text stringlengths 12 11.8k | prediction float64 0 1 | source stringclasses 5
values |
|---|---|---|
What will be the share of global light vehicles sold which are zero-emission vehicles in the following years? (2024)
Keyword: 19.6
Percentage: 50%
Reframed Question: What is the chance that 19.6 share of global light vehicles sold will be zero-emission vehicles in the following years? (2024) According to the [Interna... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 29.2% of light vehicles sold in California in the following years will be zero-emission vehicles? The [Clean Air Act](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Clean_Air_Act_(United_States)ss) (CAA) is the broad name given to the United States' air quality laws, which are administered by the [Environmental ... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the median estimated range (in miles) of all-electric vehicles available for under 40 thousand dollars (in 2022 US dollars) for the following model year (2024) will be 244 miles? Automakers [have announced](https://www.caranddriver.com/news/g29994375/future-electric-cars-trucks/) significant inc... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 140k people will be employed in the electric vehicle industry in the United States in the following years? (2024) The [growth of electric vehicles](https://www.anl.gov/esia/light-duty-electric-drive-vehicles-monthly-sales-updates) may have significant effects on the US auto industry, including e... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
Before the first year in which GWP growth exceeds 30%, what is the chance that 6.90×1029 FLOP will be used in the largest ML training run? *Related Question on Metaculus:*
* [In particular this question asks, what will be the first year when world real GDP exceeds 130% of all prior years, as reported by a reputable or... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
Before the first year in which GWP growth exceeds 30%, what is the chance that 6.90×1029 FLOP will be used in the largest ML training run? *Related Question on Metaculus:*
* [In particular this question asks, what will be the first year when world real GDP exceeds 130% of all prior years, as reported by a reputable or... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 24.0 zero emission light vehicles will be available for under 40 thousand dollars (in 2022 US dollars) in the United States for the following model years? (2024) Automakers [have announced](https://www.caranddriver.com/news/g29994375/future-electric-cars-trucks/) significant increases in the num... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the annual average retail electricity price (in 2022 US cents per kWh) in the United States will be 11.16% in the year 2024? Electric vehicles (EVs) have seen recent [increases in market share](https://www.anl.gov/esia/light-duty-electric-drive-vehicles-monthly-sales-updates), calling into quest... | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the annual average retail electricity price (in 2022 US cents per kWh) in the United States will be 11.16% in the year 2024? Electric vehicles (EVs) have seen recent [increases in market share](https://www.anl.gov/esia/light-duty-electric-drive-vehicles-monthly-sales-updates), calling into quest... | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that annual CO2 emissions in the United States (in tonnes) will be 4.27B in 2035? *Related Questons on Metaculus:*
* [What will the atmospheric CO2 concentration be in 2030?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2563/what-will-the-atmospheric-co2-concentration-be-in-2030/)
* [What will the atmospheri... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 29.2% of light vehicles sold in California in the following years will be zero-emission vehicles? The [Clean Air Act](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Clean_Air_Act_(United_States)ss) (CAA) is the broad name given to the United States' air quality laws, which are administered by the [Environmental ... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the annual average retail electricity price (in 2022 US cents per kWh) in the United States will be 11.16% in the year 2024? Electric vehicles (EVs) have seen recent [increases in market share](https://www.anl.gov/esia/light-duty-electric-drive-vehicles-monthly-sales-updates), calling into quest... | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 140k people will be employed in the electric vehicle industry in the United States in the following years? (2024) The [growth of electric vehicles](https://www.anl.gov/esia/light-duty-electric-drive-vehicles-monthly-sales-updates) may have significant effects on the US auto industry, including e... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the annual average retail gasoline price (in 2022 USD per gallon) in the United States will be 3.05 in the year 2024? *Related Question on Metaculus:*
* [What will be the real price of gas (per gallon, 2022 USD) in the US on the following dates?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/11763/real-p... | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the annual average retail gasoline price (in 2022 USD per gallon) in the United States will be 3.05 in the year 2024? *Related Question on Metaculus:*
* [What will be the real price of gas (per gallon, 2022 USD) in the US on the following dates?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/11763/real-p... | 0.25 | Metaculus |
Before the first year in which GWP growth exceeds 30%, what is the chance that 6.90×1029 FLOP will be used in the largest ML training run? *Related Question on Metaculus:*
* [In particular this question asks, what will be the first year when world real GDP exceeds 130% of all prior years, as reported by a reputable or... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 140k people will be employed in the electric vehicle industry in the United States in the following years? (2024) The [growth of electric vehicles](https://www.anl.gov/esia/light-duty-electric-drive-vehicles-monthly-sales-updates) may have significant effects on the US auto industry, including e... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the share of zero-emission vehicle federal fleet procurements in the United States will be 14.6 in the following fiscal year (2024)? On December 8, 2021, President Biden signed [Executive Order 14057](https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/presidential-actions/2021/12/08/executive-order-on-cat... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the energy transition metal index will increase by 75% from December 2020 to December 2024? The [growth](https://www.anl.gov/esia/light-duty-electric-drive-vehicles-monthly-sales-updates) in electric vehicle (EV) market-share and [calls for growth to accelerate](https://www.cnbc.com/2021/08/05/b... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the share of zero-emission vehicle federal fleet procurements in the United States will be 14.6 in the following fiscal year (2024)? On December 8, 2021, President Biden signed [Executive Order 14057](https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/presidential-actions/2021/12/08/executive-order-on-cat... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the energy transition metal index will increase by 75% from December 2020 to December 2024? The [growth](https://www.anl.gov/esia/light-duty-electric-drive-vehicles-monthly-sales-updates) in electric vehicle (EV) market-share and [calls for growth to accelerate](https://www.cnbc.com/2021/08/05/b... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the share of zero-emission vehicle federal fleet procurements in the United States will be 14.6 in the following fiscal year (2024)? On December 8, 2021, President Biden signed [Executive Order 14057](https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/presidential-actions/2021/12/08/executive-order-on-cat... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the energy transition metal index will increase by 75% from December 2020 to December 2024? The [growth](https://www.anl.gov/esia/light-duty-electric-drive-vehicles-monthly-sales-updates) in electric vehicle (EV) market-share and [calls for growth to accelerate](https://www.cnbc.com/2021/08/05/b... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What will be the share of global light vehicles sold which are zero-emission vehicles in the following years? (2024)
Keyword: 19.6
Percentage: 50%
Reframed Question: What is the chance that 19.6 share of global light vehicles sold will be zero-emission vehicles in the following years? (2024) According to the [Interna... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 18.6% of light vehicles sold in the United States in the following years will be zero-emission vehicles? *Related questions on Metaculus:*
* [When will US EV sales equal or exceed 10% of the number of US ICE (Internal Combustion Engine) sales within a year?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the median estimated range (in miles) of all-electric vehicles available for under 40 thousand dollars (in 2022 US dollars) for the following model year (2024) will be 244 miles? Automakers [have announced](https://www.caranddriver.com/news/g29994375/future-electric-cars-trucks/) significant inc... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 18.6% of light vehicles sold in the United States in the following years will be zero-emission vehicles? *Related questions on Metaculus:*
* [When will US EV sales equal or exceed 10% of the number of US ICE (Internal Combustion Engine) sales within a year?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the annual average retail gasoline price (in 2022 USD per gallon) in the United States will be 3.05 in the year 2024? *Related Question on Metaculus:*
* [What will be the real price of gas (per gallon, 2022 USD) in the US on the following dates?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/11763/real-p... | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the median estimated range (in miles) of all-electric vehicles available for under 40 thousand dollars (in 2022 US dollars) for the following model year (2024) will be 244 miles? Automakers [have announced](https://www.caranddriver.com/news/g29994375/future-electric-cars-trucks/) significant inc... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 29.2% of light vehicles sold in California in the following years will be zero-emission vehicles? The [Clean Air Act](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Clean_Air_Act_(United_States)ss) (CAA) is the broad name given to the United States' air quality laws, which are administered by the [Environmental ... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that real GDP growth (using the seasonally adjusted annual rate) will be 2.16% in the United States in the following quarters (2024 Q4)? The US [Bureau of Economic Analysis](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bureau_of_Economic_Analysis) (BEA) provides quarterly estimates of [gross domestic product](https... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What will be the share of global light vehicles sold which are zero-emission vehicles in the following years? (2024)
Keyword: 19.6
Percentage: 50%
Reframed Question: What is the chance that 19.6 share of global light vehicles sold will be zero-emission vehicles in the following years? (2024) According to the [Interna... | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that real GDP growth (using the seasonally adjusted annual rate) will be 2.16% in the United States in the following quarters (2024 Q4)? The US [Bureau of Economic Analysis](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bureau_of_Economic_Analysis) (BEA) provides quarterly estimates of [gross domestic product](https... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that real GDP growth (using the seasonally adjusted annual rate) will be 2.16% in the United States in the following quarters (2024 Q4)? The US [Bureau of Economic Analysis](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bureau_of_Economic_Analysis) (BEA) provides quarterly estimates of [gross domestic product](https... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that 18.6% of light vehicles sold in the United States in the following years will be zero-emission vehicles? *Related questions on Metaculus:*
* [When will US EV sales equal or exceed 10% of the number of US ICE (Internal Combustion Engine) sales within a year?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the water level of Lake Mead (in feet) will be 1.005k at the end of July in the following years? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the real GDP growth in the United States will be 3.06% in the year 2027? The US [Bureau of Economic Analysis](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bureau_of_Economic_Analysis) (BEA) provides quarterly estimates of [gross domestic product](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gross_domestic_product) (GDP) in t... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the water level of Lake Mead (in feet) will be 1.005k at the end of July in the following years? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the real GDP growth in the United States will be 3.06% in the year 2027? The US [Bureau of Economic Analysis](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bureau_of_Economic_Analysis) (BEA) provides quarterly estimates of [gross domestic product](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gross_domestic_product) (GDP) in t... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the real GDP growth in the United States will be 3.06% in the year 2027? The US [Bureau of Economic Analysis](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bureau_of_Economic_Analysis) (BEA) provides quarterly estimates of [gross domestic product](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gross_domestic_product) (GDP) in t... | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the water level of Lake Mead (in feet) will be at 1.032k at the end of July in 2025? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the water level of Lake Mead (in feet) will be at 1.035k at the end of July in 2024? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the water level of Lake Mead (in feet) will be at 1.035k at the end of July in 2024? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the water level of Lake Mead (in feet) at the end of July of the following years will be 1.028k? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the water level of Lake Mead (in feet) will be at 1.035k at the end of July in 2024? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the water level of Lake Mead (in feet) will be at 1.029k at the end of July in 2026? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the water level of Lake Mead (in feet) will be 1.005k at the end of July in the following years? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the water level of Lake Mead (in feet) will be at 1.032k at the end of July in 2025? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the water level of Lake Mead (in feet) will be at 1.029k at the end of July in 2026? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the water level of Lake Mead (in feet) will be at 1.029k at the end of July in 2026? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the water level of Lake Mead (in feet) at the end of July of the following years will be 1.028k? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the water level of Lake Mead (in feet) at the end of July of the following years will be 1.028k? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the water level of Lake Mead (in feet) will be at 1.032k at the end of July in 2025? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the water level of Lake Mead (in feet) will be at 1.074k at the end of July in 2028? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the water level of Lake Mead (in feet) will be at 1.074k at the end of July in 2028? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that DeepMind Sparrow chatbot will be available outside Alphabet by Oct 2024? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the water level of Lake Mead (in feet) will be at 1.07k feet at the end of July in 2029? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Lake Mead's water level will be at 1.08k feet (75% of its capacity) at the end of July in 2030? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the water level of Lake Mead (in feet) will be at 1.07k feet at the end of July in 2029? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that a sitting US President will make a declaration about AI that meets the following criterion by Aug 2028? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the water level of Lake Mead (in feet) will be at 1.074k at the end of July in 2028? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that a sitting US President will make a declaration about AI that meets the following criterion by Aug 2028? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Lake Mead's water level will be at 1.08k feet (75% of its capacity) at the end of July in 2030? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that DeepMind Sparrow chatbot will be available outside Alphabet by Oct 2024? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the United States will announce the retirement of the Lockheed U-2 by 2046? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the water level of Lake Mead (in feet) will be at 1.07k feet at the end of July in 2029? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the United States will lift the requirement that international visitors be vaccinated against COVID-19 by Aug 2025? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the United States will lift the requirement that international visitors be vaccinated against COVID-19 by Aug 2025? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the United States will announce the retirement of the Lockheed U-2 by 2046? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that Lake Mead's water level will be at 1.08k feet (75% of its capacity) at the end of July in 2030? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that a sitting US President will make a declaration about AI that meets the following criterion by Aug 2028? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the United States will announce the retirement of the Lockheed U-2 by 2046? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that DeepMind Sparrow chatbot will be available outside Alphabet by Oct 2024? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the United States will lift the requirement that international visitors be vaccinated against COVID-19 by Aug 2025? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that a club from a continent other than Europe or South America will win the FIFA Club World Cup by 2054? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the first same-sex couple will have a child that is produced by the sperm of one parent and the egg of the other by 2048? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the first same-sex couple will have a child that is produced by the sperm of one parent and the egg of the other by 2048? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that a sitting US President will make a declaration about AI as WMDs by Apr 2028? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that a sitting US President will make a declaration about AI as WMDs by Apr 2028? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that a sitting US President will make a declaration about AI that meets the following criterion (AI theft force) before 2040? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that a sitting US President will make a declaration about AI that meets the following criterion (AI weapon) by Aug 2024? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that a sitting US President will make a declaration about AI that meets the following criterion (AI theft sanctions) by 2039? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the first same-sex couple will have a child that is produced by the sperm of one parent and the egg of the other by 2048? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that a club from a continent other than Europe or South America will win the FIFA Club World Cup by 2054? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that a club from a continent other than Europe or South America will win the FIFA Club World Cup by 2054? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that a sitting US President will make a declaration about AI that meets the following criterion (AI theft force) before 2040? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that a sitting US President will make a declaration about AI that meets the following criterion (AI theft sanctions) by 2039? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that a sitting US President will make a declaration about AI as WMDs by Apr 2028? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that a sitting US President will make a declaration about AI that meets the following criterion (AI theft force) before 2040? | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the US life expectancy at birth will exceed 78.8 by 2040? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that a sitting US President will make a declaration about AI that meets the following criterion (AI theft sanctions) by 2039? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that a sitting US President will make a declaration about AI that meets the following criterion (AI weapon) by Aug 2024? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that China will have a 37.4% share of high impact AI publications in 2027? [China has been at the forefront of AI research](https://www.mckinsey.com/business-functions/quantumblack/our-insights/the-next-frontier-for-ai-in-china-could-add-600-billion-to-its-economy) and has significant potential for c... | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that China will have a 37.4% share of high impact AI publications in 2027? [China has been at the forefront of AI research](https://www.mckinsey.com/business-functions/quantumblack/our-insights/the-next-frontier-for-ai-in-china-could-add-600-billion-to-its-economy) and has significant potential for c... | 0.25 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the US life expectancy at birth will exceed 78.8 by 2040? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the average NAEP long-term trend mathematics score for 9-year old students will be 241.3 in 2029? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the average NAEP long-term trend mathematics score for 9-year old students will be 241.3 in 2029? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that a sitting US President will make a declaration about AI that meets the following criterion (AI weapon) by Aug 2024? | 0.5 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the Strategic Petroleum Reserve will hold 75% of 367.4M barrels of crude oil on the following dates? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
What is the chance that the Strategic Petroleum Reserve will hold 75% of 367.4M barrels of crude oil on the following dates? | 0.75 | Metaculus |
Subsets and Splits
No community queries yet
The top public SQL queries from the community will appear here once available.