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1kloKORPLouAg8xtEDRM | nfl-week-3-sep-22-will-the-seattle | NFL Week 3 (Sep 22): Will the Seattle Seahawks beat the Miami Dolphins? | null | 1,715,833,637,553 | 1,727,068,301,996 | 1,727,068,301,996 | YES | 0.99 | 1,025.773561 | Sports | Professional Sports |
yxVnIK0JdkHGJ0iN8a5T | nfl-week-15-dec-15-2024-will-the-cl | NFL Week 15 (Dec 15 2024): Will the Cleveland Browns (home) beat the Kansas City Chiefs (away)? | null | 1,715,834,551,279 | 1,734,458,400,000 | 1,735,276,175,058 | NO | 0.01 | 1,012.715812 | Sports | Professional Sports |
gZhxV1N9oGWsm3oBguZc | will-texas-be-closer-than-florida-i | Will Texas be closer than Florida in the 2024 election? | null | 1,686,892,087,703 | 1,731,703,308,167 | 1,731,703,308,167 | NO | 0.050143 | 13,880.78883 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
8ug0mrndpn | will-trump-win-georgia-and-arizona | Will Trump win Georgia AND Arizona? | null | 1,728,932,954,554 | 1,730,960,363,076 | 1,730,960,363,076 | YES | 0.99 | 1,062.537829 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
kBfotWPCQXu91bbTOoT0 | will-any-state-won-by-hillary-clint | Will any state won by Hillary Clinton in 2016 go for Donald Trump in 2024? | null | 1,716,997,184,472 | 1,731,021,203,288 | 1,731,021,208,162 | YES | 0.549757 | 3,245.450559 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
H6vs47acuRjKiKd4Huwn | -will-the-sp-500-indexspinx-close-l-150a01b99b44 | 🏛⬆️ Will The S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX) Close Lower Than 4,599.99 At Any Point During Q2-Q4 2024? | null | 1,710,764,746,876 | 1,735,664,400,000 | 1,735,678,964,009 | NO | 0.023506 | 1,553.885826 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
1lpjdga097 | initiative-2117-will-washington-rep | Initiative 2117: Will Washington Repeal the “Cap and Trade” Program? | null | 1,718,574,029,852 | 1,731,733,140,000 | 1,731,943,512,816 | NO | 0.010057 | 10,020.988617 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
6APHKNAnDXS4UarcQaXs | nfl-week-5-oct-6-will-the-cincinnat | NFL Week 5 (Oct 6): Will the Cincinnati Bengals beat the Baltimore Ravens? | null | 1,715,833,982,725 | 1,728,352,884,937 | 1,728,352,884,937 | NO | 0.01 | 2,096.802226 | Sports | Team Sports |
k09mwak9xb | will-there-be-a-serious-assassinati | Will there be a serious assassination attempt against Harris? | null | 1,726,438,605,633 | 1,730,847,540,000 | 1,730,849,886,271 | NO | 0.01 | 156,942.058775 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
CHEDF5ReD5C3eDe4vNis | will-rep-dean-phillips-win-the-2024 | Will Rep. Dean Phillips win the 2024 presidential election? | null | 1,697,937,347,983 | 1,731,200,152,035 | 1,731,200,152,035 | NO | 0.01 | 6,231.988947 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
1iirnx5oim | will-joker-folie-a-deux-2024-receiv | Will "Joker: Folie à Deux" (2024) receive a CinemaScore of B or above? ("Joker" received a B+) | null | 1,727,556,245,455 | 1,728,100,740,000 | 1,728,103,116,230 | NO | 0.05 | 6,758.895141 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
6yxddan3fk | will-destiny-be-unbanned-from-twitc | Will Destiny be unbanned from Twitch by the end of October 2024 like this Redditor claims? | null | 1,728,090,694,655 | 1,730,519,940,000 | 1,730,520,391,605 | NO | 0.01 | 1,761.643101 | Entertainment | Celebrity & Pop Culture |
jxMC8Y1qX5KZgto7vhnU | will-scott-alexander-endorse-donald | Will Scott Alexander endorse Donald Trump (for president) in 2024? | null | 1,672,821,928,567 | 1,732,924,939,607 | 1,732,924,939,607 | NO | 0.010019 | 8,438.965769 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
9R84xsu6qQAxMo04jvWL | will-francis-ngannou-fight-any-of-t | Will Francis Ngannou fight any of the people who were on PFL's Heavyweight roster at the time he was signed before 2025? | null | 1,684,346,932,017 | 1,729,388,164,430 | 1,729,388,164,430 | YES | 0.99 | 1,071.336685 | Sports | Professional Sports |
J9dhXenF8D5fTNOCiz8o | will-shikanoko-nokonoko-koshitantan | Will Shikanoko Nokonoko Koshitantan (TV) rate 7.00 or higher on MyAnimeList? | null | 1,717,686,663,122 | 1,727,618,340,000 | 1,727,618,703,760 | YES | 0.99 | 1,072.943681 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
5681da3W5SFdeJ5SScFz | will-the-margin-of-victory-in-the-2 | Will the margin of victory in the 2024 POTUS election in Colorado be greater than in 2020 (13.5%)? | null | 1,706,962,603,463 | 1,733,115,540,000 | 1,733,782,739,211 | NO | 0.047213 | 7,883.928058 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
d8mod1g2i5 | will-the-media-report-that-someone | Will anyone die of H5N1 (bird flu) in the United States in October? | null | 1,727,490,995,106 | 1,728,111,540,000 | 1,730,486,886,653 | NO | 0.102637 | 3,219.301866 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
utS4CvXVwo6AjlW8ezLF | will-caroline-ellison-get-a-longer | Will Caroline Ellison get a longer sentence than Elizabeth Holmes? | null | 1,672,919,180,205 | 1,727,209,098,244 | 1,727,209,098,244 | NO | 0.02 | 6,655.807455 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
8xd9saklr8 | will-kamala-harris-win-all-six-swin | Will Kamala Harris win all six swing states? | null | 1,726,141,754,394 | 1,730,882,418,721 | 1,730,882,418,721 | NO | 0.02345 | 76,500.426773 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
QrXoFCF23yNQkCbeNFEA | will-biden-have-another-televised-f | Will Biden have another televised fall before the 2024 presidential election? | null | 1,687,564,947,863 | 1,730,872,740,000 | 1,731,091,276,948 | NO | 0.122332 | 1,695.144712 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
Ux8zqh8bp7Ns4m80p6Pn | will-enel-come-back-before-the-end | Will Enel come back before the end of 2024? | null | 1,708,510,578,565 | 1,735,542,759,132 | 1,735,542,759,132 | NO | 0.055529 | 4,420.836284 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
3txpeh1zzo | will-trump-win-pennsylvania-and-geo | Will Trump win Pennsylvania AND Georgia? | null | 1,728,932,894,934 | 1,730,949,568,045 | 1,730,949,568,045 | YES | 0.99 | 1,166.073773 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
nH1mjb8MPZpwttvBtXBX | will-lady-gaga-sing-an-original-son | Will Lady Gaga sing an original song in Joker: Folie à Deux? 🃏🎤🎶 | null | 1,711,164,687,014 | 1,728,016,875,241 | 1,728,016,875,241 | YES | 0.99 | 20,147.523783 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
p1bqca3lmh | will-kamala-harris-electionbettingo-4snxwv7qra | Will Kamala Harris’ “electionbettingodds” exceed 68.5% (Trump's Peak) before November 2024? | null | 1,723,085,673,269 | 1,730,519,940,000 | 1,730,526,131,627 | NO | 0.010103 | 33,300.303375 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
9v9aFrPqASsdbyW1orqd | will-bitcoin-reach-80k-in-2024 | Bitcoin $80K in 2024? | null | 1,704,801,233,347 | 1,731,261,471,251 | 1,731,261,471,251 | YES | 0.991154 | 247,875.480192 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
WSgJH0eTWIxVXsuCZEEn | will-the-phrase-machine-learning-be | Will the phrase "Machine Learning" be mentioned by anyone in a Presidential debate in 2024? | null | 1,712,481,605,528 | 1,730,433,540,000 | 1,731,199,184,314 | NO | 0.01 | 12,579.28844 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
lq1cuvwlr7 | will-this-market-help-us-find-a-har | Will this market help us find a hardware design contract? (10% USD finder's fee!) | null | 1,723,065,211,633 | 1,730,933,940,000 | 1,735,658,908,689 | NO | 0.095198 | 5,976.602593 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
w3q2aVCdhzSpwFedUocD | will-the-120-star-world-record-in-s | Will the 120 Star World Record in Super Mario 64 speedrunning be under 1 hour and 36 minutes before the end of 2024? | null | 1,697,983,911,059 | 1,729,930,579,427 | 1,729,930,579,427 | YES | 0.99 | 13,356.683238 | Gaming | gaming |
g9sl95C96d | will-ghostty-will-be-released-in-20 | Will ghostty will be released in 2024? | null | 1,734,469,993,963 | 1,735,250,488,615 | 1,735,250,488,615 | YES | 0.989897 | 9,590.284246 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
qlh5I5QI50 | will-erling-haaland-have-at-least-2 | Will Erling Haaland have at least 20 Premier League goals in the 2024-25 season by the end of 2024? | null | 1,731,178,972,498 | 1,735,493,676,763 | 1,735,493,676,763 | NO | 0.008902 | 31,713.292995 | Sports | Professional Sports |
wdqj0qhlqd | will-alex-pereira-beat-khalil-rount | Will Alex Pereira beat Khalil Rountree Jr. at UFC 307? | null | 1,725,212,400,630 | 1,728,191,854,755 | 1,728,191,854,755 | YES | 0.99 | 10,466.527332 | Sports | Individual Sports |
a47G0C4zYMcGtLTCQs6d | will-bitcoin-dominance-reach-60-or | Will Bitcoin dominance reach 60% or higher before 2025? | null | 1,699,661,205,842 | 1,730,481,532,075 | 1,730,481,532,075 | YES | 0.900355 | 14,241.230528 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
pX1b93snbZuZKUBNhTcM | will-a-team-without-a-world-series | Will a team without a World Series title in franchise history win one in 2024? | null | 1,705,033,029,058 | 1,728,840,443,694 | 1,728,840,443,694 | NO | 0.01 | 1,277.775909 | Sports | Professional Sports |
eh0xmqzkri | will-there-be-atleast-1-more-assass | Will there be atleast 1 more Assassination attempt before the 2025 inauguration? | null | 1,721,790,535,826 | 1,727,597,099,099 | 1,727,597,099,099 | YES | 0.99 | 1,083.693497 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
U1984sGOKzCWdivvXp0S | will-lisa-murkowski-endorse-trump | Will Lisa Murkowski endorse Trump? | null | 1,681,984,016,615 | 1,730,782,740,000 | 1,731,874,528,072 | NO | 0.011031 | 6,014.002268 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
2xsif3Q5tdUWkiOTDe9y | will-josh-hawley-be-reelected-to-th | Will Josh Hawley be reelected to the US Senate from Missouri in 2024? | null | 1,672,943,434,430 | 1,730,865,960,554 | 1,730,865,960,554 | YES | 0.961164 | 4,680.13107 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
mJKeX4NA9lG6seaCPzAp | will-jimmy-carter-outlive-donald-tr | Will Jimmy Carter outlive Donald Trump? | null | 1,693,965,546,178 | 1,735,663,420,401 | 1,735,663,420,401 | NO | 0.004649 | 7,903.669478 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
suyxBogzALmqzcZ8UUcw | will-there-be-significant-racial-de | Will there be significant racial depolarization in the 2024 election? | null | 1,709,488,906,427 | 1,731,199,157,992 | 1,731,199,157,992 | YES | 0.950359 | 3,774.984841 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
lPrTEhaWaxoUIe03XL3r | will-lula-da-silva-still-be-alive-t-b72ad461f0b0 | Will Lula da Silva still be alive through the end of 2024? | null | 1,702,563,874,073 | 1,735,579,373,588 | 1,735,579,373,588 | YES | 0.99 | 1,873.676134 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
WqsaCWJuwdfTDzyvtAJj | will-trump-say-genocide-joe-before | Will Trump say "Genocide Joe" before election day? | null | 1,706,131,235,696 | 1,730,854,118,692 | 1,730,854,118,692 | NO | 0.03766 | 7,067.814738 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
jWTWewpyFPMcmHZpxoFk | will-we-still-be-talking-about-llm | will we still be talking about LLM Hallucinations this time next year? | null | 1,696,111,670,103 | 1,728,341,940,000 | 1,728,405,357,826 | YES | 0.99 | 18,649.075094 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
3IsX9DA1Wcex2aEHPMZV | will-higher-education-be-a-frequent | Will higher education be a frequent talking point in the US presidential debates? | null | 1,679,332,201,027 | 1,730,754,749,060 | 1,730,754,749,060 | NO | 0.034563 | 9,440.487002 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
0msQVVYckf514vyEDsQn | will-i-endorse-ron-desantis-in-the | Will I endorse Ron DeSantis in the 2024 US presidential election? | null | 1,673,280,587,419 | 1,719,817,140,000 | 1,727,634,254,731 | NO | 0.04 | 2,743.50296 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
0d89xtu1k2 | san-francisco-proposition-k-passes | San Francisco Proposition K passes: Great Highway Recreational Space 2024-11 | null | 1,725,148,757,614 | 1,731,205,899,144 | 1,731,205,899,144 | YES | 0.975462 | 5,410.026978 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
zzQhn6kzoqWUA6IuU1zz | will-spacex-starship-reach-orbit-2 | Will SpaceX Starship reach orbit at least 2 times in 2024? | null | 1,691,510,853,834 | 1,729,659,349,810 | 1,729,774,988,047 | YES | 0.91 | 13,316.396993 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
sETLxZyrSTxralTVfHzy | will-any-of-the-2024-nobel-laureate | Will any of the 2024 Nobel Laureates be Jewish? | null | 1,678,990,009,311 | 1,731,257,470,085 | 1,731,257,470,085 | YES | 0.98979 | 10,258.64605 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
eP2oNI94I6aLfi0Wz6MI | will-don-jr-appear-on-a-ballot-for | Will Don Jr appear on a ballot for any office by the end of 2024? | null | 1,694,642,061,802 | 1,735,686,469,676 | 1,735,686,469,676 | NO | 0.014398 | 6,198.574948 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
BwOJFrvaNTJJDcaZiDYT | will-the-ndp-win-a-supermajority-in | Will the NDP win a supermajority in the 2024 election in the Canadian province of British Columbia (BC)? | null | 1,699,216,293,727 | 1,729,407,540,000 | 1,729,441,568,789 | NO | 0.01 | 1,521.997199 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
tmbD79f2mQYkVKvLxHtl | will-kyrsten-sinema-win-reelection | Will Kyrsten Sinema win re-election in the 2024 US senate race in Arizona? | null | 1,680,633,569,508 | 1,731,093,098,682 | 1,731,093,098,682 | NO | 0.01 | 22,243.849833 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
hvcnzbj2lb | will-1-bitcoin-be-worth-100000-or-m | Will 1 bitcoin be worth $100,000 or more before 2025? | null | 1,722,684,984,795 | 1,733,425,855,364 | 1,733,425,855,364 | YES | 0.999998 | 415,452.907818 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
5llCgC9cPA | jill-stein-win-at-least-05-of-2024 | Jill Stein win at least 0.5% of 2024 Popular Vote? | null | 1,731,556,726,530 | 1,734,155,940,000 | 1,734,156,081,828 | YES | 0.99 | 1,041.199558 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
2AeQoMbI3bRHKuNLn9eW | will-a-republican-win-nebraskas-2nd | Will a Republican win Nebraska's 2nd district in the 2024 POTUS election? | null | 1,686,274,584,004 | 1,730,902,573,468 | 1,730,902,573,468 | NO | 0.010977 | 1,805.822472 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
EfUyxbVm9xHfl2n3r0p2 | will-the-population-of-california-g | Will the population of California go up from 2023 to 2024? | null | 1,714,943,482,565 | 1,735,495,975,827 | 1,735,495,975,827 | YES | 0.99 | 11,477.49143 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
3aMq3wL1jOATz1woyv1Q | will-a-democrat-win-the-2024-presid-9d0ae71a93d2 | Will a democrat win the 2024 presidential election in Oregon? | null | 1,670,815,370,709 | 1,731,293,066,106 | 1,731,293,066,106 | YES | 0.99 | 5,353.89136 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
LwoVx4ejkvcLQDwDrLyS | will-altman-run-for-president-or-an | Will Altman run for president or any party nomination? | null | 1,700,258,568,509 | 1,730,505,540,000 | 1,734,711,023,195 | NO | 0.01 | 1,734.306953 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
NcYmCONtQhBd70tg2ush | will-solana-hit-250-in-2024 | Will Solana hit $250 in 2024? | null | 1,711,855,822,992 | 1,732,249,846,602 | 1,732,249,846,602 | YES | 0.979703 | 1,434.895562 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
AFeGLI274SAO7Y00hgFX | will-an-impeachment-or-criminal-con | Will an impeachment or criminal conviction disqualify Trump from running in the 2024 presidential elections? | null | 1,687,330,983,139 | 1,733,452,601,150 | 1,733,452,601,150 | NO | 0.01 | 2,049.837559 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
OPPCcsRt6R | daily-coinflip-ydI85RCOuN | Daily coinflip | null | 1,731,037,242,504 | 1,731,128,340,000 | 1,731,128,946,276 | NO | 0.504926 | 17,954.131224 | Sports | Sports Culture & Recreation |
ATOR6lHTIjFuJCRcwejb | will-there-be-any-unfaithful-electo | Will there be any unfaithful electors in 2024? | null | 1,689,912,362,307 | 1,734,502,230,534 | 1,734,502,230,534 | NO | 0.012516 | 23,503.743914 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
pi66fmztc6 | nate-silver-100k-twitter-bet-will-t--cash | Will Trump win Florida by >8 points? [Nate Silver $100k Twitter Bet] | null | 1,728,070,337,192 | 1,730,893,785,693 | 1,730,937,196,751 | YES | 0.975036 | 10,764.002132 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
wjf0rv5xci | will-venom-3-have-a-recordbreaking | Will Venom 3 have a record-breaking opening weekend for the franchise? | null | 1,727,577,818,620 | 1,730,185,140,000 | 1,730,206,371,822 | NO | 0.01 | 1,447.08904 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
UOEZcypz9s | will-the-las-vegas-raiders-ravage-t-lgZuENsqtd | Will the Las Vegas Raiders pillage the Kansas City Chiefs? 🏈 (Black Friday) | null | 1,732,589,352,059 | 1,732,925,800,211 | 1,732,925,800,211 | NO | 0.01 | 14,913.49079 | Sports | Professional Sports |
R4uvi9y5tgT5onlkVs3E | nfl-week-15-dec-15-2024-will-the-ca | NFL Week 15 (Dec 15 2024): Will the Carolina Panthers (home) beat the Dallas Cowboys (away)? | null | 1,715,834,548,172 | 1,734,458,400,000 | 1,735,276,178,401 | NO | 0.012273 | 1,497.479934 | Sports | Professional Sports |
6eq26hstju | will-tim-walz-say-the-word-brat-bef | Will Tim Walz say the word “brat” before the election? | null | 1,723,762,741,957 | 1,730,879,940,000 | 1,730,943,278,961 | NO | 0.01 | 4,088.016001 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
v6w45h6dag | will-benoit-saint-denis-knockouttko | Will Benoit Saint Denis knockout/tko Renato Moicano? | null | 1,727,560,456,787 | 1,727,561,899,713 | 1,727,561,899,713 | NO | 0.01 | 8,850 | Sports | Individual Sports |
pHgf8b7ctMwIp6G0ecvt | will-nasa-end-the-current-new-horiz | Will NASA end the current New Horizons Mission? | null | 1,693,318,672,421 | 1,727,776,860,000 | 1,727,776,901,243 | NO | 0.03 | 2,824.029602 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
qms0U5dafq0ZKEmXFFBB | will-cornell-west-appear-on-the-bal-9d003a3f1008 | Will Cornell West appear on the ballot in Wisconsin in Nov 2024? | null | 1,709,156,771,764 | 1,729,768,630,820 | 1,729,768,630,820 | YES | 0.8 | 1,279.599136 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
cwiyfvx77u | will-trump-have-a-different-vp-for | Will JD Vance be replaced as Republican VP nominee? | null | 1,720,395,366,822 | 1,730,782,931,589 | 1,730,782,931,589 | NO | 0.01 | 29,128.355885 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
NtCImikjaQ4d1p5ZGwOe | will-the-climate-positive-public-li | Will the Climate Positive Public License gain adoption in the software industry? | null | 1,704,038,750,689 | 1,735,685,940,000 | 1,735,687,233,313 | NO | 0.01523 | 9,459.432383 | Technology | Computing & Software |
AsdgpPtIgl | will-i-get-a-2nd-mtg-regional-champ | Will I get a 2nd MtG Regional Championship qualification this weekend? | null | 1,730,227,736,512 | 1,730,782,740,000 | 1,730,784,489,062 | YES | 0.99 | 1,024.807929 | Sports | Individual Sports |
cL5X38U3cc1Z8bymJJ5P | will-the-europa-clipper-mission-suc | Will the Europa Clipper mission successfully launch in October 2024? | null | 1,693,509,597,541 | 1,728,927,886,652 | 1,728,927,886,652 | YES | 0.99 | 4,476.17194 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
COypU6hUqI | will-gisele-pelicot-be-time-person | Will Gisèle Pelicot be Time Person of the Year 2024 (POTY)? | null | 1,732,624,033,017 | 1,733,755,184,572 | 1,733,755,184,572 | NO | 0.042416 | 2,241.214975 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
ahaC9QuvZ1G7sq4QIwRP | will-starship-launch-in-september-2 | Will Starship launch in September 2024 | null | 1,700,448,687,711 | 1,727,841,540,000 | 1,727,844,478,962 | NO | 0.01 | 27,649.534489 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
1Fry0tHzXLQ9zQFDnjNJ | will-be-another-company-hit-trillio | Will be another company hit trillion dollar Mkt CAP within the next 6 months? | null | 1,704,416,494,538 | 1,734,771,372,855 | 1,734,771,372,855 | YES | 0.979873 | 3,207.898457 | Finance | Corporate Finance |
92eabtx59d | were-the-tesla-optimus-robots-teleo | Were the Tesla Optimus robots teleoperated at We, Robot? | null | 1,728,622,076,597 | 1,729,095,544,647 | 1,729,095,544,647 | YES | 0.94 | 1,770.736112 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
ecyfuqljx8 | will-kamala-harris-flip-a-state--cash | Will Kamala Harris flip a state? | null | 1,726,769,565,603 | 1,730,955,540,000 | 1,731,050,096,100 | NO | 0.009871 | 7,117.839766 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
oKUgYkfuK0vLLyDJpSy2 | will-a-colorado-pass-a-ballot-measu | Will Colorado pass a ballot measure in 2024 to make primaries open and enact ranked-choice voting? | null | 1,703,046,205,543 | 1,730,938,020,891 | 1,730,938,020,891 | NO | 0.040652 | 1,113.476131 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
QjP2jypCHkU0vGNj5Pc7 | will-the-republican-party-win-the-2 | Will the Republican party win the 2024 U.S. presidential election? | null | 1,682,649,706,868 | 1,731,015,552,968 | 1,731,015,552,968 | YES | 0.99 | 12,887.088171 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
tu9ckud3o8 | will-israel-launch-air-strikes-with | Will Israel launch air strikes within 100 km of Tehran by the end of 2024? | null | 1,727,773,943,216 | 1,729,966,221,713 | 1,729,966,221,713 | YES | 0.99 | 10,619.318778 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
QAqY8xFxIep05iodAk60 | will-bitcoin-hit-90k-before-2031092 | Will bitcoin hit $90k before 2031-09-27? | null | 1,685,686,281,191 | 1,731,508,692,845 | 1,731,508,692,845 | YES | 0.990363 | 35,201.714724 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
296ybaLp6xskH4pApIaQ | will-rfk-junior-reach-5-percent-of | Will RFK Junior reach 5 percent of the national Popular Vote? Current 538 polling average is 10.1 percent. | null | 1,714,440,288,975 | 1,730,864,400,000 | 1,731,437,555,270 | NO | 0.012363 | 20,835.471705 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
IR0BCwm3T3lWfJYO4xi1 | will-i-run-800km-this-year | Will I run 800km this year? | null | 1,708,419,196,698 | 1,730,264,174,973 | 1,730,264,174,973 | NO | 0.186404 | 2,369.743111 | Sports | Sports Culture & Recreation |
DaV0m6SVc1mkaeZhHjNX | will-iran-detonate-a-nuclear-weapon-9ed8a22b73a8 | Will Iran detonate a nuclear weapon before Nov 2024? | null | 1,705,772,469,926 | 1,730,576,494,979 | 1,730,576,494,979 | NO | 0.008761 | 12,984.789227 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
knk8030f14 | will-tcb-scans-upload-chapter-1127 | Will TCB Scans upload chapter 1127 of One Piece on September 19th? | null | 1,726,144,236,681 | 1,726,815,540,000 | 1,726,901,628,763 | NO | 0.24 | 2,433.749401 | Entertainment | Books & Literature |
wyg5ic1f5p | will-manifold-transform-the-site-in | Will Manifold transform the site in any way for Halloween? | null | 1,724,509,450,687 | 1,730,320,378,965 | 1,730,320,378,965 | YES | 0.989948 | 2,250.785044 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
O3MJBruUz5fnydYwsSxF | will-any-of-the-videos-uploaded-to-aa9383599ef5 | Will any of the videos uploaded to Joe Rogan's YouTube channel in Sep 2024 surpass 2M views? | null | 1,707,191,770,709 | 1,727,372,006,666 | 1,727,372,006,666 | YES | 0.99 | 1,483.294592 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
iADlG4vTG9A04S93OnyU | will-there-be-another-terrorist-att | Will there be another terrorist attack that Russia blames on Ukraine in 2024, causing at least 100 deaths? | null | 1,714,842,226,623 | 1,735,682,340,000 | 1,735,687,610,674 | NO | 0.052352 | 5,128.653321 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
xNO1IRIP9cUZHiXBz7SU | will-the-next-leader-of-the-conserv-c7a6c0611e73 | Will the next leader of the Conservative Party be Suella Braverman? | null | 1,684,171,201,606 | 1,730,566,027,594 | 1,730,566,027,594 | NO | 0.010053 | 13,473.799813 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
33vrxtwhmo | will-the-l-a-dodgers-play-the-balti | Will the L. A. Dodgers play the Baltimore Orioles in the 2024 MLB World Series? | null | 1,721,765,410,172 | 1,727,961,563,000 | 1,727,961,563,000 | NO | 0.01 | 12,849.822117 | Sports | Professional Sports |
L7P0PDv6wFpHGdnYswIz | will-iphone-16-be-a-foldable-phone | Will iPhone 16 be a foldable phone? | null | 1,679,682,954,671 | 1,731,555,770,613 | 1,731,555,770,613 | NO | 0.025159 | 2,256.771283 | Technology | Mobile & Consumer Electronics |
LhOrEf43G0i3wKKYCGF2 | will-strutheo-get-100000-traders-be | Will @strutheo get 100,000 traders in one life, before 2024 ends? | null | 1,713,152,259,755 | 1,733,717,772,617 | 1,733,717,772,617 | NO | 0.018649 | 11,408.925588 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
EFRNW3bUbE6L2UvTplTi | will-wikipedia-change-its-name-to-d-b45cc8c174e9 | Will Wikipedia change it's name to Dickipedia? | null | 1,698,075,048,210 | 1,729,742,340,000 | 1,729,787,634,378 | NO | 0.01 | 8,378.732314 | Technology | Internet & Digital Services |
Ku4PF7RMoyWDrYTZNYuX | will-there-be-interest-free-loans-o | Will there be interest free loans on manifold at any point before 2026? | null | 1,712,972,960,406 | 1,733,564,004,920 | 1,733,564,004,920 | YES | 0.992633 | 2,272.337934 | Finance | Personal Finance |
1Dr5MrkbH4qQErlfkXbS | will-real-money-political-predictio-b314527f7b80 | Will real money political prediction markets be legal in the US before the end of 2025? | null | 1,712,172,469,488 | 1,727,928,557,348 | 1,727,928,557,348 | YES | 0.99 | 3,182.027148 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
jbzEG4B7RiE9414V2nu7 | will-ameya-run-a-mile-in-60000-or-f | Will Ameya run a mile in 6:00.00 or faster before Jan 1, 2025 | null | 1,713,458,145,143 | 1,732,156,752,989 | 1,732,156,752,989 | YES | 0.99 | 2,582.035083 | Sports | Individual Sports |
1oZOuWU0Zcb9EwOz0RpT | will-the-federal-reserve-raise-inte-dd921dcf545a | Will the federal reserve raise interest rates at any time from March to November of '24? | null | 1,710,128,771,613 | 1,733,032,740,000 | 1,733,061,210,224 | NO | 0.012466 | 2,722.932628 | Finance | Economic Indicators |
x8408rev6b | will-a-finetuned-opensource-model-u | Will a “good” (fine-tuned) opensource model utilizing chain-of-thought reasoning like o1 be released by EOY 2024? | null | 1,726,245,826,515 | 1,734,705,420,896 | 1,734,705,426,471 | YES | 0.870292 | 4,804.433385 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
2wdjvpx9fv | will-twitter-x-remove-likes-or-retw | Will Twitter/X.com remove Likes OR Retweets counts on posts from public view by the end of September? | null | 1,719,970,310,552 | 1,727,841,540,000 | 1,727,885,638,370 | NO | 0.01 | 1,429.458971 | Technology | Internet & Digital Services |
efAYUzzePhyfcdaXGVXv | will-gop-win-ohio-in-the-2024-us-pr | Will GOP win Ohio in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election? | null | 1,705,764,852,813 | 1,730,988,994,361 | 1,730,988,994,361 | YES | 0.983263 | 1,133.148271 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
I6g7erM0wSH2X2hrcpOL | will-a-democrat-win-north-carolina-4e960bb4fc91 | Will a Democrat win North Carolina in the 2024 POTUS election? | null | 1,686,273,680,559 | 1,730,902,483,683 | 1,730,902,483,683 | NO | 0.01 | 2,506.082147 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
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