id stringlengths 8 13 | isApi bool 2 classes | userId stringlengths 28 28 | content dict | userName stringlengths 1 30 | contractId stringlengths 9 20 | visibility stringclasses 2 values | commentType stringclasses 1 value | createdTime int64 1,716B 1,720B | contractSlug stringlengths 5 48 | userUsername stringlengths 1 25 | userAvatarUrl stringlengths 50 1.03k | contractQuestion stringlengths 2 240 | replyToCommentId stringlengths 8 20 ⌀ | commentorPositionProb float64 0 50 ⌀ | commentorPositionShares float64 -0 6.25M ⌀ | commentorPositionOutcome stringclasses 2 values | commentorPositionAnswerId stringlengths 9 12 ⌀ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
wlmhswcj49k | false | Q2OdR7M0WfSjfJSC0OjSchD2pYm1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "what's your thinking?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Dan Elton | vKZUxybbx1OnaklIO5CN | public | contract | 1,719,670,436,604 | who-will-be-the-republican-nominee-8a36dedc6445 | delton | Who will be the Republican nominee for vice president? (Trump VP) | vp2j270pgjs | null | 15,290.885534 | YES | 59badb9482e3 | |
zj1u5lvhdt9 | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I saw you just boosted this market. Just a heads up that they sunset manifold love recently so it's probably more dead than it was before ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | chris (strutheo) | ZcyD5joylt2klJucyzel | public | contract | 1,719,670,519,590 | if-i-join-manifoldlove-will-i-feel | strutheo | If I join manifold.love, will I feel it had good rather than bad results? | null | null | null | null | null | |
mq6pj9sixu9 | false | Q2OdR7M0WfSjfJSC0OjSchD2pYm1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "The most logical candidates are Rubio, Scott, Donalds, and Youngkin. I am 70% sure it will be one of those. So I bet yes on those and no on most others (with a more money on Scott and Rubio than the other two). Is that a sound strategy? ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "hardBreak"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "hardBreak"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "People say Trump's campaign is run more professionally this time around. There will be a lot of pressure on him to pick one of the most logical choices rather than top loyalist and \"guy Trump gets along with well\" like Vance or Burgum, although both of those are still sound choices. It appears to me Trump is paying more attention to what his advisors are saying this time (?). ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Dan Elton | vKZUxybbx1OnaklIO5CN | public | contract | 1,719,670,753,686 | who-will-be-the-republican-nominee-8a36dedc6445 | delton | Who will be the Republican nominee for vice president? (Trump VP) | null | null | 15,290.885534 | YES | 59badb9482e3 | |
ldfj5xr96tq | false | sgTxCk08yEeyapR0FraG0OCw7iU2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Good point. This will resolve based on the primary outcome measure only: ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Change in Patient-Reported Outcomes Measurement Information System (PROMIS)-29 Score from Baseline.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Siebe | aVfy2qWCXVPoOLG655XO | public | contract | 1,719,671,352,083 | will-the-ucsf-aer002-phase-2-pilot | Siebe | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJH3NbS_g_kaARIrJ75V2BVep2jqxvDne4peP4g9b1xD88=s96-c | Will the UCSF AER002 phase 2 pilot trial show statistically significantly positive results? | v5j4elulumm | null | null | null | null |
y5u1i8avsbm | false | 4PTDFJINbKa8MaIhqe0jTTTgakm1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "The link in the description has a restricted date range with end=2022, so it doesn't show the newer data. If you pull the slider one step to the right, it shows up. Or just remove the parameter from the link ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": {
"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400",
"href": "https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.CD?contextual=default&locations=DE&start=2000&view=chart",
"target": "_blank"
},
"type": "link"
}
],
"text": "https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.CD?contextual=default&locations=DE&start=2000&view=chart",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Yorwba | DNi6rhs9RjoqBIGu4nZm | public | contract | 1,719,671,420,282 | germanys-gdp-in-2023 | Yorwba | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AATXAJxqZOHNfDIs2GqmJyPmiBGk2WEhb5Ey9Mzt4hh9=s96-c | Germany's GDP in 2023? | xh65snaf02 | null | 702.342738 | YES | b5a8a7140083 |
ksr2sjkrhu | false | sgTxCk08yEeyapR0FraG0OCw7iU2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Hmm yes, that's not the intention of this question, because it's off-label and already available. (Technically, other medications like triple anticoagulants can also be prescribed off-label) ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I will change it to: 'or in any way receives an indication for' a significant portion of Long Covid and/or ME/CFS patients.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Siebe | IbDi2Z8DgyYqYalDpBvY | public | contract | 1,719,671,792,827 | will-any-medication-be-approved-for | Siebe | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJH3NbS_g_kaARIrJ75V2BVep2jqxvDne4peP4g9b1xD88=s96-c | Will any medication be approved for Long Covid/PASC in any Western country before 2026? | v43hkaqt3r | null | null | null | null |
azbuvbdlggq | false | UwLRWVqwccdsr1HnGowNxO32pTt1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "\"months\"",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "hardBreak"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": {
"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400",
"href": "https://www.cnn.com/2024/06/28/science/nasa-boeing-starliner-mission-90-days-scn/index.html",
"target": "_blank"
},
"type": "link"
}
],
"text": "https://www.cnn.com/2024/06/28/science/nasa-boeing-starliner-mission-90-days-scn/index.html",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Blomfilter | 7tlr36r5tf | public | contract | 1,719,671,909,624 | will-starliner-return-with-crew-bef | Blomfilter | Will Starliner return with Crew before Starship integrated test flight 5 ? | null | 0.63 | 361.111559 | NO | null | |
i7rsgchb11f | false | 4Ou4U9ubQ8f4pMsswck3jZjyXEH3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "BUMP",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Eric Zhu | tvspewl4rh | public | contract | 1,719,672,210,559 | if-trump-wins-who-will-be-the-next | EricZhu | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKwS96LK82L2BHeWwAKQ5BGUK0vOjwgZXMXaXONBMqTYi-vgZ48=s96-c | If Trump wins, who will be the next Federal Reserve Chair? | null | null | null | null | null |
fu3lbjfx6ro | false | 9ZW2q78eBBQ49omVY80OX5fAylQ2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Most of my markets are about russian threat, and in my opinion Trump is extremely underestimating the risks, thinking he could deter putin from expansion.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Kongo Landwalker | kh9blbr6z3 | public | contract | 1,719,672,269,418 | biden-vs-trump-opinion-market | KongoLandwalker | Biden vs Trump. Opinion market | null | 0.52359 | 9.446583 | YES | null | |
ylao9ioo4pa | false | sgTxCk08yEeyapR0FraG0OCw7iU2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Hi everyone, I would like to change the resolution criteria to 'the first V-DEM report after his term (i.e. March 2029), which collects data up to and including 2028.' ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I think this would be far more in line with the spirit of this question, and would capture any antics with the 2028 election, which is a big factor. Do people agree with this change?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Siebe | ZPAtYBYScwMglMD1MUYg | public | contract | 1,719,672,362,546 | if-trump-is-elected-will-the-us-sti | Siebe | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJH3NbS_g_kaARIrJ75V2BVep2jqxvDne4peP4g9b1xD88=s96-c | If Trump is elected, will the US still be a liberal democracy at the end of his term? | null | 0.863026 | 406.00221 | NO | null |
xmd49htqq3b | false | Gv076pTh0ZQUVwTqQt9Ro2xnz2f1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": null,
"type": "italic"
}
],
"text": "head hits table",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "hardBreak"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "hardBreak"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "You are right. Thanks!",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Marktwse | DNi6rhs9RjoqBIGu4nZm | public | contract | 1,719,672,429,102 | germanys-gdp-in-2023 | marktwse | Germany's GDP in 2023? | xh65snaf02 | null | 204.878448 | YES | fe03593ebc30 | |
kmfvckchpe | false | FwzKrpdyOxfFeo31FLzSxw5edJI2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "So a statistically significant increase compared to placebo group in the Primary outcome measure. Hmmmm, I’m betting No.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Yann | aVfy2qWCXVPoOLG655XO | public | contract | 1,719,672,601,304 | will-the-ucsf-aer002-phase-2-pilot | Yann | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIVzNT5HGfEk-ilEjVg2uSpyC9rZuqOuQapIHzounvKMzMPfEH_=s96-c | Will the UCSF AER002 phase 2 pilot trial show statistically significantly positive results? | v5j4elulumm | 0.382993 | 8.059086 | NO | null |
ta64z0yhzvh | false | FwzKrpdyOxfFeo31FLzSxw5edJI2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Would mayo clinic proceedings having it in the list of ME/CFS meds count. Or for the US, only FDA approval counts?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Yann | IbDi2Z8DgyYqYalDpBvY | public | contract | 1,719,672,703,148 | will-any-medication-be-approved-for | Yann | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIVzNT5HGfEk-ilEjVg2uSpyC9rZuqOuQapIHzounvKMzMPfEH_=s96-c | Will any medication be approved for Long Covid/PASC in any Western country before 2026? | v43hkaqt3r | null | 9.360202 | NO | e627009be057 |
bv7nsmylk1i | false | iEE5Xt4StNg7Wtu1pNN6YE5v1S23 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "It's the prostitute vs slave wording. Slave implies they are there against thier own will",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Sapphire828 | 9QsfOW232lNnFj6ASRrZ | public | contract | 1,719,672,800,026 | what-is-worse-than-financial-crimes | EstMtz | What is worse than committing a financial crime? | 4w9e2hd88h8 | null | 172.94131 | YES | 7ywmaw4hf1 | |
rn7gqzj7eu | false | Ph89DIjTlRd35eWciMDoxciQWhB3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Meanwhile the actual parts of the Biden administration that are in charge: ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": {
"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400",
"href": "https://www.nytimes.com/2024/06/28/health/transgender-surgery-biden.html",
"target": "_blank"
},
"type": "link"
}
],
"text": "https://www.nytimes.com/2024/06/28/health/transgender-surgery-biden.html",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Enlil | ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf | public | contract | 1,719,673,072,979 | who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964 | Enlil | Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | ntrzafgaarm | null | 5,520.92148 | YES | 500052fabf02 | |
koxwxz6fe5d | false | TvUGbX2Jd9gNk9HKcoUDa7KziJs2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "This event was cancelled. ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": {
"id": "WQJ92QkoqDPuyj6DAZ5lR6g1x573",
"label": "mods",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " can you please N/A this market?",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "hardBreak"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "hardBreak"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": {
"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400",
"href": "https://x.com/WadimRosenstein/status/1806417398607602072",
"target": "_blank"
},
"type": "link"
}
],
"text": "https://x.com/WadimRosenstein/status/1806417398607602072",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | GeorgeBishop | CIdbng6fKkKWw4FPkOQB | public | contract | 1,719,673,324,359 | who-will-lose-the-1m-buyin-high-rol | BishopG | https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FBishopG%2F1D_cdCVOPt.48?alt=media&token=c56ab372-9448-4062-bdec-8efc816c754e | Who will lose the $1M buy-in High Roller Chess Tournament? (4th place) | null | null | 976.14322 | YES | ztgygkhz5h |
b7ub0c8ph6 | false | P9zNCU4szGRHC9zB4OJCAx07nGh1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "if i had a job i would put $20 into this app and spend it on this😭",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | azzy | uAjEOkqHGWXZp07jFvfi | public | contract | 1,719,673,366,077 | will-twitter-user-deprogrammingsock | megacoolness | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocL10IWHJGvOpefnMfWpjdnJ6lMSu0mkg9JowjaxCCneZQE=s96-c | Will Twitter user @deprogrammingsocks transition or make plans do to so by EOY 2025? | null | 0.786578 | 3,300.207616 | YES | null |
pfysvkoeath | false | 4Ou4U9ubQ8f4pMsswck3jZjyXEH3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"alt": null,
"contractIds": null,
"deleteCallback": null,
"deleteNode": null,
"description": null,
"frameBorder": 0,
"hideCloseButton": null,
"id": null,
"image": null,
"inputKey": null,
"language": null,
"level": null,
"src": "https://manifold.markets/embed/EricZhu/if-trump-wins-who-will-be-the-next",
"start": null,
"title": null,
"tweetId": null,
"url": null
},
"content": null,
"type": "iframe"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Eric Zhu | 81UmlayTxcYBtswThmOt | public | contract | 1,719,673,497,802 | will-jerome-powell-get-a-third-cons | EricZhu | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKwS96LK82L2BHeWwAKQ5BGUK0vOjwgZXMXaXONBMqTYi-vgZ48=s96-c | Will Jerome Powell get a third consecutive term as chair of the Federal Reserve? | null | null | null | null | null |
mi19gxr77ni | false | wR6BFZBUO7Zvt2tvMt2zdsjlg8k1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "You realize this is a 180 reversal and condemnation of the emails leaked Wednesday and now Biden agrees with my argument that the surgery should be adults only?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": {
"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400",
"href": "https://www.nytimes.com/2024/06/25/health/transgender-minors-surgeries.html",
"target": "_blank"
},
"type": "link"
}
],
"text": "https://www.nytimes.com/2024/06/25/health/transgender-minors-surgeries.html",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I literally support trans but think politics should stay out of medicine ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Charlie Bauer | ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf | public | contract | 1,719,673,520,448 | who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964 | CharlieBauer | Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | ntrzafgaarm | null | 13,434.329641 | YES | 33b8f3dc81b9 | |
i90wvgjvx5r | false | 4Ou4U9ubQ8f4pMsswck3jZjyXEH3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Related",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": {
"alt": null,
"contractIds": null,
"deleteCallback": null,
"deleteNode": null,
"description": null,
"frameBorder": 0,
"hideCloseButton": null,
"id": null,
"image": null,
"inputKey": null,
"language": null,
"level": null,
"src": "https://manifold.markets/embed/EricZhu/if-trump-wins-who-will-be-the-next",
"start": null,
"title": null,
"tweetId": null,
"url": null
},
"content": null,
"type": "iframe"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Eric Zhu | l1BCRnmFHWcMySC2CRBZ | public | contract | 1,719,673,572,239 | who-will-be-the-next-chair-of-the-f | EricZhu | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKwS96LK82L2BHeWwAKQ5BGUK0vOjwgZXMXaXONBMqTYi-vgZ48=s96-c | Who will be the next Chair of the Federal Reserve? | null | null | null | null | null |
74jxekk3xzj | false | Ph89DIjTlRd35eWciMDoxciQWhB3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "How would politics staying out of this look? To me that would mean letting families decide. To be clear, if it was my kid I'd push them for puberty blockers and wait with surgery, but it's not my kid.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Enlil | ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf | public | contract | 1,719,673,630,050 | who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964 | Enlil | Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | ntrzafgaarm | null | 5,520.92148 | YES | 500052fabf02 | |
5k4eti4b915 | false | 4Ou4U9ubQ8f4pMsswck3jZjyXEH3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Related:",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": {
"alt": null,
"contractIds": null,
"deleteCallback": null,
"deleteNode": null,
"description": null,
"frameBorder": 0,
"hideCloseButton": null,
"id": null,
"image": null,
"inputKey": null,
"language": null,
"level": null,
"src": "https://manifold.markets/embed/EricZhu/if-trump-wins-who-will-be-the-next",
"start": null,
"title": null,
"tweetId": null,
"url": null
},
"content": null,
"type": "iframe"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Eric Zhu | 5905nm1Sn9XLiUmmBfov | public | contract | 1,719,673,659,928 | federal-reserve-wont-exist-in-2027 | EricZhu | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKwS96LK82L2BHeWwAKQ5BGUK0vOjwgZXMXaXONBMqTYi-vgZ48=s96-c | Federal reserve won't exist in 2027 | null | null | null | null | null |
qlqkhe9ubxh | false | JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I've taken a day to think about all this with no position, and here's where I'm at:",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "1) I think this post-debate media cycle is the last, best chance the Democrats have to convince Biden to step aside. If they can't do it in the next few days and weeks, it becomes much harder to do later.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "2) This means the momentum from debate night has to keep moving against Biden every day. More people have to keep saying they want to consider other nominees. Polls need to show things getting worse for Biden, not just in favorability but in actual voting intention. Biden needs to have more bad moments on camera to cement that it wasn't just him having a cold.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "3) I see the momentum slowing. Lots of people who didn't want Biden as the nominee in 2020 have come out saying they want to consider alternatives, but I've yet to see the same from people who were with Biden from the start. Post-debate polls are mixed, though it's still early. The first post-debate head-to-head polling doesn't show Harris, Newsom, or others doing better than Biden against Trump.",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "hardBreak"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "hardBreak"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "So, I think this price should be moving up every day we don't see a good reason it should be moving down. So I bought up to 80. Open to counter-arguments, I post my reasoning in the hope that I'll be proven wrong.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Joshua | YTIuuSsNRn2OlA4KykRM | public | contract | 1,719,673,689,174 | will-biden-be-the-2024-democratic-n | Joshua | Will Biden be the 2024 Democratic Nominee? | null | 0.79437 | 56,300.936012 | YES | null | |
zqmffdopwsd | false | Iua2KQvL6KYcfGLGNI6PVeGkseo1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "DwCrdqITlydl5QZXr424LqZJlUD2",
"label": "JacksonZipp",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " resolves to Nathan Mackinnon",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Ziddletwix | 1uT1m0ESX6rDPOsOVMrF | public | contract | 1,719,673,697,776 | which-nhl-player-will-win-the-heart | Ziddletwix | Which NHL player will win the Hart Memorial Trophy (MVP) for the 2023/24 Season? | null | null | 2,044.14475 | YES | f0d92a6a51a6 | |
vjheylt5lu | false | JlVpsgzLsbOUT4pajswVMr0ZzmM2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Here's ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": {
"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400",
"href": "https://www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2024/6/29/in-post-debate-poll-voters-think-biden-is-too-old-to-be-president-yet-alternative-candidates-perform-similarly-against-trump",
"target": "_blank"
},
"type": "link"
}
],
"text": "Data For Progress' post debate poll,",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " and critically the alternative nominee matchups they polled:",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": {
"alt": null,
"contractIds": null,
"deleteCallback": null,
"deleteNode": null,
"description": null,
"frameBorder": null,
"hideCloseButton": null,
"id": null,
"image": null,
"inputKey": null,
"language": null,
"level": null,
"src": "https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2F44E8x3eKe-.png?alt=media&token=f55481b2-d756-4f3f-8d64-6c4b0f9cdc70",
"start": null,
"title": null,
"tweetId": null,
"url": null
},
"content": null,
"type": "image"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I think one of the most important things for convincing Biden to step aside is to show him that there's someone else who polls significantly better agianst Trump. So far, we don't have that. I'm sure many more polls will be run on this though, let me know if you see any!",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Joshua | YTIuuSsNRn2OlA4KykRM | public | contract | 1,719,673,957,298 | will-biden-be-the-2024-democratic-n | Joshua | Will Biden be the 2024 Democratic Nominee? | qlqkhe9ubxh | 0.794464 | 56,300.936012 | YES | null | |
rnjo19611tb | false | QQInWv7nHJgbmN67E7QlHfQDkO42 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "You mean Mana-hatten",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Dave K | cp2uxtuzmy | public | contract | 1,719,674,395,072 | will-there-be-a-manifest-in-the-nex | DaveK | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu2R6SvkbqD9GkJI_SN-kCZntRToJnhbIGK4scrO=s96-c | Will there be a Manifest in the next 2 years? | gh9wrysziqa | 0.82 | 56.984563 | YES | null |
dh7yjvrs8h7 | false | Q9XCF79f7JgZF8itYw5uDJg3Whm2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "We should handle trans the way we did 50 years ago. It wasn't a big thing until recently, and it makes you wonder why",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | blankspace737 | ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf | public | contract | 1,719,674,757,638 | who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964 | stardust | Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | ntrzafgaarm | null | 5,873.091656 | YES | 33b8f3dc81b9 | |
lss1xwrmc08 | false | FLHfNyjr8Yb13nv9jKFaU8qSF9m1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Closing at the end of the day, place your bets now",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Savior of Plant | vhcygq75yf | public | contract | 1,719,674,849,498 | what-will-be-the-maximum-strength-o-93r7unfai1 | SaviorofPlant | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLL8bnOoSvkiZvyB-37Ih63-HX0IacGV_I3U-WUQQMdCw=s96-c | What will be the maximum strength of Tropical Storm Beryl? | null | null | 390.778977 | NO | upq9j37cq4 |
va1ge5um4zj | false | APtmK3Sep3TJB92vIgWeSmAEwVa2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "aZWSDZUKVHPM8SzmeIK7YpDuJhu2",
"label": "stevesteve",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " Are you a bot?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | JRP | H8hgJ7x0esSiMCZXdNVe | public | contract | 1,719,674,921,173 | does-covid19-have-hidden-longterm-n | parhizj | Does Covid-19 have hidden long-term negative health effects? | pd2tpay2a3a | 0.66195 | 73.98708 | YES | null | |
8wl60wmtztg | false | Ph89DIjTlRd35eWciMDoxciQWhB3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I think as gay rights got normalized, this became the new frontier for both sides and then with Trump everything got dialled up to 11 on both sides and here we are.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Enlil | ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf | public | contract | 1,719,675,020,575 | who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964 | Enlil | Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | ntrzafgaarm | null | 5,520.92148 | YES | 500052fabf02 | |
lbku3lc7jpi | false | W4yEF6idSMcNWEVUquowziSCZFI3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Done.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "FYI, we're trying to move away from N/A resolutions in general, but don't have clear guidance on that yet. For future markets, I'd recommend figuring out what option should resolve in the case of the event being cancelled or other similar result, whether that's resolving to \"other\" or including an explicit \"event cancelled\" option.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "But as I said, we don't have clear guidance here, and it's possible this recommendation will change. At least for now, though, I'm happy to continue helping by resolving N/A when appropriate.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Evan | CIdbng6fKkKWw4FPkOQB | public | contract | 1,719,675,232,821 | who-will-lose-the-1m-buyin-high-rol | EvanDaniel | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcNNBEv2GcorWHiElPC6VlaynzKPlKxwXytwbHWc54FNIs=s96-c | Who will lose the $1M buy-in High Roller Chess Tournament? (4th place) | koxwxz6fe5d | null | null | null | null |
oh8686zxzqg | false | lwgcfvkXBVaaZjay1ys8LLJuKTC3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Is this in response to something specific? Why 80k in particular and not some other EA organization?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Santeri | wcc9FDL4xnVSxWG5OJHG | public | contract | 1,719,675,294,108 | will-vox-write-an-article-about-a-s | sanyero | Will Vox write an article about a scandal at 80,000 hours before end of 2026? | null | null | null | null | null | |
lw1qb577a7q | false | n3zzATIKccTzFxyifz7vSGNKjHD3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I thought for some reason it was 100 mana to add options, not 1000. Oh well, my loss. Any brave soul willing to add Georgia, Turkiye, Slovenia, and Romania? ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Universal FC ⚽ | 5wdifzNBgWUqHlgdMp6a | public | contract | 1,719,675,375,658 | which-team-will-win-the-2024-uefa-e | UniversalFC | Euro 2024: Which team will win the 2024 UEFA European Football Championship? | null | null | 524.207248 | NO | uttdzs1anr | |
st42by4p91f | false | dUYoMgTwWINBwgj7HtTJbHdz4Bz1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "For \"plus\" markets it is more expensive to add options. The good news is you get back most of it if it stays around the same value at market close",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Alex B. Goode | 5wdifzNBgWUqHlgdMp6a | public | contract | 1,719,675,531,566 | which-team-will-win-the-2024-uefa-e | AlexbGoode | Euro 2024: Which team will win the 2024 UEFA European Football Championship? | lw1qb577a7q | null | 1,240.887371 | YES | 32b0b45b9283 | |
2sduhxgd2p1 | false | wR6BFZBUO7Zvt2tvMt2zdsjlg8k1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Adult medication and procedures aren’t allowed for infants because their health is fundamentally different. The same is true for minors because they are growing. The controversy was over political officials emailing medical associations that should make the decision independently.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Charlie Bauer | ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf | public | contract | 1,719,675,542,997 | who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964 | CharlieBauer | Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | ntrzafgaarm | null | 13,434.329641 | YES | 33b8f3dc81b9 | |
imq17pvlay | false | F2jc9n4FB6OOasUMHUGgtogzrl42 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "No specific expectation. I have one for CEA as well:",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": {
"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400",
"href": "https://manifold.markets/Amaryllis/will-vox-write-an-article-about-a-s-c10c60e6e5e0",
"target": "_blank"
},
"type": "link"
}
],
"text": "https://manifold.markets/Amaryllis/will-vox-write-an-article-about-a-s-c10c60e6e5e0",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Amaryllis | wcc9FDL4xnVSxWG5OJHG | public | contract | 1,719,675,758,320 | will-vox-write-an-article-about-a-s | Amaryllis | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu2j31d1kIbC6pIFYbWAI1pkquDheFj06csGbOo3=s96-c | Will Vox write an article about a scandal at 80,000 hours before end of 2026? | oh8686zxzqg | null | null | null | null |
8a32cio7u45 | false | 12ztXVGfibSZaCDnGndN40PKUIO2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "But, concept pinning!",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Paul | 1Es6BcA3sdaqBLbKSHu4 | public | contract | 1,719,675,893,431 | by-when-will-kenshin9000-or-anyone | Paul | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GivsAmgOWywNYNzHSwlvq95nQAGKHiFjTR4-W0NRg=s96-c | By when will Kenshin9000 (or anyone else) “defeat all chess bots” using LLMs? (Permanent) | q18d1j407o | null | null | null | null |
c9y4ybbld8h | false | NlGi8mChdPQLAdaq8tkBhsMKfs72 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I can't find any reference to Trump sundowning, only raging and lying. ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Stephen S Power | 6r0uzavprn | public | contract | 1,719,676,012,415 | will-a-major-media-outlet-say-trump | StephenSPower | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJJakJRZZPV9UKwEj40oeDYqeV9_xpZkUTwTi2oosBE=s96-c | Will a major media outlet say Trump's meandering, confusion and rage during the 6/27 debate is caused by sundowning? | null | 0.436638 | 18.500068 | YES | null |
zo1eemopvy | false | UT1vHSGiCbfZHIRpm6ZvYhFphws1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "i thought the hiring part implied the slave part is just larping",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Jonathan Ray | 9QsfOW232lNnFj6ASRrZ | public | contract | 1,719,676,084,336 | what-is-worse-than-financial-crimes | JonathanRay | What is worse than committing a financial crime? | 4w9e2hd88h8 | null | 1,062.402025 | YES | 62cc028c3547 | |
6wk5a29utit | false | n3zzATIKccTzFxyifz7vSGNKjHD3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I haven't done the math on any of that, I'm probably losing mana left and right. Do we even get trader fees anymore for answers we add to other creators markets? The 5 mana a trade was so nice before, now I'm walking around with a tin cup looking under couch cushions. 😆 ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Universal FC ⚽ | 5wdifzNBgWUqHlgdMp6a | public | contract | 1,719,676,124,641 | which-team-will-win-the-2024-uefa-e | UniversalFC | Euro 2024: Which team will win the 2024 UEFA European Football Championship? | lw1qb577a7q | null | 1,039.227385 | NO | uttdzs1anr | |
ek6k9g0i67 | false | rQPOELuW5zaapaNPnBYQBMoonk92 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Biden is going to be fiiiiiiiiiiiiiine",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Tumbles ♠︎ Meme Rising | YTIuuSsNRn2OlA4KykRM | public | contract | 1,719,676,150,989 | will-biden-be-the-2024-democratic-n | Tumbles | Will Biden be the 2024 Democratic Nominee? | null | 0.799418 | 775,937.877257 | YES | null | |
ik59t3eef7 | false | n3zzATIKccTzFxyifz7vSGNKjHD3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Here is a crazy story for the day. In 1992, Denmark did not qualify for the tournament and all the players were already on vacation. Due to the Balkan conflict, Yugoslavia was removed from the tournament despite having previously qualified successfully and was replaced by Denmark ten days before the start of the tournament. And then this team (completely unprepared) won the tournament. The name danish dynamite was born that year and is still regularly used by commentators today.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Universal FC ⚽ | 0oJucOh5KnlC6EM0oql2 | public | contract | 1,719,676,742,590 | uefa-euro-2024-all-group-stage-matc | UniversalFC | UEFA EURO 2024 ⚽ All Tournament Matches | null | null | 6,708.104696 | NO | 0daf987efcdf | |
2wmcf09wn3r | false | UwLRWVqwccdsr1HnGowNxO32pTt1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": {
"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400",
"href": "https://www.270towin.com/2024-presidential-election-polls/utah",
"target": "_blank"
},
"type": "link"
}
],
"text": "https://www.270towin.com/2024-presidential-election-polls/utah",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": {
"alt": null,
"contractIds": null,
"deleteCallback": null,
"deleteNode": null,
"description": null,
"frameBorder": null,
"hideCloseButton": null,
"id": null,
"image": null,
"inputKey": null,
"language": null,
"level": null,
"src": "https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FKyZsHJRb_R.png?alt=media&token=82dd2c23-3b76-4a46-82f1-a55c3a0123fa",
"start": null,
"title": null,
"tweetId": null,
"url": null
},
"content": null,
"type": "image"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I think the HarrisX poll shows him at around 20% in Utah... so I think that warrants going a bit higher here",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Blomfilter | QO1kMnPLftW6NDRevxjW | public | contract | 1,719,676,835,878 | will-rfk-jr-win-more-than-10-of-the | Blomfilter | Will RFK Jr. win more than 10% of the vote in any state or district in the 2024 presidential election? | null | 0.533731 | 533.509361 | YES | null | |
0a4arku3y77 | false | tBLV0DkLmwWT5WrLswQj0Xfwuld2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"alt": null,
"contractIds": null,
"deleteCallback": null,
"deleteNode": null,
"description": null,
"frameBorder": null,
"hideCloseButton": null,
"id": null,
"image": null,
"inputKey": null,
"language": null,
"level": null,
"src": null,
"start": null,
"title": null,
"tweetId": "t1806006905191477460",
"url": null
},
"content": null,
"type": "tiptapTweet"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "(Berger's Law: If rocket is predicted to make its debut in Q4 of a calendar year, and that quarter is six or more months away, the launch will be delayed.)",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Multicore | vKDHr5zCDqAFXHanEGYh | public | contract | 1,719,676,972,495 | when-will-sierra-nevada-corp-launch | Multicore | When will Sierra Nevada Corp launch their Dream Chaser reusable spaceplane? (Everyday Astronaut 2024 Predictions) | null | null | null | null | null | |
tp6ul6qh3l | false | AJwLWoo3xue32XIiAVrL5SyR1WB2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Bottom inclusive",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Ian Philips | kfwx877tnp | public | contract | 1,719,677,234,028 | how-many-people-will-come-to-our-ma | ian | How many people will come to our manifold & AI hackathon on July 4th? | 29u1et106tb | null | 556.743407 | NO | lpr2k01k4e | |
guauk7ga1xh | false | FLHfNyjr8Yb13nv9jKFaU8qSF9m1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "NHC official forecast now shows a Cat 3, and microwave imagery shows a low-level eye forming. Seems likely that this storm will begin to rapidly intensify today",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Savior of Plant | vhcygq75yf | public | contract | 1,719,677,255,463 | what-will-be-the-maximum-strength-o-93r7unfai1 | SaviorofPlant | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLL8bnOoSvkiZvyB-37Ih63-HX0IacGV_I3U-WUQQMdCw=s96-c | What will be the maximum strength of Tropical Storm Beryl? | null | null | 443.23394 | YES | tgpu01kd2f |
t2v7r7p1xc8 | false | m5K4FlZLo0aeDd5Z7W4xX3TAGHs1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "The thinking here: ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "hardBreak"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "- Biden is going to lose and so needs to step aside. ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "hardBreak"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "- VP Harris, the natural successor, is unpopular and would also likely lose. ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "hardBreak"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "- As a woman of color, shunting her aside for someone else is a bad look. ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "hardBreak"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "- A Supreme Court position saves face while opening the top of the ticket for someone who can win. ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Jeff Berman | zczan6uzy3 | public | contract | 1,719,677,330,727 | will-kamala-harris-be-appointed-to | JeffBerman | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJs_c1tZ1T6PMCtwsXu9NiUuQCqnjN1hMqXJXkPgADYqnQ=s96-c | Will Kamala Harris be appointed to another government position, such as Supreme Court Justice, before the Nov. election? | qbj0xxacmz | 0.090906 | 598.627813 | YES | null |
6f8q1m23bqc | false | J611lCgdyQdv306O7QPCWtAL0Gc2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I doubt it. It's more that Biden was never supported by most people as a first choice, but they hated Trump enough to overlook that. I was one of those people and voted for him the last time.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "But now those same people were tipped over the edge with this debate. It's not as if there is anything new here. They've simply had enough. Many of them, like me, now think that Trump is horrible, but the world wouldn't be destroyed by Trump and that's the best we can hope for because Biden is so arrogant that he thinks his vice president can't possibly do better than he can.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Before, I had an unfavorable opinion of Biden because of his agency head appointments, which ruined my life, but didn't think he was a bad person. Now, I have an unfavorable opinion of Biden's personal character. I think that's the key difference - people who hated Biden's policies but thought he was a good person now see him as someone who is power-hungry just like Trump.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "He might not be a dictator like Trump, but it has been shown to be a charade that either of them care about \"the good of the country.\"",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Steve Sokolowski | 4amdGgZFKTxUMC3Fym6F | public | contract | 1,719,677,450,294 | will-joe-biden-win-the-2024-us-pres | SteveSokolowski | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtc1UM2wtQThBuAPyurW8TD4Y7ydKGRN-eB7Xv8txFEH_g=s96-c | Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | x7qfn2kzeo | 0.33366 | 58.246397 | NO | null |
0l8maz5p2sm | false | OMOOYjINzrPde7dm1Tr1H3vmC752 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Vietnam resolves YES",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Bubbles | wjYxeliFHE7HrrI3MykB | public | contract | 1,719,677,528,250 | what-countries-will-vladimir-putin-b2f514fc62c8 | Lorelai | What countries will Vladimir Putin visit during 2024? | null | null | 420.705095 | YES | v3kvjexjwv | |
gkzorv8qwhu | false | 4juQfJkFnwX9nws3dFOpz4gc1mi2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "It isn't obvious if the comments can directly overturn the description like that, tbh",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | jackson polack | uYZ3EsJMnnGOQSAN0RCq | public | contract | 1,719,677,902,460 | will-the-supreme-court-affirm-that | jacksonpolack | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp5rlJX8nmgp_EsouBw_JhV5gKCkwTXaqGTDpv9y=s96-c | Will the Supreme Court affirm that Trump participated in an insurrection? | k81sqctb3h | null | null | null | null |
ulkhqxcvwwd | false | OcQJOdj0RPRna74hkfLfB6QL2dC2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Do you have ChatGPT Plus? I'm not sure what tier five means",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Caleb Biddulph | rf1mwnofzs | public | contract | 1,719,678,207,794 | will-i-be-able-to-use-interruptible | CDBiddulph | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJfnooldvqsfyLB7ZRjdJceJURCVsUcLn8Ir7VvJneRY2A=s96-c | Will I be able to use interruptible gpt-4o by end of August 2024 | null | 0.505568 | 485.493929 | YES | null |
aub8xh82s1d | false | ZZZkJTbT8EcnQuR2bk5I5fxArV93 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "h/t for answers I included",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": {
"alt": null,
"contractIds": null,
"deleteCallback": null,
"deleteNode": null,
"description": null,
"frameBorder": null,
"hideCloseButton": null,
"id": null,
"image": null,
"inputKey": null,
"language": null,
"level": null,
"src": null,
"start": null,
"title": null,
"tweetId": "t1807053000323764544",
"url": null
},
"content": null,
"type": "tiptapTweet"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Caleb | ykrypdxsja | public | contract | 1,719,678,275,565 | obamas-summer-playlist-2024-which-a | CalebW | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp7rAgFpPtE0PrL2sKfxXtrMNgfMNxqh-e9QJ9ZZyg=s96-c | Obama's Summer Playlist 2024: which artists will feature? | null | null | 3.561656 | YES | llsv7bshpb |
z4u7wgbi6xh | false | ZZZkJTbT8EcnQuR2bk5I5fxArV93 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "2023",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "hardBreak"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": {
"alt": null,
"contractIds": null,
"deleteCallback": null,
"deleteNode": null,
"description": null,
"frameBorder": null,
"hideCloseButton": null,
"id": null,
"image": null,
"inputKey": null,
"language": null,
"level": null,
"src": null,
"start": null,
"title": null,
"tweetId": "t1682133479037841414",
"url": null
},
"content": null,
"type": "tiptapTweet"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Caleb | ykrypdxsja | public | contract | 1,719,678,304,262 | obamas-summer-playlist-2024-which-a | CalebW | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp7rAgFpPtE0PrL2sKfxXtrMNgfMNxqh-e9QJ9ZZyg=s96-c | Obama's Summer Playlist 2024: which artists will feature? | null | null | 3.561656 | YES | llsv7bshpb |
jxm4555tr7 | false | 4juQfJkFnwX9nws3dFOpz4gc1mi2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "why are we n/aing it as opposed to % resolving it?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | jackson polack | H2C0pUFoXUunAu8b7i2f | public | contract | 1,719,678,321,623 | coolfold-2024-which-of-these-2024-e | jacksonpolack | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp5rlJX8nmgp_EsouBw_JhV5gKCkwTXaqGTDpv9y=s96-c | 🗓️2024 Timeline: Which of these events will happen LAST (or not at all) this year in chronological order? (37 DONE) | 51jmtruy2ai | null | null | null | null |
h85i1kssbkl | false | B8PYL9aUt5Qluab7SnVP2sCgs082 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I think one of the most important things for convincing Biden to step aside is to show him that there's someone else who polls significantly better agianst Trump.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "blockquote"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Isn't that because they have basically no name recognition? If the democrats put their best person forward, that person would benefit from the name recognition that biden is currently getting",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "hardBreak"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "hardBreak"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I suspect this is why analysts are saying \"it's either replace biden or elect trump\" ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Elliot Davies | YTIuuSsNRn2OlA4KykRM | public | contract | 1,719,678,543,035 | will-biden-be-the-2024-democratic-n | ElliotDavies | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3Na22pX-P2VyNzHlR-YpR-bxfSxgHSK2mal8XsGg=s96-c | Will Biden be the 2024 Democratic Nominee? | qlqkhe9ubxh | 0.800892 | 404.040057 | NO | null |
nvg67xehnu | false | KyL8Ne9ytVZOcOcfHFxF9DacOgL2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "discovered after trump debate but happened before that. Has been replaced by trump immunity supreme court decision",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Christopher Randles | H2C0pUFoXUunAu8b7i2f | public | contract | 1,719,678,555,655 | coolfold-2024-which-of-these-2024-e | ChristopherRandles | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxY3_PAyuLB3J_OqBJQ5T3NjkNLcX7WEzxb7X0Fw=s96-c | 🗓️2024 Timeline: Which of these events will happen LAST (or not at all) this year in chronological order? (37 DONE) | 51jmtruy2ai | null | 366.044922 | NO | b5f7218e483d |
mn7fonc8f8 | false | iXPkCXt5EQZ78Yqz03MqWsXpD122 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Polymarket odds have been steady at 21-23 cents since stabilizing after the debate.",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "hardBreak"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": {
"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400",
"href": "https://polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-2024/will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election?tid=1719678439191",
"target": "_blank"
},
"type": "link"
}
],
"text": "https://polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-2024/will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-presidential-election?tid=1719678439191",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "hardBreak"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "hardBreak"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "The question largely comes down to will he rally past 25 cents, or drop below 20...",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Niko | de6logqgzv | public | contract | 1,719,678,623,841 | what-will-bidens-odds-be-on-polymar | Moscow25 | What will Biden's odds be on Polymarket on Monday July 1st 2024? | null | null | 700.116376 | NO | y7fvqtukrz | |
l8ggf78ujjl | false | UwLRWVqwccdsr1HnGowNxO32pTt1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": {
"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400",
"href": "https://x.com/DanielBerman2/status/1806766228742275411",
"target": "_blank"
},
"type": "link"
}
],
"text": "https://x.com/DanielBerman2/status/1806766228742275411",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "hardBreak"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "It is bad enough for voters to suspect you lied. It is another to admit it. For over a year every major Democratic figure has come forward to gush about Biden's cognitive abilities in private. To force him out now is to admit they were gaslighting the American people. Gaslighting them over the most important and consequential issue imaginable. ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "This is doubly true of any plan to displace Harris. To suggest that not only is Biden unfit to be President but so is Harris to succeed him is to admit that the Democratic elite for its own ends, installed a President and Vice President who are unfit for office. At a time of domestic and global crisis. Furthermore, that for the next seven months including the campaign, America will be governed by two individuals whose own party has repudiated as competent for their roles, all because the voters trusted the Democratic party.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "blockquote"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Blomfilter | YTIuuSsNRn2OlA4KykRM | public | contract | 1,719,678,752,173 | will-biden-be-the-2024-democratic-n | Blomfilter | Will Biden be the 2024 Democratic Nominee? | qlqkhe9ubxh | 0.800892 | 0 | NO | null | |
2fdgo1juj56 | false | kbHiTAGBahXdX9Z4sW29JpNrB0l2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Yeah I have that and have used the API enough to be at a high rate limit. That's the tier givte thing",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Ernie | rf1mwnofzs | public | contract | 1,719,678,817,313 | will-i-be-able-to-use-interruptible | Ernie | Will I be able to use interruptible gpt-4o by end of August 2024 | ulkhqxcvwwd | null | null | null | null | |
gfqvrytwf3e | false | wMxdL9lv8SgJKMKFazXljpv4g292 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "😂😂😂😂",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | FoxKHTML | vKZUxybbx1OnaklIO5CN | public | contract | 1,719,679,316,101 | who-will-be-the-republican-nominee-8a36dedc6445 | FoxKHTML | Who will be the Republican nominee for vice president? (Trump VP) | 3tbvh4fxaet | null | 140,605.654064 | YES | 086ed0cbbf50 | |
vrv0jt4zpl | false | GRaWlYn2fNah0bvr6OW28l28nFn1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "The first Liberal MP calls on Justin Trudeau to resign (",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": {
"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400",
"href": "https://nationalpost.com/news/canada/liberal-mp-calls-on-trudeau-to-resign",
"target": "_blank"
},
"type": "link"
}
],
"text": "National Post",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": ").",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | cshunter | aYVJINofYQDA5eoSWXyN | public | contract | 1,719,679,995,663 | will-justin-trudeau-stop-being-cana | cash | Will Justin Trudeau stop being Canada's Prime Minister by the conclusion of the next federal election (20 Oct 2025 or earlier)? | null | null | null | null | null | |
td8k22fxrl | false | UwLRWVqwccdsr1HnGowNxO32pTt1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "hes cooked",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Blomfilter | aYVJINofYQDA5eoSWXyN | public | contract | 1,719,680,109,186 | will-justin-trudeau-stop-being-cana | Blomfilter | Will Justin Trudeau stop being Canada's Prime Minister by the conclusion of the next federal election (20 Oct 2025 or earlier)? | vrv0jt4zpl | 0.890091 | 251.48655 | YES | null | |
j3ruz5w7l4 | false | UwLRWVqwccdsr1HnGowNxO32pTt1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "jagmeets pension comes first",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Blomfilter | 8JmgD8HRRvctbJP3pnmJ | public | contract | 1,719,680,165,818 | will-the-ndp-lose-seats-in-the-next | Blomfilter | Will the NDP lose seats in Canada's next federal election? (Oct 2025 or earlier) | null | 0.756396 | 67.3262 | YES | null | |
aysuqrvvhzm | false | iS0qXutlPscd6K4nZMWilWb6SMG2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "xd5GhylrWgTc9L0RInSi0oZWohN2",
"label": "April",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " wasn't the whole point that it would be immediately obvious ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Celene | odbafhkhv6 | public | contract | 1,719,680,166,381 | if-celene-gets-injected-with-24mg-e | Celene | If Celene gets injected with 2-4mg estrogen will she feel inexplicably better the next day | wp8cqn834hm | null | null | null | null | |
ezae9we6wo8 | false | vVRJosxGdPhS3qZVG1h8IboRZIs2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Wokeism is when they make women the main characters of children's movies. ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Forrest Taylor | 4amdGgZFKTxUMC3Fym6F | public | contract | 1,719,680,476,746 | will-joe-biden-win-the-2024-us-pres | TiredCliche | Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | s13xzt2qzv8 | 0.319174 | 1,284.511252 | YES | null | |
flambhrt2us | false | hDq0cvn68jbAUVd6aWIU9aSv9ZA2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "My b but % would ruin this format ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | chris (strutheo) | H2C0pUFoXUunAu8b7i2f | public | contract | 1,719,680,533,241 | coolfold-2024-which-of-these-2024-e | strutheo | 🗓️2024 Timeline: Which of these events will happen LAST (or not at all) this year in chronological order? (37 DONE) | 51jmtruy2ai | null | 54.268782 | YES | 51b48afe6ea6 | |
53u9t66vjyf | false | Ph89DIjTlRd35eWciMDoxciQWhB3 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "All true. Meanwhile stock index is up 50%+. Of course the question is if that will be reflected in the GDP in time for this market to close.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": {
"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400",
"href": "https://tradingeconomics.com/argentina/stock-market",
"target": "_blank"
},
"type": "link"
}
],
"text": "https://tradingeconomics.com/argentina/stock-market",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Enlil | KhYSBd9V84stshwMUeKU | public | contract | 1,719,680,834,284 | will-the-reforms-of-the-new-preside | Enlil | Will the reforms of the new president of Argentina(Milei) be good for the country's economy by 2024 | 3xzr6ijj7vj | 0.634924 | 1,157.217263 | YES | null | |
c7d88n6pfrt | false | mccteV9huKglUqaOR8DkYIWeu0S2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I asked Dwarkesh about this a couple of weeks ago, and his answer was that he did not see anyone working on this or meeting the challenge.",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "hardBreak"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "hardBreak"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I'm seeing no other claims or acknowledgement since then...so resolves to \"NO\".",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | The Not Too Distant Future | iasz9QHeVw9vWLdRR3Rh | public | contract | 1,719,680,860,633 | sholtos-challenge-dwarkesh-podcast | TheNotTooDistantFuture | "Sholto's challenge" (Dwarkesh Podcast) - Will anyone show specialization in the Mixtral model by June 28? | null | null | null | null | null | |
ntzisvffssp | false | rhpWHgxsxKNsfjJztZbg4rXfpvm1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I tend to agree. The debate felt like a one-off moment, and the Biden team is too deluded to step away weeks before the DNC.",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "hardBreak"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "hardBreak"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I believe Biden will be nominated and lose the election to Trump",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | betszn | YTIuuSsNRn2OlA4KykRM | public | contract | 1,719,681,345,311 | will-biden-be-the-2024-democratic-n | szn | Will Biden be the 2024 Democratic Nominee? | ek6k9g0i67 | null | null | null | null | |
xt312sjb7e | false | N8NZFmbUKwVrISMWM2MBVlPd77p1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "What is the theory of the causal relationship here? ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "I will keep shorting my own country, it is a win win! ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Sam Bogerd | XKuiRpzDUay4PgD32zvF | public | contract | 1,719,681,598,689 | which-country-will-win-euro-2024 | SamBogerd | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp7jLVh87UFbGs1SVyVEC8hHwUqLiyniT_8xSym6vVg=s96-c | Which country will win Euro 2024? | nmmdjgpk8nc | null | 418.688918 | NO | 5bd6de1da922 |
zohrcrodz18 | false | H6b5PWELWfRV6HhyHAlCGq7yJJu2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"alt": null,
"contractIds": null,
"deleteCallback": null,
"deleteNode": null,
"description": null,
"frameBorder": null,
"hideCloseButton": null,
"id": null,
"image": null,
"inputKey": null,
"language": null,
"level": null,
"src": null,
"start": null,
"title": null,
"tweetId": "t1806725608875155696",
"url": null
},
"content": null,
"type": "tiptapTweet"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Andrew G | YTIuuSsNRn2OlA4KykRM | public | contract | 1,719,681,869,592 | will-biden-be-the-2024-democratic-n | AndrewG | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GiaKzvDVGOvUXFxGChB6G4D9spo8N6MGUqFjIRTqAk=s96-c | Will Biden be the 2024 Democratic Nominee? | null | 0.802484 | 34,183.769135 | YES | null |
1xyti1snnac | false | 7HhTMy4xECaVKvl5MmEAfVUkRCS2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Arshdeep and Fazalhaq are tied. Arshdeep has one more over to bowl.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Kevin Burke | U6MGN7SfUnNHdzfBNzOb | public | contract | 1,719,681,954,810 | who-will-be-the-leading-wickettaker | KevinBurke | Who will be the leading wicket-taker? 🏏 2024 T20 Cricket World Cup | null | null | 1,013.351909 | NO | 1e56ea5717e1 | |
621s0ol3j0j | false | kkuoCvOuSrfyV9rySO6oEv0sYUo2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": {
"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400",
"href": "https://www.ft.com/content/29fd9b5c-2f35-41bf-9d4c-994db4e12998",
"target": "_blank"
},
"type": "link"
}
],
"text": "https://www.ft.com/content/29fd9b5c-2f35-41bf-9d4c-994db4e12998",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Social bubbles could be an explanation for increasing divergence in young men and women’s views ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | CC | 6afci6037v | public | contract | 1,719,682,177,041 | do-you-see-a-problem-with-the-lack | cheshirecat | Do you see a problem with the lack of diversity among users on manifold? | null | null | null | null | null | |
n1x3b1gex1 | false | 7HhTMy4xECaVKvl5MmEAfVUkRCS2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "WQJ92QkoqDPuyj6DAZ5lR6g1x573",
"label": "mods",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " resolves NO",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Kevin Burke | sCuhkR6dJBZtUADhGnJm | public | contract | 1,719,682,243,607 | will-greg-abbott-run-for-president | KevinBurke | Will Greg Abbott run for President in 2024? | null | 0.011809 | 7,091.93013 | NO | null | |
m1haxwpxq5 | false | rcxJUyIV5MemJV3JtMSZSPjd1n53 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "This is not fixed.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Bruno | 2PavyaCoNV5tMQMQGnGl | public | contract | 1,719,683,200,999 | by-the-end-of-2024-will-i-stop-acci | BrunoParga | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcp4YClws611x-pjPwaG6BghkC9GDfS4J-yHY8qAoQ8z70=s96-c | By the end of 2024, will I stop accidentally liking markets and/or comments while using Manifold on mobile? | 97vo7fzbmvd | 0.859853 | 6.747828 | NO | null |
bozhr8j04bv | false | En8K1OQlFiP299l0BwZTCTZzG3Q2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "What happens if he’s cleared of all charges?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Arkhos | 8owde1EGzFlpQQl4JZSi | public | contract | 1,719,683,296,987 | when-will-andrew-tate-be-convicted | Arkhos | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLVY-kYDY0_k6HzlIF128JQa5QLUOlY7lidjyUHL88xWRvLMRM=s96-c | When will Andrew Tate be convicted of human trafficking? | null | null | null | null | null |
anp1z0xte9 | false | 7HhTMy4xECaVKvl5MmEAfVUkRCS2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "This will end a tie ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Kevin Burke | U6MGN7SfUnNHdzfBNzOb | public | contract | 1,719,683,492,268 | who-will-be-the-leading-wickettaker | KevinBurke | Who will be the leading wicket-taker? 🏏 2024 T20 Cricket World Cup | null | null | 1,678.332371 | NO | lr8hvj1mq2 | |
zz9f8pvxrld | false | rcxJUyIV5MemJV3JtMSZSPjd1n53 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "So MAGAtards killing noncitizens doesn't count?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Bruno | Cn6253EQOXvKtWPU8zb9 | public | contract | 1,719,683,573,572 | between-oct-1-2024-and-apr-1-2025-w | BrunoParga | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcp4YClws611x-pjPwaG6BghkC9GDfS4J-yHY8qAoQ8z70=s96-c | Between Oct 1 2024 and Apr 1 2025, will US-election-related violence kill at least 100 Americans? | null | null | null | null | null |
x1ftehqn1i | false | rcxJUyIV5MemJV3JtMSZSPjd1n53 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Is this only incumbents? Would Shinzo Abe count?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Bruno | Ffn6PbCQOKDJPRzOfN2W | public | contract | 1,719,683,765,045 | will-any-head-of-state-or-head-of-g | BrunoParga | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcp4YClws611x-pjPwaG6BghkC9GDfS4J-yHY8qAoQ8z70=s96-c | Will any head of state or head of government of a UN member country be assassinated in 2024? | null | null | null | null | null |
153ya8w6wvv | false | MV9fTVHetcfp3h6CVYzpypIsbyN2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Hot take: if he's not going to step down with dignity he should at the very least pack the SCOTUS and mint the coin as one last YOLO",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | CodeandSolder | YTIuuSsNRn2OlA4KykRM | public | contract | 1,719,683,968,010 | will-biden-be-the-2024-democratic-n | CodeandSolder | Will Biden be the 2024 Democratic Nominee? | null | 0.801345 | 306.277284 | NO | null | |
scl6pnnh4og | false | APtmK3Sep3TJB92vIgWeSmAEwVa2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"alt": null,
"contractIds": null,
"deleteCallback": null,
"deleteNode": null,
"description": null,
"frameBorder": null,
"hideCloseButton": null,
"id": null,
"image": null,
"inputKey": null,
"language": null,
"level": null,
"src": null,
"start": null,
"title": null,
"tweetId": null,
"url": null
},
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "2. Eastern Tropical Atlantic:\nAn area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of \nthe Cabo Verde Islands is producing an area of disorganized showers \nand thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for \nadditional development of this system, and a tropical depression \ncould form by the middle of next week while it moves generally \nwestward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central tropical \nAtlantic. \n* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.\n* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "codeBlock"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Some (unofficial) estimates of (first) intensity >= 34kt after genesis",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "GFS/",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": null,
"type": "bold"
}
],
"text": "12Z",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": ": July 1, 00Z",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "CMC/",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": null,
"type": "bold"
}
],
"text": "12Z",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": ": July 1, 06Z",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "(dated) ECM/",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": null,
"type": "bold"
}
],
"text": "00Z",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": ": July 2, 06Z ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "NAV/06Z: ~ (not predicting genesis)",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | JRP | tw8ydrjwnd | public | contract | 1,719,683,995,864 | when-will-a-tropical-storm-be-named-sf0ekb2un4 | parhizj | When will a tropical storm be named Chris in 2024? | null | null | 89.524088 | YES | ea3y369c8o | |
ddgz2h56nxv | false | FLHfNyjr8Yb13nv9jKFaU8qSF9m1 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "The other invest is also relevant here - they give it a 50% chance of formation within 48 hours",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Savior of Plant | tw8ydrjwnd | public | contract | 1,719,684,131,250 | when-will-a-tropical-storm-be-named-sf0ekb2un4 | SaviorofPlant | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocLL8bnOoSvkiZvyB-37Ih63-HX0IacGV_I3U-WUQQMdCw=s96-c | When will a tropical storm be named Chris in 2024? | scl6pnnh4og | null | 611.261364 | YES | uni83lgtke |
008yj8589qsa4 | false | H6b5PWELWfRV6HhyHAlCGq7yJJu2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "yeah; no ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Andrew G | Ffn6PbCQOKDJPRzOfN2W | public | contract | 1,719,684,182,850 | will-any-head-of-state-or-head-of-g | AndrewG | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/AOh14GiaKzvDVGOvUXFxGChB6G4D9spo8N6MGUqFjIRTqAk=s96-c | Will any head of state or head of government of a UN member country be assassinated in 2024? | x1ftehqn1i | null | null | null | null |
b8ob11ekwe9 | false | cf8s0WtGwiXy3D57rrPWWV3qPZn2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "55 matches come to an end with an absolute thriller ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | P | gKy8PAj9g8xG2ofY3MYw | public | contract | 1,719,684,328,608 | offical-market-for-t20-world-cup-ma | P01cc7 | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocIHxLTEFxzgHTcnUu5FEzH-NhHUnNijL7v89k1XtwmBhQW1VQ=s96-c | Official market for T20 Cricket World cup matches 2024 | null | null | 1,030.583444 | YES | 342bdae28fe9 |
v14sy3iqgkq | false | iXPkCXt5EQZ78Yqz03MqWsXpD122 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Just to be clear -- the \"encampment clearing\" will have to be clear, obvious, and reported in the news. ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "hardBreak"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "hardBreak"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "And it has to happen in 2024. It can happen before or after the election.",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "hardBreak"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "hardBreak"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "As well as the action has to take place after the June 28th Grants Pass decision, of course. An action taken earlier in the year will not count...",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Niko | fpamun56jh | public | contract | 1,719,684,338,705 | after-grants-pass-scotus-decision-w | Moscow25 | After Grants Pass SCOTUS decision, will top-25 California city pass or enact rules to clear homeless encampments? (2024) | null | 0.74052 | 367.740151 | YES | null | |
tgj0ddqa0h | false | Gg7t9vPD4WPD1iPgj9RUFLYTxgH2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "ppnNDcLi7Eh2Vz5RVt5fswENSUB3",
"label": "HenryLane",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " no",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | nikki | zuchnit85n | public | contract | 1,719,684,339,781 | will-a-team-other-than-india-ie-sa | nikki | Will a team other than India (i.e. SA, Eng or Afg) win the t20 cricket world cup? | null | 0.01 | 639.260036 | NO | null | |
xwlkv0qq47 | false | 7HhTMy4xECaVKvl5MmEAfVUkRCS2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "This can resolve YES",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Kevin Burke | L0svyM8mXVYR2CyJPjCE | public | contract | 1,719,684,406,987 | will-india-won-that-2024-t20-world | KevinBurke | Will India Won That 2024 T20 world cup | null | 0.99 | 1,420.634148 | YES | null | |
0ffip7tioc5p | false | 7HhTMy4xECaVKvl5MmEAfVUkRCS2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "This can resolve to India ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Kevin Burke | 28I7idlXkDXvyQXSJzo7 | public | contract | 1,719,684,423,906 | who-will-win-the-icc-mens-world-t20 | KevinBurke | Who will win the ICC Men’s World T20? | null | null | 5,496.006629 | NO | c6a2f644e43e | |
0ag984h7k865 | false | nsrFthgmf4YAnxy0rKGxQtIKq0A2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "sTUV8ejuM2byukNZp7qKP2OKXMx2",
"label": "10thOfficial",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " Easy mana 🤣",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Gaz Downright | UQIVR5EPgi2JSmHoWB5C | public | contract | 1,719,684,508,669 | uefa-euro-cup-2024-tournament-prop | GazDownright | UEFA Euro Cup 2024 Tournament Prop Bets ⚽ LIVE! | null | null | 1,700.792135 | YES | rr95gvgn8p | |
yo4zxusdh9p | false | rcxJUyIV5MemJV3JtMSZSPjd1n53 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "This sounds harder than geting America to convert to less silly units than \"acre-feet\".",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"type": "paragraph"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "In case anyone is wondering, that is 1.2 trillion liters.",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Bruno | fZImymbFacC1SOHtshtn | public | contract | 1,719,684,636,319 | by-2050-will-humans-pump-significan | BrunoParga | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcp4YClws611x-pjPwaG6BghkC9GDfS4J-yHY8qAoQ8z70=s96-c | By 2050, will humans pump significant quantities of ocean water onto Antarctica to reduce sea levels? | null | null | null | null | null |
dexe68iv0xf | false | sTUV8ejuM2byukNZp7qKP2OKXMx2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Thank you, you ran an excellent market!",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | The Official | gKy8PAj9g8xG2ofY3MYw | public | contract | 1,719,684,899,735 | offical-market-for-t20-world-cup-ma | 10thOfficial | Official market for T20 Cricket World cup matches 2024 | b8ob11ekwe9 | null | 7,859.713538 | YES | j1q3qikzh8 | |
3s0hd0dytel | false | sTUV8ejuM2byukNZp7qKP2OKXMx2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "3 coaches now: Belgium, Slovakia, Turkey",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | The Official | UQIVR5EPgi2JSmHoWB5C | public | contract | 1,719,685,580,508 | uefa-euro-cup-2024-tournament-prop | 10thOfficial | UEFA Euro Cup 2024 Tournament Prop Bets ⚽ LIVE! | scjzeto77sl | null | 1,799.497005 | NO | 94dbi9xjvs | |
o4tg64c4s | false | Iiok8KHMCRfUiwtMq1tl5PeDbA73 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3",
"label": "Eliza",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " Could you resolve please? ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": {
"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400",
"href": "https://www.letour.fr/en/rankings/stage-1",
"target": "_blank"
},
"type": "link"
}
],
"text": "https://www.letour.fr/en/rankings/stage-1",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Lion | iy1rOls0zagBcxmxO5Uc | public | contract | 1,719,685,594,626 | 2024-tour-de-france-startlist-mega | Lion | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtd3adN9d-sYT7-qHh6OyHunfASevxNfHMBVx2GSE0Cu=s96-c | 2024 Tour de France Startlist Mega Market | null | null | 1,276.487731 | YES | 5b2770a4201c |
tmwjg66r8v | false | Iiok8KHMCRfUiwtMq1tl5PeDbA73 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3",
"label": "Eliza",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " Could you resolve please? ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": {
"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400",
"href": "https://www.letour.fr/en/rankings/stage-1",
"target": "_blank"
},
"type": "link"
}
],
"text": "https://www.letour.fr/en/rankings/stage-1",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Lion | X6iPZcNzlUNY8RYqmiPr | public | contract | 1,719,685,662,539 | 2024-program-wout-van-aert-uci-road | Lion | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtd3adN9d-sYT7-qHh6OyHunfASevxNfHMBVx2GSE0Cu=s96-c | [2024 Program] Wout van Aert - UCI Road Cycling | null | null | 996.323431 | YES | 1c79927aa112 |
pu2nc3w75n | false | Iiok8KHMCRfUiwtMq1tl5PeDbA73 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "hqdXgp0jK2YMMhPs067eFK4afEH3",
"label": "Eliza",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " Could you resolve please? ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": {
"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400",
"href": "https://www.letour.fr/en/rankings/stage-1",
"target": "_blank"
},
"type": "link"
}
],
"text": "https://www.letour.fr/en/rankings/stage-1",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Lion | JBIOW45qCGcDN0CNrmkF | public | contract | 1,719,685,676,441 | 2024-program-remco-evenepoel-uci-ro | Lion | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtd3adN9d-sYT7-qHh6OyHunfASevxNfHMBVx2GSE0Cu=s96-c | [2024 Program] Remco Evenepoel - UCI Road Cycling | null | null | 1,099.169374 | NO | 6d0161c8602d |
ywperqas3kb | false | Iiok8KHMCRfUiwtMq1tl5PeDbA73 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "946iB1LqFIR06G7d8q89um57PHh2",
"label": "egroj",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " Could you resolve please? ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": {
"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400",
"href": "https://www.letour.fr/en/rankings/stage-1",
"target": "_blank"
},
"type": "link"
}
],
"text": "https://www.letour.fr/en/rankings/stage-1",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Lion | AO4RHEAX4N2ldNVa6Tbx | public | contract | 1,719,685,695,279 | will-jonas-vingegaard-start-the-202 | Lion | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtd3adN9d-sYT7-qHh6OyHunfASevxNfHMBVx2GSE0Cu=s96-c | Will Jonas Vingegaard start the 2024 Tour de France? | null | 0.983381 | 4,365.128949 | YES | null |
66lg7zyrwne | false | B8PYL9aUt5Qluab7SnVP2sCgs082 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "The debate felt like a one-off moment",
"type": "text"
}
],
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "blockquote"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "One-off in the sense of the same thing what's been occuring in every public appearance the last 2 years? Or one off in the sense it's an unusally focused 'coin dropping' moment? ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Elliot Davies | YTIuuSsNRn2OlA4KykRM | public | contract | 1,719,685,733,016 | will-biden-be-the-2024-democratic-n | ElliotDavies | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu3Na22pX-P2VyNzHlR-YpR-bxfSxgHSK2mal8XsGg=s96-c | Will Biden be the 2024 Democratic Nominee? | ek6k9g0i67 | 0.799358 | 404.040057 | NO | null |
1w2ug0l7c6r | false | uKcjazFwIkhMFvhie6cnANL8MTV2 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": "Why would Trump oppose anything Putin does?",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Karl K. | kh9blbr6z3 | public | contract | 1,719,685,864,001 | biden-vs-trump-opinion-market | KarlK | Biden vs Trump. Opinion market | fu3lbjfx6ro | null | null | null | null | |
32wqlwi00id | false | Iiok8KHMCRfUiwtMq1tl5PeDbA73 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "B4vKNylnJpQH2GZRGrg6gFKMEWB3",
"label": "strateg1st",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " WB has published their data. It is $1,712,792.85 and therefore this question should resolve to NO. ",
"type": "text"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": [
{
"attrs": {
"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decoration-primary-400",
"href": "https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.CD?locations=KR",
"target": "_blank"
},
"type": "link"
}
],
"text": "https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.CD?locations=KR",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Lion | rKnspUDzGmMUnU84aGKu | public | contract | 1,719,685,926,988 | will-south-koreas-gdp-in-2023-be-hi | Lion | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtd3adN9d-sYT7-qHh6OyHunfASevxNfHMBVx2GSE0Cu=s96-c | Will South Korea's GDP in 2023 be higher than $1.75T? | null | 0.100712 | 57.138089 | NO | null |
9aqxhy5a2 | false | Iiok8KHMCRfUiwtMq1tl5PeDbA73 | {
"content": [
{
"attrs": null,
"content": [
{
"attrs": {
"id": "qy7vYjEzk4gnouodZcfba5VkPhn1",
"label": "JCE",
"start": null
},
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": null,
"type": "mention"
},
{
"attrs": null,
"content": null,
"marks": null,
"text": " pls resolve 🥳 ",
"type": "text"
}
],
"type": "paragraph"
}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Lion | T4Tmggyu9YdPI1GnrLXR | public | contract | 1,719,686,044,984 | will-mark-cavendish-start-the-2024 | Lion | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtd3adN9d-sYT7-qHh6OyHunfASevxNfHMBVx2GSE0Cu=s96-c | Will Mark Cavendish start the 2024 Tour de France? | null | 0.978401 | 3,259.638677 | YES | null |
Subsets and Splits
No community queries yet
The top public SQL queries from the community will appear here once available.