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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
zlrcGiYcYTsV5Z9f3ti7 | will-a-republican-win-the-popular-v | Will a Republican win the popular vote by 2037? | null | 1,690,391,955,865 | 1,731,254,316,211 | 1,731,254,316,211 | YES | 0.977893 | 4,957.87112 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
nLQr8eoCNfmdqipEV2g3 | will-ohio-and-iowa-vote-within-1-of | Will Ohio and Iowa vote within 1% of each other in 2024? | null | 1,705,880,949,485 | 1,731,734,849,129 | 1,731,734,849,129 | NO | 0.010871 | 1,138.172698 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
ftor3d82bi | will-this-market-close-above-50-per-j46ae4m5vw | Will this market close above 50% percent? | null | 1,729,368,474,568 | 1,730,005,140,000 | 1,730,005,347,551 | NO | 0.1 | 67,140.872905 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
ib3gjeemk0 | will-spxl-be-above-157-on-september | Will SPXL be above 157 on September 30th? | null | 1,724,731,733,305 | 1,727,593,140,000 | 1,728,839,665,985 | YES | 0.79 | 204.839847 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
iqaupcjw7t | will-the-office-australia-be-rated | Will The Office (Australia) be rated fresh on RottenTomatoes at the end of October? | null | 1,729,604,162,729 | 1,730,444,340,000 | 1,730,469,548,834 | YES | 0.921492 | 313.282168 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
TyS25ICaSGXYF6OA3VE8 | will-any-2020-blue-statedistrict-fl | Will ANY 2020 blue states/districts flip red in 2024? | null | 1,693,938,900,968 | 1,730,869,140,000 | 1,730,950,337,266 | YES | 0.926661 | 1,425.045946 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
fhuRvHy1MVJegexnw0Wq | nfl-week-6-oct-13-will-the-new-orle | NFL Week 6 (Oct 13): Will the New Orleans Saints beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers? | null | 1,715,834,027,018 | 1,729,011,600,000 | 1,729,091,974,074 | NO | 0.01 | 991.431206 | Sports | Professional Sports |
bFXYpTWjaYTO6mVOWEKD | if-he-is-the-republican-nominee-wil | If he is the Republican nominee, will Former Governor Larry Hogan win the 2024 Senate Race in Maryland? | null | 1,707,499,444,165 | 1,730,966,340,000 | 1,731,696,473,348 | NO | 0.048475 | 10,047.828118 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
CNPIq6CSEt | dalle-4 | DALL-E 4 | null | 1,734,795,016,336 | 1,734,814,740,000 | 1,734,815,294,957 | YES | 0.524376 | 5 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
GmPrrSMaZ2XP58rf8u4i | will-there-be-a-new-crisis-before-t | Will there be a new crisis before the 2024 election? | null | 1,701,807,086,543 | 1,730,869,140,000 | 1,731,839,774,786 | NO | 0.019545 | 7,351.499945 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
zqecbkh1r6 | will-israel-punish-someone-for-firi | Will Israel punish someone for firing at the UN Peacekeeping headquarters? | null | 1,728,586,409,918 | 1,735,685,940,000 | 1,735,688,706,440 | NO | 0.259104 | 90 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
68j6tlk4wt | will-any-of-the-top-5-global-compan | Will any of the top 5 global companies by market cap be non-American on December 28, 2024? | null | 1,728,747,290,149 | 1,735,448,340,000 | 1,735,450,660,192 | NO | 0.01 | 949.217897 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
rs9vtxfhZWyaYTe4J4Vl | will-the-frontrunner-2024-republica | Will the [non-Trump] frontrunner for 2024 Republican Presidential nominee promise to pardon Trump if they are elected? | null | 1,692,087,415,113 | 1,730,381,340,000 | 1,730,390,708,081 | YES | 0.867734 | 28,028.035417 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
cl8su5cupu | will-trump-win-kansas-by-10-or-more | Will Trump Win Kansas By 10 Or More Points? | null | 1,730,740,800,063 | 1,730,906,875,810 | 1,730,906,875,810 | YES | 0.987104 | 903 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
idN76m5nmPs9N8oyPYdK | will-the-nobel-peace-prize-in-2024 | Will the Nobel Peace Prize in 2024 be related to the Palestine conflict? | null | 1,710,395,392,512 | 1,728,690,087,308 | 1,728,690,087,308 | NO | 0.01 | 11,138.391623 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
ayItxgs6ZhO0rkUURAeu | will-bidens-favorability-be-higher | Will Biden's favorability be higher than Trump's on FiveThirtyEight at the end of Halloween? | null | 1,713,972,888,465 | 1,730,429,347,363 | 1,730,429,347,363 | NO | 0.017316 | 7,327.973012 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
lriaygx4m4 | bitcoin-above-63000-on-september-27 | Bitcoin above $63,000 on September 27? | null | 1,727,081,972,922 | 1,727,463,730,804 | 1,727,463,730,804 | YES | 0.99 | 1,461.04258 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
woi3gp04j5 | if-the-fed-cuts-will-the-dems-win-t | If The FED cuts, will the Dems win the presidency? | null | 1,720,984,887,568 | 1,730,899,009,532 | 1,730,899,009,532 | NO | 0.03215 | 11,212.460211 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
9ln3uPEbleLkjwQ5HR4b | will-joe-biden-pardon-hunter-biden-014exmuzui | Will Joe Biden pardon Hunter Biden before Jan 21, 2025? | null | 1,718,134,942,616 | 1,733,101,240,238 | 1,733,101,240,238 | YES | 0.991655 | 1,870,124.475121 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
du9tHo7bK65bRPDC1wHu | will-red-bull-win-21-or-more-races | Will Red Bull win 21 or more races in the 2024 Formula 1 season? | null | 1,708,319,483,309 | 1,727,702,997,164 | 1,727,702,997,164 | NO | 0.02 | 6,808.748448 | Sports | Professional Sports |
254sddt2y7 | will-destiny-reach-828k-subscribers | Will Destiny reach 828k subscribers in October 2024? | null | 1,728,373,180,883 | 1,729,606,440,623 | 1,729,606,440,623 | YES | 0.99 | 9,377.712163 | Entertainment | Celebrity & Pop Culture |
ZntstCh2Rc | will-california-ab-2655-requiring-o--cash | Will California AB 2655, requiring online platforms to label/remove deepfake election content, pass in 2024? | null | 1,729,874,259,024 | 1,729,876,494,421 | 1,729,876,494,421 | YES | 0.67 | 10 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
sRkn1avwtasmkOBlh3Ql | will-chris-murphy-win-reelection-in | Will Chris Murphy win re-election in the 2024 US senate race in Connecticut? | null | 1,680,633,684,353 | 1,731,289,490,745 | 1,731,289,490,745 | YES | 0.980302 | 1,150.743052 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
NZRdOZcChg | will-gukesh-dommaraju-beat-ding-lir | Will Gukesh Dommaraju beat Ding Liren in the 2024 World Chess Championship? | null | 1,729,987,130,653 | 1,734,025,898,047 | 1,734,025,898,047 | YES | 0.991131 | 393,844.608523 | Sports | Individual Sports |
KsWhtas7MSB4ksYof4Yl | if-the-republican-nominee-wins-flor | If the Republican nominee wins Florida, will they win the presidency (2024)? | null | 1,690,426,380,422 | 1,730,877,710,316 | 1,730,877,710,316 | YES | 0.907989 | 2,911.767397 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
pkSVR8UBPSD2F61SySjN | will-team-jumbovisma-win-zero-grand | Will Visma | Lease a Bike win zero grand tours and 1 monument (not WVA) in 2024? | null | 1,701,721,607,056 | 1,728,922,084,457 | 1,728,922,084,457 | NO | 0.01 | 1,595.554239 | Sports | Professional Sports |
sx51hxrbut | will-putin-attack-nato-if-long-rang | Will Putin attack NATO if long range strikes by Ukraine are permitted? | null | 1,726,166,514,026 | 1,730,501,940,000 | 1,734,422,605,476 | NO | 0.033685 | 948.623129 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
icotel6eaq | will-trump-win-the-2024-election--cash | Will Trump win the 2024 Election? | null | 1,726,588,850,244 | 1,730,930,891,970 | 1,730,930,891,970 | YES | 0.996113 | 183,262.057385 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
vmgjxQReAWNtjMIyHkT3 | will-trump-have-an-outburst-during | Will trump have an outburst during his NYC criminal trial that gets him thrown in jail? | null | 1,713,232,923,390 | 1,731,568,103,876 | 1,731,568,103,876 | NO | 0.08277 | 2,082.394604 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
CMd5l4hdly3fJfuN5plj | will-biden-take-part-in-a-twitter-s | Will Biden take part in a Twitter Space as part of his campaign? | null | 1,685,217,889,511 | 1,730,839,920,000 | 1,730,854,938,927 | NO | 0.149837 | 12,201.411399 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
GEDm4K2smDkvgKNd1QtF | will-donald-trump-be-knocked-out-of | Will Donald Trump be knocked out of the race because of judicial issues after winning the Republican nomination? | null | 1,697,990,300,216 | 1,730,966,340,000 | 1,731,228,908,930 | NO | 0.010104 | 2,135.419463 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
P8XDlVq05lw128oU9IGH | will-donald-trump-win-georgia-in-th | Will Donald Trump win Georgia in the 2024 presidential election? | null | 1,714,675,471,290 | 1,730,926,410,051 | 1,730,926,410,051 | YES | 0.98375 | 9,821.175098 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
3ujggud9nx | will-predictor-have-a-positive-net | Will @Predictor have a positive net worth on Manifold.Markets ever again? | null | 1,727,750,444,073 | 1,734,623,701,330 | 1,734,623,701,330 | YES | 0.99 | 904.749342 | Finance | Personal Finance |
zc6dkme8oc | one-month-from-today-will-gamestop-ho62xqg2g7 | One month from today, will Gamestop have the same CEO as today? | null | 1,726,459,920,439 | 1,729,137,540,000 | 1,729,140,232,603 | YES | 0.99 | 848 | Technology | Tech Industry & Business |
XYP7Rbgrm5KPqIdKkhIT | should-donald-trump-drop-out-of-the | Should Donald Trump drop out of the 2024 Presidential Election? | null | 1,714,419,121,056 | 1,730,789,940,000 | 1,731,375,233,843 | NO | 0.516237 | 72.723571 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
HJ8qwkJCYnCLsOhUAAfB | will-arizona-vote-the-same-party-fo | Will Arizona vote the same party for Senate and president in 2024? | null | 1,686,435,412,680 | 1,730,869,140,000 | 1,731,555,169,817 | NO | 0.135834 | 2,980.774331 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
psu0099v93 | will-lord-peter-hendy-have-left-his | Will Lord Peter Hendy have left his post as Minister of State for Rail by the end of October 2024? | null | 1,725,183,364,784 | 1,730,505,540,000 | 1,730,508,174,504 | NO | 0.010184 | 9,130.045611 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
Ws4nIXshSkiHxqayyh6N | will-enel-appear-in-egghead | Will Enel appear in egghead? | null | 1,706,579,255,814 | 1,732,049,526,479 | 1,732,049,526,479 | NO | 0.010411 | 36,015.519427 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
4ipChlgNwljQxztkFhcU | will-jimmy-carter-live-to-see-super | Will Jimmy Carter live to see Super Bowl LIX? | null | 1,711,584,527,534 | 1,735,509,611,565 | 1,735,509,611,565 | NO | 0.013029 | 13,542.795011 | Sports | Sports Culture & Recreation |
3oIfaNHi2F5hH8BJTJqn | will-tumbles-reach-platinum-in-the | Will Tumbles reach Platinum in the Melee ranked ladder before Christmas? | null | 1,712,105,015,922 | 1,735,199,940,000 | 1,735,209,275,396 | NO | 0.01 | 1,666.369115 | Sports | Gaming |
JiAVQQmR0j6KPFuh2AU1 | if-the-top-chatbot-in-2025-thinks-b | If the top chatbot in 2025 "thinks" before responding to a difficult prompt, will its thoughts be human-interpretable? | null | 1,702,156,604,193 | 1,726,719,453,859 | 1,726,719,453,859 | YES | 0.75 | 1,217.440372 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
RCNqqD4a8PNTr2NMWgyR | nfl-week-10-nov-10-2024-will-the-ne | NFL Week 10 (Nov 10 2024): Will the New Orleans Saints (home) beat the Atlanta Falcons (away)? | null | 1,715,834,213,668 | 1,731,291,791,998 | 1,731,291,791,998 | YES | 0.99 | 1,172.703584 | Sports | Professional Sports |
2RQA89hyuI | tug-of-war-hC9QCqtUsc | Tug of war | null | 1,733,330,162,497 | 1,733,461,140,000 | 1,733,461,270,970 | NO | 0.281319 | 1,392.119688 | Sports | Sports Culture & Recreation |
5NyIO26ltt | will-assad-flee-syria-by-2025 | Will Assad flee Syria by 2025? | null | 1,733,532,465,277 | 1,733,647,692,567 | 1,733,681,876,266 | YES | 0.83964 | 26,546.12853 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
6a8nmj557x | will-kate-barr-win | Will Kate Barr win? | null | 1,729,212,938,708 | 1,730,957,467,088 | 1,730,957,467,088 | NO | 0.01 | 894.987437 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
thfohxhnff | will-anyone-say-ai-artificial-intel | Will anyone say "AI", "Artificial intelligence" or "GPT" during the Vance vs Walz debate? | null | 1,727,814,784,470 | 1,727,852,340,000 | 1,728,349,728,651 | NO | 0.01 | 12,053.488737 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
QtNtyQ80lQ | will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-25ZOQz5cgP | Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Nov 20 than it closed on Nogv 19? | null | 1,732,050,132,589 | 1,732,136,659,316 | 1,732,136,659,316 | YES | 0.100632 | 369.718376 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
EAx8JxLqoG8AxYTMurOi | will-the-winner-of-the-2024-preside-ad184f5a7869 | Will the winner of the 2024 Presidential Election carry Nebraska's 1st congressional district? | null | 1,690,201,859,143 | 1,730,950,961,767 | 1,730,950,961,767 | YES | 0.989996 | 880.566071 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
e5nqp8c3b6 | will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-3xqz8y6tix | Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Oct 16 than
it closed on Oct 15? | null | 1,729,022,699,470 | 1,729,108,981,542 | 1,729,108,981,542 | YES | 0.99 | 1,217.663268 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
W6B63hYGADLjPvsrYaHA | will-alaska-be-closer-than-virginia | Will Alaska be closer than Virginia in the 2024 POTUS election? | null | 1,687,494,074,450 | 1,731,295,167,768 | 1,731,295,167,768 | NO | 0.024617 | 7,733.844878 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
oDSS1aoZWha9nPk38Jyg | bing-stops-being-tricked-by-the-mis | Bing stops being tricked by the misleading query: "The 16 executive departments of the US government are:" | null | 1,684,775,492,791 | 1,726,469,940,000 | 1,727,108,731,795 | YES | 0.95 | 12,590.301266 | Politics | Government Structure |
CA9WWJWSdGGbSCpYAQMN | will-india-legalise-samesex-marriag | Will India legalise same-sex marriage before 2025? | null | 1,692,529,268,576 | 1,735,669,740,000 | 1,735,674,257,863 | NO | 0.022524 | 1,475.757737 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
8sucZIOOlu | will-rpredictionmarkets-have-more-t | Will r/PredictionMarkets have more than 100 members by the end of 2024? | null | 1,730,018,530,026 | 1,733,104,805,234 | 1,733,104,805,234 | YES | 0.861529 | 552.449012 | Technology | Internet & Digital Services |
Ig3NhAEBDcsTJzXWyEDy | will-usdrub-exchange-rate-stay-high-b1eb35c4f93e | Will USD/RUB exchange rate stay higher than 150 for at least one week in 2024? | null | 1,703,251,147,352 | 1,735,387,589,928 | 1,735,387,589,928 | NO | 0.015019 | 11,763.109916 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
XtQih9PRIQZJSZP96DJG | will-hwang-junho-still-be-alive-whe | Will Hwang Jun-Ho still be alive when "Squid Game" returns for season 2? | null | 1,655,320,088,049 | 1,733,100,027,733 | 1,733,100,027,733 | YES | 0.99 | 9,391.620463 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
dbjrslwydx | will-trading-on-the-kalshi-presiden | Will trading on the Kalshi Presidential market stop for a day relating to CFTC proceedings before the 2024 election? | null | 1,728,566,380,459 | 1,730,937,832,509 | 1,730,937,832,509 | NO | 0.02 | 11,800 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
zqLgpPLpSL | tesla-sells-bitcoin-in-october | Tesla sells bitcoin in October? | null | 1,729,927,122,523 | 1,730,882,439,425 | 1,730,882,439,425 | NO | 0.01 | 894.987437 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
d6pnpuhshq | 11-traders-on-this-market | 11 traders on this Market? | null | 1,733,532,974,043 | 1,733,550,879,755 | 1,733,550,879,755 | YES | 0.99 | 1,059.124897 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
oiDJH0f1JVpAN8KTeSk0 | will-scientists-create-artificial-b | Will scientists create artificial blood to be used on any patient by the end of 2024? | null | 1,666,228,219,469 | 1,735,648,173,508 | 1,735,648,173,508 | NO | 0.010119 | 8,745.640919 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
E0qCvI5aL1O9eyhp2ElR | will-bitcoin-reach-80k-by-the-end-o | Will Bitcoin reach $80K by the end of 2024? | null | 1,709,912,989,788 | 1,731,261,506,330 | 1,731,261,506,330 | YES | 0.99 | 24,810.871125 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
QCFdPohmdMypOouFPJi4 | will-a-new-official-weapon-be-added | Will a new official weapon be added to Team Fortress 2 before Bitcoin reaches $100K USD? | null | 1,705,345,343,419 | 1,733,371,614,170 | 1,733,371,614,170 | NO | 0.010957 | 2,139.994652 | Gaming | Gaming |
bNUrKLEmlnuK4j3Mk6e9 | will-spacex-win-the-doj-lawsuit-on | Will SpaceX win the DoJ lawsuit on its hiring practices? | null | 1,693,047,695,005 | 1,724,696,940,000 | 1,727,722,903,714 | YES | 0.71 | 3,476.457417 | Technology | Tech Industry & Business |
I2ru2Y0TiQNwGl6dCbpO | will-mitt-romney-endorse-trump | Will Mitt Romney endorse Trump? | null | 1,681,992,584,822 | 1,731,128,340,000 | 1,731,412,055,590 | NO | 0.010765 | 7,438.090253 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
s0xvPUIq32RpxvowjjWZ | will-either-happen-trump-is-convict | Will either happen: Trump is convicted of a crime AND wins election OR Trump is not convicted AND loses election | null | 1,706,300,373,785 | 1,730,962,740,000 | 1,730,986,445,590 | YES | 0.986202 | 1,190.2095 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
GXFH7imeEt9OieCurCtN | will-the-democrats-win-both-pa-and | Will the Democrats win both PA and MI in 2024 Presidential election? | null | 1,709,002,575,131 | 1,732,214,372,496 | 1,732,214,372,496 | NO | 0.01 | 1,741.356355 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
bgjlnGaI58RPoFdnHdHp | nfl-week-17-dec-26-2024-will-the-ch | NFL Week 17 (Dec 26 2024): Will the Chicago Bears (home) beat the Seattle Seahawks (away)? | null | 1,715,834,651,402 | 1,735,434,900,000 | 1,735,438,232,339 | NO | 0.01027 | 1,294.998706 | Sports | Professional Sports |
oyAiIsUjL486mVZwB7i8 | will-openai-have-a-valuation-either-9c5147a174e9 | Will OpenAI have a valuation (either public or based on a private raise) above $100B by the end of 2025? | null | 1,673,042,094,325 | 1,727,901,067,682 | 1,727,901,067,682 | YES | 0.98 | 8,784.611281 | Technology | Tech Industry & Business |
IlglnPucSS | will-gladiator-2-receive-a-higher-c | Will “Gladiator 2" receive a higher CinemaScore than "Wicked"? | null | 1,731,966,902,010 | 1,732,334,340,000 | 1,732,462,922,817 | NO | 0.089223 | 2,438.529032 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
g7oa0m9n3f | will-jd-vance-or-tim-walz-say-the-w-bt0bl46d01--cash | Will JD Vance or Tim Walz say the word "racist" during the debate? | null | 1,727,816,895,285 | 1,727,837,800,180 | 1,727,894,043,500 | NO | 0.03 | 570.176207 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
NsgZLbr1HkTTQVfnKFVW | will-any-mr-beast-video-posted-in-2 | Will any Mr Beast video posted in 2024 exceed 300M views? | null | 1,710,534,025,732 | 1,734,860,141,803 | 1,734,860,141,803 | YES | 0.99 | 1,801.214006 | Entertainment | Celebrity & Pop Culture |
apTtOiDmCS6bEspx5ilL | during-the-course-of-the-2024-elect | During the course of the 2024 presidential election process, will any significant world flipping event occur? | null | 1,686,670,836,547 | 1,733,156,370,875 | 1,733,156,370,875 | YES | 0.919555 | 11,445.697064 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
Gg26GGEac4upwCOg1gYz | will-90-of-online-content-be-ai-gen | Will >90% of online content be AI generated by 2025? | null | 1,690,851,726,108 | 1,735,651,740,000 | 1,735,677,317,303 | NO | 0.05375 | 1,125.478556 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
l0zyuFwKq5YM0gtQH516 | nfl-week-11-nov-17-2024-will-the-pi | NFL Week 11 (Nov 17 2024): Will the Pittsburgh Steelers (home) beat the Baltimore Ravens (away)? | null | 1,715,834,244,879 | 1,732,039,200,000 | 1,732,042,936,733 | YES | 0.99 | 940.415579 | Sports | Professional Sports |
vsh2ouum8r | one-month-from-today-will-israel-an-xbt32frf2f | One month from today, will Israel and Palestine have agreed to a ceasefire deal? | null | 1,729,134,355,536 | 1,731,733,140,000 | 1,731,734,035,389 | NO | 0.012368 | 915 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
LDpMGxok3mQd2yN7iM4a | will-tsla-double-between-2024-and-t | Will TSLA double between 2024 and the end of 2025? | null | 1,704,213,864,496 | 1,730,909,088,023 | 1,730,909,088,023 | YES | 0.99002 | 3,567.048756 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
BUMx7dZ4UQJo6JQxjsU4 | nfl-week-9-nov-3-2024-will-the-gree | NFL Week 9 (Nov 3 2024): Will the Green Bay Packers (home) beat the Detroit Lions (away)? | null | 1,715,834,189,757 | 1,730,841,900,000 | 1,730,844,050,656 | NO | 0.01 | 916.897504 | Sports | Professional Sports |
FPgMpm76jFHsIe1iJ2P6 | will-a-democrat-win-the-2024-us-sen-cbcf76fa3af7 | Will a Democrat win the 2024 US Senate election in Texas? | null | 1,670,857,069,762 | 1,730,913,943,985 | 1,730,913,943,985 | NO | 0.01925 | 23,912.170034 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
rn0wqey9vj | will-mira-return-to-twitter-before | Will Mira return to Twitter before EOY 2025? | null | 1,728,656,031,268 | 1,731,538,416,002 | 1,731,538,416,002 | YES | 0.99 | 9,135.432587 | Technology | Internet & Digital Services |
y9qhdctnLQ | san-francisco-proposition-k-passes--cash | San Francisco Proposition K passes: Great Highway Recreational Space 2024-11 | null | 1,729,874,351,838 | 1,731,205,899,144 | 1,731,352,387,183 | YES | 0.99 | 1,459.262111 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
CkUIhOwl1ogS0cR6Qskw | nfl-week-3-sep-22-will-the-arizona | NFL Week 3 (Sep 22): Will the Arizona Cardinals beat the Detroit Lions? | null | 1,715,833,639,677 | 1,727,068,277,022 | 1,727,068,277,022 | NO | 0.01 | 899.838 | Sports | Professional Sports |
6WJ3xke1r77A06PzpzOr | if-the-republican-nominee-wins-nort | If the Republican nominee wins North Carolina, will they win the presidency (2024)? | null | 1,690,426,143,766 | 1,730,879,277,900 | 1,730,879,277,900 | YES | 0.945817 | 406.55416 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
0l26ZuE0gE | daily-coinflip-tPU5dsuNCd | Daily coinflip | null | 1,730,254,402,440 | 1,730,426,400,000 | 1,730,432,102,458 | YES | 0.504421 | 6,253.037537 | Entertainment | Gaming |
kMVWTaRdG01MCAgzIvof | will-the-democratic-presidential-ca | Will the Democratic presidential candidate in 2024 win any states that voted for Trump in 2020? | null | 1,680,625,985,486 | 1,731,228,404,081 | 1,731,228,404,081 | NO | 0.01 | 14,087.57613 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
4PG1NBXdql5NsGIlZy8v | does-gary-wang-get-1-years-sentence | Does Gary Wang get >=1 years sentence? | null | 1,670,894,474,114 | 1,733,253,142,403 | 1,733,253,142,403 | NO | 0.0488 | 7,333.646088 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
z3sneupryk | will-trump-be-the-target-of-a-3rd-a | Will Trump be the target of a 3rd assassination attempt before election? | null | 1,726,445,598,508 | 1,730,955,540,000 | 1,735,407,621,816 | NO | 0.01 | 2,178.015582 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
n3nlwmqx9b | will-the-dutch-coalitiongovernment | Will the Dutch coalition/government fall due to the 'noodwet' plans for the 'asylum crisis'? | null | 1,728,547,188,513 | 1,730,120,397,566 | 1,730,120,588,620 | NO | 0.28 | 704.101824 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
emzh95x7h1 | daily-coinflip-mhydj6xum3 | Daily coinflip | null | 1,729,398,555,024 | 1,729,569,540,000 | 1,729,569,944,666 | YES | 0.51 | 6,188.885636 | Gaming | Gaming |
OEy5clA0lN | will-2024-black-friday-sales-in-the | Will 2024 Black Friday Sales in the US Be Larger Than Projected ($10.8 Billion)? | null | 1,732,668,941,302 | 1,733,032,740,000 | 1,733,158,259,496 | NO | 0.453438 | 352 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
NdtqP6AyEh | will-this-market-has-over-80-or-mor | Will this market has over 80 or more traders? | null | 1,731,684,320,243 | 1,731,954,540,000 | 1,731,956,257,422 | NO | 0.01 | 946.064956 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
HFrQC3ZQjJRdKqyZZbeS | will-midjourney-v7-be-released-befo | Will Midjourney v7 be released before Nov 2024? | null | 1,705,772,678,686 | 1,730,933,940,000 | 1,731,090,022,950 | NO | 0.01 | 1,506.845819 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
j5edAIJeP0Gu6tzwLqJI | will-spacex-land-their-super-heavy | Will SpaceX land their Super Heavy booster before United Launch Alliance fixes the heat shield on the SLS Orion capsule? | null | 1,715,269,499,902 | 1,728,911,370,487 | 1,728,911,370,487 | YES | 0.85 | 180 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
539pskdksHLPZqajyJKq | will-a-sleeper-agent-attack-on-a-ma | Will a Sleeper Agent Attack on a major LLM (ChatGPT, Gemini, etc.) cause significant real-life consequences in 2024? | null | 1,705,127,290,858 | 1,735,678,474,722 | 1,735,678,479,558 | NO | 0.044997 | 2,262.300512 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
DL3LdG3vohC8PslBMXwy | will-russia-launch-an-armed-attack-a9741c920e05 | Will Russia launch an armed attack against a NATO member by the end of September 2024? | null | 1,707,355,580,151 | 1,727,733,540,000 | 1,727,734,527,197 | NO | 0.01 | 5,451.72603 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
wo6qgu8xjq | will-arsenii-become-a-cracked-progr | Will arsenii become a cracked programmer by the end of the summer? | null | 1,719,379,864,009 | 1,725,173,940,000 | 1,734,692,567,041 | NO | 0.64 | 1,064.652221 | Technology | Computing & Software |
RCYU0A3rzXehiJjqNYUk | will-stripe-go-public-by-the-end-of | Will Stripe go public by the end of 2024? | null | 1,692,262,329,978 | 1,735,669,740,000 | 1,735,674,205,594 | NO | 0.017994 | 9,868.299227 | Finance | Corporate Finance |
5JyzBvet827GF7Hu9WRr | will-jon-tester-be-reelected | Will Jon Tester be reëlected? | null | 1,677,271,834,925 | 1,730,946,670,349 | 1,730,946,670,349 | NO | 0.004021 | 378,105.804634 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
ay2k5fe0j5 | will-the-2024-presidential-election-o2np2rj8v9 | Will the 2024 presidential election be decided by fewer than 100,000 votes? | null | 1,725,148,730,576 | 1,731,092,966,879 | 1,731,092,966,879 | NO | 0.01 | 43,929.577815 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
WFlDb6LZxp6mdSjGTWcO | -will-the-sp-500-indexspinx-close-l-a0ed92dcc724 | 🏛⬆️ Will The S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX) Close Lower Than 4,499.99 At Any Point During Q2-Q4 2024? | null | 1,710,764,804,169 | 1,735,664,400,000 | 1,735,678,960,578 | NO | 0.01679 | 7,462.697101 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
TFvVRhRXjmnsffLyCWik | will-destiny-have-a-public-falling | Will destiny have a public falling out with anyone he considered a friend in 2024? | null | 1,708,904,051,217 | 1,734,956,202,150 | 1,734,956,202,150 | YES | 0.939728 | 5,446.695994 | Entertainment | Celebrity & Pop Culture |
CLIZdnyhdt | will-there-be-any-break-between-one-p0qzt0RAZ9 | Will there be any break between One Piece chapters 1132 and 1133? | null | 1,730,828,540,991 | 1,733,126,340,000 | 1,733,185,439,546 | NO | 0.140896 | 1,555.213462 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
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