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11.6M
U9ISLLLRIE
will-there-be-any-break-between-kag-cI62zhIy59
Will there be any break between Kagurabachi chapters 58 and 59?
null
1,731,257,755,007
1,731,868,199,347
1,731,868,202,007
NO
0.409836
200
q2qQSEA8un
will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-ucg5gO6ASl
Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Nov 11 than it closed on nov 8?
null
1,731,244,720,042
1,731,358,913,717
1,731,358,913,717
YES
0.93361
275
9dSsqAU0qh
will-bitcoin-be-higher-than-75000-u
Will Bitcoin be higher than $75,000 USD at the end of November 2024?
null
1,731,238,193,609
1,733,011,140,000
1,733,046,480,119
YES
0.99
928.059526
gCC068tpgU
will-bitcoin-reach-88888-usd-before-0tl8SOpqnP
Will Bitcoin reach $88,888 USD before the end of 2025?
null
1,731,223,115,486
1,731,369,158,156
1,731,369,158,156
YES
0.99
894.987437
QPtydy2N28
will-bitcoin-reach-88888-usd-before
Will Bitcoin reach $88,888 USD before the end of 2024?
null
1,731,223,102,038
1,731,370,054,696
1,731,370,054,696
YES
0.99
990.061369
QNREUNuI5h
in-the-next-30-days-will-the-next-n
In the next 30 days will the next Nintendo console be unveiled?
null
1,731,220,295,643
1,733,893,140,000
1,733,893,331,671
NO
0.012218
889
lUNcNLANSU
in-the-next-30-days-will-joe-biden
In the next 30 days will Joe Biden pardon Hunter?
null
1,731,220,269,878
1,733,106,605,761
1,733,106,605,761
YES
0.991491
1,485.012715
00c6UCQqtu
in-the-next-30-days-will-hollow-kni
In the next 30 days will Hollow Knight Silksong's release date be known?
null
1,731,220,227,242
1,733,893,140,000
1,733,893,318,089
NO
0.012064
895.987437
httc2nsOuZ
in-the-next-30-days-will-bitcoin-re
In the next 30 days will Bitcoin reach $85k?
null
1,731,220,207,286
1,731,355,653,935
1,731,355,653,935
YES
0.99
958.940928
pszQc9AZR2
will-jd-vance-only-be-the-nyt-perso
Will JD Vance (ONLY) be the Time Person of the Year (POTY)?
null
1,731,218,775,085
1,733,893,140,000
1,734,332,666,762
NO
0.01
9,481.368658
OR0QPAIEZc
will-tsla-reach-400-in-2025
Will TSLA reach $400 in 2025?
null
1,731,215,472,813
1,734,219,121,529
1,734,219,121,529
YES
0.99
926.900042
sc6cOz8lAZ
will-jannik-sinner-win-the-atp-fina
Will Jannik Sinner win the ATP finals?
null
1,731,182,230,939
1,731,868,833,534
1,731,868,833,534
YES
0.976298
3,990.000003
qlh5I5QI50
will-erling-haaland-have-at-least-2
Will Erling Haaland have at least 20 Premier League goals in the 2024-25 season by the end of 2024?
null
1,731,178,972,498
1,735,493,676,763
1,735,493,676,763
NO
0.008902
31,713.292995
QtZL6Ed5QP
will-ed-sheeran-release-a-new-chris
Will Ed Sheeran release a new Christmas single by the end of 2024
null
1,731,166,571,329
1,735,324,590,385
1,735,324,590,385
YES
0.989992
1,186
AZZNEucS9Z
will-tcb-scans-upload-chapter-1132
Will TCB Scans upload chapter 1132 of One Piece on November 14th?
null
1,731,163,979,362
1,731,657,540,000
1,731,868,121,121
YES
0.487656
25
IRAtNtupnz
profitable-bitcoin-coinflip-8-ev
Profitable Bitcoin Coinflip 8 [EV+]
null
1,731,154,373,810
1,731,301,140,000
1,731,307,047,547
NO
0.500143
6
sAtz2u9P62
profitable-bitcoin-coinflip-7-ev
Profitable Bitcoin Coinflip 7 [EV+]
null
1,731,154,312,867
1,731,301,140,000
1,731,307,039,227
YES
0.49654
17
2unNunOAIL
profitable-bitcoin-coinflip-6-ev
Profitable Bitcoin Coinflip 6 [EV+]
null
1,731,154,018,334
1,731,301,140,000
1,731,307,031,004
NO
0.49961
8
L2L5gssUzc
profitable-bitcoin-coinflip-5-ev
Profitable Bitcoin Coinflip 5 [EV+]
null
1,731,153,892,381
1,731,301,140,000
1,731,307,025,753
NO
0.49995
6
ZlUI2UznnR
profitable-bitcoin-coinflip-4-ev
Profitable Bitcoin Coinflip 4 [EV+]
null
1,731,153,802,718
1,731,301,140,000
1,731,306,993,705
NO
0.504826
7
p6ldInU52u
profitable-bitcoin-coinflip-3-ev-50RlAyOglU
Profitable Bitcoin Coinflip 3 [EV+]
null
1,731,153,707,659
1,731,301,140,000
1,731,306,984,711
YES
0.499255
22
O6EhzyEnNh
profitable-bitcoin-coinflip-3-ev
Profitable Bitcoin Coinflip 3 [EV+]
null
1,731,153,527,267
1,731,301,140,000
1,731,307,014,615
YES
0.504827
3
zpy5QR2PuL
profitable-bitcoin-coinflip-2-ev
Profitable Bitcoin Coinflip 2 [EV+]
null
1,731,153,053,129
1,731,301,140,000
1,731,306,975,288
NO
0.499805
8
Q22P9E8nqO
profitable-bitcoin-coinflip-1-ev
Profitable Bitcoin Coinflip 1 [EV+]
null
1,731,151,671,133
1,731,301,140,000
1,731,306,960,889
NO
0.523992
331.02951
qtSR2SgC5c
will-i-walk-more-steps-than-david-l
Will I walk more steps than David Lin in November?
null
1,731,147,173,946
1,733,014,785,941
1,733,014,785,941
YES
0.49147
4,270.062485
AEpct25sn5
will-this-market-goes-80-or-up
Will this market goes 80% or up
null
1,731,145,386,645
1,731,954,540,000
1,731,956,197,372
YES
0.82
1,265.992317
qhRUcyPt2q
will-the-jake-paul-and-mike-tyson-f
Will the Jake Paul and Mike Tyson fight be delayed/cancelled/postponed
null
1,731,131,427,926
1,731,733,140,000
1,732,048,979,168
NO
0.01
2,625.079099
52IpqyLl29
daily-coinflip-Pp6ZtqINE9
Daily coinflip
null
1,731,129,004,104
1,731,294,000,000
1,731,296,457,158
YES
0.5
20,452.275925
8ZtShu89Z6
bitcoin-above-77k-on-nov-18
Bitcoin above $77K on Nov 18?
null
1,731,119,677,974
1,731,966,014,920
1,731,966,014,920
YES
0.99
11,240.033724
222uS6Lytg
will-i-use-a-late-day-on-my-cs-assi
Will I use a late day on my CS assignment?
null
1,731,118,590,590
1,731,135,548,493
1,731,135,548,493
YES
0.296792
90
hhnUhg5pty
will-an-ai-score-over-10-on-frontie
Will an AI score over 10% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025
null
1,731,114,173,716
1,734,722,022,899
1,734,722,022,899
YES
0.965124
5,927.684471
ql9uSszzRN
will-donald-trump-and-elon-musk-hav
Will Donald Trump and Elon Musk have a major falling out before Thanksgiving?
null
1,731,111,108,484
1,732,942,740,000
1,732,973,464,711
NO
0.010737
868.10494
Zt0yECduu9
will-wicked-have-a-higher-rotten-to
Will "Wicked" have a higher Rotten Tomatoes critics score than "Gladiator 2"?
null
1,731,110,733,743
1,732,910,340,000
1,732,910,687,869
YES
0.989886
25,314.193208
gUQzqOPqUR
will-the-sp-500-close-higher-on-fri-RdC6pLytgI
Will the S&P 500 close higher on Friday November 15th 2024 than it closed on Friday November 8th 2024?
null
1,731,106,218,984
1,731,733,140,000
1,731,757,127,365
NO
0.048389
451
UytNptUN2N
if-joe-biden-pardons-hunter-biden-b
If Joe Biden pardons Hunter Biden, will his approval rating be up a week later?
null
1,731,088,789,007
1,733,893,140,000
1,733,897,356,808
YES
0.972205
2,811.260051
90pLSldhz6
new-head-of-sec-is-nominated-by-the
New head of sec is nominated by the end of 2025?
null
1,731,055,410,697
1,733,539,272,731
1,733,539,272,731
YES
0.628253
30
8N0g2dPlQE
will-donald-trump-be-alive-by-janua
Will Donald Trump, Jimmy Carter, and Alex Jones all be alive by January 1st, 2025?
null
1,731,046,617,642
1,735,507,739,337
1,735,507,739,337
NO
0.01
18,314.076219
2pth2RShdq
will-third-party-candidates-receive
Will third party candidates combined receive more than 2% of the popular vote?
null
1,731,043,747,591
1,733,720,340,000
1,734,615,602,970
YES
0.99411
36,290.579855
RtpRtyqAS0
will-the-ap-make-a-race-call-in-the
Will the AP make a race call in the Arizona Senate election on Friday?
null
1,731,043,161,983
1,731,138,320,445
1,731,138,320,445
NO
0.01
8,949.874371
L5NzElgNPC
will-bitcoin-reach-1000000-before-i
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 before it goes back to $50,000?
null
1,731,041,530,030
1,733,366,991,904
1,733,366,991,904
YES
0.930896
9,762.100311
OPPCcsRt6R
daily-coinflip-ydI85RCOuN
Daily coinflip
null
1,731,037,242,504
1,731,128,340,000
1,731,128,946,276
NO
0.504926
17,954.131224
u60ZuP0P92
will-we-make-ziddletwix-a-mod-by-en
Will we make @Ziddletwix a mod by end of week?
null
1,731,020,998,246
1,731,657,540,000
1,731,657,728,008
NO
0.118265
2,549.469538
NyLLsIdhZP
will-taylor-swift-be-the-top-artist
Will Taylor Swift Be the Top Artist on Spotify in 2024 Wrapped?
null
1,731,020,828,617
1,733,348,527,020
1,733,348,527,020
YES
0.99
894.987437
OAOA6yZpZg
willw-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-IuZEtA9sIq
WillW the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Nov 8 than it closed on Nov 7?
null
1,731,013,599,758
1,731,104,841,737
1,731,104,841,737
YES
0.989856
1,350.54987
uZzhEInsqR
am-i-about-to-get-sick
Am I about to get sick?
null
1,731,008,844,295
1,731,298,955,995
1,731,298,955,995
NO
0.05064
17,149.318044
pAch9gEuPI
will-yann-lecun-reply-to-one-of-elo
Will Yann LeCun reply to one of Elon's posts on X before Dec 7th?
null
1,730,994,117,213
1,733,612,340,000
1,733,615,160,139
NO
0.01452
957.561751
ttQy2ClLdc
will-john-paulson-be-selected-as-tr
Will John Paulson be selected as Trump's Secretary of Treasury?
null
1,730,983,297,318
1,732,367,138,575
1,732,367,138,575
NO
0.014196
8,217
QIgcpqnscQ
will-gukesh-reach-2800-at-any-time
Will Gukesh reach 2800 at any time before the 2024 Chess World Championship?
null
1,730,955,181,976
1,732,510,740,000
1,732,559,812,448
NO
0.01204
855
PAQ6OOqzLN
will-my-friend-kaitlynwang-be-accep
Will my friend @KaitlynWang be accepted as a CS106b section leader?
null
1,730,950,907,453
1,734,593,767,483
1,734,593,767,483
NO
0.448695
1,392.368428
cUZESqNd0g
will-starship-ift6-successfully-com
Will Starship's 6th test successfully complete an in-space relight and burn?
null
1,730,933,935,090
1,732,073,950,967
1,732,073,950,967
YES
0.99
10,888.28946
Un206USES6
bitcoin-hits-100k-before-trumps-ina
Bitcoin $100K before Trump’s inauguration?
null
1,730,927,349,765
1,733,370,683,672
1,733,370,683,672
YES
0.990308
303,060.964299
LI9At9nhLl
willw-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-dC5EE890L5
WillW the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Nov 7 than it closed on Nov 6?
null
1,730,927,098,450
1,731,013,316,314
1,731,013,316,314
YES
0.99
1,088.381906
SQpEqsNhQ9
will-there-be-a-6th-starship-launch-9NQREZU5qn
Will there be a 6th Starship launch in November?
null
1,730,923,954,797
1,732,073,801,950
1,732,073,801,950
YES
0.990953
17,055.31839
IU8ghA8Q6R
title-will-the-sp-500-close-the-yea
Will the S&P 500 close 2024 above 6000?
null
1,730,919,770,513
1,735,678,987,151
1,735,678,987,151
NO
0.033305
13,173.447465
6hOqpc80Ny
will-kamala-harris-give-a-concessio
Will Kamala Harris give a concession or similar type speech in person lasting at least five minutes by end of Nov 2024?
null
1,730,913,182,678
1,730,932,476,003
1,730,932,476,003
YES
0.948692
3,300
2Sn08zRqCn
will-djt-hit-50-in-next-30-days
Will DJT hit $50 in next 30 days?
null
1,730,907,770,325
1,733,547,540,000
1,734,029,443,555
NO
0.01
894.987437
686CAyN855
will-kamala-actually-give-her-conce
Will Kamala actually give her concession speech this afternoon at Howard University?
null
1,730,906,312,622
1,731,041,940,000
1,731,175,535,225
YES
0.99
2,237.375186
q2QSpPOllh
will-i-be-demoted-to-platinum-this-uU56hnZqgS
Will I be demoted to Platinum this month?
null
1,730,906,133,250
1,733,177,982,330
1,733,177,982,330
NO
0.01
1,241.566889
8RhAL8S9I5
will-the-super-model-have-over-1000-Nn9tQROch8
Will The Super Model have over 1,000 subscribers by November 30?
null
1,730,905,776,250
1,733,029,140,000
1,733,044,526,544
NO
0.01
99,724.981
9ZQNnttUdZ
will-sleepy-ben-carson-return-to-hi
Will sleepy Ben Carson return to his nap pod as secretary of HUD?
null
1,730,893,933,333
1,734,561,853,055
1,734,561,853,055
NO
0.01
11,064.312755
0uO6gqpd5c
will-kamala-harris-publicly-concede
Will Kamala Harris publicly concede by noon Wednesday?
null
1,730,882,921,852
1,730,919,861,349
1,731,082,474,820
NO
0.02215
1,558.396601
CdgQhZt886
solana-above-170-on-november-8
Solana above $170 on November 8?
null
1,730,882,190,797
1,731,156,890,949
1,731,156,890,949
YES
0.99
988.918549
uAQC0Zl0Zq
did-trump-do-better-with-lgtbq-vote
Did Trump do better with LGTBQ voters than in 2020?
null
1,730,880,860,463
1,732,118,498,780
1,732,118,498,780
NO
0.01
1,187.380375
cnnOysAd2P
will-jimmy-carter-live-to-see-the-2
Will Jimmy Carter live to see the 2028 US presidential election?
null
1,730,876,295,260
1,735,538,271,426
1,735,538,271,426
NO
0.01
938.067897
9pNhIp9A0z
daily-coinflip-PhZUUCC9h0
Daily coinflip
null
1,730,875,741,986
1,731,034,800,000
1,731,037,224,729
YES
0.497519
26,812.325372
RAL8lsE9zh
short-fuse-will-elon-musk-be-on-sta
[SHORT FUSE] Will Elon Musk be on stage with Trump during his speech tonight?
null
1,730,874,031,650
1,730,879,602,665
1,730,879,602,665
NO
0.01
11,395.48748
ynQSsIglst
will-tetrashave-on-the-6th-november
Will Tetrashave on the 6th November 2024?
null
1,730,868,104,271
1,730,961,022,953
1,730,961,022,953
YES
0.795408
138.825794
2QptQs2yP0
will-haoqi-score-90-or-more-on-the
Will Haoqi score 75 or more on the 2024 AMC 10A?
null
1,730,866,871,649
1,730,923,140,000
1,731,131,738,423
NO
0.493133
427.050939
0RdIdtu66E
will-bitcoin-reach-an-all-time-high
Will Bitcoin reach an all time high before midnight EST 20241105?
null
1,730,860,618,414
1,730,863,236,059
1,730,863,236,059
YES
0.923604
2,543.541597
AOn0E6Z0gC
will-texas-vote-for-kamala
Will Texas vote for kamala
null
1,730,859,363,396
1,730,955,540,000
1,730,982,228,760
NO
0.010432
1,140
gzl8NPZ68l
will-trump-win-iowa-by-5-points-ele
Will Trump win Iowa by >5 points? [election night trading]
null
1,730,858,621,594
1,730,909,486,697
1,730,909,486,697
YES
0.97047
5,182.426926
RQAgCu2RZh
will-trump-drop-below-50-8EqluPqnZO
Will Trump drop below 50%?
null
1,730,851,321,267
1,730,896,377,802
1,730,896,377,802
NO
0.011452
9,099.973123
RRdIRnSnAA
will-manifold-projections-the-manif
Will MANIFOLD PROJECTIONS, the Manifold Markets Decision Desk, project a race incorrectly, EXCLUDING TYPOS?
null
1,730,851,186,378
1,734,767,940,000
1,735,030,390,726
NO
0.026576
14,186.933504
lyysE0OA2I
whoever-wins-pa-wins-the-entire-ele
Whoever wins PA wins the entire election.
null
1,730,848,446,255
1,730,909,456,317
1,730,909,456,317
YES
0.943421
699.158879
COQOqz6IqR
will-i-learn-who-won-the-election-w
Will I learn who won the election while I'm in the car?
null
1,730,846,734,820
1,730,880,777,964
1,730,880,777,964
NO
0.142055
360
IdgEEudz0I
trump-wins-pa-by-more-than-200k-vot
Trump wins PA by more than 200k votes.
null
1,730,844,903,587
1,731,196,405,920
1,731,196,405,920
NO
0.01
1,788.950639
thLll2zOU9
major-rioting-happens-in-dc-between
Major rioting happens in DC between 11/5 and 11/10 midnight.
null
1,730,844,011,275
1,731,220,656,244
1,731,220,656,244
NO
0.032798
497.461894
dgCtlh5lUS
will-scott-alexander-come-to-the-ma
Will Scott Alexander come to the Manifold election watch party?
null
1,730,842,224,772
1,730,928,017,322
1,730,928,017,322
NO
0.01
9,226.843376
lcZIty6uQS
will-there-be-credible-reports-by-e
Will there be credible reports by EOW that the video of the French Polymarket Trump trader is fake?
null
1,730,841,300,430
1,731,452,340,000
1,731,452,812,206
NO
0.01
933.210578
2Iz8zld6h0
willw-the-sp-500-stock-index-close
WillW the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Nov 6 than it closed on Nov 5?
null
1,730,840,603,563
1,730,926,913,608
1,730,926,913,608
YES
0.98696
770
NZuZLnNl9Z
trump-will-win-fl-by-more-than-18
Trump will win FL by more than 18%
null
1,730,839,883,218
1,730,909,824,471
1,730,909,824,471
NO
0.019023
735.886825
SNUEQpnUAQ
will-albany-teachers-strike-report
Will Albany teachers strike (report to picket lines) on Tuesday?
null
1,730,838,425,144
1,731,484,740,000
1,731,535,102,109
YES
0.755099
126
qIuRdgtSdZ
will-bay-bridge-traffic-be-halted-f--cash
Will Bay Bridge traffic be halted for 2+ hours on Election Day?
null
1,730,834,643,263
1,730,912,025,433
1,730,933,184,657
NO
0.097334
52
ULp995tOCc
there-will-be-no-major-psyop-betwee
There will be no major "psyop" between Nov. 5 and Nov 10th regarding the election.
null
1,730,831,324,765
1,731,333,199,941
1,731,333,199,941
YES
0.99
1,513.936255
szh6ng808c
will-trump-win-florida-by-8-points
Will Trump win Florida by >8 points? [election day trading]
null
1,730,831,245,531
1,730,858,196,300
1,730,858,196,300
YES
0.976387
70,051.509659
CLIZdnyhdt
will-there-be-any-break-between-one-p0qzt0RAZ9
Will there be any break between One Piece chapters 1132 and 1133?
null
1,730,828,540,991
1,733,126,340,000
1,733,185,439,546
NO
0.140896
1,555.213462
E2Zh0UyQ6d
will-there-be-a-break-between-chain-2gO6t2Z52c
Will there be a break between Chainsaw Man chapters 182 and 183?
null
1,730,828,490,558
1,731,484,740,000
1,731,868,171,852
NO
0.390244
250
R9cppu9hn6
miami-miamidade-goes-red-this-elect
Miami (Miami-Dade) Goes Red This Election.
null
1,730,828,218,890
1,730,909,708,445
1,730,909,708,445
YES
0.933336
656.397514
E8QCdL0h9O
btc-will-pass-100k-before-new-years
BTC will pass 100k before New Year's Day 2025
null
1,730,827,378,824
1,733,370,792,609
1,733,370,792,609
YES
0.983046
3,000.864925
glc9p8OAc8
will-the-sp-500-close-higher-on-fri
Will the S&P 500 close higher on Friday November 8th 2024 than it closed on Friday November 1st 2024?
null
1,730,823,584,946
1,731,076,200,000
1,731,106,157,078
YES
0.99
1,291.536408
yNdyuRCSSS
will-rfk-jr-come-in-second-place-in
Will RFK Jr. come in second place in any state?
null
1,730,821,455,696
1,731,581,495,505
1,731,581,495,505
NO
0.003851
1,618.941519
lquRALqA0g
will-the-winner-of-the-2024-electio-AU9qsOZq9P
Will the winner of the 2024 election name their competitor in their victory speech?
null
1,730,814,695,437
1,730,948,290,230
1,730,948,290,230
NO
0.01
1,125.836488
O5QSlCd0gO
will-the-us-presidential-election-b
Will the U.S. Presidential Election be called by Wednesday morning?
null
1,730,813,758,823
1,730,898,136,250
1,730,898,136,250
YES
0.967236
575
I9tnLctSdO
will-polymarket-a-volume-of-4-billi
Will Polymarket have a total volume of $4 billion on US 2024 elections?
null
1,730,813,255,986
1,730,917,302,076
1,730,917,302,076
NO
0.086694
6,804.255967
Q9gzzzA8t5
at-eod-nov-5-will-we-be-90-confiden
Will we know who won the election at EOD Nov 5
null
1,730,811,279,536
1,730,897,193,578
1,730,897,193,578
YES
0.984116
1,010
PE2PO68R9c
-will-baby-hippo-moo-deng-accuratel
🇺🇸 Will Baby Hippo Moo Deng Accurately Predict the Outcome of the 2024 U.S. Elections?
null
1,730,809,556,253
1,730,960,252,986
1,730,960,252,986
YES
0.99
13,904.116631
p9UAZI6RQs
will-both-trump-and-harris-reach-75
Will both Trump and Harris reach 75% on Manifold before the week ends?
null
1,730,806,907,543
1,731,193,140,000
1,731,196,265,910
NO
0.01
984.212255
hRlPgyLAZ5
will-spencer-cox-win-a-majority-of
Will Spencer Cox win a majority of votes in Utah's 2024 gubernatorial election?
null
1,730,802,180,685
1,731,207,205,925
1,731,207,205,925
YES
0.99
894.987437
cq6QuPdq5s
will-the-manifold-markets-decision
[INCLUDES ME-2 TYPO DEBACLE] Will MANIFOLD PROJECTIONS, the Manifold Markets Decision Desk, project a race incorrectly?
null
1,730,796,992,841
1,730,917,908,666
1,730,917,908,666
YES
0.971151
8,221.347269
nZsLACAn5u
will-destiny-reach-864k-subscribers
Will Destiny reach 864K subscribers on his main youtube channel by the end of November?
null
1,730,796,748,917
1,733,057,940,000
1,733,097,806,921
NO
0.01
1,391.731237