id stringlengths 9 20 | market_slug stringlengths 5 54 | question stringlengths 8 193 | firstGroup float64 | createdTime int64 1,641B 1,735B | closeTime int64 1,704B 1,736B | resolvedTime int64 1,727B 1,736B | resolution stringclasses 2 values | resolutionProbability float64 0 1 ⌀ | volume float64 0 3.75M | pred_category stringclasses 12 values | pred_subcategory stringclasses 43 values |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UGuNEUtNpZdFEO0wEt5R | will-they-give-shadow-the-hedgehog | Will Shadow have a Gun in the third Sonic the Hedgehog movie? | null | 1,713,753,361,854 | 1,734,712,834,627 | 1,734,712,834,627 | YES | 0.979672 | 10,234.407748 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
vH37oTY7EeewyGbVpGHc | will-china-launch-a-fullscale-invas-c2da2973e74e | Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2024? | null | 1,709,480,841,138 | 1,735,685,940,000 | 1,735,686,185,289 | NO | 0.022093 | 1,828.362974 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
ehq38vbvh9 | will-kamala-harris-have-a-higher-pr | Will Kamala Harris have a higher probability on the Sweepcash market than the Mana market on 10/1/24? | null | 1,726,614,969,406 | 1,727,852,340,000 | 1,735,343,545,018 | NO | 0.27 | 1,175.992497 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
s1ics6d5lv | polymarketlinked-will-ukraine-hit-m | [Polymarket-linked] Will Ukraine hit Moscow or the Crimean Bridge before October (2.0)? | null | 1,725,580,237,356 | 1,727,765,940,000 | 1,727,828,626,706 | NO | 0.01 | 1,651.111311 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
roijactu9b | will-the-2024-us-presidential-elect-rskragkl2i | Will the 2024 US presidential election be decided by a smaller margin than the vote share for third-party candidates? | null | 1,726,451,512,040 | 1,731,376,974,321 | 1,731,376,974,321 | NO | 0.094139 | 255 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
r2mvc28qez | will-california-have-a-fire-weather | Will California have a Fire Weather Watch in effect on Sunday? | null | 1,728,966,409,250 | 1,729,517,479,921 | 1,729,517,501,113 | NO | 0.45 | 13 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
3fOP3bD5ATmNKTD3jpFO | will-either-joe-biden-or-donald-tru-8ac5db413a81 | Will either Joe Biden or Donald Trump die before the 2024 U.S. presidential election? | null | 1,710,308,160,126 | 1,730,867,681,547 | 1,730,867,681,547 | NO | 0.017668 | 3,261.77643 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
Ly0ZcIEhUS | will-the-pa-secretary-of-state-cert | Will the PA Secretary of State certify David McCormick as the winner of the 2024 senate election? | null | 1,731,967,508,948 | 1,732,235,870,060 | 1,732,235,870,060 | YES | 0.949386 | 3,331 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
gk1o1zc5g4 | will-manifold-return-mana-loans-bef | Will Manifold return Mana loans before the end of 2024? | null | 1,727,873,030,883 | 1,733,573,580,312 | 1,733,573,580,312 | YES | 0.992394 | 20,667.064378 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
9ghDMaR9PGTcD3NCEAOY | will-the-us-federal-government-char | Will the US federal government charge McKinsey criminally for its role in promoting opioid use? | null | 1,714,006,508,395 | 1,734,309,360,000 | 1,734,328,346,184 | YES | 0.99 | 1,811.965948 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
Ont60PVLWha4eAbG8AdM | will-kamala-harris-release-another | Will Kamala Harris release another Book before the next Mario Party game comes out? | null | 1,702,770,555,101 | 1,730,781,796,967 | 1,730,781,796,967 | NO | 0.026125 | 936.842176 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
FwqSadG0HFW5pGOc9w4s | will-michigan-vote-more-republican | Will Michigan vote more Republican than Wisconsin and Pennsylvania in the 2024 presidential election? | null | 1,709,326,847,406 | 1,731,283,814,415 | 1,731,283,814,415 | NO | 0.05184 | 1,348.870915 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
nvn4ue4y95 | will-manifold-think-that-kamala-wou | Will Manifold think that Kamala would beat Trump in a game of Go, if both have one month to prepare? | null | 1,724,492,945,089 | 1,727,150,340,000 | 1,727,455,169,823 | YES | 0.99 | 932.301606 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
TDuvEPO3tb56UjIX8Qij | nfl-week-15-dec-12-2024-will-the-sa | NFL Week 15 (Dec 12 2024): Will the San Francisco 49ers (home) beat the Los Angeles Rams (away)? | null | 1,715,834,545,103 | 1,734,140,223,029 | 1,734,140,223,029 | NO | 0.006944 | 1,314.177868 | Sports | Professional Sports |
0xh6fc1pg8 | metaculus-what-is-the-probability-t | [Metaculus] What is the probability that Bitcoin price will rise above $68k at any point bet...and next meeting (10/10)? | null | 1,728,243,696,555 | 1,728,684,000,000 | 1,728,848,612,073 | NO | 0.01 | 8,949 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
ivAxuMoJn5Y9cwHwjkzi | will-manifold-introduce-any-incenti | Will manifold introduce any incentives for betting on long term markets this year? | null | 1,714,037,801,947 | 1,733,505,842,186 | 1,733,505,842,186 | YES | 0.99 | 7,780.792065 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
IaxwP21cisulzmMvNaJb | nfl-week-11-nov-17-2024-will-the-ne | NFL Week 11 (Nov 17 2024): Will the New England Patriots (home) beat the Los Angeles Rams (away)? | null | 1,715,834,240,756 | 1,732,039,200,000 | 1,732,042,931,660 | NO | 0.01 | 905.744213 | Sports | Professional Sports |
n4W3a6gOE4O9fYqq6Pg5 | the-us-fed-will-do-a-rate-cut-befor | The US Fed will do a rate cut before the US Presidential election. | null | 1,690,452,488,591 | 1,727,222,991,592 | 1,727,222,991,592 | YES | 0.99 | 38,841.860906 | Finance | Economic Indicators |
tvkgancvhw | will-i-create-another-market-in-202 | Will I create another market in 2024? | null | 1,727,121,432,254 | 1,728,651,522,325 | 1,728,651,522,325 | YES | 0.58 | 181 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
fplb5cjab0 | will-harris-or-walz-work-at-mcdonal | Will Harris or Walz work at McDonald’s before the election? | null | 1,729,506,696,218 | 1,730,869,140,000 | 1,730,870,713,451 | NO | 0.01 | 10,272.287467 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
6q3tgtzxel | will-crsocietyorg-go-back-online-be | Will crsociety.org go back online before November 1, 2024? | null | 1,722,370,686,236 | 1,728,492,522,248 | 1,728,492,522,248 | YES | 0.31 | 50 | Technology | Internet & Digital Services |
lVSCGQiUgAkk1Q0ztoEb | will-bitcoin-reach-100000 | Will Bitcoin reach $100000 | null | 1,704,308,790,108 | 1,733,489,072,366 | 1,733,489,072,366 | YES | 0.998739 | 35,787.633617 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
P04rgDVZclNkcAdPZYu0 | will-any-of-biden-trump-or-mira-be-9c3dc98ad728 | Will any of Biden, Trump, or @Mira be elected president in 2024? | null | 1,709,157,231,118 | 1,731,285,041,750 | 1,731,285,041,750 | YES | 0.99 | 9,731.019431 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
yaxFUesYgkYmBrRFShtU | will-aigenerated-text-suggestions-b-416a5d9fabd4 | Will AI-generated text suggestions be publicly available on Microsoft Outlook by end of 2024? | null | 1,673,215,767,322 | 1,734,811,393,511 | 1,734,811,393,511 | YES | 0.974033 | 1,673.188281 | Technology | Computing & Software |
pchwKMnbqBuYfZvzqHiT | will-demis-hassabis-win-a-nobel-pri | Will Demis Hassabis win a Nobel prize? | null | 1,691,950,375,280 | 1,728,479,966,496 | 1,728,479,966,496 | YES | 0.99 | 1,345.187574 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
Z7yQiyj6GWtbUQACxEld | will-a-manifold-celebrity-appear-on | Will a Manifold celebrity appear on the Joe Rogan Experience by EOY 2024? | null | 1,712,051,593,998 | 1,730,913,531,715 | 1,730,913,531,715 | YES | 0.985647 | 9,718.854111 | Entertainment | Celebrity & Pop Culture |
j4h8jL02cgr4xvaqBdOW | will-donald-trump-die-of-causes-nat | Will Donald Trump die, of causes natural or not, before election day 2024? | null | 1,717,455,788,487 | 1,730,783,837,005 | 1,730,783,837,005 | NO | 0.013144 | 55,083.115217 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
zJswumDJHZJ6qfc4uTDI | will-the-winner-of-the-2024-preside-799138703e51 | Will the winner of the 2024 Presidential election be either equal to or greater then 165 cm in height? | null | 1,658,847,258,409 | 1,731,090,553,088 | 1,731,090,553,088 | YES | 0.99 | 3,107.360035 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
2eV6rBteIBspexWdkhc4 | will-the-winner-of-the-2024-preside-445a123e528c | Will the winner of the 2024 Presidential Election carry the state of New Hampshire? | null | 1,690,201,613,764 | 1,730,963,258,012 | 1,730,963,258,012 | NO | 0.01 | 1,037.417885 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
V3q7ppzUFZbuwKQnHE1h | will-alaskas-house-race-be-won-in-t | Will Alaska's House race be won in the first round? | null | 1,689,388,021,798 | 1,731,978,927,507 | 1,731,978,927,507 | NO | 0.034339 | 998.565355 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
ohdqd4u9gx | will-there-be-another-story-about-r-1s8mj899bh | Will there be another story about RFK Jr. and an unusual situation with a dead animal before November 1st? | null | 1,728,137,022,302 | 1,730,519,940,000 | 1,730,952,190,555 | NO | 0.01 | 990.298565 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
DkglFDF7K7DOVhapb92J | will-russia-issue-an-ultimatum-this | Will Russia issue an ultimatum this year for a ceasefire agreement, using the threat of tactical nuclear weapons? | null | 1,711,393,902,729 | 1,735,682,340,000 | 1,735,687,783,266 | NO | 0.01812 | 7,837.369408 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
hhnUhg5pty | will-an-ai-score-over-10-on-frontie | Will an AI score over 10% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025 | null | 1,731,114,173,716 | 1,734,722,022,899 | 1,734,722,022,899 | YES | 0.965124 | 5,927.684471 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
O5QSlCd0gO | will-the-us-presidential-election-b | Will the U.S. Presidential Election be called by Wednesday morning? | null | 1,730,813,758,823 | 1,730,898,136,250 | 1,730,898,136,250 | YES | 0.967236 | 575 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
ZEKw7Rx6SmU3dZcHvBVV | will-max-score-more-poles-than-pere | Will Max Verstappen score more poles than Perez does P2 in 2024? | null | 1,712,470,816,014 | 1,730,863,930,160 | 1,730,863,930,160 | YES | 0.955623 | 3,422 | Sports | Individual Sports |
0igFeVVc7cDy98luxxY3 | will-north-carolina-elect-a-democra | Will North Carolina elect a Democrat for governor in 2024? | null | 1,702,872,955,428 | 1,730,929,208,666 | 1,730,929,208,666 | YES | 0.979588 | 1,741.376039 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
iq652uuli0 | will-i-find-out-where-this-m50-went | Will I find out where this ~Ṁ50 went from my account before end of 2024? | null | 1,728,629,575,653 | 1,728,896,544,041 | 1,728,896,544,041 | YES | 0.91 | 221 | Finance | Personal Finance |
Qs5R4Y2wf1U5MUXBACXf | will-mrbeast-be-the-most-subscribed | Will MrBeast be the most subscribed YouTube channel on December 31st 2024? | null | 1,703,492,669,599 | 1,735,631,824,848 | 1,735,631,824,848 | YES | 0.989079 | 14,899.602233 | Entertainment | Celebrity & Pop Culture |
3k6WFWWiwbhXGimdHw9f | will-martin-heinrich-win-reelection | Will Martin Heinrich win re-election in the 2024 US senate race in New Mexico? | null | 1,680,634,076,478 | 1,731,293,638,462 | 1,731,293,638,462 | YES | 0.971722 | 765 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
lYkOn5WAHIue33TdUXVT | will-a-high-profile-youtuber-quit-d-a34988b96bc2 | Will a high profile YouTuber quit during Oct 2024? | null | 1,707,015,832,225 | 1,730,433,596,395 | 1,735,076,270,816 | NO | 0.402985 | 25 | Entertainment | Celebrity & Pop Culture |
nrrvb5q8qd | will-destiny-be-banned-or-further-l-ie6j303w1s | Will Destiny be banned or further limited on Twitter / X by the end of October? | null | 1,728,327,856,268 | 1,730,485,897,256 | 1,730,485,897,256 | NO | 0.01 | 894.987437 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
CNdOZUlCSQ | bitcoin-above-95k-on-dec-8 | Bitcoin above $95K on Dec 8? | null | 1,732,773,366,988 | 1,733,652,664,613 | 1,733,652,664,613 | YES | 0.99 | 17,770.030318 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
mtzpm4i6tr | will-the-government-shutdown-before | Will the government shutdown before October 2? | null | 1,726,766,775,823 | 1,728,028,131,209 | 1,728,028,131,209 | NO | 0.01 | 1,259.660435 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
LesUhZn88wsOk4KAUuJ7 | metaculus-will-trump-and-biden-shak | [Metaculus] Will Trump and Biden shake hands in any of their debates? | null | 1,717,421,187,888 | 1,730,998,800,000 | 1,731,022,319,348 | NO | 0.01 | 26,952.432929 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
xFUt4grt6i6ikjnbE352 | will-the-republican-nominee-in-2024 | Will the Republican nominee in 2024 hold the position that Biden has over-committed to supporting Israel? | null | 1,697,597,958,374 | 1,731,823,140,000 | 1,732,237,619,166 | NO | 0.074024 | 333.898425 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
ZXXwDRnEfD0dDdohb8MS | matthew-yglesias-2024-predictions-v-8bfb98574714 | Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions vs Manifold: Will Donald Trump win the 2024 presidential election? | null | 1,704,409,790,121 | 1,705,294,740,000 | 1,730,991,518,516 | YES | 0.416255 | 1,066.480723 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
ZNGXeehxa4Rx0TqHlebh | will-i-climb-a-v5-in-2024 | Will I climb a V5 in 2024? | null | 1,704,105,047,530 | 1,726,808,538,607 | 1,726,808,538,607 | YES | 0.82 | 478.31174 | Sports | Individual Sports |
IP1Ea0Rvsda69ZHQwpI1 | will-joe-biden-win-the-2024-us-pres-b89dd7b227f9 | Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | null | 1,707,085,033,731 | 1,730,941,067,093 | 1,730,941,067,093 | NO | 0.010253 | 27,033.842662 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
5Z2dhJOFo9bBp9VYgGs3 | will-the-dodgers-clinch-the-nl-west | Will the Dodgers clinch the NL West | null | 1,712,772,101,727 | 1,727,494,862,589 | 1,727,494,862,589 | YES | 0.99 | 2,393.827009 | Sports | Professional Sports |
cc3od209s4 | will-nebraska-beat-illinois-in-thei | Will Nebraska beat Illinois in their football game on 9/20/24? | null | 1,726,857,138,010 | 1,726,927,349,197 | 1,726,927,349,197 | NO | 0.01 | 10,945.109652 | Sports | Team Sports |
ZlUI2UznnR | profitable-bitcoin-coinflip-4-ev | Profitable Bitcoin Coinflip 4 [EV+] | null | 1,731,153,802,718 | 1,731,301,140,000 | 1,731,306,993,705 | NO | 0.504826 | 7 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
kar8hkseai | conditional-on-trump-winning-michig | Conditional on Trump winning Michigan and Pennsylvania, will he lose Arizona, Georgia, Wisconsin, or N. Carolina? | null | 1,721,965,261,323 | 1,730,869,140,000 | 1,731,785,124,496 | NO | 0.168197 | 125 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
ds5dqRhz8p | tug-of-war-EQ2O6Ul2cu | Tug of war | null | 1,732,718,461,964 | 1,732,919,411,624 | 1,732,919,411,624 | YES | 0.793857 | 1,817.999881 | Sports | Team Sports |
zdyjjd4okk | will-the-unique-trader-bonus-for-ma | Will the "unique trader bonus" for mana markets change again before Christmas? | null | 1,727,647,126,760 | 1,735,081,140,000 | 1,735,112,642,917 | NO | 0.069306 | 302.789928 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
2ypdAQ6S9u | will-satish-rao-release-grades-for | Will Satish Rao release grades for UC Berkeley's CS 270 by Monday December 23rd? | null | 1,734,774,426,245 | 1,735,027,140,000 | 1,735,030,125,365 | NO | 0.163095 | 1,734.740039 | Technology | Computing & Software |
6LPS60Ect6 | will-we-hit-a-new-record-for-vancou | Will we hit a new record for Vancouver's 4th Taco Tuesday? | null | 1,730,743,960,754 | 1,730,869,362,617 | 1,730,869,362,617 | YES | 0.5 | 28.000013 | Entertainment | Celebrity & Pop Culture |
FzWILlKis8YLSgGoeK7I | will-amazon-prime-video-market-shar | Will Amazon Prime video market share dominance increase by end of Q2 2024 | null | 1,705,006,203,947 | 1,729,396,740,000 | 1,735,158,325,906 | YES | 0.395134 | 135.000002 | Technology | Internet & Digital Services |
Pq8OcEnlNU | will-vice-president-harris-bring-up | Will vice president Harris bring up the topic of the legalization of cannabis before the election? | null | 1,730,109,040,697 | 1,730,789,940,000 | 1,730,876,501,779 | NO | 0.241155 | 776 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
4eera1tw4f | will-manifolds-engaged-users-be-10x | Will Manifold's Engaged Users be 10x higher than Nvidia's stock price at the end of November? | null | 1,722,398,614,907 | 1,733,029,140,000 | 1,733,034,493,895 | NO | 0.01 | 924.905803 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
btiqm0gej0 | short-fuse-will-i-quroe-beat-scotts | [Short Fuse] Will I (@Quroe) beat @ScottSupak in September 2024's Manifold Diamond League? | null | 1,727,736,528,592 | 1,727,824,767,720 | 1,727,824,829,453 | YES | 0.85 | 1,569.887685 | Sports | Individual Sports |
uU928uOnyy | will-chatgpt-be-able-to-say-the-nam | Will ChatGPT be able to say the name David Mayer before 2025? | null | 1,733,066,765,499 | 1,733,236,536,628 | 1,733,236,536,628 | YES | 0.971417 | 7,972.866103 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
u1tBwjqJ4ugcTOy5ipqR | nfl-week-4-sep-29-will-the-carolina | NFL Week 4 (Sep 29): Will the Carolina Panthers beat the Cincinnati Bengals? | null | 1,715,833,657,315 | 1,727,702,927,727 | 1,727,702,927,727 | NO | 0.01 | 913.155265 | Sports | Team Sports |
LyRUZ2CNRg | will-xcommanifoldmarkets-post-today | Will x.com/manifoldmarkets post today? | null | 1,730,729,946,317 | 1,730,755,100,779 | 1,730,755,100,779 | YES | 0.989857 | 9,020.882366 | Technology | Internet & Digital Services |
2unNunOAIL | profitable-bitcoin-coinflip-6-ev | Profitable Bitcoin Coinflip 6 [EV+] | null | 1,731,154,018,334 | 1,731,301,140,000 | 1,731,307,031,004 | NO | 0.49961 | 8 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
3nz3QPjP8nLhddQ9mMCm | nfl-week-17-dec-29-2024-will-the-ta | NFL Week 17 (Dec 29 2024): Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (home) beat the Carolina Panthers (away)? | null | 1,715,834,682,543 | 1,735,668,000,000 | 1,735,669,100,815 | YES | 0.99 | 998.399762 | Sports | Professional Sports |
hwxtxj4n3e | will-manifold-add-a-withdrawal-fee | Will Manifold add a withdrawal fee for sweepcash before the end of November? | null | 1,729,136,801,954 | 1,729,137,540,772 | 1,729,137,540,772 | YES | 0.99 | 1,078.143387 | Finance | Personal Finance |
Q6CFSRrBerqSc23fqSkR | will-marvel-release-multiple-films | Will Marvel release multiple films in 2024? | null | 1,700,104,951,603 | 1,730,935,496,675 | 1,730,935,496,675 | NO | 0.044058 | 1,323.098275 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
vp0ckl70df | will-jd-vance-and-tim-walz-both-par | Will JD Vance and Tim Walz both participate in a vice presidential debate hosted by CBS News on October 1st? | null | 1,725,391,876,069 | 1,727,833,602,110 | 1,727,833,602,110 | YES | 0.99 | 106,930.627865 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
l2oYnvgk59fQRURg7o2h | will-at-least-one-us-state-print-ba | Will at least one US state print ballots without listing Donald Trump due to Section 3 of the 14th Amendment? | null | 1,691,735,163,138 | 1,730,879,940,000 | 1,730,932,242,751 | NO | 0.038597 | 21,039.869179 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
39yKcXgqGrUMwPRmTZwy | will-biden-die-before-the-next-pres | Will Biden die before the next presidential election? | null | 1,673,147,487,297 | 1,730,793,600,000 | 1,730,873,004,192 | NO | 0.020997 | 22,013.554212 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
nsO8yQmO6mrN7GaY4bI2 | will-openai-release-their-video-gen | Will OpenAI release their video generation model "SORA" to the general public before the US elections (2024)? | null | 1,710,519,787,994 | 1,733,003,658,783 | 1,733,003,658,783 | NO | 0.01 | 19,495.630923 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
GSqPBWMbBR5Vbk4Vx2to | will-liz-cheney-run-for-president-i-eee62a93339b | Will Liz Cheney run for president in 2024? | null | 1,701,794,343,155 | 1,730,740,182,310 | 1,730,740,182,310 | NO | 0.012834 | 6,275.52033 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
icylz6704x | will-there-be-a-claim-that-kamala-h | Will there be a claim that Kamala Harris has had a lesbian relations published in a reputable newspaper? | null | 1,722,634,300,227 | 1,730,444,340,000 | 1,730,445,135,320 | NO | 0.026482 | 9,231.940746 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
CNLq2SUP2N | will-biden-declare-a-national-fema | Will Biden declare a national FEMA EMERGENCY after the election? | null | 1,729,989,945,279 | 1,731,125,287,730 | 1,731,125,287,730 | NO | 0.084963 | 7,201.978529 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
SxM5XRac63ekRYSDAQM4 | will-trump-underperform-in-the-gene | Will Trump underperform in the general polls again? (2024 RCP Average) | null | 1,712,956,355,761 | 1,731,301,140,000 | 1,734,383,945,786 | YES | 0.989249 | 11,805.441613 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
CRXaT2XMMJ8StP4iwBHs | will-biden-need-nebraskas-second-di | Will Biden need Nebraska's second district to win reelection? | null | 1,712,532,376,024 | 1,732,635,341,619 | 1,732,635,341,619 | NO | 0.028673 | 1,631.621124 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
Drzx5AwK2aBQMIyYO1cP | will-mitch-mcconnell-stop-being-sen | Will Mitch McConnell stop being Senate Republican Leader by the next presidential inauguration (20 Jan 2025)? | null | 1,669,828,558,269 | 1,731,528,713,196 | 1,731,528,713,196 | YES | 0.99 | 59,874.400876 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
Pc8PyStCyh | bitcoin-hits-100k-in-less-than-48-h | Bitcoin hits $100K in less than 48 hours? | null | 1,732,276,354,881 | 1,732,449,600,000 | 1,732,466,620,449 | NO | 0.005991 | 21,790.610475 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
skuoqijps1 | will-the-margin-of-victory-in-the-2-rq8njcckh5 | Will the margin of victory in the 2024 US Presidential election in Wisconsin be greater than 1%? | null | 1,723,484,830,067 | 1,733,721,778,986 | 1,733,721,778,986 | NO | 0.051471 | 13,043.1266 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
sdmpwq6f49 | will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-l6bp06uc7r | Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Sept 27 than hit closed on Sept 26? | null | 1,727,381,109,629 | 1,727,467,308,584 | 1,727,467,308,584 | NO | 0.03 | 1,204.064825 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
snf255a9l6 | will-trump-win-nevada-in-the-2024-p--cash | Will Trump win Nevada in the 2024 Presidential Election? | null | 1,727,304,586,243 | 1,731,050,187,491 | 1,731,050,187,491 | YES | 0.99 | 10,374.448045 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
hUQQom8hlH8sAo9VZ6SN | will-there-be-an-eag-on-the-east-co | Will there be an EA Global Conference on the East Coast in 2024? | null | 1,699,916,125,844 | 1,731,149,063,515 | 1,731,149,063,515 | YES | 0.99 | 2,944.545104 | Technology | Tech Industry & Business |
mlczarshze | will-i-be-able-to-buy-a-coke-oreos | Will I be able to buy Coke Oreos on Halloween? 🎃🥤🍪 | null | 1,728,694,041,637 | 1,730,426,773,307 | 1,730,426,773,307 | YES | 0.99 | 906.240392 | Entertainment | Celebrity & Pop Culture |
wwfbvyuidz | will-this-market-get-me-a-job-in-20 | Will this market get me a job in 2024? | null | 1,720,225,761,659 | 1,735,649,940,000 | 1,735,665,655,879 | NO | 0.05441 | 1,577.125248 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
FtENl4YTP2IZVsxCTBVT | will-there-be-candidates-with-chatg | Will there be candidates with "ChatGPT" in their names in the 2024 Brazilian municipal elections? | null | 1,682,042,277,101 | 1,728,791,613,322 | 1,728,791,613,322 | NO | 0.01 | 12,975.576401 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
nCAE5EtQtO | will-the-mariah-carey-all-i-want-fo | Will the Mariah Carey All I Want for Christmas market resolve to N/A? | null | 1,732,140,512,534 | 1,733,633,940,000 | 1,734,147,652,371 | NO | 0.088856 | 484.007646 | Entertainment | Music & Audio |
ASAq8SAPnO | will-tsla-reach-420-before-8pm-est | Will TSLA reach >$ 420 before 8pm EST on February 18? | null | 1,731,303,074,144 | 1,734,037,991,419 | 1,734,037,991,419 | YES | 0.995324 | 275,302.635351 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
zt5O8C2qA5 | will-libsofbluesky-get-100000-follo | Will LibsofBluesky get 100,000 followers on X before the end of 2024? | null | 1,731,857,007,555 | 1,731,996,226,360 | 1,731,996,226,360 | YES | 0.948692 | 330 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
530eh155CPQza6Aoizn2 | democratic-party-trifecta-in-2024 | Democratic party trifecta in 2024 | null | 1,672,649,430,649 | 1,730,918,517,609 | 1,730,918,517,609 | NO | 0.013362 | 11,928.450509 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
lcmyf6n5u7 | will-hunter-biden-receive-a-combine | Will Hunter Biden receive a combined sentence of greater than 50 months confinement? | null | 1,725,758,358,143 | 1,733,163,208,128 | 1,733,163,208,128 | NO | 0.01 | 2,757.441536 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
DWyjms0Y6dzLbQbCvFJW | nfl-week-3-sep-22-will-the-pittsbur | NFL Week 3 (Sep 22): Will the Pittsburgh Steelers beat the Los Angeles Chargers? | null | 1,715,833,628,164 | 1,727,068,311,036 | 1,727,068,311,036 | YES | 0.99 | 1,442.752287 | Sports | Professional Sports |
6dn0qLy88z | -2024-ncaaf-will-byu-defeat-utah | 🏈 2024 NCAAF: Will BYU defeat Utah? | null | 1,730,171,506,137 | 1,731,222,600,000 | 1,731,225,974,008 | YES | 0.99 | 2,737.624822 | Sports | Team Sports |
S2MxSx7EOTVGrdZ4UWgP | will-cruise-relaunch-driverless-tax-eb23f0bafffd | Will Cruise relaunch driverless taxis by Dec 31 2025? | null | 1,704,228,830,339 | 1,733,883,808,013 | 1,733,883,808,013 | NO | 0.1716 | 760.095081 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
fdsvHILtNiOzuhHKqRgS | will-vinch-mcmahon-be-charged-with | Will Vince McMahon be charged with a crime before Nintendo goes after Palworld? | null | 1,707,004,132,535 | 1,726,704,549,767 | 1,726,704,549,767 | NO | 0.03 | 530.012397 | Entertainment | Celebrity & Pop Culture |
DJvUekdTRTv31W0dB0bb | will-the-bank-of-england-base-rate-b24c0043df65 | Will the Bank of England base rate reach 7.5% in 2024? | null | 1,687,433,847,915 | 1,734,616,375,150 | 1,734,616,375,150 | NO | 0.010021 | 5,408.521299 | Finance | Economic Indicators |
yv886wgvvw | by-the-end-of-q3-2025-will-an-open | By the end of Q3 2025 will an open source model beat OpenAI’s o1 model? | null | 1,726,525,046,225 | 1,732,781,006,381 | 1,732,781,006,381 | YES | 0.77876 | 168 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
wl80feNGUNWVQHMP6c3F | will-cornel-west-receive-5-of-the-p | Will Cornel West receive >= 5% of the popular vote in the 2024 US Presidential election? | null | 1,685,994,871,012 | 1,730,869,140,000 | 1,730,893,102,315 | NO | 0.012434 | 2,494.037241 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
ROqVTB9Jmx3DRBhhOHSK | will-there-be-a-joint-pantone-color | Will there be a joint Pantone color of the year in 2025? | null | 1,707,806,199,761 | 1,733,707,865,743 | 1,733,707,865,743 | NO | 0.016367 | 10,781.146695 | Entertainmnet | Celebrity & Pop Culture |
S3KOAlMFkr1Kz4G2pcRt | will-china-launch-a-fullscale-invas-7373266955e5 | Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of September? | null | 1,709,481,229,719 | 1,727,733,540,000 | 1,727,734,585,069 | NO | 0.01 | 3,740.088304 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
EKYxFEo8On7zVwM29CDM | will-missouri-vote-the-same-party-f | Will Missouri vote the same party for Senate and president in 2024? | null | 1,686,435,513,044 | 1,730,869,140,000 | 1,731,555,200,293 | YES | 0.965751 | 1,024.131257 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
Subsets and Splits
No community queries yet
The top public SQL queries from the community will appear here once available.