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5uKfYDRuCKeonUWzuKGB | will-scott-alexander-endorse-ron-de | Will Scott Alexander endorse Ron DeSantis (for president) in 2024? | null | 1,672,821,955,803 | 1,732,924,203,173 | 1,732,924,203,173 | NO | 0.010028 | 9,825.590032 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
jqhzo9vwe2 | will-i-be-able-to-buy-mana-in-the-s | Will I be able to buy mana in the shop within 30 days? | null | 1,725,209,080,278 | 1,727,819,940,000 | 1,727,854,400,949 | NO | 0.01 | 1,908.038595 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
elZc0TvxRMUHyOeoX7tt | will-jimmy-carter-be-alive-on-the-d-14f34940e143 | Will Jimmy Carter be alive on the day Spider-man Beyond the Spiderverse releases? | null | 1,711,221,487,460 | 1,735,507,335,930 | 1,735,507,335,930 | NO | 0.015638 | 8,434.367835 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
j3z9q8q6em | will-kamala-harris-win-the-new-york | Will Kamala Harris win the New York State Presidential Election by at least 20%? | null | 1,724,631,181,234 | 1,730,872,769,760 | 1,730,872,769,760 | NO | 0.458112 | 9,359.50051 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
cp7lirz6ta | mill-nasa-confirm-the-discovery-of | Mill NASA confirm the discovery of aliens | null | 1,728,444,415,522 | 1,729,119,540,000 | 1,730,449,050,194 | NO | 0.01 | 1,431.095082 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
gr2iDRlO5dEuD3lA6KMk | will-biden-release-any-oil-from-the | Will Biden release any oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve before the elections? | null | 1,715,913,012,296 | 1,731,085,652,329 | 1,731,085,652,329 | NO | 0.195067 | 1,528.786629 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
BzjgLuerRdBpVMsuuZRx | 20241029-will-amd-close-above-111 | 2024-10-29: Will AMD close above $111? | null | 1,718,121,859,326 | 1,730,260,740,000 | 1,730,448,974,231 | YES | 0.99 | 1,196.029821 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
b90h8g2nrh | will-trump-be-photographed-holding-oo6f90rc5e | 👶 Will Trump be photographed holding a baby before election day? | null | 1,722,018,215,899 | 1,730,849,731,106 | 1,730,849,731,106 | NO | 0.01 | 26,814.211407 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
lquRALqA0g | will-the-winner-of-the-2024-electio-AU9qsOZq9P | Will the winner of the 2024 election name their competitor in their victory speech? | null | 1,730,814,695,437 | 1,730,948,290,230 | 1,730,948,290,230 | NO | 0.01 | 1,125.836488 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
qDLgTN10k22xPJpTh2qg | will-andy-jassy-leave-the-role-of-a-103a2c9c153d | Will Andy Jassy leave the role of Amazon’s CEO by the end of 2024? | null | 1,689,098,299,483 | 1,735,620,587,868 | 1,735,620,587,868 | NO | 0.01 | 11,869.909657 | Technology | Tech Industry & Business |
lx52495kkb | will-metafacebook-and-apple-announc | Will Facebook (Meta) and Apple announce an AI partnership on an iPhone device by the end of November 2024? | null | 1,719,266,340,146 | 1,733,029,140,000 | 1,733,077,737,362 | NO | 0.018195 | 14,300.37774 | Technology | Tech Industry & Business |
qPJOVVqXnsEcRPiUmysO | this-market-will-resolve-yes-if-im | This market will resolve YES if I'm still active on Manifold by the end of 2024, and NO otherwise. I will bet only YES. | null | 1,697,271,601,818 | 1,735,657,970,221 | 1,735,657,970,221 | YES | 0.99 | 6,933.791132 | Sports | Sports Culture & Recreation |
Cnz59C2dLP | will-portland-oregon-see-major-viol | Will Portland, Oregon see major, violent protests/riots during election week | null | 1,730,568,877,259 | 1,731,311,940,000 | 1,731,337,949,785 | NO | 0.00993 | 15,951.486509 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
qsmwehptgj | will-a-hurricane-cause-over-1-billi | Will a hurricane cause over $1 billion in damage in Florida by the end of 2024? | null | 1,721,598,912,434 | 1,727,542,195,672 | 1,727,542,195,672 | YES | 0.83 | 1,628.910865 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
wKbR2SFRJY8I5ZIEbcfN | will-russia-launch-major-offensive-9c5e3e376432 | Will Russia launch a major offensive on Kharkiv before September? | null | 1,715,343,699,677 | 1,729,029,540,000 | 1,729,532,411,612 | NO | 0.01 | 14,659.062911 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
bGLl5bGkeDyVPcvmt834 | will-the-tipping-point-state-be-dec | Will the tipping point state be decided by less than 2% in the 2024 POTUS election? | null | 1,689,392,774,004 | 1,733,032,740,000 | 1,733,382,251,231 | YES | 0.977608 | 1,741.524825 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
RDWu8WcOwoL5MdAr1Wmz | will-gpt5-be-released-before-dec-20-0a804511572e | Will GPT-5 be released before Dec 2024? | null | 1,705,689,062,945 | 1,733,354,579,198 | 1,733,354,579,198 | NO | 0.01 | 25,409.748971 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
94ymeebq9q | subsidized-10k-will-all-seven-state | [Subsidized 10K] Will all seven states (NC, GA, PA, MI, WI, AZ, NV) swing blue in November? | null | 1,723,898,123,823 | 1,730,847,729,566 | 1,730,893,658,153 | NO | 0.152331 | 82,316.564303 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
PldS55suaemqQRyUta3q | will-the-2024-us-presidential-elect-e4edcb394556 | Will the 2024 US Presidential Election occur on schedule? | null | 1,705,963,527,397 | 1,730,872,740,000 | 1,730,913,242,512 | YES | 0.98 | 2,785.898695 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
q7s9xl4lw9 | iran-military-response-before-octob | Iran military response before October? | null | 1,727,481,500,508 | 1,728,028,718,054 | 1,728,028,718,054 | NO | 0.01 | 1,509.588065 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
P9zLtOhNCU | will-syrian-rebels-control-hama-by | Will Syrian rebels control Hama by the end of 2024? | null | 1,733,234,210,535 | 1,733,492,407,681 | 1,733,492,407,681 | YES | 0.948818 | 3,845.377639 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
goXv3WzFGiop2BPBrrHb | if-trump-gets-enough-votes-to-win-t | If Trump gets enough votes to win the nomination and is also convicted, will he still be the candidate on election day? | null | 1,699,682,928,059 | 1,730,822,340,000 | 1,730,840,750,891 | YES | 0.99 | 10,369.347838 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
L2ROg6pQLh | will-magnus-carlsen-beat-fabiano-ca | Will Magnus Carlsen beat Fabiano Caruana in the Freestyle Chess Match? | null | 1,732,052,453,714 | 1,732,293,468,066 | 1,732,293,468,066 | YES | 0.988505 | 12,810.227944 | Sports | Individual Sports |
GBepiGMBb72RpbEdAnQl | soair-23-510-will-the-genai-scaling | SoAIR '23 5/10: Will the GenAI scaling craze see a group spend >$1B to train a single large-scale model by Oct 24? | null | 1,697,725,882,617 | 1,728,661,564,869 | 1,728,661,564,869 | NO | 0.04 | 3,911.762676 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
ZjfqkOvlKpQrFnATQ4oL | -2024 | Присоединит ли Россия Молдову к концу 2024 года? | null | 1,689,874,847,239 | 1,735,608,419,342 | 1,735,608,419,342 | NO | 0.01 | 2,086.923467 | Geopolitics | Regional Affairs |
44qa2rzl9c | metaculus-will-the-usd-be-worth-093 | [Metaculus] Will the USD be worth 0.935 EUR or more at the close of trading on any day before October 1, 2024? | null | 1,724,426,421,876 | 1,727,823,108,229 | 1,727,823,108,229 | NO | null | 9,080.723918 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
ascmv3sb01 | will-i-bayesian-stay-in-masters-in | Will I (@Bayesian) stay in Masters in September (Season 17)? | null | 1,725,994,653,966 | 1,727,837,040,054 | 1,727,837,040,054 | NO | 0.01 | 2,277.922094 | Sports | Team Sports |
f8hPsJURaBTjE3M25KwM | will-fed-decrease-its-interest-rate | Will the Fed cut rates before October 21st? | null | 1,702,009,582,986 | 1,727,214,507,450 | 1,727,214,507,450 | YES | 0.99 | 59,477.58132 | Finance | Economic Indicators |
bzhawkpqv9 | will-milton-be-a-category-4-by-the | Will Milton be at least a catagory 4 by the end of 10/8 EST. | null | 1,728,273,076,560 | 1,728,448,799,214 | 1,728,448,799,214 | YES | 0.99 | 13,886.787216 | Sports | Professional Sports |
srxr8bksi | will-the-ap-call-the-2024-election | Will the AP call the 2024 election on election night? | null | 1,723,897,042,750 | 1,730,883,669,347 | 1,730,883,669,347 | NO | 0.015416 | 36,992.746968 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
Fc13JPhicEu2ZPWsIesz | at-midnight-nov-5th-will-nyts-needl | At midnight Nov 5th, will NYT's Needle calling a higher probability of victory to a democrat presidential candidate? | null | 1,680,973,875,263 | 1,730,869,140,000 | 1,730,869,507,383 | NO | 0.352252 | 1,666.733673 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
uvPiwXefjckzMVkVITfy | will-republicans-take-the-majority | Will Republicans take the majority in the US Senate in 2024? | null | 1,672,930,071,258 | 1,730,870,793,310 | 1,730,870,793,310 | YES | 0.986137 | 1,312,488.121568 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
02GMLRo9UmtF1VQC82ss | will-tim-kaine-win-reelection-in-th | Will Tim Kaine win re-election in the 2024 US senate race in Virginia? | null | 1,680,634,290,396 | 1,730,912,415,986 | 1,730,912,415,986 | YES | 0.99 | 2,276.257314 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
kxf95o2EtDgKFKSBrNkR | will-donald-trump-receive-more-than | Will Donald Trump receive more than 46.00% of the popular vote in the 2024 general presidential election? | null | 1,703,773,954,891 | 1,730,996,553,305 | 1,730,996,553,305 | YES | 0.974253 | 9,325.47976 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
sYkTlxCdAxZikYx8ijLX | will-mitch-mcconnell-still-be-the-r | Will Mitch McConnell still be the Republican leader in the Senate for the 119th Congress? | null | 1,699,214,040,891 | 1,731,520,019,285 | 1,731,520,019,285 | NO | 0.01507 | 1,813.328722 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
0PiSf0eXaumdgbNu37aR | will-the-eu-be-ruled-by-women | Will the EU be ruled by women? | null | 1,705,577,786,662 | 1,733,093,940,000 | 1,734,453,076,848 | NO | 0.01 | 1,009.553574 | Politics | Government Structure |
q11yms8f0r | will-the-democratic-vp-nominee-and | Will the Democratic VP nominee and the Republican VP nominee shake hands at a VP debate prior to the election? | null | 1,722,180,207,271 | 1,727,851,169,196 | 1,727,851,169,196 | YES | 0.91 | 2,310.000004 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
ie2hgv2ye7 | electoral-college-result-to-be-one | Electoral college result to be one of these 10 "likeliest" outcomes? | null | 1,728,960,503,788 | 1,733,515,692,223 | 1,733,515,692,223 | YES | 0.99 | 1,019.431882 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
16axh4obfy | metaculus-will-the-us-federal-reser | [Metaculus] Will the US Federal Reserve make an emergency rate cut before September 17, 2024? | null | 1,723,214,091,280 | 1,726,682,400,000 | 1,726,855,903,949 | NO | null | 9,633.735617 | Finance | Economic Indicators |
kfnacrhrlp | will-a-hurricane-cause-over-1-billi-xhrxrzyvfv | Will a hurricane cause over $1 billion in damage in Florida by the end of 2024? | null | 1,721,599,008,374 | 1,727,542,265,393 | 1,727,542,265,393 | YES | 0.8 | 1,056.86558 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
SqIxw9fPtGqu9VanguCP | will-the-crew-reach-elbaf-in-2024 | Will the crew reach elbaf in 2024? | null | 1,709,204,728,369 | 1,732,315,531,039 | 1,732,315,531,039 | YES | 0.948972 | 11,330.24189 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
W9Ec9q9S0Yut3uBcGAKe | will-whatsapp-usernames-be-generall | Will Whatsapp usernames be generally available before the end of 2024? | null | 1,708,685,533,670 | 1,735,685,940,000 | 1,735,687,984,207 | NO | 0.021448 | 7,094.655197 | Technology | Internet & Digital Services |
0clNnyhZ9Z | daily-coinflip-RhZOLqUy5Z | Daily coinflip | null | 1,730,086,359,986 | 1,730,253,600,000 | 1,730,254,391,516 | YES | 0.495074 | 5,211.505482 | Sports | Sports Culture & Recreation |
mKtB9yTzbSA3HvZxCIiY | will-joe-bidens-approval-rating-be-1c6ee82f65a3 | Will Joe Biden's approval rating be higher than 45% on election day? | null | 1,711,617,480,558 | 1,730,869,140,000 | 1,731,199,206,037 | NO | 0.011181 | 12,893.921603 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
SwXpzjW7JbP9ViKx4GBU | will-this-market-get-more-than-1000 | Will this market get more than 1000 different traders? | null | 1,703,602,041,303 | 1,733,093,940,000 | 1,733,341,541,456 | NO | 0.01 | 2,745.020655 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
Igrfl5TYoXi6bEPNO9m2 | will-the-candidate-who-wins-north-c | Will the candidate who wins North Carolina win the 2024 POTUS election? | null | 1,690,286,437,604 | 1,730,878,823,749 | 1,730,878,823,749 | YES | 0.948466 | 5,025.505579 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
cASIdPN2cl | will-this-disputed-polymarket-about | Will this disputed Polymarket about whether there will be a US government shutdown in 2024 resolve to "yes"? | null | 1,734,799,820,616 | 1,735,100,348,531 | 1,735,100,348,531 | YES | 0.99 | 17,878.026989 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
2fyej0us8a | will-manicode-reach-top-5-on-produc | Will Manicode reach top 5 on Product Hunt today? | null | 1,729,496,585,552 | 1,729,580,340,000 | 1,729,800,094,490 | NO | 0.03 | 4,860 | Technology | Internet & Digital Services |
Iz1h8okoT9Y1piHDtJZI | will-donald-trump-be-the-gop-candid | Will Donald Trump Be The GOP Candidate for The 2024 Presidential Election | null | 1,694,542,523,434 | 1,721,343,540,000 | 1,731,035,236,237 | YES | 0.989113 | 3,755.81671 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
LlR6lZ5RNs | will-the-jake-paul-mike-tyson-fight | Will the Jake Paul - Mike Tyson fight end with Knockout? | null | 1,731,721,544,620 | 1,731,735,852,802 | 1,731,735,852,802 | NO | 0.008418 | 14,577.905501 | Sports | Individual Sports |
EbrOVtYEV0ZBWG0ElYoa | will-trump-concede-by-end-of-novemb | Will Trump concede by end of November? | null | 1,706,556,533,252 | 1,730,904,784,323 | 1,730,904,784,323 | NO | 0.01 | 10,289.977515 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
BVFGQBehvqtmnyA83WJR | will-ted-cruz-be-the-next-republica | Will Ted Cruz be the next Republican elected President? | null | 1,691,512,993,163 | 1,732,218,043,390 | 1,732,218,043,390 | NO | 0.011283 | 11,868.704766 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
9E3HWNZtPckbnBTqNmqQ | will-a-republican-win-michigan-in-t | Will a Republican win Michigan in the 2024 POTUS election? | null | 1,686,274,017,171 | 1,730,927,727,843 | 1,730,927,727,843 | YES | 0.99 | 1,032.172912 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
aXGZT0DI0ee6GinaYnrD | will-robert-f-kennedy-jr-win-more-t | Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win more than 1% of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election? | null | 1,696,034,572,403 | 1,730,899,740,000 | 1,732,277,592,846 | NO | 0.07 | 27,296.681686 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
XoVg0RSdJemizF1XsKbu | will-any-of-the-2024-time-100-be-na | Will any of the 2024 TIME 100 most influential people be named on the 2024 TIME Person of The Year Shortlist? | null | 1,713,633,606,603 | 1,733,757,982,179 | 1,733,757,982,179 | YES | 0.971628 | 2,085.971699 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
xmfoc3qvak | will-the-nintendo-switch-2-or-other | Will the "Nintendo Switch 2" (or other successor) be revealed in October 2024? | null | 1,726,954,290,231 | 1,730,444,340,000 | 1,730,446,699,030 | NO | 0.002519 | 43,164.217866 | Entertainment | Gaming |
6bIzZco5lH36iBZ0nAR9 | will-bitcoin-hit-85k-in-2024 | Will Bitcoin hit $85K in 2024? | null | 1,710,038,227,943 | 1,731,351,677,281 | 1,731,351,677,281 | YES | 0.98983 | 111,680.274905 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
EdbwGxgmKWxxuLXMSDxK | will-washington-pass-ballot-initiat | Will Washington pass ballot initiative 2117? | null | 1,710,375,090,926 | 1,731,546,480,000 | 1,731,598,881,592 | NO | 0.012325 | 1,401.138913 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
0ie0AReJYHasUBcySpV6 | will-ranked-choice-voting-be-releva | Will ranked choice voting be relevant in the 2024 presidential election? | null | 1,704,859,758,074 | 1,731,236,764,779 | 1,731,236,764,779 | NO | 0.034472 | 5,092.356009 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
a2pu75itce | will-twitchtv-ban-asmongold-for-his | Will Twitch.tv ban asmongold for his islamophobic rant on stream from october 14 2024? | null | 1,728,943,855,715 | 1,729,024,255,083 | 1,729,024,255,083 | YES | 0.96 | 4,833.240372 | Entertainment | Gaming |
DRYzSz27nrULDMSnjDeI | will-a-dutch-politician-hit-another | Will a Dutch politician hit another Dutch politician before Christmas? | null | 1,711,612,933,182 | 1,735,426,740,000 | 1,735,461,669,016 | NO | 0.01 | 12,099.403026 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
OVN9SjFnvKGQTmNd92MB | given-the-current-state-of-politics | Given the current state of politics, will the House of Rep flip from Republican to Democratic leadership Nov 5, 2024? | null | 1,698,292,406,924 | 1,731,571,140,000 | 1,731,711,415,425 | NO | 0.013847 | 1,548.957663 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
npshj316l8 | will-donald-trump-die-before-electi-dts9lszkyj | Will Donald Trump die before election day (November 5)? | null | 1,721,778,187,879 | 1,730,785,213,617 | 1,730,785,213,617 | NO | 0.014984 | 18,235.236642 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
gop4ytjhgx | will-trump-win-and-nominate-rfk-to | Will Trump win and nominate RFK to a cabinet position? | null | 1,729,113,892,132 | 1,733,169,917,154 | 1,733,169,917,154 | YES | 0.952684 | 670,502.444486 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
qUrL0LtTeNs5xYdxhwjJ | will-there-be-another-perfect-game | Will there be another perfect game pitched in Major League Baseball by the end of the 2024 season? | null | 1,688,079,287,549 | 1,730,409,957,360 | 1,730,409,957,360 | NO | 0.010109 | 14,519.848488 | Sports | Professional Sports |
uz243y8fak | will-there-be-at-least-4-decisive-c--cash | Will there be at least 4 decisive classical games in the 2024 World Chess Championship? | null | 1,728,529,713,531 | 1,733,754,598,742 | 1,733,790,307,773 | YES | 0.983242 | 1,633.357527 | Sports | Individual Sports |
r4fqec1AJQopHUqgcdFd | will-taylor-swift-be-mentioned-in-t | Will Taylor Swift be mentioned in the 2024 US Presidential Debates? | null | 1,702,595,067,753 | 1,730,841,337,363 | 1,730,841,337,363 | NO | 0.01 | 36,787.59811 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
0P8C9JjY5lPEyvRdoqIj | will-a-democrat-win-the-2024-presid-e87e103e415a | Will a democrat win the 2024 presidential election in Michigan? | null | 1,670,814,984,925 | 1,733,084,040,903 | 1,733,084,040,903 | NO | 0.01 | 22,930.328669 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
lv0E6pEhwtRCEaJBr9wv | will-spacex-successfully-catch-a-bo | Will SpaceX successfully catch a booster within the first five Starship flights? | null | 1,681,863,083,669 | 1,728,825,887,182 | 1,728,825,887,182 | YES | 1 | 36,300.600121 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
mLnL4mvPxJuLQiYGMq7c | would-the-general-public-knowledge | Would the general public narrative about why Sam Altman was fired from OpenAI be significantly different 1 year later? | null | 1,700,569,353,858 | 1,732,948,140,000 | 1,733,948,687,887 | NO | 0.046517 | 4,234.410764 | Technology | Tech Industry & Business |
pSCztCzOER | will-there-be-a-new-major-llm-relea | Will there be a new major LLM released by OpenAI or Anthropic by the end of 2024? | null | 1,733,067,213,502 | 1,733,425,230,680 | 1,733,425,230,680 | YES | 0.853614 | 7,096.76374 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
K2mhY6KdANcmixrcO7BD | nfl-week-4-sep-29-will-the-green-ba | NFL Week 4 (Sep 29): Will the Green Bay Packers beat the Minnesota Vikings? | null | 1,715,833,661,655 | 1,727,656,278,005 | 1,727,656,278,005 | NO | 0.01 | 2,066.981822 | Sports | Professional Sports |
rVp4VH3BA1wICXTXltrY | will-the-jimmy-apples-agi-tweet-sta | Will the Jimmy Apples AGI tweet stand a test of time | null | 1,695,077,861,393 | 1,726,679,234,508 | 1,727,301,781,050 | NO | 0.03 | 6,034.615275 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
mGjjbcsVYXNXAniaMdsg | will-a-democrat-win-the-2024-presid-98b55b929b04 | Will a democrat win the 2024 presidential election in Arizona? | null | 1,670,813,624,928 | 1,731,293,083,639 | 1,731,293,083,639 | NO | 0.01 | 21,337.24339 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
CqON0Ql8tI | acx-2024-will-there-be-faithless-el--cash | [ACX 2024] Will there be faithless electors in the 2024 US Presidential election? | null | 1,730,485,600,171 | 1,734,531,293,511 | 1,734,572,515,016 | NO | 0.010228 | 2,901.239515 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
zB33HNpLpL5UCLW9nyH0 | will-vladimir-putin-attend-the-2024 | Will Vladimir Putin attend the 2024 G20 Summit in Rio de Janeiro? | null | 1,703,960,038,794 | 1,731,992,340,000 | 1,735,683,425,461 | NO | 0.027534 | 4,182.133999 | Geopolitics | International Relations |
sUlU7OZayKThBD1BkoF9 | will-a-democrat-win-the-2024-us-sen-bb662e4a0d54 | Will a Democrat win the 2024 US Senate election in Pennsylvania? | null | 1,670,857,066,454 | 1,732,262,741,776 | 1,732,262,741,776 | NO | 0.023249 | 5,148.031434 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
yfRXRMjawkF5fMzlM043 | will-joe-biden-be-reelected-in-2024-332847ff192c | Will Joe Biden be re-elected in 2024? | null | 1,694,022,995,948 | 1,730,940,287,760 | 1,730,940,287,760 | NO | 0.025873 | 30,717.083764 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
c2dbsa5ah2 | will-the-libertarian-party-get-over | Will the Libertarian Party get over 2% of the popular vote in the 2024 US election? | null | 1,721,916,341,823 | 1,731,020,340,000 | 1,731,053,266,200 | NO | 0.01 | 12,648.193023 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
ndZuWEeywXhEDQO0Shlg | will-a-democrat-win-the-2024-us-sen-48c27d4fe010 | Will a Democrat win the 2024 US Senate election in Florida? | null | 1,670,857,071,993 | 1,730,913,928,005 | 1,730,913,928,005 | NO | 0.019639 | 22,307.030714 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
5r3JhrQo01eJGxpNA2dg | acx-2024-will-there-be-faithless-el | [ACX 2024] Will there be faithless electors in the 2024 US Presidential election? | null | 1,704,115,913,590 | 1,734,531,293,511 | 1,734,531,293,511 | NO | 0.005881 | 61,778.588769 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
DqyxfMlgmulh3WVXJ6Qe | will-bernie-sanders-win-reelection | Will Bernie Sanders win re-election in the 2024 US senate race in Vermont? | null | 1,680,634,266,377 | 1,731,290,824,389 | 1,731,290,824,389 | YES | 0.988506 | 19,131.032749 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
EsYOVryRswtPxZ5FyLPW | will-trumps-twitter-dms-and-draft-t | Will Trump’s Twitter DMs and draft tweets prove to be damning evidence against him in his January 6 trial? | null | 1,692,744,253,961 | 1,732,806,521,918 | 1,732,806,521,918 | NO | 0.110051 | 1,653.388316 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
HLLxSNjUvc5xb00ybmUJ | nfl-week-4-sep-30-will-the-miami-do | NFL Week 4 (Sep 30): Will the Miami Dolphins beat the Tennessee Titans? | null | 1,715,833,684,014 | 1,727,750,997,930 | 1,727,750,997,930 | NO | 0.01 | 1,088.168846 | Sports | Professional Sports |
hdSF9vnaZzgkyWDKGru3 | will-yahya-sinwar-die-of-pneumonia | Will Yahya Sinwar die of pneumonia in 2024? | null | 1,708,503,051,823 | 1,729,386,016,834 | 1,729,386,016,834 | NO | 0.01 | 1,908.495723 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
1mp1n6GcakU8Omct1OD3 | will-i-run-more-than-500-km-in-2024 | Will I run more than 500 km in 2024? | null | 1,704,564,187,787 | 1,735,342,756,945 | 1,735,342,756,945 | YES | 0.99 | 3,439.482146 | Sports | Sports Culture & Recreation |
b9n8w51d5y | will-this-market-jackwhowillwinthe2 | Will this market jack/who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964 reach 100M of trading volume ? | null | 1,724,693,180,074 | 1,731,098,636,356 | 1,731,098,636,356 | NO | 0.013465 | 1,259.732196 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
ZAly0Qgddt | will-bitcoin-reach-90k-by-the-end-o | Will Bitcoin reach $90K by the end of 2024? | null | 1,731,261,514,028 | 1,731,509,137,790 | 1,731,509,137,790 | YES | 0.984945 | 2,366.712229 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
JbiBbFMzrAM3y7MV0MoF | nfl-week-14-dec-8-2024-will-the-ten | NFL Week 14 (Dec 8 2024): Will the Tennessee Titans (home) beat the Jacksonville Jaguars (away)? | null | 1,715,834,526,493 | 1,733,853,600,000 | 1,735,276,197,703 | NO | 0.008776 | 1,011.74087 | Sports | Professional Sports |
ayRSgyp3XHjZxefeerkj | will-jimmy-carter-die-before-manifo | Will Jimmy Carter die before Manifold bans markets on unrelated events? | null | 1,712,001,199,374 | 1,735,518,324,076 | 1,735,518,324,076 | YES | 0.989671 | 10,299 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
OjQG0AN8mV7VsbSKoz7c | will-kharkiv-or-zaporizhia-or-khers | Will Kharkiv or Zaporizhia or Kherson fall before EOY 2024? | null | 1,709,380,076,247 | 1,735,682,340,000 | 1,735,687,884,314 | NO | 0.077329 | 4,014.520283 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
4nderqSdseFga7cghR6c | will-kenan-thompson-leave-the-cast | Will Kenan Thompson leave the cast of SNL before the first episode of season 50? | null | 1,712,078,643,947 | 1,727,631,586,890 | 1,727,631,586,890 | NO | 0.01 | 1,178.47126 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
QqNbfpHVBd4SSYTSlsrZ | will-the-abortion-drug-mifepristone-58657f19043e | Will the abortion drug "mifepristone" be banned nationwide before the end of 2024? | null | 1,704,128,296,969 | 1,735,620,824,356 | 1,735,620,824,356 | NO | 0.01 | 13,410.418781 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
P882upQulC | will-bitcoin-hit-100000-before-nov-EQlu9R859S | Will Bitcoin hit $100,000 before Nov 29? | null | 1,732,230,739,424 | 1,732,890,343,374 | 1,732,890,343,374 | NO | 0.014074 | 6,387.643472 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
BCEIHDoF0z8o9pG85ijy | will-republicans-in-alaska-succeed-12c691e88aa8 | Will Republicans in Alaska succeed in putting “abolishing ranked choice voting” on the ballot in the 2024 election? | null | 1,675,735,259,417 | 1,730,951,675,641 | 1,730,951,675,641 | YES | 0.980683 | 6,363.991528 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
nixkTphATpUCx8FLcBsV | will-ai-win-a-pulitzer-by-2025 | Will AI win a Pulitzer by 2025? | null | 1,679,535,162,040 | 1,733,341,395,874 | 1,733,341,395,874 | NO | 0.020138 | 3,789.932293 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
2gcqncvk7c | asmon-and-the-boys-back-on-hardcore | Asmon and the boys back on Hardcore in Oct? | null | 1,728,189,773,334 | 1,730,437,140,000 | 1,730,438,609,097 | NO | 0.01 | 1,023.846164 | Entertainment | Gaming |
xHgW0bEHiuPPesAK5HCq | will-the-price-of-bitcoin-hit-95000 | Will the price of Bitcoin hit $95,000 before 2025? | null | 1,710,717,193,961 | 1,732,638,220,540 | 1,732,638,220,540 | YES | 0.992145 | 19,038.417978 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
zCFjmTnlpiAGBbWjYQjF | will-there-be-a-robust-third-party | Will there be a robust third party movement in America that impacts the 2024 Presidential race? | null | 1,659,041,624,460 | 1,731,613,927,901 | 1,731,613,927,901 | NO | 0.057919 | 14,266.882359 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
75zkCTqwoQM92kh7cT0e | nfl-week-6-oct-14-will-the-new-york | NFL Week 6 (Oct 14): Will the New York Jets beat the Buffalo Bills? | null | 1,715,834,045,254 | 1,729,124,100,000 | 1,729,144,475,847 | NO | 0.01 | 1,168.476564 | Sports | Professional Sports |
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