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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
d4qpeznlow | daily-coinflip-dlhynlse9u | Daily coinflip | null | 1,728,713,789,762 | 1,728,878,340,000 | 1,728,879,308,171 | NO | 0.5 | 13,216.37651 | Sports | Sports Culture & Recreation |
k183SnaVSA0gOaJknmof | over-45-publicly-recorded-immolatio | Over 4.5 publicly recorded immolations in the United States before EoD November 5th. | null | 1,713,585,311,670 | 1,730,959,140,000 | 1,731,682,639,039 | YES | 0.233671 | 226.108572 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
RLjSOEEFyVGak8wHPHpC | will-hage-geingob-be-president-of-n | Will Hage Geingob be president of Namibia at the end of 2024? | null | 1,673,203,640,783 | 1,732,886,998,490 | 1,732,886,998,490 | NO | 0.128028 | 327.281242 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
eZlWpps8rfw3Sq8BMUoe | will-elon-be-revealed-to-be-funding | Will Elon be revealed to be funding some of the larger anon/troll accounts on X during election season? | null | 1,706,426,326,570 | 1,730,926,568,098 | 1,730,926,568,098 | NO | 0.044632 | 1,569.601549 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
i3DlctEXxnMxK4uPSChp | will-bryan-caplan-be-satisfied-with | Will Bryan Caplan be satisfied with the state of the George Mason Just Societies situation on Dec 1st 2024? | null | 1,712,017,996,329 | 1,733,126,340,000 | 1,733,153,890,657 | NO | 0.316296 | 60 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
0nlYTzXipsZMfMqq5U4D | will-there-be-51-or-more-us-states | Will there be 51 or more U.S. states by the 2024 Presidential Election? | null | 1,662,095,431,063 | 1,730,879,940,000 | 1,730,906,788,207 | NO | 0.010396 | 5,866.372426 | Politics | Government Structure |
6i7v7PcXGKp7LonbsKNs | will-saudi-arabia-king-salman-live | Will Saudi Arabia king Salman live in the end of 2024? | null | 1,716,183,946,694 | 1,735,682,340,000 | 1,735,682,629,867 | YES | 0.981296 | 7,910.38188 | Geopolitics | Regional Affairs |
9dSsqAU0qh | will-bitcoin-be-higher-than-75000-u | Will Bitcoin be higher than $75,000 USD at the end of November 2024? | null | 1,731,238,193,609 | 1,733,011,140,000 | 1,733,046,480,119 | YES | 0.99 | 928.059526 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
fpMBqkzve1Ht6fbQGdlL | will-the-winner-of-the-2024-preside-85755b10e865 | Will the winner of the 2024 Presidential Election carry the state of Ohio? | null | 1,690,200,981,036 | 1,730,950,514,159 | 1,730,950,514,159 | YES | 0.99 | 1,514.375765 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
9h89E9gNL2 | bitcoin-above-70k-on-nov-6 | Bitcoin above 70K on Nov 6? | null | 1,730,251,836,370 | 1,730,880,577,428 | 1,730,880,577,428 | YES | 0.945556 | 8,230.359426 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
x5dpidirk7 | will-california-voters-pass-the-dru | Will California voters pass Proposition 36 — Drug and Theft Crime Penalties and Treatment-Mandated Felonies Initiative? | null | 1,718,592,890,347 | 1,730,966,340,000 | 1,731,861,778,444 | YES | 0.989327 | 10,038.52374 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
TNq46o4TeqK96Q5et4So | will-the-amount-of-hate-crimes-in-t | Will the amount of hate crimes in the U.S. go up in 2023? | null | 1,698,808,796,328 | 1,727,145,771,632 | 1,727,145,771,632 | YES | 0.96 | 3,410.193307 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
fROcrXsy1QDTvpz6Ll4l | will-global-total-co2-emissions-be | Will global total CO2 emissions be below 40 billion tons in 2023 as estimated by Our World in Data? | null | 1,671,465,302,207 | 1,732,340,410,576 | 1,732,340,410,576 | NO | 0.009935 | 10,640.907591 | Finance | Economic Indicators |
etnj6gvyo2 | will-there-be-another-serious-assas-2p8np9t2iy | Will there be another serious assassination attempt against Trump? | null | 1,726,435,284,876 | 1,730,847,540,000 | 1,730,849,866,935 | NO | 0.019906 | 178,437.959027 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
vhLAue2Uh3WllvUDhWW3 | nfl-week-9-nov-3-2024-will-the-buff | NFL Week 9 (Nov 3 2024): Will the Buffalo Bills (home) beat the Miami Dolphins (away)? | null | 1,715,834,172,328 | 1,730,829,600,000 | 1,731,291,738,783 | YES | 0.987429 | 1,043.561284 | Sports | Professional Sports |
2q5ggndzfg | does-manifold-think-the-sweepstakes | Does Manifold think the sweepstakes are a good idea? | null | 1,726,658,642,518 | 1,729,137,540,000 | 1,729,162,217,020 | YES | 0.95 | 4,372.755375 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
RIgPLdU6h9 | will-deepseek-release-a-deepseek-v3 | Will DeepSeek release a DeepSeek V3 model by the end of Q1 2025 | null | 1,733,923,231,727 | 1,735,191,610,387 | 1,735,191,610,387 | YES | 0.939162 | 2,929 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
40cOlfbyzDaxMvlwIXP0 | will-chatgpt-get-the-monty-from-hel | Will ChatGPT get the "Monty from Hell" problem correct on Dec. 1, 2024? | null | 1,701,562,887,145 | 1,733,118,024,214 | 1,733,118,024,214 | YES | 0.877847 | 1,389.977682 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
AuVRc8mAIU68fbiAj31m | will-my-coolfold-financial-portfoli | Will the CoolFold Financial Portfolio outperform the S&P 500 over the next 6 months? | null | 1,714,242,768,733 | 1,730,438,355,023 | 1,730,438,355,023 | NO | 0.018925 | 10,951.914799 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
fg5xxjg8bv | will-thuringias-constitutional-cour | Will Thuringia's constitutional court rule in favor of the urgent motion against the AfD? | null | 1,727,442,722,766 | 1,727,473,275,761 | 1,727,473,275,761 | YES | 0.76 | 80 | Politics | Government Structure |
GI821GQbmm0iRFkTT6NQ | will-costcos-in-us-further-devalue-ab22f774fa11 | Will Costcos in US further devalue their hot dog and soda combo before the end of 2024? | null | 1,683,566,008,823 | 1,735,682,340,000 | 1,735,686,439,324 | NO | 0.01 | 1,616.972643 | Finance | Personal Finance |
q2QSpPOllh | will-i-be-demoted-to-platinum-this-uU56hnZqgS | Will I be demoted to Platinum this month? | null | 1,730,906,133,250 | 1,733,177,982,330 | 1,733,177,982,330 | NO | 0.01 | 1,241.566889 | Sports | Individual Sports |
3Eu2EULeucc99X2lOxAZ | matthew-yglesias-2024-predictions-f | Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions: Fed cuts interest rates at least fifty basis points | null | 1,704,256,491,993 | 1,726,776,732,646 | 1,726,776,732,646 | YES | 0.99 | 33,591.651047 | Finance | Economic Indicators |
ngM2g9vmyXALypDDj6lF | will-donald-trump-win-the-popular-v | Will Donald Trump win the popular vote but lose the EC vote, or lose the popular vote but win the EC vote? | null | 1,710,404,092,429 | 1,731,083,507,298 | 1,731,083,507,298 | NO | 0.01 | 11,884.423373 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
woiVbQjfBSdAiFv7Jiyu | will-russia-unilaterally-reconstitu | Will Russia unilaterally reconstitute own government of Ukraine with self-appointed authorities in 2024? | null | 1,717,099,130,833 | 1,735,682,340,000 | 1,735,687,537,697 | NO | 0.026909 | 5,905.011333 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
ioweevjcjw | will-the-east-coast-usa-port-strike | Will the east coast USA port strike result in substantial additional restrictions on automation? | null | 1,727,783,828,566 | 1,728,213,634,360 | 1,728,213,634,360 | NO | 0.01 | 11,011.550061 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
pjzg0pzivv | will-jd-vance-be-a-guest-on-the-lex | Will JD Vance be a guest on the Lex Fridman Podcast before election day 2024? | null | 1,725,400,540,238 | 1,730,805,847,813 | 1,730,805,847,813 | NO | 0.010001 | 10,400.499949 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
seq7dllacf | will-the-apprentice-the-donald-trum | Will "The Apprentice" (the Donald Trump biopic) have a Rotten Tomatoes critics score of >75%? | null | 1,728,151,139,451 | 1,729,284,589,692 | 1,729,284,589,692 | YES | 0.99 | 996.515307 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
tAP8SuzI0u | will-bitcoin-hit-an-all-time-high-b | Will Bitcoin hit an all time high before US election winner is called? | null | 1,730,282,921,505 | 1,730,872,861,632 | 1,730,872,861,632 | YES | 0.986197 | 1,165.467594 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
obewzSutKpgMo9y8SrWH | if-the-republican-nominee-wins-ariz | If the Republican nominee wins Arizona, will they win the presidency (2024)? | null | 1,690,425,818,556 | 1,731,431,333,970 | 1,731,431,333,970 | YES | 0.99 | 1,392.89144 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
c5SOzUZAhA | will-the-winnipeg-jets-have-34-poin--cash | Will the Winnipeg Jets have 34 points by end of November | null | 1,729,872,650,571 | 1,732,409,671,577 | 1,732,578,465,421 | YES | 0.99 | 1,280.06872 | Sports | Professional Sports |
DuptY9J28bn5jqM4SWRI | will-adam-schiff-win-the-2024-senat | Will Adam Schiff win the 2024 senate seat in California? | null | 1,680,635,170,825 | 1,733,253,275,103 | 1,733,253,275,103 | YES | 0.99 | 6,174.734452 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
5w2nutur4o | if-kamala-harris-debates-donald-tru | Will Kamala Harris win the debate against Trump? (based on polls) | null | 1,720,309,280,670 | 1,726,862,976,462 | 1,726,862,976,462 | YES | 0.99 | 171,935.719882 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
T452czizPGGSbCUGxDnV | is-going-to-be-a-al-smith-dinner-wi | Will there be a Al Smith dinner with both presidential candidates attending and delivering stand-up routines in 2024? | null | 1,690,077,781,583 | 1,729,471,331,416 | 1,729,471,331,416 | NO | 0.17 | 1,489.146596 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
WGfHCzM2m4Q2gv3PPRem | will-at-least-one-person-be-killed-8a035197f2a8 | Will at least one person be killed violently within the Temple Mount/Al Aqsa compound during Ramadan 2024? | null | 1,710,032,671,996 | 1,733,452,497,832 | 1,733,452,497,832 | NO | 0.070766 | 419.671862 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
q4L3LSydJzvOQRKDfFwm | will-bte-release-an-early-version-o | Will @BTE release an early version of his Manifold competitor by Christmas? | null | 1,702,017,915,857 | 1,703,566,740,000 | 1,733,719,876,441 | NO | 0.084702 | 2,885.265053 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
93ub0uqehz | conservative-party-leadership-conte-t74g95grt5 | Conservative Party leadership contest - will it go to the members? | null | 1,722,249,032,379 | 1,728,860,340,000 | 1,728,896,480,020 | YES | 0.99 | 13,352.016593 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
a3vve5zfnw | will-brazil-unban-x-before-october | Will Brazil unban X before October? | null | 1,725,356,729,438 | 1,728,028,568,699 | 1,728,028,568,699 | NO | 0.01 | 2,398.577629 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
wt4d9y4dzo | will-donald-trump-use-the-fifty-cen | Will Donald Trump use the Fifty Cent song "Many Men" in any public appearance during the 2024 campaign? | null | 1,721,009,830,813 | 1,730,846,294,330 | 1,730,846,294,330 | NO | 0.009894 | 118,368.663925 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
CfGVdb4Kc1i6uG3CJ4h1 | will-tom-brady-endorse-trump | Will Tom Brady endorse Trump? | null | 1,668,664,664,132 | 1,730,926,092,894 | 1,730,926,092,894 | NO | 0.01 | 14,254.3687 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
ghYFFOJMMN20wBqRIdSD | hn-hiring-trends-will-hiring-outnum-9dbca1d59983 | HN Hiring Trends: Will "hiring" outnumber "looking" before the end of 2024? | null | 1,697,371,158,617 | 1,735,656,831,849 | 1,735,656,831,849 | NO | 0.027207 | 6,596.874132 | Finance | Economic Indicators |
DdSwShjXEfuwuY4DeNMk | will-a-category-3-or-greater-hurric-f7bebc1ae65b | Will a Category 3 or greater hurricane make landfall in Florida during 2024? | null | 1,704,828,755,718 | 1,727,465,039,221 | 1,727,465,039,221 | YES | 0.99 | 26,307.460017 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
zkfrgvp91o | -shortfuse-1-in-3-odds-2zcriigoqr | 🧨 Short-fuse 1 in 3 odds | null | 1,727,043,663,967 | 1,727,058,063,542 | 1,727,058,145,609 | NO | null | 1,037.801319 | Sports | Sports Culture & Recreation |
p9sz11qvh5 | will-apple-fitness-app-show-that-i | Will Apple Fitness app show that I walked more than 9500 steps today? | null | 1,728,111,216,994 | 1,728,137,858,912 | 1,728,137,858,912 | YES | 0.99 | 894.987437 | Technology | Mobile & Consumer Electronics |
tsr1tqausf | will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-xx6rheb05d | Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Oct 1 than it closed on Sept 30? | null | 1,727,726,780,345 | 1,727,812,918,118 | 1,727,812,918,118 | NO | 0.02 | 1,838.257223 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
xQ5XItczkaGZEzSQ2UU0 | will-dragons-dogma-2-win-any-awards | Will Dragon's Dogma 2 win any awards at the Game Awards 2024? | null | 1,709,288,711,296 | 1,734,061,645,527 | 1,734,061,645,527 | NO | 0.010049 | 1,288.55416 | Gaming | Video Games |
8s0O6qsN0s | will-the-neurips-poster-printing-se | Will the NeurIPS poster printing service have our poster ready in time? | null | 1,734,106,799,757 | 1,734,115,950,495 | 1,734,115,950,495 | YES | 0.99 | 9,661.635643 | Technology | Computing & Software |
qtD9uG3hXeNW2XVXyPMR | will-any-2024-us-senate-election-be | Will any 2024 U.S. Senate election be won without the majority of the vote? | null | 1,689,382,967,822 | 1,733,032,740,000 | 1,733,044,425,469 | YES | 0.99 | 2,294.916164 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
9i6zaAWEubEy3lFi1ZWS | will-matt-gaetz-be-reelected-in-nov | Will Matt Gaetz be re-elected in November 2024? | null | 1,697,133,998,706 | 1,730,782,740,000 | 1,732,943,725,989 | YES | 0.97225 | 1,378.07615 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
EoeZLDGwZIpr0YxqC5Dh | nfl-week-13-dec-1-2024-will-the-buf | NFL Week 13 (Dec 1 2024): Will the Buffalo Bills (home) beat the San Francisco 49ers (away)? | null | 1,715,834,498,874 | 1,733,275,200,000 | 1,733,810,597,200 | YES | 0.99 | 894.987437 | Sports | Professional Sports |
8sv8ylqf3t | will-propalestinian-college-protest | Will pro-Palestinian college protests begin again in earnest and will Kamala Harris’s youth support decline? | null | 1,725,234,318,631 | 1,728,947,615,937 | 1,728,947,898,256 | NO | 0.06 | 310.258784 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
v8alcq880o | will-republicans-lead-in-the-final | Will Republicans lead in the final 538 House forecast? | null | 1,729,296,007,453 | 1,730,696,340,000 | 1,730,821,664,037 | NO | 0.766257 | 1,574.926875 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
qIuRdgtSdZ | will-bay-bridge-traffic-be-halted-f--cash | Will Bay Bridge traffic be halted for 2+ hours on Election Day? | null | 1,730,834,643,263 | 1,730,912,025,433 | 1,730,933,184,657 | NO | 0.097334 | 52 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
pU4xeOHpftaMGFT17zfg | will-bitcoin-reach-8765432-before-t | Will Bitcoin reach $87654.32 before the end of 2024? | null | 1,712,706,428,538 | 1,731,369,321,313 | 1,731,369,321,313 | YES | 0.9824 | 21,423.022169 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
VMzDKyTnlLBkir8CVLmV | will-trevor-bauer-start-a-game-in-t-8a4d8f1ff65b | Will Trevor Bauer start a game in the major leagues in the 2024 season? | null | 1,696,312,218,411 | 1,734,042,660,982 | 1,734,042,660,982 | NO | 0.015721 | 7,190.541385 | Sports | Professional Sports |
vq7h8szbw5 | will-this-prediction-market-get-50 | will this prediction market get 50 or more traders? | null | 1,724,605,957,863 | 1,727,215,140,000 | 1,727,252,277,403 | NO | 0.01 | 3,447.39336 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
I9I2pSLRlI | will-my-slay-the-spire-run-defeat-t | Will my Slay the Spire run defeat the Corrupted Heart? | null | 1,730,665,451,578 | 1,730,923,685,002 | 1,730,923,685,002 | NO | 0.207582 | 253 | Entertainment | Gaming |
ixk5jxk0wu | will-the-amazing-digital-circus-epi-6xe29nuo84 | Will The Amazing Digital Circus Episode 3 reach 100 million views by the end of October? | null | 1,727,370,368,812 | 1,730,433,540,000 | 1,730,441,376,249 | NO | 0.011493 | 9,308.475987 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
fGWxeNMZnX7hFxc6GVRA | will-a-candidate-that-is-neither-ba | Will a candidate that is neither backed by the Republican Party or the Democratic Party run in the 2024 United States presidential election and receive at least 5% of the national popular vote? | null | 1,673,633,672,996 | 1,735,508,167,828 | 1,735,508,167,828 | NO | 0.015942 | 12,244.745103 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
TX7pLyUUWbcpUljkUtH0 | will-katya-lels-teeth-that-were-sto | Will Katya Lel's teeth that were stolen by aliens will be found in 2024 | null | 1,708,378,636,298 | 1,728,940,940,630 | 1,728,940,940,630 | NO | 0.38 | 15 | Entertainment | Celebrity & Pop Culture |
nAlBKpcpYCsjW9OLLG6z | will-destiny-do-an-irl-stream-with | Will Destiny do an IRL stream with Aba during 2024? | null | 1,705,315,857,731 | 1,730,870,831,821 | 1,730,870,831,821 | YES | 0.963082 | 11,450.0511 | Entertainment | Celebrity & Pop Culture |
q4lc6Kxcp14YTyxHpBVJ | will-balatro-be-nominated-for-any-a | Will Balatro be nominated for any awards at the Game Awards 2024? | null | 1,709,288,578,931 | 1,731,971,778,046 | 1,731,971,778,046 | YES | 0.989999 | 6,410 | Entertainment | Gaming |
lI0iECKDqSC8LuFAW64p | will-all-of-new-england-vote-as-a-u | Will ALL of New England vote as a unified bloc in the 2024? | null | 1,696,614,837,158 | 1,730,869,140,000 | 1,730,949,565,899 | NO | 0.024685 | 1,264.582731 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
8OdugR6hRO | are-these-two-supposed-pictures-of | Are these two supposed pictures of the United Healthcare CEO assassin actually different people? | null | 1,733,452,110,700 | 1,735,360,056,732 | 1,735,360,056,732 | NO | 0.007962 | 56,511.975885 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
L2L5gssUzc | profitable-bitcoin-coinflip-5-ev | Profitable Bitcoin Coinflip 5 [EV+] | null | 1,731,153,892,381 | 1,731,301,140,000 | 1,731,307,025,753 | NO | 0.49995 | 6 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
4ss19fez8v | will-pete-rose-be-inducted-into-the | Will Pete Rose be inducted into the Baseball Hall of Fame by the end of 2024? | null | 1,729,394,336,721 | 1,729,440,702,246 | 1,729,440,702,246 | NO | 0.02 | 565 | Sports | Professional Sports |
qndq34ieh6 | trump-leads-5-or-more-swing-states | Trump leads 5 or more swing states in polls on Election day? (President Election) | null | 1,729,141,257,194 | 1,730,842,345,561 | 1,730,842,345,561 | YES | 0.749178 | 401 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
fDlYte4sIfyatPnCUjON | will-shekel-vs-dollar-reach-40-in-2 | Will Shekel vs Dollar reach 4.0 in 2024? | null | 1,708,628,645,054 | 1,735,682,340,000 | 1,735,683,276,532 | NO | 0.051596 | 5,609.108691 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
OWRmX9Q0pIj7ziPMJsY0 | nfl-week-12-nov-24-2024-will-the-ne | NFL Week 12 (Nov 24 2024): Will the New York Giants (home) beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (away)? | null | 1,715,834,426,991 | 1,732,581,889,467 | 1,732,581,889,467 | NO | 0.01 | 895.310499 | Sports | Professional Sports |
Rfr34B7xtudnufU50rts | will-either-joe-biden-or-donald-tru-35b07ca5429c | Will either Joe Biden or Donald Trump die before the 2024 Presidential election? | null | 1,696,962,811,139 | 1,730,800,874,965 | 1,730,800,874,965 | NO | 0.014205 | 142,782.093947 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
v1tGPyNiqrpJKSGEWbdG | was-amelia-earhearts-plane-just-dis | Was Amelia Earheart's plane just discovered in the Pacific? | null | 1,706,562,165,199 | 1,732,518,477,277 | 1,732,518,477,277 | NO | 0.09398 | 8,759.015548 | Sports | Individual Sports |
dgAwNqeOgcdOxIz93xYm | will-prince-william-and-kate-middle | Will Prince William and Kate Middleton divorce before Halloween 2024? | null | 1,710,268,162,448 | 1,730,429,228,445 | 1,730,429,228,445 | NO | 0.010006 | 8,896.167408 | Celebrity & Pop Culture | Celebrity & Pop Culture |
7bgfqhbrzy | will-i-loose-power-again-do-to-this | Will I loose power again do to this other hurricane potentially forming right after Helen (Greenville, SC)? | null | 1,727,723,107,615 | 1,729,095,924,885 | 1,729,095,924,885 | NO | 0.1 | 2,100 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
Q4C8r3fPL9TwQptr8bRB | will-trump-say-ai-is-a-problem-duri | Will Trump say AI is a problem during a presidential debate? | null | 1,705,287,634,698 | 1,731,695,076,568 | 1,731,695,076,568 | NO | 0.029697 | 13,338.843351 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
h9XBkQzxDbbpmbWf096X | will-there-be-protests-in-egypt-aga | Will there be protests in Egypt against Abdel Fattah El-Sisi's government in 2024? | null | 1,707,308,541,331 | 1,734,483,092,154 | 1,734,483,092,154 | YES | 0.077051 | 797.557996 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
rl9bg6s0h1 | weekly-tug-of-war-eep30o08pw | Weekly Tug of War | null | 1,729,090,606,130 | 1,729,400,340,000 | 1,729,432,958,670 | YES | 0.95 | 385 | Sports | Sports Culture & Recreation |
ZzN2O80q8A | will-the-daily-coinflip-on-tuesday | Will the Daily Coinflip on Tuesday 5th correspond to the result of the 2024 USA election? (Head-Harris or Tails-Trump) | null | 1,730,631,290,750 | 1,730,964,217,814 | 1,730,964,217,814 | YES | 0.945094 | 6,195.216905 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
YqlD5Wdhh9Z9wVIqV87i | will-rashee-rice-play-in-at-least-9 | Will Rashee Rice play in at least 9 games this season? | null | 1,712,001,711,420 | 1,732,910,898,556 | 1,732,910,898,556 | NO | 0.01 | 27,588.654425 | Sports | Professional Sports |
svEg1wLfMMFMHaZLvdgD | will-the-candidate-who-wins-nebrask | Will the candidate who wins Nebraska's second Congressional district win the 2024 POTUS election? | null | 1,690,287,478,114 | 1,730,879,022,436 | 1,730,879,022,436 | NO | 0.05252 | 646.36193 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
sQWNEnG9R7P8sSMJRAXh | will-the-winner-of-the-2024-preside-21512a78f5f2 | Will the winner of the 2024 Presidential Election carry the state of Virginia? | null | 1,690,201,669,120 | 1,730,951,463,429 | 1,730,951,463,429 | NO | 0.010014 | 1,119.518271 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
10fw8na1kp | will-a-theatergoer-require-hospital | Will a theater-goer require hospitalization or medical care as a result of watching Alien: Romulus? | null | 1,723,657,337,060 | 1,727,047,550,973 | 1,727,047,550,973 | NO | 0.01 | 820.172233 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
QdEHOBdqQqiejrgIAFvj | will-an-llm-be-integrated-into-a-ma | Will an LLM be integrated into a major smart assistant (i.e., Google, Siri, Alexa, Bixby) before the end of 2024? | null | 1,702,980,283,213 | 1,735,649,940,000 | 1,735,660,358,884 | YES | 0.925689 | 496.880834 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
403qm3lmib | will-joker-folie-a-deux-have-a-high | Will "Joker: Folie à Deux" have a higher Rotten Tomatoes audience score than "The LEGO Batman Movie"? (>80%) | null | 1,727,904,778,063 | 1,728,716,340,000 | 1,728,748,357,840 | NO | 0.01 | 1,079.612064 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
YlazKIbzJWNzCExjKuk3 | will-trump-win-either-35-of-the-his | Will Trump win either 35% of the Hispanic/Latino vote or 15% of the black vote in 2024? | null | 1,705,720,604,302 | 1,730,907,722,239 | 1,730,907,722,239 | YES | 0.890257 | 1,498.864575 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
3Xv3G1DtLTBvzYe6NN1L | will-ai-be-a-time-person-of-the-yea-dd9e7fd2782d | Will AI be a Time Person of the Year in 2024? | null | 1,694,285,419,451 | 1,733,115,540,000 | 1,734,917,407,764 | NO | 0.114558 | 1,413.770046 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
ubudklg9qv | will-ohnepixels-team-drillas-make-i | Will ohnePixel's team DRILLAS make it to the Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024 Main Event? | null | 1,725,353,453,784 | 1,731,495,809,548 | 1,731,495,809,548 | NO | 0.01 | 920.442486 | Sports | Professional Sports |
Viz4fjOIiFatLq0m8WEx | 20240906-will-amzn-close-above-217 | 2024-09-06: Will AMZN close above $217? | null | 1,717,529,926,384 | 1,725,681,540,000 | 1,727,804,230,002 | NO | 0.01 | 899.860139 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
1mfow9xsin | -shortfuse-2-in-5-odds-iarittw727 | 🧨 Short-fuse 2 in 5 odds | null | 1,726,985,720,040 | 1,727,000,119,638 | 1,727,000,202,038 | NO | null | 160 | Sports | Team Sports |
h6yponj0ko | will-manifold-think-that-sweeps-cas | Will Manifold users think that sweepstakes markets are real money markets? | null | 1,726,533,324,846 | 1,729,558,055,785 | 1,729,558,055,785 | YES | 0.95 | 9,184.862676 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
CSRZANUpUg | daily-coinflip-Ih66zIEshh | Daily coinflip 🔧 | null | 1,732,085,805,436 | 1,732,251,540,000 | 1,732,294,474,366 | NO | 0.5 | 3,167.999002 | Gaming | Gaming Culture |
ms30gHCwcuvanZhf1qMY | will-belarus-openly-enter-the-russo | Will Belarus openly enter the Russo-Ukrainian war? | null | 1,691,152,320,949 | 1,735,673,385,222 | 1,735,673,385,222 | NO | 0.081478 | 12,460.821686 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
ppQ8AQny8S | will-adam-finish-incrimination-by-t | Will Adam finish incrimination by tonight? | null | 1,732,320,597,764 | 1,732,377,560,486 | 1,732,377,560,486 | NO | 0.525624 | 40 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
tPdjseGBw868qBobF6Cx | will-gpt-be-said-by-anyone-in-a-pre | Will "GPT" be said by anyone in a presidential debate in 2024? | null | 1,711,584,253,127 | 1,730,433,540,000 | 1,730,746,165,948 | NO | 0.010051 | 126,024.892154 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
QJslgIQGPJx3xpZjJRc2 | will-the-value-of-bitcoin-pass-100k | Will the value of Bitcoin pass 100k USD by the end of 2024? | null | 1,642,047,822,269 | 1,733,519,720,974 | 1,733,519,720,974 | YES | 0.99 | 48,662.686734 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
1ocB06kwCL8Mg5tr7v7s | will-september-2024-be-the-hottest-6d585fc6ed85 | NOAA - Will September 2024 be the hottest September on record? (Global) | null | 1,715,703,245,392 | 1,729,792,500,620 | 1,729,792,500,620 | NO | 0.01 | 14,282.07451 | Geopolitics | Regional Affairs |
X6oCL4XPG8FzhTeKFqh8 | will-manifold-markets-stop-being-we | Will Manifold Markets stop being weird about Jimmy Carter before 2025? | null | 1,702,666,582,950 | 1,735,517,122,983 | 1,735,517,122,983 | NO | 0.292758 | 1,075.361001 | Politics | Political Parties & Ideologies |
ar1a9yerlz | will-a-bug-be-discovered-in-538s-20 | Will a bug be discovered in 538's 2024 presidential forecast that affects it by at least 3% by election day? | null | 1,720,820,790,652 | 1,730,966,340,000 | 1,731,002,971,657 | NO | 0.083247 | 4,858.48326 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
onH9hPVCIC2EPXvuCRIa | will-trump-win-at-least-thirty-stat | Will Trump win at least thirty states? | null | 1,682,814,652,644 | 1,731,201,781,030 | 1,731,201,781,030 | YES | 0.910547 | 3,571.394722 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
zloydwuqsd | will-bitcoin-reach-70000-in-october | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in October 2024? | null | 1,728,188,705,109 | 1,730,158,001,820 | 1,730,158,001,820 | YES | 0.99 | 1,510.204123 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
pgRlI5IZIL | will-i-restrict-my-foodbuying-behav | Will I restrict my food-buying behaviour in line with the rules of this market until the end of the year? | null | 1,730,127,258,043 | 1,735,684,785,173 | 1,735,684,785,173 | YES | 0.952104 | 4,085 | Finance | Personal Finance |
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