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"text": "Are there any MSM stories about this? I have seen zero, and I expect MSM will cover for Kamala in any case, because Orange Man Bad. Tim Pool already ta... | Al Quinn | pg3aayijlv | public | contract | 1,720,193,772,996 | will-kamala-harris-be-formally-impl | AlQuinn | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp46gOxO4QNQsQ8T4KOcwIwbRQPb2PvzEwr7f8nE=s96-c | Will Kamala Harris be implicated in the coverup, misleading ppl about biden's mental decline in 2024? | 270dg4j4h7b | 0.375994 | 332.266582 | NO | null |
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... | Josh Wilkes | u3lyq55lki | public | contract | 1,720,194,724,215 | on-which-data-will-uk-prime-ministe | JoshuaWilkes | On which data will UK prime ministers Rishi Sunak resign as leader of the conservative party? | pupiorx6wbg | null | 326.555256 | YES | 8l2cj5yb13 | |
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... | Jony | b1g0ajc0bc | public | contract | 1,720,194,813,390 | which-one-of-these-minor-parties-wi | Jony | Which one of these minor parties will have the best performance in a Constituency in the upcoming UK General Election? | ecwftkujlx | null | null | null | null | |
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"content": nul... | Bruno Joyal 🍅 | ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf | public | contract | 1,720,194,956,995 | who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964 | BrunoJ | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTteYBxZSAOQI4rRpDCyiUNObDhTNJGeFDpW2VnHY5rWn5Eo=s96-c | Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | null | null | 52,555.877402 | YES | 8de9e54470a7 |
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... | vVv | j6aj5pdbw2 | public | contract | 1,720,196,204,390 | uk-general-election-2024-reform-uk | vVv | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtc217hRvo5DrxSz_u1Qgbbkv-2nqvvCWdszujgbw4A_=s96-c | UK General Election 2024 - Reform UK to win 7 or more seats | null | null | null | null | null |
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"type":... | CyfralCoot | earrnncvat | public | contract | 1,720,198,736,821 | if-biden-drops-out-what-would-happe | CyfralCoot | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocKI3yTx-AtDSYdSKAGsu6w8QaNcVLkzQ7O2KxAxfMFh-A=s96-c | If Biden drops out, what would happen to his donations? | 390c1iawl6e | null | null | null | null |
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"text": "Currently, the RCP Spread score has gone from+1.5 to +3.3, so there's still a little ways to go before this would resolve YES on the 11th. Of course, a... | Balasar | Nk2VouJZaJ559SIrcuWk | public | contract | 1,720,198,740,814 | will-the-first-presidential-debate | Balasar | Will the first presidential debate "matter"? | null | 0.760597 | 0 | YES | null | |
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"text": "Yea, probably because Magnus does not choke in the last rounds if he is leading.",
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"text": "Also calculated the the valid votes cast; 28,747,397 which translates to valid vote turnout of 59.62% (without Inverness and friends). Based on the max... | Lasse Rasinen | krkgsyflio | public | contract | 1,720,198,870,755 | what-will-be-the-turnout-in-4-july | LasseRasinen | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtf10K1zU-KWBKnWHEOj6m9-Qw4wicOY1x1XQl34hRMRgSE=s96-c | What will be the turnout in 4 July 2024 UK General election? | vj07m1w0mpd | null | 335.089868 | YES | vggv7lhjg3 |
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} | Odoacre | YTIuuSsNRn2OlA4KykRM | public | contract | 1,720,198,881,259 | will-biden-be-the-2024-democratic-n | Odoacre | https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2FOdoacre%2Fe8tDh301jg.avatar2?alt=media&token=79f05389-576e-437b-9be9-bda60b4cd21a | Will Biden be the 2024 Democratic Nominee? | 3kcfn7cnsmy | 0.450956 | 1,435.998569 | YES | null |
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"text": "No. I intend to settle the market in good faith regardless of win/loss. Just wanted to have a fun market to energize my employees whom I urge to use th... | Jason Lu | ohdt94uvnz | public | contract | 1,720,199,822,848 | will-my-startup-spike-intelligence | JasonLu | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a-/ALV-UjXGAIGA5Z8Lf71tRZDkFgkkmuEg7OQ9pNqvx6hB2lrUcfQD1huacPpYI8bxyXP30e6RpXtCYMwyP3LdlXKrk_MMyFq0TM_AbqwcP1bfaoxucHwNUtp8R-ncnyr1OQbwgfOgqi8yVoMbjdFanKisns-nl_4OoamFF10JUb_XVFG96ux0I9p1b4kxspjpiZdBOsU5Ifu-Qx7aeMGd5azhT9RX_tWvSY1-tkKk4-89F_IKC-3NzL0k7mfpTfkGSXyxHrvS6mK8HdnYiZ2w4n9F6Vz... | Will my startup Spike Intelligence become a unicorn, over 1 billion USD market cap, before the the end of 2026? | 6qyhqx7rllo | 0.049064 | 437.559324 | YES | null |
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... | Niko | w4l6r8bqau | public | contract | 1,720,199,826,544 | will-joe-biden-drop-out-of-the-elec | Moscow25 | Will Joe Biden drop out of the election by end of July 2024? | null | 0.474145 | 30,366.604593 | YES | null | |
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... | inaimathi | sp38okpdic | public | contract | 1,720,200,021,295 | will-a-us-president-order-the-assas | inaimathi | Will a US president order the assassination of any of the following, and get away without criminal charges before 2029? | da4krsa6gx | null | null | null | null | |
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} | stefanie | 2v5zifaoqb | public | contract | 1,720,200,064,017 | if-the-us-election-were-between-onl | shankypanky | If the US election were between only RFK Jr. and Donald Trump, who would you vote for? | null | null | null | null | null | |
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... | Marnix | 2v5zifaoqb | public | contract | 1,720,200,073,391 | if-the-us-election-were-between-onl | Marnix | If the US election were between only RFK Jr. and Donald Trump, who would you vote for? | null | null | null | null | null | |
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"text": "Yes, this is a known problem with low/high probability markets. Ideally some kind of leverage or loan system (which used to exist on Manifold) would c... | Ben Shindel | ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf | public | contract | 1,720,201,399,759 | who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964 | benshindel | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu22VD_r1GJh-n-cEmVyjrKEFlOdTcYxeXuYzn_4Ag=s96-c | Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | gjdok5mle35 | null | 8,640.391359 | YES | 33b8f3dc81b9 |
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"text": "To sell it later. When people are buying one option, all other options automatically go down a bit, so low probability options go even lower over time ... | Bair | ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf | public | contract | 1,720,201,405,783 | who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964 | Bair | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AGNmyxYUvh0DyDuiAdCtqW5aBt7A1JYDjm0gzHvntw_W5g=s96-c | Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | gjdok5mle35 | null | 589,094.382838 | YES | d827ecde0e0b |
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"text": "Is that what they do in other prediction markets/financial markets? Wouldn’t the interest on loans be higher than the return rate?",
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"text": "Manifold had interest-free loans until the pivot a couple months ago. Financial markets obviously operate with extensive systems of loans and leverage... | Ben Shindel | ikSUiiNS8MwAI75RwEJf | public | contract | 1,720,201,738,525 | who-will-win-the-2024-us-presidenti-8c1c8b2f8964 | benshindel | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ALm5wu22VD_r1GJh-n-cEmVyjrKEFlOdTcYxeXuYzn_4Ag=s96-c | Who will win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | gjdok5mle35 | null | 8,640.391359 | YES | 33b8f3dc81b9 |
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... | StCredZero | nYrEFkbJ1pg623YIO9E7 | public | contract | 1,720,201,811,827 | will-elon-musk-ever-set-foot-on-mar | StCredZero | Will Elon Musk ever set foot on Mars? | null | null | null | null | null | |
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