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2owceagehe | does-manifold-think-ai-is-rightwing | Does Manifold think AI is right-wing technology? | null | 1,728,737,716,627 | 1,731,387,540,000 | 1,731,497,454,110 | NO | 0.02215 | 1,185.533423 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
ulsg6lg0Qu | will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-sPI0t8dO86 | Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Nov 14 than it closed on Nov 13? | null | 1,731,531,450,739 | 1,731,618,143,911 | 1,731,618,143,911 | NO | 0.01 | 1,120.240461 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
319f5s7ju0 | will-israeli-troops-enter-the-count-2qvqtleb4q | Will Israeli troops enter the country of Lebanon before the end of September? | null | 1,725,077,035,891 | 1,727,742,652,209 | 1,727,742,652,209 | YES | 0.99 | 33,371.715803 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
xknBVAxqxwFTdMiVBe1d | will-barack-obama-make-8-or-more-tw-5d17976af9ba | Will Barack Obama make 8 or more Twitter(X) posts in Oct 2024? | null | 1,707,273,122,157 | 1,728,619,707,205 | 1,728,619,707,205 | YES | 0.99 | 1,953.857936 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
c6KOAHoJV4drd2klLt7p | will-a-third-party-candidate-qualif | Will a third party candidate qualify for at least one U.S. presidential debate in 2024? | null | 1,704,147,314,710 | 1,730,872,740,000 | 1,732,666,660,672 | NO | 0.02021 | 12,860.003413 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
2X7bSc0TndcuJ0yN8OAT | nfl-week-8-oct-27-2024-will-the-los | NFL Week 8 (Oct 27 2024): Will the Los Angeles Chargers (home) beat the New Orleans Saints (away)? | null | 1,715,834,148,334 | 1,730,232,300,000 | 1,730,235,697,323 | YES | 0.99 | 906.664329 | Sports | Professional Sports |
1ufn364r13 | will-pat-gelsinger-be-removed-or-an | Will Pat Gelsinger be removed or announce he is stepping down as Intel CEO by the end of 2024? | null | 1,723,320,370,461 | 1,733,153,307,200 | 1,733,153,307,200 | YES | 0.9895 | 8,449.571671 | Technology | Tech Industry & Business |
gw7cf6av4k | will-me-and-peterbennett-handbrain | Will me and @PeterBennett (hand-brain) defeat @NicholasCharette at chess? | null | 1,728,093,781,712 | 1,728,110,927,695 | 1,728,110,927,695 | NO | 0.11 | 1,092.580459 | Sports | Individual Sports |
hOZOaLtMTthlPHWY4JR1 | will-russian-forces-take-vuhledar-i | Will Russian forces take Vuhledar in 2024? | null | 1,708,415,238,742 | 1,728,022,024,207 | 1,728,022,024,207 | YES | 0.99 | 17,298.943271 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
YnjR2huDdNVOoYUAEiLb | will-bottas-get-more-points-then-zh | Will Bottas get more Points then Zhou in the 2024 Formula 1 Season? | null | 1,713,793,344,915 | 1,733,669,822,788 | 1,733,669,824,585 | NO | 0.01 | 1,038.377427 | Sports | Individual Sports |
Xu6Qi1wfBQ4Zl3XpMboN | will-trump-run-as-a-third-party-can | Will trump run as a third party candidate in 2024? | null | 1,668,124,435,690 | 1,730,929,674,518 | 1,730,929,674,518 | NO | 0.015379 | 15,213.646863 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
dRDnU0SqwlA51olqymkh | will-roblox-stock-rblx-close-above-5e54f64806f8 | Will Roblox stock RBLX close above $50 a share before EOY 2025? | null | 1,695,576,093,585 | 1,731,004,322,684 | 1,731,004,322,684 | YES | 0.99 | 800.320379 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
oq7h7cyuug | will-any-candidate-receive-a-prime | Will any candidate receive a prime number of electoral votes in 2024? | null | 1,724,912,949,491 | 1,734,495,370,017 | 1,734,495,370,017 | NO | 0.043849 | 605.999675 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
594KsJCN4bHvCtzKFEfy | nfl-week-9-nov-3-2024-will-the-balt | NFL Week 9 (Nov 3 2024): Will the Baltimore Ravens (home) beat the Denver Broncos (away)? | null | 1,715,834,169,838 | 1,730,829,600,000 | 1,730,829,886,948 | YES | 0.99 | 972.025233 | Sports | Professional Sports |
hr1ljshnom | will-lorne-michaels-appear-in-the-c | Will Lorne Michaels appear in the cold open sketch in the SNL Season 50 premiere? | null | 1,726,075,681,298 | 1,727,581,445,571 | 1,727,581,445,571 | NO | 0.01 | 943.533528 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
d8gNKnlOCiiLaFECAjhX | will-wizards-of-the-coast-release-a-cb4917d83d30 | Will Wizards of the Coast release any white-bordered cards before 2025? | null | 1,699,041,779,886 | 1,726,721,335,641 | 1,726,721,335,641 | YES | 0.99 | 6,583.478471 | Entertainment | Gaming |
FsMUw6WBeMzWlvZ6V4an | will-california-vote-the-same-party | Will California vote the same party for Senate and president in 2024? | null | 1,686,435,548,725 | 1,730,869,140,000 | 1,731,555,214,734 | YES | 0.989612 | 2,220.277294 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
pFweJ36XbX7GpZgmVipl | will-trump-win-at-least-ten-states | Will Trump win at least ten states? | null | 1,682,814,528,112 | 1,731,201,168,263 | 1,731,201,168,263 | YES | 0.99 | 8,062.688294 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
OuA9NwUOtl5bm1qqiJug | will-vivek-ramaswamy-run-for-presid | Will Vivek Ramaswamy run for president in the 2024 election as a Libertarian or Independent? | null | 1,702,072,276,923 | 1,719,817,140,000 | 1,730,753,127,517 | NO | 0.010788 | 5,543.398948 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
YC2uZVhcQvtwUA1vl6ph | will-sol-solana-reaches-more-than-2 | Will $SOL (Solana) reaches more than $250 USD anytime within 2024? | null | 1,704,999,918,427 | 1,733,848,659,720 | 1,733,848,659,720 | YES | 0.97951 | 23,132.694725 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
8g8hlRRcQA | ripple-above-239-on-december-13 | Ripple above $2.39 on December 13? | null | 1,733,610,565,201 | 1,734,411,540,000 | 1,735,403,948,792 | YES | 0.981826 | 635 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
b95gz1tkxv | will-joe-biden-and-donald-trump-pla | Will Joe Biden and Donald Trump play a golf match before the election? | null | 1,719,544,223,631 | 1,730,879,940,000 | 1,730,904,322,879 | NO | 0.022995 | 10,799.049461 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
RLt8Q8zPq2NMouT17cIn | will-trump-say-all-50-states-before | Will Trump say all 50 states before the election? | null | 1,716,751,026,573 | 1,731,088,740,000 | 1,731,164,975,745 | NO | 0.026163 | 12,258.723814 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
VtGPolSazS6M5Mwuck7w | will-league-of-legends-team-t1-who | Will League of Legends team T1 (who won Worlds in 2023) win Worlds in 2024? | null | 1,700,786,516,158 | 1,730,653,616,820 | 1,730,653,616,820 | YES | 0.99824 | 23,824.296889 | Gaming | Esports |
b0kdgz3ar6 | will-opus-35-be-released-this-week | Will Opus 3.5 be released this week? | null | 1,729,385,652,946 | 1,730,098,740,000 | 1,730,738,817,283 | NO | 0.010951 | 10,503.30723 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
c506f0t03r | -shortfuse-1-in-3-odds-wgre2fkije | 🧨 Short-fuse 1 in 3 odds | null | 1,726,942,249,153 | 1,726,956,648,740 | 1,726,956,731,659 | NO | null | 809.347133 | Sports | Sports Culture & Recreation |
w5rle7kDonttJRRbQ4m7 | nfl-week-3-sep-22-will-the-atlanta | NFL Week 3 (Sep 22): Will the Atlanta Falcons beat the Kansas City Chiefs? | null | 1,715,833,646,551 | 1,727,068,293,192 | 1,727,068,293,192 | NO | 0.01 | 1,249.29051 | Sports | Professional Sports |
aazcfzx0d4 | will-i-get-into-the-next-batch-of-m | Will I get into the next batch of MATS? | null | 1,723,684,479,441 | 1,727,852,340,000 | 1,735,270,862,255 | NO | 0.5 | 0 | Sports | Individual Sports |
XIE4oVYv8Yn5y4X63g0p | will-any-player-on-the-atp-tour-pas | Will any player on the ATP Tour pass 1000 aces in the 2024 season? | null | 1,704,430,343,983 | 1,735,562,368,560 | 1,735,562,368,560 | NO | 0.01478 | 9,054.323542 | Sports | Individual Sports |
gz8zUyp680 | will-there-be-any-break-between-kag-dR9UgIE850 | Will there be any break between Kagurabachi chapters 62 and 63? | null | 1,734,280,013,493 | 1,734,901,345,213 | 1,734,901,347,750 | NO | 0.438323 | 132 | Entertainment | Books & Literature |
xkvfButiI1M4Y0u3mqtT | will-there-be-any-upsets-in-the-202 | Will there be any upsets in the 2024 US Presidential election? | null | 1,716,162,019,551 | 1,730,935,085,471 | 1,730,935,085,471 | NO | 0.04375 | 13,873.114119 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
nptSynLgnS | will-there-be-any-break-between-one-ZdZLZnngdy | Will there be any break between One Piece chapters 1133 and 1134? | null | 1,733,185,461,272 | 1,733,676,984,443 | 1,733,676,991,302 | YES | 0.798673 | 1,299.246214 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
ox6eoa7ors | will-marvels-agatha-all-along-be-go | Is Marvel’s Agatha All Along going to be good? 🧙♀️🪄📺 | null | 1,725,333,870,540 | 1,730,444,340,000 | 1,730,470,031,023 | YES | 0.99 | 1,548.396526 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
Fy6byt24aTiIpi3kWHDz | will-tesla-officially-reveal-the-te | Will Tesla officially reveal the Tesla "Model 2" in 2024? | null | 1,692,790,449,022 | 1,735,674,914,861 | 1,735,674,914,861 | NO | 0.104331 | 8,485.686841 | Technology | Mobile & Consumer Electronics |
8iduje5knz | will-minimarkets-cost-at-least-m250 | Will Mini-Markets cost at least Ṁ250 and adding answers to MC-Mini-Markets cost at least Ṁ25 before October 1st? | null | 1,724,940,720,026 | 1,727,766,000,000 | 1,727,766,847,214 | NO | 0.01 | 1,931.700614 | Finance | Personal Finance |
d4awdl7vxr | will-the-bank-of-england-cut-rates | Will the Bank of England cut rates by more than 25bps in November? | null | 1,727,953,504,098 | 1,730,980,893,751 | 1,730,980,893,751 | NO | 0.021783 | 7,238.319736 | Finance | Economic Indicators |
DPJX028iCWZA58DfRjsv | nfl-week-10-nov-10-2024-will-the-ka | NFL Week 10 (Nov 10 2024): Will the Kansas City Chiefs (home) beat the Denver Broncos (away)? | null | 1,715,834,209,562 | 1,731,291,756,692 | 1,731,291,756,692 | YES | 0.990976 | 2,620.041459 | Sports | Professional Sports |
ix3pgpKtv6596DIhXbwg | will-nintendo-legally-go-after-palw | Will Nintendo legally go after Palworld in some way before EOY 2024? | null | 1,705,886,780,030 | 1,726,704,503,695 | 1,726,704,503,695 | YES | 0.97 | 72,640.563595 | Technology | Gaming |
2AC5eSVotznfENPtEVb3 | will-a-trump-supporter-attempt-to-p | Will a Trump supporter attempt to physically assault Mike Pence before the 2024 election? | null | 1,691,343,577,804 | 1,730,879,940,000 | 1,730,909,478,720 | NO | 0.091098 | 3,683.975957 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
C589yh9sqd | will-i-think-the-lex-interview-in-s | Will I think the Lex interview in Spanish is cringe? | null | 1,731,449,304,645 | 1,734,577,025,482 | 1,734,577,025,482 | YES | 0.323275 | 471 | Entertainment | Celebrity & Pop Culture |
XXvGNdqxZJ6M8ArmVWVx | serbia-gets-invite-to-join-brics-be | Serbia gets invite to join BRICS before 1 Dec 2024? | null | 1,715,650,442,148 | 1,733,022,278,887 | 1,733,022,328,069 | NO | 0.019684 | 689 | Geopolitics | International Relations |
QCca9Hmysr0TI9W6SATA | will-all-the-great-lake-states-minu | Will all the Great Lake States (minus Ohio and Indiana) vote as a unified bloc in 2024? | null | 1,694,394,276,483 | 1,730,869,140,000 | 1,730,949,652,006 | NO | 0.38102 | 622.532746 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
tytavkzj1q | does-our-team-win-trivia | Does our team win trivia? | null | 1,727,134,891,847 | 1,727,144,747,304 | 1,727,144,747,304 | NO | 0.02 | 36,423.726133 | Sports | Sports Culture & Recreation |
kwbcdx330c | will-shohei-ohtani-hit-more-than-5--cash | Will Shohei Ohtani hit more than 5 home runs in the 2024 postseason? | null | 1,729,696,846,371 | 1,730,379,705,621 | 1,730,396,788,886 | NO | 0.01 | 1,418.724436 | Sports | Professional Sports |
jd13wqh2cw | destiny-releases-his-j6manifesto-be | Destiny releases his J6-manifesto before November | null | 1,728,413,267,528 | 1,730,437,200,000 | 1,730,448,335,741 | NO | 0.010172 | 10,612.824738 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
Wuae37tRNQFtRFzO9FoM | will-trump-do-jail-time-in-2024 | Will Trump do jail time in 2024? | null | 1,696,900,359,977 | 1,731,157,140,000 | 1,731,182,399,202 | NO | 0.042149 | 7,364.772467 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
pAch9gEuPI | will-yann-lecun-reply-to-one-of-elo | Will Yann LeCun reply to one of Elon's posts on X before Dec 7th? | null | 1,730,994,117,213 | 1,733,612,340,000 | 1,733,615,160,139 | NO | 0.01452 | 957.561751 | Technology | Tech Industry & Business |
RVoIehlN008OrKYoH0bS | will-the-2024-time-person-of-the-ye | Will the 2024 TIME person of the year be related to AI in some way? | null | 1,710,455,286,843 | 1,734,027,667,920 | 1,734,027,667,920 | NO | 0.01 | 15,857.697675 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
ct7x3zf1x6 | will-the-russian-army-reach-vuhleda | Will the Russian army reach Vuhledar by Oct 15th? | null | 1,725,359,509,434 | 1,727,379,988,067 | 1,727,379,988,067 | YES | 0.99 | 910.059906 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
Mq1NE7hfvqaKYsTlJ30x | nfl-week-7-oct-20-will-the-washingt | NFL Week 7 (Oct 20): Will the Washington Commanders beat the Carolina Panthers? | null | 1,715,834,068,460 | 1,729,627,500,000 | 1,730,164,666,299 | YES | 0.99 | 897.758191 | Sports | Professional sports |
Qh3HYoKMfqfl9A0PcW5v | will-the-cubs-win-84-or-more-games | Will the Cubs win 84 or more games in the 2024 MLB regular season? | null | 1,705,733,129,532 | 1,727,683,086,183 | 1,727,683,086,183 | NO | 0.01 | 2,400.515068 | Sports | Professional Sports |
1gigutx795 | will-alaska-be-decided-by-less-than | Will Alaska be decided by less than 5% in 2024? | null | 1,726,275,286,310 | 1,730,959,140,000 | 1,731,734,554,426 | NO | 0.02 | 717.622583 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
lX9zbjEQwVlhLPrp54c7 | will-allan-lichtmans-the-keys-to-th | Will Allan Lichtman's "The Keys to the White House" correctly predict the outcome of the 2024 US Presidential election? | null | 1,678,752,835,058 | 1,730,869,140,000 | 1,730,914,121,304 | NO | 0.311481 | 5,904.311577 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
EQ8VA6PqaMAd4CbCCv9O | will-i-train-or-play-soccer-with-my | Will I train or play soccer with my brother in law at his club in 2024 | null | 1,706,947,164,975 | 1,729,355,743,153 | 1,729,355,743,153 | NO | 0.01 | 1,899.742863 | Sports | Team Sports |
AAACQ9udIQ | was-there-russian-meddling-in-the-2 | Was there Russian meddling in the 2024 Romanian presidential election? | null | 1,733,411,345,933 | 1,733,511,575,163 | 1,733,511,575,163 | YES | 0.99 | 8,949.874371 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
vq7xnmbod1 | will-donald-trump-flip-miamidade-co | Will Donald Trump flip Miami-Dade county in 2024? | null | 1,728,249,304,060 | 1,730,859,832,783 | 1,730,859,832,783 | YES | 0.90749 | 13,469.158283 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
EhttqE0lI9 | will-the-sp-500-close-higher-on-fri-O0uAPCESgC | Will the S&P 500 close higher on Friday December 6th 2024 than it closed on Friday November 29th 2024? | null | 1,732,930,449,552 | 1,733,514,034,555 | 1,733,539,433,963 | YES | 0.968112 | 451 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
makevn4wF2BkxHx8V9ai | will-violent-jay-and-shaggy-2-dope | Will Violent Jay and Shaggy 2 Dope win the 2024 presidential election? | null | 1,689,734,486,798 | 1,733,032,740,000 | 1,733,044,149,517 | NO | 0.01 | 26,910.649547 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
5nqgo5GLYQByKqcMgjdA | will-we-add-periodicfilling-limit-o | Will we add periodic-filling limit orders in 2024? | null | 1,718,296,005,607 | 1,730,406,161,841 | 1,735,684,967,401 | NO | 0.43663 | 9,420.204598 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
N5Nz0ZqggA | will-arcane-season-2-get-a-100-on-r | Will Arcane Season 2 get a 100% on RottenTomatoes? | null | 1,730,695,135,784 | 1,732,607,940,000 | 1,733,873,397,285 | YES | 0.99 | 6,628.308469 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
zjUVDY1pyvKHUbEf6XxW | will-the-braves-win-the-2024-world | Will the Braves win the 2024 World Series? | null | 1,698,929,848,728 | 1,729,018,816,727 | 1,729,018,816,727 | NO | 0.01 | 1,706.224951 | Sports | Professional Sports |
TFmWXMpzZbr9gQ7eVKoe | will-a-juror-in-one-of-the-trump-tr | Will a juror in one of the Trump trials allege harassment before the election? | null | 1,713,282,395,641 | 1,730,872,740,000 | 1,730,876,154,207 | NO | 0.675062 | 55 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
8AUNz8lzs6 | was-the-jake-paul-vs-mike-tyson-fig | Was the Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson fight rigged? | null | 1,731,745,615,450 | 1,732,487,256,748 | 1,732,487,256,748 | NO | 0.01 | 1,820.831809 | Sports | Individual Sports |
rdibpmrk8n | will-i-learn-the-persoarabic-script | Will I learn the Perso-Arabic script by the end of the year? | null | 1,720,281,738,695 | 1,735,651,060,716 | 1,735,651,060,716 | NO | 0.536192 | 30 | Entertainmnet | Books & Literature |
QN3KDbdq32tYJapOgnnA | will-the-2024-us-presidential-elect-d1be5531b14f | Will the 2024 US presidential election happen as scheduled on 5 November? | null | 1,704,577,672,146 | 1,730,876,340,000 | 1,730,913,269,520 | YES | 0.98 | 3,092.159826 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
7u1598th0y | will-googl-be-higher-in-a-week | Will GOOGL be higher in a week? | null | 1,728,580,229,343 | 1,729,199,604,254 | 1,729,199,604,254 | YES | 0.99 | 910.452553 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
k6wSpdOBdZ61ResH0hxB | will-any-of-the-videos-uploaded-to-9c5f3dfa84a4 | Will any of the videos uploaded to Lex Fridman's YouTube channel in Oct 2024 surpass 500k views? | null | 1,707,191,227,741 | 1,729,275,100,059 | 1,729,275,100,059 | YES | 0.99 | 1,841.542413 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
fWxiL2C0czPHMCpdf9kU | nfl-week-7-oct-21-will-the-arizona | NFL Week 7 (Oct 21): Will the Arizona Cardinals beat the Los Angeles Chargers? | null | 1,715,834,076,946 | 1,729,731,600,000 | 1,730,164,659,018 | YES | 0.99 | 910.987427 | Sports | Professional Sports |
wL5jJ8sevkO72552yieL | nfl-week-14-dec-8-2024-will-the-phi | NFL Week 14 (Dec 8 2024): Will the Philadelphia Eagles (home) beat the Carolina Panthers (away)? | null | 1,715,834,517,302 | 1,733,853,600,000 | 1,735,276,237,003 | YES | 0.99 | 1,070.474036 | Sports | Professional Sports |
vQTDcxudJs2C3RuFCSZV | will-a-third-party-candidate-spoil | Will a third party candidate “spoil” the 2024 US Presidential election? | null | 1,690,082,375,133 | 1,730,782,740,000 | 1,730,930,202,918 | NO | 0.171522 | 1,730.453365 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
lx7pmfx7iu | will-the-price-movement-of-djt-stoc | Will the price movement of DJT stock accurately predict the outcome of the 2024 U.S. Presidential election? | null | 1,726,664,918,221 | 1,730,902,683,357 | 1,730,902,683,357 | YES | 0.757341 | 1,150 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
bfpn7s83rg | ballot-props-will-denver-ban-slaugh | Ballot Props: Will Denver ban slaughterhouses? (Initiated Ordinance 309) | null | 1,729,299,165,634 | 1,730,908,713,418 | 1,730,908,713,418 | NO | 0.093642 | 235 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
lTtSs2ddfKgwRRdoxNJI | will-selzer-outpredict-fivethirtyei | Will Selzer out-predict FiveThirtyEight in the 2024 Iowa presidential election? | null | 1,672,353,422,806 | 1,730,947,822,079 | 1,730,947,822,079 | NO | 0.022196 | 4,729.320447 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
oavv6awe2m | was-acx-book-review-nine-lives-writ | Was ACX book review "nine lives" written by Scott Alexander? | null | 1,726,238,691,741 | 1,728,641,717,128 | 1,728,641,717,128 | NO | 0.01 | 3,258.16073 | Entertainment | Books & Literature |
2gelOcB6s2drOX4HV2Mf | will-jason-weens-youtube-channel-re-b0d1bb6a9b07 | Will Jason Ween's Youtube channel reach 650k subscribers in 2024? | null | 1,712,766,823,869 | 1,729,613,443,040 | 1,729,613,443,040 | YES | 0.99 | 1,138.504699 | Entertainment | Celebrity & Pop Culture |
Id0tzLzl8q | will-the-ny-giants-stomp-the-dallas | Will the NY Giants stomp the Dallas Cowboys? 🏈|🦃 (4:30pm) | null | 1,732,589,149,368 | 1,732,846,602,100 | 1,732,846,602,100 | NO | 0.01 | 9,206.217011 | Sports | Team Sports |
IA69Hy6uKTluG4Nemg6r | lionel-messi-will-score-a-hattrick | Lionel Messi will score a hat-trick in a match for Inter Miami by 2025 | null | 1,692,076,215,268 | 1,729,532,385,139 | 1,729,532,385,139 | YES | 0.99 | 12,230.505545 | Sports | Professional Sports |
9vef1jg7w3 | will-kamala-harris-be-banned-or-sus | Will Kamala Harris be banned or suspended from Truth Social before the election? | null | 1,722,805,577,864 | 1,730,765,433,404 | 1,730,765,433,404 | NO | 0.01 | 898.029469 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
YplVU4tKTFOksdAyzs6e | will-a-democrat-win-alaska-in-the-2 | Will a Democrat win Alaska in the 2024 POTUS election? | null | 1,686,275,896,762 | 1,731,036,004,236 | 1,731,036,004,236 | NO | 0.01 | 8,973.868931 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
ic21c1vl16 | will-travis-kelce-endorse-trump-bef | Will Travis Kelce endorse Trump before the election? | null | 1,726,025,493,634 | 1,730,955,540,000 | 1,730,955,679,781 | NO | 0.01 | 9,717.484155 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
jximswzbge | will-ontario-college-teachers-opseu | Will Ontario college teachers (OPSEU CAAT) vote to authorize a strike in the current round of bargaining? | null | 1,723,895,509,589 | 1,730,932,947,145 | 1,730,932,947,145 | YES | 0.781302 | 135.783285 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
JI1Fr2ionbJ6mnu0jXdD | will-all-tested-variants-of-iphone | Will all tested variants of iPhone 16 pass JerryRigEverything durability tests in 2024? | null | 1,703,224,461,971 | 1,735,678,740,000 | 1,735,685,284,914 | YES | 0.828946 | 95 | Technology | Mobile & Consumer Electronics |
8GIQED9HVaDcEW4K40uh | will-barack-obama-declare-the-2024 | Will Barack Obama declare the 2024 election as the most important of our lifetimes? | null | 1,699,252,743,276 | 1,730,879,940,000 | 1,731,767,693,783 | NO | 0.266817 | 3,326.915948 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
1z71romwcj | will-jeanmarie-le-pen-die-in-octobe | Will Jean-Marie Le Pen die in October 2024? | null | 1,725,883,071,198 | 1,730,415,540,000 | 1,730,452,018,632 | NO | 0.01 | 1,144.213223 | Politics | Political Parties & Ideologies |
sNSrm1QtmTvxiJipjNKe | will-spacex-successfully-catch-a-bo-5ddb59c643b5 | Will SpaceX successfully catch a booster within the first ten Starship flights? | null | 1,712,469,076,213 | 1,728,880,811,751 | 1,728,880,811,751 | YES | 0.99 | 12,975.352512 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
yfkHEOHjKozJ0ohgj3Oj | will-jimmy-carter-outlive-any-curre | Will Jimmy Carter outlive any current or former POTUS? | null | 1,698,808,496,608 | 1,735,515,447,229 | 1,735,515,447,229 | NO | 0.009036 | 25,240.940108 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
y6iFIhq9M1loky1T2OsZ | will-any-of-the-videos-uploaded-to-8f0026346e7b | Will any of the videos uploaded to Mark Rober's YouTube channel in Sep 2024 surpass 20M views? | null | 1,706,582,234,461 | 1,727,530,258,389 | 1,727,530,258,389 | YES | 0.99 | 1,510.027778 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
TtLevYrKi2X17JndeDf9 | will-i-get-a-date-on-manifold-datin | Will I get a date on Manifold Dating? | null | 1,698,209,419,968 | 1,735,682,340,000 | 1,735,686,116,463 | NO | 0.035659 | 1,805.0176 | Technology | Internet & Digital Services |
mkgw0wz4uf | will-there-be-major-economic-news-t | Will there be major economic news that affects the 2024 US election? | null | 1,722,700,646,533 | 1,730,875,386,974 | 1,730,875,386,974 | NO | 0.118294 | 4,079.830319 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
WK2NWYZpqH6iA6wPx6Ui | will-barack-obama-make-12-or-more-t-8142569a654d | Will Barack Obama make 12 or more Twitter(X) posts in Nov 2024? | null | 1,708,381,181,252 | 1,733,029,199,950 | 1,735,076,013,777 | YES | 0.99 | 1,870.960828 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
2j2hjm4b2m | polymarketlinked-trump-caught-with | [Polymarket-linked] Trump caught with Loomer again in September? | null | 1,726,562,815,989 | 1,727,765,940,000 | 1,727,778,863,872 | NO | 0.02 | 1,921.342723 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
umpr4usbhy | will-anyone-say-bitcoin-crypto-bloc | Will anyone say "Bitcoin", "Crypto", "Blockchain", "World Liberty Financial" or similar during the Vance vs Walz debate? | null | 1,727,815,245,478 | 1,727,837,741,479 | 1,728,349,735,709 | NO | 0.04 | 9,222.31052 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
nZNuODQCxN0LfvO2db1R | will-there-be-a-way-for-two-users-t | Will there be a way for two users to bet against each other without paying Manifold? [6 months] | null | 1,715,864,323,804 | 1,731,801,540,000 | 1,731,837,246,403 | YES | 0.99 | 1,045.75849 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
e3QDKNy5beSf95zAoHuN | nfl-week-13-dec-1-2024-will-the-was | NFL Week 13 (Dec 1 2024): Will the Washington Commanders (home) beat the Tennessee Titans (away)? | null | 1,715,834,486,365 | 1,733,248,800,000 | 1,733,810,663,282 | YES | 0.99 | 894.987437 | Sports | Professional Sports |
hfmpbugzqo | will-donald-trump-still-be-alive-on-ch9blokoaq | Will Donald Trump still be alive on October 1st, 2024? | null | 1,725,274,306,972 | 1,727,762,340,000 | 1,727,788,073,907 | YES | 0.99 | 3,492.225975 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
yCIjO2bL6XURozSRW7SI | will-samesex-marriage-become-legal-0ace612bd91e | Will same-sex marriage become legal in Japan in 2024? | null | 1,710,698,011,289 | 1,735,682,340,000 | 1,735,683,020,719 | NO | 0.033338 | 4,695.530479 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
8ZEKGAjxPLNkKSWjJPaC | nfl-week-8-oct-27-2024-will-the-den | NFL Week 8 (Oct 27 2024): Will the Denver Broncos (home) beat the Carolina Panthers (away)? | null | 1,715,834,156,234 | 1,730,078,828,706 | 1,730,078,828,706 | YES | 0.99 | 895.15266 | Sports | Professional Sports |
wo1dv7xp55 | will-the-dutch-government-successfu | Will the Dutch government successfully implement the 'noodwet' for the 'asylum crisis'? | null | 1,728,459,848,907 | 1,730,120,506,638 | 1,730,120,602,756 | NO | 0.1 | 2,262.239575 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
XVWeziWumsCmym0B21Jh | will-there-be-significant-blm-riots | Will there be significant BLM riots preceding the 2024 US presidential election? | null | 1,672,014,885,582 | 1,730,879,940,000 | 1,730,891,220,044 | NO | 0.0385 | 4,400.582005 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
05el1ng5r1 | biden-facilitates-ceasefire-in-ukra | Biden facilitates ceasefire in Ukraine before Election Day | null | 1,722,544,980,953 | 1,730,713,338,987 | 1,730,713,338,987 | NO | 0.01 | 9,351.424905 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
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