id stringlengths 9 20 | slug stringlengths 2 54 | question stringlengths 1 193 | firstGroup float64 | createdTime int64 1,641B 1,736B | closeTime int64 1,702B 1,736B | resolvedTime int64 1,727B 1,736B | resolution stringclasses 2
values | resolutionProbability float64 0 1 ⌀ | volume float64 0 11.6M |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
QC9NnSR8qL | will-bay-bridge-traffic-be-halted-f | Will Bay Bridge traffic be halted for 2+ hours on Election Day? | null | 1,730,789,569,515 | 1,730,912,025,433 | 1,730,912,025,433 | NO | 0.022535 | 6,114.285611 |
l5cnUEpud0 | will-any-us-state-have-more-than-50 | Will any U.S. State have more than 50,000 customers without power on or before 12/31/2024? | null | 1,730,783,435,903 | 1,730,904,767,268 | 1,730,904,767,268 | YES | 0.747944 | 845 |
dUl5PUSd5g | will-destinys-prediction-that-kamal | Will Destiny's prediction that Kamala will win 6 out of 7 swing states come true? | null | 1,730,781,516,451 | 1,730,876,364,779 | 1,730,876,364,779 | NO | 0.014868 | 9,702.163243 |
OQplN6gtR9 | will-trump-post-stop-the-count-in-t--cash | Will Trump post “Stop the Count” in the days following the election? | null | 1,730,779,790,412 | 1,731,225,540,000 | 1,731,352,376,332 | NO | 0.01 | 1,725.933548 |
QlUqOIP9Rl | will-they-rig-the-election | Will they rig the election? | null | 1,730,775,515,883 | 1,730,905,140,000 | 1,732,666,542,143 | NO | 0.035241 | 5,901.878442 |
t6EQqngLhN | will-netflixs-top-englishlanguage-f | Will Netflix's top English-language film for the week ending December 1, 2024, be a holiday film? | null | 1,730,768,850,640 | 1,733,256,932,833 | 1,733,256,932,833 | YES | 0.749009 | 185.592457 |
SthIzzt8s9 | will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-lAcZ8OUILI | Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Nov 5 than it closed on Nov 4? | null | 1,730,754,511,075 | 1,730,840,510,199 | 1,730,840,510,199 | YES | 0.989053 | 910.999992 |
pcC8CZOOgs | will-dixville-notch-vote-unanimousl | Will Dixville Notch vote unanimously for Kamala Harris? | null | 1,730,749,716,681 | 1,730,784,192,377 | 1,730,784,192,377 | NO | 0.011187 | 1,368.906953 |
sCNSQyC8dy | will-harris-pull-ahead-in-the-final | Will Harris pull ahead in the final run of the Silver Bulletin forecast? | null | 1,730,749,520,884 | 1,730,795,289,172 | 1,730,795,289,172 | YES | 0.989999 | 1,125.910916 |
Inu2gyy86R | will-trump-post-stop-the-count-in-t | Will Trump post “Stop the Count” in the days following the election? | null | 1,730,746,703,750 | 1,731,225,540,000 | 1,731,277,795,487 | NO | 0.01 | 27,531.288538 |
6LPS60Ect6 | will-we-hit-a-new-record-for-vancou | Will we hit a new record for Vancouver's 4th Taco Tuesday? | null | 1,730,743,960,754 | 1,730,869,362,617 | 1,730,869,362,617 | YES | 0.5 | 28.000013 |
h5hS6EzI22 | will-the-2024-us-presidential-elect-5qURhpPEPu | Will the 2024 US Presidential Election results be known within 1 week of the election date? | null | 1,730,742,367,947 | 1,730,898,321,121 | 1,730,898,321,121 | YES | 0.966879 | 544.999999 |
cl8su5cupu | will-trump-win-kansas-by-10-or-more | Will Trump Win Kansas By 10 Or More Points? | null | 1,730,740,800,063 | 1,730,906,875,810 | 1,730,906,875,810 | YES | 0.987104 | 903 |
UpydAN50qu | will-pennsylvania-be-decisive-in-th | Will Pennsylvania be decisive in the 2024 Presidential Election? | null | 1,730,740,618,305 | 1,731,387,540,000 | 1,731,387,942,154 | NO | 0.011926 | 14,249.535009 |
L8nZQqOpsz | will-kamala-harris-win-iowa | Will Kamala Harris win Iowa? | null | 1,730,737,236,168 | 1,731,091,064,972 | 1,731,091,064,972 | NO | 0.01 | 1,168.363032 |
EPsAsLy8sp | will-trump-reach-6025-before-electi | Will Trump reach 60% before election day? | null | 1,730,733,228,688 | 1,730,793,540,000 | 1,730,794,939,153 | NO | 0.018986 | 7,665.337537 |
c262S55CRp | will-kamala-harris-win-north-caroli | Will Kamala Harris win North Carolina? | null | 1,730,730,305,162 | 1,731,090,408,322 | 1,731,090,408,322 | NO | 0.01 | 1,147.356891 |
LyRUZ2CNRg | will-xcommanifoldmarkets-post-today | Will x.com/manifoldmarkets post today? | null | 1,730,729,946,317 | 1,730,755,100,779 | 1,730,755,100,779 | YES | 0.989857 | 9,020.882366 |
Rn0gzuECc9 | will-iran-hit-israel-within-3-month | Will Iran hit Israel within 3 months of being attacked by them? | null | 1,730,729,477,790 | 1,735,409,130,287 | 1,735,409,130,287 | NO | 0.157421 | 457.638409 |
UCEg2EcIhR | will-pakistan-win-the-2nd-odi-again | Will Pakistan win the 2nd ODI against Australia in their 2024-25 tour? | null | 1,730,725,161,946 | 1,731,147,023,692 | 1,731,147,023,692 | YES | 0.842277 | 230 |
yIcSORlE05 | will-iran-hit-israel-within-2-month | Will Iran hit Israel within 2 months of being attacked by them? | null | 1,730,720,239,659 | 1,734,215,631,439 | 1,734,215,631,439 | NO | 0.268833 | 206 |
APPNgpd69l | will-democrats-win-both-houses-of-c-IsRR0hqsPh | Will Democrats win both houses of Congress? | null | 1,730,716,554,722 | 1,730,955,540,000 | 1,730,982,238,072 | NO | 0.010033 | 20,168.825251 |
A9dh8nglp8 | will-democrats-win-both-houses-of-c | Will Democrats win both houses of Congress? | null | 1,730,716,360,936 | 1,731,387,540,000 | 1,731,413,815,185 | NO | 0.01 | 894.987437 |
NZEc6I9Nq6 | will-the-max-temperature-in-sydney | Will the max temperature in Sydney exceed 30 degrees Celsius / 86 degrees Fahrenheit for 2 consecutive days this week? | null | 1,730,707,848,173 | 1,731,184,658,609 | 1,731,184,658,609 | YES | 0.324091 | 49 |
0ZcLgynycz | did-peanut-the-squirrel-or-fred-the | Did Peanut the squirrel or Fred the raccoon have rabies? | null | 1,730,705,751,068 | 1,731,482,382,605 | 1,731,482,382,605 | NO | 0.011503 | 827 |
6hgAyythqy | before-february-2025-will-a-gemini | Before February 2025, will a Gemini model exceed Claude 3.5 Sonnet 10/22's Global Average score on LiveBench? | null | 1,730,699,109,486 | 1,733,970,250,050 | 1,733,970,250,050 | YES | 0.945619 | 317 |
NZuLqNqURy | daily-coinflip-6ZpnqAC6PP | Daily coinflip | null | 1,730,696,863,606 | 1,730,869,140,000 | 1,730,875,725,312 | NO | 0.51 | 10,483.257889 |
z5t9N2dSL0 | i-can-resolve-this-market-either-wa | I can resolve this market either way. However, if I resolve YES, I must pay 5,000 mana to a randomly chosen trader. | null | 1,730,695,636,591 | 1,733,288,340,000 | 1,733,290,207,299 | YES | 0.181738 | 3,895.888351 |
N5Nz0ZqggA | will-arcane-season-2-get-a-100-on-r | Will Arcane Season 2 get a 100% on RottenTomatoes? | null | 1,730,695,135,784 | 1,732,607,940,000 | 1,733,873,397,285 | YES | 0.99 | 6,628.308469 |
0RPgs6nEhI | will-my-flight-from-kuala-lumpur-to | Will my flight from Kuala Lumpur to Singapore be delayed for any reason? | null | 1,730,690,437,507 | 1,730,869,018,684 | 1,730,869,018,684 | YES | 0.239475 | 90 |
U9zUtSzdPI | will-ann-saltzers-final-iowa-2024-p--cash | Will Ann Selzer's final Iowa 2024 presidential election poll be accurate? | null | 1,730,689,780,263 | 1,730,869,140,000 | 1,730,937,348,861 | NO | 0.059333 | 507.183361 |
UhAcEsdcZE | will-one-presidential-candidate-dro | Will one presidential candidate drop below 30% odds then go on to win? | null | 1,730,683,438,059 | 1,730,890,233,680 | 1,730,890,233,680 | NO | 0.057096 | 4,859.268565 |
czUEAPSnAO | short-fuse-will-jon-ralston-predict | [short fuse 💣] Will Jon Ralston predict that Kamala Harris wins Nevada? | null | 1,730,683,350,477 | 1,730,749,881,893 | 1,730,749,881,893 | YES | 0.870684 | 4,342.799032 |
6d9l0NyzR0 | will-iran-hit-israel-within-1-month | Will Iran hit Israel within 1 month of being attacked by them? | null | 1,730,679,939,917 | 1,731,901,685,989 | 1,731,901,685,989 | NO | 0.146062 | 791.420545 |
tU2yq0Q502 | before-the-rooster-crows-on-the-mor | Before the rooster crows on the morning of November 6, will Donald Trump have denied the election results three times? | null | 1,730,677,325,950 | 1,730,931,276,378 | 1,730,931,276,378 | NO | 0.014256 | 24,310.957594 |
Rl6yPZg6Ag | i-set-31-goals-for-this-week-will-i | I set 31 goals for this week, will I accomplish all of them? | null | 1,730,670,405,205 | 1,731,278,332,028 | 1,731,278,332,028 | YES | 0.283433 | 222 |
RAq2gsu8ds | will-ann-saltzers-final-iowa-2024-p | Will Ann Selzer's final Iowa 2024 presidential election poll be accurate? | null | 1,730,668,505,783 | 1,730,869,140,000 | 1,730,983,684,416 | NO | 0.006947 | 41,497.634596 |
6AISthRhLg | will-trump-have-heart-attack-before | Will trump have heart attack before Nov 6th? | null | 1,730,668,328,583 | 1,730,875,924,962 | 1,730,875,924,962 | NO | 0.008778 | 24,006.259423 |
I9I2pSLRlI | will-my-slay-the-spire-run-defeat-t | Will my Slay the Spire run defeat the Corrupted Heart? | null | 1,730,665,451,578 | 1,730,923,685,002 | 1,730,923,685,002 | NO | 0.207582 | 253 |
ZcEIp6nCCl | will-trump-win-south-carolina-by-12 | Will Trump win South Carolina by >12 points? | null | 1,730,659,808,372 | 1,730,890,800,000 | 1,730,892,867,228 | YES | 0.971183 | 5,664.492377 |
quzqEQNL5Q | will-there-be-any-break-between-kag-POZA02u89c | Will there be any break between Kagurabachi chapters 57 and 58? | null | 1,730,652,790,158 | 1,731,257,737,855 | 1,731,257,740,334 | NO | 0.452489 | 100 |
d98ddZ6S8g | will-any-state-have-more-than-50000-E2qh8L6Acs | Will any state have more than 50,000 customers without power (orange on US Power Outage Map) before the end of 2024? | null | 1,730,650,673,618 | 1,730,758,079,483 | 1,730,758,079,483 | YES | 0.624639 | 299.999996 |
5pny0Ip8st | will-bitcoin-go-near-usd-50000-in-t | Will Bitcoin ‘fall down to the $50,000s in the next few days’? | null | 1,730,645,466,012 | 1,731,293,940,000 | 1,731,301,304,331 | NO | 0.01 | 1,701.420424 |
ZzN2O80q8A | will-the-daily-coinflip-on-tuesday | Will the Daily Coinflip on Tuesday 5th correspond to the result of the 2024 USA election? (Head-Harris or Tails-Trump) | null | 1,730,631,290,750 | 1,730,964,217,814 | 1,730,964,217,814 | YES | 0.945094 | 6,195.216905 |
OORy8P8UcO | will-ethereum-eth-reach-the-price-o | Will Ethereum (ETH) reach the price of $2,600 on Nov 11th ? | null | 1,730,631,177,978 | 1,731,279,540,000 | 1,731,281,220,299 | YES | 0.948374 | 485.552811 |
Oz6NlNRRQP | will-donald-trump-appear-on-or-call | [Short-Fuse] Will Donald Trump be on any Fox show to deny associating with Jeffrey Epstein before Noon Election Day ? | null | 1,730,618,482,111 | 1,730,826,000,000 | 1,730,826,029,915 | NO | 0.01 | 9,569.184149 |
ChnSCz2lIE | the-iowa-selzer-poll-will-prove-to | The Iowa Selzer Poll will prove to be accurate | null | 1,730,606,788,538 | 1,730,872,740,000 | 1,735,171,989,840 | NO | 0.029949 | 812.178739 |
5z9nzQ6IUI | daily-coinflip-5y6N9puuzu | Daily coinflip | null | 1,730,605,246,139 | 1,730,696,340,000 | 1,730,696,849,432 | YES | 0.51 | 3,824.483682 |
RRZ9ypsAdU | will-our-friend-want-to-go-on-a-lat | Will our friend want to go on a late night trip to the convenience store sometime this weekend? | null | 1,730,601,055,783 | 1,731,387,540,000 | 1,732,505,096,408 | NO | 0.461173 | 68.74656 |
CcyyllyUqh | will-trump-win-iowa-by-5-points--cash | Will Trump win Iowa by >5 points? | null | 1,730,599,941,227 | 1,730,858,340,000 | 1,730,937,288,389 | YES | 0.628447 | 339.527389 |
QPqNL2Rpuq | india-to-win-the-third-test-vs-new-LSQclcs0cA | India to win the third test vs New Zealand | null | 1,730,599,929,872 | 1,730,600,041,896 | 1,730,600,041,896 | YES | 0.409832 | 206 |
0dRZtSyOPO | will-selzer-outpredict-silver-in-th--cash | Will Selzer out-predict Silver in the 2024 Iowa presidential election? | null | 1,730,599,926,240 | 1,730,947,746,900 | 1,731,050,130,982 | NO | 0.010033 | 1,390.012632 |
CpnA0Q9UdU | will-the-final-tally-of-electoral-v | Will the final tally of electoral votes awarded to Trump be an odd number? | null | 1,730,599,885,141 | 1,731,624,906,138 | 1,731,624,906,138 | NO | 0.04156 | 14,308.872379 |
2zt6dg9Is5 | india-to-win-the-third-test-vs-new | India to win the third test vs New Zealand | null | 1,730,599,428,002 | 1,730,599,811,156 | 1,730,599,811,156 | NO | 0.099948 | 206 |
ynsgSlQQAy | will-kamala-harris-appear-on-snl-be-ZhtZ5qp9s9 | Will Kamala Harris appear on SNL before the 2024 election? | null | 1,730,594,504,414 | 1,730,605,027,148 | 1,730,605,027,148 | YES | 0.980168 | 876.98061 |
PCNA2hhOIh | will-trump-win-iowa-by-5-points | Will Trump win Iowa by >5 points? | null | 1,730,591,893,839 | 1,730,858,340,000 | 1,730,909,333,800 | YES | 0.47 | 102,556.884332 |
z0OdudQNyl | will-ozaukee-county-wi-vote-democra | Will Ozaukee County, WI vote Democrat for president in 2024? | null | 1,730,589,271,259 | 1,731,288,674,090 | 1,731,288,674,090 | NO | 0.390244 | 65.000018 |
cN86UzLuZt | will-braedon-frier-puke-november-2 | Will Braedon Frier puke November 2 2024? | null | 1,730,588,554,434 | 1,730,654,535,252 | 1,730,654,544,233 | YES | 0.504525 | 20 |
5nug2Ny6OR | will-i-attend-rickis-trading-bootca | Will I attend Ricki's Trading Bootcamp in November? | null | 1,730,577,514,829 | 1,730,966,340,000 | 1,731,623,835,973 | YES | 0.989613 | 13,226.267954 |
ld0hlEuNpy | texas-will-kamala-harris-win-the-st | Texas | Will Kamala Harris win the state of Texas in the 2024 presidential election? | null | 1,730,575,409,649 | 1,730,897,940,000 | 1,730,970,880,563 | NO | 0.012422 | 1,308 |
ARAhd9IpNU | florida-will-kamala-harris-win-the | Florida | Will Kamala Harris win the state of Florida in the 2024 presidential election? | null | 1,730,574,747,977 | 1,730,872,740,000 | 1,730,970,905,327 | NO | 0.022378 | 840 |
E89QLh222R | will-i-regret-staying-up-late-on-el | Will I regret staying up late on Election Night? | null | 1,730,572,995,984 | 1,730,931,343,771 | 1,730,931,343,771 | NO | 0.563239 | 1,874.565105 |
NQ2C9CSAyc | will-victor-aguilar-die-by-the-end | Will Victor Aguilar die by the end of The Penguin's 1st season | null | 1,730,568,905,599 | 1,731,304,740,000 | 1,731,306,498,763 | YES | 0.443577 | 12 |
Cnz59C2dLP | will-portland-oregon-see-major-viol | Will Portland, Oregon see major, violent protests/riots during election week | null | 1,730,568,877,259 | 1,731,311,940,000 | 1,731,337,949,785 | NO | 0.00993 | 15,951.486509 |
E5P8cZA20d | will-emilia-perez-be-certified-fres | Will Emilia Perez be Certified Fresh on RottenTomatoes a week after its streaming release? | null | 1,730,554,087,092 | 1,732,175,940,000 | 1,733,873,452,174 | YES | 0.99 | 894.987437 |
NgSu50EQAg | polymarket-will-either-candidate-co | [Polymarket] Will either candidate concede in November? | null | 1,730,552,025,519 | 1,731,052,740,000 | 1,731,076,532,765 | YES | 0.99 | 22,391.185605 |
ZEl8ypR8OZ | will-north-carolina-flip-blue-in-th | Will North Carolina flip blue in the 2024 presidential election? | null | 1,730,546,705,915 | 1,730,872,740,000 | 1,730,970,845,224 | NO | 0.112851 | 292.930267 |
I8Es0Z0Olc | will-trump-be-charged-criminaly-for | Will Trump be charged criminaly for his comment against Liz Cheney at an event with Tucker on 10-31-24 in 2024? | null | 1,730,545,468,341 | 1,730,970,969,047 | 1,730,970,969,047 | NO | 0.111528 | 210 |
RO22SZSSnh | short-fuse-will-taylor-swift-attend | [Short Fuse] Will Taylor Swift attend Kamala Harris' Pennsylvania rally on November 4th? | null | 1,730,526,615,989 | 1,730,707,140,000 | 1,730,815,538,743 | NO | 0.314326 | 5,231.708032 |
SALA8RP5LO | will-kamala-harris-win-all-four-sta-86EAqR280d | Will Kamala Harris win all four states of Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania and North Carolina in the 2024 election? | null | 1,730,519,806,288 | 1,730,970,611,340 | 1,730,970,611,340 | NO | 0.007965 | 1,436.65212 |
IgqOn8n5yA | will-kamala-harris-win-all-four-sta | Will Kamala Harris win all four states of Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Georgia in the 2024 election? | null | 1,730,519,211,877 | 1,730,970,673,482 | 1,730,970,673,482 | NO | 0.01 | 2,086.874111 |
NtcLgRES9P | will-matt-rybak-be-on-time-to-his-o | Will Matt Rybak be on time to his own birthday dinner? | null | 1,730,511,055,368 | 1,730,617,140,000 | 1,732,414,172,114 | NO | 0.209702 | 120 |
AI9dLRg5At | will-sergio-perez-be-one-of-red-bul | Will Sergio Perez be one of Red Bull Racing’s two main drivers at the start of the 2025 Formula 1 season? | null | 1,730,507,206,577 | 1,734,543,673,884 | 1,734,543,673,884 | NO | 0.01016 | 1,919.110606 |
Cd50p8c6cs | will-the-new-york-times-needle-go-d--cash | Will the New York Times needle go down on election day due to a NYT strike? | null | 1,730,500,014,016 | 1,730,881,416,725 | 1,730,937,318,994 | NO | 0.049085 | 426.765187 |
SpEUdtLN5c | will-the-new-york-times-needle-go-d | Will the New York Times needle go down on election day due to a NYT strike? | null | 1,730,499,894,370 | 1,730,881,416,725 | 1,730,881,416,725 | NO | 0.014691 | 18,685.663515 |
cRApE6z2lp | will-neither-trump-nor-harris-get-2 | Will *neither* Trump nor Harris get 270 votes before 2025? (This is a setup for a "Contingent Election") | null | 1,730,493,903,497 | 1,731,239,657,967 | 1,731,239,657,967 | NO | 0.011135 | 9,570.254312 |
qEhqAC9N9R | will-any-us-state-fail-to-certify-t | Will any US state fail to certify the election and submit a slate of electors before Jan/1/2025? | null | 1,730,493,302,559 | 1,735,424,392,165 | 1,735,424,392,165 | NO | 0.02086 | 7,725.095462 |
ldgAtR56UZ | will-the-sp-500-stock-index-close-h-62I5ZCggPZ | Will the S&P 500 stock index close higher on Nov 4 than it closed on Nov 1? | null | 1,730,491,668,404 | 1,730,754,178,840 | 1,730,754,178,840 | NO | 0.081553 | 551.768725 |
SPyP6d5NlA | will-the-presidential-election-get--cash | Will the Presidential Election get called before Pennsylvania? | null | 1,730,489,869,951 | 1,730,986,989,864 | 1,731,050,121,087 | NO | 0.01 | 1,704.035391 |
zIhL5lgqtz | will-i-walk-450k-steps-in-november | Will I walk 450k steps in November? | null | 1,730,486,755,248 | 1,733,013,776,310 | 1,733,013,776,310 | YES | 0.926881 | 8,326.399035 |
d2zU9ld29y | will-faithless-electors-change-the--cash | Will faithless electors change the result of the 2024 election? | null | 1,730,485,626,119 | 1,734,535,640,947 | 1,734,572,520,337 | NO | 0.01 | 461.277779 |
CqON0Ql8tI | acx-2024-will-there-be-faithless-el--cash | [ACX 2024] Will there be faithless electors in the 2024 US Presidential election? | null | 1,730,485,600,171 | 1,734,531,293,511 | 1,734,572,515,016 | NO | 0.010228 | 2,901.239515 |
NhSuqLNEOs | will-the-san-francisco-49ers-win-th-Lqg6qCg662--cash | Will the San Francisco 49ers win the Super Bowl in 2025? | null | 1,730,485,293,658 | 1,735,006,053,933 | 1,735,278,141,415 | NO | 0.01 | 941.804053 |
Ey6zPzCO29 | will-kamala-harris-win-the-national | Will Kamala Harris win the national popular vote by more than Hillary Clinton did? | null | 1,730,480,183,397 | 1,730,882,711,810 | 1,730,882,711,810 | NO | 0.018146 | 38,940.092098 |
92Cp08NN65 | will-bitcoin-end-december-31-2024-o | Will bitcoin end December 31, 2024 over $79000? | null | 1,730,474,010,659 | 1,735,673,703,769 | 1,735,673,703,769 | YES | 0.985222 | 9,393.927503 |
C6ndR0ZScS | will-the-hawk-tuah-girls-podcast-ta-t0RpUAR6hA | Will the Hawk Tuah girl’s podcast (Talk Tuah with Hailey Welch) be in the Spotify Top 100 on Thanksgiving? | null | 1,730,471,433,970 | 1,732,867,140,000 | 1,735,683,490,214 | NO | 0.012558 | 968.336936 |
ZldOcScQSd | will-openai-release-more-than-one-m | Will OpenAI release more than one model (update) in November? | null | 1,730,469,675,213 | 1,733,039,940,000 | 1,735,683,528,983 | YES | 0.985621 | 815 |
0AIu2qlZSh | will-i-floss-my-teeth-daily-untill | Will I floss my teeth daily until the end of the year? | null | 1,730,463,938,583 | 1,735,684,769,950 | 1,735,684,769,950 | YES | 0.899715 | 401 |
Rs55O6uzcz | will-the-san-francisco-49ers-win-th-Lqg6qCg662 | Will the San Francisco 49ers win the Super Bowl in 2025? | null | 1,730,457,057,309 | 1,735,006,053,933 | 1,735,006,053,933 | NO | 0.01 | 941.589169 |
852dnAO6Ss | will-dave-wasserman-tweet-ive-seen | Will Dave Wasserman tweet "I've seen enough" by 11:59pm EST on Election Day? | null | 1,730,456,926,140 | 1,730,862,000,000 | 1,730,872,893,048 | NO | 0.126312 | 163 |
zycg6A99NO | will-i-waste-money-in-november | Will I waste money in November? | null | 1,730,441,750,914 | 1,732,113,137,336 | 1,732,113,137,336 | YES | 0.672931 | 205 |
ECutU2Zsp2 | will-manifold-engaged-users-drop-to-CQQA8SlAtC | Will Manifold Engaged Users drop to 1000 or lower before the end of November? | null | 1,730,436,957,628 | 1,733,115,540,000 | 1,733,115,919,005 | NO | 0.014266 | 950.593955 |
uEu6EzZpPg | will-i-win-no-nut-november | Will I win No Nut November? | null | 1,730,433,673,339 | 1,730,773,945,170 | 1,730,773,945,170 | NO | 0.093117 | 5,167.110706 |
y5nLuz9tp2 | will-new-zealand-whitewash-india-in | Will New Zealand whitewash India in the 2024 Test Series? | null | 1,730,432,947,016 | 1,730,619,220,113 | 1,730,619,220,113 | YES | 0.848841 | 606.908056 |
AUQgCCRL9L | will-openai-release-their-o1-model | Will OpenAI release their o1 model before 2025? | null | 1,730,432,915,410 | 1,733,435,536,718 | 1,733,435,536,718 | YES | 0.992249 | 8,335.943586 |
lU5OtNp9dt | daily-coinflip-qutuZR06tA | Daily coinflip | null | 1,730,432,119,509 | 1,730,599,200,000 | 1,730,605,219,986 | NO | 0.496512 | 5,983.925388 |
ndNsdd9CpC | new-york-proposition-1-2024-passes | New York Proposition 1 (2024) Passes | null | 1,730,429,664,542 | 1,730,864,804,985 | 1,730,864,804,985 | YES | 0.98857 | 8,300 |
nqRqN8Icu0 | at-the-end-of-november-will-joe-bid | At the end of November will Joe Biden's favorability be higher than Trump's on FiveThirtyEight? | null | 1,730,429,326,041 | 1,733,024,880,000 | 1,733,025,670,895 | NO | 0.014868 | 714 |
ESSsuENgql | will-bitcoin-reach-85k-by-the-end-o | Will Bitcoin reach $85K by the end of Halloween 2025? | null | 1,730,429,304,489 | 1,731,355,764,286 | 1,731,355,764,286 | YES | 0.99 | 942.344682 |
nISAQzIyRl | will-the-presidential-election-get | Will the Presidential Election get called before Pennsylvania? | null | 1,730,427,254,056 | 1,730,986,989,864 | 1,730,986,989,864 | NO | 0.01 | 32,287.673819 |
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