id stringlengths 9 20 | slug stringlengths 4 54 | question stringlengths 1 120 | firstGroup float64 | createdTime int64 1,715B 1,752B | closeTime int64 1,717B 1,752B | resolvedTime int64 1,736B 1,752B | resolution stringclasses 2 values | resolutionProbability float64 0 1 | volume float64 0 6.93M |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UId68P2zOq | will-trumps-mega-reconciliation-pac | Will Trump's Mega Reconciliation Package be signed into law by May 1, 2025? | null | 1,736,110,217,406 | 1,746,261,327,918 | 1,746,261,327,918 | NO | 0.019503 | 6,815 |
20PChz6S8E | will-itamar-ben-gvir-stop-being-min | Will Itamar Ben Gvir stop being minister of National security before July 2025? | null | 1,736,098,842,691 | 1,737,495,967,190 | 1,737,495,967,190 | YES | 0.960497 | 500.23448 |
t9ZU5UtqOA | will-an-israeli-minister-resign-bef-gqlgtdSCOp | Will an Israeli minister resign before April 2025? | null | 1,736,096,633,984 | 1,737,295,471,355 | 1,737,295,471,355 | YES | 0.96103 | 8,667.560848 |
q5Lgpq2yq5 | will-i-visit-hong-kong-in-2025 | Will I visit Hong Kong in 2025? | null | 1,736,087,512,716 | 1,738,918,476,309 | 1,738,918,476,309 | YES | 0.907615 | 274.363401 |
d86E2Pq5IE | argentina-implements-12hour-workday | Argentina implements 12-hour workdays without extra pay as part of labor reform by July 2nd 2025 | null | 1,736,073,270,033 | 1,751,414,400,000 | 1,751,445,150,727 | NO | 0.01 | 1,759.359402 |
OPnqC6gh9O | daily-coinflip-E2QdgzE2qp | Daily coinflip | null | 1,736,057,765,126 | 1,736,225,940,000 | 1,736,227,932,003 | YES | 0.5 | 3,223.487849 |
6Rt0qIRq8q | hoboken-path-station-reopens-by-feb | Hoboken PATH station reopens by February 25, 2025 | null | 1,736,054,986,403 | 1,740,485,715,995 | 1,740,485,715,995 | YES | 0.963433 | 431.137037 |
5ELh08lt8p | will-the-2025-six-nations-champion | Will the 2025 Six Nations Champion win the Grand Slam? | null | 1,736,048,722,667 | 1,743,758,994,539 | 1,743,759,107,167 | NO | 0.09343 | 226 |
LR8pgS60yO | will-there-be-a-prediction-market-r | Will there be a prediction market related puzzle in the 2025 MIT Mystery Hunt? | null | 1,736,045,994,338 | 1,737,100,740,000 | 1,737,818,495,269 | NO | 0.068477 | 397.415766 |
OyESQngCpS | will-the-blaze-star-t-coronae-borea | Will the "Blaze Star" (T Coronae Borealis) go nova during Blazing Swan 2025? | null | 1,736,044,557,677 | 1,745,459,564,690 | 1,745,459,564,690 | NO | 0.01 | 10,008.439855 |
NlCtcInNZU | did-i-get-15-negs-in-smh-playoffs | did i get >=15 negs in SMH Playoffs | null | 1,736,037,966,795 | 1,736,146,811,315 | 1,736,146,811,315 | NO | 0.67442 | 116.074948 |
0En8OyZ89Z | will-the-afternoon-temperature-in-w | Will the afternoon temperature in Washington, DC reach 47 degrees Fahrenheit on Inauguration Day? | null | 1,736,023,980,257 | 1,737,100,740,000 | 1,738,458,686,692 | NO | 0.1 | 200 |
qcQz5ZZIup | will-the-yudkowsky-ai-video-generat | Will the "Yudkowsky AI video generation 2024" market resolve N/A? | null | 1,736,023,545,559 | 1,739,793,451,837 | 1,739,793,451,837 | YES | 0.99 | 1,919.484573 |
O89gIthhp5 | will-russia-control-pokrovsk-by-mar | Will Russia control Pokrovsk by May 31st, 2025 | null | 1,736,022,864,994 | 1,748,649,600,000 | 1,748,787,347,555 | NO | 0.014311 | 13,126.769736 |
hCqpd8Q8SO | will-a-usa-news-headline-of-hospita | Will a USA news headline of hospitals being crowded by the same virus affecting Chinese hospitals today 4 Jan by 4 Mar? | null | 1,736,018,667,488 | 1,741,154,340,000 | 1,744,187,929,582 | NO | 0.030864 | 559.806628 |
Sc90Sg8Qlh | will-there-be-any-break-between-one-uC2h2cuzS8 | Will there be any break between One Piece chapters 1136 and 1137? | null | 1,736,015,633,659 | 1,737,304,832,098 | 1,737,304,837,963 | NO | 0.056763 | 3,879.603238 |
nqdN6050dt | will-there-be-any-break-between-kag-6IPudRLgON | Will there be any break between Kagurabachi chapters 64 and 65? | null | 1,736,015,601,126 | 1,737,304,862,635 | 1,737,304,871,043 | NO | 0.180089 | 1,202.992602 |
QcRlPEINZq | will-liberty-score-at-all-in-the-ba | Will Liberty score at all in the Bahamas Bowl? | null | 1,736,015,174,619 | 1,736,018,790,902 | 1,736,018,790,902 | YES | 0.5 | 10 |
lIQNyzL2Cs | will-flags-be-flown-at-halfmast-at | Will flags be flown at half-mast at the inauguration? | null | 1,736,011,729,908 | 1,737,484,175,102 | 1,737,484,175,102 | NO | 0.046406 | 1,293.518976 |
glzy2z0ch6 | will-kearm20s-home-gpu-setup-pass-t | Will @Kearm20's home GPU setup pass the MMLU-Pro benchmark on the first try? | null | 1,736,011,325,158 | 1,736,150,400,000 | 1,736,195,303,736 | NO | 0.01 | 12,782.264882 |
APz2UdAsdq | will-1-or-more-us-banks-fail-in-202-zSOAlNnA69 | Will 1 or more US banks fail in 2025? | null | 1,736,007,356,024 | 1,737,276,441,381 | 1,737,276,441,381 | YES | 0.859196 | 1,141.026377 |
PuUO529nER | coin-flip-hL8ApR8Nnt | Coin Flip | null | 1,736,002,761,569 | 1,736,004,342,150 | 1,736,004,342,150 | YES | 0.8 | 1,000 |
Iy650hq25O | sp-500-closes-higher-on-friday-janu-u5QURt6psd | S&P 500 Closes Higher On Friday January 10th 2025 Than It Closed On Friday January 3rd 2025? (SP500F-#2) | null | 1,735,996,785,667 | 1,736,519,400,000 | 1,736,543,104,134 | NO | 0.299731 | 677 |
dd6P0IyLAR | will-tiktok-be-banned-in-the-united-5L0tdy5RAO | Will TikTok be banned in the United States for the majority of the population by the end of 2025? | null | 1,735,995,112,349 | 1,738,215,341,269 | 1,738,215,341,269 | YES | 0.97 | 34,530.693394 |
d5INREgtNg | recall-petition-of-joel-engardio-qu | Recall petition of Joel Engardio qualifies for the ballot (2025) | null | 1,735,986,739,004 | 1,749,367,353,531 | 1,749,367,353,531 | YES | 0.972384 | 532.190864 |
P69qqLNyOl | yoon-arrested-by-january-31 | Yoon arrested by January 31? | null | 1,735,978,280,820 | 1,736,958,548,283 | 1,736,958,551,205 | YES | 0.990286 | 1,564.549884 |
hhhILQZsNZ | trump-declassifies-jfk-files-in-fir | Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days? | null | 1,735,977,937,922 | 1,743,232,429,721 | 1,743,232,429,721 | YES | 0.99 | 12,177.734145 |
NzuIyOc8nU | will-marques-brownlee-mkbhd-release-t8q5dgSEly | Will Marques Brownlee (MKBHD) release a review of Avi Schiffman's Friend AI device before the end of June 2025? | null | 1,735,972,869,120 | 1,751,327,978,272 | 1,751,327,978,272 | NO | 0.01 | 1,023.030958 |
hPqR8lgqLq | trump-approval-rating-450-or-higher | Trump approval rating 45.0% or higher on Feb 20th? | null | 1,735,971,473,520 | 1,740,124,740,000 | 1,740,183,988,489 | YES | 0.99 | 98,342.337594 |
dqqdt6u6hE | will-the-sp-500-decrease-by-over-5-PPOE6lOCsN | Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 5% in one day in 2025? | null | 1,735,965,690,051 | 1,743,802,031,066 | 1,743,802,031,066 | YES | 0.98869 | 29,223.238607 |
IdNhPynhRC | will-donald-trump-order-flags-at-fu | Will Donald Trump order flags at full-mast, before the end of Jimmy Carter's 30 day mourning period? | null | 1,735,961,396,936 | 1,737,404,485,704 | 1,737,404,485,704 | YES | 0.995251 | 22,653.951293 |
Agg8SuZPpg | will-carvana-stock-fall-to-100-afte | Will Carvana stock fall to $100 after Hindenberg report? (before March 1st) | null | 1,735,960,452,742 | 1,740,794,916,726 | 1,740,794,916,726 | NO | 0.01 | 103,801.266229 |
OlO0qCcC8S | will-the-adrian-dittman-persona-be | Will the Adrian Dittman persona be revealed as being partially the work of an LLM? | null | 1,735,959,878,161 | 1,736,520,028,292 | 1,736,520,028,292 | NO | 0.014848 | 941.563961 |
u2QOALOlQ5 | is-adrian-dittmann-more-likely-than | Is Adrian Dittmann more likely than not to be Elon Musk, according to a poll of Manifold users Jan 24-29? | null | 1,735,956,779,797 | 1,738,216,740,000 | 1,738,252,848,213 | NO | 0.01 | 2,026.432338 |
5cluIugdCs | will-sam-altman-give-testimony-to-e-2ndSCy5SCn | Will Sam Altman give testimony to either chamber of Congress in 2025? | null | 1,735,953,272,895 | 1,750,037,166,371 | 1,750,037,166,371 | YES | 0.96691 | 513.498325 |
ntPhN82s8E | will-the-ufl-complete-their-2025-se | Will the UFL complete their 2025 season? | null | 1,735,951,933,688 | 1,749,959,940,000 | 1,749,984,419,782 | YES | 0.99 | 9,192.90654 |
uEqzhLddlR | will-i-be-able-to-run-deepseekv3-10--cash | Will I be able to run DeepSeek-V3 100% locally on my home GPU rig by Jan 5th 2025 LIVESTREAMING IN DESCRIPTION! | null | 1,735,948,235,452 | 1,736,150,340,000 | 1,736,202,599,707 | NO | 0.028683 | 280.843576 |
5ccqS59E2q | will-taylor-swift-announce-a-taylor | Will Taylor Swift announce a Taylor's Version of Debut before March 2025? | null | 1,735,945,903,738 | 1,743,490,740,000 | 1,747,777,401,372 | NO | 0.012064 | 1,356.137775 |
IU2yZ6QyqL | will-i-implement-my-ai-markets-prof | Will I implement my AI markets profitting strategy in H1 2025, and will it work? | null | 1,735,943,084,118 | 1,751,342,340,000 | 1,751,390,634,120 | NO | 0.125722 | 2,051.175965 |
LuOuAAc9AP | elon-musk-makes-a-public-bid-for-ti-6Z0U6gIP0l | Elon Musk makes a public bid for TikTok before April 2, 2025 | null | 1,735,938,844,073 | 1,743,552,000,000 | 1,745,303,590,043 | NO | 0.020498 | 1,723.006618 |
08ZtRZqNc8 | will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-5pzptnQugU | Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Jan 6 than it closed on Jan 3? | null | 1,735,937,460,478 | 1,736,531,362,999 | 1,736,531,375,988 | YES | 0.99 | 1,274.472201 |
60R6p606EI | will-there-be-a-paper-published-by | Will there be a paper published by 2027 that says reasoning models are flawed? | null | 1,735,931,822,118 | 1,745,660,805,681 | 1,745,660,805,681 | YES | 0.764627 | 90 |
szsuZ26tUQ | will-starship-flight-7-fly-before-n | Will Starship Flight 7 fly before New Glenn’s Maiden flight? | null | 1,735,931,664,969 | 1,737,028,647,304 | 1,737,028,647,304 | NO | 0.006219 | 64,579.644696 |
uL8RdNU0h0 | will-panfilo-resume-brazilian-jiuji | Will @Panfilo resume Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu by the end of March? | null | 1,735,926,427,928 | 1,743,258,624,635 | 1,743,258,624,635 | NO | 0.497506 | 505 |
qEh0RA98sL | will-a-woman-be-nominated-for-best | Will a woman be nominated for Best Director? (2025 Oscars) | null | 1,735,924,357,331 | 1,737,619,140,000 | 1,737,643,267,790 | YES | 0.669126 | 2,108 |
NE6nPycIIg | will-the-us-archivist-publish-the-e | Will the U.S. archivist publish the Equal Rights Amendment before the end of the Biden administration? | null | 1,735,921,987,209 | 1,737,435,540,000 | 1,737,458,141,226 | NO | 0.010231 | 1,457.318466 |
tlZ9yQPPlC | will-nicky-case-get-all-her-devices | Will Nicky Case get all her devices back before Jan 12th, 2025? | null | 1,735,916,827,422 | 1,736,701,140,000 | 1,737,804,726,667 | NO | 0.066153 | 1,182.636729 |
lPPyE5OsIq | will-x-be-merged-into-xai-in-2025 | Will X be merged into xAI in 2025? | null | 1,735,908,754,918 | 1,743,200,124,467 | 1,743,200,124,467 | YES | 0.968809 | 12,318.464559 |
5uyS0h2zP8 | will-south-korean-president-yoon-su | Will South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol be in police custody before February 1, 2025? | null | 1,735,903,586,338 | 1,736,918,139,041 | 1,736,918,139,041 | YES | 0.987096 | 13,372.153508 |
czPUdZLlut | daily-coinflip-tyORzqnOPN | Daily coinflip | null | 1,735,890,970,749 | 1,736,053,140,000 | 1,736,057,734,894 | YES | 0.49 | 3,762.501042 |
chqPQNCQNn | saquon-barkley-breaks-eric-dickerso | Saquon Barkley breaks Eric Dickerson's single-season rushing record (2,105 yards) by end of 2024 NFL season | null | 1,735,885,387,528 | 1,736,152,035,217 | 1,736,152,035,217 | NO | 0.146884 | 141 |
gOhsSysEdh | will-the-rtx-5090-be-2000-usd-msrp | Will the RTX 5090 be >=2000$ USD MSRP? | null | 1,735,885,298,503 | 1,736,229,586,958 | 1,736,229,586,958 | NO | 0.058983 | 1,110.575369 |
99zLqAAIEn | will-anthropic-have-an-ai-search-pr | Will Anthropic have an AI search product by EOY 2025? | null | 1,735,884,979,480 | 1,742,493,506,808 | 1,742,493,506,808 | YES | 0.98724 | 1,210.923699 |
Ns5s2nupty | will-kelly-jean-be-unbanned-in-dgg | Will Kelly Jean be unbanned in dgg chat the end of June 30 2025? | null | 1,735,884,475,596 | 1,751,353,140,000 | 1,751,531,659,948 | NO | 0.01 | 1,665.556308 |
zzdglSh5Up | bitcoin-above-96k-on-jan-10th | Bitcoin above $96K on Jan 10th? | null | 1,735,883,120,585 | 1,736,582,340,000 | 1,736,609,524,387 | NO | 0.01 | 60,778.162934 |
E8uZ8LzAc8 | will-danny-finish-all-his-college-e | Will Danny Finish all his College Essays before 1/6 | null | 1,735,881,131,590 | 1,736,236,740,000 | 1,736,237,101,491 | YES | 0.984029 | 3,025.692088 |
NhNU892yEh | will-another-state-besides-louisian-AIE6EUpElL | Will another state besides Louisiana require the Ten Commandment in public school classrooms by the end of 2025? | null | 1,735,872,345,795 | 1,750,483,951,685 | 1,750,483,951,685 | YES | 0.99 | 910.452553 |
chdSqpUIl2 | will-mike-johnson-be-approved-as-sp | Will Mike Johnson be approved as speaker on the first vote ? | null | 1,735,872,228,423 | 1,736,054,332,840 | 1,736,054,332,840 | YES | 0.995234 | 3,365.883776 |
SAuhNdPIQg | -will-the-sp-500-spx-close-lower-th-usUyPSg6yR | 🏛⬆️ Will The S&P 500 (SPX) Close Lower Than 5,618 At Any Point During 2025? | null | 1,735,870,197,510 | 1,741,651,707,615 | 1,741,651,707,615 | YES | 0.660604 | 606.056849 |
IZOnyCP5dl | -will-the-sp-500-spx-close-lower-th | 🏛⬆️ Will The S&P 500 (SPX) Close Lower Than 5,783 At Any Point During 2025? | null | 1,735,870,173,466 | 1,741,651,647,623 | 1,741,651,647,623 | YES | 0.99 | 10,777.529233 |
LPAnP5yq0S | will-the-fbi-conclude-that-the-trum | Will the FBI conclude that the Trump Hotel Las Vegas Cybertruck explosion was a terrorist attack by February 1st 2025? | null | 1,735,868,974,356 | 1,738,368,000,000 | 1,738,727,500,695 | NO | 0.047289 | 11,273.783415 |
AhNCAt0LAR | will-pierre-poilievre-win-the-next | Will Pierre Poilievre win the 2025 Canadian federal election? | null | 1,735,868,552,685 | 1,749,788,546,806 | 1,749,788,546,806 | NO | 0.01 | 4,082.093182 |
E96g0sL5Lp | will-auston-matthews-score-40-goals | Will Auston Matthews score 40+ goals during the 2024-2025 NHL regular season? | null | 1,735,868,279,944 | 1,744,948,740,000 | 1,744,983,653,903 | NO | 0.010874 | 908 |
ssO55ZcZ0z | x-formerly-twitter-implements-new-c | X (formerly Twitter) implements new content moderation policy before March 15th, 2025 | null | 1,735,866,995,088 | 1,741,996,800,000 | 1,742,825,698,660 | NO | 0.01 | 894.987437 |
Oztzq9IutL | will-googles-next-videomaking-ai-be | Will Google's next video-making AI be called Veo 3? | null | 1,735,864,553,714 | 1,747,819,756,599 | 1,747,819,756,599 | YES | 0.99 | 10,689.717036 |
tEt9N6tn65 | will-trudeau-announce-he-will-resig | Will Trudeau announce he will resign by the end of march? | null | 1,735,859,974,852 | 1,736,184,439,444 | 1,736,184,439,444 | YES | 0.99 | 1,696.981128 |
ztCcZ2znyA | will-i-attend-aspr-2025-accepted | Will I attend ASPR 2025? (Accepted) | null | 1,735,851,500,111 | 1,735,970,418,566 | 1,735,970,418,566 | YES | 0.900406 | 211 |
zhUNlLh8NL | will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-LNCgL8Nq8d | Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Jan 3 than it closed on Jan 2? | null | 1,735,851,212,561 | 1,735,938,134,073 | 1,735,938,134,073 | YES | 0.99 | 915.145098 |
yd0tnl5plL | will-i-pass-my-driving-test-q9d0lS6RlR | Will I pass my driving test? | null | 1,735,851,105,235 | 1,737,069,304,352 | 1,737,070,173,940 | YES | 0.86008 | 7,941.594042 |
gEtO5nZh8t | will-i-qualify-for-an-international | Will I qualify for an International Olympiad this year? | null | 1,735,850,920,591 | 1,747,003,501,055 | 1,747,003,512,971 | YES | 0.712067 | 4,581 |
IOntZIA6lQ | will-i-be-able-to-run-deepseekv3-10 | Will I be able to run DeepSeek-V3 100% locally on my home GPU rig by Jan 5th 2025 LIVESTREAMING IN DESCRIPTION! | null | 1,735,846,881,303 | 1,736,150,340,000 | 1,736,195,173,110 | NO | 0.01 | 740,679.786622 |
dphuOygUdS | will-the-sp-500-both-increase-and-d-An68Od0t0S | Will 2025 have days where the S&P 500 both increases and decreases by over 5%? | null | 1,735,839,315,328 | 1,744,305,654,639 | 1,744,305,654,639 | YES | 0.99 | 19,009.774211 |
qUSlLEgdL5 | will-trump-sell-25-or-more-of-his-t-Ptdu5nEhSA | Will Trump sell 25% or more of his Truth Social $DJT shares by the end of June 2025? | null | 1,735,832,350,361 | 1,751,329,134,878 | 1,751,329,134,878 | NO | 0.023897 | 549.851096 |
8SC68LpLll | next-major-zelda-game-revealed-befo | Next major Zelda game revealed before Nintendo Switch 2 release | null | 1,735,829,986,186 | 1,749,569,452,109 | 1,749,569,452,109 | NO | 0.01 | 1,203.63068 |
ZRsz2tRC2A | assassins-creed-shadows-achieves-80 | Assassin's Creed Shadows achieves 80+ Metacritic score by March 1st 2025 | null | 1,735,829,504,654 | 1,740,787,200,000 | 1,741,272,889,377 | NO | 0.187454 | 135 |
Py0l26yOLq | will-china-reach-its-2030-renewable | Will China reach its 2030 renewable target of 1200 GW in 2025? | null | 1,735,824,999,104 | 1,735,846,849,972 | 1,735,846,849,972 | YES | 0.902365 | 2,060 |
gNCCNyS9sP | ila-strike-begins-at-eastgulf-coast | ILA strike begins at East/Gulf Coast ports in January 2025 | null | 1,735,818,672,746 | 1,736,899,200,000 | 1,743,745,961,006 | NO | 0.151673 | 2,111.163834 |
c0du9q6hCl | will-severance-season-2-surpass-the | Will Severance Season 2 surpass the critical acclaim of Season 1? | null | 1,735,814,881,610 | 1,737,726,312,813 | 1,737,726,312,813 | YES | 0.936423 | 5,881.754585 |
yZpALnnSSy | boston-celtics-win-the-2025-nba-cha | Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Championship | null | 1,735,811,193,498 | 1,747,450,383,899 | 1,747,450,383,899 | NO | 0.02 | 36,076.412951 |
RhEthpsqLN | will-i-be-impaneled-as-a-jury-membe | Will I be impaneled as a jury member? | null | 1,735,810,149,339 | 1,735,864,200,581 | 1,735,864,200,581 | NO | 0.2 | 100 |
RnPSLCnU9E | will-gpt5-be-released-before-claude | Will GPT-5 be released before Claude 4? | null | 1,735,805,293,841 | 1,747,936,400,376 | 1,747,936,400,376 | NO | 0.01 | 2,541.000123 |
tSZl2Agphy | test-qS0ScCELRQ | TEST | null | 1,735,800,419,790 | 1,735,867,148,766 | 1,735,867,148,766 | YES | 0.632814 | 681.893188 |
hNIh6znhcd | asdasdasczxc | ASDASDASCZXC | null | 1,735,799,288,360 | 1,735,800,398,225 | 1,735,800,398,225 | YES | 0.532657 | 155.24056 |
dIsu8p5pct | bitcoin-dips-below-80k-in-q1 | Bitcoin dips below $80K in Q1? | null | 1,735,793,254,160 | 1,740,712,272,841 | 1,740,712,272,841 | YES | 0.99 | 8,223.102733 |
PuPOz6pQlg | will-a-new-interstellar-object-be-o-p0z68CLnqS | Will a new interstellar object be observed inside the solar system in 2025 ? | null | 1,735,792,767,018 | 1,751,531,225,437 | 1,751,531,225,437 | YES | 0.98065 | 1,980.767811 |
yuuQAdlC5c | bitcoin-hits-120k-in-q1 | Bitcoin hits $120K in Q1? | null | 1,735,792,559,069 | 1,743,490,740,000 | 1,743,492,751,688 | NO | 0.01 | 111,932.46101 |
n5IdyQnQSl | will-english-wikipedia-reach-7m-art-nPLhZCCyys | Will English Wikipedia reach 7M articles before the end of 2025? | null | 1,735,789,091,212 | 1,749,309,656,322 | 1,749,309,656,322 | YES | 0.99 | 1,071.20639 |
8yqh0q8tNO | will-nintendo-release-the-switch-2 | Will Nintendo release the Switch 2 before the end of March 2025? | null | 1,735,781,199,659 | 1,743,479,940,000 | 1,745,442,988,586 | NO | 0.009076 | 23,262.499584 |
CNU86sAuPt | will-manifold-launch-a-new-mobile-a | Will Manifold launch a new mobile app before Feb 10th? | null | 1,735,777,590,969 | 1,739,230,822,890 | 1,739,233,981,848 | NO | 0.009309 | 15,241.053898 |
yRA06h0hNA | will-bluesky-have-36-million-or-mor-pzLAE2RcLO | Will Bluesky have 36 million or more users at the end of 2025? | null | 1,735,776,550,458 | 1,750,725,193,635 | 1,750,725,193,635 | YES | 0.99 | 1,213.609128 |
Z8CqLOzRAq | will-there-be-an-execution-by-firin-ROn5S2QPl0 | Will there be an execution by firing squad in the United States by the end of 2026? | null | 1,735,776,188,021 | 1,741,387,546,369 | 1,741,387,546,369 | YES | 0.985823 | 3,751.487469 |
R5OnzCquc8 | fbi-confirms-direct-connection-betw | FBI confirms direct connection between New Orleans truck attack and Las Vegas Cybertruck explosion by February 1, 2025 | null | 1,735,776,158,800 | 1,738,454,400,000 | 1,738,541,820,748 | NO | 0.012195 | 20,108.161474 |
g92z0ZC9Ip | will-david-lynch-be-alive-at-the-en-E8O2RqLnRn | Will David Lynch be alive at the end of 2025? | null | 1,735,776,156,670 | 1,737,052,312,594 | 1,737,052,312,594 | NO | 0.01 | 1,122.251588 |
lhptQ9psOg | will-contrapoints-release-a-new-mai-pZuNEcA0uc | Will Contrapoints release a new mainline video essay by the end of March 2025? | null | 1,735,775,339,376 | 1,742,906,690,567 | 1,742,906,690,567 | YES | 0.994627 | 15,270.756566 |
LONudh5tln | will-chris-evans-marriage-last-thro-llCLpPh08N | Will Chris Evans' marriage last through 2024? | null | 1,735,775,234,574 | 1,735,933,898,328 | 1,735,933,898,328 | YES | 0.983968 | 8,847.742963 |
8ssOScRpES | will-i-complete-dry-january | Will I complete Dry January? | null | 1,735,772,396,613 | 1,738,385,940,000 | 1,738,412,844,527 | YES | 0.919588 | 724.688727 |
Z05s2IIuUp | openai-demos-an-ai-model-for-comput | OpenAI demos an AI model for 'computer use' in January 2025 | null | 1,735,769,557,961 | 1,737,655,821,104 | 1,737,655,821,104 | YES | 0.99 | 148,082.627414 |
dUpLCNPAZQ | will-the-uk-hsa-advise-that-the-ris | Will the UK HSA advise that the risk to the general public from bird flu is very low at the end of June 2025? | null | 1,735,768,950,072 | 1,751,324,340,000 | 1,751,328,592,757 | YES | 0.968 | 450 |
SNNdNnLZ2q | will-elon-musk-claim-the-cybertruck | Will elon musk claim the cybertruck explosion in Las Vegas was a false flag? | null | 1,735,768,643,380 | 1,737,608,340,000 | 1,737,615,456,690 | NO | 0.018529 | 1,133 |
55ZCluuQZ5 | will-spacex-refly-a-super-heavy-boo | Will SpaceX re-fly a Super Heavy Booster in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions) | null | 1,735,757,089,539 | 1,749,310,305,040 | 1,749,310,305,040 | YES | 0.989532 | 31,650.159451 |
Subsets and Splits
No community queries yet
The top public SQL queries from the community will appear here once available.