Datasets:
CK0607
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closed-manifold

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zSEIpncgU6
will-the-cavaliers-beat-the-warrior
Will the Cavaliers beat the Warriors 73-9 record?
null
1,735,013,102,307
1,737,909,395,054
1,737,909,395,054
NO
0.01
8,963.059442
OygL2PC2Ql
manchester-city-back-in-form-by-end
Will Manchester City win 3 consecutive matches by the end of January?
null
1,734,996,370,546
1,736,626,884,036
1,736,635,011,740
YES
0.946648
3,718.819666
p0ly9C0hEU
will-budda-flee-the-country-before
Will Budda flee the country before the end of 2024?
null
1,734,991,205,348
1,735,685,940,000
1,738,350,680,895
NO
0.01
9,590.783462
n5S55Syd9c
will-magnus-carlsen-repeat-in-2024-s6dOIp0Eh8
Will Magnus Carlsen repeat in 2024 as the FIDE World Blitz Champion?
null
1,734,987,954,003
1,735,690,293,857
1,735,690,293,857
YES
0.991848
6,831.577172
Z8A2OnNz8P
major-ecommerce-platform-blocks-hon
Major e-commerce platform blocks Honey extension before June 2025
null
1,734,981,424,292
1,748,649,600,000
1,748,906,576,564
NO
0.027314
523.941706
lUglpRA6l8
a-lawsuit-is-filed-against-paypalho
A lawsuit is filed against PayPal/Honey over affiliate commission fraud by June 15, 2025
null
1,734,981,403,836
1,735,920,074,027
1,735,920,074,027
YES
0.814708
175
ZE5lIUtNnN
paypal-faces-ftc-investigation-over
PayPal faces FTC investigation over Honey's affiliate marketing practices before March 2025
null
1,734,981,349,495
1,740,700,800,000
1,741,568,616,951
NO
0.039525
11,002.15782
Lupcl86gNh
will-anthropic-release-a-reasoning
Will Anthropic Release a Reasoning model (a la o1) before OpenAI releases o3 for general users.
null
1,734,979,888,480
1,742,825,663,885
1,742,825,663,885
YES
0.99
1,764.224843
sQcAhC6NSh
will-donald-trumps-approval-rating
Will Donald Trump’s approval rating be above 30 on April 1, 2025
null
1,734,978,437,662
1,743,825,540,000
1,743,987,728,470
YES
0.99
2,297.21877
QnAlqUg6At
will-i-reach-platinum-league-by-sea
Will I reach Platinum league by Season 20
null
1,734,971,021,001
1,735,669,740,000
1,735,815,926,199
YES
0.04786
1,446.192177
nPSLlnLnpy
will-donald-trump-die-in-2024
Will Donald Trump Die in 2024?
null
1,734,968,684,071
1,735,711,140,000
1,735,746,916,279
NO
0.010072
1,481.604621
6EOPIqyllI
will-belgium-have-a-federal-governm
Will Belgium have a federal government before the end of January 2025?
null
1,734,951,072,538
1,738,277,940,000
1,738,393,214,479
NO
0.29
403.688976
tnnzS2tCcs
will-o4-be-announced-in-2025
Will o4 be announced in 2025?
null
1,734,948,920,914
1,747,576,802,002
1,747,576,802,002
YES
0.828955
16,713.058804
hhPI0Zn86c
nato-raises-defence-spending-target
NATO raises defence spending target above 2% GDP by July 2025
null
1,734,942,940,208
1,750,925,220,271
1,750,925,220,271
YES
0.929976
408.341201
hzRh25stS9
pturkey-launches-major-ground-offen
Turkey launches major ground offensive into Syria before March 1st 2025
null
1,734,941,496,840
1,740,780,000,000
1,740,787,729,277
NO
0.01
1,156.663082
lSgus6ONEI
will-o1-score-60-on-the-rebus-bench
Will o1 score ≥60% on the REBUS benchmark?
null
1,734,931,506,612
1,740,725,940,000
1,741,729,068,614
YES
0.885749
1,905
6ug6qP0pt9
trudeau-out-before-april
Trudeau out before April?
null
1,734,912,851,909
1,736,182,676,179
1,736,182,676,179
YES
0.994008
32,863.573722
F6HSHzKezk
will-improving-the-welfare-of-ais-a
Will "Improving the Welfare of AIs: A Nearcasted Pr..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
null
1,734,911,864,925
1,738,368,000,000
1,738,963,454,688
YES
0.096359
43.883292
QgLtsc6ZSl
will-there-be-any-break-between-one-cANOsPuZup
Will there be any break between One Piece chapters 1135 and 1136?
null
1,734,901,406,463
1,736,015,612,589
1,736,015,615,237
YES
0.52503
384
qtt50PRqhu
will-there-be-any-break-between-kag-tqc6PgO26l
Will there be any break between Kagurabachi chapters 63 and 64?
null
1,734,901,367,840
1,735,891,140,000
1,736,015,582,230
YES
0.5
200
c9stt6LEPu
will-israel-launch-an-attack-on-ira-Q5gysnORZs
Will Israel launch an attack on Iran’s nuclear program before Trump’s inauguration?
null
1,734,894,709,518
1,737,395,234,432
1,737,395,234,432
NO
0.01
16,954.659342
qLts20NStz
when-will-manifold-markets-add-a-fo
Will Manifold Markets add a forum feature by the end of 2025?
null
1,734,886,674,409
1,749,061,469,258
1,749,061,469,258
YES
0.757803
93,323.281687
csEp9hOnhL
will-there-be-a-new-nonpromotional
Will there be a new non-promotional addition to the McDonald’s menu before March 1st 2025?
null
1,734,861,996,079
1,740,891,540,000
1,741,416,964,074
NO
0.074524
270
nZZg6qA0Ph
will-new-jersey-declare-a-state-of
Will New Jersey declare a state of emergency over mystery drones?
null
1,734,818,856,193
1,738,385,940,000
1,739,298,780,119
NO
0.01
894.987437
cgqSEnyIqz
will-schoof-resign-as-netherlands-p
Will Schoof resign as Netherlands PM in 2024?
null
1,734,818,762,591
1,736,322,909,185
1,736,322,909,185
NO
0.01
917.119046
SctNOEUtQ2
mystery-drones-searching-for-nuclea
Mystery Drones searching for nuclear weapons?
null
1,734,818,372,510
1,736,082,338,120
1,736,082,338,120
NO
0.01
1,056.29843
9Q808Su0Zh
debt-ceiling-raised-or-suspended-by
Debt ceiling raised or suspended by inauguration?
null
1,734,817,818,843
1,737,698,242,289
1,737,698,242,289
NO
0.01
953.775316
Rcd5qQt0yI
will-openai-release-a-model-which-p
Will OpenAI release a model which performs chain-of-thought on image tokens / visual scratchpad before 2026?
null
1,734,815,866,119
1,744,992,957,359
1,744,992,957,359
YES
0.726285
353.511486
nCNuUULzRU
will-o4-be-released-before-jun-2025
Will o4 be released before Jun 2025?
null
1,734,814,871,427
1,748,893,015,934
1,748,893,015,934
NO
0.007514
1,630.527239
sunc8Ny9Ug
will-penn-state-defeat-boise-state
Will Penn State defeat Boise State on December 31?
null
1,734,813,274,605
1,735,737,043,010
1,735,737,043,010
YES
0.990041
11,121.618046
7jn5aDadcM
will-why-im-joining-anthropic-make
Will "Why I'm joining Anthropic" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
null
1,734,809,148,593
1,738,368,000,000
1,738,963,623,013
NO
0.1
38.883292
8gzdyuRRQC
dalle-4-s6qlt0gPLU
DALL-E 4
null
1,734,801,115,729
1,735,678,740,000
1,735,773,696,750
NO
0.53
115.428399
UU9tqs9Clu
will-there-be-another-money-stuff-n
Will there be another Money Stuff newsletter in 2024?
null
1,734,748,378,912
1,735,721,184,141
1,735,721,184,141
NO
0.018859
8,023.63015
NynqPtsCqU
francois-chollet-to-declare-o3-as-a
François Chollet to declare o3 as AGI before May 2025?
null
1,734,735,262,593
1,745,967,600,000
1,745,985,293,524
NO
0.01
10,073.537643
L6d5utRls9
will-a-chinese-ai-developer-announc
Will a Chinese AI developer announce a model rivaling o3 performance by February 2025?
null
1,734,731,247,091
1,738,483,140,000
1,738,483,541,299
NO
0.01
2,928.069067
Eyz00NZO0O
will-the-nintendo-switch-2-logo-loo
Will the Nintendo Switch 2 logo look like this?
null
1,734,729,400,100
1,737,032,941,340
1,737,032,941,340
YES
0.99
1,201.015174
2WpPRrqrFQ
will-modal-fixpoint-cooperation-wit
Will "Modal Fixpoint Cooperation without Löb's Theorem" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
null
1,734,727,967,373
1,738,368,000,000
1,738,963,628,492
NO
0.20357
10
nzu9QhgtIl
is-this-video-of-a-911-cheerleading
Is this video of a 9/11 cheerleading routine AI generated?
null
1,734,726,356,582
1,749,743,373,473
1,749,743,373,473
NO
0.01
2,156.146954
esaaewdyr7
will-psa-the-community-is-in-berkel
Will "PSA: The community is in Berkeley/Oakland, no..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
null
1,734,725,483,609
1,738,368,000,000
1,738,963,639,669
NO
0.05
164.076369
OylE9tuN9n
will-an-llm-break-1400-elo-on-lmsys
Will an LLM break 1400 ELO on LMSys before February?
null
1,734,721,071,666
1,738,429,425,385
1,738,429,425,385
NO
0.010411
150,907.711029
0cphIUZ6RC
will-any-other-independent-middleea
Will any other independent Middle-Eastern country get a higher score than Israel on the 2025 Gay Travel Index?
null
1,734,718,884,021
1,740,203,940,000
1,741,723,789,864
NO
0.094251
210
QQtE28CcUE
will-openai-release-an-o2-or-o3-sig
Will openAI release an o2 or o3 signup page, limited release or full release as part of their 12 days of Christmas?
null
1,734,701,328,273
1,734,730,906,092
1,737,567,684,858
YES
0.352247
18,912.349115
6EPZRuOS2E
if-i-try-to-fight-paypal-for-my-350
If I try to fight Paypal for my $350 back, will I win?
null
1,734,666,112,758
1,740,001,006,521
1,740,001,006,521
YES
0.837743
455
S0O668hZA0
will-chelsea-win-the-202425-premier-s2NlPnIPSN
Will Chelsea win the 2024/25 Premier League?
null
1,734,656,175,515
1,745,797,555,183
1,745,797,555,183
NO
0.01
9,794.466423
nnqlQ8Ugcl
will-mkbhd-review-the-pocket-ai-ass
will mkbhd review the pocket AI assistant by the end of January 2025?
null
1,734,634,453,049
1,738,385,940,000
1,738,386,655,067
NO
0.014607
758.670461
ugy5SlSsE2
willl-bryan-caplan-author-of-dont-b
Willl Bryan Caplan, author of "Don't be a Feminist", write about Gisèle Pelicot before May?
null
1,734,628,707,741
1,746,144,000,000
1,746,152,851,559
NO
0.029174
598.184486
CyU55RLdRl
before-20250701-will-tmobile-usa-pu
Before 2025.07.01 will T-Mobile USA publicly announce a decision to drop Nokia as a RAN vendor?
null
1,734,625,985,907
1,751,428,218,137
1,751,428,218,137
NO
0.01
8,957.225149
sgR9AQnzEI
will-elon-musk-pump-fartcoin
Will Elon Musk pump fartcoin?
null
1,734,625,756,439
1,745,729,940,000
1,745,801,659,189
NO
0.01
1,049.120797
uSZASpQQ5O
will-honda-and-nissan-officially-an
Will Honda and Nissan officially announce a merger agreement by March 17, 2025?
null
1,734,625,497,132
1,742,256,000,000
1,742,281,397,323
NO
0.01
12,180.283612
gqdN8SQUZQ
f1-2025-will-liam-lawson-oracle-red
F1 2025: Will Liam Lawson (Oracle Red Bull Racing) be replaced by another driver during the season?
null
1,734,623,618,359
1,743,753,792,406
1,743,753,792,406
YES
0.99
8,596.072743
pLE2ldQ6ZZ
will-any-ai-reach-20-performance-on
Will any AI reach 20%+ performance on FrontierMath by December 31st 2026?
null
1,734,607,189,594
1,735,763,502,252
1,735,763,502,252
YES
0.977992
270,818.141084
9IZ5gcPCcn
will-the-gavle-goat-surviva-2024
Will the Gävle goat survive 2024?
null
1,734,595,380,380
1,735,705,000,145
1,735,705,000,145
YES
0.99
1,499.010909
8Zd8UslUtd
will-i-get-a-primes-interview-2025
Will I get a PRIMES interview (2025 cycle)?
null
1,734,587,303,981
1,736,524,399,750
1,736,524,399,750
NO
0.153503
2,722.089562
UQU26dOO0d
will-i-get-a-9-on-aime
Will I get a 9+ on AIME?
null
1,734,544,513,526
1,739,465,557,454
1,739,465,557,454
NO
0.189504
476.389743
lRZgUUl8As
iranian-rial-reaches-1-million-to-o
Iranian rial reaches 1 million to one USD in unofficial markets by end of 2025
null
1,734,542,446,989
1,742,304,638,708
1,742,304,638,708
YES
0.77941
1,059.706558
OdqAQOPE8h
will-i-recover-from-a-60-account-lo
Will I recover from a -60% account loss by the end of the year?
null
1,734,517,665,354
1,735,707,540,000
1,735,807,834,041
YES
0.857901
2,967.214775
AEd6lCACyZ
will-towana-looney-have-the-longest
Will Towana Looney have the longest lasting pig kidney xenotransplant so far?
null
1,734,515,420,777
1,737,532,740,000
1,737,829,045,649
YES
0.749484
117.214263
bkfgTSHhm3
will-loudly-give-up-dont-quietly-fa
Will "Loudly Give Up, Don't Quietly Fade" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
null
1,734,515,257,179
1,738,368,000,000
1,738,963,646,812
YES
0.246292
10.246936
5ApRLEUO2c
will-another-trudeau-cabinet-minist
Will another Trudeau cabinet minister resign in protest before end of January?
null
1,734,508,259,981
1,736,254,327,800
1,736,254,327,800
NO
0.035605
4,383.869186
NQAySnyyd8
30-days-from-today-will-gamestop-ha-26O55NsOzd
30 days from today, will Gamestop have the same CEO as today?
null
1,734,499,476,347
1,737,176,340,000
1,737,178,255,675
YES
0.99
1,024.220412
gP6ypIII8t
will-bitcoin-surpass-112500-before
Will bitcoin surpass $112,500 before the end of 2024?
null
1,734,482,063,325
1,735,707,540,000
1,735,736,768,726
NO
0.01284
4,224.762176
nNqNllc2Z8
will-jimmy-carter-beat-the-avg-life
Will Jimmy Carter beat the avg life expectancy of 98.41 year old men at the time he got into hospice care?
null
1,734,481,917,506
1,743,814,165,729
1,743,814,165,729
NO
0.014434
1,557.983903
EURPRUCzc5
will-donald-trump-publicly-disparag
Will Donald Trump publicly disparage Elon Musk on social media anytime during his presidency?
null
1,734,479,770,810
1,749,167,111,667
1,749,167,111,667
YES
0.99
2,043.01615
Eu862uP02N
openai-becomes-a-forprofit-before-a
OpenAI becomes a for-profit before April 2025?
null
1,734,477,540,889
1,743,663,540,000
1,743,693,026,909
NO
0.01
1,034.87257
APPgpOL6t5
ghostty-reaches-1000-github-stars-w
Ghostty reaches 1000+ GitHub stars within 1 week of release
null
1,734,469,874,394
1,736,527,096,975
1,736,527,096,975
YES
0.986306
10,438.668632
nqZzhcuSzP
will-there-be-a-new-top-meta-deck-i
Will there be a new top meta deck in modern with the recent banning and unbanning?
null
1,734,445,723,919
1,742,149,740,000
1,743,701,917,306
YES
0.703402
62.001109
EnCtlAt0S6
trump-reverses-bidens-ukraine-longr
Trump reverses Biden's Ukraine long-range missile policy by March 1st, 2025
null
1,734,425,448,084
1,740,787,200,000
1,740,787,700,370
NO
0.048755
1,163.79744
HcJPJxkyCs
will-statement-on-ai-extinction-sig-Rgp028AUAs
Will "Statement on AI Extinction - Signed by AGI La..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
null
1,734,414,075,178
1,738,368,000,000
1,738,963,654,608
YES
0.11
26.729914
2OE9zE2zgg
gpt5-released-to-the-public-by-may
GPT-5 released to the public by May 30, 2025?
null
1,734,398,481,730
1,748,649,600,000
1,748,892,983,751
NO
0.008648
15,938.981321
lEqPuszRQ9
will-i-jose-find-a-gf-before-end-of
Will I [Jose] find a gf before end of 2025?
null
1,734,387,608,135
1,751,139,275,979
1,751,139,275,979
YES
0.977702
907.479698
6ZLhyyOPNN
will-bitcoin-hit-112k-in-december
Will Bitcoin hit $112K in December?
null
1,734,385,643,680
1,735,711,140,000
1,735,847,854,117
NO
0.014449
2,197.136869
QQZU5nCOs8
will-trudeau-resign-by-the-end-of-2
Will Trudeau announce he will resign by the end of 2024?
null
1,734,378,255,255
1,735,793,940,000
1,735,859,945,743
NO
0.01
4,082.994633
wByPb6syhx
will-8-examples-informing-my-pessim
Will "8 examples informing my pessimism on uploadin..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
null
1,734,377,614,437
1,738,368,000,000
1,738,963,664,536
NO
0.12
16.455678
8hI5AEPRL0
will-teslanasdaqtsla-have-a-signifi
Will Tesla(NASDAQ(TSLA)) have a significant drawdown (>40%) in 2025?
null
1,734,347,641,352
1,741,641,207,948
1,741,641,213,989
YES
0.99
16,577.84436
NAjM4y26yY
will-high-status-eschews-quantifica-uuORRyIgnL
Will "High Status Eschews Quantification of Performance" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
null
1,734,335,143,244
1,738,368,000,000
1,738,963,689,045
NO
0.053114
150
uA4Dmm4cWx
will-x-distracts-from-y-as-a-thinly
Will "“X distracts from Y” as a thinly-disguised fi..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
null
1,734,334,936,517
1,738,368,000,000
1,738,963,696,145
NO
0.149603
7
uauTcRiLse
will-would-you-work-harder-in-the-l
Will "Would You Work Harder In The Least Convenient..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
null
1,734,315,676,407
1,738,368,000,000
1,738,963,703,231
NO
0.133308
5
sLuUQcU06c
-2024-nfl-will-any-week-18-game-end
🏈 2024 NFL: Will any Week 18 game end in Scorigami?
null
1,734,307,416,104
1,736,139,540,000
1,736,139,739,486
NO
0.06001
430
0ZUgu2LSUc
will-jameis-wilson-have-another-3-i
Will Jameis Wilson have another 3+ INT game in this season?
null
1,734,303,626,035
1,736,213,227,922
1,736,213,227,922
NO
0.307017
60
EzSH9698Dh
will-my-current-lk99-questions-make
Will "My current LK99 questions" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
null
1,734,295,684,054
1,738,368,000,000
1,738,963,711,321
NO
0.05
164.076369
NpILIcROR9
will-the-chiefs-score-more-than-30
Will the Chiefs score more than 30 points in a game this season?
null
1,734,288,216,116
1,737,945,710,297
1,737,945,710,297
YES
0.99
15,896.259059
cZIAgQs6gE
will-i-have-a-job-a-drivers-license
Will I have a job, a driver's license, and my own place by May 2025?
null
1,734,286,410,636
1,746,158,340,000
1,746,174,146,194
NO
0.01
29,592.28032
Rn5SZSI80q
will-a-disaster-occur-related-to-th
Will a disaster occur related to the "drones" before end of 2024?
null
1,734,221,422,461
1,735,707,540,000
1,735,737,935,176
NO
0.01
12,606.835748
t5Un26SRIL
eliezer-yudkowsky-and-robin-hanson
Eliezer Yudkowsky and Robin Hanson will watch this video before Trump gets inaugurated.
null
1,734,218,271,176
1,737,401,045,394
1,737,401,045,394
NO
0.029002
17,933.781834
nlzQItLnl5
pep-guardiola-sacked
Pep Guardiola sacked this season?
null
1,734,218,246,706
1,748,192,667,547
1,748,192,667,547
NO
0.01
6,785.031934
IzyCL58zqP
will-iran-hit-israel-within-7-month
Will Iran hit Israel within 7 months of being attacked by them?
null
1,734,215,668,533
1,741,463,647,325
1,741,463,647,325
NO
0.128866
160
ztdnPqSpS8
will-nonhuman-intelligence-become-a
Will non-human intelligence become a leading "mainstream media" theory for the cause of the "drones" before end of 2024?
null
1,734,202,072,777
1,735,707,540,000
1,735,737,748,955
NO
0.03893
6,368.829884
ZlI2ZsZNzU
will-any-of-the-three-flat-earth-pa
Will any of the three flat earth participants on "The Final Experiment" renounce their belief in flat earth before 2026?
null
1,734,196,998,628
1,741,457,341,533
1,741,457,341,533
YES
0.99
25,371.159768
RdpydI5hNU
will-i-make-usaco-camp-this-year
Will I make Usaco Camp this year
null
1,734,155,794,874
1,746,252,012,885
1,746,252,021,402
YES
0.958705
6,590.60136
6zUAPUt0IA
in-his-first-official-day-will-trum
In his first official day, will Trump pardon anyone who trespassed into the US Capitol Building on January 6th, 2021?
null
1,734,153,587,589
1,737,420,450,248
1,737,420,450,248
YES
0.81
244.153864
6PllChSQOt
will-manifold-loans-have-a-leverage
Will Manifold loans have a leverage cap per market before July 2025
null
1,734,153,191,102
1,740,771,924,608
1,740,773,986,506
YES
0.37978
3,499.508045
gUQSSNIQzC
austin-tice-found-alive-in-syria
Will Austin Tice found alive in Syria by March?
null
1,734,153,053,073
1,740,787,200,000
1,741,020,067,499
NO
0.034138
440
cpLtgRQ056
will-manifold-bring-back-the-newbie
will Manifold bring back the newbies subpage by Jan 1, 2025?
null
1,734,152,707,785
1,735,707,540,000
1,735,713,839,683
NO
0.031773
6,048.396056
phUuQtS0hP
if-pete-hegseth-is-nominated-for-se
If Pete Hegseth is nominated for Secretary of Defense, will John Fetterman vote to confirm him?
null
1,734,146,291,453
1,737,771,792,245
1,737,771,792,245
NO
0.09679
10,639.514709
lRqgh0sZZ6
will-1000-people-reportedly-die-fro
Will 1000 people reportedly die from the unknown flu-like disease spreading in the Congo before February 2025?
null
1,734,139,539,354
1,738,396,740,000
1,738,479,457,724
NO
0.024201
5,362.170496
ZOISEzPnln
elon-musk-is-indicted-by-the-doj-se
Elon Musk is indicted by the DOJ / SEC for securities fraud before 2025?
null
1,734,133,576,050
1,735,750,740,000
1,735,750,875,174
NO
0.034487
5,349.65732
d9Sh0PEIEn
multiple-ballots-needed-to-elect-sp
Multiple ballots needed to elect the first Speaker of 119th Congress in January 2025?
null
1,734,123,828,261
1,735,933,045,900
1,735,933,045,900
NO
0.005333
51,724.369636
gNUURzzuSI
will-trump-ever-have-a-net-positive
Will Trump ever have a net positive approval rating? (Read Description)
null
1,734,108,219,494
1,740,065,004,672
1,740,065,004,672
YES
0.978368
8,679.850037
qhNntsL6EU
will-march-2025-be-the-hottest-marc
Will March 2025 be the hottest March ever? [NCEI]
null
1,734,106,231,984
1,744,297,200,000
1,744,552,562,487
NO
0.034732
17,640.558354
LL5nR22ccU
will-francois-bayrou-still-be-the-p
Will François Bayrou still be the prime minister of France on March 1st, 2025?
null
1,734,103,898,343
1,740,815,375,511
1,740,815,375,511
YES
0.99
2,817.378531