by unique digital artwork such as nft avatars, nft images...continue reading: https://t.co/c7ye7ubcyp 🔗learn more: https://t.co/netjpfncat ssid meta: https://t.co/dh4wxigtb6 #ssidmeta #ssid # https://t.co/na3lumhctk
people will require a variety of daily services in the metaverse🌐, ranging from entertainment to finance, just as they do in the actual world. as a result...continue reading: https://t.co/izffnrdvd0 #ssidmeta #ssid #syncscalessid #defi #metaverse #blockchain # https://t.co/l2iinz9lyd
@ssteveneth @cryoto_gems @boxerinuerc is the best
is now listed on our bestcoins platform https://t.co/mnrngnkztc 🐦 twitter: @boxerinufinance vote, rating & review your favorite coin in bestcoins platform #boxerinu#bestcoins #boxerinu#memecoin #crypto #cryptocurrency #memecoins #boxerinuarmy
this wallet seems to get into projects super early, withdraw huge amounts of money, and leaves. most, if not all of these projects are dead now. safetrees, , doge cola, wahlecom, hare plus token. and, now, this wallet is on egc.
@fl0wst8 @michael34891028 @metahero_io @rob_gryn @famemmatv @marshallinu_ yeah like . go and check where the project is atm.
🚨⚠️ #scam ⚠️🚨 new pair at uniswap (boxer/weth) initial liquidity: $26,044 token contract: 0xae2585451c1c9eedfacd5bee830f835e47454d33 dextools: https://t.co/gknhcw4hvn
🚨⚠️ #scam ⚠️🚨 new pair at uniswap (boxer/weth) initial liquidity: $26,057 token contract: 0xae8a4252530861afef71cb2a98a2cee64b45f5e5 dextools: https://t.co/swbargvouo
🚨⚠️ #scam ⚠️🚨 new pair at uniswap ( boxer /weth) initial liquidity: $18,149 token contract: 0x96b8064943fa174c20c8c11de8bd3dbf80f998fc dextools: https://t.co/1azrl9xboz
will beat any meme token to the punch, blow by blow, glutton for punishment with his killer instincts! website: https://t.co/ev13dggnk8 twitter: https://t.co/onsa42gj70 telegram: https://t.co/ph4vvqz2ny
we are still actively working on and want to make some improvements to make it more attractive for current investors but also for new investors - this is by no means the end of , if anything, the start of something bigger 🥊✨
@boxerinufinance hi !! send dm📩 i have proposal 💥📈
first nft game with bnb rewards! #bnbheroes #bnbh #p2e #playtoearn #nfts #nftgaming #play2earn #gamefi #bnb @ariana_uk99 @boxer_inu_ufc @cryptoland_fa
@cris__u defi
$hmt 🧬 is now available on @probit_exchange 📊 🖇 $hmt/usdt #defi #crypto #listing https://t.co/hoh5f3ru0n
i’m shorting $aave ($aave3s/usdt) defi crypto) 3x leverage here at $90.50 $aave3s/usdt $.2022 not looking at it untill end of this year.
@altcryptocom one of my current favorites is $koi, @altcryptocom. @koimetaverse trading is now live on #huobi. are you going to let it pass with a prize pool of 30,000 $usdt? #defi #crypto #gamefi #nft
coinpuff news 15/05 #btc #eth #usdt #defi #crypto #крипта https://t.co/przyhbghws
marketpuff news 15/05 #btc #eth #usdt #defi #crypto #крипта https://t.co/u3xe2lhgmo
$bmi is the best way to earn stablecoin passive yields by providing liquidities to your favorite coverage pools.💰🛡 #bridgemutual #usdt #defi #crypto #insurance
proton tvl has had positive growth over the last 7 day time frame and is coming in at #3 on @defillama 7 day list ⚛️ $xpr $loan $btc $usdt #defi #crypto #finance #money @protonxpr $luna https://t.co/3z2wzrbdut
buy $atop on pancakeswap and win $1000 usdt #defi #crypto #nftdrop
here are some of the stablecoins you can lend at **fixed** and **secured** rates on #igain irs 💰🔐 $usdc $dai $usdt #defi #crypto https://t.co/3lctdm062r
🔥🔥halo network has entered the 2.0 era and continues to empower the crypto world learn more: 👉👉👉 https://t.co/feqpxdsorm #halonetwork #hoswap #hos $hos #ho $ho #usdt $usdt #defi #crypto #blockchain https://t.co/67wiahmmal
@kabi_hillary my perfect choice is @network_halo’s native token $ho 10x is easy #halonetwork #hoswap #hos $hos #ho $ho #usdt $usdt #defi #crypto #blockchain
@themooncarl still asking??? don't waste more time looking for it, just take a look at @network_halo - cross bridging - unique stable coin pegged to lots of currencies - stake to earn …and lots more #halonetwork #hoswap #hos $hos #ho $ho #usdt $usdt #defi #crypto #blockchain
while all market is bleeding $lua @luaswap is stable and green i suppose $tomo & lua will do great next few months $btc $eth $doge $bnb $sol $avax $ada $dash $etc $xrp $neo $xmr $theta $ftt $kcn $uni $sushi $aave #matic #binance #eth #btc #usdt #defi #crypto $orn $egld $dot $axs
it's #tomo turn, this time is different leg up, it's gonna be parabolic 🚀😉 $btc $eth $doge $bnb $sol $avax $ada $dash $etc $xrp $neo $xmr $theta $ftt $kcn $uni $sushi $qtum $aave #matic #binance #eth #btc #usdt #defi #crypto $orn $egld $dot $axs #shib #shibu #1inch $shib $tomo
all market dumping while #tomo is pumping buy it before it catches #solana $btc $eth $doge $bnb $sol $avax $ada $dash $etc $xrp $neo $xmr $theta $ftt $kcn $uni $sushi $qtum $aave #matic #binance #eth #btc #usdt #defi #crypto $orn $egld $dot $axs #shib #shibu #1inch $shib $tomo
hey guy! you can begin #trading tlos/usd and tlos/usdt as #telos is being listed on @bitfinex #telosevm $tlos #usdt #defi #crypto #cryptocurrencies #altcoins #blockchain https://t.co/m6wh9mr79a
officially! we start testing v2.0 for tier5 users! more info coming soon! 🚀🚀🚀 https://t.co/f1obchuym3 @yieldapp #yieldapp #yld @timyield @jan_yieldapp @adrusha888 @kubayield @piotrostapowicz #bitcoin #btc #ethereum #usdc #usdt #defi #crypto #cryptotwitter https://t.co/qvlvqwkdhl
following solana wallet hacks, polkadot ambassador and hiro cto call for action to keep defi safe https://t.co/1vw4tng5r7 #crypto #cryptonews
@drjbhattacharya forgiveness is good. but learn something. never, ever forget and do not ever let them run a narrative over you again. that whole "fool me once" thing. the people we had faith in at the beginning have burned that . never again.
trust trust is our safety emotion. think of trust like a bridge: both sides are connected, sustained by feelings of safety and security. when we build a with someone else, we have to care for it: it requires maintenance so that we keep the connection strong.
as i mentioned earlier, i more than the people
@bridgeindiaorg @neelendranath @rishisunak do not india they are congi funded organisation
@omarbaddar @rezaaslan … totally from any action towards iranian people needs or demands. so what you did was the first step to establish a .i repeat myself again, words are shallow one should act to be believed. hope we all would remove this illegitimate regime all together
they both have trust issues. one can understand another when they both had to deal with hard situations, so maybe they will slowly but surely build some kind of , which is very important
we’re at one a half on this one. i freed quinn from eric, but lost quinn altogether 🥹 and i don’t staying broken up for the rest of the year unfortunately #boldandbeautiful
@strongjawsales the resistance gap. how can you make them trust you? • show them you are trying to help • show them how you have helped others and how you can help them too • take the risk off their shoulders. • let them visualise the destination and how you can get'em there
@fantasypros nope, taysom hill getting the nod this week. the has been burned.
@meld_labs anything that is bridged i do not trust. bridge = hack in my head, i just don't trust it.
bpd is proud to announce we now have an lgbtq+ liaison team. lt. naomi zepeda and sgt jennifer horn have been appointed as the newest members of the lgbtq+ liaison committee. our mission is to provide a safe place, build trust & bridge the gap between the lgbtq+ community and pd https://t.co/ojqfxdrwex
the problem is that the freedom to launch and trade erc20 tokens is at the heart of uniswap. the core of uniswap is lost once we move away from #ethereum and unichain requires minimum and wrapped tokens.
@jjsingh @mo2dmax @nbcnews get woke go broke. woke culture sucks and no one is interested in it. the only reason some woke stuff made it early on is people still trusted the companies that put it out. hollywood blew up that . get used to the constant fails.
another unfortunate factor to hackett’s start as a head coach is that every little thing going forward is going to be put under a microscope. that feels like it’s on fire rn. not saying it’s fair. i’ve just seen this before lol.
@foxnews the is forever broken
@gordinsuzie do you inspectors ? do trust your doctor?
build trust. bridge gaps. increase health equity. join me and @healthnet's chief health equity officer next week for an @mhpa webinar on how to leverage culture and data to accomplish this. register: https://t.co/loytkzbtub @sameskyhealth #medicaid https://t.co/abx4gtu0zg
@infomichaelniyi thats why you must ensure you build a very strong cos that where the business will 60% be successful. they first know you then begin to like you and strongly trust you. never play with the klt formular.
🎊 #sui ecosystem new project🔥 @portolabs_ is a synthetic asset built on sui. users can use sui (and other sui native assets) as collateral to create assets such as usd, peth, and pbtc for leverage. without the need for security. #suiecosystem #defi
hmmm so if it’s going to beet it’s all time high… that’s a 20x just going back to the all time high… but wait if you act now we’ll double your order! #hex #pulsechain don’t trolls, i got this tip from a mountain goat!
@javiermunoz21 he has the levitation spell, velocity spell, growth spell (increases the target's size), fireworks spell, fire spell, disguise spell, spell (makes invisible bridge as long as you trust yourself), and arcane lightning
sam has asked me to share his latest lego creation on social media. he is calling it a "national brick trust" bridge scene. see who you can spot! #lego #moc #legofan #legominifigures #legomoc #legolife https://t.co/hmexxaaye8
@potus we all know you're going to use a method or company that's going to have immunity, with an untested product to use on us. you've burned the with covid dude. i'm not trusting anything from you, your office, your administration, cdc, who and especially the wef. 🖕🖕🖕
@quepasa2022 @united6059 @lisaolwine @catholic4choice there's been a lot of rape for hundreds of years so i think they've burned the by now
trust, bridge of friendship 🖤 #thephotohour @stormhourthemes #mobilephotography https://t.co/la2qagy1hq
@tabali_tigi @andymicone i thought the point was that it does lead to impulsive behaviors, that it shouldn't. the has been destroyed by companies with mismanagement for years and there's no reason to believe they won't cut pay/staff tomorrow even if you don't get a cheap burrito today.
they will read your stuff after you have a strong audience. they will trust you more as they read more. this fundamental , however, cannot be created quickly. it takes some time. so, be patient and trusting. soon, this trust will result in sales for you.
@officialdgispr when the is totally destroyed with awaam who is one defending? #kashmir #imrankhan
on numerous occasions, the #pakarmy has used strategic assets (terrorists) to disrupt indian security. so, how would the emerge? 2/2 @majorgauravarya
national trust, bridge over water #building #bridge #architecture #outdoors #arch #arched #nationaltrust #scenery #landscape https://t.co/q44rltvxoo
dont for news, this isnt what the study said. facts without truth. u-m study: ivermectin doesn’t treat covid, but insurers pay for it anyway https://t.co/38ch8cvkhs via @bridgemichigan
@neaminzeleke the has to rebuild. if you see people fleeing their home you will understand hiw they are terrified by the efect of the past war and thd decision of the government to chase #fano after the war. restore the trust !!!
@jetespo99 hey art here, yes your daughter is so sweet! great company! twitter is fun! check out my profile! thx for following! here for the fun!
👉🏿these allegations and you stubbornness to appoint him demolishes the so called you are asking us. it’s your responsibility to listen to us as we are obliged to follow your orders… @mahadsalad until such allegations are settled,he can’t be the head security period.
+ hell abilities. which my duty to keep the hell gates be closed all times and some tasks to kill the wicked spirits and murders to hell by myself...." yuko admits her secret to rangiku because yuko wants to build a between herself with the shinigamis in ⤵⤵