episode
stringlengths
45
100
text
stringlengths
1
528
timestamp_link
stringlengths
56
56
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
you had to be fairly wealthy.
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:44:13.320
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
They weren't very inexpensive.
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:44:14.840
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
So you had to have some wealth in order to afford them.
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:44:17.520
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
Yeah, there were these big, sexy phones.
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:44:20.160
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
And they didn't work very well.
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:44:22.760
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
They did almost nothing.
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:44:24.080
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
So you can only afford these things if you're wealthy
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:44:26.480
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
at a point where they really don't work very well.
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:44:31.240
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
So achieving scale and making it inexpensive
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:44:35.760
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
is part of making the thing work well.
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:44:39.880
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
Exactly.
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:44:42.240
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
So these are not totally cheap, but they're pretty cheap.
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:44:43.560
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
I mean, you can get them for a few hundred dollars.
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:44:46.980
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
Especially given the kind of things it provides for you.
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:44:52.140
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
There's a lot of people in the third world
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:44:55.400
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
that have very little, but they have a smartphone.
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:44:57.100
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
Yeah, absolutely.
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:45:00.380
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
And the same will be true with AI.
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:45:01.980
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
I mean, I see homeless people have their own cell phones.
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:45:03.820
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
Yeah, so your sense is any kind of advanced technology
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:45:07.640
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
will take the same trajectory.
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:45:12.120
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
Right, it ultimately becomes cheap and will be affordable.
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:45:13.740
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
I probably would not be the first person
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:45:19.180
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
to put something in my brain to connect to computers
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:45:21.060
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
because I think it will have limitations.
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:45:28.220
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
But once it's really perfected,
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:45:30.240
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
and at that point it'll be pretty inexpensive,
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:45:34.140
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
I think it'll be pretty affordable.
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:45:36.420
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
So in which other ways, as you outline your book,
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:45:39.660
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
is life getting better?
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:45:43.080
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
Because I think...
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:45:44.460
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
Well, I mean, I have 50 charts in there
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:45:45.340
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
where everything is getting better.
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:45:49.220
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
I think there's a kind of cynicism about,
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:45:51.780
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
like even if you look at extreme poverty, for example.
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:45:55.500
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
For example, this is actually a poll
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:45:58.020
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
taken on extreme poverty, and people were asked,
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:46:00.860
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
has poverty gotten better or worse?
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:46:05.500
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
And the options are increased by 50%,
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:46:08.320
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
increased by 25%, remain the same,
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:46:11.180
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
decreased by 25%, decreased by 50%.
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:46:13.940
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
If you're watching this or listening to this,
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:46:16.740
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
try to vote for yourself.
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:46:18.780
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
70% thought it had gotten worse,
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:46:21.500
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
and that's the general impression.
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:46:24.200
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
88% thought it had gotten worse or remained the same.
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:46:27.100
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
Only 1% thought it decreased by 50%,
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:46:32.500
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
and that is the answer.
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:46:35.700
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
It actually decreased by 50%.
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:46:37.620
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
So only 1% of people got the right optimistic estimate
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:46:39.540
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
of how poverty is.
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:46:43.660
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
Right, and this is the reality,
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:46:45.260
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
and it's true of almost everything you look at.
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:46:47.520
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
You don't wanna go back 100 years or 50 years.
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:46:51.140
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
Things were quite miserable then,
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:46:54.780
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
but we tend not to remember that.
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:46:56.980
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
So literacy rate increasing over the past few centuries
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:47:01.020
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
across all the different nations,
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:47:05.340
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
nearly to 100% across many of the nations in the world.
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:47:07.940
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
It's gone way up.
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:47:11.880
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
Average years of education have gone way up.
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:47:12.820
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
Life expectancy is also increasing.
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:47:15.620
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
Life expectancy was 48 in 1900.
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:47:18.560
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
And it's over 80 now.
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:47:24.380
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
And it's gonna continue to go up,
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:47:26.400
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
particularly as we get into more advanced stages
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:47:28.140
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
of simulated biology.
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:47:30.940
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
For life expectancy, these trends are the same
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:47:33.380
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
for at birth, age one, age five, age 10,
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:47:35.580
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
so it's not just the infant mortality.
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:47:37.940
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
And I have 50 more graphs in the book
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:47:40.340
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
about all kinds of things.
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:47:42.620
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
Even spread of democracy,
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:47:46.120
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
which might bring up some sort of controversial issues,
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:47:48.340
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
it still has gone way up.
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:47:52.740
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
Well, that one has gone way up,
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:47:55.140
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
but that one is a bumpy road, right?
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:47:57.260
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
Exactly, and somebody might represent democracy
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:47:59.500
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
and go backwards, but we basically had no democracies
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:48:03.220
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
before the creation of the United States,
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:48:08.460
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
which was a little over two centuries ago,
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:48:10.980
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
which in the scale of human history isn't that long.
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:48:13.860
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
Do you think superintelligence systems will help
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:48:17.460
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
with democracy?
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:48:21.460
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
So what is democracy?
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:48:23.620
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
Democracy is giving a voice to the populace
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:48:25.020
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
and having their ideas, having their beliefs,
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:48:29.660
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
having their views represented.
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:48:33.700
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
Well, I hope so.
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:48:38.180
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
I mean, we've seen social networks
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:48:41.260
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
can spread conspiracy theories,
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:48:44.060
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
which have been quite negative,
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:48:49.180
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
being, for example, being against any kind of stuff
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:48:51.340
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
that would help your health.
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:48:55.500
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
So those kinds of ideas have,
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:48:58.340
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
on social media, what you notice is they increase
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:49:03.100
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
engagement, so dramatic division increases engagement.
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:49:06.540
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
Do you worry about AI systems that will learn
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:49:10.340
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
to maximize that division?
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:49:13.460
Ray Kurzweil: Singularity, Superintelligence, and Immortality | Lex Fridman Podcast #321
I mean, I do have some concerns about this,
https://karpathy.ai/lexicap/0321-large.html#00:49:17.020