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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
cci4fRqaL6gDjrxdvRB5 | will-any-us-senate-seat-scheduled-f | Will any U.S. Senate seat scheduled for the November 2024 election be decided by fewer than 0.1% of its district votes? | null | 1,708,963,745,562 | 1,731,131,940,000 | 1,732,049,557,693 | NO | 0.109243 | 310 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
r4fqec1AJQopHUqgcdFd | will-taylor-swift-be-mentioned-in-t | Will Taylor Swift be mentioned in the 2024 US Presidential Debates? | null | 1,702,595,067,753 | 1,730,841,337,363 | 1,730,841,337,363 | NO | 0.01 | 36,787.59811 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
5VCE9V6xwp6svdz9Z6fZ | will-jimmy-carter-vote-for-himself | Will Jimmy Carter vote for himself in the 2024 US Presidential Election? | null | 1,707,518,712,231 | 1,729,105,889,502 | 1,729,105,889,502 | NO | 0.01 | 447.493719 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
ouqQmZ5e8nzuKgDhpqvF | will-the-california-remove-voter-ap | Will the California Remove Voter Approval Requirement for Public Low-Rent Housing Projects Amendment (2024) pass? | null | 1,664,726,023,021 | 1,728,707,185,957 | 1,728,707,185,957 | NO | 0.43 | 52.069588 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
0P8C9JjY5lPEyvRdoqIj | will-a-democrat-win-the-2024-presid-e87e103e415a | Will a democrat win the 2024 presidential election in Michigan? | null | 1,670,814,984,925 | 1,733,084,040,903 | 1,733,084,040,903 | NO | 0.01 | 22,930.328669 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
7AOiJAjOzCSxeqiOgZIv | will-nevada-vote-yes-on-question-3 | Will Nevada vote Yes on Question 3 (Top-Five Ranked-Choice Voting) in 2024? | null | 1,696,853,746,503 | 1,730,876,340,000 | 1,732,757,993,179 | NO | 0.268871 | 575.855831 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
OsDLQQGs2Uf2fc5FM0ci | will-the-dredging-for-the-fehmarn-b | Will the dredging for the Fehmarn Belt fixed link finish in 2024? | null | 1,698,088,349,639 | 1,729,624,908,625 | 1,729,624,908,625 | YES | 0.94 | 221.612903 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
lv0E6pEhwtRCEaJBr9wv | will-spacex-successfully-catch-a-bo | Will SpaceX successfully catch a booster within the first five Starship flights? | null | 1,681,863,083,669 | 1,728,825,887,182 | 1,728,825,887,182 | YES | 1 | 36,300.600121 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
mLnL4mvPxJuLQiYGMq7c | would-the-general-public-knowledge | Would the general public narrative about why Sam Altman was fired from OpenAI be significantly different 1 year later? | null | 1,700,569,353,858 | 1,732,948,140,000 | 1,733,948,687,887 | NO | 0.046517 | 4,234.410764 | Technology | Tech Industry & Business |
pSCztCzOER | will-there-be-a-new-major-llm-relea | Will there be a new major LLM released by OpenAI or Anthropic by the end of 2024? | null | 1,733,067,213,502 | 1,733,425,230,680 | 1,733,425,230,680 | YES | 0.853614 | 7,096.76374 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
K2mhY6KdANcmixrcO7BD | nfl-week-4-sep-29-will-the-green-ba | NFL Week 4 (Sep 29): Will the Green Bay Packers beat the Minnesota Vikings? | null | 1,715,833,661,655 | 1,727,656,278,005 | 1,727,656,278,005 | NO | 0.01 | 2,066.981822 | Sports | Professional Sports |
1KwmsuAn9dv4jok8MNtg | will-i-get-a-permanent-visa-to-stay | Will I get a permanent visa to stay in the US in 2024? | null | 1,713,238,727,943 | 1,734,993,131,684 | 1,734,993,131,684 | NO | 0.55895 | 223.302182 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
4tjn2vdwt9 | will-i-see-donald-trump-in-person-b | Will I see Donald Trump in person by election day? | null | 1,721,960,941,451 | 1,730,793,540,000 | 1,730,813,125,101 | NO | 0.044773 | 391.401506 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
rVp4VH3BA1wICXTXltrY | will-the-jimmy-apples-agi-tweet-sta | Will the Jimmy Apples AGI tweet stand a test of time | null | 1,695,077,861,393 | 1,726,679,234,508 | 1,727,301,781,050 | NO | 0.03 | 6,034.615275 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
mGjjbcsVYXNXAniaMdsg | will-a-democrat-win-the-2024-presid-98b55b929b04 | Will a democrat win the 2024 presidential election in Arizona? | null | 1,670,813,624,928 | 1,731,293,083,639 | 1,731,293,083,639 | NO | 0.01 | 21,337.24339 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
CqON0Ql8tI | acx-2024-will-there-be-faithless-el--cash | [ACX 2024] Will there be faithless electors in the 2024 US Presidential election? | null | 1,730,485,600,171 | 1,734,531,293,511 | 1,734,572,515,016 | NO | 0.010228 | 2,901.239515 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
hk0yyndj3p | will-nvazga-all-be-won-by-the-same | Will NV/AZ/GA all be won by the same candidate? | null | 1,718,601,140,035 | 1,731,100,599,631 | 1,731,100,599,631 | YES | 0.981628 | 825.90925 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
zB33HNpLpL5UCLW9nyH0 | will-vladimir-putin-attend-the-2024 | Will Vladimir Putin attend the 2024 G20 Summit in Rio de Janeiro? | null | 1,703,960,038,794 | 1,731,992,340,000 | 1,735,683,425,461 | NO | 0.027534 | 4,182.133999 | Geopolitics | International Relations |
sUlU7OZayKThBD1BkoF9 | will-a-democrat-win-the-2024-us-sen-bb662e4a0d54 | Will a Democrat win the 2024 US Senate election in Pennsylvania? | null | 1,670,857,066,454 | 1,732,262,741,776 | 1,732,262,741,776 | NO | 0.023249 | 5,148.031434 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
yfRXRMjawkF5fMzlM043 | will-joe-biden-be-reelected-in-2024-332847ff192c | Will Joe Biden be re-elected in 2024? | null | 1,694,022,995,948 | 1,730,940,287,760 | 1,730,940,287,760 | NO | 0.025873 | 30,717.083764 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
c2dbsa5ah2 | will-the-libertarian-party-get-over | Will the Libertarian Party get over 2% of the popular vote in the 2024 US election? | null | 1,721,916,341,823 | 1,731,020,340,000 | 1,731,053,266,200 | NO | 0.01 | 12,648.193023 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
z8rflcf89i | will-i-adopt-a-suggestion-from-this | Will I adopt a suggestion from this market's thread for a personal goals market on the topic of self care? | null | 1,718,617,515,606 | 1,735,685,940,000 | 1,735,686,553,772 | NO | 0.31816 | 666 | Finance | Personal Finance |
ndZuWEeywXhEDQO0Shlg | will-a-democrat-win-the-2024-us-sen-48c27d4fe010 | Will a Democrat win the 2024 US Senate election in Florida? | null | 1,670,857,071,993 | 1,730,913,928,005 | 1,730,913,928,005 | NO | 0.019639 | 22,307.030714 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
ynsgSlQQAy | will-kamala-harris-appear-on-snl-be-ZhtZ5qp9s9 | Will Kamala Harris appear on SNL before the 2024 election? | null | 1,730,594,504,414 | 1,730,605,027,148 | 1,730,605,027,148 | YES | 0.980168 | 876.98061 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
5r3JhrQo01eJGxpNA2dg | acx-2024-will-there-be-faithless-el | [ACX 2024] Will there be faithless electors in the 2024 US Presidential election? | null | 1,704,115,913,590 | 1,734,531,293,511 | 1,734,531,293,511 | NO | 0.005881 | 61,778.588769 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
DqyxfMlgmulh3WVXJ6Qe | will-bernie-sanders-win-reelection | Will Bernie Sanders win re-election in the 2024 US senate race in Vermont? | null | 1,680,634,266,377 | 1,731,290,824,389 | 1,731,290,824,389 | YES | 0.988506 | 19,131.032749 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
jn1l1368eo | is-red-one-2024-going-to-be-a-flop | Is Red One (2024) going to be a flop? 🎅 | null | 1,729,351,022,412 | 1,735,459,140,000 | 1,735,683,702,258 | YES | 0.970482 | 855.677638 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
EsYOVryRswtPxZ5FyLPW | will-trumps-twitter-dms-and-draft-t | Will Trump’s Twitter DMs and draft tweets prove to be damning evidence against him in his January 6 trial? | null | 1,692,744,253,961 | 1,732,806,521,918 | 1,732,806,521,918 | NO | 0.110051 | 1,653.388316 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
HLLxSNjUvc5xb00ybmUJ | nfl-week-4-sep-30-will-the-miami-do | NFL Week 4 (Sep 30): Will the Miami Dolphins beat the Tennessee Titans? | null | 1,715,833,684,014 | 1,727,750,997,930 | 1,727,750,997,930 | NO | 0.01 | 1,088.168846 | Sports | Professional Sports |
hdSF9vnaZzgkyWDKGru3 | will-yahya-sinwar-die-of-pneumonia | Will Yahya Sinwar die of pneumonia in 2024? | null | 1,708,503,051,823 | 1,729,386,016,834 | 1,729,386,016,834 | NO | 0.01 | 1,908.495723 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
1mp1n6GcakU8Omct1OD3 | will-i-run-more-than-500-km-in-2024 | Will I run more than 500 km in 2024? | null | 1,704,564,187,787 | 1,735,342,756,945 | 1,735,342,756,945 | YES | 0.99 | 3,439.482146 | Sports | Sports Culture & Recreation |
b9n8w51d5y | will-this-market-jackwhowillwinthe2 | Will this market jack/who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964 reach 100M of trading volume ? | null | 1,724,693,180,074 | 1,731,098,636,356 | 1,731,098,636,356 | NO | 0.013465 | 1,259.732196 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
ZAly0Qgddt | will-bitcoin-reach-90k-by-the-end-o | Will Bitcoin reach $90K by the end of 2024? | null | 1,731,261,514,028 | 1,731,509,137,790 | 1,731,509,137,790 | YES | 0.984945 | 2,366.712229 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
JbiBbFMzrAM3y7MV0MoF | nfl-week-14-dec-8-2024-will-the-ten | NFL Week 14 (Dec 8 2024): Will the Tennessee Titans (home) beat the Jacksonville Jaguars (away)? | null | 1,715,834,526,493 | 1,733,853,600,000 | 1,735,276,197,703 | NO | 0.008776 | 1,011.74087 | Sports | Professional Sports |
ayRSgyp3XHjZxefeerkj | will-jimmy-carter-die-before-manifo | Will Jimmy Carter die before Manifold bans markets on unrelated events? | null | 1,712,001,199,374 | 1,735,518,324,076 | 1,735,518,324,076 | YES | 0.989671 | 10,299 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
OjQG0AN8mV7VsbSKoz7c | will-kharkiv-or-zaporizhia-or-khers | Will Kharkiv or Zaporizhia or Kherson fall before EOY 2024? | null | 1,709,380,076,247 | 1,735,682,340,000 | 1,735,687,884,314 | NO | 0.077329 | 4,014.520283 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
CRRIpglQhg | tottenham-hotspur-vs-wolves-english | Tottenham Hotspur VS Wolves (English Premier League) | null | 1,735,280,450,219 | 1,735,280,650,650 | 1,735,280,742,633 | YES | 0.8 | 100 | Sports | Team Sports |
4nderqSdseFga7cghR6c | will-kenan-thompson-leave-the-cast | Will Kenan Thompson leave the cast of SNL before the first episode of season 50? | null | 1,712,078,643,947 | 1,727,631,586,890 | 1,727,631,586,890 | NO | 0.01 | 1,178.47126 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
QqNbfpHVBd4SSYTSlsrZ | will-the-abortion-drug-mifepristone-58657f19043e | Will the abortion drug "mifepristone" be banned nationwide before the end of 2024? | null | 1,704,128,296,969 | 1,735,620,824,356 | 1,735,620,824,356 | NO | 0.01 | 13,410.418781 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
P882upQulC | will-bitcoin-hit-100000-before-nov-EQlu9R859S | Will Bitcoin hit $100,000 before Nov 29? | null | 1,732,230,739,424 | 1,732,890,343,374 | 1,732,890,343,374 | NO | 0.014074 | 6,387.643472 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
BCEIHDoF0z8o9pG85ijy | will-republicans-in-alaska-succeed-12c691e88aa8 | Will Republicans in Alaska succeed in putting “abolishing ranked choice voting” on the ballot in the 2024 election? | null | 1,675,735,259,417 | 1,730,951,675,641 | 1,730,951,675,641 | YES | 0.980683 | 6,363.991528 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
3awqQCanxDC92oNJ5Zln | will-warhammer-40000-space-marine-2 | Will Warhammer 40,000: Space Marine 2 have a Metacritic score of 80 or higher as of 9/11? | null | 1,709,568,946,515 | 1,726,113,540,000 | 1,727,543,978,050 | YES | 0.13 | 471.064086 | Entertainment | Gaming |
nixkTphATpUCx8FLcBsV | will-ai-win-a-pulitzer-by-2025 | Will AI win a Pulitzer by 2025? | null | 1,679,535,162,040 | 1,733,341,395,874 | 1,733,341,395,874 | NO | 0.020138 | 3,789.932293 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
2gcqncvk7c | asmon-and-the-boys-back-on-hardcore | Asmon and the boys back on Hardcore in Oct? | null | 1,728,189,773,334 | 1,730,437,140,000 | 1,730,438,609,097 | NO | 0.01 | 1,023.846164 | Entertainment | Gaming |
xHgW0bEHiuPPesAK5HCq | will-the-price-of-bitcoin-hit-95000 | Will the price of Bitcoin hit $95,000 before 2025? | null | 1,710,717,193,961 | 1,732,638,220,540 | 1,732,638,220,540 | YES | 0.992145 | 19,038.417978 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
zCFjmTnlpiAGBbWjYQjF | will-there-be-a-robust-third-party | Will there be a robust third party movement in America that impacts the 2024 Presidential race? | null | 1,659,041,624,460 | 1,731,613,927,901 | 1,731,613,927,901 | NO | 0.057919 | 14,266.882359 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
75zkCTqwoQM92kh7cT0e | nfl-week-6-oct-14-will-the-new-york | NFL Week 6 (Oct 14): Will the New York Jets beat the Buffalo Bills? | null | 1,715,834,045,254 | 1,729,124,100,000 | 1,729,144,475,847 | NO | 0.01 | 1,168.476564 | Sports | Professional Sports |
r1Svk5XtvrtUIhMD31bQ | will-the-52nd-mersenne-prime-be-dis | Will the 52nd Mersenne prime be discovered before the end of 2024? | null | 1,698,176,650,214 | 1,729,591,781,500 | 1,729,591,781,500 | YES | 0.99 | 13,404.450534 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
0xt3ffzxu3 | will-nvidia-be-higher-in-a-week | Will NVIDIA be higher in a week? | null | 1,728,579,573,795 | 1,729,199,980,909 | 1,729,199,980,909 | YES | 0.99 | 5,683 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
q86JQrfLpL3NsiHk7UNn | will-lebron-james-ever-play-an-nba | Will LeBron James ever play an NBA game with his son Bronny? | null | 1,668,370,394,839 | 1,728,329,693,943 | 1,728,329,693,943 | YES | 0.99 | 30,789.902472 | Sports | Professional Sports |
nqRqN8Icu0 | at-the-end-of-november-will-joe-bid | At the end of November will Joe Biden's favorability be higher than Trump's on FiveThirtyEight? | null | 1,730,429,326,041 | 1,733,024,880,000 | 1,733,025,670,895 | NO | 0.014868 | 714 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
IgfAwEjbTDlv6tfS53n5 | will-donald-trump-be-convicted-of-o | Will Donald Trump be convicted of obstruction of justice in the documents case? | null | 1,686,351,798,705 | 1,732,670,567,470 | 1,732,670,567,470 | NO | 0.023311 | 23,732.217558 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
0ocdgwF6dzFSyJbB7nCK | will-trumps-january-6-trial-have-a | Will Trump’s January 6 trial have a verdict before Election Day? | null | 1,703,297,244,065 | 1,730,826,783,220 | 1,730,826,783,220 | NO | 0.01 | 11,202.796821 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
XM9ebl6UDNISdijuhvbW | will-manifold-fix-the-purpleonpurpl | Will Manifold fix the purple-on-purple vote button on polls where results are available before voting? | null | 1,699,151,597,403 | 1,731,394,740,000 | 1,731,699,336,348 | YES | 0.124846 | 327.360397 | Technology | Internet & Digital Services |
iWIcC7bY2MF4N323xoWn | will-any-uci-mens-worldteam-use-a-p | Will any UCI Men's WorldTeam use a pedal-based power meter in 2024? | null | 1,700,171,862,819 | 1,735,687,718,518 | 1,735,687,718,518 | NO | 0.039487 | 486.565417 | Sports | Professional Sports |
e0J52rR0pO8AfuG3iFVQ | will-donald-trump-and-volodymyr-zel-63b2633f4753 | Will Donald Trump and Volodymyr Zelensky meet in person in year 2024? | null | 1,706,416,301,077 | 1,727,532,589,964 | 1,727,532,589,964 | YES | 0.99 | 3,229.931062 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
gGYgSUPdigAaGHAQbo0q | will-all-manifold-features-be-avail | Will all Manifold features be available to the majority of EU users at the end of 2024? | null | 1,713,874,959,844 | 1,735,685,940,000 | 1,735,686,931,558 | NO | 0.057045 | 6,914.038784 | Technology | Internet & Digital Services |
WFSNAbYz2W7V9i4SHfwy | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-pres-5eea5ff9aa80 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 presidential election? | null | 1,671,947,243,629 | 1,730,912,302,254 | 1,730,912,302,254 | YES | 0.99 | 22,469.073338 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
R5lu0Isn0U | will-there-be-any-break-between-one-upIyq2uR85 | Will there be any break between One Piece chapters 1134 and 1135? | null | 1,733,677,011,841 | 1,734,901,377,399 | 1,734,901,379,544 | YES | 0.509655 | 40 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
sa5gf7gli5 | will-tim-walz-win-the-vp-debate | Will Tim Walz win the VP debate? | null | 1,727,820,073,925 | 1,727,848,920,000 | 1,728,349,724,457 | NO | 0.16 | 82,757.692771 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
xkxDcQAkaq74QZ9mo2pn | will-nikki-haley-be-the-next-presid | Will Nikki Haley be the next President of the United States? | null | 1,699,306,971,900 | 1,730,955,540,000 | 1,730,983,194,610 | NO | 0.01 | 15,206.304522 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
hvs6hmsype | will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-pkqhe6j9et | Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Oct 10 than it closed on Oct 9? | null | 1,728,504,371,711 | 1,728,590,512,559 | 1,728,590,512,559 | NO | 0.01 | 1,027.331906 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
tz4GG0PJYoLRRWs0kl4Z | will-there-be-a-split-between-the-p | Will there be a split between the popular vote and the electoral college in 2024? | null | 1,704,256,292,970 | 1,735,392,613,571 | 1,735,392,613,571 | NO | 0.01777 | 2,035.324119 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
gNfuszYpvZ1U8ZqKCTQ6 | will-jimmy-carter-be-alive-and-king | Will Jimmy Carter be alive AND King Charles still be king AND Nvidia stock is $90 AND BTC above $65K at EOY 2024? | null | 1,710,872,562,668 | 1,735,508,116,530 | 1,735,508,116,530 | NO | 0.014611 | 23,276.135332 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
fufv74b91e | will-a-new-indictment-against-trump | Will a new indictment against Trump be announced between October 1st and the election? | null | 1,727,901,272,513 | 1,730,955,540,000 | 1,730,955,699,035 | NO | 0.01 | 2,087.7771 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
k2fvir0flsFinl3QPrVO | will-dalle4-be-released-before-sep | Will Dalle-4 be released before Sep 2024? | null | 1,706,137,276,064 | 1,725,746,340,000 | 1,728,202,897,355 | NO | 0.01 | 1,235.495018 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
i5b8hzjmvo | will-kamala-brand-herself-as-tough | Will Kamala brand herself as Tough On Crime going into the election? | null | 1,721,656,361,473 | 1,731,016,740,000 | 1,731,268,498,893 | NO | 0.196973 | 121,642.878535 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
kLBcWVO1hdIGXeszepYe | matthew-yglesias-2024-predictions-v-a24b9014b67a | Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions vs Manifold Time Capsule: Kelly Ayotte elected governor of New Hampshire | null | 1,704,315,143,273 | 1,705,294,740,000 | 1,730,991,843,543 | YES | 0.336108 | 68.285744 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
k6rxAFLA2HRkgDvLeVd2 | if-the-democratic-nominee-wins-new | If the Democratic nominee wins New Hampshire, will they win the presidency (2024)? | null | 1,690,426,587,328 | 1,730,878,621,928 | 1,730,878,621,928 | NO | 0.253777 | 134.558509 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
MlPWxUaVsQmeRbQ2iF92 | will-the-shape-of-starships-flaps-h | Will the shape of Starship's flaps have obvious visual changes for IFT5? | null | 1,717,791,079,837 | 1,728,824,327,017 | 1,728,824,327,017 | NO | 0.01 | 99,719.610083 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
tmuku8cn2f | will-qqq-close-above-525-on-any-day | Will QQQ close above 525 on any day of 2024? | null | 1,722,635,824,423 | 1,734,771,561,028 | 1,734,771,561,028 | YES | 0.99 | 9,338.684679 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
aTmWe2HpzbN1ht8edbs5 | will-any-of-the-hololive-regloss-vt | Will any of the Hololive ReGLOSS vtubers get 1 million subs on YouTube before 2025? | null | 1,693,873,542,989 | 1,735,041,412,448 | 1,735,041,412,448 | YES | 0.989997 | 3,993.543686 | Entertainment | Celebrity & Pop Culture |
KjtRz9zyauG1PdkbBGge | will-the-keys-to-the-white-house-co | Will The Keys to the White House correctly predict the 2024 election? | null | 1,702,484,994,255 | 1,730,869,140,000 | 1,730,936,065,242 | NO | 0.335683 | 25,639.163805 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
5BFP87OhzSTWO96okEnP | will-brandi-carlile-give-a-concert | Will Brandi Carlile give a concert in Europe in 2024? | null | 1,697,535,044,050 | 1,730,480,857,707 | 1,730,480,857,707 | YES | 0.99 | 489.160385 | Entertainment | Music & Audio |
shGWqSrwILYm2VyQatE0 | 20240719-will-msft-close-above-396 | 2024-07-19: Will MSFT close above $396? | null | 1,717,529,496,407 | 1,721,447,940,000 | 1,731,839,542,429 | YES | 0.99 | 936.621758 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
IR6zp4Nl6wZ2N4EnJDsL | will-elizabeth-warren-win-reelectio | Will Elizabeth Warren win re-election in the 2024 US senate race in Massachusetts? | null | 1,680,633,925,663 | 1,731,293,522,696 | 1,731,293,522,696 | YES | 0.9776 | 788.641118 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
IM3ZrPiVpLubWlU6W9XJ | will-my-wallet-contract-inplugv2-co | Will my wallet contract `inplug-v2` contain bugs which can lead to loss of TON? | null | 1,711,737,057,309 | 1,735,671,540,000 | 1,735,678,239,571 | NO | 0.0238 | 983.741118 | Technology | Computing & Software |
VJkCoJd2pWiZEnLdsdA4 | will-any-of-the-videos-uploaded-to-47de14d0a0b2 | Will any of the videos uploaded to Mark Rober's YouTube channel in Nov 2024 surpass 30M views? | null | 1,706,582,290,685 | 1,733,029,196,395 | 1,734,029,627,925 | NO | 0.01 | 1,116.666529 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
5m8jjf7xms | neither-trump-nor-biden-will-conced | Neither the Republican nor Democratic candidate (at the moment, Trump and Harris) will concede defeat by Dec. 5, 2024. | null | 1,720,646,015,651 | 1,730,933,091,217 | 1,730,933,091,217 | NO | 0.019147 | 7,758.889413 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
zcypv51u29 | trump-speaker-before-september | Trump Speaker before September? | null | 1,722,632,447,232 | 1,725,508,740,000 | 1,729,425,138,178 | NO | 0.01 | 900.708884 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
zrlj08qeq6 | will-ryan-wesley-routh-be-alive-in | Will Ryan Wesley Routh be alive in one week? | null | 1,726,453,006,608 | 1,727,063,940,000 | 1,727,088,782,597 | YES | 0.99 | 12,723.383754 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
rDNS80l0j3molkRL8QKT | will-the-winner-of-the-2024-preside-ad707fc9e823 | Will the winner of the 2024 Presidential Election carry the state of South Carolina? | null | 1,690,201,742,801 | 1,730,950,565,982 | 1,730,950,565,982 | YES | 0.989996 | 808 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
ZuCc22Rn2R | doj-submits-proposal-to-force-googl | DOJ submits proposal to force Google to sell Chrome to Judge Amit Mehta by November 22, 2024 | null | 1,732,061,958,188 | 1,732,213,876,059 | 1,732,213,936,409 | YES | 0.560905 | 350.226193 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
ma7oi0lvmt | will-manifold-support-the-veto-of-a | Will Manifold support the veto of AI regulations bill SB 1047? | null | 1,727,694,404,189 | 1,728,359,940,000 | 1,728,392,560,994 | NO | 0.01 | 9,832.171793 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
4WMV2NGx4VqRCr40Sk0E | will-this-market-have-more-traders-ee460f8791ee | Will this market have more traders than any of my bug-**finding** markets of 2024? | null | 1,712,956,115,922 | 1,735,671,540,000 | 1,735,678,394,357 | NO | 0.785687 | 144 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
ALKZKYNHMMMq0MKselNY | will-alexbgoode-coauthor-a-neurips | Will @AlexbGoode coauthor a NeurIPS or ICML conference publication before end of 2024? | null | 1,695,309,709,625 | 1,727,330,997,527 | 1,727,330,997,527 | NO | 0.09 | 462.223789 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
ko6w2igcsq | will-i-read-a-kamala-harris-email-b | Will I read a Kamala Harris email before election day? | null | 1,724,976,807,458 | 1,730,879,940,000 | 1,730,901,803,246 | NO | 0.069789 | 355.155936 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
f9ebqx428d | will-lulas-government-have-an-appro | Will Lula's government have an approval rating of 50% or higher on December 31st, 2024? | null | 1,728,053,948,896 | 1,734,408,956,172 | 1,734,408,956,172 | YES | 0.99 | 956.599249 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
dZNIIQYH93YSBaR4fURI | will-there-be-a-deep-sea-expedition | Will there be a deep sea expedition sent to recover/visit the wreckage of the Oceangate Titan sub before EOY 2035? | null | 1,708,319,846,048 | 1,726,762,441,448 | 1,726,762,441,448 | YES | 0.99 | 2,561.367727 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
uJdoA4QfHozcsarr1phW | by-the-end-of-q3-2024-will-max-harm | Will Max Harms release the full Crystal trilogy in audiobook form by end of Q3 2024? | null | 1,709,520,051,716 | 1,727,555,206,282 | 1,727,555,206,282 | YES | 0.95 | 2,844.176416 | Entertainment | Books & Literature |
FDtj0dTBJMZf63e9CFiN | will-the-price-of-bitcoin-surpass-1-b768a8904126 | Bitcoin $100K by Mar 31, 2025? | null | 1,704,865,056,129 | 1,733,371,015,574 | 1,733,371,015,574 | YES | 0.99 | 30,117.673133 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
vxlBWrBkyPhuXN0jnJvR | will-an-amtrak-avelia-liberty-train | Will an Amtrak Avelia Liberty trainset make a routine passenger run before Jan. 1, 2025? | null | 1,701,184,464,901 | 1,735,688,197,292 | 1,735,688,197,292 | NO | 0.242196 | 364.28856 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
1ojoklregp | will-there-be-a-further-canadianind | Will there be a further Canadian-Indian escalation in October? | null | 1,728,964,066,306 | 1,730,444,340,000 | 1,730,470,988,998 | NO | 0.430382 | 40 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
wq66esrdMFofAIRiJIFs | will-virginia-shift-right-relative | Will Virginia shift right relative to the popular vote in the 2024 presidential election? | null | 1,717,756,857,407 | 1,730,444,340,000 | 1,731,599,573,339 | NO | 0.366071 | 163.866133 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
zGdxeaGy1CHp5KtbhHPT | -will-kawasaki-announce-the-versysx | 🏍️ Will Kawasaki announce the Versys-X 400 before 2025? | null | 1,700,619,820,211 | 1,735,683,583,307 | 1,735,683,583,307 | NO | 0.096026 | 162 | Technology | Mobile & Consumer Electronics |
m0km0lpigz | will-my-voting-place-make-any-mista | Will my voting place make any mistakes / rule violations on election day? | null | 1,728,608,561,430 | 1,730,879,940,000 | 1,730,989,326,894 | NO | 0.337838 | 130.483871 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
VLqXav9cQNaLsIUHPD7E | will-another-bill-watterson-project | Will another Bill Watterson project be announced other than The Mysteries before 2025? | null | 1,682,322,716,188 | 1,735,664,438,394 | 1,735,664,438,394 | NO | 0.011171 | 1,035.286813 | Entertainment | Books & Literature |
ahqazbdie7 | will-scott-wiener-be-reelected-to-t | Will Scott Wiener be re-elected to the California senate? | null | 1,722,466,405,959 | 1,731,035,820,571 | 1,731,035,820,571 | YES | 0.989581 | 8,875 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
jwdqi5p27n | will-i-make-qualify-for-masters-lea | Will I make qualify for Masters league for first time this month? | null | 1,728,499,189,024 | 1,730,606,340,000 | 1,730,680,022,118 | NO | 0.01 | 34,968.543495 | Sports | Professional Sports |
1kq08lbtdk | will-jd-vance-release-any-of-his-ta | Will JD Vance release any of his tax returns before election day? | null | 1,725,127,142,036 | 1,730,805,901,485 | 1,730,805,901,485 | NO | 0.01 | 12,172.001847 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
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