id stringlengths 9 20 | slug stringlengths 2 54 | question stringlengths 1 193 | firstGroup float64 | createdTime int64 1,641B 1,736B | closeTime int64 1,702B 1,736B | resolvedTime int64 1,727B 1,736B | resolution stringclasses 2
values | resolutionProbability float64 0 1 ⌀ | volume float64 0 11.6M |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
U9ISLLLRIE | will-there-be-any-break-between-kag-cI62zhIy59 | Will there be any break between Kagurabachi chapters 58 and 59? | null | 1,731,257,755,007 | 1,731,868,199,347 | 1,731,868,202,007 | NO | 0.409836 | 200 |
q2qQSEA8un | will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-ucg5gO6ASl | Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Nov 11 than it closed on nov 8? | null | 1,731,244,720,042 | 1,731,358,913,717 | 1,731,358,913,717 | YES | 0.93361 | 275 |
9dSsqAU0qh | will-bitcoin-be-higher-than-75000-u | Will Bitcoin be higher than $75,000 USD at the end of November 2024? | null | 1,731,238,193,609 | 1,733,011,140,000 | 1,733,046,480,119 | YES | 0.99 | 928.059526 |
gCC068tpgU | will-bitcoin-reach-88888-usd-before-0tl8SOpqnP | Will Bitcoin reach $88,888 USD before the end of 2025? | null | 1,731,223,115,486 | 1,731,369,158,156 | 1,731,369,158,156 | YES | 0.99 | 894.987437 |
QPtydy2N28 | will-bitcoin-reach-88888-usd-before | Will Bitcoin reach $88,888 USD before the end of 2024? | null | 1,731,223,102,038 | 1,731,370,054,696 | 1,731,370,054,696 | YES | 0.99 | 990.061369 |
QNREUNuI5h | in-the-next-30-days-will-the-next-n | In the next 30 days will the next Nintendo console be unveiled? | null | 1,731,220,295,643 | 1,733,893,140,000 | 1,733,893,331,671 | NO | 0.012218 | 889 |
lUNcNLANSU | in-the-next-30-days-will-joe-biden | In the next 30 days will Joe Biden pardon Hunter? | null | 1,731,220,269,878 | 1,733,106,605,761 | 1,733,106,605,761 | YES | 0.991491 | 1,485.012715 |
00c6UCQqtu | in-the-next-30-days-will-hollow-kni | In the next 30 days will Hollow Knight Silksong's release date be known? | null | 1,731,220,227,242 | 1,733,893,140,000 | 1,733,893,318,089 | NO | 0.012064 | 895.987437 |
httc2nsOuZ | in-the-next-30-days-will-bitcoin-re | In the next 30 days will Bitcoin reach $85k? | null | 1,731,220,207,286 | 1,731,355,653,935 | 1,731,355,653,935 | YES | 0.99 | 958.940928 |
pszQc9AZR2 | will-jd-vance-only-be-the-nyt-perso | Will JD Vance (ONLY) be the Time Person of the Year (POTY)? | null | 1,731,218,775,085 | 1,733,893,140,000 | 1,734,332,666,762 | NO | 0.01 | 9,481.368658 |
OR0QPAIEZc | will-tsla-reach-400-in-2025 | Will TSLA reach $400 in 2025? | null | 1,731,215,472,813 | 1,734,219,121,529 | 1,734,219,121,529 | YES | 0.99 | 926.900042 |
sc6cOz8lAZ | will-jannik-sinner-win-the-atp-fina | Will Jannik Sinner win the ATP finals? | null | 1,731,182,230,939 | 1,731,868,833,534 | 1,731,868,833,534 | YES | 0.976298 | 3,990.000003 |
qlh5I5QI50 | will-erling-haaland-have-at-least-2 | Will Erling Haaland have at least 20 Premier League goals in the 2024-25 season by the end of 2024? | null | 1,731,178,972,498 | 1,735,493,676,763 | 1,735,493,676,763 | NO | 0.008902 | 31,713.292995 |
QtZL6Ed5QP | will-ed-sheeran-release-a-new-chris | Will Ed Sheeran release a new Christmas single by the end of 2024 | null | 1,731,166,571,329 | 1,735,324,590,385 | 1,735,324,590,385 | YES | 0.989992 | 1,186 |
AZZNEucS9Z | will-tcb-scans-upload-chapter-1132 | Will TCB Scans upload chapter 1132 of One Piece on November 14th? | null | 1,731,163,979,362 | 1,731,657,540,000 | 1,731,868,121,121 | YES | 0.487656 | 25 |
IRAtNtupnz | profitable-bitcoin-coinflip-8-ev | Profitable Bitcoin Coinflip 8 [EV+] | null | 1,731,154,373,810 | 1,731,301,140,000 | 1,731,307,047,547 | NO | 0.500143 | 6 |
sAtz2u9P62 | profitable-bitcoin-coinflip-7-ev | Profitable Bitcoin Coinflip 7 [EV+] | null | 1,731,154,312,867 | 1,731,301,140,000 | 1,731,307,039,227 | YES | 0.49654 | 17 |
2unNunOAIL | profitable-bitcoin-coinflip-6-ev | Profitable Bitcoin Coinflip 6 [EV+] | null | 1,731,154,018,334 | 1,731,301,140,000 | 1,731,307,031,004 | NO | 0.49961 | 8 |
L2L5gssUzc | profitable-bitcoin-coinflip-5-ev | Profitable Bitcoin Coinflip 5 [EV+] | null | 1,731,153,892,381 | 1,731,301,140,000 | 1,731,307,025,753 | NO | 0.49995 | 6 |
ZlUI2UznnR | profitable-bitcoin-coinflip-4-ev | Profitable Bitcoin Coinflip 4 [EV+] | null | 1,731,153,802,718 | 1,731,301,140,000 | 1,731,306,993,705 | NO | 0.504826 | 7 |
p6ldInU52u | profitable-bitcoin-coinflip-3-ev-50RlAyOglU | Profitable Bitcoin Coinflip 3 [EV+] | null | 1,731,153,707,659 | 1,731,301,140,000 | 1,731,306,984,711 | YES | 0.499255 | 22 |
O6EhzyEnNh | profitable-bitcoin-coinflip-3-ev | Profitable Bitcoin Coinflip 3 [EV+] | null | 1,731,153,527,267 | 1,731,301,140,000 | 1,731,307,014,615 | YES | 0.504827 | 3 |
zpy5QR2PuL | profitable-bitcoin-coinflip-2-ev | Profitable Bitcoin Coinflip 2 [EV+] | null | 1,731,153,053,129 | 1,731,301,140,000 | 1,731,306,975,288 | NO | 0.499805 | 8 |
Q22P9E8nqO | profitable-bitcoin-coinflip-1-ev | Profitable Bitcoin Coinflip 1 [EV+] | null | 1,731,151,671,133 | 1,731,301,140,000 | 1,731,306,960,889 | NO | 0.523992 | 331.02951 |
qtSR2SgC5c | will-i-walk-more-steps-than-david-l | Will I walk more steps than David Lin in November? | null | 1,731,147,173,946 | 1,733,014,785,941 | 1,733,014,785,941 | YES | 0.49147 | 4,270.062485 |
AEpct25sn5 | will-this-market-goes-80-or-up | Will this market goes 80% or up | null | 1,731,145,386,645 | 1,731,954,540,000 | 1,731,956,197,372 | YES | 0.82 | 1,265.992317 |
qhRUcyPt2q | will-the-jake-paul-and-mike-tyson-f | Will the Jake Paul and Mike Tyson fight be delayed/cancelled/postponed | null | 1,731,131,427,926 | 1,731,733,140,000 | 1,732,048,979,168 | NO | 0.01 | 2,625.079099 |
52IpqyLl29 | daily-coinflip-Pp6ZtqINE9 | Daily coinflip | null | 1,731,129,004,104 | 1,731,294,000,000 | 1,731,296,457,158 | YES | 0.5 | 20,452.275925 |
8ZtShu89Z6 | bitcoin-above-77k-on-nov-18 | Bitcoin above $77K on Nov 18? | null | 1,731,119,677,974 | 1,731,966,014,920 | 1,731,966,014,920 | YES | 0.99 | 11,240.033724 |
222uS6Lytg | will-i-use-a-late-day-on-my-cs-assi | Will I use a late day on my CS assignment? | null | 1,731,118,590,590 | 1,731,135,548,493 | 1,731,135,548,493 | YES | 0.296792 | 90 |
hhnUhg5pty | will-an-ai-score-over-10-on-frontie | Will an AI score over 10% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025 | null | 1,731,114,173,716 | 1,734,722,022,899 | 1,734,722,022,899 | YES | 0.965124 | 5,927.684471 |
ql9uSszzRN | will-donald-trump-and-elon-musk-hav | Will Donald Trump and Elon Musk have a major falling out before Thanksgiving? | null | 1,731,111,108,484 | 1,732,942,740,000 | 1,732,973,464,711 | NO | 0.010737 | 868.10494 |
Zt0yECduu9 | will-wicked-have-a-higher-rotten-to | Will "Wicked" have a higher Rotten Tomatoes critics score than "Gladiator 2"? | null | 1,731,110,733,743 | 1,732,910,340,000 | 1,732,910,687,869 | YES | 0.989886 | 25,314.193208 |
gUQzqOPqUR | will-the-sp-500-close-higher-on-fri-RdC6pLytgI | Will the S&P 500 close higher on Friday November 15th 2024 than it closed on Friday November 8th 2024? | null | 1,731,106,218,984 | 1,731,733,140,000 | 1,731,757,127,365 | NO | 0.048389 | 451 |
UytNptUN2N | if-joe-biden-pardons-hunter-biden-b | If Joe Biden pardons Hunter Biden, will his approval rating be up a week later? | null | 1,731,088,789,007 | 1,733,893,140,000 | 1,733,897,356,808 | YES | 0.972205 | 2,811.260051 |
90pLSldhz6 | new-head-of-sec-is-nominated-by-the | New head of sec is nominated by the end of 2025? | null | 1,731,055,410,697 | 1,733,539,272,731 | 1,733,539,272,731 | YES | 0.628253 | 30 |
8N0g2dPlQE | will-donald-trump-be-alive-by-janua | Will Donald Trump, Jimmy Carter, and Alex Jones all be alive by January 1st, 2025? | null | 1,731,046,617,642 | 1,735,507,739,337 | 1,735,507,739,337 | NO | 0.01 | 18,314.076219 |
2pth2RShdq | will-third-party-candidates-receive | Will third party candidates combined receive more than 2% of the popular vote? | null | 1,731,043,747,591 | 1,733,720,340,000 | 1,734,615,602,970 | YES | 0.99411 | 36,290.579855 |
RtpRtyqAS0 | will-the-ap-make-a-race-call-in-the | Will the AP make a race call in the Arizona Senate election on Friday? | null | 1,731,043,161,983 | 1,731,138,320,445 | 1,731,138,320,445 | NO | 0.01 | 8,949.874371 |
L5NzElgNPC | will-bitcoin-reach-1000000-before-i | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 before it goes back to $50,000? | null | 1,731,041,530,030 | 1,733,366,991,904 | 1,733,366,991,904 | YES | 0.930896 | 9,762.100311 |
OPPCcsRt6R | daily-coinflip-ydI85RCOuN | Daily coinflip | null | 1,731,037,242,504 | 1,731,128,340,000 | 1,731,128,946,276 | NO | 0.504926 | 17,954.131224 |
u60ZuP0P92 | will-we-make-ziddletwix-a-mod-by-en | Will we make @Ziddletwix a mod by end of week? | null | 1,731,020,998,246 | 1,731,657,540,000 | 1,731,657,728,008 | NO | 0.118265 | 2,549.469538 |
NyLLsIdhZP | will-taylor-swift-be-the-top-artist | Will Taylor Swift Be the Top Artist on Spotify in 2024 Wrapped? | null | 1,731,020,828,617 | 1,733,348,527,020 | 1,733,348,527,020 | YES | 0.99 | 894.987437 |
OAOA6yZpZg | willw-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-IuZEtA9sIq | WillW the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Nov 8 than it closed on Nov 7? | null | 1,731,013,599,758 | 1,731,104,841,737 | 1,731,104,841,737 | YES | 0.989856 | 1,350.54987 |
uZzhEInsqR | am-i-about-to-get-sick | Am I about to get sick? | null | 1,731,008,844,295 | 1,731,298,955,995 | 1,731,298,955,995 | NO | 0.05064 | 17,149.318044 |
pAch9gEuPI | will-yann-lecun-reply-to-one-of-elo | Will Yann LeCun reply to one of Elon's posts on X before Dec 7th? | null | 1,730,994,117,213 | 1,733,612,340,000 | 1,733,615,160,139 | NO | 0.01452 | 957.561751 |
ttQy2ClLdc | will-john-paulson-be-selected-as-tr | Will John Paulson be selected as Trump's Secretary of Treasury? | null | 1,730,983,297,318 | 1,732,367,138,575 | 1,732,367,138,575 | NO | 0.014196 | 8,217 |
QIgcpqnscQ | will-gukesh-reach-2800-at-any-time | Will Gukesh reach 2800 at any time before the 2024 Chess World Championship? | null | 1,730,955,181,976 | 1,732,510,740,000 | 1,732,559,812,448 | NO | 0.01204 | 855 |
PAQ6OOqzLN | will-my-friend-kaitlynwang-be-accep | Will my friend @KaitlynWang be accepted as a CS106b section leader? | null | 1,730,950,907,453 | 1,734,593,767,483 | 1,734,593,767,483 | NO | 0.448695 | 1,392.368428 |
cUZESqNd0g | will-starship-ift6-successfully-com | Will Starship's 6th test successfully complete an in-space relight and burn? | null | 1,730,933,935,090 | 1,732,073,950,967 | 1,732,073,950,967 | YES | 0.99 | 10,888.28946 |
Un206USES6 | bitcoin-hits-100k-before-trumps-ina | Bitcoin $100K before Trump’s inauguration? | null | 1,730,927,349,765 | 1,733,370,683,672 | 1,733,370,683,672 | YES | 0.990308 | 303,060.964299 |
LI9At9nhLl | willw-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-dC5EE890L5 | WillW the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Nov 7 than it closed on Nov 6? | null | 1,730,927,098,450 | 1,731,013,316,314 | 1,731,013,316,314 | YES | 0.99 | 1,088.381906 |
SQpEqsNhQ9 | will-there-be-a-6th-starship-launch-9NQREZU5qn | Will there be a 6th Starship launch in November? | null | 1,730,923,954,797 | 1,732,073,801,950 | 1,732,073,801,950 | YES | 0.990953 | 17,055.31839 |
IU8ghA8Q6R | title-will-the-sp-500-close-the-yea | Will the S&P 500 close 2024 above 6000? | null | 1,730,919,770,513 | 1,735,678,987,151 | 1,735,678,987,151 | NO | 0.033305 | 13,173.447465 |
6hOqpc80Ny | will-kamala-harris-give-a-concessio | Will Kamala Harris give a concession or similar type speech in person lasting at least five minutes by end of Nov 2024? | null | 1,730,913,182,678 | 1,730,932,476,003 | 1,730,932,476,003 | YES | 0.948692 | 3,300 |
2Sn08zRqCn | will-djt-hit-50-in-next-30-days | Will DJT hit $50 in next 30 days? | null | 1,730,907,770,325 | 1,733,547,540,000 | 1,734,029,443,555 | NO | 0.01 | 894.987437 |
686CAyN855 | will-kamala-actually-give-her-conce | Will Kamala actually give her concession speech this afternoon at Howard University? | null | 1,730,906,312,622 | 1,731,041,940,000 | 1,731,175,535,225 | YES | 0.99 | 2,237.375186 |
q2QSpPOllh | will-i-be-demoted-to-platinum-this-uU56hnZqgS | Will I be demoted to Platinum this month? | null | 1,730,906,133,250 | 1,733,177,982,330 | 1,733,177,982,330 | NO | 0.01 | 1,241.566889 |
8RhAL8S9I5 | will-the-super-model-have-over-1000-Nn9tQROch8 | Will The Super Model have over 1,000 subscribers by November 30? | null | 1,730,905,776,250 | 1,733,029,140,000 | 1,733,044,526,544 | NO | 0.01 | 99,724.981 |
9ZQNnttUdZ | will-sleepy-ben-carson-return-to-hi | Will sleepy Ben Carson return to his nap pod as secretary of HUD? | null | 1,730,893,933,333 | 1,734,561,853,055 | 1,734,561,853,055 | NO | 0.01 | 11,064.312755 |
0uO6gqpd5c | will-kamala-harris-publicly-concede | Will Kamala Harris publicly concede by noon Wednesday? | null | 1,730,882,921,852 | 1,730,919,861,349 | 1,731,082,474,820 | NO | 0.02215 | 1,558.396601 |
CdgQhZt886 | solana-above-170-on-november-8 | Solana above $170 on November 8? | null | 1,730,882,190,797 | 1,731,156,890,949 | 1,731,156,890,949 | YES | 0.99 | 988.918549 |
uAQC0Zl0Zq | did-trump-do-better-with-lgtbq-vote | Did Trump do better with LGTBQ voters than in 2020? | null | 1,730,880,860,463 | 1,732,118,498,780 | 1,732,118,498,780 | NO | 0.01 | 1,187.380375 |
cnnOysAd2P | will-jimmy-carter-live-to-see-the-2 | Will Jimmy Carter live to see the 2028 US presidential election? | null | 1,730,876,295,260 | 1,735,538,271,426 | 1,735,538,271,426 | NO | 0.01 | 938.067897 |
9pNhIp9A0z | daily-coinflip-PhZUUCC9h0 | Daily coinflip | null | 1,730,875,741,986 | 1,731,034,800,000 | 1,731,037,224,729 | YES | 0.497519 | 26,812.325372 |
RAL8lsE9zh | short-fuse-will-elon-musk-be-on-sta | [SHORT FUSE] Will Elon Musk be on stage with Trump during his speech tonight? | null | 1,730,874,031,650 | 1,730,879,602,665 | 1,730,879,602,665 | NO | 0.01 | 11,395.48748 |
ynQSsIglst | will-tetrashave-on-the-6th-november | Will Tetrashave on the 6th November 2024? | null | 1,730,868,104,271 | 1,730,961,022,953 | 1,730,961,022,953 | YES | 0.795408 | 138.825794 |
2QptQs2yP0 | will-haoqi-score-90-or-more-on-the | Will Haoqi score 75 or more on the 2024 AMC 10A? | null | 1,730,866,871,649 | 1,730,923,140,000 | 1,731,131,738,423 | NO | 0.493133 | 427.050939 |
0RdIdtu66E | will-bitcoin-reach-an-all-time-high | Will Bitcoin reach an all time high before midnight EST 20241105? | null | 1,730,860,618,414 | 1,730,863,236,059 | 1,730,863,236,059 | YES | 0.923604 | 2,543.541597 |
AOn0E6Z0gC | will-texas-vote-for-kamala | Will Texas vote for kamala | null | 1,730,859,363,396 | 1,730,955,540,000 | 1,730,982,228,760 | NO | 0.010432 | 1,140 |
gzl8NPZ68l | will-trump-win-iowa-by-5-points-ele | Will Trump win Iowa by >5 points? [election night trading] | null | 1,730,858,621,594 | 1,730,909,486,697 | 1,730,909,486,697 | YES | 0.97047 | 5,182.426926 |
RQAgCu2RZh | will-trump-drop-below-50-8EqluPqnZO | Will Trump drop below 50%? | null | 1,730,851,321,267 | 1,730,896,377,802 | 1,730,896,377,802 | NO | 0.011452 | 9,099.973123 |
RRdIRnSnAA | will-manifold-projections-the-manif | Will MANIFOLD PROJECTIONS, the Manifold Markets Decision Desk, project a race incorrectly, EXCLUDING TYPOS? | null | 1,730,851,186,378 | 1,734,767,940,000 | 1,735,030,390,726 | NO | 0.026576 | 14,186.933504 |
lyysE0OA2I | whoever-wins-pa-wins-the-entire-ele | Whoever wins PA wins the entire election. | null | 1,730,848,446,255 | 1,730,909,456,317 | 1,730,909,456,317 | YES | 0.943421 | 699.158879 |
COQOqz6IqR | will-i-learn-who-won-the-election-w | Will I learn who won the election while I'm in the car? | null | 1,730,846,734,820 | 1,730,880,777,964 | 1,730,880,777,964 | NO | 0.142055 | 360 |
IdgEEudz0I | trump-wins-pa-by-more-than-200k-vot | Trump wins PA by more than 200k votes. | null | 1,730,844,903,587 | 1,731,196,405,920 | 1,731,196,405,920 | NO | 0.01 | 1,788.950639 |
thLll2zOU9 | major-rioting-happens-in-dc-between | Major rioting happens in DC between 11/5 and 11/10 midnight. | null | 1,730,844,011,275 | 1,731,220,656,244 | 1,731,220,656,244 | NO | 0.032798 | 497.461894 |
dgCtlh5lUS | will-scott-alexander-come-to-the-ma | Will Scott Alexander come to the Manifold election watch party? | null | 1,730,842,224,772 | 1,730,928,017,322 | 1,730,928,017,322 | NO | 0.01 | 9,226.843376 |
lcZIty6uQS | will-there-be-credible-reports-by-e | Will there be credible reports by EOW that the video of the French Polymarket Trump trader is fake? | null | 1,730,841,300,430 | 1,731,452,340,000 | 1,731,452,812,206 | NO | 0.01 | 933.210578 |
2Iz8zld6h0 | willw-the-sp-500-stock-index-close | WillW the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Nov 6 than it closed on Nov 5? | null | 1,730,840,603,563 | 1,730,926,913,608 | 1,730,926,913,608 | YES | 0.98696 | 770 |
NZuZLnNl9Z | trump-will-win-fl-by-more-than-18 | Trump will win FL by more than 18% | null | 1,730,839,883,218 | 1,730,909,824,471 | 1,730,909,824,471 | NO | 0.019023 | 735.886825 |
SNUEQpnUAQ | will-albany-teachers-strike-report | Will Albany teachers strike (report to picket lines) on Tuesday? | null | 1,730,838,425,144 | 1,731,484,740,000 | 1,731,535,102,109 | YES | 0.755099 | 126 |
qIuRdgtSdZ | will-bay-bridge-traffic-be-halted-f--cash | Will Bay Bridge traffic be halted for 2+ hours on Election Day? | null | 1,730,834,643,263 | 1,730,912,025,433 | 1,730,933,184,657 | NO | 0.097334 | 52 |
ULp995tOCc | there-will-be-no-major-psyop-betwee | There will be no major "psyop" between Nov. 5 and Nov 10th regarding the election. | null | 1,730,831,324,765 | 1,731,333,199,941 | 1,731,333,199,941 | YES | 0.99 | 1,513.936255 |
szh6ng808c | will-trump-win-florida-by-8-points | Will Trump win Florida by >8 points? [election day trading] | null | 1,730,831,245,531 | 1,730,858,196,300 | 1,730,858,196,300 | YES | 0.976387 | 70,051.509659 |
CLIZdnyhdt | will-there-be-any-break-between-one-p0qzt0RAZ9 | Will there be any break between One Piece chapters 1132 and 1133? | null | 1,730,828,540,991 | 1,733,126,340,000 | 1,733,185,439,546 | NO | 0.140896 | 1,555.213462 |
E2Zh0UyQ6d | will-there-be-a-break-between-chain-2gO6t2Z52c | Will there be a break between Chainsaw Man chapters 182 and 183? | null | 1,730,828,490,558 | 1,731,484,740,000 | 1,731,868,171,852 | NO | 0.390244 | 250 |
R9cppu9hn6 | miami-miamidade-goes-red-this-elect | Miami (Miami-Dade) Goes Red This Election. | null | 1,730,828,218,890 | 1,730,909,708,445 | 1,730,909,708,445 | YES | 0.933336 | 656.397514 |
E8QCdL0h9O | btc-will-pass-100k-before-new-years | BTC will pass 100k before New Year's Day 2025 | null | 1,730,827,378,824 | 1,733,370,792,609 | 1,733,370,792,609 | YES | 0.983046 | 3,000.864925 |
glc9p8OAc8 | will-the-sp-500-close-higher-on-fri | Will the S&P 500 close higher on Friday November 8th 2024 than it closed on Friday November 1st 2024? | null | 1,730,823,584,946 | 1,731,076,200,000 | 1,731,106,157,078 | YES | 0.99 | 1,291.536408 |
yNdyuRCSSS | will-rfk-jr-come-in-second-place-in | Will RFK Jr. come in second place in any state? | null | 1,730,821,455,696 | 1,731,581,495,505 | 1,731,581,495,505 | NO | 0.003851 | 1,618.941519 |
lquRALqA0g | will-the-winner-of-the-2024-electio-AU9qsOZq9P | Will the winner of the 2024 election name their competitor in their victory speech? | null | 1,730,814,695,437 | 1,730,948,290,230 | 1,730,948,290,230 | NO | 0.01 | 1,125.836488 |
O5QSlCd0gO | will-the-us-presidential-election-b | Will the U.S. Presidential Election be called by Wednesday morning? | null | 1,730,813,758,823 | 1,730,898,136,250 | 1,730,898,136,250 | YES | 0.967236 | 575 |
I9tnLctSdO | will-polymarket-a-volume-of-4-billi | Will Polymarket have a total volume of $4 billion on US 2024 elections? | null | 1,730,813,255,986 | 1,730,917,302,076 | 1,730,917,302,076 | NO | 0.086694 | 6,804.255967 |
Q9gzzzA8t5 | at-eod-nov-5-will-we-be-90-confiden | Will we know who won the election at EOD Nov 5 | null | 1,730,811,279,536 | 1,730,897,193,578 | 1,730,897,193,578 | YES | 0.984116 | 1,010 |
PE2PO68R9c | -will-baby-hippo-moo-deng-accuratel | 🇺🇸 Will Baby Hippo Moo Deng Accurately Predict the Outcome of the 2024 U.S. Elections? | null | 1,730,809,556,253 | 1,730,960,252,986 | 1,730,960,252,986 | YES | 0.99 | 13,904.116631 |
p9UAZI6RQs | will-both-trump-and-harris-reach-75 | Will both Trump and Harris reach 75% on Manifold before the week ends? | null | 1,730,806,907,543 | 1,731,193,140,000 | 1,731,196,265,910 | NO | 0.01 | 984.212255 |
hRlPgyLAZ5 | will-spencer-cox-win-a-majority-of | Will Spencer Cox win a majority of votes in Utah's 2024 gubernatorial election? | null | 1,730,802,180,685 | 1,731,207,205,925 | 1,731,207,205,925 | YES | 0.99 | 894.987437 |
cq6QuPdq5s | will-the-manifold-markets-decision | [INCLUDES ME-2 TYPO DEBACLE] Will MANIFOLD PROJECTIONS, the Manifold Markets Decision Desk, project a race incorrectly? | null | 1,730,796,992,841 | 1,730,917,908,666 | 1,730,917,908,666 | YES | 0.971151 | 8,221.347269 |
nZsLACAn5u | will-destiny-reach-864k-subscribers | Will Destiny reach 864K subscribers on his main youtube channel by the end of November? | null | 1,730,796,748,917 | 1,733,057,940,000 | 1,733,097,806,921 | NO | 0.01 | 1,391.731237 |
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