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"text": "Regarding demographics, Ukraine has had roughly the same TFR as Russia, so they are in the same boat, but with Russia having a much larger population overall. The USSR lost 15% of its population during WW2; I hardly think a loss of not even 1% is going to bring Russia to its knees.",
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"text": "Right, but Russia is the aggressor. If Ukraine stops fighting then Ukraine stops existing. The USSR had an overarching ideology that was effective at sustaining morale because soldiers thought they were fighting for a better future. Modern Russia has none of that. It's morale that breaks armies. Russia lost \"only\" 70k soldiers in the war against Japan and that was enough to push the country into crisis.",
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"text": "In terms of this question, what matters is that Ukraine recaptures territory, since if they do not, I can hardly see how they will negotiate a settlement where this resolves YES. That means Ukraine must make offensive gains, which is a much costlier thing to do than defending well-fortified lines. I agree that Ukraine has been put into a position where it is in fact fighting an existential war, but that ignores the geopolitical view extant in Russia that their struggle is likewise existential (yes, that's crazy, but I think it's true many believe this).",
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"text": "Sure, but reality matters. It's already over for Russia as a significant power. It can barely fight a war 50km from its own borders. The \"existential\" nature of this war for Russia is a function of how deep it chooses to dig itself into a hole. Every choice that includes making concessions to Ukraine: returning territory, paying reparations etc, leads to a better long term outcome. There is no positive outcome for the country if it continues to occupy parts of Ukraine. This is why starting this war was such a profound strategic defeat.",
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d9w64n7kfns | false | En8K1OQlFiP299l0BwZTCTZzG3Q2 | {
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ul2ykbtpff | false | hEV2GJRU5sa3PDAyh4MgwS6LXoY2 | {
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