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oGpqAEBYu73pm7zjFt6x | will-manifold-support-noninteger-li | Will manifold support non-integer limit orders ? (2024) | null | 1,715,044,322,102 | 1,735,649,940,000 | 1,735,655,504,227 | NO | 0.089286 | 237.048423 | Technology | Computing & Software |
2nzzyvxi6l | manifold-lottery-1-in-20-chance | Manifold lottery 1 in 20 chance | null | 1,725,605,856,914 | 1,726,264,740,000 | 1,726,847,914,741 | NO | 0.05 | 3,589.585454 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
z0OdudQNyl | will-ozaukee-county-wi-vote-democra | Will Ozaukee County, WI vote Democrat for president in 2024? | null | 1,730,589,271,259 | 1,731,288,674,090 | 1,731,288,674,090 | NO | 0.390244 | 65.000018 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
taYZcNp99aWqZLI2nq9v | will-rational-animations-second-vid | Will Rational Animations' video about Manifold Markets reach 200k views by the end of 2024? | null | 1,689,430,421,795 | 1,735,685,940,000 | 1,735,686,164,779 | NO | 0.009903 | 46,014.810013 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
P2tZul6Ids | short-fuse-will-moana-2-gross-200-m | [Short fuse] Will "Moana 2" gross >$200 million during its 5-day domestic opening weekend? | null | 1,732,740,351,601 | 1,733,241,129,279 | 1,733,241,129,279 | YES | 0.988783 | 1,293.871964 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
ZgdrN5Mm0icJC1rcD2qq | nfl-week-4-sep-29-will-the-las-vega | NFL Week 4 (Sep 29): Will the Las Vegas Raiders beat the Cleveland Browns? | null | 1,715,833,679,564 | 1,727,656,783,213 | 1,727,656,783,213 | YES | 0.99 | 919.092831 | Sports | Professional Sports |
jtdnagchi8 | will-gpt4-omni-be-released-by-the-e | Will GPT-4o ("omni") be released by the end of the year? (see description) | null | 1,728,403,722,518 | 1,735,657,140,000 | 1,735,664,947,375 | NO | 0.186545 | 1,287.686455 | Technology | Emerging Technologies |
z52fwwevki | one-month-from-today-will-jimmy-car-kgv6n76nq2 | One month from today, will Jimmy Carter still be alive? | null | 1,726,460,260,076 | 1,729,137,540,000 | 1,729,140,206,075 | YES | 0.99 | 1,297.457088 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
55uScQLyqh | will-rory-mcilroy-and-scottie-schef | Will Rory McIlroy and Scottie Scheffler win The Showdown on December 17? | null | 1,732,939,578,688 | 1,734,504,918,007 | 1,734,504,918,007 | YES | 0.99 | 4,954.384873 | Sports | Individual Sports |
qak89vpfcv | will-intel-corporation-intc-stock-r-770y0ltpxe | Will Intel Corporation (INTC) stock recover above $30 USD this year ? | null | 1,726,895,491,413 | 1,735,678,800,000 | 1,735,679,486,896 | NO | 0.012539 | 2,637.797252 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
1YxHeEd9dZf3fQ1i6VHO | will-jesse-arreguin-win-the-2024-ca | Will Jesse Arreguín win the 2024 California Senate District 7 election? | null | 1,711,250,991,111 | 1,733,289,095,165 | 1,733,289,095,165 | YES | 0.99 | 915.088193 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
16jsu3f2sq | will-trump-win-texas-by-10-points | Will Trump win Texas by 10+ points? | null | 1,728,676,451,235 | 1,730,945,714,331 | 1,730,945,714,331 | YES | 0.989683 | 1,969.563002 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
4Fwa5qlPLgXCGjdS9nBK | will-manifold-ban-all-bots-on-the-p | Will Manifold ban all bots on the platform before Nov 1 2024? | null | 1,697,047,861,429 | 1,730,530,740,000 | 1,730,531,122,382 | NO | 0.023746 | 960.850583 | Technology | Internet & Digital Services |
2wMoBoITkNBdrBCbVjv4 | nfl-week-6-oct-13-will-the-las-vega | NFL Week 6 (Oct 13): Will the Las Vegas Raiders beat the Pittsburgh Steelers? | null | 1,715,834,036,501 | 1,728,953,569,870 | 1,728,953,569,870 | NO | 0.01 | 1,001.216571 | Sports | Professional Sports |
d59OQIELyQ | will-chatgpt-be-fully-back-up-by-64 | Will chatGPT be fully back up by 6:45pm PT | null | 1,733,970,592,186 | 1,733,971,411,472 | 1,733,971,411,472 | YES | 0.504975 | 10 | Technology | Internet & Digital Services |
UKWWPJZn0Q7CGLt2rTNf | will-jude-law-law-in-2024 | Will Jude Law in 2024? 🧑⚖️👮♀️🏛️ | null | 1,703,736,737,048 | 1,735,682,340,000 | 1,735,684,683,262 | NO | 0.149749 | 573.697376 | Entertainment | Celebrity & Pop Culture |
sS5Wd3f0Tzr28O6HzriY | did-deep-sea-vision-really-find-ame | Did Deep Sea Vision really discover Amelia Earhart's plane? | null | 1,706,555,628,056 | 1,732,475,662,952 | 1,732,475,662,952 | NO | 0.334684 | 3,202.176929 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
TqFP3D5x8b3KjeuSm3yj | will-tommy-devito-start-more-games | Will Tommy Devito start more games for the New York Giants than Daniel Jones, in the Calendar Year of 2024? | null | 1,702,426,846,718 | 1,732,328,316,679 | 1,732,328,316,679 | NO | 0.01 | 2,387.99409 | Sports | Team Sports |
Rb8BGBvmuOam2ndsACDA | will-both-demi-vollering-and-lotte | Will both Demi Vollering and Lotte Kopecky ride for Team SD Worx ProTime in 2025? | null | 1,708,005,287,675 | 1,730,216,629,537 | 1,730,216,629,537 | NO | 0.01 | 2,486.664609 | Sports | Professional Sports |
QZh89L6gQR | boj-raise-rates | BOJ raise rates? | null | 1,734,396,409,955 | 1,735,052,340,000 | 1,735,060,771,587 | NO | 0.206543 | 96 | Finance | Economic Indicators |
rm6nicygck | will-trump-outperform-mark-robinson | Will Trump outperform Mark Robinson by more than 15 points? | null | 1,727,489,209,287 | 1,730,872,740,000 | 1,731,111,598,236 | YES | 0.22209 | 110 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
02dZs9L6Ih | will-the-chicago-bears-maul-the-det | Will the Chicago Bears maul the Detroit Lions? 🏈|🦃 (12:30pm) | null | 1,732,589,072,498 | 1,732,846,504,909 | 1,732,846,504,909 | NO | 0.01 | 13,763.126519 | Sports | Team Sports |
qqhId6hHJDgbtJa7Wr4D | will-republicans-maintain-control-o | Will Republicans maintain control of the House of Representatives in the 2024 elections? | null | 1,681,831,484,019 | 1,731,613,931,875 | 1,731,613,931,875 | YES | 0.99 | 12,657.182368 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
p597npe3v4 | will-bitcoin-end-august-31-2024-ove-4xcf3xjfia | Will bitcoin end October 31, 2024 over $50000? | null | 1,725,201,554,766 | 1,730,444,340,000 | 1,730,444,470,352 | YES | 0.99 | 17,557.826959 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
ZLz3CX7rfAOK51qjUbbR | will-carlos-sainz-score-more-podium | Will Carlos Sainz score more podium finishes in 2024 than George Russell? | null | 1,707,387,733,731 | 1,733,256,237,310 | 1,733,256,237,310 | YES | 0.988148 | 11,011.218572 | Sports | Individual Sports |
B7qtNherBMWUKXsJnKTf | will-more-than-1000000-acres-burn-d | 🔥 Will More Than 1,000,000 Acres Burn During The 2024 California Wildfire Season? | null | 1,704,584,761,991 | 1,727,727,152,784 | 1,727,727,152,784 | YES | 0.94 | 23,212.21241 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
HyryqQCIxdeRtx4GqfkN | will-the-time-person-of-the-year-be | Will The Time Person of The Year be a repeat winner from prior years in 2024 | null | 1,701,872,376,014 | 1,734,008,751,263 | 1,734,008,751,263 | YES | 0.99 | 16,403.471145 | Celebrity & Pop Culture | Celebrity & Pop Culture |
nTD8Mz4cfQMLgl2fo92C | will-the-idf-invade-rafah-even-if-a | Will the IDF invade Rafah even if a hostage deal is reached beforehand? | null | 1,714,526,158,613 | 1,727,755,140,000 | 1,727,885,348,938 | YES | 0.84 | 225 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
sO6BXq85YhYQQv15O69F | will-the-winner-of-the-2024-preside-b69eec529b40 | Will the winner of the 2024 Presidential Election carry the state of Nevada? | null | 1,690,201,245,204 | 1,731,180,852,221 | 1,731,180,852,221 | YES | 0.989988 | 2,956.982436 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
z5TjAZ3fM36xX4hBiOzl | will-ukraine-joins-nato-before-ther | Will Ukraine joins NATO before there is a new largest known Prime number? | null | 1,711,003,487,099 | 1,729,525,474,554 | 1,729,525,474,554 | NO | 0.01 | 10,865.197563 | Geopolitics | International Relations |
AzSMiekbJSExodltJhuq | will-a-team-with-less-than-90-wins | Will a team with less than 90 wins win the 2024 MLB NLCS? ⚾ National League Championship Series | null | 1,709,172,338,763 | 1,729,517,968,168 | 1,729,517,968,168 | NO | 0.01 | 1,377.959887 | Sports | Professional Sports |
zmnw65lxk8 | will-the-new-york-times-publish-an | Will the New York Times publish an article about Twitch restricting sign ups in Israel by the end of November? | null | 1,729,480,225,196 | 1,733,029,140,000 | 1,733,034,397,317 | NO | 0.01 | 900.281784 | Technology | Internet & Digital Services |
7k9TISSStNJEH3hqYxAv | will-a-third-party-candidate-be-bla | Will a third party candidate be blamed in the concession speech of the 2024 US presidential race? | null | 1,711,229,271,177 | 1,735,677,064,862 | 1,735,677,064,862 | NO | 0.011467 | 10,005.951086 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
lk0fi7Cd28d1oy0w28hz | will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-elec | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 Election? | null | 1,668,290,611,929 | 1,730,793,600,000 | 1,730,938,176,786 | YES | 0.510782 | 5,642.456709 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
e8gty5uL82DV6KQHlXYE | will-prediction-markets-feature-on | Will prediction markets feature on the 80,000 Hours podcast by the end of 2024? | null | 1,704,834,874,274 | 1,735,648,200,000 | 1,735,679,820,690 | NO | 0.120511 | 404.02868 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
52urria26h | will-nikki-haley-replace-jd-vance-o | Will Nikki Haley replace JD Vance on the Republican ticket? | null | 1,722,025,887,173 | 1,730,819,932,680 | 1,730,819,932,680 | NO | 0.010541 | 1,082.866054 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
yGMHIOxn8Ya60NyQeMq7 | will-the-winner-of-the-2024-preside-930c0e470f3a | Will the winner of the 2024 Presidential Election carry the state of Arizona? | null | 1,690,201,179,007 | 1,731,331,740,000 | 1,731,340,343,877 | YES | 0.99 | 1,402.896858 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
hxz3wh5c6k | will-biden-save-harris-from-a-humil | Will Biden SAVE Harris from a humiliating defeat at the ballot box by mounting a HEROIC write-in campaign and WINNING? | null | 1,727,918,391,408 | 1,730,872,740,000 | 1,730,872,872,191 | NO | 0.01 | 27,372.671924 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
uGpCfgPXpMctP75bcJUI | will-sam-altman-sue-openai | Will Sam altman sue openAI? | null | 1,700,256,252,104 | 1,732,559,340,000 | 1,732,827,861,734 | NO | 0.016629 | 6,189.246525 | Technology | Tech Industry & Business |
8hged09le0 | in-the-2024-united-states-president | In the 2024 United States presidential election, will the same party win all three of WI, MI, and PA? | null | 1,722,876,671,656 | 1,730,988,615,533 | 1,730,988,615,533 | YES | 0.99 | 1,624.651179 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
jq4xl0wb28 | will-moldovas-eu-membership-referen | Will Moldova's EU membership referendum pass? | null | 1,729,424,288,380 | 1,730,156,998,983 | 1,730,156,998,983 | YES | 0.99 | 2,950.010591 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
iK63Ml0C1iSetZUZurhA | will-republicans-retain-control-of | Will Republicans retain control of the U.S House in the 2024 elections? | null | 1,674,782,871,622 | 1,731,379,586,053 | 1,731,379,586,053 | YES | 0.986718 | 11,199.820321 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
1ahs26sicm | will-a-korean-team-win-worlds-2024 | Will a Korean team win worlds 2024? (League of Legends) | null | 1,729,090,493,537 | 1,730,587,367,821 | 1,730,587,367,821 | YES | 0.994526 | 17,545.797044 | Gaming | Esports |
y35osr7huo | will-iran-attack-israel-again-withi-i2q9us7obx | Will Iran attack Israel AGAIN within 180 days of being attacked by them? | null | 1,719,164,591,501 | 1,727,793,463,405 | 1,727,793,463,405 | YES | 0.91 | 15,676.25688 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
z2PQZMJmaDg5yrXg6spV | will-at-least-six-candidates-win-at | Will at least six candidates win at least 1% of the national popular vote in the 2024 US Presidential Election? | null | 1,696,882,904,283 | 1,731,380,854,226 | 1,731,380,854,226 | NO | 0.01 | 1,251.224959 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
tu5QQ8UOsS | solana-above-200-at-noon-today-nove | Solana above $200 at noon today? (November 15 Eastern Time) | null | 1,731,658,961,253 | 1,731,745,108,849 | 1,731,745,108,849 | YES | 0.99 | 894.987437 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
dcbwbqw8x2 | will-tesla-stock-go-up-if-trump-win | Will Tesla stock go up if Trump wins or down if Trump loses? (Read Description) | null | 1,729,541,821,077 | 1,731,736,740,000 | 1,731,750,154,326 | YES | 0.987885 | 803 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
nv5364ex7h | will-the-2024-dnc-protests-be-serio | Will the 2024 DNC Protests be serious enough that a Wikipedia article is made about them? | null | 1,723,917,914,008 | 1,727,067,540,000 | 1,727,068,535,674 | NO | 0.01 | 1,353.496641 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
qDbuhqu0WJsSIDHbR0Yz | will-2024-brazilian-municipal-elect | Will 2024 Brazilian municipal elections have more candidates with religious titles than 2020? | null | 1,681,004,387,422 | 1,728,672,740,414 | 1,728,672,740,414 | YES | 0.99 | 2,096.562661 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
aSBLsLBdHakRqZgZjvNt | will-a-democrat-win-an-absolute-maj | Will a Democrat win an absolute majority of the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? | null | 1,694,708,907,146 | 1,730,906,559,449 | 1,730,906,559,449 | NO | 0.000013 | 44,884.329642 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
dOIq2EcpUN | will-ted-cruz-win-by-a-larger-margi | Will Ted Cruz win by a larger margin in 2024 than he did in 2018? | null | 1,730,065,201,397 | 1,730,880,302,205 | 1,730,880,302,205 | YES | 0.924295 | 502 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
GkRVvIyiQ1JrURcKfV0a | nfl-week-13-dec-1-2024-will-the-new-7cb8941189b0 | NFL Week 13 (Dec 1 2024): Will the New York Jets (home) beat the Seattle Seahawks (away)? | null | 1,715,834,483,249 | 1,733,248,800,000 | 1,733,810,675,286 | NO | 0.01 | 942.743187 | Sports | Professional Sports |
W2lTWDpvObmG62igsQtt | will-the-candidate-who-wins-michiga | Will the candidate who wins Michigan win the 2024 POTUS election? | null | 1,690,286,698,709 | 1,730,950,952,215 | 1,730,950,952,215 | YES | 0.989525 | 14,383.619219 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
9SU7r09zT4f6j4r7KGzZ | will-i-reach-an-unbroken-500-day-pr | Will I reach an unbroken 500 day prediction streak? | null | 1,695,824,451,015 | 1,733,115,540,000 | 1,733,672,220,697 | YES | 0.979025 | 5,893.599489 | Sports | Sports Culture & Recreation |
NU0QfRi8sBrEGBuw0ZTV | will-trump-be-in-a-state-of-incarce | Will Trump be in a state of incarceration on Election Day 2024? | null | 1,688,228,279,740 | 1,730,879,940,000 | 1,730,904,846,677 | NO | 0.01 | 36,851.503285 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
D2DQcGvhDFM8AGpqdz2D | will-the-federal-reserve-cut-reduce | Will the federal reserve cut (reduce) interest rates before 2025? | null | 1,715,013,688,097 | 1,727,285,213,530 | 1,727,285,213,530 | YES | 0.99 | 19,894.893646 | Finance | Economic Indicators |
dkshhw4zey | will-i-turn-a-profit-on-my-115-nail | Will I turn a profit on my $115 nail polish collection this quarter of college? | null | 1,727,110,492,543 | 1,734,163,140,000 | 1,734,164,688,671 | NO | 0.151914 | 260.899727 | Finance | Personal Finance |
ESW2CphbfyRZloshRpKt | will-ilhan-omar-be-censured-before | Will Ilhan Omar be censured before the election? | null | 1,715,133,951,806 | 1,730,782,948,015 | 1,730,782,948,015 | NO | 0.01 | 940.862497 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
NBdx4umJmUUonYSCnKqH | will-meta-adopt-nostr-protocol-in-s-ab72808edc99 | Will Meta adopt nostr protocol in some app or service (Facebook, Threads, Instagram, WhatsApp) before the end of 2024? | null | 1,692,106,390,052 | 1,735,643,983,619 | 1,735,643,983,619 | NO | 0.043944 | 202.797057 | Technology | Internet & Digital Services |
6bqwmcr4qz | will-lincoln-appear-in-biden-vs-tru | Will Lincoln appear in presidential epic rap battle of History 2024 | null | 1,719,365,124,622 | 1,729,897,140,000 | 1,729,962,754,252 | NO | 0.48 | 1,434.543617 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
q4j5n5eRi2FlopIwxw3k | will-maines-second-congressional-me | Will Maine's second congressional district (ME-02) flip blue in 2024? | null | 1,695,013,353,006 | 1,730,869,140,000 | 1,730,934,554,048 | NO | 0.097788 | 2,424.42836 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
geho1z0o4z | will-belarus-fire-into-ukraine-terr | Will Belarus fire into Ukraine territory in 2024 | null | 1,723,390,355,613 | 1,735,685,940,000 | 1,735,688,114,588 | NO | 0.034643 | 4,912.437338 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
yDxUNFp4JexhMkeCh7t1 | will-jimmy-carter-die-before-king-c | Will Jimmy Carter die before King Charles III? | null | 1,711,240,036,069 | 1,735,674,597,321 | 1,735,674,597,321 | YES | 0.99 | 8,273.421857 | Entertainment | Celebrity & Pop Culture |
uglASLdEly | how-will-the-how-will-the-will-trum | How will the "How will the "Will Trump win >20% of votes in Philadelphia County, PA?" market resolve?" market resolve? | null | 1,733,031,795,116 | 1,733,838,181,658 | 1,733,838,181,658 | NO | 0.01753 | 1,151.349963 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
RtXZ8pAHDIqbBNkDqnKC | will-bill-gates-make-1-or-more-twee-9ea43df904fa | Will Bill Gates make 1 or more Tweeter(X) posts in Oct 2024? | null | 1,707,010,771,486 | 1,730,433,540,000 | 1,730,481,090,778 | NO | 0.01 | 2,659.559139 | Celebrity & Pop Culture | Celebrity & Pop Culture |
O9UOSIcEygHiZJ9RqgJm | will-joe-biden-win-the-nobel-peace | Will Joe Biden win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2024? | null | 1,701,181,015,723 | 1,728,014,340,000 | 1,728,956,813,369 | NO | 0.01 | 19,489.96342 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
lNzH6LADhbjLaIWljOsO | will-the-price-of-bitcoin-surpass-1 | Bitcoin $100K by July 31, 2025? | null | 1,704,864,854,620 | 1,733,371,048,540 | 1,733,371,048,540 | YES | 0.99 | 18,796.832266 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
r8F8nzpXbLhYaxXhO3QN | will-clone-drone-in-the-danger-zone | Will Clone Drone in the Danger Zone be released for VR in 2024 | null | 1,703,026,233,937 | 1,734,035,975,517 | 1,734,035,975,517 | YES | 0.757118 | 94 | Entertainment | Gaming |
w8qmtsh0tp | will-harris-lead-in-the-538-electio-rp355k8pzc | Will Harris lead in the 538 election forecast on October 31st? | null | 1,724,793,295,790 | 1,730,123,940,000 | 1,730,393,697,528 | NO | 0.038202 | 10,359.706852 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
a000521oe0 | metaculus-will-a-us-vice-presidenti-smsdn7uohy | [Metaculus] Will a US Vice Presidential debate be held before Election Day (Nov. 5) 2024? | null | 1,723,473,613,867 | 1,728,848,513,985 | 1,728,848,513,985 | YES | 0.99 | 9,108.838792 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
hAipYCkySljKJNhEmn5d | if-rishi-sunak-is-removed-from-offi | If Rishi Sunak is removed from office will there be an immediate reduction in funding for the Frontier Taskforce? | null | 1,698,413,084,633 | 1,728,125,737,842 | 1,728,125,737,842 | NO | 0.56 | 182.929068 | Politics | Domestic Policy |
q3teq9qqk2 | will-september-2024-be-the-hottest-nvik7oaqdv | Will September 2024 be the hottest September on record? (resolves according to GIStemp data) | null | 1,725,434,328,917 | 1,729,551,130,825 | 1,729,551,130,825 | NO | 0.01 | 1,316.918788 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
wNYcRF2ZvouoBcwf4LBr | will-djt-stock-close-at-over-75-any | Will DJT stock close at over $75 anytime before the end of the year 2024? | null | 1,711,484,306,157 | 1,735,622,170,010 | 1,735,622,170,010 | NO | 0.01 | 9,136.909687 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
LCqGYaBLA03Bqf19i2Wo | will-ftx-retail-investors-get-their | What percentage of their assets will FTX.com retail investors get back? | null | 1,668,067,670,235 | 1,735,390,499,248 | 1,735,390,499,248 | YES | 0.970374 | 22,643.502295 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
l7mPHP4P0H5araicV5ve | -will-florida-guarantee-the-right-t | 🗳️🔫🎣 Ballot Props: Will Florida guarantee the right to hunt and fish in the state constitution? | null | 1,708,879,189,190 | 1,730,870,076,760 | 1,730,870,076,760 | YES | 0.973153 | 1,133.923501 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
buu5urtqf4 | will-connie-chan-win-in-her-attempt | Will Connie Chan win in her attempt to be reelected as supervisor for District 1 for San Francisco? | null | 1,723,499,942,308 | 1,730,865,600,000 | 1,731,386,560,306 | YES | 0.462056 | 80 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
U9ISLLLRIE | will-there-be-any-break-between-kag-cI62zhIy59 | Will there be any break between Kagurabachi chapters 58 and 59? | null | 1,731,257,755,007 | 1,731,868,199,347 | 1,731,868,202,007 | NO | 0.409836 | 200 | Entertainment | Books & Literature |
Msj6cPTl9vVJedT4pkA9 | will-jimmy-carter-live-to-see-the-n | Will Jimmy Carter live to see the next Prime Minister of Canada? | null | 1,711,555,516,624 | 1,735,516,264,784 | 1,735,516,264,784 | NO | 0.013389 | 1,409.272003 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
mhdayfq8eg | will-i-see-kamala-harris-in-person | Will I see Kamala Harris in person by election day? | null | 1,721,958,893,249 | 1,730,793,540,000 | 1,730,813,122,646 | NO | 0.033194 | 701.994241 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
KsOtGPzFqvW9y0bPmYTS | will-perez-get-more-points-then-lec | Will Perez get more Points then Leclerc in the 2024 Formula 1 Season? | null | 1,713,793,233,390 | 1,732,451,044,734 | 1,732,451,045,736 | NO | 0.010661 | 12,626.070693 | Sports | Individual Sports |
gwWt6kX3xZjSTCAnqUbC | will-trump-be-convicted-in-federal-aa9f15f560f2 | Will Trump be convicted in federal court on any charge before the 2024 general election? | null | 1,686,274,622,330 | 1,730,824,577,757 | 1,730,824,577,757 | NO | 0.017443 | 37,376.799353 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
omo52i0gvg | will-the-same-candidate-win-both-ne | Will the same candidate win both Nevada and Arizona in the 2024 presidential election? | null | 1,725,367,104,413 | 1,730,829,600,000 | 1,731,244,595,233 | YES | 0.676264 | 526 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
oqznalvnwx | will-israel-launch-a-full-ground-in-h78gttb7a7 | Will Israel launch a full ground incursion into Syria before 2025? | null | 1,728,560,459,193 | 1,733,739,495,960 | 1,733,739,495,960 | YES | 0.8 | 24,882.170056 | Geopolitics | Global Conflicts |
n7btdda57m | will-j-j-mcculloughs-most-cursed-ti | Will J. J. McCullough's "most cursed timeline" happen? | null | 1,725,084,928,351 | 1,730,902,363,286 | 1,730,902,363,286 | NO | 0.05922 | 318 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
bfn9epzf6e | metaculus-will-youtube-be-banned-in | [Metaculus] Will YouTube be banned in Russia before October 1, 2024? | null | 1,723,127,585,542 | 1,727,880,816,335 | 1,727,880,816,335 | NO | null | 11,162.038334 | Geopolitics | Regional Affairs |
2s8rh28nia | will-lafc-beat-sporting-kc-2024-lam | Will LAFC beat Sporting KC? ⚽ | 🏆 2024 Lamar Hunt US Open Cup | null | 1,725,212,241,527 | 1,727,350,045,957 | 1,727,350,045,957 | YES | 0.99 | 9,680.732406 | Sports | Team Sports |
mifxod5oqd | will-crowdstrike-holdings-inc-crwd-8czxfeg4uj | Will Crowdstrike Holdings Inc (CRWD) close higher than $350, on 31st October 2024? | null | 1,728,681,018,985 | 1,730,419,140,000 | 1,730,420,824,192 | NO | 0.01 | 8,959.797752 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
v541i3v36m | nice-market | Nice market | null | 1,727,661,859,413 | 1,728,284,340,000 | 1,729,695,417,079 | NO | 0.01 | 1,245.358298 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
wzuvJsDqCm6gAX6lFjOr | will-nvidia-stock-end-the-year-2024 | Will Nvidia stock end the year 2024 at $900 or more? (divide by 10 if stock split) | null | 1,714,999,595,170 | 1,735,671,427,622 | 1,735,671,427,622 | YES | 0.988184 | 20,585.495514 | Finance | Markets & Trading |
mfkeikhxzz | will-anyone-attempt-to-assassinate | Will anyone attempt to assassinate Kamala Harris before the end of 2024? | null | 1,726,493,452,095 | 1,735,657,140,000 | 1,735,671,203,075 | NO | 0.014913 | 1,035.971864 | Politics | Public Policy & Social Issues |
qzgHqcM25tanXhyArECZ | will-fortnite-still-be-the-most-sea-a62b947c23fa | Will 'Fortnite' still be the most searched game term on Pornhub in 2024? | null | 1,702,590,783,443 | 1,734,757,140,000 | 1,734,758,799,926 | YES | 0.978755 | 1,504.350327 | Gaming | Gaming Culture |
t8pEkiHRJlHcTTlX6cj4 | will-manifold-hit-15k-dau-7day-aver | Will Manifold "hit 15k DAU (7-day average) by Sept 30th" 2024? (lol) | null | 1,710,544,942,555 | 1,727,733,540,000 | 1,727,734,259,652 | NO | 0.01 | 2,793.524244 | Technology | Internet & Digital Services |
9XKhU6UFXvW09Wtklwb0 | conditional-on-a-republican-winning | Conditional on a Republican winning the 2024 POTUS election, will they have won the popular vote? | null | 1,690,391,794,787 | 1,733,032,740,000 | 1,733,044,180,103 | YES | 0.99 | 7,034.984685 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
z7QQ2LOkrBuHLAorN8z0 | will-vincent-keymer-be-ranked-in-th-7ae0579912dd | Will Vincent Keymer be ranked in the top 5 on 2700chess.com at any point during 2024? | null | 1,705,487,866,720 | 1,734,053,266,355 | 1,734,053,266,355 | NO | 0.01 | 13,052.673688 | Sports | Individual Sports |
8l0n8xq0rJciWSMXdNRs | will-there-be-an-attempted-autogolp-444282aeb96c | Will there be an attempted autogolpe during 2024? | null | 1,699,748,172,354 | 1,733,568,294,734 | 1,733,568,294,734 | YES | 0.989989 | 1,239.797237 | Politics | Government Structure |
x5720j4v5o | will-jd-vance-or-tim-walz-say-the-w--cash | Will JD Vance or Tim Walz say the word "couch" during the debate? | null | 1,727,813,957,455 | 1,727,837,827,920 | 1,727,894,026,706 | NO | 0.03 | 510.03 | Politics | Elections & Campaigns |
hcqj6tk5cl | will-the-feds-lower-rates-a-second | Will the Feds lower rates a second time in 2024? | null | 1,726,710,352,911 | 1,731,040,641,130 | 1,731,040,641,130 | YES | 0.99 | 1,169.945466 | Finance | Economic Indicators |
5ij1p6fg7g | -shortfuse-1-in-5-odds-5ggawc7azj | 🧨 Short-fuse 1 in 5 odds | null | 1,726,710,402,191 | 1,726,724,801,083 | 1,726,724,888,776 | NO | null | 402.383444 | Sports | Individual Sports |
elewffd65f | one-month-from-today-will-linda-yac-1lpw9chfrp | One month from today, will Linda Yaccarino still be the CEO of Twitter / X.com ? | null | 1,726,459,834,652 | 1,729,137,540,000 | 1,729,140,249,744 | YES | 0.99 | 823 | Technology | Tech Industry & Business |
kmc3ucf9rh | will-anyone-use-a-plane-in-jet-lag | Will anyone use a plane in Jet Lag: The Game season 11? | null | 1,724,262,026,282 | 1,726,610,340,000 | 1,727,294,900,338 | NO | 0.05 | 595.078757 | Entertainment | Movies & Television |
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