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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
92trxy2k11 | will-harris-become-president-before | Will Harris become president before the end of Biden's term AND win the 2024 election for president? | null | 1,721,595,661,356 | 1,730,879,940,000 | 1,730,930,481,808 | NO | 0.028035 | 9,000.521732 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
ezIHRBEJyTwo3kwjnugc | will-manifold-successfully-predict-ca0b18fb8ac6 | Will Manifold successfully predict the Time's Person of the Year 2024? | null | 1,702,047,549,467 | 1,733,612,340,000 | 1,734,076,045,333 | YES | 0.78758 | 4,379.823745 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
ql9uSszzRN | will-donald-trump-and-elon-musk-hav | Will Donald Trump and Elon Musk have a major falling out before Thanksgiving? | null | 1,731,111,108,484 | 1,732,942,740,000 | 1,732,973,464,711 | NO | 0.010737 | 868.10494 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
5fXeWnzU1txT8B4Vm1S6 | will-louis-dejoy-make-a-change-to-t | Will Louis DeJoy make a change to the postal service which appears to affect the 2024 election? ✉️📫🗳️ | null | 1,704,515,430,624 | 1,730,851,140,000 | 1,730,901,900,047 | NO | 0.427279 | 333.789077 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
aUeXZaAOExK7k6bkfTTZ | will-pod-save-america-host-jon-love | Will Pod Save America Host Jon Lovett make it to the final five in Survivor Season 47? | null | 1,716,435,724,786 | 1,726,770,108,610 | 1,726,770,108,610 | NO | 0.04 | 6,143.29921 | Entertainment | Celebrity & Pop Culture |
5uKfYDRuCKeonUWzuKGB | will-scott-alexander-endorse-ron-de | Will Scott Alexander endorse Ron DeSantis (for president) in 2024? | null | 1,672,821,955,803 | 1,732,924,203,173 | 1,732,924,203,173 | NO | 0.010028 | 9,825.590032 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
jqhzo9vwe2 | will-i-be-able-to-buy-mana-in-the-s | Will I be able to buy mana in the shop within 30 days? | null | 1,725,209,080,278 | 1,727,819,940,000 | 1,727,854,400,949 | NO | 0.01 | 1,908.038595 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
elZc0TvxRMUHyOeoX7tt | will-jimmy-carter-be-alive-on-the-d-14f34940e143 | Will Jimmy Carter be alive on the day Spider-man Beyond the Spiderverse releases? | null | 1,711,221,487,460 | 1,735,507,335,930 | 1,735,507,335,930 | NO | 0.015638 | 8,434.367835 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
j3z9q8q6em | will-kamala-harris-win-the-new-york | Will Kamala Harris win the New York State Presidential Election by at least 20%? | null | 1,724,631,181,234 | 1,730,872,769,760 | 1,730,872,769,760 | NO | 0.458112 | 9,359.50051 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
BGDAicOXsGhsIo7NO1kF | austria-will-thomas-schmid-be-closi | Austria: Will Thomas Schmid be closing a plea deal with the prosecutors? ("Kronzeugenstatus") | null | 1,666,205,347,199 | 1,725,141,540,000 | 1,732,788,804,704 | YES | 0.857165 | 612.156873 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
cp7lirz6ta | mill-nasa-confirm-the-discovery-of | Mill NASA confirm the discovery of aliens | null | 1,728,444,415,522 | 1,729,119,540,000 | 1,730,449,050,194 | NO | 0.01 | 1,431.095082 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
woNazuqiNuEzy1xF6azc | wa-she-oceangate-titan-submersible | Wa she Oceangate Titan submersible disappearance directly caused by a design/engineering defect? | null | 1,687,357,930,510 | 1,726,743,265,552 | 1,726,743,265,552 | YES | 0.95 | 864.697957 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
gr2iDRlO5dEuD3lA6KMk | will-biden-release-any-oil-from-the | Will Biden release any oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve before the elections? | null | 1,715,913,012,296 | 1,731,085,652,329 | 1,731,085,652,329 | NO | 0.195067 | 1,528.786629 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
BzjgLuerRdBpVMsuuZRx | 20241029-will-amd-close-above-111 | 2024-10-29: Will AMD close above $111? | null | 1,718,121,859,326 | 1,730,260,740,000 | 1,730,448,974,231 | YES | 0.99 | 1,196.029821 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
b90h8g2nrh | will-trump-be-photographed-holding-oo6f90rc5e | 👶 Will Trump be photographed holding a baby before election day? | null | 1,722,018,215,899 | 1,730,849,731,106 | 1,730,849,731,106 | NO | 0.01 | 26,814.211407 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
NhSuqLNEOs | will-the-san-francisco-49ers-win-th-Lqg6qCg662--cash | Will the San Francisco 49ers win the Super Bowl in 2025? | null | 1,730,485,293,658 | 1,735,006,053,933 | 1,735,278,141,415 | NO | 0.01 | 941.804053 | Sports | Professional Sports |
Iz4gLjfsx6kDWfNiz9QU | will-dragon-age-dreadwolf-be-releas | Will 'Dragon Age: Dreadwolf' be released in 2024? | null | 1,693,037,452,353 | 1,735,585,323,583 | 1,735,585,323,583 | YES | 0.953319 | 848.655957 | Entertainment | Gaming |
jLWAz9ReLiv8Wl9vVAD2 | will-skibidi-toilet-still-be-upload-63701052434e | Will Skibidi Toilet still be uploading new episodes after Trump's birthday? (June 14) | null | 1,705,451,745,196 | 1,731,220,560,708 | 1,731,220,560,708 | YES | 0.95324 | 403 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
JobVMBmwuIpwVDayiIpg | will-iatse-go-on-strike-in-2024 | Will IATSE go on strike in 2024? | null | 1,707,445,640,911 | 1,735,667,346,787 | 1,735,667,346,787 | NO | 0.01 | 990.393267 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
lquRALqA0g | will-the-winner-of-the-2024-electio-AU9qsOZq9P | Will the winner of the 2024 election name their competitor in their victory speech? | null | 1,730,814,695,437 | 1,730,948,290,230 | 1,730,948,290,230 | NO | 0.01 | 1,125.836488 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
qDLgTN10k22xPJpTh2qg | will-andy-jassy-leave-the-role-of-a-103a2c9c153d | Will Andy Jassy leave the role of Amazon’s CEO by the end of 2024? | null | 1,689,098,299,483 | 1,735,620,587,868 | 1,735,620,587,868 | NO | 0.01 | 11,869.909657 | Technology | Tech Industry & Business |
n6jdvj3q63 | will-arnold-schwarzenegger-endorse | Will Arnold Schwarzenegger endorse Kamala Harris? 💪 | null | 1,721,708,644,220 | 1,730,298,677,813 | 1,730,298,677,813 | YES | 0.989415 | 880 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
lx52495kkb | will-metafacebook-and-apple-announc | Will Facebook (Meta) and Apple announce an AI partnership on an iPhone device by the end of November 2024? | null | 1,719,266,340,146 | 1,733,029,140,000 | 1,733,077,737,362 | NO | 0.018195 | 14,300.37774 | Technology | Tech Industry & Business |
qPJOVVqXnsEcRPiUmysO | this-market-will-resolve-yes-if-im | This market will resolve YES if I'm still active on Manifold by the end of 2024, and NO otherwise. I will bet only YES. | null | 1,697,271,601,818 | 1,735,657,970,221 | 1,735,657,970,221 | YES | 0.99 | 6,933.791132 | Sports | Sports Culture & Recreation |
Cnz59C2dLP | will-portland-oregon-see-major-viol | Will Portland, Oregon see major, violent protests/riots during election week | null | 1,730,568,877,259 | 1,731,311,940,000 | 1,731,337,949,785 | NO | 0.00993 | 15,951.486509 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
qsmwehptgj | will-a-hurricane-cause-over-1-billi | Will a hurricane cause over $1 billion in damage in Florida by the end of 2024? | null | 1,721,598,912,434 | 1,727,542,195,672 | 1,727,542,195,672 | YES | 0.83 | 1,628.910865 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
wKbR2SFRJY8I5ZIEbcfN | will-russia-launch-major-offensive-9c5e3e376432 | Will Russia launch a major offensive on Kharkiv before September? | null | 1,715,343,699,677 | 1,729,029,540,000 | 1,729,532,411,612 | NO | 0.01 | 14,659.062911 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
AgNzzlC8WzsblGOzSBrD | will-nairo-quintana-at-least-3-race | Will Nairo Quintana win at least 3 races in the 2024 UCI season? | null | 1,701,722,100,678 | 1,729,621,789,731 | 1,729,621,789,731 | NO | 0.02 | 665.070574 | Sports | Individual Sports |
WPAzb0E1uH78r4aUVFCl | will-the-rockies-win-61-or-more-gam | Will the Rockies win 61 or more games in the 2024 MLB regular season? | null | 1,705,733,865,791 | 1,727,396,110,230 | 1,727,396,110,230 | YES | 0.99 | 491.473148 | Sports | Professional Sports |
bGLl5bGkeDyVPcvmt834 | will-the-tipping-point-state-be-dec | Will the tipping point state be decided by less than 2% in the 2024 POTUS election? | null | 1,689,392,774,004 | 1,733,032,740,000 | 1,733,382,251,231 | YES | 0.977608 | 1,741.524825 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
RDWu8WcOwoL5MdAr1Wmz | will-gpt5-be-released-before-dec-20-0a804511572e | Will GPT-5 be released before Dec 2024? | null | 1,705,689,062,945 | 1,733,354,579,198 | 1,733,354,579,198 | NO | 0.01 | 25,409.748971 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
94ymeebq9q | subsidized-10k-will-all-seven-state | [Subsidized 10K] Will all seven states (NC, GA, PA, MI, WI, AZ, NV) swing blue in November? | null | 1,723,898,123,823 | 1,730,847,729,566 | 1,730,893,658,153 | NO | 0.152331 | 82,316.564303 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
PldS55suaemqQRyUta3q | will-the-2024-us-presidential-elect-e4edcb394556 | Will the 2024 US Presidential Election occur on schedule? | null | 1,705,963,527,397 | 1,730,872,740,000 | 1,730,913,242,512 | YES | 0.98 | 2,785.898695 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
q7s9xl4lw9 | iran-military-response-before-octob | Iran military response before October? | null | 1,727,481,500,508 | 1,728,028,718,054 | 1,728,028,718,054 | NO | 0.01 | 1,509.588065 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
DpUcf7CXiTkQgCJbFhtJ | tp12-a-major-us-airline-will-devalu | TP12: A major US airline will devalue their frequent flyer miles. (60% conf.) | null | 1,706,382,282,237 | 1,735,051,320,000 | 1,735,133,241,580 | YES | 0.59 | 52.585399 | Finance | Personal Finance |
P9zLtOhNCU | will-syrian-rebels-control-hama-by | Will Syrian rebels control Hama by the end of 2024? | null | 1,733,234,210,535 | 1,733,492,407,681 | 1,733,492,407,681 | YES | 0.948818 | 3,845.377639 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
goXv3WzFGiop2BPBrrHb | if-trump-gets-enough-votes-to-win-t | If Trump gets enough votes to win the nomination and is also convicted, will he still be the candidate on election day? | null | 1,699,682,928,059 | 1,730,822,340,000 | 1,730,840,750,891 | YES | 0.99 | 10,369.347838 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
L2ROg6pQLh | will-magnus-carlsen-beat-fabiano-ca | Will Magnus Carlsen beat Fabiano Caruana in the Freestyle Chess Match? | null | 1,732,052,453,714 | 1,732,293,468,066 | 1,732,293,468,066 | YES | 0.988505 | 12,810.227944 | Sports | Individual Sports |
GBepiGMBb72RpbEdAnQl | soair-23-510-will-the-genai-scaling | SoAIR '23 5/10: Will the GenAI scaling craze see a group spend >$1B to train a single large-scale model by Oct 24? | null | 1,697,725,882,617 | 1,728,661,564,869 | 1,728,661,564,869 | NO | 0.04 | 3,911.762676 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
ZjfqkOvlKpQrFnATQ4oL | -2024 | Присоединит ли Россия Молдову к концу 2024 года? | null | 1,689,874,847,239 | 1,735,608,419,342 | 1,735,608,419,342 | NO | 0.01 | 2,086.923467 | Geopolitics | Regional Affairs |
44qa2rzl9c | metaculus-will-the-usd-be-worth-093 | [Metaculus] Will the USD be worth 0.935 EUR or more at the close of trading on any day before October 1, 2024? | null | 1,724,426,421,876 | 1,727,823,108,229 | 1,727,823,108,229 | NO | null | 9,080.723918 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
ascmv3sb01 | will-i-bayesian-stay-in-masters-in | Will I (@Bayesian) stay in Masters in September (Season 17)? | null | 1,725,994,653,966 | 1,727,837,040,054 | 1,727,837,040,054 | NO | 0.01 | 2,277.922094 | Sports | Team Sports |
dag3l3phd5 | will-idaho-vote-to-adopt-ranked-cho | Will Idaho vote to adopt Ranked Choice Voting in 2024? | null | 1,723,152,108,079 | 1,730,869,140,000 | 1,731,785,175,618 | NO | 0.523715 | 80 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
f8hPsJURaBTjE3M25KwM | will-fed-decrease-its-interest-rate | Will the Fed cut rates before October 21st? | null | 1,702,009,582,986 | 1,727,214,507,450 | 1,727,214,507,450 | YES | 0.99 | 59,477.58132 | Finance | Economic Indicators |
bzhawkpqv9 | will-milton-be-a-category-4-by-the | Will Milton be at least a catagory 4 by the end of 10/8 EST. | null | 1,728,273,076,560 | 1,728,448,799,214 | 1,728,448,799,214 | YES | 0.99 | 13,886.787216 | Sports | Professional Sports |
srxr8bksi | will-the-ap-call-the-2024-election | Will the AP call the 2024 election on election night? | null | 1,723,897,042,750 | 1,730,883,669,347 | 1,730,883,669,347 | NO | 0.015416 | 36,992.746968 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
Fc13JPhicEu2ZPWsIesz | at-midnight-nov-5th-will-nyts-needl | At midnight Nov 5th, will NYT's Needle calling a higher probability of victory to a democrat presidential candidate? | null | 1,680,973,875,263 | 1,730,869,140,000 | 1,730,869,507,383 | NO | 0.352252 | 1,666.733673 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
nsWeP9t2FWzoSqqICNW0 | will-biden-outperform-bitcoin | Will Biden outperform Bitcoin? | null | 1,710,062,607,971 | 1,730,872,740,000 | 1,730,872,862,464 | NO | 0.094259 | 678.231131 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
uvPiwXefjckzMVkVITfy | will-republicans-take-the-majority | Will Republicans take the majority in the US Senate in 2024? | null | 1,672,930,071,258 | 1,730,870,793,310 | 1,730,870,793,310 | YES | 0.986137 | 1,312,488.121568 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
02GMLRo9UmtF1VQC82ss | will-tim-kaine-win-reelection-in-th | Will Tim Kaine win re-election in the 2024 US senate race in Virginia? | null | 1,680,634,290,396 | 1,730,912,415,986 | 1,730,912,415,986 | YES | 0.99 | 2,276.257314 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
R5l2RuguUs | will-there-be-an-obvious-godplot-to | Will there be an obvious godplot to assassinate Blai in Fianchetto | null | 1,732,134,642,892 | 1,733,963,079,914 | 1,733,963,233,965 | YES | 0.947039 | 446.854338 | Entertainment | Gaming |
kxf95o2EtDgKFKSBrNkR | will-donald-trump-receive-more-than | Will Donald Trump receive more than 46.00% of the popular vote in the 2024 general presidential election? | null | 1,703,773,954,891 | 1,730,996,553,305 | 1,730,996,553,305 | YES | 0.974253 | 9,325.47976 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
sYkTlxCdAxZikYx8ijLX | will-mitch-mcconnell-still-be-the-r | Will Mitch McConnell still be the Republican leader in the Senate for the 119th Congress? | null | 1,699,214,040,891 | 1,731,520,019,285 | 1,731,520,019,285 | NO | 0.01507 | 1,813.328722 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
LY6maG1uVrIGdFkRmEYF | will-the-margin-of-victory-in-the-2-7bbf3bf11afa | Will the margin of victory in the 2024 POTUS election in Michigan be greater than in 2020 (2.8%)? | null | 1,707,159,105,820 | 1,731,044,875,974 | 1,731,044,875,974 | NO | 0.01 | 881.903462 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
hy3WkrcPNOhU0NyEvrTy | is-the-singularity-in-the-next-100 | Is the singularity in the next 100 days (possibly resolves based on toddler's opinion)? | null | 1,712,521,275,102 | 1,721,199,540,000 | 1,730,957,515,623 | NO | 0.111426 | 290 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
0PiSf0eXaumdgbNu37aR | will-the-eu-be-ruled-by-women | Will the EU be ruled by women? | null | 1,705,577,786,662 | 1,733,093,940,000 | 1,734,453,076,848 | NO | 0.01 | 1,009.553574 | Politics | Government Structure |
q11yms8f0r | will-the-democratic-vp-nominee-and | Will the Democratic VP nominee and the Republican VP nominee shake hands at a VP debate prior to the election? | null | 1,722,180,207,271 | 1,727,851,169,196 | 1,727,851,169,196 | YES | 0.91 | 2,310.000004 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
ie2hgv2ye7 | electoral-college-result-to-be-one | Electoral college result to be one of these 10 "likeliest" outcomes? | null | 1,728,960,503,788 | 1,733,515,692,223 | 1,733,515,692,223 | YES | 0.99 | 1,019.431882 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
16axh4obfy | metaculus-will-the-us-federal-reser | [Metaculus] Will the US Federal Reserve make an emergency rate cut before September 17, 2024? | null | 1,723,214,091,280 | 1,726,682,400,000 | 1,726,855,903,949 | NO | null | 9,633.735617 | Finance | Economic Indicators |
kfnacrhrlp | will-a-hurricane-cause-over-1-billi-xhrxrzyvfv | Will a hurricane cause over $1 billion in damage in Florida by the end of 2024? | null | 1,721,599,008,374 | 1,727,542,265,393 | 1,727,542,265,393 | YES | 0.8 | 1,056.86558 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
ffrp6bi5am | will-blake-lively-and-ryan-reynolds | Will Blake Lively and Ryan Reynolds announce their divorce within the next 90 days? | null | 1,724,416,057,216 | 1,732,229,940,000 | 1,732,875,505,174 | NO | 0.012762 | 894 | Entertainment | Celebrity & Pop Culture |
piay1msl7i | will-andy-samberg-appear-in-every-s | Will Andy Samberg appear in every SNL episode through election day? | null | 1,728,843,625,334 | 1,730,617,140,000 | 1,730,640,819,419 | YES | 0.969588 | 643 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
SqIxw9fPtGqu9VanguCP | will-the-crew-reach-elbaf-in-2024 | Will the crew reach elbaf in 2024? | null | 1,709,204,728,369 | 1,732,315,531,039 | 1,732,315,531,039 | YES | 0.948972 | 11,330.24189 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
W9Ec9q9S0Yut3uBcGAKe | will-whatsapp-usernames-be-generall | Will Whatsapp usernames be generally available before the end of 2024? | null | 1,708,685,533,670 | 1,735,685,940,000 | 1,735,687,984,207 | NO | 0.021448 | 7,094.655197 | Technology | Internet & Digital Services |
0clNnyhZ9Z | daily-coinflip-RhZOLqUy5Z | Daily coinflip | null | 1,730,086,359,986 | 1,730,253,600,000 | 1,730,254,391,516 | YES | 0.495074 | 5,211.505482 | Sports | Sports Culture & Recreation |
mKtB9yTzbSA3HvZxCIiY | will-joe-bidens-approval-rating-be-1c6ee82f65a3 | Will Joe Biden's approval rating be higher than 45% on election day? | null | 1,711,617,480,558 | 1,730,869,140,000 | 1,731,199,206,037 | NO | 0.011181 | 12,893.921603 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
GaqXvL767bZk6R63iLGQ | will-a-major-corporation-be-caught | Will a major corporation be caught making false claims about the capability of AI in their product in 2024? | null | 1,702,733,130,283 | 1,731,549,417,185 | 1,731,549,417,185 | YES | 0.873319 | 552.904667 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
Y2TGvfTVeOgs3IYApjXr | will-eigil-be-working-at-vipps-by-e | Will Eigil be working at vipps by end pf 2024 | null | 1,705,079,927,250 | 1,734,443,253,260 | 1,734,443,253,260 | NO | 0.42 | 154.466485 | Technology | Internet & Digital Services |
SwXpzjW7JbP9ViKx4GBU | will-this-market-get-more-than-1000 | Will this market get more than 1000 different traders? | null | 1,703,602,041,303 | 1,733,093,940,000 | 1,733,341,541,456 | NO | 0.01 | 2,745.020655 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
941ysdwlsl | will-alphabet-inc-class-a-or-class | Will Alphabet Inc. Class A or Class C stock in NASDAQ will high in Saturday | null | 1,726,645,160,324 | 1,726,929,157,825 | 1,726,929,157,825 | YES | 0.79 | 125 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
Igrfl5TYoXi6bEPNO9m2 | will-the-candidate-who-wins-north-c | Will the candidate who wins North Carolina win the 2024 POTUS election? | null | 1,690,286,437,604 | 1,730,878,823,749 | 1,730,878,823,749 | YES | 0.948466 | 5,025.505579 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
cin7wcn8qw | will-dr-disrespect-make-statements | Will Dr Disrespect make statements endorsing Trump before the election is called? | null | 1,722,471,057,019 | 1,732,636,546,833 | 1,732,636,546,833 | NO | 0.139633 | 548.321846 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
cASIdPN2cl | will-this-disputed-polymarket-about | Will this disputed Polymarket about whether there will be a US government shutdown in 2024 resolve to "yes"? | null | 1,734,799,820,616 | 1,735,100,348,531 | 1,735,100,348,531 | YES | 0.99 | 17,878.026989 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
yCOE5ZAp9Z | tug-of-war-8dCE9AuCzE | Tug of war | null | 1,734,018,079,208 | 1,734,152,340,000 | 1,734,228,656,240 | YES | 0.692308 | 50 | Sports | Individual Sports |
2fyej0us8a | will-manicode-reach-top-5-on-produc | Will Manicode reach top 5 on Product Hunt today? | null | 1,729,496,585,552 | 1,729,580,340,000 | 1,729,800,094,490 | NO | 0.03 | 4,860 | Technology | Internet & Digital Services |
Iz1h8okoT9Y1piHDtJZI | will-donald-trump-be-the-gop-candid | Will Donald Trump Be The GOP Candidate for The 2024 Presidential Election | null | 1,694,542,523,434 | 1,721,343,540,000 | 1,731,035,236,237 | YES | 0.989113 | 3,755.81671 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
LlR6lZ5RNs | will-the-jake-paul-mike-tyson-fight | Will the Jake Paul - Mike Tyson fight end with Knockout? | null | 1,731,721,544,620 | 1,731,735,852,802 | 1,731,735,852,802 | NO | 0.008418 | 14,577.905501 | Sports | Individual Sports |
EbrOVtYEV0ZBWG0ElYoa | will-trump-concede-by-end-of-novemb | Will Trump concede by end of November? | null | 1,706,556,533,252 | 1,730,904,784,323 | 1,730,904,784,323 | NO | 0.01 | 10,289.977515 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
BVFGQBehvqtmnyA83WJR | will-ted-cruz-be-the-next-republica | Will Ted Cruz be the next Republican elected President? | null | 1,691,512,993,163 | 1,732,218,043,390 | 1,732,218,043,390 | NO | 0.011283 | 11,868.704766 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
unuEA8cc9c | will-there-be-any-break-between-kag-gUgy55cn0h | Will there be any break between Kagurabachi chapters 56 and 57? | null | 1,730,041,640,075 | 1,730,652,761,475 | 1,730,652,765,354 | NO | 0.452489 | 100 | Entertainment | Books & Literature |
9E3HWNZtPckbnBTqNmqQ | will-a-republican-win-michigan-in-t | Will a Republican win Michigan in the 2024 POTUS election? | null | 1,686,274,017,171 | 1,730,927,727,843 | 1,730,927,727,843 | YES | 0.99 | 1,032.172912 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
aXGZT0DI0ee6GinaYnrD | will-robert-f-kennedy-jr-win-more-t | Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win more than 1% of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election? | null | 1,696,034,572,403 | 1,730,899,740,000 | 1,732,277,592,846 | NO | 0.07 | 27,296.681686 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
c3hbqjxsiy | will-the-east-coast-longshoremans-s | Will the East Coast Longshoreman's strike last longer than four weeks? | null | 1,727,788,553,273 | 1,728,049,194,535 | 1,728,049,194,535 | NO | 0.03 | 595 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
XoVg0RSdJemizF1XsKbu | will-any-of-the-2024-time-100-be-na | Will any of the 2024 TIME 100 most influential people be named on the 2024 TIME Person of The Year Shortlist? | null | 1,713,633,606,603 | 1,733,757,982,179 | 1,733,757,982,179 | YES | 0.971628 | 2,085.971699 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
xmfoc3qvak | will-the-nintendo-switch-2-or-other | Will the "Nintendo Switch 2" (or other successor) be revealed in October 2024? | null | 1,726,954,290,231 | 1,730,444,340,000 | 1,730,446,699,030 | NO | 0.002519 | 43,164.217866 | Entertainment | Gaming |
6bIzZco5lH36iBZ0nAR9 | will-bitcoin-hit-85k-in-2024 | Will Bitcoin hit $85K in 2024? | null | 1,710,038,227,943 | 1,731,351,677,281 | 1,731,351,677,281 | YES | 0.98983 | 111,680.274905 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
EdbwGxgmKWxxuLXMSDxK | will-washington-pass-ballot-initiat | Will Washington pass ballot initiative 2117? | null | 1,710,375,090,926 | 1,731,546,480,000 | 1,731,598,881,592 | NO | 0.012325 | 1,401.138913 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
AuQWBUMt8rX6XIxeM6s6 | will-a-democrat-win-the-state-attor-bf4a179f9402 | Will a democrat win the state attorney general election in Missouri in 2024? | null | 1,697,664,216,342 | 1,731,287,290,225 | 1,731,287,290,225 | NO | 0.016051 | 670.330601 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
0ie0AReJYHasUBcySpV6 | will-ranked-choice-voting-be-releva | Will ranked choice voting be relevant in the 2024 presidential election? | null | 1,704,859,758,074 | 1,731,236,764,779 | 1,731,236,764,779 | NO | 0.034472 | 5,092.356009 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
IYP3adBaTXrVMbJZkz07 | tp7-more-cheap-flights-to-mexico | TP7: More cheap flights to Mexico. (60% conf.) | null | 1,706,382,078,495 | 1,735,051,320,000 | 1,735,133,178,462 | NO | 0.637524 | 36.915879 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
a2pu75itce | will-twitchtv-ban-asmongold-for-his | Will Twitch.tv ban asmongold for his islamophobic rant on stream from october 14 2024? | null | 1,728,943,855,715 | 1,729,024,255,083 | 1,729,024,255,083 | YES | 0.96 | 4,833.240372 | Entertainment | Gaming |
q2qQSEA8un | will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-ucg5gO6ASl | Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Nov 11 than it closed on nov 8? | null | 1,731,244,720,042 | 1,731,358,913,717 | 1,731,358,913,717 | YES | 0.93361 | 275 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
DRYzSz27nrULDMSnjDeI | will-a-dutch-politician-hit-another | Will a Dutch politician hit another Dutch politician before Christmas? | null | 1,711,612,933,182 | 1,735,426,740,000 | 1,735,461,669,016 | NO | 0.01 | 12,099.403026 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
d2zU9ld29y | will-faithless-electors-change-the--cash | Will faithless electors change the result of the 2024 election? | null | 1,730,485,626,119 | 1,734,535,640,947 | 1,734,572,520,337 | NO | 0.01 | 461.277779 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
OVN9SjFnvKGQTmNd92MB | given-the-current-state-of-politics | Given the current state of politics, will the House of Rep flip from Republican to Democratic leadership Nov 5, 2024? | null | 1,698,292,406,924 | 1,731,571,140,000 | 1,731,711,415,425 | NO | 0.013847 | 1,548.957663 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
npshj316l8 | will-donald-trump-die-before-electi-dts9lszkyj | Will Donald Trump die before election day (November 5)? | null | 1,721,778,187,879 | 1,730,785,213,617 | 1,730,785,213,617 | NO | 0.014984 | 18,235.236642 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
YmWIJxQUN3KJ4zcptEfr | will-a-third-game-in-the-ai-the-som | Will a third game in the "AI: The Somnium Files" series be announced by the end of 2024? | null | 1,702,981,141,026 | 1,735,685,940,000 | 1,735,687,128,540 | NO | 0.198772 | 149.161055 | Entertainment | Gaming |
gop4ytjhgx | will-trump-win-and-nominate-rfk-to | Will Trump win and nominate RFK to a cabinet position? | null | 1,729,113,892,132 | 1,733,169,917,154 | 1,733,169,917,154 | YES | 0.952684 | 670,502.444486 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
qUrL0LtTeNs5xYdxhwjJ | will-there-be-another-perfect-game | Will there be another perfect game pitched in Major League Baseball by the end of the 2024 season? | null | 1,688,079,287,549 | 1,730,409,957,360 | 1,730,409,957,360 | NO | 0.010109 | 14,519.848488 | Sports | Professional Sports |
uz243y8fak | will-there-be-at-least-4-decisive-c--cash | Will there be at least 4 decisive classical games in the 2024 World Chess Championship? | null | 1,728,529,713,531 | 1,733,754,598,742 | 1,733,790,307,773 | YES | 0.983242 | 1,633.357527 | Sports | Individual Sports |
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