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p80RSC2QEQ
will-the-session-called-hold-45-lik
Will the session called "HOLD (45% likely to be deleted)" actually be deleted before 7pm (Lighthaven time) today?
null
1,749,241,699,194
1,749,261,369,624
1,749,261,390,873
YES
0.899858
308.170837
gPgns05lUh
will-there-be-a-macos-version-named
Will there be a macOS version named “Tahoe” announced at WWDC 2025?
null
1,749,241,498,740
1,749,492,220,374
1,749,492,220,374
YES
0.989051
2,772.432107
szCcdtsgAc
will-someone-accidentally-set-off-a
Will someone accidentally set off a fire alarm at manifest again this year?
null
1,749,233,611,948
1,749,491,181,847
1,749,491,181,847
NO
0.01
964.918039
cEzUEc0USP
will-i-recover-my-lost-clear-waterb
Will I recover my lost waterbottle by end of Manifest?
null
1,749,230,594,101
1,749,447,520,736
1,749,447,520,736
NO
0.157809
1,758.596724
6SzARdyuQO
will-the-sp500-close-over-6000-toda
Will the S&P-500 close over 6000 today?
null
1,749,227,636,737
1,749,254,340,000
1,749,277,238,823
YES
0.989144
2,593.468558
0sgOyE85lZ
will-ethereum-price-exceed-2700-bef
Will Ethereum price exceed 2700 before June 13?
null
1,749,227,044,442
1,749,873,540,000
1,750,302,115,893
YES
0.99
1,032.355858
sNh9LOtLA0
daily-coinflip-cC000d6yZA
Daily Coinflip
null
1,749,224,130,690
1,749,355,140,000
1,749,360,359,543
NO
0.507203
4,012.538828
A65IO9PtcI
will-i-play-at-least-5-games-of-che
Will I play at least 5 games of chess with manifold users this month?
null
1,749,216,403,876
1,751,308,200,000
1,751,363,723,399
NO
0.94
295.811403
tzIgRcPU6E
is-tiramisu-cake
is tiramisu cake?
null
1,749,195,520,476
1,749,356,137,967
1,749,356,137,967
NO
0.092463
708.14751
l9udsng55Z
is-feuding-with-donald-trump-securi
Is feuding with Donald Trump securities fraud?
null
1,749,187,026,094
1,749,504,650,593
1,749,504,650,593
YES
0.447291
271
gn58tCuClU
trump-gives-elon-a-nickname-by-the
Trump gives Elon a nickname by EOD Saturday?
null
1,749,175,193,535
1,749,355,260,000
1,749,408,949,420
NO
0.123744
1,219.632859
OtQZCP6l05
23me-surpasses-690-during-manifest
23&me surpasses $6.90 during manifest?
null
1,749,174,663,537
1,749,700,566,736
1,749,700,566,736
NO
0.0102
9,830.728654
PNpUq92l9E
i-get-an-a-in-ochem-1
I get an A in OChem 1?
null
1,749,169,091,047
1,749,943,179,633
1,749,943,179,633
YES
0.737801
109
EdzLppupR5
golf-will-the-winner-of-the-2025-me
Golf: Will the winner of the 2025 Men's U.S. Open finish under par?
null
1,749,168,547,007
1,750,033,150,850
1,750,033,150,850
YES
0.991419
2,110.62865
dOZO28PSnZ
us-cancels-substantial-teslaspacex
US cancels substantial Tesla/SpaceX contracts or subsidies during the next 30 days?
null
1,749,167,259,356
1,751,839,140,000
1,751,891,421,506
NO
0.01
6,040
ChRZyOUysP
will-portugal-beat-spain-uefa-natio
Will Portugal beat Spain? ⚽|🎏 UEFA Nations League Final
null
1,749,167,224,795
1,749,424,874,555
1,749,424,874,555
YES
0.989925
19,398.497644
29zg8Igc5h
will-elon-musk-be-more-popular-than
Will Elon Musk be more popular than Donald Trump by July 4?
null
1,749,165,802,602
1,751,759,940,000
1,751,760,156,035
NO
0.01
1,397.302998
RuzpNcRpy2
will-elon-musk-unfollow-donald-trum
Will Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump on X before July?
null
1,749,164,774,157
1,751,409,637,953
1,751,409,637,953
NO
0.01
168,648.428006
I5EgQAtORn
tsla-reaches-300-before-250
$TSLA reaches $300 before $250?
null
1,749,153,402,969
1,749,222,849,311
1,749,222,849,311
YES
0.99
941.812834
8R6UOO8dIn
bill-ackmans-first-tweet-addressing
Bill Ackman's first tweet addressing Trump/Elon feud >1000 words?
null
1,749,151,978,267
1,749,160,827,272
1,749,160,827,272
NO
0.01
965.160585
ydcRN6gRAN
will-trump-attack-one-of-elon-musks
Will Trump attack one of Elon Musk's companies in the next month?
null
1,749,151,680,127
1,751,743,620,000
1,751,750,825,647
NO
0.019703
34,865.632524
SPPdnhQdcQ
will-trumps-most-insulting-public-s
Will Trump's most insulting public statement about Musk in June be oral?
null
1,749,145,791,953
1,751,406,191,180
1,751,406,191,180
NO
0.096117
307.883838
lZ0C0RgqS6
will-trump-publicly-disparage-musk-pECcA8dQtq
Will Trump publicly disparage Musk by Friday?
null
1,749,143,352,704
1,749,151,042,579
1,749,151,042,579
YES
0.99
981.283698
lPSqgZCugc
will-the-gupta-household-eat-meat-s
will the gupta household eat meat sausage twice before June 7, 2025
null
1,749,141,713,954
1,749,142,149,051
1,749,142,149,051
NO
0.010387
913.883779
yEutlLEOUc
will-the-sp-500-aka-spx-reach-6000
Will the S&P 500 (AKA SPX) reach 6000 today?
null
1,749,139,867,631
1,749,204,482,494
1,749,204,482,494
NO
0.01
1,293.965727
0PCUn2IP52
israel-arrests-greta-thunberg-durin
Israel arrests Greta Thunberg during her Gaza flotilla?
null
1,749,118,125,137
1,749,545,717,208
1,749,545,717,208
YES
0.952373
3,194.754148
z8CSO5IO2A
bitcoin-above-106k-on-june-11
Bitcoin above $106K on June 11?
null
1,749,109,618,234
1,749,675,939,417
1,749,675,939,417
YES
0.99
18,579.151172
UlzzqlQIEy
will-oregon-state-win-the-2025-coll
Will Oregon State win the 2025 College World Series?
null
1,749,088,769,291
1,750,213,677,198
1,750,213,677,198
NO
0.165138
1,427.659714
LlzU6cgAy9
will-this-market-get-3-or-more-uniq
Will this market get 3 or more unique viewers? [Nash Pit Dead-Drop]
null
1,749,067,952,129
1,749,356,078,459
1,749,356,088,386
YES
0.99
1,994.987437
qOuhAQAznt
will-will-manifold-markets-add-a-fo
Will "Will Manifold Markets add a forum feature by the end of 2025?" be unresolved?
null
1,749,064,582,678
1,749,682,740,000
1,749,684,501,569
NO
0.01
1,012.225806
EPLyNAlLAs
will-a-tax-on-unrealized-capital-ga
Will a tax on unrealized capital gains take effect in Australia by 1 July?
null
1,749,055,809,818
1,751,327,940,000
1,751,560,563,400
NO
0.018965
13,057.235887
u6I2Ryq8E2
significant-market-manipulation-bef
Significant market manipulation before close per ChatGPT’s decision.
null
1,749,050,789,056
1,749,222,518,032
1,749,222,518,032
YES
0.909011
1,633.987437
NQyPZzcOCl
switch-2s-ifixit-repairability-lowe
Switch 2's iFixit repairability lower than original Switch (4?)
null
1,749,049,266,933
1,749,334,960,552
1,749,334,960,552
YES
0.989804
904.708443
ZuqnlpOtZc
taylor-swift-better-than-billie-eil
Taylor Swift better than Billie Eilish?
null
1,749,046,651,140
1,749,651,360,000
1,749,882,928,223
YES
0.93
507.962174
gQ5LpLNhZ2
will-nothing-happen-before-july-rea
Will nothing happen before July? (Read description)
null
1,749,039,904,483
1,749,818,495,321
1,749,818,495,321
NO
0.008206
173,725.662688
Odh9duU66q
will-the-vvd-exclude-forming-a-gove
Will the VVD exclude forming a government with PVV for the 2025 elections?
null
1,749,024,125,851
1,749,562,659,145
1,749,562,659,145
YES
0.937334
788.434468
t5PQQLE0pS
federal-reserve-cuts-interest-rates
Federal Reserve cuts interest rates at June 2025 FOMC meeting
null
1,749,023,801,763
1,750,316,979,038
1,750,316,979,038
NO
0.01
1,978.657959
sQ0thdpyRp
die-prasi-geht-unter-12min
Die Präsi geht unter 12min
null
1,749,020,008,542
1,749,021,071,420
1,749,021,071,420
YES
0.516614
121.233046
5PAp69cnsd
wird-milokimi-mit-hallo-und-herzlic
Wird Milo/Kimi mit Hallo und herzlich willkommen zu unserer Präsentation anfangen?
null
1,749,019,993,246
1,749,020,541,747
1,749,020,541,747
YES
0.78308
90
5pOs5CNzqP
frederik-labert-noch-min-2-mal-was
Frederik labert noch min 2 mal was, was her keilhofer erklären sollte
null
1,749,018,980,725
1,749,019,413,975
1,749,019,413,975
YES
0.551586
30
cgyISdstqs
daily-coinflip-O5RqQE5CP5
Daily Coinflip
null
1,749,012,760,802
1,749,182,340,000
1,749,224,088,308
NO
0.501832
7,506.520325
l0yAzQ9huA
avgo-closes-at-or-above-262-on-june
AVGO closes at or above $262 on June 6th?
null
1,748,993,176,439
1,749,240,321,617
1,749,240,321,617
NO
0.009918
985.309136
89IgtNns2I
will-this-market-trade-below-500
Will this other market trade below 50.0%?
null
1,748,991,089,932
1,749,904,937,107
1,749,904,937,107
NO
0.01
1,052.612792
8RNQEcntcs
will-this-market-trade-at-500-or-ab
Will this other market trade at 50.0% or above?
null
1,748,991,059,356
1,749,904,956,743
1,749,904,956,743
NO
0.01
1,250.568832
lUplEzspZn
bitcoin-price-below-100000-at-end-o
Bitcoin price below $100,000 at end of June 2025
null
1,748,987,373,962
1,751,327,940,000
1,751,560,554,612
NO
0.007852
3,051.749778
Ss5uNgn2SR
trump-publicly-disparage-musk-by-ju
Will Trump publicly disparage Musk by July?
null
1,748,985,201,966
1,749,155,863,170
1,749,155,863,170
YES
0.990239
14,990.112081
clUSC5Ezz9
i-profit-from-manifest-attendance
I profit from Manifest attendance?
null
1,748,983,834,308
1,749,494,564,317
1,749,494,564,317
NO
0.010387
1,002.060742
PlzSUUgc5C
eth-above-2800-by-june-8
ETH above $2800 by June 8?
null
1,748,982,567,543
1,749,340,740,000
1,749,444,951,068
NO
0.015142
1,225.254648
IEPggEq2nZ
bitcoin-above-109k-by-june-7
Bitcoin above $109K by June 7?
null
1,748,982,155,279
1,749,254,340,000
1,749,339,536,790
NO
0.048695
811.423663
AnhzCphugy
will-the-podcast-divided-argument-r
[short fuse] Will the Podcast Divided Argument Release an Episode by EOD on Monday June 9th
null
1,748,978,826,835
1,749,355,284,504
1,749,355,284,504
YES
0.99
9,086.607854
PLtpOONu2c
ai-digests-agent-village-completes-nRdQZhs05R
AI Digest's Agent Village completes story and celebrates with 10+ people?
null
1,748,978,553,031
1,750,429,552,558
1,750,429,552,558
YES
0.980825
7,952.575358
9A9nu2ApES
ai-digests-agent-village-completes
AI Digest's Agent Village completes story and celebrates with 100 people?
null
1,748,976,419,533
1,750,429,561,704
1,750,429,561,704
NO
0.050314
6,459.856109
Q8h5EunUPl
will-israel-attack-greta-thunbergs
Will Israel attack Greta Thunberg's ship?
null
1,748,976,264,189
1,749,476,239,229
1,749,567,387,123
NO
0.150723
112,330.464299
dZ8sz02Zg2
will-there-be-a-gaza-ceasefire-and
Will there be a Gaza ceasefire and hostage deal in June 2025?
null
1,748,975,241,017
1,751,327,940,000
1,751,333,747,608
NO
0.01
12,480.955115
A6npQIlh5u
will-openai-release-o3-pro-mode-thi-qOhIqpyLRq
Will OpenAI release o3 pro mode this month?
null
1,748,973,306,792
1,749,757,613,231
1,749,757,613,231
YES
0.99
1,662.656613
y2Pp5ESztn
will-openai-release-o3-pro-mode-thi
Will OpenAI release o3 pro mode this week?
null
1,748,973,285,100
1,749,318,840,000
1,749,493,695,868
NO
0.015039
3,828.70553
2y5p2C20CI
btc-reach-112k-by-weeks-end
BTC reach 112k by week's end?
null
1,748,967,511,955
1,749,427,140,000
1,749,444,895,142
NO
0.01
3,910.428782
dnyEzssQNh
short-fuse-will-mario-kart-world-be
[Short fuse] Will Mario Kart World be playable in 120fps?
null
1,748,947,820,125
1,749,258,127,645
1,749,258,127,645
NO
0.010266
16,640.685202
dg8EEz0NSI
dutch-parliament-elections-in-2025
Dutch parliament elections in 2025?
null
1,748,944,547,977
1,749,241,832,330
1,749,241,832,330
YES
0.97862
6,255
506tIs95Uu
will-mr-beast-post-a-youtube-video
Will Mr. Beast post a YouTube video by June 19th on his main account that will be longer then 5 minutes?
null
1,748,944,524,471
1,749,317,809,330
1,749,317,809,330
YES
0.788194
355
U6qCLpPSSR
i-duct-tape-an-ipad-to-my-face-at-m
I duct tape an iPad to my face at Manifest?
null
1,748,933,681,196
1,749,440,672,096
1,749,440,672,096
YES
0.989819
4,785.009991
tpsUzI6tQg
minecraft-speedrun-sub-7-in-1161-in
Minecraft Speedrun sub 7 in 1.16.1 in 2025?
null
1,748,932,459,165
1,749,678,066,088
1,749,678,066,088
YES
0.987382
9,797.202307
ZE8nEAUhuR
donald-tusk-wins-confidence-vote
Donald Tusk wins confidence vote?
null
1,748,927,045,985
1,749,663,175,534
1,749,663,175,534
YES
0.99
905.722034
Sn5ItI8QEq
will-the-youtube-app-have-a-subscri
Will the YouTube app restore functional access to the subscriptions feed by Friday, June 6th?
null
1,748,914,821,926
1,748,966,320,373
1,748,966,320,373
YES
0.535912
80
ulSQdO56py
will-i-find-10-separate-people-to-b
Will I find 10+ separate people to bet 10,000+M against, at Manifest?
null
1,748,904,250,384
1,749,508,920,000
1,749,578,356,056
NO
0.01
9,774.527909
ycS8LRIAEy
will-mark-rober-post-a-video-by-jun
Will Mark Rober post a video by June 19th
null
1,748,901,847,355
1,750,366,961,450
1,750,366,961,450
NO
0.06
2,841.976726
pdzupC9pup
shortfuse-will-the-tdap-vaccination
[short-fuse 💣] Will the TDaP vaccination make me feel sick this week?
null
1,748,899,610,522
1,749,417,660,000
1,749,453,372,787
NO
0.3378
43
dCdc8sLCRl
xrp-price-exceeds-250-before-july-2
XRP price exceeds $2.50 before July 2, 2025
null
1,748,894,109,042
1,751,414,340,000
1,751,471,106,940
NO
0.01
1,349.982746
lOCUIC0Lz6
will-i-finish-the-politically-incor
Will I finish the Politically Incorrect Guide to US History by the end of June?
null
1,748,891,926,654
1,749,768,358,320
1,749,768,358,320
YES
0.99
894.987437
zPh5O9utsO
will-the-freedom-flotilla-reach-gaz
Will the Freedom Flotilla reach Gaza by June 15, 2025?
null
1,748,888,429,272
1,750,031,940,000
1,750,046,675,530
NO
0.009814
13,991.157154
PE2nN9Nyz6
will-this-market-resolve-under-50
Will this market resolve under 50%
null
1,748,874,099,190
1,751,293,200,000
1,751,581,294,994
YES
0.49
80.525615
PILltsEZP8
will-the-2025-nba-finals-have-a-hig
Will the 2025 NBA Finals have a higher average television rating than the 2024 NBA Finals?
null
1,748,861,223,245
1,750,723,140,000
1,750,780,456,386
NO
0.022401
977.062707
dhl9cuppUs
will-the-nintendo-switch-2-output-v
Will the Nintendo Switch 2 output video via standard DisplayPort Alt Mode over USB-C?
null
1,748,860,633,101
1,749,146,659,109
1,749,146,659,109
NO
0.142806
145
8uEzn8puCN
will-russia-significantly-escalate
Will Russia significantly escalate the conflict in Ukraine in response to the June 1st Ukrainian attack?
null
1,748,858,654,365
1,751,900,173,424
1,751,900,173,424
NO
0.114714
2,418.768915
QOtSlt6pEC
whale-has-50000-shares-on-whale-fig
Whale has 50'000+ shares on whale fight market?
null
1,748,848,159,343
1,751,267,160,000
1,751,434,097,765
NO
0.343664
83.537427
0pANZAct2S
daily-coinflip-utEIZSQPZd
Daily Coinflip
null
1,748,841,324,894
1,749,009,540,000
1,749,012,742,272
NO
0.5
7,081.813349
gEsnpORtOd
will-there-be-any-break-between-one-5PqOgIZ6u0
Will there be any break between One Piece chapters 1151 and 1152?
null
1,748,839,662,357
1,749,444,420,000
1,749,535,273,455
YES
0.943284
4,755.876485
QRS0Z5cPq0
will-there-be-any-break-between-kag-ClSn9t8sgc
Will there be any break between Kagurabachi chapters 82 and 83?
null
1,748,839,628,117
1,749,444,420,000
1,749,535,248,482
NO
0.161225
2,099.095629
Z5gdtZuRzQ
am-i-going-to-live-in-silvers-dorm
am i going to live in silver's dorm when he gets into mit
null
1,748,835,118,450
1,749,439,860,000
1,750,828,437,161
YES
0.187314
644.42462
9uLupRsLpN
will-the-may-2025-us-unemployment-r
Will the May 2025 US Unemployment rate surpass the projected 4.2% (as reported on June 6, 2025 08:30 EST)?
null
1,748,835,070,082
1,749,213,248,546
1,749,213,248,546
NO
0.837064
137
68NP5L2CSc
cuddle-puddle-of-eight-or-more-at-m
Cuddle puddle of eight or more at Manifest 2025?
null
1,748,835,004,782
1,749,302,907,047
1,749,302,907,047
YES
0.817582
117
u6N8RntgsC
will-i-get-huzz-at-mop-2025
Will I get huzz at MOP 2025?
null
1,748,832,016,489
1,751,409,087,048
1,751,409,087,048
NO
0.127732
4,916.732314
6UnuSC9QZs
will-at-least-10-people-be-at-rat-p
Will at least 10 people be at Rat Park in Lighthaven AT 10:00PM TODAY?
null
1,748,831,329,659
1,748,840,537,509
1,748,840,537,509
YES
0.7334
3,452.759862
Unp9nslyNp
bitcoin-above-105k-on-june-7
Bitcoin above $105K on June 7?
null
1,748,815,904,180
1,749,331,403,696
1,749,331,403,696
YES
0.990151
27,560.220081
nZERUPttU8
will-the-kc-royals-win-their-baseba
Will the KC Royals win their baseball game on 6/1/25?
null
1,748,803,712,744
1,748,810,139,426
1,748,810,139,426
NO
0.14
927.085339
lU5cnIIhuE
will-bitcoin-hit-95k-in-june-polyma
Will Bitcoin hit 95k in June? [Polymarket]
null
1,748,800,298,083
1,751,378,159,580
1,751,378,159,580
NO
0.01
56,327.7446
nCPUgddnUt
will-bitcoin-reach-110k-in-june
Will Bitcoin reach $110k in June?
null
1,748,795,747,256
1,749,508,003,097
1,749,508,003,097
YES
0.990434
14,306.11165
AZEnlStL6O
will-i-do-chores-for-25-minutes-dai
Will I do chores for 25+ minutes daily until 2026?
null
1,748,794,386,567
1,751,241,540,000
1,751,263,950,773
YES
0.780466
1,656.070619
zZyzSyNhqu
will-i-finish-marcus-aureliuss-medi-ZcO2qIhnq8
Will I finish Marcus Aurelius's Meditations by the end of June?
null
1,748,792,274,308
1,751,325,892,964
1,751,325,892,964
NO
0.65
302.75265
tN0ZtCL0QA
will-i-study-for-150-minutes-per-da
Will I study for 150 minutes per day* in June?
null
1,748,792,110,760
1,751,241,540,000
1,751,263,937,355
YES
0.952436
2,213
2nzNZQLn90
will-i-leave-the-house-before-11-am-QA9PQdRUhN
Will I leave the house before 11 a.m. every day in June?
null
1,748,790,909,142
1,749,546,475,827
1,749,546,475,827
NO
0.475638
73
uRtlpplUOd
nba-finals-game-1-will-okc-thunder
NBA Finals Game 1 🏀 Will OKC Thunder win vs IND Pacers?
null
1,748,781,211,633
1,749,181,428,175
1,749,181,428,175
NO
0.001159
42,483.339587
0S60hn68ul
this-market-ends-between-20-and-80
This market ends between 20% and 80%?
null
1,748,778,895,460
1,751,212,740,000
1,751,212,882,840
YES
0.456015
1,262.849284
6In9LLERs5
will-grok-35-launch-in-june
Grok 3.5 available before July?
null
1,748,763,735,681
1,751,353,264,270
1,751,353,275,401
NO
0.014829
12,663.953318
lQ56zAqNpp
will-my-net-worth-be-above-m200000-hNztc8SEQN
Will my net worth be above Ṁ200,000 in a week?
null
1,748,741,567,234
1,749,344,400,000
1,749,345,742,921
NO
0.125121
348.569364
pRAItc8dIs
nba-eastern-conference-finals-will
NBA Eastern Conference Finals 🏀 Will the Indiana Pacers win the series in 6 games?
null
1,748,724,845,998
1,748,745,554,185
1,748,745,554,185
YES
0.993805
120,501.329217
Pqcny8In80
will-either-lsu-or-columbia-win-the
Will either LSU or Columbia win the 2025 College Baseball Playoffs
null
1,748,705,033,552
1,750,729,855,876
1,750,729,855,876
YES
0.99
1,158.166758
A0hESZQpNR
will-ethereum-hit-5000-by-july-1st
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by July 1st??
null
1,748,699,156,078
1,751,327,940,000
1,751,672,301,205
NO
0.01
11,274.968174
u0Un0c55PR
will-manifolds-users-find-a-prompt
Will Manifold's users find a prompt to make AI assisted questions draw an ASCII horse in June?
null
1,748,687,707,062
1,751,320,740,000
1,751,368,312,696
NO
0.047086
5,904.951704
Q0ZcS9InLL
sp-500-above-5900-on-may-30
S&P 500 above $5900 on June 6?
null
1,748,683,208,309
1,749,246,549,504
1,749,246,549,504
YES
0.99
13,224.500454