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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ijmkmtzb5l | will-there-be-a-break-between-chain-6xln0cp84c | Will there be a break between Chainsaw Man chapters 181 and 182? | null | 1,729,016,558,183 | 1,730,828,460,221 | 1,730,828,462,951 | NO | 0.438323 | 132 | Entertainment | Books & Literature |
uTCX9a7tpktgnO3H7mvB | will-jerry-dyer-be-reelected-mayor | Will Jerry Dyer be re-elected mayor of Fresno, California in 2024? | null | 1,697,661,071,809 | 1,731,291,392,040 | 1,731,291,392,040 | YES | 0.982404 | 701 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
8kyziml4si | will-claude35-opus-launch-before-oc | Will Claude-3.5 Opus launch before October 18th? | null | 1,728,622,025,445 | 1,729,270,740,000 | 1,729,297,834,043 | NO | 0.01 | 5,556.497034 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
vp8b77k9qg | will-shohei-ohtani-hit-50-hr-at-48 | Will Shohei Ohtani hit 50 HR? At 48 HR with 11 games to go ⚾🇯🇵 | null | 1,726,687,660,884 | 1,726,792,669,590 | 1,726,792,669,590 | YES | 0.99 | 59,596.864676 | Sports | Professional Sports |
7cn2mjfhnc | will-kai-cenat-interview-kamala-har | Will Kai Cenat interview Kamala Harris or Tim Walz before November 2024? | null | 1,723,025,884,779 | 1,730,519,940,000 | 1,730,526,139,024 | NO | 0.01455 | 8,873.4653 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
IOeEzsRl7hRfyjW28xpH | by-end-sep-2024-my-tesla-model-y-fs | By end sep 2024, My Tesla Model Y FSD screen is less annoying | null | 1,715,298,683,288 | 1,729,957,619,465 | 1,729,957,619,465 | NO | 0.39 | 45 | Technology | Mobile & Consumer Electronics |
D6YOm9IMZMjgAmf3Qwf6 | will-jensen-huang-speak-at-any-publ | Will Jensen Huang speak at any public event while not wearing a leather jacket before October 2024? | null | 1,711,168,271,753 | 1,727,364,424,554 | 1,727,364,424,554 | YES | 0.99 | 24,125.764478 | Celebrity & Pop Culture | Celebrity & Pop Culture |
NZuZLnNl9Z | trump-will-win-fl-by-more-than-18 | Trump will win FL by more than 18% | null | 1,730,839,883,218 | 1,730,909,824,471 | 1,730,909,824,471 | NO | 0.019023 | 735.886825 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
3jVXm8gTzhoD4FzBc6aM | will-bashar-alassad-be-in-power-in-ad3075b480e8 | Will Bashar al-Assad be in power in Syria until the end of 2025? | null | 1,697,009,419,513 | 1,733,952,344,274 | 1,733,952,344,274 | NO | 0.004897 | 13,682.225719 | Geopolitics | Regional Affairs |
mlsWMHqCNd4JXFhnSL1A | will-there-be-a-cubecon-2024 | Will there be a CubeCon 2024? | null | 1,704,320,980,643 | 1,732,476,031,261 | 1,732,476,031,261 | YES | 0.99 | 1,294.498524 | Entertainment | Gaming |
IOuQcpXpJgc2T13Et2cf | will-us-total-co2-emissions-be-belo | Will US total CO2 emissions be below 5 billion tons in 2023? | null | 1,671,465,497,948 | 1,733,069,442,844 | 1,733,069,442,844 | NO | 0.010057 | 14,256.554392 | Finance | Economic Indicators |
MJytyuLuSqq5wHY6ekv3 | miles-routledge-aka-lord-miles-goes | Miles Routledge aka Lord Miles goes to Afghanistan again in 2024 | null | 1,704,127,222,985 | 1,734,048,825,365 | 1,734,048,825,365 | YES | 0.964891 | 425 | Geopolitics | Regional Affairs |
hhdr2dtdxq | shortfuse-will-walt-disney-world-cl | [short-fuse 💣] Will Walt Disney World close in relation to Hurricane Milton? | null | 1,728,395,270,885 | 1,728,429,287,948 | 1,728,429,287,948 | YES | 0.99 | 894.987437 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
VhGm1jvJ7YXKWe1rL6Sx | elon-musk-and-the-2024-president-el | Elon Musk and the 2024 president elect or inaugurated new pres appear in a photo together before mid 2025 | null | 1,717,131,525,979 | 1,731,089,577,677 | 1,731,089,577,677 | YES | 0.66384 | 860 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
1tecb0n256 | will-one-or-more-of-texas-florida-n--cash | Will one or more of Texas, Florida, New Hampshire, or Minnesota flip in the 2024 presidential election? | null | 1,728,156,822,533 | 1,730,880,360,397 | 1,730,937,300,617 | NO | 0.033933 | 690.393418 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
x2u77m64x4 | will-one-of-my-mattybs-markets-be-a | Will one of my (@mattyb’s) markets be a Sweepstakes in 2024? | null | 1,727,650,975,543 | 1,728,509,107,702 | 1,728,509,107,702 | YES | 0.99 | 936.343517 | Sports | Sports Culture & Recreation |
arexwa5pp0 | will-apple-remain-largest-company-t | Will Apple (AAPL) remain the largest company through Sept 30th? 🍎📈💰 | null | 1,724,992,295,818 | 1,727,765,940,000 | 1,727,778,723,681 | YES | 0.99 | 5,071.129267 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
72gbNekyaCeyHDsk5NpG | will-jon-tester-outperform-biden-by | Will Jon Tester outperform the Democratic presidential nominee by double digits? | null | 1,712,404,158,026 | 1,731,364,409,539 | 1,731,364,409,539 | YES | 0.968837 | 12,462.380745 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
4DkyQrO9VmyTdblFCvhN | does-the-next-us-president-currentl | Does the next US President currently hold the title of Governor? (As if January 2023) | null | 1,672,959,108,458 | 1,732,297,815,653 | 1,732,297,815,653 | NO | 0.018789 | 6,523.610093 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
tq60qcum5h | polymarketlinked-will-either-candid | [Polymarket-linked] Will either candidate say a slur at the VP debate? | null | 1,727,820,826,025 | 1,727,852,340,000 | 1,727,870,880,941 | NO | 0.01 | 1,061.87603 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
vyoppkebe7 | bitcoin-above-65000-on-october-25 | Bitcoin above $65000 on October 25? | null | 1,727,483,773,532 | 1,729,839,540,000 | 1,729,854,306,443 | YES | 0.99 | 15,817.129032 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
sB7KtxFXP6r7ZMqMvVzC | will-microsoft-drop-openai-by-the-e | Will Microsoft drop OpenAI as a partner by the end of 2024? | null | 1,700,492,597,654 | 1,735,660,740,000 | 1,735,663,501,123 | NO | 0.143327 | 181 | Technology | Tech Industry & Business |
botla08m8z | the-birthday-paradox | The birthday paradox | null | 1,727,913,800,456 | 1,728,433,718,103 | 1,728,433,948,783 | NO | 0.49 | 249.547381 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
0mfmh8bckg | will-jd-vances-favourability-improv | Will JD Vance's Favourability improve 2 weeks after the VP debate? | null | 1,727,791,686,163 | 1,729,016,940,000 | 1,729,026,633,419 | YES | 0.99 | 2,522.56026 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
svySpZNGmq6JJcoNghu2 | will-any-state-be-decided-by-01-in | Will any state be decided by <0.1% in the 2024 presidential election? | null | 1,686,115,483,859 | 1,733,032,740,000 | 1,733,043,994,859 | NO | 0.024199 | 5,486.31948 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
g8ZO0IBFGsEeFs2awQvT | will-susan-collins-endorse-trump | Will Susan Collins endorse Trump? | null | 1,681,992,237,917 | 1,731,128,340,000 | 1,731,437,594,466 | NO | 0.016664 | 6,855.907656 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
dggAmZN0Sj7Wf4L9Y4eH | will-canon-ship-a-nanoimprint-litho | Will Canon ship a nanoimprint lithography (NIL) tool before the end of 2025? | null | 1,709,794,500,243 | 1,733,053,860,826 | 1,733,053,860,826 | YES | 0.502301 | 32.498594 | Technology | Tech Industry & Business |
l158o9jd9f | will-november-2024-will-be-the-warm | Will November 2024 will be the warmest month of November ever recorded (worldwide) ? | null | 1,725,629,811,044 | 1,733,525,940,000 | 1,733,736,081,939 | NO | 0.019649 | 1,760.8194 | Finance | Economic Indicators |
SEMajxHBW6nWsBjJNwvM | will-the-price-of-bitcoin-surpass-1-9c0a8a0d684f | Bitcoin $100K by Dec 31, 2025? | null | 1,704,864,920,881 | 1,733,370,995,639 | 1,733,370,995,639 | YES | 0.993768 | 47,806.298591 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
ap1p0mkbym | will-this-market-close-between-45-5 | Will this market close between 45% - 55%? | null | 1,726,426,193,438 | 1,727,071,140,000 | 1,727,197,832,009 | YES | 0.55 | 4,659.47621 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
ltT4Oyqc5KKa18tzqWpt | will-a-republican-reclaim-the-senat | Will a Republican reclaim the Senate seat of West Virginia now that Manchin is not seeking reelection? | null | 1,699,619,719,682 | 1,730,955,540,000 | 1,730,956,027,341 | YES | 0.99 | 2,194.397782 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
ggA7ms1I8Zbm0ZxW1DNH | will-any-african-country-experience | Will any African country experience a significant economic growth rate above 5% in the next fiscal year? | null | 1,691,002,368,275 | 1,704,095,940,000 | 1,733,083,966,102 | YES | 0.942918 | 853.639993 | Finance | Economic Indicators |
u2LnC0ZQ5N | will-there-be-any-break-between-kag-S08slN8h8E | Will there be any break between Kagurabachi chapters 61 and 62? | null | 1,733,677,050,395 | 1,734,279,987,154 | 1,734,279,989,709 | NO | 0.4901 | 20 | Entertainment | Books & Literature |
TVumWspMWeg7eRfyRuTl | will-i-solve-the-alignment-problem | Will I solve the alignment problem in 2024? | null | 1,704,069,487,432 | 1,731,347,353,909 | 1,731,347,353,909 | NO | 0.040633 | 2,783.857813 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
zCKz1dWDe6tkIWdFDmhj | nfl-week-8-oct-27-2024-will-the-hou | NFL Week 8 (Oct 27 2024): Will the Houston Texans (home) beat the Indianapolis Colts (away)? | null | 1,715,834,134,899 | 1,730,221,200,000 | 1,730,235,730,141 | YES | 0.99 | 930.433033 | Sports | Professional Sports |
0dRZtSyOPO | will-selzer-outpredict-silver-in-th--cash | Will Selzer out-predict Silver in the 2024 Iowa presidential election? | null | 1,730,599,926,240 | 1,730,947,746,900 | 1,731,050,130,982 | NO | 0.010033 | 1,390.012632 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
gtxwphg30z | will-the-fbi-conclude-its-investiga | Will the FBI conclude its investigation into the assassination attempt on former President Trump by the end of 2024? | null | 1,720,956,828,212 | 1,735,671,540,000 | 1,735,682,110,423 | NO | 0.031799 | 520 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
7i8db9ad7x | will-ohio-issue-1-be-passed-in-this | Will Ohio Issue 1 be passed in this electoral session? | null | 1,727,543,349,845 | 1,728,187,140,000 | 1,733,073,851,993 | NO | 0.702124 | 55 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
tgrBQnDh5J8QwOPnjA8c | if-the-democratic-nominee-wins-ne2 | If the Democratic nominee wins NE-2, will they win the presidency (2024)? | null | 1,690,426,678,536 | 1,730,878,588,871 | 1,730,878,588,871 | NO | 0.065827 | 354.591183 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
1BrDgCHeXVHWQZMBGsLR | will-there-be-an-ai-language-model | Will there be an AI language model that strongly surpasses ChatGPT and other OpenAI models before the end of 2024? | null | 1,682,935,120,592 | 1,735,651,740,000 | 1,735,653,576,756 | NO | 0.020816 | 368,768.621363 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
9kp1w6mx57 | -2024-ncaaf-will-florida-defeat-ken | 🏈 2024 NCAAF: Will Florida defeat Kentucky? | null | 1,729,254,297,560 | 1,729,395,300,305 | 1,729,395,300,305 | YES | 0.99 | 9,188.756466 | Sports | Team Sports |
o9coc8p4sh | formula-1-2024-will-sergio-perez-be | Formula 1 2024 - Will Sergio Perez be dropped or replaced mid-season? (Includes being replaced for any reason) | null | 1,720,446,486,267 | 1,733,788,740,000 | 1,734,456,873,829 | NO | 0.01 | 21,309.169806 | Sports | Professional Sports |
zdhAODow9Td6IsZadjoj | biden-does-not-pardon-trump-before | Will Biden lose the 2024 election AND NOT pardon Trump before November 5th, 2024? | null | 1,716,951,331,454 | 1,730,916,041,190 | 1,730,916,041,190 | YES | 0.981301 | 6,337 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
tc3e4oy9k6 | will-this-market-get-more-than-25-t | will this prediction market get 25 or more traders? | null | 1,724,511,575,594 | 1,727,128,740,000 | 1,727,177,236,193 | YES | 0.99 | 1,610.607561 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
PAvH7Rppec8nwhjm8Auf | will-a-player-hit-two-grand-slams-i | Will a player hit two Grand Slams in one Major League Baseball game in 2024? | null | 1,709,930,051,574 | 1,731,016,527,031 | 1,731,016,527,031 | NO | 0.033455 | 3,211.679282 | Sports | Professional Sports |
DQ0qLVhgzfLFQHIXZ4Di | will-jskf-coauthor-a-neurips-or-icm | Will @jskf coauthor a NeurIPS or ICML conference publication before end of 2024? | null | 1,695,325,402,229 | 1,727,425,867,611 | 1,727,425,867,611 | NO | 0.06 | 292.024324 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
0RH5GmobQZXu65lUteZk | will-germany-recognize-the-state-of | Will Germany recognize the State of Palestine by the end of 2024? | null | 1,716,472,405,983 | 1,735,649,940,000 | 1,735,652,163,147 | NO | 0.014363 | 21,565.384278 | Geopolitics | International Relations |
6RtS5th9lC | will-gladiator-2-2024-receive-a-cin | Will "Gladiator 2" (2024) receive a CinemaScore of A- or above? | null | 1,731,967,028,587 | 1,732,334,340,000 | 1,732,462,911,103 | NO | 0.1697 | 2,719.831764 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
jy5h4iATOi2Q49pe8QOf | will-china-start-building-another-m | Will China start building another military base in Africa before 1st August 2024? | null | 1,694,452,108,743 | 1,722,553,140,000 | 1,727,887,715,452 | NO | 0.02 | 1,976.771804 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
hPBmyFIE48tYGgZgrUPR | will-takane-lui-hit-1-million-subsc | Will Takane Lui hit 1 million subscribers on YouTube before 2025? | null | 1,682,324,622,666 | 1,731,928,529,325 | 1,731,928,529,325 | YES | 0.989988 | 1,995.627542 | Entertainment | Celebrity & Pop Culture |
A2S6wUo1yncfooroGgNQ | will-the-suez-canal-be-closed-for-a | Will the Suez Canal be closed for a full week for any reason by the end of 2024? | null | 1,702,741,232,907 | 1,735,680,525,605 | 1,735,680,525,605 | NO | 0.040865 | 3,471.613897 | Geopolitics | Regional Affairs |
470grt9grx | will-i-be-on-the-leaderboard-before | Will I be on the leaderboard before the end of the year? | null | 1,724,900,449,129 | 1,729,283,032,572 | 1,729,283,032,572 | YES | 0.99 | 896.34419 | Sports | Individual Sports |
fkbbrdoglp | will-jimmy-carter-ever-appear-on-ta | Will Jimmy Carter ever appear on Talk Tuah? | null | 1,727,239,176,348 | 1,735,526,103,509 | 1,735,526,103,509 | NO | 0.01 | 8,992.973128 | Entertainment | Celebrity & Pop Culture |
Q7iP8LWPP3X6zzx9Fu1v | will-jack-smith-ask-a-judge-to-dism | Will Jack Smith ask a judge to dismiss/drop any of the charges against Trump by the end of 2024? | null | 1,703,957,096,682 | 1,732,806,497,139 | 1,732,806,497,139 | YES | 0.999333 | 4,084.111712 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
51tQbnGvFNtUkbi27eSc | will-joe-manchin-run-for-president-a7de62c7460c | Will Joe Manchin run for president in 2024? | null | 1,699,568,652,681 | 1,730,740,194,081 | 1,730,740,194,081 | NO | 0.025682 | 16,015.503016 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
LQaGxlRCt4E9sy0eqHAd | if-trump-wins-the-2024-election-wil-6e67c74412ee | If Trump wins the 2024 election, will his vice president be Vivek Ramaswamy? | null | 1,705,006,039,992 | 1,731,015,496,403 | 1,731,015,496,403 | NO | 0.034067 | 13,599.052568 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
dqwp8lrp38 | will-the-2024-us-election-have-an-o | Will the 2024 US election have an outcome that cannot be certified by the reasonable observers? | null | 1,724,771,150,678 | 1,735,622,182,648 | 1,735,622,182,648 | NO | 0.01 | 10,617.86273 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
KS2WftLLUKQqb7xLmOSx | will-mark-meadows-run-for-any-offic | Will Mark Meadows run for any office in 2024? | null | 1,681,616,284,252 | 1,733,993,844,301 | 1,733,993,844,301 | NO | 0.01332 | 10,741.604325 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
quzqEQNL5Q | will-there-be-any-break-between-kag-POZA02u89c | Will there be any break between Kagurabachi chapters 57 and 58? | null | 1,730,652,790,158 | 1,731,257,737,855 | 1,731,257,740,334 | NO | 0.452489 | 100 | Entertainment | Books & Literature |
rzgsad2cj9 | will-there-be-at-least-4-decisive-c | Will there be at least 4 decisive classical games in the 2024 World Chess Championship? | null | 1,728,429,842,522 | 1,733,754,598,742 | 1,733,754,598,742 | YES | 0.996835 | 39,086.28684 | Sports | Individual Sports |
k2bWAttzR9ovUT6CH7Bj | will-the-cardinals-win-86-or-more-g | Will the Cardinals win 86 or more games in the 2024 MLB regular season? | null | 1,705,733,064,748 | 1,727,679,540,000 | 1,727,695,426,274 | NO | 0.04 | 511.637109 | Sports | Professional Sports |
20licAYOOqYTSKl5v1wx | in-the-2024-us-presidential-electio-0ebfda1d95a8 | In the 2024 US presidential election, will there be at least one faithless elector? | null | 1,704,074,542,034 | 1,735,531,402,018 | 1,735,531,402,018 | NO | 0.009904 | 28,232.29631 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
qRIsC0CcnN | can-i-go-2-weeks-without-finding-ou-0RNcRtuCdz | Can I go 2 weeks without finding out if Kimberly found out if Wott found out if TBTBTB found out who won the election?? | null | 1,731,439,270,404 | 1,731,584,424,808 | 1,731,584,424,808 | NO | 0.076879 | 1,792.000159 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
UlVUJrlxEIpMqhS1wKDq | nfl-week-6-oct-13-will-the-tennesse | NFL Week 6 (Oct 13): Will the Tennessee Titans beat the Indianapolis Colts? | null | 1,715,834,031,330 | 1,728,953,615,564 | 1,728,953,615,564 | NO | 0.01 | 1,045.174929 | Sports | Professional Sports |
o6bH2F4d1CthP4TfOoLi | if-the-democratic-nominee-wins-minn | If the Democratic nominee wins Minnesota, will they win the presidency (2024)? | null | 1,690,426,506,119 | 1,730,879,527,351 | 1,730,879,527,351 | NO | 0.021256 | 1,007.354577 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
FlTbqX9WMR5xZDrGPNUE | will-there-be-concrete-evidence-of | Will there be concrete evidence of a Chess GM cheating over the board before then end of 2024? | null | 1,705,034,962,053 | 1,729,340,776,923 | 1,729,340,776,923 | YES | 0.78 | 1,458.738346 | Sports | Individual Sports |
KdRVRuh4cMWm5wvY1tR0 | will-sabatos-crystal-make-a-forecas | Will Sabato's Crystal make a forecast for all state legislative chambers up for election in 2024? | null | 1,706,828,518,044 | 1,731,131,940,000 | 1,731,133,691,674 | NO | 0.401369 | 58 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
ITZRQIsxeWfAtuB0guqd | will-donald-trump-still-be-alive-by-9e50c5922d02 | Will Donald Trump still be alive by the end of November? | null | 1,710,880,307,428 | 1,733,007,540,000 | 1,733,007,677,593 | YES | 0.989424 | 4,345.173553 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
m3WN6m3tqYKzh0QHtBhu | will-ruturaj-gaikwad-be-replaced-by | Will Ruturaj Gaikwad be replaced by any other team member of CSK as captain in IPL 2024? | null | 1,711,268,386,114 | 1,716,747,240,000 | 1,735,676,797,686 | NO | 0.03387 | 1,014.163072 | Sports | Professional Sports |
jvbhseaorj | will-more-americans-pick-the-winnin | Will a higher % of Americans pick the winning candidate in 2024 than in 2020? [ READ DESCRIPTION ] | null | 1,725,308,765,743 | 1,732,165,863,864 | 1,732,165,870,348 | NO | 0.009963 | 11,189.724466 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
RKrZ7itWVMk8N22ZGYQw | 2024-formula-1-season-will-max-vers | [2024 Formula 1 Season] Will Max Verstappen win the Constructors Championship by himself? | null | 1,700,756,572,616 | 1,729,694,087,921 | 1,729,694,087,921 | NO | 0.02 | 6,301.909758 | Sports | Professional Sports |
1ouu9upb0m | will-the-forbidden-forecast-correct | Will the Forbidden Forecast correctly predict the result of the 2024 election? | null | 1,729,230,239,182 | 1,730,786,340,000 | 1,730,925,007,300 | NO | 0.558222 | 176 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
EFFAbH6BCkVXMiIyweZW | will-any-iranian-citizen-be-indicte | Will any Iranian citizen be indicted in the US for interfering with the 2024 election? | null | 1,705,639,544,059 | 1,727,597,228,847 | 1,727,597,228,847 | YES | 0.99 | 946.517894 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
bguGmUeW5gu1csE7ORi8 | will-bitcoin-reach-100k-before-it-r | Will Bitcoin reach $100k before it reaches $10k? | null | 1,701,446,939,232 | 1,733,373,311,446 | 1,733,373,311,446 | YES | 0.990895 | 14,281.887674 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
2D0kci9LIgvHg9eKIoza | will-the-candidate-who-wins-nevada | Will the candidate who wins Nevada win the 2024 POTUS election? | null | 1,690,286,612,153 | 1,731,431,197,276 | 1,731,431,197,276 | YES | 0.99 | 1,067.04417 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
0m2HGw8Pd4ZTIgga0Pzv | 2024-formula-1-season-will-sergio-p | [2024 Formula 1 Season] Will Sergio Perez finish 2nd or higher in the Drivers Championship? | null | 1,700,757,420,529 | 1,733,685,773,675 | 1,733,685,773,675 | NO | 0.01011 | 14,877.116408 | Sports | Individual Sports |
f0xx5qpj6k | will-any-of-the-videos-uploaded-to-epk9naclpt | Will any of the videos uploaded to Ms Rachel's YouTube channel in November 2024 surpass 5 million views? | null | 1,729,086,615,197 | 1,732,846,744,066 | 1,732,846,744,066 | YES | 0.99 | 8,949.874371 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
1p2u96q3sb | will-keychains-be-added-in-counters | Will keychains be added in Counter-Strike 2 during 2024? | null | 1,723,215,005,121 | 1,728,040,505,992 | 1,728,040,505,992 | YES | 0.61 | 25 | Gaming | Gaming |
hw4r4bl5qy | will-the-538-nate-silver-presidenti | Will the 538 & Nate Silver presidential forecasts once again disagree by >7% before the election? | null | 1,727,707,140,836 | 1,730,753,684,515 | 1,730,823,711,043 | NO | 0.151927 | 1,466.528045 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
lewl7m1dbr | will-jd-vance-or-tim-walz-say-the-w | Will JD Vance or Tim Walz say the word "couch" during the debate? | null | 1,727,812,993,894 | 1,727,852,340,000 | 1,728,349,558,106 | NO | 0.01 | 9,731.223299 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
K49i7CUyxaVWwXkSr0eB | will-a-democrat-win-the-2024-presid-923b17a69619 | Will a democrat win the 2024 presidential election in Florida? | null | 1,670,814,187,443 | 1,730,912,009,561 | 1,730,912,009,561 | NO | 0.018313 | 20,053.677779 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
TVuPwa6aKF0dARLQO10u | will-alyssa-farah-run-for-any-offic | Will Alyssa Farah run for any office in 2024? | null | 1,681,616,126,069 | 1,733,993,819,145 | 1,733,993,819,145 | NO | 0.010097 | 13,850.483987 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
ldgAtR56UZ | will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-62I5ZCggPZ | Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Nov 4 than it closed on Nov 1? | null | 1,730,491,668,404 | 1,730,754,178,840 | 1,730,754,178,840 | NO | 0.081553 | 551.768725 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
xtgv88jhfc | daily-coinflip-la9hr84ero | Daily coinflip | null | 1,729,569,968,481 | 1,729,742,340,000 | 1,729,742,612,752 | YES | 0.49 | 4,698.017455 | Sports | Sports Culture & Recreation |
ge2U9EQO6QOVgUyYPMmv | will-the-los-angees-angels-make-the | Will the Los Angeles Angels make the 2024 postseason? | null | 1,713,743,130,313 | 1,727,334,149,127 | 1,727,334,149,127 | NO | 0.01 | 1,515.961276 | Sports | Professional Sports |
dpoKZWNjhsctQ8GWMxuw | will-the-palestinian-authority-take | Will the Palestinian Authority take over Gaza deposing Hamas by the end of September 2024 ? | null | 1,697,033,917,157 | 1,727,668,740,000 | 1,727,887,683,499 | NO | 0.01 | 1,307.806772 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
1mRMNkXL9Vrbns2lXBTz | will-the-voter-turnout-in-the-2024-4538fa41c159 | Will the voter turnout in the 2024 Presidential election be 64% or larger? | null | 1,705,763,537,896 | 1,735,233,350,944 | 1,735,233,350,944 | NO | 0.094816 | 4,690.027519 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
mfu5y57wdq | will-there-be-any-break-between-one-jnhh7rxjpb | Will there be any break between One Piece chapters 1130 and 1131? | null | 1,728,413,362,775 | 1,728,914,294,359 | 1,728,914,309,481 | YES | 0.92 | 3,051 | Entertainment | Books & Literature |
bHVmBKKpORWLXmmCA0JK | will-the-who-declare-a-public-healt-f6a054a85532 | Will the WHO declare a public health emergency of international concern over strep A in 2024? | null | 1,710,804,484,611 | 1,735,657,140,000 | 1,735,657,523,391 | NO | 0.041627 | 474.726405 | Geopolitics | Global Governance |
V9mUtMRTpzxhTHGDCE3J | will-egan-bernal-win-a-professional | Will Egan Bernal win a professional race he competes against Jonas Vingegaard, in the 2024 UCI season? | null | 1,706,688,047,662 | 1,729,621,724,185 | 1,729,621,724,185 | NO | 0.02 | 1,902.919386 | Sports | Individual Sports |
haoUKaAH1h7t6BKq19Ee | will-bitcoin-hit-100k-before-jan-1s | Will Bitcoin hit 100k before Jan 1st 2025? | null | 1,697,151,258,909 | 1,733,418,899,659 | 1,733,418,899,659 | YES | 0.997468 | 27,692.017236 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
TDBoeeOV0XkFi7fil08l | will-trump-lose-but-not-concede-the | Will Trump lose but not concede the next presidential election, and hold a rally in Washington DC on January 6 2025? | null | 1,701,191,340,386 | 1,730,962,558,920 | 1,730,962,558,920 | NO | 0.01 | 20,499.810568 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
fwE4Cyk4UjpQDunmxYew | nfl-week-9-nov-3-2024-will-the-tenn | NFL Week 9 (Nov 3 2024): Will the Tennessee Titans (home) beat the New England Patriots (away)? | null | 1,715,834,185,557 | 1,730,829,600,000 | 1,730,829,792,033 | YES | 0.99 | 905.461424 | Sports | Professional Sports |
yjlbpfj6t3 | will-anyone-be-able-to-get-openais | Will anyone be able to get OpenAI’s new model o1 to leak its system message by EOY 2024? | null | 1,726,176,926,163 | 1,734,331,249,243 | 1,734,331,254,770 | YES | 0.959635 | 22,680.846671 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
Z5QUMRmrZg5eQIEGsOER | binary-induction-game-v1-if-the-nex-9a0dc1e418e4 | Binary Induction Game v1: if the next state is 1, will it be 1↑ ? | null | 1,699,877,871,733 | 1,719,784,740,000 | 1,729,484,633,459 | YES | 0.52 | 2 | Technology | Gaming |
9fyaavlivp | will-bidens-approval-rating-be-40-o-b82p33zhqf | Will Biden's approval rating be 40% or higher at the end of September 2024? | null | 1,725,140,827,761 | 1,727,732,760,000 | 1,727,735,863,408 | YES | 0.99 | 2,054.544293 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
0wSyyKuZ0atHDj5N4A1D | will-moana-2-be-at-least-as-highly | Will Moana 2 be at least as highly rated on RottenTomatoes as Moana? | null | 1,707,402,005,700 | 1,733,385,540,000 | 1,733,873,385,172 | NO | 0.01 | 2,301.611837 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
aDKouSr5YPAuCG9IcxCz | will-we-expect-sbf-to-serve-more-th | Will we expect SBF to serve more than 15 years in prison? | null | 1,699,674,907,848 | 1,731,301,140,000 | 1,731,362,589,705 | YES | 0.95 | 850.209564 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
silus6r4p9 | will-400-of-manifold-users-agree-th | Will >= 40.0% of Manifold users agree that weak AGI has been achieved in October 2024? | null | 1,727,784,422,622 | 1,729,655,940,000 | 1,730,460,438,386 | NO | 0.063264 | 7,376.467231 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
xdwIrS1AIPJ5YFOMwGAo | will-manifold-demote-any-prize-mark | Will manifold demote any Prize Market to regular market ? (2024) | null | 1,716,959,760,896 | 1,735,649,940,000 | 1,735,655,761,761 | NO | 0.04981 | 8,475.669081 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
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