id stringlengths 9 20 | market_slug stringlengths 5 54 | question stringlengths 10 193 | firstGroup float64 | createdTime int64 1,641B 1,735B | closeTime int64 1,704B 1,736B | resolvedTime int64 1,727B 1,736B | resolution stringclasses 2 values | resolutionProbability float64 0 1 ⌀ | volume float64 1k 3.75M | pred_category stringclasses 11 values | pred_subcategory stringclasses 38 values |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
r1Svk5XtvrtUIhMD31bQ | will-the-52nd-mersenne-prime-be-dis | Will the 52nd Mersenne prime be discovered before the end of 2024? | null | 1,698,176,650,214 | 1,729,591,781,500 | 1,729,591,781,500 | YES | 0.99 | 13,404.450534 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
0xt3ffzxu3 | will-nvidia-be-higher-in-a-week | Will NVIDIA be higher in a week? | null | 1,728,579,573,795 | 1,729,199,980,909 | 1,729,199,980,909 | YES | 0.99 | 5,683 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
q86JQrfLpL3NsiHk7UNn | will-lebron-james-ever-play-an-nba | Will LeBron James ever play an NBA game with his son Bronny? | null | 1,668,370,394,839 | 1,728,329,693,943 | 1,728,329,693,943 | YES | 0.99 | 30,789.902472 | Sports | Professional Sports |
IgfAwEjbTDlv6tfS53n5 | will-donald-trump-be-convicted-of-o | Will Donald Trump be convicted of obstruction of justice in the documents case? | null | 1,686,351,798,705 | 1,732,670,567,470 | 1,732,670,567,470 | NO | 0.023311 | 23,732.217558 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
0ocdgwF6dzFSyJbB7nCK | will-trumps-january-6-trial-have-a | Will Trump’s January 6 trial have a verdict before Election Day? | null | 1,703,297,244,065 | 1,730,826,783,220 | 1,730,826,783,220 | NO | 0.01 | 11,202.796821 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
e0J52rR0pO8AfuG3iFVQ | will-donald-trump-and-volodymyr-zel-63b2633f4753 | Will Donald Trump and Volodymyr Zelensky meet in person in year 2024? | null | 1,706,416,301,077 | 1,727,532,589,964 | 1,727,532,589,964 | YES | 0.99 | 3,229.931062 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
gGYgSUPdigAaGHAQbo0q | will-all-manifold-features-be-avail | Will all Manifold features be available to the majority of EU users at the end of 2024? | null | 1,713,874,959,844 | 1,735,685,940,000 | 1,735,686,931,558 | NO | 0.057045 | 6,914.038784 | Technology | Internet & Digital Services |
WFSNAbYz2W7V9i4SHfwy | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-pres-5eea5ff9aa80 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 presidential election? | null | 1,671,947,243,629 | 1,730,912,302,254 | 1,730,912,302,254 | YES | 0.99 | 22,469.073338 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
sa5gf7gli5 | will-tim-walz-win-the-vp-debate | Will Tim Walz win the VP debate? | null | 1,727,820,073,925 | 1,727,848,920,000 | 1,728,349,724,457 | NO | 0.16 | 82,757.692771 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
xkxDcQAkaq74QZ9mo2pn | will-nikki-haley-be-the-next-presid | Will Nikki Haley be the next President of the United States? | null | 1,699,306,971,900 | 1,730,955,540,000 | 1,730,983,194,610 | NO | 0.01 | 15,206.304522 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
hvs6hmsype | will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-pkqhe6j9et | Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Oct 10 than it closed on Oct 9? | null | 1,728,504,371,711 | 1,728,590,512,559 | 1,728,590,512,559 | NO | 0.01 | 1,027.331906 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
tz4GG0PJYoLRRWs0kl4Z | will-there-be-a-split-between-the-p | Will there be a split between the popular vote and the electoral college in 2024? | null | 1,704,256,292,970 | 1,735,392,613,571 | 1,735,392,613,571 | NO | 0.01777 | 2,035.324119 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
gNfuszYpvZ1U8ZqKCTQ6 | will-jimmy-carter-be-alive-and-king | Will Jimmy Carter be alive AND King Charles still be king AND Nvidia stock is $90 AND BTC above $65K at EOY 2024? | null | 1,710,872,562,668 | 1,735,508,116,530 | 1,735,508,116,530 | NO | 0.014611 | 23,276.135332 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
fufv74b91e | will-a-new-indictment-against-trump | Will a new indictment against Trump be announced between October 1st and the election? | null | 1,727,901,272,513 | 1,730,955,540,000 | 1,730,955,699,035 | NO | 0.01 | 2,087.7771 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
k2fvir0flsFinl3QPrVO | will-dalle4-be-released-before-sep | Will Dalle-4 be released before Sep 2024? | null | 1,706,137,276,064 | 1,725,746,340,000 | 1,728,202,897,355 | NO | 0.01 | 1,235.495018 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
i5b8hzjmvo | will-kamala-brand-herself-as-tough | Will Kamala brand herself as Tough On Crime going into the election? | null | 1,721,656,361,473 | 1,731,016,740,000 | 1,731,268,498,893 | NO | 0.196973 | 121,642.878535 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
MlPWxUaVsQmeRbQ2iF92 | will-the-shape-of-starships-flaps-h | Will the shape of Starship's flaps have obvious visual changes for IFT5? | null | 1,717,791,079,837 | 1,728,824,327,017 | 1,728,824,327,017 | NO | 0.01 | 99,719.610083 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
tmuku8cn2f | will-qqq-close-above-525-on-any-day | Will QQQ close above 525 on any day of 2024? | null | 1,722,635,824,423 | 1,734,771,561,028 | 1,734,771,561,028 | YES | 0.99 | 9,338.684679 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
aTmWe2HpzbN1ht8edbs5 | will-any-of-the-hololive-regloss-vt | Will any of the Hololive ReGLOSS vtubers get 1 million subs on YouTube before 2025? | null | 1,693,873,542,989 | 1,735,041,412,448 | 1,735,041,412,448 | YES | 0.989997 | 3,993.543686 | Entertainment | Celebrity & Pop Culture |
KjtRz9zyauG1PdkbBGge | will-the-keys-to-the-white-house-co | Will The Keys to the White House correctly predict the 2024 election? | null | 1,702,484,994,255 | 1,730,869,140,000 | 1,730,936,065,242 | NO | 0.335683 | 25,639.163805 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
VJkCoJd2pWiZEnLdsdA4 | will-any-of-the-videos-uploaded-to-47de14d0a0b2 | Will any of the videos uploaded to Mark Rober's YouTube channel in Nov 2024 surpass 30M views? | null | 1,706,582,290,685 | 1,733,029,196,395 | 1,734,029,627,925 | NO | 0.01 | 1,116.666529 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
5m8jjf7xms | neither-trump-nor-biden-will-conced | Neither the Republican nor Democratic candidate (at the moment, Trump and Harris) will concede defeat by Dec. 5, 2024. | null | 1,720,646,015,651 | 1,730,933,091,217 | 1,730,933,091,217 | NO | 0.019147 | 7,758.889413 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
zrlj08qeq6 | will-ryan-wesley-routh-be-alive-in | Will Ryan Wesley Routh be alive in one week? | null | 1,726,453,006,608 | 1,727,063,940,000 | 1,727,088,782,597 | YES | 0.99 | 12,723.383754 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
ma7oi0lvmt | will-manifold-support-the-veto-of-a | Will Manifold support the veto of AI regulations bill SB 1047? | null | 1,727,694,404,189 | 1,728,359,940,000 | 1,728,392,560,994 | NO | 0.01 | 9,832.171793 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
dZNIIQYH93YSBaR4fURI | will-there-be-a-deep-sea-expedition | Will there be a deep sea expedition sent to recover/visit the wreckage of the Oceangate Titan sub before EOY 2035? | null | 1,708,319,846,048 | 1,726,762,441,448 | 1,726,762,441,448 | YES | 0.99 | 2,561.367727 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
uJdoA4QfHozcsarr1phW | by-the-end-of-q3-2024-will-max-harm | Will Max Harms release the full Crystal trilogy in audiobook form by end of Q3 2024? | null | 1,709,520,051,716 | 1,727,555,206,282 | 1,727,555,206,282 | YES | 0.95 | 2,844.176416 | Entertainment | Books & Literature |
FDtj0dTBJMZf63e9CFiN | will-the-price-of-bitcoin-surpass-1-b768a8904126 | Bitcoin $100K by Mar 31, 2025? | null | 1,704,865,056,129 | 1,733,371,015,574 | 1,733,371,015,574 | YES | 0.99 | 30,117.673133 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
VLqXav9cQNaLsIUHPD7E | will-another-bill-watterson-project | Will another Bill Watterson project be announced other than The Mysteries before 2025? | null | 1,682,322,716,188 | 1,735,664,438,394 | 1,735,664,438,394 | NO | 0.011171 | 1,035.286813 | Entertainment | Books & Literature |
ahqazbdie7 | will-scott-wiener-be-reelected-to-t | Will Scott Wiener be re-elected to the California senate? | null | 1,722,466,405,959 | 1,731,035,820,571 | 1,731,035,820,571 | YES | 0.989581 | 8,875 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
jwdqi5p27n | will-i-make-qualify-for-masters-lea | Will I make qualify for Masters league for first time this month? | null | 1,728,499,189,024 | 1,730,606,340,000 | 1,730,680,022,118 | NO | 0.01 | 34,968.543495 | Sports | Professional Sports |
1kq08lbtdk | will-jd-vance-release-any-of-his-ta | Will JD Vance release any of his tax returns before election day? | null | 1,725,127,142,036 | 1,730,805,901,485 | 1,730,805,901,485 | NO | 0.01 | 12,172.001847 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
tsEgtsslqI | will-boston-bruins-win-tonight-unde | Will Boston Bruins win tonight under new coach, Joe Sacco? Game against Utah Hockey Club? | null | 1,732,191,120,944 | 1,732,280,002,115 | 1,732,280,002,115 | YES | 0.96003 | 3,919.123158 | Sports | Professional Sports |
bHpnLmsU6OFvKpYN6YvG | will-joe-rogan-do-a-pod-with-donald | Will Joe Rogan do a podcast with Donald Trump? | null | 1,691,991,080,708 | 1,729,923,109,680 | 1,729,923,109,680 | YES | 0.99 | 21,044.363927 | Entertainment | Celebrity & Pop Culture |
y45kz7sDJAvnuN15c2jh | nfl-week-11-nov-14-2024-will-the-ph | NFL Week 11 (Nov 14 2024): Will the Philadelphia Eagles (home) beat the Washington Commanders (away)? | null | 1,715,834,232,371 | 1,731,806,100,000 | 1,731,810,002,895 | YES | 0.99 | 1,139.106019 | Sports | Team Sports |
umB9eZVje3tyQ9yh7sKo | will-iran-attack-israel-with-anothe | Will Iran attack Israel with another drone, missile or airstrike before the end of 2024? | null | 1,713,131,129,817 | 1,727,818,916,966 | 1,727,818,916,966 | YES | 1 | 127,387.162533 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
rx09i95nCWz0LRK23KU2 | -2024-ncaaf-will-any-former-pac12-t | 🏈 2024 NCAAF: Will any former Pac-12 team win its new conference's championship in the first year of membership? | null | 1,694,022,608,872 | 1,733,603,445,535 | 1,733,603,445,535 | YES | 0.99 | 1,466.666418 | Sports | College Sports |
ryhkml0kya | will-polymarkets-election-odds-matc | Will Polymarket's election odds match Nate Silver's (+/- 5) on election night? | null | 1,728,771,430,335 | 1,730,848,116,053 | 1,730,848,116,053 | NO | 0.199914 | 4,283.429977 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
DjPvPOJBhaUUkL9Rr5Pd | will-mike-pence-endorse-trump | Will Mike Pence endorse Trump? | null | 1,684,393,885,969 | 1,730,870,604,978 | 1,730,870,604,978 | NO | 0.010166 | 221,412.209918 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
6Quk1Xgni2lRJ9blGwIg | will-lauren-boebert-be-reelected-in-171e0c145829 | Will Lauren Boebert be re-elected in November 2024? | null | 1,697,137,938,527 | 1,730,782,800,000 | 1,731,537,944,167 | YES | 0.927211 | 7,461.16695 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
nyjJIs2JHVh9X3XgroDN | will-any-of-the-videos-uploaded-to-59924ac2cdb3 | Will any of the videos uploaded to Mr Beast's YouTube channel in Sep 2024 surpass 170M views? | null | 1,706,926,550,441 | 1,727,755,196,395 | 1,727,788,592,533 | NO | 0.01 | 1,019.25338 | Entertainment | Celebrity & Pop Culture |
5qqpfrea3p | will-both-kamala-harris-and-donald--cash | Will both Kamala Harris and Donald Trump flip a state? | null | 1,729,093,762,400 | 1,730,921,940,218 | 1,730,937,252,446 | NO | 0.010555 | 1,462.402932 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
n5ql7qfy59 | will-taylor-swift-have-announcedrel | Will Taylor Swift have announced/released all of her rerecordings before the scheduled end of the Eras Tour on 8/12/24? | null | 1,719,992,252,103 | 1,733,736,554,633 | 1,733,736,554,633 | NO | 0.040669 | 4,456.012174 | Entertainment | Music & Audio |
jux8cafbk5 | will-kamala-harris-appear-on-hot-on | Will Kamala Harris appear on “Hot Ones” before 10/31/24? | null | 1,721,654,892,153 | 1,730,682,228,890 | 1,730,682,228,890 | NO | 0.01 | 51,136.912408 | Entertainment | Celebrity & Pop Culture |
dwe0y5jh15 | will-north-korean-troops-enter-sout | Will North Korean troops intentionally enter South Korea by the end of November 2024? | null | 1,729,441,594,357 | 1,733,029,140,000 | 1,733,034,390,366 | NO | 0.01 | 1,193.054181 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
mpisum34wf | daily-coinflip-r5boh8jj1v | Daily coinflip | null | 1,728,537,483,971 | 1,728,705,540,000 | 1,728,711,491,654 | NO | 0.49 | 22,484.57255 | Gaming | null |
FgHafqEcPIG5CaAsU2Kn | nfl-week-13-dec-1-2024-will-the-bal | NFL Week 13 (Dec 1 2024): Will the Baltimore Ravens (home) beat the Philadelphia Eagles (away)? | null | 1,715,834,495,734 | 1,733,261,100,000 | 1,733,810,554,954 | NO | 0.01 | 1,709.166203 | Sports | Professional Sports |
0IuQYbRU7jqbk6wFswQI | will-sri-lankas-president-ranil-wic | Will Sri Lanka's current president, Ranil Wickremesinghe, win the presidential election in 2024? | null | 1,697,824,592,785 | 1,727,021,145,068 | 1,727,021,145,068 | NO | 0.01 | 10,287.480508 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
Yptms90iy9qIGnSkrAok | nfl-week-16-dec-22-2024-will-the-lo | NFL Week 16 (Dec 22 2024): Will the Los Angeles Chargers (home) beat the Denver Broncos (away)? | null | 1,715,834,626,632 | 1,735,074,300,000 | 1,735,164,043,585 | YES | 0.99 | 1,614.259998 | Sports | Professional Sports |
C9ZZ52ZsgL | will-fallout-win-best-adaptation-at | Will Fallout win Best Adaptation at The Game Awards? | null | 1,731,964,879,306 | 1,734,063,574,821 | 1,734,063,574,821 | YES | 0.99 | 3,220.547655 | Entertainment | Gaming |
0IU5p2yZuO | will-any-us-state-have-more-than-50-L25gc59Rnh | Will any U.S. State have more than 50,000 customers without power on or before 12/31/2024? | null | 1,732,494,769,197 | 1,733,839,662,847 | 1,733,839,662,847 | YES | 0.979118 | 5,918 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
AIf8YviqNDqRWzWny7mi | will-the-2024-time-person-of-the-ye-03367ddd9551 | Will the 2024 TIME person of the year have an IMDB page? | null | 1,710,455,729,013 | 1,733,956,395,471 | 1,733,956,395,471 | YES | 0.976216 | 10,414.522298 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
gvOwlHc9NYo1HZeMwrth | will-the-long-term-future-fund-exis | Will the Long Term Future Fund exist in a year? | null | 1,694,977,143,448 | 1,726,642,740,000 | 1,728,135,296,919 | YES | 0.99 | 4,981.878263 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
CU4j3EcOJNWJWjsTOaq1 | will-the-current-congress-pass-immi | Will the current Congress pass immigration reform before the election? | null | 1,706,610,291,892 | 1,730,843,940,000 | 1,730,889,126,635 | NO | 0.026104 | 5,211.293759 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
XyHvpNVGLH25x6zoJJof | will-rep-dean-phillips-win-the-us-2 | Will Rep. Dean Phillips win the US 2024 presidential election? | null | 1,698,442,941,551 | 1,731,277,615,665 | 1,731,277,615,665 | NO | 0.01 | 25,578.927594 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
aT9fk5KqD7cA4Hlw62hR | will-alaska-vote-to-repeal-ranked-c | Will Alaska vote to repeal Ranked Choice Voting by the end of 2024? | null | 1,708,845,985,246 | 1,733,900,186,745 | 1,733,900,186,745 | NO | 0.005576 | 10,066.547617 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
Cr1wWMe0JPf9W50fyUIy | will-openai-rebrand-or-change-their | Will OpenAI rebrand or change their name, even as a joke, in 2024? | null | 1,709,694,989,255 | 1,735,651,740,000 | 1,735,653,600,765 | NO | 0.024504 | 4,709.555688 | Technology | Tech Industry & Business |
ZYrGvzXMAXxh8IjYM2DG | will-the-penguin-batman-spinoff-tv | Will "The Penguin" (Batman spinoff TV show) have an IMDB rating >7.5, one week after release? | null | 1,711,138,966,976 | 1,733,155,842,586 | 1,733,155,842,586 | YES | 0.99 | 13,488.436393 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
mNccptRmfGGl9UZtl2wk | will-donald-trump-be-eligible-to-vo | Will Donald Trump be eligible to vote in the 2024 election? | null | 1,717,104,017,681 | 1,730,833,887,244 | 1,730,833,887,244 | YES | 0.982306 | 9,732.215485 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
CDiDZiDOOrABHWnmlNsf | will-china-launch-a-fullscale-invas-82010ec8d723 | Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of October? | null | 1,709,481,268,688 | 1,730,415,540,000 | 1,730,428,667,673 | NO | 0.013517 | 3,822.435341 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
yZvtrrHJyuoTBcaPOiGl | will-the-majority-of-countries-that | Will the majority of countries that pause funding to UNRWA in 2024 renew the funding in less than a year? | null | 1,706,553,094,648 | 1,729,799,415,821 | 1,729,799,415,821 | YES | 0.96 | 3,933.335615 | Geopolitics | International Relations |
nkepug2sla | will-mlbs-chicago-white-sox-set-a-n | Will MLB’s Chicago White Sox set a new record for the most losses (121+) this season? | null | 1,722,860,434,169 | 1,727,485,193,708 | 1,727,485,193,708 | YES | 0.98 | 21,471.02052 | Sports | Professional Sports |
fdqyMZ57jsfEfARt1mxs | will-openai-dalle-support-realtime | Will OpenAI / Dall-E support real-time AI image generation in 2024? | null | 1,713,517,598,069 | 1,735,671,732,155 | 1,735,671,743,860 | NO | 0.050583 | 5,679.939025 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
ApOOTYp1OqrFvAPErVx3 | nfl-week-17-dec-29-2024-will-the-ja | NFL Week 17 (Dec 29 2024): Will the Jacksonville Jaguars (home) beat the Tennessee Titans (away)? | null | 1,715,834,672,998 | 1,735,668,000,000 | 1,735,669,087,464 | YES | 0.99 | 1,011.489468 | Sports | Professional Sports |
Ami0S3fbvMLnZFIonqqk | will-any-candidate-get-a-majority-o | Will any candidate get a majority of the popular vote in 2024? | null | 1,689,387,581,696 | 1,733,032,740,000 | 1,733,044,116,070 | NO | 0.010285 | 27,361.687707 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
apIsdZJnOuYYIF40iyqI | will-kirsten-gillibrand-win-reelect | Will Kirsten Gillibrand win re-election in the 2024 US senate race in New York? | null | 1,680,634,102,038 | 1,731,293,498,757 | 1,731,293,498,757 | YES | 0.982351 | 1,121 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
8s6LfIjBiJiKE4dVAyxV | will-all-third-parties-reach-a-comb | Will all third parties reach a combined 5 percent nationally in 2024? | null | 1,711,151,236,134 | 1,730,929,800,000 | 1,731,654,103,599 | NO | 0.010991 | 6,588.249332 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
85wonkvs7m | will-polymarket-reach-69-on-trump-w | Will Trump reach 69% on Polymarket before Election Day? | null | 1,729,654,939,568 | 1,730,785,671,126 | 1,730,785,671,126 | NO | 0.038781 | 12,835.255552 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
ERTWIN6UTuV0t7XV4bA0 | will-tesla-cross-1tn-valuation-in-2 | Will Tesla Cross $1tn valuation in 2024 | null | 1,698,157,712,108 | 1,731,461,391,890 | 1,731,461,391,890 | YES | 0.991525 | 10,638.680404 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
6dphnVUjrA2s0dZbVjA6 | will-a-candidate-from-the-forward-p | Will a candidate from the "Forward Party" be elected to Congress by the end of 2024? | null | 1,674,250,146,150 | 1,730,851,140,000 | 1,734,747,647,439 | NO | 0.02484 | 2,714.006804 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
PWtNmDh02vzpdLcrEOne | will-openais-ai-video-model-sora-be | Will OpenAI’s AI Video model Sora be available to the public in 2024? | null | 1,708,038,677,530 | 1,733,819,541,347 | 1,733,819,554,486 | YES | 0.991007 | 123,876.545828 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
RDukJ3KZurRJmhm0Ny9p | will-destiny-debate-mehdi-hasan-bef | Will Destiny talk to Mehdi Hasan during 2024? | null | 1,701,029,782,305 | 1,730,870,846,400 | 1,730,870,846,400 | YES | 0.979361 | 6,987.691399 | Entertainment | Celebrity & Pop Culture |
C8RLZlUs0h | -2024-nfl-will-any-week-17-game-end | 🏈 2024 NFL: Will any Week 17 game end in Scorigami? | null | 1,734,307,365,740 | 1,735,621,140,000 | 1,735,631,426,431 | NO | 0.055469 | 1,138.706403 | Sports | Professional Sports |
qEhqAC9N9R | will-any-us-state-fail-to-certify-t | Will any US state fail to certify the election and submit a slate of electors before Jan/1/2025? | null | 1,730,493,302,559 | 1,735,424,392,165 | 1,735,424,392,165 | NO | 0.02086 | 7,725.095462 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
silMCgN6tsEkyxESXtIe | kylian-mbappe-will-score-more-than | KYLIAN MBAPPE will score more than 59 goals in all competitions in 2024? | null | 1,704,706,318,618 | 1,735,671,810,905 | 1,735,671,810,905 | NO | 0.04091 | 4,878.131198 | Sports | Professional Sports |
chZRPQI6tl | will-starship-ift6-successfully-com--cash | Will Starship's 6th test successfully complete an in-space relight and burn? | null | 1,731,438,083,142 | 1,732,073,950,967 | 1,732,118,639,781 | YES | 0.99 | 1,054.653654 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
yTVwIgy7Xc334RIMk3nZ | will-a-third-party-get-more-than-2 | Will a third party get more than 2% of the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Elections? | null | 1,705,523,237,663 | 1,730,959,140,000 | 1,730,999,949,832 | NO | 0.021929 | 1,859.226007 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
9NoUCusm6c7PXLcxQW7G | will-market-creators-be-able-to-bet | Will market creators be able to bet on their own market in 2024? | null | 1,681,734,581,650 | 1,731,291,189,477 | 1,731,291,189,477 | YES | 0.976874 | 1,716.614727 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
OoxiLgUc3MbxAH5kn4Zp | will-at-least-3-us-presidential-deb | Will at least 3 US presidential debates occur in the 2024 election | null | 1,688,355,271,789 | 1,730,954,449,967 | 1,730,954,449,967 | NO | 0.011769 | 60,553.019851 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
aeVUeJBsnV38Cw6nBbFH | will-nebraskas-second-congressional | Will Nebraska's Second Congressional District (NE-02) stay blue in 2024? | null | 1,695,658,932,640 | 1,730,869,140,000 | 1,730,949,604,775 | YES | 0.950803 | 1,521.135538 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
cLPAFRILk8uDEnyuiX0E | will-xi-jinping-visit-any-country-i-0ec09a7f2fab | Will Xi Jinping visit any country in South America by the end of 2024? | null | 1,697,944,943,074 | 1,731,637,442,927 | 1,731,637,442,927 | YES | 0.981597 | 2,919.113123 | Geopolitics | International Relations |
X7xFLqgj9mNaAGZXmNEm | will-the-iphone-16-have-a-5g-design | Will the iPhone 16 have a 5G modem not designed by Qualcomm? | null | 1,680,813,823,463 | 1,727,970,310,370 | 1,727,970,310,370 | NO | 0.01 | 13,159.660818 | Technology | Mobile & Consumer Electronics |
rjloneonsd | will-rupert-murdoch-win-his-court-c | Will Rupert Murdoch win his court case against his kids? | null | 1,721,881,181,366 | 1,733,860,004,602 | 1,733,860,004,602 | NO | 0.037457 | 5,370.285075 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
LGu3Gujg2HVyOjvRTblu | acx-2024-will-us-refugee-admissions | [ACX 2024] Will US refugee admissions exceed 100,000 in fiscal year 2024? | null | 1,704,115,957,257 | 1,728,214,860,596 | 1,728,214,860,596 | YES | null | 9,415.284472 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
JSiX6Bv5MjrTzAQ1uxh9 | will-openai-be-said-by-anyone-in-a | Will "OpenAI" be said by anyone in a Presidential debate in 2024? | null | 1,710,975,120,274 | 1,730,433,540,000 | 1,731,199,219,939 | NO | 0.022368 | 10,782.770153 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
r0uN7zwY0yRxBx0xq5Kj | will-israel-and-lebanonhezbollah-go | Will Israel and Lebanon/Hezbollah go to war in 2024? | null | 1,701,975,966,597 | 1,727,736,097,386 | 1,727,736,097,386 | YES | 0.99 | 138,807.294428 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
6PWCXisfOcaP0hIDQ3dr | will-a-presidential-candidate-will | Will a presidential candidate will be deceased (from natural causes) before the general elections | null | 1,705,027,070,988 | 1,730,869,140,000 | 1,731,214,876,035 | NO | 0.024615 | 3,811.698742 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
qx2dscmelh | will-joker-folie-a-deux-get-above-a | Will Joker: Folie à Deux get above a 6.0 on IMDb or a 3.0 on Letterboxd? | null | 1,727,872,949,080 | 1,729,321,140,000 | 1,729,345,209,168 | NO | 0 | 1,725.590721 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
ugxn0zrwzw | -shortfuse-1-in-3-odds-shzew5o2m3 | 🧨 Short-fuse 1 in 3 odds | null | 1,726,869,820,171 | 1,726,884,218,843 | 1,726,884,300,576 | NO | null | 1,942.49801 | Sports | Sports Culture & Recreation |
KOfmcwNGWzXESV0eBgE9 | will-ruben-gallego-d-win-the-2024-a | Will Ruben Gallego (D) win the 2024 Arizona Senate election? | null | 1,699,830,897,375 | 1,731,352,503,504 | 1,731,352,503,504 | YES | 0.990682 | 51,980.928693 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
akoaxu6i4WV4iSwbDqmo | will-the-first-attempt-to-catch-a-s | Will the first attempt to catch a starship booster with Mechazilla result in the booster exploding | null | 1,663,260,061,027 | 1,729,188,367,175 | 1,729,188,367,175 | NO | 0.01 | 21,484.227822 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
prRACdO3amkh8Naljk89 | will-australian-inflation-be-32-or | Will Australian inflation be 3.2% or greater in Q3 2024? | null | 1,710,934,584,882 | 1,730,294,940,000 | 1,730,322,363,063 | NO | 0.01 | 1,115.475802 | Finance | Economic Indicators |
g6QAvcRp05I0e5YyygmS | will-elizabeth-warren-win-the-2024-c66420b284c1 | Will Elizabeth Warren win the 2024 senatorial race? | null | 1,684,675,342,331 | 1,730,869,140,000 | 1,731,093,659,426 | YES | 0.936356 | 1,502.727114 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
b6suhzgONdKd9Yc5qJQp | nfl-week-5-oct-6-will-the-seattle-s | NFL Week 5 (Oct 6): Will the Seattle Seahawks beat the New York Giants? | null | 1,715,834,007,271 | 1,728,287,197,639 | 1,728,287,197,639 | NO | 0.01 | 1,773.808735 | Sports | Professional Sports |
77IiCpM4otVcQzaZ5fNQ | do-cyber-trucks-have-a-rust-problem | Do Cyber Trucks have a rust problem? | null | 1,708,036,147,258 | 1,734,644,302,717 | 1,734,644,302,717 | NO | 0.050001 | 7,937.116919 | Technology | Mobile & Consumer Electronics |
d9njw2l46e | will-trump-regularly-tweet-until-th | Will Trump regularly tweet until the election? | null | 1,723,486,188,577 | 1,730,765,382,186 | 1,730,765,382,186 | YES | 0.99 | 24,409.272393 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
n57fm2p22w | will-kamala-harris-go-on-the-joe-ro--cash | Will Kamala Harris go on the Joe Rogan Experience before the 2024 election? | null | 1,729,091,559,547 | 1,730,860,514,848 | 1,730,860,514,848 | NO | 0.01 | 2,567.904942 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
y3FGB5RkeDI3ZRV3us5L | will-starship-launch-5-times-in-202 | Will Starship launch at least 5 times in 2024? | null | 1,682,096,231,678 | 1,735,653,789,140 | 1,735,653,789,140 | NO | 0.01 | 57,410.95009 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
Q69Drl1CYZpoG46EYGGl | will-manifold-reach-2000-daily-acti-2afd80c2f49f | Will Manifold Reach 2000 Daily Active Users in Nov 2024? | null | 1,706,916,262,520 | 1,730,897,144,705 | 1,730,897,144,705 | YES | 0.99 | 1,648.898997 | Technology | Internet & Digital Services |
oeodp6mka3 | will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-03y2yr5996 | Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Sept 23 than it closed on Sept 20? | null | 1,726,862,854,789 | 1,727,121,812,433 | 1,727,121,812,433 | YES | 0.98 | 1,068.320434 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
XOlGM1i30mIooThIOdso | will-daniel-ricciardo-remain-an-rb | Will Daniel Ricciardo remain an RB driver for the entire 2024 Formula 1 season? | null | 1,710,084,696,602 | 1,727,380,044,030 | 1,727,380,044,030 | NO | 0.01 | 17,234.579189 | Sports | Professional Sports |
Subsets and Splits
No community queries yet
The top public SQL queries from the community will appear here once available.