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obewzSutKpgMo9y8SrWH | if-the-republican-nominee-wins-ariz | If the Republican nominee wins Arizona, will they win the presidency (2024)? | null | 1,690,425,818,556 | 1,731,431,333,970 | 1,731,431,333,970 | YES | 0.99 | 1,392.89144 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
c5SOzUZAhA | will-the-winnipeg-jets-have-34-poin--cash | Will the Winnipeg Jets have 34 points by end of November | null | 1,729,872,650,571 | 1,732,409,671,577 | 1,732,578,465,421 | YES | 0.99 | 1,280.06872 | Sports | Professional Sports |
DuptY9J28bn5jqM4SWRI | will-adam-schiff-win-the-2024-senat | Will Adam Schiff win the 2024 senate seat in California? | null | 1,680,635,170,825 | 1,733,253,275,103 | 1,733,253,275,103 | YES | 0.99 | 6,174.734452 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
5w2nutur4o | if-kamala-harris-debates-donald-tru | Will Kamala Harris win the debate against Trump? (based on polls) | null | 1,720,309,280,670 | 1,726,862,976,462 | 1,726,862,976,462 | YES | 0.99 | 171,935.719882 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
T452czizPGGSbCUGxDnV | is-going-to-be-a-al-smith-dinner-wi | Will there be a Al Smith dinner with both presidential candidates attending and delivering stand-up routines in 2024? | null | 1,690,077,781,583 | 1,729,471,331,416 | 1,729,471,331,416 | NO | 0.17 | 1,489.146596 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
q4L3LSydJzvOQRKDfFwm | will-bte-release-an-early-version-o | Will @BTE release an early version of his Manifold competitor by Christmas? | null | 1,702,017,915,857 | 1,703,566,740,000 | 1,733,719,876,441 | NO | 0.084702 | 2,885.265053 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
93ub0uqehz | conservative-party-leadership-conte-t74g95grt5 | Conservative Party leadership contest - will it go to the members? | null | 1,722,249,032,379 | 1,728,860,340,000 | 1,728,896,480,020 | YES | 0.99 | 13,352.016593 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
a3vve5zfnw | will-brazil-unban-x-before-october | Will Brazil unban X before October? | null | 1,725,356,729,438 | 1,728,028,568,699 | 1,728,028,568,699 | NO | 0.01 | 2,398.577629 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
wt4d9y4dzo | will-donald-trump-use-the-fifty-cen | Will Donald Trump use the Fifty Cent song "Many Men" in any public appearance during the 2024 campaign? | null | 1,721,009,830,813 | 1,730,846,294,330 | 1,730,846,294,330 | NO | 0.009894 | 118,368.663925 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
CfGVdb4Kc1i6uG3CJ4h1 | will-tom-brady-endorse-trump | Will Tom Brady endorse Trump? | null | 1,668,664,664,132 | 1,730,926,092,894 | 1,730,926,092,894 | NO | 0.01 | 14,254.3687 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
ghYFFOJMMN20wBqRIdSD | hn-hiring-trends-will-hiring-outnum-9dbca1d59983 | HN Hiring Trends: Will "hiring" outnumber "looking" before the end of 2024? | null | 1,697,371,158,617 | 1,735,656,831,849 | 1,735,656,831,849 | NO | 0.027207 | 6,596.874132 | Finance | Economic Indicators |
DdSwShjXEfuwuY4DeNMk | will-a-category-3-or-greater-hurric-f7bebc1ae65b | Will a Category 3 or greater hurricane make landfall in Florida during 2024? | null | 1,704,828,755,718 | 1,727,465,039,221 | 1,727,465,039,221 | YES | 0.99 | 26,307.460017 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
zkfrgvp91o | -shortfuse-1-in-3-odds-2zcriigoqr | 🧨 Short-fuse 1 in 3 odds | null | 1,727,043,663,967 | 1,727,058,063,542 | 1,727,058,145,609 | NO | null | 1,037.801319 | Sports | Sports Culture & Recreation |
tsr1tqausf | will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-xx6rheb05d | Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Oct 1 than it closed on Sept 30? | null | 1,727,726,780,345 | 1,727,812,918,118 | 1,727,812,918,118 | NO | 0.02 | 1,838.257223 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
xQ5XItczkaGZEzSQ2UU0 | will-dragons-dogma-2-win-any-awards | Will Dragon's Dogma 2 win any awards at the Game Awards 2024? | null | 1,709,288,711,296 | 1,734,061,645,527 | 1,734,061,645,527 | NO | 0.010049 | 1,288.55416 | Gaming | Video Games |
8s0O6qsN0s | will-the-neurips-poster-printing-se | Will the NeurIPS poster printing service have our poster ready in time? | null | 1,734,106,799,757 | 1,734,115,950,495 | 1,734,115,950,495 | YES | 0.99 | 9,661.635643 | Technology | Computing & Software |
qtD9uG3hXeNW2XVXyPMR | will-any-2024-us-senate-election-be | Will any 2024 U.S. Senate election be won without the majority of the vote? | null | 1,689,382,967,822 | 1,733,032,740,000 | 1,733,044,425,469 | YES | 0.99 | 2,294.916164 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
9i6zaAWEubEy3lFi1ZWS | will-matt-gaetz-be-reelected-in-nov | Will Matt Gaetz be re-elected in November 2024? | null | 1,697,133,998,706 | 1,730,782,740,000 | 1,732,943,725,989 | YES | 0.97225 | 1,378.07615 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
v8alcq880o | will-republicans-lead-in-the-final | Will Republicans lead in the final 538 House forecast? | null | 1,729,296,007,453 | 1,730,696,340,000 | 1,730,821,664,037 | NO | 0.766257 | 1,574.926875 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
pU4xeOHpftaMGFT17zfg | will-bitcoin-reach-8765432-before-t | Will Bitcoin reach $87654.32 before the end of 2024? | null | 1,712,706,428,538 | 1,731,369,321,313 | 1,731,369,321,313 | YES | 0.9824 | 21,423.022169 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
VMzDKyTnlLBkir8CVLmV | will-trevor-bauer-start-a-game-in-t-8a4d8f1ff65b | Will Trevor Bauer start a game in the major leagues in the 2024 season? | null | 1,696,312,218,411 | 1,734,042,660,982 | 1,734,042,660,982 | NO | 0.015721 | 7,190.541385 | Sports | Professional Sports |
vq7h8szbw5 | will-this-prediction-market-get-50 | will this prediction market get 50 or more traders? | null | 1,724,605,957,863 | 1,727,215,140,000 | 1,727,252,277,403 | NO | 0.01 | 3,447.39336 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
ixk5jxk0wu | will-the-amazing-digital-circus-epi-6xe29nuo84 | Will The Amazing Digital Circus Episode 3 reach 100 million views by the end of October? | null | 1,727,370,368,812 | 1,730,433,540,000 | 1,730,441,376,249 | NO | 0.011493 | 9,308.475987 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
fGWxeNMZnX7hFxc6GVRA | will-a-candidate-that-is-neither-ba | Will a candidate that is neither backed by the Republican Party or the Democratic Party run in the 2024 United States presidential election and receive at least 5% of the national popular vote? | null | 1,673,633,672,996 | 1,735,508,167,828 | 1,735,508,167,828 | NO | 0.015942 | 12,244.745103 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
nAlBKpcpYCsjW9OLLG6z | will-destiny-do-an-irl-stream-with | Will Destiny do an IRL stream with Aba during 2024? | null | 1,705,315,857,731 | 1,730,870,831,821 | 1,730,870,831,821 | YES | 0.963082 | 11,450.0511 | Entertainment | Celebrity & Pop Culture |
q4lc6Kxcp14YTyxHpBVJ | will-balatro-be-nominated-for-any-a | Will Balatro be nominated for any awards at the Game Awards 2024? | null | 1,709,288,578,931 | 1,731,971,778,046 | 1,731,971,778,046 | YES | 0.989999 | 6,410 | Entertainment | Gaming |
lI0iECKDqSC8LuFAW64p | will-all-of-new-england-vote-as-a-u | Will ALL of New England vote as a unified bloc in the 2024? | null | 1,696,614,837,158 | 1,730,869,140,000 | 1,730,949,565,899 | NO | 0.024685 | 1,264.582731 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
8OdugR6hRO | are-these-two-supposed-pictures-of | Are these two supposed pictures of the United Healthcare CEO assassin actually different people? | null | 1,733,452,110,700 | 1,735,360,056,732 | 1,735,360,056,732 | NO | 0.007962 | 56,511.975885 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
fDlYte4sIfyatPnCUjON | will-shekel-vs-dollar-reach-40-in-2 | Will Shekel vs Dollar reach 4.0 in 2024? | null | 1,708,628,645,054 | 1,735,682,340,000 | 1,735,683,276,532 | NO | 0.051596 | 5,609.108691 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
Rfr34B7xtudnufU50rts | will-either-joe-biden-or-donald-tru-35b07ca5429c | Will either Joe Biden or Donald Trump die before the 2024 Presidential election? | null | 1,696,962,811,139 | 1,730,800,874,965 | 1,730,800,874,965 | NO | 0.014205 | 142,782.093947 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
v1tGPyNiqrpJKSGEWbdG | was-amelia-earhearts-plane-just-dis | Was Amelia Earheart's plane just discovered in the Pacific? | null | 1,706,562,165,199 | 1,732,518,477,277 | 1,732,518,477,277 | NO | 0.09398 | 8,759.015548 | Sports | Individual Sports |
dgAwNqeOgcdOxIz93xYm | will-prince-william-and-kate-middle | Will Prince William and Kate Middleton divorce before Halloween 2024? | null | 1,710,268,162,448 | 1,730,429,228,445 | 1,730,429,228,445 | NO | 0.010006 | 8,896.167408 | Celebrity & Pop Culture | Celebrity & Pop Culture |
7bgfqhbrzy | will-i-loose-power-again-do-to-this | Will I loose power again do to this other hurricane potentially forming right after Helen (Greenville, SC)? | null | 1,727,723,107,615 | 1,729,095,924,885 | 1,729,095,924,885 | NO | 0.1 | 2,100 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
Q4C8r3fPL9TwQptr8bRB | will-trump-say-ai-is-a-problem-duri | Will Trump say AI is a problem during a presidential debate? | null | 1,705,287,634,698 | 1,731,695,076,568 | 1,731,695,076,568 | NO | 0.029697 | 13,338.843351 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
ZzN2O80q8A | will-the-daily-coinflip-on-tuesday | Will the Daily Coinflip on Tuesday 5th correspond to the result of the 2024 USA election? (Head-Harris or Tails-Trump) | null | 1,730,631,290,750 | 1,730,964,217,814 | 1,730,964,217,814 | YES | 0.945094 | 6,195.216905 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
YqlD5Wdhh9Z9wVIqV87i | will-rashee-rice-play-in-at-least-9 | Will Rashee Rice play in at least 9 games this season? | null | 1,712,001,711,420 | 1,732,910,898,556 | 1,732,910,898,556 | NO | 0.01 | 27,588.654425 | Sports | Professional Sports |
sQWNEnG9R7P8sSMJRAXh | will-the-winner-of-the-2024-preside-21512a78f5f2 | Will the winner of the 2024 Presidential Election carry the state of Virginia? | null | 1,690,201,669,120 | 1,730,951,463,429 | 1,730,951,463,429 | NO | 0.010014 | 1,119.518271 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
403qm3lmib | will-joker-folie-a-deux-have-a-high | Will "Joker: Folie à Deux" have a higher Rotten Tomatoes audience score than "The LEGO Batman Movie"? (>80%) | null | 1,727,904,778,063 | 1,728,716,340,000 | 1,728,748,357,840 | NO | 0.01 | 1,079.612064 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
YlazKIbzJWNzCExjKuk3 | will-trump-win-either-35-of-the-his | Will Trump win either 35% of the Hispanic/Latino vote or 15% of the black vote in 2024? | null | 1,705,720,604,302 | 1,730,907,722,239 | 1,730,907,722,239 | YES | 0.890257 | 1,498.864575 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
3Xv3G1DtLTBvzYe6NN1L | will-ai-be-a-time-person-of-the-yea-dd9e7fd2782d | Will AI be a Time Person of the Year in 2024? | null | 1,694,285,419,451 | 1,733,115,540,000 | 1,734,917,407,764 | NO | 0.114558 | 1,413.770046 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
h6yponj0ko | will-manifold-think-that-sweeps-cas | Will Manifold users think that sweepstakes markets are real money markets? | null | 1,726,533,324,846 | 1,729,558,055,785 | 1,729,558,055,785 | YES | 0.95 | 9,184.862676 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
CSRZANUpUg | daily-coinflip-Ih66zIEshh | Daily coinflip 🔧 | null | 1,732,085,805,436 | 1,732,251,540,000 | 1,732,294,474,366 | NO | 0.5 | 3,167.999002 | Gaming | Gaming Culture |
ms30gHCwcuvanZhf1qMY | will-belarus-openly-enter-the-russo | Will Belarus openly enter the Russo-Ukrainian war? | null | 1,691,152,320,949 | 1,735,673,385,222 | 1,735,673,385,222 | NO | 0.081478 | 12,460.821686 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
tPdjseGBw868qBobF6Cx | will-gpt-be-said-by-anyone-in-a-pre | Will "GPT" be said by anyone in a presidential debate in 2024? | null | 1,711,584,253,127 | 1,730,433,540,000 | 1,730,746,165,948 | NO | 0.010051 | 126,024.892154 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
QJslgIQGPJx3xpZjJRc2 | will-the-value-of-bitcoin-pass-100k | Will the value of Bitcoin pass 100k USD by the end of 2024? | null | 1,642,047,822,269 | 1,733,519,720,974 | 1,733,519,720,974 | YES | 0.99 | 48,662.686734 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
1ocB06kwCL8Mg5tr7v7s | will-september-2024-be-the-hottest-6d585fc6ed85 | NOAA - Will September 2024 be the hottest September on record? (Global) | null | 1,715,703,245,392 | 1,729,792,500,620 | 1,729,792,500,620 | NO | 0.01 | 14,282.07451 | Geopolitics | Regional Affairs |
X6oCL4XPG8FzhTeKFqh8 | will-manifold-markets-stop-being-we | Will Manifold Markets stop being weird about Jimmy Carter before 2025? | null | 1,702,666,582,950 | 1,735,517,122,983 | 1,735,517,122,983 | NO | 0.292758 | 1,075.361001 | Politics | Political Parties & Ideologies |
ar1a9yerlz | will-a-bug-be-discovered-in-538s-20 | Will a bug be discovered in 538's 2024 presidential forecast that affects it by at least 3% by election day? | null | 1,720,820,790,652 | 1,730,966,340,000 | 1,731,002,971,657 | NO | 0.083247 | 4,858.48326 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
onH9hPVCIC2EPXvuCRIa | will-trump-win-at-least-thirty-stat | Will Trump win at least thirty states? | null | 1,682,814,652,644 | 1,731,201,781,030 | 1,731,201,781,030 | YES | 0.910547 | 3,571.394722 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
zloydwuqsd | will-bitcoin-reach-70000-in-october | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in October 2024? | null | 1,728,188,705,109 | 1,730,158,001,820 | 1,730,158,001,820 | YES | 0.99 | 1,510.204123 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
pgRlI5IZIL | will-i-restrict-my-foodbuying-behav | Will I restrict my food-buying behaviour in line with the rules of this market until the end of the year? | null | 1,730,127,258,043 | 1,735,684,785,173 | 1,735,684,785,173 | YES | 0.952104 | 4,085 | Finance | Personal Finance |
ya0g6y7d51 | will-astro-bot-be-nominated-for-gam | Will Astro Bot be nominated for Game of the Year at the Game Awards 2024? | null | 1,725,580,863,421 | 1,731,973,033,151 | 1,731,973,033,151 | YES | 0.99 | 9,338 | Entertainment | Gaming |
5edOcHjoJJkqNg8LsZm5 | was-sam-altman-fired-because-the-bo | Was Sam Altman fired because the board suspected he'd created an undisclosed AGI? | null | 1,700,332,627,144 | 1,732,597,140,000 | 1,732,635,216,268 | NO | 0.01 | 12,266.336157 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
7S4ZLNY83IjRW0myKYlr | will-yaya-sinwar-founder-of-hamas-s | Will Yahya Sinwar, founder of Hamas, survive 2024? | null | 1,704,183,004,143 | 1,729,188,258,930 | 1,729,188,258,930 | NO | 0.01 | 40,366.791625 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
ukksz6xkhg | will-i-lose-20-lbs-after-taking-sem | Will I lose 20+ lbs after taking semaglutide for 3 months? | null | 1,718,690,901,976 | 1,733,884,634,322 | 1,734,810,000,599 | YES | 0.930713 | 69,150.065829 | Finance | Personal Finance |
B3BHjmnvaHghoPfFYXdY | will-jimmy-carter-live-to-be-101-ye | Will Jimmy Carter live to be 101 years old? | null | 1,706,925,944,132 | 1,735,515,637,133 | 1,735,515,637,133 | NO | 0.001843 | 112,193.073623 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
2yG3lHlsbljnoVN9g1vm | will-the-uk-outright-maximum-temper-caf1a1ce51b7 | Will the UK outright maximum temperature record be broken in 2024? | null | 1,713,873,967,415 | 1,727,737,140,000 | 1,727,769,364,434 | NO | 0.02 | 8,356.494716 | Sports | Sports Culture & Recreation |
UCPATFk6PvGFyGO4HHYw | will-ukraine-hold-a-presidential-el-ccf6c4403856 | Will Ukraine hold a presidential election in 2024? | null | 1,681,601,413,986 | 1,735,682,340,000 | 1,735,686,144,686 | NO | 0.021999 | 15,862.294647 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
6MnAFWfug0nwuGqLkFHr | will-messi-play-for-barcelona-in-20 | Will Messi play for Barcelona in 2024? | null | 1,700,160,171,369 | 1,735,621,474,481 | 1,735,621,474,481 | NO | 0.01 | 5,152.04349 | Sports | Professional Sports |
4EWfrvQrdAntQ63H9h7X | will-democrats-control-both-the-hou | Will Democrats control both the House and Senate after the 2024 elections? | null | 1,678,978,395,917 | 1,730,872,763,131 | 1,730,872,763,131 | NO | 0.048033 | 7,686.537283 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
s8C55P8Udz | will-kamala-harris-win-at-least-2-m | Will Kamala Harris win at least 2 midwestern "tossup" states but lose the election? | null | 1,730,057,937,498 | 1,730,890,152,184 | 1,730,890,152,184 | NO | 0.060375 | 3,974.852756 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
sfs40IUP7RNztlX9pqIY | will-any-state-be-decided-by-1-in-t | Will any state be decided by <1% in the 2024 election? | null | 1,686,112,517,920 | 1,731,734,400,456 | 1,731,734,400,456 | YES | 0.958087 | 4,829.707606 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
tSwDmwrg7EyLT5wye4Nn | will-someone-start-a-mana-investing | Will someone start a mana investing service on manifold ? | null | 1,679,896,687,307 | 1,735,649,940,000 | 1,735,657,619,888 | NO | 0.16 | 2,062.183203 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
8u5GG1fqTFM11F9H2uI4 | a-serious-us-presidential-candidate | A serious US presidential candidate says they'll take decisive action in the case of near term AI risk. | null | 1,703,651,695,633 | 1,727,755,140,000 | 1,728,497,592,705 | NO | 0.08 | 3,998.682672 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
lv4EIrVzQuPyzDDhb8Zk | will-teslas-market-capitalization-s | Will Tesla's market capitalization surpass $1 trillion by the end of 2024? | null | 1,710,183,384,760 | 1,731,340,671,260 | 1,731,340,671,260 | YES | 0.99 | 6,799.705843 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
NtJLmBuFkYvppHkxKdla | will-sweden-try-to-ban-burning-the-d1fca89c8442 | Will Sweden try to ban burning the Quran by the end of 2024? | null | 1,693,574,741,759 | 1,735,658,817,907 | 1,735,658,817,907 | NO | 0.01 | 13,632.18021 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
aPh5gZB4GjNJvXN6kju3 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-pres-c6ba0fd09c2f | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 presidential election? | null | 1,707,084,991,518 | 1,730,930,400,000 | 1,730,935,355,049 | YES | 0.990439 | 14,813.872218 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
olxab561no | will-texas-vote-to-the-left-of-flor | Will Texas vote to the left of Florida in the 2024 presidential election? | null | 1,727,063,254,855 | 1,730,966,340,000 | 1,731,398,543,562 | NO | 0.065692 | 1,380.280368 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
zGGk95XfaaG2vfRkfrI5 | nfl-week-7-oct-20-will-the-indianap | NFL Week 7 (Oct 20): Will the Indianapolis Colts beat the Miami Dolphins? | null | 1,715,834,060,313 | 1,729,616,400,000 | 1,729,617,781,031 | YES | 0.99 | 1,118.862831 | Sports | Professional Sports |
g17fdXLW8Q7ecnUGo3HS | -2024-nfl-will-any-week-3-game-end | 🏈 2024 NFL: Will any Week 3 game end in Scorigami? | null | 1,704,865,063,078 | 1,727,153,940,000 | 1,727,190,489,011 | NO | 0.01 | 1,901.307965 | Sports | Professional Sports |
ziCXqkkwROw5rLj0Madm | will-i-be-on-the-top-traders-leader-f21ee117223b | Will I be on the "Top traders" leaderboard before @Conflux is on the "Top creators" one? | null | 1,682,282,378,452 | 1,727,506,740,000 | 1,729,290,014,939 | NO | 0.41 | 3,883.381929 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
kS4r1lVFLWy1FSyxCIDX | ryan-binkley-1-in-any-state | Ryan Binkley >1% in any state? | null | 1,706,718,061,293 | 1,731,433,919,523 | 1,731,433,919,523 | NO | 0.01 | 11,822.443418 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
xqwy0IYsGYXN4M1xawap | will-china-lower-its-one-year-lpr-b | Will China lower it’s one year LPR by the end of 2024? | null | 1,715,937,636,249 | 1,731,855,077,120 | 1,731,855,077,120 | YES | 0.988548 | 8,300 | Finance | Economic Indicators |
cf9yl2ftq5 | oktoberfest-2024-will-more-than-7-m | Oktoberfest 2024: Will more than 7 million litres of beer be served again? | null | 1,720,468,168,171 | 1,728,251,940,000 | 1,731,090,381,234 | YES | 0.907102 | 1,027.411134 | Sports | Sports Culture & Recreation |
AAfeYptnvrrw7WqZrqIE | will-an-aipowered-dating-app-signif | Will an AI-powered dating app significantly improve on the current state of the art by October 2024? | null | 1,695,408,565,580 | 1,727,852,340,000 | 1,735,526,668,491 | NO | 0.01 | 14,861.55794 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
2rohf957l6 | polymarketlinked-another-iran-strik | [Polymarket-linked] Another Iran strike on Israel in October? | null | 1,727,957,408,705 | 1,730,433,540,000 | 1,730,471,088,316 | NO | 0.01 | 1,029.906253 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
XHILq95n0pRaYUP8rEre | will-amazon-begin-to-accept-bitcoin-b32976b4613d | Will Amazon begin to accept Bitcoin as payment by the end of 2024? | null | 1,704,216,826,490 | 1,735,620,599,772 | 1,735,620,599,772 | NO | 0.01 | 2,112.073967 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
Z7EUEONSJNDRxuyMRtT9 | will-lauren-boebert-be-reelected-in | Will Lauren Boebert be reelected in CO-3 in 2024? | null | 1,682,627,211,272 | 1,731,578,824,408 | 1,731,578,824,408 | NO | 0.01 | 13,319.170978 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
vftrdorg8t | will-the-dodgers-hold-their-positio | Will the Dodgers hold their position at #1 in the NL West until the 2024 season ends? | null | 1,724,798,656,995 | 1,727,852,340,000 | 1,727,862,706,517 | YES | 0.99 | 9,000.30796 | Sports | Professional Sports |
pzvggnphmx | daily-coinflip-zjldimov3r | Daily coinflip | null | 1,727,498,157,053 | 1,727,668,740,000 | 1,727,668,993,556 | YES | 0.51 | 3,941.058064 | Sports | Sports Culture & Recreation |
RCas79XNbs14nMSU9EJ1 | will-bluesky-have-more-active-users | Will Bluesky have more active users than Mastodon by the end of 2025? | null | 1,681,340,519,384 | 1,731,787,481,198 | 1,731,787,481,198 | YES | 0.939044 | 3,334.08601 | Technology | Internet & Digital Services |
abIh4e7qq7i6h3YuZMuL | nfl-week-10-nov-10-2024-will-the-ja | NFL Week 10 (Nov 10 2024): Will the Jacksonville Jaguars (home) beat the Minnesota Vikings (away)? | null | 1,715,834,206,918 | 1,731,434,400,000 | 1,731,444,976,567 | NO | 0.01 | 1,547.431066 | Sports | Professional Sports |
c0ke8prg7l | will-destiny-reach-836k-subscribers | Will Destiny reach 836k subscribers in October 2024? | null | 1,727,780,313,918 | 1,730,406,564,589 | 1,730,406,564,589 | YES | 0.99 | 14,558.266684 | Entertainment | Celebrity & Pop Culture |
xe4uknd0b2 | will-kamala-harris-hold-a-gun-befor | Will Kamala Harris hold a gun before election day? | null | 1,727,367,524,316 | 1,730,793,540,000 | 1,730,807,900,359 | NO | 0.012966 | 46,630.094172 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
5LMtbQdW7OLA9RepTSGQ | will-trump-debate-chris-christie-be | Will Trump debate Chris Christie before the 2024 presidential election? | null | 1,693,178,861,014 | 1,731,016,644,956 | 1,731,016,644,956 | NO | 0.01 | 25,409.18188 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
qxw2x1200j | will-jimmy-carter-be-alive-when-thi-y8brq09824 | Will Jimmy Carter be alive when this market rolls a critical hit? [Round 2] | null | 1,725,230,940,253 | 1,735,546,115,903 | 1,735,546,115,903 | NO | 0.000359 | 48,282.660676 | Sports | Sports Culture & Recreation |
0CLsI06LQq | bitcoin-above-100k-on-thanksgiving | Bitcoin above $100K on Thanksgiving? | null | 1,732,271,243,487 | 1,732,867,140,000 | 1,732,869,550,305 | NO | 0.01 | 41,969.675137 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
lFx5LHHUTgHnQPquiOMs | will-rafael-nadal-win-another-grand | Will Rafael Nadal win another Grand Slam before his retirement? | null | 1,675,748,777,899 | 1,732,187,538,962 | 1,732,187,538,962 | NO | 0.01 | 32,990.519117 | Sports | Individual Sports |
Bj4qzznw7s0EU6CVs1E1 | 2024-formula-1-season-will-alphatau | [2024 Formula 1 season] Will Alphatauri place 6th or higher in the Constructor's Championship? | null | 1,701,164,988,550 | 1,733,785,140,000 | 1,734,456,842,664 | NO | 0.01 | 9,205.520771 | Sports | Professional Sports |
7BgsaIoCypFtsmLyOaPS | will-donald-trump-win-pennsylvanias | Will Donald Trump win Pennsylvania's vote in the 2024 election? | null | 1,705,520,178,092 | 1,730,869,140,000 | 1,731,015,242,168 | YES | 0.786711 | 2,332.226532 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
e57TDHWppKoAIYpiQ3RB | a-prominent-selfidentifying-effecti-204d54edac81 | A prominent self-identifying Effective Altruist endorses Ron DeSantis for president in 2024. | null | 1,673,827,691,763 | 1,728,480,416,480 | 1,728,480,416,480 | NO | 0.07 | 1,164.339408 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
U5rW8rhQ0Ubz4WgkHRhk | will-andrew-yang-run-for-president | Will Andrew Yang run for President in 2024? | null | 1,645,567,467,785 | 1,730,851,200,000 | 1,730,853,563,992 | NO | 0.0104 | 14,383.025044 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
fGJCQKECWG6zBTnCp5AO | will-i-get-a-job-in-2024 | Will I get a job in 2024? | null | 1,714,995,170,520 | 1,727,104,277,004 | 1,727,104,277,004 | YES | 0.7 | 2,558.100184 | Finance | Personal Finance |
k27w447iph | will-trump-win-all-3-of-the-blue-wa | Will Trump win all 3 of the "Blue Wall" states (MI, WI, PA) in the 2024 Presidential Election? | null | 1,721,138,573,607 | 1,730,949,725,055 | 1,730,949,725,055 | YES | 0.99 | 1,110.315473 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
GKbJfyuoI73hFR0lJNjs | will-the-legend-of-zelda-tears-of-t-655657f122e5 | Will 'The Legend of Zelda: Tears of the Kingdom' have outsold 'Super Smash Bros. Ultimate' at any point before 2025? | null | 1,684,687,858,293 | 1,735,661,016,103 | 1,735,661,016,103 | NO | 0.010003 | 3,438.06991 | Gaming | Video Games |
0ccCnSCtNn | will-luigi-mangione-plead-guilty-to | Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty to murder? | null | 1,734,599,320,593 | 1,734,976,829,072 | 1,734,976,829,072 | NO | 0.01455 | 9,137.484158 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
pcebwFjgLiX1rvvzxaJn | will-balenciaga-register-an-increas | Will BALENCIAGA register an increase in sales of their puffer jackets due to the recent AI generated images going viral? | null | 1,681,123,001,185 | 1,710,950,340,000 | 1,732,829,534,098 | NO | 0.042878 | 2,147.430334 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
PIQwy7iKnBqnfix3bNZo | in-oldschool-runescape-will-a-new-l | In Oldschool Runescape, will a new league start before the end of 2024? | null | 1,708,005,354,223 | 1,733,445,205,335 | 1,733,445,205,335 | YES | 0.99 | 1,440.892816 | Entertainment | Gaming |
ytjitpo1eg | will-one-candidate-win-at-least-57 | Will one candidate win at least 5/7 tossup states? | null | 1,726,164,899,746 | 1,730,951,729,675 | 1,730,951,729,675 | YES | 0.99 | 9,952.154808 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
Via4uNfnVM4XTwwGolZp | will-a-play-money-alternative-to-ma | Will a play money alternative to manifold appear before 2025? | null | 1,713,839,594,814 | 1,730,459,202,203 | 1,730,459,202,203 | YES | 0.981761 | 11,178.551712 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
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