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pyZPEuy8nI
will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-QSL96EREuz
Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Jan 16 than it closed on Jan 15?
null
1,736,974,276,332
1,737,061,317,899
1,737,061,317,899
NO
0.177968
495.241235
qNyPUZStzh
will-netanyahu-remain-prime-ministe
Will Netanyahu remain Prime Minister through January 31, 2025?
null
1,736,973,570,447
1,738,413,534,021
1,738,413,534,021
YES
0.99
1,375.759923
NZgqzgtuCs
will-the-first-day-of-the-ceasefire
Will the first day of the ceasefire (January 19, 2025) pass with zero Israeli airstrikes on Gaza?
null
1,736,973,142,523
1,737,366,804,864
1,737,366,804,864
NO
0.007299
7,939.951152
LZqRChOl9P
will-biden-pardon-anyone-on-january
Will Biden pardon anyone in his final two days in office?
null
1,736,965,465,548
1,737,341,409,707
1,737,341,409,707
YES
0.991251
16,931.713602
AQLN6PqZdl
will-trumps-second-inauguration-add
Will Trump's second inauguration address be >50% longer than his first inauguration address? (by word count)
null
1,736,960,791,439
1,737,359,940,000
1,737,418,240,660
YES
0.501524
8,549.216403
2UOytztAsq
will-the-la-clippers-beat-the-brook
Will the LA Clippers Beat the Brooklyn Nets on 1-15?
null
1,736,954,596,739
1,737,031,844,110
1,737,031,844,110
YES
0.99
9,023.126798
PsESZ5ZpUn
at-least-one-member-of-the-bibas-fa
At least one member of the Bibas family confirmed alive by March 31st, 2025
null
1,736,936,199,775
1,738,393,818,392
1,738,393,818,392
YES
0.92
324.068309
NuuLU6R2dE
daily-coinflip-85PglynpdN
Daily coinflip
null
1,736,927,609,027
1,737,089,940,000
1,737,099,706,884
NO
0.495074
10,131.510818
9O8pQC2uUc
will-i-lift-weights-today-U52zdZNpyP
Will I lift weights today?
null
1,736,917,234,490
1,737,003,540,000
1,737,006,849,908
NO
0.505332
66
68ZRZ90OZ8
will-the-take-it-down-act-pass-cong
Will the TAKE IT DOWN Act pass Congress by July 1st 2025?
null
1,736,916,800,718
1,747,057,448,086
1,747,057,472,963
YES
0.95
815.33996
hsO69CdURs
will-fico-lose-a-vote-of-no-confide
Will Fico lose a vote of no confidence before March?
null
1,736,915,085,214
1,740,869,940,000
1,740,870,331,817
NO
0.009532
940.607601
NLLE6hppp0
will-china-allow-westerners-to-cont
Will China allow westerners to continue interacting with Chinese on Xiaohongshu/RedNote?
null
1,736,912,471,460
1,741,957,140,000
1,742,520,701,178
YES
0.963842
2,522.444483
OItNyCRg6h
will-biden-issue-any-preemptive-par
Will Biden issue a preemptive pardon?
null
1,736,896,228,762
1,737,386,918,512
1,737,386,918,512
YES
0.996934
52,929.567165
55pCncZl5C
will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-OP89hdShzS
Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Jan 15 than it closed on Jan 14?
null
1,736,888,889,427
1,736,974,965,364
1,736,974,965,364
YES
0.99
941.81912
Ltlg9Zqtt2
will-cryptocurrency-solana-sol-reac-pRCnSug50q
Will cryptocurrency Solana $SOL reach a new all-time high in calendar year 2025?
null
1,736,885,534,815
1,737,295,647,087
1,737,295,647,087
YES
0.98905
887
LpdzCgdgRl
will-i-drink-three-litres-of-water
Will I drink three litres of water a day until the end of the month?
null
1,736,879,352,060
1,738,346,650,184
1,738,346,650,184
YES
0.945171
891.122719
SphuEZN252
will-franco-colapinto-race-in-f1-in
Will franco colapinto race in F1 in 2025
null
1,736,879,342,639
1,749,417,385,291
1,749,417,385,291
YES
0.99
1,119.295283
PNIzgOUPN0
will-the-fda-announce-a-new-regulat
Will the FDA announce a new regulation around cigarettes in the next 4 months?
null
1,736,873,773,695
1,747,155,540,000
1,749,263,084,997
NO
0.056327
4,048
NLE2Cup0qC
will-spacexs-transporter-12-launch
Will SpaceX’s Transporter 12 launch on January 15 local time?
null
1,736,871,314,803
1,736,882,289,501
1,736,882,289,501
NO
0.029905
578.446381
RuCLgyEgg5
are-aisafetymemes-tweets-factually
Are AISafetyMemes' tweets factually correct?
null
1,736,871,163,595
1,742,079,540,000
1,743,414,554,453
YES
0.200086
8,923.708999
znZ9szhtN9
yes-tc5tgRuEAy
yes
null
1,736,866,558,547
1,736,866,574,013
1,736,866,574,013
YES
0.83005
121
6dSdlluqyd
elon-musk-addresses-path-of-exile-c
Elon Musk addresses Path of Exile cheating rumours by end of February
null
1,736,864,105,288
1,737,497,182,387
1,737,497,182,387
YES
0.899125
6,020.877001
AsC8A5QQsh
will-bitcoin-surpass-99000-by-the-e
Will bitcoin surpass $99,000 by the end of January 2025?
null
1,736,862,044,435
1,737,205,878,292
1,737,205,878,292
YES
0.99
993.590928
Iq2QQtpIQl
will-i-lift-weights-today-S5qNnnLqIA
Will I lift weights today?
null
1,736,841,146,556
1,736,917,140,000
1,736,917,201,691
YES
0.416959
42
czN0CqsNCd
will-the-philadelphia-eagles-swoop-nqEpgdAScE
Will the Philadelphia Eagles swoop the LA Rams?
null
1,736,828,196,463
1,737,328,666,411
1,737,328,666,411
YES
0.990794
28,393.742825
6lyIEtpE2I
will-topick-finish-develoopment-by
Will Topick finish develoopment by Jan 15 2025
null
1,736,826,411,992
1,736,826,727,239
1,736,826,727,239
YES
0.36
70
stC29AZqtz
will-topick-finish-development-by-j
Will topick finish development by Jan 15 2025?
null
1,736,825,536,223
1,736,825,909,396
1,736,825,909,396
YES
0.64
70
lc2Rddzdnt
trump-authorizes-major-military-ope
Trump authorizes major military operation against Houthis in Yemen within first 100 days of taking office
null
1,736,825,240,698
1,742,076,460,690
1,742,076,460,690
YES
0.9
5,617.657392
C9Rp92NCUt
will-israel-and-hamas-agree-to-a-ce
Will Israel and Hamas agree to a ceasefire deal before Trump’s inauguration?
null
1,736,823,501,817
1,737,215,418,763
1,737,215,418,763
YES
0.990477
353,710.910151
np0EgAUyAP
elon-musk-acquires-tiktok-us-operat
Elon Musk acquires TikTok US operations by Jan 19, 2025
null
1,736,822,571,908
1,737,331,200,000
1,737,334,151,023
NO
0.012012
1,417.518279
APuEl02Z9u
uk-labour-government-announces-new
UK Labour Government announces new national grooming gangs inquiry before July 2025
null
1,736,820,072,141
1,750,948,491,883
1,750,948,491,883
YES
0.991415
3,588.155744
ySSPSS92ug
will-the-california-wildfires-all-b
Will the California wildfires all be contained by MLK day?
null
1,736,818,853,123
1,737,436,701,481
1,737,436,701,481
NO
0.01
985.471308
tIO8AQt08n
the-peoples-bid-mccourtoleary-group
The People's Bid (McCourt/O'Leary group) acquires TikTok by April 1st 2025
null
1,736,815,721,507
1,743,465,600,000
1,744,495,971,881
NO
0.124649
165
yZtt9QqN66
elon-musk-or-x-corp-acquires-tiktok
Elon Musk or X Corp. acquires TikTok before April 1st, 2025
null
1,736,815,521,151
1,743,379,200,000
1,744,232,787,601
NO
0.01
2,097.163122
Zs9RNlpt0N
will-president-be-impeached-by-febu
Will President 윤석율 be impeached by Febuary 1 2025
null
1,736,815,366,209
1,738,479,540,000
1,740,203,738,482
YES
0.958024
805.281509
PuPctSulsZ
will-novak-djokovic-be-a-finalist-a--cash
Will Novak Djokovic be a finalist at the 2025 Australian Open?
null
1,736,810,161,551
1,737,709,288,079
1,737,845,232,915
NO
0.008083
969.922488
ppyRRU088u
will-russoukrainian-prisoner-exchan
Will a Russo-Ukrainian prisoner exchange involving at least ten (10) North Koreans occur before Q3, 2025?
null
1,736,804,169,328
1,751,410,740,000
1,751,578,561,205
NO
0.035899
8,117.893369
Q90c8tyZCp
will-jannik-sinner-be-a-finalist-at
Will Jannik Sinner be a finalist at the 2025 Australian Open?
null
1,736,804,049,425
1,737,720,204,593
1,737,720,204,593
YES
0.99
1,104.737389
0LSEIOOlSg
will-carlos-alcaraz-be-a-finalist-a
Will Carlos Alcaraz be a finalist at the 2025 Australian Open?
null
1,736,803,620,994
1,737,473,253,092
1,737,473,253,092
NO
0.01
1,352.355206
hn6O9PUQN0
will-the-baltimore-ravens-claw-the-0n8Onp0nOI
Will the Baltimore Ravens claw the Buffalo Bills?
null
1,736,803,575,282
1,737,340,795,903
1,737,340,795,903
NO
0.007133
21,337.227256
LL5uOE0L5p
will-the-washington-commanders-domi-Q5ycES8utg
Will the Washington Commanders conquer the Detroit Lions?
null
1,736,803,509,369
1,737,260,682,522
1,737,260,682,522
YES
0.989932
25,028.318572
856NEAynSI
will-the-united-states-steel-corpor
Will the United States Steel Corporation (US Steel) be sold in 2025?
null
1,736,803,470,256
1,751,034,733,169
1,751,034,733,169
YES
0.987713
14,222.852728
ugu6S0uu8q
will-the-houston-texans-trample-the-II8sAntCs8
Will the Houston Texans trample the Kansas City Chiefs?
null
1,736,803,452,034
1,737,246,588,512
1,737,246,588,512
NO
0.010041
19,673.043891
2OSZR6P6CN
will-alexander-zverev-be-a-finalist
Will Alexander Zverev be a finalist at the 2025 Australian Open?
null
1,736,803,353,560
1,737,709,249,555
1,737,709,249,555
YES
0.992304
1,251.480687
ZREQSSqA5I
will-an-australian-make-it-to-any-f
Will an Australian make it to any final in the 2025 Australian Open?
null
1,736,801,321,999
1,737,562,343,713
1,737,562,343,713
YES
0.989531
11,095.171165
cuEZALcyZZ
will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-CdOs6c2ASA
Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Jan 14 than it closed on Jan 13?
null
1,736,801,093,508
1,736,888,532,841
1,736,888,532,841
YES
0.979284
1,531.555619
OS6hZ5sAzd
will-topick-be-able-to-finish-mvp-d
Will Topick be able to finish MVP development before Jan 15?
null
1,736,797,054,351
1,736,824,717,028
1,736,824,717,028
YES
0.629811
60
EASQCht5Ut
will-there-be-an-upset-in-the-20242
Will there be an upset in the 2024-25 NFL divisional round?
null
1,736,792,319,543
1,737,260,744,429
1,737,260,744,429
YES
0.99
1,086.341104
cIz8O8COg2
will-the-nintendo-switch-successor-cqyltzSsUy
Will the Nintendo switch successor console be revealed on January 16th of this year?
null
1,736,790,170,231
1,737,032,979,279
1,737,032,979,279
YES
0.987945
10,520.17561
u2tQttQQ0C
will-an-israelhamas-hostage-deal-be
Will an Israel-Hamas hostage deal be announced before Trump is inaugurated?
null
1,736,784,629,418
1,737,163,748,339
1,737,163,748,339
YES
0.981889
3,482.847944
6CcSlZp59g
youtube-ships-automated-dubbing-bet
YouTube ships automated dubbing between languages by mid 2026
null
1,736,780,976,059
1,736,785,388,131
1,736,785,388,131
YES
0.84112
1,650
zcRA2ICzSC
will-my-quantum-portfolio-perform-b
Will my "quantum" portfolio perform better than S&P 500 over the next six months?
null
1,736,779,042,581
1,749,589,140,000
1,749,593,770,174
YES
0.989539
28,804.511687
l8NUULdE0z
will-novak-djokovic-be-a-finalist-a
Will Novak Djokovic be a finalist at the 2025 Australian Open?
null
1,736,778,335,165
1,737,709,288,079
1,737,709,288,079
NO
0.003828
1,858.358214
Aq2sppZs0E
will-this-question-get-30-traders
Will this question get 30 traders?
null
1,736,769,806,636
1,737,395,596,553
1,737,395,596,553
YES
0.990894
1,786.674292
u6gIIQC0sE
daily-coinflip-NsUngz09gz
Daily coinflip
null
1,736,761,883,968
1,736,917,140,000
1,736,927,593,520
YES
0.503917
11,923.681335
Q0NgAsOQzy
will-supreme-court-delay-the-tiktok
Will Supreme Court delay the Tiktok ban?
null
1,736,757,874,145
1,737,133,544,834
1,737,133,544,834
NO
0.01
1,335.53115
qz2NQ82As5
jerusalem-experiences-snowfall-befo
Jerusalem experiences snowfall before February 28, 2025
null
1,736,756,107,750
1,740,700,800,000
1,740,723,787,282
NO
0.01
3,148.604356
596Ut58sQU
will-trump-repeal-bidens-lastminute
Will Trump Repeal Biden's Last-Minute AI GPU Export Restrictions in His First 100 Days?
null
1,736,746,916,656
1,746,082,740,000
1,746,157,174,885
NO
0.030798
63,835.313607
hLPEyRA8AU
will-the-afd-receive-20-of-votes-in
Will the AfD receive >= 20% of votes in the 2025 German federal election?
null
1,736,741,789,140
1,740,528,000,000
1,740,545,041,675
YES
0.99376
12,478.675099
I00gdqPCpA
will-travis-kelce-and-taylor-swift-UgZzPsEA6y
Will Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift be engaged by the end of March?
null
1,736,733,085,612
1,743,483,540,000
1,743,510,402,778
NO
0.011864
15,726.430517
lQLICcZCSy
will-usamts-determine-all-aime-qual
Will USAMTS determine all AIME qualifiers through USAMTS before February?
null
1,736,730,621,807
1,738,348,140,000
1,738,361,081,408
YES
0.74
467.748209
S0ZlsR6uUp
will-benjamin-netanyahu-attend-the
Will Benjamin Netanyahu attend the 80th Anniversary of Auschwitz Liberation on January 27th, 2025?
null
1,736,720,781,769
1,738,022,400,000
1,738,047,013,850
NO
0.034906
489
59d6nULdRd
will-i-go-to-the-gym-at-least-once-C8R5L20dCl
Will I go to the gym at least once per week until the end of the year?
null
1,736,713,663,780
1,739,169,363,023
1,739,169,363,023
NO
0.013061
9,018.108863
yIs26sZ6I2
will-trump-tour-the-areas-damaged-b
Will Trump tour any areas damaged by the Los Angeles fires before February 1, 2025?
null
1,736,711,937,953
1,737,827,614,123
1,737,827,614,123
YES
0.990294
25,531.040478
2nAEO2INR6
will-contestant-952-win-the-island
Will contestant 952 win the island on Beast Games?
null
1,736,710,484,341
1,737,030,997,480
1,737,030,997,480
YES
0.980913
693.11762
nUZy2qtCd9
will-this-market-have-over-10-trade
Will this market have over 10 traders by 7ET today.
null
1,736,710,084,782
1,736,724,869,367
1,736,724,869,367
YES
0.947735
468.013197
9uUztPAgQ9
will-i-play-magic-the-gathering-thi
Will I play magic the gathering this week?
null
1,736,708,550,393
1,737,273,894,060
1,737,273,894,060
NO
0.558419
32
U06h5Ey06Z
will-jayden-daniels-win-rookie-of-t
Will Jayden Daniels win Rookie of the Year?
null
1,736,705,780,563
1,738,902,924,458
1,738,902,924,458
YES
0.99
2,016.967175
NSnAl2U56h
will-lamar-jackson-win-the-mvp
Will Lamar Jackson wins the MVP?
null
1,736,705,728,005
1,738,902,876,931
1,738,902,876,931
NO
0.01
9,283.776824
OPOquSLOcu
will-josh-allen-win-the-mvp
Will Josh Allen win the MVP?
null
1,736,705,685,288
1,738,902,889,779
1,738,902,889,779
YES
0.99
7,239.029922
uS9Udsy2S2
is-rilo-kiley-the-mystery-band-at-k
Is Rilo Kiley the mystery band at Kilby Block Party?
null
1,736,705,171,985
1,738,604,376,620
1,738,604,376,620
YES
0.94
335.811403
IZLpncIE62
will-all-surviving-israeli-hostages
Will all surviving Israeli hostages be released by Hamas by the end of February 2025?
null
1,736,698,649,615
1,740,844,740,000
1,740,846,609,905
NO
0.01
2,954.876658
CZzZggQnQC
at-12-pm-et-on-the-12th-will-the-ma
“At 12 PM ET on the 12th, will the market’s assessed probability (in %) be an even number?”
null
1,736,696,681,754
1,736,705,082,907
1,736,705,082,907
YES
0.918127
292
CNOlIhzqAE
the-cost-of-any-llm-models-training
The cost of any LLM model's training cost exceeds Gemini Ultra's $191M by end of 2025
null
1,736,695,072,152
1,739,318,400,000
1,749,272,684,211
YES
0.833991
335.862035
plhzSAcdEA
joe-rogan-announces-conversion-to-c
Joe Rogan announces conversion to Christianity before July 1st 2025
null
1,736,692,856,060
1,751,241,600,000
1,751,360,100,602
NO
0.023665
72,449.025835
Ilyz8SLc5h
will-the-nuggets-beat-the-mavericks
Will the Nuggets beat the Mavericks at 2:00 pm later today in the NBA?
null
1,736,692,300,095
1,736,730,810,228
1,736,730,810,228
YES
0.590046
140
U6LLzyuuln
will-the-2025-mit-mystery-hunt-webs
Will the 2025 MIT Mystery Hunt website (mitmh2025.com) receive a visual overhaul before kickoff?
null
1,736,691,252,263
1,737,133,407,949
1,737,133,407,949
NO
0.086062
350.123369
lyN0RA5Oc9
will-tetra-go-to-sizecon
Will Tetra go to SizeCon?
null
1,736,685,541,585
1,740,927,540,000
1,740,946,360,926
NO
0.085697
287.56153
86RUPd8QnQ
lax-closes-due-to-palisades-fires-b
LAX closes due to Palisades Fires before February 9, 2025
null
1,736,672,066,096
1,739,059,200,000
1,739,151,240,530
NO
0.015749
831.569856
pNR9PcLczQ
will-lax-cancel-5-or-more-flights-d
Will LAX cancel 5 or more flights due to fires by end of January?
null
1,736,656,718,774
1,738,753,140,000
1,739,215,236,595
NO
0.06
347.792648
UN2yg2S6d9
will-manifolds-approval-ratings-end-gnON8Sh266
Will Manifold's Approval Ratings end the year over 75%? (Poll Index version)
null
1,736,655,244,057
1,737,262,740,000
1,737,480,164,362
NO
0.254836
71
OnPq2CL2uN
-2024-nfl-will-another-postseason-g
🏈 2024 NFL: Will another postseason game end in Scorigami?
null
1,736,643,884,892
1,739,163,540,000
1,739,167,438,742
NO
0.01
1,003.090885
C2E2PzQs6u
will-kentucky-beat-mississippi-st-t
Will Kentucky beat Mississippi St tonight at 7:30 pm
null
1,736,639,502,479
1,736,653,096,463
1,736,653,096,463
YES
0.656526
570.56957
026dluCPOy
at-8-pm-et-on-the-12th-will-the-mar
“At 8 PM ET on the 12th, will the market’s assessed probability (in %) be an even number?”
null
1,736,633,871,407
1,736,640,710,724
1,736,640,710,724
YES
0.659925
175.997471
sdZEAI2syd
will-the-silver-to-gold-ratio-excee
Will the silver to gold ratio exceed 100:1 this year?
null
1,736,629,541,872
1,745,166,904,787
1,745,166,904,787
YES
0.324159
327.137417
g6uO6gus8c
in-the-next-30-days-will-hollow-kni-PQP8IOINNP
In the next 30 days will Hollow Knight Silksong's release date be known?
null
1,736,619,642,773
1,739,249,940,000
1,739,412,234,988
NO
0.012606
1,263.104059
dIuNtCnCS5
in-the-next-30-days-will-the-next-n-ztNlLIyunh
In the next 30 days will the next Nintendo console be unveiled?
null
1,736,619,630,288
1,737,038,304,691
1,737,038,304,691
YES
0.989253
1,153.581675
5hUInRAqOA
daily-coinflip-tOgZId08Ld
Daily coinflip
null
1,736,619,449,000
1,736,744,340,000
1,736,761,859,747
NO
0.49
13,234.849869
AupCPsACtU
will-mason-dahl-break-28-seconds-in
Will Mason Dahl break 28 seconds in his 50 fly today?
null
1,736,615,985,130
1,736,618,915,623
1,736,618,915,623
NO
0.200123
303
L5lgzs2nIL
will-the-pacific-palisades-fire-be
Will the Pacific Palisades fire be contained by over 90% by the end of January 18th 2025?
null
1,736,612,081,489
1,737,276,584,523
1,737,276,584,523
NO
0.092276
756.413314
dnLpgzCzR0
total-points-scored-in-2025-college
Total points scored in 2025 College Football Playoff National Championship exceeds 59.5
null
1,736,610,807,977
1,737,432,634,709
1,737,432,634,709
NO
0.647944
1,201.366224
60ORsZ08A2
will-using-the-cara-care-app-signif
Will using the Cara Care app significantly improve my IBS within 90 days?
null
1,736,586,855,595
1,744,567,064,012
1,744,567,064,012
YES
0.138975
150.838797
Ecps925yuE
will-i-floss-my-teeth-daily-until-t
Will I floss my teeth daily until the end of the year?
null
1,736,585,199,469
1,750,758,262,654
1,750,758,262,654
NO
0.766277
908.418849
NZcPs2t2R6
will-i-clean-my-home-for-at-least-2-yON5U0Ulyg
Will I clean my home for at least 20 minutes per day until the end of the year?
null
1,736,584,532,717
1,739,249,358,268
1,739,249,358,268
NO
0.584473
478.103634
N9qc2lS2pP
will-the-patriots-announce-a-new-he
Will the Patriots announce a new head coach before Israel and Hamas announce a ceasefire deal?
null
1,736,574,057,426
1,736,706,692,047
1,736,706,692,047
YES
0.99
1,243.880519
zCEhRZdgRA
first-working-quantum-circuit-to-fa
First working quantum circuit to factor 77 into 7 and 11 on IBM's cloud service published before March 1st, 2025
null
1,736,569,293,612
1,736,825,666,335
1,736,825,666,335
YES
0.610779
16,371.304172
Su5CLzPZZ8
will-tiktok-be-meaningfully-banned
Will TikTok be meaningfully banned in the US on March 1, 2025?
null
1,736,558,292,045
1,740,898,740,000
1,740,899,457,550
NO
0.013798
18,803.297927
qlCgEgSPUg
will-anything-i-plant-produce-edibl
Will anything I plant produce edible fruit or seeds this year?
null
1,736,556,999,383
1,749,321,073,437
1,749,321,073,437
YES
0.895102
541.737908
QRsPZsqgON
bitcoin-above-96k-on-jan-17th
Bitcoin above $96K on Jan 17th?
null
1,736,552,164,626
1,737,132,236,200
1,737,132,236,200
YES
0.99
19,321.370337
ElERL2ysPz
will-a-randomly-generated-integer-f
Will a randomly generated integer from 1 to 1 quattuordecillion be prime?
null
1,736,549,965,673
1,739,163,540,000
1,739,225,969,035
NO
0.03842
3,484.816559