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ulju9npeh1 | if-trump-wins-will-he-offer-rfk-a-p | If Trump wins, will he offer RFK Jr. a position in his administration? | null | 1,724,265,684,341 | 1,732,134,370,126 | 1,732,134,370,126 | YES | 0.984634 | 16,942.845873 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
qpsvv8l1x6 | will-the-mike-tyson-vs-jake-paul-fi | Will the Mike Tyson vs Jake Paul fight happen on Nov 15 on Netflix as planned? | null | 1,721,187,690,975 | 1,731,733,140,000 | 1,731,785,242,868 | YES | 0.99 | 1,643.921846 | Sports | Professional Sports |
yRTdxtWoyDaZN3ShQHSD | will-a-sequel-to-slay-the-spire-be | Will a sequel to "Slay the Spire" be announced in 2024? | null | 1,705,960,571,451 | 1,712,782,028,854 | 1,729,025,952,311 | YES | 1 | 7,544.52955 | Gaming | Video Games |
cnSRfgHxJPEd2YBeShig | will-max-score-more-poles-than-pere-ad4b867424e2 | Will Max Verstappen score more poles than Perez does P3+ in 2024? | null | 1,712,873,720,851 | 1,732,485,155,381 | 1,732,485,155,381 | YES | 0.99 | 2,300.495579 | Sports | Individual Sports |
ri1wy42x63 | will-supreme-court-justice-sonia-so | Will Supreme Court Justice Sonia Sotomayor retire before the presidential election in November? | null | 1,719,587,101,565 | 1,730,784,051,995 | 1,730,784,051,995 | NO | 0.023065 | 6,423.106093 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
XMVqPb8XUKZG5QChhlai | will-a-democrat-win-the-2024-us-sen-66520e283b7c | Will a Democrat win the 2024 US Senate election in Nevada? | null | 1,670,857,061,401 | 1,732,262,760,013 | 1,732,262,760,013 | YES | 0.99 | 3,180.592792 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
Cn8q6SscC6 | will-the-killer-of-brian-thompson-b-A8RcqsRghp | Will the killer of Brian Thompson be arrested by the end of 2024? | null | 1,733,344,763,637 | 1,733,775,767,666 | 1,733,775,767,666 | YES | 0.99 | 118,850.851918 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
SnL2y9jZ0eAZO6sYNovu | in-november-2024-presidential-elect | In November 2024 presidential election, will the major party candidates be Kamala Harris and Nikki Haley? | null | 1,708,783,121,217 | 1,730,869,140,000 | 1,730,901,591,455 | NO | 0.013157 | 3,216.929891 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
p10g7bt445 | will-trump-improve-his-margin-with-490adf7c6cf7--cash | Will Trump improve his margin with Black voters in 2024? | null | 1,729,692,209,435 | 1,731,034,070,186 | 1,731,034,070,186 | YES | 0.989937 | 1,532.482975 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
y0xp4ber3j | will-the-sf-giants-make-the-playoff | Will the SF Giants make the playoffs this year? | null | 1,724,365,621,208 | 1,727,013,120,186 | 1,727,013,120,186 | NO | 0.27 | 1,513.767929 | Sports | Professional Sports |
qpKHnXWIoKMlGM3vUxQI | argentina-will-officially-announce | Argentina will officially announce plans for dollarization by 11/20/24 | null | 1,705,429,536,017 | 1,733,029,140,000 | 1,733,162,763,904 | NO | 0.024972 | 6,636.794859 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
4z7z77E8fPWi7e46eU3B | will-the-democratic-party-do-better | Will the democratic party do better in Michigan than in Wisconsin in the 2024 presidential election? | null | 1,709,158,831,822 | 1,731,131,940,000 | 1,731,359,163,074 | NO | 0.01 | 1,750.063348 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
X79bm4hJVhWl6KktsUOW | will-destiny-stop-taking-vyvanse-fo | Will Destiny stop taking Vyvanse for 2+ weeks in 2024? | null | 1,702,844,810,010 | 1,735,685,940,000 | 1,735,686,347,022 | NO | 0.036779 | 3,951.563131 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
p2EsOhSEOg | donald-trump-meets-with-marine-le-p | Donald Trump meets with Marine Le Pen during his Paris trip | null | 1,733,192,385,370 | 1,733,788,800,000 | 1,733,850,701,757 | NO | 0.024141 | 10,928.101732 | Politics | Political Parties & Ideologies |
ikS2mmaXe4GxW5rYQPk2 | will-spacex-try-to-land-a-booster-a | Will SpaceX try to land a Booster at Boca Chica in 2024? | null | 1,712,686,591,616 | 1,729,361,012,740 | 1,729,361,012,740 | YES | 0.99 | 27,050.312746 | Technology | Tech Industry & Business |
YVESqVgsquCfPAwXIGUH | will-gavin-newsom-be-the-democratic-bec70b181c88 | Will Gavin Newsom be the Democratic Nominee for president in 2024 | null | 1,696,890,066,132 | 1,733,073,081,276 | 1,733,073,081,276 | NO | 0.01 | 2,947.69461 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
MrocXF6CpxuOdTPY0Ghz | will-weed-marijuana-be-rescheduled | Will weed / marijuana be rescheduled / legalized before election day? | null | 1,714,499,723,283 | 1,730,832,684,020 | 1,730,832,684,020 | NO | 0.002317 | 43,554.494556 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
yWVqUTqVgoYIr498sasC | will-the-january-6th-case-against-t | Will the January 6th Case against Trump have a mistrial/hung jury before election day? | null | 1,706,154,042,557 | 1,730,966,340,000 | 1,731,696,487,710 | NO | 0.011669 | 11,719.310257 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
OFUsr1P9ZeM2JMNjUHAe | will-ron-desantis-be-accused-of-sex | Will Ron DeSantis be accused of sexual assault before the 2024 Election? | null | 1,669,973,059,333 | 1,730,851,140,000 | 1,730,851,808,819 | NO | 0.028894 | 10,832.961052 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
lq4gCg4nfuCK8MBfELv2 | will-jimmy-carter-die-on-the-same-d | Will Jimmy Carter die on the same day of the year as any other United States president has? | null | 1,709,225,054,095 | 1,735,522,737,958 | 1,735,522,737,958 | NO | 0.01 | 2,946.217758 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
9nqdg0RUEI | bitcoin-above-93k-on-thanksgiving | Bitcoin above $93K on Thanksgiving? | null | 1,731,836,365,954 | 1,732,781,831,638 | 1,732,781,831,638 | YES | 0.993151 | 35,199.921703 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
9L99rPruI1LWEFyPXkJ0 | will-linkin-park-release-a-new-albu | Will Linkin Park release a new album (post-Chester’s death) this decade? | null | 1,711,753,153,735 | 1,734,184,896,165 | 1,734,184,896,165 | YES | 0.99 | 4,541.223589 | Entertainment | Music & Audio |
wfuxsvp0x8 | given-trump-wins-all-7-swing-states | Given Trump wins all 7 swing states, will he flip another "Likely Dem" state or district? | null | 1,729,106,771,735 | 1,731,736,740,000 | 1,731,737,930,737 | NO | 0.01 | 1,021.558957 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
pYoKR39TqotcAMvvcwTB | will-tsmc-be-said-by-anyone-in-a-pr | Will "TSMC" be said by anyone in a Presidential debate in 2024? | null | 1,712,481,216,092 | 1,730,433,540,000 | 1,731,199,203,408 | NO | 0.010152 | 12,790.21393 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
HNhIf8mtH7nvr8PXbmYr | will-research-on-aiml-win-a-nobel-p | will research on AI/ML win a nobel prize by 2030? | null | 1,696,962,492,531 | 1,728,477,162,148 | 1,728,477,162,148 | YES | 0.99 | 12,665.71455 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
2p20jp89lp | will-the-email-open-rate-of-my-jimm | Will the email open rate of my "Jimmy Carter's 100th Birthday!" Manifold newsletter be ≥20% in two days? | null | 1,727,822,027,434 | 1,728,025,140,000 | 1,728,026,609,720 | YES | 0.95 | 2,092.204109 | Politics | Election & Campaigns |
XP3aWZWeFflV2aF3nfsP | will-piastri-get-more-points-then-r | Will Piastri get more Points then Russel in the 2024 Formula 1 Season? | null | 1,713,794,072,182 | 1,733,669,767,051 | 1,733,669,768,553 | YES | 0.99 | 1,156.364783 | Sports | Individual Sports |
d7rjq6yni2 | will-chrome-os-reach-250-market-sha | Will Chrome os reach 2.50% market share by the end of the year | null | 1,728,498,791,550 | 1,735,077,600,000 | 1,735,114,306,283 | NO | 0.036153 | 8,680.139529 | Technology | Computing & Software |
FHEm2xIDE1ydcuBmN0YW | will-ai-be-able-to-correctly-plot-d | Will AI be able to correctly plot data in MS Paint before October 2024? | null | 1,695,411,273,383 | 1,727,852,340,000 | 1,731,289,129,578 | NO | 0.114437 | 1,967.876281 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
oNWvoOwKodHVryILbumw | will-trump-win-us-election-in-2024 | will trump win us election in 2024 | null | 1,704,214,139,714 | 1,732,075,993,891 | 1,732,075,993,891 | YES | 0.99 | 10,117.665973 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
UDh8a3UdnK06k62EK0Nc | will-invocare-be-acquired-by-anothe | Will InvoCare be acquired by another company before the end of 2024? | null | 1,683,130,143,624 | 1,733,452,304,391 | 1,733,452,304,391 | YES | 0.993127 | 2,502.106466 | Finance | Corporate Finance |
5jxhejocgz | will-the-nebraska-college-football | Will the Nebraska college football team go 7-0 in the 2024 season | null | 1,725,942,055,005 | 1,726,890,499,523 | 1,726,890,499,523 | NO | 0.01 | 1,168.316112 | Sports | Team Sports |
Ul09FLKHT4PKvGIq1JDu | will-a-republican-win-arizona-for-p | Will a Republican win Arizona for President by 2050? | null | 1,681,959,565,635 | 1,732,829,051,069 | 1,732,829,051,069 | YES | 0.989005 | 2,084.659504 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
ylIeL2goFZ1Wx3wQtCpy | will-the-2024-movie-civil-war-by-al | Will the 2024 movie Civil War by Alex Garland make $150 million at the worldwide box office? | null | 1,702,622,944,352 | 1,733,515,688,166 | 1,733,515,688,166 | NO | 0.01 | 10,510.767909 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
do3mHJfacRYKTh8FsQc8 | will-the-election-be-sooner-or-late | Will the "2024 Election be Sooner or Later Than Planned"? | null | 1,691,669,781,301 | 1,731,329,925,553 | 1,731,329,925,553 | NO | 0.011065 | 2,926.590847 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
8LuOVSom2pi6DasnIvKH | will-the-price-of-bitcoin-hit-90000 | Will the price of Bitcoin hit $90,000 before 2025? | null | 1,710,370,381,968 | 1,731,637,558,909 | 1,731,637,558,909 | YES | 0.992744 | 6,848.952517 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
tR9bMB0JZ3Az7CoD047q | will-a-third-party-candidate-win-20 | Will a third party candidate win 2024 US presidential election? | null | 1,699,564,063,996 | 1,731,193,011,640 | 1,731,193,011,640 | NO | 0.01 | 3,792.664205 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
dpTKFFqG1i5LTzlFcy7n | will-the-us-presidential-election-2 | Will the US presidential election (2024) be postponed? | null | 1,710,937,680,992 | 1,730,912,945,268 | 1,730,912,945,268 | NO | 0.013329 | 8,067.16453 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
n6yuZpm3vUoQKGNJYE9F | will-jakob-ingebrigtsen-win-two-gol | Will Jakob Ingebrigtsen win two gold medals in the 1500m/5000m double at the Paris 2024 Olympics? | null | 1,697,747,472,047 | 1,723,521,540,000 | 1,735,632,344,841 | NO | 0.01006 | 1,472.234106 | Sports | Individual Sports |
GTr0OayuoeUBedTenmu9 | vox-predictions-openai-will-release | Vox predictions: OpenAI will release ChatGPT-5 by the end of November 2024 | null | 1,704,456,748,701 | 1,733,007,540,000 | 1,733,465,709,032 | NO | 0.01 | 1,760.532855 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
XiaVmWpyTVYSv9uGttXD | will-panfilo-finish-1-in-a-manifold | Will @Panfilo finish #1 in a Manifold Master League in 2024? | null | 1,704,246,013,591 | 1,733,591,761,467 | 1,733,591,761,467 | NO | 0.013152 | 2,139.208551 | Sports | Professional Sports |
ifkc5y715m | will-reflection-llama-31-70b-be-pro | Will Reflection Llama 3.1 70B be proven to beat Llama 3.1 405B Instruct in GPQA by the end of September 2024? | null | 1,725,813,602,527 | 1,727,704,740,000 | 1,727,705,157,105 | NO | 0.01 | 1,198.74619 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
oNkhkEQ0gkGsyaXWMtMv | will-fernando-alonso-win-an-f1-race | Will Fernando Alonso win an F1 race in 2024? | null | 1,708,500,288,184 | 1,733,644,740,000 | 1,733,680,136,342 | NO | 0.042988 | 1,223.27708 | Sports | Individual Sports |
e6jlnweinj | will-trump-reach-60-before-election | Will Trump reach 60% before election day? | null | 1,724,357,423,728 | 1,729,575,263,510 | 1,729,575,263,510 | YES | 0.99 | 26,157.907941 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
VHqWEXUwhL2FuKyork2v | will-there-be-at-least-one-new-york-6f2cfc02452e | Will there be at least one New York Times article on AI every week in 2024? | null | 1,704,182,605,951 | 1,735,448,340,000 | 1,735,682,290,247 | YES | 0.965933 | 10,788.503837 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
0mhzbvxcbd | will-microsoft-acquire-cursor-befor | Will Microsoft acquire Cursor before the end of 2024 | null | 1,725,106,294,574 | 1,735,689,291,156 | 1,735,689,291,156 | NO | 0.034872 | 6,398.406434 | Technology | Tech Industry & Business |
xPdhn4oIeR5jd7rRFlmM | will-intels-cpu-market-share-drop-b | Will Intels CPU market share drop below 60% by the end of 2024? | null | 1,698,101,388,228 | 1,734,550,511,811 | 1,734,550,511,811 | NO | 0.060563 | 6,068.653149 | Technology | Tech Industry & Business |
BrSY28iomyQjnx626STG | will-a-video-game-with-airendered-g | Will a video game with AI-rendered graphics get 1 million downloads by 2038? | null | 1,708,221,466,430 | 1,732,122,505,770 | 1,732,122,505,770 | YES | 0.8 | 4,191.623755 | Gaming | Gaming |
dBd12ycgw5G1BOjoBJN8 | will-caitlin-clark-score-50-points | Will Caitlin Clark score 50+ points in any game during her first WNBA season? | null | 1,716,647,700,433 | 1,729,388,661,266 | 1,729,388,661,266 | NO | 0.01 | 9,530.936388 | Sports | Professional Sports |
zsdu0AQNpO | will-usyk-win-the-rematch-against-f | Will Usyk win the rematch against Fury? | null | 1,731,614,593,902 | 1,734,929,940,000 | 1,735,280,244,743 | YES | 0.990405 | 1,836.767067 | Sports | Individual Sports |
VNzUuywR0KQI3Zw5Zmgk | will-trump-receive-at-least-60-mill | Will Trump receive at least 60 million votes? | null | 1,659,571,109,134 | 1,731,695,066,255 | 1,731,695,066,255 | YES | 0.99 | 32,235.791696 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
ZPAnV0cFwgevbNt7eeIo | will-the-creators-of-any-iteration | Will the creators of any iteration of AlphaFold win a Nobel Prize before 2030? | null | 1,664,791,313,131 | 1,728,479,443,470 | 1,728,479,443,470 | YES | 0.99 | 15,921.975271 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
t092SglIU9 | will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-8QCSzgnd5S | Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Nov 13 than it closed on Nov 12? | null | 1,731,445,254,134 | 1,731,531,766,933 | 1,731,531,766,933 | YES | 0.99 | 1,031.072175 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
wThdoESliXTez40sx5Sx | will-messi-be-named-most-valuable-p-37b4f9d4a473 | Will Messi be named Most Valuable Player for the MLS 2024 season? | null | 1,689,862,111,350 | 1,733,581,802,084 | 1,733,581,802,084 | YES | 0.331123 | 1,693.18947 | Sports | Professional Sports |
4be8r1648q | will-donald-agree-to-a-second-debat | Will Harris and Trump have a second debate? | null | 1,726,045,803,438 | 1,730,831,340,000 | 1,730,861,211,552 | NO | 0.009648 | 956,630.418136 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
aa27gyuryx | will-the-trump-campaign-leaks-be-pu | Will the Trump campaign leaks be published? | null | 1,723,660,951,637 | 1,727,460,622,487 | 1,727,460,622,487 | YES | 0.97 | 24,133.307257 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
7dLH4fcgRuzFNdLc7Nor | will-trump-say-desanctimonious-agai | Will Trump say DeSanctimonious again during the election? | null | 1,705,887,586,836 | 1,730,879,940,000 | 1,730,941,762,701 | NO | 0.122956 | 2,062.291859 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
BKZ6eVVi5zXukkn4Sy77 | 2024-formula-1-season-will-fernando | [2024 Formula 1 Season] Will Fernando Alonso finish 6th or higher in the Drivers Championship? | null | 1,700,757,539,915 | 1,733,685,742,480 | 1,733,685,742,480 | NO | 0.01 | 12,119.339721 | Sports | Individual Sports |
sqrl6z15ii | will-kamala-harris-and-pokimane-tal | Will Kamala Harris and Pokimane talk together publicly before the election? | null | 1,723,082,818,333 | 1,730,997,337,787 | 1,730,997,337,787 | NO | 0.01 | 1,159.30628 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
Pu76Dviq4en3zPBAQXXu | will-china-be-competitive-in-the-ll | Will China be competitive in the LLM race compared to OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google by end of 2024? | null | 1,697,204,488,041 | 1,729,085,399,412 | 1,729,085,399,412 | YES | 0.87 | 286,105.839105 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
9Sg9UNdS5p | will-bitcoin-hit-100k-in-2024 | Will Bitcoin hit 100K in 2024? | null | 1,731,375,415,869 | 1,733,520,228,003 | 1,733,520,228,003 | YES | 0.9945 | 43,494.663985 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
GtWHv5naojQn1TEicKSA | will-san-diego-state-be-in-the-pac1 | Will San Diego State be in the Pac12 for the 2024 football season? | null | 1,682,645,176,360 | 1,726,729,140,000 | 1,727,058,993,338 | NO | 0.01 | 1,617.31695 | Sports | Team Sports |
UhAcEsdcZE | will-one-presidential-candidate-dro | Will one presidential candidate drop below 30% odds then go on to win? | null | 1,730,683,438,059 | 1,730,890,233,680 | 1,730,890,233,680 | NO | 0.057096 | 4,859.268565 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
s0kxja2fr6 | will-i-get-into-a-fight-at-this-con | Will I get into a fight at this conference? | null | 1,727,974,074,201 | 1,728,240,490,208 | 1,728,240,490,208 | NO | 0.05 | 27,983.481119 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
tf6c5f74ry | will-republicans-win-the-popular-vo-llm5g905qm--cash | Will Republicans win the popular vote but lose the election? | null | 1,728,252,702,840 | 1,731,050,655,566 | 1,731,050,655,566 | NO | 0.009086 | 3,673.831796 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
oSwNzCwYDDir5JvOkYsC | will-methanesat-discover-a-major-me | Will MethaneSAT discover a major methane leak in 2024? | null | 1,709,842,581,067 | 1,735,659,034,609 | 1,735,659,034,609 | NO | 0.01 | 4,814.367455 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
8do4n9coq6 | will-astro-bot-win-in-any-category | Will Astro Bot win in any category at the Game Awards 2024? | null | 1,725,581,065,391 | 1,734,053,200,045 | 1,734,053,200,045 | YES | 0.989976 | 9,235 | Gaming | individual sports |
vHvVr634WmHXnTVcMFvb | will-manifold-mana-m-be-listed-on-a | Will Manifold MANA (Ṁ) be listed on a crypto exchange by 2025? | null | 1,681,368,881,794 | 1,735,660,800,000 | 1,735,676,774,459 | NO | 0.024274 | 11,353.988856 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
dJdq7n9bEHDP1cLfLg9j | will-the-winner-of-the-2024-preside-0440ccfa4c36 | Will the winner of the 2024 Presidential Election carry the state of Maine? | null | 1,690,202,351,243 | 1,730,998,857,687 | 1,730,998,857,687 | NO | 0.010027 | 1,103.983179 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
NAN8c3DjTe0ipS5Mgjf4 | will-a-convicted-felon-win-the-2024 | Will a convicted felon win the 2024 presidential election? | null | 1,702,621,977,381 | 1,730,966,340,000 | 1,731,604,041,524 | YES | 0.970773 | 10,246.646184 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
FX2qIsGGQnxfb1dC8Rv6 | will-taylor-swift-release-a-new-alb-96b88624db6a | Will Taylor Swift release a new album in the second half of 2024? | null | 1,706,581,330,206 | 1,735,626,600,000 | 1,735,665,538,077 | NO | 0.016857 | 9,633.333893 | Entertainment | Music & Audio |
6wg3vlrnmu | will-jake-paul-win-a-boxing-match-a--cash | Will Jake Paul win a boxing match against Mike Tyson by the end of 2025? | null | 1,729,692,988,832 | 1,731,875,122,830 | 1,731,938,494,765 | YES | 0.996404 | 4,280.253782 | Sports | Individual Sports |
iJxmIrDNMBJBqDDzEMw6 | will-538-correctly-predict-the-winn | Will 538 correctly predict the winner of the 2024 presidential election? | null | 1,686,002,152,483 | 1,730,947,034,549 | 1,730,947,034,549 | NO | 0.025416 | 3,702.172232 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
tn0w9skib1 | will-there-be-a-major-strike-at-eas-mclujjllm1 | Will there be a major strike at east coast USA ports lasting at least three weeks in 2024? | null | 1,727,218,253,463 | 1,728,048,243,037 | 1,728,048,243,037 | NO | 0.02 | 10,950.036157 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
1p91gnmil9 | will-richard-ngo-still-be-working-a | Will Richard Ngo still be working at OpenAI in 2025? | null | 1,722,927,358,572 | 1,731,557,277,938 | 1,731,557,277,938 | NO | 0.014837 | 7,927.058633 | Technology | Tech Industry & Business |
zbbc6ylmhm | will-fox-news-call-the-2024-electio | Will Fox News call the 2024 election on election night? | null | 1,723,797,017,744 | 1,730,875,939,925 | 1,730,875,939,925 | YES | 0.989244 | 26,482.572168 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
VIJNOO522N5m7bjHHlyy | -2024-ncaaf-will-either-michigan-or | 🏈 2024 NCAAF: Will either Michigan or Washington appear in the next National Championship game? | null | 1,704,864,893,039 | 1,733,873,494,843 | 1,733,873,494,843 | NO | 0.01 | 2,395.335108 | Sports | College Sports |
iiialwbrn2 | will-donald-trump-flip-a-state | Will Donald Trump flip a state? | null | 1,728,249,333,186 | 1,730,782,740,000 | 1,730,898,011,867 | YES | 0.85 | 12,321.805832 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
fnupjwbc6n | will-hazel-upload-again-on-her-main | Will hazel upload again on her main channel before the end of the year? | null | 1,722,926,198,758 | 1,727,809,608,669 | 1,727,809,608,669 | YES | 0.92 | 2,401 | Entertainment | Celebrity & Pop Culture |
lvz6iOofXKFkA7qGxJmh | will-shelley-moore-capito-endorse-m | Will Shelley Moore Capito endorse Mike Pence? | null | 1,685,735,327,202 | 1,731,128,340,000 | 1,731,875,010,485 | NO | 0.00767 | 2,643.976083 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
aah2qhc0d2 | will-israel-launch-an-attack-on-ira | Will Israel launch an attack on Iranian soil before the end of October 2024? | null | 1,729,498,802,025 | 1,729,905,865,245 | 1,729,905,865,245 | YES | 0.99 | 12,822.682905 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
wbqg81bf1w | trump-vote-share-in-butler-county-p | Trump vote share in Butler County, PA >= 70%? | null | 1,728,517,799,298 | 1,731,092,665,209 | 1,731,092,665,209 | NO | 0.100095 | 2,100 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
JSdVEejrLehONfH5kIFp | will-openai-fundstartbuy-an-ai-chip | Will OpenAI fund/start/buy an AI Chip company (semiconductors) in 2024? | null | 1,703,616,617,825 | 1,735,681,316,900 | 1,735,681,322,917 | NO | 0.039679 | 32,985.836357 | Technology | Tech Industry & Business |
LI9At9nhLl | willw-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-dC5EE890L5 | WillW the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Nov 7 than it closed on Nov 6? | null | 1,730,927,098,450 | 1,731,013,316,314 | 1,731,013,316,314 | YES | 0.99 | 1,088.381906 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
a37wijux9n | will-leyline-of-resonance-be-banned | Will Leyline of Resonance be banned in any official constructed MTG format by December 31st, 2024? | null | 1,726,591,933,766 | 1,729,616,287,687 | 1,729,616,287,687 | YES | 0.99 | 3,709.908412 | Entertainment | Gaming |
pFH25WfpIObivtRor29r | 9-some-of-the-hype-and-herd-mentali | 9) Some of the hype and herd mentality behavior that shifted from crypto to AI in 2023 will shift back to crypto in 2024 | null | 1,703,511,673,629 | 1,734,453,664,214 | 1,734,453,664,214 | NO | 0.01 | 9,772.319962 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
Inu2gyy86R | will-trump-post-stop-the-count-in-t | Will Trump post “Stop the Count” in the days following the election? | null | 1,730,746,703,750 | 1,731,225,540,000 | 1,731,277,795,487 | NO | 0.01 | 27,531.288538 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
DlCVBJZA5OUz0uN40sCc | do-lawmakers-still-make-laws | Do lawmakers still make laws? 🏛️👩⚖️👨⚖️ | null | 1,703,823,506,623 | 1,734,208,206,539 | 1,734,208,206,539 | YES | 0.972526 | 6,102.384183 | Politics | Government Structure |
XdYULuBu8ygCTPhQIi6c | will-trump-choose-marjorie-taylor-g | Will Trump choose Marjorie Taylor Green as a running mate in for the 2024 presidential election? | null | 1,705,321,807,327 | 1,730,576,371,774 | 1,730,576,371,774 | NO | 0.01 | 1,430.380595 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
4l535of0dj | will-trump-win-michigan-in-the-2024--cash | Will Trump win Michigan in the 2024 Presidential Election? | null | 1,727,335,224,801 | 1,731,050,569,318 | 1,731,050,569,318 | YES | 0.9901 | 8,180.623811 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
wvt2bwYrWGX1xB8YRGzX | will-aapl-launch-its-own-modem-in-t | Will AAPL launch its own modem in the 2024 iPhone? | null | 1,690,910,983,915 | 1,728,368,811,318 | 1,728,368,811,318 | NO | 0.11 | 1,036.765962 | Technology | Mobile & Consumer Electronics |
ZAalhnJj93DDs1ij3TD1 | will-the-top-chatbot-in-2025-think | Will the top chatbot in 2025 "think" before responding to a difficult prompt? | null | 1,702,155,731,815 | 1,726,719,433,310 | 1,726,719,433,310 | YES | 0.9 | 7,112.082996 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
83qt5j1yyf | will-kamala-lead-trump-in-both-538 | Will Kamala lead Trump in both 538 and Nate Silver's forecasts on any day before Sunday, September 22nd? | null | 1,726,347,283,422 | 1,726,927,706,788 | 1,726,927,706,788 | YES | 0.99 | 14,449.299328 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
kPDxFAh31lEpJELe1cXg | in-the-next-6-months-will-it-be-pub | In the next 6 months, will it be publicly confirmed that Ilya Sutskever and Jan Leike are working on a project together? | null | 1,715,755,590,619 | 1,731,657,540,000 | 1,731,670,120,507 | NO | 0.01 | 22,064.76619 | Technology | Tech Industry & Business |
RUabTM4FfThaIog7UjJ6 | will-sota-on-math-in-sep-2024-utili | Will SOTA on MATH in Sep 2024 utilize a hard-coded search/amplification procedure? | null | 1,664,378,957,758 | 1,727,755,140,000 | 1,727,821,057,418 | NO | 0.42 | 4,362.784921 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
8pXRC6vbhwRfuPxltKaj | will-colorado-have-abortion-as-a-re | Will Colorado have abortion as a referendum question in 2024? | null | 1,701,702,348,507 | 1,730,825,880,000 | 1,731,185,717,484 | YES | 0.977482 | 1,087.503991 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
xl4yrxopfy | -2024-ncaaf-will-florida-defeat-mis | 🏈 2024 NCAAF: Will Florida defeat Mississippi State? | null | 1,726,919,463,223 | 1,726,947,093,054 | 1,726,947,093,054 | YES | 0.99 | 9,135.38554 | Sports | Team Sports |
UNy6qAOAAh | -2024-ncaaf-will-florida-defeat-lsu | 🏈 2024 NCAAF: Will Florida defeat LSU? | null | 1,731,690,108,657 | 1,731,803,145,012 | 1,731,803,145,012 | YES | 0.99 | 9,230.309154 | Sports | Team Sports |
lgy7wtu9sz | will-llama-32-be-released-by-octobe | Will Meta release any same-size LLaMa that performs better at MMLU before October 14th 2024? | null | 1,722,750,607,947 | 1,728,953,914,577 | 1,728,953,914,577 | NO | 0.02 | 68,011.047496 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
ybyp1sxjkl | will-nebraska-become-a-winnertakesa | Will Nebraska become a winner-takes-all state before the 2024 US election? | null | 1,727,100,016,639 | 1,730,811,540,000 | 1,730,837,204,246 | NO | 0.01079 | 1,090 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
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