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21.4% of variability in Thalassia cover-density (R |
2 = 0.214) were explained by the |
models. When all variables were combined, the models fit the data better than the |
baseline regressions and show that for every increase in year (see Figure 8), there was a |
61 |
decrease in Syringodium (β = -0.083, p = 0.036; Table 13, Model 2C) and Thalassia |
cover-density (β = -0.062, p = 0.025; Table 13, Model 3C). Water depth (β = -0.003, p < |
0.001) remained the only significant predictor of Halodule cover-density, with the model |
only explaining 5.8% (R |
2 = 0.058, F = 2.777, p = 0.004) of variability. |
The comprehensive regression model investigating the combined effects of |
temporal, environmental and physical, and algae cover-density variables on seagrass |
cover-density, was the best model for each individual seagrass species (Table 13, Models |
2-4D). The model significantly explained (F = 9.432, p < 0.001) 23.3% (R |
2 = 0. 233) of |
variability in Syringodium density. Season, temperature, salinity, turbidity, and green and |
brown algae density were not significant predictors of Syringodium density (p > 0.05). |
The model predicted that Syringodium cover-density would increase with shallower water |
depth, lower calcareous algae cover-density, and higher red algae cover-density (p < |
0.01; Table 13, Model 2D). The model also showed that Syringodium cover-density |
decreased through the study period. In the model for Thalassia (F = 9.014, p < 0.001), |
22.5 % (R |
2 = 0. 225) of variability in cover-density was explained, with water depth as |
the only significant predictor. Thalassia cover-density tended to be higher in shallower |
water depth (β = -0.006, p < 0.001) (Table 13, Model 3D). Water depth and red algae |
cover-density were the only significant predictors in the Halodule cover-density model (F |
= 3.096, p < 0.001), which was only able to explain 9.1% (R |
2 = 0. 091) variability (Table |
13, Model 4D). Shallower water depth (β = -0.003, p < 0.001) and decreased red algae |
cover-density (β = -0.229, p = 0.002) predicted increased Halodule cover-density. |
62 |
Table 13. Models 2-4 A -D. Multiple Enter-wise Regression models for individual |
seagrass cover-densities and environmental and physical measurements. Syringodium, |
Thalassia, and Halodule seagrass cover-density measurements are in #/m2 |
. Water depth |
and sediment depth are measured in cm, temperature is measured in oC, salinity is |
measured in ‰, turbidity measured in NTU. is an unstandardized coefficient of |
regression, reported with standard error and significance, p-value. Conventional |
variables include year of sample (2005-2011), season (1 = spring, 2 = fall). A. Models |
evaluating seagrass cover-density for conventional variables (year*season). B. Models |
evaluating seagrass cover-density for environmental variables (depth, temp, salinity, etc.). |
C. Models evaluating seagrass cover-density adjusted for conventional and environmental |
variables. D. Models evaluating seagrass cover-density adjusted for conventional, |
environmental and habitat (algae) variables. *Significance = p < 0.05. |
Model Set 2A-D Model 2-A Model 2-B |
2005-2011 N SE p N SE p |
Syringodium |
Cover-Density |
Year 420 -0.052 0.035 0.140 |
Season 0.009 0.142 0.949 |
Water Depth 418 -0.005 0.001 <0.001 * |
Sediment Depth 0.002 0.001 0.006 * |
Turbidity -0.010 0.039 0.798 |
Surface |
Temperature -0.050 0.121 0.679 |
Bottom |
Temperature 0.043 0.121 0.720 |
Surface Salinity -0.006 0.034 0.854 |
Bottom Salinity -0.053 0.046 0.253 |
Model 2-C Model 2-D |
Year 418 -0.083 0.040 0.036 * Year 418 -0.113 0.038 0.003 * |
Season -0.306 0.271 0.260 Season -0.154 0.260 0.554 |
Water Depth -0.005 0.001 <0.001 * Water Depth -0.005 0.001 <0.001 * |
Sediment Depth 0.002 0.001 0.015 * Sediment Depth 0.001 0.001 0.112 |
Turbidity -0.054 0.045 0.233 Turbidity -0.026 0.043 0.543 |
Surface |
Temperature -0.079 0.123 0.521 |
Surface |
Temperature -0.105 0.118 0.371 |
Bottom |
Temperature 0.116 0.134 0.388 |
Bottom |
Temperature 0.227 0.130 0.080 |
Surface Salinity -0.003 0.034 0.928 Surface Salinity 0.002 0.032 0.955 |
Bottom Salinity -0.070 0.048 0.149 Bottom Salinity -0.072 0.046 0.120 |
Red Algae 0.629 0.101 <0.001 * |
Green Algae -0.257 0.180 0.153 |
Brown Algae 0.355 0.377 0.348 |
Calcareous Algae -0.433 0.146 0.003 * |
63 |
Model Set 3A-D Model 3-A Model 3-B |
2005-2011 N SE p N SE p |
Thalassia |
Cover-Density |
Year 420 -0.021 0.026 0.420 |
Season -0.088 0.102 0.390 |
Water Depth 418 -0.005 0.001 <0.001 * |
Sediment Depth 0.000 0.001 0.609 * |
Turbidity -0.008 0.027 0.773 |
Surface |
Temperature 0.119 0.084 0.157 |
Bottom |
Temperature -0.093 0.084 0.269 |
Surface Salinity 0.033 0.023 0.165 |
Bottom Salinity 0.001 0.032 0.986 |
Model 3-C Model 3-D |
Year 418 -0.062 0.027 0.025 * Year 418 -0.054 0.028 0.052 |
Season 0.184 0.188 0.329 Season 0.155 0.189 0.413 |
Water Depth -0.005 0.001 <0.001 * Water Depth -0.006 0.001 <0.001 * |
Sediment Depth 0.000 0.001 0.938 Sediment Depth 0.000 0.001 0.601 |
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