sample_id stringlengths 40 68 | wallet stringlengths 42 42 | market_id stringlengths 66 66 ⌀ | split stringclasses 1
value | system_prompt stringclasses 1
value | input_text stringlengths 215 15.3k | label_choice stringclasses 913
values | label_confidence float64 0 1 ⌀ | event_slug stringlengths 7 120 ⌀ | question stringlengths 8 164 ⌀ | stance_first_block int64 30.2M 80M ⌀ | stance_last_block int64 30.6M 80M ⌀ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17dcb304d4354bc244808b6ab0733e8067e279bf | 0x00ee3b6011fe1bf274ba09549effd20fcba01128 | 0x895db6c490b680de757832e7910a1b502b2a4fe90d0ddde15867a9473f9dd167 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the price of Solana be between $160 and $170 on October 29? | Event: solana-price-on-october-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the price of Solana be greater than $230 on October 29? | Event: solana-price-on-october-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will ... | yes | 1 | solana-price-on-november-1 | Will the price of Solana be less than $150 on November 1? | 78,479,651 | 78,479,651 |
b20ebe4d3d56afe00564096e9a70569a95633ca7 | 0x00ee3b6011fe1bf274ba09549effd20fcba01128 | 0xa1cf6c887a1c778aa43d05e8a866b343223a6ca82452ef958817518f6c408656 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the price of Solana be greater than $230 on October 29? | Event: solana-price-on-october-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,500 and $3,600 on October 29? | Event: ethereum-price-on-october-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Questio... | yes | 1 | solana-price-on-november-1 | Will the price of Solana be between $150 and $160 on November 1? | 78,479,651 | 78,479,651 |
484d6b714ae0302aa99c306f59c51a79a516833c | 0x00ee3b6011fe1bf274ba09549effd20fcba01128 | 0xb225a4cc678799e9ce5816d982c7bbadc7c701ca1ad568f6b7a49560aeee5507 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,500 and $3,600 on October 29? | Event: ethereum-price-on-october-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the price of Solana be between $210 and $220 on October 29? | Event: solana-price-on-october-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Que... | yes | 1 | xrp-price-on-november-1 | Will the price of XRP be less than $2.10 on November 1? | 78,479,651 | 78,479,651 |
ea9603cf7148361e14df45199190eeb367f0feb3 | 0x00ee3b6011fe1bf274ba09549effd20fcba01128 | 0x007085591fce742165446f0c005632c70d6acf6767fe04779acaf27ee316b078 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the price of Solana be between $210 and $220 on October 29? | Event: solana-price-on-october-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the price of Solana be between $220 and $230 on October 29? | Event: solana-price-on-october-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: W... | yes | 1 | ethereum-price-on-november-2 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,400 and $4,500 on November 2? | 78,535,370 | 78,535,370 |
6f25b5eb49b36f856bb37256001860042dac067f | 0x00ee3b6011fe1bf274ba09549effd20fcba01128 | 0x17ac6da534a2fa086399c368f62c3bda42f22c605ccdc9bb92fe9dda2c7453cc | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the price of Solana be between $220 and $230 on October 29? | Event: solana-price-on-october-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the price of XRP be greater than $2.90 on October 29? | Event: xrp-price-on-october-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the p... | yes | 1 | solana-price-on-november-2 | Will the price of Solana be greater than $240 on November 2? | 78,535,370 | 78,535,370 |
b87fcdd390c7018de0736a0317789e97f3962686 | 0x00ee3b6011fe1bf274ba09549effd20fcba01128 | 0x57e59111d3dfaa073bc50f8b6c9b94884422eba89200deded7d772f52c8f613a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the price of XRP be greater than $2.90 on October 29? | Event: xrp-price-on-october-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be less than $3,400 on October 29? | Event: ethereum-price-on-october-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the pr... | yes | 1 | solana-price-on-november-2 | Will the price of Solana be less than $150 on November 2? | 78,535,370 | 78,535,370 |
3e5300375fc40f475a612479f13491ca158aaa75 | 0x00ee3b6011fe1bf274ba09549effd20fcba01128 | 0x7ddb6ac8544d89574cb4c4244a3947a7d13f9abef41f373010b40a30e1993204 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be less than $3,400 on October 29? | Event: ethereum-price-on-october-29 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the price of XRP be between $2.20 and $2.30 on October 30? | Event: xrp-price-on-october-30 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will t... | yes | 1 | what-price-will-ethereum-hit-october-27-november-2 | Will Ethereum reach $4,800 October 27-November 2? | 78,535,370 | 78,535,370 |
10df9287fe388bf877aabbec951f9e2738685b9e | 0x00ee3b6011fe1bf274ba09549effd20fcba01128 | 0x5f361b9faecc3c85a4e4576e1ee2757b97fdef17427f0bca2e68137480e8dcfb | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the price of XRP be between $2.20 and $2.30 on October 30? | Event: xrp-price-on-october-30 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,200 and $4,300 on October 30? | Event: ethereum-price-on-october-30 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Questio... | yes | 1 | solana-price-on-november-2 | Will the price of Solana be between $230 and $240 on November 2? | 78,535,371 | 78,535,371 |
fba2fbfc91a0cf1811e4f5fe3041a36695c74f12 | 0x00ee3b6011fe1bf274ba09549effd20fcba01128 | 0x5f871f2255c9680ad0b63f036cc34ccefb00ca31c6e5b7f042e2ddcb868a63d9 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,200 and $4,300 on October 30? | Event: ethereum-price-on-october-30 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the price of Solana be between $160 and $170 on October 30? | Event: solana-price-on-october-30 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Que... | yes | 1 | xrp-price-on-november-2 | Will the price of XRP be between $3.00 and $3.10 on November 2? | 78,535,371 | 78,535,371 |
1ab84ef87e1f881df3d7c945810df893eb62082f | 0x00ee3b6011fe1bf274ba09549effd20fcba01128 | 0x8edd5e5743db1862648cbfb17bb77a4c9fc59ff02275081b030181fb7df7f8b2 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the price of Solana be between $160 and $170 on October 30? | Event: solana-price-on-october-30 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,400 and $3,500 on October 30? | Event: ethereum-price-on-october-30 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Que... | yes | 1 | solana-price-on-november-2 | Will the price of Solana be between $150 and $160 on November 2? | 78,535,371 | 78,535,371 |
254fc9923e31c70dd208b08430db66488e390ea4 | 0x00ee3b6011fe1bf274ba09549effd20fcba01128 | 0xb27845903f94b15416a62d40747e877f521388c07e39d759fb4d2d06a27355e1 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,400 and $3,500 on October 30? | Event: ethereum-price-on-october-30 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the price of XRP be between $2.10 and $2.20 on October 30? | Event: xrp-price-on-october-30 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Questio... | yes | 1 | xrp-price-on-november-2 | Will the price of XRP be greater than $3.10 on November 2? | 78,535,371 | 78,535,371 |
e8f8570b580273bd1b576c27e34277cb957dc1fe | 0x00ee3b6011fe1bf274ba09549effd20fcba01128 | 0xf1208447246873be91336cbadae07b6968a0b20e6ffa70278f16b6871eeacbb6 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the price of XRP be between $2.10 and $2.20 on October 30? | Event: xrp-price-on-october-30 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be less than $3,400 on October 30? | Event: ethereum-price-on-october-30 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will t... | yes | 1 | xrp-price-on-november-2 | Will the price of XRP be less than $2.20 on November 2? | 78,535,372 | 78,535,372 |
2359ea3b75cd161da3c1a18529fecba7b5898c7f | 0x00ee3b6011fe1bf274ba09549effd20fcba01128 | 0x1009d5d05c2db2d67ed6069296a6e3940add8973499f69ae1be90e8031767cb0 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be less than $3,400 on October 30? | Event: ethereum-price-on-october-30 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the price of Solana be greater than $230 on October 31? | Event: solana-price-on-october-31 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will t... | yes | 1 | solana-price-on-november-3 | Will the price of Solana be between $230 and $240 on November 3? | 78,598,504 | 78,598,504 |
81c62d5434823fb444596d33b742349d624baa43 | 0x00ee3b6011fe1bf274ba09549effd20fcba01128 | 0x45264519f91fc0c51f9861434200979b96add3dea12a21f216af8105aea800b6 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the price of Solana be greater than $230 on October 31? | Event: solana-price-on-october-31 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the price of Solana be between $220 and $230 on October 31? | Event: solana-price-on-october-31 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will ... | yes | 1 | solana-price-on-november-4 | Will the price of Solana be between $230 and $240 on November 4? | 78,598,504 | 78,598,504 |
f9153dfe744cfeb2e259cb789b1f6e7973496e2e | 0x00ee3b6011fe1bf274ba09549effd20fcba01128 | 0x46661e7770044539610cd5a346f94566e1ada6c008b96807264bb5c230f4d1cf | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the price of Solana be between $220 and $230 on October 31? | Event: solana-price-on-october-31 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the price of XRP be between $2.00 and $2.10 on October 31? | Event: xrp-price-on-october-31 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will ... | yes | 1 | solana-price-on-november-3 | Will the price of Solana be greater than $250 on November 3? | 78,598,504 | 78,598,504 |
9fe138fe848faa9b6bda2da95e3566be32079ea4 | 0x00ee3b6011fe1bf274ba09549effd20fcba01128 | 0x4b71fad7cf64da064f99a91cb6438ea4f445c36a1b7ee3fc1c47725c0adb8fe1 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the price of XRP be between $2.00 and $2.10 on October 31? | Event: xrp-price-on-october-31 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,500 and $3,600 on October 31? | Event: ethereum-price-on-october-31 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Questio... | yes | 1 | xrp-price-on-november-4 | Will the price of XRP be between $3.00 and $3.10 on November 4? | 78,598,504 | 78,598,504 |
11b191c291052d298e61a87acdd90cf1b96b9d05 | 0x00ee3b6011fe1bf274ba09549effd20fcba01128 | 0x65b4e6a24f3aec3084494fde9557843e8ceb8831606bc63a25268627c09a0830 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,500 and $3,600 on October 31? | Event: ethereum-price-on-october-31 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on October 31? | Event: solana-price-on-october-31 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Que... | yes | 1 | solana-price-on-november-3 | Will the price of Solana be between $240 and $250 on November 3? | 78,598,504 | 78,598,504 |
3cb2ed251dbaa161ca12e258967b61e5d2e7349d | 0x00ee3b6011fe1bf274ba09549effd20fcba01128 | 0x908d962abbf4c35cdd9ec3357c534d3b88dcd974a908332932635ac5459bd88d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on October 31? | Event: solana-price-on-october-31 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,400 and $3,500 on October 31? | Event: ethereum-price-on-october-31 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Que... | no | 1 | solana-price-on-november-3 | Will the price of Solana be between $160 and $170 on November 3? | 78,598,504 | 78,598,504 |
8b23c53272c6cd3ec4a596db3e79937ad1a77381 | 0x00ee3b6011fe1bf274ba09549effd20fcba01128 | 0x17c1002ac220ecf0bf072299e04bbbebefa14d98ae411131208766f023969e45 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,400 and $3,500 on October 31? | Event: ethereum-price-on-october-31 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be less than $3,400 on October 31? | Event: ethereum-price-on-october-31 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Ques... | yes | 1 | ethereum-price-on-november-3 | Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $4,600 on November 3? | 78,598,505 | 78,598,505 |
7183cdb9f5c06812f0d00e18befb20e8035e0071 | 0x00ee3b6011fe1bf274ba09549effd20fcba01128 | 0x48c73e4a0be2b03aa343da7dd6ce143c61f593073757080e8522aca9d956d08a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be less than $3,400 on October 31? | Event: ethereum-price-on-october-31 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the price of Solana be between $150 and $160 on October 31? | Event: solana-price-on-october-31 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Wi... | no | 1 | xrp-price-on-november-4 | Will the price of XRP be between $2.20 and $2.30 on November 4? | 78,598,505 | 78,598,505 |
f5338595a7cae01551f9c837367eadb12e7d0bf5 | 0x00ee3b6011fe1bf274ba09549effd20fcba01128 | 0x7224413a2c4218e8ac87505617e8876ae1072b190f9291e9b3719122855536ab | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the price of Solana be between $150 and $160 on October 31? | Event: solana-price-on-october-31 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the price of Solana be less than $140 on October 31? | Event: solana-price-on-october-31 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the... | yes | 1 | xrp-price-on-november-4 | Will the price of XRP be between $2.90 and $3.00 on November 4? | 78,598,505 | 78,598,505 |
9a2079230c57d01f6bf794f0836386a17f9e2b18 | 0x00ee3b6011fe1bf274ba09549effd20fcba01128 | 0xb16a52484b8db2eceae46acd1e99ce96e2734f590badac9f8cef2c4240121fe8 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the price of Solana be less than $140 on October 31? | Event: solana-price-on-october-31 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the price of XRP be less than $2.00 on October 31? | Event: xrp-price-on-october-31 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Solana reach $3... | yes | 1 | xrp-price-on-november-3 | Will the price of XRP be between $2.90 and $3.00 on November 3? | 78,598,505 | 78,598,505 |
3461cecc1dcced9f57c99e782bd8f9431165f460 | 0x00ee3b6011fe1bf274ba09549effd20fcba01128 | 0xfe7cff65188e5d3a9c54d32e19d3f4b5da0b8c079615add6148d372abdb14e31 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the price of XRP be less than $2.00 on October 31? | Event: xrp-price-on-october-31 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Solana reach $350 in October? | Event: what-price-will-solana-hit-in-october-452 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Ethereum reach $6000 in... | yes | 1 | solana-price-on-november-3 | Will the price of Solana be between $220 and $230 on November 3? | 78,598,505 | 78,598,505 |
d7d07856ad74091260eddba20a4f5457a442d299 | 0x00ee3b6011fe1bf274ba09549effd20fcba01128 | 0x418cde4c2eab1b206febfe2cb1f7b90dc522c37488d3978edb22a29144c72115 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Solana reach $350 in October? | Event: what-price-will-solana-hit-in-october-452 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Ethereum reach $6000 in October? | Event: what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-october-167 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Solana dip to $120 in... | yes | 1 | solana-price-on-november-3 | Will the price of Solana be between $210 and $220 on November 3? | 78,598,506 | 78,598,506 |
002be3f689bef0fef655a03bb117eb8c50afa329 | 0x00ee3b6011fe1bf274ba09549effd20fcba01128 | 0x888bdbc131c68d6a4e5e07b9286207367221bdbbf946e9d9ed1016ed3ec14414 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Ethereum reach $6000 in October? | Event: what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-october-167 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Solana dip to $120 in October? | Event: what-price-will-solana-hit-in-october-452 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Ethereum dip to $300... | yes | 1 | ethereum-price-on-november-3 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,300 and $4,400 on November 3? | 78,598,506 | 78,598,506 |
1f5cb601929b836556d4cc3518c8cd10e65fbae9 | 0x00ee3b6011fe1bf274ba09549effd20fcba01128 | 0xabf1868c0602a16d383a57836e25aa1482eaf692e99993cb2ec1d1c8a2e650c1 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Solana dip to $120 in October? | Event: what-price-will-solana-hit-in-october-452 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in October? | Event: what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-october-167 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Ethereum dip to $20... | yes | 1 | xrp-price-on-november-3 | Will the price of XRP be between $3.00 and $3.10 on November 3? | 78,598,506 | 78,598,506 |
3de63ae2770a13e4150656ccf9f582b4afaae648 | 0x00ee3b6011fe1bf274ba09549effd20fcba01128 | 0xc38bd90c4b98e6f71eb0a61013dbae2698d445b1ebe29fa00045e1353f9f5764 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in October? | Event: what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-october-167 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in October? | Event: what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-october-167 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Ethereum dip t... | yes | 1 | ethereum-price-on-november-3 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,400 and $4,500 on November 3? | 78,598,506 | 78,598,506 |
317e524a6c2d878d77c44af062b624d1ac504cb8 | 0x00ee3b6011fe1bf274ba09549effd20fcba01128 | 0xf7e78e1b678568a3122f9725276f45629bb0d56fb29f1b5d614571f6af833dab | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in October? | Event: what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-october-167 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in October? | Event: what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-october-167 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will XRP reach $4.5... | yes | 1 | ethereum-price-on-november-4 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,300 and $4,400 on November 4? | 78,598,506 | 78,598,506 |
d18c09314b63a5cc9f1bb9d1aa5ab47b63d5a8dc | 0x00ee3b6011fe1bf274ba09549effd20fcba01128 | 0xf5c78f03158093de5a04b63680141d21ddb10d78321b8bd3ad9ad40a58cef60c | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in October? | Event: what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-october-167 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will XRP reach $4.50 in October? | Event: what-price-will-xrp-hit-in-october | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the price of Solana be less t... | yes | 1 | solana-price-on-november-4 | Will the price of Solana be greater than $240 on November 4? | 78,598,507 | 78,598,507 |
be81cc5b6cc8b087f839800e898e23217e318176 | 0x00ee3b6011fe1bf274ba09549effd20fcba01128 | 0x05446f5a508c22c2dda3534cee69d5e8c89f416c02b24973d8b0eb970f3821be | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will XRP reach $4.50 in October? | Event: what-price-will-xrp-hit-in-october | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the price of Solana be less than $150 on November 1? | Event: solana-price-on-november-1 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the price of Solana be betw... | yes | 1 | xrp-price-on-november-5 | Will the price of XRP be between $2.80 and $2.90 on November 5? | 78,641,247 | 78,641,247 |
6f5c26b436947344a54509b14e3e6089c0b53430 | 0x00ee3b6011fe1bf274ba09549effd20fcba01128 | 0x20cfd0c2706af57014b158d03779d6edda3c3b3ef9f35aaa0b81d5004f9f7eff | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the price of Solana be less than $150 on November 1? | Event: solana-price-on-november-1 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the price of Solana be between $150 and $160 on November 1? | Event: solana-price-on-november-1 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the... | yes | 1 | xrp-price-on-november-5 | Will the price of XRP be greater than $3.10 on November 5? | 78,641,247 | 78,641,247 |
b9381a129156f2bd4a63893fd7266867b50f8874 | 0x00ee3b6011fe1bf274ba09549effd20fcba01128 | 0x2d0e635cb8dcdff6f58e7110bead3863b28a1682c040e61c4a511c39a98814d7 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the price of Solana be between $150 and $160 on November 1? | Event: solana-price-on-november-1 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the price of XRP be less than $2.10 on November 1? | Event: xrp-price-on-november-1 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the pric... | yes | 1 | solana-price-on-november-5 | Will the price of Solana be greater than $240 on November 5? | 78,641,247 | 78,641,247 |
715f5ee285abba125cc3a651bb80b505ed495851 | 0x00ee3b6011fe1bf274ba09549effd20fcba01128 | 0x33a159a46a8531751074f21d7612a26809347ba912f0a299906d9e11979dc89a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the price of XRP be less than $2.10 on November 1? | Event: xrp-price-on-november-1 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,400 and $4,500 on November 2? | Event: ethereum-price-on-november-2 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will ... | yes | 1 | ethereum-price-on-november-5 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,200 and $4,300 on November 5? | 78,641,247 | 78,641,247 |
c5baefbbcdeb0d9b5770293e88e3f59bca0f1de2 | 0x00ee3b6011fe1bf274ba09549effd20fcba01128 | 0x3893f43c7b890a981543a0301a1e4e11e417871edd22be8791e1fa72a58dec5e | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,400 and $4,500 on November 2? | Event: ethereum-price-on-november-2 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the price of Solana be greater than $240 on November 2? | Event: solana-price-on-november-2 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Questio... | yes | 1 | solana-price-on-november-5 | Will the price of Solana be less than $150 on November 5? | 78,641,247 | 78,641,247 |
b19df67428aac124747f2423588cb17cdb1dcc1f | 0x00ee3b6011fe1bf274ba09549effd20fcba01128 | 0x3cf6e4ddd73a9261f471d217324ffb766f01a4a66a5458da6691d5bd0e5b708d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the price of Solana be greater than $240 on November 2? | Event: solana-price-on-november-2 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the price of Solana be less than $150 on November 2? | Event: solana-price-on-november-2 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Ethereu... | yes | 1 | solana-price-on-november-5 | Will the price of Solana be between $230 and $240 on November 5? | 78,641,247 | 78,641,247 |
c69f6c76e0b82e4b82d884d0e9469c8b2987aa3e | 0x00ee3b6011fe1bf274ba09549effd20fcba01128 | 0x434b5a499617779ad40fe52981db2dee6d6152677be99e845e8cabbeb214896c | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the price of Solana be less than $150 on November 2? | Event: solana-price-on-november-2 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Ethereum reach $4,800 October 27-November 2? | Event: what-price-will-ethereum-hit-october-27-november-2 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question:... | yes | 1 | ethereum-price-on-november-5 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,100 and $4,200 on November 5? | 78,641,247 | 78,641,247 |
c476275e234937bf03bda8cc2e5da914ff9aec75 | 0x00ee3b6011fe1bf274ba09549effd20fcba01128 | 0x54eed2c19b2bea6198de9e6edc1327225e9668aebf4e298ee10cbe50aac01099 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Ethereum reach $4,800 October 27-November 2? | Event: what-price-will-ethereum-hit-october-27-november-2 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the price of Solana be between $230 and $240 on November 2? | Event: solana-price-on-november-2 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Qu... | yes | 1 | xrp-price-on-november-5 | Will the price of XRP be between $2.90 and $3.00 on November 5? | 78,641,247 | 78,641,247 |
b7fef0d918c02f6f43d8eeeb1f0f3979a83ac83e | 0x00ee3b6011fe1bf274ba09549effd20fcba01128 | 0x76a08d036f6c84d47f265ea3f9ae5399076a1130763cad5bf630aac6a83c56be | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the price of Solana be between $230 and $240 on November 2? | Event: solana-price-on-november-2 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the price of XRP be between $3.00 and $3.10 on November 2? | Event: xrp-price-on-november-2 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will ... | yes | 1 | ethereum-price-on-november-5 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,300 and $4,400 on November 5? | 78,641,247 | 78,641,247 |
af462f2deaf74a8ae6f6d836bc0c798e0ed5dbe7 | 0x00ee3b6011fe1bf274ba09549effd20fcba01128 | 0x8c0c36053dd997c5705313555697731ad7244e586349deb7057d383c534207ae | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the price of XRP be between $3.00 and $3.10 on November 2? | Event: xrp-price-on-november-2 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the price of Solana be between $150 and $160 on November 2? | Event: solana-price-on-november-2 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will ... | yes | 1 | solana-price-on-november-5 | Will the price of Solana be between $220 and $230 on November 5? | 78,641,247 | 78,641,247 |
15e252bd68c2b91118960f48f52147bb6629d85f | 0x00ee3b6011fe1bf274ba09549effd20fcba01128 | 0x91c9d26a1c48836d4889fca4d95d10c3708200df8f1caf911433fec8f479e83b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the price of Solana be between $150 and $160 on November 2? | Event: solana-price-on-november-2 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the price of XRP be greater than $3.10 on November 2? | Event: xrp-price-on-november-2 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the p... | yes | 1 | solana-price-on-november-5 | Will the price of Solana be between $150 and $160 on November 5? | 78,641,247 | 78,641,247 |
97ff397d266f53417b8548b6d2e0b603bbffd251 | 0x00ee3b6011fe1bf274ba09549effd20fcba01128 | 0x06c68023792aef960390835dea46635947d24a033f623da56e33ca61442e64c4 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the price of XRP be greater than $3.10 on November 2? | Event: xrp-price-on-november-2 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the price of XRP be less than $2.20 on November 2? | Event: xrp-price-on-november-2 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the price of Sola... | yes | 1 | eth-perpswick-edgex-winner | Will Prodzy win the ETH Perpswick EdgeX trading competition? | 78,664,601 | 78,664,601 |
e60cf58db4e6fbc1ca46d41057346937bff3cb25 | 0x00ee3b6011fe1bf274ba09549effd20fcba01128 | 0x2b6ff4df9aac2d57bd2bbd9118b257cacf7666ed2fe0739f10781d73d1590bb7 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the price of XRP be less than $2.20 on November 2? | Event: xrp-price-on-november-2 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the price of Solana be between $230 and $240 on November 3? | Event: solana-price-on-november-3 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the pric... | yes | 1 | eth-perpswick-edgex-winner | Will artsch00lreject win the ETH Perpswick EdgeX trading competition? | 78,664,601 | 78,664,601 |
da52fc2870b4306a7ecf387c52f74ba4f52abad9 | 0x00ee3b6011fe1bf274ba09549effd20fcba01128 | 0x4ab9829f98a3d74500e171e036902424da835019b53226b1685034814c8b9afa | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the price of Solana be between $230 and $240 on November 3? | Event: solana-price-on-november-3 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the price of Solana be between $230 and $240 on November 4? | Event: solana-price-on-november-4 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: W... | yes | 1 | eth-perpswick-edgex-winner | Will Saurya win the ETH Perpswick EdgeX trading competition? | 78,664,601 | 78,664,601 |
20c2a3f00c7e035a976b39a692e31607808405ed | 0x00ee3b6011fe1bf274ba09549effd20fcba01128 | 0x4c36944f80a002d75a92f8a8a294ffe5e963611255db35e28ca8831d6167cba0 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the price of Solana be between $230 and $240 on November 4? | Event: solana-price-on-november-4 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the price of Solana be greater than $250 on November 3? | Event: solana-price-on-november-3 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will ... | yes | 1 | eth-perpswick-edgex-winner | Will sorryplato win the ETH Perpswick EdgeX trading competition? | 78,664,601 | 78,664,601 |
2f0edd68182be32bde089f61f1727782a2959694 | 0x00ee3b6011fe1bf274ba09549effd20fcba01128 | 0x62d3b926e67bda057967472e8804ae371ce2e36a1cd3aa0e370b7765c7aa349a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the price of Solana be greater than $250 on November 3? | Event: solana-price-on-november-3 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the price of XRP be between $3.00 and $3.10 on November 4? | Event: xrp-price-on-november-4 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the ... | yes | 1 | eth-perpswick-edgex-winner | Will Arnav win the ETH Perpswick EdgeX trading competition? | 78,664,601 | 78,664,601 |
32db62f57f2eb28408e7444a8ebce64f9435b488 | 0x00ee3b6011fe1bf274ba09549effd20fcba01128 | 0x747fca2a852c2d508e142274ea6fb9f69ed274a58e75ca961b3e9c4ec5f3b91b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the price of XRP be between $3.00 and $3.10 on November 4? | Event: xrp-price-on-november-4 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the price of Solana be between $240 and $250 on November 3? | Event: solana-price-on-november-3 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will ... | yes | 1 | eth-perpswick-edgex-winner | Will Billy Walsh win the ETH Perpswick EdgeX trading competition? | 78,664,601 | 78,664,601 |
de0d509e24f9a1c54912e99fcb757cb12ba563c0 | 0x00ee3b6011fe1bf274ba09549effd20fcba01128 | 0x9141a9942ba96f8648c994347b32b5a66fa56831200f38f1d670d1c62df273d8 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the price of Solana be between $240 and $250 on November 3? | Event: solana-price-on-november-3 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the price of Solana be between $160 and $170 on November 3? | Event: solana-price-on-november-3 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Wi... | yes | 1 | eth-perpswick-edgex-winner | Will Maxwell win the ETH Perpswick EdgeX trading competition? | 78,664,601 | 78,664,601 |
94c104268dd01ed914bfe4c7c9d1edb235929080 | 0x00ee3b6011fe1bf274ba09549effd20fcba01128 | 0x92a8a0e0a3abf4d7b3f565fb7a7abee436203d8c5abc420aa1e7696191e8dfac | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the price of Solana be between $160 and $170 on November 3? | Event: solana-price-on-november-3 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $4,600 on November 3? | Event: ethereum-price-on-november-3 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: ... | yes | 1 | eth-perpswick-edgex-winner | Will Jingtao win the ETH Perpswick EdgeX trading competition? | 78,664,601 | 78,664,601 |
4e77818781d367143a3016c4676c2afb09d9cbbf | 0x00ee3b6011fe1bf274ba09549effd20fcba01128 | 0xc1af46f367ef9595dd758e3d060758f26230a6569adca9b1a1ade9a1ac4a9201 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $4,600 on November 3? | Event: ethereum-price-on-november-3 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the price of XRP be between $2.20 and $2.30 on November 4? | Event: xrp-price-on-november-4 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will... | yes | 1 | eth-perpswick-edgex-winner | Will Charco win the ETH Perpswick EdgeX trading competition? | 78,664,601 | 78,664,601 |
12c3146e8978f7153c70372764edc05824bc2b6b | 0x00ee3b6011fe1bf274ba09549effd20fcba01128 | 0xc8803d4fb2faa5d59a48f481738af3d029b754cfb72a5d8fe2d8999fd42bec27 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the price of XRP be between $2.20 and $2.30 on November 4? | Event: xrp-price-on-november-4 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the price of XRP be between $2.90 and $3.00 on November 4? | Event: xrp-price-on-november-4 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the p... | yes | 1 | eth-perpswick-edgex-winner | Will Jim win the ETH Perpswick EdgeX trading competition? | 78,664,601 | 78,664,601 |
650a1021a3eb19024c7512c150cc817f65ea7d2c | 0x00ee3b6011fe1bf274ba09549effd20fcba01128 | 0x1dea62545af49574ca6b03b8a8fbec5afd9a08c041ef64b1035183c35e6a95bd | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the price of XRP be between $2.90 and $3.00 on November 4? | Event: xrp-price-on-november-4 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the price of XRP be between $2.90 and $3.00 on November 3? | Event: xrp-price-on-november-3 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the ... | yes | 1 | solana-price-on-november-6 | Will the price of Solana be between $200 and $210 on November 6? | 78,684,547 | 78,684,547 |
3d38a5f5d7b4d4a1080fb38a60f01f8af73a18c2 | 0x00ee3b6011fe1bf274ba09549effd20fcba01128 | 0x29ba81c732b810c08d98b8a4dac0521268a1d3a13e924d4a6cb51e91ffbfc083 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the price of XRP be between $2.90 and $3.00 on November 3? | Event: xrp-price-on-november-3 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the price of Solana be between $220 and $230 on November 3? | Event: solana-price-on-november-3 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will ... | yes | 1 | solana-price-on-november-6 | Will the price of Solana be between $220 and $230 on November 6? | 78,684,547 | 78,684,547 |
fe2075cf509c597d93640814d1f1a37afc37fb0c | 0x00ee3b6011fe1bf274ba09549effd20fcba01128 | 0x524df9e0a45e41e06aa1acb331edbf45706e08d8a19061f76409699bc2971806 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the price of Solana be between $220 and $230 on November 3? | Event: solana-price-on-november-3 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the price of Solana be between $210 and $220 on November 3? | Event: solana-price-on-november-3 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: W... | yes | 1 | solana-price-on-november-6 | Will the price of Solana be greater than $230 on November 6? | 78,684,547 | 78,684,547 |
1cbbdbe27b919b7d076396f9eb60976c1ca2ac27 | 0x00ee3b6011fe1bf274ba09549effd20fcba01128 | 0x906ceab9baefa931ad80227f45f12eedbe3dfc37f76e69cfa8072582087f208b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the price of Solana be between $210 and $220 on November 3? | Event: solana-price-on-november-3 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,300 and $4,400 on November 3? | Event: ethereum-price-on-november-3 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Que... | yes | 1 | solana-price-on-november-6 | Will the price of Solana be between $210 and $220 on November 6? | 78,684,547 | 78,684,547 |
c3232f95f82961f3b95e09d4918a15e8f9a8713d | 0x00ee3b6011fe1bf274ba09549effd20fcba01128 | 0x002fbb4aad6636d54a096bc862e665e9708257060222db7ada5628a63d32e965 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,300 and $4,400 on November 3? | Event: ethereum-price-on-november-3 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the price of XRP be between $3.00 and $3.10 on November 3? | Event: xrp-price-on-november-3 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Questio... | yes | 1 | solana-price-on-november-7 | Will the price of Solana be between $220 and $230 on November 7? | 78,729,163 | 78,729,163 |
d607ebd8cfde7aa1f4271e13a0cd124ce9b2d30c | 0x00ee3b6011fe1bf274ba09549effd20fcba01128 | 0x06cc70f589f779598d0bf9cad0a17ed5f726dddeb8ff554f41d5356a06f94fac | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the price of XRP be between $3.00 and $3.10 on November 3? | Event: xrp-price-on-november-3 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,400 and $4,500 on November 3? | Event: ethereum-price-on-november-3 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Questio... | yes | 1 | solana-price-on-november-7 | Will the price of Solana be between $200 and $210 on November 7? | 78,729,163 | 78,729,163 |
63b0c9b99897febd09d6ecf3899533591095af39 | 0x00ee3b6011fe1bf274ba09549effd20fcba01128 | 0x5ff6cf1d010567a9b5b4dc3ba2585dd0ab22aee3accc0382dfaa657c3cc676f5 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,400 and $4,500 on November 3? | Event: ethereum-price-on-november-3 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,300 and $4,400 on November 4? | Event: ethereum-price-on-november-4 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.... | yes | 1 | ethereum-price-on-november-7 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,200 and $4,300 on November 7? | 78,729,163 | 78,729,163 |
532dd80048f7924810ec387c6eb690bc658c3a28 | 0x00ee3b6011fe1bf274ba09549effd20fcba01128 | 0x76108917dc413f04be48c84d0ec3c93d3adc526c45cb5041b6f34c35dce3265e | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,300 and $4,400 on November 4? | Event: ethereum-price-on-november-4 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the price of Solana be greater than $240 on November 4? | Event: solana-price-on-november-4 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Questio... | yes | 1 | ethereum-price-on-november-7 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,000 and $4,100 on November 7? | 78,729,163 | 78,729,163 |
61de3685a4d2f16d5e23313a0142a3cbb411df5c | 0x00ee3b6011fe1bf274ba09549effd20fcba01128 | 0xc4fa78346e3025814fd724d31d8505db7efa463ec0e98ade37c1a79bfee8471e | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the price of Solana be greater than $240 on November 4? | Event: solana-price-on-november-4 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the price of XRP be between $2.80 and $2.90 on November 5? | Event: xrp-price-on-november-5 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the ... | yes | 1 | xrp-price-on-november-7 | Will the price of XRP be greater than $3.00 on November 7? | 78,729,163 | 78,729,163 |
51ee4c09ab119ff94351ee225e74c7df45cfc5df | 0x00ee3b6011fe1bf274ba09549effd20fcba01128 | 0xdcb888cc2e5428ecfc0a7a1c685fff6d82c4de73848af6a16c533c052062c7bc | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the price of XRP be between $2.80 and $2.90 on November 5? | Event: xrp-price-on-november-5 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the price of XRP be greater than $3.10 on November 5? | Event: xrp-price-on-november-5 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the price... | yes | 1 | solana-price-on-november-7 | Will the price of Solana be between $210 and $220 on November 7? | 78,729,163 | 78,729,163 |
9d6e8a3c636f9a72b2fafc8cc69e9404f6d602ea | 0x00ee3b6011fe1bf274ba09549effd20fcba01128 | 0x6c0ec4fea3ff680e3a119cfb865737907e2957b7e8cac70ec71d501cccf0ae27 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the price of XRP be greater than $3.10 on November 5? | Event: xrp-price-on-november-5 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the price of Solana be greater than $240 on November 5? | Event: solana-price-on-november-5 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the price... | no | 1 | of-views-of-next-stokes-twins-video-on-week-1-971 | Will Stokes Twins' next video get between 12–14 million views on week 1? | 78,729,164 | 78,729,164 |
63bd932664475754c3a0f4a9b0d30cab5116cd13 | 0x00ee3b6011fe1bf274ba09549effd20fcba01128 | 0x763f0e131328c6bf868f420f1109082528770f639083da56d68111d0a463a3f0 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the price of Solana be greater than $240 on November 5? | Event: solana-price-on-november-5 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,200 and $4,300 on November 5? | Event: ethereum-price-on-november-5 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Questio... | yes | 1 | solana-price-on-november-7 | Will the price of Solana be greater than $230 on November 7? | 78,729,164 | 78,729,164 |
95b0739774d01794c881a64431a631c57b853b8f | 0x00ee3b6011fe1bf274ba09549effd20fcba01128 | 0x87c239f53c941a751e4bcb43483f1f1ac387909968080e26be9283de0b208e9d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,200 and $4,300 on November 5? | Event: ethereum-price-on-november-5 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the price of Solana be less than $150 on November 5? | Event: solana-price-on-november-5 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: ... | yes | 1 | of-views-of-next-stokes-twins-video-on-week-1-971 | Will Stokes Twins' next video get between 14–16 million views on week 1? | 78,729,164 | 78,729,164 |
e435feee7033ca8727629c37f93cb46c310b2dde | 0x00ee3b6011fe1bf274ba09549effd20fcba01128 | 0xdb2c1a4d875cfec2cb33ecf830cc2e28368f1df945fb17dd5d7c41cf49623a7a | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the price of Solana be less than $150 on November 5? | Event: solana-price-on-november-5 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the price of Solana be between $230 and $240 on November 5? | Event: solana-price-on-november-5 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will the... | yes | 1 | of-views-of-next-stokes-twins-video-on-week-1-971 | Will Stokes Twins' next video get 20 million or more views on week 1? | 78,729,164 | 78,729,164 |
2a5700cec570f2a9089000d1e4349623ba88cae0 | 0x00ee3b6011fe1bf274ba09549effd20fcba01128 | 0x3a29666a411808fc5e662b6c2167262cf9c3571a08f51f6182a5c45172be5540 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the price of Solana be between $230 and $240 on November 5? | Event: solana-price-on-november-5 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,100 and $4,200 on November 5? | Event: ethereum-price-on-november-5 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Que... | yes | 1 | of-views-of-next-stokes-twins-video-on-week-1-971 | Will Stokes Twins' next video get between 18–20 million views on week 1? | 78,729,165 | 78,729,165 |
cedcee24bfd267b0e1855d53564a666f8f116af6 | 0x00ee3b6011fe1bf274ba09549effd20fcba01128 | 0x77befc673ad5ace4722196459099f1ce6e6bea4eb15d94265c7492a22ea55d58 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,100 and $4,200 on November 5? | Event: ethereum-price-on-november-5 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the price of XRP be between $2.90 and $3.00 on November 5? | Event: xrp-price-on-november-5 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Questio... | yes | 1 | xrp-price-on-november-7 | Will the price of XRP be between $2.80 and $2.90 on November 7? | 78,729,165 | 78,729,165 |
8dea0278650958ad89473a0eca09bbc9515251a3 | 0x00ee3b6011fe1bf274ba09549effd20fcba01128 | 0x43841253c0aa15476ef6d1e056d0eaf79cf612b094a222d88e13e25e9b498688 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the price of XRP be between $2.90 and $3.00 on November 5? | Event: xrp-price-on-november-5 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,300 and $4,400 on November 5? | Event: ethereum-price-on-november-5 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Questio... | yes | 1 | ethereum-price-on-november-8 | Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $4,300 on November 8? | 78,771,037 | 78,771,037 |
a0be7ac9218724607ce4db00da0cfa781408fdc5 | 0x00ee3b6011fe1bf274ba09549effd20fcba01128 | 0xbbb2da37440711044ebed287f401d8caf86185965238925474580a66fab963e3 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,300 and $4,400 on November 5? | Event: ethereum-price-on-november-5 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the price of Solana be between $220 and $230 on November 5? | Event: solana-price-on-november-5 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Que... | yes | 1 | ethereum-price-on-november-8 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,200 and $4,300 on November 8? | 78,771,037 | 78,771,037 |
1871906ad86c4326501e018b82250d75b910ebad | 0x00ee3b6011fe1bf274ba09549effd20fcba01128 | 0xc677b839273942287d8e59262266d81f2affe7088140ce87f49a3681566d7975 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the price of Solana be between $220 and $230 on November 5? | Event: solana-price-on-november-5 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will the price of Solana be between $150 and $160 on November 5? | Event: solana-price-on-november-5 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: W... | yes | 1 | ethereum-price-on-november-8 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,100 and $4,200 on November 8? | 78,771,037 | 78,771,037 |
0ed806fb08017df58a55dfd43361417a02c64e6f | 0x00ee3b6011fe1bf274ba09549effd20fcba01128 | 0xd5715687319a31b4850d6fc656fc295fde38d15d481893ed035a7dbcdb53ca55 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will the price of Solana be between $150 and $160 on November 5? | Event: solana-price-on-november-5 | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Prodzy win the ETH Perpswick EdgeX trading competition? | Event: eth-perpswick-edgex-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will ... | yes | 1 | ethereum-price-on-november-8 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,900 and $4,000 on November 8? | 78,771,037 | 78,771,037 |
5a06eff38246b439cb3b65da637e9f3dc1504740 | 0x00ee3b6011fe1bf274ba09549effd20fcba01128 | 0xe93feb6a36656d423a34823c40b9a2749f42a03fdc414af9c2e5d6e99daee360 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Prodzy win the ETH Perpswick EdgeX trading competition? | Event: eth-perpswick-edgex-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will artsch00lreject win the ETH Perpswick EdgeX trading competition? | Event: eth-perpswick-edgex-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: ... | yes | 1 | ethereum-price-on-november-8 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,000 and $4,100 on November 8? | 78,771,037 | 78,771,037 |
d5d6e7c81572951802fde7fb96c97c854272c5d0 | 0x00ee3b6011fe1bf274ba09549effd20fcba01128 | 0x0d9a47f071a878c7e6d7e75064687a527337fddb87b0761b4847cf9c3e33c92b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will artsch00lreject win the ETH Perpswick EdgeX trading competition? | Event: eth-perpswick-edgex-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Saurya win the ETH Perpswick EdgeX trading competition? | Event: eth-perpswick-edgex-winner | Choice: yes | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: ... | yes | 1 | grammys-record-of-the-year-winner | Will DAISIES (Justin Bieber) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | 78,789,372 | 78,789,372 |
7559f4aa643369255ab81b3d89a9196d58be9c95 | 0x00f7cd432b127dab1bffd6d54701f4eb88b64476 | 0xd402db702b5277ec47c30f78cb3d77179f400a462b01bcfd833106fe6df6eba6 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
None
Target market:
Question: Will Aston Villa win on 2025-08-16?
Event: epl-ast-new-2025-08-16
Predict the user's choice and confidence for the target market. Output strict JSON: {"choice": ..., "confidence": ..., "rationale": ...} | no | 1 | epl-ast-new-2025-08-16 | Will Aston Villa win on 2025-08-16? | 75,312,508 | 75,312,508 |
fb4f9a903dd5d19542f8428f00e8fcb08ce9e5d3 | 0x00f7cd432b127dab1bffd6d54701f4eb88b64476 | 0xe4b7840f9beb46006c20cba1bf160a567b1fc8fbac289ae84bc12868e7cf03e1 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Aston Villa win on 2025-08-16? | Event: epl-ast-new-2025-08-16 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
Target market:
Question: Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-30?
Event: epl-lee-new-2025-08-30
Predict the user's choice and confidence for the target market. Output strict JSON: {"choice": ..., "co... | no | 1 | epl-lee-new-2025-08-30 | Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-30? | 75,873,182 | 75,873,182 |
42354287268d10635403a827d746ae7f1fcda1d5 | 0x00f7cd432b127dab1bffd6d54701f4eb88b64476 | 0xd718de81e5917d06abf76056b49d517179fa58ca64ffb312c067680caddc07ef | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Aston Villa win on 2025-08-16? | Event: epl-ast-new-2025-08-16 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-lee-new-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
Target market:
Question: Will Tottenham win on 2025-08-30?
Event: epl-tot-bou-2025-... | no | 1 | epl-tot-bou-2025-08-30 | Will Tottenham win on 2025-08-30? | 75,873,217 | 75,873,217 |
8095438846851dd1463e11a0931e32ee5b78d85b | 0x00f7cd432b127dab1bffd6d54701f4eb88b64476 | 0x488b0e6289dae794d6d4faeeb51dc326a3cbf5f3651b8bda0a105085aac49b74 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Aston Villa win on 2025-08-16? | Event: epl-ast-new-2025-08-16 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-lee-new-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Tottenham win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-tot-bou-2025-08-30 | Cho... | no | 1 | epl-liv-ars-2025-08-31 | Will Arsenal win on 2025-08-31? | 75,894,509 | 75,894,509 |
1c31be7eef7e54e0d902b9bfec421e2b2dff14e5 | 0x00f7cd432b127dab1bffd6d54701f4eb88b64476 | 0x5deedb351655fcc87c4d493d6673f914a9b0e650a4d1582bf49d4fa82b9827c1 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Aston Villa win on 2025-08-16? | Event: epl-ast-new-2025-08-16 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-lee-new-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Tottenham win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-tot-bou-2025-08-30 | Cho... | yes | 0.090909 | sea-gen-juv-2025-08-31 | Will Juventus win on 2025-08-31? | 75,910,490 | 75,910,490 |
2b53eb6948dea8eedb37a3d3f6804cd881de8964 | 0x00f7cd432b127dab1bffd6d54701f4eb88b64476 | 0xdad2a1e16cc1529669fb59b7bc010e6b07abe39fa6b768979ecb5552380db2a1 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Aston Villa win on 2025-08-16? | Event: epl-ast-new-2025-08-16 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-lee-new-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Tottenham win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-tot-bou-2025-08-30 | Cho... | no | 1 | fl1-ang-ren-2025-08-31 | Will Angers SCO vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901 end in a draw? | 75,931,145 | 75,931,145 |
537cb8e81f7b545993c558ecc0258567dbcd34ca | 0x00f7cd432b127dab1bffd6d54701f4eb88b64476 | 0x4a7e8db41ab754c34142c80298cbfec8ac1762ecfc0ee94d9c7c710fc3440a7b | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Aston Villa win on 2025-08-16? | Event: epl-ast-new-2025-08-16 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-lee-new-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Tottenham win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-tot-bou-2025-08-30 | Cho... | no | 1 | uef-kvx-swe-2025-09-08 | Will Sweden win on 2025-09-08? | 76,236,258 | 76,236,258 |
4d34ab2e535dd6414cc5173d2c4dda194512fc0b | 0x00f7cd432b127dab1bffd6d54701f4eb88b64476 | 0x558dca5c24305e70ac2d38633bef32abee9613f204d45482f17547ad9f8999a8 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Aston Villa win on 2025-08-16? | Event: epl-ast-new-2025-08-16 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-lee-new-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Tottenham win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-tot-bou-2025-08-30 | Cho... | yes | 1 | uef-kvx-swe-2025-09-08 | Will Kosovo win on 2025-09-08? | 76,236,258 | 76,236,258 |
62f93b9b64d3d2e35872c100ee58134060396c76 | 0x00f7cd432b127dab1bffd6d54701f4eb88b64476 | 0x49bcb50cd9eb9a6dd0f042f179124d3c2d7530bfe78ce55919c26b15f5521e49 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Aston Villa win on 2025-08-16? | Event: epl-ast-new-2025-08-16 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-lee-new-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Tottenham win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-tot-bou-2025-08-30 | Cho... | no | 1 | uef-cyp-rom-2025-09-09 | Will Romania win on 2025-09-09? | 76,277,576 | 76,277,576 |
d49dcae4ab94991d721be83ab8dfab0ea6e81b55 | 0x00f7cd432b127dab1bffd6d54701f4eb88b64476 | 0x57a1ab5c4f8ed252fd63738d083fad54318d8d9c6b6c8ef4c293737cc9fec2dc | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Aston Villa win on 2025-08-16? | Event: epl-ast-new-2025-08-16 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-lee-new-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Tottenham win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-tot-bou-2025-08-30 | Cho... | no | 1 | uef-cyp-rom-2025-09-09 | Will Cyprus win on 2025-09-09? | 76,277,576 | 76,277,576 |
ab5742c70abf1fa65d9f7c77bb081343dcf193bd | 0x00f7cd432b127dab1bffd6d54701f4eb88b64476 | 0x7d0add682040384ebac0377ebb75a7bdf059c42707f9845d3847b2fb77d61f02 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Aston Villa win on 2025-08-16? | Event: epl-ast-new-2025-08-16 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-lee-new-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Tottenham win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-tot-bou-2025-08-30 | Cho... | no | 1 | uef-arm-ire-2025-09-09 | Will Republic of Ireland win on 2025-09-09? | 76,277,576 | 76,277,576 |
e5ac208233d98879ad25db59a301c4f5b55e058d | 0x00f7cd432b127dab1bffd6d54701f4eb88b64476 | 0x0e713da86bc51b0cc2ac5b2a77055974dc479b11bb44019c594df35a62b77116 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Aston Villa win on 2025-08-16? | Event: epl-ast-new-2025-08-16 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-lee-new-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Tottenham win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-tot-bou-2025-08-30 | Cho... | no | 1 | bun-b04-ein-2025-09-12 | Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-09-12? | 76,387,405 | 76,387,405 |
dcf91f86ff5bce61dfca553b6a2154da3c3bd14a | 0x00f7cd432b127dab1bffd6d54701f4eb88b64476 | 0x870f846c6ff4da0bf7cd148a5b3244b0025e0aad3124c2a8a839a609d14dcddd | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Aston Villa win on 2025-08-16? | Event: epl-ast-new-2025-08-16 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-lee-new-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Tottenham win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-tot-bou-2025-08-30 | Cho... | no | 1 | epl-eve-ast-2025-09-13 | Will Everton win on 2025-09-13? | 76,428,879 | 76,428,879 |
811b21ab724404dc3ac136e834f1f36402cc4a20 | 0x00f7cd432b127dab1bffd6d54701f4eb88b64476 | 0xbbea43d52187e2c6d005454b4e8cad36b3c162b4c5b3c29dbec3d46493aacc73 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Aston Villa win on 2025-08-16? | Event: epl-ast-new-2025-08-16 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-lee-new-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Tottenham win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-tot-bou-2025-08-30 | Cho... | no | 1 | sea-juv-int-2025-09-13 | Will Inter win on 2025-09-13? | 76,428,879 | 76,428,879 |
0a49a744cfc90d03d63b2d95782832fa537a6041 | 0x00f7cd432b127dab1bffd6d54701f4eb88b64476 | 0x92c89c9e07f3df68388c6b58197f9157f504510d779036151ce23d8f0708f4e2 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Aston Villa win on 2025-08-16? | Event: epl-ast-new-2025-08-16 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-lee-new-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Tottenham win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-tot-bou-2025-08-30 | Cho... | no | 1 | boxing-canelo-vs-crawford-winning-method | Boxing: Will Canelo Álvarez win by KO/TKO? | 76,435,691 | 76,435,691 |
18e55d57d23eafeb51103a311196bdebd9305465 | 0x00f7cd432b127dab1bffd6d54701f4eb88b64476 | 0x315bc10cea2926ed706b38c329481c7c7cb341e8aff417019c736347734c5c8f | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Aston Villa win on 2025-08-16? | Event: epl-ast-new-2025-08-16 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-lee-new-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Tottenham win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-tot-bou-2025-08-30 | Cho... | yes | 1 | lal-bar-val-2025-09-14 | Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-14? | 76,468,835 | 76,468,835 |
bae3d09e2a09e4147ddffd390e8605a3d7e5b846 | 0x00f7cd432b127dab1bffd6d54701f4eb88b64476 | 0x967c1aa16a8bfa04ec32cb9cdb405ae771c3508d254f03d71b0576a01a24aff6 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Aston Villa win on 2025-08-16? | Event: epl-ast-new-2025-08-16 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-lee-new-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Tottenham win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-tot-bou-2025-08-30 | Cho... | no | 1 | bun-moe-wer-2025-09-14 | Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. Werder Bremen end in a draw? | 76,468,835 | 76,468,835 |
137c62d23f4e7ec008d3af86d222a1c13eff81ab | 0x00f7cd432b127dab1bffd6d54701f4eb88b64476 | 0x6b627c1a38a2ea5faebe74ad89857b14020ceb89ea9131978a216807be71c4b1 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Aston Villa win on 2025-08-16? | Event: epl-ast-new-2025-08-16 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-lee-new-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Tottenham win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-tot-bou-2025-08-30 | Cho... | no | 1 | sea-ver-cre-2025-09-15 | Will US Cremonese win on 2025-09-15? | 76,509,203 | 76,509,203 |
0dbbfc1db1cd1dda14f1f9a5f0be3bb0960b1563 | 0x00f7cd432b127dab1bffd6d54701f4eb88b64476 | 0x1d2154296dff7a0a9cf5dc9fa3b0340aa0ff2bd0391ae1f50c1ce1e1160c8cfb | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Aston Villa win on 2025-08-16? | Event: epl-ast-new-2025-08-16 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-lee-new-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Tottenham win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-tot-bou-2025-08-30 | Cho... | no | 1 | ucl-juv-dor-2025-09-16 | Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-09-16? | 76,555,717 | 76,555,717 |
bc2fdf6998654f00a68e5fb7c201a9349791f178 | 0x00f7cd432b127dab1bffd6d54701f4eb88b64476 | 0xf7024c6dabba3863f8cff51725a6f479bf0914c97d3ed9997a7dc5b733436087 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Aston Villa win on 2025-08-16? | Event: epl-ast-new-2025-08-16 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-lee-new-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Tottenham win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-tot-bou-2025-08-30 | Cho... | no | 1 | ucl-psv-gil-2025-09-16 | Will PSV Eindhoven win on 2025-09-16? | 76,555,717 | 76,555,717 |
d11099820f66da5f98574c28e3281100dca6f236 | 0x00f7cd432b127dab1bffd6d54701f4eb88b64476 | 0x02dc46f4354c1cc447577db82ba62cca1bda737bd67b73fe966ce1bfe580868f | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Aston Villa win on 2025-08-16? | Event: epl-ast-new-2025-08-16 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-lee-new-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Tottenham win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-tot-bou-2025-08-30 | Cho... | no | 1 | fed-decision-in-september | No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? | 76,590,115 | 76,590,115 |
b1d1335ff7731fbfc004dcd9af7405433529b076 | 0x00f7cd432b127dab1bffd6d54701f4eb88b64476 | 0xfd67cefaef51232de4c5ece6b272d09f2f964bba493db93dbaabc7955f66540d | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Aston Villa win on 2025-08-16? | Event: epl-ast-new-2025-08-16 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-lee-new-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Tottenham win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-tot-bou-2025-08-30 | Cho... | no | 1 | ucl-sla-bod-2025-09-17 | Will Slavia Praha win on 2025-09-17? | 76,590,115 | 76,590,115 |
d6b4f7d2862d83ab5f1aea91ee557c5da2d46cde | 0x00f7cd432b127dab1bffd6d54701f4eb88b64476 | 0x15115478a64fbe5910f338dd6fcfcf059f2164477f0dffc8d712fc0b12a99c7c | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Aston Villa win on 2025-08-16? | Event: epl-ast-new-2025-08-16 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-lee-new-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Tottenham win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-tot-bou-2025-08-30 | Cho... | no | 1 | ucl-kob-b04-2025-09-18 | Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-09-18? | 76,630,472 | 76,630,472 |
afdc1ddc85c5a8540092b9f1c287a34d806f468b | 0x00f7cd432b127dab1bffd6d54701f4eb88b64476 | 0x276aa7c9159fd6a5bbcde0400759974567da0b978c9be23136700535050f31cd | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Aston Villa win on 2025-08-16? | Event: epl-ast-new-2025-08-16 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-lee-new-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Tottenham win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-tot-bou-2025-08-30 | Cho... | no | 0 | fissure-playground-2 | Will The MongolZ win FISSURE Playground 2? | 76,754,338 | 76,754,338 |
76a5b10f3e1e04da9b886ffa05f02056989546db | 0x00f7cd432b127dab1bffd6d54701f4eb88b64476 | 0x6e18360e0afb0bfb025cfec81b6ec1e5ec8105ea50df36029d8b67d073506ed1 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Aston Villa win on 2025-08-16? | Event: epl-ast-new-2025-08-16 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-lee-new-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Tottenham win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-tot-bou-2025-08-30 | Cho... | yes | 1 | what-will-trump-say-at-charlie-kirk-memorial-event-on-september-21 | Will Trump say "Turning Point" at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21? | 76,754,338 | 76,754,338 |
b37011d9bbd7a007d247d1f86005486162cc0951 | 0x00f7cd432b127dab1bffd6d54701f4eb88b64476 | 0xfa7e21d3e3547d97d515b80d367541c9d84a90c01dd43b409cda4f1580a3814f | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Aston Villa win on 2025-08-16? | Event: epl-ast-new-2025-08-16 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-lee-new-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Tottenham win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-tot-bou-2025-08-30 | Cho... | yes | 1 | fissure-playground-2 | Will FURIA win FISSURE Playground 2? | 76,754,338 | 76,754,338 |
34419b6161f05aee0fa8da9c755523abdd7c8713 | 0x00f7cd432b127dab1bffd6d54701f4eb88b64476 | 0x8095b21ecc172779d0ed0c3aa0d24b90d866db0ea16fe94c536c769218086b3c | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Aston Villa win on 2025-08-16? | Event: epl-ast-new-2025-08-16 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-lee-new-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Tottenham win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-tot-bou-2025-08-30 | Cho... | no | 1 | fl1-olm-psg-2025-09-21 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-09-21? | 76,793,801 | 76,793,801 |
ae9bd260d2cce49c2986580543286c0d3a67da33 | 0x00f7cd432b127dab1bffd6d54701f4eb88b64476 | 0xa98c7e447317f51f6904b2c4d8c58a23207daf86e9d2ac4fc56e9c55df9dd738 | train | You are modeling a user's behavior in prediction markets. Given the user's prior behavior and a target market, predict the user's likely choice and confidence. Return strict JSON with keys: choice, confidence, rationale. | User history:
1. Question: Will Aston Villa win on 2025-08-16? | Event: epl-ast-new-2025-08-16 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
2. Question: Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-lee-new-2025-08-30 | Choice: no | Confidence: 1.0
3. Question: Will Tottenham win on 2025-08-30? | Event: epl-tot-bou-2025-08-30 | Cho... | paper rex | 1 | valorant-pandascore-fnatic-paper-rex-2025-09-28 | Valorant: Fnatic vs Paper Rex | 77,019,737 | 77,019,737 |
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