id stringlengths 9 20 | slug stringlengths 2 54 | question stringlengths 1 193 | firstGroup float64 | createdTime int64 1,641B 1,736B | closeTime int64 1,702B 1,736B | resolvedTime int64 1,727B 1,736B | resolution stringclasses 2
values | resolutionProbability float64 0 1 ⌀ | volume float64 0 11.6M |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
9nqdg0RUEI | bitcoin-above-93k-on-thanksgiving | Bitcoin above $93K on Thanksgiving? | null | 1,731,836,365,954 | 1,732,781,831,638 | 1,732,781,831,638 | YES | 0.993151 | 35,199.921703 |
90ZAgtPlL9 | 30-days-from-today-will-jimmy-carte | 30 days from today, will Jimmy Carter still be alive? | null | 1,731,823,573,337 | 1,734,497,940,000 | 1,734,499,507,469 | YES | 0.99 | 1,518.744784 |
zpPhQLtAlu | 30-days-from-today-will-hollow-knig | 30 days from today, will Hollow Knight Silksong's release date be officially announced and known? | null | 1,731,820,244,531 | 1,734,497,940,000 | 1,734,499,503,086 | NO | 0.01 | 894.987437 |
QZSlNcUh0O | 30-days-from-today-will-gamestop-ha | 30 days from today, will Gamestop have the same CEO as today? | null | 1,731,820,198,425 | 1,734,497,940,000 | 1,734,499,463,546 | YES | 0.99 | 911.035388 |
SE8s0SyRRh | will-argentina-beat-peru-by-two-or | Will Argentina beat Peru by two or more goals? | null | 1,731,797,183,216 | 1,732,068,566,906 | 1,732,068,566,906 | NO | 0.455725 | 50 |
luqq68q2IN | will-the-russian-army-reach-sudzha-ughEPCN0Ps | Will the Russian army reach Sudzha (Kursk oblast) by Dec 15th? | null | 1,731,782,357,676 | 1,734,307,140,000 | 1,734,341,194,518 | NO | 0.012652 | 1,275.021032 |
cu8SEuutOl | will-manifold-resolve-this-bet-befo | Will Manifold resolve this bet before I do? | null | 1,731,778,784,798 | 1,731,992,340,000 | 1,734,529,625,534 | NO | 0.269581 | 1,201.93073 |
ghERd00qUc | daily-coinflip-09uzSzIdsy | Daily coinflip | null | 1,731,775,063,093 | 1,731,905,940,000 | 1,731,909,118,871 | YES | 0.50022 | 4,233.783372 |
6zdgldZyIU | will-the-sp-500-close-higher-on-fri-d9AcdL6lzu | Will the S&P 500 close higher on Friday November 22nd 2024 than it closed on Friday November 15th 2024? | null | 1,731,774,277,920 | 1,732,285,800,000 | 1,732,369,604,999 | YES | 0.609756 | 25 |
8AUNz8lzs6 | was-the-jake-paul-vs-mike-tyson-fig | Was the Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson fight rigged? | null | 1,731,745,615,450 | 1,732,487,256,748 | 1,732,487,256,748 | NO | 0.01 | 1,820.831809 |
Qzuzy8yh20 | will-mike-tyson-bite-off-jake-pauls | Will Mike Tyson bite off Jake Paul’s Ear | null | 1,731,730,250,213 | 1,731,735,891,412 | 1,731,735,891,412 | NO | 0.01 | 894.987437 |
LlR6lZ5RNs | will-the-jake-paul-mike-tyson-fight | Will the Jake Paul - Mike Tyson fight end with Knockout? | null | 1,731,721,544,620 | 1,731,735,852,802 | 1,731,735,852,802 | NO | 0.008418 | 14,577.905501 |
8C6NUg86SL | will-bitcoin-be-over-95000-by-novem | Will Bitcoin be over $93,000 on November 22? | null | 1,731,720,966,205 | 1,732,337,940,000 | 1,732,366,298,422 | YES | 0.993033 | 25,136.405093 |
LclnQ6CZuQ | jake-paul-will-bleed-more-than-tyso | Will Jake Paul bleed more than Tyson? | null | 1,731,713,997,228 | 1,731,858,198,409 | 1,731,858,198,409 | NO | 0.070267 | 3,016.137114 |
NyhPU0ASt5 | will-mike-tyson-die-from-an-injury | Will Mike Tyson die from an injury sustained in his fight with Jake Paul? Either during the fight or within 96 hours. | null | 1,731,705,930,577 | 1,731,736,239,863 | 1,731,736,239,863 | NO | 0.01 | 1,296.621247 |
hch9hQyENZ | will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-u6pgh2RN25 | Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Nov 18 than it closed on Nov 15? | null | 1,731,704,939,272 | 1,731,963,726,773 | 1,731,963,726,773 | YES | 0.974757 | 596.295369 |
8zqI6z20I6 | will-black-myth-wukong-win-goty-at | Will Black Myth Wukong win GOTY at "The Game Awards"? | null | 1,731,703,395,266 | 1,734,249,540,000 | 1,735,428,045,318 | NO | 0.009715 | 10,664.755692 |
2lpPRusdtq | will-destiny-go-on-the-adam-friedla | Will Destiny go on the Adam Friedland Show by the end of November? | null | 1,731,702,103,872 | 1,733,073,030,243 | 1,733,073,030,243 | NO | 0.024961 | 525 |
UNy6qAOAAh | -2024-ncaaf-will-florida-defeat-lsu | 🏈 2024 NCAAF: Will Florida defeat LSU? | null | 1,731,690,108,657 | 1,731,803,145,012 | 1,731,803,145,012 | YES | 0.99 | 9,230.309154 |
NdtqP6AyEh | will-this-market-has-over-80-or-mor | Will this market has over 80 or more traders? | null | 1,731,684,320,243 | 1,731,954,540,000 | 1,731,956,257,422 | NO | 0.01 | 946.064956 |
tu5QQ8UOsS | solana-above-200-at-noon-today-nove | Solana above $200 at noon today? (November 15 Eastern Time) | null | 1,731,658,961,253 | 1,731,745,108,849 | 1,731,745,108,849 | YES | 0.99 | 894.987437 |
pAIg8lPgpZ | will-jake-paul-beat-mike-tyson | Will Jake Paul beat Mike Tyson? 🥊 | null | 1,731,651,460,808 | 1,731,735,411,918 | 1,731,735,411,918 | YES | 0.99041 | 633,143.839153 |
ZQ85Rugdsq | will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-LILdgAC8uA | Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Nov 15 than it closed one Nov 14? | null | 1,731,618,339,738 | 1,731,704,557,637 | 1,731,704,557,637 | NO | 0.01 | 925.844095 |
6NpLA2ncPQ | at-the-end-of-the-year-will-i-judge | At the end of the year, will I judge that right-wing comments are downvoted disproportionately on Manifold? | null | 1,731,616,679,035 | 1,735,685,940,000 | 1,735,687,026,533 | YES | 0.895632 | 206.89855 |
yu89PtOqu5 | will-there-be-a-terrorist-attack-ta-Lgl9qtq5N8 | Will there be a terrorist attack targeting the 2024 Toronto Taylor Swift concerts? | null | 1,731,616,389,730 | 1,732,510,740,000 | 1,732,543,497,533 | NO | 0.033973 | 5,013.413837 |
zsdu0AQNpO | will-usyk-win-the-rematch-against-f | Will Usyk win the rematch against Fury? | null | 1,731,614,593,902 | 1,734,929,940,000 | 1,735,280,244,743 | YES | 0.990405 | 1,836.767067 |
AtQ2qhUuRP | -2024-ncaaf-will-indiana-defeat-ohi | 🏈 2024 NCAAF: Will Indiana defeat Ohio State? | null | 1,731,613,456,032 | 1,732,393,591,725 | 1,732,393,591,725 | NO | 0.01 | 969.174386 |
ApyqEZtcCn | trade | trade | null | 1,731,607,568,013 | 1,731,608,010,777 | 1,731,608,010,777 | NO | 0.01 | 894.987437 |
yUAlSnC69L | will-tua-tagovailoa-be-eating-turdu | Will Tua Tagovailoa be eating Turducken after the Thanksgiving game? | null | 1,731,607,306,038 | 1,732,996,330,642 | 1,732,996,330,642 | NO | 0.01 | 8,949.874371 |
ZZzNUz9yN8 | will-manifold-still-have-a-dislike | Will Manifold still have a dislike button on comments on Dec 14? | null | 1,731,604,308,471 | 1,734,249,540,000 | 1,734,317,753,628 | YES | 0.99 | 894.987437 |
ZuCl8tgyN8 | will-iran-hit-israel-within-5-month | Will Iran hit Israel within 5 months of being attacked by them? | null | 1,731,602,244,579 | 1,733,933,637,824 | 1,733,933,637,824 | NO | 0.557471 | 22 |
LUA55zqPRy | will-the-first-t20i-between-pakista | Will the first T20I between Pakistan and Australia be abandoned? | null | 1,731,574,893,103 | 1,731,580,087,071 | 1,731,580,087,071 | NO | 0.193974 | 205 |
5I5QqIAulU | will-ghisaline-maxwell-be-reported | Will Ghisaline Maxwell Be Reported Dead Within 72 Hours? | null | 1,731,573,406,846 | 1,731,916,740,000 | 1,731,921,751,155 | NO | 0.010618 | 115,112.622796 |
zQIpgQzdsI | will-laura-loomer-be-given-a-positi | Will Laura Loomer be given a position in Trump's government or another named Trump organization by the end of November? | null | 1,731,562,037,370 | 1,733,014,789,633 | 1,733,014,789,633 | NO | 0.012355 | 941.819689 |
gAp9d8hZ69 | will-trumps-first-hud-nominee-of-hi | Will Trump’s first HUD (Housing) Secretary nominee of his second term be African American? | null | 1,731,558,139,103 | 1,732,335,508,883 | 1,732,335,508,883 | YES | 0.917966 | 2,551.935441 |
5llCgC9cPA | jill-stein-win-at-least-05-of-2024 | Jill Stein win at least 0.5% of 2024 Popular Vote? | null | 1,731,556,726,530 | 1,734,155,940,000 | 1,734,156,081,828 | YES | 0.99 | 1,041.199558 |
UzhE8z88zl | will-the-contents-of-the-matt-gaetz | Will the contents of the Matt Gaetz ethics report be leaked or reported on in detail before January 1, 2025? | null | 1,731,556,510,036 | 1,734,968,516,992 | 1,734,968,516,992 | YES | 0.99 | 25,596.933156 |
yOq92pIpEh | will-the-house-ethics-committee-rel | Will the House Ethics Committee release their report on Matt Gaetz | null | 1,731,556,504,136 | 1,735,571,971,134 | 1,735,571,971,134 | YES | 0.995574 | 3,509.80487 |
Sz2Z9plcnA | daily-coinflip-2ZCQSdEcgl | Daily coinflip | null | 1,731,551,660,185 | 1,731,727,500,000 | 1,731,775,050,451 | YES | 0.500152 | 7,844.889207 |
A2QydP9hgn | will-matt-gaetz-be-confirmed-as-att | Will Matt Gaetz be confirmed as Attorney General | null | 1,731,540,295,722 | 1,733,169,354,222 | 1,733,169,354,222 | NO | 0.012865 | 250,356.57081 |
RIzR9nC56d | will-stephen-grugett-have-his-phone | Will Stephen Grugett have his phone and computer confiscated because manifold markets predicted Trump would win? | null | 1,731,539,588,832 | 1,735,671,650,931 | 1,735,671,650,931 | NO | 0.02215 | 1,099.987437 |
ulsg6lg0Qu | will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-sPI0t8dO86 | Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Nov 14 than it closed on Nov 13? | null | 1,731,531,450,739 | 1,731,618,143,911 | 1,731,618,143,911 | NO | 0.01 | 1,120.240461 |
88u2sIPEqI | will-matt-gaetz-be-confirmed-by-the | Will Matt Gaetz be confirmed by the Senate to become the Attorney General of the US? | null | 1,731,531,344,777 | 1,732,212,517,690 | 1,732,212,517,690 | NO | 0.007803 | 20,590.621992 |
cCZhS9dnts | will-tsla-reach-475-before-8pm-est | Will TSLA reach $475 before 8pm EST on 8/8/2025? | null | 1,731,517,425,707 | 1,734,482,410,286 | 1,734,482,410,286 | YES | 0.960018 | 582.409921 |
N6p9UnOnsy | will-4thot-be-dragged-into-a-call-t | Will 4THOT be dragged into a call tonight | null | 1,731,515,275,391 | 1,731,595,746,479 | 1,731,595,746,479 | NO | 0.07596 | 405 |
ZO6y5t5t6Z | will-edward-k-make-aime | Will Edward K make AIME? | null | 1,731,515,202,760 | 1,734,152,340,000 | 1,734,154,152,957 | NO | 0.1 | 200 |
pzyhqUcshn | will-bitcoin-close-above-100k-in-de | Will Bitcoin be above $100k at the close of December 2024? | null | 1,731,513,930,476 | 1,735,686,000,000 | 1,735,686,275,388 | NO | 0.008537 | 639,715.534964 |
UILgRI22R0 | will-amc-12b-dhr-be-less-than-130 | Will AMC 12B DHR be less than or equal to 130? | null | 1,731,512,213,055 | 1,734,117,607,916 | 1,734,117,607,916 | NO | 0.22 | 1,314.431767 |
zU5qAlqlg2 | will-ian-see-this-and-email-me-his | Will @ian see this and email me his postal address by 11:59 pm on Thursday (tomorrow)? | null | 1,731,494,287,398 | 1,731,520,776,052 | 1,731,577,771,076 | YES | 0.529102 | 6 |
q06qg80EQg | will-the-mexico-national-team-beat | Will the Mexico national team beat Honduras by 2 or more goals on Friday? | null | 1,731,468,438,805 | 1,731,731,414,185 | 1,731,731,414,185 | NO | 0.201994 | 146.911931 |
sOh96QhLOc | bitcoin-95k-in-november | Bitcoin $95K in November? | null | 1,731,462,332,707 | 1,732,167,096,535 | 1,732,167,096,535 | YES | 0.998229 | 36,767.20997 |
c0PyyOCEq9 | daniel-penny-serves-no-time-or-trum | Daniel Penny serves no time or Trump pardons him by mid 2026 | null | 1,731,459,522,332 | 1,733,794,214,478 | 1,733,794,214,478 | YES | 0.971935 | 5,764.197295 |
C589yh9sqd | will-i-think-the-lex-interview-in-s | Will I think the Lex interview in Spanish is cringe? | null | 1,731,449,304,645 | 1,734,577,025,482 | 1,734,577,025,482 | YES | 0.323275 | 471 |
t092SglIU9 | will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-8QCSzgnd5S | Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Nov 13 than it closed on Nov 12? | null | 1,731,445,254,134 | 1,731,531,766,933 | 1,731,531,766,933 | YES | 0.99 | 1,031.072175 |
qhCPdsUduz | will-the-super-model-call-the-senat | Will The Super Model call the Senate Majority Leader election correctly? | null | 1,731,443,262,861 | 1,731,517,616,589 | 1,731,517,616,589 | YES | 0.99 | 103,469.37119 |
sytCtl995q | -2024-ncaaf-will-tennessee-defeat-g | 🏈 2024 NCAAF: Will Tennessee defeat Georgia? | null | 1,731,441,545,738 | 1,731,828,840,321 | 1,731,828,840,321 | NO | 0.01 | 947.584336 |
QPpOlNzOyL | will-there-be-a-break-between-chain-IO2I2yLRz2 | Will there be a break between Chainsaw Man chapters 184 and 185? | null | 1,731,441,403,096 | 1,732,063,672,182 | 1,732,063,674,920 | NO | 0.484256 | 32 |
qRIsC0CcnN | can-i-go-2-weeks-without-finding-ou-0RNcRtuCdz | Can I go 2 weeks without finding out if Kimberly found out if Wott found out if TBTBTB found out who won the election?? | null | 1,731,439,270,404 | 1,731,584,424,808 | 1,731,584,424,808 | NO | 0.076879 | 1,792.000159 |
chZRPQI6tl | will-starship-ift6-successfully-com--cash | Will Starship's 6th test successfully complete an in-space relight and burn? | null | 1,731,438,083,142 | 1,732,073,950,967 | 1,732,118,639,781 | YES | 0.99 | 1,054.653654 |
EQzQNIuhlI | will-there-be-a-6th-starship-launch-9NQREZU5qn--cash | Will there be a 6th Starship launch in November? | null | 1,731,438,068,471 | 1,732,073,801,950 | 1,732,118,649,615 | YES | 0.99 | 957.317315 |
2tZ6O2uCqu | will-wicked-have-a-higher-rotten-to--cash | Will "Wicked" have a higher Rotten Tomatoes critics score than "Gladiator 2"? | null | 1,731,437,182,184 | 1,732,910,340,000 | 1,733,164,765,657 | YES | 0.990255 | 1,456.16459 |
9tP69ClNU8 | will-erling-haaland-have-at-least-2--cash | Will Erling Haaland have at least 20 Premier League goals in the 2024-25 season by the end of 2024? | null | 1,731,437,088,535 | 1,735,493,760,000 | 1,735,537,039,781 | NO | 0.01 | 1,327.858408 |
d5IlPSlL9h | will-jannik-sinner-win-the-atp-fina--cash | Will Jannik Sinner win the ATP finals? | null | 1,731,437,068,554 | 1,731,868,833,534 | 1,731,969,198,231 | YES | 0.943959 | 256.184482 |
ANysgyQpgh | will-mariahs-all-i-want-for-christm--cash | Will Mariah’s All I Want for Christmas Is You Reach #1 on Billboard in November 2024? | null | 1,731,436,862,151 | 1,733,039,940,000 | 1,733,164,781,100 | NO | 0.01 | 769.155812 |
9pdZ6qc0ns | if-donald-trump-wins-the-election-w-gttj2mg6oh--cash | Will Donald Trump be the TIME 2024 Person of the Year? | null | 1,731,435,598,507 | 1,733,957,940,000 | 1,734,037,376,535 | YES | 0.99 | 2,310.337485 |
l9u2d5ANNq | will-any-us-state-have-more-than-50-cN0lsANgUh | Will any U.S. State have more than 50,000 customers without power on or before 12/31/2024? | null | 1,731,421,497,281 | 1,732,109,211,142 | 1,732,109,211,142 | YES | 0.99 | 9,125.982013 |
CEQNCghc5t | will-destiny-appear-on-the-adam-fri | Will Destiny appear on The Adam Friedland Show before the end of the year? | null | 1,731,420,609,443 | 1,733,986,828,146 | 1,733,986,828,146 | YES | 0.8 | 100 |
RnS0AUuRUn | will-i-clean-my-home-for-at-least-2-RczzcZnZEz | Will I clean my home for at least 20 minutes per day until the end of the year? | null | 1,731,419,378,777 | 1,735,684,749,456 | 1,735,684,749,456 | YES | 0.94979 | 588 |
ppt29PSLzR | doge-passes-1-by-1120 | $DOGE passes $1 by 11/20 | null | 1,731,418,865,829 | 1,732,168,740,000 | 1,732,306,728,654 | NO | 0.01 | 2,792.106238 |
pLnCul0zhE | daily-coinflip-uUEZty0PIc | Daily coinflip | null | 1,731,418,199,051 | 1,731,551,507,603 | 1,731,551,623,586 | NO | 0.5 | 7,983.221888 |
q5QhRsONOp | will-my-pizza-arrive-in-the-interva | Will my pizza arrive in the interval 21:54 to 22:14? | null | 1,731,414,757,713 | 1,731,417,428,577 | 1,731,417,428,577 | YES | 0.609756 | 25 |
O9OO0tQcq2 | will-the-internal-prediction-market | Will the internal prediction market being implemented at my workplace be a success? | null | 1,731,413,674,866 | 1,734,047,940,000 | 1,734,101,253,250 | YES | 0.729087 | 1,853.984116 |
dq2zUNEg8t | will-this-market-close-above-80 | Will this market close above 80%? | null | 1,731,398,827,812 | 1,732,078,740,000 | 1,732,079,981,555 | NO | 0.5 | 27,134.006503 |
ttqENuzApL | will-i-have-a-nightmare-related-to | Will I have a nightmare related to reading "House of Leaves" for the first time? | null | 1,731,384,002,645 | 1,733,202,000,000 | 1,733,436,282,308 | NO | 0.129384 | 2,572.899754 |
SAcECLN9h2 | bitcoin-above-87k-on-nov-30 | Bitcoin above $87K on Nov 30? | null | 1,731,382,166,096 | 1,733,039,940,000 | 1,733,041,245,632 | YES | 0.990098 | 16,265.885139 |
yhyLO8sICQ | will-the-uap-committee-hearing-on-y-LPuhgAg6ty | Will the UAP committee hearing on Youtube get at least 100k views by 8 PM EST on Nov 13, 2024? | null | 1,731,378,048,961 | 1,731,531,971,288 | 1,731,531,971,288 | YES | 0.52291 | 54 |
9Sg9UNdS5p | will-bitcoin-hit-100k-in-2024 | Will Bitcoin hit 100K in 2024? | null | 1,731,375,415,869 | 1,733,520,228,003 | 1,733,520,228,003 | YES | 0.9945 | 43,494.663985 |
QgCpPU9u5P | will-bitcoin-reach-9876543-before-t-UsqdUcgPSq | Will Bitcoin reach $98765.43 before the end of 2024? | null | 1,731,369,307,322 | 1,732,218,687,781 | 1,732,218,687,781 | YES | 0.99 | 1,407.145923 |
gU9gUqI2ug | will-bitcoin-reach-9876543-before-t | Will Bitcoin reach $98765.43 before the end of 2025? | null | 1,731,369,294,450 | 1,732,218,591,244 | 1,732,218,591,244 | YES | 0.99 | 898.987437 |
OtLEUqLZLI | will-bitcoin-btc-reach-99999-by-99-NsgStpuZRg | Will Bitcoin BTC reach $99999 by 9/9? | null | 1,731,369,142,716 | 1,734,446,359,381 | 1,734,446,359,381 | YES | 0.99 | 980.594226 |
zRPOOhA98z | will-we-hit-a-new-record-for-vancou-Pq8z2OqZ56 | Will we hit a new record for Vancouver's 5th Taco Tuesday? | null | 1,731,361,607,117 | 1,731,513,400,368 | 1,731,513,400,368 | NO | 0.409836 | 20 |
5Sgnpzz8cA | 10-worst-teams-jax-chi-no-cle-dal-t | 10 Worst Teams (JAX, CHI, NO, CLE, DAL, TEN, LV, NYG, NE, CAR) all miss the NFL Playoffs? | null | 1,731,358,193,125 | 1,734,918,427,443 | 1,734,918,427,443 | YES | 0.99 | 1,511.721423 |
yh96guPzAy | will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-9LpAl86ILA | Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Nov 12 than it closed on Nov 11? | null | 1,731,358,058,240 | 1,731,445,348,925 | 1,731,445,348,925 | NO | 0.302352 | 1,753.243738 |
sPCUEzOnLP | in-the-next-30-days-will-bitcoin-re-n2znI9q2u9 | In the next 30 days will Bitcoin reach $95k? | null | 1,731,355,662,043 | 1,732,150,418,686 | 1,732,150,418,686 | YES | 0.99 | 1,411.233388 |
dzCSsOOIEp | will-a-tropical-or-subtropical-stor-ldnAq9qdOd | Will a tropical or subtropical storm be named Sara in 2024? | null | 1,731,332,602,084 | 1,731,609,503,308 | 1,731,609,503,308 | YES | 0.988607 | 10,478.632514 |
Ez0zs9yS0s | will-wicked-2024-be-rated-at-least | Will Wicked (2024) be rated at least 4.0 on Letterboxd? | null | 1,731,327,324,150 | 1,732,971,540,000 | 1,732,974,207,209 | YES | 0.97431 | 7,198.665595 |
gIOLPIC8N5 | will-bitcoin-reach-90000-before-nov | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 before Nov 16? | null | 1,731,317,180,345 | 1,731,508,437,046 | 1,731,508,437,046 | YES | 0.99 | 28,523.704143 |
ROOQlzOLzE | can-i-go-2-weeks | Can I go 2 weeks? | null | 1,731,306,843,062 | 1,732,600,740,000 | 1,733,102,426,600 | YES | 0.99 | 9,109.271097 |
ASAq8SAPnO | will-tsla-reach-420-before-8pm-est | Will TSLA reach >$ 420 before 8pm EST on February 18? | null | 1,731,303,074,144 | 1,734,037,991,419 | 1,734,037,991,419 | YES | 0.995324 | 275,302.635351 |
yE9quL8hRp | can-i-go-2-weeks-without-finding-ou-Zny8EggpER | Can I go 2 weeks without finding out whether @Wott-tan learned the result of @tftftftftftftftftftftftf ‘s election bet? | null | 1,731,300,359,857 | 1,731,542,679,378 | 1,731,542,679,378 | NO | 0.103415 | 592.443286 |
h69yncSzhs | will-the-jet-propulsion-laboratory | Will the Jet Propulsion Laboratory have a layoff large enough to trigger the WARN Act during the week 11/10/24-11/16/24? | null | 1,731,299,108,627 | 1,731,558,791,872 | 1,731,558,791,872 | YES | 0.987011 | 3,146.82188 |
gNsAc0uI6Q | will-ehsquared-complete-all-20-asce | Will ehsquared complete all 20 ascension levels with 'The Silent' in Slay the Spire by Dec 1 2024? | null | 1,731,298,607,072 | 1,731,920,963,868 | 1,731,920,963,868 | YES | 0.69 | 50.36134 |
Q2c0EZhg25 | daily-coinflip-ESsZuhPCcZ | Daily coinflip | null | 1,731,296,466,506 | 1,731,385,800,000 | 1,731,418,176,695 | YES | 0.506443 | 4,782.635363 |
nU5dgRPQyp | will-asmongold-go-on-one-of-destiny | Will Asmongold go on one of Destiny's podcasts by the end of 2024? | null | 1,731,295,713,407 | 1,735,671,395,826 | 1,735,671,395,826 | NO | 0.012036 | 806 |
LP8cORILP6 | will-mariahs-all-i-want-for-christm | Will Mariah’s All I Want for Christmas Is You Reach #1 on Billboard in November 2024? | null | 1,731,282,724,908 | 1,733,039,940,000 | 1,734,119,693,369 | NO | 0.01 | 24,375.490046 |
qhzQgRgnNt | will-political-markets-stop-dominat | Will political markets stop dominating Manifold by next month. | null | 1,731,276,165,674 | 1,734,533,565,210 | 1,734,533,565,210 | YES | 0.367661 | 1,824.084717 |
d6us0QllIz | will-jake-paul-win-his-boxing-match | Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson by Technical Knockout? | null | 1,731,275,235,449 | 1,731,733,140,000 | 1,731,815,047,552 | NO | 0.317835 | 350.236328 |
5AgcUPttRO | will-the-kansas-city-chiefs-play-a | Will the Kansas City Chiefs play a perfect regular season? (No losses) | null | 1,731,270,200,602 | 1,731,889,607,952 | 1,731,889,607,952 | NO | 0.154937 | 5,644.183807 |
8Qt20CudSd | can-i-go-2-weeks-without-finding-ou | Can I go 2 weeks without finding out if @tftftftftftftftftftftftf went 2 weeks without finding out who won the election? | null | 1,731,268,925,055 | 1,731,520,431,975 | 1,731,520,431,975 | NO | 0.650722 | 5,843.510745 |
ZAly0Qgddt | will-bitcoin-reach-90k-by-the-end-o | Will Bitcoin reach $90K by the end of 2024? | null | 1,731,261,514,028 | 1,731,509,137,790 | 1,731,509,137,790 | YES | 0.984945 | 2,366.712229 |
Subsets and Splits
No community queries yet
The top public SQL queries from the community will appear here once available.