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ya0g6y7d51 | will-astro-bot-be-nominated-for-gam | Will Astro Bot be nominated for Game of the Year at the Game Awards 2024? | null | 1,725,580,863,421 | 1,731,973,033,151 | 1,731,973,033,151 | YES | 0.99 | 9,338 | Entertainment | Gaming |
5edOcHjoJJkqNg8LsZm5 | was-sam-altman-fired-because-the-bo | Was Sam Altman fired because the board suspected he'd created an undisclosed AGI? | null | 1,700,332,627,144 | 1,732,597,140,000 | 1,732,635,216,268 | NO | 0.01 | 12,266.336157 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
7S4ZLNY83IjRW0myKYlr | will-yaya-sinwar-founder-of-hamas-s | Will Yahya Sinwar, founder of Hamas, survive 2024? | null | 1,704,183,004,143 | 1,729,188,258,930 | 1,729,188,258,930 | NO | 0.01 | 40,366.791625 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
I0QC65gQ5t | will-the-canada-post-strike-end-bef-lhRRItdq95 | Will the Canada Post strike end before December 10? | null | 1,733,082,467,335 | 1,733,851,887,198 | 1,733,851,887,198 | NO | 0.01 | 959.987431 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
ukksz6xkhg | will-i-lose-20-lbs-after-taking-sem | Will I lose 20+ lbs after taking semaglutide for 3 months? | null | 1,718,690,901,976 | 1,733,884,634,322 | 1,734,810,000,599 | YES | 0.930713 | 69,150.065829 | Finance | Personal Finance |
B3BHjmnvaHghoPfFYXdY | will-jimmy-carter-live-to-be-101-ye | Will Jimmy Carter live to be 101 years old? | null | 1,706,925,944,132 | 1,735,515,637,133 | 1,735,515,637,133 | NO | 0.001843 | 112,193.073623 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
2yG3lHlsbljnoVN9g1vm | will-the-uk-outright-maximum-temper-caf1a1ce51b7 | Will the UK outright maximum temperature record be broken in 2024? | null | 1,713,873,967,415 | 1,727,737,140,000 | 1,727,769,364,434 | NO | 0.02 | 8,356.494716 | Sports | Sports Culture & Recreation |
UCPATFk6PvGFyGO4HHYw | will-ukraine-hold-a-presidential-el-ccf6c4403856 | Will Ukraine hold a presidential election in 2024? | null | 1,681,601,413,986 | 1,735,682,340,000 | 1,735,686,144,686 | NO | 0.021999 | 15,862.294647 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
OOFyxpwvBaRenhvfi2ek | will-the-uss-ftc-or-uks-cma-investi | Will the US's FTC or UK's CMA investigate the Microsoft/OpenAI deal on competition grounds in the next 12 months? | null | 1,697,229,927,353 | 1,727,841,540,000 | 1,728,661,992,296 | YES | 0.3 | 142.243903 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
HwV7QDr0vhiAmkNkDDCa | will-there-be-a-variant-of-seven-up | Will there be a variant of Seven Up released in 2024 according to Wikipedia? | null | 1,704,145,137,132 | 1,733,335,318,493 | 1,733,335,318,493 | YES | 0.99 | 756.45839 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
NqOy9yO66Q | will-the-syrian-government-control-COL59Ig2An | Will the Syrian government control a contiguous area between Damascus and Latakia until 31 March 2025? | null | 1,733,406,162,967 | 1,733,686,476,060 | 1,733,686,476,060 | NO | 0.012345 | 927.557833 | Geopolitics | Regional Affairs |
uwndib4f9f | will-solana-close-above-155-on-octo | Will Solana Close Above $155 on October 25? | null | 1,729,391,776,587 | 1,729,919,561,200 | 1,729,919,561,200 | YES | 0.99 | 915.444557 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
6MnAFWfug0nwuGqLkFHr | will-messi-play-for-barcelona-in-20 | Will Messi play for Barcelona in 2024? | null | 1,700,160,171,369 | 1,735,621,474,481 | 1,735,621,474,481 | NO | 0.01 | 5,152.04349 | Sports | Professional Sports |
4EWfrvQrdAntQ63H9h7X | will-democrats-control-both-the-hou | Will Democrats control both the House and Senate after the 2024 elections? | null | 1,678,978,395,917 | 1,730,872,763,131 | 1,730,872,763,131 | NO | 0.048033 | 7,686.537283 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
s8C55P8Udz | will-kamala-harris-win-at-least-2-m | Will Kamala Harris win at least 2 midwestern "tossup" states but lose the election? | null | 1,730,057,937,498 | 1,730,890,152,184 | 1,730,890,152,184 | NO | 0.060375 | 3,974.852756 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
sfs40IUP7RNztlX9pqIY | will-any-state-be-decided-by-1-in-t | Will any state be decided by <1% in the 2024 election? | null | 1,686,112,517,920 | 1,731,734,400,456 | 1,731,734,400,456 | YES | 0.958087 | 4,829.707606 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
NZcLNsh896 | will-lord-of-the-rings-war-of-the-r | Will "Lord of the Rings: War of the Rohirrim" have a Rotten Tomatoes critics score at least 60%? | null | 1,733,350,698,360 | 1,734,767,940,000 | 1,734,935,247,777 | NO | 0.034752 | 960.118623 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
tSwDmwrg7EyLT5wye4Nn | will-someone-start-a-mana-investing | Will someone start a mana investing service on manifold ? | null | 1,679,896,687,307 | 1,735,649,940,000 | 1,735,657,619,888 | NO | 0.16 | 2,062.183203 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
7upzL0FR9GGwRMhAENt6 | will-the-winner-of-the-2024-usa-pre-8a9372d80791 | Will the winner of the 2024 USA presidential election win Georgia? | null | 1,714,675,540,376 | 1,733,699,959,661 | 1,733,699,959,661 | YES | 0.99 | 943.181051 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
8u5GG1fqTFM11F9H2uI4 | a-serious-us-presidential-candidate | A serious US presidential candidate says they'll take decisive action in the case of near term AI risk. | null | 1,703,651,695,633 | 1,727,755,140,000 | 1,728,497,592,705 | NO | 0.08 | 3,998.682672 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
lv4EIrVzQuPyzDDhb8Zk | will-teslas-market-capitalization-s | Will Tesla's market capitalization surpass $1 trillion by the end of 2024? | null | 1,710,183,384,760 | 1,731,340,671,260 | 1,731,340,671,260 | YES | 0.99 | 6,799.705843 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
NtJLmBuFkYvppHkxKdla | will-sweden-try-to-ban-burning-the-d1fca89c8442 | Will Sweden try to ban burning the Quran by the end of 2024? | null | 1,693,574,741,759 | 1,735,658,817,907 | 1,735,658,817,907 | NO | 0.01 | 13,632.18021 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
aPh5gZB4GjNJvXN6kju3 | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-pres-c6ba0fd09c2f | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 presidential election? | null | 1,707,084,991,518 | 1,730,930,400,000 | 1,730,935,355,049 | YES | 0.990439 | 14,813.872218 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
puLACELgnZ | will-the-winning-strategy-on-why-di | Will the winning strategy on "Why did the Democrats lose" be non-predictive? | null | 1,731,947,976,962 | 1,733,097,540,000 | 1,733,589,716,988 | YES | 0.373081 | 115.000004 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
olxab561no | will-texas-vote-to-the-left-of-flor | Will Texas vote to the left of Florida in the 2024 presidential election? | null | 1,727,063,254,855 | 1,730,966,340,000 | 1,731,398,543,562 | NO | 0.065692 | 1,380.280368 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
zGGk95XfaaG2vfRkfrI5 | nfl-week-7-oct-20-will-the-indianap | NFL Week 7 (Oct 20): Will the Indianapolis Colts beat the Miami Dolphins? | null | 1,715,834,060,313 | 1,729,616,400,000 | 1,729,617,781,031 | YES | 0.99 | 1,118.862831 | Sports | Professional Sports |
g17fdXLW8Q7ecnUGo3HS | -2024-nfl-will-any-week-3-game-end | 🏈 2024 NFL: Will any Week 3 game end in Scorigami? | null | 1,704,865,063,078 | 1,727,153,940,000 | 1,727,190,489,011 | NO | 0.01 | 1,901.307965 | Sports | Professional Sports |
ziCXqkkwROw5rLj0Madm | will-i-be-on-the-top-traders-leader-f21ee117223b | Will I be on the "Top traders" leaderboard before @Conflux is on the "Top creators" one? | null | 1,682,282,378,452 | 1,727,506,740,000 | 1,729,290,014,939 | NO | 0.41 | 3,883.381929 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
kS4r1lVFLWy1FSyxCIDX | ryan-binkley-1-in-any-state | Ryan Binkley >1% in any state? | null | 1,706,718,061,293 | 1,731,433,919,523 | 1,731,433,919,523 | NO | 0.01 | 11,822.443418 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
xqwy0IYsGYXN4M1xawap | will-china-lower-its-one-year-lpr-b | Will China lower it’s one year LPR by the end of 2024? | null | 1,715,937,636,249 | 1,731,855,077,120 | 1,731,855,077,120 | YES | 0.988548 | 8,300 | Finance | Economic Indicators |
cf9yl2ftq5 | oktoberfest-2024-will-more-than-7-m | Oktoberfest 2024: Will more than 7 million litres of beer be served again? | null | 1,720,468,168,171 | 1,728,251,940,000 | 1,731,090,381,234 | YES | 0.907102 | 1,027.411134 | Sports | Sports Culture & Recreation |
SulU952Ptt | will-donald-trump-get-arrested-for | Will Donald Trump get arrested for selling AI waifu art today? | null | 1,730,039,136,740 | 1,730,073,540,000 | 1,730,115,671,421 | NO | 0.01 | 894.987437 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
AAfeYptnvrrw7WqZrqIE | will-an-aipowered-dating-app-signif | Will an AI-powered dating app significantly improve on the current state of the art by October 2024? | null | 1,695,408,565,580 | 1,727,852,340,000 | 1,735,526,668,491 | NO | 0.01 | 14,861.55794 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
2rohf957l6 | polymarketlinked-another-iran-strik | [Polymarket-linked] Another Iran strike on Israel in October? | null | 1,727,957,408,705 | 1,730,433,540,000 | 1,730,471,088,316 | NO | 0.01 | 1,029.906253 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
XHILq95n0pRaYUP8rEre | will-amazon-begin-to-accept-bitcoin-b32976b4613d | Will Amazon begin to accept Bitcoin as payment by the end of 2024? | null | 1,704,216,826,490 | 1,735,620,599,772 | 1,735,620,599,772 | NO | 0.01 | 2,112.073967 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
Z7EUEONSJNDRxuyMRtT9 | will-lauren-boebert-be-reelected-in | Will Lauren Boebert be reelected in CO-3 in 2024? | null | 1,682,627,211,272 | 1,731,578,824,408 | 1,731,578,824,408 | NO | 0.01 | 13,319.170978 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
vftrdorg8t | will-the-dodgers-hold-their-positio | Will the Dodgers hold their position at #1 in the NL West until the 2024 season ends? | null | 1,724,798,656,995 | 1,727,852,340,000 | 1,727,862,706,517 | YES | 0.99 | 9,000.30796 | Sports | Professional Sports |
YH5mbQVIm6eyrUr9kruK | will-chappell-roan-wear-a-cowboy-ha | Will Chappell Roan wear a cowboy hat at any point during her 2024 Lollapalooza set? | null | 1,716,163,627,519 | 1,721,969,940,000 | 1,728,428,661,786 | NO | 0.64 | 375 | Entertainment | Music & Audio |
pzvggnphmx | daily-coinflip-zjldimov3r | Daily coinflip | null | 1,727,498,157,053 | 1,727,668,740,000 | 1,727,668,993,556 | YES | 0.51 | 3,941.058064 | Sports | Sports Culture & Recreation |
RCas79XNbs14nMSU9EJ1 | will-bluesky-have-more-active-users | Will Bluesky have more active users than Mastodon by the end of 2025? | null | 1,681,340,519,384 | 1,731,787,481,198 | 1,731,787,481,198 | YES | 0.939044 | 3,334.08601 | Technology | Internet & Digital Services |
abIh4e7qq7i6h3YuZMuL | nfl-week-10-nov-10-2024-will-the-ja | NFL Week 10 (Nov 10 2024): Will the Jacksonville Jaguars (home) beat the Minnesota Vikings (away)? | null | 1,715,834,206,918 | 1,731,434,400,000 | 1,731,444,976,567 | NO | 0.01 | 1,547.431066 | Sports | Professional Sports |
c0ke8prg7l | will-destiny-reach-836k-subscribers | Will Destiny reach 836k subscribers in October 2024? | null | 1,727,780,313,918 | 1,730,406,564,589 | 1,730,406,564,589 | YES | 0.99 | 14,558.266684 | Entertainment | Celebrity & Pop Culture |
xe4uknd0b2 | will-kamala-harris-hold-a-gun-befor | Will Kamala Harris hold a gun before election day? | null | 1,727,367,524,316 | 1,730,793,540,000 | 1,730,807,900,359 | NO | 0.012966 | 46,630.094172 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
5LMtbQdW7OLA9RepTSGQ | will-trump-debate-chris-christie-be | Will Trump debate Chris Christie before the 2024 presidential election? | null | 1,693,178,861,014 | 1,731,016,644,956 | 1,731,016,644,956 | NO | 0.01 | 25,409.18188 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
qxw2x1200j | will-jimmy-carter-be-alive-when-thi-y8brq09824 | Will Jimmy Carter be alive when this market rolls a critical hit? [Round 2] | null | 1,725,230,940,253 | 1,735,546,115,903 | 1,735,546,115,903 | NO | 0.000359 | 48,282.660676 | Sports | Sports Culture & Recreation |
0CLsI06LQq | bitcoin-above-100k-on-thanksgiving | Bitcoin above $100K on Thanksgiving? | null | 1,732,271,243,487 | 1,732,867,140,000 | 1,732,869,550,305 | NO | 0.01 | 41,969.675137 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
u90flabink | will-there-be-any-break-between-kag-bk5xoz5sgx | Will there be any break between Kagurabachi chapters 53 and 54? | null | 1,728,230,222,842 | 1,728,836,142,960 | 1,728,836,145,729 | NO | 0.44 | 127 | Entertainment | Books & Literature |
GUe18HU2ETIzwiUHvOUT | will-scott-moe-be-reelected-premier | Will Scott Moe be re-elected premier of the Canadian province of Saskatchewan in 2024? | null | 1,699,654,856,238 | 1,730,238,139,971 | 1,730,238,139,971 | YES | 0.876991 | 827.646663 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
lFx5LHHUTgHnQPquiOMs | will-rafael-nadal-win-another-grand | Will Rafael Nadal win another Grand Slam before his retirement? | null | 1,675,748,777,899 | 1,732,187,538,962 | 1,732,187,538,962 | NO | 0.01 | 32,990.519117 | Sports | Individual Sports |
q1x8x59733or59aPex4D | will-gpt4-be-able-to-properly-rende | Will GPT-4 Be Able To Properly Render Code That Displays Interactive Rotating Chicken Nuggets When Prompted? | null | 1,683,374,373,675 | 1,719,809,940,000 | 1,734,803,969,699 | NO | 0.255309 | 211.171037 | technology | computing & software |
Bj4qzznw7s0EU6CVs1E1 | 2024-formula-1-season-will-alphatau | [2024 Formula 1 season] Will Alphatauri place 6th or higher in the Constructor's Championship? | null | 1,701,164,988,550 | 1,733,785,140,000 | 1,734,456,842,664 | NO | 0.01 | 9,205.520771 | Sports | Professional Sports |
m42rk0ncnl | will-the-longshoremen-strike-end-be | Will the longshoremen strike end before the 2024 election? | null | 1,727,788,289,305 | 1,727,996,312,716 | 1,727,996,312,716 | YES | 0.97 | 555 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
7BgsaIoCypFtsmLyOaPS | will-donald-trump-win-pennsylvanias | Will Donald Trump win Pennsylvania's vote in the 2024 election? | null | 1,705,520,178,092 | 1,730,869,140,000 | 1,731,015,242,168 | YES | 0.786711 | 2,332.226532 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
e57TDHWppKoAIYpiQ3RB | a-prominent-selfidentifying-effecti-204d54edac81 | A prominent self-identifying Effective Altruist endorses Ron DeSantis for president in 2024. | null | 1,673,827,691,763 | 1,728,480,416,480 | 1,728,480,416,480 | NO | 0.07 | 1,164.339408 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
U5rW8rhQ0Ubz4WgkHRhk | will-andrew-yang-run-for-president | Will Andrew Yang run for President in 2024? | null | 1,645,567,467,785 | 1,730,851,200,000 | 1,730,853,563,992 | NO | 0.0104 | 14,383.025044 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
Ant6dAhgLz | will-luigi-mangione-ultimately-be-t | Will Luigi Mangione ultimately be the actual shooter of Brian Thompson? | null | 1,733,777,748,722 | 1,734,876,317,401 | 1,734,876,317,401 | YES | 0.978701 | 662.133048 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
fGJCQKECWG6zBTnCp5AO | will-i-get-a-job-in-2024 | Will I get a job in 2024? | null | 1,714,995,170,520 | 1,727,104,277,004 | 1,727,104,277,004 | YES | 0.7 | 2,558.100184 | Finance | Personal Finance |
8DiPXaUxMd5G8kltVnl8 | will-tim-scott-endorse-jeffrey-shih | Will Tim Scott endorse Jeffrey Shih? | null | 1,699,217,568,704 | 1,731,041,940,000 | 1,731,081,699,958 | NO | 0.487823 | 938.868194 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
k27w447iph | will-trump-win-all-3-of-the-blue-wa | Will Trump win all 3 of the "Blue Wall" states (MI, WI, PA) in the 2024 Presidential Election? | null | 1,721,138,573,607 | 1,730,949,725,055 | 1,730,949,725,055 | YES | 0.99 | 1,110.315473 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
GKbJfyuoI73hFR0lJNjs | will-the-legend-of-zelda-tears-of-t-655657f122e5 | Will 'The Legend of Zelda: Tears of the Kingdom' have outsold 'Super Smash Bros. Ultimate' at any point before 2025? | null | 1,684,687,858,293 | 1,735,661,016,103 | 1,735,661,016,103 | NO | 0.010003 | 3,438.06991 | Gaming | Video Games |
0ccCnSCtNn | will-luigi-mangione-plead-guilty-to | Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty to murder? | null | 1,734,599,320,593 | 1,734,976,829,072 | 1,734,976,829,072 | NO | 0.01455 | 9,137.484158 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
sszzL8sASP | will-school-be-generally-canceled-i | Will school be generally canceled in Northshore School District on Nov 21? | null | 1,732,149,020,386 | 1,732,163,705,379 | 1,732,163,705,379 | YES | 0.609756 | 290.000012 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
pcebwFjgLiX1rvvzxaJn | will-balenciaga-register-an-increas | Will BALENCIAGA register an increase in sales of their puffer jackets due to the recent AI generated images going viral? | null | 1,681,123,001,185 | 1,710,950,340,000 | 1,732,829,534,098 | NO | 0.042878 | 2,147.430334 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
PIQwy7iKnBqnfix3bNZo | in-oldschool-runescape-will-a-new-l | In Oldschool Runescape, will a new league start before the end of 2024? | null | 1,708,005,354,223 | 1,733,445,205,335 | 1,733,445,205,335 | YES | 0.99 | 1,440.892816 | Entertainment | Gaming |
ytjitpo1eg | will-one-candidate-win-at-least-57 | Will one candidate win at least 5/7 tossup states? | null | 1,726,164,899,746 | 1,730,951,729,675 | 1,730,951,729,675 | YES | 0.99 | 9,952.154808 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
Via4uNfnVM4XTwwGolZp | will-a-play-money-alternative-to-ma | Will a play money alternative to manifold appear before 2025? | null | 1,713,839,594,814 | 1,730,459,202,203 | 1,730,459,202,203 | YES | 0.981761 | 11,178.551712 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
e6gyc7r6rq | is-wicked-going-to-be-a-flop | Is Wicked (2024) going to be a flop? 🧙♀️🧹🎶 | null | 1,725,014,231,508 | 1,734,071,507,687 | 1,734,071,507,687 | NO | 0.01 | 1,545.320652 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
tt7wsfpxxh | -shortfuse-1-in-3-odds-6ohxd0k4o2 | 🧨 Short-fuse 1 in 3 odds | null | 1,726,811,849,900 | 1,726,826,249,301 | 1,726,826,336,609 | NO | null | 1,592.465202 | Sports | Sports Culture & Recreation |
NZrQI7zSgOy9gLqLqwDG | will-a-specific-ai-image-or-video-m | Will a specific AI image or video model be mentioned by anyone in a presidential debate in 2024? | null | 1,710,975,205,375 | 1,730,087,940,000 | 1,731,199,217,568 | NO | 0.016027 | 11,027.324335 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
kWCRdSdWhKoGiwxyCzpC | acx-2024-will-the-2024-light-duty-e | [ACX 2024] Will the 2024 light duty electric vehicle sales share exceed 11% in the US through November 2024? | null | 1,704,115,921,379 | 1,734,789,600,000 | 1,735,588,855,367 | NO | 0.01 | 16,956.925332 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
nymEy6Sf4RhRwgSmpubE | nfl-week-9-nov-3-2024-will-the-minn | NFL Week 9 (Nov 3 2024): Will the Minnesota Vikings (home) beat the Indianapolis Colts (away)? | null | 1,715,834,180,948 | 1,730,829,600,000 | 1,731,290,418,816 | YES | 0.99 | 995.854625 | Sports | Professional Sports |
uiw46i2gry | will-robert-f-kennedy-jr-get-at-lea-airs8oidpt | Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. get at least 1% of the popular vote in Wisconsin in the 2024 Presidential Election? | null | 1,723,525,662,770 | 1,733,976,029,893 | 1,733,976,029,893 | NO | 0.010018 | 942 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
8F83YHc9Gfy82C4l5if6 | will-the-conservatives-win-more-vot | Will the Conservatives win more votes than BC United in British Columbia's next election? | null | 1,699,205,369,004 | 1,729,394,771,534 | 1,729,394,771,534 | YES | 0.99 | 22,368.424844 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
5gVQj8OaE3951objmydO | will-the-2024-dnc-and-rnc-nominees | Will the 2024 DNC and RNC Nominees Engage in a Long-Form Debate? | null | 1,692,909,245,393 | 1,730,874,518,335 | 1,730,874,518,335 | NO | 0.01 | 16,632.094292 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
CZWlU4X4qwNCIc6s901y | will-a-democrat-win-the-2024-presid-1205d646e7f1 | Will a democrat win the 2024 presidential election in Wyoming? | null | 1,670,815,736,312 | 1,731,292,834,638 | 1,731,292,834,638 | NO | 0.01 | 2,924.9151 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
NIlQ9R9ElR | will-venom-the-last-dance-receive-a | Will “Venom: The Last Dance" receive a worse CinemaScore than “Venom” & “Venom: Let There Be Carnage”? (both were B+) | null | 1,729,810,739,969 | 1,729,915,080,000 | 1,729,916,263,847 | YES | 0.93 | 3,399.045822 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
wHJhT53kJt2cQZcVxWTE | will-vivek-ramaswamy-in-response-ha | Will Vivek Ramaswamy - IN RESPONSE - harshly criticize Trump before Nov. 2024 election? | null | 1,693,180,491,348 | 1,730,869,140,000 | 1,732,932,728,043 | NO | 0.044373 | 1,429.797005 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
kiep8sj382 | will-any-of-dockside-extortionist-m | Will any of Dockside Extortionist, Mana Crypt, or Jeweled Lotus be worth ~75% less than their pre-ban prices in 2 weeks? | null | 1,727,151,899,708 | 1,728,359,940,000 | 1,728,360,084,551 | NO | 0.05 | 6,228.006783 | Entertainment | Gaming |
MXZJ7XR8XIWkR8o1ZGMB | will-adobes-senior-management-team | Will Adobe's senior management team say that generative AI is a headwind to Adobe by Sep 2024? | null | 1,684,946,626,807 | 1,727,751,540,000 | 1,727,814,755,716 | NO | 0.04 | 4,463.368107 | Technology | Tech Industry & Business |
58zkgh1bt6 | will-democrats-win-either-house-of | Will Democrats win either house of the Arizona state legislature in 2024? | null | 1,721,811,215,828 | 1,733,084,083,273 | 1,733,084,083,273 | NO | 0.02733 | 6,427 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
CEQNCghc5t | will-destiny-appear-on-the-adam-fri | Will Destiny appear on The Adam Friedland Show before the end of the year? | null | 1,731,420,609,443 | 1,733,986,828,146 | 1,733,986,828,146 | YES | 0.8 | 100 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
Ih9qyA6EhZ | will-manchester-city-win-at-least-5--cash | Will Manchester City win at least 5 matches in December? | null | 1,733,426,152,889 | 1,734,288,015,251 | 1,734,381,971,353 | NO | 0.019293 | 324.128484 | Sports | Professional Sports |
gIvV9tiPw8YoiPT7IRFP | will-hans-niemann-beat-either-hikar | Will Hans Niemann Beat Either Hikaru Nakamura or Magnus Carlsen Again in 2024? | null | 1,707,146,369,126 | 1,727,650,204,933 | 1,727,650,204,933 | YES | 0.99 | 3,689.274151 | Sports | Individual Sports |
r6WWiSW7RLe6p3JfvwJ3 | will-any-of-the-videos-uploaded-to-12390d28cb17 | Will any of the videos uploaded to Destiny's YouTube channel in Nov 2024 surpass 800k views? | null | 1,706,581,166,993 | 1,733,029,196,395 | 1,733,341,590,491 | NO | 0.01 | 1,110.223254 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
tgjc5dbx05 | will-hannah-cockroft-win-the-bbc-sp | Will Hannah Cockroft win the BBC Sports Personality of the Year 2024? | null | 1,725,356,762,709 | 1,734,821,940,000 | 1,734,823,442,359 | NO | 0.02 | 649.068784 | Sports | Individual Sports |
ja0s6l7zvx | will-frank-ocean-be-on-tyler-the-cr | Will Frank Ocean be on Tyler, the Creator's new album Chromakopia? | null | 1,729,521,084,297 | 1,730,131,248,903 | 1,730,131,248,903 | NO | 0.07 | 420 | Entertainment | Music & Audio |
YReb67ANE3kYJwpbDQ5F | will-final-fantasy-vii-rebirth-be-n | Will Final Fantasy VII Rebirth be nominated for any awards at the Game Awards 2024? | null | 1,709,289,082,269 | 1,731,971,904,631 | 1,731,971,904,631 | YES | 0.989991 | 1,485.972292 | Entertainment | Gaming |
kklor9c08u | will-an-australian-bishop-become-a | Will an Australian bishop become a cardinal this year? | null | 1,723,309,630,830 | 1,728,257,523,539 | 1,728,257,523,539 | YES | 0.99 | 7,625.725342 | Politics | Government Structure |
Z45tNE6ZZOeTZuA3OFE7 | will-fortnite-support-macos-again-i | Will Fortnite support MacOS again in 2024? | null | 1,704,097,637,668 | 1,735,685,940,000 | 1,735,686,547,942 | NO | 0.046848 | 6,276.894425 | Technology | Gaming |
mvy5bw6sf2 | will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-5zh9nkcqai | Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Oct 8 than it closed on Oct 7? | null | 1,728,331,601,754 | 1,728,417,747,966 | 1,728,417,747,966 | YES | 0.99 | 1,644.596911 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
O8qtPVi3e5t6ebMyeQRu | will-data-from-the-james-webb-space | Will data from the James Webb Space Telescope disprove the Big Bang? | null | 1,660,568,810,174 | 1,734,929,940,000 | 1,735,065,148,680 | NO | 0.025649 | 8,062.930258 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
nwl76dGMp0Ye3S2IzZDK | will-it-be-revealed-by-2025-that-de | Will it be revealed, by the end of 2024 that Destiny has lied about something significant during the Divorce Drama? | null | 1,703,387,800,609 | 1,732,611,119,238 | 1,732,611,119,238 | YES | 0.99 | 3,277.063912 | Entertainment | Celebrity & Pop Culture |
zi9ivkm9pa | will-1-usd-to-yen-hit-150-or-higher | Will 1 USD to Yen hit 150 or higher again before end of year? | null | 1,727,970,579,302 | 1,729,223,083,755 | 1,729,223,083,755 | YES | 0.99 | 900.012701 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
7bcs50hulr | will-bitcoin-reach-77777-usd-before | Will Bitcoin reach $77,777 USD before the end of 2024? | null | 1,718,513,056,189 | 1,731,223,090,405 | 1,731,223,090,405 | YES | 0.99 | 5,462.987371 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
C6RIRRqgug | will-the-killer-of-brian-thompson-b-A8RcqsRghp--cash | Will the killer of Brian Thompson be arrested by the end of 2024? | null | 1,733,437,201,033 | 1,733,775,767,666 | 1,733,775,903,769 | YES | 0.99 | 1,438.361 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
rDDcRKHfs7FYinPum1vw | will-caltrain-electrification-finis | Will Caltrain electrification finish on schedule in 2024? | null | 1,672,406,504,038 | 1,734,970,350,354 | 1,734,970,350,354 | YES | 0.99 | 9,959.662013 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
YvVqSYEdyiYn7Mdj4oCc | will-ai-be-a-major-topic-during-the | Will AI be a major topic during the 2024 presidential debates in the United States? (please read criteria) | null | 1,674,528,942,520 | 1,730,707,140,000 | 1,730,756,342,661 | NO | 0.014964 | 1,712,107.006222 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
0c1auvnzjm | will-trump-publicly-claim-that-jd-v | Will Trump publicly claim that J.D. Vance was set up by the deep state to undermine him? | null | 1,726,256,129,126 | 1,733,007,540,000 | 1,733,010,022,153 | NO | 0.014556 | 1,274.819962 | Politics | Political Parties & Ideologies |
NxFr5f2cax7ZVYY8gVbC | will-tumbles-be-late-to-pay-back-th | Will @Tumbles be late to pay back the 39k loan from Ammon? | null | 1,704,918,345,853 | 1,733,189,976,143 | 1,733,189,976,143 | NO | 0.025933 | 6,066.497293 | Finance | Personal Finance |
PWxZ7ZqVPZAr0ScXtk4u | will-questions-which-resolve-in-ver | Will questions which resolve in very distant future (more than 5 years) be still allowed on Manifold in one year? | null | 1,696,785,677,252 | 1,729,033,140,000 | 1,729,927,396,620 | YES | 0.99 | 1,136.75166 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
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