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... | Niko | wylmmdwmkw | public | contract | 1,720,206,123,769 | will-a-group-of-at-least-5-named-de | Moscow25 | Will a group of at least 5 named Dem House Members or US Senators pressure Biden to drop out before July 20th? | zbfl03cjq79 | 0.540982 | 2,203.035613 | YES | null | |
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} | Zac Parker | vms15yy4ppjAADvH0wuc | public | contract | 1,720,206,428,860 | will-larry-chief-mouser-to-the-cabi | ZacParker | Will Larry, Chief Mouser to the Cabinet Office, live to see another Prime Minister? | null | null | null | null | null | |
g98fo9bqzf | false | UT1vHSGiCbfZHIRpm6ZvYhFphws1 | {
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{
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"content": [
{
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"text": "wrong time zone expiration. whoops",
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}
],
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}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Jonathan Ray | XKuiRpzDUay4PgD32zvF | public | contract | 1,720,206,449,975 | which-country-will-win-euro-2024 | JonathanRay | Which country will win Euro 2024? | null | null | 10,543.503945 | YES | 250f5099321e | |
891zfr2sbru | false | srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2 | {
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{
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"text": "Nothing ever happens x 4 defeats all YES arguments",
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],
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}
],
"type": "doc"
} | Bayesian | wylmmdwmkw | public | contract | 1,720,206,494,309 | will-a-group-of-at-least-5-named-de | Bayesian | Will a group of at least 5 named Dem House Members or US Senators pressure Biden to drop out before July 20th? | zbfl03cjq79 | 0.52166 | 243.513601 | NO | null | |
5lbiprksidm | false | iXPkCXt5EQZ78Yqz03MqWsXpD122 | {
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} | Niko | wylmmdwmkw | public | contract | 1,720,206,546,766 | will-a-group-of-at-least-5-named-de | Moscow25 | Will a group of at least 5 named Dem House Members or US Senators pressure Biden to drop out before July 20th? | zbfl03cjq79 | 0.52166 | 2,240.586728 | YES | null | |
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"text": "I sold all my positions in the \"Will Biden be the 2024 Nominee\" markets because I have zero doubt that Trump will win if Biden runs. Therefore, \"wi... | Steve Sokolowski | YTIuuSsNRn2OlA4KykRM | public | contract | 1,720,206,670,192 | will-biden-be-the-2024-democratic-n | SteveSokolowski | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtc1UM2wtQThBuAPyurW8TD4Y7ydKGRN-eB7Xv8txFEH_g=s96-c | Will Biden be the 2024 Democratic Nominee? | bef6vgxtpjc | 0.463496 | 0 | NO | null |
xtj97w8zejc | false | MRjW2CLX2ZWYm97PMwvTdYSTJ5g1 | {
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"text": "Historically spoiled ballots have been about 0.2-0.3% of the vote (not very helpful here though!) although this time they might be higher due to the in... | alh | krkgsyflio | public | contract | 1,720,206,762,856 | what-will-be-the-turnout-in-4-july | alh | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/ACg8ocJOYqNwjWqVxrdyfZkgI7wzcYEKBtW2Wyl50riBsXx4IQ=s96-c | What will be the turnout in 4 July 2024 UK General election? | vj07m1w0mpd | null | 816.684399 | YES | 4qhbhjmh5v |
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},
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... | Niko | wylmmdwmkw | public | contract | 1,720,206,802,693 | will-a-group-of-at-least-5-named-de | Moscow25 | Will a group of at least 5 named Dem House Members or US Senators pressure Biden to drop out before July 20th? | zbfl03cjq79 | 0.52166 | 2,240.586728 | YES | null | |
j3hri9q045l | false | LeCDY8hIYvf1k5dUubFnjwfplAQ2 | {
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... | Bayesian | wylmmdwmkw | public | contract | 1,720,206,850,307 | will-a-group-of-at-least-5-named-de | Bayesian | Will a group of at least 5 named Dem House Members or US Senators pressure Biden to drop out before July 20th? | zbfl03cjq79 | 0.52166 | 243.513601 | NO | null | |
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"text": "gotcha -- yeah parlays are tough -- we see this in tech all the time... you need like 4-5 things to all happen... each is not that hard / pretty likely... | Niko | wylmmdwmkw | public | contract | 1,720,206,925,686 | will-a-group-of-at-least-5-named-de | Moscow25 | Will a group of at least 5 named Dem House Members or US Senators pressure Biden to drop out before July 20th? | zbfl03cjq79 | 0.52166 | 2,240.586728 | YES | null | |
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"text": "This was/is a hedge for me as I have quite a few Tesla shares 😀 so happy either way.",
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"type": "para... | GregF | xv86CDBe0flxF2epvO3f | public | contract | 1,720,207,016,795 | will-tesla-stock-reach-275-by-88-of-e836ca33649e | GregF | Will TSLA reach >$ 275 before 8pm EST on 8/8? | null | 0.6 | 9,795.598555 | NO | null | |
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"text": "I guess I assign a pretty high % of such a letter being written. But I could be wrong there. ",
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... | Niko | wylmmdwmkw | public | contract | 1,720,207,043,221 | will-a-group-of-at-least-5-named-de | Moscow25 | Will a group of at least 5 named Dem House Members or US Senators pressure Biden to drop out before July 20th? | zbfl03cjq79 | 0.52166 | 2,240.586728 | YES | null | |
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"text": "that's a higher probability than I would give it! does a leak include \"there are rumors that some letter was written and delivered\" or is it specific... | Bayesian | wylmmdwmkw | public | contract | 1,720,207,177,433 | will-a-group-of-at-least-5-named-de | Bayesian | Will a group of at least 5 named Dem House Members or US Senators pressure Biden to drop out before July 20th? | zbfl03cjq79 | 0.52166 | 243.513601 | NO | null | |
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"mar... | Niko | wylmmdwmkw | public | contract | 1,720,207,234,372 | will-a-group-of-at-least-5-named-de | Moscow25 | Will a group of at least 5 named Dem House Members or US Senators pressure Biden to drop out before July 20th? | zbfl03cjq79 | 0.52166 | 2,240.586728 | YES | null | |
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... | Niko | wylmmdwmkw | public | contract | 1,720,207,267,326 | will-a-group-of-at-least-5-named-de | Moscow25 | Will a group of at least 5 named Dem House Members or US Senators pressure Biden to drop out before July 20th? | zbfl03cjq79 | 0.52166 | 2,240.586728 | YES | null | |
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"type": "par... | Niko | wylmmdwmkw | public | contract | 1,720,207,304,441 | will-a-group-of-at-least-5-named-de | Moscow25 | Will a group of at least 5 named Dem House Members or US Senators pressure Biden to drop out before July 20th? | zbfl03cjq79 | 0.52166 | 2,240.586728 | YES | null | |
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... | Bayesian | wylmmdwmkw | public | contract | 1,720,207,688,608 | will-a-group-of-at-least-5-named-de | Bayesian | Will a group of at least 5 named Dem House Members or US Senators pressure Biden to drop out before July 20th? | zbfl03cjq79 | 0.553314 | 243.513601 | NO | null | |
on8eaa40i8i | false | N2D9ZBFPjFeRUtR9ttSfjejkyqN2 | {
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"text": "I agree with your logic Steve. I expect to see a round of stories this weekend about how Biden has refused to drop out and claims the controversy is ov... | Avery | YTIuuSsNRn2OlA4KykRM | public | contract | 1,720,208,096,529 | will-biden-be-the-2024-democratic-n | Avery | Will Biden be the 2024 Democratic Nominee? | bef6vgxtpjc | 0.48053 | -0 | NO | null | |
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... | Bayesian | 2I1ARcFBhOMcmHpiNm03 | public | contract | 1,720,208,264,955 | where-will-i-be-on-july-15-2024 | Bayesian | Where will I be on July 15, 2024? | null | null | null | null | null | |
8nkomxrc7if | false | srFlJRuVlGa7SEJDM4cY9B5k4Lj2 | {
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],
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... | Bayesian | 2I1ARcFBhOMcmHpiNm03 | public | contract | 1,720,208,300,718 | where-will-i-be-on-july-15-2024 | Bayesian | Where will I be on July 15, 2024? | yi1ltumfn7 | null | null | null | null | |
ns2ouely5rg | false | 0OXZrWKVi3Si3HbEb59CCU2anUi1 | {
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"text": "Healey, a top Biden ally, urges him to consider dropping out of the race -- ",
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... | Bruno Joyal 🍅 | YTIuuSsNRn2OlA4KykRM | public | contract | 1,720,208,345,758 | will-biden-be-the-2024-democratic-n | BrunoJ | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTteYBxZSAOQI4rRpDCyiUNObDhTNJGeFDpW2VnHY5rWn5Eo=s96-c | Will Biden be the 2024 Democratic Nominee? | null | 0.486771 | 13,173.785757 | NO | null |
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"text": "I think the letter is huge.",
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"marks": null... | Niko | wylmmdwmkw | public | contract | 1,720,208,422,636 | will-a-group-of-at-least-5-named-de | Moscow25 | Will a group of at least 5 named Dem House Members or US Senators pressure Biden to drop out before July 20th? | zbfl03cjq79 | 0.553314 | 2,240.586728 | YES | null | |
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"content... | Bruno Joyal 🍅 | YTIuuSsNRn2OlA4KykRM | public | contract | 1,720,208,733,459 | will-biden-be-the-2024-democratic-n | BrunoJ | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTteYBxZSAOQI4rRpDCyiUNObDhTNJGeFDpW2VnHY5rWn5Eo=s96-c | Will Biden be the 2024 Democratic Nominee? | ns2ouely5rg | 0.486771 | 13,173.785757 | NO | null |
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"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora... | Jonathan Ray | y9tQ5nOahDIlW3WW9bHr | public | contract | 1,720,209,137,423 | if-the-tiktok-ban-bill-passes-will | JonathanRay | If the TikTok "ban" bill passes, will its enforcement be blocked by courts? | null | 0.5 | 13,256.506418 | YES | null | |
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"class": "break-anywhere hover:underline hover:decoration-primary-400 hover:decoration-2 active:underline active:decora... | Jackp | pkv2g6zr9a | public | contract | 1,720,209,332,041 | when-will-biden-answer-questions-fr | JackP | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AAcHTtcvVY6tyxghZifaQ7GB8MrRpD-9E-WScVBhQH42=s96-c | What day will Biden answer questions from reporter/s? | null | null | 620.761626 | YES | p0rpoylui9 |
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... | Al Quinn | YTIuuSsNRn2OlA4KykRM | public | contract | 1,720,209,442,430 | will-biden-be-the-2024-democratic-n | AlQuinn | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp46gOxO4QNQsQ8T4KOcwIwbRQPb2PvzEwr7f8nE=s96-c | Will Biden be the 2024 Democratic Nominee? | ns2ouely5rg | 0.481945 | 17,706.775136 | NO | null |
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} | Pat Scott🩴 | 2l0jx5q7hr | public | contract | 1,720,209,561,409 | inversion-resolutions-what-would-be | Stralor | [Inverting Resolutions] What would be true in a world where Donald Trump wins the election? | null | null | 176.470118 | YES | n4tajas3ch | |
8xythy8pq4 | false | fsbw3279TdNxi58kBGtSQLI9Uyi1 | {
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"text": "\"majority of users\" is a weird metric. The top 0.1% of gpu users use like half of the gpus or something. Most users don't want the risk and complexit... | Tao Lin | sPGWQWz7lXE0m50DdCyN | public | contract | 1,720,209,691,561 | will-the-fp8-numeric-format-be-cons | TaoLin | https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/a/AEdFTp7zodDnlZOVsvri1JVtZzdKSKjd4lo5sjdFQD0Vniw=s96-c | Will the FP8 numeric format be considered a required feature for AI frameworks and accelerator hardware before the end of 2024? | null | null | null | null | null |
gcnrggfva4 | false | iXPkCXt5EQZ78Yqz03MqWsXpD122 | {
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"text": "Here’s the Kamala letter for those who missed it. Leaked form DNC staffers. Well written. ",
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}
],
"type": ... | Niko | wylmmdwmkw | public | contract | 1,720,209,748,474 | will-a-group-of-at-least-5-named-de | Moscow25 | Will a group of at least 5 named Dem House Members or US Senators pressure Biden to drop out before July 20th? | null | 0.63654 | 2,240.586728 | YES | null | |
o9nx531t2go | false | iXPkCXt5EQZ78Yqz03MqWsXpD122 | {
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} | Niko | wylmmdwmkw | public | contract | 1,720,209,777,850 | will-a-group-of-at-least-5-named-de | Moscow25 | Will a group of at least 5 named Dem House Members or US Senators pressure Biden to drop out before July 20th? | 4dt46f0q5h1 | 0.63654 | 2,240.586728 | YES | null |
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