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1
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6.93M
tPd0qd2NRU
will-i-reach-rank-platinum-in-backp
Will I reach rank Platinum in backpack battles by July?
null
1,749,902,467,187
1,751,169,037,440
1,751,169,037,440
YES
0.66
41.326109
9QsyShCIut
alexander-zverev-defeats-ben-shelto
Alexander Zverev defeats Ben Shelton in the Stuttgart Open semi-final on June 14, 2025
null
1,749,898,230,746
1,749,910,794,460
1,749,910,794,460
YES
0.99
894.987437
Znq2q26qzU
ferrari-wins-the-2025-24-hours-of-l
Ferrari wins the 2025 24 Hours of Le Mans on June 15
null
1,749,894,177,761
1,750,012,909,277
1,750,012,990,250
YES
0.866724
378
pcqA0cR5c9
daily-coinflip-pyPt2scPdN
Daily Coinflip
null
1,749,885,158,937
1,750,046,340,000
1,750,100,976,485
YES
0.509458
1,648.397155
EQ8zLC8Cyz
richard-hanania-post-clip-on-pol-th
Richard Hanania post clip on /pol/ this week?
null
1,749,855,085,263
1,750,459,740,000
1,750,465,960,244
YES
0.99
1,414.316586
IQLtQy0Z8E
will-israel-attack-irans-oil-facili
Will Israel attack Iran's oil facilities before June 30?
null
1,749,838,831,199
1,749,991,358,391
1,749,991,358,391
YES
0.988147
12,828.465935
AIO95A6CSR
gpt5-image-generation
GPT-5 İMAGE GENERATİON
null
1,749,836,806,642
1,749,923,160,000
1,750,072,403,456
YES
0.5
0
pQCglUSdss
this-market-gets-more-than-100-trad
This market gets more than 100 traders?
null
1,749,834,700,647
1,751,717,265,723
1,751,717,265,723
YES
0.993379
372,865.36839
SyERNRPh0q
will-i-eat-9-hot-dogs-during-the-cu
Will I eat 9 hot dogs during the cubs game
null
1,749,832,491,006
1,749,846,268,104
1,749,846,268,104
YES
0.979132
2,237.476178
SCsgU0y9SI
florida-panthers-win-the-2025-stanl-d5sQCZE2nl
Florida Panthers win the 2025 Stanley Cup Finals
null
1,749,820,922,947
1,750,377,600,000
1,750,466,448,382
YES
0.99
1,090.495146
n2UdcP0ggI
israels-current-operations-against
Israel's current operations against Iran last more than 14 days?
null
1,749,814,397,245
1,750,748,796,041
1,750,748,796,041
NO
0.570857
3,562.07572
8lI6S2sOpU
us-embassy-in-baghdad-fully-evacuat
U.S. Embassy in Baghdad fully evacuates before July 1, 2025
null
1,749,800,661,668
1,751,327,940,000
1,751,851,750,931
NO
0.028676
486
EzZStygL2u
largescale-cyber-attack-on-iran-or
Large-scale cyber attack on Iran or Israel before Aug 2025?
null
1,749,798,969,196
1,750,356,988,258
1,750,356,988,258
YES
0.77829
1,605.230724
lSp5z8zs8A
will-any-iranian-drone-reach-israel
Will any Iranian drones reach Israeli airspace today?
null
1,749,793,913,104
1,749,880,260,000
1,749,930,310,364
NO
0.34781
3,712.32317
SPnAOLsStZ
is-sneako-dead
Is Sneako Dead?
null
1,749,788,882,005
1,750,620,459,552
1,750,620,459,552
NO
0.01
1,379.458498
I92QRUCPht
what-will-the-google-doodle-be-on-j
What will the Google Doodle be on June 13th, 2025?
null
1,749,787,523,266
1,749,825,309,605
1,749,825,309,605
NO
0.183416
111
0OZ9yRPZnU
will-iran-retaliate-against-iran-wi
Will Iran retaliate against Israel within 72 hours?
null
1,749,780,767,048
1,749,831,648,393
1,749,831,648,393
YES
0.97785
1,804.42121
qRQRsOhUph
iran-strikes-israel-by-2000-ist-140
Iran strikes Israel by 20:00 IST 14/06/2025?
null
1,749,777,458,307
1,749,849,441,935
1,749,849,441,935
YES
0.990241
41,582.195892
ALh8QRA9Cg
trump-blames-biden-for-israeliran-e
Trump blames Biden for Israel-Iran escalation? [within 2weeks]
null
1,749,776,729,262
1,751,072,220,000
1,751,086,504,352
NO
0.018783
77,001.868717
dNds0q8C86
who-will-i-think-wins-the-nyc-mayor
Who will I think wins today's NYC Mayor debate? (Zohran=yes, cuomo=no, debate skill not correctness, fun market)
null
1,749,768,784,126
1,749,788,553,248
1,749,788,553,248
YES
0.99
89,712.285582
nUqQlc6Qy2
will-anthony-fantano-needledrop-giv
Will Anthony Fantano (needledrop) give Lorde - Virgin a 5 or greater?
null
1,749,760,717,748
1,751,463,364,916
1,751,463,364,916
YES
0.99
894.987437
pnl5s5SPR6
will-the-vox-media-union-go-on-stri
Will the Vox Media Union go on strike?
null
1,749,759,687,517
1,749,811,652,142
1,749,811,652,142
NO
0.456227
12,308.50459
8ctN9d5qtQ
will-this-question-get-more-than-50-UIhRCu80up
Will this question get more than 50 traders in 1 week?
null
1,749,745,953,710
1,750,391,940,000
1,750,417,247,757
YES
0.99
24,312.441772
QScEEzE0PZ
rain-in-berlin-tomorrow
Rain in Berlin tomorrow?
null
1,749,745,802,770
1,749,832,140,000
1,749,910,252,806
NO
0.171233
120
UNSutUNgqR
israel-strikes-irans-nuclear-facili
Israel strikes Iran's nuclear facility in June 2025?
null
1,749,739,772,455
1,749,795,748,434
1,749,795,748,434
YES
0.99
14,333.791394
O22CnZzhzO
will-a-significant-military-conflic
Will another significant military conflict occur before June 21, 2025?
null
1,749,731,673,451
1,749,940,190,423
1,749,940,190,423
YES
0.824039
1,053.620029
ZInQq5ycNZ
when-the-g7-leaders-summit-ends-17
When the G7 Leaders’ Summit ends 17 June 2025, will the official communiqué include the exact phrase "AI Safety"
null
1,749,721,015,163
1,751,241,540,000
1,751,408,065,133
NO
0.08
561.88334
085SLnSqEd
will-ma-yingjeou-meet-with-xi-jinpi
Will Ma Ying-jeou meet with Xi Jinping in June 2025?
null
1,749,716,992,314
1,751,327,940,000
1,751,427,161,717
NO
0.127155
162
9PQNRCq9Ap
iran-strikes-israel-before-2026
Iran strikes Israel before 2026?
null
1,749,713,718,931
1,749,851,927,604
1,749,851,927,604
YES
0.99
8,646.757565
nu8LP0EcdZ
daily-coinflip-P9EphRnlcR
Daily Coinflip
null
1,749,711,843,491
1,749,873,540,000
1,749,885,132,601
NO
0.504489
12,354.558957
ZZqQdp55gt
will-there-be-a-break-between-chain-pUg2S8uCsL
Will there be a break between Chainsaw Man chapters 206 and 207?
null
1,749,680,482,288
1,750,371,660,000
1,750,457,553,676
YES
0.253287
717
p6g0Onl8zn
guess-the-song
Guess the song!
null
1,749,653,137,880
1,749,827,332,752
1,749,827,332,752
YES
0.983254
926.76156
gQpyyn96z9
will-waymo-take-a-normal-route-my-w
Will Waymo take a normal route to my work before Jun 20?
null
1,749,648,065,015
1,750,109,648,548
1,750,109,648,548
YES
0.339133
1,165.969453
PdOOZtLACZ
10-year-treasury-yield-at-45-on-712
10 Year Treasury Yield at 4.5%+ on 7/1/2025?
null
1,749,630,169,540
1,751,327,940,000
1,751,422,082,410
NO
0.082111
3,551.851836
S5SdSUqIS9
will-mathieu-van-der-poel-lead-the
Will Mathieu van der Poel lead the 2025 Criterium du Dauphine after Stage 4?
null
1,749,615,210,411
1,749,650,400,000
1,749,660,871,352
NO
0.322954
1,372.428571
0SAL6QcOss
will-more-than-1-million-people-in
Will more than 1 Million People in the US protest on June 14?
null
1,749,614,142,389
1,749,880,799,000
1,750,007,459,951
YES
0.91
7,784.815515
0n5c50pyd0
will-i-recover-from-stomach-bug-in
Will I recover from stomach bug in two days?
null
1,749,611,594,289
1,749,784,320,000
1,749,808,776,812
NO
0.241121
356.885893
0SN2qUQ5O5
sp-500-above-6050-on-june-13
S&P 500 above $6050 on June 13?
null
1,749,604,773,162
1,749,846,916,957
1,749,846,916,957
NO
0.01
3,218.297257
0UR8CNRzSA
will-alexandr-wang-of-scale-ai-take
Will Alexandr Wang of Scale AI take a full-time role at Meta in 2025?
null
1,749,599,031,799
1,749,784,281,770
1,749,784,281,770
YES
0.874342
347
QLdEOqQZQ5
will-gavin-newsoms-request-to-block
Will Gavin Newsom's request to block troops from the LA protests be granted before EOD Thursday?
null
1,749,592,581,815
1,749,777,496,942
1,749,777,496,942
YES
0.99
1,681.842569
OsSyRAN20S
tsla-higher-than-330-on-june-16
TSLA higher than $330 on June 16?
null
1,749,589,146,574
1,750,118,340,000
1,750,146,385,087
YES
0.983819
1,973.395829
n2SgNZQSs5
nvidias-market-cap-higher-than-micr
Nvidia's market cap higher than Microsoft's at end of June 2025?
null
1,749,588,102,971
1,751,327,940,000
1,751,432,964,521
YES
0.991145
1,429.752899
9zu9LCyg5n
nvidia-stock-higher-on-june-23-than
Nvidia stock higher on June 23 than June 9?
null
1,749,586,384,140
1,750,363,860,000
1,750,737,405,183
YES
0.770699
5,147.496938
pchEI9SZ9P
spx-6000-by-eoy
SPX <6000 by EOY?
null
1,749,572,475,834
1,749,975,634,668
1,749,975,634,668
YES
0.991935
12,691.160413
8Cl8cInENU
mopdash-runs-for-10-meals
MOPDash runs for 10+ meal times?
null
1,749,571,998,960
1,750,176,600,000
1,750,890,155,619
YES
0.986337
6,444.21948
Iq6ySuutnd
will-i-submit-the-homework-assignme
Will I submit the homework assignment due by midnight tonight?
null
1,749,550,705,129
1,749,617,940,000
1,749,649,979,159
NO
0.888368
1,128.962243
IqESd5pAQh
daily-coinflip-nN5S5ghc6Z
Daily Coinflip
null
1,749,549,029,163
1,749,700,740,000
1,749,711,829,740
NO
0.51
8,193.095635
nh5AEqqUp2
will-donald-trumps-strong-leadershi
Will Donald Trump's strong leadership see S&P500 reach ATH in June 2025?
null
1,749,547,140,141
1,751,040,556,372
1,751,040,556,372
YES
0.99
2,229.596901
pttQ5yny6I
openai-releases-o3pro-this-week
OpenAI releases o3-pro this week?
null
1,749,540,084,753
1,749,591,195,533
1,749,591,195,533
YES
0.99
1,805.440236
0py6p0O2qQ
will-there-be-any-break-between-one-NCdn6ZSCAZ
Will there be any break between One Piece chapters 1152 and 1153?
null
1,749,535,288,233
1,750,658,460,000
1,750,701,261,526
NO
0.182997
1,785.004634
OnlsNE9y0n
will-there-be-any-break-between-kag-Zp28C2pcAl
Will there be any break between Kagurabachi chapters 83 and 84?
null
1,749,535,262,314
1,750,658,400,000
1,750,701,286,411
NO
0.224724
1,386
CptOz9dzC2
will-aellas-twitter-be-unlocked-on-0qdhtCZ82n
Will Aella's twitter be unlocked by July 1st 2025?
null
1,749,533,810,566
1,750,521,359,079
1,750,521,359,079
YES
0.99
1,516.941189
9S926dutcA
will-aellas-twitter-be-unlocked-on
Will Aella's twitter be unlocked on November 1st 2025?
null
1,749,533,743,536
1,751,909,580,470
1,751,909,580,470
YES
0.986394
783.146077
cShZECh2SA
anthony-fantano-rates-little-simzs
Anthony Fantano rates Little Simz's 'Lotus' album a 10/10 before September 9, 2025
null
1,749,533,482,911
1,750,773,894,245
1,750,773,894,245
NO
0.228019
84
UEAh5Es95t
bitcoin-above-110k-on-june-16
Bitcoin above $110K on June 16?
null
1,749,520,288,403
1,750,143,540,000
1,750,148,978,830
NO
0.01
33,601.683419
UZ8QgtSs28
is-epochai-crypto-coin-a-joke-omega
Is Epoch.ai Crypto Coin a joke?
null
1,749,519,078,892
1,749,525,477,827
1,749,525,477,827
NO
0.015385
7,000
8qz5uudcEQ
epochai-crypto-coin-real
Epoch.ai Crypto Coin real?
null
1,749,518,512,205
1,749,525,471,250
1,749,525,471,250
NO
0.013463
9,041.612305
6lng8g8lhA
will-trump-announce-he-is-invoking
Will Trump announce he is invoking the Insurrection Act by the end of June?
null
1,749,517,468,754
1,751,327,804,682
1,751,327,804,682
NO
0.011077
1,041.919988
A0IREzq0Cp
will-bitcoin-reach-120k-in-june
Will Bitcoin reach $120k in June?
null
1,749,510,065,949
1,751,327,940,000
1,751,393,591,241
NO
0.00451
43,371.225108
uSI8UqS22c
will-i-do-more-than-30-minutes-of-c
Will I do more than 30 minutes of Chinese listening in June 2025?
null
1,749,501,565,065
1,751,297,194,261
1,751,297,194,261
YES
0.99
913.735912
Nq8RR6u0RR
earthquake-with-a-magnitude-of-65-o
Earthquake with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher this week?
null
1,749,500,127,991
1,749,945,600,000
1,749,945,809,149
NO
0.01
2,289.006164
Z6ZzndAy9y
tetraspace-visits-schengen-area-by
Tetraspace visits Schengen area by end of July?
null
1,749,496,441,936
1,751,801,243,936
1,751,801,243,936
YES
0.8
100
qZzZ8ZEIzc
will-gavin-newsom-be-arrested-this
Will Gavin Newsom be arrested this week?
null
1,749,495,802,785
1,750,024,800,000
1,750,025,087,445
NO
0.01
4,579.027364
yLsy8dNO9U
derek-guy-detained-by-ice-before-ju
Derek Guy / menswear guy detained by ICE before July?
null
1,749,484,571,836
1,751,327,940,000
1,751,329,935,652
NO
0.020405
951.510981
ZRqCt2OZdC
big-tommer-dies-from-allergic-react
Big Tommer dies from allergic reaction?
null
1,749,480,229,536
1,749,605,954,409
1,749,605,954,409
NO
0.013973
2,864.683472
8Cuc20RL5y
greta-thunberg-deported-from-israel
Greta Thunberg deported from Israel before June 16, 2025
null
1,749,468,088,007
1,749,542,678,936
1,749,542,678,936
YES
0.989613
1,246.926522
QPLSA8LAnu
will-aellas-x-account-be-public-aga
Will Aella's (X) account be public at the end of June 2025?
null
1,749,463,146,205
1,751,319,567,341
1,751,319,567,341
YES
0.987915
4,845.820502
tSAZc2IgpZ
crystal-coinflip
CRYSTAL COINFLIP
null
1,749,461,309,269
1,749,625,140,000
1,749,629,084,606
NO
0.500255
674.981355
NES08Lc69O
will-i-become-an-official-superfore
Will I become an official superforecaster™?
null
1,749,450,438,141
1,751,567,007,528
1,751,567,007,528
NO
0.441739
750
lZUE6z2tAS
manifest-nps-higher-than-lessonline
Manifest NPS higher than LessOnline?
null
1,749,432,883,187
1,749,605,640,000
1,749,686,555,812
NO
0.625139
586
gSc659p2sQ
will-a-plurality-of-traders-say-tha
Will a plurality of traders say that the Madleen's interception was an "attack"
null
1,749,432,600,177
1,749,580,331,540
1,749,580,331,540
NO
0.01
1,363.652582
CO9gROSPqE
will-the-national-guard-kill-anyone
Will the National Guard kill anyone in the next week?
null
1,749,430,953,032
1,750,035,660,000
1,750,057,197,112
NO
0.009242
41,458.344243
Z2AdZEulU2
donald-tusks-government-receives-a
Donald Tusk's government receives a vote of confidence on June 11, 2025
null
1,749,416,907,659
1,749,657,070,327
1,749,657,070,327
YES
0.99
956.952736
uzAESQhLO2
this-market-resolves-to-whichever-s
This market resolves to whichever side has more holders
null
1,749,405,738,224
1,750,269,600,000
1,750,270,101,406
YES
0.985148
15,258.32414
Q9yznsznSO
will-the-next-person-i-see-wearing
Will the next person I see wearing an "I'm in a polycule with Aella" garment be confident they are?
null
1,749,402,522,979
1,749,415,087,230
1,749,415,087,230
NO
0.28295
591.913688
PCzsSyd9hE
will-tumbles-be-late-to-pay-back-a-d5zSuOclng
Will Tumbles be late to pay back a loan today?
null
1,749,398,792,850
1,749,452,400,000
1,749,452,500,079
YES
0.95204
2,091.027769
AQ06RLp89g
eth-reaches-3000-by-june-15
ETH reaches $3000 by June 15?
null
1,749,391,557,061
1,749,945,540,000
1,749,975,933,126
NO
0.042992
456.039049
gANuRUSqu2
will-ethereum-eth-reach-2800-in-may
Will Ethereum (ETH) reach $2,800 in June?
null
1,749,378,504,169
1,749,696,062,891
1,749,696,062,891
YES
0.947311
3,800
92zUAcEpZt
daily-coinflip-9UsEPnzlPg
Daily Coinflip
null
1,749,360,379,760
1,749,527,940,000
1,749,548,993,046
YES
0.492694
7,122.239731
AsLqzELudI
her-texting-me-back-within-two-week
Her texting me back within two weeks?
null
1,749,358,087,103
1,750,575,540,000
1,750,697,778,961
NO
0.298409
18,072.478871
UzAZZNcgdO
was-a-bone-broken-at-the-manifest-a
Was a bone broken at the manifest arm wrestling tournament?
null
1,749,356,488,308
1,749,377,071,645
1,749,377,071,645
YES
0.977115
34,837.799746
clUUsNUd5n
henri-arithmoquine-posts-new-blog-b
Henri (@arithmoquine) posts new blog before July 1st?
null
1,749,353,637,269
1,751,414,340,000
1,751,584,895,961
NO
0.01
963.558866
ECCUshNIEp
will-chamath-confirm-his-assertion
Will Chamath confirm his assertion before the end of June 2025?
null
1,749,346,420,079
1,751,327,940,000
1,751,389,623,317
NO
0.100363
372.658121
pQ8AzUl6AA
will-joshu-actually-leave-the-marke
Will Joshu actually leave the market open after the winner is announced ?
null
1,749,342,450,576
1,749,342,821,459
1,749,342,821,459
YES
0.99
894.987437
CO6gEnz0LC
did-manifest-attendee-3838-get-hust
Did Manifest Attendee "3838" get hustled?
null
1,749,328,643,287
1,749,451,041,413
1,749,451,041,413
NO
0.010013
10,439.65323
yQRP02C6gO
will-i-qualify-for-tst-2025
Will I qualify for TST 2025?
null
1,749,326,747,556
1,751,140,740,000
1,751,457,045,853
YES
0.791852
120
ECgILnz9AC
will-dylan-mention-ezra-klein-in-hi
Will Dylan mention Ezra Klein in his Manifest talk?
null
1,749,326,742,326
1,749,329,536,665
1,749,329,536,665
NO
0.01
8,969.576351
lcuRdCCsZL
rach-gets-sprayed-exactly-once-with
Rach gets sprayed exactly once with a water spray bottle during Manifest
null
1,749,324,969,464
1,749,454,380,000
1,749,757,823,791
YES
0.104858
2,034.233425
unlz86QILP
will-manifest-have-soylent-on-sunda
Will Manifest have soylent on Sunday
null
1,749,323,177,426
1,749,401,743,633
1,749,401,743,633
NO
0.088968
220
E2OPu9NO99
will-mr-beast-post-today
Will Mr. Beast post today?
null
1,749,317,912,778
1,749,318,006,771
1,749,318,006,771
YES
0.433534
297
R2A9pz59zA
will-some-version-of-the-big-beauti
Will some version of the Big Beautiful Bill Act be passed by the US Senate in June?
null
1,749,317,756,478
1,751,327,940,000
1,751,501,647,761
NO
0.012091
37,536.383462
2hCltS8Zp2
will-tetra-be-experiencing-rsilike
Will Tetra be experiencing RSI-like symptoms at the start of July?
null
1,749,304,298,016
1,751,407,140,000
1,751,469,922,714
NO
0.409836
30
I5R2szdpZy
will-manifolds-founder-stephen-get
Will Manifold's founder (Stephen) get his nails painted by me in Manifest?
null
1,749,272,394,342
1,749,444,605,179
1,749,444,605,179
YES
0.990043
10,101.2841
Sd6QLguyq2
will-i-be-able-to-obtain-10-mana-co
Will I be able to obtain 10 mana coins at manifest
null
1,749,270,758,918
1,749,463,829,171
1,749,463,829,171
YES
0.968641
5,710
tzd88lASOc
will-ricki-find-a-physical-copy-of
Will Ricki find a physical copy of Unsong before 9pm today?
null
1,749,268,654,735
1,749,268,875,709
1,749,268,875,709
YES
0.913514
375
00ZARC2qLt
will-i-be-able-to-sell-one-of-the-m
Will I be able to sell one of the mana coins at manifest for 20k mana
null
1,749,263,529,086
1,749,576,312,671
1,749,576,312,671
NO
0.063375
6,915.165317
uEqIpStOOS
bonnie-blue-beats-sexual-record-on
Bonnie Blue beats sexual record on June 15th with 2000+ men?
null
1,749,258,412,953
1,750,010,340,000
1,750,048,146,897
NO
0.009598
24,748.921797
ntlSZgy5sQ
pitbull-at-manifest-night-market
Pitbull at Manifest Night Market?
null
1,749,250,523,917
1,749,329,906,088
1,749,329,906,088
NO
0.01
894.987437
qE5q8Nz0pp
will-the-big-beautiful-bill-be-reje
Will the Big Beautiful Bill be ammended by the Senate?
null
1,749,245,932,003
1,751,409,612,777
1,751,409,612,777
YES
0.972687
10,544.920736
pdZSgs0zAS
will-claude-have-an-outage-while-i
Will Claude have an outage while I attend the Manifest Conference?
null
1,749,244,074,934
1,749,322,334,052
1,749,322,334,052
YES
0.16373
1,260