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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
Okay, so my range has value.
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
So you look at, you know,
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
the actual hand you have secondarily.
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
So you say, okay, well, I could have this,
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
I could have this, I actually have this, right?
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
But I could have all these hands.
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
So my opponent, if he's thinking on a high level,
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
he knows I could have all these hands and I have this one.
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
So what do I do with this one, right, in the bigger scope
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
of things?
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
I guess I'm trying to understand if your betting
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
isn't a bet, preflop, your bet,
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
doesn't that narrow the hand ranges?
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
Doesn't matter what you have, it narrows the end.
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
Absolutely.
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
And if you bet big combined with the perception of you
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
at the table, doesn't that represent the hand range?
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
Uh huh, absolutely.
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
So like you can, with betting essentially control
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
what people estimate you to have.
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
Sure, so that makes it, so yeah, so that's true.
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
So for example, one of the most extreme examples is,
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
we have, there's spots where there's a bet
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
that's considered polarizing, right?
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
So let's say there's a thousand in the pot
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
and you bet 10,000, which is crazy big, right?
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
That's saying one of two things.
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
I either have the absolute best possible hand
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
or absolutely nothing,
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
because any of the hands in the middle,
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
I wouldn't do that with.
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
So I'm essentially telling you when I bet that,
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
I'm like, I either got it or I got,
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
I don't have a mediocre hand,
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
like just a pair of nines or a pair of tens.
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
I have a royal flush or have nine high.
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
So with my bet sizing,
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
I can control how my opponent is perceiving
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
what my range is gonna be.
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
So for example, similarly, if I bet small, right?
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
Well, that could be a lot of hands, right?
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
That could represent a big part of my range.
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
The bigger the bet, the more, the narrower the range.
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
Apparently the more polarized it is.
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
Yeah, how far could you get
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
without looking at your cards?
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
Do you think how well could you do?
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
It depends on who I'm playing with, right?
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
So if I was playing in a tournament
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
with mediocre or weak players,
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
I think I could probably do pretty well.
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
But even like world class.
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
World class, I don't think you'd have much of a chance,
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
really, I mean.
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
The question is trying to get at like,
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
how important is it that the actual hands you have
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
versus the hands you're representing?
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
Right, so that's the question of essentially,
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
if you're not looking at your hand preflop,
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
you're basically giving up a fundamental advantage, right?
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
Where you're gonna be playing way suboptimally
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
in terms of your hand selection, right?
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
Cause if you don't look at your hand,
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
you might have a two and a three.
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
That's not good, but now you're playing it.
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
So you've invested whatever, two, 3000 bucks
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
with absolute garbage,
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
and it's very difficult to climb that hill, right?
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
So it's much better to actually look at your cards
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
and go, okay, I'll throw away the two and three
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
and I'll play the ace king.
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
Speaking of garbage, you've said that 10, seven
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
is your favorite poker hand to play.
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
Is that still the case and what aspect of it
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
is that you enjoy?
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
Yeah, so it's one of those viewer discretion is advised.
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
Like 10, seven, I've just noticed throughout my life,
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
you know, it's a tendency thing that I've been lucky with it.
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
So that's just sort of,
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
but it's not like I'm gonna look at 10, seven and go,
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
oh, wow, you know, I'm gonna call it all in
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
or anything like that.
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
I'll play it in situations where it makes sense,
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
but you know, it's rare cause it's not a very good hand.
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
But is there some aspect of belief
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
in the magic of this hand manifests quality of play?
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
Or is that a little?
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
There should be.
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
So here's the thing, it's, you know,
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
poker players, some have said
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
it's unlucky to be superstitious,
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
but we're all a little bit superstitious, a little bit.
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
You know, and so I don't know,
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
maybe it is a case where when I have 10, seven,
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
I feel somehow energetically that, you know,
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
I'm more likely to catch something,
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
which may actually make me more apt to be aggressive
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
and confident in the hand.
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
But you really shouldn't let yourself do that.
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Daniel Negreanu: Poker | Lex Fridman Podcast #324
Like you're not supposed to fall in love
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